JEL Classification | IDEAS/RePEc

My JEL codes Follow this JEL code

Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

This topic is covered by the following reading lists:

2025

Paul Beaudry & Chenyu Hou & Franck Portier, 2025. "On the Fragility of the Nonlinear Phillips Curve View of Recent Inflation," NBER Working Papers 33522, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Ana Vujovic, 2025. "News article analysis using Naive Bayes classifier," Working Papers Bulletin 27, National Bank of Serbia.
Francesca Loria & Christian Matthes & Donghai Zhang, 2025. "Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 135(665), pages 264-284.
- Francesca Loria & Christian Matthes & Donghai Zhang, 2019. "Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-026, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Francesca Loria & Christian Matthes & Donghai Zhang, 2019. "Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk," Working Paper 19-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
Pundit, Madhavi & Ramayandi, Arief & Simba, Patrick Jaime & Sorino, Dennis & Tan, Sharyl Rose, 2025. "Monitoring Business Cycle Fluctuations in Asia," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 766, Asian Development Bank.
Bozkurt, Hatice, 2025. "Küresel Gıda ve Petrol Fiyatlarının Enflasyon Üzerindeki Etkisi: Türkiye’den Ampirik Kanıtlar (The Effect of Global Food and Oil Prices on Inflation: Empirical Evidence from Türkiye)," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 16(1), pages 21-41, January.
Dennis Kant & Andreas Pick & Jasper de Winter, 2025. "Nowcasting GDP using machine learning methods," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 109(1), pages 1-24, March.
Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2025. "Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(1), pages 57-73, January.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics," Working Papers 22-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2024. "Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics," CEPR Discussion Papers 18901, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Emile du Plessis & Ulrich Fritsche, 2025. "New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 3-40, January.
- du Plessis, Emile & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2022. "New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 67, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.
Jonas D. M. Fisher, Jonas D. & Melosi, Leonardo & Sebastian Rast, Sebastian, 2025. "Long-Run Inflation Expectations," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1551, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
Verona, Fabio, 2025. "From waves to rates: Enhancing inflation forecasts through combinations of frequency-domain models," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 1/2025, Bank of Finland.
Dück, Alexander & Verona, Fabio, 2025. "Beyond one-size-fits-all: Designing monetary policy for diverse models and frequencies," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 2/2025, Bank of Finland.
Christian Bayer & Luis Calderon & Moritz Kuhn, 2025. "Distributional Dynamics," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_625, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
- Christian Bayer & Luis Calderon & Moritz Kuhn, 2025. "Distributional Dynamics," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 351, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
Carro, Adrian & Hinterschweiger, Marc & Uluc, Arzu & Borsos, András & Kaszowska-Mojsa, Jagoda & Glielmo, Aldo, 2025. "Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges," INET Oxford Working Papers 2025-05, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
Joshua Brault & Louis Phaneuf, 2025. "What Drives Low and Stable Inflation?," Working Papers 25-02, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Feb 2025.
Chris Naubert, 2025. "Differentiable, Filter Free Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models Using Mixture Density Networks," Staff Working Papers 25-3, Bank of Canada.
Stéphane Surprenant, 2025. "Quantile VARs and Macroeconomic Risk Forecasting," Staff Working Papers 25-4, Bank of Canada.
Tatjana Dahlhaus & Thibaut Duprey & Craig Johnston, 2025. "Estimating the impacts on GDP of natural disasters in Canada," Staff Analytical Notes 2025-5, Bank of Canada.
András Borsos & Adrian Carro & Aldo Glielmo & Marc Hinterschweiger & Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa & Arzu Uluc, 2025. "Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges," Occasional Papers 2503, Banco de España.
András Borsos & Adrian Carro & Aldo Glielmo & Marc Hinterschweiger & Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa & Arzu Uluc, 2025. "Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges," Occasional Papers 2503, Banco de España.
Matteo Mogliani & Florens Odendahl, 2025. "Density forecast transformations," Working Papers 2511, Banco de España.
Valentina Aprigliano & Francesco Corsello, 2025. "Underlying Composite Inflation (UCI): a novel indicator to track inflation developments," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 928, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Stefano Neri, 2025. "Energy prices, inflation and the ECB's monetary policy during the 2021-22 energy crisis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1481, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Matteo Santi, 2025. "A high-dimensional GDP-at-risk and Inflation-at-risk for the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1484, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Daniel Parra-Amado & Camilo Granados, 2025. "Output Gap Measurement after COVID for Colombia: Lessons from a Permanent-Transitory Approach," Borradores de Economia 1295, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Bokan, Nikola & Lenza, Michele & Araujo, Douglas & Comazzi, Fabio Alberto, 2025. "Word2Prices: embedding central bank communications for inflation prediction," Working Paper Series 3047, European Central Bank.
- Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo & Nikola Bokan & Fabio Alberto Comazzi & Michele Lenza, 2025. "Word2Prices: embedding central bank communications for inflation prediction," BIS Working Papers 1253, Bank for International Settlements.
Elizaveta Volgina, 2025. "Forecasting Inflation Using News Indices," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 84(1), pages 26-59, March.
Shunsuke Haba & Kimihiko Izawa & Yui Kishaba & Yusuke Takahashi & Shunichi Yoneyama, 2025. "Measuring Policy Effects since the Introduction of Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE): An Analysis Using the Macroeconomic Model Q-JEM," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 25-E-2, Bank of Japan.
Ichiro Fukunaga & Yui Kishaba & Nao Shibata & Shunichi Yoneyama, 2025. "Uncertainty in the Formation of Inflation Expectations in Japan: An Analysis Using the Macroeconomic Model Q-JEM," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 25-E-3, Bank of Japan.
Christian Bayer & Luis Calderon & Moritz Kuhn, 2025. "Distributional Dynamics," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 351, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
- Christian Bayer & Luis Calderon & Moritz Kuhn, 2025. "Distributional Dynamics," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_625, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
Etienne Briand & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2024. "Inflation, Attention and Expectations," Working Papers 24-05, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Dec 2024.
- Etienne Briand & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2025. "Inflation, Attention and Expectations," CIRANO Working Papers 2025s-01, CIRANO.
Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi & Sebastian Rast, 2025. "Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 829, DNB.
Foroni, Claudia & Schroeder, Christofer, 2025. "Using corporate earnings calls to forecast euro area labour demand," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 2.
Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo & Nikola Bokan & Fabio Alberto Comazzi & Michele Lenza, 2025. "Word2Prices: embedding central bank communications for inflation prediction," BIS Working Papers 1253, Bank for International Settlements.
- Bokan, Nikola & Lenza, Michele & Araujo, Douglas & Comazzi, Fabio Alberto, 2025. "Word2Prices: embedding central bank communications for inflation prediction," Working Paper Series 3047, European Central Bank.
Clements, Michael P. & Rich, Robert W. & Tracy, Joseph, 2025. "An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
- Michael Clements & Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2024. "An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters," Working Papers 24-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Błażej, Mirosław & Górajski, Mariusz & Ulrichs, Magdalena, 2025. "Microdata-based output gap estimation using business tendency surveys," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
Domenico, Jacopo Di & Catalano, Michele & Riccetti, Luca, 2025. "Scaling and forecasting in a data-driven agent-based model: Applications to the Italian macroeconomy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
Na, Seunghoon & Oh, Hyunseung, 2025. "Computerizing households and the role of technology shocks in consumer durables," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
Isabel Cairó & Hess T. Chung & Francesco Ferrante & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Camilo Morales-Jimenez & Damjan Pfajfar, 2023. "Endogenous Labor Supply in an Estimated New-Keynesian Model: Nominal versus Real Rigidities," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2023-069, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Isabel Cairó & Hess T. Chung & Francesco Ferrante & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Camilo Morales-Jimenez & Damjan Pfajfar, 2025. "Endogenous Labor Supply in an Estimated New-Keynesian Model: Nominal versus Real Rigidities," Working Papers 25-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Dobrislav Dobrev & Pawel J. Szerszen, 2025. "Missing Data Substitution for Enhanced Robust Filtering and Forecasting in Linear State-Space Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-001, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Jonas D. M. Fisher & Leonardo Melosi & Sebastian Rast, 2025. "Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Working Paper Series WP 2025-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
Stefania Albanesi, 2019. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," Working Papers 2019-021, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
- Stefania Albanesi, 2025. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women’s Employment," Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers 109, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Albanesi, Stefania, 2019. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," CEPR Discussion Papers 13578, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stefania Albanesi, 2019. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," NBER Working Papers 25655, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Stefania Albanesi, 2019. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," Working Paper 6608, Department of Economics, University of Pittsburgh.
Ozge Akinci & Martín Almuzara & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Ramya Nallamotu & Argia M. Sbordone & Greg Simitian & William Zeng, 2025. "Global Trends in U.S. Inflation Dynamics," Liberty Street Economics 20250227a, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Ozge Akinci & Martín Almuzara & Silvia Miranda-Agrippino & Ramya Nallamotu & Argia M. Sbordone & Greg Simitian & William Zeng, 2025. "Supply and Demand Drivers of Global Inflation Trends," Liberty Street Economics 20250227b, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Temurbek Boymirzaev, 2025. "Development of the Near-Term Forecast of Inflation for Uzbekistan: Application of FAVAR and BVAR models," IHEID Working Papers 06-2025, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
Emmanouil Sofianos & Christos Alexakis & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2025. "Machine learning forecasting in the macroeconomic environment: the case of the US output gap," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 1-19, February.
- Emmanouil Sofianos & Christos Alexakis & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2025. "Machine learning forecasting in the macroeconomic environment: the case of the US output gap," Post-Print hal-04885268, HAL.
Karlsson, Sune & Mazur, Stepan & Raftab, Mariya, 2025. "Identifying Useful Indicators for Nowcasting GDP in Sweden," Working Papers 2025:4, Örebro University, School of Business.
Zongwu Cai & Jingxian Hu, 2025. "A Selective Survey on Mathematical Programmings in Macroeconomics," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202503, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
Emmanouil Sofianos & Christos Alexakis & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2025. "Machine learning forecasting in the macroeconomic environment: the case of the US output gap," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 1-19, February.
- Emmanouil Sofianos & Christos Alexakis & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2025. "Machine learning forecasting in the macroeconomic environment: the case of the US output gap," Post-Print hal-04885268, HAL.

2024

Zhen Huo & Marcelo Pedroni & Guangyu Pei, 2024. "Bias and Sensitivity under Ambiguity," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 114(12), pages 4091-4133, December.
Brian Adams & Lara Loewenstein & Hugh Montag & Randal Verbrugge, 2024. "Disentangling Rent Index Differences: Data, Methods, and Scope," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 6(2), pages 230-245, June.
- Brian Adams & Lara Loewenstein & Hugh Montag & Randal Verbrugge, 2022. "Disentangling Rent Index Differences: Data, Methods, and Scope," Economic Working Papers 555, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Brian Adams & Lara Loewenstein & Hugh Montag & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2022. "Disentangling rent index differences: data, methods, and scope," Working Papers 22-38R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 28 Sep 2023.
Tiziano Ropele & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2024. "Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 6(2), pages 246-261, June.
- Tiziano Ropele & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy," NBER Working Papers 31190, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ropele, Tiziano & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2023. "Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy," IZA Discussion Papers 16106, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Tiziano Ropele & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2023. "Inflation expectations and misallocation of resources: evidence from Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1437, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Marco Del Negro & Keshav Dogra & Aidan Gleich & Pranay Gundam & Donggyu Lee & Ramya Nallamotu & Brian Pacula, 2024. "The NY Fed DSGE Model: A Post-COVID Assessment," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 114, pages 95-100, May.
- Del Negro, Marco & Dogra, Keshav & Gleich, Aidan & Gundam, Pranay & Lee, Donggyu & Nallamotu, Ramya, 2024. "The NY Fed DSGE Model: A Post-Covid Assessment," CEPR Discussion Papers 18742, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Tom Krebs, 2024. "Transformative Investitionen als Treiber eines neuen Wirtschaftsbooms?," Working Papers 1, Forum New Economy.
Polina A. Popova & Tatiana V. Bukina & Dmitriy V. Kashin, 2024. "Influence of Interregional Spatial Effects on the Economic Development of Russian Regions," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 23(3), pages 751-775.
Algieri, Bernardina & Iania, Leonardo & Leccadito, Arturo & Meloni, Giulia, 2024. "Message in a bottle: Forecasting wine prices," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2024006, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
Gabriel P. Mathy & Yongchen Zhao, 2024. "Could Diffusion Indexes Have Forecasted the Great Recession?," Working Papers 2024-03, American University, Department of Economics.
Татибеков Б. // Tatibekov B. & Абдразакова А. // Abdrazakova А., 2024. "Особенности взаимосвязи рынка труда и инфляционных процессов в экономике Казахстана в период 2001-2021 гг.: теория и практика реализации // Specifics of Relationship between the Labor Market and Infla," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 60-61.
Кулкаева Алтын // Altyn Kulkayeva & Тайбекова Аида // Taibekova Aida & Орлов Константин // Orlov Konstantin, 2024. "Прогнозирование цен на нефть // Predicting Oil Prices," Working Papers #2024-6, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
Адилханова Зарина // Adilkhanova Zarina & Ержан Ислам // Yerzhan Islam, 2024. "Система селективно - комбинированного прогноза инфляции (SSCIF)// Selective-Combined Inflation Forecasting System," Working Papers #2024-13, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
Jakub Rybacki & Marcin Klucznik & Dawid Sułkowski, 2024. "The false start of disinflation – evidence from the major European economies," Ekonomista, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, issue 1, pages 7-23.
Forte Federico Daniel, 2024. "Pronóstico de inflación de corto plazo en Argentina con modelos Random Forest," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4731, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
- Federico Forte, 2024. "Pronóstico de Infl ación de Corto Plazo en Argentina con Modelos Random Forest," Working Papers 340, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
Inna S. Lola & Dmitry G. Asoskov, 2024. "Potential of business uncertainty indicators in forecasting economic activity: The case of Russia," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 10(4), pages 351-364, December.
M. Hashem Pesaran & Ron P. Smith, 2024. "High-Dimensional Forecasting with Known Knowns and Known Unknowns," CESifo Working Paper Series 10931, CESifo.
- M. Hashem Pesaran & Ron P. Smith, 2024. "High-dimensional forecasting with known knowns and known unknowns," Papers 2401.14582, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
- Pesaran, M. H. & Smith, R. P., 2024. "High-Dimensional Forecasting with Known Knowns and Known Unknowns," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2406, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
Victor Olkhov, 2024. "Lower Bounds of Uncertainty of Observations of Macroeconomic Variables and Upper Limits on the Accuracy of Their Forecasts," Papers 2408.04644, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
Conrad, Christian & Lahiri, Kajal, 2023. "Heterogeneous expectations among professional forecasters," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-062, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Conrad, Christian & Lahiri, Kajal, 2024. "Heterogeneous Expectations among Professional Forecasters," Working Papers 0754, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
Khadijat A. Azeez & Victor O. Hambolu & Andy T. Okwu & Bukunmi A. Agboola, 2024. "Russia-Ukraine War and Price Volatility of Global Commodities - The Role of Public Sentiments," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 5(2), pages 1-6.
Biman Chand Prasad & Paresh Kumar Narayan & Joel Abraham, 2024. "Understanding Price Leadership in Fijiâ€™s Energy Market," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 4(4), pages 1-4.
Etienne Briand & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2024. "Inflation, Attention and Expectations," Working Papers 24-05, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Dec 2024.
- Etienne Briand & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2025. "Inflation, Attention and Expectations," CIRANO Working Papers 2025s-01, CIRANO.
Federico Daniel Forte, 2024. "Argentina | Pronóstico de inflación de corto plazo con modelos Random Forest [Argentina | Forecasting short-term inflation with Random Forest Models]," Working Papers 24/10, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
Rodrigo Sekkel & Tamon Takamura & Yaz Terajima, 2024. "Monetary Policy Transmission to Small Business Loan Performance: Evidence from Loan-Level Data," Staff Working Papers 24-41, Bank of Canada.
Fares Bounajm & Jean Garry Junior Roc & Yang Zhang, 2024. "Sources of pandemic-era inflation in Canada: an application of the Bernanke and Blanchard model," Staff Analytical Notes 2024-13, Bank of Canada.
Fares Bounajm & Jean Garry Junior Roc & Yang Zhang, 2024. "Sources d’inflation durant la pandémie au Canada : une application du modèle de Bernanke et Blanchard," Staff Analytical Notes 2024-13fr, Bank of Canada.
Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2022. "Constructing Fan Charts from the Ragged Edge of SPF Forecasts," Working Papers 22-36, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2024. "Constructing fan charts from the ragged edge of SPF forecasts," Working Papers 2429, Banco de España.
- Clark, Todd E. & Ganics, Gergely & Mertens, Elmar, 2024. "Constructing fan charts from the ragged edge of SPF forecasts," Discussion Papers 38/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2024. "Constructing Fan Charts from the Ragged Edge of SPF Forecasts," Working Papers 22-36R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Stefano Neri, 2024. "There has been an awakening. The rise (and fall) of inflation in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 834, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Simone Auer & Antonio M. Conti, 2024. "Bank lending in an unprecedented monetary tightening cycle: evidence from the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 856, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Davide Delle Monache & Claudia Pacella, 2024. "The drivers of inflation dynamics in Italy over the period 2021-2023," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 873, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Antonio Maria Conti & Stefano Neri & Alessandro Notarpietro, 2024. "Credit strikes back: the macroeconomic impact of the 2022-23 ECB monetary tightening and the role of lending rates," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 884, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Donato Ceci & Orest Prifti & Andrea Silvestrini, 2024. "Nowcasting Italian GDP growth: a Factor MIDAS approach," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1446, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Héctor M. Zárate-Solano & Norberto Rodríguez-Niño, 2024. "Consumer Prices Trends in Colombia: Detecting Breaks and Forecasting Infation," Borradores de Economia 1289, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Julien Andre & Marie Bessec, 2024. "A Mixed-Frequency Factor Model for Nowcasting French GDP," Working papers 975, Banque de France.
Urmat Dzhunkeev, 2024. "Forecasting Inflation in Russia Using Gradient Boosting and Neural Networks," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 83(1), pages 53-76, March.
Yury Perevyshin, 2024. "Analysts' Inflation Expectations vs Univariate Models of Inflation Forecasting in the Russian Economy," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 83(2), pages 54-76, June.
Rodion Latypov & Elena Akhmedova & Egor Postolit & Marina Mikitchuk, 2024. "Bottom-up Inflation Forecasting Using Machine Learning Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 83(3), pages 23-44, September.
Alexandra Bozhechkova & Urmat Dzhunkeev, 2024. "CLARA and CARLSON: Combination of Ensemble and Neural Network Machine Learning Methods for GDP Forecasting," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 83(3), pages 45-69, September.
Igor Savchenko & Marya Butakova & Leonid Markov & Margarita Lyakhnova & Olga Erushina & Roman Gartvich & Maxim Yakovina & Vasilii Shcherbakov, 2024. "Quarterly Projection Model for the Siberian Macroregion," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 83(4), pages 48-75, December.
Pedro Brinca & João Ricardo Costa Filho & Francesca Loria, 2024. "Business cycle accounting: What have we learned so far?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(4), pages 1276-1316, September.
- Brinca, Pedro & Costa-Filho, João & Loria, Francesca, 2020. "Business Cycle Accounting: what have we learned so far?," MPRA Paper 100180, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Eguren-Martin, Fernando & Kösem, Sevim & Maia, Guido & Sokol, Andrej, 2024. "Targeted financial conditions indices and growth-at-risk," Bank of England working papers 1084, Bank of England.
Dimitris Malliaropulos & Evgenia Passari & Filippos Petroulakis, 2024. "Unpacking commodity price fluctuations: reading the news to understand inflation," Working Papers 334, Bank of Greece.
Yoichi Ueno, 2024. "Linkage between Wage and Price Inflation in Japan," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 24-E-7, Bank of Japan.
Martinez-Martin Jaime & Morris Richard & Onorante Luca & Piersanti Fabio Massimo, 2024. "Merging Structural and Reduced-Form Models for Forecasting," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(1), pages 399-437, January.
Galimberti Jaqueson K., 2024. "Initial Beliefs Uncertainty," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(1), pages 45-96, January.
- Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2021. "Initial beliefs uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers 2021-68, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Chernis Tony, 2024. "Combining Large Numbers of Density Predictions with Bayesian Predictive Synthesis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 28(2), pages 293-317, April.
- Tony Chernis, 2023. "Combining Large Numbers of Density Predictions with Bayesian Predictive Synthesis," Staff Working Papers 23-45, Bank of Canada.
Christophe Blot, 2024. "La courbe de Phillips est-elle pertinente pour comprendre le lien entre inflation et chômage ?," Revue d'économie financière, Association d'économie financière, vol. 0(1), pages 165-178.
M. Hashem Pesaran & Ron P. Smith, 2024. "High-Dimensional Forecasting with Known Knowns and Known Unknowns," CESifo Working Paper Series 10931, CESifo.
- Pesaran, M. H. & Smith, R. P., 2024. "High-Dimensional Forecasting with Known Knowns and Known Unknowns," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2406, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- M. Hashem Pesaran & Ron P. Smith, 2024. "High-dimensional forecasting with known knowns and known unknowns," Papers 2401.14582, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
Diakonova, Marina & Molina, Luis & Mueller, Hannes & Pérez, Javier J. & Rauh, Christopher, 2024. "The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(4).
- Marina Diakonova & Luis Molina & Hannes Mueller & Javier J. Pérez & Cristopher Rauh, 2022. "The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting," Working Papers 2232, Banco de España.
- Diakonova, M. & Molina, L. & Mueller, H. & PÃ©rez, J. J. & Rauh, C., 2024. "The Information Content of Conflict, Social Unrest and Policy Uncertainty Measures for Macroeconomic Forecasting," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2418, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
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Diakonova, Marina & Molina, Luis & Mueller, Hannes & Pérez, Javier J. & Rauh, Christopher, 2024. "The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(4).
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Arpan Chakraborty & Siddhartha Chattopadhyay & Mausumi Das & Sohini Sahu, 2024. "Optimal Fiscal Debt Management Strategy During Financial Crises: A Behavioral New Keynesian DSGE Approach for the US," Working papers 352, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2024. "Dynamic Sparse Restricted Perceptions Equilibria," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp792, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
M. Hashem Pesaran & Ron P. Smith, 2024. "High-dimensional forecasting with known knowns and known unknowns," Papers 2401.14582, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
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Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "Technological synergies, heterogeneous firms, and idiosyncratic volatility," Economics Series Working Papers 1037, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
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Domenico Delli Gatti & Filippo Gusella & Giorgio Ricchiuti, 2024. "Endogenous vs Exogenous Instability: An Out-of-Sample Comparison," Working Papers - Economics wp2024_05.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
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Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana & Dick Oosthuizen, 2024. "Filtering with Limited Information," NBER Working Papers 32754, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Herbert Dawid & Domenico Delli Gatti & Luca Eduardo Fierro & Sebastian Poledna, 2024. "Implications of Behavioral Rules in Agent-Based Macroeconomics," CESifo Working Paper Series 11411, CESifo.
Mariia Okuneva & Philipp Hauber & Kai Carstensen & Jasper Bär, 2024. "Nowcasting German GDP with Text Data," CESifo Working Paper Series 11587, CESifo.
Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2023. "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," IMES Discussion Paper Series 23-E-07, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
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Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "Technological synergies, heterogeneous firms, and idiosyncratic volatility," Economics Series Working Papers 1037, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
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Frantisek Brazdik & Tatiana Keseliova & Karel Musil & Radek Snobl & Jan Solc & Stanislav Tvrz & Jan Zacek, 2024. "Understanding Inflation Expectations: Data, Drivers and Policy Implications," Working Papers 2024/3, Czech National Bank.
Jan Bruha & Adam Ruschka & Jan Solc, 2024. "LUCI: Your Best Friend for Measuring Labor Market Tightness," Working Papers 2024/7, Czech National Bank.
Pinilla Barrera, Alejandro & Hurtado Rendón, Álvaro & Velásquez Ceballos, Hermilson, 2024. "Variation Index of the Output Gap (VIOG): A New Way of Testing Potential GDP Estimations," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 2, Universidad EAFIT.
Anzoategui Zapata, Juan Camilo & Galvis Ciro, Juan Camilo, 2024. "Efectos de las noticias digitales en el GAP de expectativas de inflación: primeras evidencias para una economía emergente," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 16(2), pages 441-467, July.
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "Technological synergies, heterogeneous firms, and idiosyncratic volatility," Economics Series Working Papers 1037, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
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Paul Beaudry & Chenyu Hou & Franck Portier, 2024. "The Dominant Role of Expectations and Broad-Based Supply Shocks in Driving Inflation," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2024, volume 39, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Roshen Fernando & Warwick McKibbin, 2024. "Global Economic Impacts of Antimicrobial Resistance," CAMA Working Papers 2024-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Dick Oosthuizen, 2024. "Filtering with Limited Information," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
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Domenico Giannone & Giorgio Primiceri, 2024. "The Drivers of Post-Pandemic Inflation," NBER Working Papers 32859, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Federico Bassetti & Roberto Casarin & Marco Del Negro, 2022. "A Bayesian Approach to Inference on Probabilistic Surveys," Staff Reports 1025, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
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Richard Schnorrenberger & Aishameriane Schmidt & Guilherme Valle Moura, 2024. "Harnessing Machine Learning for Real-Time Inflation Nowcasting," Working Papers 806, DNB.
Marco Hoeberichts & Jan Willem van den End, 2024. "Detecting turning points in the inflation cycle," Working Papers 808, DNB.
Dorinth van Dijk & Mick van Rooijen & Jasper de Winter, 2024. "DFROG: A nowcasting model for GDP growth," Working Papers 819, DNB.
Chahad, Mohammed & Hofmann-Drahonsky, Anna-Camilla & Krause, Willi & Landau, Bettina & Sigwalt, Antoine, 2024. "The empirical performance of ECB/Eurosystem staff inflation projections since 2000," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, vol. 5.
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Chahad, Mohammed & Martínez Hernández, Catalina & Page, Adrian & Hofmann-Drahonsky, Anna-Camilla, 2024. "An update on the accuracy of recent Eurosystem/ECB staff projections for short-term inflation," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 2.
Bobeica, Elena & Paredes, Joan & Renault, Théodore & Rousseau, Flavie, 2024. "Selling price expectations for services: what do they tell us about consumer price pressures?," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, vol. 5.
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Allayioti, Anastasia & Arioli, Rodolfo & Bates, Colm & Botelho, Vasco & Fagandini, Bruno & Fonseca, Luís & Healy, Peter & Meyler, Aidan & Minasian, Ryan & Zahrt, Octavia, 2024. "A look back at 25 years of the ECB SPF," Occasional Paper Series 364, European Central Bank.
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Allayioti, Anastasia & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2024. "The role of comovement and time-varying dynamics in forecasting commodity prices," Working Paper Series 2901, European Central Bank.
Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2023. "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers 34/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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Velasco, Sofia, 2024. "Asymmetries in the transmission of monetary policy shocks over the business cycle: a Bayesian Quantile Factor Augmented VAR," Working Paper Series 2983, European Central Bank.
Emily Groenewald & Gary Van Vuuren, 2024. "Visualisation of Mahalanobis Distances for Trivariate JOINT Distributions," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(2), pages 203-206, March.
Siphat Lim & Edman Flores & Casey Barnett, 2024. "Analyzing the Effectiveness of a System of Equation Model in Comparison to Single Equation Models for Predicting General Price Level in Cambodia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(5), pages 156-166, September.
Maake Trecy & Semosa Donald & Ogujiuba Kanayo & Lethabo Maponya, 2024. "An Econometric Analysis of Inflation, Exchange Rate, and Interest Rate on Stock Market Performance in South Africa," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 14(6), pages 357-368, October.
Padha, Vimarsh & Chaubal, Aditi, 2024. "Impact of global liquidity on Indian financial markets and monetary policy outcomes: An ARDL approach," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
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Yang, Qu & Yu, Yuanyuan & Dai, Dongsheng & He, Qian & Lin, Yu, 2024. "Can hybrid model improve the forecasting performance of stock price index amid COVID-19? Contextual evidence from the MEEMD-LSTM-MLP approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
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Aidala, Felix & Armantier, Olivier & Koşar, Gizem & Somerville, Jason & Topa, Giorgio & van der Klaauw, Wilbert, 2024. "Gasoline price changes and consumer inflation expectations: Experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 66-80.
Clements, Michael P., 2024. "Survey expectations and adjustments for multiple testing," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 338-354.
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Banerjee, Ryan & Contreras, Juan & Mehrotra, Aaron & Zampolli, Fabrizio, 2024. "Inflation at risk in advanced and emerging market economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
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Diakonova, Marina & Molina, Luis & Mueller, Hannes & Pérez, Javier J. & Rauh, Christopher, 2024. "The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(4).
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Zohar, Osnat, 2024. "Cyclicality of uncertainty and disagreement," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
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Hajdini, Ina & Knotek, Edward S. & Leer, John & Pedemonte, Mathieu & Rich, Robert & Schoenle, Raphael, 2024. "Indirect consumer inflation expectations: Theory and evidence," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(S).
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Ferreira, Thiago R.T., 2024. "Cross-sectional financial conditions, business cycles and the lending channel," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
Odendahl, Florens & Pagliari, Maria Sole & Penalver, Adrian & Rossi, Barbara & Sestieri, Giulia, 2024. "Euro area monetary policy effects. Does the shape of the yield curve matter?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(S).
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Huang, Xiaowei & He, Chenyu & Zhang, Man, 2024. "Economic policy uncertainty and capital flows' tail risk in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
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Duc Do, Nguyen, 2024. "Money/asset ratio as a predictor of inflation," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
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Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "Technological synergies, heterogeneous firms, and idiosyncratic volatility," Economics Series Working Papers 1037, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
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Fernando, Roshen & Mckibbin, Warwick, 2024. "Global Economic Impacts of Antimicrobial Resistance," CEPR Discussion Papers 19138, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Chris Murphy, 2024. "An Evaluation of the Macro Policy Response to COVID," CAMA Working Papers 2024-58, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Matteo Luciani & Michele Modugno, 2024. "Lessons from nowcasting GDP across the world," Chapters, in: Michael P. Clements & Ana Beatriz GalvÃ£o (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting, chapter 8, pages 187-217, Edward Elgar Publishing.
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Siddhartha S. Bora & Ani L. Katchova, 2024. "Multi-step commodity forecasts using deep learning," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 84(4/5), pages 269-296, September.
Woraphon Yamaka, 2024. "Analyzing shifts in structural dependence between oil prices and exchange rates in oil-importing economies," Asian Journal of Economics and Banking, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(1), pages 48-63, December.
Luccas Assis Attílio & Joao Ricardo Faria & Mauricio Prado, 2024. "The impact of the US stock market on the BRICS and G7: a GVAR approach," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 51(7), pages 1481-1506, February.
Katarzyna Boratynska, 2024. "The Economic and Financial Standing Assessment of Energy Sector Companies During the COVID-19 Pandemic," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 1248-1265.
Jaromir Benes & Tomas Motl & David Vavra, 2024. "Practical Macrofinancial Stability Analysis: A Prototype Semistructural Model," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 74(1), pages 2-42, March.
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Daniel Borup & Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Erik Christian Montes Schütte & David E. Rapach & Sander Schwenk-Nebbe, 2022. "The Anatomy of Out-of-Sample Forecasting Accuracy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2022-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
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Christopher D. Cotton, 2024. "A Faster Convergence of Shelter Prices and Market Rent: Implications for Inflation," Current Policy Perspectives 2024-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
Christopher D. Cotton, 2024. "The Pass‐through of Gaps between Market Rent and the Price of Shelter," Working Papers 24-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
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Christopher D. Cotton, 2024. "The Pass‐Through of Gaps between Market Rent and the Price of Shelter," Working Papers 24-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
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Christian Garciga & Randal J. Verbrugge & Saeed Zaman, 2024. "Improving the Median CPI: Maximal Disaggregation Isn't Necessarily Optimal," Working Papers 24-02R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 01 Apr 2025.
Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2024. "Nowcasting Inflation," Working Papers 24-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Hajdini, Ina & Kurmann, Andre, 2022. "Predictable Forecast Errors in Full-Information Rational Expectations Models with Regime Shifts," School of Economics Working Paper Series 2022-5, LeBow College of Business, Drexel University.
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Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2022. "Constructing Fan Charts from the Ragged Edge of SPF Forecasts," Working Papers 22-36, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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Clements, Michael P. & Rich, Robert W. & Tracy, Joseph, 2025. "An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
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Hana Braitsch & James Mitchell & Taylor Shiroff, 2024. "Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation," Working Papers 24-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2024. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in the Distribution of Inflation Expectations: Theory and Empirical Evidence from Nine Countries," Working Papers 24-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Peter Jorgensen & Kevin J. Lansing, 2024. "A Simple Measure of Anchoring for Short-Run Expected Inflation in FIRE Models," Working Paper Series 2024-34, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Monetary Policy, Employment Shortfalls, and the Natural Rate Hypothesis," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-032, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Monetary Policy Strategies to Foster Price Stability and a Strong Labor Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Bora Durdu & Sergio Villalvazo, 2024. "Nonlinear Effects of Loan-to-Value Constraints," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-081, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Hie Joo Ahn & Leland E. Farmer, 2024. "Disagreement About the Term Structure of Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-084, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Matteo Barigozzi & Claudio Lissona & Matteo Luciani, 2024. "Measuring the Euro Area Output Gap," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-099, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Fernando Leibovici, 2024. "Artificial Intelligence and Inflation Forecasts," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 106(12), pages 1-14, November.
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Marco Del Negro, 2024. "Are Professional Forecasters Overconfident?," Liberty Street Economics 20240903, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Marco Del Negro, 2024. "Can Professional Forecasters Predict Uncertain Times?," Liberty Street Economics 20240904a, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Domenico Delli Gatti & Filippo Gusella & Giorgio Ricchiuti, 2024. "Endogenous vs Exogenous Instability: An Out-of-Sample Comparison," CESifo Working Paper Series 11082, CESifo.
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Dragoş Bîlteanu & Florentina Olivia Bălu & Irina Stancu, 2024. "Identifying the Inter-Relationships Between the Company’s Strategic Sectors," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, vol. 16(9), pages 68-80, May.
Vera Barinova & Margarita Gvozdeva & Stepan Zemtsov, 2024. "Small and medium-sized enterprises in Russia in the context of sanctions," Published Papers ppaper-2024-1330, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2024.
Drin, Svitlana, 2024. "Forecast model of the price of a product with a cold start," Working Papers 2024:2, Örebro University, School of Business.
Bjarni G. Einarsson, 2024. "Online Monitoring of Policy Optimality," Economics wp95, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
Sebastián Román & Emiliano Carlevaro & Martín Dutto, 2024. "Estimación de la compensación por inflación en la curva de rendimientos de bonos argentinos," Revista de Economía y Estadística, Universidad Nacional de Córdoba, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto de Economía y Finanzas, vol. 62(1), pages 71-109, Diciembre.
David Reifschneider, 2024. "US monetary policy and the recent surge in inflation," Working Paper Series WP24-13, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
Mahir Binici & Samuele Centorrino & Serhan Cevik & Gyowon Gwon, 2024. "Here Comes the Change: The Role of Global and Domestic Factors in Post-Pandemic Inflation in Europe," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(2), pages 237-290, April.
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Dmitri Blueschke & Klaus Weyerstrass & Reinhard Neck, 2024. "How can the preferences of policy makers be operationalised in optimum control problems with macroeconometric models? A case study for Slovenian fiscal policies," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 48(2), pages 151-169.
TORI Athina & GJECI Ardit & KUFO Andromahi, 2024. "Emerging from the Storm: Forecasting Bank Loan Quality in the Aftermath of COVID-19," European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Bucharest Economic Academy, issue 01, March.
Heinisch Katja & Behrens Christoph & Döpke Jörg & Foltas Alexander & Fritsche Ulrich & Köhler Tim & Müller Karsten & Puckelwald Johannes & Reichmayr Hannes, 2024. "The IWH Forecasting Dashboard: From Forecasts to Evaluation and Comparison," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 244(3), pages 277-288, June.
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Pierre Rostan & Alexandra Rostan & John Wall, 2024. "Measuring the Resilience to the Covid-19 Pandemic of Eurozone Economies with Their 2050 Forecasts," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(3), pages 1137-1157, March.
Rama K. Malladi, 2024. "Benchmark Analysis of Machine Learning Methods to Forecast the U.S. Annual Inflation Rate During a High-Decile Inflation Period," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 335-375, July.
Knut Lehre Seip & Dan Zhang, 2024. "Scoring Six Detrending Methods on Timing, Lead-Lag Relations, and Cycle Periods: An Empirical Study of US and UK Recessions 1977–2020," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(5), pages 3087-3116, November.
Rosa Drift & Jan Haan & Peter Boelhouwer, 2024. "Forecasting House Prices through Credit Conditions: A Bayesian Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3381-3405, December.
Emerta A. Aragie & Jean Balié, 2024. "The effect of price support policies under productivity shocks: evidence from an economywide model," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-26, February.
Federica Brenna & Zymantas Budrys, 2024. "The term structure of judgement: interpreting survey disagreement," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 123, Bank of Lithuania.
Gregory de Walque & Thomas Lejeune, 2024. "What caused the post-pandemic era inflation in Belgium? Replication of the Bernanke-Blanchard model for Belgium," Working Paper Research 447, National Bank of Belgium.
Paul Beaudry & Chenyu Hou & Franck Portier, 2024. "The Dominant Role of Expectations and Broad-Based Supply Shocks in Driving Inflation," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2024, volume 39, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Menzie D. Chinn & Laurent Ferrara, 2024. "The Predictive Power of the Term Spread and Financial Variables for Economic Activity across Countries," NBER Working Papers 32084, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Paul Beaudry & Chenyu Hou & Franck Portier, 2024. "The Dominant Role of Expectations and Broad-Based Supply Shocks in Driving Inflation," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2024, volume 39, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Dick Oosthuizen, 2024. "Filtering with Limited Information," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
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Giannone, Domenico & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2024. "The drivers of post-pandemic inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 19377, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Shigeru Fujita & Valerie A. Ramey & Tal Roded, 2024. "Why Didn't the U.S. Unemployment Rate Rise at the End of WWII?," NBER Working Papers 33041, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Mark Setterfield & George Wheaton, 2024. "Animal spirits and the Goodwin pattern," Working Papers 2407, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
Mirko Djukic, 2024. "Topic classification of economic newspaper articles in a highly inflectional language – the case of Serbia," Working Papers Bulletin 21, National Bank of Serbia.
Lenza, Michele & Moutachaker, Inès & Paredes, Joan, 2023. "Density forecasts of inflation: a quantile regression forest approach," Working Paper Series 2830, European Central Bank.
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A. Quartier-La-Tente, 2024. "Estimation en temps reel de la tendance-cycle : apport de l’utilisation des filtres asymetriques dans la detection des points de retournement," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers m2024-01, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
Ed Cornforth & Patricia Sánchez Juanino, 2024. "Expansion of Country Models," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 558, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
Andrew Binning, 2024. "Quantifying the Role Automatic Stabilisers Play in New Zealand Using a Macro-Simulation Approach," Treasury Working Paper Series 24/02, New Zealand Treasury.
Karim M Abadir & Gabriel Talmain, 2024. "Beyond Co-integration: New Tools for Inference on Co-movements," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 839-867.
Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2024. "Do Recessions and Bear Markets Occur Concurrently across Countries? A Multinomial Logistic Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 22(5), pages 1482-1502.
Roxana Ispas, 2024. "The Role of Financial Management in Optimizing the Economic Performance of Companies: Challenges and Perspectives," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 536-542, December.
Roxana Ispas, 2024. "Pricing Policy as a Strategic Tool in the Context of Global Competition," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 543-548, December.
FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2024. "Technological Synergies, Heterogeneous Firms, and Idiosyncratic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 18899, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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N. Kundan Kishor, 2024. "Does the Zillow rent measure help predict CPI rent inflation?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 59(4), pages 220-226, October.
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Chris Murphy, 2024. "An Evaluation of the Macro Policy Response to COVID," Departmental Working Papers 2024-9, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "Technological synergies, heterogeneous firms, and idiosyncratic volatility," Economics Series Working Papers 1037, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
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- Jésus Fernández-Villaverde & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, 2024. "Technological Synergies, Heterogeneous Firms, and Idiosyncratic Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 11000, CESifo.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2024. "Technological Synergies, Heterogeneous Firms and Idiosyncratic Volatility," CAMA Working Papers 2024-22, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2024. "Technological Synergies, Heterogeneous Firms, and Idiosyncratic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 18899, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Drautzburg, Thorsten & FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Guerron, Pablo & Oosthuizen, Dick, 2024. "Filtering with Limited Information," CEPR Discussion Papers 19270, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Dick Oosthuizen, 2024. "Filtering with Limited Information," PIER Working Paper Archive 24-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana & Dick Oosthuizen, 2024. "Filtering with Limited Information," NBER Working Papers 32754, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana & Dick Oosthuizen, 2024. "Filtering with Limited Information," CESifo Working Paper Series 11243, CESifo.
Harashima, Taiji, 2024. "Numerical Simulation of Economic Depression," MPRA Paper 120508, University Library of Munich, Germany.
N. Kundan Kishor, 2024. "Does the Zillow rent measure help predict CPI rent inflation?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 59(4), pages 220-226, October.
- Kishor, N. Kundan, 2024. "Does Zillow Rent Measure Help Predict CPI Rent Inflation?," MPRA Paper 120818, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Alnaa, Samuel Erasmus & Matey, Juabin, 2024. "Financial Deepening in Ghana; Does Macroeconomics Matter," MPRA Paper 120974, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Apr 2024.
Olkhov, Victor, 2024. "Lower bounds of uncertainty and upper limits on the accuracy of forecasts of macroeconomic variables," MPRA Paper 121628, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Vîntu, Denis, 2024. "Twin Deficits and Fiscal Spillovers in the European Periphery (Candidate Countries to EU Accession): A Keynesian Perspective," MPRA Paper 123504, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2024.
Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Polat, Onur, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. recessions using over 150 years of data: Stock-market moments versus oil-market moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
- Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. Recessions Using Over 150 Years of Data: Stock-Market Moments versus Oil-Market Moments," Working Papers 202435, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Mihail Petkovski & Jordan Kjosevski & Aleksandar Stojkov & Katerina Bartasek Petkovska, 2024. "Examining Country-specific and Global Factors of Inflation Dynamics: The Curious Case of Baltic States," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2024(6), pages 896-922.
Nuno Vilarinho Goncalves, 2024. "Post-pandemic inflation dynamics in Portugal: an application of the Bernanke-Blanchard model," Working Papers w202418, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
Luke Hartigan & Tom Rosewall, 2024. "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth during the COVID-19 Crisis Using a Monthly Activity Indicator," Working Papers 2024-15, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
- Luke Hartigan & Tom Rosewall, 2024. "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth during the COVID-19 Crisis Using a Monthly Activity Indicator," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2024-04, Reserve Bank of Australia.
Tenorio, Juan & Perez, Wilder, 2024. "GDP nowcasting with Machine Learning and Unstructured Data," Working Papers 2024-003, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2024. "Firm Level Expectations and Macroeconomic Conditions: Underpinnings and Disagreement," CAMA Working Papers 2024-05, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2024. "Firm level expectations and macroeconomic conditions underpinnings and disagreement," Working Papers 11058, South African Reserve Bank.
Tüzüntürk, Selim, 2024. "Forecasting Drinking Water Sales Values with Artificial Neural Networks: A Comparative Analysis with ARIMA and Winters’ Methods," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 15(4), pages 371-388, October.
Rhee, Hongjai, 2024. "Assessing the Economic Impact of Covid-19 through a Counterfactual Analysis," East Asian Economic Review, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, vol. 28(1), pages 69-94, March.
Han, Jung Min, 2024. "KIET Manufacturing Business Survey Index (BSI) for the 1st Quarter 2024," Industrial Economic Review 24-10, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade.
Xianning WANG & Xikai HUANG & Longkun TIAN & Huiyan ZHOU, 2024. "Can the Futures Price of Agricultural Products Predict the Scale of China's Agricultural Production?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 128-143, December.
Pablo PINCHEIRA-BROWN & Nicolás HARDY, 2024. "More predictable than ever, with the worst MSPE ever," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 5-30, December.
Hossa Almutairi & Marzio Galeotti & Baltasar Manzano & Axel Pierru, 2024. "Resilience of Saudi Arabiaâ€™s Economy to Oil Shocks: Effects of Economic Reforms," The Energy Journal, , vol. 45(5), pages 125-148, September.
Ganapati Mendali & Sanjukta Das, 2024. "Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-through in India: A Non-linear ARDL Approach," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 59(3), pages 429-447, August.
Dila Asfuroglu, 2024. "Surprise by Anticipated Inflation," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, May.
Mehdi Mili & Jean‐Michel Sahut & Frédéric Teulon & Lubica Hikkerova, 2024. "A multidimensional Bayesian model to test the impact of investor sentiment on equity premium," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 334(1), pages 919-939, March.
Hedi Ben Haddad & Imed Mezghani & Imed Medhioub & Sohale Altamimi, 2024. "Spillover effects of disaggregated macroeconomic uncertainties on U.S. real activity: evidence from the quantile vector autoregressive connectedness approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 829-858, February.
Andrzej Cieślik & Mehmet Burak Turgut, 2024. "Uncertainty and long-run economy: the role of R &D and business dynamism," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(4), pages 1403-1441, April.
Tural Yusifzada, 2024. "Evaluating the global impact of climate change on agricultural inflation: an innovative climate condition index approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(7), pages 18411-18438, July.
Sharon Pun-wai Ng & Eddie Ming-lok Kwok & Brian Chi-yan Cheng & Alfred Yiu-po Yuen, 2024. "Business Cycle and Early Warning Indicators for the Economy of Hong Kong– Challenges of Forecasting Work amid the COVID-19 Pandemic," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 20(1), pages 123-135, August.
Kai Carstensen & Felix Kießner & Thies Rossian, 2024. "Estimation of the TFP Gap for the Largest Five EMU Countries," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 20(2), pages 243-296, July.
Kristian Jönsson, 2024. "Simulation-Based Analysis of Real-Time Reliability for Trend/Cycle Decompositions," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 20(2), pages 219-242, July.
Sarah Fischer & Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski & Philipp Wegmüller, 2024. "Assessing the Potential Output for Switzerland: Determinants, Trends and Drivers," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 20(2), pages 297-338, July.
Giovanni Dosi & Davide Usula & Maria Enrica Virgillito, 2024. "Increasing returns and labor markets in a predator–prey model," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 375-402, April.
- Giovanni Dosi & Davide Usula & Maria Enrica Virgillito, 2023. "Increasing returns and labour markets in a predator-prey model," LEM Papers Series 2023/21, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
Gavin Ooft & Sailesh Bhaghoe & Philip Hans Franses, 2024. "Forecasting Annual Inflation Using Weekly Money Supply," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 22(1), pages 25-43, March.
Yongguang Zhu & Ya Li & Yuna Gong & Deyi Xu, 2024. "Examining the metal futures price discovery in China from multi-scale time," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 37(1), pages 173-188, March.
Diego Fresoli, 2024. "Spanish GDP short-term point and density forecasting using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 145-177, June.
Vatis Christian Kemezang & André Ilaire Djou & Ivette Gnitedem Keubeng, 2024. "Measuring market risk with GARCH models under Basel III: selection and application to German firms," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(10), pages 1-30, October.
Luke Hartigan & Tom Rosewall, 2024. "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth during the COVID-19 Crisis Using a Monthly Activity Indicator," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2024-04, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Luke Hartigan & Tom Rosewall, 2024. "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth during the COVID-19 Crisis Using a Monthly Activity Indicator," Working Papers 2024-15, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2024. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(41), pages 4925-4937, September.
- Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Val rie Chouard & R my Lecat, 2023. "How Can Technology Significantly Contribute to Climate Change Mitigation?," Working papers 909, Banque de France.
- Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2024. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," Post-Print hal-04184412, HAL.
- Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2023. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," AMSE Working Papers 2301, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2023. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," Working Papers hal-03924629, HAL.
Liu Yang & Kajal Lahiri & Adrian Pagan, 2024. "Getting the ROC into Sync," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(1), pages 109-121, January.
- Liu Yang & Kajal Lahiri & Adrian Pagans, 2022. "Getting the ROC into Sync," CAMA Working Papers 2022-01, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Davide Delle Monache & Andrea De Polis & Ivan Petrella, 2024. "Modeling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 1010-1025, July.
- Delle Monache, Davide & De Polis, Andrea & Petrella, Ivan, 2021. "Modeling and forecasting macroeconomic downside risk," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1324, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Delle Monache, Davide & De Polis, Andrea & Petrella, Ivan, 2022. "Modeling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 15109, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
F. Blasques & S.J. Koopman & G. Mingoli & S. Telg, 2024. "A Novel Test for the Presence of Local Explosive Dynamics," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 24-036/III, Tinbergen Institute.
Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2024. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(5), pages 1403-1417, September.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Papers 21-02R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 09 Aug 2021.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea & Mertens, Elmar, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 15964, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2022. "Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility," Discussion Papers 13/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2023. "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series 2023-016, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
- Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2024. "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," Working Papers on Central Bank Communication 052, University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics.
- Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2024. "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," CARF F-Series CARF-F-591, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2023. "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," IMES Discussion Paper Series 23-E-07, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
LOMADZE, Davit & BERISHVILI, Vakhtang, 2024. "The Impact Of Sovereign Credit Ratings On Interest Rates In Emerging Economies – Case From Georgia," Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 12(1), pages 115-125, October.
Petar Ivanov, 2024. "Detecting Housing Bubbles Through the Assessment of House Price Deviations in Bulgaria," Stroitelno predpriemachestvo i nedvizhima sobstvenost = Construction Entrepreneurship and Real Property, University of Economics Varna, issue 2, pages 40-53.
Boysen-Hogrefe Jens & Groll Dominik, 2024. "Konjunkturschlaglicht: Auswirkungen des Haushaltsurteils," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, vol. 104(1), pages 67-68, January.
James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2024. "Constructing density forecasts from quantile regressions: Multimodality in macrofinancial dynamics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 790-812, August.
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022. "Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Working Papers 22-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 11 Apr 2023.
Peter McAdam & Anders Warne, 2024. "Density forecast combinations: The real‐time dimension," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1153-1172, August.
- McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2020. "Density forecast combinations: the real-time dimension," Working Paper Series 2378, European Central Bank.
Jiawen Luo & Tony Klein & Thomas Walther & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Forecasting realized volatility of crude oil futures prices based on machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1422-1446, August.
- Luo, Jiawen & Klein, Tony & Walther, Thomas & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Crude Oil Futures Prices based on Machine Learning," QBS Working Paper Series 2021/04, Queen's University Belfast, Queen's Business School.
Pablo Pincheira Brown & Nicolás Hardy, 2024. "Correlation‐based tests of predictability," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1835-1858, September.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2022. "Correlation Based Tests of Predictability," MPRA Paper 112014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2024. "Capturing Macro‐Economic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(5), pages 1099-1127, August.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020. "Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers 20-02R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 22 Sep 2020.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2022. "Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 17512, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Nguyen Anh Phong & Phan Huy Tam & Nguyen Thanh Tung, 2024. "Identifying Fraud Financial Reports Based on Signs of Income Management Using Machine Learning Technology: The Case of Listed Companies in Vietnam," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(02), pages 1-16, June.
Yushan Hu & Penglong Zhang, 2024. "Performance Of Chinaâ€™S Core Inflation Measures For Monetary Policy," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 69(07), pages 2207-2234, December.
Fungáčová, Zuzana & Kerola, Eeva & Weill, Laurent, 2024. "European banks are not immune to national elections," BOFIT Discussion Papers 4/2024, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2022. "Constructing Fan Charts from the Ragged Edge of SPF Forecasts," Working Papers 22-36, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Clark, Todd E. & Ganics, Gergely & Mertens, Elmar, 2024. "Constructing fan charts from the ragged edge of SPF forecasts," Discussion Papers 38/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2024. "Constructing fan charts from the ragged edge of SPF forecasts," Working Papers 2429, Banco de España.
- Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2024. "Constructing Fan Charts from the Ragged Edge of SPF Forecasts," Working Papers 22-36R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Schnorrenberger, Richard & Schwind, Patrick & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2024. "Forecasting HICP package holidays with forward-looking booking data," Technical Papers 04/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Herbst, Tobias & Plaasch, Jannick & Stammwitz, Florian, 2024. "A price-at-risk approach for the German commercial real estate market," Technical Papers 08/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Schult, Christoph, 2024. "Is risk the fuel of the business cycle? Financial frictions and oil market disturbances," IWH Discussion Papers 4/2024, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
Heinisch, Katja, 2024. "Step by step - A quarterly evaluation of EU Commission's GDP forecasts," IWH Discussion Papers 22/2024, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Sardone, Alessandro & Schult, Christoph & Zeddies, Götz, 2024. "Mittelfristige Projektion der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung und Szenarien für die Erreichung der gesetzlichen Emissionsziele," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 12(4), pages 170-187.
Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Paredes, Joan & Wolf, Elias, 2022. "Conditional density forecasting: a tempered importance sampling approach," Working Paper Series 2754, European Central Bank.
- Wolf, Elias & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Paredes, Joan, 2024. "Conditional density forecasting: a tempered importance sampling approach," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302442, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

