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A Model of the Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation

Author

Listed:
  • Vivian Yue

    (Emory University)

  • Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe

    (Columbia University)

  • Martin Uribe

    (Columbia University)

  • Seunghoon Na

    (Columbia University)

Abstract

This paper characterizes jointly optimal default and exchange-rate policy in a small open economy with limited enforcement of debt contracts and downward nominal wage rigidity. Under optimal policy, default occurs during contractions and is accompanied by large devaluations. The latter inflate away real wages thereby avoiding massive unemployment. Thus, the Twin Ds phenomenon emerges endogenously as the optimal outcome. By contrast, under fixed exchange rates, optimal default takes place in the context of large involuntary unemployment. Fixed-exchange-rate economies are shown to have stronger default incentives and therefore support less external debt than economies with optimally floating rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Vivian Yue & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe & Martin Uribe & Seunghoon Na, 2015. "A Model of the Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation," 2015 Meeting Papers 419, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed015:419
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. A Model of the Twin Ds: Optimal Default and Devaluation
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2015-09-11 19:44:53

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    Cited by:

    1. Jorge Alonso-Ortiz & Esteban Colla & José-María Da-Rocha, 2017. "The productivity cost of sovereign default: evidence from the European debt crisis," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(4), pages 611-633, December.
    2. Neele Balke, 2018. "The Employment Cost of Sovereign Default," 2018 Meeting Papers 1256, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Enrico Mallucci, 2015. "Domestic Debt and Sovereign Defaults," International Finance Discussion Papers 1153, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Javier Bianchi & Cesar Sosa-Padilla, 2018. "Reserve Accumulation, Macroeconomic Stabilization and Sovereign Risk," 2018 Meeting Papers 1166, Society for Economic Dynamics.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F38 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Financial Policy: Financial Transactions Tax; Capital Controls
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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