Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. > Econometrics > Forecasting > Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. > Econometrics > Forecasting > Nowcasting

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This topic is covered by the following reading lists:

1. Mondialisation
2. Quantitative Macroeconomics and Real Business Cycles (QM&RBC)
3. Advanced Monetary Theory and Policy (ECON 447)

2023

• Laura Felber & Simon Beyeler, 2023. "Nowcasting economic activity using transaction payments data," Working Papers 2023-01, Swiss National Bank.
• Fumio Hayashi & Yuta Tachi, 2023. "Nowcasting Japan’s GDP," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1699-1735, April.
• Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2023. "Economic forecasting in a pandemic: some evidence from Singapore," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2105-2124, May.
• Yue-Jun Zhang & Han Zhang & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "A new hybrid method with data-characteristic-driven analysis for artificial intelligence and robotics index return forecasting," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, December.
• Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.
  • Robert Lehmann, 2020. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 8291, CESifo.
• Giuseppe Orlando & Mario Sportelli, 2023. "A Survey on Business Cycles: History, Theory and Empirical Findings," Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics, in: Vikas Kumar & Evgeny Kuzmin & Wei-Bin Zhang & Yuliya Lavrikova (ed.), Consequences of Social Transformation for Economic Theory, pages 5-34, Springer.
• Ujjal Chatterjee, 2023. "Predicting economic growth: evidence from real-estate loans securitization," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 1-20, March.
• Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2023. "CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions," SpringerBriefs in Economics, in: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions, chapter 0, pages 7-29, Springer.
  • Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs & Pim Ouwehand, 2019. "CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 15(1), pages 73-95, April.
• Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua, 2023. "The Increasing Synchronization of International Recessions," Springer Books, in: Pami Dua (ed.), Macroeconometric Methods, chapter 0, pages 377-390, Springer.
• Pami Dua & Deepika Goel, 2023. "Forecasting India’s Inflation in a Data-Rich Environment: A FAVAR Study," Springer Books, in: Pami Dua (ed.), Macroeconometric Methods, chapter 0, pages 225-259, Springer.
• Adler Haymans Manurung & Derwin Suhartono & Benny Hutahayan & Noptovius Halimawan, 2023. "Probability Bankruptcy Using Support Vector Regression Machines," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 13(1), pages 1-3.
• Erlan Konebayev, 2023. "Forecasting a Commodity-Exporting Small Open Developing Economy Using DSGE and DSGE-BVAR," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 39-70, January.
  • Erlan Konebayev, 2022. "Forecasting a commodity-exporting small open developing economy using DSGE and DSGE-BVAR," NAC Analytica Working Paper 24, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised May 2022.
• Cars Hommes & Sebastian Poledna, 2023. "Analyzing and forecasting economic crises with an agent-based model of the euro area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-013/II, Tinbergen Institute.
• Daan Opschoor & Dick van Dijk, 2023. "Slow Expectation-Maximization Convergence in Low-Noise Dynamic Factor Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-018/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2023. "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(2), pages 392-407, March.
  • Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2016. "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," CIRANO Working Papers 2016s-53, CIRANO.
  • Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2020. "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," Working Paper Series 2020-33, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  • Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2016. "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," International Finance Discussion Papers 1179, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Bowen Fu, Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2023. "Structural shocks and trend inflation," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2023_04, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
• Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards and Policies," CAMA Working Papers 2023-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Kilic Celik,Sinem & Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects : Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10355, The World Bank.
  • Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2303, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
  • Kilic Celic, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," MPRA Paper 116905, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Obstbaum, Meri & Oinonen, Sami & Pönkä, Harri & Vanhala, Juuso & Vilmi, Lauri, 2023. "Transmission of recent shocks in a labour-DSGE model with wage rigidity," BoF Economics Review 1/2023, Bank of Finland.
• Reiss, Michael, 2023. "On the marginal utility of fiat money: insurmountable circularity or not?," EconStor Preprints 268397, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
• Dück, Alexander & Verona, Fabio, 2023. "Robust frequency-based monetary policy rules," IMFS Working Paper Series 180, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
• Ia Vardishvili, 2020. "Entry Decision, the Option to Delay Entry, and Business Cycles," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2020-07, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
  • Ia Vardishvili, 2023. "Entry Decision, the Option to Delay Entry, and Business Cycles," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2023-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
• Carlos Carvalho & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2023. "Anchored Inflation Expectations," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(1), pages 1-47, January.
  • Eusepi, Stefano & Moench, Emanuel & Preston, Bruce & Viana de Carvalho, Carlos, 2019. "Anchored Inflation Expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers 13900, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Carlos Carvalho & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2020. "Anchored inflation expectations," CAMA Working Papers 2020-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
• Gwangmin Kim & Carola Binder, 2023. "Learning-through-Survey in Inflation Expectations," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 254-278, April.
• Ricardo Reis, 2023. "Four Mistakes in the Use of Measures of Expected Inflation," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 113, pages 47-51, May.
• Ivan Yotzov & Lena Anayi & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Özgen Öztürk & Gregory Thwaites, 2023. "Firm Inflation Uncertainty," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 113, pages 56-60, May.
• Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2023. "How Can Technology Significantly Contribute to Climate Change Mitigation?," Working papers 909, Banque de France.
  • Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2023. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," AMSE Working Papers 2301, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
  • Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2023. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," Working Papers hal-03924629, HAL.
• Орлов Константин // Orlov Konstantin & Сейдахметов Ансар // Seidakhmetov Ansar, 2023. "Различные оценки базовой инфляции для Казахстана // Various Estimates of Core Inflation for Kazakhstan," Working Papers #2023-2, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
• Bonsoo Koo & Benjamin Wong & Ze-Yu Zhong, 2023. "Disentangling Structural Breaks in High Dimensional Factor Models," CAMA Working Papers 2023-15, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Bonsoo Koo & Benjamin Wong & Ze-Yu Zhong, 2023. "Disentangling Structural Breaks in High Dimensional Factor Models," Papers 2303.00178, arXiv.org.
• Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper series 23-06, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
  • Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Papers 2305.09563, arXiv.org.
• Lin Chen & Stephanie Houle, 2023. "Turning Words into Numbers: Measuring News Media Coverage of Shortages," Discussion Papers 2023-8, Bank of Canada.
• Kerem Tuzcuoglu, 2023. "Risk Amplification Macro Model (RAMM)," Technical Reports 123, Bank of Canada.
• Julien Pascal, 2023. "Artificial neural networks to solve dynamic programming problems: A bias-corrected Monte Carlo operator," BCL working papers 172, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
• Alejandro Fernández Cerezo, 2023. "Un procedimiento para la predicción a corto plazo del PIB por el lado de la oferta," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 2023/T1.
• Rodolfo Campos & Peter Paz, 2023. "El canal de renta real y las depreciaciones contractivas en un modelo de agentes heterogéneos para América Latina," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 2023/T2.
• Alejandro Fernández Cerezo, 2023. "A supply-side GDP nowcasting model," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 2023/Q1.
• Juan Pablo Cote-Barón & Karen L. Pulido-Mahecha & Nicol Valeria Rodríguez-Rodríguez & Carlos D. Rojas-Martínez, 2023. "El ISAE: Un Indicador para Monitorear la Actividad Económica Colombiana en Alta Frecuencia," Borradores de Economia 1225, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
• Javier G. Gómez-Pineda & Julián Roa-Rozo, 2023. "A trend-cycle decomposition with hysteresis," Borradores de Economia 1230, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
• Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2023. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," Working Papers hal-03924629, HAL.
  • Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2023. "How Can Technology Significantly Contribute to Climate Change Mitigation?," Working papers 909, Banque de France.
  • Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2023. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," AMSE Working Papers 2301, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
• Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2022. "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," Staff Working Papers 22-50, Bank of Canada.
  • Martín Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2023. "Understanding post-Covid inflation dynamics," BIS Working Papers 1077, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2023. "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," IMF Working Papers 2023/010, International Monetary Fund.
• Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2023. "Forecasting inflation with a zero lower bound or negative interest rates: Evidence from point and density forecasts," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 91(3), pages 171-232, June.
  • Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022. "Forecasting Inflation with a Zero Lower Bound or Negative Interest Rates: Evidence from Point and Density Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series 9687, CESifo.
• Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2023. "Is the US Phillips curve stable? Evidence from Bayesian vector autoregressions," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(1), pages 287-314, January.
  • Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2018. "Is the US Phillips Curve Stable? Evidence from Bayesian VARs," Working Papers 2018:5, Örebro University, School of Business.
• Huw Dixon & Theodora Kosma & Pavlos Petroulas, 2023. "Endogenous frequencies and large shocks: price setting in Greece during the crisis," Working Papers 312, Bank of Greece.
• Doojav Gan-Ochir & Luvsannyam Davaajargal, 2023. "Forecasting Inflation in Mongolia: A Dynamic Model Averaging Approach," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 27-48, January.
  • Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Luvsannyam, Davaajargal, 2017. "Forecasting inflation in Mongolia: A dynamic model averaging approach," MPRA Paper 102602, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• U. Devrim Demirel & Matthew Wilson, 2023. "Effects of Fiscal Policy on Inflation: Implications of Supply Disruptions and Economic Slack: Working Paper 2023-05," Working Papers 59056, Congressional Budget Office.
• Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2023. "Seven Pitfalls of Technical Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 10213, CESifo.
• Kai Carstensen & Felix Kießner & Thies Rossian, 2023. "Estimation of the TFP Gap for the Largest Five EMU Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 10245, CESifo.
• Kajal Lahiri & Cheng Yang, 2023. "ROC and PRC Approaches to Evaluate Recession Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series 10449, CESifo.
• Masaru INABA & Kengo NUTAHARA & Daichi SHIRAI, 2023. "Sources of Inequality and Business Cycles: Evidence from the US and Japan," CIGS Working Paper Series 23-006E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
• Faccini, Renato, 2023. "Job-to-Job Mobility and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 17829, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Kochugovindan, Sree, 2023. "Post Pandemic Phillips Curves: Cyclical and Structural Drivers in the Great Policy Trade Off," CEPR Discussion Papers 17974, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Pradhan, Manoj, 2023. "A Snapshot of Central Bank (two year) Forecasting: A Mixed Picture," CEPR Discussion Papers 18043, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Kilic Celik, Sinem & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Ulrich Ruch, Franz, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," CEPR Discussion Papers 18061, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Kilic Celik, Sinem & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," CEPR Discussion Papers 18062, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Bańkowski, Krzysztof & Bouabdallah, Othman & Checherita-Westphal, Cristina & Freier, Maximilian & Jacquinot, Pascal & Muggenthaler, Philip, 2023. "Fiscal policy and high inflation," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 2.
• Rubene, Ieva, 2023. "Indicators for producer price pressures in consumer goods inflation," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 3.
• Georgarakos, Dimitris & Kenny, Geoff & Meyer, Justus, 2023. "Recent changes in consumers’ medium-term inflation expectations – a detailed look," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 104.
• Warne, Anders, 2023. "DSGE model forecasting: rational expectations vs. adaptive learning," Working Paper Series 2768, European Central Bank.
• Mazelis, Falk & Motto, Roberto & Ristiniemi, Annukka, 2023. "Monetary policy strategies for the euro area: optimal rules in the presence of the ELB," Working Paper Series 2797, European Central Bank.
• Lang, Jan Hannes & Rusnák, Marek & Greiwe, Moritz, 2023. "Medium-term growth-at-risk in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2808, European Central Bank.
• Bańbura, Marta & Belousova, Irina & Bodnár, Katalin & Tóth, Máté Barnabás, 2023. "Nowcasting employment in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2815, European Central Bank.
• Jørgensen, Peter Lihn, 2023. "The global savings glut and the housing boom," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
• Shintani, Mototsugu & Ueda, Kozo, 2023. "Identifying the source of information rigidities in the expectations formation process," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  • Mototsugu Shintani & Kozo Ueda, 2021. "Identifying the source of information rigidities in the expectations formation process," CAMA Working Papers 2021-48, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Mototsugu Shintani & Kozo Ueda, 2021. "Identifying the Source of Information Rigidities in the Expectations Formation Process," CARF F-Series CARF-F-516, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
• Audzei, Volha, 2023. "Learning and cross-country correlations in a multi-country DSGE model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  • Volha Audzei, 2021. "Learning and Cross-Country Correlations in a Multi-Country DSGE Model," Working Papers 2021/7, Czech National Bank.
• Walmsley, Terrie & Rose, Adam & John, Richard & Wei, Dan & Hlávka, Jakub P. & Machado, Juan & Byrd, Katie, 2023. "Macroeconomic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
• Zhang, Qin & Ni, He & Xu, Hao, 2023. "Nowcasting Chinese GDP in a data-rich environment: Lessons from machine learning algorithms," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
• Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "A bootstrap-based efficiency test of growth and inflation forecasts for Germany," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
• Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2023. "Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 52-69.
  • Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer & Josef Schreiner, 2020. "Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs," Papers 2008.12706, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
  • Florian, Huber & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2021. "Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs," Working Papers 2021-01, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
  • Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2021. "Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs," Working Paper Series 2510, European Central Bank.
• Poledna, Sebastian & Miess, Michael Gregor & Hommes, Cars & Rabitsch, Katrin, 2023. "Economic forecasting with an agent-based model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
• Liao, Shian-Yu & Chen, Been-Lon, 2023. "News shocks to investment-specific technology in business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
• Neri, Stefano, 2023. "Long-term inflation expectations and monetary policy in the euro area before the pandemic," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
• Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2023. "Oil price assumptions for macroeconomic policy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  • Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2020. "Oil price assumptions for macroeconomic policy," MPRA Paper 100705, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2023. "Asymmetry and interdependence when evaluating U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
• Sabes, David & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2023. "Do yield curve inversions predict recessions in the euro area?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  • Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & David Sabes, 2023. "Do yield curve inversions predict recessions in the euro area?," Post-Print hal-03914540, HAL.
• Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2023. "Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 364-390.
  • Bańbura, Marta & Bobeica, Elena, 2020. "Does the Phillips curve help to forecast euro area inflation?," Working Paper Series 2471, European Central Bank.
• Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Deb, Pragyan & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel & Ostry, Jonathan D., 2023. "Shipping costs and inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  • Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Pragyan Deb & Davide Furceri & Daniel Jimenez & Mr. Jonathan David Ostry, 2022. "Shipping Costs and Inflation," IMF Working Papers 2022/061, International Monetary Fund.
  • Carriere-Swallow, Yan & Deb, Pragyan & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel, 2022. "Shipping Costs and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 17259, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Biolsi, Christopher, 2023. "Do the Hamilton and Beveridge–Nelson filters provide the same information about output gaps? An empirical comparison for practitioners," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
• Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2023. "Macroeconomic expectations and consumer sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic: The role of others’ beliefs," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
• Orte, Francisco & Mira, José & Sánchez, María Jesús & Solana, Pablo, 2023. "A random forest-based model for crypto asset forecasts in futures markets with out-of-sample prediction," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
• Citera, Emanuele & Gouri Suresh, Shyam & Setterfield, Mark, 2023. "The network origins of aggregate fluctuations: A demand-side approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 111-123.