2023

Jacek Kotłowski, 2023. "The role of central bank forecasts in uncertain times," NBP Working Papers 363, Narodowy Bank Polski.
FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Hull, Isaiah, 2023. "Dynamic Programming on a Quantum Annealer: Solving the RBC Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 18190, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Isaiah J. Hull, 2023. "Dynamic Programming on a Quantum Annealer: Solving the RBC Model," NBER Working Papers 31326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Isaiah Hull, 2023. "Dynamic Programming on a Quantum Annealer: Solving the RBC Model," CESifo Working Paper Series 10500, CESifo.
- Jes'us Fern'andez-Villaverde & Isaiah Hull, 2023. "Dynamic Programming on a Quantum Annealer: Solving the RBC Model," Papers 2306.04285, arXiv.org.
Menzie Chinn & Baptiste Meunier & Sebastian Stumpner, 2023. "Nowcasting World Trade with Machine Learning: a Three-Step Approach," Working papers 917, Banque de France.
- Menzie D. Chinn & Baptiste Meunier & Sebastian Stumpner, 2023. "Nowcasting World Trade with Machine Learning: a Three-Step Approach," NBER Working Papers 31419, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chinn, Menzie D. & Meunier, Baptiste & Stumpner, Sebastian, 2023. "Nowcasting world trade with machine learning: a three-step approach," Working Paper Series 2836, European Central Bank.
Zigang Li & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Wang Renxuan, 2023. "Understanding Rationality and Disagreement in House Price Expectations," NBER Working Papers 31516, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Luca Gemmi & Rosen Valchev, 2023. "Biased Surveys," NBER Working Papers 31607, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Hengjie Ai & Ravi Bansal & Hongye Guo, 2023. "Macroeconomic Announcement Premium," NBER Working Papers 31923, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Irina-Stefana Cibotariu, 2023. "Methods of Measuring and Analyzing Inflation and Its Effect on Economic Growth," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 36-45, December.
John O’Trakoun, 2023. "An alternative measure of core inflation: the Trimmed Persistence PCE price index," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 58(4), pages 205-223, October.
- John O'Trakoun, 2023. "An Alternative Measure of Core Inflation: The Trimmed Persistence PCE Price Index," Working Paper 23-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.
Massimo Ferrari Minesso & Laura Lebastard & Helena Mezo, 2023. "Text-Based Recession Probabilities," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(2), pages 415-438, June.
- Le Mezo, Helena & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo, 2021. "Text-based recession probabilities," Working Paper Series 2516, European Central Bank.
Kumar, Anshul, 2023. "A basic two-sector new Keynesian DSGE model of the Indian economy," MPRA Paper 115863, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & F. Ulrich Ruch, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," CAMA Working Papers 2023-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kilic Celik, Sinem & Kose, Ayhan M. & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Ruch, Franz, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," MPRA Paper 116902, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & F. Ulrich Ruch, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2302, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Kilic Celik, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Ruch, Franz, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," CEPR Discussion Papers 18061, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards and Policies," CAMA Working Papers 2023-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kilic Celic, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," MPRA Paper 116905, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2303, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Kilic Celik, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," CEPR Discussion Papers 18062, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kilic Celik,Sinem & Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects : Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10355, The World Bank.
Medina, Juan Pablo & Toni, Emiliano & Valdes, Rodrigo, 2023. "The Art and Science of Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Chile," MPRA Paper 117198, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Apr 2023.
M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch," CAMA Working Papers 2023-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More than a rough Patch," MPRA Paper 117327, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch," CEPR Discussion Papers 18226, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2304, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
Saccal, Alessandro, 2023. "A role for confidence: volition regimes and news," MPRA Paper 117484, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Frank, Luis, 2023. "Revisión del traslado a precios de la devaluación del tipo de cambio oficial durante el per\'iodo 2017-2023 en Argentina [Review of the devaluation of the official exchange rate pass-through to pri," MPRA Paper 117904, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Victor Olkhov, 2023. "Economic Complexity Limits Accuracy of Price Probability Predictions by Gaussian Distributions," Papers 2309.02447, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2023. "Economic complexity limits accuracy of price probability predictions by gaussian distributions," MPRA Paper 118373, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Lee, David, 2023. "Default Forecasting and Credit Valuation Adjustment," MPRA Paper 118578, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Polbin, Andrey & Shumilov, Andrei, 2023. "Прогнозирование Инфляции В России С Помощью Tvp-Модели С Байесовским Сжатием Параметров [Forecasting inflation in Russia using a TVP model with Bayesian shrinkage]," MPRA Paper 118650, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Olkhov, Victor, 2023. "Economic Theory as Successive Approximations of Statistical Moments," MPRA Paper 118722, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Andriantomanga, Zo, 2023. "The role of survey-based expectations in real-time forecasting of US inflation," MPRA Paper 119904, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "Technological Shocks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202308, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Jiří Pour, 2023. "Ceny nemovitostí a dlouhodobé úrokové sazby [House prices and long-term interest rates]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2023(6), pages 668-708.
António Rua & Nuno Lourenço & João Quelhas, 2023. "Navigating with a compass: Charting the course of underlying inflation," Working Papers w202317, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
Nuwat Nookhwun & Pym Manopimoke, 2023. "Disaggregated Inflation Dynamics in Thailand: Which Shocks Matter?," PIER Discussion Papers 211, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
Aguirre, John & Arrieta, Johar & Castillo, Luis E. & Florián, David & Ledesma, Alan & Martinez, Jefferson & Morales, Valeria & Vélez, Amilcar, 2023. "Modelo de Proyección Trimestral: Una Actualización Hasta 2019," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 42, pages 9-58.
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Michael P. Clements & Shixuan Wang, 2023. "Do Professional Forecasters' Phillips Curves Incorporate the Beliefs of Others?," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2023-05, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Papers 2305.09563, arXiv.org.
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Stankevich, Ivan, 2023. "Application of Markov-Switching MIDAS models to nowcasting of GDP and its components," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 70, pages 122-143.
Aghania, Parisa & Heydari, Hassan & Jahangiri, Shahab, 2023. "Investigating the Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on Economic Growth and Inflation in the Iranian Economy: Empirical Evidence Based on the TVP-TVP-SFAVAR-SV Model," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 9(4), pages 61-96, March.
Yosefizadeh, Hasan & Khalili, Farzaneh & Nadri, Kamran, 2023. "Investigating the Effects of Taxation on the Profit of Bank Deposits on Inflation and GDP of Iran's Economy in the Form of a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model (DSGE)," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 10(1), pages 59-88, June.
Tadzhibaeva, Liana (Таджибаева, Лиана), 2023. "Autoregression model for the GDP of the Russian Federation, supplemented by the indicator of business activity of trading partner countries [Модель Авторегрессии Для Ввп Рф, Дополненная Показателем," Working Papers w20220233, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
Mikhaylov, Dmitry, 2023. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with the Use of News Data," Working Papers w20220250, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
Perevyshin, Yuriy (Перевышин, Юрий) & Trunin, Pavel (Трунин, Павел), 2023. "Inflation expectations accuracy in russian economy [Точность Инфляционных Ожиданий В Российской Экономике]," Working Papers w202332, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
Perevyshin, Yuriy (Перевышин, Юрий) & Kolyadenko, Pavel (Коляденко, Павел), 2023. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts in russian economy? [Помогают Ли Инфляционные Ожидания Прогнозировать Инфляцию В Российской Экономике?]," Working Papers w202333, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
Vedev, Aleksei (Ведев, Алексей) & Silchuk, Aleksandra (Сильчук, Александра) & Eremkin, Vladimir (Еремкин, Владимир) & Tuzov, Konstantin (Тузов, Константин) & Kovaleva, Maria (Ковалева, Мария), 2023. "Forecast of medium-term dynamics of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation under sanctions pressure, assessment of the effectiveness of implemented economic support measures and risk man," Working Papers w202374, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
Laura Felber & Simon Beyeler, 2023. "Nowcasting economic activity using transaction payments data," Working Papers 2023-01, Swiss National Bank.
Marie-Catherine Bieri, 2023. "Assessing economic sentiment with newspaper text indices: evidence from Switzerland," Working Papers 2023-07, Swiss National Bank.
Kenshiro Ninomiya, 2023. "Debt burden, investment, and profit-sharing," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 287-306, September.
Fumio Hayashi & Yuta Tachi, 2023. "Nowcasting Japan’s GDP," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1699-1735, April.
Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2023. "Economic forecasting in a pandemic: some evidence from Singapore," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(5), pages 2105-2124, May.
Ayman Mnasri & Zouhair Mrabet & Mouyad Alsamara, 2023. "A new quadratic asymmetric error correction model: does size matter?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 33-64, July.
Yue-Jun Zhang & Han Zhang & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "A new hybrid method with data-characteristic-driven analysis for artificial intelligence and robotics index return forecasting," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, December.
Robert Lehmann, 2023. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(1), pages 43-94, March.
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Satoshi Urasawa, 2023. "The Usefulness of High-Frequency Alternative Data to Obtain Nowcasts for Japan’s GDP: Evidence from Credit Card Data," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(2), pages 191-211, September.
Bibiana Lanzilotta & Gabriel Merlo & Gabriela Mordecki & Viviana Umpierrez, 2023. "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks in Uruguay Through VAR Modeling," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(3), pages 399-419, November.
- Bibiana Lanzilotta & Gabriel Merlo & Gabriela Mordecki & Viviana Umpierrez, 2020. "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks in Uruguay through VAR modeling," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 20-17, Instituto de EconomÃa - IECON.
Ujjal Chatterjee, 2023. "Forecasting Economic Growth: Evidence from housing, banking, and credit conditions," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 47(4), pages 936-958, December.
Richard Kwabi Ayisi & Gloria Afful-Mensah, 2023. "A Model of New Keynesian Philip Curve and Inflation Dynamics in Ghana," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 21(3), pages 703-719, September.
Giuseppe Orlando & Mario Sportelli, 2023. "A Survey on Business Cycles: History, Theory and Empirical Findings," Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics, in: Vikas Kumar & Evgeny Kuzmin & Wei-Bin Zhang & Yuliya Lavrikova (ed.), Consequences of Social Transformation for Economic Theory, pages 5-34, Springer.
Peter Kugler & George Sheldon, 2023. "A monthly leading indicator of Swiss GDP growth based on Okun’s law," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 159(1), pages 1-14, December.
Ujjal Chatterjee, 2023. "Predicting economic growth: evidence from real-estate loans securitization," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 1-20, March.
Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2023. "CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions," SpringerBriefs in Economics, in: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions, chapter 0, pages 7-29, Springer.
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Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua, 2023. "The Increasing Synchronization of International Recessions," Springer Books, in: Pami Dua (ed.), Macroeconometric Methods, chapter 0, pages 377-390, Springer.
Pami Dua & Deepika Goel, 2023. "Forecasting India’s Inflation in a Data-Rich Environment: A FAVAR Study," Springer Books, in: Pami Dua (ed.), Macroeconometric Methods, chapter 0, pages 225-259, Springer.
Adler Haymans Manurung & Derwin Suhartono & Benny Hutahayan & Noptovius Halimawan, 2023. "Probability Bankruptcy Using Support Vector Regression Machines," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 13(1), pages 1-3.
Giovanni Dosi & Davide Usula & Maria Enrica Virgillito, 2024. "Increasing returns and labor markets in a predator–prey model," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 375-402, April.
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Ye Lu & Adrian Pagan, 2023. "To Boost or Not to Boost? That is the Question," CAMA Working Papers 2023-12, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Ye Lu & Adrian Pagan, 2023. "To Boost or Not to Boost? That is the Question," Working Papers 2023-05, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
Kajal Lahiri & Junyan Zhang & Yongchen Zhao, 2023. "Inefficiency in social security trust funds forecasts," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(10), pages 1353-1357, June.
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Jin Yeub Kim & Yongjun Kim & Myungkyu Shim, 2023. "Do Financial Analysts Herd?," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(3), pages 202-219, July.
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Erlan Konebayev, 2023. "Forecasting a Commodity-Exporting Small Open Developing Economy Using DSGE and DSGE-BVAR," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 39-70, January.
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Joshua C. C. Chan, 2023. "Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(3), pages 890-905, July.
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Dongho Song & Jenny Tang, 2023. "News-Driven Uncertainty Fluctuations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(3), pages 968-982, July.
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Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023. "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1188-1202, October.
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- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-11, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working papers 717, Banque de France.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Papers 2007.00273, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
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Erlan Konebayev, 2023. "Estimation of a small open economy DSGE model for Kazakhstan," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(7), pages 670-707, October.
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Anna Gloria Billé & Alessio Tomelleri & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2023. "Forecasting regional GDPs: a comparison with spatial dynamic panel data models," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 530-551, October.
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Elif Feyza Özcan Kodaz & Serdar Yürek, 2023. "State-Dependency in Price Adjustments: Evidence from Large Shocks," Working Papers 2304, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Cars Hommes & Sebastian Poledna, 2023. "Analyzing and forecasting economic crises with an agent-based model of the euro area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-013/II, Tinbergen Institute.
Daan Opschoor & Dick van Dijk, 2023. "Slow Expectation-Maximization Convergence in Low-Noise Dynamic Factor Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-018/III, Tinbergen Institute.
Gabriel Mathy & Yongchen Zhao, 2023. "Could Diffusion Indexes Have Forecasted the Great Depression?," Working Papers 2023-05, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2023.
Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2023. "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(2), pages 392-407, March.
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- Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2020. "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," Working Paper Series 2020-33, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2016. "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," International Finance Discussion Papers 1179, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Tae-Hwy Lee & Ekaterina Seregina & Yaojue Xu, 2023. "Elicitability and Encompassing for Volatility Forecasts by Bregman Functions," Working Papers 202311, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
Mihnea Constantinescu, 2023. "Sparse Warcasting," Working Papers 01/2023, National Bank of Ukraine.
Anton Grui & Nicolas Aragon & Oleksandr Faryna & Dmytro Krukovets & Kateryna Savolchuk & Oleksii Sulimenko & Artem Vdovychenko & Oleksandr Zholud, 2023. "Between russian Invasions: The Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Ukraine in 2015-2021," Working Papers 02/2023, National Bank of Ukraine.
Alejo Estavillo & Gabriela Mordecki, 2023. "Nowcasting del PIB para Uruguay en base a un modelo de ecuaciones puente," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 23-26, Instituto de EconomÃa - IECON.
Bowen Fu, Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2023. "Structural shocks and trend inflation," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2023_04, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
Biškupec Petra Popek & Ružić Ivan, 2023. "Confronting the Inflationary Pressures of Introducing the Euro with the Effects of Negative External Shocks," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 23(1), pages 194-207, June.
Boysen-Hogrefe Jens, 2023. "Symmetrie in Gefahr?," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, vol. 103(1), pages 7-7, January.
Jannsen Nils & Sonnenberg Nils, 2023. "Inflation: neues Basisjahr und Preisbremsen," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, vol. 103(3), pages 223-224, March.
Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards and Policies," CAMA Working Papers 2023-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kilic Celik,Sinem & Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects : Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10355, The World Bank.
- Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2303, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Kilic Celik, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," CEPR Discussion Papers 18062, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kilic Celic, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," MPRA Paper 116905, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Hossein Hassani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The ENSO cycle and forecastability of global inflation and output growth: Evidence from standard and mixed‐frequency multivariate singular spectrum analyses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1690-1707, November.
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Günter Coenen & Carlos Montes‐Galdón & Frank Smets, 2023. "Effects of State‐Dependent Forward Guidance, Large‐Scale Asset Purchases, and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low‐Interest‐Rate Environment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(4), pages 825-858, June.
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Fazlul Miah, 2023. "News And Information Rigidity: Further Evidence From Gdp Growth Forecasts," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 23(01n04), pages 1-21, December.
Amritkant Mishra & Ajit Kumar Dash & Shri Narayan Pandey & Amba Agarwal, 2023. "Dynamic spillover among the sectoral indices: Evidence from first and second waves of COVID-19," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(03), pages 1-22, September.
Young Bin Ahn & Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2023. "Directional Accuracy Of Singaporeâ€™S Macroeconomic Forecasts," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 68(05), pages 1569-1583, September.
Obstbaum, Meri & Oinonen, Sami & Pönkä, Harri & Vanhala, Juuso & Vilmi, Lauri, 2023. "Transmission of recent shocks in a labour-DSGE model with wage rigidity," BoF Economics Review 1/2023, Bank of Finland.
Dück, Alexander & Verona, Fabio, 2023. "Monetary policy rules: model uncertainty meets design limits," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2023, Bank of Finland.
Finck, David & Hoffmann, Mathias & Hürtgen, Patrick, 2023. "On the empirical relevance of the exchange rate as a shock absorber at the zero lower bound," Discussion Papers 10/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2023. "Shadow-rate VARs," Discussion Papers 14/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2023. "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers 34/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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Hafemann, Lucas, 2023. "A house prices at risk approach for the German residential real estate market," Technical Papers 07/2023, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Reiss, Michael, 2023. "On the marginal utility of fiat money: insurmountable circularity or not?," EconStor Preprints 268397, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
Sitarz, Joanna & Pahle, Michael & Osorio, Sebastian & Luderer, Gunnar & Pietzcker, Robert, 2023. "EU carbon prices signal high policy credibility and farsighted actors," EconStor Preprints 280455, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
Dück, Alexander & Verona, Fabio, 2023. "Robust frequency-based monetary policy rules," IMFS Working Paper Series 180, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Sardone, Alessandro & Schult, Christoph & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2023. "Grüne Transformation und Schuldenbremse: Implikationen zusätzlicher Investitionen für öffentliche Finanzen und privaten Konsum," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 11(4), pages 141-159.
Heinisch Katja & Behrens Christoph & Döpke Jörg & Foltas Alexander & Fritsche Ulrich & Köhler Tim & Müller Karsten & Puckelwald Johannes & Reichmayr Hannes, 2024. "The IWH Forecasting Dashboard: From Forecasts to Evaluation and Comparison," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 244(3), pages 277-288, June.
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Kolev, Galina V. & Obst, Thomas & Puls, Thomas, 2024. "Auswirkungen des Nahostkonflikts auf die deutsche Wirtschaft," IW-Reports 1/2024, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
Urban, Jörg, 2023. "Credit cycles revisited," Working Paper Series in Economics 162, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
Born, Benjamin & Enders, Zeno & MÃ¼ller, Gernot, 2023. "On FIRE, news, and expectations," CEPR Discussion Papers 18259, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Foltas, Alexander, 2023. "Quantifying priorities in business cycle reports: Analysis of recurring textual patterns around peaks and troughs," Working Papers 44, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2022. "What is the Predictive Value of SPF Point and Density Forecasts?," Working Papers 22-37, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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Strunz, Franziska & Gödl, Maximilian, 2023. "An Evaluation of Professional Forecasts for the German Economy," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277707, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Conrad, Christian & Lahiri, Kajal, 2023. "Heterogeneous expectations among professional forecasters," ZEW Discussion Papers 23-062, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
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Ia Vardishvili, 2020. "Entry Decision, the Option to Delay Entry, and Business Cycles," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2020-07, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
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Selim Tüzüntürk & Fatma Sert Eteman, 2023. "Forecasting National Cement Demand in the Turkish Domestic Market with Artificial Neural Networks," Journal of Finance Letters (Maliye ve Finans Yazıları), Maliye ve Finans Yazıları Yayıncılık Ltd. Şti., vol. 38(120), pages 131-154, October.
Damba Lkhagvasuren, 2023. "Skewed Binomial Markov Chains," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 150, pages 81-122.
Carlos Carvalho & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2023. "Anchored Inflation Expectations," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(1), pages 1-47, January.
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- Carlos Carvalho & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench & Bruce Preston, 2020. "Anchored inflation expectations," CAMA Working Papers 2020-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Gwangmin Kim & Carola Binder, 2023. "Learning-through-Survey in Inflation Expectations," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 254-278, April.
Lukas Hoesch & Barbara Rossi & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2023. "Has the Information Channel of Monetary Policy Disappeared? Revisiting the Empirical Evidence," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(3), pages 355-387, July.
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Ricardo Reis, 2023. "Four Mistakes in the Use of Measures of Expected Inflation," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 113, pages 47-51, May.
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Ivan Yotzov & Lena Anayi & Nicholas Bloom & Philip Bunn & Paul Mizen & Özgen Öztürk & Gregory Thwaites, 2023. "Firm Inflation Uncertainty," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 113, pages 56-60, May.
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Tom Krebs, 2023. "The Energy Crisis in Germany and the Design of a Resilient Energy System," Working Papers 2, Forum New Economy.
Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2024. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(41), pages 4925-4937, September.
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Algieri, Bernardina & Iania, Leonardo & Leccadito, Arturo & Meloni, Giulia, 2024. "Message in a bottle: Forecasting wine prices," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(1), pages 64-91, February.
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Martín Llada & Daniel Aromí, 2023. "Pronóstico de la inflación con Twitter," Económica, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, vol. 69, pages 64-85, January-D.
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Орлов К.В. // Orlov K.V. & Сейдахметов А.Н. // Seidakhmetov A.N., 2023. "Различные оценки базовой инфляции для Казахстана. // Various Core Inflation Estimates for Kazakhstan," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue Special, pages 136-190.
Орлов Константин // Orlov Konstantin & Сейдахметов Ансар // Seidakhmetov Ansar, 2023. "Различные оценки базовой инфляции для Казахстана // Various Estimates of Core Inflation for Kazakhstan," Working Papers #2023-2, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
Bonsoo Koo & Benjamin Wong & Ze-Yu Zhong, 2023. "Disentangling Structural Breaks in High Dimensional Factor Models," CAMA Working Papers 2023-15, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper 2023/9, Norges Bank.
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Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Isaiah J. Hull, 2023. "Dynamic Programming on a Quantum Annealer: Solving the RBC Model," NBER Working Papers 31326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Ali Lashgari, 2023. "Harnessing the Potential of Volatility: Advancing GDP Prediction," Papers 2307.05391, arXiv.org.
Olkhov, Victor, 2023. "Economic complexity limits accuracy of price probability predictions by gaussian distributions," MPRA Paper 118373, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Victor Olkhov, 2023. "Theoretical Economics as Successive Approximations of Statistical Moments," Papers 2310.05971, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
M. Carmen Lima & Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & Ferran Sancho, 2023. "A Methodology to Study Price-Quantity Interactions in input-output Modeling: an Application to NextGenerationEU Funds," Working Papers 1396, Barcelona School of Economics.
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Nikola N. Nenovsky, 2023. "Are Monetary Aggregates Good Predictors for the Bulgarian Inflation Rate?," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 5, pages 483-506.
Simona Pichova & Jan Cernohorsky & Marketa Kacerova & Jan Zila, 2023. "A critique of quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve System and the European Central Bank," E&M Economics and Management, Technical University of Liberec, Faculty of Economics, vol. 26(4), pages 134-147, December.
Marc-André Gosselin & Sharon Kozicki, 2023. "Making It Real: Bringing Research Models into Central Bank Projections," Discussion Papers 2023-29, Bank of Canada.
Lin Chen & Stephanie Houle, 2023. "Turning Words into Numbers: Measuring News Media Coverage of Shortages," Discussion Papers 2023-8, Bank of Canada.
Kerem Tuzcuoglu, 2023. "Risk Amplification Macro Model (RAMM)," Technical Reports 123, Bank of Canada.
Chernis Tony, 2024. "Combining Large Numbers of Density Predictions with Bayesian Predictive Synthesis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 28(2), pages 293-317, April.
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Pascal, Julien, 2024. "Artificial neural networks to solve dynamic programming problems: A bias-corrected Monte Carlo operator," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
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Alejandro Fernández Cerezo, 2023. "Un procedimiento para la predicción a corto plazo del PIB por el lado de la oferta," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 2023/T1.
Rodolfo Campos & Peter Paz, 2023. "El canal de renta real y las depreciaciones contractivas en un modelo de agentes heterogéneos para América Latina," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue 2023/T2.
Alejandro Fernández Cerezo, 2023. "A supply-side GDP nowcasting model," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 2023/Q1.
Rodolfo Campos & Peter Paz, 2023. "The real income channel and contractionary devaluations in a heterogeneous agent model for Latin America," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 2023/Q2.
Mercedes de Luis & Emilio Rodríguez & Diego Torres, 2023. "Machine learning applied to active fixed-income portfolio management: a Lasso logit approach," Working Papers 2324, Banco de España.
Margherita Bottero & Antonio M. Conti, 2023. "In the thick of it: an interim assessment of monetary policy transmission to credit conditions," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 810, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Juan Pablo Cote-Barón & Karen L. Pulido-Mahecha & Nicol Valeria Rodríguez-Rodríguez & Carlos D. Rojas-Martínez, 2023. "El ISAE: Un Indicador para Monitorear la Actividad Económica Colombiana en Alta Frecuencia," Borradores de Economia 1225, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Javier G. Gómez-Pineda & Julián Roa-Rozo, 2023. "A trend-cycle decomposition with hysteresis," Borradores de Economia 1230, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Julián Alonso Cárdenas-Cárdenas & Deicy J. Cristiano-Botia & Nicolás Martínez-Cortés, 2023. "Colombian inflation forecast using Long Short-Term Memory approach," Borradores de Economia 1241, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Granados, Camilo & Parra-Amado, Daniel, 2024. "Estimating the output gap after COVID: How to address unprecedented macroeconomic variations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
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Jonathan Alexander Muñoz-Martínez & David Orozco & Mario A. Ramos-Veloza, 2023. "Tweeting Inflation: Real-Time measures of Inflation Perception in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1256, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Andrey Duván Rincón-Torres & Andrés Felipe Salas-Avila & Juan Manuel Julio-Román, 2023. "Inflation Expectations: Rationality, Disagreement and the Role of the Loss Function in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1262, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2024. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(41), pages 4925-4937, September.
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Odendahl, Florens & Pagliari, Maria Sole & Penalver, Adrian & Rossi, Barbara & Sestieri, Giulia, 2024. "Euro area monetary policy effects. Does the shape of the yield curve matter?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(S).
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Alexandre Aspremont & Simon Ben Arous & Jean-Charles Bricongne & Benjamin Lietti & Baptiste Meunier, 2023. "Satellites Turn Concrete : Tracking Cement with Satellite Data and Neural Networks," Working papers 916, Banque de France.
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Chinn, Menzie D. & Meunier, Baptiste & Stumpner, Sebastian, 2023. "Nowcasting world trade with machine learning: a three-step approach," Working Paper Series 2836, European Central Bank.
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Harry Turunen & Anastasia Zhutova & Matthieu Lemoine, 2023. "Stochastic Simulation of the FR-BDF Model and an Assessment of Uncertainty around Conditional Forecasts," Working papers 920, Banque de France.
Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & M. Carmen Lima & Ferran Sancho, 2023. "A methodology to study price-quantity interactions in input-output modeling: an application to NextGenerationEU funds," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 973.23, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
- M. Carmen Lima & Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & Ferran Sancho, 2023. "A Methodology to Study Price-Quantity Interactions in input-output Modeling: an Application to NextGenerationEU Funds," Working Papers 1396, Barcelona School of Economics.
Harding, Martín & Lindé, Jesper & Trabandt, Mathias, 2023. "Understanding post-COVID inflation dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 101-118.
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Alessandro Barbera & Dora Xia & Sonya Zhu, 2023. "The term structure of inflation forecasts disagreement and monetary policy transmission," BIS Working Papers 1114, Bank for International Settlements.
Nguyễn Phúc Đình & Lưu Tiến Thuận, 2023. "Mối quan hệ giữa mức đảm bảo an toàn vốn và lợi nhuận của các Ngân hàng Thương mại ở Việt Nam," TẠP CHÍ KHOA HỌC ĐẠI HỌC MỞ THÀNH PHỐ HỒ CHÍ MINH - KINH TẾ VÀ QUẢN TRỊ KINH DOANH, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY, vol. 18(4), pages 20-32.
Oleg Semiturkin & Andrey Shevelev, 2023. "Correct Comparison of Predictive Features of Machine Learning Models: The Case of Forecasting Inflation Rates in Siberia," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(1), pages 87-103, March.
Artur Sharafutdinov, 2023. "Forecasting Russian GDP, Inflation, Interest Rate, and Exchange Rate Using DSGE-VAR Model," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(3), pages 62-86, September.
Elisei Leonov, 2023. "Neural Network-Based Numerical Analysis of the Impact of Pandemic Shocks in Three-Sector DSGE Model," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(4), pages 80-107, December.
Viacheslav Kramkov, 2023. "Does CPI disaggregation improve inflation forecast accuracy?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps112, Bank of Russia.
Vadim Grishchenko & Diana Gasanova & Egor Fomin & Grigory Korenyak, 2023. "Visible prices and their influence on inflation expectations of Russian households," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps117, Bank of Russia.
Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2023. "Forecasting inflation with a zero lower bound or negative interest rates: Evidence from point and density forecasts," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 91(3), pages 171-232, June.
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Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2023. "Is the US Phillips curve stable? Evidence from Bayesian vector autoregressions," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 125(1), pages 287-314, January.
Helge Berger & Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2023. "A note of caution on the relation between money growth and inflation," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 70(5), pages 479-496, November.
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Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Papers 2305.09563, arXiv.org.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper 2023/9, Norges Bank.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Papers 2023_07, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian SchrÃ¶der, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Papers No 06/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper series 23-06, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2022. "Probabilistic Quantile Factor Analysis," Papers 2212.10301, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
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Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Papers 2305.09563, arXiv.org.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian SchrÃ¶der, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Papers No 06/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Papers 2023_07, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper series 23-06, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023. "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Paper 2023/9, Norges Bank.
Kohns, David & Potjagailo, Galina, 2023. "Flexible Bayesian MIDAS: time‑variation, group‑shrinkage and sparsity," Bank of England working papers 1025, Bank of England.
Schnattinger, Philip, 2023. "Beliefs- and fundamentals-driven job creation," Bank of England working papers 1040, Bank of England.
Iro Kofina & Filippos Petroulakis, 2023. "Drivers of inflation in the Greek economy," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 57, pages 31-46, July.
Marianthi Anastasatou & Hiona Balfoussia & Zacharias Bragoudakis & Dimitris Malliaropulos & Petros Migiakis & Dimitris Papageorgiou & Pavlos Petroulas, 2023. "Effects of a sovereign credit rating upgrade to investment grade on the Greek economy," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 58, pages 7-28, December.
Huw Dixon & Theodora Kosma & Pavlos Petroulas, 2023. "Endogenous frequencies and large shocks: price setting in Greece during the crisis," Working Papers 312, Bank of Greece.
Doojav Gan-Ochir & Luvsannyam Davaajargal, 2023. "Forecasting Inflation in Mongolia: A Dynamic Model Averaging Approach," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 27-48, January.
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Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Éric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 74(2), pages 5-52.
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Galstyan, Vahagn, 2023. "Understanding the Joint Dynamics of Inflation and Wage Growth in the Euro Area," Research Technical Papers 11/RT/23, Central Bank of Ireland.
U. Devrim Demirel & Matthew Wilson, 2023. "Effects of Fiscal Policy on Inflation: Implications of Supply Disruptions and Economic Slack: Working Paper 2023-05," Working Papers 59056, Congressional Budget Office.
Jaromir Benes & Tomas Motl & David Vavra, 2024. "Practical Macrofinancial Stability Analysis: A Prototype Semistructural Model," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 74(1), pages 2-42, March.
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Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2023. "Seven Pitfalls of Technical Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 10213, CESifo.
Kai Carstensen & Felix Kießner & Thies Rossian, 2023. "Estimation of the TFP Gap for the Largest Five EMU Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series 10245, CESifo.
Kajal Lahiri & Cheng Yang, 2023. "ROC and PRC Approaches to Evaluate Recession Forecasts," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(2), pages 119-148, September.
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Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Isaiah J. Hull, 2023. "Dynamic Programming on a Quantum Annealer: Solving the RBC Model," NBER Working Papers 31326, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Anderl, Christina & Caporale, Guglielmo Maria, 2024. "Shipping cost uncertainty, endogenous regime switching and the global drivers of inflation," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
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Frantisek Brazdik & Karel Musil & Stanislav Tvrz, 2023. "Implementing Yield Curve Control Measures into the CNB Core Forecasting Model," Working Papers 2023/8, Czech National Bank.
Masaru INABA & Kengo NUTAHARA & Daichi SHIRAI, 2024. "Sources of Inequality and Business Cycles: Evidence from the US and Japan," CIGS Working Paper Series 23-006E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2023. "Job-to-Job Mobility and Inflation," Working Paper Series WP 2023-03, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
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Kochugovindan, Sree & Lawson, Jeremy, 2023. "Post Pandemic Phillips Curves: Cyclical and Structural Drivers in the Great Policy Trade Off," CEPR Discussion Papers 17974, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Goodhart, Charles & Pradhan, Manoj, 2023. "A Snapshot of Central Bank (two year) Forecasting: A Mixed Picture," CEPR Discussion Papers 18043, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023. "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1188-1202, October.
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Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2024. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(41), pages 4925-4937, September.
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Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03373425, HAL.
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- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," Working Papers hal-03373425, HAL.
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Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2024. "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(41), pages 4925-4937, September.
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NAKAJIMA, Jouchi & 中島, 上智, 2023. "Estimation of firms' inflation expectations using the survey DI," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-131, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
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NAKAJIMA, Jouchi, 2023. "Estimation of firms' inflation expectations using the survey DI," Discussion Paper Series 749, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
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- Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2024. "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," Working Papers on Central Bank Communication 052, University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics.
- Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2024. "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," CARF F-Series CARF-F-591, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2023. "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," IMES Discussion Paper Series 23-E-07, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
Harding, Martín & Lindé, Jesper & Trabandt, Mathias, 2023. "Understanding post-COVID inflation dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 101-118.
- Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2022. "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," Staff Working Papers 22-50, Bank of Canada.
- Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2023. "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," IMF Working Papers 2023/010, International Monetary Fund.
- Martín Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2023. "Understanding post-Covid inflation dynamics," BIS Working Papers 1077, Bank for International Settlements.
Helge Berger & Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2023. "A note of caution on the relation between money growth and inflation," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 70(5), pages 479-496, November.
- Berger, Helge & Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2023. "A Note of Caution on the Relation between Money Growth and Inflation," Working Papers 2023:9, Örebro University, School of Business.
- Mr. Helge Berger & Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2023. "A Note of Caution on the Relation Between Money Growth and Inflation," IMF Working Papers 2023/137, International Monetary Fund.
Josué Alan Cantú Esquivel & Humberto Rios Bolivar & Ana Lorena Jiménez Preciado, 2023. "Causalidad y acoplamiento cíclico entre variables macroeconómicas en la conformación de crisis financieras," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 18(1), pages 1-28, Enero - M.
Marc Burri, 2023. "Do daily lead texts help nowcasting GDP growth?," IRENE Working Papers 23-02, IRENE Institute of Economic Research.
Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2023. "DSGE-SVt: An Econometric Toolkit for High-Dimensional DSGE Models with SV and t Errors," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(1), pages 69-111, January.
- Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2021. "DSGE-SVt: An Econometric Toolkit for High-Dimensional DSGE Models with SV and t Errors," Working Papers 21-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
Klaus Weyerstrass & Rijad Kovac, 2023. "Fiscal policies in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina: are spending or revenue measures more effective?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(1), pages 173-206, February.
Klaus Weyerstrass & Dmitri Blueschke & Reinhard Neck & Miroslav Verbič, 2023. "Dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic in Slovenia: simulations with a macroeconometric model," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 50(4), pages 853-881, November.
Dongchul Cho & Wankeun Oh, 2023. "Predictive Abilities of Inflation Expectations and Implications on Monetary Policy in Korea," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 39, pages 257-276.
Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2023. "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," IMES Discussion Paper Series 23-E-07, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2024. "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," CARF F-Series CARF-F-591, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
- Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2023. "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series 2023-016, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
- Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2024. "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," Working Papers on Central Bank Communication 052, University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics.
Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & F. Ulrich Ruch, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," CAMA Working Papers 2023-20, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & F. Ulrich Ruch, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2302, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Kilic Celik, Sinem & Kose, Ayhan M. & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Ruch, Franz, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," MPRA Paper 116902, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kilic Celik, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Ruch, Franz, 2023. "Potential Growth: A Global Database," CEPR Discussion Papers 18061, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards and Policies," CAMA Working Papers 2023-19, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2303, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Kilic Celik, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," CEPR Discussion Papers 18062, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kilic Celic, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," MPRA Paper 116905, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kilic Celik,Sinem & Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte, 2023. "Potential Growth Prospects : Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10355, The World Bank.
M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch," CAMA Working Papers 2023-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2304, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch," CEPR Discussion Papers 18226, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More than a rough Patch," MPRA Paper 117327, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Maurizio Daniele & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Isabel Martinez & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Tim Reinicke & Samad Sarferaz & Pascal Se, 2023. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2023 / 2024. Milder Winter dämpft Rezessionsängste," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 17(1), pages 1-60, March.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Maurizio Daniele & Thomas Domjahn & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Isabel Martinez & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Alexis Perakis & Tim Rei, 2023. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2023 / 2024. Starke Beschäftigung trifft auf stockende Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 17(2), pages 1-26, June.
Jan-Egbert Sturm & Alexander Rathke & Klaus Abberger & Maurizio Daniele & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Isabel Martinez & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Alexis Perakis & Tim Reinicke & Samad, 2023. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2024 / 2025. Schweizer Konjunktur: Binnenwirtschaft stützt – Aussenhandel schwächelt," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 17(3), pages 1-70, September.
Moira Ohaco, 2023. "Registración del servicio doméstico: Evaluación de impacto de una política de difusión dirigida a empleadores," Económica, Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, vol. 69, pages 86-121, January-D.
Aguirre, Idoia & Casares, Miguel, 2024. "The post-COVID inflation episode," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
- Idoia Aguirre & Miguel Casares, 2023. "The post-covid inflation episode," Documentos de Trabajo - Lan Gaiak Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra 2301, Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra.
Gregory de Walque & Thomas Lejeune & Ansgar Rannenberg, 2023. "Empirical DSGE model evaluation with interest rate expectations measures and preferences over safe assets," Working Paper Research 433, National Bank of Belgium.
Jakub Rybacki & Michał Gniazdowski, 2023. "Macroeconomic forecasting in Poland: lessons from the external shocks," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 54(1), pages 45-64.

2022

Francesco Bianchi & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma, 2022. "Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(7), pages 2269-2315, July.
- Bianchi, Francesco & Ludvigson, Sydney & Ma, Sai, 2020. "Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 15003, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Francesco Bianchi & Sydney C. Ludvigson & Sai Ma, 2020. "Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 27406, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Michael Weber & Francesco D'Acunto & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(3), pages 157-184, Summer.
- Weber, Michael & D’Acunto, Francesco & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," IZA Discussion Papers 15391, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Weber, Michael & D'Acunto, Francesco & Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Coibion, Olivier, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," CEPR Discussion Papers 17406, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Michael Weber & Francesco D’Acunto & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2022. "The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications," NBER Working Papers 30046, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
VinÃcius Naves Andrade & JoÃ£o GonÃ§alves Silva Muntaser & Thiago Alberto dos Reis Prado, 2022. "InfluÃªncia de variÃ¡veis macroeconÃ´micas no preÃ§o das aÃ§Ãµes do setor financeiro da b3," Revista de Economia Mackenzie (REM), Mackenzie Presbyterian University, Social and Applied Sciences Center, vol. 19(1), pages 170-190, january-j.
Romani, Ilenia & Galeotti, Marzio & Lanza, Alessandro, 2022. "Besides promising economic growth, will the Italian NRRP also produce fewer emissions?," FEEM Working Papers 319781, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 9-22.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," AMSE Working Papers 2013, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," Post-Print hal-03740235, HAL.
Nuno Goncalves, 2022. "Most probable or more prudent? Analysing CFP's macroeconomic projections, 2015-2019," CFP Occasional Papers 02/2022, Portuguese Public Finance Council.
Ержан Ислам // Yerzhan Islam & Сейдахметов Ансар // Seidakhmetov Ansar, 2022. "Динамическая факторная модель инфляции для Казахстана // Dynamic Factor Model of Inflation for Kazakhstan," Working Papers #2022-4, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
Emilie Jasova & Bozena Kaderabkova, 2022. "The effectiveness of government measures in the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic," International Journal of Economic Sciences, European Research Center, vol. 11(1), pages 19-36, April.
Joshua C. C. Chan, 2023. "Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(3), pages 890-905, July.
- Joshua C.C. Chan, 2019. "Large hybrid time-varying parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-77, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Papers 2201.07303, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
Olkhov, Victor, 2022. "Market-Based Price Autocorrelation," MPRA Paper 120288, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Feb 2024.
- Victor Olkhov, 2022. "Market-Based Price Autocorrelation," Papers 2202.09323, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
Olkhov, Victor, 2022. "The Market-Based Asset Price Probability," MPRA Paper 113096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Victor Olkhov, 2022. "Market-Based Asset Price Probability," Papers 2205.07256, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2022. "The Market-Based Asset Price Probability," MPRA Paper 115382, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Nov 2022.
Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2021. "What does machine learning say about the drivers of inflation?," BIS Working Papers 980, Bank for International Settlements.
- Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2022. "What does machine learning say about the drivers of inflation?," Papers 2208.14653, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
James T. E. Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2023. "Macroeconomic Predictions Using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-32, November.
- James Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2022. "Macroeconomic Predictions Using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Staff Working Papers 22-10, Bank of Canada.
- James T. E. Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2022. "Macroeconomic Predictions using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Papers 2209.00948, arXiv.org.
Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2022. "Probabilistic Quantile Factor Analysis," Papers 2212.10301, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian SchrÃ¶der, 2023. "Probabilistic Quantile Factor Analysis," Working Papers No 05/2023, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Hematy, Maryam, 2022. "Comparative Study of Phillips Curve under Dual-stickiness Model Considering Heterogeneity in Iran\'s Economy (in Persian)," The Journal of Planning and Budgeting (Ù ØµÙ„Ù†Ø§Ù…Ù‡ Ø¨Ø±Ù†Ø§Ù…Ù‡ Ø±ÛŒØ²ÛŒ Ùˆ Ø¨ÙˆØ¯Ø¬Ù‡), Institute for Management and Planning studies, vol. 27(3), pages 27-74, December.
Alok Kumar Mishra & Aruna Kumar Dash, 2022. "Connecting the Carbon Ecological Footprint, Economic Globalization, Population Density, Financial Sector Development, and Economic Growth of Five South Asian Countries," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 3(2), pages 1-6.
Lachezar Borisov, 2022. "Consumer Confidence And Real Economic Growth In The Eurozone," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", vol. 8(3).
Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022. "The demand and supply of information about inflation," CIRANO Working Papers 2022s-27, CIRANO.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022. "The demand and supply of information about inflation," Working Papers 22-06, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Nov 2022.
James T. E. Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2023. "Macroeconomic Predictions Using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-32, November.
- James T. E. Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2022. "Macroeconomic Predictions using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Papers 2209.00948, arXiv.org.
- James Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2022. "Macroeconomic Predictions Using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Staff Working Papers 22-10, Bank of Canada.
Harding, Martín & Lindé, Jesper & Trabandt, Mathias, 2023. "Understanding post-COVID inflation dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 101-118.
- Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2022. "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," Staff Working Papers 22-50, Bank of Canada.
- Martín Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2023. "Understanding post-Covid inflation dynamics," BIS Working Papers 1077, Bank for International Settlements.
- Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2023. "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," IMF Working Papers 2023/010, International Monetary Fund.
Vivian Chu & Yang Zhang, 2022. "Harnessing the benefit of state-contingent forward guidance," Staff Analytical Notes 2022-13, Bank of Canada.
Andisheh (Andy) Danaee & Harsimran Grewal & Brad Howell & Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc & Xuezhi Liu & Xiangjin Shen & Mayur Patel, 2022. "How well can large banks in Canada withstand a severe economic downturn?," Staff Analytical Notes 2022-6, Bank of Canada.
Emilio Blanco & Fiorella Dogliolo & Lorena Garegnani, 2022. "Nowcasting during the Pandemic: Lessons from Argentina," BCRA Working Paper Series 202299, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
Paolo Pasimeni, 2022. "Supply or Demand, that is the Question: Decomposing Euro Area Inflation," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 57(6), pages 384-393, November.
- Pasimeni, Paolo, 2022. "Supply, or Demand, that is the Question: Decomposing Euro Area Inflation," Single Market Economics Papers WP2022/2, Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs (European Commission), Chief Economist Team.
Diakonova, Marina & Molina, Luis & Mueller, Hannes & Pérez, Javier J. & Rauh, Christopher, 2024. "The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(4).
- Marina Diakonova & Luis Molina & Hannes Mueller & Javier J. Pérez & Cristopher Rauh, 2022. "The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting," Working Papers 2232, Banco de España.
- Diakonova, M. & Molina, L. & Mueller, H. & PÃ©rez, J. J. & Rauh, C., 2024. "The Information Content of Conflict, Social Unrest and Policy Uncertainty Measures for Macroeconomic Forecasting," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2418, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Diakonova, M. & Molina, L. & Mueller, H. & PÃ©rez, J. J. & Rauh, C., 2024. "The Information Content of Conflict, Social Unrest and Policy Uncertainty Measures for Macroeconomic Forecasting," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2413, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
Luis J. Álvarez & Florens Odendahl, 2022. "Data outliers and Bayesian VARs in the Euro Area," Working Papers 2239, Banco de España.
Diakonova, Marina & Ghirelli, Corinna & Molina, Luis & Pérez, Javier J., 2023. "The economic impact of conflict-related and policy uncertainty shocks: The case of Russia," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 69-90.
- Marina Diakonova & Corinna Ghirelli & Javier J. Pérez & Luis Molina, 2022. "The economic impact of conflict-related and policy uncertainty shocks: the case of Russia," Working Papers 2242, Banco de España.
Gergely Ganics & María Rodríguez-Moreno, 2022. "A house price-at-risk model to monitor the downside risk for the spanish housing market," Working Papers 2244, Banco de España.
María Alejandra Hernández-Montes & Ramón Hernández-Ortega & Jonathan Alexander Muñoz-Martínez, 2022. "Aporte de las expectativas de empresarios al pronóstico de las variables macroeconómicas," Borradores de Economia 1202, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Youssef Ulgazi & Paul Vertier, 2022. "Forecasting Inflation in France: an Update of MAPI," Working papers 869, Banque de France.
Aldama Pierre & Gaulier Guillaume & Lemoine Matthieu & Robert Pierre-Antoine & Turunen Harri & Zhutova Anastasia, 2022. "The EA-BDF Model and Government Spending Multipliers in a Monetary Union," Working papers 883, Banque de France.
Virginia SÃ¡nchez-Marcos & Francesc Obiols-Homs, 2022. "Labor Force Participation, Wages and Turbulence," Working Papers 1347, Barcelona School of Economics.
Christopher S Sutherland, 2022. "Forward guidance and expectation formation: A narrative approach," BIS Working Papers 1024, Bank for International Settlements.
Aikman, David & Drehmann, Mathias & Juselius, Mikael & Xing, Xiaochuan, 2022. "The scarring effects of deep contractions," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2022, Bank of Finland.
- David Aikman & Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius & Xiaochuan Xing, 2022. "The scarring effects of deep contractions," BIS Working Papers 1043, Bank for International Settlements.
Londhe Sanket Tanaji & Palwe Sushila, 2022. "Customer-Centric Sales Forecasting Model: RFM-ARIMA Approach," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 13(1), pages 35-45, June.
Sergey Ivashchenko, 2022. "Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model with Multiple Trends and Structural Breaks," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(1), pages 46-72, March.
Urmat Dzhunkeev, 2022. "Forecasting Unemployment in Russia Using Machine Learning Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 81(1), pages 73-87, March.
Patricia Carballo, 2022. "Política monetaria y formación de expectativas en un modelo neokeynesiano," Documentos de trabajo 2022001, Banco Central del Uruguay.
Santiago Etchegaray Alvarez, 2022. "Proyecciones macroeconómicas con datos en frecuencias mixtas. Modelos ADL-MIDAS, U-MIDAS y TF-MIDAS con aplicaciones para Uruguay," Documentos de trabajo 2022004, Banco Central del Uruguay.
Andrea Barón & José Mourelle & Gabriela Romaniello & Esteban Tisnés, 2022. "Modelo macroeconométrico de estimación trimestral para la economía uruguaya. Desarrollos recientes," Documentos de trabajo 2022006, Banco Central del Uruguay.
Kazeem O. Isah & Abdulkader C. Mahomedy & Elias A. Udeaja & Ojo J. Adelakun & Yusuf Yakubu & Danmecca Musa, 2022. "Revisiting the accuracy of inflation forecasts in Nigeria: The oil price–exchange rate–asymmetry perspectives," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 90(3), pages 329-348, September.
Brian Adams & Lara Loewenstein & Hugh Montag & Randal Verbrugge, 2024. "Disentangling Rent Index Differences: Data, Methods, and Scope," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 6(2), pages 230-245, June.
- Brian Adams & Lara Loewenstein & Hugh Montag & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2022. "Disentangling rent index differences: data, methods, and scope," Working Papers 22-38R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 28 Sep 2023.
- Brian Adams & Lara Loewenstein & Hugh Montag & Randal Verbrugge, 2022. "Disentangling Rent Index Differences: Data, Methods, and Scope," Economic Working Papers 555, Bureau of Labor Statistics.
George Filis & Stavros Degiannakis & Zacharias Bragoudakis, 2022. "Forecasting macroeconomic indicators for Eurozone and Greece: How useful are the oil price assumptions?," Working Papers 296, Bank of Greece.
Michael Gurkov & Osnat Zohar, 2022. "Inflation Risks in Israel," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2022.19, Bank of Israel.
Takuro Ashizawa & Kakuho Furukawa & Ryuichiro Hashimoto & Yoshiyasu Koide & Tomomi Naka & Kenji Nishizaki & Nao Sudo & Genichiro Suzuki, 2022. "Physical risks from climate change faced by Japan's financial institutions: Impact of floods on real economy, land prices, and FIs' financial conditions," Bank of Japan Review Series 22-E-2, Bank of Japan.
Ryuichiro Hashimoto & Nao Sudo, 2022. "Transmission of Flood Damage to the Real Economy and Financial Intermediation: Simulation Analysis using a DSGE Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 22-E-5, Bank of Japan.
Glocker Christian & Hölzl Werner, 2022. "A direct measure of subjective business uncertainty," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 23(1), pages 121-155, February.
Morell, Joe & Rice, Jonathan & Shaw, Frances, 2022. "A Framework for Macroprudential Stress Testing," Research Technical Papers 7/RT/22, Central Bank of Ireland.
Jeffrey Schafer, 2022. "Inflation Expectations and Their Formation: Working Paper 2022-03," Working Papers 57398, Congressional Budget Office.
Constantin Bürgi & Julio L. Ortiz, 2022. "Overreaction through Anchoring," CESifo Working Paper Series 10193, CESifo.
Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2023. "Forecasting inflation with a zero lower bound or negative interest rates: Evidence from point and density forecasts," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 91(3), pages 171-232, June.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022. "Forecasting Inflation with a Zero Lower Bound or Negative Interest Rates: Evidence from Point and Density Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series 9687, CESifo.
Manuel Monge & Carlos Poza & Sofía Borgia, 2022. "A proposal of a suspicion of tax fraud indicator based on Google trends to foresee Spanish tax revenues," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 169, pages 1-12.
Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022. "The demand and supply of information about inflation," Working Papers 22-06, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Nov 2022.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022. "The demand and supply of information about inflation," CIRANO Working Papers 2022s-27, CIRANO.
Vojtech Molnar, 2022. "Price Level Targeting with Imperfect Rationality: A Heuristic Approach," Working Papers 2022/1, Czech National Bank.
Robert Ambrisko, 2022. "Nowcasting Macroeconomic Variables Using High-Frequency Fiscal Data," Working Papers 2022/5, Czech National Bank.
Inaba, Masaru & Nutahara, Kengo & Shirai, Daichi, 2022. "What drives fluctuations of labor wedge and business cycles? Evidence from Japan," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Masaru Inaba & Kengo Nutahara & Daichi Shirai, 2020. "What drives fluctuations of labor wedge and business cycles? Evidence from Japan," CIGS Working Paper Series 20-006E, The Canon Institute for Global Studies.
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Marijn A Bolhuis & Judd N L Cramer & Lawrence H Summers, 2022. "Comparing Past and Present Inflation [Supply and demand in disaggregated Keynesian economies with an application to the covid-19 crisis]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1073-1100.
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Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martín Uribe, 2022. "What Do Long Data Tell Us About the Inflation Hike Post COVID-19 Pandemic?," NBER Working Papers 30357, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Ana Ivkovic, Mirjana Miletic, Savo Jakovljevic & Ana Ivkovic & Mirjana Miletic & Savo Jakovljevic, 2022. "Estimation of the impact of global and domestic factors on inflation in Serbia," Working Papers Bulletin 8, National Bank of Serbia.
Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2022. "Using hierarchical aggregation constraints to nowcast regional economic aggregates," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2022-04, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
George Kapetanios & Fotis Papailias, 2022. "Real Time Indicators During the COVID-19 Pandemic Individual Predictors & Selection," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Technical Reports ESCOE-TR-15, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
George Kapetanios & Fotis Papailias, 2022. "An Evaluation Framework for Targeted Indicators Aggregates vs. Disaggregates," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Technical Reports ESCOE-TR-17, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
George Kapetanios & Fotis Papailias, 2022. "A Quality Assessment Framework for Maintaining & Publishing New Indicators," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Technical Reports ESCOE-TR-18, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
Alex Botsis & Kevin Lee, 2022. "Nowcasting Using Firm-Level Survey Data; Tracking UK Output Fluctuations and Recessionary Events," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Technical Reports ESCOE-TR-20, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
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Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2022. "Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Agency Forecasts," MPRA Paper 114325, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Stephen Millard & Nicholas Jackson, 2022. "Financial Stocks and Flows in the Time of Covid-19," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 543, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
Andrew Binning, 2022. "An Efficient Application of the Extended Path Algorithm in Matlab with Examples," Treasury Working Paper Series 22/02, New Zealand Treasury.
Scott Cameron, 2022. "How can independent fiscal institutions make the most of assessing past economic forecasts?," OECD Journal on Budgeting, OECD Publishing, vol. 22(2).
Martin Schneider & Richard Sellner, 2022. "Private consumption and savings during the COVID-19 pandemic in Austria," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 21/Q4, pages 43-59.
Martin Schneider & Richard Sellner, 2022. "Private consumption and savings during the COVID-19 pandemic in Austria," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/21, pages 43-59.
Marijn A Bolhuis & Judd N L Cramer & Lawrence H Summers, 2022. "The Coming Rise in Residential Inflation [The repeat rent index]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1051-1072.
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Marijn A Bolhuis & Judd N L Cramer & Lawrence H Summers, 2022. "Comparing Past and Present Inflation [Supply and demand in disaggregated Keynesian economies with an application to the covid-19 crisis]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(5), pages 1073-1100.
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John O’Trakoun, 2022. "Business forecasting during the pandemic," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 57(3), pages 95-110, July.
Pablo Pincheira Brown, 2022. "A Power Booster Factor for Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 45(89), pages 150-183.
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Carlos A. Medel, 2022. "Searching for the Best Inflation Forecasters within an EmploymentSurvey: Microdata Evidence from Chile," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 45(89), pages 184-216.
Kristin J. Forbes & Joseph E. Gagnon & Christopher G. Collins, 2022. "Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve around the World," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 45(89), pages 52-72.
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Randal Verbrugge, 2022. "Is it Time to Reassess the Focal Role of Core PCE Inflation in Assessing the Trend in PCE Inflation?," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 45(89), pages 73-101.
Sonan Memon, 2022. "Inflation in Pakistan: High-Frequency Estimation and Forecasting," PIDE-Working Papers 2022:12, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
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William A. Barnett & Unal Eryilmaz, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Determinacy: An Inquiry in Open Economy New Keynesian Framework," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202203, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
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Pablo Pincheira Brown & Nicolás Hardy, 2024. "Correlation‐based tests of predictability," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1835-1858, September.
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Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2022. "From Low to High Inflation: Implications for Emerging Market and Developing Economies," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2202, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
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Victor Olkhov, 2022. "Market-Based Asset Price Probability," Papers 2205.07256, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
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Barrie, Mohamed Samba & Jackson, Emerson Abraham, 2022. "Impact of Technological Shock on the Sierra Leone Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) Approach," MPRA Paper 113636, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Jun 2022.
G.K., Chetan Kumar & K.B., Rangappa & S., Suchitra, 2022. "Normative analysis of the impact of Covid-19 on prominent sectors of Indian economy by using ARCH Model," MPRA Paper 114027, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Barrera, Carlos, 2022. "Characterizing the Anchoring Effects of Official Forecasts on Private Expectations," MPRA Paper 114258, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2022. "Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Agency Forecasts," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 541, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
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Barrera, Carlos, 2022. "Les Prévisions des Prévisionnistes Professionnels? Perou, 2009-2017 [Professional Forecasters' Expectations? Peru, 2009-2017]," MPRA Paper 114420, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Juhro, Solikin M., 2022. "Central Bank Policy Mix: Policy Perspectives and Modeling Issues," MPRA Paper 114451, University Library of Munich, Germany.
GuÃ©nette, Justin Damien & Kose, M. Ayhan & Sugawara, Naotaka, 2022. "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," CEPR Discussion Papers 17566, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Olkhov, Victor, 2022. "The Market-Based Asset Price Probability," MPRA Paper 113096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Skufi, Lorena & Papavangjeli, Meri, 2022. "The Changing Dynamics Of Albanian Inflation: A Quantile Regression Approach," MPRA Paper 116115, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Yusifzada, Tural, 2022. "Response of Inflation to the Climate Stress: Evidence from Azerbaijan," MPRA Paper 116522, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Sep 2022.
Benhima, Kenza & Bolliger, Elio, 2022. "Do Local Forecasters Have Better Information?," MPRA Paper 117072, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Sep 2023.
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Marcin Bielecki, 2022. "Innovation and Endogenous Growth over the Business Cycle with Frictional Labor Markets," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 14(3), pages 263-302, September.
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Anping Chen & Nicolaas Groenewold, 2022. "Regional Resilience in China: The Response of the Provinces to the Growth Slowdown," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, vol. 52(1), pages 74-103.
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Mojtaba Hajian Heidary, 2022. "The Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Global Supply Chain Operations: A System Dynamics Approach," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 57(2), pages 198-220, May.
Vito Polito & Yunyi Zhang, 2021. "Tackling Large Outliers in Macroeconomic Data with Vector Artificial Neural Network Autoregression," CESifo Working Paper Series 9395, CESifo.
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Christian Hepenstrick & Jason Blunier, 2022. "What were they thinking? Estimating the quarterly forecasts underlying annual growth projections," Working Papers 2022-05, Swiss National Bank.
Yuting Chen & Don Bredin & Valerio Potì & Roman Matkovskyy, 2022. "COVID risk narratives: a computational linguistic approach to the econometric identification of narrative risk during a pandemic," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 17-61, March.
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Charl Maree & Christian W. Omlin, 2022. "Reinforcement learning with intrinsic affinity for personalized prosperity management," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 241-262, September.
Chao Liang & Yin Liao & Feng Ma & Bo Zhu, 2022. "United States Oil Fund volatility prediction: the roles of leverage effect and jumps," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(5), pages 2239-2262, May.
Zhiyong Fan & Yushan Hu & Penglong Zhang, 2022. "Measuring China's core inflation for forecasting purposes: taking persistence as weight," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 93-111, July.
Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski, 2022. "Macroeconometric forecasting using a cluster of dynamic factor models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 43-91, July.
- Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski, 2020. "Macroeconometric Forecasting Using a Cluster of Dynamic Factor Models," WIFO Working Papers 614, WIFO.
Jason Furman, 2022. "Why Did (Almost) No One See the Inflation Coming?," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 57(2), pages 79-86, March.
Paolo Pasimeni, 2022. "Supply or Demand, that is the Question: Decomposing Euro Area Inflation," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 57(6), pages 384-393, November.
- Pasimeni, Paolo, 2022. "Supply, or Demand, that is the Question: Decomposing Euro Area Inflation," Single Market Economics Papers WP2022/2, Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs (European Commission), Chief Economist Team.
Juan Camilo Galvis-Ciro & Juan Camilo Anzoátegui-Zapata & Cristina Isabel Ramos-Barroso, 2022. "The Effect of Communication and Credibility on Fiscal Disagreement: Empirical Evidence from Colombia," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 18(3), pages 215-238, November.
Michał Przybyliński & Artur Gorzałczyński, 2022. "Applying the input–output price model to identify inflation processes," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, December.
H. Alan Love & John Freebairn, 2022. "Macroeconomic Linkages to the Agricultural Supply Chain," Natural Resource Management and Policy, in: Harry de Gorter & Jill McCluskey & Johan Swinnen & David Zilberman (ed.), Modern Agricultural and Resource Economics and Policy, pages 349-390, Springer.
Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2022. "Evaluating plant managers’ production plans over business cycles: asymmetric loss and rationality," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(8), pages 1-29, August.
Scott M. R. Mahadeo & Reinhold Heinlein & Gabriella D. Legrenzi, 2022. "Tracing the Sources of Contagion in the Oil-Finance Nexus," Springer Books, in: Christos Floros & Ioannis Chatziantoniou (ed.), Applications in Energy Finance, chapter 0, pages 115-143, Springer.
Klaus Abberger & Michael Graff & Oliver Müller & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2022. "Composite global indicators from survey data: the Global Economic Barometers," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(3), pages 917-945, August.
Oliver Holtemöller & Stefan Kooths & Torsten Schmidt & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2022. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Energiekrise, Inflation, Rezession und Wohlstandsverlust [Energy Crisis: Inflation, Recession, Welfare Loss]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(10), pages 761-765, October.
Ferdinand Fichtner & Simon Junker & Claus Michelsen & Thore Schlaak, 2022. "Peak Inflation: Ist die Teuerungswelle gebrochen? [Peak Inflation: Has the Inflation Wave Been Broken?]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(12), pages 976-978, December.
Johannes Mayr, 2022. "Inflationsausblick — Kosten des Krieges treiben Inflation in neue Höhen [Inflation Outlook — The Costs of War drive prices up to new heights]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(3), pages 236-238, March.
Martin Gornig & Oliver Holtemöller & Stefan Kooths & Torsten Schmidt & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2022. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Ohne russisches Gas droht eine scharfe Rezession in Deutschland [Without Russian Gas, a Sharp Recession Looms in Germany]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(5), pages 347-353, May.
Martinoli, Mario & Moneta, Alessio & Pallante, Gianluca, 2024. "Calibration and validation of macroeconomic simulation models by statistical causal search," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
- Mario Martinoli & Alessio Moneta & Gianluca Pallante, 2022. "Calibration and Validation of Macroeconomic Simulation Models by Statistical Causal Search," LEM Papers Series 2022/33, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
Tereza Matasová & Marek Vochozka & Zuzana Rowland, 2022. "Alternative costs of equity of coal mining companies taking into account a context of the Russian Invasion into Ukraine," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 10(2), pages 394-407, December.
Andrea Carriero & Alessio Volpicella, 2022. "Generalizing the Max Share Identification to multiple shocks identification: an Application to Uncertainty," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0322, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Alexander Foltas & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(10), pages 867-872, June.
- Foltas, Alexander & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany," Working Papers 22, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
Shigeto Kitano, 2022. "How do world commodity prices affect Asian commodity exporting economies? The role of financial frictions," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 84-90, January.
- Shigeto Kitano, 2020. "How Do World Commodity Prices Affect Asian Commodity Exporting Economies?: The Role of Financial Frictions," Discussion Paper Series DP2020-24, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University, revised Feb 2021.
Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022. "Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable Real-time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203535, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," IMFS Working Paper Series 133, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," Kiel Working Papers 2158, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Roman Frydman & Morten Nyboe Tabor, 2022. "Muth's Hypothesis Under Knightian Uncertainty: A Novel Account of Inflation Forecasts," Working Papers Series inetwp194, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman van Dijk, 2022. "A Flexible Predictive Density Combination Model for Large Financial Data Sets in Regular and Crisis Periods," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-013/III, Tinbergen Institute.
Casarin, Roberto & Grassi, Stefano & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2023. "A flexible predictive density combination for large financial data sets in regular and crisis periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2022. "A Flexible Predictive Density Combination for Large Financial Data Sets in Regular and Crisis Periods," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 22-053/III, Tinbergen Institute.
Yunjong Eo & James Morley, 2022. "Why Has the U.S. Economy Stagnated since the Great Recession?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(2), pages 246-258, May.
- Eo, Yunjong & Morley, James, 2017. "Why has the US economy stagnated since the Great Recession?," Working Papers 2017-14, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Jun 2019.
- Yunjong Eo & James Morley, 2020. "Why has the U.S. economy stagnated since the Great Recession?," Discussion Paper Series 2001, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
Tran, Thuy Nhung, 2022. "The Volatility of the Stock Market and Financial Cycle: GARCH Family Models," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 56(1), pages 151-168.
Ablaev Emil & Magzhanov Timur, 2022. "Fiscal Rules and Procyclical Fiscal Policy in Russia," Working Papers 0039, Moscow State University, Faculty of Economics.
Petar Piperkov, 2022. "Scientific and Methodological Problems in Modern Macroeconomics," Scientific Conference of the Department of General Economic Theory, University of Economics - Varna, issue 1, pages 74-78.
Bätz Kerstin & Siegfried Patrick, 2022. "Reflecting on the Efficiency of Design Thinking and Lean Startup," Journal of Intercultural Management, Sciendo, vol. 14(1), pages 4-53, March.
Jakšić Saša, 2022. "Modelling Determinants of Inflation in CESEE Countries: Global Vector Autoregressive Approach," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 22(2), pages 137-169, June.
Viv B. Hall & Peter Thomson, 2022. "A boosted HP filter for business cycle analysis:evidence from New Zealand's small open economy," CAMA Working Papers 2022-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hall, Viv B & Thomson, Peter, 2022. "A boosted HP filter for business cycle analysis: evidence from New Zealand’s small open economy," Working Paper Series 21184, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
Guénette, Justin Damien & Kose, M. Ayhan & Sugawara, Naotaka, 2022. "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," MPRA Paper 114627, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Justin Damien Guénette & M.Ayhan Kose & Naotaka Sugawara, 2022. "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," World Bank Publications - Reports 38019, The World Bank Group.
- Justin Damien Guenette & M. Ayhan Kose & Naotaka Sugawara, 2022. "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2206, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Justin Damien GuÃ©nette & M. Ayhan Kose & Naotaka Sugawara, 2022. "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," CAMA Working Papers 2022-55, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- GuÃ©nette, Justin Damien & Kose, M. Ayhan & Sugawara, Naotaka, 2022. "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," CEPR Discussion Papers 17566, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Nikola Fabris & Nina Vujanović, 2022. "What Drives Credit Risk? Empirical Evidence from Southeast Europe," wiiw Working Papers 214, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2022. "Long‐term inflation expectations and inflation dynamics," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 158-174, January.
- Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2019. "Long-term inflation expectations and inflation dynamics," Economics wp81, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
Anthony Garratt & Ivan Petrella, 2022. "Commodity prices and inflation risk," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 392-414, March.
Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2022. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 583-602, April.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," CAMA Working Papers 2019-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "The global component of inflation volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 700-721, June.
- Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "The global component of inflation volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1170, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Corsello, Francesco, 2019. "The Global Component of Inflation Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 13470, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 843-866, August.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea, 2021. "Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency," CEPR Discussion Papers 16496, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2019. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," CIRANO Working Papers 2019s-22, CIRANO.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Papers 2008.12477, arXiv.org.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Working Papers 20-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Aug 2020.
Na Guo & Bo Zhang & Jamie L. Cross, 2022. "Time‐varying trend models for forecasting inflation in Australia," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 316-330, March.
- Na Guo & Bo Zhang & Jamie Cross, 2020. "Time-varying trend models for forecasting inflation in Australia," CAMA Working Papers 2020-99, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Bo Zhang & Jamie Cross & Na Guo, 2020. "Time-Varying Trend Models for Forecasting Inflation in Australia," Working Papers No 09/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Caroline Jardet & Baptiste Meunier, 2022. "Nowcasting world GDP growth with high‐frequency data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1181-1200, September.
- Jardet Caroline & Meunier Baptiste, 2020. "Nowcasting World GDP Growth with High-Frequency Data," Working papers 788, Banque de France.
- Caroline Jardet & Baptiste Meunier, 2022. "Nowcasting world GDP growth with high‐frequency data," Post-Print hal-03647097, HAL.
Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," CAMA Working Papers 2019-51, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2021. "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," Papers 2111.07170, arXiv.org.
Nyholm, Juho & Silvo, Aino, 2022. "A model for predicting Finnish household loan stocks," BoF Economics Review 4/2022, Bank of Finland.
David Aikman & Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius & Xiaochuan Xing, 2022. "The scarring effects of deep contractions," BIS Working Papers 1043, Bank for International Settlements.
- Aikman, David & Drehmann, Mathias & Juselius, Mikael & Xing, Xiaochuan, 2022. "The scarring effects of deep contractions," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 12/2022, Bank of Finland.
Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2024. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 106(5), pages 1403-1417, September.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," Working Papers 21-02R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 09 Aug 2021.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2022. "Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility," Discussion Papers 13/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Clark, Todd & Carriero, Andrea & Mertens, Elmar, 2021. "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 15964, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Berger, Tino & Ochsner, Christian, 2022. "Robust real-time estimates of the German output gap based on a multivariate trend-cycle decomposition," Discussion Papers 35/2022, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Hauber, Philipp, 2022. "Real-time nowcasting with sparse factor models," EconStor Preprints 251551, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Shabalina, Ekaterina, 2022. "Estimation and forecasting using mixed-frequency DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series 175, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Sardone, Alessandro & Zeddies, Götz, 2022. "Wirtschaftswachstum, Staatsfinanzen und Treibhausgas-Emissionen in der mittleren Frist," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 10(4), pages 146-151.
Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Schult, Christoph, 2022. "Regionale Effekte einer durch einen Lieferstopp für russisches Gas ausgelösten Rezession in Deutschland," IWH Policy Notes 1/2022, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
Heinisch, Katja & Lindner, Axel, 2022. "Ein neues Instrument für die Prognose der Wirtschaftsaktivität in Deutschland: Der PRIMA-Indikator," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 28(4), pages 78-82.
Kunath, Gero & Matthes, Jürgen & Obst, Thomas, 2022. "Biden's economic agenda risks mid-term elections: An analysis of Biden's economic agenda and its effects on the American economy," IW-Reports 59/2022, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute.
Prüser, Jan & Blagov, Boris, 2022. "Improving inference and forecasting in VAR models using cross-sectional information," Ruhr Economic Papers 960, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Shrub, Yuliya & Rieger, Jonas & Müller, Henrik & Jentsch, Carsten, 2022. "Text data rule - don't they? A study on the (additional) information of Handelsblatt data for nowcasting German GDP in comparison to established economic indicators," Ruhr Economic Papers 964, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Emile du Plessis & Ulrich Fritsche, 2025. "New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(1), pages 3-40, January.
- du Plessis, Emile & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2022. "New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises," WiSo-HH Working Paper Series 67, University of Hamburg, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, WISO Research Laboratory.

