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Conditional Gaussian models of the term structure of interest rates

  • Simon H. Babbs


    (Bank One and University of Warwick, 1 Bank One Plaza Suite# 0690, Chicago IL 60670, USA Manuscript)

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    We present a new family of yield curve models, termed "Conditional Gaussian". It provides both simplicity and extreme flexibility in constructing "market models". Almost any conditional co-variance structure - including features designed to capture volatility "skews" and/or dependence on past returns - can be used, and the model can be embedded into a continuous-time whole yield curve model consistent with general equilibrium. Conditionally Gaussian increments in log one-plus-interest-rates enable "vanilla" and path-dependent derivatives to be valued easily by Monte Carlo, whether or not their payoffs depend solely on the particular market rates being modelled directly.

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    Article provided by Springer in its journal Finance and Stochastics.

    Volume (Year): 6 (2002)
    Issue (Month): 3 ()
    Pages: 333-353

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    Handle: RePEc:spr:finsto:v:6:y:2002:i:3:p:333-353
    Note: received: June 1999; final version received: September 2001
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    1. Heath, David & Jarrow, Robert & Morton, Andrew, 1992. "Bond Pricing and the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A New Methodology for Contingent Claims Valuation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(1), pages 77-105, January.
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    6. Babbs, Simon H. & Nowman, K. Ben, 1999. "Kalman Filtering of Generalized Vasicek Term Structure Models," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 34(01), pages 115-130, March.
    7. Nowman, K B, 1997. " Gaussian Estimation of Single-Factor Continuous Time Models of the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(4), pages 1695-1706, September.
    8. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 1992. " Interest Rate Volatility and the Term Structure: A Two-Factor General Equilibrium Model," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(4), pages 1259-82, September.
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    10. D. Sondermann & Sandmann, K., 1994. "On the Stability of Log-Normal Interest Rate Models and the Pricing of Eurodollar Futures," Discussion Paper Serie B 263, University of Bonn, Germany.
    11. Robert R. Bliss & Peter Richken, 1996. "Empirical tests of two state-variable Heath-Jarrow models," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Aug, pages 452-481.
    12. Amin, Kaushik I. & Morton, Andrew J., 1994. "Implied volatility functions in arbitrage-free term structure models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 141-180, April.
    13. Chan, K C, et al, 1992. " An Empirical Comparison of Alternative Models of the Short-Term Interest Rate," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(3), pages 1209-27, July.
    14. Marek Rutkowski & Marek Musiela, 1997. "Continuous-time term structure models: Forward measure approach (*)," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 1(4), pages 261-291.
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    16. Farshid Jamshidian, 1997. "LIBOR and swap market models and measures (*)," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 1(4), pages 293-330.
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