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Negative Interest Rates Policy and Banks' Risk-Taking: Empirical Evidence

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  • Whelsy Boungou

    (Larefi - Laboratoire d'analyse et de recherche en économie et finance internationales - UB - Université de Bordeaux, UB - Université de Bordeaux)

Abstract

Using a panel dataset of 9421 banks from 59 countries over the period 2009–2018 and a Difference- in-Differences estimator, this paper aims to assess the effects of negative interest rates on banks' risk-taking. We find that banks' risk-taking has been lower in countries where negative rates have been implemented. This effect depends on the characteristics of a country's banking system, namely the level of capitalization and size.

Suggested Citation

  • Whelsy Boungou, 2020. "Negative Interest Rates Policy and Banks' Risk-Taking: Empirical Evidence," Post-Print hal-03709855, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03709855
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2019.108760
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Beck, Thorsten & De Jonghe, Olivier & Schepens, Glenn, 2013. "Bank competition and stability: Cross-country heterogeneity," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 218-244.
    2. Bongiovanni, Alessio & Reghezza, Alessio & Santamaria, Riccardo & Williams, Jonathan, 2021. "Do negative interest rates affect bank risk-taking?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 350-364.
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    5. Nucera, Federico & Lucas, André & Schaumburg, Julia & Schwaab, Bernd, 2017. "Do negative interest rates make banks less safe?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 112-115.
    6. Florian Heider & Farzad Saidi & Glenn Schepens, 2019. "Life below Zero: Bank Lending under Negative Policy Rates," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(10), pages 3728-3761.
    7. Molyneux, Philip & Reghezza, Alessio & Xie, Ru, 2019. "Bank margins and profits in a world of negative rates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.
    8. repec:ecb:ecbwps:20111427 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Gauti B. Eggertsson & Ragnar E. Juelsrud & Lawrence H. Summers & Ella Getz Wold, 2019. "Negative Nominal Interest Rates and the Bank Lending Channel," NBER Working Papers 25416, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Thornton, John & Vasilakis, Chrysovalantis, 2019. "Negative policy interest rates and exchange rate behavior: Further results," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 61-67.
    11. Andreas Jobst & Ms. Huidan Huidan Lin, 2016. "Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP): Implications for Monetary Transmission and Bank Profitability in the Euro Area," IMF Working Papers 2016/172, International Monetary Fund.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Alin-Marius ANDRIEŞ & Ioana PLEŞCĂU, 2020. "The Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy: Do Macroprudential Regulation and Central Bank Independence Influence the Transmission of Interest Rates?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 5-30, September.
    2. Nimrod Segev & Sigal Ribon & Michael Kahn & Jakob Haan, 2024. "Low Interest Rates and Banks’ Interest Margins: Does Deposit Market Concentration Matter?," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 65(2), pages 189-218, June.
    3. Boungou, Whelsy & Hubert, Paul, 2021. "The channels of banks’ response to negative interest rates," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    4. Boungou, Whelsy & Mawusi, Charles, 2022. "The impact of economic policy uncertainty on banks' non-interest income activities," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 89-97.
    5. Johannes Bubeck & Angela Maddaloni & José‐Luis Peydró, 2020. "Negative Monetary Policy Rates and Systemic Banks' Risk‐Taking: Evidence from the Euro Area Securities Register," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(S1), pages 197-231, October.
    6. Boungou, Whelsy, 2021. "Empirical evidence of the lending channel of monetary policy under negative interest rates," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 309-318.
    7. Ramona Busch & Helge C. N. Littke & Christoph Memmel & Simon Niederauer, 2022. "German banks’ behavior in the low interest rate environment," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 36(3), pages 267-296, September.
    8. Abildgren, Kim & Kuchler, Andreas, 2023. "Firm behaviour under negative deposit rates," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    9. Cynthia Balloch & Yann Koby & Mauricio Ulate, 2022. "Making Sense of Negative Nominal Interest Rates," Working Paper Series 2022-12, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    10. Le, Huong Nguyen Quynh & Nguyen, Thai Vu Hong & Schinckus, Christophe, 2022. "The role of strategic interactions in risk-taking behavior: A study from asset growth perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    11. Peydró, José-Luis & Maddaloni, Angela, 2020. "Negative Monetary Policy Rates and Systemic Banks’ Risk-Taking: Evidence from the Euro Area Securities Register," CEPR Discussion Papers 14988, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. Katharina Allinger & Julia Wörz, 2020. "The sensitivity of banks’ net interest margins to interest rate conditions in CESEE," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/20, pages 51-70.
    13. Liñares-Zegarra, José M. & Willesson, Magnus, 2021. "The effects of negative interest rates on cash usage: Evidence for EU countries," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    14. Nicolas Reigl & Karsten Staehr, 2020. "Negative Interest Rates in the Five Eurozone Countries from Central and Eastern Europe," CESifo Forum, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 21(01), pages 24-30, April.
    15. Uwe Vollmer, 2022. "Monetary policy or macroprudential policies: What can tame the cycles?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 1510-1538, December.
    16. Demiralp, Selva & Eisenschmidt, Jens & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021. "Negative interest rates, excess liquidity and retail deposits: Banks’ reaction to unconventional monetary policy in the euro area," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    17. D’Hondt, Catherine & De Winne, Rudy & Todorovic, Aleksandar, 2021. "Target Returns and Negative Interest Rates," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2021011, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    18. López-Penabad, Maria Celia & Iglesias-Casal, Ana & Silva Neto, José Fernando, 2022. "Effects of a negative interest rate policy in bank profitability and risk taking: Evidence from European banks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Negative interest rates; Difference-in-differences; Bank risk-taking;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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