2021

Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn & Elenev, Vadim & Landvoigt, Tim & Shultz, Patrick, 2021. "Can Monetary Policy Create Fiscal Capacity?," CEPR Discussion Papers 16414, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Vadim Elenev & Tim Landvoigt & Patrick J. Shultz & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2021. "Can Monetary Policy Create Fiscal Capacity?," NBER Working Papers 29129, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Cavallo, Alberto & Kryvtsov, Oleksiy, 2023. "What can stockouts tell us about inflation? Evidence from online micro data," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
- Alberto Cavallo & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2022. "What Can Stockouts Tell Us About Inflation? Evidence from Online Micro Data," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2022, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alberto Cavallo & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2021. "What Can Stockouts Tell Us About Inflation? Evidence from Online Micro Data," Staff Working Papers 21-52, Bank of Canada.
- Alberto Cavallo & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2021. "What Can Stockouts Tell Us About Inflation? Evidence from Online Micro Data," NBER Working Papers 29209, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Kristin J. Forbes & Joseph E. Gagnon & Christopher G. Collins, 2022. "Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve around the World," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 45(89), pages 52-72.
- Kristin J. Forbes & Joseph E. Gagnon & Christopher G. Collins, 2020. "Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve around the World," Working Paper Series WP20-6, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
- Kristin Forbes & Joseph Gagnon & Christopher G. Collins, 2021. "Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve around the World," NBER Working Papers 29323, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Forbes, Kristin & Gagnon, Joseph & Collins, Christopher, 2021. "Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve around the World," CEPR Discussion Papers 16583, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Leland Farmer & Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2021. "Learning About the Long Run," NBER Working Papers 29495, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Shulgin, A. & Shulgin, S., 2021. "Investments in the infrastructure of Siberia and the Far East. Macroeconomic analysis based on general equilibrium model," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 49(1), pages 81-114.
Akindinova, N. & Avdeyeva, D. & Kondrashov, N. & Misikhina, S. & Smirnov, S., 2021. "Macroeconomic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 52(4), pages 239-246.
Citera, Emanuele & Gouri Suresh, Shyam & Setterfield, Mark, 2023. "The network origins of aggregate fluctuations: A demand-side approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 111-123.
- Emanuele Citera & Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2021. "The network origins of aggregate Fluctuations: A demand-side approach," FMM Working Paper 72-2021, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
- Emanuele Citera & Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2021. "The network origins of aggregate fluctuations: a demand-side approach," Working Papers 2118, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
Kasey Buckles & Daniel Hungerman & Steven Lugauer, 2021. "Is Fertility a Leading Economic Indicator?," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(634), pages 541-565.
- Kasey Buckles & Daniel Hungerman & Steven Lugauer, 2018. "Is Fertility a Leading Economic Indicator?," NBER Working Papers 24355, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2021. "Online estimation of DSGE models," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(1), pages 33-58.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-014, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Michael D. Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2020. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," NBER Working Papers 26826, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Staff Reports 893, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Liberty Street Economics 20190821, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2020. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-023, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Valbona Cinaj & Rebeka Ribaj, 2021. "Macroeconomic Impact of Natural Disasters in Albania," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 59-66, August.
Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Mandelman, Federico & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2021. "The “Matthew effect” and market concentration: Search complementarities and monopsony power," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 62-90.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The “Matthew effect” and market concentration: Search complementarities and monopsony power," CAMA Working Papers 2021-22, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The “Matthew Effect” and Market Concentration:Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," Economics Series Working Papers 932, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The "Matthew Effect" and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," BCAM Working Papers 2103, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The “Matthew Effect” and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," NBER Working Papers 28495, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Mandelman, Federico & Zanetti, Francesco & Yu, Yang, 2021. "The ``Matthew Effect'' and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," CEPR Discussion Papers 15788, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yu Yang & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The "Matthew Effect" and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," CESifo Working Paper Series 8897, CESifo.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The “Matthew Effect” and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," Discussion Papers 2105, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico S. Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2021. "The "Matthew Effect" and Market Concentration: Search Complementarities and Monopsony Power," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2021-4, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
Martins, Manuel Mota Freitas & Verona, Fabio, 2021. "Inflation dynamics and forecast: Frequency matters," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2021, Bank of Finland.
- Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2021. "Inflation Dynamics and Forecast: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2101, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
Jackson, Emerson Abraham & Tamuke, Edmund, 2021. "The Science and Art of Communicating Fan Chart Uncertainty: The case of Inflation Outcome in Sierra Leone," MPRA Paper 105892, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jan 2021.
Brinca, Pedro & João, Costa-Filho, 2021. "Output falls and the international transmission of crises," MPRA Paper 107297, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Pablo Pincheira Brown & Nicolás Hardy, 2024. "The mean squared prediction error paradox," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 2298-2321, September.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2021. "The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox," MPRA Paper 107403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kamalyan, Hayk, 2021. "The State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy," MPRA Paper 107489, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Rybacki, Jakub & Gniazdowski, Michał, 2021. "Macroeconomic Forecasting in Poland: Lessons From the COVID-19 Outbreak," MPRA Paper 107682, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Pablo Pincheira-Brown & Nicolás Hardy & Cristobal Henrriquez & Ignacio Tapia & Andrea Bentancor, 2023. "Forecasting Base Metal Prices with an International Stock Index," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 73(3), pages 277-302, October.
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Saccal, Alessandro, 2021. "Confidence and economic activity in Europe," MPRA Paper 108812, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kindop, Igor, 2021. "Ubiquitous multimodality in mixed causal-noncausal processes," MPRA Paper 109594, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Sep 2021.
Kamalyan, Hayk, 2021. "Phase-Dependent Monetary and Fiscal Policy," MPRA Paper 110341, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Lukas Boer & Mr. Andrea Pescatori & Martin Stuermer, 2021. "Energy Transition Metals," IMF Working Papers 2021/243, International Monetary Fund.
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Mehmet Balcilar & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Uncertainty and Forecastability of Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: Evidence from Machine Learning," Working Papers 202111, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Hossein Hassani & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The ENSO cycle and forecastability of global inflation and output growth: Evidence from standard and mixed‐frequency multivariate singular spectrum analyses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1690-1707, November.
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Yue-Jun Zhang & Han Zhang & Rangan Gupta, 2021. "Forecasting the Artificial Intelligence Index Returns: A Hybrid Approach," Working Papers 202182, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Steven F. Koch, 2021. "Equivalence Scales with Endogeneity and Base Independence," Working Papers 202185, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Katerina Gawthorpe, 2021. "Random Forest as a Model for Czech Forecasting," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2021(3), pages 336-357.
Caio Almeida & Jianqing Fan & Gustavo Freire & Francesca Tang, 2023. "Can a Machine Correct Option Pricing Models?," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(3), pages 995-1009, July.
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Paulina Ziembińska, 2021. "Quality of Tests of Expectation Formation for Revised Data," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 13(4), pages 405-453, December.
Pongpitch Amatyakul & Tosapol Apaitan & Savaphol Hiruntiaranakul & Nuwat Nookhwun, 2021. "Revisiting Thailand's Monetary Policy Model for an Integrated Policy Analysis," PIER Discussion Papers 164, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
Sarun Kamolthip, 2021. "Macroeconomic forecasting with LSTM and mixed frequency time series data," Papers 2109.13777, arXiv.org.
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James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2021. "UK inflation forecasts since the thirteenth century," CAMA Working Papers 2021-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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Pérez Forero, Fernando, 2021. "Predicción de variables macroeconómicas en el Perú a través un modelo BVAR con media cambiante en el tiempo," Working Papers 2021-001, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
Tyler Atkinson & Michael Plante & Alexander Richter & Nathaniel Throckmorton, 2022. "Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 44, pages 225-243, April.
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Karen Poghosyan & Ruben Poghosyan, 2021. "On the Applicability of Dynamic Factor Models for Forecasting Real GDP Growth in Armenia," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 71(1), pages 52-79, June.
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Kakade, Kshitij Abhay & Mishra, Aswini Kumar, 2021. "The impact of macroeconomic and oil shocks on India’s non-ferrous metal prices: A structural-VAR approach," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 63, pages 30-50.
Kocak, Necmettin Alpay, 2021. "Analysis of Relationship between the Consumer and Producer Prices in Turkey using Alternative Estimation Methods (Türkiye'de Tüketici ve Üretici Fiyatları Arasındaki İlişkinin Alternatif Tahmin Yöntem," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 12(1), pages 33-47, January.
Barja, Gover, 2021. "Graphing And Measuring COVID’s First Wave Impact On The Bolivian Economy," Documentos de trabajo 4/2021, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana.
Bhaghoe, Sailesh & Ooft, Gavin, 2021. "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth in Suriname with Factor-MIDAS and Mixed-Frequency VAR Models," Studies in Applied Economics 176, The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.
Lee, Geonwoo, 2021. "The Decline of Korean Industrial Vitality as Shown by the Structural Change Index," i-KIET Issues and Analysis 21/10, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade.
Hong, Sung Wook & Min, Seong-hwan, 2021. "Market Analysis of Key Manufacturing Segments Using News Data," Research Papers 21/8, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade.
Barja, Gover, 2021. "Graphing and Measuring COVID-19’s First Wave Impact on the Bolivian Economy: Facing the Unknown," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 36, pages 7-42, Noviembre.
Ahmad, Shakil, 2021. "Does COVID-19 effects the United States crude oil imports price?," Economic Consultant, Scientific and Educational Initiative LLC, vol. 33(1), pages 57-67.
Rizwan Raheem AHMED & Dalia STREIMIKIENE & Saghir Pervaiz GHAURI & Muhammad AQIL, 2021. "Forecasting Inflation by Using the Sub-Groups of both CPI and WPI: Evidence from Auto Regression (AR) and ARIMA Models," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 144-161, June.
Lucian Croitoru, 2021. "Responding to Criticism of Monetary Policy in Romania in the Decade Surrounding the 2008 Financial Crisis (2004-2013)," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 39-58, December.
Dimitriou Dimitrios & Pappas Anastasios & Kazanas Thanassis & Kenourgios Dimitris, 2021. "Do confidence indicators lead Greek economic activity?," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 8(2), pages 1-15.
Bo?ena Kade?ábková & Emilie Ja?ová, 2021. "How the Czech government got the pandemic wrong," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 12513377, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
Sierra Juárez, Guillermo, 2021. "Curvatura de Ricci como Indicador de Fragilidad en el Contagio del COVID-19 y de los Mercados Financieros en el mundo / Ricci Curvature as an indicator of fragility in the contagium of COVID-19 and in," Estocástica: finanzas y riesgo, Departamento de Administración de la Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana Unidad Azcapotzalco, vol. 11(1), pages 81-112, enero-jun.
Giuseppe Orlando & Giovanna Zimatore, 2021. "Recurrence Quantification Analysis of Business Cycles," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Giuseppe Orlando & Alexander N. Pisarchik & Ruedi Stoop (ed.), Nonlinearities in Economics, chapter 0, pages 269-282, Springer.
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Camilla Mastromarco & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2021. "Predicting recessions with a frontier measure of output gap: an application to Italian economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(6), pages 2701-2740, June.
- Camilla Mastromarco & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2020. "Predicting Recessions with a Frontier Measure of Output Gap: An Application to Italian Economy," CEPA Working Papers Series WP102020, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
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Han-Liang Cheng & Nan-Kuang Chen, 2021. "A study of financial cycles and the macroeconomy in Taiwan," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1749-1778, October.
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Angela Capolongo & Claudia Pacella, 2021. "Forecasting inflation in the euro area: countries matter!," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2477-2499, November.
- Angela Capolongo & Claudia Pacella, 2019. "Forecasting inflation in the euro area: countries matter!," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1224, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Ozge Kandemir Kocaaslan, 2021. "Are the responses of output and investment to oil price shocks asymmetric?: The case of an oil-importing small open economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2501-2516, November.
Fan Zhang & Paresh Kumar Narayan & Neluka Devpura, 2021. "Has COVID-19 changed the stock return-oil price predictability pattern?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, December.
Ashok Banerjee & Ayush Kanodia & Partha Ray, 2021. "Deciphering Indian inflationary expectations through text mining: an exploratory approach," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 49-66, June.
Aaron G. Grech & Reuben Ellul, 2021. "Are the European Commission’s Business and Consumer Survey Results Coincident Indicators for Maltese Economic Activity?," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(1), pages 91-108, April.
Robert Lehmann & Magnus Reif, 2021. "Predicting the German Economy: Headline Survey Indices Under Test," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(2), pages 215-232, November.
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Viv B. Hall & Peter Thomson, 2021. "Does Hamilton’s OLS Regression Provide a “better alternative” to the Hodrick-Prescott Filter? A New Zealand Business Cycle Perspective," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(2), pages 151-183, November.
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Jens J. Krüger, 2021. "A Wavelet Evaluation of Some Leading Business Cycle Indicators for the German Economy," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(3), pages 293-319, December.
Martin Pažický, 2021. "Predicting Recessions in Germany Using the German and the US Yield Curve," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(3), pages 263-291, December.
Philip Hans Franses, 2021. "Modeling Judgment in Macroeconomic Forecasts," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 401-417, December.
Kirill S. Glavatskiy & Mikhail Prokopenko & Adrian Carro & Paul Ormerod & Michael Harré, 2021. "Explaining herding and volatility in the cyclical price dynamics of urban housing markets using a large-scale agent-based model," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(6), pages 1-21, June.
Martin Gornig & Oliver Holtemöller & Stefan Kooths & Torsten Schmidt & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2021. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Die Krise wird allmählich überwunden [The Crisis is Gradually Being Overcome]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 101(10), pages 773-776, October.
Fabio Gobbi, 2021. "Evaluating Forecasts from State-Dependent Autoregressive Models for US GDP Growth Rate. Comparison with Alternative Approaches," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 11(6), pages 1-7.
Paul Levine & Neil Rickman, 2021. "Optimal Lockdown in an Epidemiological-Macroeconomic Model," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0421, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Martin Cesnak & Jan Klacso, 2021. "Assessing real estate prices in Slovakia - a structural approach," Working and Discussion Papers WP 3/2021, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
Magnus, Jan R. & Vasnev, Andrey L., 2023. "On the uncertainty of a combined forecast: The critical role of correlation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1895-1908.
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Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair, 2021. "What does forecaster disagreement tell us about the state of the economy?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 49-53, January.
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Tamás Kiss & Pär Österholm, 2021. "Corona, crisis and conditional heteroscedasticity," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(9), pages 755-759, May.
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N. Abilov, 2021. "A Medium-Scale Bayesian DSGE Model for Kazakhstan with Incomplete Exchange Rate Pass-Through," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 486-522, October.
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Selcuk Gul & Abdullah Kazdal, 2021. "Nowcasting and Short-term Forecasting Turkish GDP: Factor-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 2111, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Aysu Celgin & Elif Akbostanci, 2021. "Constructing an Economic Activity Indicator for Turkey," Working Papers 2114, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Mehmet Guncavdi & Murat Kors & Elif Ozcan Tok, 2021. "Price transmission along the Turkish poultry and beef supply chains," Working Papers 2130, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2020. "A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance," Working Paper series 20-27, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
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Eva Janssens & Robin Lumsdaine, 2021. "Sectoral slowdowns in the UK: Evidence from transmission probabilities and economic linkages," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-027/III, Tinbergen Institute.
Nadiia Shapovalenko, 2021. "A BVAR Model for Forecasting Ukrainian Inflation and GDP," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 251, pages 14-36.
Mubarok, Faizul & Al Arif, Mohammad Nur Rianto, 2021. "Pandemic Attack and Islamic Stocks Index: A Cross Country Analysis," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(1), pages 27-37.
Hossain, Md. Jamal & Akter, Sadia & Ismail, Mohd Tahir, 2021. "Performance Analysis of GARCH Family Models in Three Time-frames," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(2), pages 15-28.
Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Éric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 74(2), pages 5-52.
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- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Working Papers of BETA 2021-27, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Working Papers hal-04159739, HAL.
Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03373425, HAL.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-03661598, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers of BETA 2021-33, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology," THEMA Working Papers 2021-15, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," Post-Print hal-03661598, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," Working Papers hal-03373425, HAL.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03661598, HAL.
- Valérie Mignon & Laurent Ferrara & Denis Ferrand & Eric Heyer & Claude Diebolt & Frederique Bec & Catherine Doz & Pierre-Alain Pionnier & Antonin Aviat, 2022. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Post-Print hal-04435786, HAL.
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- Antonin Aviat & FrÃ©dÃ©rique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & ValÃ©rie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers 08-21, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
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Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Enrica De Cian & Malcolm Mistry & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2020. "The impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-switching Panel Approach," Papers 2012.14693, arXiv.org.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Enrica De Cian & Malcolm Mistry & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2021. "The Impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-switching Panel Approach," Working Papers 2021:03, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
Ramadani Gani & Petrovska Magdalena & Bucevska Vesna, 2021. "Evaluation of Mixed Frequency Approaches for Tracking Near-Term Economic Developments in North Macedonia," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 16(2), pages 43-52, December.
Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2021. "Multimodality In Macrofinancial Dynamics," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 861-886, May.
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James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2021. "Measuring the slowly evolving trend in US inflation with professional forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 1-17, January.
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Gregor Bäurle & Elizabeth Steiner & Gabriel Züllig, 2021. "Forecasting the production side of GDP," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 458-480, April.
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Robert Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2021. "A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(1), pages 233-253, February.
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Takashi Kano, 2021. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: A General Equilibrium Exploration," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(1), pages 95-117, February.
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Dana Galizia, 2021. "Saddle cycles: Solving rational expectations models featuring limit cycles (or chaos) using perturbation methods," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(3), pages 869-901, July.
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Oinonen, Sami & Vilmi, Lauri, 2021. "Analysing euro area inflation outlook with the Phillips curve," BoF Economics Review 5/2021, Bank of Finland.
Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2021. "Inflation Dynamics and Forecast: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2101, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
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, & Stein, Tobias, 2021. "Equity premium predictability over the business cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 16357, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Marta Bañbura & Danilo Leiva-León & Jan-Oliver Menz, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation Forecasts?," Working Papers 2138, Banco de España.
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Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2021. "Macroeconomic stabilisation and monetary policy effectiveness in a low-interest-rate environment," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
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Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023. "Container Trade and the U.S. Recovery," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(1), pages 417-450, March.
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Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021. "The role of endogenous capital depreciation rate for business cycle dynamics: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
Hauber, Philipp, 2021. "How useful is external information from professional forecasters? Conditional forecasts in large factor models," EconStor Preprints 251469, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
Milivojevic, Lazar & Tatar, Balint, 2021. "Fixed exchange rate - a friend or foe of labor cost adjustments?," IMFS Working Paper Series 152, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
Heinisch, Katja & Lindner, Axel, 2021. "Economic sentiment: Disentangling private information from public knowledge," IWH Discussion Papers 15/2021, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Zeddies, Götz, 2021. "Investitionen, Auslastungsgrad und Öffentliche Finanzen in der mittleren Frist: Implikationen des Zweiten Nachtragshaushalts 2021," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 9(4), pages 141-148.
Jiawen Luo & Tony Klein & Thomas Walther & Qiang Ji, 2024. "Forecasting realized volatility of crude oil futures prices based on machine learning," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1422-1446, August.
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Radke, Lucas & Wicknig, Florian, 2021. "Experience-Based Heterogeneity in Expectations and Monetary Policy," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242414, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
George-Marios Angeletos & Zhen Huo, 2021. "Myopia and Anchoring," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(4), pages 1166-1200, April.
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Barbara Rossi, 2021. "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 59(4), pages 1135-1190, December.
María Paula Bonel & Daniel J. Aromí, 2021. "Assessing GDP forecasts from autoregressive models: the impact of model complexity and training dataset," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4440, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
Vesna Karadzic & Bojan Pejovic, 2021. "Inflation Forecasting in the Western Balkans and EU: A Comparison of Holt-Winters, ARIMA and NNAR Models," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 23(57), pages 517-517.
Tamta Sopromadze & Giorgi Barbakadze & Shalva Mkhatrishvili, 2021. "Dominant Currency Paradigm: Financial Dollarization View," NBG Working Papers 01/2021, National Bank of Georgia.
Tamta Sopromadze & Giorgi Barbakadze & Shalva Mkhatrishvili, 2021. "Dominant Currency Paradigm: Financial Dollarization View," NBG Working Papers 01/2021, National Bank of Georgia.
ValÃ©rie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & FrÃ©dÃ©rique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier & Catherine Doz, 2021. "Les cycles Ã©conomiques de la France : une datation de rÃ©fÃ©rence," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-22, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
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Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03373425, HAL.
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Sara Rosa dos Santos & Aniela Fagundes Carrara, 2021. "The Interaction Between Food Prices And The Future Expectation Of Inflation: A Dynamic Analysis," Revista de Economia Mackenzie (REM), Mackenzie Presbyterian University, Social and Applied Sciences Center, vol. 18(2), pages 135-158, July-Dece.
Camilla Mastromarco & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2021. "Predicting recessions with a frontier measure of output gap: an application to Italian economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(6), pages 2701-2740, June.
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Nurdaulet Abilov & Aizhan Bolatbayeva, 2021. "Nowcasting GDP growth in Russia with an incomplete dataset: A factor model approach," NAC Analytica Working Paper 18, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised Feb 2022.
Erlan Konebayev, 2021. "Financial frictions in a commodity exporting small open economy: the Case of Kazakhstan," NAC Analytica Working Paper 21, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University.
Байкулаков Ш. // Baikulakov Sh. & Белгибаев З. // Belgibayev Z., 2021. "Анализ рисков потребительских кредитов с помощью алгоритмов машинного обучения // Consumer credit risk analysis via machine learning algorithms," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2, pages 4-26.
Тулеуов Олжас // Tuleuov Olzhas & Ержан Ислам // Yerzhan Islam & Сейдахметов Ансар // Seidakhmetov Ansar, 2021. "Система Galymzhan: online-оценка потребительской инфляции в Казахстане // Galymzhan System: Online Assessment of Consumer Inflation in Kazakhstan," Working Papers #2021-2, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
Байкулаков Шалкар // Baikulakov Shalkar & Белгибаев Зангар // Belgibayev Zanggar, 2021. "Анализ рисков потребительских кредитов с помощью алгоритмов машинного обучения // Consumer credit risk analysis via machine learning algorithms," Working Papers #2021-4, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
Emilie Jasova & Bozena Kaderabkova, 2021. "Ambiguous effects of minimum wage tool of labour markets regulation ? key study of V4 countries," International Journal of Economic Sciences, European Research Center, vol. 10(2), pages 58-85, December.
Emilie Jasova & Bozena Kaderabkova, 2021. "Ambiguous effects of minimum wage tool of labour markets regulation – key study of V4 countries," International Journal of Economic Sciences, European Research Center, vol. 10(2), pages 59-86, December.
Haykaz Igityan & Hovhannes Manukyan, 2020. "Fitting Armenian Data to the Simple DSGE Model with Permanent Productivity Growth," Working Papers 14, Central Bank of Armenia.
Vahagn Davtyan & Haykaz Igityan, 2021. "Structural Reforms in DSGE Model," Working Papers 17, Central Bank of Armenia.
Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanović, Dalibor, 2021. "Can Machine Learning Catch The Covid-19 Recession?," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 256, pages 71-109, May.
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Sarun Kamolthip, 2021. "Macroeconomic Forecasting with LSTM and Mixed Frequency Time Series Data," PIER Discussion Papers 165, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
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Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022. "Asymmetric conjugate priors for large Bayesian VARs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 13(3), pages 1145-1169, July.
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Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020. "Information weighting under least squares learning," CAMA Working Papers 2020-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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Sabyasachi Kar & Amaani Bashir & Mayank Jain, 2021. "New Approaches to Forecasting Growth and Inflation: Big Data and Machine Learning," IEG Working Papers 446, Institute of Economic Growth.
Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanović, Dalibor, 2021. "Can Machine Learning Catch The Covid-19 Recession?," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 256, pages 71-109, May.
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Joshua Brault & Hashmat Khan & Louis Phaneuf & Jean Gardy Victor, 2021. "Did the Fed Remain at the ZLB Long Enough? Lessons from the 2008-2019 Period," Working Papers 21-09, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
Joshua Brault & Louis Phaneuf, 2021. "Higher Order Interest-Smoothing, Time-Varying Inflation Target and the Prospect of Indeterminacy," Working Papers 21-10, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Mandelman, Federico & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2021. "The “Matthew effect” and market concentration: Search complementarities and monopsony power," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 62-90.
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Rodolfo Méndez-Marcano, 2021. "Global | Modelo vectorial autorregresivo para los tests de estrés de la banca [Global | A vector autoregressive model for banking stress testing]," Working Papers 21/08, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
Youngsoo Jang & Soyoung Lee, 2021. "A Generalized Endogenous Grid Method for Default Risk Models," Staff Working Papers 21-11, Bank of Canada.
Dany Brouillette & Guyllaume Faucher & Martin Kuncl & Austin McWhirter & Youngmin Park, 2021. "Potential output and the neutral rate in Canada: 2021 update," Staff Analytical Notes 2021-6, Bank of Canada.
Dany Brouillette & Guyllaume Faucher & Martin Kuncl & Austin McWhirter & Youngmin Park, 2021. "Production potentielle et taux neutre au Canada : mise à jour de 2021," Staff Analytical Notes 2021-6fr, Bank of Canada.
Alberto Manuel López Galván, 2021. "Macroeconomic Factors for Inflation in Argentina 2013-2019," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(76), pages 75-102, May.
Emilio Blanco & Laura D’Amato & Fiorella Dogliolo & Lorena Garegnani, 2021. "Nowcast of Macroeconomic Aggregates in Argentina: Comparing the Predictive Capacity of Different Models," BCRA Working Paper Series 202190, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
Corinna Ghirelli & María Gil & Samuel Hurtado & Alberto Urtasun, 2021. "Relación entre las medidas de contención de la pandemia, la movilidad y la actividad económica," Occasional Papers 2109, Banco de España.
Corinna Ghirelli & María Gil & Samuel Hurtado & Alberto Urtasun, 2021. "The relationship between pandemic containment measures, mobility and economic activity," Occasional Papers 2109, Banco de España.
Bańbura, Marta & Leiva-León, Danilo & Menz, Jan-Oliver, 2021. "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?," Discussion Papers 48/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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Valentina Aprigliano & Guerino Ardizzi & Alessia Cassetta & Alessandro Cavallero & Simone Emiliozzi & Alessandro Gambini & Nazzareno Renzi & Roberta Zizza, 2021. "Exploiting payments to track Italian economic activity: the experience at Banca d’Italia," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 609, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Alberto Locarno & Alessandra Locarno, 2021. "Is inflation targeting a strategy past its sell-by date?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1316, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Davide Delle Monache & Andrea De Polis & Ivan Petrella, 2024. "Modeling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 1010-1025, July.
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Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl, 2021. "The Yield Curve as a Predictor of Economic Activity in Mexico: The Role of the Term Premium," Working Papers 2021-07, Banco de México.
Edgar Caicedo-García & Ramón Hernández-Ortega & Nicolás Martínez-Cortés, 2021. "Alivios de precios en la pandemia del Covid-19: ejercicio sobre el impacto en la inflación de Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1172, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Marcela De Castro-Valderrama & Santiago Forero-Alvarado & Nicolás Moreno-Arias & Sara Naranjo-Saldarriaga, 2021. "Unraveling the Exogenous Forces Behind Analysts’ Macroeconomic Forecasts," Borradores de Economia 1184, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Ana María Iregui-Bohórquez & César Anzola-Bravo & Luisa Fernanda Ballén-Rubio & Valeria Bejarano-Salcedo & Eliana González-Molano & Anderson Grajales-Olarte & Alexander Guarín-López & María Alejandra , 2021. "¿Qué nos dicen las encuestas sobre la formación de expectativas de inflación?," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, issue 100, pages 1-95, September.
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Jean-Charles Bricongne & Baptiste Meunier & Thomas Pical, 2021. "Can satellite data on air pollution predict industrial production?," Working papers 847, Banque de France.
Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2010. "Global Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(3), pages 524-535, August.
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Jeremy Fouliard & Michael Howell & Hélène Rey & Vania Stavrakeva, 2020. "Answering the Queen: Machine Learning and Financial Crises," NBER Working Papers 28302, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2021. "What does machine learning say about the drivers of inflation?," BIS Working Papers 980, Bank for International Settlements.
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Bošnjak Mile & Novak Ivan & Bašić Maja, 2021. "Capital Market Returns and Inflation Nexus in Croatia: Wavelet Coherence Analysis," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 12(2), pages 253-267, December.
Tommaso Proietti & Alessandro Giovannelli, 2021. "Nowcasting monthly GDP with big data: A model averaging approach," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(2), pages 683-706, April.
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Joseph, Andreas & Potjagailo, Galina & Chakraborty, Chiranjit & Kapetanios, George, 2024. "Forecasting UK inflation bottom up," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 1521-1538.
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Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2021. "Inflation Dynamics and Forecast: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2101, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
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Barkan, Oren & Benchimol, Jonathan & Caspi, Itamar & Cohen, Eliya & Hammer, Allon & Koenigstein, Noam, 2023. "Forecasting CPI inflation components with Hierarchical Recurrent Neural Networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1145-1162.
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Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03373425, HAL.
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- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers of BETA 2021-33, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03661598, HAL.
- ValÃ©rie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & FrÃ©dÃ©rique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-23, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Antonin Aviat & FrÃ©dÃ©rique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & ValÃ©rie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers 08-21, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
- Frédérique Bec & Antonin Aviat & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology," Working Papers hal-03678309, HAL.
Frédérique Bec & Antonin Aviat & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Working Papers hal-03678278, HAL.
Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03373425, HAL.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-03661598, HAL.
- Frédérique Bec & Antonin Aviat & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology," Working Papers hal-03678309, HAL.
- Valérie Mignon & Laurent Ferrara & Denis Ferrand & Eric Heyer & Claude Diebolt & Frederique Bec & Catherine Doz & Pierre-Alain Pionnier & Antonin Aviat, 2022. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Post-Print hal-04435786, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology," THEMA Working Papers 2021-15, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers hal-04159735, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers of BETA 2021-33, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," Post-Print hal-03661598, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," Working Papers hal-03373425, HAL.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03661598, HAL.
- ValÃ©rie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & FrÃ©dÃ©rique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-23, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Antonin Aviat & FrÃ©dÃ©rique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & ValÃ©rie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers 08-21, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03373425, HAL.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-03661598, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers hal-04159735, HAL.
- Valérie Mignon & Laurent Ferrara & Denis Ferrand & Eric Heyer & Claude Diebolt & Frederique Bec & Catherine Doz & Pierre-Alain Pionnier & Antonin Aviat, 2022. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Post-Print hal-04435786, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology," THEMA Working Papers 2021-15, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers of BETA 2021-33, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," Post-Print hal-03661598, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," Working Papers hal-03373425, HAL.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03661598, HAL.
- ValÃ©rie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & FrÃ©dÃ©rique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-23, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Antonin Aviat & FrÃ©dÃ©rique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & ValÃ©rie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers 08-21, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
- Frédérique Bec & Antonin Aviat & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology," Working Papers hal-03678309, HAL.
Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Éric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 74(2), pages 5-52.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Working Papers of BETA 2021-27, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Working Papers hal-04159739, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre‐Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," THEMA Working Papers 2021-13, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
RÃ©mi Odry & Roman Mestre, 2021. "Monetary Policy and Business Cycle Synchronization in Europe," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-19, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Rémi Odry & Roman Mestre, 2021. "Monetary Policy and Business Cycle Synchronization in Europe," Working Papers hal-04159759, HAL.
Liudmila Kitrar & Tamara Lipkind, 2021. "Assessment Of GDP Growth After The Corona Crisis Using The Results Of Business And Consumer Surveys," HSE Working papers WP BRP 118/STI/2021, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
Longo, Luigi & Riccaboni, Massimo & Rungi, Armando, 2022. "A neural network ensemble approach for GDP forecasting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
- Luigi Longo & Massimo Riccaboni & Armando Rungi, 2021. "A Neural Network Ensemble Approach for GDP Forecasting," Working Papers 02/2021, IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca, revised Mar 2021.
María Angélica Arbeláez & Miguel Benítez & Roberto Steiner & Oscar Valencia, 2021. "A fiscal rule to achieve debt sustainability in Colombia," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, vol. 51, pages 13-35, December.
- María Angélica Arbeláez & Miguel Benítez & Roberto Steiner & Oscar Valencia, 2021. "A Fiscal Rule to achieve debt sustainability in Colombia," Informes de Investigación 18557, Fedesarrollo.
- Arbeláez, María Angélica & Benítez, Miguel & Steiner, Roberto & Valencia, Oscar, 2021. "A Fiscal Rule to Achieve Debt Sustainability in Colombia," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 11040, Inter-American Development Bank.
Molnárová, Zuzana & Reiter, Michael, 2022. "Technology, demand, and productivity: What an industry model tells us about business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
- Molnarova, Zuzana & Reiter, Michael, 2021. "Technology, demand, and productivity: what an industry model tells us about business cycles," IHS Working Paper Series 29, Institute for Advanced Studies.
Kristin J. Forbes & Joseph E. Gagnon & Christopher G. Collins, 2021. "Low inflation bends the Phillips curve around the world: Extended results," Working Paper Series WP21-15, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
Eda Gülşen & Hakan Kara, 2021. "Policy Performance and the Behavior of Inflation Expectations," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(70), pages 1-46, October.
Shunichi Yoneyama, 2021. "Central Bank Transparency and Disagreement in Inflation Expectations," IMES Discussion Paper Series 21-E-12, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
Hadzi-Vaskov, Metodij & Ricci, Luca Antonio & Werner, Alejandro & Zamarripa, Rene, 2021. "Patterns in IMF Growth Forecast Revisions: A Panel Study at Multiple Horizons," CEPR Discussion Papers 16153, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov & Mr. Luca A Ricci & Alejandro Mariano Werner & Rene Zamarripa, 2021. "Patterns in IMF Growth Forecast Revisions: A Panel Study at Multiple Horizons," IMF Working Papers 2021/136, International Monetary Fund.
Lukas Boer & Andrea Pescatori & Martin Stuermer, 2021. "Energy Transition Metals," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1976, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Lukas Boer & Mr. Andrea Pescatori & Martin Stuermer, 2021. "Energy Transition Metals," IMF Working Papers 2021/243, International Monetary Fund.
- Boer, Lukas & Pescatori, Andrea & Stuermer, Martin, 2021. "Energy Transition Metals," MPRA Paper 110364, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Citera, Emanuele & Gouri Suresh, Shyam & Setterfield, Mark, 2023. "The network origins of aggregate fluctuations: A demand-side approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 111-123.
- Emanuele Citera & Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2021. "The network origins of aggregate fluctuations: a demand-side approach," Working Papers 2118, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
- Emanuele Citera & Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2021. "The network origins of aggregate Fluctuations: A demand-side approach," FMM Working Paper 72-2021, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
Guillermo Benavides, 2021. "Asymmetric Volatility Relevance in Risk Management: An Empirical Analysis using Stock Index Futures," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(TNEA), pages 1-18, Septiembr.
Juan Camilo Anzoategui-Zapata & Juan Camilo Galvis-Ciro, 2021. "Effects of fiscal credibility on inflation expectations: evidence from an emerging economy," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 45(1), pages 125-148.
Rodriguez Castelan,Carlos & Araar,Abdelkrim & Malasquez Carbonel,Eduardo Alonso & Olivieri,Sergio Daniel & Vishwanath,Tara, 2019. "Distributional Effects of Competition : A Simulation Approach," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8838, The World Bank.
- Rodriguez Castelan, Carlos & Araar, Abdelkrim & Malásquez, Eduardo A. & Olivieri, Sergio & Vishwanath, Tara, 2021. "Distributional Effects of Competition: A Simulation Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 14043, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2023. "Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 52-69.
- Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Luca Onorante & Michael Pfarrhofer & Josef Schreiner, 2020. "Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs," Papers 2008.12706, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
- Florian, Huber & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2021. "Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2021-01, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
- Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Onorante, Luca & Pfarrhofer, Michael & Schreiner, Josef, 2021. "Nowcasting in a pandemic using non-parametric mixed frequency VARs," Working Paper Series 2510, European Central Bank.
Luiz Renato Lima & Lucas Lúcio Godeiro & Mohammed Mohsin, 2021. "Time-Varying Dictionary and the Predictive Power of FED Minutes," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 149-181, January.
Reinhard Neck & Klaus Weyerstrass & Dmitri Blueschke & Miroslav Verbič, 2021. "Demand-side or supply-side stabilisation policies in a small euro area economy: a case study for Slovenia," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 48(3), pages 593-610, August.
- Klaus Weyerstrass & Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke & Boris Majcen & Andrej Srakar & Miroslav Verbic, 2017. "Demand Side or Supply Side Stabilization Policies in a Small Euro Area Economy: A Case Study for Slovenia," EcoMod2017 10608, EcoMod.
- Klaus Weyerstrass & Reinhard Neck, Alpen-Adria-Universitaet Klagenfurt & Dmitri Blueschke, Alpen-Adria-Universitaet Klagenfurt & Boris Majcen, Institute of Economic Reearch, Ljubljana & Andrej Srakar,, 2017. "Demand Side or Supply Side Stabilization Policies in a Small Euro Area Economy: A Case Study for Slovenia," EcoMod2017 10553, EcoMod.
Brooke Beyer & Binod Guragai & Eric T. Rapley, 2021. "Discontinued operations and analyst forecast accuracy," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 595-627, August.
Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Florian Eckert & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander Rathke & Samad Sa, 2021. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021/ 2022. Schweizer Wirtschaft erholt sich – Coronavirus bleibt Taktgeber," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 15(1), pages 1-64, March.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Florian Eckert & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander Rathke & Samad Sa, 2021. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021 / 2022 Der Aufschwung ist da – früher und stärker als erwartet," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 15(2), pages 1-26, June.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Maurizio Daniele & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Alexan, 2021. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2022/2023. Erholung der Schweizer Wirtschaft setzt sich fort – Risiken werden vielfältiger," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 15(3), pages 1-76, September.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Maurizio Daniele & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Alexan, 2021. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2022 / 2023 Pandemie bremst konjunkturelle Erholung," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 15(4), pages 1-28, December.
Gani Ramadani & Magdalena Petrovska & Vesna Bucevska, 2021. "Evaluation of mixed frequency approaches for tracking near-term economic developments in North Macedonia," Working Papers 2021-03, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.
Eyno Rots & Barnabas Szekely, 2021. "A Model-Based Comparison of Macroprudential Tools," MNB Working Papers 2021/3, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
Jakub Rybacki, 2021. "Polish GDP forecast errors: a tale of inefficiency," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 52(2), pages 123-142.

