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Does economic policy uncertainty affect bank profitability?

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  • Ozili, Peterson K
  • Arun, Thankom

Abstract

Focusing on banks, this study investigates the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on bank profitability in 22 advanced countries. The measures of bank profitability are net interest margin, lending-deposit spread, non-interest income ratio, after-tax return on asset, before-tax return on asset, after-tax return on equity and before-tax return on equity. The findings reveal that high economic policy uncertainty (EPU) negatively affects bank non-interest income. Real GDP growth rate, nonperforming loans and regulatory capital ratio are negatively related to profitability in times of high EPU. The findings also reveal that high EPU has a positive effect on bank profitability in Asia and the region of the Americas as these regions witnessed high return on equity in times of high EPU. The implication of the findings is that, although economic policy uncertainty has a depressive effect on some indicators of bank profitability, regional characteristics can ameliorate the depressive effects of EPU on bank profitability.

Suggested Citation

  • Ozili, Peterson K & Arun, Thankom, 2022. "Does economic policy uncertainty affect bank profitability?," MPRA Paper 114403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:114403
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    Cited by:

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    3. Jamil, Abd Rahim Md. & Law, Siong Hook & Mohamad Khair-Afham, M.S. & Trinugroho, Irwan, 2023. "Financial inclusion and economic uncertainty in developing countries: The role of digitalisation," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 786-806.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bank profitability; economic policy uncertainty; EPU; profitability determinants; banks; return on assets; return on equity; net interest margin; Asia; Europe; Africa.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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