  • Emanuele Citera & Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2021. "The network origins of aggregate fluctuations: a demand-side approach," Working Papers 2118, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
  • Emanuele Citera & Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2021. "The network origins of aggregate Fluctuations: A demand-side approach," FMM Working Paper 72-2021, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
• Max Gillman & Adrian Pagan, 2023. "Investigating Cycle Anatomy," CAMA Working Papers 2023-09, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
• Ye Lu & Adrian Pagan, 2023. "To Boost or Not to Boost? That is the Question," CAMA Working Papers 2023-12, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
• Bonsoo Koo & Benjamin Wong & Ze-Yu Zhong, 2023. "Disentangling Structural Breaks in High Dimensional Factor Models," Papers 2303.00178, arXiv.org.
  • Bonsoo Koo & Benjamin Wong & Ze-Yu Zhong, 2023. "Disentangling Structural Breaks in High Dimensional Factor Models," CAMA Working Papers 2023-15, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
• Kilic Celic, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," MPRA Paper 116905, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards and Policies," CAMA Working Papers 2023-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Kilic Celik,Sinem & Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects : Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10355, The World Bank.
  • Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2303, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
• Kilic Celik, Sinem & Kose, Ayhan M. & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Ruch, Franz, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," MPRA Paper 116902, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & F. Ulrich Ruch, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," CAMA Working Papers 2023-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & F. Ulrich Ruch, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2302, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
• M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch," CAMA Working Papers 2023-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
• Yunjong Eo & James Morley, 2023. "Does the Survey of Professional Forecasters Help Predict the Shape of Recessions in Real Time? ," CAMA Working Papers 2023-24, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
• Goodhart, C. A. E. & Pradhan, Manoj, 2023. "A snapshot of Central Bank (two year) forecasting: a mixed picture," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118680, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
• Magdalena Majchrzak & Aneta Ejsmont, 2023. "Competitiveness of Small and Medium-Sized Enterprisesin the German-Polish Border Area in Timesof Extraordinary Threats," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 247-267.
• Christopher D. Cotton & John O'Shea, 2023. "Forecasting CPI Shelter under Falling Market-Rent Growth," Current Policy Perspectives 95664, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
• Gary Koop & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Ping Wu, 2023. "Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting," Working Papers 23-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
• Michael T. Kiley, 2023. "Recession Signals and Business Cycle Dynamics: Tying the Pieces Together," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-008, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Michael T. Kiley, 2023. "The Role of Wages in Trend Inflation: Back to the 1980s?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-022, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Bennett Schmanski & Chiara Scotti & Clara Vega, 2023. "Fed Communication, News, Twitter, and Echo Chambers," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Francesco Ferrante & Sebastian Graves & Matteo Iacoviello, 2023. "The Inflationary Effects of Sectoral Reallocation," International Finance Discussion Papers 1369, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Gadi Barlevy & Luojia Hu, 2023. "Unit Labor Costs and Inflation in the Non-Housing Service Sector," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, vol. 0, March.
• Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2023. "Job-to-Job Mobility and Inflation," Working Paper Series WP 2023-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
• Boris I. Alekhin, 2023. "Interregional Differences in Inflation through the Prism of Ackley’s Theory," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 127006, Russia, issue 1, pages 8-25, February.
• Sabes, David & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2023. "Do yield curve inversions predict recessions in the euro area?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  • Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & David Sabes, 2023. "Do yield curve inversions predict recessions in the euro area?," Post-Print hal-03914540, HAL.
• Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2023. "How Can Technology Significantly Contribute to Climate Change Mitigation?," Working papers 909, Banque de France.
  • Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2023. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," Working Papers hal-03924629, HAL.
  • Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2023. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," AMSE Working Papers 2301, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
• Edvinsson, Rodney & Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2023. "Does Money Growth Predict Inflation? Evidence from Vector Autoregressions Using Four Centuries of Data," Working Papers 2023:3, Örebro University, School of Business.
• Berger, Helge & Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2023. "A Note of Caution on the Relation between Money Growth and Inflation," Working Papers 2023:9, Örebro University, School of Business.
• KANO, Takashi, 2023. "Posterior Inferences on Incomplete Structural Models : The Minimal Econometric Interpretation," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-128, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
• Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023. "Container Trade and the U.S. Recovery," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(1), pages 417-450, March.
  • Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021. "Container Trade and the U.S. Recovery," Working Papers 2108, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  • Nikos, Nomikos & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2021. "Container Trade and the U.S. Recovery," CEPR Discussion Papers 16277, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2021. "Container Trade and the U.S. Recovery," CESifo Working Paper Series 9154, CESifo.
  • Kilian, Lutz & Nomikos, Nikos K. & Zhou, Xiaoqing, 2021. "Container trade and the U.S. recovery," CFS Working Paper Series 659, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
• Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2022. "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," Staff Working Papers 22-50, Bank of Canada.
  • Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2023. "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," IMF Working Papers 2023/010, International Monetary Fund.
  • Martín Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2023. "Understanding post-Covid inflation dynamics," BIS Working Papers 1077, Bank for International Settlements.
• Josué Alan Cantú Esquivel & Humberto Rios Bolivar & Ana Lorena Jiménez Preciado, 2023. "Causalidad y acoplamiento cíclico entre variables macroeconómicas en la conformación de crisis financieras," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 18(1), pages 1-28, Enero - M.
• Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2023. "DSGE-SVt: An Econometric Toolkit for High-Dimensional DSGE Models with SV and t Errors," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 69-111, January.
• Klaus Weyerstrass & Rijad Kovac, 2023. "Fiscal policies in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina: are spending or revenue measures more effective?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(1), pages 173-206, February.
• Dongchul Cho & Wankeun Oh, 2023. "Predictive Abilities of Inflation Expectations and Implications on Monetary Policy in Korea," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 39, pages 257-276.
• Kilic Celik, Sinem & Kose, Ayhan M. & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Ruch, Franz, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," MPRA Paper 116902, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & F. Ulrich Ruch, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2302, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
  • Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & F. Ulrich Ruch, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," CAMA Working Papers 2023-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
• Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards and Policies," CAMA Working Papers 2023-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2303, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
  • Kilic Celic, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," MPRA Paper 116905, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Kilic Celik,Sinem & Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects : Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10355, The World Bank.
• M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2304, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
• Gregory de Walque & Thomas Lejeune & Ansgar Rannenberg, 2023. "Empirical DSGE model evaluation with interest rate expectations measures and preferences over safe assets," Working Paper Research 433, National Bank of Belgium.
• Jakub Rybacki & Michał Gniazdowski, 2023. "Macroeconomic forecasting in Poland: lessons from the external shocks," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 54(1), pages 45-64.
• Massimo Ferrari Minesso & Laura Lebastard & Helena Mezo, 2023. "Text-Based Recession Probabilities," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(2), pages 415-438, June.
• Kumar, Anshul, 2023. "A basic two-sector new Keynesian DSGE model of the Indian economy," MPRA Paper 115863, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & F. Ulrich Ruch, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," CAMA Working Papers 2023-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Kilic Celik, Sinem & Kose, Ayhan M. & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Ruch, Franz, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," MPRA Paper 116902, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & F. Ulrich Ruch, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2302, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
• Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards and Policies," CAMA Working Papers 2023-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Kilic Celic, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," MPRA Paper 116905, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Kilic Celik,Sinem & Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects : Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10355, The World Bank.
  • Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2303, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
• Medina, Juan Pablo & Toni, Emiliano & Valdes, Rodrigo, 2023. "The Art and Science of Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Chile," MPRA Paper 117198, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Apr 2023.
• Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More than a rough Patch," MPRA Paper 117327, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Technological Shocks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202308, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Michael P. Clements & Shixuan Wang, 2023. "Do Professional Forecasters' Phillips Curves Incorporate the Beliefs of Others?," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2023-05, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
• Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Papers 2305.09563, arXiv.org.
  • Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper series 23-06, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
• Aghania, Parisa & Heydari, Hassan & Jahangiri, Shahab, 2023. "Investigating the Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on Economic Growth and Inflation in the Iranian Economy: Empirical Evidence Based on the TVP-TVP-SFAVAR-SV Model," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 9(4), pages 61-96, March.

2022

• Francesco Bianchi & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma, 2022. "Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(7), pages 2269-2315, July.
  • Ludvigson, Sydney & Ma, Sai, 2020. "Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 15003, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Francesco Bianchi & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma, 2020. "Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 27406, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Michael Weber & Francesco D'Acunto & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 157-184, Summer.
  • Michael Weber & Francesco D’Acunto & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," NBER Working Papers 30046, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Weber, Michael & D’Acunto, Francesco & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," IZA Discussion Papers 15391, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
• Vinícius Naves Andrade & João Gonçalves Silva Muntaser & Thiago Alberto dos Reis Prado, 2022. "Influência de variáveis macroeconômicas no preço das ações do setor financeiro da b3," Revista de Economia Mackenzie (REM), Mackenzie Presbyterian University, Social and Applied Sciences Center, vol. 19(1), pages 170-190, january-j.
• Romani, Ilenia & Galeotti, Marzio & Lanza, Alessandro, 2022. "Besides promising economic growth, will the Italian NRRP also produce fewer emissions?," FEEM Working Papers 319781, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
• Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 9-22.
  • Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," AMSE Working Papers 2013, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
  • Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
  • Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," Post-Print hal-03740235, HAL.
• Nuno Goncalves, 2022. "Most probable or more prudent? Analysing CFP's macroeconomic projections, 2015-2019," CFP Occasional Papers 02/2022, Portuguese Public Finance Council.
• Ержан Ислам // Yerzhan Islam & Сейдахметов Ансар // Seidakhmetov Ansar, 2022. "Динамическая факторная модель инфляции для Казахстана // Dynamic Factor Model of Inflation for Kazakhstan," Working Papers #2022-4, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
• Emilie Jasova & Bozena Kaderabkova, 2022. "The effectiveness of government measures in the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic," International Journal of Economic Sciences, European Research Center, vol. 11(1), pages 19-36, April.
• Joshua C.C. Chan, 2019. "Large hybrid time-varying parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-77, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Papers 2201.07303, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
• Olkhov, Victor, 2022. "Introduction of the Market-Based Price Autocorrelation," MPRA Paper 112003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Victor Olkhov, 2022. "Introduction of the Market-Based Price Autocorrelation," Papers 2202.09323, arXiv.org.
• Olkhov, Victor, 2022. "The Market-Based Asset Price Probability," MPRA Paper 113096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Victor Olkhov, 2022. "The Market-Based Asset Price Probability," Papers 2205.07256, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
  • Olkhov, Victor, 2022. "The Market-Based Asset Price Probability," MPRA Paper 115382, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Nov 2022.
• Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2021. "What does machine learning say about the drivers of inflation?," BIS Working Papers 980, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2022. "What does machine learning say about the drivers of inflation?," Papers 2208.14653, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
• Hematy, Maryam, 2022. "Comparative Study of Phillips Curve under Dual-stickiness Model Considering Heterogeneity in Iran\'s Economy (in Persian)," The Journal of Planning and Budgeting (فصلنامه برنامه ریزی و بودجه), Institute for Management and Planning studies, vol. 27(3), pages 27-74, December.
• Alok Kumar Mishra & Aruna Kumar Dash, 2022. "Connecting the Carbon Ecological Footprint, Economic Globalization, Population Density, Financial Sector Development, and Economic Growth of Five South Asian Countries," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 3(2), pages 1-6.
• Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022. "The demand and supply of information about inflation," CIRANO Working Papers 2022s-27, CIRANO.
  • Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022. "The demand and supply of information about inflation," Working Papers 22-06, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Nov 2022.
• James Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2022. "Macroeconomic Predictions Using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Staff Working Papers 22-10, Bank of Canada.
• Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2022. "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," Staff Working Papers 22-50, Bank of Canada.
  • Martín Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2023. "Understanding post-Covid inflation dynamics," BIS Working Papers 1077, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2023. "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," IMF Working Papers 2023/010, International Monetary Fund.
• Vivian Chu & Yang Zhang, 2022. "Harnessing the benefit of state-contingent forward guidance," Staff Analytical Notes 2022-13, Bank of Canada.
• Andisheh (Andy) Danaee & Harsimran Grewal & Brad Howell & Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc & Xuezhi Liu & Xiangjin Shen & Mayur Patel, 2022. "How well can large banks in Canada withstand a severe economic downturn?," Staff Analytical Notes 2022-6, Bank of Canada.
• Emilio Blanco & Fiorella Dogliolo & Lorena Garegnani, 2022. "Nowcasting during the Pandemic: Lessons from Argentina," BCRA Working Paper Series 202299, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
• Marina Diakonova & Luis Molina & Hannes Mueller & Javier J. Pérez & Cristopher Rauh, 2022. "The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting," Working Papers 2232, Banco de España.
• Luis J. Álvarez & Florens Odendahl, 2022. "Data outliers and Bayesian VARs in the Euro Area," Working Papers 2239, Banco de España.
• Marina Diakonova & Corinna Ghirelli & Javier J. Pérez & Luis Molina, 2022. "The economic impact of conflict-related and policy uncertainty shocks: the case of Russia," Working Papers 2242, Banco de España.
• Gergely Ganics & María Rodríguez-Moreno, 2022. "A house price-at-risk model to monitor the downside risk for the spanish housing market," Working Papers 2244, Banco de España.
• María Alejandra Hernández-Montes & Ramón Hernández-Ortega & Jonathan Alexander Muñoz-Martínez, 2022. "Aporte de las expectativas de empresarios al pronóstico de las variables macroeconómicas," Borradores de Economia 1202, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
• Youssef Ulgazi & Paul Vertier, 2022. "Forecasting Inflation in France: an Update of MAPI," Working papers 869, Banque de France.
• Aldama Pierre & Gaulier Guillaume & Lemoine Matthieu & Robert Pierre-Antoine & Turunen Harri & Zhutova Anastasia, 2022. "The EA-BDF Model and Government Spending Multipliers in a Monetary Union," Working papers 883, Banque de France.
• Francesc Obiols-Homs & Virginia Sánchez-Marcos, 2022. "Labor Force Participation, Wages and Turbulence," Working Papers 1347, Barcelona School of Economics.
• Christopher S Sutherland, 2022. "Forward guidance and expectation formation: A narrative approach," BIS Working Papers 1024, Bank for International Settlements.
• Aikman, David & Drehmann, Mathias & Juselius, Mikael & Xing, Xiaochuan, 2022. "The scarring effects of deep contractions," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2022, Bank of Finland.
  • David Aikman & Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius & Xiaochuan Xing, 2022. "The scarring effects of deep contractions," BIS Working Papers 1043, Bank for International Settlements.
• Londhe Sanket Tanaji & Palwe Sushila, 2022. "Customer-Centric Sales Forecasting Model: RFM-ARIMA Approach," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 13(1), pages 35-45, June.
• Sergey Ivashchenko, 2022. "Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model with Multiple Trends and Structural Breaks," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(1), pages 46-72, March.
• Urmat Dzhunkeev, 2022. "Forecasting Unemployment in Russia Using Machine Learning Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(1), pages 73-87, March.