2020

Ia Vardishvili, 2020. "Entry Decision, the Option to Delay Entry, and Business Cycles," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2020-07, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
- Ia Vardishvili, 2023. "Entry Decision, the Option to Delay Entry, and Business Cycles," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2023-04, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
Raffaella Giacomini & Vasiliki Skreta & Javier Turen, 2020. "Heterogeneity, Inattention, and Bayesian Updates," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 12(1), pages 282-309, January.
Emilio Blanco & Laura D’Amato & Fiorella Dogliolo & Lorena Garegnani, 2020. "Nowcasting Macroeconomic Aggregates in Argentina: Comparing the predictive ability of different models," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4335, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
Fernando Zarzosa Valdivia, 2020. "Dinámica inflacionaria argentina pre-COVID 19: un mundo minado de outliers," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4428, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2020. "Long-term growth impact of climate change and policies: the Advanced Climate Change Long-term (ACCL) scenario building model," Working Papers halshs-02505088, HAL.
- Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2020. "Long-term growth impact of climate change and policies: the Advanced Climate Change Long-term (ACCL) scenario building model," AMSE Working Papers 2007, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Val rie Chouard & R my Lecat, 2020. "Long-term growth impact of climate change and policies: the Advanced Climate Change Long-term (ACCL) scenario building model," Working papers 759, Banque de France.
Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 9-22.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers halshs-02549044, HAL.
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," AMSE Working Papers 2013, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," Post-Print hal-03740235, HAL.
Nurdaulet Abilov & Alisher Tolepbergen & Aizhan Bolatbayeva & Zarina Adilkhanova & Erlan Konebayev & Zhandos Ybrayev, 2020. "An Economic Response to COVID-19," NAC Analytica Staff Notes 1, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised Apr 2020.
Erlan Konebayev, 2023. "Estimation of a small open economy DSGE model for Kazakhstan," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(7), pages 670-707, October.
- Erlan Konebayev, 2020. "Estimation of a Small Open Economy DSGE Model for Kazakhstan," NAC Analytica Working Paper 6, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University.
N. Abilov, 2021. "A Medium-Scale Bayesian DSGE Model for Kazakhstan with Incomplete Exchange Rate Pass-Through," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 486-522, October.
- Nurdaulet Abilov, 2020. "A medium-scale Bayesian DSGE model for Kazakhstan with incomplete exchange rate pass-through," NAC Analytica Working Paper 7, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised Apr 2021.
Nurdaulet Abilov, 2020. "The role of banking and credit in business cycle fluctuations in Kazakhstan," NAC Analytica Working Paper 8, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised Jan 2021.
Ержан И.С. // Erzhan I.S., 2020. "Использование моделей machine learning при прогнозировании инфляции // Using machine learning models in inflation forecasting," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 1, pages 39-48.
Zhantleuova A.K., 2020. "Modeling the Real Effective Exchange Rate of UK on the basis of theory of BEER(behavioral equilibrium exchange rate) using VECM," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 3, pages 37-47.
Dimitris Korobilis, 2021. "High-Dimensional Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Message Passing Algorithms," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 493-504, March.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2019. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," Working Papers 2019_07, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2020. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," Papers 2004.11485, arXiv.org.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2019. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," Working Paper series 19-17, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2019. "High-dimensional macroeconomic forecasting using message passing algorithms," MPRA Paper 96079, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023. "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1188-1202, October.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working Papers 2019-04, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023. "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Post-Print hal-03919944, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Papers 2007.00273, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working papers 717, Banque de France.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working Papers hal-04159714, HAL.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-11, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Leroux, Maxime & Stevanovic, Dalibor & Surprenant, Stéphane, 2021. "Macroeconomic data transformations matter," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1338-1354.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," Working Papers 20-17, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Mar 2021.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," Papers 2008.01714, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2020. "Macroeconomic Data Transformations Matter," CIRANO Working Papers 2020s-42, CIRANO.
Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2019. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," CIRANO Working Papers 2019s-22, CIRANO.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & St'ephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Papers 2008.12477, arXiv.org.
- Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stephane Surprenant, 2020. "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Working Papers 20-01, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, revised Aug 2020.
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Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Enrica De Cian & Malcolm Mistry & Anthony Osuntuyi, 2020. "The impact of Climate on Economic and Financial Cycles: A Markov-switching Panel Approach," Papers 2012.14693, arXiv.org.
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Nurdaulet Abilov, 2020. "An Estimated Bayesian DSGE Model for Kazakhstan," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(1), pages 30-54, March.
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Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020. "Information weighting under least squares learning," CAMA Working Papers 2020-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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Louis Phaneuf & Jean Gardy Victor, 2020. "Nominal Contracting With Positive Trend Inflation: Which Way to Go?," Working Papers 20-04, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2020. "GDP Forecast Accuracy During Recessions," Working Papers 20-06, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
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Joshua Brault & Hashmat Khan & Louis Phaneuf & Jean-Gardy Victor, 2020. "Is Unconventional Monetary Policy Stabilizing? Evidence From the Great Recession and Recovery Years," Carleton Economic Papers 20-11, Carleton University, Department of Economics.
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Alex Tagliabracci, 2020. "Asymmetry in the conditional distribution of euro-area inflation," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1270, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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Valeria Bejarano-Salcedo & Juan Manuel Julio-Román & Edgar Caicedo-García & Julián Alonso Cárdenas-Cárdenas, 2020. "Entendiendo, Modelando y Pronosticando el Efecto de “El Niño” Sobre los Precios de los Alimentos: El Caso Colombiano," Borradores de Economia 1102, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
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Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2020. "The depth, length and shape of the covid-19 recession conveyed in 2020 growth forecasts," Borradores de Economia 1123, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
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Caroline Jardet & Baptiste Meunier, 2022. "Nowcasting world GDP growth with high‐frequency data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 1181-1200, September.
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Marco Del Negro & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri & Andrea Tambalotti, 2020. "What's Up with the Phillips Curve?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 51(1 (Spring), pages 301-373.
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Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Juan Contreras & Aaron Mehrotra & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2020. "Inflation at risk in advanced and emerging economies," BIS Working Papers 883, Bank for International Settlements.
Evgeny Pavlov, 2020. "Forecasting Inflation in Russia Using Neural Networks," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(1), pages 57-73, March.
Vladimir Boyko & Nadezhda Kislyak & Mikhail Nikitin & Oleg Oborin, 2020. "Methods for Estimating the Gross Regional Product Leading Indicator," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(3), pages 3-29, September.
Sergey Seleznev & Natalia Turdyeva & Ramis Khabibullin & Anna Tsvetkova, 2020. "Seasonal adjustment of the Bank of Russia Payment System financial flows data," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps65, Bank of Russia.
Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020. "Forecasting GDP Growth from Outer Space," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(4), pages 697-722, August.
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Jon Ellingsen & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020. "News Media vs. FRED-MD for Macroeconomic Forecasting," CESifo Working Paper Series 8639, CESifo.
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Felix Kapfhammer & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020. "Climate Risk and Commodity Currencies," Working Papers No 10/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
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Jon Ellingsen & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020. "News Media vs. FRED-MD for Macroeconomic Forecasting," CESifo Working Paper Series 8639, CESifo.
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Bo Zhang & Jamie Cross & Na Guo, 2020. "Time-Varying Trend Models for Forecasting Inflation in Australia," Working Papers No 09/2020, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Felix Kapfhammer & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020. "Climate risk and commodity currencies," Working Paper 2020/18, Norges Bank.
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Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2020. "Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2001, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
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Nam Gang Lee, 2020. "Vulnerable Growth: A Revisit," Working Papers 2020-22, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
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Ahmed Haydory Akbar, 2020. "Dynamics between the budget deficit and the government debt in the United States: a nonlinear analysis," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(3), pages 93-109, June.
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Hashmat Khan & Louis Phaneuf & Jean Gardy Victor, 2020. "A Tale of Two Major Postwar Business Cycle Episodes," Working Papers 20-03, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
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Joshua Brault & Hashmat Khan & Louis Phaneuf & Jean Gardy Victor, 2020. "Is Unconventional Monetary Policy Stabilizing? Evidence From the Great Recession and Recovery Years," Working Papers 20-15, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management.
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Mykola Babiak & Jozef Barunik, 2020. "Deep Learning, Predictability, and Optimal Portfolio Returns," Papers 2009.03394, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
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Jon Ellingsen & Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020. "News media vs. FRED-MD for macroeconomic forecasting," Working Paper 2020/14, Norges Bank.
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Ryan Cumings-Menon & Minchul Shin, 2020. "Probability Forecast Combination via Entropy Regularized Wasserstein Distance," Working Papers 20-31/R, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2020. "High-Dimensional DSGE Models: Pointers on Prior, Estimation, Comparison, and Prediction∗," Working Papers 20-35, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
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Ponomarev Yuri & Radchenko D. & Makarov Andrey & Borzhyh K. & Zubov Sergey & Burdyak Alexandra & Tsukhlo Sergey, 2020. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic Development," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 16, pages 1-22, October.
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Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair, 2021. "What does forecaster disagreement tell us about the state of the economy?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 49-53, January.
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Constantin Bürgi, 2020. "Expectation Formation and the Persistence of Shocks," Working Papers 2020-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Sep 2020.
Mogliani, Matteo & Simoni, Anna, 2021. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 833-860.
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Paul Malliet & Frédéric Reynès & Gissela Landa & Meriem Hamdi-Cherif & Aurélien Saussay, 2020. "Assessing Short-Term and Long-Term Economic and Environmental Effects of the COVID-19 Crisis in France," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 76(4), pages 867-883, August.
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Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020. "Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," OECD Statistics Working Papers 2020/01, OECD Publishing.
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Paul Malliet & Frédéric Reynès & Gissela Landa & Meriem Hamdi-Cherif & Aurélien Saussay, 2020. "Assessing Short-Term and Long-Term Economic and Environmental Effects of the COVID-19 Crisis in France," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 76(4), pages 867-883, August.
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Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023. "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1188-1202, October.
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Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020. "Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," OECD Statistics Working Papers 2020/01, OECD Publishing.
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Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2020. "Long-term growth impact of climate change and policies: the Advanced Climate Change Long-term (ACCL) scenario building model," AMSE Working Papers 2007, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
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Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," AMSE Working Papers 2013, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
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Dzung Bui & Lena Draeger & Bernd Hayo & Giang NghiemÂŸ, 2020. "Consumer Sentiment During the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Role of Others' Beliefs," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202049, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
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Andersson, Fredrik N. G., 2020. "Macroeconomic Equilibriums, Crises and Fiscal Policy," Working Papers 2020:21, Lund University, Department of Economics.
Tamás Kiss & Pär Österholm, 2021. "Corona, crisis and conditional heteroscedasticity," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(9), pages 755-759, May.
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Kladivko, Kamil & Österholm, Pär, 2020. "Can Households Predict where the Macroeconomy is Headed?," Working Papers 2020:11, Örebro University, School of Business.
Corbo, Vesna & Strid, Ingvar, 2020. "MAJA: A two-region DSGE model for Sweden and its main trading partners," Working Paper Series 391, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
Inna S. Lola & Anton Manukov & Murat Bakeev, 2020. "Stress Testing As A Tool For Monitoring And Modelling The Dynamics Of Business Activity Of Manufacturing Enterprises In Russia In The Face Of Market Shocks: Short-Term Scenarios Of Industry Tendencies," HSE Working papers WP BRP 108/STI/2020, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
Shuaizhang Feng & Jiandong Sun, 2020. "Misclassification-Errors-Adjusted Sahm Rule for Early Identification of Economic Recession," Working Papers 2020-029, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
Kerstin Bruckmeier & Andreas Peichl & Martin Popp & Jürgen Wiemers & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2020. "Distributional Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks in Real-Time: A Novel Method Applied to the Covid-19 Crisis in Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 8748, CESifo.
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Adrian Pagan & Tim Robinson, 2020. "Too many shocks spoil the interpretation," CAMA Working Papers 2020-28, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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Kristin J. Forbes & Joseph E. Gagnon & Christopher G. Collins, 2022. "Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve around the World," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 45(89), pages 52-72.
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Thomas Lustenberger & Enzo Rossi, 2020. "Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(2), pages 153-201, March.
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Monica Jain & Christopher S. Sutherland, 2020. "How Do Central Bank Projections and Forward Guidance Influence Private-Sector Forecasts?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(5), pages 179-218, October.
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Emanuel Kohlscheen & Aaron Mehrotra & Dubravko Mihaljek, 2020. "Residential Investment and Economic Activity: Evidence from the Past Five Decades," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(6), pages 287-329, December.
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Catalán, Mario & Hoffmaister, Alexander W., 2022. "When banks punch back: Macrofinancial feedback loops in stress tests," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
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Carlos Guerrero de Lizardi, 2020. "PIB potencial y ciclo económico en México 1921-2019: una perspectiva desde la "medición en economía"," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 15(2), pages 185-204, Abril - J.
Marc Burri & Daniel Kaufmann, 2020. "A daily fever curve for the Swiss economy," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 156(1), pages 1-11, December.
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Burzyński, Michał & Machado, Joël & Aalto, Atte & Beine, Michel & Goncalves, Jorge & Haas, Tom & Kemp, Françoise & Magni, Stefano & Mombaerts, Laurent & Picard, Pierre & Proverbio, Daniele & Skupin, A, 2021. "COVID-19 crisis management in Luxembourg: Insights from an epidemionomic approach," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
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Catullo, Ermanno & Gallegati, Mauro & Russo, Alberto, 2022. "Forecasting in a complex environment: Machine learning sales expectations in a stock flow consistent agent-based simulation model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
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Breuer Sebastian & Elstner Steffen, 2020. "Germany’s Growth Prospects against the Backdrop of Demographic Change," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 240(5), pages 565-605, October.
Alkhareif, Ryadh M. & Barnett, William A., 2020. "Nowcasting Real GDP for Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 104278, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Sergey Ivashchenko & Semih Emre Çekin & Kevin Kotzé & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Forecasting with Second-Order Approximations and Markov-Switching DSGE Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(4), pages 747-771, December.
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Paul Malliet & Frédéric Reynès & Gissela Landa & Meriem Hamdi-Cherif & Aurélien Saussay, 2020. "Assessing Short-Term and Long-Term Economic and Environmental Effects of the COVID-19 Crisis in France," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 76(4), pages 867-883, August.
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Pilar Poncela & Eva Senra & Lya Paola Sierra, 2020. "Global vs Sectoral Factors and the Impact of the Financialization in Commodity Price Changes," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 859-879, September.
Shigeto Kitano, 2022. "How do world commodity prices affect Asian commodity exporting economies? The role of financial frictions," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 84-90, January.
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Cem Cakmakli & Hamza Demircan, 2020. "Using Survey Information for Improving the Density Nowcasting of US GDP with a Focus on Predictive Performance during Covid-19 Pandemic," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2016, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
Eda Gulsen & Hakan Kara, 2020. "Formation of inflation expectations: Does macroeconomic and policy environment matter?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2017, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
Yngve Abrahamsen & Klaus Abberger & Marc Anderes & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Sebastian Garmann & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Nina , 2020. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2020 / 2021. Im Bann des Coronavirus Rezession in Europa und der Schweiz wahrscheinlich," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 14(1), pages 1-62, March.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Florian Eckert & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Franziska Kohler & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Müh, 2020. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2020 / 2021. Wirtschaft hat Talsohle durchschritten - Nachwirkungen der Corona-Krise bleiben noch länger zu spüren," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 14(2), pages 1-34, June.
Klaus Abberger & Michael Graff & Oliver Müller & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2020. "Die Globalen Konjunkturbarometer," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 14(2), pages 45-61, June.
Jan-Egbert Sturm & Yngve Abrahamsen & Klaus Abberger & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Müh, 2020. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021 / 2022. Fragile Konjunkturerholung," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 14(3), pages 1-78, October.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexande, 2020. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021 / 2022. Zweite Welle lastet auf dem Arbeitsmarkt," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 14(4), pages 1-32, December.
Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth, 2020. "KOFCASTs: Ein Projektbericht," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 14(4), pages 56-63, December.
Klaus Abberger & Michael Graff & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Oliver MÃ¼ller & Aloisio Campelo Jr & Anna Carolina Lemos Gouveia, 2020. "The Global Economic Barometers: Composite indicators for the world economy," KOF Working papers 20-471, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Vera Eichenauer & Ronald Indergand & Isabel Z. MartÃnez & Christoph Sax, 2020. "Constructing Daily Economic Sentiment Indices Based on Google Trends," KOF Working papers 20-484, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Florian Eckert & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth, 2020. "Tracking Economic Activity With Alternative High-Frequency Data," KOF Working papers 20-488, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Heinrich, Markus & Carstensen, Kai & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168206, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
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Maghyereh Aktham & Sweidan Osama & Awartani Basel, 2020. "Asymmetric Responses of Economic Growth to Daily Oil Price Changes: New Global Evidence from Mixed-data Sampling Approach," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 71(2), pages 81-99, August.
Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2020. "Consumer Sentiment During the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Role of Others‘ Beliefs," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-680, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, revised Apr 2021.
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Pazhouhi , Asrar & Marzban , Hossein & Dehghan Shabani , Zahra & Moradi , Javad, 2020. "The Effects of Asset Securitization on Banks' Performances (Case Study: Bank Saderat Iran 2005-2015)," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 15(1), pages 1-24, January.
Evžen Kočenda & Karen Poghosyan, 2020. "Nowcasting Real GDP Growth: Comparison between Old and New EU Countries," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(3), pages 197-220, May.
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Brian Micallef & Nathaniel Debono, 2020. "The rental sector and the housing block in STREAM," CBM Working Papers WP/03/2020, Central Bank of Malta.
Andrzej Cieślik & Jan Teresiński, 2020. "Comparing business cycles in the Eurozone and in Poland: a Bayesian DSGE approach," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 51(4), pages 317-366.
Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2021. "Online estimation of DSGE models," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(1), pages 33-58.
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Javier Bianchi & Enrique Mendoza, 2020. "A Fisherian Approach to Financial Crises: Lessons from the Sudden Stops Literature," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 254-283, August.
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Kristin Forbes & Ida Hjortsoe & Tsvetelina Nenova, 2020. "International Evidence on Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 68(4), pages 721-763, December.
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Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2020. "How to estimate a VAR after March 2020," Working Paper Series 2461, European Central Bank.
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Ian Dew-Becker & Stefano Giglio, 2023. "Cross-Sectional Uncertainty and the Business Cycle: Evidence from 40 Years of Options Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 65-96, April.
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Baumeister, Christiane & Guérin, Pierre, 2021. "A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1276-1295.
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Cyrille Lenoel & Garry Young, 2020. "Real-time turning point indicators: Review of current international practices," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2020-05, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
Nicolas Woloszko, 2020. "Adaptive Trees: a new approach to economic forecasting," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1593, OECD Publishing.
Nicolas Woloszko, 2020. "Tracking activity in real time with Google Trends," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1634, OECD Publishing.
Pierre-Alain Pionnier & María Belén Zinni & Kéa Baret, 2023. "Sensitivity of capital and MFP measurement to asset depreciation patterns and initial capital stock estimates," OECD Statistics Working Papers -en, OECD Publishing.
Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2020. "Business cycle dynamics after the Great Recession: An Extended Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," Working Papers halshs-02443364, HAL.
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Christian Gouriéroux & Alain Monfort & Jean-Paul Renne, 2020. "Identification and Estimation in Non-Fundamental Structural VARMA Models," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 87(4), pages 1915-1953.
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Andrea Ajello & Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2020. "Core and ‘Crust’: Consumer Prices and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(8), pages 3719-3765.
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Kristin Forbes & Ida Hjortsoe & Tsvetelina Nenova, 2020. "International Evidence on Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 68(4), pages 721-763, December.
- Forbes, Kristin & HjortsÃ¸, Ida & Nenova, Tsvetelina, 2020. "International Evidence on Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through," CEPR Discussion Papers 15242, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kristin Forbes & Ida Hjortsoe & Tsvetelina Nenova, 2020. "International Evidence on Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through," NBER Working Papers 27746, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Javier Bianchi & Enrique Mendoza, 2020. "A Fisherian Approach to Financial Crises: Lessons from the Sudden Stops Literature," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 254-283, August.
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- Javier Bianchi & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2020. "A Fisherian Approach to Financial Crises:Lessons from the Sudden Stops Literature," PIER Working Paper Archive 20-027, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
Sami Oinonen & Matti Viren, 2020. "Long-run inflation expectations in the ECB survey of professional forecasters: what do the survey responses tell us?," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 15(4), pages 675-695, December.
Martins, Manuel Mota Freitas & Verona, Fabio, 2020. "Forecasting inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips curve: Frequency matters," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2020, Bank of Finland.
- Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2020. "Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2001, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
Pedro Brinca & João Ricardo Costa Filho & Francesca Loria, 2024. "Business cycle accounting: What have we learned so far?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(4), pages 1276-1316, September.
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Grilli, Luca & Santoro, Domenico, 2020. "How Boltzmann Entropy Improves Prediction with LSTM," MPRA Paper 100578, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Degiannakis, Stavros & Filis, George, 2023. "Oil price assumptions for macroeconomic policy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
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Grilli, Luca & Santoro, Domenico, 2020. "Dualism in Bitcoin Dynamics: existence of an Upper Bound in Poincaré Recurrence Theorem for Deterministic vs Stochastic Behavior," MPRA Paper 101057, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Han-Liang Cheng & Nan-Kuang Chen, 2021. "A study of financial cycles and the macroeconomy in Taiwan," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 1749-1778, October.
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Glocker, Christian & Kaniovski, Serguei, 2020. "Structural modeling and forecasting using a cluster of dynamic factor models," MPRA Paper 101874, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Soh, Ann-Ni, 2020. "A Review on the Leading Indicator Approach towards Economic Forecasting," MPRA Paper 103854, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ryadh M. Alkhareif & William A. Barnett, 2020. "Nowcasting Real Gdp For Saudi Arabia," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 202018, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2020.
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Oladunni, Sunday, 2020. "Oil Price Shocks and Macroeconomic Dynamics in an Oil-Exporting Emerging Economy: A New Keynesian DSGE Approach," MPRA Paper 104551, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Jun 2020.
Victor Olkhov, 2020. "Business Cycles as Collective Risk Fluctuations," Papers 2012.04506, arXiv.org.
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Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2020. "The Mean Squared Prediction Error Paradox: A summary," MPRA Paper 105020, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Fajar, Muhammad & Prasetyo, Octavia Rizky & Nonalisa, Septiarida & Wahyudi, Wahyudi, 2020. "Forecasting unemployment rate in the time of COVID-19 pandemic using Google trends data (case of Indonesia)," MPRA Paper 105042, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Nov 2020.
Pincheira, Pablo & Jarsun, Nabil, 2020. "Summary of the Paper Entitled: Forecasting Fuel Prices with the Chilean Exchange Rate," MPRA Paper 105056, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Olalude, Gbenga Adelekan & Olayinka, Hammed Abiola & Ankeli, Uchechi Constance, 2020. "Modelling and forecasting inflation rate in Nigeria using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 105342, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2020.
Raheem, Ibrahim, 2020. "Global financial cycles and exchange rate forecast: A factor analysis," MPRA Paper 105358, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Tretyakov, Dmitriy & Fokin, Nikita, 2020. "Помогают Ли Высокочастотные Данные В Прогнозировании Российской Инфляции? [Does the high-frequency data is helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?]," MPRA Paper 109556, University Library of Munich, Germany.
AsadUllah, Muhammad & Mujahid, Hira & I. Tabash, Mosab & Ayubi, Sharique & Sabri, Rabia, 2020. "Forecasting indian rupee/us dollar: arima, exponential smoothing, naïve, nardl, combination techniques," MPRA Paper 111150, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Harashima, Taiji, 2020. "A Theory of the Credit-to-GDP Gap: Using Credit Gaps to Predict Financial Crises," MPRA Paper 111732, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Rybacki, Jakub, 2020. "Polish GDP Forecast Errors: A Tale of Ineffectiveness," MPRA Paper 98952, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Grilli, Luca & Santoro, Domenico, 2020. "Generative Adversarial Network for Market Hourly Discrimination," MPRA Paper 99846, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi, 2020. "Impacts of Global-Economic-Policy Uncertainty on Emerging Stock Market: Evidence from Linear and Non-Linear Models," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(1), pages 53-66.
Agnieszka Leszczyńska-Paczesna, 2020. "Sectoral Price Stickiness and Inflation Persistence in Poland: A Two-Sector DSGE Approach," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(2), pages 152-186.
Kaloyan Ganev, 2020. "Real-Time vs. Full-Sample Performance of One-Sided and Two-Sided HP Filters. An Application to 27 EU Member States’ GDP Data," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 12(3), pages 251-272, September.
Camilla Mastromarco & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2021. "Predicting recessions with a frontier measure of output gap: an application to Italian economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(6), pages 2701-2740, June.
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Alexander Mihailov, 2020. "Quantifying the Macroeconomic Effects of the COVID-19 Lockdown: Comparative Simulations of the Estimated Galí-Smets-Wouters Model," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2020-07, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
Javier Bianchi & Enrique Mendoza, 2020. "A Fisherian Approach to Financial Crises: Lessons from the Sudden Stops Literature," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 254-283, August.
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Robert Dobre & Daniel Bulin & Maria-Cristina Iorgulescu & Iulia Monica Oehler-Sincai & Olimpia State, 2020. "Artificial Intelligence Sector: The Next Technology Bubble? A Comparative Analysis with Dotcom Based on Stock Market Data," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 22(76), pages 24-37, June.
Andres Gonzalez & Alexander Guarin & Diego A. Rodriguez-Guzman & Hernando Vargas-Herrera, 2020. "4GM: A New Model for the Monetary Policy Analysis in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1106, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
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Bejarano-Salcedo, Valeria & Cárdenas-Cárdenas, Julián Alonso & Julio-Román, Juan Manuel & Caicedo-García, Edgar, 2020. "Entendiendo, Modelando y Pronosticando los efectos de "El Niño" sobre los precios de los alimentos: el caso colombiano," Working papers 50, Red Investigadores de Economía.
Anttonen, Jetro & Lehmus, Markku & Vihriälä, Vesa, 2020. "Weak Economic Conditions and the Objective of the Government Programme," ETLA Brief 86, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
Fornaro, Paolo, 2020. "Nowcasting Industrial Production Using Uncoventional Data Sources," ETLA Working Papers 80, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2020. "A Bayesian Dynamic Compositional Model for Large Density Combinations in Finance," Working Paper series 20-27, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
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Stankevich, Ivan, 2020. "Comparison of macroeconomic indicators nowcasting methods: Russian GDP case," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 59, pages 113-127.
Kocak, Necmettin Alpay, 2020. "Analysis of the Relationship between Household and Real Sector Expectations in Turkey (Türkiye’de Hanehalkı ve Reel Sektör Beklentileri Arasındaki İlişkinin Analizi)," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 11(4), pages 989-1000, October.
Tommaso Proietti & Alessandro Giovannelli, 2021. "Nowcasting monthly GDP with big data: A model averaging approach," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(2), pages 683-706, April.
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Proietti, Tommaso & Giovannelli, Alessandro & Ricchi, Ottavio & Citton, Ambra & Tegami, Christían & Tinti, Cristina, 2021. "Nowcasting GDP and its components in a data-rich environment: The merits of the indirect approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1376-1398.
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Andreas Psimopoulos, 2020. "Forecasting Economic Recessions Using Machine Learning:An Empirical Study in Six Countries," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 18(1), pages 40-99.
Bozena Kaderabkova & Emilie Jasova & Robert Holman, 2020. "Analysis of substitution changes in the Phillips curve in V4 countries over the course of economic cycles," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 9(2), pages 39-54, December.
Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021. "An RBC model with Epstein-Zin (non-expected-utility) recursive preferences: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
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Henry Nasses & Rodrigo De Losso, 2020. "Behavior Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2020_23, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
Paul Malliet & Frédéric Reynès & Gissela Landa & Meriem Hamdi-Cherif & Aurélien Saussay, 2020. "Assessing Short-Term and Long-Term Economic and Environmental Effects of the COVID-19 Crisis in France," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 76(4), pages 867-883, August.
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Christian Glocker & Philipp Wegmueller, 2020. "Business cycle dating and forecasting with real-time Swiss GDP data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 73-105, January.
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Byeong U. Park & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2020. "Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 379-392, January.
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Marcus P. A. Cobb, 2020. "Aggregate density forecasting from disaggregate components using Bayesian VARs," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 287-312, January.
Paolo Fornaro & Henri Luomaranta, 2020. "Nowcasting Finnish real economic activity: a machine learning approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 55-71, January.
João C. Claudio & Katja Heinisch & Oliver Holtemöller, 2020. "Nowcasting East German GDP growth: a MIDAS approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 29-54, January.
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Ines Fortin & Sebastian P. Koch & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2020. "Evaluation of economic forecasts for Austria," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 107-137, January.
Kristian Jönsson, 2020. "Real-time US GDP gap properties using Hamilton’s regression-based filter," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 307-314, July.
Hashmat Khan & Santosh Upadhayaya, 2020. "Does business confidence matter for investment?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(4), pages 1633-1665, October.
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Maurizio Bovi, 2020. "A time-varying expectations formation mechanism," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 37(1), pages 69-103, April.
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Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 16(2), pages 77-97, November.
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Juan Camilo Anzoátegui-Zapata & Juan Camilo Galvis-Ciro, 2020. "Disagreements in Consumer Inflation Expectations: Empirical Evidence for a Latin American Economy," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 16(2), pages 99-122, November.
Kashif Zaheer Malik & Syed Zahid Ali, 2020. "Is the empirical relationship between hours and productivity effected by corporate profits?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(1), pages 99-119, January.
Annarita Colasante & Aurora García-Gallego & Nikolaos Georgantzis & Andrea Morone, 2020. "Voluntary contributions in a system with uncertain returns: a case of systemic risk," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 15(1), pages 111-132, January.
Yuri Biondi & Simone Righi, 2020. "Much ado about making money: the impact of disclosure, news and rumors on the formation of security market prices over time," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 15(2), pages 333-362, April.
Saakshi & Sohini Sahu & Siddhartha Chattopadhyay, 2020. "Epidemiology of inflation expectations and internet search: an analysis for India," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 15(3), pages 649-671, July.
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Moses Tule & Afees Salisu & Charles Chiemeke, 2020. "Improving Nigeria’s Inflation Forecast with Oil Price: The Role of Estimators," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(1), pages 191-229, March.
Ligia Topan & César Castro & Miguel Jerez & Andrés Barge-Gil, 2020. "Oil price pass-through into inflation in Spain at national and regional level," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 561-583, December.
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Marc Burri & Daniel Kaufmann, 2020. "A daily fever curve for the Swiss economy," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 156(1), pages 1-11, December.
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Pascal Seiler, 2020. "Weighting bias and inflation in the time of COVID-19: evidence from Swiss transaction data," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 156(1), pages 1-11, December.
Reinald Koch & Dominika Langenmayr, 2020. "Der steuerliche Umgang mit Verlusten: Reformoptionen für die Corona-Krise [The Tax Treatment of Losses: Options for Reforms During the Corona Crisis]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 100(5), pages 367-373, May.
Knotek, Edward S. & Zaman, Saeed, 2023. "Real-time density nowcasts of US inflation: A model combination approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1736-1760.
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- Edward Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2020. "Real-time density nowcasts of US inflation: a model-combination approach," Working Papers 2015, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2020. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(531), pages 1092-1110, July.
- Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers No 01/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Paper 2019/2, Norges Bank.
Mahmut Gunay, 2020. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP with MIDAS: Role of Functional Form of the Lag Polynomial," Working Papers 2002, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Monokroussos, George & Zhao, Yongchen, 2020. "Nowcasting in real time using popularity priors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1173-1180.
- Monokroussos, George, 2015. "Nowcasting in Real Time Using Popularity Priors," MPRA Paper 68594, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- George Monokroussos & Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "Nowcasting in Real Time Using Popularity Priors," Working Papers 2020-01, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2020.
Lahiri, Kajal & Zhao, Yongchen, 2020. "The Nordhaus test with many zeros," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
- Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "The Nordhaus Test with Many Zeros," CESifo Working Paper Series 8350, CESifo.
- Kajal Lahiri & Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "The Nordhaus Test with Many Zeros," Working Papers 2020-05, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2020.
Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2020. "Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(1), pages 17-33, March.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2017. "Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors," Working Papers 2017-026, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Todd E Clark & Michael W McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2017. "Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors," BIS Working Papers 667, Bank for International Settlements.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2017. "Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors," Working Papers 17-15R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2017. "Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors," Working Papers (Old Series) 1715, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Teshale D. BEDADA & Wondaferahu M. DEMISSIE & Endeg T. WOLDE, 2020. "Determinants of Inflationary Experience in Ethiopia," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 4(1), pages 15-54.
Dmytro Krukovets, 2020. "Data Science Opportunities at Central Banks: Overview," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 249, pages 13-24.
Bibiana Lanzilotta & Gabriel Merlo & Gabriela Mordecki & Viviana Umpierrez, 2023. "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks in Uruguay Through VAR Modeling," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 19(3), pages 399-419, November.
- Bibiana Lanzilotta & Gabriel Merlo & Gabriela Mordecki & Viviana Umpierrez, 2020. "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks in Uruguay through VAR modeling," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 20-17, Instituto de EconomÃa - IECON.
Anping Chen & Nicolaas Groenewold, 2022. "Regional Resilience in China: The Response of the Provinces to the Growth Slowdown," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, vol. 52(1), pages 74-103.
- Anping Chen & Nicolaas Groenewold, 2019. "Regional resilience in China: The response of the provinces to the growth slowdown," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 19-06, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
- Anping Chen & Nicolaas Groenewold, 2020. "Regional resilience in China: The response of the provinces to the growth slowdown," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 20-15, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
Zuzana Molnarova, 2020. "Industry evidence and the vanishing cyclicality of labor productivity," Vienna Economics Papers 2001, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
Zuzana Molnarova, 2020. "Industry evidence and the vanishing cyclicality of labor productivity," Vienna Economics Papers vie2001, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
Rybacki Jakub, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting in Poland: The role of forecasting competitions," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 7(54), pages 1-11, January.
Rybacki Jakub, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting in Poland: The role of forecasting competitions," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 7(54), pages 1-11, January.
- Rybacki Jakub, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting in Poland: The role of forecasting competitions," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, vol. 7(54), pages 1-11, January.
Lee Changro & Park Keith Key-Ho, 2020. "Representing Uncertainty in Property Valuation Through a Bayesian Deep Learning Approach," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 28(4), pages 15-23, December.
Viv B. Hall & Peter Thomson, 2021. "Does Hamilton’s OLS Regression Provide a “better alternative” to the Hodrick-Prescott Filter? A New Zealand Business Cycle Perspective," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 17(2), pages 151-183, November.
- Hall, Viv B & Thomson, Peter, 2020. "Does Hamilton’s OLS regression provide a “better alternative” to the Hodrick-Prescott filter? A New Zealand Business Cycle Perspective," Working Paper Series 21070, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
Viv B Hall & Peter Thomson, 2020. "Does Hamiltonâ€™s OLS regression provide a â€œbetter alternativeâ€ to the Hodrick-Prescott filter? A New Zealand business cycle perspective," CAMA Working Papers 2020-71, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hall, Viv B & Thomson, Peter, 2020. "Does Hamiltonâ€™s OLS regression provide a â€œbetter alternativeâ€ to the Hodrick-Prescott filter? A New Zealand Business Cycle Perspective," Working Paper Series 8956, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.
Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski, 2022. "Macroeconometric forecasting using a cluster of dynamic factor models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(1), pages 43-91, July.
- Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski, 2020. "Macroeconometric Forecasting Using a Cluster of Dynamic Factor Models," WIFO Working Papers 614, WIFO.
Michael Frenkel & Haiko Stefan, 2020. "Why we should expect a much stronger recession in Germany in 2020 than widely believed," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 20-03, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
Čapek, Jan & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús & Hauzenberger, Niko & Reichel, Vlastimil, 2023. "Macroeconomic forecasting in the euro area using predictive combinations of DSGE models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1820-1838.
- Capek, Jan & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Hauzenberger, Niko & Reichel, Vlastimil, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting in the euro area using predictive combinations of DSGE models," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 305, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
- Jan Capek & Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Niko Hauzenberger & Vlastimil Reichel, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting in the euro area using predictive combinations of DSGE models," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp305, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
Čapek, Jan & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús & Hauzenberger, Niko & Reichel, Vlastimil, 2023. "Macroeconomic forecasting in the euro area using predictive combinations of DSGE models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1820-1838.
- Jan Capek & Jesus Crespo Cuaresma & Niko Hauzenberger & Vlastimil Reichel, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting in the euro area using predictive combinations of DSGE models," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp305, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
- Capek, Jan & Crespo Cuaresma, Jesus & Hauzenberger, Niko & Reichel, Vlastimil, 2020. "Macroeconomic forecasting in the euro area using predictive combinations of DSGE models," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 305, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
- Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Pierre L. Siklos, 2020. "U.S. Monetary Policy since the 1950s and the Changing Content of FOMC Minutes," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 86(3), pages 1192-1213, January.
- Pierre L Siklos, 2019. "US monetary policy since the 1950s and the changing content of FOMC minutes," CAMA Working Papers 2019-69, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Antolín-Díaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F., 2021. "Structural scenario analysis with SVARs," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 798-815.
- Petrella, Ivan & Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco, 2018. "Structural Scenario Analysis with SVARs," CEPR Discussion Papers 12579, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Antolin-Diaz, Juan & Petrella, Ivan & Rubio-Ramirez, Juan F., 2020. "Structural Scenario Analysis with SVARs," EMF Research Papers 32, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
Galvão, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2021. "Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1247-1260.
- Galvao, Ana Beatriz & Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James, 2020. "Does Judgment Improve Macroeconomic Density Forecasts?," EMF Research Papers 33, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
Davide Delle Monache & Andrea De Polis & Ivan Petrella, 2024. "Modeling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(3), pages 1010-1025, July.
- Delle-Monache, Davide & De-Polis, Andrea & Petrella, Ivan, 2020. "Modelling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk," EMF Research Papers 34, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
- Delle Monache, Davide & De Polis, Andrea & Petrella, Ivan, 2021. "Modeling and forecasting macroeconomic downside risk," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1324, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Delle Monache, Davide & De Polis, Andrea & Petrella, Ivan, 2022. "Modeling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 15109, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Laine, Olli-Matti & Lindblad, Annika, 2020. "Nowcasting Finnish GDP growth using financial variables: a MIDAS approach," BoF Economics Review 4/2020, Bank of Finland.
Manuel M. F. Martins & Fabio Verona, 2020. "Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequency Matters," CEF.UP Working Papers 2001, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Martins, Manuel Mota Freitas & Verona, Fabio, 2020. "Forecasting inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips curve: Frequency matters," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 4/2020, Bank of Finland.
Eraslan, Sercan & Nöller, Marvin, 2020. "Recession probabilities falling from the STARs," Discussion Papers 08/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Hertrich, Markus, 2020. "Foreign exchange interventions under a one-sided target zone regime and the Swiss franc," Discussion Papers 21/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves S., 2021. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
- Hartwig, Benny & Meinerding, Christoph & Schüler, Yves, 2020. "Identifying indicators of systemic risk," Discussion Papers 33/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Günter Coenen & Carlos Montes‐Galdón & Frank Smets, 2023. "Effects of State‐Dependent Forward Guidance, Large‐Scale Asset Purchases, and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low‐Interest‐Rate Environment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(4), pages 825-858, June.
- Günter Coenen & Carlos Montes-Galdón & Frank Smets, 2019. "Effects of State-Dependent Forward Guidance, Large-Scale Asset Purchases and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low-Interest-Rate Environment," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 19/983, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Smets, Frank & Coenen, GÃ¼nter & Montes-GaldÃ³n, Carlos, 2021. "Effects of State-Dependent Forward Guidance, Large-Scale Asset Purchases and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low-Interest-Rate Environment," CEPR Discussion Papers 16050, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Smets, Frank, 2020. "Effects of state-dependent forward guidance, large-scale asset purchases and fiscal stimulus in a low-interest-rate environment," CFS Working Paper Series 639, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Smets, Frank, 2020. "Effects of state-dependent forward guidance, large-scale asset purchases and fiscal stimulus in a low-interest-rate environment," Working Paper Series 2352, European Central Bank.
Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020. "Indeterminacy with preferences featuring multiplicative habits in consumption: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
- Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2018. "Indeterminacy with preferences featuring multiplicative habits in consumption: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)," EconStor Preprints 182499, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
Hauser, Luisa-Marie & Schlag, Carsten-Henning & Wolf, André, 2020. "Demographic change in Switzerland: Impacts on economic growth in an Overlapping Generations Model," HWWI Research Papers 191, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022. "Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable Real-time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203535, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," Kiel Working Papers 2158, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," IMFS Working Paper Series 133, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2020. "Hohes öffentliches Defizit nicht nur wegen Corona: Mittelfristige Handlungsmöglichkeiten für den Staat," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 8(4), pages 150-161.
Chon, Sora, 2020. "International Inflation Synchronization and Implications," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), vol. 42(2), pages 57-84.
Urban, Jörg, 2020. "Credit cycles revisited," Working Paper Series in Economics 146, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
Foltas, Alexander & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "On the efficiency of German growth forecasts: An empirical analysis using quantile random forests," Working Papers 21, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
Alexander Foltas & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(10), pages 867-872, June.
- Foltas, Alexander & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020. "Business-cycle reports and the efficiency of macroeconomic forecasts for Germany," Working Papers 22, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
Müller, Karsten, 2020. "German forecasters' narratives: How informative are German business cycle forecast reports?," Working Papers 23, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
Salzmann, Leonard, 2020. "The Impact of Uncertainty and Financial Shocks in Recessions and Booms," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224588, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
David Carl & Christian Ewerhart, 2020. "Ethereum gas price statistics," ECON - Working Papers 373, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.

