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Predicting Bank of England’s Asset Purchase Decisions with MPC Voting Records

  • Matthias Neuenkirch

    ()

    (University of Aachen)

We use MPC voting records to predict changes in the volume of asset purchases. We find, first, that minority voting favoring an increase in the volume of asset purchases raises the probability of an actual increase at the next meeting. Second, minority voting supporting a higher Bank Rate decreases the likelihood of further asset purchases.

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File URL: http://www.uni-marburg.de/fb02/makro/forschung/magkspapers/22-2013_neuenkirch.pdf
File Function: First 201322
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Paper provided by Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung) in its series MAGKS Papers on Economics with number 201322.

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Length: 9 pages
Date of creation: 2013
Date of revision:
Publication status: Forthcoming in
Handle: RePEc:mar:magkse:201322
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