• Patricia Carballo, 2022. "Política monetaria y formación de expectativas en un modelo neokeynesiano," Documentos de trabajo 2022001, Banco Central del Uruguay.
• Santiago Etchegaray Alvarez, 2022. "Proyecciones macroeconómicas con datos en frecuencias mixtas. Modelos ADL-MIDAS, U-MIDAS y TF-MIDAS con aplicaciones para Uruguay," Documentos de trabajo 2022004, Banco Central del Uruguay.
• Kazeem O. Isah & Abdulkader C. Mahomedy & Elias A. Udeaja & Ojo J. Adelakun & Yusuf Yakubu & Danmecca Musa, 2022. "Revisiting the accuracy of inflation forecasts in Nigeria: The oil price–exchange rate–asymmetry perspectives," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 90(3), pages 329-348, September.
• George Filis & Stavros Degiannakis & Zacharias Bragoudakis, 2022. "Forecasting macroeconomic indicators for Eurozone and Greece: How useful are the oil price assumptions?," Working Papers 296, Bank of Greece.
• Michael Gurkov & Osnat Zohar, 2022. "Inflation Risks in Israel," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2022.19, Bank of Israel.
• Takuro Ashizawa & Kakuho Furukawa & Ryuichiro Hashimoto & Yoshiyasu Koide & Tomomi Naka & Kenji Nishizaki & Nao Sudo & Genichiro Suzuki, 2022. "Physical risks from climate change faced by Japan's financial institutions: Impact of floods on real economy, land prices, and FIs' financial conditions," Bank of Japan Review Series 22-E-2, Bank of Japan.
• Ryuichiro Hashimoto & Nao Sudo, 2022. "Transmission of Flood Damage to the Real Economy and Financial Intermediation: Simulation Analysis using a DSGE Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 22-E-5, Bank of Japan.
• Glocker Christian & Hölzl Werner, 2022. "A direct measure of subjective business uncertainty," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 23(1), pages 121-155, February.
• Morell, Joe & Rice, Jonathan & Shaw, Frances, 2022. "A Framework for Macroprudential Stress Testing," Research Technical Papers 7/RT/22, Central Bank of Ireland.
• Jeffrey Schafer, 2022. "Inflation Expectations and Their Formation: Working Paper 2022-03," Working Papers 57398, Congressional Budget Office.
• Constantin Bürgi & Julio L. Ortiz, 2022. "Overreaction through Anchoring," CESifo Working Paper Series 10193, CESifo.
• Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2023. "Forecasting inflation with a zero lower bound or negative interest rates: Evidence from point and density forecasts," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 91(3), pages 171-232, June.
  • Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022. "Forecasting Inflation with a Zero Lower Bound or Negative Interest Rates: Evidence from Point and Density Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series 9687, CESifo.
• Manuel Monge & Carlos Poza & Sofía Borgia, 2022. "A proposal of a suspicion of tax fraud indicator based on Google trends to foresee Spanish tax revenues," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 169, pages 1-12.
• Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022. "The demand and supply of information about inflation," Working Papers 22-06, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Nov 2022.
  • Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022. "The demand and supply of information about inflation," CIRANO Working Papers 2022s-27, CIRANO.
• Vojtech Molnar, 2022. "Price Level Targeting with Imperfect Rationality: A Heuristic Approach," Working Papers 2022/1, Czech National Bank.
• Robert Ambrisko, 2022. "Nowcasting Macroeconomic Variables Using High-Frequency Fiscal Data," Working Papers 2022/5, Czech National Bank.
• Inaba, Masaru & Nutahara, Kengo & Shirai, Daichi, 2022. "What drives fluctuations of labor wedge and business cycles? Evidence from Japan," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  • Masaru Inaba & Kengo Nutahara & Daichi Shirai, 2020. "What drives fluctuations of labor wedge and business cycles? Evidence from Japan," CIGS Working Paper Series 20-006E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
  • Masaru Inaba & Kengo Nutahara & Daichi Shirai, 2022. "What drives fluctuations of labor wedge and business cycles? Evidence from Japan," CIGS Working Paper Series 22-001E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
• Juan Carlos Castro Fernández & Juan Carlos Castro Fernández, 2022. "Big Recessions and Slow Recoveries," Documentos de Trabajo UEC 020128, Universidad Externado de Colombia.
• Juan Camilo Anzoátegui Zapata & Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro, 2022. "Efectos de la comunicación del banco central sobre el desacuerdo en las expectativas de la tasa de política monetaria: evidencias para Colombia," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 14(2), pages 375-409, June.
• Carrière-Swallow, Yan & Deb, Pragyan & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel & Ostry, Jonathan D., 2023. "Shipping costs and inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  • Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Pragyan Deb & Davide Furceri & Daniel Jimenez & Mr. Jonathan David Ostry, 2022. "Shipping Costs and Inflation," IMF Working Papers 2022/061, International Monetary Fund.
  • Carriere-Swallow, Yan & Deb, Pragyan & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel, 2022. "Shipping Costs and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 17259, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 20-02R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 22 Sep 2020.
  • Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2022. "Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 17512, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Guénette, Justin Damien & Kose, M. Ayhan & Sugawara, Naotaka, 2022. "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," MPRA Paper 114627, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Guénette, Justin Damien & Sugawara, Naotaka, 2022. "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," CEPR Discussion Papers 17566, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Justin Damien Guenette & M. Ayhan Kose & Naotaka Sugawara, 2022. "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2206, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
  • Justin Damien Guénette & M. Ayhan Kose & Naotaka Sugawara, 2022. "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," CAMA Working Papers 2022-55, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
• Tino Berger & Tore Dubbert, 2022. "Government spending effects on the business cycle in times of crisis," CQE Working Papers 10022, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
• Dennis Kant & Andreas Pick & Jasper de Winter, 2022. "Nowcasting GDP using machine learning methods," Working Papers 754, DNB.
• Chahad, Mohammed & Hofmann-Drahonsky, Anna-Camilla & Page, Adrian & Tirpák, Marcel & Meunier, Baptiste, 2022. "What explains recent errors in the inflation projections of Eurosystem and ECB staff?," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 3.
• Battistini, Niccolò & Grapow, Helen & Hahn, Elke & Soudan, Michel, 2022. "Wage share dynamics and second-round effects on inflation after energy price surges in the 1970s and today," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 5.
• Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Saint Guilhem, Arthur & Hutchinson, John & Motto, Roberto, 2022. "Rate forward guidance in an environment of large central bank balance sheets: a Eurosystem stock-taking assessment," Occasional Paper Series 290, European Central Bank.
• Budnik, Katarzyna & Dimitrov, Ivan & Groß, Johannes & Kusmierczyk, Piotr & Lampe, Max & Vagliano, Gianluca & Volk, Matjaz, 2022. "The economic impact of the NPLcoverage expectations in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 297, European Central Bank.
• Boucherie, Louis & Budnik, Katarzyna & Panos, Jiri, 2022. "Looking at the evolution of macroprudential policy stance: A growth-at-risk experiment with a semi-structural model," Occasional Paper Series 301, European Central Bank.
• Bandera, Nicolò & Bodnár, Katalin & Le Roux, Julien & Szörfi, Béla, 2022. "The impact of the COVID-19 shock on euro area potential output: a sectoral approach," Working Paper Series 2717, European Central Bank.
• Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Paredes, Joan & Wolf, Elias, 2022. "Conditional density forecasting: a tempered importance sampling approach," Working Paper Series 2754, European Central Bank.
• Nairobi Nairobi & Ambya Ambya & Edwin Russel & Sipa Paujiah & D. N. Pratama & Wamiliana Wamiliana & Mustofa Usman, 2022. "Analysis of Data Inflation Energy and Gasoline Price by Vector Autoregressive Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 120-126, March.
• Doan Van Dinh, 2022. "Crude Oil Price Fluctuation and Economic Growth: ARDL Model Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(4), pages 240-248, July.
• Sharma, Saurabh & Behera, Harendra, 2022. "A dissection of Indian growth using a DSGE filter," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
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• Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2022. "Evaluating plant managers’ production plans over business cycles: asymmetric loss and rationality," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(8), pages 1-29, August.
• Scott M. R. Mahadeo & Reinhold Heinlein & Gabriella D. Legrenzi, 2022. "Tracing the Sources of Contagion in the Oil-Finance Nexus," Springer Books, in: Christos Floros & Ioannis Chatziantoniou (ed.), Applications in Energy Finance, chapter 0, pages 115-143, Springer.
• Klaus Abberger & Michael Graff & Oliver Müller & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2022. "Composite global indicators from survey data: the Global Economic Barometers," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(3), pages 917-945, August.
• Oliver Holtemöller & Stefan Kooths & Torsten Schmidt & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2022. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Energiekrise, Inflation, Rezession und Wohlstandsverlust [Energy Crisis: Inflation, Recession, Welfare Loss]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(10), pages 761-765, October.
• Ferdinand Fichtner & Simon Junker & Claus Michelsen & Thore Schlaak, 2022. "Peak Inflation: Ist die Teuerungswelle gebrochen? [Peak Inflation: Has the Inflation Wave Been Broken?]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(12), pages 976-978, December.
• Johannes Mayr, 2022. "Inflationsausblick — Kosten des Krieges treiben Inflation in neue Höhen [Inflation Outlook — The Costs of War drive prices up to new heights]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(3), pages 236-238, March.
• Martin Gornig & Oliver Holtemöller & Stefan Kooths & Torsten Schmidt & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2022. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Ohne russisches Gas droht eine scharfe Rezession in Deutschland [Without Russian Gas, a Sharp Recession Looms in Germany]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(5), pages 347-353, May.
• Tereza Matasová & Marek Vochozka & Zuzana Rowland, 2022. "Alternative costs of equity of coal mining companies taking into account a context of the Russian Invasion into Ukraine," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 10(2), pages 394-407, December.
• Andrea Carriero & Alessio Volpicella, 2022. "Generalizing the Max Share Identification to multiple shocks identification: an Application to Uncertainty," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0322, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
• Alexander Foltas & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(10), pages 867-872, June.
  • Foltas, Alexander & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany," Working Papers 22, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
• Shigeto Kitano, 2022. "How do world commodity prices affect Asian commodity exporting economies? The role of financial frictions," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 84-90, January.
  • Shigeto Kitano, 2020. "How Do World Commodity Prices Affect Asian Commodity Exporting Economies?: The Role of Financial Frictions," Discussion Paper Series DP2020-24, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University, revised Feb 2021.
• Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022. "Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
  • Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable Real-time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203535, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  • Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," IMFS Working Paper Series 133, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
  • Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," Kiel Working Papers 2158, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
• Roman Frydman & Morten Nyboe Tabor, 2022. "Muth's Hypothesis Under Knightian Uncertainty: A Novel Account of Inflation Forecasts," Working Papers Series inetwp194, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
• Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman van Dijk, 2022. "A Flexible Predictive Density Combination Model for Large Financial Data Sets in Regular and Crisis Periods," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-013/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2022. "A Flexible Predictive Density Combination for Large Financial Data Sets in Regular and Crisis Periods," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-053/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Yunjong Eo & James Morley, 2022. "Why Has the U.S. Economy Stagnated since the Great Recession?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(2), pages 246-258, May.
  • Eo, Yunjong & Morley, James, 2017. "Why has the US economy stagnated since the Great Recession?," Working Papers 2017-14, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Jun 2019.
  • Yunjong Eo & James Morley, 2020. "Why has the U.S. economy stagnated since the Great Recession?," Discussion Paper Series 2001, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
• Tran, Thuy Nhung, 2022. "The Volatility of the Stock Market and Financial Cycle: GARCH Family Models," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 56(1), pages 151-168.
• Ablaev Emil & Magzhanov Timur, 2022. "Fiscal Rules and Procyclical Fiscal Policy in Russia," Working Papers 0039, Moscow State University, Faculty of Economics.
• Petar Piperkov, 2022. "Scientific and Methodological Problems in Modern Macroeconomics," Scientific Conference of the Department of General Economic Theory, University of Economics - Varna, number y:2022:i:1:p:74-78.
• Bätz Kerstin & Siegfried Patrick, 2022. "Reflecting on the Efficiency of Design Thinking and Lean Startup," Journal of Intercultural Management, Sciendo, vol. 14(1), pages 4-53, March.
• Jakšić Saša, 2022. "Modelling Determinants of Inflation in CESEE Countries: Global Vector Autoregressive Approach," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 22(1), pages 137-169, June.
• Viv B. Hall & Peter Thomson, 2022. "A boosted HP filter for business cycle analysis:evidence from New Zealand's small open economy," CAMA Working Papers 2022-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Hall, Viv B. & Thomson, Peter, 2022. "A boosted HP filter for business cycle analysis: evidence from New Zealand’s small open economy," Working Paper Series 21184, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
• Nikola Fabris & Nina Vujanović, 2022. "What Drives Credit Risk? Empirical Evidence from Southeast Europe," wiiw Working Papers 214, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
• Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2022. "Long‐term inflation expectations and inflation dynamics," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 158-174, January.
  • Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2019. "Long-term inflation expectations and inflation dynamics," Economics wp81, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
• Anthony Garratt & Ivan Petrella, 2022. "Commodity prices and inflation risk," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 392-414, March.
  • Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan, 2019. "Commodity Prices and Inflation Risk," EMF Research Papers 23, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
• Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2022. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 583-602, April.
  • Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," CAMA Working Papers 2019-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
• Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "The global component of inflation volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 700-721, June.
  • Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "The global component of inflation volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1170, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  • Carriero, Andrea & Corsello, Francesco & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2019. "The Global Component of Inflation Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 13470, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 843-866, August.
  • Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea, 2021. "Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency," CEPR Discussion Papers 16496, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
  • Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2019. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," CIRANO Working Papers 2019s-22, CIRANO.
  • Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Papers 2008.12477, arXiv.org.
  • Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Working Papers 20-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Aug 2020.
• Caroline Jardet & Baptiste Meunier, 2022. "Nowcasting world GDP growth with high‐frequency data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1181-1200, September.
  • Jardet Caroline & Meunier Baptiste, 2020. "Nowcasting World GDP Growth with High-Frequency Data," Working papers 788, Banque de France.
  • Caroline Jardet & Baptiste Meunier, 2022. "Nowcasting world GDP growth with high‐frequency data," Post-Print hal-03647097, HAL.
• Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
  • Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
• Nyholm, Juho & Silvo, Aino, 2022. "A model for predicting Finnish household loan stocks," BoF Economics Review 4/2022, Bank of Finland.
• David Aikman & Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius & Xiaochuan Xing, 2022. "The scarring effects of deep contractions," BIS Working Papers 1043, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Aikman, David & Drehmann, Mathias & Juselius, Mikael & Xing, Xiaochuan, 2022. "The scarring effects of deep contractions," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2022, Bank of Finland.
• Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Papers 21-02R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 09 Aug 2021.
  • Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2022. "Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility," Discussion Papers 13/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  • Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea & Mertens, Elmar, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 15964, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Berger, Tino & Ochsner, Christian, 2022. "Robust real-time estimates of the German output gap based on a multivariate trend-cycle decomposition," Discussion Papers 35/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
• Hauber, Philipp, 2022. "Real-time nowcasting with sparse factor models," EconStor Preprints 251551, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
• Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Shabalina, Ekaterina, 2022. "Estimation and forecasting using mixed-frequency DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series 175, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Schult, Christoph, 2022. "Regionale Effekte einer durch einen Lieferstopp für russisches Gas ausgelösten Rezession in Deutschland," IWH Policy Notes 1/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
• Heinisch, Katja & Lindner, Axel, 2022. "Ein neues Instrument für die Prognose der Wirtschaftsaktivität in Deutschland: Der PRIMA-Indikator," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 28(4), pages 78-82.
• Kunath, Gero & Matthes, Jürgen & Obst, Thomas, 2022. "Biden's economic agenda risks mid-term elections: An analysis of Biden's economic agenda and its effects on the American economy," IW-Reports 59/2022, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
• Prüser, Jan & Blagov, Boris, 2022. "Improving inference and forecasting in VAR models using cross-sectional information," Ruhr Economic Papers 960, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
• Shrub, Yuliya & Rieger, Jonas & Müller, Henrik & Jentsch, Carsten, 2022. "Text data rule - don't they? A study on the (additional) information of Handelsblatt data for nowcasting German GDP in comparison to established economic indicators," Ruhr Economic Papers 964, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
• du Plessis, Emile & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2022. "New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 67, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.

2021

• Bo?ena Kade?ábková & Emilie Ja?ová, 2021. "How the Czech government got the pandemic wrong," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 12513377, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
• Sierra Juárez, Guillermo, 2021. "Curvatura de Ricci como Indicador de Fragilidad en el Contagio del COVID-19 y de los Mercados Financieros en el mundo / Ricci Curvature as an indicator of fragility in the contagium of COVID-19 and in," Estocástica: finanzas y riesgo, Departamento de Administración de la Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana Unidad Azcapotzalco, vol. 11(1), pages 81-112, enero-jun.
• Giuseppe Orlando & Giovanna Zimatore, 2021. "Recurrence Quantification Analysis of Business Cycles," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Giuseppe Orlando & Alexander N. Pisarchik & Ruedi Stoop (ed.), Nonlinearities in Economics, chapter 0, pages 269-282, Springer.
  • Orlando, Giuseppe & Zimatore, Giovanna, 2018. "Recurrence quantification analysis of business cycles," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 82-94.
• Camilla Mastromarco & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2021. "Predicting recessions with a frontier measure of output gap: an application to Italian economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(6), pages 2701-2740, June.
  • Camilla Mastromarco & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2020. "Predicting Recessions with a Frontier Measure of Output Gap: An Application to Italian Economy," CEPA Working Papers Series WP102020, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
  • Mastromarco, Camilla & Simar, Léopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2021. "Predicting recessions with a frontier measure of output gap: an application to Italian economy," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2021010, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
• Han-Liang Cheng & Nan-Kuang Chen, 2021. "A study of financial cycles and the macroeconomy in Taiwan," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1749-1778, October.
  • Chen, Nan-Kuang & Cheng, Han-Liang, 2020. "A Study of Financial Cycles and the Macroeconomy in Taiwan," MPRA Paper 101296, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Angela Capolongo & Claudia Pacella, 2021. "Forecasting inflation in the euro area: countries matter!," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2477-2499, November.
  • Angela Capolongo & Claudia Pacella, 2019. "Forecasting inflation in the euro area: countries matter!," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1224, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• Ozge Kandemir Kocaaslan, 2021. "Are the responses of output and investment to oil price shocks asymmetric?: The case of an oil-importing small open economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2501-2516, November.
• Fan Zhang & Paresh Kumar Narayan & Neluka Devpura, 2021. "Has COVID-19 changed the stock return-oil price predictability pattern?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, December.
• Ashok Banerjee & Ayush Kanodia & Partha Ray, 2021. "Deciphering Indian inflationary expectations through text mining: an exploratory approach," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 49-66, June.
• Aaron G. Grech & Reuben Ellul, 2021. "Are the European Commission’s Business and Consumer Survey Results Coincident Indicators for Maltese Economic Activity?," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 91-108, April.
• Robert Lehmann & Magnus Reif, 2021. "Predicting the German Economy: Headline Survey Indices Under Test," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(2), pages 215-232, November.
  • Robert Lehmann & Magnus Reif, 2020. "Tracking and Predicting the German Economy: ifo vs. PMI," CESifo Working Paper Series 8145, CESifo.
• Viv B. Hall & Peter Thomson, 2021. "Does Hamilton’s OLS Regression Provide a “better alternative” to the Hodrick-Prescott Filter? A New Zealand Business Cycle Perspective," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(2), pages 151-183, November.
  • Hall, Viv B & Thomson, Peter, 2020. "Does Hamilton’s OLS regression provide a “better alternative” to the Hodrick-Prescott filter? A New Zealand Business Cycle Perspective," Working Paper Series 21070, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
• Jens J. Krüger, 2021. "A Wavelet Evaluation of Some Leading Business Cycle Indicators for the German Economy," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(3), pages 293-319, December.
• Martin Pažický, 2021. "Predicting Recessions in Germany Using the German and the US Yield Curve," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(3), pages 263-291, December.
• Philip Hans Franses, 2021. "Modeling Judgment in Macroeconomic Forecasts," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 401-417, December.
• Kirill S. Glavatskiy & Mikhail Prokopenko & Adrian Carro & Paul Ormerod & Michael Harré, 2021. "Explaining herding and volatility in the cyclical price dynamics of urban housing markets using a large-scale agent-based model," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(6), pages 1-21, June.
• Martin Gornig & Oliver Holtemöller & Stefan Kooths & Torsten Schmidt & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2021. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Die Krise wird allmählich überwunden [The Crisis is Gradually Being Overcome]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 101(10), pages 773-776, October.
• Fabio Gobbi, 2021. "Evaluating Forecasts from State-Dependent Autoregressive Models for US GDP Growth Rate. Comparison with Alternative Approaches," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 11(6), pages 1-7.
• Paul Levine & Neil Rickman, 2021. "Optimal Lockdown in an Epidemiological-Macroeconomic Model," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0421, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
• Martin Cesnak & Jan Klacso, 2021. "Assessing real estate prices in Slovakia - a structural approach," Working and Discussion Papers WP 3/2021, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
• Magnus, Jan & Vasnev, Andrey, 2021. "On the uncertainty of a combined forecast: The critical role of correlation," Working Papers BAWP-2022-01, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
• Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair, 2021. "What does forecaster disagreement tell us about the state of the economy?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 49-53, January.
  • Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair, 2020. "What Does Forecaster Disagreement Tell Us about the State of the Economy?," Working Papers 2020-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
• Tamás Kiss & Pär Österholm, 2021. "Corona, crisis and conditional heteroscedasticity," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(9), pages 755-759, May.
  • Kiss, Tamás & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "Corona, Crisis and Conditional Heteroscedasticity," Working Papers 2020:2, Örebro University, School of Business.
• N. Abilov, 2021. "A Medium-Scale Bayesian DSGE Model for Kazakhstan with Incomplete Exchange Rate Pass-Through," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 486-522, October.
  • Nurdaulet Abilov, 2020. "A medium-scale Bayesian DSGE model for Kazakhstan with incomplete exchange rate pass-through," NAC Analytica Working Paper 7, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised Apr 2021.
• Selcuk Gul & Abdullah Kazdal, 2021. "Nowcasting and Short-term Forecasting Turkish GDP: Factor-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 2111, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
• Aysu Celgin & Elif Akbostanci, 2021. "Constructing an Economic Activity Indicator for Turkey," Working Papers 2114, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
• Mehmet Guncavdi & Murat Kors & Elif Ozcan Tok, 2021. "Price transmission along the Turkish poultry and beef supply chains," Working Papers 2130, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
• Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2020. "A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance," Working Paper series 20-27, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
  • Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2021. "A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-016/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Eva Janssens & Robin Lumsdaine, 2021. "Sectoral slowdowns in the UK: Evidence from transmission probabilities and economic linkages," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-027/III, Tinbergen Institute.
• Nadiia Shapovalenko, 2021. "A BVAR Model for Forecasting Ukrainian Inflation and GDP," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 251, pages 14-36.
• Mubarok, Faizul & Al Arif, Mohammad Nur Rianto, 2021. "Pandemic Attack and Islamic Stocks Index: A Cross Country Analysis," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(1), pages 27-37.
• Hossain, Md. Jamal & Akter, Sadia & Ismail, Mohd Tahir, 2021. "Performance Analysis of GARCH Family Models in Three Time-frames," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(2), pages 15-28.
• Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Éric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 74(2), pages 5-52.
  • Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier & Catherine Doz, 2021. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-22, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
  • Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Working Papers of BETA 2021-27, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  • Frédérique Bec & Antonin Aviat & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Working Papers hal-03678278, HAL.
  • Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre‐Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," THEMA Working Papers 2021-13, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
  • Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Post-Print hal-03661598, HAL.
• Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03373425, HAL.
  • Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers of BETA 2021-33, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  • Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology," THEMA Working Papers 2021-15, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
  • Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," Working Papers hal-03373425, HAL.
  • Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-23, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
  • Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers 08-21, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
  • Frédérique Bec & Antonin Aviat & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology," Working Papers hal-03678309, HAL.
• Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Enrica De Cian & Malcolm Mistry & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2020. "The impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-switching Panel Approach," Papers 2012.14693, arXiv.org.
  • Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Enrica De Cian & Malcolm Mistry & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2021. "The Impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-switching Panel Approach," Working Papers 2021:03, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
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  • Lukas Boer & Mr. Andrea Pescatori & Martin Stuermer, 2021. "Energy Transition Metals," IMF Working Papers 2021/243, International Monetary Fund.
  • Boer, Lukas & Pescatori, Andrea & Stuermer, Martin, 2021. "Energy Transition Metals," MPRA Paper 110364, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Citera, Emanuele & Gouri Suresh, Shyam & Setterfield, Mark, 2023. "The network origins of aggregate fluctuations: A demand-side approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 111-123.
  • Emanuele Citera & Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2021. "The network origins of aggregate fluctuations: a demand-side approach," Working Papers 2118, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
  • Emanuele Citera & Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2021. "The network origins of aggregate Fluctuations: A demand-side approach," FMM Working Paper 72-2021, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
• Guillermo Benavides, 2021. "Asymmetric Volatility Relevance in Risk Management: An Empirical Analysis using Stock Index Futures," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(TNEA), pages 1-18, Septiembr.
• Juan Camilo Anzoategui-Zapata & Juan Camilo Galvis-Ciro, 2021. "Effects of fiscal credibility on inflation expectations: evidence from an emerging economy," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 45(1), pages 125-148.
• Rodriguez Castelan,Carlos & Araar,Abdelkrim & Malasquez Carbonel,Eduardo Alonso & Olivieri,Sergio Daniel & Vishwanath,Tara, 2019. "Distributional Effects of Competition : A Simulation Approach," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8838, The World Bank.
  • Rodriguez Castelan, Carlos & Araar, Abdelkrim & Malásquez, Eduardo A. & Olivieri, Sergio & Vishwanath, Tara, 2021. "Distributional Effects of Competition: A Simulation Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 14043, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
• Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2023. "Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 52-69.
  • Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer & Josef Schreiner, 2020. "Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs," Papers 2008.12706, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
  • Florian, Huber & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2021. "Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs," Working Papers 2021-01, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
  • Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2021. "Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs," Working Paper Series 2510, European Central Bank.
• Luiz Renato Lima & Lucas Lúcio Godeiro & Mohammed Mohsin, 2021. "Time-Varying Dictionary and the Predictive Power of FED Minutes," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 149-181, January.
• Reinhard Neck & Klaus Weyerstrass & Dmitri Blueschke & Miroslav Verbič, 2021. "Demand-side or supply-side stabilisation policies in a small euro area economy: a case study for Slovenia," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(3), pages 593-610, August.
  • Klaus Weyerstrass & Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke & Boris Majcen & Andrej Srakar & Miroslav Verbic, 2017. "Demand Side or Supply Side Stabilization Policies in a Small Euro Area Economy: A Case Study for Slovenia," EcoMod2017 10608, EcoMod.
  • Klaus Weyerstrass & Reinhard Neck, Alpen-Adria-Universitaet Klagenfurt & Dmitri Blueschke, Alpen-Adria-Universitaet Klagenfurt & Boris Majcen, Institute of Economic Reearch, Ljubljana & Andrej Srakar,, 2017. "Demand Side or Supply Side Stabilization Policies in a Small Euro Area Economy: A Case Study for Slovenia," EcoMod2017 10553, EcoMod.
• Brooke Beyer & Binod Guragai & Eric T. Rapley, 2021. "Discontinued operations and analyst forecast accuracy," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 595-627, August.
• Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Florian Eckert & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander Rathke & Samad Sa, 2021. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021/ 2022. Schweizer Wirtschaft erholt sich – Coronavirus bleibt Taktgeber," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 15(1), pages 1-64, March.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Florian Eckert & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander Rathke & Samad Sa, 2021. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021 / 2022 Der Aufschwung ist da – früher und stärker als erwartet," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 15(2), pages 1-26, June.
• Gani Ramadani & Magdalena Petrovska & Vesna Bucevska, 2021. "Evaluation of mixed frequency approaches for tracking near-term economic developments in North Macedonia," Working Papers 2021-03, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.
• Eyno Rots & Barnabas Szekely, 2021. "A Model-Based Comparison of Macroprudential Tools," MNB Working Papers 2021/3, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
• Jakub Rybacki, 2021. "Polish GDP forecast errors: a tale of inefficiency," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 52(2), pages 123-142.
• Elenev, Vadim & Landvoigt, Tim & Shultz, Patrick, 2021. "Can Monetary Policy Create Fiscal Capacity?," CEPR Discussion Papers 16414, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Vadim Elenev & Tim Landvoigt & Patrick J. Shultz & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Can Monetary Policy Create Fiscal Capacity?," NBER Working Papers 29129, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Alberto Cavallo & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2021. "What Can Stockouts Tell Us About Inflation? Evidence from Online Micro Data," Staff Working Papers 21-52, Bank of Canada.
  • Alberto Cavallo & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2021. "What Can Stockouts Tell Us About Inflation? Evidence from Online Micro Data," NBER Working Papers 29209, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Kristin J. Forbes & Joseph E. Gagnon & Christopher G. Collins, 2020. "Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve around the World," Working Paper Series WP20-6, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
  • Kristin Forbes & Joseph Gagnon & Christopher G. Collins, 2021. "Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve around the World," NBER Working Papers 29323, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Gagnon, Joseph & Collins, Christopher, 2021. "Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve around the World," CEPR Discussion Papers 16583, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Leland Farmer & Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2021. "Learning About the Long Run," NBER Working Papers 29495, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Shulgin, A. & Shulgin, S., 2021. "Investments in the infrastructure of Siberia and the Far East. Macroeconomic analysis based on general equilibrium model," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 49(1), pages 81-114.
• Akindinova, N. & Avdeyeva, D. & Kondrashov, N. & Misikhina, S. & Smirnov, S., 2021. "Macroeconomic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 52(4), pages 239-246.