2019

Paweł Macias & Damian Stelmasiak, 2019. "Food inflation nowcasting with web scraped data," NBP Working Papers 302, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Albanesi, Stefania, 2019. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," CEPR Discussion Papers 13578, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stefania Albanesi, 2019. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," NBER Working Papers 25655, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Stefania Albanesi, 2019. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," Working Paper 6608, Department of Economics, University of Pittsburgh.
- Stefania Albanesi, 2025. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women’s Employment," Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers 109, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Stefania Albanesi, 2019. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," Working Papers 2019-021, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2018. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 386, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2022. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2022-40, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," NBER Working Papers 26210, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," 2019 Meeting Papers 380, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-18, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Francesco Zanetti & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Economics Series Working Papers 880, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico S. Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2019-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Mandelman, Federico & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 13950, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Discussion Papers 1917, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," BCAM Working Papers 1905, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
N. A. Ranneva., 2019. "Inflation expectations: An overview of modern approaches," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 2.
Aniela Fagundes Carrara & Geraldo Sant’Ana de Camargo Barros, 2019. "Choques de oferta e política monetaria na economia brasileira: uma análise do impacto dos preços das commodities na inflação entre 2002 e 2014 [Supply shocks and monetary policy in the Brazilian econo," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 29(3), pages 757-794, September.
Maria Chiara Cavalleri & Boris Cournède & Volker Ziemann, 2019. "Housing markets and macroeconomic risks," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1555, OECD Publishing.
Boris Cournède & Sahra Sakha & Volker Ziemann, 2019. "Empirical links between housing markets and economic resilience," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1562, OECD Publishing.
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2018. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 386, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Francesco Zanetti & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Economics Series Working Papers 880, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," 2019 Meeting Papers 380, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-18, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico S. Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2019-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2022. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2022-40, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," NBER Working Papers 26210, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Mandelman, Federico & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 13950, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Discussion Papers 1917, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," BCAM Working Papers 1905, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
Paul Shea, 2019. "The Macroeconomics of Pascal’s Wager," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 481-496, October.
Enrique G. Mendoza & Eugenio Rojas, 2019. "Positive and Normative Implications of Liability Dollarization for Sudden Stops Models of Macroprudential Policy," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(1), pages 174-214, March.
- Enrique G. Mendoza & Eugenio I. Rojas, 2018. "Positive and Normative Implications of Liability Dollarization for Sudden Stops Models of Macroprudential Policy," NBER Working Papers 24336, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2021. "Online estimation of DSGE models," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 24(1), pages 33-58.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Liberty Street Economics 20190821, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-014, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Michael D. Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2020. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," NBER Working Papers 26826, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Staff Reports 893, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2020. "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-023, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2018. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 386, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," 2019 Meeting Papers 380, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-18, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Francesco Zanetti & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Economics Series Working Papers 880, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico S. Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2019-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2022. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2022-40, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," NBER Working Papers 26210, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Mandelman, Federico & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 13950, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Discussion Papers 1917, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," BCAM Working Papers 1905, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
Stefania Albanesi, 2019. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," NBER Working Papers 25655, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Stefania Albanesi, 2019. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," Working Paper 6608, Department of Economics, University of Pittsburgh.
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Ngomba Bodi, Francis Ghislain & Bikai, Landry, 2019. "Les prévisions conditionnelles sont-elles plus précises que les prévisions inconditionnelles dans les projections de croissance et d’inflation en zone CEMAC ? [Should conditional forecasts of infla," MPRA Paper 116432, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Is the United States of America (USA) really being made great again? witty insights from the Box-Jenkins ARIMA approach," MPRA Paper 91353, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Where is Kenya being headed to? Empirical evidence from the Box-Jenkins ARIMA approach," MPRA Paper 91395, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Is Nigeria's economy progressing or backsliding? Implications from ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 91396, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Time series modeling and forecasting of the consumer price index in Japan," MPRA Paper 92409, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Forecasting UK consumer price index using Box-Jenkins ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92410, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Forecasting consumer price index in Norway: An application of Box-Jenkins ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92411, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Forecasting Australian CPI using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92412, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Predicting CPI in Singapore: An application of the Box-Jenkins methodology," MPRA Paper 92413, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Time series modeling and forecasting of the consumer price index in Belgium," MPRA Paper 92414, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Understanding CPI dynamics in Canada," MPRA Paper 92415, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Predicting CPI in France," MPRA Paper 92416, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Forecasting CPI in Sweden," MPRA Paper 92418, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Predicting CPI in Panama," MPRA Paper 92419, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting CPI in Myanmar: An application of ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92420, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Analyzing CPI dynamics in Italy," MPRA Paper 92421, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Predicting consumer price index in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 92422, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting CPI in Mauritius," MPRA Paper 92423, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Prediction of Inflation in Algeria using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92426, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Understanding inflation trends in Israel: A univariate approach," MPRA Paper 92427, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting inflation in Lesotho using Box-Jenkins ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92428, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting inflation in Philippines using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92429, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Predicting inflation in Senegal: An ARMA approach," MPRA Paper 92431, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Predicting inflation in Sri Lanka using ARMA models," MPRA Paper 92432, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Is South Africa the South Africa we all desire? Insights from the Box-Jenkins ARIMA approach," MPRA Paper 92441, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "ARIMA modeling and forecasting of Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Germany," MPRA Paper 92442, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Forecasting inflation in Burkina Faso using ARMA models," MPRA Paper 92443, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting inflation in Burundi using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92444, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "ARIMA modeling and forecasting of inflation in Egypt (1960-2017)," MPRA Paper 92446, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Understanding inflation trends in Finland: A univariate approach," MPRA Paper 92448, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Inflation dynamics in Jamaica: Evidence from the ARMA methodology," MPRA Paper 92449, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Inflation dynamics in Niger unlocked: An ARMA approach," MPRA Paper 92450, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Understanding inflation patterns in Thailand: An ARMA approach," MPRA Paper 92451, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Predicting inflation in the Kingdom of Bahrain using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92452, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting CPI in Iran: A univariate analysis," MPRA Paper 92454, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Uncovering inflation dynamics in Morocco: An ARIMA approach," MPRA Paper 92455, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting inflation in Tanzania using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 92458, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Understanding inflation dynamics in the United States of America (USA): A univariate approach," MPRA Paper 92460, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Asafo, Shuffield Seyram, 2019. "Exchange Rate Pass-through to Prices : Bayesian VAR Evidence for Ghana," MPRA Paper 92967, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Albers, Scott, 2015. "An attitude of complexity: thirteen essays on the nature and construction of reality under the challenge of Zeno's Paradox," MPRA Paper 64618, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Nyoni, Thabani & Mutongi, Chipo & Nyoni, Munyaradzi & Hamadziripi, Oscar Hapanyengwi, 2019. "Understanding inflation dynamics in the Kingdom of Eswatini: a univariate approach," MPRA Paper 93979, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani & Mutongi, Chipo, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting inflation in The Gambia: an ARMA approach," MPRA Paper 93980, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani & Mutongi, Chipo, 2019. "Modeling the long-run relationship between inflation and economic growth in Zimbabwe: a bi-variate cointegration (Engle-Granger Two-Step) approach," MPRA Paper 93981, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "Demystifying inflation dynamics in Rwanda: an ARMA approach," MPRA Paper 93982, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani & Muchingami, Lovemore, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting Botswana's Growth Domestic Product (GDP) per capita," MPRA Paper 93987, University Library of Munich, Germany.
DiGabriele, Jim & Ojo, Marianne, 2019. "The wage growth puzzle and the Philips Curve explained: recent developments," MPRA Paper 95110, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Fokin, Nikita & Polbin, Andrey, 2019. "A Bivariate Forecasting Model For Russian GDP Under Structural Changes In Monetary Policy and Long-Term Growth," MPRA Paper 95306, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2019.
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Nyoni, Thabani, 2019. "An ARIMA analysis of the Indian Rupee/USD exchange rate in India," MPRA Paper 96908, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolás, 2021. "Forecasting aluminum prices with commodity currencies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
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Pincheira, Pablo & Hernández, Ana María, 2019. "Forecasting Unemployment Rates with International Factors," MPRA Paper 97855, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Oladunni, Sunday, 2019. "External Shocks and Business Cycle Fluctuations in Oil-exporting Small Open Economies: The Case of Nigeria," MPRA Paper 98639, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(4), pages 1008-1026, March.
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Emilie Jašová & Božena Kadeřábková, 2019. "Analýza vlivu slaďování rodinného a pracovního života žen prizmatem míry nezaměstnanosti neakcelerující inflaci v české republice [Analysis of Effects of Reconciliation of Family and Work Life of W," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(3), pages 316-332.
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Sacha Gelfer, 2019. "Data-Rich DSGE Model Forecasts of the Great Recession and its Recovery," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 32, pages 18-41, April.
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Marco Corazza & Giovanni Fasano & Riccardo Gusso & Raffaele Pesenti, 2019. "A comparison among Reinforcement Learning algorithms in financial trading systems," Working Papers 2019:33, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
Cellmer Radosław & Bełej Mirosław & Cichulska Aneta, 2019. "Identification of Cause-and-Effect Relationships in the Real Estate Market Using the VAR Model and the Granger Test," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 27(4), pages 85-95, December.
M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1904, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
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Rodriguez Castelan,Carlos & Araar,Abdelkrim & Malasquez Carbonel,Eduardo Alonso & Olivieri,Sergio Daniel & Vishwanath,Tara, 2019. "Distributional Effects of Competition : A Simulation Approach," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8838, The World Bank.
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Ralf Fendel & Nicola Mai & Oliver Mohr, 2019. "The Shape of Eurozone’s Uncertainty: Its Impact and Predictive Value on GDP," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 19-01, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2019. "Short‐term forecasts of economic activity: Are fortnightly factors useful?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 207-221, April.
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Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting the Probability of Recessions in South Africa: the Role of Decomposed Term Spread and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 101-116, January.
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Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-14, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
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Anthony Garratt & Ivan Petrella, 2022. "Commodity prices and inflation risk," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 392-414, March.
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Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano & Simonsen, Lasse de la Porte, 2018. "Time-varying Price Flexibility and Inflation Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 13027, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Clements, Michael P. & Galvão, Ana Beatriz, 2021. "Measuring the effects of expectations shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
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Jin Yeub Kim & Yongjun Kim & Myungkyu Shim, 2023. "Do Financial Analysts Herd?," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(3), pages 202-219, July.
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Pestova, Anna & Mamonov, Mikhail, 2019. "Should we care? The economic effects of financial sanctions on the Russian economy," BOFIT Discussion Papers 13/2019, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
Ambrocio, Gene, 2019. "Measuring household uncertainty in EU countries," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 17/2019, Bank of Finland.
Markus Hertrich, 2019. "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, November.
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Kollar, Miroslav & Schmieder, Christian, 2019. "Macro-based asset allocation: An empirical analysis," EIB Working Papers 2019/11, European Investment Bank (EIB).
Aleksandar Vasilev, 2019. "Are Habits in Consumption Important for the Propagation of Business Cycle Fluctuations in Bulgaria?," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 11(3), pages 133-151, September.
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Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(54), pages 5802-5816, November.
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- Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Munich Reprints in Economics 78264, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7691, CESifo.
Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022. "Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
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- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," IMFS Working Paper Series 133, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
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João C. Claudio & Katja Heinisch & Oliver Holtemöller, 2020. "Nowcasting East German GDP growth: a MIDAS approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 29-54, January.
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Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Claudio, João Carlos & Drygalla, Andrej & Exß, Franziska & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Lindner, Axel & Müller, Isabella & Schultz, Birgit & Staff, 2019. "Konjunktur aktuell: Schwache Auslandsnachfrage - Abschwung in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 7(2), pages 21-42.
Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Schult, Christoph & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2019. "Sinkendes Potenzialwachstum in Deutschland, beschleunigter Braunkohleausstieg und Klimapaket: Finanzpolitische Konsequenzen für die Jahre bis 2024," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 7(4), pages 109-120.
Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019. "Cognitive Abilities and Inflation Expectations," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 562-566, May.
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Lindner, Axel & Heinisch, Katja, 2019. "Economic Sentiment in Europe: Disentangling Private Information from Public Knowledge," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203501, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022. "Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," IMFS Working Paper Series 133, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable Real-time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203535, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," Kiel Working Papers 2158, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Mauersberger, Felix, 2019. "Thompson Sampling: Endogenously Random Behavior in Games and Markets," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203600, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Weiske, Sebastian, 2019. "Indicator-based estimates of the output gap in the euro area," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203604, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019. "Inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 789, Bank for International Settlements.
- Lamla, Michael & Pfajfar, Damjan & Rendell, Lea, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203644, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Lamla, Michael & PJaifar, Damian & Rendell, Lea, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 24771, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-042, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019. "Cognitive Abilities and Inflation Expectations," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 562-566, May.
- D'Acunto, Francesco & Hoang, Daniel & Paloviita, Maritta & Weber, Michael, 2019. "Cognitive abilities and inflation expectations," Working Paper Series in Economics 126, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
Fernando Zarzosa Valdivia & Kassandra Moreno Halberstadt, 2019. "Dinámica de la Inflación y sus Componentes en Argentina. Una Historia a Dos Velocidades: 1995-2001 vs 2005-2019," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4208, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
Camilla Mastromarco & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2019. "Predicting Recessions: A New Measure of Output Gap as Predictor," CEPA Working Papers Series WP112019, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
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Byeong U. Park & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2020. "Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 379-392, January.
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- Byeong U. Park & LÃ¨opold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2018. "Forecasting of Recessions via Dynamic Probit for Time Series: Replication and Extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," CEPA Working Papers Series WP092018, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
Ержан Ислам // Yerzhan Islam & Байкулаков Шалкар // Baikulakov Shalkar, 2019. "Оценка воздействия кредитования экономики на инфляционные процессы в Казахстане // Assessment of credit impact on inflation processes in Kazakhstan," Working Papers #2019-5, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
Vardanyan, Erik, 2019. "Do remittances worsen export diversification?," Economics Discussion Papers 2019-46, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
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Stella Mnoyan, 2019. "Exchange Rate Pass-through in Armenia," Working Papers 13, Central Bank of Armenia, revised Dec 2019.
Douglas Laxton & Asya Kostanyan & Akaki Liqokeli & Gevorg Minasyan & Tamta Sopromadze & Armen Nurbekyan, 2019. "Mind the Gaps! Financial-Cycle Output Gaps and Monetary-Policy-Relevant Output Gaps," Working Papers 19, Central Bank of Armenia.
Mogliani, Matteo & Simoni, Anna, 2021. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 833-860.
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- Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2020. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Post-Print hal-03089878, HAL.
- Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2019. "Bayesian MIDAS Penalized Regressions: Estimation, Selection, and Prediction," Papers 1903.08025, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020. "Forecasting GDP Growth from Outer Space," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(4), pages 697-722, August.
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Inna Sysoieva & Oksana Balaziuk & Liubomyr Pylypenko, 2019. "Modelling Of Enterprise'S Accounting Policy: Theoretical Aspect," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", vol. 5(1).
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2018. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 386, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Francesco Zanetti & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Economics Series Working Papers 880, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico S. Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2019-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
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- FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Mandelman, Federico & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 13950, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Discussion Papers 1917, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
Olivier Gervais, 2019. "How Oil Supply Shocks Affect the Global Economy: Evidence from Local Projections," Discussion Papers 2019-6, Bank of Canada.
Dany Brouillette & Julien Champagne & Carol Khoury & Natalia Kyui & Jeffrey Mollins & Youngmin Park, 2019. "Potential Output in Canada: 2019 Reassessment," Staff Analytical Notes 2019-10, Bank of Canada.
Dany Brouillette & Julien Champagne & Carol Khoury & Natalia Kyui & Jeffrey Mollins & Youngmin Park, 2019. "Production potentielle au Canada : réévaluation de 2019," Staff Analytical Notes 2019-10fr, Bank of Canada.
Charles Gaa & Xuezhi Liu & Cameron MacDonald & Xiangjin Shen, 2019. "Assessing the Resilience of the Canadian Banking System," Staff Analytical Notes 2019-16, Bank of Canada.
Charles Gaa & Xuezhi Liu & Cameron MacDonald & Xiangjin Shen, 2019. "Évaluer la résilience du système bancaire canadien," Staff Analytical Notes 2019-16fr, Bank of Canada.
Pablo Garcia Sanchez & Alban Moura, 2019. "The LU-EAGLE model with disaggregated public expenditure," BCL working papers 135, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
Matías Pacce & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2019. "Predicción en tiempo real del PIB en el área del euro: recientes mejoras en el modelo Euro-STING," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue MAR.
Concha Artola & María Gil & Danilo Leiva & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019. "Predicción en tiempo real del PIB regional: aspectos estadísticos y un modelo de previsión," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue JUN.
Concha Artola & María Gil & Danilo Leiva & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019. "Real-time regional GDP forecasting: statistical aspects and a forecasting model," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue JUN.
María Gil & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019. "An application of dynamic factor models to nowcast regional economic activity in Spain," Occasional Papers 1904, Banco de España.
Luis Julián Álvarez, 2019. "El índice de precios de consumo: usos y posibles vías de mejora," Occasional Papers 1910, Banco de España.
Ganics, Gergely & Odendahl, Florens, 2021. "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information, and structural change in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 971-999.
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Lorenzo Burlon & Paolo D'Imperio, 2019. "The euro-area output gap through the lens of a DSGE model," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 477, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Massimo Gallo & Sonia Soncin & Andrea Venturini, 2019. "Ven-ICE: a new indicator for the economy of the Veneto region," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 498, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Angela Capolongo & Claudia Pacella, 2021. "Forecasting inflation in the euro area: countries matter!," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2477-2499, November.
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Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
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Piergiorgio Alessandri & Leonardo Del Vecchio & Arianna Miglietta, 2019. "Financial Conditions and 'Growth at Risk' in Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1242, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2019. "The natural interest rate in Latin America," Borradores de Economia 1067, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Mogliani, Matteo & Simoni, Anna, 2021. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 833-860.
- Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2019. "Bayesian MIDAS Penalized Regressions: Estimation, Selection, and Prediction," Papers 1903.08025, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
- Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2020. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Post-Print hal-03089878, HAL.
- Matteo Mogliani, 2019. "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: estimation, selection, and prediction," Working papers 713, Banque de France.
Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023. "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1188-1202, October.
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- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working papers 717, Banque de France.
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- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020. "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," EconomiX Working Papers 2020-11, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
Ganics, Gergely & Odendahl, Florens, 2021. "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information, and structural change in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 971-999.
- Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information and structural change in the euro area," Working Papers 1948, Banco de España.
- Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019. "Bayesian VAR Forecasts, Survey Information and Structural Change in the Euro Area," Working papers 733, Banque de France.
Matthieu Lemoine & Harri Turunen & Mohammed Chahad & Antoine Lepetit & Anastasia Zhutova & Pierre Aldama & Pierrick Clerc & Jean-Pierre Laffargue, 2019. "The FR-BDF Model and an Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission in France," Working papers 736, Banque de France.
Caggese, Andrea, 2020. "Comments on: “What drives aggregate investment? Evidence from German survey data”," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
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- Andrea Caggese, 2020. "Comments on: 'What Drives Aggregate Investment? Evidence from German Survey Data'," Working Papers 1175, Barcelona School of Economics.
Lamla, Michael & PJaifar, Damian & Rendell, Lea, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 24771, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
- Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019. "Inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 789, Bank for International Settlements.
- Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-042, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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Kristin Forbes, 2019. "Has globalization changed the inflation process?," BIS Working Papers 791, Bank for International Settlements.
Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann & Dora Xia Author-X-Name_First: Dora, 2019. "Predicting recessions: financial cycle versus term spread," BIS Working Papers 818, Bank for International Settlements.
Konstantin Styrin, 2019. "Forecasting Inflation in Russia Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(1), pages 3-18, March.
Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2019. "Determination of the Current Phase of the Credit Cycle in Emerging Markets," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(2), pages 28-42, June.
Sergei Seleznev, 2019. "Truncated priors for tempered hierarchical Dirichlet process vector autoregression," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps47, Bank of Russia.
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María Victoria Landaberry, 2019. "Boom de crédito en Uruguay: Identificación y Anticipación," Documentos de trabajo 2019001, Banco Central del Uruguay.
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Parra-Polania Julian A., 2019. "State-Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 1019-1027, December.
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Heinisch Katja & Scheufele Rolf, 2019. "Should Forecasters Use Real-Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 170-200, December.
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Hertrich Markus, 2019. "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, December.
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Øivind A. Nilsen & Magne Vange, 2019. "Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence Using Monthly Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(1), pages 98-122, February.
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Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2019. "Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor‐augmented mixed‐frequency approach," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 846-875, March.
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JACKSON Emerson Abraham & TAMUKE Edmund & JABBIE Mohamed, 2019. "Disaggregated Short-Term Inflation Forecast (Stif) For Monetary Policy Decision In Sierra Leone," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 71(3), pages 31-53, November.
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Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2020. "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 115(531), pages 1092-1110, July.
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Larsen, Vegard H. & Thorsrud, Leif Anders & Zhulanova, Julia, 2021. "News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 507-520.
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Kim Jin Yeub & Shim Myungkyu, 2019. "Forecast Dispersion in Finite-Player Forecasting Games," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(1), pages 1-6, January.
Julian A. Parra‐Polania, 2019. "State‐Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 1019-1027, November.
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Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2019. "Should Forecasters Use Real‐Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 170-200, November.
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Markus Hertrich, 2019. "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 759-794, November.
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Miroslav Klucik, 2019. "Tracking the Course of the Economy (Nowcasting of basic macroeconomic indicators of Slovakia)," Working Papers Working Paper No. 1/2019, Council for Budget Responsibility.
Yiqun Gloria Chen, 2019. "Inflation, Inflation Expectations, and the Phillips Curve: Working Paper 2019-07," Working Papers 55501, Congressional Budget Office.
Paul Jenkins, 2019. "Into the Unknown: Reflections on Risk, Uncertainty and Monetary Policy Decision-making," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 549, July.
William B.P. Robson, 2019. "Thin Capitalization: Weak Business Investment Undermines Canadian Workers," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 550, August.
Lehmann Robert & Wollmershäuser Timo, 2020. "The macroeconomic projections of the German government: A comparison to an independent forecasting institution," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 235-270, June.
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Kajal Lahiri & Wuwei Wang, 2019. "Estimating macroeconomic uncertainty and discord using info-metrics," CESifo Working Paper Series 7674, CESifo.
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Scott M. R. Mahadeo & Reinhold Heinlein & Gabriella Deborah Legrenzi, 2019. "Tracing the Genesis of Contagion in the Oil-Finance Nexus," CESifo Working Paper Series 7925, CESifo.
Caballero, Julián & Fernández, Andrés & Park, Jongho, 2019. "On corporate borrowing, credit spreads and economic activity in emerging economies: An empirical investigation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 160-178.
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Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
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Jan Filacek & Ivan Sutoris, 2019. "Inflation Targeting Flexibility: The CNB's Reaction Function under Scrutiny," Research and Policy Notes 2019/02, Czech National Bank.
Sergio Iván Prada & Julio C. Alonso & Julián Fernández, 2019. "Exchange rate pass-through into consumer healthcare prices in Colombia," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 38(77), pages 523-550, July.
Juan Pablo Alfonso Zorro, 2019. "Efectos de las variaciones del IPC en las decisiones financieras," Econógrafos, Escuela de Economía 17329, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "The global component of inflation volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 700-721, June.
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Stefania Albanesi, 2019. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," Working Papers 2019-021, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
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M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1904, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
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Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, João Victor & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2022. "Incentive-driven inattention," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(1), pages 188-212.
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Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2019. "Bad Jobs and Low Inflation," 2019 Meeting Papers 970, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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Harding, Martín & Lindé, Jesper & Trabandt, Mathias, 2022. "Resolving the missing deflation puzzle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 15-34.
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Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2018. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 386, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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Kristin J. Forbes, 2019. "Inflation Dynamics: Dead, Dormant, or Determined Abroad?," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 50(2 (Fall)), pages 257-338.
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Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023. "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 1188-1202, October.
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Alexey Mikhaylov, 2019. "Oil and Gas Budget Revenues in Russia after Crisis in 2015," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 375-380.
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McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2019. "Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 580-600.
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M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1904, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
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Adrian Pagan & Tim Robinson, 2019. "Implications of partial information for econometric modeling of macroeconomic systems," CAMA Working Papers 2019-41, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2022. "An automated prior robustness analysis in Bayesian model comparison," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 583-602, April.
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Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2020. "Efficient selection of hyperparameters in large Bayesian VARs using automatic differentiation," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 934-943, September.
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Joshua C. C. Chan, 2023. "Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(3), pages 890-905, July.
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Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019. "Inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 789, Bank for International Settlements.
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Kevin X.D. Huang, 2019. "Growth and Cycles in China's Unbalanced Development: Resource Misallocation, Debt Overhang, Economic Inequality, and the Importance of Structural Reforms," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, vol. 14(1), pages 53-71, March.
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Carola Binder & Wesley Janson & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2019. "Thinking Outside the Box: Do SPF Respondents Have Anchored Inflation Expectations?," Working Papers 19-15, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Jim Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig, 2019. "Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 101(4).
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Peter Jorgensen & Kevin J. Lansing, 2019. "Anchored Inflation Expectations and the Slope of the Phillips Curve," Working Paper Series 2019-27, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Neil Bhutta & Jesse Bricker & Lisa J. Dettling & Jimmy Kelliher & Steven Laufer, 2019. "Stress Testing Household Debt," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-008, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Francesca Loria & Christian Matthes & Donghai Zhang, 2025. "Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 135(665), pages 264-284.
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Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019. "Inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers 789, Bank for International Settlements.
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Thomas R. Cook & Taeyoung Doh, 2019. "Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risks in a Data-Rich Environment," Research Working Paper RWP 19-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
Kristin J. Forbes, 2019. "How Have Shanghai, Saudi Arabia, and Supply Chains Affected U.S. Inflation Dynamics?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 101(1), pages 27-44.
Jim Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig, 2019. "Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 101(4).
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Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2021. "Multimodality In Macrofinancial Dynamics," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 62(2), pages 861-886, May.
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Francesca Loria & Christian Matthes & Donghai Zhang, 2025. "Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 135(665), pages 264-284.
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Reslow, André, 2019. "Inefficient Use of Competitors'Forecasts?," Working Paper Series 380, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
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Stefania Albanesi, 2019. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," Working Paper 6608, Department of Economics, University of Pittsburgh.
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- Stefania Albanesi, 2025. "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women’s Employment," Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers 109, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
Adrian Pagan & Tim Robinson, 2019. "Implications of Partial Information for Applied Macroeconomic Modelling," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2019n12, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2022. "Long‐term inflation expectations and inflation dynamics," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 158-174, January.
- Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2019. "Long-term inflation expectations and inflation dynamics," Economics wp81, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
Shahid Anjum & Naveeda Qaseem, 2019. "Big Data Algorithms And Prediction: Bingos And Risky Zones In Sharia Stock Market Index," Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance, Bank Indonesia, vol. 5(3), pages 1-16.
Shahid Anjum & Naveeda Qaseem, 2019. "Big Data Algorithms And Prediction: Bingos And Risky Zones In Sharia Stock Market Index," Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance, Bank Indonesia, vol. 5(3), pages 475-490, November.
Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2019. "Understanding Indonesiaâ€™S City-Level Consumer Price Formation: Implications For Price Stability," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(4), pages 405-422, December.
Shahid Anjum & Naveeda Qaseem, 2019. "Big Data Algorithms And Prediction: Bingos And Risky Zones In Sharia Stock Market Index," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 5(3), pages 1-16.
Alex Haberis & Riccardo M. Masolo & Kate Reinold, 2019. "Deflation Probability and the Scope for Monetary Loosening in the United Kingdom," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(1), pages 233-277, March.
- Haberis, Alex & Masolo, Riccardo & Reinold, Kate, 2016. "Deflation probability and the scope for monetary loosening in the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 627, Bank of England.
Alain Galli & Christian Hepenstrick & Rolf Scheufele, 2019. "Mixed-Frequency Models for Tracking Short-Term Economic Developments in Switzerland," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(2), pages 151-178, June.
- Alain Galli & Christian Hepenstrick & Rolf Scheufele, 2017. "Mixed-frequency models for tracking short-term economic developments in Switzerland," Working Papers 2017-02, Swiss National Bank.
Valentina Aprigliano & Guerino Ardizzi & Libero Monteforte, 2019. "Using Payment System Data to Forecast Economic Activity," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(4), pages 55-80, October.
Dean Croushore, 2019. "Revisions to PCE Inflation Measures: Implications for Monetary Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(4), pages 241-265, October.
- Dean Croushore, 2008. "Revisions to PCE inflation measures: implications for monetary policy," Working Papers 08-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
Tiare Rivera, 2019. "Efectos de la automatización en el empleo en Chile," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 34(1), pages 3-49, April.
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2018. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 386, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2022. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2022-40, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," IMES Discussion Paper Series 19-E-18, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," NBER Working Papers 26210, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," 2019 Meeting Papers 380, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Francesco Zanetti & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Economics Series Working Papers 880, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico S. Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2019-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Mandelman, Federico & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 13950, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Discussion Papers 1917, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," BCAM Working Papers 1905, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2018. "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Research Discussion Papers 9/2018, Bank of Finland.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," IMF Working Papers 19/166, International Monetary Fund.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy under Bounded Rationality," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2019.07, Bank of Israel.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2018. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," Globalization Institute Working Papers 336, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 01 Jan 2018.
Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2023. "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
- Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2018. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," Globalization Institute Working Papers 336, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," IMF Working Papers 2019/166, International Monetary Fund.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2023. "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Post-Print emse-04624979, HAL.
- Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2018. "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 9/2018, Bank of Finland.
- Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2021. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," Dynare Working Papers 67, CEPREMAP.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019. "Optimal Monetary Policy under Bounded Rationality," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2019.07, Bank of Israel.
Emerson, Patrick M. & Knabb, Shawn D. & Sirbu, Anca-Ioana, 2019. "Institutional Responses to Aging Populations and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 12561, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
Md Rafayet Alam & Scott D. Gilbert, 2019. "Importance Of Real And Nominal Shocks In Us Macroeconomic And Exchange Rate Fluctuations," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 53(4), pages 129-138, Fall.
Döpke Jörg & Fritsche Ulrich & Waldhof Gabi, 2019. "Theories, Techniques and the Formation of German Business Cycle Forecasts : Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(2), pages 203-241, April.
- Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Gabi Waldhof, 2017. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201701, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Döpke, Jörg & Waldhof, Gabi & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2018. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181617, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Döpke Jörg & Fritsche Ulrich & Waldhof Gabi, 2019. "Theories, Techniques and the Formation of German Business Cycle Forecasts : Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(2), pages 203-241, April.
- Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Gabi Waldhof, 2017. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201701, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Döpke, Jörg & Waldhof, Gabi & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2018. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181617, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 829-850.
- Heinrich, Markus & Carstensen, Kai & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168206, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2019. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," Jena Economics Research Papers 2019-006, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
- Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2017. "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 6457, CESifo.
Florian Brugger & Jörn Kleinert, 2019. "The strong increase of Austrian government debt in the Kreisky era: Austro-Keynesianism or just stubborn forecast errors?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 46(2), pages 229-248, May.
- Florian Brugger & Joern Kleinert, 2017. "The strong increase of Austrian government debt in the Kreisky era: Austro-Keynesianism or just stubborn forecast errors?," Graz Economics Papers 2017-15, University of Graz, Department of Economics.
Gabriel Caldas Montes & Caio Ferrari Ferreira, 2019. "Does monetary policy credibility mitigate the effects of uncertainty about exchange rate on uncertainties about both inflation and interest rate?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(4), pages 649-678, October.
Kose,Ayhan & Matsuoka,Hideaki & Panizza,Ugo G. & Vorisek,Dana Lauren, 2019. "Inflation Expectations : Review and Evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8785, The World Bank.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1904, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019. "Inflation expectations: Review and evidence," CAMA Working Papers 2019-29, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Matsuoka, Hideaki & Panizza, Ugo & Vorisek, Dana, 2019. "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 13601, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Altug, Sumru & Ã‡akmaklÄ±, Cem & Demircan, Hamza, 2018. "Modeling of Economic and Financial Conditions for Nowcasting and Forecasting Recessions: A Unified Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 13171, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cem Cakmakli & Hamza Demircan & Sumru Altug, 2019. "Modeling of Economic and Financial Conditions for Nowcasting and Forecasting Recessions: A Unified Approach," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1907, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
Yngve Abrahamsen & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Marc Anderes & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2019. "Schweizer Wirtschaft kämpft mit schwierigen Rahmenbedingungen," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 13(1), pages 1-70, March.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Mirjam Baumberger & Florian Eckert & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Franziska Kohler & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander , 2019. "Industrie stützt Schweizer Konjunktur," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 13(2), pages 1-23, June.
Jan-Egbert Sturm & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Sebastian Garmann & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Phillipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Ste, 2019. "Prognose 2020/2021. Abschwung der Weltwirtschaft dämpft Schweizer Konjunktur," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 13(3), pages 1-80, October.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamers & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Sebastian Garmann & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Franziska Kohler & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühl, 2019. "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2020 / 2021. Schwächephase hält an," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 13(4), pages 1-27, December.
Galimberti, Jaqueson K., 2019. "An approximation of the distribution of learning estimates in macroeconomic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 29-43.
- Jaqueson Kingeski Galimberti, 2019. "An approximation of the distribution of learning estimates in macroeconomic models," KOF Working papers 19-453, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Soroosh Soofi-Siavash & Kristina Barauskaite, 2019. "Sectoral Production and Diffusion Index Forecasts for Output in Lithuania," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 12, Bank of Lithuania.
Laurynas Narusevicius & Tomas Ramanauskas & Laura Gudauskaitė & Tomas Reichenbachas, 2019. "Lithuanian house price index: modelling and forecasting," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 28, Bank of Lithuania.
Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 51(54), pages 5802-5816.
- Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(54), pages 5802-5816, November.
- Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2017. "Forecasting GDP all over the World: Evidence from Comprehensive Survey Data," MPRA Paper 81772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Munich Reprints in Economics 78264, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," CESifo Working Paper Series 7691, CESifo.
hematy, maryam & tavakolian, hossein, 2019. "Evaluation of Price Setting Models in Iran’s Economy (DSGE Approach) (in Persian)," Journal of Monetary and Banking Research (فصلنامه پژوهش‌های پولی-بانکی), Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 11(38), pages 698-655, March.
Zangane, Ehsan & Zamanian, Gholamreza & Shahiki, Mohamadnabi & Cheshomi, Ali, 2019. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Credit Default Cycles in the Country\'s Monetary Market (in Persian)," Journal of Monetary and Banking Research (فصلنامه پژوهش‌های پولی-بانکی), Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 12(41), pages 443-484, December.

2018

Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Rupal Kamdar, 2018. "The Formation of Expectations, Inflation, and the Phillips Curve," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1447-1491, December.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Rupal Kamdar, 2017. "The Formation of Expectations, Inflation and the Phillips Curve," NBER Working Papers 23304, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Byeong U. Park & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2020. "Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 379-392, January.
- Byeong U. Park & LÃ¨opold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2018. "Forecasting of Recessions via Dynamic Probit for Time Series: Replication and Extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," CEPA Working Papers Series WP092018, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
- Park, Byeong U. & Simar, Leopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2018. "Forecasting of Recessions via Dynamic Probit for Time Series: Replication and Extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2018004, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
- Park, Byeong U. & Simar, Leopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2019. "Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2019014, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
Muellbauer, John, 2018. "The Future of Macroeconomics," INET Oxford Working Papers 2018-10, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford.
Mundaca, Fernando & Sánchez, Elmer, 2018. "Índice de Precios de Inmuebles: Un Enfoque Hedónico," Working Papers 2018-006, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
- Fernando Mundaca & Elmer Sánchez León, 2018. "Índice de precios de inmuebles: un enfoque hedónico," Working Papers 124, Peruvian Economic Association.
Elmer Sánchez León, 2018. "Mortgage Credit: Lending and Borrowing Constraints in a DSGE Model," Working Papers 125, Peruvian Economic Association.
David Lee, 2018. "Pricing Financial Derivatives Subject to Counterparty Risk and Credit Value Adjustment," Working Papers hal-01758922, HAL.
- David Lee, 2018. "Pricing Financial Derivatives Subject to Counterparty Risk and Credit Value Adjustment," Papers 1804.02289, arXiv.org.
- Lee, David, 2018. "Pricing Financial Derivatives Subject to Counterparty Risk and Credit Value Adjustment," MPRA Paper 85575, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Jokosenumi Saidat Omolola & Adesete Ahmed Adefemi, 2018. "Modelling the Effect of Stock Market Volatility and Exchange Rate Volatility on Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria: A New Framework Approach," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(12), pages 1482-1505, December.
Ion Stancu & Ion Alexandru Stancu & Laura Elly Naghi & Dragos Bâlteanu, 2018. "Predicting Strategic Areas of a Financial Intermediation Services (SIF) Company Using BSC and PLS," The Audit Financiar journal, Chamber of Financial Auditors of Romania, vol. 20(47), pages 218-218, February.
Yurii Paida & Yaryna Andrushko & Olena Iliushyk, 2018. "Macroeconomic Risks: Classified Features, Methods Of Measurement, Mitigation Patterns," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", vol. 4(4).
James Mitchell & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2019. "R2 Bounds for Predictive Models: What Univariate Properties Tell us About Multivariate Predictability," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 681-695, October.
- Stephen Wright & James Mitchell & Donald Robertson, 2018. "R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 1804, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
Tony Chernis & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018. "Nowcasting Canadian Economic Activity in an Uncertain Environment," Discussion Papers 18-9, Bank of Canada.
Cameron MacDonald & Virginie Traclet, 2018. "The Framework for Risk Identification and Assessment," Technical Reports 113, Bank of Canada.
Lise Pichette & Marie-Noëlle Robitaille & Mohanad Salameh & Pierre St-Amant, 2018. "Dismiss the Gap? A Real-Time Assessment of the Usefulness of Canadian Output Gaps in Forecasting Inflation," Staff Working Papers 18-10, Bank of Canada.
José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St‐Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018. "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 51(3), pages 1029-1055, August.
- José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St-Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018. "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 1029-1055, August.
- José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St-Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys Mendes, 2018. "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," BIS Working Papers 720, Bank for International Settlements.
- José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018. "Could a Higher Inflation Target Enhance Macroeconomic Stability?," Staff Working Papers 18-17, Bank of Canada.
Monica Jain & Christopher S. Sutherland, 2020. "How Do Central Bank Projections and Forward Guidance Influence Private-Sector Forecasts?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(5), pages 179-218, October.
- Monica Jain & Christopher S. Sutherland, 2018. "How Do Central Bank Projections and Forward Guidance Influence Private-Sector Forecasts?," Staff Working Papers 18-2, Bank of Canada.
Ba M. Chu & Kim Huynh & David T. Jacho-Chávez & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2018. "On the Evolution of the United Kingdom Price Distributions," Staff Working Papers 18-25, Bank of Canada.
Monica Jain, 2018. "Sluggish Forecasts," Staff Working Papers 18-39, Bank of Canada.
Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018. "Evaluating the Bank of Canada Staff Economic Projections Using a New Database of Real-Time Data and Forecasts," Staff Working Papers 18-52, Bank of Canada.
Andrew Agopsowicz & Dany Brouillette & Bassirou Gueye & Julien McDonald-Guimond & Jeffrey Mollins & Youngmin Park, 2018. "Potential Output in Canada: 2018 Reassessment," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-10, Bank of Canada.
Thibaut Duprey & Xuezhi Liu & Cameron MacDonald & Maarten van Oordt & Sofia Priazhkina & Xiangjin Shen & Joshua Slive, 2018. "Modelling the Macrofinancial Effects of a House Price Correction in Canada," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-36, Bank of Canada.
Thibaut Duprey, 2018. "Asymmetric Risks to the Economic Outlook Arising from Financial System Vulnerabilities," Staff Analytical Notes 2018-6, Bank of Canada.
Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, João Victor & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2022. "Incentive-driven inattention," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(1), pages 188-212.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Raffaella Giacomini & João Victor Issler & Vasiliki Skreta, 2018. "Incentive-driven Inattention," Working Papers Series 485, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, João Victor & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2019. "Incentive-driven Inattention," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE) 811, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil).
- Skreta, Vasiliki & Giacomini, Raffaella & Gaglianone, Wagner & Issler, Joao, 2019. "Incentive-driven Inattention," CEPR Discussion Papers 13619, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Alban Moura & Kyriacos Lambrias, 2018. "LU-EAGLE: A DSGE model for Luxembourg within the euro area and global economy," BCL working papers 122, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
Fiorella Dogliolo, 2018. "Investment Nowcasting. A Real-Time Estimate with High Frequency Indicators," BCRA Working Paper Series 201878, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
Laura D’Amato & Maximiliano Gómez Aguirre & Lorena Garegnani & Ariel Krysa & Luis Lanteri, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation in Argentina: A Comparison of Different Models," BCRA Working Paper Series 201881, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
Simone Emiliozzi & Elisa Guglielminetti & Michele Loberto, 2018. "Forecasting house prices in Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 463, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022. "The global component of inflation volatility," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 700-721, June.
- Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018. "The global component of inflation volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1170, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Corsello, Francesco, 2019. "The Global Component of Inflation Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 13470, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2019. "Short‐term forecasts of economic activity: Are fortnightly factors useful?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 207-221, April.
- Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2018. "Short term forecasts of economic activity: are fortnightly factors useful?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1177, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Parra-Polania Julian A., 2019. "State-Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 1019-1027, December.
- Julian A. Parra‐Polania, 2019. "State‐Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 1019-1027, November.
- Julian A. Parra-Polania, 2018. "State-dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," Borradores de Economia 1035, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2018. "A well-timed raise in inflation targets," Borradores de Economia 1042, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
S. B reau & V. Faubert & K. Schmidt, 2018. "Explaining and Forecasting Euro Area Inflation: the Role of Domestic and Global Factors," Working papers 663, Banque de France.
Aldasoro, Iñaki & Borio, Claudio & Drehmann, Mathias, 2018. "Early warning indicators of banking crises: expanding the family," Journal of Financial Transformation, Capco Institute, vol. 48, pages 142-155.
- Iñaki Aldasoro & Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann, 2018. "Early warning indicators of banking crises: expanding the family," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
Benjamin H Cohen & Peter Hördahl & Dora Xia, 2018. "Term premia: models and some stylised facts," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann & Dora Xia, 2018. "The financial cycle and recession risk," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St-Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018. "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 1029-1055, August.
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Emanuel Kohlscheen & Aaron Mehrotra & Dubravko Mihaljek, 2020. "Residential Investment and Economic Activity: Evidence from the Past Five Decades," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(6), pages 287-329, December.
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Franta, Michal, 2021. "The Likelihood Of Effective Lower Bound Events," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(8), pages 2058-2079, December.
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Dmitry Kreptsev & Sergei Seleznev, 2018. "Forecasting for the Russian Economy Using Small-Scale DSGE Models," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(2), pages 51-67, June.
Ksenia Yudaeva, 2018. "Frontiers of Monetary Policy: Global Trends and Russian Inflation Targeting Practicies," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(2), pages 95-100, June.
Erzsebet Eva Nagy & Veronika Tengely, 2018. "External and Domestic Drivers of Inflation: The Case Study of Hungary," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(3), pages 49-64, September.
Ksenia Yakovleva, 2018. "Text Mining-based Economic Activity Estimation," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(4), pages 26-41, December.
Ivan Baybuza, 2018. "Inflation Forecasting Using Machine Learning Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 77(4), pages 42-59, December.
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Michael T. Kiley, 2018. "Quantitative Easing and the ‘New Normal’ in Monetary Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(S1), pages 21-49, September.
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Daniela Bragoli & Jack Fosten, 2018. "Nowcasting Indian GDP," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(2), pages 259-282, April.
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Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2018. "Monetary Policy Lessons from the Greenbook," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 955, Boston College Department of Economics.
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Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2018. "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," Globalization Institute Working Papers 336, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
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Yosuke Uno & Saori Naganuma & Naoko Hara, 2018. "New Facts about Firms' Inflation Expectations: Simple Tests for a Sticky Information Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 18-E-14, Bank of Japan.
Noureldin Diaa, 2018. "Much Ado about the Egyptian Pound: Exchange Rate Misalignment and the Path Towards Equilibrium," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 14(2), pages 1-19, August.
Zsolt Darvas, 2018. "Why is it so hard to reach the EU’s poverty target?," Policy Briefs 24611, Bruegel.
Thomas Lustenberger & Enzo Rossi, 2020. "Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(2), pages 153-201, March.
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Dana Galizia, 2021. "Saddle cycles: Solving rational expectations models featuring limit cycles (or chaos) using perturbation methods," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(3), pages 869-901, July.
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Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Forecasting using a Nonlinear DSGE Model," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 7(2), pages 73-98.
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Øivind A. Nilsen & Magne Vange, 2019. "Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence Using Monthly Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(1), pages 98-122, February.
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Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2018. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 386, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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Carlos Brenes Soto & Manfred Esquivel Monge, 2018. "Asymmetries of the Exchange Rate Pass-through to Domestic Prices in Costa Rica during the Exchange Rate Flexibility Period," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 1-35, january-j.
Carlos Brenes Soto & Manfred Esquivel Monge, 2018. "Asimetrías en el traspaso del tipo de cambio a los precios en Costa Rica durante el periodo de flexibilidad cambiaria," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 1-37, enero-jun.
Tomas Adam & Filip Novotny, 2018. "Assessing the External Demand of the Czech Economy: Nowcasting Foreign GDP Using Bridge Equations," Working Papers 2018/18, Czech National Bank.
Audzei, Volha & Slobodyan, Sergey, 2022. "Sparse restricted perceptions equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
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Sebastián Cadavid Sánchez, 2018. "Monetary policy and structural changes in Colombia, 1990-2016: A Markov Switching approach," Documentos CEDE 16970, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
Adriana Uquillas & Carlos González, 2017. "Determinantes macro y microeconómicos para pruebas de tensión de riesgo de crédito: un estudio comparativo entre Ecuador y Colombia basado en la tasa de morosidad," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 35(84), pages 245-259, December.
Jesús Botero G & Álvaro Hurtado Rendón & Humberto Franco G. & José García Guzmán, 2018. "Monetary Policy and Accumulation of Reserves in an Emerging Economy: A dsge Model for the Colombian Case," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, vol. 21(2), pages 309-339, December.
Madeira, João & Palma, Nuno, 2018. "Measuring monetary policy deviations from the Taylor rule," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 25-27.
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Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & David Zarruk Valencia, 2018. "A Practical Guide to Parallelization in Economics," NBER Working Papers 24561, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Petrella, Ivan & Santoro, Emiliano & Simonsen, Lasse de la Porte, 2018. "Time-varying Price Flexibility and Inflation Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 13027, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Luca Di Bonaventura & Mario Forni & Francesco Pattarin, 2018. "The Forecasting Performance of Dynamic Factor Models with Vintage Data," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 0070, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
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Altug, Sumru & Ã‡akmaklÄ±, Cem & Demircan, Hamza, 2018. "Modeling of Economic and Financial Conditions for Nowcasting and Forecasting Recessions: A Unified Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 13171, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Sergey Ivashchenko & Semih Emre Çekin & Kevin Kotzé & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Forecasting with Second-Order Approximations and Markov-Switching DSGE Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(4), pages 747-771, December.
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Moses Tule & Afees A. Salisu & Charles Chimeke, 2018. "You are what you eat: The role of oil price in Nigeria inflation forecast," Working Papers 040, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
Afees A. Salisu & Raymond Swaray & Idris Adediran, 2018. "Improving the predictability of commodity prices in US inflation: The role of coffee price," Working Papers 041, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula Ephraim Ogbonna, 2018. "Does time-variation matter in the stochastic volatility components for G7 stock returns," Working Papers 062, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan.
Pfajfar, Damjan & Žakelj, Blaž, 2018. "Inflation Expectations And Monetary Policy Design: Evidence From The Laboratory," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 1035-1075, June.
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Arno Hantzsche & Marta Lopresto & Garry Young, 2018. "Using NiGEM in Uncertain Times: Introduction and Overview of NiGEM," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 244(1), pages 1-14, May.
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Markus Jorra & Andreas Esser & Ulf D. Slopek, 2018. "The Import Content of Expenditure Components and the Size of International Spillovers," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 244(1), pages 21-29, May.
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S.G. Hall & S.G.B. Henry, 2018. "Macro Modelling at the NIESR: Its Recent History," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 246(1), pages 15-23, November.
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Ray Barrell & Andy Blake & Garry Young, 2018. "Macroeconomic Modelling at the Institute: Hopes, Challenges and a Lasting Contribution," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 246(1), pages 3-14, November.
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Pavel Vidal & Gilberto Ramírez & Lya Paola Sierra, 2018. "¿Por qué el Valle del Cauca ha crecido más que el promedio nacional? Un análisis regional de los ciclos y los choques económicos," Working Papers 33, Faculty of Economics and Management, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana Cali.
Zouhair Ait Benhamou, 2018. "A Steeper slope: the Laffer Tax Curve in Developing and Emerging Economies," Post-Print hal-02977714, HAL.
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Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2019. "Priors for the Long Run," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(526), pages 565-580, April.
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McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2019. "Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 580-600.
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Zivile Zekaite & Gabe de Bondt & Elke Hahn, 2017. "Alice: A New Inflation Monitoring Tool," EcoMod2017 10414, EcoMod.
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Coenen, Günter & Karadi, Peter & Schmidt, Sebastian & Warne, Anders, 2018. "The New Area-Wide Model II: an extended version of the ECB’s micro-founded model for forecasting and policy analysis with a financial sector," Working Paper Series 2200, European Central Bank.
Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanović, Dalibor, 2018. "Mixed frequency models with MA components," Discussion Papers 02/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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Dizioli, Allan Gloe & van Roye, Björn, 2018. "The resurgence of protectionism: potential implications for global financial stability," Financial Stability Review, European Central Bank, vol. 2.
E. Chuke Nwude & K. Onochie Offor & Sergius N. Udeh, 2018. "Determinants and Stability of Money Demand in Nigeria," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(3), pages 340-353.
Adedokun Lateef Adetunji & E. Chuke Nwude & Sergius N. Udeh, 2018. "Interface of Insurance and Economic Growth: Nigerian Experience," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 16-26.
Alexey Yurievich Mikhaylov, 2018. "Pricing in Oil Market and Using Probit Model for Analysis of Stock Market Effects," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(2), pages 69-73.
Giuseppe Orlando & Giovanna Zimatore, 2021. "Recurrence Quantification Analysis of Business Cycles," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Giuseppe Orlando & Alexander N. Pisarchik & Ruedi Stoop (ed.), Nonlinearities in Economics, chapter 0, pages 269-282, Springer.
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De Grauwe, Paul & Gerba, Eddie, 2018. "The role of cognitive limitations and heterogeneous expectations for aggregate production and credit cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 206-236.
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Dellas, Harris & Gibson, Heather D. & Hall, Stephen G. & Tavlas, George S., 2018. "The macroeconomic and fiscal implications of inflation forecast errors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 203-217.
Cardon, James H. & Eide, Eric R. & Phillips, Kerk L. & Showalter, Mark H., 2018. "A model of sleep, leisure and work over the business cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 19-36.
Abberger, Klaus & Graff, Michael & Siliverstovs, Boriss & Sturm, Jan-Egbert, 2018. "Using rule-based updating procedures to improve the performance of composite indicators," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 127-144.
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Guerini, Mattia & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2018. "No man is an Island: The impact of heterogeneity and local interactions on macroeconomic dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 82-95.
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Madeira, João & Palma, Nuno, 2018. "Measuring monetary policy deviations from the Taylor rule," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 25-27.
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Kapetanios, George & Zikes, Filip, 2018. "Time-varying Lasso," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 1-6.
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Javier Turen & Raffaella Giacomini & Vasiliki Skreta, 2018. "Models, Inattention and Bayesian Updates," Documentos de Trabajo 515, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
Magdalena Grothe & Aidan Meyler, 2018. "Inflation Forecasts: Are Market-Based and Survey-Based Measures Informative?," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(1), pages 171-188, January.
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McClelland John & Rust John, 2018. "Strategic Timing of Investment over the Business Cycle: Machine Replacement in the US Rental Industry," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 238(3-4), pages 295-351, July.
Piero Ferri & Fabio Tramontana, 2018. "Debt Persistence in a Deflationary Environment: A Regime-Switching Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 421-442, August.
Reinhard Neck & Klaus Weyerstrass & Dmitri Blueschke & Boris Majcen & Andrej Srakar & Miroslav Verbič, 2018. "How to Achieve the Take-off into Sustained Growth: A Case Study for Slovenia," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 24(2), pages 109-121, May.
Salvatore Morelli, 2018. "Banking crises in the US: the response of top income shares in a historical perspective," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 16(2), pages 257-294, June.
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Hahn, Volker & Marenčák, Michal, 2020. "Price points and price dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 127-144.
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Uluceviz, Erhan & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2021. "Measuring real–financial connectedness in the U.S. economy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
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Yngve Abrahamsen & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan N, 2018. "Breit abgestützter Aufschwung," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 12(1), pages 1-70, March.
Yngve Abrahamsen & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Livia Eichenberger & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Hein, 2018. "Aufschwung setzt sich fort," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 12(2), pages 1-29, June.
Yngve Abrahamsen & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Marc Anderes & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mik, 2018. "Schweizer Konjunktur im Höhenflug," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 12(3), pages 1-73, October.
Yngve Abrahamsen & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Marc Anderes & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan N, 2018. "Schweizer Konjunktur verliert an Schwung," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 12(4), pages 1-23, December.
Evžen Kočenda & Karen Poghosyan, 2020. "Nowcasting Real GDP Growth: Comparison between Old and New EU Countries," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(3), pages 197-220, May.
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Julius Stakenas, 2018. "Slicing up inflation: analysis and forecasting of Lithuanian inflation components," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 56, Bank of Lithuania.
Rostan, Pierre & Rostan, Alexandra, 2018. "Forecasting Spanish GDPs with Spectral Analysis /Previsiones del PIB español con análisis espectral," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 36, pages 217-234, Enero.
Basile, Roberto & Girardi, Alessandro, 2018. "Uncertainty and Business Cycle: A Review of the Literature and Some Evidence from the Spanish Economy/Incertidumbre y Ciclo Empresarial: Revisión de la literatura y evidencia en la economía española," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 36, pages 235-250, Enero.
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Danica Unevska-Andonova, 2018. "Inflation Decomposition Model: Application to Macedonian inflation," Working Papers 2018-06, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.
Madeira, João & Palma, Nuno, 2018. "Measuring monetary policy deviations from the Taylor rule," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 25-27.
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Tavakolian , Hossein & Babaee , Majid & Shakeri , Abbas, 2018. "How Fluctuations in Macroeconomic Indicators Affect Inflation in Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 13(3), pages 267-289, July.
Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2019. "Limited Asset Market Participation And The Euro Area Crisis: An Empirical Dsge Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(3), pages 1302-1323, July.
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Forni, Mario & Di Bonaventura, Luca & Pattarin, Francesco, 2018. "The Forcasting Performance of Dynamic Factor Models with Vintage Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 13034, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Forni, Mario & Di Bonaventura, Luca & Pattarin, Francesco, 2018. "The Forcasting Performance of Dynamic Factor Models with Vintage Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 13034, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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- Luca Di Bonaventura & Mario Forni & Francesco Pattarin, 2018. "The Forecasting Performance of Dynamic Factor Models with Vintage Data," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 138, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
Raïsa Basselier & David de Antonio Liedo & Jana Jonckheere & Geert Langenus, 2018. "Can inflation expectations in business or consumer surveys improve inflation forecasts?," Working Paper Research 348, National Bank of Belgium.
Eric Ghysels & Leonardo Iania & Jonas Striaukas, 2018. "Quantile-based Inﬂation Risk Models," Working Paper Research 349, National Bank of Belgium.
Mary Amiti & Oleg Itskhoki & Jozef Konings, 2022. "Dominant Currencies: How Firms Choose Currency Invoicing and Why it Matters," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 137(3), pages 1435-1493.
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Kasey Buckles & Daniel Hungerman & Steven Lugauer, 2021. "Is Fertility a Leading Economic Indicator?," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 131(634), pages 541-565.
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FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Zarruk Valencia , David, 2018. "A Practical Guide to Parallelization in Economics," CEPR Discussion Papers 12890, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Yueran Ma & Andrei Shleifer, 2020. "Overreaction in Macroeconomic Expectations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(9), pages 2748-2782, September.
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Erika Vanessa Alves da Silva & Nathália da Silva Oliveira & Roberto Tatiwa Ferreira & Cristiano da Costa da Silva, 2018. "Média móvel e a Curva de Phillips: previsões para a taxa de inflação em uma amostra de países desenvolvidos e em desenvolvimento [Moving Average and the Phillips Curve: forecasts for the inflation rat," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 28(2), pages 499-521, May-Augus.
Clément Bortoli & Stéphanie Combes & Thomas Renault, 2018. "Nowcasting GDP Growth by Reading the Newspapers," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 505-506, pages 17-33.
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Pete Richardson, 2018. "Nowcasting and the Use of Big Data in Short-Term Macroeconomic Forecasting: A Critical Review," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 505-506, pages 65-87.
Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon, 2018. "Regional Output Growth in the United Kingdom: More Timely and Higher Frequency Estimates, 1970-2017," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2018-14, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
Aleksandra Riedl & Julia Wörz, 2018. "A simple approach to nowcasting GDP growth in CESEE economies," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/18, pages 56-74.
Alexander Herzog-Stein & Fabian Lindner & Simon Sturn, 2018. "The German employment miracle in the Great Recession: the significance and institutional foundations of temporary working-time reductions," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 70(1), pages 206-224.
Atsushi Sekine & Takayuki Tsuruga, 2018. "Effects of commodity price shocks on inflation: a cross-country analysis," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 70(4), pages 1108-1135.
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Kimolo, Deogratius, 2018. "Price adjustment behaviour of manufacturing and service sector firms in Tanzania: a survey evidence of price stickiness," MPRA Paper 114941, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Papavangjeli, Meri & Rama, Arlind, 2018. "A statistical evaluation of GAP's forecasting performance for the Albanian economy," MPRA Paper 116104, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2018. "Forecasting Base Metal Prices with Commodity Currencies," MPRA Paper 83564, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Leon, Costas, 2018. "An Evaluation of Singular Spectrum Analysis-Based Seasonal Adjustment," MPRA Paper 84594, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ledenyov, Viktor O. & Ledenyov, Dimitri O., 2018. "Business Cycles in Economics," MPRA Paper 84959, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Accolley, Delali, 2018. "Accounting for Busines Cycles in Canada: II. The Role of Money," MPRA Paper 85481, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Hasumi, Ryo & Iiboshi, Hirokuni & Matsumae, Tatsuyoshi & Nakamura, Daisuke, 2018. "Does a financial accelerator improve forecasts during financial crises?: Evidence from Japan with Prediction Pool Methods," MPRA Paper 85523, University Library of Munich, Germany.
David Lee, 2018. "Pricing Financial Derivatives Subject to Counterparty Risk and Credit Value Adjustment," Working Papers hal-01758922, HAL.
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Arora, Vipin, 2018. "Natural Gas and the US Economy: Some Preliminary Rules of Thumb," MPRA Paper 87279, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2018. "Box-Jenkins ARIMA approach to predicting net FDI inflows in Zimbabwe," MPRA Paper 87737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Spelta, Alessandro & Pecora, Nicolò & Flori, Andrea & Pammolli, Fabio, 2018. "Transition drivers and crisis signaling in stock markets," MPRA Paper 88127, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cobb, Marcus P A, 2018. "Improving Underlying Scenarios for Aggregate Forecasts: A Multi-level Combination Approach," MPRA Paper 88593, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nyoni, Thabani, 2018. "Modeling and Forecasting Naira / USD Exchange Rate In Nigeria: a Box - Jenkins ARIMA approach," MPRA Paper 88622, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 19 Aug 2018.
Jackson, Emerson Abraham & Tamuke, Edmund, 2018. "Probability Forecast Using Fan Chart Analysis: A case of the Sierra Leone Economy," MPRA Paper 88853, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Sep 2018.
Kapoor, Advik & Kaur, Vijay, 2018. "A novel Optimization Plan for Multiple-Area Economic Dispatch : An Electro Search Optimization Approach," MPRA Paper 88979, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Pincheira, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolas, 2018. "The predictive relationship between exchange rate expectations and base metal prices," MPRA Paper 89423, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Bilgili, Faik & Mugaloglu, Erhan & Koçak, Emrah, 2018. "The impact of oil prices on CO2 emissions in China: A Wavelet coherence approach," MPRA Paper 90170, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Pedro Brinca & Nikolay Iskrev & Francesca Loria, 2022. "On Identification Issues in Business Cycle Accounting Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova, volume 44, pages 55-138, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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Pincheira-Brown, Pablo & Neumann, Federico, 2020. "Can we beat the Random Walk? The case of survey-based exchange rate forecasts in Chile," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
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Harri Pönkä & Markku Stenborg, 2020. "Forecasting the state of the Finnish business cycle," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 29(1), pages 81-99, Spring.
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Nyoni, Thabani & Nathaniel, Solomon Prince, 2018. "Modeling rates of inflation in Nigeria: an application of ARMA, ARIMA and GARCH models," MPRA Paper 91351, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Soybilgen, Baris, 2018. "Identifying US business cycle regimes using dynamic factors and neural network models," MPRA Paper 94715, University Library of Munich, Germany.
purba, martin, 2018. "Analisis Pasar Uang Pada Model Mundell-Fleming Pada Perekonomian Indonesia (Tahun 2010-2017) [Money Market Analysis on the Mundell-Fleming Model in the Indonesian Economy (2010-2017)]," MPRA Paper 97409, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2019. "Is there a role for uncertainty in forecasting output growth in OECD countries? Evidence from a time-varying parameter-panel vector autoregressive model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(33), pages 3624-3631, July.
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Sergey Ivashchenko & Semih Emre Çekin & Kevin Kotzé & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Forecasting with Second-Order Approximations and Markov-Switching DSGE Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(4), pages 747-771, December.
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Mundaca, Fernando & Sánchez, Elmer, 2018. "Índice de precios de inmuebles: Un enfoque hedónico," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 36, pages 55-74.
Fernando Mundaca & Elmer Sánchez León, 2018. "Índice de precios de inmuebles: un enfoque hedónico," Working Papers 124, Peruvian Economic Association.
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Michael P. Clements, 2018. "Assessing Macro-Forecaster Herding: Modelling versus Testing," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2018-01, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2018. "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers 386, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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Kaitila, Ville & Kauhanen, Antti & Kuusi, Tero & Lehmus, Markku & Maliranta, Mika & Vihriälä, Vesa, 2018. "Finland’s Growth Performance – The Lost Decade and the Prospects in the Near Term," ETLA Reports 87, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy.
Gueddoudj, Sabbah, 2018. "Financial Variables as Predictive Indicators of the Luxembourg GDP Growth," Empirical Economic Review, Department of Economics and Statistics, Dr Hassan Murad School of Management, University of Management and Technology, Lahore, vol. 1(2), pages 49-62.
Iñaki Aldasoro & Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann, 2018. "Early warning indicators of banking crises: expanding the family," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
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Rizwan Raheem AHMED & Saghir Pervaiz GHAURI & Jolita VVEINHARDT & Dalia STREIMIKIENE, 2018. "An Empirical Analysis of Export, Import, and Inflation: A Case of Pakistan," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 117-130, September.
Tzu-Pu CHANG, Ray Yeutien CHOU & Ray Yeutien CHOU, 2018. "Anchoring Effect on Macroeconomic Forecasts : A Heterogeneity Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 134-147, December.
Hantzsche, Arno & Lopresto, Marta & Young, Garry, 2018. "Using NiGEM in uncertain times: Introduction and overview of NiGEM," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 244, pages 1-14, May.
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Jorra, Markus & Esser, Andreas & Slopek, Ulf D., 2018. "The import content of expenditure components and the size of international spillovers," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 244, pages 21-29, May.
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Ulf D. Slopek, 2018. "Export Pricing and the Macroeconomic Effects of US Import Tariffs," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 244(1), pages 39-45, May.
Hall, S.G. & Henry, S.G.B., 2018. "Macro Modelling at the NIESR: Its Recent History," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 246, pages 15-23, November.
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Barrell, Ray & Blake, Andy & Young, Garry, 2018. "Macroeconomic Modelling at the Institute: Hopes, Challenges and a Lasting Contribution," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 246, pages 3-14, November.
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Mahmut Gunay, 2018. "Forecasting industrial production and inflation in Turkey with factor models," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 18(4), pages 149-161.
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Eva (E.F.) Janssens & Robin (R.) Lumsdaine & Sebastiaan (S.H.L.C.G.) Vermeulen, 2018. "An Epidemiological Model of Crisis Spread Across Sectors in The United States," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-008/III, Tinbergen Institute.
Marta Banbura & Andries van Vlodrop, 2018. "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Time Variation in the Mean," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-025/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
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Heikki Kauppi & Timo Virtanen, 2018. "Boosting Non-linear Predictabilityof Macroeconomic Time Series," Discussion Papers 124, Aboa Centre for Economics.
Emanuele Ciola & EDOARDO GAFFEO & Mauro Gallegati, 2018. "Matching frictions, credit reallocation and macroeconomic activity: how harmful are financial crises?," DEM Working Papers 2018/05, Department of Economics and Management.
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Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2019. "The role of energy in a real-business-cycle model with an endogenous capital utilization rate and a government sector: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 5(52), pages 130-141.
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José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St-Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018. "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 1029-1055, August.
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Marek Jarociński & Michele Lenza, 2018. "An Inflation‐Predicting Measure of the Output Gap in the Euro Area," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(6), pages 1189-1224, September.
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Lele Zou & Jinjun Xue & Alan Fox & Bo Meng, 2018. "The Emissions Reduction Effect And Economic Impact Of An Energy Tax Vs. A Carbon Tax In China: A Dynamic Cge Model Analysis," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 63(02), pages 339-387, March.
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Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2023. "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
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Kurz-Kim, Jeong-Ryeol, 2018. "A note on the predictive power of survey data in nowcasting euro area GDP," Discussion Papers 10/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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Katja Heinisch & Axel Lindner, 2019. "For how long do IMF forecasts of world economic growth stay up-to-date?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(3), pages 255-260, February.
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Aleksandar Vasilev, 2018. "Are Habits Important for the Propagation of Business Cycle Fluctuations in Bulgaria?," Bulgarian Economic Papers bep-2018-09, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, revised Sep 2018.
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Hahn, Volker & Marenčák, Michal, 2020. "Price points and price dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 127-144.
- Volker Hahn & Michal Marencak, 2018. "Price Points and Price Dynamics," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2018-01, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
- Hahn, Volker & Marencak, Michal, 2018. "Price Points and Price Dynamics," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181516, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Döpke Jörg & Fritsche Ulrich & Waldhof Gabi, 2019. "Theories, Techniques and the Formation of German Business Cycle Forecasts : Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(2), pages 203-241, April.
- Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Gabi Waldhof, 2017. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201701, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Döpke, Jörg & Waldhof, Gabi & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2018. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181617, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

