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Production potentielle et taux neutre au Canada : mise à jour de 2021

Author

Listed:
  • Dany Brouillette
  • Guyllaume Faucher
  • Martin Kuncl
  • Austin McWhirter
  • Youngmin Park

Abstract

La croissance de la production potentielle devrait être plus forte que celle prévue lors de la réévaluation d’octobre 2020. D’ici 2024, elle sera légèrement supérieure à la croissance moyenne observée de 2010 à 2019. D’après notre évaluation, le taux nominal neutre au Canada se situe toujours dans une fourchette allant de 1,75 à 2,75 %.

Suggested Citation

  • Dany Brouillette & Guyllaume Faucher & Martin Kuncl & Austin McWhirter & Youngmin Park, 2021. "Production potentielle et taux neutre au Canada : mise à jour de 2021," Staff Analytical Notes 2021-6fr, Bank of Canada.
    • Handle: RePEc:bca:bocsan:21-6fr
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Pawel Smietanka & Gregory Thwaites, 2020. "The Impact of Covid-19 on Productivity," NBER Working Papers 28233, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic models; Interest rates; Labour markets; Monetary policy; Potential output; Productivity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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