• Citera, Emanuele & Gouri Suresh, Shyam & Setterfield, Mark, 2023. "The network origins of aggregate fluctuations: A demand-side approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 111-123.
  • Emanuele Citera & Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2021. "The network origins of aggregate Fluctuations: A demand-side approach," FMM Working Paper 72-2021, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
  • Emanuele Citera & Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2021. "The network origins of aggregate fluctuations: a demand-side approach," Working Papers 2118, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
• Kasey Buckles & Daniel Hungerman & Steven Lugauer, 2021. "Is Fertility a Leading Economic Indicator?," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(634), pages 541-565.
  • Kasey Buckles & Daniel Hungerman & Steven Lugauer, 2018. "Is Fertility a Leading Economic Indicator?," NBER Working Papers 24355, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2021. "Online estimation of DSGE models," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(1), pages 33-58.
  • Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-014, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
  • Michael D. Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2020. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," NBER Working Papers 26826, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Staff Reports 893, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Liberty Street Economics 20190821, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2020. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-023, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Valbona Cinaj & Rebeka Ribaj, 2021. "Macroeconomic Impact of Natural Disasters in Albania," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 59-66, August.
• Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Mandelman, Federico & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2021. "The “Matthew effect” and market concentration: Search complementarities and monopsony power," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 62-90.
  • Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The “Matthew effect” and market concentration: Search complementarities and monopsony power," CAMA Working Papers 2021-22, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The “Matthew Effect” and Market Concentration:Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," Economics Series Working Papers 932, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  • Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The "Matthew Effect" and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," BCAM Working Papers 2103, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
  • Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The “Matthew Effect” and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," NBER Working Papers 28495, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Mandelman, Federico & Zanetti, Francesco & Yu, Yang, 2021. "The ``Matthew Effect'' and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," CEPR Discussion Papers 15788, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yu Yang & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The "Matthew Effect" and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," CESifo Working Paper Series 8897, CESifo.
  • Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The “Matthew Effect” and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," Discussion Papers 2105, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
  • Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico S. Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The "Matthew Effect" and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2021-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
• Martins, Manuel Mota Freitas & Verona, Fabio, 2021. "Inflation dynamics and forecast: Frequency matters," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2021, Bank of Finland.
  • Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2021. "Inflation Dynamics and Forecast: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2101, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
• Jackson, Emerson Abraham & Tamuke, Edmund, 2021. "The Science and Art of Communicating Fan Chart Uncertainty: The case of Inflation Outcome in Sierra Leone," MPRA Paper 105892, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jan 2021.
• Brinca, Pedro & João, Costa-Filho, 2021. "Output falls and the international transmission of crises," MPRA Paper 107297, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2021. "The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox," MPRA Paper 107403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Kamalyan, Hayk, 2021. "The State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 107489, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Rybacki, Jakub & Gniazdowski, Michał, 2021. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in Poland: Lessons From the COVID-19 Outbreak," MPRA Paper 107682, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas & Bentancor, Andrea & Henriquez, Cristóbal & Tapia, Ignacio, 2021. "Forecasting Base Metal Prices with an International Stock Index," MPRA Paper 107828, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Saccal, Alessandro, 2021. "Confidence and economic activity in Europe," MPRA Paper 108812, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Kindop, Igor, 2021. "Ubiquitous multimodality in mixed causal-noncausal processes," MPRA Paper 109594, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Sep 2021.
• Kamalyan, Hayk, 2021. "Phase-Dependent Monetary and Fiscal Policy," MPRA Paper 110341, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Lukas Boer & Andrea Pescatori & Martin Stuermer, 2021. "Energy Transition Metals," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1976, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  • Boer, Lukas & Pescatori, Andrea & Stuermer, Martin, 2021. "Energy Transition Metals," MPRA Paper 110364, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Lukas Boer & Mr. Andrea Pescatori & Martin Stuermer, 2021. "Energy Transition Metals," IMF Working Papers 2021/243, International Monetary Fund.
• Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Hossein Hassani & Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "The ENSO Cycle and Forecastability of Global Inflation and Output Growth: Evidence from Standard and Mixed-Frequency Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analyses," Working Papers 202169, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Yue-Jun Zhang & Han Zhang & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Forecasting the Artificial Intelligence Index Returns: A Hybrid Approach," Working Papers 202182, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Steven F. Koch, 2021. "Equivalence Scales with Endogeneity and Base Independence," Working Papers 202185, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Katerina Gawthorpe, 2021. "Random Forest as a Model for Czech Forecasting," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2021(3), pages 336-357.
• Caio Almeida & Jianqing Fan & Francesca Tang, 2021. "Can a Machine Correct Option Pricing Models?," Working Papers 2021-44, Princeton University. Economics Department..
• Paulina Ziembińska, 2021. "Quality of Tests of Expectation Formation for Revised Data," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 13(4), pages 405-453, December.
• Pongpitch Amatyakul & Tosapol Apaitan & Savaphol Hiruntiaranakul & Nuwat Nookhwun, 2021. "Revisiting Thailand's Monetary Policy Model for an Integrated Policy Analysis," PIER Discussion Papers 164, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
• Sarun Kamolthip, 2021. "Macroeconomic forecasting with LSTM and mixed frequency time series data," Papers 2109.13777, arXiv.org.
  • Sarun Kamolthip, 2021. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with LSTM and Mixed Frequency Time Series Data," PIER Discussion Papers 165, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
• James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2021. "UK inflation forecasts since the thirteenth century," CAMA Working Papers 2021-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2021. "UK Inflation Forecasts since the Thirteenth Century," Working Paper 1454, Economics Department, Queen's University.
• Pérez Forero, Fernando, 2021. "Predicción de variables macroeconómicas en el Perú a través un modelo BVAR con media cambiante en el tiempo," Working Papers 2021-001, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
• Tyler Atkinson & Michael Plante & Alexander Richter & Nathaniel Throckmorton, 2022. "Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 44, pages 225-243, April.
  • Tyler Atkinson & Michael Plante & Alexander Richter & Nathaniel Throckmorton, 2021. "Code and data files for "Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty"," Computer Codes 21-53, Review of Economic Dynamics.
• Karen Poghosyan & Ruben Poghosyan, 2021. "On the Applicability of Dynamic Factor Models for Forecasting Real GDP Growth in Armenia," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 71(1), pages 52-79, June.
  • Poghosyan, Karen & Poghosyan, Ruben, 2021. "On the applicability of dynamic factor models for forecasting real GDP growth in Armenia," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 61, pages 28-46.
• Kakade, Kshitij Abhay & Mishra, Aswini Kumar, 2021. "The impact of macroeconomic and oil shocks on India’s non-ferrous metal prices: A structural-VAR approach," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 63, pages 30-50.
• Kocak, Necmettin Alpay, 2021. "Analysis of Relationship between the Consumer and Producer Prices in Turkey using Alternative Estimation Methods (Türkiye'de Tüketici ve Üretici Fiyatları Arasındaki İlişkinin Alternatif Tahmin Yöntem," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 12(1), pages 33-47, January.
• Barja, Gover, 2021. "Graphing And Measuring COVID’s First Wave Impact On The Bolivian Economy," Documentos de trabajo 4/2021, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana.
• Bhaghoe, Sailesh & Ooft, Gavin, 2021. "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth in Suriname with Factor-MIDAS and Mixed-Frequency VAR Models," Studies in Applied Economics 176, The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.
• Lee, Geonwoo, 2021. "The Decline of Korean Industrial Vitality as Shown by the Structural Change Index," i-KIET Issues and Analysis 21/10, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade.
• Hong, Sung Wook & Min, Seong-hwan, 2021. "Market Analysis of Key Manufacturing Segments Using News Data," Research Papers 21/8, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade.
• Barja, Gover, 2021. "Graphing and Measuring COVID-19’s First Wave Impact on the Bolivian Economy: Facing the Unknown," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 36, pages 7-42, Noviembre.
• Ahmad, Shakil, 2021. "Does COVID-19 effects the United States crude oil imports price?," Economic Consultant, Roman I. Ostapenko, vol. 33(1), pages 57-67.
• Rizwan Raheem AHMED & Dalia STREIMIKIENE & Saghir Pervaiz GHAURI & Muhammad AQIL, 2021. "Forecasting Inflation by Using the Sub-Groups of both CPI and WPI: Evidence from Auto Regression (AR) and ARIMA Models," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 144-161, June.
• Lucian Croitoru, 2021. "Responding to Criticism of Monetary Policy in Romania in the Decade Surrounding the 2008 Financial Crisis (2004-2013)," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 39-58, December.
• Dimitriou Dimitrios & Pappas Anastasios & Kazanas Thanassis & Kenourgios Dimitris, 2021. "Do confidence indicators lead Greek economic activity?," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 1-15.
• Jacobus Nel & Lucas A. Mariani, "undated". "Economic impacts of FATF recommendations and grey-listing announcement," Working Papers 05, Economic Research Southern Africa.
• Christian K. Tipoy & Malibongwe C. Nyati & Paul F. Muzindutsi, 2021. "Measuring and testing a modified version of the South African financial cycle," Working Papers 869, Economic Research Southern Africa.

2020

• Ia Vardishvili, 2020. "Entry Decision, the Option to Delay Entry, and Business Cycles," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2020-07, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
  • Ia Vardishvili, 2023. "Entry Decision, the Option to Delay Entry, and Business Cycles," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2023-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
• Raffaella Giacomini & Vasiliki Skreta & Javier Turen, 2020. "Heterogeneity, Inattention, and Bayesian Updates," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(1), pages 282-309, January.
• Emilio Blanco & Laura D’Amato & Fiorella Dogliolo & Lorena Garegnani, 2020. "Nowcasting Macroeconomic Aggregates in Argentina: Comparing the predictive ability of different models," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4335, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
• Fernando Zarzosa Valdivia, 2020. "Dinámica inflacionaria argentina pre-COVID 19: un mundo minado de outliers," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4428, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
• Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2020. "Long-term growth impact of climate change and policies: the Advanced Climate Change Long-term (ACCL) scenario building model," Working Papers halshs-02505088, HAL.
  • Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2020. "Long-term growth impact of climate change and policies: the Advanced Climate Change Long-term (ACCL) scenario building model," AMSE Working Papers 2007, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
  • Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2020. "Long-term growth impact of climate change and policies: the Advanced Climate Change Long-term (ACCL) scenario building model," Working papers 759, Banque de France.
• Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 9-22.
  • Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers halshs-02549044, HAL.
  • Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
  • Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," AMSE Working Papers 2013, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
  • Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," Post-Print hal-03740235, HAL.
• Nurdaulet Abilov & Alisher Tolepbergen & Aizhan Bolatbayeva & Zarina Adilkhanova & Erlan Konebayev & Zhandos Ybrayev, 2020. "An Economic Response to COVID-19," NAC Analytica Staff Notes 1, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised Apr 2020.
• Erlan Konebayev, 2020. "Estimation of a Small Open Economy DSGE Model for Kazakhstan," NAC Analytica Working Paper 6, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University.
• N. Abilov, 2021. "A Medium-Scale Bayesian DSGE Model for Kazakhstan with Incomplete Exchange Rate Pass-Through," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 486-522, October.
  • Nurdaulet Abilov, 2020. "A medium-scale Bayesian DSGE model for Kazakhstan with incomplete exchange rate pass-through," NAC Analytica Working Paper 7, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised Apr 2021.
• Nurdaulet Abilov, 2020. "The role of banking and credit in business cycle fluctuations in Kazakhstan," NAC Analytica Working Paper 8, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised Jan 2021.
• Ержан И.С. // Erzhan I.S., 2020. "Использование моделей machine learning при прогнозировании инфляции // Using machine learning models in inflation forecasting," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 1, pages 39-48.
• Zhantleuova A.K., 2020. "Modeling the Real Effective Exchange Rate of UK on the basis of theory of BEER(behavioral equilibrium exchange rate) using VECM," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 3, pages 37-47.
• Dimitris Korobilis, 2021. "High-Dimensional Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Message Passing Algorithms," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 493-504, March.
  • Dimitris Korobilis, 2019. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," Working Papers 2019_07, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
  • Dimitris Korobilis, 2020. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," Papers 2004.11485, arXiv.org.
  • Dimitris Korobilis, 2019. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," Working Paper series 19-17, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
  • Korobilis, Dimitris, 2019. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," MPRA Paper 96079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working Papers 2019-04, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  • Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Papers 2007.00273, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
  • Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working papers 717, Banque de France.
  • Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-11, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
• Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Leroux, Maxime & Stevanovic, Dalibor & Surprenant, Stéphane, 2021. "Macroeconomic data transformations matter," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1338-1354.
  • Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," Working Papers 20-17, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Mar 2021.
  • Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," Papers 2008.01714, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
  • Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," CIRANO Working Papers 2020s-42, CIRANO.
• Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
  • Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2019. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," CIRANO Working Papers 2019s-22, CIRANO.
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• Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F., 2021. "Structural scenario analysis with SVARs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 798-815.
  • Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco, 2018. "Structural Scenario Analysis with SVARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 12579, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan & Rubio-Ramirez, Juan F., 2020. "Structural Scenario Analysis with SVARs," EMF Research Papers 32, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
• Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2021. "Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1247-1260.
  • Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2020. "Does Judgment Improve Macroeconomic Density Forecasts?," EMF Research Papers 33, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
• Delle-Monache, Davide & De-Polis, Andrea & Petrella, Ivan, 2020. "Modelling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk," EMF Research Papers 34, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
  • Delle Monache, Davide & De Polis, Andrea & Petrella, Ivan, 2021. "Modeling and forecasting macroeconomic downside risk," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1324, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  • Delle Monache, Davide & De Polis, Andrea, 2022. "Modeling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 15109, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Laine, Olli-Matti & Lindblad, Annika, 2020. "Nowcasting Finnish GDP growth using financial variables: a MIDAS approach," BoF Economics Review 4/2020, Bank of Finland.
• Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2020. "Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2001, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
  • Martins, Manuel Mota Freitas & Verona, Fabio, 2020. "Forecasting inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips curve: Frequency matters," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2020, Bank of Finland.
• Eraslan, Sercan & Nöller, Marvin, 2020. "Recession probabilities falling from the STARs," Discussion Papers 08/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
• Hertrich, Markus, 2020. "Foreign exchange interventions under a one-sided target zone regime and the Swiss franc," Discussion Papers 21/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
• Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves S., 2021. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
  • Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves, 2020. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Discussion Papers 33/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
• Günter Coenen & Carlos Montes‐Galdón & Frank Smets, 2023. "Effects of State‐Dependent Forward Guidance, Large‐Scale Asset Purchases, and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low‐Interest‐Rate Environment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(4), pages 825-858, June.