2017

Belongia, Michael T. & Ireland, Peter N., 2017. "Circumventing the zero lower bound with monetary policy rules based on money," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PA), pages 42-58.
- Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2016. "Circumventing the Zero Lower Bound with Monetary Policy Rules Based on Money," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 911, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2017. "Circumventing the Zero Lower Bound with Monetary Policy Rules Based on Money," NBER Working Papers 23157, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Drautzburg, Thorsten & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Guerrón-Quintana, Pablo, 2021. "Bargaining shocks and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, 2017. "Bargaining Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 23647, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2021. "Bargaining Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations," CESifo Working Paper Series 8989, CESifo.
- FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Drautzburg, Thorsten & Guerron, Pablo, 2021. "Bargaining Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 15979, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, 2020. "Bargaining Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations," Working Papers 20-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Lee, Byoungchan, 2017. "A Note on Variance Decomposition with Local Projections," Department of Economics, Working Paper Series qt8878h9r2, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley.
- Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Byoungchan Lee, 2017. "A Note on Variance Decomposition with Local Projections," NBER Working Papers 23998, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Igor Å½ivko & Mile BoÅ¡njak, 2017. "Time Series Modeling of Inflation and its Volatility in Croatia," Notitia - journal for economic, business and social issues, Notitia Ltd., vol. 1(3), pages 1-10, December.
I. Goloshchapova & M. Andreev., 2017. "Measuring inflation expectations of the Russian population with the help of machine learning," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 6.
Doriana Andreea Ramescu & Nicoleta Sirghi, 2017. "The Price Evolution In The Context Of Economic Crisis," Oradea Journal of Business and Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 2(1), pages 72-80, March.
Francesca Rondina, 2017. "Model Uncertainty and the Direction of Fit of the Postwar U.S. Phillips Curve(s)," Working Papers 1702E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
Matthes, Christian & Rondina, Francesca, 2017. "Two-sided learning and short-run dynamics in a New Keynesian model of the economy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 53-56.
- Christian Matthes & Francesca Rondina, 2017. "Two-sided Learning and Short-Run Dynamics in a New Keynesian Model of the Economy," Working Papers 1705E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
P. Gagliardini & E. Ghysels & M. Rubin, 2017. "Indirect Inference Estimation of Mixed Frequency Stochastic Volatility State Space Models using MIDAS Regressions and ARCH Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(4), pages 509-560.
- Patrick Gagliardini & Eric Ghysels & Mirco Rubin, 2016. "Indirect Inference Estimation of Mixed Frequency Stochastic Volatility State Space Models Using MIDAS Regressions and ARCH Models," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 16-46, Swiss Finance Institute.
Fedrico Torrachi, 2017. "How Do Credit Supply Conditions Affect the Labor Market? Estimating a New-Keynesian DSGE Model with Labor and Credit Market Frictions," Economics Series Working Papers 817, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
Alonso, Julio César & Rivera, Andrés Felipe, 2017. "Pronosticando la inflación mensual en Colombia un paso hacia delante: una aproximación "de abajo hacia arriba" || Forecasting the Colombian Monthly Inflation One Step Ahead: A "Bottom t," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 23(1), pages 98-118, Junio.
Ringelberg, Josiah & Johnson, Andrew & Boehlje, Michael & Gunderson, Michael & Daninger, Nathan, 2016. "Modeling With @Risk: A Tutorial Guide," Working papers 249766, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
- Josiah Ringelberg & Andrew Johnson & Michael Boehlje & Michael Gunderson & Nathan Daninger, 2017. "Modeling With @Risk:A Tutorial Guide," Working Papers 16-3, Purdue University, College of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics.
FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Drautzburg, Thorsten & Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A., 2017. "Political Distribution Risk and Aggregate Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 12187, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo GuerrÃ³n-Quintana, 2017. "Political Distribution Risk and Aggregate Fluctuations," PIER Working Paper Archive 17-016, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 25 Jul 2017.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, 2017. "Political Distribution Risk and Aggregate Fluctuations," Working Papers 17-25, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
Blazej Mazur, 2017. "Probabilistic predictive analysis of business cycle fluctuations in Polish economy," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 12(3), pages 435-452, September.
Blazej Mazur, 2017. "Density Forecasts of Polish Industrial Production: a Probabilistic Perspective on Business Cycle Fluctuations," Working Papers 75/2017, Institute of Economic Research, revised May 2017.
Doojav Gan-Ochir & Luvsannyam Davaajargal, 2023. "Forecasting Inflation in Mongolia: A Dynamic Model Averaging Approach," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 27-48, January.
- Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Luvsannyam, Davaajargal, 2017. "Forecasting inflation in Mongolia: A dynamic model averaging approach," MPRA Paper 102602, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cobb, Marcus P A, 2017. "Joint Forecast Combination of Macroeconomic Aggregates and Their Components," MPRA Paper 76556, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cobb, Marcus P A, 2017. "Aggregate Density Forecasting from Disaggregate Components Using Large VARs," MPRA Paper 76849, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Pablo Pincheira Brown, 2022. "A Power Booster Factor for Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 45(89), pages 150-183.
- Pincheira, Pablo, 2017. "A Power Booster Factor for Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability," MPRA Paper 77027, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2017. "Investment in capital markets," MPRA Paper 77414, University Library of Munich, Germany.
BLINOV, Sergey, 2017. "Использование Взаимосвязи Между Ввп И Денежной Массой Для Экономического Прогнозирования [Economic Forecasting Based on the Relationship between GDP and Real Money Supply]," MPRA Paper 77475, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 791, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2017. "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," MPRA Paper 78439, University Library of Munich, Germany.
BLINOV, Sergey, 2017. "Economic Forecasting Based on the Relationship between GDP and Real Money Supply," MPRA Paper 78717, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Pinshi, Christian, 2016. "Une perspective macroprudentielle pour la stabilité financière [A macroprudential perspective on financial stability]," MPRA Paper 77905, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Feb 2017.
- Pinshi, Christian, 2017. "Une perspective macroprudentielle pour la stabilité financière [A macroprudential perspective of financial stability]," MPRA Paper 79189, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 May 2017.
- Christian Pinshi, 2017. "Une Perspective Macroprudentielle Pour La Stabilité Financière," Post-Print hal-02566812, HAL.
- Pinshi Paula, Christian, 2017. "Une perspective macroprudentielle pour la stabilité financière [A macroprudential perspective on financial stability]," MPRA Paper 80505, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2017.
- Pinshi, Christian P., 2017. "Une Perspective Macroprudentielle Pour La Stabilité Financière [A macroprudential perspective on financial stability]," MPRA Paper 93140, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2017.
Pincheira-Brown, Pablo & Selaive, Jorge & Nolazco, Jose Luis, 2019. "Forecasting inflation in Latin America with core measures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 1060-1071.
- Pincheira, Pablo & Selaive, Jorge & Nolazco, Jose Luis, 2017. "Forecasting Inflation in Latin America with Core Measures," MPRA Paper 80496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Pinshi, Christian, 2016. "Une perspective macroprudentielle pour la stabilité financière [A macroprudential perspective on financial stability]," MPRA Paper 77905, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Feb 2017.
- Pinshi Paula, Christian, 2017. "Une perspective macroprudentielle pour la stabilité financière [A macroprudential perspective on financial stability]," MPRA Paper 80505, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2017.
- Christian Pinshi, 2017. "Une Perspective Macroprudentielle Pour La Stabilité Financière," Post-Print hal-02566812, HAL.
- Pinshi, Christian, 2017. "Une perspective macroprudentielle pour la stabilité financière [A macroprudential perspective of financial stability]," MPRA Paper 79189, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 May 2017.
- Pinshi, Christian P., 2017. "Une Perspective Macroprudentielle Pour La Stabilité Financière [A macroprudential perspective on financial stability]," MPRA Paper 93140, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2017.
Kuusela, Annika & Hännikäinen, Jari, 2017. "What do the shadow rates tell us about future inflation?," MPRA Paper 80542, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Hecq, Alain & Issler, João Victor & Telg, Sean, 2017. "Mixed Causal-Noncausal Autoregressions with Strictly Exogenous Regressors," MPRA Paper 80767, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Giannoulakis, Stylianos, 2017. "Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model with Tobin’s Q Investment Theory Features," MPRA Paper 80892, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Gallic, Ewen & Vermandel, Gauthier, 2017. "Weather Shocks, Climate Change and Business Cycles," MPRA Paper 81230, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cobb, Marcus P A, 2017. "Forecasting Economic Aggregates Using Dynamic Component Grouping," MPRA Paper 81585, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 51(54), pages 5802-5816.
- Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(54), pages 5802-5816, November.
- Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2017. "Forecasting GDP all over the World: Evidence from Comprehensive Survey Data," MPRA Paper 81772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Munich Reprints in Economics 78264, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
Hegadekatti, Kartik & S G, Yatish, 2017. "The Programmable Economy: Envisaging an Entire Planned Economic System as a Single Computer through Blockchain Networks," MPRA Paper 82831, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 May 2017.
Ligia Topan & César Castro & Miguel Jerez & Andrés Barge-Gil, 2020. "Oil price pass-through into inflation in Spain at national and regional level," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 561-583, December.
- Topan, Ligia & Castro, César & Jerez, Miguel & Barge-Gil, Andrés, 2017. "Oil price pass-through into inflation in Spain at national and regional level," MPRA Paper 87821, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Rudrani Bhattacharya & Abhijit Sen Gupta, 2018. "Drivers and impact of food inflation in India," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 146-168, May.
- Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Sen Gupta, Abhijit, 2017. "Drivers and Impact of Food Inflation in India," MPRA Paper 88721, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2017.
Pierdzioch Christian & Gupta Rangan, 2020. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-20, September.
- Christian Pierdzioch & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions," Working Papers 201732, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2018. "Macroeconomic uncertainty, growth and inflation in the Eurozone: a causal approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(14), pages 1029-1033, August.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2017. "Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Growth and Inflation in the Eurozone: A Causal Approach," Working Papers 201737, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Jiří Šindelář, 2017. "GDP Forecasting by Czech Institutions: An Empirical Evaluation," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2017(2), pages 155-169.
Ondřej Čížek, 2017. "Reakční funkce Evropské centrální banky [The Reaction Function of the European Central Bank]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2017(4), pages 424-439.
Andrea Tkáčová & Veronika Kišová, 2017. "Zmeny zloženia kompozitného predstihového indikátora Slovenska v čase [Changes of Composite Leading Indicator Composition over Time]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2017(5), pages 583-600.
David L. Reifschneider & Peter Tulip, 2017. "Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors : The Federal Reserve's Approach," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-020, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- David Reifschneider & Peter Tulip, 2017. "Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors: The Federal Reserve's Approach," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2017-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
Oscar Pavlov & Mark Weder, 2017. "Product Scope and Endogenous Fluctuations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 24, pages 175-191, March.
- Weder, Mark & Pavlov, Oscar, 2015. "Product Scope and Endogenous Fluctuations," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112942, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Oscar Pavlov & Mark Weder, 2017. "Online Appendix to "Product Scope and Endogenous Fluctuations"," Online Appendices 15-129, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Mark Weder & Oscar Pavlov, 2015. "Product Scope and Endogenous Fluctuations," School of Economics and Public Policy Working Papers 2015-03, University of Adelaide, School of Economics and Public Policy.
- Oscar Pavlov & Mark Weder, 2017. "Code and data files for "Product Scope and Endogenous Fluctuations"," Computer Codes 15-129, Review of Economic Dynamics.
Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2019. "Vulnerable Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(4), pages 1263-1289, April.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2016. "Vulnerable growth," Staff Reports 794, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone & Tobias Adrian, 2017. "Vulnerable Growth," 2017 Meeting Papers 1317, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2018. "Vulnerable Growth," Liberty Street Economics 20180409, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Adrian, Tobias & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2016. "Vulnerable Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 11583, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Akbari Fard , Hossein & Ghasemi Nejad, Amin & Rezaee Jafari, Maryam, 2017. "Modeling Factors Influencing Inflation Rate in Iran's Economy Using Firefly and Cuckoo Algorithm," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 4(3), pages 143-168, November.
Arruda, Elano Ferreira & Brito , Antônio Clécio, 2017. "Previsão de inflação: uma análise para a Região Metropolitana de Fortaleza," Revista Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos, Associação Brasileira de Estudos Regionais e Urbanos (ABER), vol. 11(1), pages 78-92.
Mamdouh Abdelmoula M. ABDELSALAM, 2017. "Improving Phillips Curve’s Inflation Forecasts under Misspecification," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 54-76, September.
Andrey Kudryavtsev & Shosh Shahrabani & Yaniv Azoulay, 2017. "Frequency of Adjusting Asset Allocations in the Life-Cycle Pension Model: When Doing More Is Not Necessarily Better," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 13-33.
Akaev, Askar A. (Акаев, Аскар А.) & Korotayev, Andrey V (Коротаев, Андрей В.), 2017. "Toward Forecasting Global Economic Dynamics of the Forthcoming Years [К Прогнозированию Глобальной Экономической Динамики Ближайших Лет]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 1, pages 8-39, February.
Kurakov, F.A. (Кураков, Ф.А.), 2017. "The phenomenon of creation of highly productive national science in a historically short period in Saudi Arabia and Qatar [Феномен Создания Высокопродуктивной Национальной Науки В Исторически Корот," Economy of science, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 1, pages 4-12, March.
Madalina-Gabriela ANGHEL & Constantin ANGHELACHE & Georgiana NITA & Gyorgy BODO, 2017. "The Main Concepts Of The Eqcm Model And Data-Based Dvar Systems," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 65(7), pages 132-140, July.
Ganapati Mendali & Sanjukta Das, 2017. "Exchange Rate Pass-through to Domestic Prices," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 52(3), pages 135-156, August.
Rudrani Bhattacharya & Abhijit Sen Gupta, 2017. "What Role Did Rising Demand Play in Driving Food Prices Up?," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 6(1), pages 59-81, June.
- Sen Gupta, Abhijit & Bhattacharya, Rudrani, 2016. "What Role Did Rising Demand Play in Driving Food Prices Up?," MPRA Paper 79704, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2017.
Kuo-Hsuan Chin & Xue Li, 2017. "Bayesian Forecast Combination in VAR-DSGE Models," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 5408084, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
Miroslava Zavadska & Lucía Morales & Joseph Coughlan, 2017. "The Importance of Integrating Quantitative Research Methods to Understand Commodity Business Finance," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 5908090, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
Miroslava Zavadska & Lucía Morales & Joseph Coughlan, 2017. "The Efficiency Analysis of Crude Oil Spot and Futures Prices: A Moving Window Approach," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 5908091, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
Thierno Thioune, 2017. "Financial Instability and Inequality Dynamics in the WAEMU," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 2(1), pages 43-62, June.
Mihaela Simionescu, 2017. "Bayesian Forecast Intervals for Inflation and Unemployment Rate in Romania," Bulgarian Economic Papers bep-2017-06, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, revised May 2017.
Alain Galli & Christian Hepenstrick & Rolf Scheufele, 2019. "Mixed-Frequency Models for Tracking Short-Term Economic Developments in Switzerland," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(2), pages 151-178, June.
- Alain Galli & Christian Hepenstrick & Rolf Scheufele, 2017. "Mixed-frequency models for tracking short-term economic developments in Switzerland," Working Papers 2017-02, Swiss National Bank.
Thomas Lustenberger & Enzo Rossi, 2020. "Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(2), pages 153-201, March.
- Thomas Lustenberger & Enzo Rossi, 2017. "Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?," Working Papers 2017-12, Swiss National Bank.
- Lustenberger, Thomas & Rossi, Enzo, 2018. "Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?," Working papers 2018/06, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
Roberto Meurer & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2017. "Heterogeneity in Monthly Inflation Expectations in Brazil: Evidence with Aggregate Data from the Focus Survey," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2017_08, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
Martyna Marczak & Víctor Gómez, 2017. "Monthly US business cycle indicators: a new multivariate approach based on a band-pass filter," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1379-1408, June.
- Marczak, Martyna & Gómez, Victor, 2013. "Monthly US business cycle indicators: A new multivariate approach based on a band-pass filter," FZID Discussion Papers 64-2013, University of Hohenheim, Center for Research on Innovation and Services (FZID).
Jonas Dovern & Matthias Hartmann, 2017. "Forecast performance, disagreement, and heterogeneous signal-to-noise ratios," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 63-77, August.
- Dovern, Jonas & Hartmann, Matthias, 2016. "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," Working Papers 0611, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
- Hartmann, Matthias & Dovern, Jonas, 2016. "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145925, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Alessandro Girardi & Roberto Golinelli & Carmine Pappalardo, 2017. "The role of indicator selection in nowcasting euro-area GDP in pseudo-real time," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 79-99, August.
- A. Girardi & R. Golinelli & C. Pappalardo, 2014. "The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time," Working Papers wp919, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2017. "Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 137-163, August.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2016. "Applying a Microfounded-Forecasting Approach to Predict Brazilian Inflation," Working Papers Series 436, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
Herman O. Stekler & Tianyu Ye, 2017. "Evaluating a leading indicator: an application—the term spread," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 183-194, August.
- Herman O. Stekler & Tianyu Ye, 2016. "Evaluating a Leading Indicator: An Application: the Term Spread," Working Papers 2016-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
Graham Elliott, 2017. "Forecast combination when outcomes are difficult to predict," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 7-20, August.
Tony Chernis & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2017. "A dynamic factor model for nowcasting Canadian GDP growth," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 217-234, August.
- Tony Chernis & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2017. "A Dynamic Factor Model for Nowcasting Canadian GDP Growth," Staff Working Papers 17-2, Bank of Canada.
Sebastian Ankargren & Mårten Bjellerup & Hovick Shahnazarian, 2017. "The importance of the financial system for the real economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 1553-1586, December.
Sami Oinonen & Maritta Paloviita, 2017. "How Informative are Aggregated Inflation Expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(2), pages 139-163, November.
Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2017. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: simulations after piketty," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 15(2), pages 121-141, June.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2017. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: simulations after piketty," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 15(2), pages 121-141, June.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2015. "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," CESifo Working Paper Series 5329, CESifo.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2015. "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1998, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- De Donder, Philippe & Roemer, John E., 2015. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," TSE Working Papers 15-568, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2016. "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1998R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 161-175, July.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015. "The role of component-wise boosting for regional economic forecasting," MPRA Paper 68186, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 03 Dec 2015.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Munich Reprints in Economics 49919, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016. "Boosting and Regional Economic Forecasting: The Case of Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 6157, CESifo.
Morley, James & Panovska, Irina B., 2020. "Is Business Cycle Asymmetry Intrinsic In Industrialized Economies?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(6), pages 1403-1436, September.
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Yunjong Eo & James Morley, 2022. "Why Has the U.S. Economy Stagnated since the Great Recession?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(2), pages 246-258, May.
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Jari Hännikäinen, 2017. "The shadow rate as a predictor of real activity and inflation: evidence from a data-rich environment," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(8), pages 527-535, May.
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Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2017. "An evaluation of inflation expectations in Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(1), pages 1-31â€“38.
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H. Murat Ozbilgin, 2017. "Forecasting the Growth Cycles of the Turkish Economy," Working Papers 1715, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Chengsi Zhang & Xingchen Ji & Wensheng Dai, 2017. "Global Output Gap and Domestic Inflation in China," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 64(1), pages 17-30, December.
Zhang Chengsi & Xingchen Ji & Wensheng Dai, 2017. "Global Output Gap and Domestic Inflation in China," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 64(1), pages 17-30.
Marcin Bielecki, 2017. "Business cycles, innovation and growth: welfare analysis," Working Papers 2017-19, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
Christian Glocker & Philipp Wegmueller, 2020. "Business cycle dating and forecasting with real-time Swiss GDP data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 73-105, January.
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Anders Warne & Günter Coenen & Kai Christoffel, 2017. "Marginalized Predictive Likelihood Comparisons of Linear Gaussian State‐Space Models with Applications to DSGE, DSGE‐VAR, and VAR Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 103-119, January.
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Tommaso Proietti & Martyna Marczak & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2017. "Euromind‐ D : A Density Estimate of Monthly Gross Domestic Product for the Euro Area," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 683-703, April.
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Knut Are Aastveit & Claudia Foroni & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2017. "Density Forecasts With Midas Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 783-801, June.
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Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Informational Content of the Term Spread in Forecasting the US Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 109-121, March.
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Harri Ponka, 2017. "The Role of Credit in Predicting US Recessions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 469-482, August.
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Kirstin Hubrich & Frauke Skudelny, 2017. "Forecast Combination for Euro Area Inflation: A Cure in Times of Crisis?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 515-540, August.
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Rangan Gupta & Eric Olson & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Forecasting key US macroeconomic variables with a factor‐augmented Qual VAR," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(6), pages 640-650, September.
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Michael K Andersson & Ted Aranki & André Reslow, 2017. "Adjusting for information content when comparing forecast performance," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 784-794, November.
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Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2017. "Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(5), pages 931-968, August.
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Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2017. "The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(8), pages 1747-1776, December.
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Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide & Loungani, Prakash & Mishra, Saurabh & Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos, 2018. "Oil prices and inflation dynamics: Evidence from advanced and developing economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 71-96.
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Itkonen, Juha & Juvonen, Petteri, 2017. "Nowcasting the Finnish economy with a large Bayesian vector autoregressive model," BoF Economics Review 6/2017, Bank of Finland.
Ambrocio, Gene, 2017. "The real effects of overconfidence and fundamental uncertainty shocks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 37/2017, Bank of Finland.
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Caballero, Julián & Fernández, Andrés, 2017. "On corporate borrowing, credit spreads and economic activity in emerging economies: An empirical investigation," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 31/2017, Bank of Finland.
Ambrocio, Gene, 2017. "The real effects of overconfidence and fundamental uncertainty shocks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 37/2017, Bank of Finland.
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Diebold, Francis X. & Schorfheide, Frank & Shin, Minchul, 2017. "Real-time forecast evaluation of DSGE models with stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 322-332.
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Aleksandar Vasilev, 2017. "Business Cycle Accounting: Bulgaria after the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2014)," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 14(2), pages 197-219, December.
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Simionescu, Mihaela & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2017. "Big Data and Unemployment Analysis," GLO Discussion Paper Series 81, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
Simionescu, Mihaela, 2017. "Prediction intervals for inflation and unemployment rate in Romania. A Bayesian approach," GLO Discussion Paper Series 82, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
Doll, Jens & Rosenthal, Beatrice & Volkenand, Jonas & Hamella, Sandra, 2017. "Nowcasting des deutschen BIP," Weidener Diskussionspapiere 59, University of Applied Sciences Amberg-Weiden (OTH).
Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2019. "Should Forecasters Use Real‐Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 170-200, November.
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Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Wieschemeyer, Matthi, 2017. "Konjunktur aktuell: Beschäftigungsboom in Deutschland - aber gesamtwirtschaftlich keine Überhitzung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 5(1), pages 4-29.
Bershadskyy, Dmitri & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2017. "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2017 bis 2022 und finanzpolitische Optionen einer neuen Bundesregierung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 5(5), pages 138-145.
Heilemann, Ullrich & Müller, Karsten, 2017. "Wenig Unterschiede: Zur Treffsicherheit internationaler Prognosen und Prognostiker," Working Papers 149, University of Leipzig, Faculty of Economics and Management Science.
Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Gabi Waldhof, 2017. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters," Working Papers 2017-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
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Prüser, Jan, 2017. "Forecasting US inflation using Markov dimension switching," Ruhr Economic Papers 710, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Li, Xinjue & Zbonakova, Lenka & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl, 2017. "Penalized adaptive method in forecasting with large information set and structure change," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2017-023, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
Ahrens, Steffen & Lustenhouwer, Joep & Tettamanzi, Michele, 2017. "The Stabilizing Role of Forward Guidance: A Macro Experiment," VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking 168063, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
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Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 829-850.
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Gabriel Mathy & Daniel Kirwin, 2017. "How did forecasters respond to the American growth slowdown since the mid-2000s?," Working Papers 2017-02, American University, Department of Economics.
Mariusz Maziarz, 2017. "Ethics, Uncertainty, and Macroeconomics," Annales. Ethics in Economic Life, University of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology, vol. 20(4), pages 51-63, December.
Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2017. "Inattention in individual expectations," Economia, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 17(1), pages 40-59.
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Мекенбаева Камила // Mekenbayeva Kamila & Karel Musil, 2017. "Система прогнозирования в Национальном Банке Казахстана: наукаст на основа опросов // Forecasting system at the National Bank of Kazakhstan: survey-based nowcasting," Working Papers #2017-1, National Bank of Kazakhstan.
Carlos Esteban Posada & Alfredo Villca, 2017. "Is a «Soft» Monetary Authority Appropriate?," Ensayos de Política Económica, Departamento de Investigación Francisco Valsecchi, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica Argentina., vol. 2(5), pages 57-77, Octubre.
Oleg Hooke, 2017. "Macroeconomic Aspects Of Competitiveness," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", vol. 3(4).
Ekaterina Pirozhkova, 2017. "Financial frictions and robust monetary policy in the models of New Keynesian framework," BCAM Working Papers 1701, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
Lise Pichette & Marie-Noëlle Robitaille, 2017. "Assessing the Business Outlook Survey Indicator Using Real-Time Data," Discussion Papers 17-5, Bank of Canada.
David Xiao Chen & Philippe Muller & Hawa Wagué, 2017. "Multilateral Development Bank Credit Rating Methodology: Overcoming the Challenges in Assessing Relative Credit Risk in Highly Rated Institutions Based on Public Data," Discussion Papers 17-6, Bank of Canada.
Chernis, Tony & Cheung, Calista & Velasco, Gabriella, 2020. "A three-frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting Canadian provincial GDP growth," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 851-872.
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Tony Chernis & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2017. "A dynamic factor model for nowcasting Canadian GDP growth," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 217-234, August.
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André Binette & Dmitri Tchebotarev, 2017. "Evaluating Real GDP Growth Forecasts in the Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report," Staff Analytical Notes 17-21, Bank of Canada.
Andrew Agopsowicz & Bassirou Gueye & Natalia Kyui & Youngmin Park & Mohanad Salameh & Ben Tomlin, 2017. "April 2017 Annual Reassessment of Potential Output Growth in Canada," Staff Analytical Notes 17-5, Bank of Canada.
Russell Barnett & Rhys R. Mendes, 2017. "A Structural Interpretation of the Recent Weakness in Business Investment," Staff Analytical Notes 17-7, Bank of Canada.
Luis Libonatti, 2017. "MIDAS Modeling for Core Inflation Forecasting," BCRA Working Paper Series 201772, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
Emilio Blanco & Laura D’Amato & Fiorella Dogliolo & Lorena Garegnani, 2017. "Nowcasting GDP in Argentina: Comparing the Predictive Ability of Different Models," BCRA Working Paper Series 201774, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
Luis J. Álvarez & Isabel Sánchez, 2017. "A suite of inflation forecasting models," Occasional Papers 1703, Banco de España.
Guérin, Pierre & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2017. "Model averaging in Markov-switching models: Predicting national recessions with regional data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 45-49.
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Valentina Aprigliano & Guerino Ardizzi & Libero Monteforte, 2017. "Using the payment system data to forecast the Italian GDP," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1098, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Raul Ibarra & Luis M. Gomez-Zamudio, 2017. "Are Daily Financial Data Useful for Forecasting GDP? Evidence from Mexico," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 173-203, April.
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Gómez-Pineda, Javier G., 2020. "Volatility spillovers and the global financial cycle across economies: Evidence from a global semi-structural model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 331-373.
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Adriana Uquillas & Carlos González, 2017. "Determinantes macro y microeconómicos para pruebas de tensión de riesgo de crédito: un estudio comparativo entre Ecuador y Colombia basado en la tasa de morosidad," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 35(84), pages 245-259, December.
L. De Charsonville & F. Ferri re & C. Jardet, 2017. "MAPI: Model for Analysis and Projection of Inflation in France," Working papers 637, Banque de France.
Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2020. "Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 102(1), pages 17-33, March.
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Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2017. "Real-time determination of credit cycle phases in emerging markets," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps17, Bank of Russia.
Ksenia Yakovleva, 2017. "Text Mining-based Economic Activity Estimates," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps25, Bank of Russia.
Dmitry Kreptsev & Sergei Seleznev, 2017. "DSGE Model of the Russian Economy with the Banking Sector," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series wps27, Bank of Russia.
María Victoria Landaberry, 2017. "Indicadores de estabilidad financiera: un nuevo índice para el sector financiero," Documentos de trabajo 2017010, Banco Central del Uruguay.
Aleksandar Vasilev, 2017. "Us Health And Aggregate Fluctuations," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(2), pages 147-163, April.
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BarÄ±ÅŸ Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2018. "Nowcasting the New Turkish GDP," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(2), pages 1083-1089.
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Baris Soybilgen, 2017. "Identifying Us Business Cycle Regimes Using Factor Augmented Neural Network Models," Working Papers 1703, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
Kenneth Sæterhagen Paulsen, 2017. "Conditional forecasting with DSGE models - A conditional copula approach," Working Paper 2017/4, Norges Bank.
Ragna Alstadheim & Ørjan Robstad & Nikka Husom Vonen, 2017. "Financial imbalances, crisis probability and monetary policy in Norway," Working Paper 2017/21, Norges Bank.
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Zsolt Darvas, 2019. "Why is it So Hard to Reach the EU’s Poverty Target?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 141(3), pages 1081-1105, February.
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Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2017. "Die ifo Konjunkturuhr auf dem Prüfstand," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(04), pages 24-30, February.
Carlos Medel, 2017. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with the hybrid new keynesian Phillips curve: globalisation, combination, and accuracy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 20(3), pages 004-050, December.
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Zhang Qun & Didier Sornette & Hao Zhang, 2017. "Anticipating Critical Transitions of Chinese Housing Markets," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 17-18, Swiss Finance Institute.
Frantisek Brazdik & Michal Franta, 2017. "A BVAR Model for Forecasting of Czech Inflation," Working Papers 2017/7, Czech National Bank.
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Raul Ibarra & Luis M. Gomez-Zamudio, 2017. "Are Daily Financial Data Useful for Forecasting GDP? Evidence from Mexico," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 173-203, April.
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Khalil Abbasi Museloo & Shaker Abartavi, 2017. "Incorrect Pricing Impact on Investment and the Capital Structure of Companies with Financial Constraints," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 319-324.
Khalil Abbasi Museloo & Noormohammd Toraj, 2017. "Comparison of Risk Management in Non-profit Banks and Financial Institutions versus Other Conventional Banks and Financial Institutions in Iran," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 325-329.
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Abbas Taleb Bidokhti & Ali Akbar Esmailpour, 2017. "Examining the Effect of Social and Intellectual Value on Organizational Performance Based on the Balanced Evaluation Method and Structural Equations in the Iranian Oil Terminals Company," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 404-410.
Shahram Fattahi & Kiomars Sohaili & Hamed Monkaresi & Fatemeh Mehrabi, 2017. "Modelling and Forecasting Recessions in Oil-exporting Countries: The Case of Iran," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 569-574.
Morteza Doosti Seyyed Shekari & Babak Jamshidinavid, 2017. "Study of Information Asymmetry Effect on Price Synchronism in Tehran Stock Exchange," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(4), pages 343-346.
Sima Siami-Namini, 2017. "China's Economy and the Global Financial Crisis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 259-265.
Hassan Mehrmanesh & Seyed Rahim Safavi Mirmahalleh, 2017. "Examining the Relationship between Supply Chain Relationships and Practice of Distributors (Case Study: NoshinCo)," International Review of Management and Marketing, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 67-70.
Neda Sharifi Asadi Malafe & Masoud Ahmadi & Fahime Baei, 2017. "The Relationship between Demographic Characteristics with Information and Communication Technology and Empowerment in General Organizations (Case Study: Sari Municipality)," International Review of Management and Marketing, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 71-75.
Rasool Sarihi Asfestani & Mehraban Hadi Peykani & Akbar Eetebaryan, 2017. "Design and Presentation of Professional Ethics Criteria and Indicators for the Promotion of Political Accountability within Iranian’s Government Organizations (Case Study: National Chief Executive Dev," International Review of Management and Marketing, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 226-232.
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Mahdi Rezapour & Mehraban Hadi Peykani, 2017. "Compare Customer Satisfaction with the Quality of E-banking Services among State, Private and Altered Banks in Isfahan," International Review of Management and Marketing, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 237-243.
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Bobylev Yuri & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Tsukhlo Sergey & Florinskaya Yulia & Mkrtchian Nikita, 2017. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 12, pages 1-27, June.
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Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Deryugin Alexander & Kaukin Andrey & Miller Evgenia & Tishchenko Tatiana, 2017. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 15, pages 1-24, September.
Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Shagaida Natalia & Kaukin Andrey & Zubarevich Natalia & Miller Evgenia & Sokolov Ilya & Malinina Tatiana, 2017. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 16, pages 1-24, September.
Avraamova Elena & Loginov Dmitry & Bobylev Yuri & Rasenko Oleg & Knobel Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Zaitsev Yuri, 2017. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 17, pages 1-23, October.
Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Kaukin Andrey & Miller Evgenia & Nazarov Vladimir, 2017. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-24, November.
Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Lyashok V., 2017. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 2, pages 1-23, February.
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Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Gurevich Vladimir & Zolotareva Anna, 2017. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 6, pages 1-21, April.
Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Gurevich Vladimir & Zolotareva Anna, 2017. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 6, pages 1-21, April.
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- Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Paul Gomme, 2019. "Debt Hangover in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Post-Print halshs-02176531, HAL.
- Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Paul Gomme, 2018. "Debt Hangover in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Working Papers halshs-01942719, HAL.
- Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Paul Gomme, 2016. "Debt Hangover in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Working Papers 2016-02, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Stephane Auray & Aurelien Eyquem & Paul Gomme, 2017. "Debt Hangover in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Working Papers 17001, Concordia University, Department of Economics.
- Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Paul Gomme, 2017. "Debt Hangover in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Post-Print halshs-01661037, HAL.
- Stephane Auray & Aurelien Eyquem & Paul Gomme, 2017. "Debt Hangover in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Working Papers 17003, Concordia University, Department of Economics.
- Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Paul Gomme, 2017. "Debt Hangover in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Post-Print halshs-01661043, HAL.
- Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Paul Gomme, 2016. "Debt Hangover in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Post-Print halshs-01420913, HAL.
Zsolt Darvas, 2019. "Why is it So Hard to Reach the EU’s Poverty Target?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 141(3), pages 1081-1105, February.
- Zsolt Darvas, 2017. "Why is it so hard to reach the EU’s ‘poverty’ target?," Bruegel Policy Contributions 18563, Bruegel.
- Zsolt Darvas, 2017. "Why is it so hard to reach the EU’s ‘poverty’ target?," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 1714, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
Döpke Jörg & Fritsche Ulrich & Waldhof Gabi, 2019. "Theories, Techniques and the Formation of German Business Cycle Forecasts : Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(2), pages 203-241, April.
- Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Gabi Waldhof, 2017. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201701, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Döpke, Jörg & Waldhof, Gabi & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2018. "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181617, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Xinjue Li & Lenka Zbonakova & Wolfgang Karl Härdle, 2017. "Penalized Adaptive Method in Forecasting with Large Information Set and Structure Change," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2017-023, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
Yingxing Li & Chen Huang & Wolfgang Karl Härdle, 2017. "Spatial Functional Principal Component Analysis with Applications to Brain Image Data," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2017-024, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
Andrew Hughes Hallett & Ansgar Rannenberg & Sven Schreiber, 2017. "Reassessing the Impact of the US Fiscal Stimulus: The Role of the Monetary Policy Stance," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(4), pages 12-31, April.
Diego Winkelried, 2017. "Inferring Inflation Expectations from Fixed-Event Forecasts," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(2), pages 1-31, June.
- Winkelried, Diego, 2014. "Inferring inflation expectations from fixed-event forecasts," Working Papers 2014-016, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
Bosch, María José & García, Carlos J. & Manríquez, Marta & Valenzuela, Gabriel, 2018. "Macroeconomía y conciliación familiar: el impacto económico de los jardines infantiles," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(339), pages .543-582, julio-sep.
- María José Bosch & Carlos J. García & Marta Manriquez & Gabriel A. Valenzuela, 2017. "Macroeconomía Y Conciliación Familiar: El Impacto Económico De Los Jardines Infantiles," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv318, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide & Loungani, Prakash & Mishra, Saurabh & Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos, 2018. "Oil prices and inflation dynamics: Evidence from advanced and developing economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 71-96.
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Prakash Loungani & Saurabh Mishra & Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro, 2017. "Oil Prices and Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from Advanced and Developing Economies," Working papers 2017rwp-111, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Prakash Loungani & Saurabh Mishra & Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro, 2017. "Oil Prices and Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from Advanced and Developing Economies," IMF Working Papers 17/196, International Monetary Fund.
Choi, Sangyup & Furceri, Davide & Loungani, Prakash & Mishra, Saurabh & Poplawski-Ribeiro, Marcos, 2018. "Oil prices and inflation dynamics: Evidence from advanced and developing economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 71-96.
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Prakash Loungani & Saurabh Mishra & Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro, 2017. "Oil Prices and Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from Advanced and Developing Economies," Working papers 2017rwp-111, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Mr. Saurabh Mishra & Mr. Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro, 2017. "Oil Prices and Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from Advanced and Developing Economies," IMF Working Papers 2017/196, International Monetary Fund.
Thomas Theobald & Peter Hohlfeld, 2017. "Why have the recent oil price declines not stimulated global economic growth?," IMK Working Paper 185-2017, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
Junjie Guo & Juan Carlos Escanciano & Jinho Choi, 2017. "Identification and Generalized Band Spectrum Estimation of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," CAEPR Working Papers 2017-014, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
Jeetendra Khadan, 2017. "An Econometric Analysis Of Energy Revenue And Government Expenditure Shocks On Economic Growth In Trinidad And Tobago," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 51(2), pages 183-203, April-Jun.
- Khadan, Jeetendra, 2016. "An Econometric Analysis of Energy Revenue and Government Expenditure Shocks on Economic Growth in Trinidad and Tobago," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8025, Inter-American Development Bank.
Tafirenyika Sunde & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2017. "Determinants of house prices and new construction activity: An empirical investigation of the Namibian housing market," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 51(3), pages 389-407, July-Sept.
- Sunde, Tafirenyika & Muzindutsi, Paul-Francois, 2016. "Determinants of House Prices and New Construction Activity: An Empirical Investigation of the Namibian Housing Market," MPRA Paper 86582, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Heilemann Ullrich & Schnorr-Bäcker Susanne, 2017. "Could the start of the German recession 2008–2009 have been foreseen? Evidence from Real-Time Data," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 237(1), pages 29-62, February.
Kovacs Kevin & Boulier Bryan & Stekler Herman, 2017. "Nowcasting: Identifying German Cyclical Turning Points," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 237(4), pages 329-341, August.
Aykut Ekinci & Halil İbrahim Erdal, 2017. "Forecasting Bank Failure: Base Learners, Ensembles and Hybrid Ensembles," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 677-686, April.
Petri Kuosmanen & Juuso Vataja, 2017. "The return of financial variables in forecasting GDP growth in the G-7," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 259-277, August.
Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2017. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: simulations after piketty," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 15(2), pages 121-141, June.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2017. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: simulations after piketty," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 15(2), pages 121-141, June.
- De Donder, Philippe & Roemer, John E., 2015. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," TSE Working Papers 15-568, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2015. "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1998, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2016. "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1998R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2015. "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," CESifo Working Paper Series 5329, CESifo.
Yngve Abrahamsen & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Livia Eichenberger & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Hein, 2017. "Weitere Erholung der Schweizer Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 11(1), pages 1-74, March.
Yngve Abrahamsen & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Livia Eichenberger & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Hein, 2017. "Konjunkturbild verbessert sich weiter," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 11(2), pages 1-24, June.
Yngve Abrahamsen & Klaus Abberger & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2017. "Internationale Impulse beflügeln die Schweizer Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 11(3), pages 1-102, October.
Yngve Abrahamsen & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan N, 2017. "Der Aufschwung ist da," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 11(4), pages 1-30, December.
Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020. "Forecasting GDP Growth from Outer Space," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(4), pages 697-722, August.
- Jaqueson K Galimberti, 2017. "Forecasting GDP growth from the outer space," KOF Working papers 17-427, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020. "Forecasting GDP growth from outer space," Working Papers 2020-02, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics.
Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2017. "Business Cycle Accounting: Bulgaria after the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2014)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 14(2), pages 197-219.
- Aleksandar Vasilev, 2017. "Business Cycle Accounting: Bulgaria after the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2014)," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 14(2), pages 197-219, December.
- Aleksandar Vasilev, 2016. "Business Cycle Accounting: Bulgaria after the Introduction of the Currency Board Arrangement (1999-2014)," Bulgarian Economic Papers bep-2016-11, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, revised Nov 2016.
- Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2016. "Business Cycle Accounting: Bulgaria after the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2014)," EconStor Preprints 144816, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 161-175, July.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016. "Boosting and Regional Economic Forecasting: The Case of Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 6157, CESifo.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Munich Reprints in Economics 49919, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
Magdalena Petrovska & Gani Ramadani & Nikola Naumovski & Biljana Jovanovic, 2017. "Forecasting Macedonian Inflation: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting," Working Papers 2017-06, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia.
Aleksandra Hałka & Jacek Kotłowski, 2017. "Global or Domestic? Which Shocks Drive Inflation in European Small Open Economies?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(8), pages 1812-1835, August.
- Aleksandra Hałka & Jacek Kotłowski, 2016. "Global or domestic? Which shocks drive inflation in European small open economies?," NBP Working Papers 232, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Alice, Albonico & Roberta, Cardani & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2017. "Debunking the Myth of Southern Profligacy. A DSGE Analysis of Business Cycles in the EMU’s Big Four," Working Papers 373, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2018.
Forbes, Kristin & Hjortsoe, Ida & Nenova, Tsvetelina, 2017. "Shocks versus structure: explaining differences in exchange rate pass-through across countries and time," Discussion Papers 50, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
National Bank of Belgium, 2017. "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2017," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-29, June.
Gregory De Walque & Thomas Lejeune & Yuliya Rychalovska & Rafael Wouters, 2017. "An estimated two-country EA-US model with limited exchange rate pass-through," Working Paper Research 317, National Bank of Belgium.

