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Monetary Policy and Long-term Interest Rates

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  • Shu Wu

    (Department of Economics, The University of Kansas)

Abstract

This paper documents some new empirical results about the monetary policy and long-term interest rates in the United States. It shows that changes in the monetary policy stance are more predictable to the bond market in the 1990s than in the 1970s. This shift in the predictability of the monetary policy actions affects the policy¡¯s impact on long-term interest rates as well as the forecasting power of the yield spread for the future changes in short-term interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Shu Wu, 2005. "Monetary Policy and Long-term Interest Rates," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200512, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2005.
    • Handle: RePEc:kan:wpaper:200512
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    File URL: http://www.ku.edu/~bgju/2005Papers/200512.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jansen, Pieter W., 2006. "Did capital market convergence lower the effectiveness of the interest rate as a monetary policy tool?," Serie Research Memoranda 0010, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    2. Pieter Jansen, 2009. "Did capital market convergence lower the effectiveness of monetary policy?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(12), pages 975-984.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; interest rates; predictability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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