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The Changing Role of the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate for Japanese Monetary Policy

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  • Schnabl, Gunther
  • Danne, Christian

Abstract

This paper studies the role of the yen/dollar exchange rate in the Bank of Japan?s monetary policy reaction function. In contrast to prior estimations of reaction functions based on the Taylor-rule, we allow for regime shifts by estimating rolling coefficients from January 1974 to March 1999. The results show a temporary impact of the exchange rate on monetary policy around 1978/79 and a persistently increasing impact of the yen/dollar exchange rate after 1986. The ris ing importance of the yen/dollar exchange rate for Japanese monetary policy is in line with increasing efforts to stabilize the yen/dollar exchange rate by foreign exchange intervention after March 1999, when the nominal interest rate reached the zero boundary.

Suggested Citation

  • Schnabl, Gunther & Danne, Christian, 2005. "The Changing Role of the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate for Japanese Monetary Policy," Tübinger Diskussionsbeiträge 290, University of Tübingen, School of Business and Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:tuedps:290
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    Cited by:

    1. Takashi Matsuki & Ming-Jen Chang, 2016. "Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Forecasting and Macroeconomic Fundamentals: The Case of Japan," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(4), pages 409-433, December.
    2. Ronald McKinnon & Gunther Schnabl, 2006. "China's Exchange Rate and International Adjustment in Wages, Prices and Interest Rates: Japan Déjà Vu?," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 52(2), pages 276-303, June.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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