2016

Alain Hecq & Lenard Lieb & Sean Telg, 2016. "Identification of Mixed Causal-Noncausal Models in Finite Samples," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 307-331.
Emmanuel Olusegun STOBER, 2016. "Crude Oil Price Shocks And Macroeconomic Behavior In Nigeria," Journal of Social and Economic Statistics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 5(1), pages 56-66, JULY.
Ringelberg, Josiah & Johnson, Andrew & Boehlje, Michael & Gunderson, Michael & Daninger, Nathan, 2016. "Modeling With @Risk: A Tutorial Guide," Working papers 249766, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
- Josiah Ringelberg & Andrew Johnson & Michael Boehlje & Michael Gunderson & Nathan Daninger, 2017. "Modeling With @Risk:A Tutorial Guide," Working Papers 16-3, Purdue University, College of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics.
Mario J. Crucini & Gregor W. Smith, 2016. "Distance and Time Effects in Swedish Commodity Prices, 1732–1914," NBER Working Papers 22175, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Crucini, Mario J. & Smith, Gregor W., 2016. "Distance and Time Effects in Swedish Commodity Prices, 1732-1914," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 274683, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
- Mario J. Crucini & Gregor W. Smith, 2016. "Distance and Time Effects in Swedish Commodity Prices, 1732-1914," Working Papers 1357, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
Arturo L. Vásquez Cordano & Abdel M. Zellou, 2016. "Where are natural gas prices heading, and what are the environmental consequences for Latin America?," Working Papers 71, Peruvian Economic Association.
Jonas Dovern & Matthias Hartmann, 2017. "Forecast performance, disagreement, and heterogeneous signal-to-noise ratios," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 63-77, August.
- Hartmann, Matthias & Dovern, Jonas, 2016. "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145925, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Dovern, Jonas & Hartmann, Matthias, 2016. "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," Working Papers 0611, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
Ramiz Rahmanov, 2016. "Permanent and Temporary Oil Price Shocks, Macroeconomic Policy, and Tradable Non-oil Sector: Case of Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Russia," Working Papers 1609, Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic.
Pincheira, Pablo & Selaive, Jorge & Nolazco, Jose Luis, 2016. "The Evasive Predictive Ability of Core Inflation," MPRA Paper 68704, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jose Luis Nolazco & Pablo Pincheira & Jorge Selaive, 2016. "The evasive predictive ability of core inflation," Working Papers 15/34, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
Stephen S. Poloz, 2016. "The Doug Purvis Memorial Lecture—Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Financial Stability: The Medium Term Is Still the Message," Discussion Papers 16-13, Bank of Canada.
Shukayev, Malik & Toktamyssov, Argyn, 2016. "Implementing Cross-Border Interbank Lending in BoC-GEM-FIN," Working Papers 2016-15, University of Alberta, Department of Economics.
- Malik Shukayev & Argyn Toktamyssov, 2016. "Implementing Cross-Border Interbank Lending in BoC-GEM-FIN," Discussion Papers 16-19, Bank of Canada.
Stephen S. Poloz, 2016. "The Paul Storer Memorial Lecture—Cross-Border Trade Integration and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers 16-20, Bank of Canada.
Calista Cheung & Dmitry Granovsky, 2016. "New Housing Registrations as a Leading Indicator of the BC Economy," Discussion Papers 16-3, Bank of Canada.
Robert Fay & Justin-Damien Guénette & Louis Morel, 2016. "The Global Benefits of Low Oil Prices: More Than Meets the Eye," Staff Analytical Notes 16-13, Bank of Canada.
Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2017. "Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 137-163, August.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2016. "Applying a Microfounded-Forecasting Approach to Predict Brazilian Inflation," Working Papers Series 436, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
Laura D'Amato & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco, 2016. "GDP Nowcasting: Assessing the Cyclical Conditions of the Argentine Economy," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(74), pages 7-26, December.
Paul De Grauwe & Eddie Gerba, 2015. "Stock Market Cycles and Supply Side Dynamics: Two Worlds, One Vision?," CESifo Working Paper Series 5573, CESifo.
- Paul De Grauwe & Eddie Gerba, 2016. "Stock market cycles and supply side dynamics: two worlds, one vision?," Working Papers 1626, Banco de España.
Alessandro Notarpietro & Lisa Rodano, 2016. "The evolution of bad debts in Italy during the global financial crisis and the sovereign debt crisis: a counterfactual analysis," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 350, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Ugo Albertazzi & Alessandro Notarpietro & Stefano Siviero, 2016. "An inquiry into the determinants of the profitability of Italian banks," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 364, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Hernando Vargas-Herrera, 2016. "Inflation expectations and a model-based core inflation measure in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation mechanisms, expectations and monetary policy, volume 89, pages 123-151, Bank for International Settlements.
- Hernando Vargas-Herrera, 2016. "Inflation Expectations and a Model-Based Core Inflation Measure in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 14264, Banco de la Republica.
- Hernando Vargas-Herrera, 2016. "Inflation Expectations and a Model-Based Core Inflation Measure in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 928, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Jesús Bejarano & Franz Hamann & Diego Rodríguez, 2016. "Indicador de Inflación Básica a partir de un Modelo Semi-estructural con inflación de alimentos," Borradores de Economia 935, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Amador-Torres, J. Sebastián, 2017. "Finance-neutral potential output: An evaluation in an emerging market monetary policy context," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 389-407.
- J. Sebastián Amador-Torres, 2016. "Finance neutral potential output: an evaluation on an emerging market monetary policy context," Borradores de Economia 958, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2016. "Commodity Price Fluctuations, Core Inflation and Policy Interest Rates," Borradores de Economia 967, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
C. Thubin & T. Ferri re & E. Monnet & M. Marx & V. Oung, 2016. "The PRISME model: can disaggregation on the production side help to forecast GDP?," Working papers 596, Banque de France.
M. Mogliani & T. Ferri re, 2016. "Rationality of announcements, business cycle asymmetry, and predictability of revisions. The case of French GDP," Working papers 600, Banque de France.
Hernando Vargas-Herrera, 2016. "Inflation expectations and a model-based core inflation measure in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Inflation mechanisms, expectations and monetary policy, volume 89, pages 123-151, Bank for International Settlements.
- Hernando Vargas-Herrera, 2016. "Inflation Expectations and a Model-Based Core Inflation Measure in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 928, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Hernando Vargas-Herrera, 2016. "Inflation Expectations and a Model-Based Core Inflation Measure in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 14264, Banco de la Republica.
Krzysztof Olszewski & Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Laszek & Robert Leszczynski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2016. "On the dynamics of the primary housing market and the forecasting of house prices," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Combining micro and macro data for financial stability analysis, volume 41, Bank for International Settlements.
- Augustyniak, Hanna & Leszczyński, Robert & Łaszek, Jacek & Olszewski, Krzysztof & Waszczuk, Joanna, 2014. "On the dynamics of the primary housing market and the forecasting of house prices," MPRA Paper 61015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2017. "An evaluation of inflation expectations in Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(1), pages 1-31â€“38.
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2016. "An Evaluation Of Inflation Expectations In Turkey," Working Papers 1601, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University.
Farooq Akram & Andrew Binning & Junior Maih, 2016. "Joint Prediction Bands for Macroeconomic Risk Management," Working Papers No 5/2016, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Farooq Akram & Andrew Binning & Junior Maih, 2016. "Joint prediction bands for macroeconomic risk management," Working Paper 2016/7, Norges Bank.
Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2016. "Nowcasting using news topics Big Data versus big bank," Working Papers No 6/2016, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2016. "Nowcasting using news topics. Big Data versus big bank," Working Paper 2016/20, Norges Bank.
Farooq Akram & Andrew Binning & Junior Maih, 2016. "Joint prediction bands for macroeconomic risk management," Working Paper 2016/7, Norges Bank.
- Farooq Akram & Andrew Binning & Junior Maih, 2016. "Joint Prediction Bands for Macroeconomic Risk Management," Working Papers No 5/2016, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2016. "Nowcasting using news topics. Big Data versus big bank," Working Paper 2016/20, Norges Bank.
- Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2016. "Nowcasting using news topics Big Data versus big bank," Working Papers No 6/2016, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Belongia, Michael T. & Ireland, Peter N., 2017. "Circumventing the zero lower bound with monetary policy rules based on money," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 54(PA), pages 42-58.
- Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2016. "Circumventing the Zero Lower Bound with Monetary Policy Rules Based on Money," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 911, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2017. "Circumventing the Zero Lower Bound with Monetary Policy Rules Based on Money," NBER Working Papers 23157, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2018. "Targeting Constant Money Growth at the Zero Lower Bound," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(2), pages 159-204, March.
- Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2016. "Targeting Constant Money Growth at the Zero Lower Bound," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 913, Boston College Department of Economics.
Burgess, Stephen & Burrows, Oliver & Godin, Antoine & Kinsella, Stephen & Millard, Stephen, 2016. "A dynamic model of financial balances for the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 614, Bank of England.
Alex Haberis & Riccardo M. Masolo & Kate Reinold, 2019. "Deflation Probability and the Scope for Monetary Loosening in the United Kingdom," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(1), pages 233-277, March.
- Haberis, Alex & Masolo, Riccardo & Reinold, Kate, 2016. "Deflation probability and the scope for monetary loosening in the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 627, Bank of England.
Sami Oinonen & Maritta Paloviita, 2017. "How Informative are Aggregated Inflation Expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(2), pages 139-163, November.
- Oinonen, Sami & Paloviita, Maritta, 2016. "How informative are aggregated inflation expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Research Discussion Papers 15/2016, Bank of Finland.
Kilponen, Juha & Orjasniemi, Seppo & Ripatti, Antti & Verona, Fabio, 2016. "The Aino 2.0 model," Research Discussion Papers 16/2016, Bank of Finland.
Kazutoshi Kan & Yui Kishaba & Tomohiro Tsuruga, 2016. "Supplementary Paper Series for the "Comprehensive Assessment" (3): Policy Effects since the Introduction of Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE) -- Assessment Based on Bank of ," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 16-E-15, Bank of Japan.
Koji Takahashi, 2016. "TIPS: The Trend Inflation Projection System and Estimation Results," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 16-E-18, Bank of Japan.
M. E. Bontempi & R. Golinelli & M. Squadrani, 2016. "A New Index of Uncertainty Based on Internet Searches: A Friend or Foe of Other Indicators?," Working Papers wp1062, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
Wiriyawit Varang & Wong Benjamin, 2016. "Structural VARs, deterministic and stochastic trends: how much detrending matters for shock identification," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(2), pages 141-157, April.
- Varang Wiriyawit & Benjamin Wong, 2014. "Structural VARs, Deterministic and Stochastic Trends: Does Detrending Matter?," CAMA Working Papers 2014-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Benjamin Wong & Varang Wiriyawit, 2015. "Structural VARs, deterministic and stochastic trends: Does detrending matter?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2015/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
Lahiri Kajal & Yang Liu, 2016. "A non-linear forecast combination procedure for binary outcomes," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 421-440, September.
- Kajal Lahiri & Liu Yang, 2015. "A Non-linear Forecast Combination Procedure for Binary Outcomes," CESifo Working Paper Series 5175, CESifo.
Ravazzolo Francesco & Rothman Philip, 2016. "Oil-price density forecasts of US GDP," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 441-453, September.
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Gerhard Rünstler, 2016. "On the Design of Data Sets for Forecasting with Dynamic Factor Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 629-662, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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Dees, Stéphane, 2016. "Credit, asset prices and business cycles at the global level," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 139-152.
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Mikolajun, Irena & Lodge, David, 2016. "Advanced economy inflation: the role of global factors," Working Paper Series 1948, European Central Bank.
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Aastveit, Knut Are & Jore, Anne Sofie & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2016. "Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 283-292.
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Liu, Weiling & Moench, Emanuel, 2016. "What predicts US recessions?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1138-1150.
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Modugno, Michele & Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2016. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP and news decomposition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1369-1384.
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Chang, Andrew C. & Hanson, Tyler J., 2016. "The accuracy of forecasts prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 23-43.
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Hamilton, J.D., 2016. "Macroeconomic Regimes and Regime Shifts," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 163-201, Elsevier.
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Geyer, Alois & Hanke, Michael & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2016. "Inflation forecasts extracted from nominal and real yield curves," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 180-188.
Zhang, Chengsi & Zhou, You, 2016. "The Global Slack Hypothesis: New Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 339-348.
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Setterfield, Mark & Gouri Suresh, Shyam, 2016. "Multi-agent systems as a tool for analyzing path-dependent macrodynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 25-37.
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Prayudhi Azwar & Rod Tyers, 2016. "Post-GFC external shocks and Indonesian economic performance," CAMA Working Papers 2016-58, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Delajara, Marcelo & Álvarez, Federico Hernández & Tirado, Abel Rodríguez, 2016. "Nowcasting Mexico’s short-term GDP growth in real-time: a factor model versus professional forecasters," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 123297, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
Cai, Xiaoming & Den Haan, Wouter J. & Pinder, Jonathan, 2016. "Predictable recoveries," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 65188, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
Raffaella Giacomini & Vasiliki Skreta & Javier Turen, 2015. "Models, Inattention and Expectation Updates," Discussion Papers 1602, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
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David O. Cushman, 2016. "A Unit Root in Postwar U.S. Real GDP Still Cannot Be Rejected, and Yes, It Matters," Econ Journal Watch, Econ Journal Watch, vol. 13(1), pages 1-5â€“45, January.
Chávez, Ricardo & García, Carlos J., 2016. "Reforma tributaria en fases," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(330), pages .275-310, abril-jun.
Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Enrique Sentana, 2016. "Fast ML Estimation of Dynamic Bifactor Models: An Application to European Inflation," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 215-282, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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Maximo Camacho & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2016. "Country Shocks, Monetary Policy Expectations and ECB Decisions. A Dynamic Non-linear Approach," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 283-316, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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Gerhard Rünstler, 2016. "On the Design of Data Sets for Forecasting with Dynamic Factor Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 629-662, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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Atsushi Sekine & Takayuki Tsuruga, 2018. "Effects of commodity price shocks on inflation: a cross-country analysis," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 70(4), pages 1108-1135.
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Morikawa, Masayuki, 2016. "Business uncertainty and investment: Evidence from Japanese companies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 224-236.
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Alessandro Girardi & Christian Gayer & Andreas Reuter, 2016. "Replacing Judgment by Statistics: Constructing Consumer Confidence Indicators on the Basis of Data-driven Techniques," European Economy - Discussion Papers 034, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Stanislav Tvrz & Osvald Vasicek, 2016. "The Great Recession in the Non-EMU Visegrád Countries: A Nonlinear DSGE Model with Time-Varying Parameters," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(3), pages 207-235, June.
Pablo M. Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2016. "Forecasting with a Random Walk," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(6), pages 539-564, December.
Vedunka Kopecna, 2016. "Public Employment Effects over the Business Cycle: the Czech Case," Working Papers IES 2016/13, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Jul 2016.
Guerini, Mattia & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2018. "No man is an Island: The impact of heterogeneity and local interactions on macroeconomic dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 82-95.
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Kevin X. D. Huang & Guoqiang Tian, 2016. "China's Macroeconomic Outlook and Risk Assessment: Counterfactual Analysis, Policy Simulation, and Long-Term Governance¡ªA Summary of Annual Report (2015¨C2016)," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, vol. 11(2), pages 173-191, June.
Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2017. "Inattention in individual expectations," Economia, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 17(1), pages 40-59.
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Nikolay Gospodinov, 2016. "The role of commodity prices in forecasting U.S. core inflation," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2016-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
Brent Meyer & Saeed Zaman, 2019. "The usefulness of the median CPI in Bayesian VARs used for macroeconomic forecasting and policy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 603-630, August.
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Enrique Martínez García, 2016. "Finite-Order VAR Representation of Linear Rational Expectations Models: With Some Lessons for Monetary Policy," Globalization Institute Working Papers 285, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
N. Kundan Kishor & Evan F. Koenig, 2016. "The roles of inflation expectations, core inflation, and slack in real-time inflation forecasting," Working Papers 1613, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
Kirstin Hubrich & Frauke Skudelny, 2017. "Forecast Combination for Euro Area Inflation: A Cure in Times of Crisis?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 515-540, August.
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Bragoli, Daniela & Modugno, Michele, 2017. "A now-casting model for Canada: Do U.S. variables matter?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 786-800.
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Modugno, Michele & Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2016. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP and news decomposition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1369-1384.
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Jeremy J. Nalewaik, 2016. "Non-Linear Phillips Curves with Inflation Regime-Switching," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-078, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Caldara, Dario & Fuentes-Albero, Cristina & Gilchrist, Simon & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2016. "The macroeconomic impact of financial and uncertainty shocks," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 185-207.
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Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2023. "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 105(2), pages 392-407, March.
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Scott Brave & R. Andrew Butters & Alejandro Justiniano, 2016. "Forecasting Economic Activity with Mixed Frequency Bayesian VARs," Working Paper Series WP-2016-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
Troy Davig & Aaron Smalter Hall, 2016. "Recession forecasting using Bayesian classification," Research Working Paper RWP 16-6, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
Jesús Bejarano & Franz Hamann & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria & Diego Rodríguez, 2016. "Monetary Policy in an Oil-Exporting Economy," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 98(3), pages 239-261.
Sean P. Grover & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael W. McCracken, 2016. "A Macroeconomic News Index for Constructing Nowcasts of U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product Growth," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 98(4), pages 277-296.
Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2019. "Vulnerable Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(4), pages 1263-1289, April.
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Sergey Drobyshevsky & Marina Turuntseva & Michael Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Viktoria Petrenko & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-26, January.
Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Pavel Trunin & Victor Lyashok, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 20, pages 1-26, February.
Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Mikhail Khromov & Andrei Kaukin & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich & Pavel Pavlov & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 21, pages 1-30, February.
Alexandra Bozhechkova & Alexander Knobel & Sergey Tsukhlo & Elena Grishina & Pavel Trunin & Alexander Firanchuk & Olga Berezinskaya, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 22, pages 1-27, April.
Mikhail Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Sergey Tsukhlo & E. Avraamova & D. Loginov & O. Rasenko & Ekaterina Ponomareva & Sergey Sudakov, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 23, pages 1-27, April.
Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Averkiev Vladimir & Shishkina Ekaterina & Florinskaya Yulia & Mkrtchian N. & S, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 24, pages 1-27, April.
Idrisov Georgy & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Goryunov Evgeny & Deryugin Alexander & Kaukin Andrey, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 25, pages 1-22, April.
Drobyshevsky Sergey & Kazakova Maria & Tsukhlo Sergey & Lyashok Viktor, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 27, pages 1-24, May.
Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bobylev Yuri & Rasenko O. & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Shagaida Nat, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 28, pages 1-28, June.
Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Grishina Elena & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Deryugin Alexander & Burdyak Alexandra, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 31, pages 1-27, July.
Idrisov Georgy & Loginova D. & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Tsukhlo Sergey & Uzun Vasily & Kaukin Andrey & Zubarevich Natalia, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 32, pages 1-27, September.
Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Vedev Alexey & Gurevich Vladimir, 2016. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 33, pages 1-19, September.
Idrisov Georgy & Avraamova Elena & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Shagaida Natalia & Kaukin Andrey & Gurevich Vladimir & Loginov Dmitry & Pavlov Pavel, 2016. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 35, pages 1-23, November.
Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Florinskaya Yulia & Mkrtchian N. & Mamedov Arseny & Fomina Elena & Gurevich Vladimir, 2016. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 37, pages 1-20, December.
Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Kaukin Andrey & Zubarevich Natalia & Gurevich Vladimir & Miller Evgenia, 2016. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 38, pages 1-23, December.
Sergey Drobyshevsky & Marina Turuntseva & Michael Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Viktoria Petrenko & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-26, January.
Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Pavel Trunin & Victor Lyashok, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 20, pages 1-22, February.
Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Mikhail Khromov & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich & Pavel Pavlov & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 21, pages 1-30, February.
Alexandra Bozhechkova & Alexander Knobel & Sergey Tsukhlo & Elena Grishina & Pavel Trunin & Alexander Firanchuk & Olga Berezinskaya, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 22, pages 1-27, March.
Mikhail Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Sergey Tsukhlo & E. Avraamova & D. Loginov & O. Rasenko & Ekaterina Ponomareva & Sergey Sudakov, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 23, pages 1-27, March.
Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Shishkina Ekaterina & Uzun Vasily & Flor, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 24, pages 1-27, April.
Idrisov Georgy & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Goryunov Evgeny & Deryugin Alexander & Kaukin Andrey, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 25, pages 1-22, April.
Drobyshevsky Sergey & Kazakova Maria & Idrisov Georgy & Tsukhlo Sergey & Lyashok Viktor, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 27, pages 1-24, May.
Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bobylev Yuri & Rasenko O. & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Shagaida Natalia & Kiyutsevskaya Ann, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 28, pages 1-28, June.
Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Grishina Elena & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Deryugin Alexander & Burdyak Alexandra, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 31, pages 1-27, July.
Idrisov Georgy & Loginova D. & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Tsukhlo Sergey & Uzun Vasily & Kaukin Andrey & Zubarevich Natalia, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 32, pages 1-27, September.
Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Vedev Alexey & Gurevich Vladimir, 2016. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 33, pages 1-19, September.
Idrisov Georgy & Avraamova Elena & Tsukhlo Sergey & Shagaida Natalia & Kaukin Andrey & Gurevich Vladimir & Loginov Dmitry & Pavlov Pavel, 2016. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 35, pages 1-23, November.
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Elmer Sánchez León, 2016. "Mortgage Credit: Lending and Borrowing Constraints in a DSGE Framework," IHEID Working Papers 15-2016, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
Ulrich Heilemann & Susanne Schnorr-Bäcker, 2016. "Could The Start Of The German Recession 2008-2009 Have Been Foreseen? Evidence From Real-Time Data," Working Papers 2016-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
Herman O. Stekler & Tianyu Ye, 2017. "Evaluating a leading indicator: an application—the term spread," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 183-194, August.
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Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 16(2), pages 77-97, November.
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Edward N. Gamber & Julie K. Smith, 2016. "Time-series measures of core inflation," Working Papers 2016-008, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
Constantin Burgi, 2016. "What Do We Lose When We Average Expectations?," Working Papers 2016-013, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
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Auray, Stéphane & Eyquem, Aurélien & Gomme, Paul, 2019. "Debt hangover in the aftermath of the Great Recession," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 107-133.
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Guerini, Mattia & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2018. "No man is an Island: The impact of heterogeneity and local interactions on macroeconomic dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 82-95.
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Guerini, Mattia & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2018. "No man is an Island: The impact of heterogeneity and local interactions on macroeconomic dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 82-95.
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Dalibor Stevanovic & Rachidi Kotchoni, 2016. "Forecasting U.S. Recessions and Economic Activity," CIRANO Working Papers 2016s-36, CIRANO.
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SÃ¶derstrÃ¶m, Ulf & Iversen, Jens & LASEEN, PER & Lundvall, Henrik, 2016. "Real-Time Forecasting for Monetary Policy Analysis: The Case of Sveriges Riksbank," CEPR Discussion Papers 11203, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Michael K Andersson & Ted Aranki & André Reslow, 2017. "Adjusting for information content when comparing forecast performance," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(7), pages 784-794, November.
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Takashi Kano, 2021. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: A General Equilibrium Exploration," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(1), pages 95-117, February.
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Gokcen Ogruk, 2016. "Carry Trade Strategies With Factor Augmented Macro Fundamentals: A Dynamic Markov-Switching Factor Model," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 10(3), pages 11-28.
Caballero, Julián & Fernández, Andrés & Park, Jongho, 2019. "On corporate borrowing, credit spreads and economic activity in emerging economies: An empirical investigation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 160-178.
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Jeetendra Khadan, 2017. "An Econometric Analysis Of Energy Revenue And Government Expenditure Shocks On Economic Growth In Trinidad And Tobago," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 51(2), pages 183-203, April-Jun.
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Julián Caballero & Andres Fernandez & Jongho Park, 2016. "On Corporate Borrowing, Credit Spreads and Economic Activity in Emerging Economies: An Empirical Investigation," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 95296, Inter-American Development Bank.
Jeetendra Khadan, 2016. "An Econometric Analysis of Energy Revenue and Government Expenditure Shocks on Economic Growth in Trinidad and Tobago," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 97018, Inter-American Development Bank.
Takuji Fueki & Ichiro Fukunaga & Hibiki Ichiue & Toyoichiro Shirota, 2016. "Measuring Potential Growth with an Estimated DSGE Model of Japan’s Economy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(1), pages 1-32, March.
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Yaniv Azoulay & Andrey Kudryavtsev & Shosh Shahrabani, 2016. "Accumulating approach to the life-cycle pension model: practical advantages," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 40(4), pages 413-436.
Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Modise, Mampho P. & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Can economic uncertainty, financial stress and consumer sentiments predict U.S. equity premium?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 367-378.
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Annarita Colasante & Simone Alfarano & Eva Camacho & Mauro Gallegati, 2018. "Long-run expectations in a learning-to-forecast experiment," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(10), pages 681-687, June.
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Rossen Anja, 2016. "On the Predictive Content of Nonlinear Transformations of Lagged Autoregression Residuals and Time Series Observations," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 236(3), pages 389-409, May.
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Rossen Anja, 2016. "On the Predictive Content of Nonlinear Transformations of Lagged Autoregression Residuals and Time Series Observations," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 236(3), pages 389-409, May.
Rossen Anja, 2016. "On the Predictive Content of Nonlinear Transformations of Lagged Autoregression Residuals and Time Series Observations," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 236(3), pages 389-409, May.
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Aleš Bulíř & Jaromír Hurník & Kateřina Šmídková, 2016. "What Do Central Banks Know about Inflation Factors?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 795-810, September.
Nicola Giocoli, 2016. "Truth or precision? Some reflections on the economists’ failure to predict the financial crisis," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 29(4), pages 371-386, December.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016. "Schweizer Wirtschaft in turbulentem Umfeld," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(1), pages 1-72, March.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016. "Preise fangen sich langsam, verhaltener Konjunkturausblick," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(2), pages 1-29, June.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016. "Zurück zu moderatem Wachstum," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(3), pages 1-108, October.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016. "Langsame Erholung in unsicheren Zeiten," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 10(4), pages 1-27, December.
Berardi, Michele & Galimberti, Jaqueson K., 2017. "On the initialization of adaptive learning in macroeconomic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 26-53.
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Kőrösi, Gábor, 2016. "A lány továbbra is szolgál.. [Modelling and econometrics]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(6), pages 647-667.
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Anton Antonov GERUNOV, 2016. "Automating Analytics: Forecasting Time Series in Economics and Business," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, KSP Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 340-349, June.
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Hirokazu Mizobata & Hiroki Toyoda, 2016. "Business Cycles, Asset Prices, and the Frictions of Capital and Labor," KIER Working Papers 953, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Carlos DÃaz, 2018. "Extracting information shocks from the Bank of England inflation density forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 316-326, April.
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Pascal Bührig & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016. "Forecasting revisions of German industrial production," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(15), pages 1062-1064, October.
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R. Lehmann & K. Wohlrabe, 2016. "Looking into the black box of boosting: the case of Germany," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(17), pages 1229-1233, November.
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Faisal Rachman, 2016. "Is Inflation Target Announced by Bank Indonesia the Most Accurate Inflation Forecast?," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 62, pages 98-120, August.
Christian Gayer & Alessandro Girardi & Andreas Reuter, 2016. "Replacing Judgment by Statistics: Constructing Consumer Confidence Indicators on the basis of Data-driven Techniques. The Case of the Euro Area," Working Papers LuissLab 16125, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
Alinezhad , Alireza & Nasiri Sadeghloo , Mohammad Javad, 2016. "Application of Malmquist Index in Two-Stage DEA for Measurement of Productivity Growth," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 11(1), pages 31-51, January.
Rasekhi, Saeed & Rastgar, Majid, 2016. "Policy Time-Inconsistency: A Comparison of Managed Floating Exchange Rate and Controlled Exchange Rate Regimes," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 11(4), pages 351-373, October.
Aleksandra Hałka & Karol Szafranek, 2016. "Whose Inflation Is It Anyway? Inflation Spillovers Between the Euro Area and Small Open Economies," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(2), pages 109-132, March.
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Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2016. "In search of the Euro area fiscal stance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 254-264.
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Alice, Albonico & Alessia, Paccagnini & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2016. "PIIGS in the Euro Area. An Empirical DSGE Model," Working Papers 331, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised 11 Mar 2016.
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Brian Micallef, 2016. "Property price misalignment with fundamentals in Malta," CBM Working Papers WP/03/2016, Central Bank of Malta.
Ellul, Reuben, 2016. "A real-time measure of business conditions in Malta," MPRA Paper 75057, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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László Békési & Csaba Köber & Henrik Kucsera & Tímea Várnai & Balázs Világi, 2016. "The macroeconomic forecasting model of the MNB," MNB Working Papers 2016/4, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
Diana Gabrielyan, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation Using The Phillips Curve: Evidence From Swedish Data," University of Tartu - Faculty of Economics and Business Administration Working Paper Series 100, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, University of Tartu (Estonia).
National Bank of Belgium, 2016. "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2016," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-30, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2016. "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2016," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-28, June.
Christophe Piette, 2016. "Predicting Belgium’s GDP using targeted bridge models," Working Paper Research 290, National Bank of Belgium.
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Adrienne Csizmady & József Hegedüs, 2016. "Hungarian Mortgage Rescue Programs 2009-2016," Chapters from NBP Conference Publications, in: Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk (ed.), Papers presented during the Narodowy Bank Polski Workshop: Recent trends in the real estate market and its analysis - 2015 edition, chapter 1, pages v1, 11-32, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Jacek Łaszek & Hanna Augustyniak & Krzysztof Olszewski, 2016. "FX mortgages, housing boom and financial stability – a case study for Poland (2005-2015)," Chapters from NBP Conference Publications, in: Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk (ed.), Papers presented during the Narodowy Bank Polski Workshop: Recent trends in the real estate market and its analysis - 2015 edition, chapter 3, pages v1, 87-10, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Aleksandra Hałka & Jacek Kotłowski, 2017. "Global or Domestic? Which Shocks Drive Inflation in European Small Open Economies?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(8), pages 1812-1835, August.
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Halina Kowalczyk & Ewa Stanisławska, 2016. "Are experts’ probabilistic forecasts similar to the NBP projections?," NBP Working Papers 238, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Paweł Pońsko & Bartosz Rybaczyk, 2016. "Fan chart – a tool for NBP’s monetary policy making," NBP Working Papers 241, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Hamilton, J.D., 2016. "Macroeconomic Regimes and Regime Shifts," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 163-201, Elsevier.
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Jesús Fernández‐Villaverde & Oren Levintal, 2018. "Solution methods for models with rare disasters," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 9(2), pages 903-944, July.
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Mario J. Crucini & Gregor W. Smith, 2016. "Distance And Time Effects In Swedish Commodity Prices, 1732-1914," Working Paper 1357, Economics Department, Queen's University.
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Belongia, Michael T. & Ireland, Peter N., 2016. "The evolution of U.S. monetary policy: 2000–2007," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 78-93.
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Zouhair Aït Benhamou, 2016. "Fluctuations in Emerging Economies: Regional and Global Factors," Research papers & Policy papers 1601, Policy Center for the New South.
Patrice Ollivaud & Pierre-Alain Pionnier & Elena Rusticelli & Cyrille Schwellnus & Seung-Hee Koh, 2016. "Forecasting GDP during and after the Great Recession: A contest between small-scale bridge and large-scale dynamic factor models," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1313, OECD Publishing.
David Havrlant & Peter Tóth & Julia Wörz, 2016. "On the optimal number of indicators – nowcasting GDP growth in CESEE," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 54-72.
Arturo Leonardo Vásquez Cordano & Abdel M. Zellou, 2016. "Where are natural gas prices heading, and which are the environmental consequences for Latin America?," Working Papers 35, Osinergmin, Gerencia de Políticas y Análisis Económico.
Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2016. "The great mortgaging: housing finance, crises and business cycles," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 31(85), pages 107-152.
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Ulrike Malmendier & Stefan Nagel, 2016. "Learning from Inflation Experiences," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(1), pages 53-87.
Lorenza Rossi & Emilio Zanetti Chini, 2016. "Firms’ Dynamics and Business Cycle: New Disaggregated Data," DEM Working Papers Series 123, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
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Fayyaz Hussain & Zafar Hayat, 2016. "Do Inflation Expectations Matter for Inflation Forecastability: Evidence from Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 55(3), pages 211-225.
Papa, Javier & et., al., 2016. "Forecasting Trade Deflators In Ireland," MPRA Paper 116754, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2016.
Jose Luis Nolazco & Pablo Pincheira & Jorge Selaive, 2016. "The evasive predictive ability of core inflation," Working Papers 15/34, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
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Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2016. "Digital DNA of economy of scale and scope," MPRA Paper 68929, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2016. "Precise measurement of macroeconomic variables in time domain using three dimensional wave diagrams," MPRA Paper 69576, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Benchimol, Jonathan, 2016. "Money and monetary policy in Israel during the last decade," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 103-124.
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Anton Antonov GERUNOV, 2016. "Automating Analytics: Forecasting Time Series in Economics and Business," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, KSP Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 340-349, June.
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Accolley, Delali, 2016. "Physical and Human Capital over the Business Cycle," MPRA Paper 71017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Jari Hännikäinen, 2017. "The shadow rate as a predictor of real activity and inflation: evidence from a data-rich environment," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(8), pages 527-535, May.
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Shirai, Daichi, 2016. "Persistence and Amplification of Financial Frictions," MPRA Paper 72187, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Belanger, Gilles, 2016. "Inequality Causes Recessions: A Fallout from Ramsey's Conjecture," MPRA Paper 72335, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Fioramanti, Marco, 2016. "Potential Output, Output Gap and Fiscal Stance: is the EC estimation of the NAWRU too sensitive to be reliable?," MPRA Paper 73762, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Sep 2016.
Alain Hecq & Sean Telg & Lenard Lieb, 2017. "Do Seasonal Adjustments Induce Noncausal Dynamics in Inflation Rates?," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-22, October.
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Rueben Ellul, 2016. "A real-time measure of business conditions in Malta," CBM Working Papers WP/04/2016, Central Bank of Malta.
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Annarita Colasante & Simone Alfarano & Eva Camacho & Mauro Gallegati, 2018. "Long-run expectations in a learning-to-forecast experiment," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(10), pages 681-687, June.
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Pinshi, Christian, 2016. "Une perspective macroprudentielle pour la stabilité financière [A macroprudential perspective on financial stability]," MPRA Paper 77905, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Feb 2017.
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Rudrani Bhattacharya & Abhijit Sen Gupta, 2017. "What Role Did Rising Demand Play in Driving Food Prices Up?," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 6(1), pages 59-81, June.
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Barrera Chaupis, Carlos, 2016. "Expectations' Dispersion & Convergence towards Central Banks' IR forecasts: Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Peru & United Kingdom, 2004-2014," MPRA Paper 85410, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Dec 2016.
Shahid, Muhammad & Qayyum, Abdul & Shahid, Waseem, 2016. "Fiscal and Monetary Policy Interactions in Pakistan Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Framework," MPRA Paper 72595, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Mansur, Alfan, 2016. "The Impact of a Loss of Confidence in Emerging Market Economies to the World Economy: A Simulation with the G-Cubed Model," MPRA Paper 93870, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Nov 2017.
Rangan Gupta & Hylton Hollander & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "The Impact of Oil Shocks in a Small Open Economy New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for South Africa," Working Papers 201652, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Near-Rational Expectations: How Far are Surveys from Rationality?," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 60(1), pages 1-27.
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- Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "Near-Rational Expectations: How Far are Surveys from Rationality?," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 2017/04, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
- Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Near-Rational Expectations: How Far are Surveys from Rationality?," Working Papers 201655, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Forecasting using a Nonlinear DSGE Model," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 7(2), pages 73-98.
- Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Forecasting using a Nonlinear DSGE Model," Working Papers 201659, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018. "Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 541-559, August.
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Goodness C. Aye & Christina Christou & Luis A. Gil‐Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Forecasting the Probability of Recessions in South Africa: the Role of Decomposed Term Spread and Economic Policy Uncertainty," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 101-116, January.
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Vasilios Plakandaras & Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Mark E. Wohar, 2016. "Do Leading Indicators Forecast U.S. Recessions? A Nonlinear Re-Evaluation Using Historical Data," Working Papers 201685, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Emilie Jašová & Klára Čermáková & Božena Kadeřábková & Pavel Procházka, 2016. "Působení institucionálních faktorů na strukturální a cyklickou nezaměstnanost v zemích Visegrádské skupiny [Influence of Institutional Factors on Structural and Cyclical Unemployment in the Countri," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2016(1), pages 34-50.
Damian Stelmasiak & Grzegorz Szafrański, 2016. "Forecasting the Polish Inflation Using Bayesian VAR Models with Seasonality," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 8(1), pages 21-42, March.
Sánchez, Elmer, 2016. "Mortgage Credit: Lending and Borrowing Constraints in a DSGE Framework," Working Papers 2016-009, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
Geoffrey Meen & Alexander Mihailov & Yehui Wang, 2016. "Endogenous UK Housing Cycles and the Risk Premium: Understanding the Next Housing Crisis," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2016-02, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
Jinke Li & Geoffrey Meen, 2016. "Agent Based Models, Housing Fluctuations and the Role of Heterogeneous Expectations," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2016-09, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
Steffen Heinig & Anupam Nanda & Sotiris Tsolacos, 2016. "Which Sentiment Indicators Matter? An Analysis of the European Commercial Real Estate Market," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2016-04, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
Michael Clements, 2016. "Are Macro-Forecasters Essentially The Same? An Analysis of Disagreement, Accuracy and Efficiency," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2016-08, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
Malik Shukayev & Argyn Toktamyssov, 2016. "Implementing Cross-Border Interbank Lending in BoC-GEM-FIN," Discussion Papers 16-19, Bank of Canada.
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Crucini , Mario J. & Smith, Gregor W., 2016. "Early Globalization and the Law of One Price: Evidence from Sweden, 1732-1914," East Asian Economic Review, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, vol. 20(4), pages 427-445, December.
Dargahi, Hassan & Hadian, Mehdi, 2016. "Evaluation of Fiscal and Monetary Shocks with Emphasis on the Interactions of Banking System Balance Sheet and the Real Sector of Iran's Economy: A DSGE Approach," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 3(1), pages 1-28, June.
Farazmand, Hasan & Arman , Seyed Aziz & Afghah , Seyed Morteza & Ghorbannezhad , Mojtaba, 2016. "The Effects of Energy Price Reform on Iranian Economy: Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach (DSGE)," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 3(2), pages 49-76, July.
Emilie Ja?ová, 2016. "The effect of the psychological factor among companies onto the NAIRU and economic cycle on the labour market," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 5307026, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
Bozena Kaderabkova, 2016. "Development of the economic cycle on labour market in the national economy and industry of the Czech Republi," Proceedings of Business and Management Conferences 4407037, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
Bozena Kaderabkova & Emilie Jasova, 2016. "Character And Intensity Of The Minimum Wage Influence On Unemployment In The Czech Republic And Slovakia," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 5(1), pages 37-49, March.
Rafal Zbyrowski, 2016. "The Application of the Shepard’s Interpolation for a Property Valuation (Zastosowanie metody Sheparda do szacowania nieruchomosci)," Research Reports, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 2(22), pages 249-256.
Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2017. "Business Cycle Accounting: Bulgaria after the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2014)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 14(2), pages 197-219.
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Severin Bernhard, 2016. "A real-time GDP data set for Switzerland," Economic Studies 2016-09, Swiss National Bank.
Christian Hepenstrick & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2016. "Forecasting with Large Unbalanced Datasets: The Mixed-Frequency Three-Pass Regression Filter," Working Papers 2016-04, Swiss National Bank.
Guerini, Mattia & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2018. "No man is an Island: The impact of heterogeneity and local interactions on macroeconomic dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 82-95.
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- Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2018. "No man is an island : the impact of heterogeneity and local interactions on macroeconomics dynamics," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/28ldm6et9r9, Sciences Po.
- Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2016. "No Man is an Island: The Impact of Heterogeneity and Local Interactions on Macroeconomic Dynamics," Sciences Po publications 2016-18, Sciences Po.
- Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2016. "No man is an island : the Impact of Heterogeneity and local interactions on Macroeconomic Dynamics," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2016-18, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2018. "No man is an island : the impact of heterogeneity and local interactions on macroeconomics dynamics," Post-Print hal-03609582, HAL.
- Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2016. "No Man is an Island: The Impact of Heterogeneity and Local Interactions on Macroeconomic Dynamics," Working Papers hal-03459315, HAL.
- Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2016. "No Man is an Island: The Impact of Heterogeneity and Local Interactions on Macroeconomic Dynamics," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03459315, HAL.
Pablo Pincheira & Andrés Gatty, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with international factors," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 981-1010, November.
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Monir Uddin Ahmed & Md. Moniruzzaman Muzib & Md. Mahedi Hasan, 2016. "Inflation, inflation uncertainty and relative price variability in Bangladesh," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 6(3), pages 389-427, December.
Alfonso Arpaia & Aron Kiss & Balazs Palvolgyi & Alessandro Turrini, 2016. "Labour mobility and labour market adjustment in the EU," IZA Journal of Migration and Development, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 5(1), pages 1-21, December.
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Peter Stalder, 2016. "Exchange Rate Shocks, Monetary Policy and Boom-Bust Cycles in the Housing Market: An Econometric Analysis for Switzerland," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 12(2), pages 217-251, December.
Yuri Biondi & Simone Righi, 2016. "What does the financial market pricing do? A simulation analysis with a view to systemic volatility, exuberance and vagary," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 11(2), pages 175-203, October.
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Cindrella Shah & Nilesh Ghonasgi, 2016. "Determinants and Forecast of Price Level in India: a VAR Framework," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 14(1), pages 57-86, June.
Piotr Białowolski, 2016. "The influence of negative response style on survey-based household inflation expectations," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 509-528, March.
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Piotr Białowolski, 2016. "The influence of negative response style on survey-based household inflation expectations," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 509-528, March.
Petar Sorić & Ivana Lolić & Mirjana Čižmešija, 2016. "European economic sentiment indicator: an empirical reappraisal," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 50(5), pages 2025-2054, September.
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Maurizio Bovi, 2016. "The tale of two expectations," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 50(6), pages 2677-2705, November.
Roland Döhrn, 2016. "Der Investitionsaufschwung blieb aus: das Prognosejahr 2015 im Rückblick [The Upswing in Capital Formation Failed to Appear: The Forecast for 2015 in Retrospective]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 96(4), pages 253-257, April.
Ferdinand Fichtner & Roland Döhrn & Oliver Holtemöller & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "Aufschwung bleibt moderat — Wirtschaftspolitik wenig wachstumsorientiert [Upturn Remains Moderate — Economic Policy Lacks Growth Orientation]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 96(5), pages 351-356, May.
Guerini, Mattia & Moneta, Alessio, 2017. "A method for agent-based models validation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 125-141.
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- Mattia Guerini & Alessio Moneta, 2016. "A Method for Agent-Based Models Validation," LEM Papers Series 2016/16, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
Guerini, Mattia & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2018. "No man is an Island: The impact of heterogeneity and local interactions on macroeconomic dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 82-95.
- Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2016. "No Man is an Island: The Impact of Heterogeneity and Local Interactions on Macroeconomic Dynamics," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03459315, HAL.
- Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2018. "No man is an island : the impact of heterogeneity and local interactions on macroeconomics dynamics," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03609582, HAL.
- Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2016. "No Man Is an Island: The Impact of Heterogeneity and Local Interactions on Macroeconomic Dynamics," LEM Papers Series 2016/24, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2016. "No man is an island : the Impact of Heterogeneity and local interactions on Macroeconomic Dynamics," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2016-18, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2018. "No man is an island : the impact of heterogeneity and local interactions on macroeconomics dynamics," Post-Print hal-03609582, HAL.
- Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2016. "No Man is an Island: The Impact of Heterogeneity and Local Interactions on Macroeconomic Dynamics," Working Papers hal-03459315, HAL.
Morley, James & Panovska, Irina B., 2020. "Is Business Cycle Asymmetry Intrinsic In Industrialized Economies?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(6), pages 1403-1436, September.
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- James Morley & Irina B Panovska, 2017. "Is Business Cycle Asymmetry Intrinsic in Industrialized Economies?," Discussion Papers 2016-12A, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
Pascal Bührig & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016. "Forecasting revisions of German industrial production," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(15), pages 1062-1064, October.
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R. Lehmann & K. Wohlrabe, 2016. "Looking into the black box of boosting: the case of Germany," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(17), pages 1229-1233, November.
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Jari H�nnik�inen, 2016. "The mortgage spread as a predictor of real-time economic activity," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 112-116, February.
Callum Jones & Mariano Kulish, 2016. "A graphical representation of an estimated DSGE model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(6), pages 483-489, February.
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Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C. C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1638-1665, December.
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Makram El-Shagi & Gregor von Schweinitz, 2016. "Qual VAR revisited: Good forecast, bad story," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 19, pages 293-322, November.
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Jari Hännikäinen, 2017. "The shadow rate as a predictor of real activity and inflation: evidence from a data-rich environment," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(8), pages 527-535, May.
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- Hännikäinen Jari, 2016. "The shadow rate as a predictor of real activity and inflation: Evidence from a data-rich environment," Working Papers 1606, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2015. "Dynamic predictive density combinations for large data sets in economics and finance," Working Paper 2015/12, Norges Bank.
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Yongchen Zhao, 2020. "Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 16(2), pages 77-97, November.
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Rochelle M. Edge & Jeremy B. Rudd, 2016. "Real-Time Properties of the Federal Reserve's Output Gap," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 98(4), pages 785-791, October.
Douyoung Lee, 2016. "A Reevaluation of Financial Variables' Predictive Content for the U.S. Economy," Working Papers 20161029-001, Texas A&M University, Department of Economics.
Bekiros, Stelios & Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2016. "Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 216-227.
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Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2017. "Great recession, slow recovery and muted fiscal policies in the US," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 140-161.
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Bekiros, Stelios & Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2016. "Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 216-227.
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- Stelios D. Bekiros & Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2016. "Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Working Papers 201611, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2016. "In search of the Euro area fiscal stance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 254-264.
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Daniela Bragoli & Jack Fosten, 2018. "Nowcasting Indian GDP," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 80(2), pages 259-282, April.
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Lovcha, Yuliya & Pérez Laborda, Alejandro, 2016. "Frequency-Domain Estimation as an Alternative to Pre-Filtering External Cycles in Structural VAR Analysis," Working Papers 2072/290743, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.
Föllmi, Reto & Minsch, Rudolf & Schnell, Fabian, 2016. "What Determines Price Changes and the Distribution of Prices? Evidence from the Swiss CPI," Economics Working Paper Series 1610, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
Hloušek Miroslav, 2016. "Inflation Target and its Impact on Macroeconomy in the Zero Lower Bound Environment: the case of the Czech economy," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 16(1), pages 3-16, March.
Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. Van Dijk, 2016. "Interconnections Between Eurozone and us Booms and Busts Using a Bayesian Panel Markov‐Switching VAR Model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1352-1370, November.
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Alessandro Girardi & Christian Gayer & Andreas Reuter, 2016. "The Role of Survey Data in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 400-418, August.
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Tim Oliver Berg, 2016. "Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(8), pages 718-740, December.
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Andrew Foerster & Juan F. Rubio‐Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2016. "Perturbation methods for Markov‐switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 7(2), pages 637-669, July.
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Mitchell, James & Robertson, Donald & Wright, Stephen, 2016. "What univariate models tell us about multivariate macroeconomic models," EMF Research Papers 08, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
Oinonen, Sami & Paloviita, Maritta, 2016. "How informative are aggregated inflation expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 15/2016, Bank of Finland.
Kilponen, Juha & Orjasniemi, Seppo & Ripatti, Antti & Verona, Fabio, 2016. "The Aino 2.0 model," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 16/2016, Bank of Finland.
Knüppel, Malte & Vladu, Andreea L., 2016. "Approximating fixed-horizon forecasts using fixed-event forecasts," Discussion Papers 28/2016, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Qudah, Anas Al & Badawi, Ahmed & AboElsoud, Mostafa E., 2016. "The Impact of Oil Sector on the Global Competitiveness of GCC Countries: Panel Data Approach," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 7(20), pages 32-39.
Jianu, Ionuț, 2016. "A comprehensive view on the manifestations of aggregate demand and aggregate supply shocks in Greece, Ireland, Italy and Portugal," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 0(2 (607)), pages 207-224.
Aleksandar Vasilev, 2017. "Us Health And Aggregate Fluctuations," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(2), pages 147-163, April.
- Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2016. "US Health and Aggregate Fluctuations," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 69(2), pages 147-163.
- Aleksandar Vasilev, 2015. "US Health and Aggregate Fluctuations," Bulgarian Economic Papers bep-2015-01, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, revised Feb 2015.
- Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2016. "US Health and Aggregate Fluctuations," EconStor Preprints 144584, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2017. "Business Cycle Accounting: Bulgaria after the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2014)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 14(2), pages 197-219.
- Aleksandar Vasilev, 2017. "Business Cycle Accounting: Bulgaria after the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2014)," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 14(2), pages 197-219, December.
- Aleksandar Vasilev, 2016. "Business Cycle Accounting: Bulgaria after the Introduction of the Currency Board Arrangement (1999-2014)," Bulgarian Economic Papers bep-2016-11, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, revised Nov 2016.
- Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2016. "Business Cycle Accounting: Bulgaria after the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2014)," EconStor Preprints 144816, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2016. "Monetary Policy Evaluation using a Rational Expectations Model: the UK case," EconStor Research Reports 126141, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
Arora, Vipin & Lieskovsky, Jozef, 2016. "Electricity Use as an Indicator of U.S. Economic Activity," EconStor Research Reports 126147, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Segnon, Mawuli, 2016. "The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions: A mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-20.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli Segnon, 2015. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting U.S. Recessions: A Mixed-Frequency Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201558, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Segnon, Mawuli, 2016. "The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions: A mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach," Economics Discussion Papers 2016-14, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Segnon, Mawuli, 2016. "The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions: A mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 10, pages 1-20.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mawuli Segnon, 2015. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting U.S. Recessions: A Mixed-Frequency Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Approach," Working Papers 201558, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Segnon, Mawuli, 2016. "The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions: A mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach," Economics Discussion Papers 2016-14, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Pirschel, Inske, 2016. "Forecasting euro area recessions in real-time," Kiel Working Papers 2020, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2016. "Konjunktur aktuell: Stabile Konjunktur in Deutschland trotz krisenhaften Umfelds," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 4(1), pages 4-29.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2016. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Binnenkonjunktur weiter im Aufwind," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 4(2), pages 44-55.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Exß, Franziska & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Ludwig, Udo & Schultz, Birgit, 2016. "Ostdeutsche Wirtschaftspolitik muss umdenken: Nur mit Investitionen in Köpfe lässt sich weiter aufholen," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 4(2), pages 56-85.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2016. "Konjunktur aktuell: Konjunktur in Deutschland bleibt trotz sinkender Stimmung robust," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 4(3), pages 92-107.
Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2016. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft weiter von Konsum und Bau beflügelt," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 4(4), pages 112-154.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2016. "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2016 bis 2021," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 4(4), pages 155-158.
Kolev, Galina V. & Schaefer, Thilo, 2016. "Auswirkungen der jüngsten Ölpreisentwicklung auf die deutsche Konjunktur," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, vol. 43(1), pages 55-68.
Hanck, Christoph & Prüser, Jan, 2016. "House prices and interest rates: Bayesian evidence from Germany," Ruhr Economic Papers 620, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Molnarova, Zuzana & Molnárová, Zuzana & Reiter, Michael, 2016. "Business Cycles and the Propagation of Shocks in the Input-Output Network," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145804, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Heinisch, Katja, 2016. "A real-time analysis on the importance of hard and soft data for nowcasting German GDP," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145864, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Jonas Dovern & Matthias Hartmann, 2017. "Forecast performance, disagreement, and heterogeneous signal-to-noise ratios," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 63-77, August.
- Dovern, Jonas & Hartmann, Matthias, 2016. "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," Working Papers 0611, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
- Hartmann, Matthias & Dovern, Jonas, 2016. "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145925, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

