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A Model of the Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation

Author

Listed:
  • Vivian Yue

    (Emory University)

  • Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe

    (Columbia University)

  • Martin Uribe

    (Columbia University)

  • Seunghoon Na

    (Columbia University)

Abstract

This paper characterizes jointly optimal default and exchange-rate policy in a small open economy with limited enforcement of debt contracts and downward nominal wage rigidity. Under optimal policy, default occurs during contractions and is accompanied by large devaluations. The latter inflate away real wages thereby avoiding massive unemployment. Thus, the Twin Ds phenomenon emerges endogenously as the optimal outcome. By contrast, under fixed exchange rates, optimal default takes place in the context of large involuntary unemployment. Fixed-exchange-rate economies are shown to have stronger default incentives and therefore support less external debt than economies with optimally floating rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Vivian Yue & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe & Seunghoon Na, 2015. "A Model of the Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation," 2015 Meeting Papers 419, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed015:419
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. A Model of the Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2015-09-11 19:44:53

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    Cited by:

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    2. Javier Bianchi & César Sosa-Padilla, 2024. "Reserve Accumulation, Macroeconomic Stabilization, and Sovereign Risk," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 91(4), pages 2053-2103.
    3. Ali, Amjad, 2022. "Determining Pakistan's Financial Dependency: The Role of Financial Globalization and Corruption," MPRA Paper 116097, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Neele Balke, 2018. "The Employment Cost of Sovereign Default," 2018 Meeting Papers 1256, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    5. Enrico Mallucci, 2022. "Domestic Debt and Sovereign Defaults," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(6), pages 1741-1775, September.
    6. Singh, Anurag, 2024. "Clustered sovereign defaults," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F38 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Financial Policy: Financial Transactions Tax; Capital Controls
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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