  • Günter Coenen & Carlos Montes-Galdón & Frank Smets, 2019. "Effects of State-Dependent Forward Guidance, Large-Scale Asset Purchases and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low-Interest-Rate Environment," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 19/983, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
  • Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos, 2021. "Effects of State-Dependent Forward Guidance, Large-Scale Asset Purchases and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low-Interest-Rate Environment," CEPR Discussion Papers 16050, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Smets, Frank, 2020. "Effects of state-dependent forward guidance, large-scale asset purchases and fiscal stimulus in a low-interest-rate environment," CFS Working Paper Series 639, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
  • Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Smets, Frank, 2020. "Effects of state-dependent forward guidance, large-scale asset purchases and fiscal stimulus in a low-interest-rate environment," Working Paper Series 2352, European Central Bank.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020. "Indeterminacy with preferences featuring multiplicative habits in consumption: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
  • Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2018. "Indeterminacy with preferences featuring multiplicative habits in consumption: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)," EconStor Preprints 182499, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
• Hauser, Luisa-Marie & Schlag, Carsten-Henning & Wolf, André, 2020. "Demographic change in Switzerland: Impacts on economic growth in an Overlapping Generations Model," HWWI Research Papers 191, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
• Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022. "Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
  • Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable Real-time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203535, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  • Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," Kiel Working Papers 2158, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  • Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," IMFS Working Paper Series 133, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
• Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2020. "Hohes öffentliches Defizit nicht nur wegen Corona: Mittelfristige Handlungsmöglichkeiten für den Staat," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 8(4), pages 150-161.
• Chon, Sora, 2020. "International Inflation Synchronization and Implications," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), vol. 42(2), pages 57-84.
• Urban, Jörg, 2020. "Credit cycles revisited," Working Paper Series in Economics 146, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
• Foltas, Alexander & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "On the efficiency of German growth forecasts: An empirical analysis using quantile random forests," Working Papers 21, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
• Alexander Foltas & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(10), pages 867-872, June.
  • Foltas, Alexander & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany," Working Papers 22, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
• Müller, Karsten, 2020. "German forecasters' narratives: How informative are German business cycle forecast reports?," Working Papers 23, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
• Salzmann, Leonard, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty and Financial Shocks in Recessions and Booms," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224588, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• David Carl & Christian Ewerhart, 2020. "Ethereum gas price statistics," ECON - Working Papers 373, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.

2019

• Bo?ena Kade?ábková & Emílie Ja?ová, 2019. "The Relation between Minimum Wage and Unemployment across the Economic Cycle in Countries of the Visegrad Group," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 8910608, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
• Bo?ena Kade?ábková & Emílie Ja?ová, 2019. "Churn on the labor market in the Czech Republic," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 9510783, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
• Filip Ba?i?, 2019. "Can production of alcohol beverages predict recessions?," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 9511925, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
• Emilie Jasova, 2019. "Development of demand-related inflation pressures originating from the household sector in the Czech Republic," International Journal of Business and Management, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 7(2), pages 110-126, November.
• Klára ?ermáková & Emilie Ja?ová, 2019. "Analysis of the Negative and Positive Impact of Institutional Factors on Unemployment in Visegrad Countries," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 8(1), pages 20-34, June.
• Bozena Kaderabkova & Emilie Jasova, 2019. "Development Of Real Unit Wage Costs On The Macro- And Mezo-Level Of The Czech Republic," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 8(2), pages 45-59, December.
• W. Hölzl & S. Kaniovski & Y. Kaniovski, 2019. "Exploring the dynamics of business survey data using Markov models," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 621-649, October.
• Brent Meyer & Saeed Zaman, 2019. "The usefulness of the median CPI in Bayesian VARs used for macroeconomic forecasting and policy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 603-630, August.
  • Brent Meyer & Saeed Zaman, 2016. "The Usefulness of the Median CPI in Bayesian VARs Used for Macroeconomic Forecasting and Policy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2016-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
• Ard Reijer & Andreas Johansson, 2019. "Nowcasting Swedish GDP with a large and unbalanced data set," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 1351-1373, October.
• Philip Hans Franses, 2019. "On inflation expectations in the NKPC model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1853-1864, December.
• Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2023. "CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions," SpringerBriefs in Economics, in: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions, chapter 0, pages 7-29, Springer.
  • Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs & Pim Ouwehand, 2019. "CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 15(1), pages 73-95, April.
• Gabe J. Bondt, 2019. "A PMI-Based Real GDP Tracker for the Euro Area," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 15(2), pages 147-170, December.
• Ahmed Badawi & Anas Al Qudah & Waleed M. Rashideh, 2019. "Determinants of foreign portfolio investment in emerging markets: evidence from Saudi stock market," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(4), pages 779-794, October.
• Zsolt Darvas, 2019. "Why is it So Hard to Reach the EU’s Poverty Target?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 141(3), pages 1081-1105, February.
  • Zsolt Darvas, 2017. "Why is it so hard to reach the EU’s ‘poverty’ target?," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 1714, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
  • Zsolt Darvas, 2017. "Why is it so hard to reach the EU’s ‘poverty’ target?," Policy Contributions 18563, Bruegel.
• Roland Döhrn & Oliver Holtemöller & Stefan Kooths & Claus Michelsen & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2019. "Konjunktur deutlich abgekühlt — politische Risiken hoch [Significant Cooling of the Economy — Political Risks High]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 99(4), pages 262-266, April.
• Guangling Liu & Thabang Molise, 2019. "The effectiveness of the counter-cyclical loan-to-value regulation: Generic versus sector-specific rules," Working Papers 21/2019, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
• Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Is there a role for uncertainty in forecasting output growth in OECD countries? Evidence from a time-varying parameter-panel vector autoregressive model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(33), pages 3624-3631, July.
  • Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2018. "Is There a Role for Uncertainty in Forecasting Output Growth in OECD Countries? Evidence from a Time Varying Parameter-Panel Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers 201823, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 5802-5816.
  • Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(54), pages 5802-5816, November.
  • Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2017. "Forecasting GDP all over the World: Evidence from Comprehensive Survey Data," MPRA Paper 81772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Munich Reprints in Economics 78264, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  • Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7691, CESifo.
• Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2019. "Priors for the Long Run," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(526), pages 565-580, April.
  • Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E, 2016. "Priors for the Long Run," CEPR Discussion Papers 11261, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2018. "Priors for the long run," Working Paper Series 2132, European Central Bank.
  • Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2017. "Priors for the long run," Staff Reports 832, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
• Monica Jain, 2019. "Perceived Inflation Persistence," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 110-120, January.
  • Monica Jain, 2013. "Perceived Inflation Persistence," Staff Working Papers 13-43, Bank of Canada.
• James Mitchell & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2019. "R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 681-695, October.
  • Stephen Wright & James Mitchell & Donald Robertson, 2018. "R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1804, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
• Eda Gulsen & Hakan Kara, 2019. "Measuring inflation uncertainty in Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 19(2), pages 33-43.
  • Eda Gulsen & Hakan Kara, 2019. "Measuring Inflation Uncertainty in Turkey," Working Papers 1912, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
• Eda Gulsen & Hakan Kara, 2019. "Measuring inflation uncertainty in Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 19(2), pages 33-43.
  • Eda Gulsen & Hakan Kara, 2019. "Measuring Inflation Uncertainty in Turkey," Working Papers 1912, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
• Fethi Ogunc, 2019. "A Bayesian VAR Approach to Short-Term Inflation Forecasting," Working Papers 1925, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
• Heikki Kauppi, 2019. "Recession Prediction with OptimalUse of Leading Indicators," Discussion Papers 125, Aboa Centre for Economics.
• Fukuda, Shin-ichi & Soma, Naoto, 2019. "Inflation target and anchor of inflation forecasts in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 154-170.
  • Shin-ichi Fukuda & Naoto Soma, 2019. "Inflation Target and Anchor of Inflation Forecasts in Japan," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-1108, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
• Dmytro Krukovets & Olesia Verchenko, 2019. "Short-Run Forecasting of Core Inflation in Ukraine: a Combined ARMA Approach," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 248, pages 11-20.
• Anton Grui & Artem Vdovychenko, 2019. "Quarterly Projection Model for Ukraine," Working Papers 03/2019, National Bank of Ukraine.
• Caggese, Andrea, 2020. "Comments on: “What drives aggregate investment? Evidence from German survey data”," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
  • Andrea Caggese, 2019. "Comments on: “What Drives Aggregate Investment? Evidence from German Survey Data”," Working Papers 1175, Barcelona School of Economics.
  • Andrea Caggese, 2019. "Comments on: "What drives aggregate investment? Evidence from German survey data."," Economics Working Papers 1718, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
• Anping Chen & Nicolaas Groenewold, 2019. "Regional resilience in China: The response of the provinces to the growth slowdown," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 19-06, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
  • Anping Chen & Nicolaas Groenewold, 2020. "Regional resilience in China: The response of the provinces to the growth slowdown," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 20-15, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
• Marco Corazza & Giovanni Fasano & Riccardo Gusso & Raffaele Pesenti, 2019. "A comparison among Reinforcement Learning algorithms in financial trading systems," Working Papers 2019:33, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
• Cellmer Radosław & Bełej Mirosław & Cichulska Aneta, 2019. "Identification of Cause-and-Effect Relationships in the Real Estate Market Using the VAR Model and the Granger Test," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 27(4), pages 85-95, December.
• M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1904, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
  • Kose,Ayhan & Matsuoka,Hideaki & Panizza,Ugo G. & Vorisek,Dana Lauren, 2019. "Inflation Expectations : Review and Evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8785, The World Bank.
  • M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019. "Inflation expectations: Review and evidence," CAMA Working Papers 2019-29, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Kose, Ayhan & Matsuoka, Hideaki & Panizza, Ugo & Vorisek, Dana, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 13601, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Rodriguez Castelan,Carlos & Araar,Abdelkrim & Malasquez Carbonel,Eduardo Alonso & Olivieri,Sergio Daniel & Vishwanath,Tara, 2019. "Distributional Effects of Competition : A Simulation Approach," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8838, The World Bank.
  • Rodriguez Castelan, Carlos & Araar, Abdelkrim & Malásquez, Eduardo A. & Olivieri, Sergio & Vishwanath, Tara, 2021. "Distributional Effects of Competition: A Simulation Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 14043, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
• Ralf Fendel & Nicola Mai & Oliver Mohr, 2019. "The Shape of Eurozone’s Uncertainty: Its Impact and Predictive Value on GDP," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 19-01, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
• Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2019. "Short‐term forecasts of economic activity: Are fortnightly factors useful?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 207-221, April.
  • Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2018. "Short term forecasts of economic activity: are fortnightly factors useful?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1177, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting the Probability of Recessions in South Africa: the Role of Decomposed Term Spread and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 101-116, January.
  • Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting the Probability of Recessions in South Africa: The Role of Decomposed Term-Spread and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 201680, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-14, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
  • Koop, Gary & McIntyre, Stuart & Mitchell, James & Poon, Aubrey, 2019. "Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017," EMF Research Papers 20, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
• Anthony Garratt & Ivan Petrella, 2022. "Commodity prices and inflation risk," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 392-414, March.
  • Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan, 2019. "Commodity Prices and Inflation Risk," EMF Research Papers 23, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
• Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano & Simonsen, Lasse P., 2019. "Time-varying Price Flexibility and Inflation Dynamics," EMF Research Papers 28, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
• Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2021. "Measuring the effects of expectations shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
  • Clements, Michael P. & Galvao, Ana Beatriz, 2019. "Measuring the Effects of Expectations Shocks," EMF Research Papers 31, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
• Jin Yeub Kim & Yongjun Kim & Myungkyu Shim, 2019. "Do Financial Analysts Herd?," Working papers 2019rwp-161, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
• Pestova, Anna & Mamonov, Mikhail, 2019. "Should we care? The economic effects of financial sanctions on the Russian economy," BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
• Ambrocio, Gene, 2019. "Measuring household uncertainty in EU countries," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2019, Bank of Finland.
• Markus Hertrich, 2019. "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, November.
  • Hertrich Markus, 2019. "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, December.
  • Hertrich, Markus, 2019. "A novel housing price misalignment indicator for Germany," Discussion Papers 31/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
• Kollar, Miroslav & Schmieder, Christian, 2019. "Macro-based asset allocation: An empirical analysis," EIB Working Papers 2019/11, European Investment Bank (EIB).
• Aleksandar Vasilev, 2019. "Are Habits in Consumption Important for the Propagation of Business Cycle Fluctuations in Bulgaria?," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 11(3), pages 133-151, September.
  • Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2019. "Are habits in consumption important for the propagation of business cycle fluctuations in Bulgaria?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 133-151.
• Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(54), pages 5802-5816, November.
  • Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 5802-5816.
  • Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2017. "Forecasting GDP all over the World: Evidence from Comprehensive Survey Data," MPRA Paper 81772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Munich Reprints in Economics 78264, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  • Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7691, CESifo.
• Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022. "Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
  • Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable Real-time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203535, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  • Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," IMFS Working Paper Series 133, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
  • Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," Kiel Working Papers 2158, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
• João C. Claudio & Katja Heinisch & Oliver Holtemöller, 2020. "Nowcasting East German GDP growth: a MIDAS approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 29-54, January.
  • Claudio, João C. & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2019. "Nowcasting East German GDP growth: A MIDAS approach," IWH Discussion Papers 24/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Claudio, João Carlos & Drygalla, Andrej & Exß, Franziska & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Lindner, Axel & Müller, Isabella & Schultz, Birgit & Staff, 2019. "Konjunktur aktuell: Schwache Auslandsnachfrage - Abschwung in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 7(2), pages 21-42.
• Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019. "Cognitive Abilities and Inflation Expectations," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 562-566, May.
  • D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Paloviita, Maritta & Weber, Michael, 2019. "Cognitive abilities and inflation expectations," Working Paper Series in Economics 126, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
• Lindner, Axel & Heinisch, Katja, 2019. "Economic Sentiment in Europe: Disentangling Private Information from Public Knowledge," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203501, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022. "Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
  • Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," IMFS Working Paper Series 133, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
  • Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable Real-time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203535, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  • Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," Kiel Working Papers 2158, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
• Mauersberger, Felix, 2019. "Thompson Sampling: Endogenously Random Behavior in Games and Markets," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203600, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Weiske, Sebastian, 2019. "Indicator-based estimates of the output gap in the euro area," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203604, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019. "Inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 789, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Lamla, Michael & Pfajfar, Damjan & Rendell, Lea, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203644, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  • Lamla, Michael & PJaifar, Damian & Rendell, Lea, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 24771, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
  • Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-042, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019. "Cognitive Abilities and Inflation Expectations," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 562-566, May.
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• Fernando Zarzosa Valdivia & Kassandra Moreno Halberstadt, 2019. "Dinámica de la Inflación y sus Componentes en Argentina. Una Historia a Dos Velocidades: 1995-2001 vs 2005-2019," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4208, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
• Camilla Mastromarco & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2019. "Predicting Recessions: A New Measure of Output Gap as Predictor," CEPA Working Papers Series WP112019, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
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• Byeong U. Park & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2020. "Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 379-392, January.
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  • Byeong U. Park & Lèopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2018. "Forecasting of Recessions via Dynamic Probit for Time Series: Replication and Extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," CEPA Working Papers Series WP092018, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
• Ержан Ислам // Yerzhan Islam & Байкулаков Шалкар // Baikulakov Shalkar, 2019. "Оценка воздействия кредитования экономики на инфляционные процессы в Казахстане // Assessment of credit impact on inflation processes in Kazakhstan," Working Papers #2019-5, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
• Erik Vardanyan, 2019. "Do Remittances Worsen Export Diversification?," Working Papers 10, Central Bank of the Republic of Armenia.
• Stella Mnoyan, 2019. "Exchange Rate Pass-through in Armenia," Working Papers 13, Central Bank of the Republic of Armenia, revised Dec 2019.
• Mogliani, Matteo & Simoni, Anna, 2021. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 833-860.
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• Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020. "Forecasting GDP Growth from Outer Space," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(4), pages 697-722, August.
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• Inna Sysoieva & Oksana Balaziuk & Liubomyr Pylypenko, 2019. "Modelling Of Enterprise'S Accounting Policy: Theoretical Aspect," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", vol. 5(1).
• Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2018. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 386, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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• Olivier Gervais, 2019. "How Oil Supply Shocks Affect the Global Economy: Evidence from Local Projections," Discussion Papers 2019-6, Bank of Canada.
• Dany Brouillette & Julien Champagne & Carol Khoury & Natalia Kyui & Jeffrey Mollins & Youngmin Park, 2019. "Potential Output in Canada: 2019 Reassessment," Staff Analytical Notes 2019-10, Bank of Canada.
• Dany Brouillette & Julien Champagne & Carol Khoury & Natalia Kyui & Jeffrey Mollins & Youngmin Park, 2019. "Production potentielle au Canada : réévaluation de 2019," Staff Analytical Notes 2019-10fr, Bank of Canada.
• Charles Gaa & Xuezhi Liu & Cameron MacDonald & Xiangjin Shen, 2019. "Assessing the Resilience of the Canadian Banking System," Staff Analytical Notes 2019-16, Bank of Canada.
• Charles Gaa & Xuezhi Liu & Cameron MacDonald & Xiangjin Shen, 2019. "Évaluer la résilience du système bancaire canadien," Staff Analytical Notes 2019-16fr, Bank of Canada.
• Pablo Garcia Sanchez & Alban Moura, 2019. "The LU-EAGLE model with disaggregated public expenditure," BCL working papers 135, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
• Matías Pacce & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2019. "Predicción en tiempo real del PIB en el área del euro: recientes mejoras en el modelo Euro-STING," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue MAR.
• Concha Artola & María Gil & Danilo Leiva & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019. "Predicción en tiempo real del PIB regional: aspectos estadísticos y un modelo de previsión," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue JUN.
• Concha Artola & María Gil & Danilo Leiva & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019. "Real-time regional GDP forecasting: statistical aspects and a forecasting model," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue JUN.
• María Gil & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019. "An application of dynamic factor models to nowcast regional economic activity in Spain," Occasional Papers 1904, Banco de España.
• Luis Julián Álvarez, 2019. "El índice de precios de consumo: usos y posibles vías de mejora," Occasional Papers 1910, Banco de España.
• Ganics, Gergely & Odendahl, Florens, 2021. "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information, and structural change in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 971-999.
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• Lorenzo Burlon & Paolo D'Imperio, 2019. "The euro-area output gap through the lens of a DSGE model," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 477, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• Massimo Gallo & Sonia Soncin & Andrea Venturini, 2019. "Ven-ICE: a new indicator for the economy of the Veneto region," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 498, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• Angela Capolongo & Claudia Pacella, 2021. "Forecasting inflation in the euro area: countries matter!," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2477-2499, November.
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• Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
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• Piergiorgio Alessandri & Leonardo Del Vecchio & Arianna Miglietta, 2019. "Financial Conditions and 'Growth at Risk' in Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1242, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2019. "The natural interest rate in Latin America," Borradores de Economia 1067, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
• Mogliani, Matteo & Simoni, Anna, 2021. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 833-860.
  • Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2019. "Bayesian MIDAS Penalized Regressions: Estimation, Selection, and Prediction," Papers 1903.08025, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
  • Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2020. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Post-Print hal-03089878, HAL.
  • Matteo Mogliani, 2019. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: estimation, selection, and prediction," Working papers 713, Banque de France.
• Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working Papers 2019-04, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  • Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working papers 717, Banque de France.
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  • Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-11, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
• Ganics, Gergely & Odendahl, Florens, 2021. "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information, and structural change in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 971-999.
  • Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information and structural change in the euro area," Working Papers 1948, Banco de España.
  • Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR Forecasts, Survey Information and Structural Change in the Euro Area," Working papers 733, Banque de France.
• Matthieu Lemoine & Harri Turunen & Mohammed Chahad & Antoine Lepetit & Anastasia Zhutova & Pierre Aldama & Pierrick Clerc & Jean-Pierre Laffargue, 2019. "The FR-BDF Model and an Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission in France," Working papers 736, Banque de France.
• Caggese, Andrea, 2020. "Comments on: “What drives aggregate investment? Evidence from German survey data”," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
  • Andrea Caggese, 2019. "Comments on: "What drives aggregate investment? Evidence from German survey data."," Economics Working Papers 1718, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
  • Andrea Caggese, 2019. "Comments on: “What Drives Aggregate Investment? Evidence from German Survey Data”," Working Papers 1175, Barcelona School of Economics.
• Lamla, Michael & PJaifar, Damian & Rendell, Lea, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 24771, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
  • Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019. "Inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 789, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-042, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Lamla, Michael & Pfajfar, Damjan & Rendell, Lea, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203644, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
• Kristin Forbes, 2019. "Has globalization changed the inflation process?," BIS Working Papers 791, Bank for International Settlements.
• Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann & Dora Xia Author-X-Name_First: Dora, 2019. "Predicting recessions: financial cycle versus term spread," BIS Working Papers 818, Bank for International Settlements.
• Konstantin Styrin, 2019. "Forecasting Inflation in Russia Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(1), pages 3-18, March.
• Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2019. "Determination of the Current Phase of the Credit Cycle in Emerging Markets," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(2), pages 28-42, June.
• Sergei Seleznev, 2019. "Truncated priors for tempered hierarchical Dirichlet process vector autoregression," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps47, Bank of Russia.
• Ramis Khabibullin, 2019. "What measures of real economic activity slack are helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps50, Bank of Russia.
• María Victoria Landaberry, 2019. "Boom de crédito en Uruguay: Identificación y Anticipación," Documentos de trabajo 2019001, Banco Central del Uruguay.
• Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2019. "Limited Asset Market Participation And The Euro Area Crisis: An Empirical Dsge Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(3), pages 1302-1323, July.
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• Parra-Polania Julian A., 2019. "State-Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 1019-1027, December.
  • Julian A. Parra‐Polania, 2019. "State‐Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 1019-1027, November.
  • Julian A. Parra-Polania, 2018. "State-dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," Borradores de Economia 1035, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
• Heinisch Katja & Scheufele Rolf, 2019. "Should Forecasters Use Real-Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 170-200, December.
  • Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2019. "Should Forecasters Use Real‐Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 170-200, November.
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• Hertrich Markus, 2019. "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, December.
  • Markus Hertrich, 2019. "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, November.
  • Hertrich, Markus, 2019. "A novel housing price misalignment indicator for Germany," Discussion Papers 31/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
• Øivind A. Nilsen & Magne Vange, 2019. "Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence Using Monthly Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(1), pages 98-122, February.
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• Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2019. "Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor‐augmented mixed‐frequency approach," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 846-875, March.
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• JACKSON Emerson Abraham & TAMUKE Edmund & JABBIE Mohamed, 2019. "Disaggregated Short-Term Inflation Forecast (Stif) For Monetary Policy Decision In Sierra Leone," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 71(3), pages 31-53, November.
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• Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2020. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(531), pages 1092-1110, July.
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  • Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Paper 2019/2, Norges Bank.
• Larsen, Vegard H. & Thorsrud, Leif Anders & Zhulanova, Julia, 2021. "News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 507-520.
  • Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Julia Zhulanova, 2019. "News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities," Working Papers No 03/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
  • Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Julia Zhulanova, 2019. "News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities," Working Paper 2019/5, Norges Bank.
• Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2020. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(531), pages 1092-1110, July.
  • Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Paper 2019/2, Norges Bank.
  • Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers No 01/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
• Larsen, Vegard H. & Thorsrud, Leif Anders & Zhulanova, Julia, 2021. "News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 507-520.
  • Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Julia Zhulanova, 2019. "News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities," Working Paper 2019/5, Norges Bank.
  • Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Julia Zhulanova, 2019. "News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities," Working Papers No 03/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
• Pestova, Anna & Mamonov, Mikhail, 2019. "Should we care? : The economic effects of financial sanctions on the Russian economy," BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2019, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
• Ambrocio, Gene, 2019. "Measuring household uncertainty in EU countries," Research Discussion Papers 17/2019, Bank of Finland.
• Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2018. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," Globalization Institute Working Papers 336, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  • Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy under Bounded Rationality," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2019.07, Bank of Israel.
  • Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2018. "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2018, Bank of Finland.
  • Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2021. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," Dynare Working Papers 67, CEPREMAP.
  • Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," IMF Working Papers 2019/166, International Monetary Fund.
• Benchimol, Jonathan & El-Shagi, Makram, 2020. "Forecast performance in times terrorism," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 386-402.
  • Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi, 2017. "Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2017/1, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
  • Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi, 2020. "Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism," Globalization Institute Working Papers 390, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  • Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi, 2019. "Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2019.08, Bank of Israel.
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• Kim Jin Yeub & Shim Myungkyu, 2019. "Forecast Dispersion in Finite-Player Forecasting Games," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 1-6, January.
• Julian A. Parra‐Polania, 2019. "State‐Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 1019-1027, November.
  • Parra-Polania Julian A., 2019. "State-Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 1019-1027, December.
  • Julian A. Parra-Polania, 2018. "State-dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," Borradores de Economia 1035, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
• Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2019. "Should Forecasters Use Real‐Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 170-200, November.
  • Heinisch Katja & Scheufele Rolf, 2019. "Should Forecasters Use Real-Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 170-200, December.
  • Heinisch, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2017. "Should forecasters use real-time data to evaluate leading indicator models for GDP prediction? German evidence," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
• Markus Hertrich, 2019. "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, November.
  • Hertrich Markus, 2019. "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, December.
  • Hertrich, Markus, 2019. "A novel housing price misalignment indicator for Germany," Discussion Papers 31/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
• Miroslav Klucik, 2019. "Tracking the Course of the Economy (Nowcasting of basic macroeconomic indicators of Slovakia)," Working Papers Working Paper No. 1/2019, Council for Budget Responsibility.
• Yiqun Gloria Chen, 2019. "Inflation, Inflation Expectations, and the Phillips Curve: Working Paper 2019-07," Working Papers 55501, Congressional Budget Office.
• Paul Jenkins, 2019. "Into the Unknown: Reflections on Risk, Uncertainty and Monetary Policy Decision-making," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 549, July.
• William B.P. Robson, 2019. "Thin Capitalization: Weak Business Investment Undermines Canadian Workers," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 550, August.
• Lehmann Robert & Wollmershäuser Timo, 2020. "The macroeconomic projections of the German government: A comparison to an independent forecasting institution," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 235-270, June.
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• Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Time series modeling and forecasting of the consumer price index in Belgium," MPRA Paper 92414, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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• Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Predicting consumer price index in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 92422, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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• Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting inflation in Lesotho using Box-Jenkins ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92428, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting inflation in Philippines using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92429, University Library of Munich, Germany.
• Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Predicting inflation in Senegal: An ARMA approach," MPRA Paper 92431, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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• Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Is South Africa the South Africa we all desire? Insights from the Box-Jenkins ARIMA approach," MPRA Paper 92441, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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• Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Predicting inflation in the Kingdom of Bahrain using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92452, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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  • Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," BCAM Working Papers 1905, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
• Ferrarini, Benno, 2019. "Asian Development Outlook Forecast Accuracy 2007–2016," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 568, Asian Development Bank.
• Guler, Asli, 2019. "Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Turkey: A Dynamic Time Series Data Analysis," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 10(5), pages 1039-1049, October.
• Flores-Muñoz, Francisco & Báez-García, Alberto Javier & Gutiérrez-Barroso, Josué, 2019. "Fractional differencing in stock market price and online presence of global tourist corporations," Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Universidad ESAN, vol. 24(48), pages 194-204.
• Refaei, Ramiar & Sameti, Morteza & Ghobadi, Sara, 2019. "Identifying the Factors Affecting the Recession in Iran: Monte Carlo Simulation and Metropolis-Hastings (MH) Algorithm," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 6(3), pages 241-272, October.
• Wojciech CHAREMZA & Carlos DÍAZ & Svetlana MAKAROVA, 2019. "Conditional Term Structure of Inflation Forecast Uncertainty: The Copula Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 5-18, March.
  • Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Díaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2015. "Conditional Term Structure of Inflation Forecast Uncertainty: The Copula Approach," Discussion Papers in Economics 15/07, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
• Meysam KAVIANI & Parviz SAEEDI & Hosein DIDEHKHANI & Seyed Fakhreddin FAKHREHOSSEINI, 2019. "Government Expenditure, Risk and Return: A Framework for a New Keynesian Model in the Iranian Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 5-24, December.
• Julia Mortera & A. Philip Dawid, 2019. "Probability Forecasts and Prediction Markets," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0250, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
• Günter Coenen & Carlos Montes-Galdón & Frank Smets, 2019. "Effects of State-Dependent Forward Guidance, Large-Scale Asset Purchases and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low-Interest-Rate Environment," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 19/983, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
  • Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos, 2021. "Effects of State-Dependent Forward Guidance, Large-Scale Asset Purchases and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low-Interest-Rate Environment," CEPR Discussion Papers 16050, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Smets, Frank, 2020. "Effects of state-dependent forward guidance, large-scale asset purchases and fiscal stimulus in a low-interest-rate environment," CFS Working Paper Series 639, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
  • Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Smets, Frank, 2020. "Effects of state-dependent forward guidance, large-scale asset purchases and fiscal stimulus in a low-interest-rate environment," Working Paper Series 2352, European Central Bank.
• Guangling Dave Liu & Thabang Molisey, 2019. "The effectiveness of counter-cyclical loan-to-value regulations: generic versus sector-specific rules," Working Papers 785, Economic Research Southern Africa.

2018

• Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Rupal Kamdar, 2018. "The Formation of Expectations, Inflation, and the Phillips Curve," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1447-1491, December.
  • Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Rupal Kamdar, 2017. "The Formation of Expectations, Inflation and the Phillips Curve," NBER Working Papers 23304, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Byeong U. Park & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2020. "Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 379-392, January.
  • Byeong U. Park & Lèopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2018. "Forecasting of Recessions via Dynamic Probit for Time Series: Replication and Extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," CEPA Working Papers Series WP092018, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
  • Park, Byeong U. & Simar, Leopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2018. "Forecasting of Recessions via Dynamic Probit for Time Series: Replication and Extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2018004, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
  • Park, Byeong U. & Simar, Leopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2019. "Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2019014, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
• Muellbauer, John, 2018. "The Future of Macroeconomics," INET Oxford Working Papers 2018-10, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
• Mundaca, Fernando & Sánchez, Elmer, 2018. "Índice de Precios de Inmuebles: Un Enfoque Hedónico," Working Papers 2018-006, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
  • Fernando Mundaca & Elmer Sánchez León, 2018. "Índice de precios de inmuebles: un enfoque hedónico," Working Papers 124, Peruvian Economic Association.
