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El tramo Corto de la Estructura a Plazo como predictor de Expectativas de Inflación en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Luis Eduardo Arango
  • Angélica María Arosemena

Abstract

La evidencia empírica encontrada al explotar la ecuación de Fisher y la hipótesis de expectativas sugiere que los spreads de tasas de interés entre 12 y 24 meses y entre 6 y 12 meses contienen información que contribuye a predecir las expectativas de inflación total y de inflación núcleo. La relación entre los diferenciales de inflación y los spread de tasas de interés resultó ser positiva: cuanto mayor es el diferencial mayor es la expectativa de inflación futura.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Eduardo Arango & Angélica María Arosemena, 2003. "El tramo Corto de la Estructura a Plazo como predictor de Expectativas de Inflación en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 2558, Banco de la Republica.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:002558
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos David Ardila-Dueñas & Hernán Rincón-Castro, 2019. "¿Cómo y qué tanto impacta la deuda pública a las tasas de interés de mercado?," Borradores de Economia 1077, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Luis E Arango & Luz Adriana Flórez & Angélica M Arosemena, 2005. "El Tramo Corto de la Estructura a Plazo como Predictor de Expectativas de la Actividad Económica en Colombia," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 42(125), pages 79-101.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Estructura a Plazo;

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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