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Do Stock Returns Provide a Good Hedge Against Inflation? An Empirical Assessment Using Turkish Data during Periods of Structural Change

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  • Akturk, Halit

Abstract

This paper provide empirical evidence on the relation between stock returns and inflationary expectations using a panel of firm level data covering a broad range of industries and Turkish common stock market index from 1986 to 2013. I use survey of inflationary expectations to examine Fisher hypothesis where I show, no matter the data is aggregate or disaggregated; ex-ante inflationary expectations and stock returns are positively related, whereas ex-post inflationary realizations are negatively related. I find that holding stocks of manufacturing industry firms provide for about 15% better hedge in comparison to that of service industry firms.

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  • Akturk, Halit, 2014. "Do Stock Returns Provide a Good Hedge Against Inflation? An Empirical Assessment Using Turkish Data during Periods of Structural Change," MPRA Paper 64465, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:64465
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    2. Naveed Raza & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Muhammad Shahbaz & Aviral kumar Tiwari, 2017. "Modeling the nexus between oil shocks, inflation and commodity prices: Do Asymmetries really matter?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(4), pages 2374-2383.
    3. Rabson Magweva & Mabutho Sibanda & Mariam Camarero, 2020. "Inflation and infrastructure sector returns in emerging markets—panel ARDL approach," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1730078-173, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fisher effect; stock returns; hedging; inflation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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