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"Low-For-Long� Interest Rates and Banks' Interest Margins and Profitability: Cross-Country Evidence

Author

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  • Claessens, Stijn
  • Coleman, Nicholas
  • Donnelly, Michael

Abstract

Interest rates in many advanced economies have been low for almost a decade now and are often expected to remain so. This creates challenges for banks. Using a sample of 3,385 banks from 47 countries from 2005 to 2013, we find that a one percentage point interest rate drop implies an 8 basis points lower net interest margin, with this effect greater (20 basis points) at low rates. Low rates also adversely affect bank profitability, but with more variation. And for each additional year of “low for long†, margins and profitability fall by another 9 and 6 basis points, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Claessens, Stijn & Coleman, Nicholas & Donnelly, Michael, 2017. ""Low-For-Long� Interest Rates and Banks' Interest Margins and Profitability: Cross-Country Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 11842, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:11842
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Christoph Memmel, 2018. "Why Do Banks Bear Interest Rate Risk?," Schmalenbach Business Review, Springer;Schmalenbach-Gesellschaft, vol. 70(3), pages 231-253, July.
    2. Carlo Altavilla & Miguel Boucinha & José-Luis Peydró & Thorsten BeckManaging Editor, 2018. "Monetary policy and bank profitability in a low interest rate environment," Economic Policy, CEPR;CES;MSH, vol. 33(96), pages 531-586.
    3. Buchholz, Manuel & Schmidt, Kirsten & Tonzer, Lena, 2017. "Do conventional monetary policy instruments matter in unconventional times?," IWH Discussion Papers 12/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    4. Juliane Gerstenberger & Gunther Schnabl, 2017. "The Impact of Japanese Monetary Policy Crisis Management on the Japanese Banking Sector," CESifo Working Paper Series 6440, CESifo Group Munich.
    5. Andreas Dombret & Yalin Gündüz & Jörg Rocholl, 2019. "Will German Banks Earn Their Cost Of Capital?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 37(1), pages 156-169, January.
    6. Riccardo Ferretti & Giovanni Gallo & Andrea Landi & Valeria Venturelli, 2018. "Market-Book Ratios of European Banks: What Does Explain the Structural Fall?," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 18011, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
    7. Rungporn Roengpitya & Nikola Tarashev & Kostas Tsatsaronis & Alan Villegas, 2017. "Bank business models: popularity and performance," BIS Working Papers 682, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. English, William B. & Van den Heuvel, Skander J. & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2018. "Interest rate risk and bank equity valuations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 80-97.
    9. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Yann Koby, 2018. "The Reversal Interest Rate," NBER Working Papers 25406, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Riccardo Ferretti & Giovanni Gallo & Andrea Landi & Valeria Venturelli, 2018. "Market-Book Ratios of European Banks: What Does Explain the Structural Fall?," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 0065, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
    11. Óscar Arce & Miguel García-Posada & Sergio Mayordomo & Steven Ongena, 2018. "Adapting lending policies when negative interest rates hit banks’ profits," Working Papers 1832, Banco de España;Working Papers Homepage.
    12. J. Christina Wang, 2017. "Banks' search for yield in the low interest rate environment: a tale of regulatory adaptation," Working Papers 17-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, revised 01 Jun 2017.
    13. Emilia Bonaccorsi di Patti & Francesco Palazzo, 2018. "Bank profitability and macroeconomic conditions: are business models different?," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 436, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    14. B. Fernández-Olit & C. Ruza & M. Cuesta-González & M. Matilla-Garcia, 2019. "Banks and Financial Discrimination: What Can Be Learnt from the Spanish Experience?," Journal of Consumer Policy, Springer, vol. 42(2), pages 303-323, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank profitability; interest rates; Low-for-long; Net interest margin;

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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