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The Effectiveness of Unconventional Monetary Policy Announcements in the Euro Area: An Event and Econometric Study

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Abstract

We use daily data on government bond yields and market-based inflation expectations to measure the announcement effects of unconventional monetary policy announcements in the euro area, focusing on their impact on ex-ante real interest rates. We find evidence of statistically significant effects of several announcements on real interest rates at maturities of two, five and ten years that operate partly through nominal interest rates and partly by raising inflation expectations. Announcements that exceeded market expectations significantly reduced nominal and real interest rates while announcements that disappointed expectations had the opposite effect.
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  • Steven Ambler & Fabio Rumler, 2017. "The Effectiveness of Unconventional Monetary Policy Announcements in the Euro Area: An Event and Econometric Study," Working Papers 212, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
    • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbwp:212
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    Cited by:

    1. Laine, Olli-Matti, 2019. "The effect of TLTRO-II on bank lending," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2019, Bank of Finland.
    2. Ralf Fendel & Frederik Neugebauer, 2018. "Country-Specific Euro Area Government Bond Yield Reactions to ECB’s Non-Standard Monetary Policy Announcements," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 18-02, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
    3. Hartmann, Philipp & Smets, Frank, 2018. "The first twenty years of the European Central Bank: monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2219, European Central Bank.
    4. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2019_007 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Larkin, John & Anderson, PJ & Furlong, Sean, 2019. "The Irish Government Bond Market and Quantitative Easing," Quarterly Bulletin Articles, Central Bank of Ireland, pages 78-100, April.
    6. Guido Bulligan & Davide Delle Monache, 2018. "Financial markets effects of ECB unconventional monetary policy announcements," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 424, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    7. Michael Stiefel & Rémi Vivès, 2019. "'Whatever it Takes' to Change Belief: Evidence from Twitter," Working Papers halshs-02053429, HAL.
    8. Ambler, Steve & Rumler, Fabio, 2019. "The effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy announcements in the euro area: An event and econometric study," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 48-61.
    9. Christiaan Pattipeilohy & Christina Bräuning & Jan Willem van den End & Renske Maas, 2017. "Assessing the effective stance of monetary policy: A factor-based approach," DNB Working Papers 575, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    10. Mario Bambulovic & Miljana Valdec, 2020. "Testing the characteristics of macroprudential policies’ differential impact on foreign and domestic banks’ lending in Croatia," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 44(2), pages 221-249.
    11. Michael Stiefel & Rémi Vivès, 2022. "‘Whatever it takes’ to change belief: evidence from Twitter," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(3), pages 715-747, August.
    12. Laine, Olli-Matti, 2019. "The effect of TLTRO-II on bank lending," Research Discussion Papers 7/2019, Bank of Finland.
    13. Philipp Hartman & Frank Smets, 2018. "The European Central Bank’s Monetary Policy during Its First 20 Years," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 49(2 (Fall)), pages 1-146.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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