• Elmer Sánchez León, 2018. "Mortgage Credit: Lending and Borrowing Constraints in a DSGE Model," Working Papers 125, Peruvian Economic Association.
• Jokosenumi Saidat Omolola & Adesete Ahmed Adefemi, 2018. "Modelling the Effect of Stock Market Volatility and Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria: A New Framework Approach," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(12), pages 1482-1505, December.
• Ion Stancu & Ion Alexandru Stancu & Laura Elly Naghi & Dragos Bâlteanu, 2018. "Predicting Strategic Areas of a Financial Intermediation Services (SIF) Company Using BSC and PLS," The Audit Financiar journal, Chamber of Financial Auditors of Romania, vol. 20(47), pages 218-218, February.
• Yurii Paida & Yaryna Andrushko & Olena Iliushyk, 2018. "Macroeconomic Risks: Classified Features, Methods Of Measurement, Mitigation Patterns," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", vol. 4(4).
• James Mitchell & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2019. "R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 681-695, October.
  • Stephen Wright & James Mitchell & Donald Robertson, 2018. "R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1804, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
• Tony Chernis & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018. "Nowcasting Canadian Economic Activity in an Uncertain Environment," Discussion Papers 18-9, Bank of Canada.
• Cameron MacDonald & Virginie Traclet, 2018. "The Framework for Risk Identification and Assessment," Technical Reports 113, Bank of Canada.
• Lise Pichette & Marie-Noëlle Robitaille & Mohanad Salameh & Pierre St-Amant, 2018. "Dismiss the Gap? A Real-Time Assessment of the Usefulness of Canadian Output Gaps in Forecasting Inflation," Staff Working Papers 18-10, Bank of Canada.
• José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St-Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018. "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 1029-1055, August.
  • José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St‐Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018. "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(3), pages 1029-1055, August.
  • José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St-Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys Mendes, 2018. "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," BIS Working Papers 720, Bank for International Settlements.
  • José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018. "Could a Higher Inflation Target Enhance Macroeconomic Stability?," Staff Working Papers 18-17, Bank of Canada.
• Monica Jain & Christopher S. Sutherland, 2020. "How Do Central Bank Projections and Forward Guidance Influence Private-Sector Forecasts?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(5), pages 179-218, October.
  • Monica Jain & Christopher S. Sutherland, 2018. "How Do Central Bank Projections and Forward Guidance Influence Private-Sector Forecasts?," Staff Working Papers 18-2, Bank of Canada.
• Ba M. Chu & Kim Huynh & David T. Jacho-Chávez & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2018. "On the Evolution of the United Kingdom Price Distributions," Staff Working Papers 18-25, Bank of Canada.
• Monica Jain, 2018. "Sluggish Forecasts," Staff Working Papers 18-39, Bank of Canada.
• Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018. "Evaluating the Bank of Canada Staff Economic Projections Using a New Database of Real-Time Data and Forecasts," Staff Working Papers 18-52, Bank of Canada.
• Andrew Agopsowicz & Dany Brouillette & Bassirou Gueye & Julien McDonald-Guimond & Jeffrey Mollins & Youngmin Park, 2018. "Potential Output in Canada: 2018 Reassessment," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-10, Bank of Canada.
• Thibaut Duprey & Xuezhi Liu & Cameron MacDonald & Maarten van Oordt & Sofia Priazhkina & Xiangjin Shen & Joshua Slive, 2018. "Modelling the Macrofinancial Effects of a House Price Correction in Canada," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-36, Bank of Canada.
• Thibaut Duprey, 2018. "Asymmetric Risks to the Economic Outlook Arising from Financial System Vulnerabilities," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-6, Bank of Canada.
• Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, João Victor & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2022. "Incentive-driven inattention," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(1), pages 188-212.
  • Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Raffaella Giacomini & João Victor Issler & Vasiliki Skreta, 2018. "Incentive-driven Inattention," Working Papers Series 485, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
  • Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, João Victor & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2019. "Incentive-driven Inattention," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 811, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
  • Gaglianone, Wagner & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, Joao & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2019. "Incentive-driven Inattention," CEPR Discussion Papers 13619, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Alban Moura & Kyriacos Lambrias, 2018. "LU-EAGLE: A DSGE model for Luxembourg within the euro area and global economy," BCL working papers 122, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
• Fiorella Dogliolo, 2018. "Investment Nowcasting. A Real-Time Estimate with High Frequency Indicators," BCRA Working Paper Series 201878, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
• Laura D’Amato & Maximiliano Gómez Aguirre & Lorena Garegnani & Ariel Krysa & Luis Lanteri, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation in Argentina: A Comparison of Different Models," BCRA Working Paper Series 201881, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
• Simone Emiliozzi & Elisa Guglielminetti & Michele Loberto, 2018. "Forecasting house prices in Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 463, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "The global component of inflation volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 700-721, June.
  • Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "The global component of inflation volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1170, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  • Carriero, Andrea & Corsello, Francesco & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2019. "The Global Component of Inflation Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 13470, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2019. "Short‐term forecasts of economic activity: Are fortnightly factors useful?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 207-221, April.
  • Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2018. "Short term forecasts of economic activity: are fortnightly factors useful?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1177, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
• Parra-Polania Julian A., 2019. "State-Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 1019-1027, December.
  • Julian A. Parra‐Polania, 2019. "State‐Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 1019-1027, November.
  • Julian A. Parra-Polania, 2018. "State-dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," Borradores de Economia 1035, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
• Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2018. "A well-timed raise in inflation targets," Borradores de Economia 1042, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
• S. Béreau & V. Faubert & K. Schmidt, 2018. "Explaining and Forecasting Euro Area Inflation: the Role of Domestic and Global Factors," Working papers 663, Banque de France.
• Aldasoro, Iñaki & Borio, Claudio & Drehmann, Mathias, 2018. "Early warning indicators of banking crises: expanding the family," Journal of Financial Transformation, Capco Institute, vol. 48, pages 142-155.
  • Iñaki Aldasoro & Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann, 2018. "Early warning indicators of banking crises: expanding the family," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
• Benjamin H Cohen & Peter Hördahl & Dora Xia, 2018. "Term premia: models and some stylised facts," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
• Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann & Dora Xia, 2018. "The financial cycle and recession risk," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
• José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St-Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018. "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 1029-1055, August.
  • José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St‐Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018. "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(3), pages 1029-1055, August.
  • José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018. "Could a Higher Inflation Target Enhance Macroeconomic Stability?," Staff Working Papers 18-17, Bank of Canada.
  • José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St-Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys Mendes, 2018. "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," BIS Working Papers 720, Bank for International Settlements.
• Emanuel Kohlscheen & Aaron Mehrotra & Dubravko Mihaljek, 2020. "Residential Investment and Economic Activity: Evidence from the Past Five Decades," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(6), pages 287-329, December.
  • Emanuel Kohlscheen & Aaron Mehrotra & Dubravko Mihaljek, 2018. "Residential investment and economic activity: evidence from the past five decades," BIS Working Papers 726, Bank for International Settlements.
• Franta, Michal, 2021. "The Likelihood Of Effective Lower Bound Events," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(8), pages 2058-2079, December.
  • Michal Franta, 2018. "The Likelihood of Effective Lower Bound Events," Working Papers 2018/3, Czech National Bank.
  • Michal Franta, 2018. "The likelihood of effective lower bound events," BIS Working Papers 731, Bank for International Settlements.
• Dmitry Kreptsev & Sergei Seleznev, 2018. "Forecasting for the Russian Economy Using Small-Scale DSGE Models," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(2), pages 51-67, June.
• Ksenia Yudaeva, 2018. "Frontiers of Monetary Policy: Global Trends and Russian Inflation Targeting Practicies," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(2), pages 95-100, June.
• Erzsebet Eva Nagy & Veronika Tengely, 2018. "External and Domestic Drivers of Inflation: The Case Study of Hungary," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(3), pages 49-64, September.
• Ksenia Yakovleva, 2018. "Text Mining-based Economic Activity Estimation," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(4), pages 26-41, December.
• Ivan Baybuza, 2018. "Inflation Forecasting Using Machine Learning Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(4), pages 42-59, December.
• Elizaveta Danilova & Evgeny Rumyantsev & Ivan Shevchuk, 2018. "Review of the Bank of Russia – IMF Workshop 'Recent Developments in Macroprudential Stress Testing'," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(4), pages 60-83, December.
• Deryugina, Elena & Ponomarenko, Alexey & Rozhkova, Anna, 2020. "When are credit gap estimates reliable?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 221-238.
  • Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko & Anna Rozhkova, 2018. "When are credit gap estimates reliable?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps34, Bank of Russia.
• Konstantin Styrin, 2018. "Forecasting inflation in Russia by Dynamic Model Averaging," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps39, Bank of Russia.
• Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the ‘New Normal’ in Monetary Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(S1), pages 21-49, September.
  • Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the “New Normal” in Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-004, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Daniela Bragoli & Jack Fosten, 2018. "Nowcasting Indian GDP," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(2), pages 259-282, April.
  • Daniela Bragoli & Jack Fosten, 2016. "Nowcasting Indian GDP," University of East Anglia School of Economics Working Paper Series 2016-06, School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK..
• Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2018. "Monetary Policy Lessons from the Greenbook," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 955, Boston College Department of Economics.
• Marlene Amstad & Ye Huan & Guonan Ma, 2014. "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," BIS Working Papers 465, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Amstad, Marlene & Ye, Huan & Ma, Guonan, 2018. "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 11/2018, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  • Marlene Amstad & Ye Huan & Guonan Ma, 2014. "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," Working Papers 853, Bruegel.
• Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2018. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," Globalization Institute Working Papers 336, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  • Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2018. "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Research Discussion Papers 9/2018, Bank of Finland.
  • Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2018. "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2018, Bank of Finland.
  • Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2021. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," Dynare Working Papers 67, CEPREMAP.
  • Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," IMF Working Papers 2019/166, International Monetary Fund.
  • Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy under Bounded Rationality," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2019.07, Bank of Israel.
• Yosuke Uno & Saori Naganuma & Naoko Hara, 2018. "New Facts about Firms' Inflation Expectations: Simple Tests for a Sticky Information Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 18-E-14, Bank of Japan.
• Noureldin Diaa, 2018. "Much Ado about the Egyptian Pound: Exchange Rate Misalignment and the Path Towards Equilibrium," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 1-19, August.
• Zsolt Darvas, 2019. "Why is it So Hard to Reach the EU’s Poverty Target?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 141(3), pages 1081-1105, February.
  • Zsolt Darvas, 2017. "Why is it so hard to reach the EU’s ‘poverty’ target?," IEHAS Discussion Papers 1714, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
  • Zsolt Darvas, 2018. "Why is it so hard to reach the EU’s poverty target?," Policy Briefs 24611, Bruegel.
  • Zsolt Darvas, 2017. "Why is it so hard to reach the EU’s ‘poverty’ target?," Policy Contributions 18563, Bruegel.
• Thomas Lustenberger & Enzo Rossi, 2020. "Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(2), pages 153-201, March.
  • Thomas Lustenberger & Enzo Rossi, 2017. "Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?," Working Papers 2017-12, Swiss National Bank.
  • Lustenberger, Thomas & Rossi, Enzo, 2018. "Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?," Working papers 2018/06, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
• Dana Galizia, 2021. "Saddle cycles: Solving rational expectations models featuring limit cycles (or chaos) using perturbation methods," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(3), pages 869-901, July.
  • Dana Galizia, 2018. "Saddle Cycles: Solving Rational Expectations Models Featuring Limit Cycles (or Chaos) Using Perturbation Methods," Carleton Economic Papers 18-11, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
• Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Forecasting using a Nonlinear DSGE Model," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 7(2), pages 73-98.
  • Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting using a Nonlinear DSGE Model," Working Papers 201659, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
• Øivind A. Nilsen & Magne Vange, 2019. "Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence Using Monthly Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(1), pages 98-122, February.
  • Nilsen, Øivind A. & Vange, Magne, 2016. "Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence using Monthly Data," Discussion Paper Series in Economics 22/2016, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics.
  • Øivind Anti Nilsen & Magne Vange, 2018. "Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence Using Monthly Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7145, CESifo.
• Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2018. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 386, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Discussion Papers 1917, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
  • Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," 2019 Meeting Papers 380, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-18, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
  • Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Francesco Zanetti & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Economics Series Working Papers 880, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  • Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico S. Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2019-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
  • Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
  • Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2022. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2022-40, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," NBER Working Papers 26210, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Mandelman, Federico & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 13950, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," BCAM Working Papers 1905, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
• Carlos Brenes Soto & Manfred Esquivel Monge, 2018. "Asymmetries of the Exchange Rate Pass-through to Domestic Prices in Costa Rica during the Exchange Rate Flexibility Period," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 1-35, january-j.
• Carlos Brenes Soto & Manfred Esquivel Monge, 2018. "Asimetrías en el traspaso del tipo de cambio a los precios en Costa Rica durante el periodo de flexibilidad cambiaria," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 1-37, enero-jun.
• Tomas Adam & Filip Novotny, 2018. "Assessing the External Demand of the Czech Economy: Nowcasting Foreign GDP Using Bridge Equations," Working Papers 2018/18, Czech National Bank.
• Audzei, Volha & Slobodyan, Sergey, 2022. "Sparse restricted perceptions equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  • Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2018. "Sparse Restricted Perception Equilibrium," Working Papers 2018/8, Czech National Bank.
• Sebastián Cadavid Sánchez, 2018. "Monetary policy and structural changes in Colombia, 1990-2016: A Markov Switching approach," Documentos CEDE 016970, Universidad de los Andes – Facultad de Economía – CEDE.
• Adriana Uquillas & Carlos González, 2017. "Determinantes macro y microeconómicos para pruebas de tensión de riesgo de crédito: un estudio comparativo entre Ecuador y Colombia basado en la tasa de morosidad," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República - ESPE, vol. 35(84), pages 245-259, December.
• Jesús Botero G & Álvaro Hurtado Rendón & Humberto Franco G. & José García Guzmán, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Accumulation of Reserves in an Emerging Economy: A dsge Model for the Colombian Case," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, vol. 21(2), pages 309-339, December.
• Madeira, João & Palma, Nuno, 2018. "Measuring monetary policy deviations from the Taylor rule," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 25-27.
  • João Madeira & Nuno Palma, 2018. "Measuring Monetary Policy Deviations from the Taylor Rule," Economics Discussion Paper Series 1803, Economics, The University of Manchester.
  • Madeira, João & Palma, Nuno Pedro G., 2018. "Measuring monetary policy deviations from the Taylor rule," CEPR Discussion Papers 12553, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & David Zarruk Valencia, 2018. "A Practical Guide to Parallelization in Economics," NBER Working Papers 24561, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Zarruk Valencia, David, 2018. "A Practical Guide to Parallelization in Economics," CEPR Discussion Papers 12890, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
• de la Porte Simonsen, Lasse & Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano, 2018. "Inflation Dynamics and Price Flexibility in the UK," CEPR Discussion Papers 13027, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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