2015

Michał Hulej & Grzegorz Grabek, 2015. "Output gap measure based on survey data," NBP Working Papers 200, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Jacek Kotlowski, 2015. "Do Central Bank Forecasts Matter for Professional Forecasters?," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(6), pages 432-454, December.
- Jacek Kotłowski, 2015. "Do central bank forecasts matter for professional forecasters?," EcoMod2015 8317, EcoMod.
- Jacek Kotłowski, 2015. "Do central bank forecasts matter for professional forecasters?," NBP Working Papers 204, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Aleksandra Hałka & Karol Szafranek, 2016. "Whose Inflation Is It Anyway? Inflation Spillovers Between the Euro Area and Small Open Economies," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(2), pages 109-132, March.
- Aleksandra Hałka & Karol Szafranek, 2015. "Whose inflation is it anyway? The inflation spillovers between the euro area and small open economies," NBP Working Papers 223, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Takashi Kano & Kenji Wada, 2015. "The First Arrow Hitting the Currency Target: A Long-Run Risk Perspective," NBER Chapters, in: International Finance in the Global Markets National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- KANO, Takashi & WADA, Kenji, 2015. "The First Arrow Hitting the Currency Target: A Long-run Risk Perspective," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-13, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
Bill Gibson & Mark Setterfield, 2015. "Real and financial crises in the Keynes-Kalecki structuralist model: An agent-based approach," Working Papers 1517, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
Aguiar-Conraria, Luis & Brinca, Pedro & Gudjonsson, Haukur & Soares, Joana, 2015. "Optimal currency area and business cycle synchronization across U.S. states," MPRA Paper 62125, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Pedro Brinca & Haukur Viðar Guðjónsson & Maria Joana Soares, 2015. "Optimum Currency Area and Business Cycle Synchronization Across U.S. States," NIPE Working Papers 1/2015, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
V. Klinov., 2015. "Great Reshuffle of the World Economy (On the Book by A. A. Akaev "From the Epoch of Great Divergence to the Epoch of Great Convergence")," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 11.
Rudrani Bhattacharya & Abhijit Sen Gupta, 2015. "Food Inflation in India: Causes and Consequences," Working Papers id:7141, eSocialSciences.
- Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Sen Gupta, Abhijit, 2015. "Food Inflation in India: Causes and Consequences," Working Papers 15/151, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
Mihaela Simionescu, 2015. "The Accuracy Analysis of Inflation Rate Forecasts in Euro Area," Global Economic Observer, "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences;Institute for World Economy of the Romanian Academy, vol. 3(1), pages 80-85, May.
Wiriyawit Varang & Wong Benjamin, 2016. "Structural VARs, deterministic and stochastic trends: how much detrending matters for shock identification," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(2), pages 141-157, April.
- Varang Wiriyawit & Benjamin Wong, 2014. "Structural VARs, Deterministic and Stochastic Trends: Does Detrending Matter?," CAMA Working Papers 2014-46, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Benjamin Wong & Varang Wiriyawit, 2015. "Structural VARs, deterministic and stochastic trends: Does detrending matter?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2015/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
Allan Layton & Anirvan Banerji & Lakshman Achuthan, 2015. "The world and “The world business cycle chronology”," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2015(1), pages 23-40.
Daniela Bragoli & Luca Metelli & Michele Modugno, 2015. "The importance of updating: Evidence from a Brazilian nowcasting model," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2015(1), pages 5-22.
- Daniela Bragoli & Luca Metelli & Michele Modugno, 2014. "The Importance of Updating: Evidence from a Brazilian Nowcasting Model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-94, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2015. "What's behind the survey values?: An analysis of individual forecasters' behaviour," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2014(2), pages 25-43.
Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Josef Schreiner & Marcel Tirpák & Peter Tóth & Julia Wörz, 2015. "Bridging the information gap: small-scale nowcasting models of GDP growth for selected CESEE countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 56-75.
Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber, Florian, 2016. "Does joint modelling of the world economy pay off? Evaluating global forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 86-100.
- Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber , Florian, 2015. "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Working Papers 0590, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
- Jonas Dovern & Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber, 2015. "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Working Papers 200, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
Larisa Nicoleta Pop, 2015. "An Analysis Of The Romanian Agricultural Market In The Context Of Common Agricultural Policy," Interdisciplinary Management Research, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics, Croatia, vol. 11, pages 333-343.
Eliška Horká, 2015. "The Monetary Transmission in the Selected CEE Countries," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 449-452, May.
Diebold, Francis X. & Schorfheide, Frank & Shin, Minchul, 2017. "Real-time forecast evaluation of DSGE models with stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 322-332.
- Francis X. Diebold & Frank Schorfheide & Minchul Shin, 2015. "Real-Time Forecast Evaluation of DSGE Models with Stochastic Volatility," PIER Working Paper Archive 15-018, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 01 May 2015.
- Diebold, Francis X. & Schorfheide, Frank & Shin, Minchul, 2017. "Real-time forecast evaluation of DSGE models with stochastic volatility," CFS Working Paper Series 577, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Francis X. Diebold & Frank Schorfheide & Minchul Shin, 2016. "Real-Time Forecast Evaluation of DSGE Models with Stochastic Volatility," NBER Working Papers 22615, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Nkrumah, Kwabena Meneabe, 2015. "US Domestic Money, Output, Inflation and Unemployment," MPRA Paper 68095, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ackon, Kwabena Meneabe, 2015. "US Domestic Money, Output, Inflation and Unemployment," MPRA Paper 100740, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Pedro Brinca & Haukur Viðar Guðjónsson & Maria Joana Soares, 2015. "Optimum Currency Area and Business Cycle Synchronization Across U.S. States," NIPE Working Papers 1/2015, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Aguiar-Conraria, Luis & Brinca, Pedro & Gudjonsson, Haukur & Soares, Joana, 2015. "Optimal currency area and business cycle synchronization across U.S. states," MPRA Paper 62125, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kitov, Ivan, 2015. "Modeling the price of crude oil and motor fuel: a five-year revision," MPRA Paper 62338, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Tim Oliver Berg, 2016. "Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(8), pages 718-740, December.
- Berg, Tim Oliver, 2015. "Multivariate Forecasting with BVARs and DSGE Models," MPRA Paper 62405, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Carlos Medel, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 769, Central Bank of Chile.
- Medel, Carlos, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile," MPRA Paper 62609, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Solomon, Bernard Daniel, 2015. "Notes on Business Cycle Theory from a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Perspective," MPRA Paper 62780, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Mar 2015.
Fornaro, Paolo, 2015. "Forecasting U.S. Recessions with a Large Set of Predictors," MPRA Paper 62973, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Stanova, Nadja, 2015. "Effects of fiscal shocks in new EU members estimated from a SVARX model with debt feedback," MPRA Paper 63148, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kaloyan Ganev, 2015. "A Small Model for Output Gap and Potential Growth Estimation. An Application to Bulgaria," Bulgarian Economic Papers bep-2015-04, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, revised Mar 2015.
- Ganev, Kaloyan, 2015. "A Small Model for Output Gap and Potential Growth Estimation. An Application to Bulgaria," MPRA Paper 63546, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Information money fields of cyclic oscillations in nonlinear dynamic economic system," MPRA Paper 63565, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Information money fields of cyclic oscillations in nonlinear dynamic economic system," MPRA Paper 63564, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Information money fields of cyclic oscillations in nonlinear dynamic economic system," MPRA Paper 63564, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Information money fields of cyclic oscillations in nonlinear dynamic economic system," MPRA Paper 63565, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Henzel Steffen R. & Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 66(1), pages 71-98, April.
- Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," CESifo Working Paper Series 5336, CESifo.
- Henzel, Steffen & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," MPRA Paper 63714, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Barnett, William A. & Chen, Guo, 2015. "Bifurcation of Macroeconometric Models and Robustness of Dynamical Inferences," Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 8(1-2), pages 1-144, September.
- Barnett, William & Chen, Guo, 2015. "Bifurcation of Macroeconometric Models and Robustness of Dynamical Inferences," Studies in Applied Economics 32, The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.
- William, Barnett & Guo, Chen, 2015. "Bifurcation of macroeconometric models and robustness of dynamical inferences," MPRA Paper 63772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William A. Barnett & Guo Chen, 2015. "Bifurcation of Macroeconometric Models and Robustness of Dynamical Inferences," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201411, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2015.
Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "On the spectrum of oscillations in economics," MPRA Paper 64353, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Phiri, Andrew, 2015. "Examining asymmetric effects in the South African Philips curve: Evidence from logistic smooth transition regression (LSTR) models," MPRA Paper 64487, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Tapia, Jose, 2015. "Profits encourage investment, investment dampens profits, government spending does not prime the pump — A DAG investigation of business-cycle dynamics," MPRA Paper 64985, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2015.
- Tapia, Jose, 2015. "Profits encourage investment, investment dampens profits, government spending does not prime the pump — A DAG investigation of business-cycle dynamics," MPRA Paper 64698, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Digital waves in economics," MPRA Paper 64755, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "General information product theory in economics science," MPRA Paper 64991, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Freeman, Alan, 2015. "Heavens above: what equilibrium means for economics. With an appendix on temporality, equilibrium, endogeneity and exogeneity, in the inductive sciences and in economics," MPRA Paper 65045, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jun 2015.
Medel, Carlos & Camilleri, Gilmour & Hsu, Hsiang-Ling & Kania, Stefan & Touloumtzoglou, Miltiadis, 2015. "Robustness in Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Economics-based Modelling After the Financial Crisis," MPRA Paper 65290, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel & Gilmour Camilleri & Hsiang-Ling Hsu & Stefan Kania & Miltiadis Touloumtzoglou, 2016. "Robustness in Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Economics-Based Modelling After the Financial Crisis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 784, Central Bank of Chile.
Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Quantum microeconomics theory," MPRA Paper 66983, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Quantum macroeconomics theory," MPRA Paper 65442, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Quantum macroeconomics theory," MPRA Paper 65566, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Quantum microeconomics theory," MPRA Paper 66983, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Quantum macroeconomics theory," MPRA Paper 65566, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Quantum macroeconomics theory," MPRA Paper 65442, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "A Critical Review of Posch, J. and F. Rumler (2015), 'Semi-Structural Forecasting of UK Inflation Based on the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve,' Journal of Forecasting 34(2): 145-62," MPRA Paper 65665, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Perederiy, Volodymyr, 2015. "Endogenous derivation and forecast of lifetime PDs," MPRA Paper 65679, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Leon, Costas, 2015. "Decomposition of the European GDP based on Singular Spectrum Analysis," MPRA Paper 65812, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Mamipour, Siab & Vaezi Jezeie, Fereshteh, 2015. "Non-Linearities in the relation between oil price, gold price and stock market returns in Iran: a multivariate regime-switching approach," MPRA Paper 66202, University Library of Munich, Germany.
BLINOV, Sergey, 2015. "Как Удвоить Ввп России [How to Double Russia’s GDP]," MPRA Paper 66583, University Library of Munich, Germany.
BLINOV, Sergey, 2015. "How to Double Russia’s GDP," MPRA Paper 66625, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Anwar, Dr. Mumtaz & Shabbir, Dr. Ghulam & Shahid, M. Hassam & Samreen, Wajiha, 2015. "Determinants of Potato Prices and its Forecasting: A Case Study of Punjab, Pakistan," MPRA Paper 66678, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Dahem, Ahlem, 2015. "Short term Bayesian inflation forecasting for Tunisia," MPRA Paper 66702, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Muhammad Nadim Hanif & Muhammad Jahanzeb Malik, 2015. "Evaluating the Performance of Inflation Forecasting Models of Pakistan," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 11, pages 43-78.
- Hanif, Muhammad Nadim & Malik, Muhammad Jahanzeb, 2015. "Evaluating Performance of Inflation Forecasting Models of Pakistan," MPRA Paper 66843, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Magdalena Grothe & Aidan Meyler, 2018. "Inflation Forecasts: Are Market-Based and Survey-Based Measures Informative?," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(1), pages 171-188, January.
- Meyler, Aidan & Grothe, Magdalena, 2015. "Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?," Working Paper Series 1865, European Central Bank.
- Grothe, Magdalena & Meyler, Aidan, 2015. "Inflation forecasts: Are market-based and survey-based measures informative?," MPRA Paper 66982, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Carlos A. Medel, 2018. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 331-371, July.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," MPRA Paper 67081, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2016. "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 785, Central Bank of Chile.
Pascal Bührig & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016. "Forecasting revisions of German industrial production," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(15), pages 1062-1064, October.
- Wohlrabe, Klaus & Bührig, Pascal, 2015. "Forecasting Revisions of German Industrial Production," MPRA Paper 67513, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Bührig, Pascal & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2016. "Forecasting revisions of German industrial production," Munich Reprints in Economics 43524, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
R. Lehmann & K. Wohlrabe, 2016. "Looking into the black box of boosting: the case of Germany," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(17), pages 1229-1233, November.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Looking into the Black Box of Boosting: The Case of Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 5686, CESifo.
- Lehmann, R. & Wohlrabe, K., 2016. "Looking into the black box of boosting: the case of Germany," Munich Reprints in Economics 43525, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015. "Looking into the Black Box of Boosting: The Case of Germany," MPRA Paper 67608, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Mensah, Emmanuel Kwasi, 2015. "Box-Jenkins modelling and forecasting of Brent crude oil price," MPRA Paper 67748, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Hertrich, Markus, 2015. "Does Credit Risk Impact Liquidity Risk? Evidence from Credit Default Swap Markets," MPRA Paper 67837, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ackon, Kwabena Meneabe, 2015. "US Domestic Money, Output, Inflation and Unemployment," MPRA Paper 100740, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Nkrumah, Kwabena Meneabe, 2015. "US Domestic Money, Output, Inflation and Unemployment," MPRA Paper 68095, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 161-175, July.
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Monokroussos, George & Zhao, Yongchen, 2020. "Nowcasting in real time using popularity priors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1173-1180.
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Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Rangan Gupta, 2017. "The Informational Content of the Term Spread in Forecasting the US Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(2), pages 109-121, March.
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Rangan Gupta & Eric Olson & Mark E. Wohar, 2017. "Forecasting key US macroeconomic variables with a factor‐augmented Qual VAR," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(6), pages 640-650, September.
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Jitka Poměnková & Roman Maršálek, 2015. "Empirical Evidence of Ideal Filter Approximation: Peripheral and Selected EU Countries Application," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2015(5), pages 485-502.
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Mandalinci, Zeyyad, 2017. "Forecasting inflation in emerging markets: An evaluation of alternative models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1082-1104.
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Matteo Luciani & Madhavi Pundit & Arief Ramayandi & Giovanni Veronese, 2018. "Nowcasting Indonesia," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 597-619, September.
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Tommaso Proietti & Martyna Marczak & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2017. "Euromind‐ D : A Density Estimate of Monthly Gross Domestic Product for the Euro Area," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 683-703, April.
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Roland Döhrn & Philipp an de Meulen, 2015. "Weather, the Forgotten Factor in Business Cycle Analyses," Ruhr Economic Papers 0539, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
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Rolando F. Peláez, 2015. "A recession-and-state forecasting model," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 81(4), pages 1025-1039, April.
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Michał Bernardelli & Monika Dędys, 2015. "Markov switching models in the analysis of business cycle synchronization," Collegium of Economic Analysis Annals, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, issue 39, pages 213-228.
Oscar Barriga Cabanillas & Maria Ana Lugo & Carlos Rodríguez-Castelan & Hannah Nielsen & Maria Pia Zanetti, 2015. "Is Uruguay More Resilient This Time? Distributional Impacts of a Crisis Similar to the 2001–02 Argentine Crisis," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 2(4), pages 64-90, June.
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Ganev, Kaloyan, 2015. "A Small Model for Output Gap and Potential Growth Estimation. An Application to Bulgaria," MPRA Paper 63546, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Don Drummond & Evan Capeluck, 2015. "Long-term Fiscal and Economic Projections for Canada and the Provinces and Territories, 2014-2038," CSLS Research Reports 2015-08, Centre for the Study of Living Standards.
Paul Hubert, 2015. "Revisiting the Greenbook’s relative forecasting performance," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(1), pages 151-179.
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Harun Özkan & M. Yazgan, 2015. "Is forecasting inflation easier under inflation targeting?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 609-626, March.
Tommaso Proietti & Stefano Grassi, 2015. "Stochastic trends and seasonality in economic time series: new evidence from Bayesian stochastic model specification search," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 983-1011, May.
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Michael Funke & Aaron Mehrotra & Hao Yu, 2015. "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 1619-1641, June.
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Vít Pošta, 2015. "Semi-structural estimates of time-varying NAIRU based on the new Keynesian Phillips curve: evidence from Eastern European economies," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 1217-1243, December.
Yuri Biondi & Pierpaolo Giannoccolo, 2015. "Share price formation, market exuberance and financial stability under alternative accounting regimes," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 10(2), pages 333-362, October.
Roland Döhrn & Ferdinand Fichtner & Oliver Holtemöller & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2015. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Flüchtlingsmigration stellt Wirtschaftspolitik vor Herausforderungen," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 95(10), pages 696-700, October.
Gjelsvik, Marit Linnea & Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria, 2015. "Have Inflation Targeting and EU labour Immigration Changed the System of Wage Formation in Norway," Memorandum 18/2015, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
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Martin Feldkircher & Florian Huber & Josef Schreiner & Julia Woerz & Marcel Tirpak & Peter Toth, 2015. "Small-scale nowcasting models of GDP for selected CESEE countries," Working and Discussion Papers WP 4/2015, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
Dieter Gerdesmeier & Andreja Lenarčič & Barbara Roffia, 2015. "An alternative method for identifying booms and busts in the Euro area housing market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(5), pages 499-518, January.
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Selen Başer Andiç & Hande Küçük & Fethi Öğünç, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey: In Pursuit of a Domestic Cost Measure," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(2), pages 418-431, March.
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Selen Baser Andic & Fethi Ogunc, 2015. "Variable Selection for Inflation : A Pseudo Out-of-sample Approach," Working Papers 1506, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Mahmut Gunay, 2015. ""I Just Ran Four Million Regressions" for Backcasting Turkish GDP Growth," Working Papers 1533, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Nibbering, Didier & Paap, Richard & van der Wel, Michel, 2018. "What do professional forecasters actually predict?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 288-311.
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Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. Van Dijk, 2016. "Interconnections Between Eurozone and us Booms and Busts Using a Bayesian Panel Markov‐Switching VAR Model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1352-1370, November.
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Li Xie & Wing Thye Woo & Zhichao Zhang & Zhuang Zhang, 2015. "A Multiple-Goal Investment Strategy for Sovereign Wealth Funds: An Application to China," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 14(1), pages 78-97, Winter/Sp.
Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2017. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: simulations after piketty," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 15(2), pages 121-141, June.
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Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
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Robert B. Barsky & Susanto Basu & Keyoung Lee, 2015. "Whither News Shocks?," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(1), pages 225-264.
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Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(1), pages 289-344.
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Tae-Hwy Lee & Yiyao Wang, 2015. "Finding SPF Percentiles Closest to Greenbook," Working Papers 201503, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
Francis W. Ahking, 2015. "Measuring U.S. Business Cycles: A Comparison of Two Methods and Two Indicators of Economic Activities (With Appendix A)," Working papers 2015-06, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
Sergiy Nikolaychuk & Yurii Sholomytskyi, 2015. "Using Macroeconomic Models for Monetary Policy in Ukraine," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 233, pages 54-64, September.
Pavol Majher, 2015. "Firm entry and exit, investment irreversibility, and business cycle dynamics," Vienna Economics Papers 1513, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
Pavol Majher, 2015. "Firm entry and exit, investment irreversibility, and business cycle dynamics," Vienna Economics Papers vie1513, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
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Maik H. Wolters, 2015. "Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 74-96, January.
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Jens Boysen‐Hogrefe, 2015. "Monetary Aggregates to Improve Early Output Gap Estimates in the Euro Area: An Empirical Assessment," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 533-542, November.
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Carlos Madeira & Basit Zafar, 2015. "Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations and Learning," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(5), pages 867-896, August.
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Bill Dorval & Gregor W. Smith, 2015. "Interwar Inflation, Unexpected Inflation, and Output Growth," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(8), pages 1599-1615, December.
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Helene Maisonnave & Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwé & Ramos Mabugu & Véronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas Van der Berg & Dieter Von Fintel, 2015. "The Impact of the International Economic Crisis on Child Poverty in South Africa," Poverty & Public Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(2), pages 176-199, June.
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Petar Sorić & Ivana Lolić & Mirjana Čižmešija, 2015. "European economic sentiment indicator: An empirical reappraisal," EFZG Working Papers Series 1505, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
Konstantin A. Kholodilin & Christian Kolmer & Tobias Thomas & Dirk Ulbricht, 2015. "Asymmetric Perceptions of the Economy: Media, Firms, Consumers, and Experts," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1490, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
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de Grauwe, Paul & Gerba, Eddie, 2015. "Stock market cycles and supply side dynamics," FinMaP-Working Papers 45, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
Tommaso Proietti & Martyna Marczak & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2017. "Euromind‐ D : A Density Estimate of Monthly Gross Domestic Product for the Euro Area," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 683-703, April.
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Bialowolski, Piotr & Kuszewski, Tomasz & Witkowski, Bartosz, 2015. "Bayesian averaging vs. dynamic factor models for forecasting economic aggregates with tendency survey data," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 9, pages 1-37.
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Bialowolski, Piotr & Kuszewski, Tomasz & Witkowski, Bartosz, 2015. "Bayesian averaging vs. dynamic factor models for forecasting economic aggregates with tendency survey data," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 9, pages 1-37.
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Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2015. "Model pooling and changes in the informational content of predictors: An empirical investigation for the euro area," Kiel Working Papers 1982, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Konjunktur kommt langsam wieder in Schwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(1), pages 5-43.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2014 bis 2019," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(1), pages 44-48.
Holtemöller, Oliver & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Schmalzbauer, Andreas & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Zur Wirtschaftspolitik: Investitionen fördern - aber nicht allein mit mehr öffentlichen Mitteln!," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(1), pages 49-61.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Henn, 2015. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Konjunktur: Starkes Winterhalbjahr und weiter robuste Dynamik," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(2), pages 75-95.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Konjunktur: Aufschwung setzt sich fort," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(3), pages 100-108.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Jan-Brigitte & Scherer, Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2015. "Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland bleibt verhalten," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(4), pages 155-179.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2015. "Robuste Binnenkonjunktur kompensiert schwächere Exportdynamik," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(5), pages 184-223.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2015 bis 2020," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(5), pages 224-228.
Döhrn, Roland & an de Meulen, Philipp, 2015. "Weather, the Forgotten Factor in Business Cycle Analyses," Ruhr Economic Papers 539, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Kim, Dongkoo & Rhee, Tae-hwan & Ryu, Keunkwan & Shin, Changmock, 2015. "Crowdsourcing of Economic Forecast – Combination of Forecasts Using Bayesian Model Averaging," Ruhr Economic Papers 546, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Kitlinski, Tobias, 2015. "With or without you: Do financial data help to forecast industrial production?," Ruhr Economic Papers 558, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Kitlinski, Tobias & an de Meulen, Philipp, 2015. "The role of targeted predictors for nowcasting GDP with bridge models: Application to the Euro area," Ruhr Economic Papers 559, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Oscar Pavlov & Mark Weder, 2017. "Product Scope and Endogenous Fluctuations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 24, pages 175-191, March.
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Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber, Florian, 2015. "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Multivariate Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112999, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Pirschel, Inske, 2015. "Forecasting Euro Area Recessions in real-time with a mixed-frequency Bayesian VAR," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113031, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Reitz, Stefan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2015. "Nonlinear Expectation Formation in the U.S. Stock Market," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113210, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Tommaso Proietti & Martyna Marczak & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2017. "Euromind‐ D : A Density Estimate of Monthly Gross Domestic Product for the Euro Area," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 683-703, April.
- Proietti, Tommaso & Marczak, Martyna & Mazzi, Gianluigi, 2015. "EuroMInd-D: A density estimate of monthly gross domestic product for the euro area," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences 03-2015, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences.
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Harri Ponka, 2017. "The Role of Credit in Predicting US Recessions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(5), pages 469-482, August.
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Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(8), pages 2644-2678, August.
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Marco Del Negro & Marc P. Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2015. "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 168-196, January.
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Fiamohe, Rose & Diallo, Souleymane & Diagne, Aliou & Agossadou, Arsene, 2015. "Impact of the ECOWAS Common External Tariff on the Rice Sector in West Africa," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211632, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
Guzman Martin & Heymann Daniel, 2015. "The IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis: Issues and Problems," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 387-404, December.
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Cesar Carrera & Alan Ledesma, 2015. "Aggregate Inflation Forecast with Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Papers 50, Peruvian Economic Association.
Dovern, Jonas & Huber, Florian, 2015. "Global prediction of recessions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 81-84.
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Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber, Florian, 2016. "Does joint modelling of the world economy pay off? Evaluating global forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 86-100.
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Andrew R. Blair & Gershon Mandelker & Thomas L. Saaty & Rozann Whitaker, 2015. "Forecasting the Resurgence of the U.S. Economy in 2010: An Expert Judgment Approach," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 5, pages 1-18, May.
Diego Torres Torres, 2015. "Eurozona | Evaluando la capacidad predictiva del MIDAS," Working Papers 1516, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
Guérin, Pierre & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2017. "Model averaging in Markov-switching models: Predicting national recessions with regional data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 45-49.
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Dahlhaus, Tatjana & Guénette, Justin-Damien & Vasishtha, Garima, 2017. "Nowcasting BRIC+M in real time," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 915-935.
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Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2017. "Inattention in individual expectations," Economia, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 17(1), pages 40-59.
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Laura D´Amato & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco, 2015. "GDP Nowcasting: Assessing business cycle conditions in Argentina," BCRA Working Paper Series 201569, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Enrique Sentana, 2016. "Fast ML Estimation of Dynamic Bifactor Models: An Application to European Inflation," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 215-282, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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Lorenzo Burlon & Simone Emiliozzi & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2015. "Medium-term forecasting of euro-area macroeconomic variables with DSGE and BVARX models," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 257, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Sbrana, Giacomo & Silvestrini, Andrea & Venditti, Fabrizio, 2017. "Short-term inflation forecasting: The M.E.T.A. approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 1065-1081.
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Fabio Busetti & Michele Caivano & Lisa Rodano, 2015. "On the conditional distribution of euro area inflation forecast," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1027, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Stefano Neri & Alessandro Notarpietro, 2015. "The macroeconomic effects of low and falling inflation at the zero lower bound," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1040, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Franz Hamann & Jesús Bejarano & Diego Rodríguez, 2015. "Monetary policy implications for an oil-exporting economy of lower long-run international oil prices," Borradores de Economia 12615, Banco de la Republica.
- Franz Hamann & Jesús Bejarano & Diego Rodríguez, 2015. "Monetary policy implications for an oil-exporting economy of lower long-run international oil prices," Borradores de Economia 871, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Pavel Vidal Alejandro & Lya Paola Sierra Suárez & Johana Sanabria Dominguez & Jaime Andres Collazos Rodríguez, 2015. "Indicador mensual de actividad económica (IMAE) para el Valle del Cauca," Borradores de Economia 13610, Banco de la Republica.
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Tao Chen & Erin Pik Ki So & Liang Wu & Isabel Kit Ming Yan, 2015. "The 2007–2008 U.S. Recession: What Did The Real-Time Google Trends Data Tell The United States?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 33(2), pages 395-403, April.
Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 226-254, May.
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- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors," ERSA conference papers ersa13p15, European Regional Science Association.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013. "Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors," Discussion Papers in Economics 17104, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
Menzie Chinn & Kavan Kucko, 2015. "The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve Across Countries and Time," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(2), pages 129-156, June.
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Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
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Marie Bessec & Othman Bouabdallah, 2015. "Forecasting GDP over the Business Cycle in a Multi-Frequency and Data-Rich Environment," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(3), pages 360-384, June.
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Lena Dräger, 2015. "Inflation perceptions and expectations in Sweden – Are media reports the missing link?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(5), pages 681-700, October.
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Aastveit, Knut Are & Jore, Anne Sofie & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2016. "Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 283-292.
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Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2015. "Dynamic predictive density combinations for large data sets in economics and finance," Working Paper 2015/12, Norges Bank.
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Foroni, Claudia & Guérin, Pierre & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2018. "Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 774-787.
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Ravazzolo Francesco & Rothman Philip, 2016. "Oil-price density forecasts of US GDP," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 441-453, September.
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Thomas Gilbert & Chiara Scotti & Georg Strasser & Clara Vega, 2015. "Is the Intrinsic Value of Macroeconomic News Announcements Related to their Asset Price Impact?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-46, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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Belongia, Michael T. & Ireland, Peter N., 2016. "The evolution of U.S. monetary policy: 2000–2007," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 78-93.
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Monetary Affairs Department, 2015. "Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing: Assessment of Its Effects in the Two Years since Its Introduction," Bank of Japan Review Series 15-E-3, Bank of Japan.
Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 16(2), pages 226-254, May.
- Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 226-254, May.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2012. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," CESifo Working Paper Series 3956, CESifo.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013. "Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors," Discussion Papers in Economics 17104, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors," ERSA conference papers ersa13p15, European Regional Science Association.
Guzman Martin & Heymann Daniel, 2015. "The IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis: Issues and Problems," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 387-404, December.
- Martín Guzmán & Daniel Heymann, 2015. "The IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis: Issues and Problems," Documentos de trabajo del Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET) 2015-9, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET).
Wolters Maik H. & Tillmann Peter, 2015. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 161-182, April.
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- Tillmann, Peter & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach," Kiel Working Papers 1951, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
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Melquiades Pereira Lima & Vinicio de Souza Almeida, 2015. "Sell-side analysts make good predictions in Brazil?," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 13(3), pages 365-393.
Richard W. Evans & Kerk L. Phillips, 2015. "Linearization about the Current State: A Computational Method for Approximating Nonlinear Policy Functions during Simulation," BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory Working Paper Series 2015-02, Brigham Young University, Department of Economics, BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory.
Miroslav Klucik, 2015. "Fiscal Adjustment in Slovakia: Findings from a Medium-Scale Econometric Model," Working Papers Working Paper No. 1/2015, Council for Budget Responsibility.
Lahiri Kajal & Yang Liu, 2016. "A non-linear forecast combination procedure for binary outcomes," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 421-440, September.
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Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2017. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: simulations after piketty," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 15(2), pages 121-141, June.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2017. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: simulations after piketty," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 15(2), pages 121-141, June.
- De Donder, Philippe & Roemer, John E., 2015. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," TSE Working Papers 15-568, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2015. "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," CESifo Working Paper Series 5329, CESifo.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2016. "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1998R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2015. "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1998, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
Henzel Steffen R. & Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 66(1), pages 71-98, April.
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- Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," CESifo Working Paper Series 5336, CESifo.
Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2022. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 29-50, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Sheng, 2015. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," CESifo Working Paper Series 5468, CESifo.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Sheng, 2020. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," CESifo Working Paper Series 8810, CESifo.
- Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Simon Sheng, 2021. "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," Working Papers 2021-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
Paul De Grauwe & Eddie Gerba, 2015. "Stock Market Cycles and Supply Side Dynamics: Two Worlds, One Vision?," CESifo Working Paper Series 5573, CESifo.
- Paul De Grauwe & Eddie Gerba, 2016. "Stock market cycles and supply side dynamics: two worlds, one vision?," Working Papers 1626, Banco de España.
R. Lehmann & K. Wohlrabe, 2016. "Looking into the black box of boosting: the case of Germany," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(17), pages 1229-1233, November.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015. "Looking into the Black Box of Boosting: The Case of Germany," MPRA Paper 67608, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Lehmann, R. & Wohlrabe, K., 2016. "Looking into the black box of boosting: the case of Germany," Munich Reprints in Economics 43525, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Looking into the Black Box of Boosting: The Case of Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 5686, CESifo.
Berg Tim Oliver, 2017. "Forecast accuracy of a BVAR under alternative specifications of the zero lower bound," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 1-29, April.
- Tim Oliver Berg, 2015. "Forecast Accuracy of a BVAR under Alternative Specifications of the Zero Lower Bound," ifo Working Paper Series 203, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
Xiaoming Cai & Wouter Den Haan & Jonathan Pinder, 2015. "Predictable Recoveries," Discussion Papers 1520, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
Skreta, Vasiliki & Giacomini, Raffaella & TurÃ©n, Javier, 2015. "Models, Inattention and Expectation Updates," CEPR Discussion Papers 11004, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giacomini, Raffaella & Skreta, Vasiliki & Turen, Javier, 2016. "Models, inattention and expectation updates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86245, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Raffaella Giacomini & Vasiliki Skreta & Javier Turen, 2015. "Models, Inattention and Expectation Updates," Discussion Papers 1602, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
Maximo Camacho & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2016. "Country Shocks, Monetary Policy Expectations and ECB Decisions. A Dynamic Non-linear Approach," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 283-316, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Maximo Camacho & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2015. "Country shocks, monetary policy expectations and ECB decisions. A dynamic non-linear approach," Working Papers 1523, Banco de España.
- Máximo Camacho & Danilo Leiva-León & Gabriel Pérez-Quiros, 2015. "Country Shocks, Monetary Policy Expectations and ECB Decisions. A Dynamic Non-Linear Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 764, Central Bank of Chile.
- PÃ©rez-QuirÃ³s, Gabriel & Camacho, MÃ¡ximo & Leiva-LeÃ³n, Danilo, 2015. "Country shocks, monetary policy expectations and ECB decisions. A dynamic non-linear approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 10828, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Medel, Carlos, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile," MPRA Paper 62609, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Barend Abeln & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs, 2015. "Seasonal adjustment with and without revisions: A comparison of X-13ARIMA-SEATS and CAMPLET," CAMA Working Papers 2015-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Enrique Sentana, 2016. "Fast ML Estimation of Dynamic Bifactor Models: An Application to European Inflation," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 215-282, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Sentana, Enrique & Galesi, Alessandro, 2015. "Fast ML estimation of dynamic bifactor models: an application to European inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 10461, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Enrique Sentana, 2015. "Fast ML Estimation of Dynamic Bifactor Models: An Application to European Inflation," Working Papers wp2015_1502, CEMFI.
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Enrique Sentana, 2015. "Fast ML estimation of dynamic bifactor models: an application to European inflation," Working Papers 1525, Banco de España.
Dante Amengual & Enrique Sentana, 2020. "Is a Normal Copula the Right Copula?," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 350-366, April.
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Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 25-69, january-j.
- Medel, Carlos, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile," MPRA Paper 62609, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics and the Hybrid Neo Keynesian Phillips Curve: The Case of Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 769, Central Bank of Chile.
Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Dinámica inflacionaria y la curva de Phillips híbrida neokeynesiana: el caso de Chile," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 27-78, Enero-jun.
Miroslav Plasil & Tomas Konecny & Jakub Seidler & Petr Hlavac, 2015. "In the Quest of Measuring the Financial Cycle," Working Papers 2015/05, Czech National Bank.
Jaromir Tonner & Stanislav Tvrz & Osvald Vasicek, 2015. "Labour Market Modelling within a DSGE Approach," Working Papers 2015/06, Czech National Bank.
Jan Bruha, 2015. "Dynamics of Linear Forward-looking Structural Macroeconomic Models at the Zero Lower Bound: Do Solution Techniques Matter?," Working Papers 2015/13, Czech National Bank.
Franz Hamann & Jesús Bejarano & Diego Rodríguez, 2015. "Monetary policy implications for an oil-exporting economy of lower long-run international oil prices," Borradores de Economia 871, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Franz Hamann & Jesús Bejarano & Diego Rodríguez, 2015. "Monetary policy implications for an oil-exporting economy of lower long-run international oil prices," Borradores de Economia 12615, Banco de la Republica.
Pavel Vidal Alejandro & Lya Paola Sierra Suárez & Johana Sanabria Dominguez & Jaime Andres Collazos Rodríguez, 2015. "Indicador mensual de actividad económica (IMAE) para el Valle del Cauca," Borradores de Economia 900, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Pavel Vidal Alejandro & Lya Paola Sierra Suárez & Johana Sanabria Dominguez & Jaime Andres Collazos Rodríguez, 2015. "Indicador mensual de actividad económica (IMAE) para el Valle del Cauca," Borradores de Economia 13610, Banco de la Republica.
Jurany Beccie RAMÍREZ GALLEGO, 2015. "Un Indicador del Desempeno Industrial Colombiano “IDI”," Archivos de Economía 12697, Departamento Nacional de Planeación.
Daniel Barráez Guzmán & Mariela Perdomo León, 2015. "Comportamiento estructural y predictivo de variables macroecónomicas: combinando MEEGD y VAR," Revista Semestre Económico, Universidad de Medellín, vol. 13(27), pages 81-97, September.
Susana Cortés Rodríguez, 2015. "Las tasas de variación como una aproximación a los ciclos. El precio de la vivienda en la Comunidad de Madrid (1960-2014)," Ensayos de Economía 14626, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín.
Graciela Chaparro Guevara & Lorenzo Escot Mangas, 2015. "El control de sistemas dinámicos caóticos en economía: aplicación a un modelo de hiperinflación," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 7(1), pages 131-145, January.
Blazej Mazur, 2015. "Density forecasts based on disaggregate data: nowcasting Polish inflation," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 15, pages 71-87.
Raphael A. Auer, 2015. "Exchange Rate Pass‐Through, Domestic Competition, and Inflation: Evidence from the 2005–08 Revaluation of the Renminbi," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(8), pages 1617-1650, December.
- Raphael Auer, 2011. "Exchange rate pass-through, domestic competition and inflation -- evidence from the 2005/08 revaluation of the Renminbi," Globalization Institute Working Papers 68, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
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- Raphael A. Auer, 2012. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Domestic Competition, and Inflation: Evidence from the 2005/08 Revaluation of the Renminbi," Working Papers 2012-01, Swiss National Bank.
- Raphael A. Auer, 2012. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Domestic Competition, and Inflation: Evidence from the 2005/08 Revaluation of the Renminbi," CESifo Working Paper Series 3759, CESifo.
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Altug, Sumru & Çakmaklı, Cem, 2016. "Forecasting inflation using survey expectations and target inflation: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 138-153.
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Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Enrique Sentana, 2016. "Fast ML Estimation of Dynamic Bifactor Models: An Application to European Inflation," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 215-282, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Enrique Sentana, 2015. "Fast ML Estimation of Dynamic Bifactor Models: An Application to European Inflation," Working Papers wp2015_1502, CEMFI.
- Sentana, Enrique & Galesi, Alessandro, 2015. "Fast ML estimation of dynamic bifactor models: an application to European inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 10461, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Enrique Sentana, 2015. "Fast ML estimation of dynamic bifactor models: an application to European inflation," Working Papers 1525, Banco de España.
Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Rachel Sebudde, 2015. "Inflation forecasting models for Uganda: is mobile money relevant?," CSAE Working Paper Series 2015-17, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
- Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine & Sebudde, Rachel, 2015. "Inflation forecasting models for Uganda: is mobile money relevant?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10739, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Den Haan, Wouter & Cai, Xiaoming & Pinder, Jonathan, 2015. "Predictable Recoveries," CEPR Discussion Papers 10815, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Maximo Camacho & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2016. "Country Shocks, Monetary Policy Expectations and ECB Decisions. A Dynamic Non-linear Approach," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 283-316, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Maximo Camacho & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2015. "Country shocks, monetary policy expectations and ECB decisions. A dynamic non-linear approach," Working Papers 1523, Banco de España.
- PÃ©rez-QuirÃ³s, Gabriel & Camacho, MÃ¡ximo & Leiva-LeÃ³n, Danilo, 2015. "Country shocks, monetary policy expectations and ECB decisions. A dynamic non-linear approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 10828, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Máximo Camacho & Danilo Leiva-León & Gabriel Pérez-Quiros, 2015. "Country Shocks, Monetary Policy Expectations and ECB Decisions. A Dynamic Non-Linear Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 764, Central Bank of Chile.
Raffaella Giacomini & Vasiliki Skreta & Javier Turen, 2015. "Models, Inattention and Expectation Updates," Discussion Papers 1602, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Giacomini, Raffaella & Skreta, Vasiliki & Turen, Javier, 2016. "Models, inattention and expectation updates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86245, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Skreta, Vasiliki & Giacomini, Raffaella & TurÃ©n, Javier, 2015. "Models, Inattention and Expectation Updates," CEPR Discussion Papers 11004, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine & Sebudde, Rachel, 2015. "Inflation forecasting models for Uganda: is mobile money relevant?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10739, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Janine Aron & John Muellbauer & Rachel Sebudde, 2015. "Inflation forecasting models for Uganda: is mobile money relevant?," CSAE Working Paper Series 2015-17, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
Guérin, Pierre & Maurin, Laurent & Mohr, Matthias, 2015. "Trend-Cycle Decomposition Of Output And Euro Area Inflation Forecasts: A Real-Time Approach Based On Model Combination," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(2), pages 363-393, March.
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Nason, James M. & Tallman, Ellis W., 2015. "Business Cycles And Financial Crises: The Roles Of Credit Supply And Demand Shocks," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(4), pages 836-882, June.
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- James M. Nason & Ellis W. Tallman, 2012. "Business cycles and financial crises: the roles of credit supply and demand shocks," Working Papers (Old Series) 1221, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- James M. Nason & Ellis W. Tallman, 2012. "Business cycles and financial crises: the roles of credit supply and demand shocks," Working Papers 12-24, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2017. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: simulations after piketty," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 15(2), pages 121-141, June.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2017. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: simulations after piketty," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 15(2), pages 121-141, June.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2015. "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," CESifo Working Paper Series 5329, CESifo.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2015. "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1998, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- De Donder, Philippe & Roemer, John E., 2015. "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," TSE Working Papers 15-568, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2016. "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1998R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
Kholodilin, Konstantin & Kolmer, Christian & Thomas, Tobias & Ulbricht, Dirk, 2015. "Asymmetric perceptions of the economy: Media, firms, consumers, and experts," DICE Discussion Papers 188, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE).
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Christina Strobach & Carin van der Cruijsen, 2015. "The formation of European inflation expectations: One learning rule does not fit all," DNB Working Papers 472, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
Galbraith, John W. & Tkacz, Greg, 2015. "Nowcasting GDP with electronic payments data," Statistics Paper Series 10, European Central Bank.
Magdalena Grothe & Aidan Meyler, 2018. "Inflation Forecasts: Are Market-Based and Survey-Based Measures Informative?," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(1), pages 171-188, January.
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Gualdi, Stanislao & Tarzia, Marco & Zamponi, Francesco & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2015. "Tipping points in macroeconomic agent-based models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 29-61.
Givens, Gregory E. & Salemi, Michael K., 2015. "Inferring monetary policy objectives with a partially observed state," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 190-208.
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Elliott, Graham & Gargano, Antonio & Timmermann, Allan, 2015. "Complete subset regressions with large-dimensional sets of predictors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 86-110.
Aruoba, S. Borağan & Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús, 2015. "A comparison of programming languages in macroeconomics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 265-273.
Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2015. "Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in a New-Keynesian baseline model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 126-154.
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Heiberger, Christopher & Klarl, Torben & Maußner, Alfred, 2015. "On the uniqueness of solutions to rational expectations models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 14-16.
Lambert, Peter J. & Yitzhaki, Shlomo, 2015. "Accounting for variability in the growth rate of income," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 71-73.
Camacho, Maximo & Dal Bianco, Marcos & Martinez-Martin, Jaime, 2015. "Toward a more reliable picture of the economic activity: An application to Argentina," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 129-132.
Dovern, Jonas & Huber, Florian, 2015. "Global prediction of recessions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 81-84.
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Han, Xu, 2015. "Tests for overidentifying restrictions in Factor-Augmented VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 394-419.
Lei, Chengyao & Lu, Zhe & Zhang, Chengsi, 2015. "News on inflation and the epidemiology of inflation expectations in China," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 644-653.
Madeira, João, 2015. "Firm-specific capital, inflation persistence and the sources of business cycles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 229-243.
Dovern, Jonas, 2015. "A multivariate analysis of forecast disagreement: Confronting models of disagreement with survey data," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 16-35.
Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Has oil price predicted stock returns for over a century?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 18-23.
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Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen M., 2015. "Regime switching model of US crude oil and stock market prices: 1859 to 2013," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 317-327.
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Uritskaya, Olga Y. & Uritsky, Vadim M., 2015. "Predictability of price movements in deregulated electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 72-81.
Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Diao, Xundi & Wu, Chongfeng, 2015. "Forecasting the real prices of crude oil under economic and statistical constraints," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 599-608.
Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2015. "Stock return forecasting: Some new evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 38-51.
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Jordà, Òscar & Schularick, Moritz & Taylor, Alan M., 2015. "Betting the house," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(S1), pages 2-18.
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Ferrara, Laurent & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mogliani, Matteo, 2015. "Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 664-679.
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Foroni, Claudia & Guérin, Pierre & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2015. "Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 692-711.
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Grassi, Stefano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mazzi, Gianluigi, 2015. "EuroMInd-C: A disaggregate monthly indicator of economic activity for the Euro area and member countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 712-738.
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Bec, Frédérique & Mogliani, Matteo, 2015. "Nowcasting French GDP in real-time with surveys and “blocked” regressions: Combining forecasts or pooling information?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1021-1042.
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Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015. "Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
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Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2015. "US monetary policy and sectoral commodity prices," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 61-85.
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Barend Abeln & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs, 2015. "Seasonal adjustment with and without revisions: A comparison of X-13ARIMA-SEATS and CAMPLET," CIRANO Working Papers 2015s-35, CIRANO.
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Jacek Kotlowski, 2015. "Do Central Bank Forecasts Matter for Professional Forecasters?," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(6), pages 432-454, December.
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Saed Khalil, 2015. "Bad banks choking good banks: simulating balance sheet contagion," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 12(1), pages 51-72, April.
Eugenio Caverzasi & Antoine Godin, 2015. "Financialisation and the sub-prime crisis: a stock-flow consistent model," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 12(1), pages 73-92, April.
Ling T. He, 2015. "Forecasting of housing stock returns and housing prices," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(2), pages 90-103, May.
Ling T. He, 2015. "Forecasting of housing stock returns and housing prices," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(2), pages 90-103, May.
Ling T. He, 2015. "Forecasting of housing stock returns and housing prices," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(2), pages 90-103, May.
Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Maassen, N.R., 2015. "Consensus forecasters: How good are they individually and why?," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2015-21, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
Mahmut Günay, 2015. "Forecasting Turkish Industrial Production Growth With Static Factor Models," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 7(2), pages 64-78, September.
Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Sen Gupta, Abhijit, 2015. "Food Inflation in India: Causes and Consequences," Working Papers 15/151, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
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Alessandro Angelini & Kieran McMorrow & Rafal Raciborski & Werner Roeger & Eric Ruscher & Valerie Vandermeulen & Borek Vasicek & Lauri Vilmi, . "Quarterly Report on the Euro Area (QREA), Vol.14, No.3 (2015)," Quarterly Report on the Euro Area (QREA), Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Bekiros, Stelios D.; Cardani, Roberta; Paccagnini, Alessia; Villa, Stefania, 2015. "Dealing with Financial Instability under a DSGE modeling approach with Banking Intermediation: a forecastability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Economics Working Papers ECO2015/04, European University Institute.
Sergey Ivashchenko, 2015. "A 5-sector DSGE Model of Russia," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series Ec-01/15, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics.
Sergey Ivashchenko, 2015. "A 5-sector DSGE Model of Russia," EUSP Department of Economics Working Paper Series 2015/01, European University at St. Petersburg, Department of Economics.
Orlando Gomes, 2015. "Sentiment Cyclicality," Czech Economic Review, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, vol. 9(2), pages 104-134, December.
Pablo M. Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with a Simple and Accurate Benchmark: The Case of the US and a Set of Inflation Targeting Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(1), pages 2-29, January.
Jacek Kotlowski, 2015. "Do Central Bank Forecasts Matter for Professional Forecasters?," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 65(6), pages 432-454, December.
- Jacek Kotłowski, 2015. "Do central bank forecasts matter for professional forecasters?," NBP Working Papers 204, Narodowy Bank Polski.
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Sheremirov, Viacheslav, 2020. "Price dispersion and inflation: New facts and theoretical implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 59-70.
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Yuliya Demyanyk & Dmytro Hryshko & María Jose Luengo-Prado & Bent E. Sorensen, 2015. "The rise and fall of consumption in the '00s," Working Papers 15-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
John Dooley & Dieter Gramlich & Mikhail V. Oet & Stephen J. Ong & Peter Sarlin, 2015. "Evaluating the Information Value for Measures of Systemic Conditions," Working Papers (Old Series) 1513, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Tallman, Ellis W. & Zaman, Saeed, 2017. "Forecasting inflation: Phillips curve effects on services price measures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 442-457.
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Amy Higgins & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2015. "Tracking Trend Inflation: Nonseasonally Adjusted Variants of the Median and Trimmed-Mean CPI," Working Papers (Old Series) 1527, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Alan Armen & Evan F. Koenig, 2015. "Assessing monetary accommodation: a simple empirical model of monetary policy and its implications for unemployment and inflation," Staff Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Dec.
Matteo Luciani & Madhavi Pundit & Arief Ramayandi & Giovanni Veronese, 2018. "Nowcasting Indonesia," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 597-619, September.
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Pfajfar, Damjan & Žakelj, Blaž, 2018. "Inflation Expectations And Monetary Policy Design: Evidence From The Laboratory," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 1035-1075, June.
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Thomas Gilbert & Chiara Scotti & Georg H. Strasser & Clara Vega, 2015. "Is the Intrinsic Value of Macroeconomic News Announcements Related to Their Asset Price Impact?," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 874, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 23 Apr 2015.
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Andrew C. Chang & Tyler J. Hanson, 2015. "The Accuracy of Forecasts Prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-62, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Michael Dotsey & Shigeru Fujita & Tom Stark, 2018. "Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(4), pages 43-92, September.
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Pavel Trunin & Kirill Rogov & Natalia Shagaida & Mikhail Khromov & Sergey Tsukhlo & Alexander Deryugin & Alexander Knobel & Yuri Bobylev & M.K. Kirillova, 2015. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 1, pages 1-28, January.
Mikhail Khromov & Sergey Drobyshevsky & Alexander Knobel & Marina Turuntseva & Kirill Rogov & Georgy Idrisov & Yuriy Ponomarev & Sergey Tsukhlo & Elena Avraamova & Dmitriy Loginov, 2015. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 10, pages 1-40, June.
Pavel Trunin & Mikhail Khromov & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Natalia Shagaida & Yuri Bobylev & Alexander Abramov & M.K. Kirillova, 2015. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 11, pages 1-39, July.
Pavel Trunin & Mikhail Khromov & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Sergey Drobyshevsky & Marina Turuntseva & Alexander Deryugin & Georgy Idrisov & Andrey Kaukin & M.K. Kirillova & Elena Grishina & Olga Morgunov, 2015. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 12, pages 1-26, September.
Pavel Trunin & Mikhail Khromov & Anna Kiyutsevskaya & Sergey Tsukhlo & Natalia Zubarevich, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic Development," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 13, pages 1-26, October.
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Pavel Trunin & Natalia Shagaida & Sergey Tsukhlo & Alexander Abramov & Mikhail Khromov & Georgy Idrisov & Maria Kazakova & Dmitry Gordeev & Andrey Kaukin & Yuri Ponomarev & Sergey Sudakov & Eugenya Fi, 2015. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 2, pages 1-30, February.
Pavel Trunin & Mikhail Khromov & Olga Izryadnova & Alexander Knobel & Arseny Mamedov & Kirill Rogov & Marina Turuntseva & Yulia Florinskaya & Elena Grishina & M.K. Kirillova & Natalia Zubarevich, 2015. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 3, pages 1-26, March.
Pavel Trunin & Mikhail Khromov & Alexander Deryugin & Georgy Idrisov & Andrey Kaukin & Yuri Ponomarev & Sergey Tsukhko & Natalia Shagaida & Dmitriy Rogozin & Alexandra Burdyak, 2015. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 4, pages 1-23, March.
Pavel Trunin & Mikhail Khromov & Alexander Deryugin & Andrey Kaukin & Sergey Tsukhko & Olga Izryadnova & Marina Turuntseva & Kirill Rogov & Georgy Idrisov & Sergey Drobyshevsky & Eugen Goryunov & Arse, 2015. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 5, pages 1-27, March.
Pavel Trunin & Mikhail Khromov & Alexander Deryugin & Sergey Tsukhko & Olga Izryadnova & Kirill Rogov & Olga Berezinskaya & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Natalia Zubarevich, 2015. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 6, pages 1-27, April.
Pavel Trunin & Mikhail Khromov & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Alexander Knobel & Marina Turuntseva & Georgy Idrisov & Andrey Kaukin & Arseny Mamedov & Yuri Bobylev & Elena Fomina & Olga Morgunova & M.K. Ki, 2015. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 7, pages 1-38, April.
Pavel Trunin & Mikhail Khromov & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Kirill Rogov & Alexander Deryugin & Sergey Tsukhlo & Natalia Shagaida & Anna Kiyutsevskaya & Elena Avraamova & Dmitriy Loginov, 2015. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 8, pages 1-38, May.
Pavel Trunin & Mikhail Khromov & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Alexander Deryugin & Marina Turuntseva & Georgy Idrisov & Andrey Kaukin & Yuriy Ponomarev & Olga Berezinskaya & Elena Grishina & Natalia Zubare, 2015. "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 9, pages 1-45, June.
Sergey Drobyshevsky & Mikhail Khromov & Maria Kazakova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 17, pages 1-26, December.
Alexandra Bozhechkova & Alexander Knobel & Georgy Idrisov & Yuri Ponomarev & Sergey Tsukhlo & Pavel Trunin & Sergey Sudakov & Alexandra Burdyak & Elena Grishina, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 18, pages 1-26, December.
Döpke, Jörg & Fritsche, Ulrich & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2017. "Predicting recessions with boosted regression trees," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 745-759.
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Marie Bessec & Othman Bouabdallah, 2015. "Forecasting GDP over the Business Cycle in a Multi-Frequency and Data-Rich Environment," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(3), pages 360-384, June.
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Ferrara, Laurent & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mogliani, Matteo, 2015. "Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 664-679.
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Hacıoğlu, Volkan, 2015. "Bayesian Expectations and Strategic Complementarity: Implications for Macroeconomic Stability," MPRA Paper 75397, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Ferrara, Laurent & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mogliani, Matteo, 2015. "Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 664-679.
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Helene Maisonnave & Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwé & Ramos Mabugu & Véronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas Van der Berg & Dieter Von Fintel, 2015. "The Impact of the International Economic Crisis on Child Poverty in South Africa," Poverty & Public Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(2), pages 176-199, June.
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Schock, Matthias, 2015. "Predicting Economic Activity via Eurozone Yield Spreads: Impact of Credit Risk," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-542, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015. "Predicting Recessions in Germany With Boosted Regression Trees," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201505, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
Marit Linnea Gjelsvik & Victoria Sparrman & Ragnar Nymoen, 2015. "Have inflation targeting and EU labour immigration changed the system of wage formation in Norway?," Discussion Papers 824, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
- Gjelsvik, Marit Linnea & Nymoen, Ragnar & Sparrman, Victoria, 2015. "Have Inflation Targeting and EU labour Immigration Changed the System of Wage Formation in Norway," Memorandum 18/2015, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
Mickelsson, Glenn, 2015. "Estimation of DSGE models: Maximum Likelihood vs. Bayesian methods," Working Paper Series 2015:6, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
Anna Pestova, 2015. "Leading Indicators of the Business Cycle: Dynamic Logit Models for OECD Countries and Russia," HSE Working papers WP BRP 94/EC/2015, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
Kano, Takashi & Morita, Hiroshi, 2015. "An equilibrium foundation of the Soros chart," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 21-42.
- Takashi Kano & Hiroshi Morita, 2014. "An Equilibrium Foundation of the Soros Chart," Working Papers e079, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
- Kano, Takashi & 加納, 隆 & Morita, Hiroshi & 森田, 裕史, 2015. "An Equilibrium Foundation of the Soros Chart," Discussion Papers 2014-07, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
Kano, Takashi & Wada, Kenji, 2017. "The first arrow hitting the currency target: A long-run risk perspective," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 337-352.
- KANO, Takashi & 加納, 隆 & カノウ, タカシ & WADA, Kenji & 和田, 健司, 2015. "The First Arrow Hitting the Currency Target: A Long-run Risk Perspective," Discussion paper series HIAS-E-13, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University.
Arief Anshory Yusuf, 2015. "External Shocks And Poverty: How Recession In Europe, Japan, And China Affects The Indonesian Poor," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 18(2), pages 1-22, July.
Arief Anshory Yusuf, 2015. "External Shocks And Poverty: How Recession In Europe, Japan, And China Affects The Indonesian Poor," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 18(2), pages 207-228, October.
Robert J. Tetlow, 2015. "Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: "Robust" Policies Put to the Test," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(2), pages 113-155, March.
- Robert J. Tetlow, 2010. "Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: 'Robust' policies put to the test," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Christine Garnier & Elmar Mertens & Edward Nelson, 2015. "Trend Inflation in Advanced Economies," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(4), pages 65-136, September.
- Christine Garnier & Elmar Mertens & Edward Nelson, 2013. "Trend inflation in advanced economies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2013-74, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Eyal Argov & Alon Binyamini & Eliezer Borenstein & Irit Rozenshtrom, 2015. "Model-Based Ex Post Evaluation of Monetary Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(4), pages 219-254, December.
Marcin Kolasa & Michal Rubaszek, 2015. "How Frequently Should We Reestimate DSGE Models?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(4), pages 279-305, December.
- Marcin Kolasa & Michał Rubaszek, 2014. "How frequently should we re-estimate DSGE models?," NBP Working Papers 194, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 30(1), pages 57-72, Abril.
- Medel, Carlos A., 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas [Classical Probability of Overfitting with Information Criteria: Estimations with ," MPRA Paper 57401, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos Medel, 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 735, Central Bank of Chile.
Barhoumi, Karim & Darné, Olivier & Ferrara, Laurent, 2016. "A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI)," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 111-115.
- Karim Barhoumi & Laurent Ferrara, 2015. "A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI)," IMF Working Papers 15/20, International Monetary Fund.
- Laurent Ferrara & Olivier Darné & Karim Barhoumi, 2016. "A world trade leading index (WLTI)," Post-Print hal-01635948, HAL.
Barhoumi, Karim & Darné, Olivier & Ferrara, Laurent, 2016. "A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI)," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 111-115.
- Karim Barhoumi & Laurent Ferrara, 2015. "A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI)," IMF Working Papers 2015/020, International Monetary Fund.
- Laurent Ferrara & Olivier Darné & Karim Barhoumi, 2016. "A world trade leading index (WLTI)," Post-Print hal-01635948, HAL.
Germán López, 2015. "Forecast Accuracy of Small and Large Scale Dynamic Factor Models in Developing Economies," Working Papers. Serie AD 2015-03, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
Lele Zou & Jinjun Xue & Alan Fox & Bo Meng, 2018. "The Emissions Reduction Effect And Economic Impact Of An Energy Tax Vs. A Carbon Tax In China: A Dynamic Cge Model Analysis," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 63(02), pages 339-387, March.
- Zou, Lele & Xue, Jinjun & Fox, Alan & Meng, Bo & Shibata, Tsubasa, 2015. "The emission reduction effect and economic impact of an energy tax vs. a carbon tax in China : a dynamic CGE model analysis," IDE Discussion Papers 487, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
Casarin, Roberto & Grassi, Stefano & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2015. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo MATLAB Toolbox," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 68(i03).
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-055/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 16 Jan 2015.
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo Matlab Toolbox," Working Papers 2013:08, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox," CREATES Research Papers 2013-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Harman K. van Dijk, 2014. "Parallel sequential Monte Carlo for efficient density combination: The DeCo MATLAB toolbox," Working Paper 2014/11, Norges Bank.
Barnett, William A. & Chen, Guo, 2015. "Bifurcation of Macroeconometric Models and Robustness of Dynamical Inferences," Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics, now publishers, vol. 8(1-2), pages 1-144, September.
- Barnett, William & Chen, Guo, 2015. "Bifurcation of Macroeconometric Models and Robustness of Dynamical Inferences," Studies in Applied Economics 32, The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.
- William A. Barnett & Guo Chen, 2015. "Bifurcation of Macroeconometric Models and Robustness of Dynamical Inferences," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201411, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2015.
- William, Barnett & Guo, Chen, 2015. "Bifurcation of macroeconometric models and robustness of dynamical inferences," MPRA Paper 63772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Robert Kollmann, 2015. "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation and Pruning," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 45(2), pages 239-260, February.
- Robert Kollmann, 2014. "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation and Pruning," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/250061, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Stefan Hohberger & Lukas Vogel & Bernhard Herz, 2015. "The sectoral reallocation of government purchases as budgetary-neutral stabilisation tool: a model-based analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 59-74, March.
Bruno Deschamps, 2015. "Are aggregate corporate earnings forecasts unbiased and efficient?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 803-818, November.
Young Se Kim & Hyok Jung Kim, 2015. "Disaggregated Approach to Measuring Core Inflation," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 31, pages 145-176.
Tim Schwarzmüller, 2015. "Model Pooling and Changes in the Informational Content of Predictors: an Empirical Investigation for the Euro Area," Kiel Working Papers 1982, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
Fady Barsoum, 2015. "Point and Density Forecasts Using an Unrestricted Mixed-Frequency VAR Model," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz 2015-19, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwi, 2015. "Aufhebung Mindestkurs: Rosskur für Schweizer Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 9(1), pages 1-78, March.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander Rat, 2015. "Erholung in der EU – Taucher in der Schweiz," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 9(2), pages 1-27, June.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2015. "Preissenkungen haben Einbruch abgefedert – Abwertung hellt Aussichten auf," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 9(3), pages 1-106, October.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2015. "Moderates Wachstum, Steigende Arbeitslosigkeit," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 9(4), pages 1-27, December.
Peter Stalder, 2015. "Starker Franken und tiefe Zinsen: Wohin steuert der schweizerische Immobilienmarkt?," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 9(4), pages 45-66, December.
Dirk Drechsel & Heiner Mikosch & Samad Sarferaz & Matthias Bannert, 2015. "How are firms affected by exchange rate shocks?," KOF Working papers 15-371, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Kaufmann, Daniel & Scheufele, Rolf, 2017. "Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 878-893.
- Daniel Kaufmann & Rolf Scheufele, 2015. "Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations," KOF Working papers 15-378, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
David Iselin, 2015. "Does Negative News Reporting on the Economy Get Reflected in Companies' Business Situation?," KOF Working papers 15-388, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- David Iselin, 2017. "Does Negative News Reporting on the Economy Get Reflected in Companies’ Business Situation?," KOF Working papers 17-388, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Berardi, Michele & Galimberti, Jaqueson K., 2017. "Empirical calibration of adaptive learning," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 219-237.
- Michele Berardi & Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2015. "Empirical Calibration of Adaptive Learning," KOF Working papers 15-392, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Stephen R. Ingram, 2015. "Commodity Price Changes are Concentrated at the End of the Cycle," Credit and Capital Markets, Credit and Capital Markets, vol. 48(2), pages 207-241.
Wojciech CHAREMZA & Carlos DÍAZ & Svetlana MAKAROVA, 2019. "Conditional Term Structure of Inflation Forecast Uncertainty: The Copula Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 5-18, March.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Díaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2015. "Conditional Term Structure of Inflation Forecast Uncertainty: The Copula Approach," Discussion Papers in Economics 15/07, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013. "Too many skew normal distributions? The practitioner’s perspective," Discussion Papers in Economics 13/07, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Díaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2015. "Choosing the Right Skew Normal Distribution: the Macroeconomist’ Dilemma," Discussion Papers in Economics 15/08, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013. "Inflation fan charts, monetary policy and skew normal distribution," Discussion Papers in Economics 13/06, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Díaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2015. "Ex-post Inflation Forecast Uncertainty and Skew Normal Distribution: ‘Back from the Future’ Approach," Discussion Papers in Economics 15/09, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2014. "Term Structure Of Inflation Forecast Uncertainties And Skew Normal Distributions," Discussion Papers in Economics 14/01, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
Greg Hannsgen & Tai Young-Taft, 2015. "Inside Money in a Kaldor-Kalecki-Steindl Fiscal Policy Model: The Unit of Account, Inflation, Leverage, and Financial Fragility," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_839, Levy Economics Institute.
Julius Stakenas, 2015. "Forecasting Lithuanian Inflation," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 17, Bank of Lithuania.
Weyerstrass, Klaus, 2015. "Forecasting Accuracy of a Multi-Country Macroeconometric Model for the Former Yugoslavia/Capacidad predictiva de los modelos estructurales frente a modelos de series temporales. Aplicación a un sistem," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 33, pages 463-486, Mayo.
Henzel Steffen R. & Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 66(1), pages 71-98, April.
- Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," CESifo Working Paper Series 5336, CESifo.
- Henzel, Steffen & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2015. "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," MPRA Paper 63714, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Sreejata Banerjee & Divya Murali, 2015. "Stress Test of Banks in India: A VAR Approach," Working Papers 2015-102, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
karami, hooman & barakchian, mehdi, 2015. "Evaluating the Performance of Autoregressive Model in Forecasting Iranian Inflation (in Persian)," Journal of Monetary and Banking Research (فصلنامه پژوهش‌های پولی-بانکی), Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 8(24), pages 305-330, July.
Hematy , Maryam & Pedram , Mehdi, 2015. "Threshold Effects in Sticky Information Philips Curve: Evidence from Iran," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 10(1), pages 1-23, January.
‎Eftekhari Mahabadi , Samaneh & Kiaee , Hasan, 2015. "Determinants of Inflation in Selected Countries," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 10(2), pages 113-148, January.
Selen Başer Andiç & Hande Küçük & Fethi Öğünç, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey: In Pursuit of a Domestic Cost Measure," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(2), pages 418-431, March.
- Selen Baser & Hande Kucuk & Fethi Ogunc, 2013. "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey : In Pursuit of a Domestic Cost Measure," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1311, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Selen Baser Andic & Hande Kucuk & Fethi Ogunc, 2014. "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey : In Pursuit of a Domestic Cost Measure," Working Papers 1420, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2015. "Firm performance, macroeconomic conditions, and “animal spirits” in a Post Keynesian model of aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 38-63, July.
- Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2014. "Firm performance, macroeconomic conditions, and “animal spirits” in a Post Keynesian model of aggregate fluctuations," Working Papers 14-03, Davidson College, Department of Economics.
Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015. "Forecasting in a DSGE Model with Banking Intermediation: Evidence from the US," Working Papers 292, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2015.
Eyno Rots, 2015. "Learning and the Market for Housing," MNB Working Papers 2015/4, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
Yuri Biondi & Simone Righi, 2015. "Much ado about making money:The impact of disclosure, news and rumors over the formation of security market prices over time," Department of Economics 0075, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
National Bank of Belgium, 2015. "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2015," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-29, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2015. "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2015," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 6-30, June.

2014

Hillebrand, Eric & Lukas, Manuel & Wei, Wei, 2021. "Bagging weak predictors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 237-254.
- Manuel Lukas & Eric Hillebrand, 2014. "Bagging Weak Predictors," CREATES Research Papers 2014-01, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Eric Hillebrand & Manuel Lukas & Wei Wei, 2020. "Bagging Weak Predictors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 16/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
Varang Wiriyawit, 2014. "Trend Mis-specifications and Estimated Policy Implications in DSGE Models," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2014-615, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
Guney, Selin, 2015. "An evaluation of price forecasts of the cattle market under structural changes," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205109, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
Narek Ghazaryan, 2014. "Short Term Forecasting System of Private Demand Components in Armenia," Working Papers 3, Central Bank of Armenia, revised Dec 2015.
Hayk Karapetyan, 2019. "Estimating Potential Output at the Central Bank of Armenia," Working Papers 12, Central Bank of Armenia.
Victor Yotzov, 2014. "Prognostic Power of Early Warning Signals for Financial Crises – Theoretical Approaches and Empirical Results," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 3-38.
Maxime Leboeuf & Louis Morel, 2014. "Forecasting Short-Term Real GDP Growth in the Euro Area and Japan Using Unrestricted MIDAS Regressions," Discussion Papers 14-3, Bank of Canada.
Stephen S. Poloz, 2014. "Integrating Uncertainty and Monetary Policy-Making: A Practitioner’s Perspective," Discussion Papers 14-6, Bank of Canada.
Olivier Gervais & Marc-André Gosselin, 2014. "Analyzing and Forecasting the Canadian Economy through the LENS Model," Technical Reports 102, Bank of Canada.
Christensen, Ian & Li, Fuchun, 2014. "Predicting financial stress events: A signal extraction approach," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 54-65.
- Ian Christensen & Fuchun Li, 2014. "Predicting Financial Stress Events: A Signal Extraction Approach," Staff Working Papers 14-37, Bank of Canada.
Luis N. Lanteri, 2014. "Stock Market Indicators and Economic Activity. