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Measuring Euro Area Monetary Policy

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  • Altavilla, Carlo
  • Brugnolini, Luca
  • Gurkaynak, Refet S.
  • Motto, Roberto
  • Ragusa, Giuseppe

Abstract

We map ECB policy communication into yield curve changes and study the information flow on policy dates. A byproduct is the publicly available Euro Area Monetary Policy Event- Study Database (EA-MPD), containing intraday asset price changes. We find that Policy Target, Forward Guidance and Quantitative Easing factors capture about all the variation in the yield curve, with different factors appearing in the windows covering the policy decision announcement and the press conference, and having time-varying variance shares. We study sovereign yields, exchange rates, stock prices, persistence of effects and response asymmetry. Our methodology can be implemented for any policy-related event.

Suggested Citation

  • Altavilla, Carlo & Brugnolini, Luca & Gurkaynak, Refet S. & Motto, Roberto & Ragusa, Giuseppe, 2019. "Measuring Euro Area Monetary Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 13759, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:13759
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymmetry; ECB policy surprise; Event-Study; intraday; Persistence;

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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