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Productivity Shocks, Stabilization Policies and the Dynamics of Net Foreign Assets

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  • Giorgio Di Giorgio

    (LUISS Guido Carli University)

  • Salvatore Nistico'

    (La Sapienza University of Rome and LUISS Guido Carli University)

Abstract

In this paper we investigate the role of macroeconomic stabilization policies for the international transmission of productivity shocks and their effects on the external sector. We develop a two-country stochastic Dynamic New-Keynesian “perpetual youth” model of the business cycle with incomplete international financial markets. Our OLG structure implies stationary net foreign asset dynamics and allows for a thorough analysis of the interaction of monetary policy with non-balanced budget fiscal policy. We derive the dynamic and cyclical properties of fiscal deficit feedback rules and their implications for net foreign assets dynamics. Our results imply that the degree of “fiscal discipline”, i.e. the extent to which the fiscal rule responds to debt dynamics, is crucial for the dynamics of net foreign assets. We show that under a counter-cyclical fiscal rule with low fiscal discipline temporary positive productivity shocks may result in substantial deteriorations of the Net Foreign Asset position in the medium run. This result crucially hinges on the interplay among nominal rigidities, non-balanced budget fiscal policy, and the wealth effects on consumption that are implied by our OLG structure.
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  • Giorgio Di Giorgio & Salvatore Nistico', 2011. "Productivity Shocks, Stabilization Policies and the Dynamics of Net Foreign Assets," Working Papers CASMEF 1101, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
  • Handle: RePEc:lui:casmef:1101
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    Cited by:

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    2. Schön, Matthias & Stähler, Nikolai, 2020. "When old meets young? Germany's population ageing and the current account," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 315-336.
    3. Di Giorgio, Giorgio & Traficante, Guido, 2018. "Fiscal shocks and helicopter money in open economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 77-87.
    4. Giorgio Di Giorgio Author-Name-First Giorgio & Salvatore Nistico' Author-Name-First Salvatore & Guido Traficante Author-Name-First Guido, 2014. "Fiscal shocks and the exchange rate," Working Papers CASMEF 1401, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
    5. Nisticò, Salvatore, 2012. "Monetary policy and stock-price dynamics in a DSGE framework," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 126-146.
    6. Ruppert, Kilian & Stähler, Nikolai, 2020. "Household savings, capital investments and public policies: What drives the German current account?," Discussion Papers 41/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    7. Bernhard Herz & Stefan Hohberger, 2013. "Fiscal Policy, Monetary Regimes and Current Account Dynamics," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(1), pages 118-136, February.
    8. Di Giorgio, Giorgio & Nisticò, Salvatore & Traficante, Guido, 2018. "Government spending and the exchange rate," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 55-73.
    9. Hochmuth, Brigitte & Moyen, Stephane & Stähler, Nikolai, 2019. "Labor market reforms, precautionary savings, and global imbalances," Discussion Papers 13/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    10. Ruppert, Kilian & Schön, Matthias & Stähler, Nikolai, 2021. "Consumption taxation to finance pension payments," Discussion Papers 47/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    11. Ruppert, Kilian & Stähler, Nikolai, 2022. "What drives the German current account? Household savings, capital investments and public policies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal Deficit; Net Foreign Assets; DSGE Models; Monetary and Fiscal Policy.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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