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Stock Prices, Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy

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  • Dor, Eric

    (UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES); Université catholique de Lille, Faculté Libre des Sciences Economiques, Institut d’Economie Scientifique et de Gestion IESEG, Labores-CNRS)

  • Durré, Alain

    (UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES))

Abstract

This paper attempts to model the relationship between monetary policy and financial asset prices. We develop an aggregative model under forward-looking rational expectations to analyse the optimal monetary policy response to stock prices and exchange rates shocks. We first demonstrate that a model ignoring the impact of equity prices and exchange rates on aggregate demand leads to an overestimation of the optimal policy response to standard shocks. Second, we clearly point out that a correct assessment of the relation between optimal monetary policy and either equity prices or exchange rates necessitates a model including both kinds of financial prices simultaneously. Third, we show how these interactions between financial asset prices and monetary policy are affected by a particular form of coordination between monetary policy and fiscal policy, arising from a public debt solvency constraint.

Suggested Citation

  • Dor, Eric & Durré, Alain, 1999. "Stock Prices, Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales) 2000001, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
  • Handle: RePEc:ctl:louvir:2000001
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    File URL: http://sites.uclouvain.be/econ/DP/IRES/2000-001.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1973. "Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 63(3), pages 326-334, June.
    2. Barro, Robert J & Gordon, David B, 1983. "A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural Rate Model," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(4), pages 589-610, August.
    3. Christiano, Lawrence J. & Eichenbaum, Martin & Evans, Charles L., 1999. "Monetary policy shocks: What have we learned and to what end?," Handbook of Macroeconomics,in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 2, pages 65-148 Elsevier.
    4. Gray, Jo Anna, 1976. "Wage indexation: A macroeconomic approach," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 221-235, April.
    5. Matthew B. Canzoneri & Dale W. Henderson, 1991. "Monetary Policy in Interdependent Economies: A Game-Theoretic Approach," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262031787, January.
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    11. Artus, P., 1998. "Inertie des anticipations de prix et politique economique," Papers 1998-20/ma, Caisse des Depots et Consignations - Cahiers de recherche.
    12. Barro, Robert J., 1976. "Rational expectations and the role of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 1-32, January.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; financial asset prices; monetary conditions indicator;

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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