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Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-BasedExchange Rate Expectations


  • J.M. Berk
  • K.H.W. Knot


We investigate international co-movements in bond yields by testing for uncovered interest parity. We supplement existing work by focussing on long instead of short-term interest rates, and, related to that, by employing exchange rate expectations derived from purchasing power parity instead of actual outcomes. For the major floating currencies over the period 1975-97, we cannot support the notion of further increases in co-movement beyond that associated with the wave of financial market liberalization and deregulation in the early 1980s. Given the similarity between PPP-based UIP tests and those employing actual exchange rate outcomes, the value added of the former mainly lies with their ready availability.

Suggested Citation

  • J.M. Berk & K.H.W. Knot, 1999. "Co-Movements in Long-Term Interest Rates and the Role of PPP-BasedExchange Rate Expectations," DNB Staff Reports (discontinued) 37, Netherlands Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:dnb:staffs:37

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hwa-Taek Lee & Gawon Yoon, 2013. "Does purchasing power parity hold sometimes? Regime switching in real exchange rates," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(16), pages 2279-2294, June.

    More about this item


    interest parity relations; exchange rate expectations;

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy


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