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Impacto de política monetaria: una revisión empírica 2000 – 2013
[Impact of monetary policy: an empirical review 2000 - 2013]

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  • Anzoategui Zapata, Juan Camilo

Abstract

This paper analyzes for the period 2000 - 2013 the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Colombia, focusing on how the Bank of the Republic and its inflation targeting strategy affects through the intervention interest rate, the M2 and the consumer loans to total inflation and therefore the purchasing power. This is done through a procedure Johansen cointegration analyzing and short –and long– term vector autoregression model - VECM. For the period of analysis is evidence of price paradox, ie, against increases in the intervention interest rate total inflation responds with a persistent increase. It is also found that for the long term there is an inverse relationship between consumer credit and inflation, the above reflected in a greater financial deepening accompanied by a strong disinflationary policy by the issuer.

Suggested Citation

  • Anzoategui Zapata, Juan Camilo, 2015. "Impacto de política monetaria: una revisión empírica 2000 – 2013 [Impact of monetary policy: an empirical review 2000 - 2013]," MPRA Paper 69349, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Dec 2014.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:69349
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sergio Clavijo, 2002. "Política monetaria y cambiaria en Colombia: progresos y desafíos (1991-2002)," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 20(41-42), pages 87-142, June.
    2. Andrés Felipe Londono & Jorge Andrés Tamayo & Carlos Alberto Velásquez, 2012. "Dinámica de la política monetaria e inflación objetivo en Colombia: una aproximación FAVAR," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 30(68), pages 14-71, June.
    3. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    4. Miguel Urrutia, 2002. "UNA VISIÓN ALTERNATIVA: La Política Monetaria y Cambiaria en la Última Década," Borradores de Economia 3731, Banco de la Republica.
    5. A. W. Phillips, 1958. "The Relation Between Unemployment and the Rate of Change of Money Wage Rates in the United Kingdom, 1861–1957," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 25(100), pages 283-299, November.
    6. Sergio Clavijo, 2002. "Política monetaria y cambiaria en Colombia: progresos y desafíos (1991-2002)," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, June.
    7. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
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    10. Edmund S. Phelps, 1968. "Money-Wage Dynamics and Labor-Market Equilibrium," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 76(4), pages 678-678.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Impact of monetary policy; VAR model; inflation; price paradox.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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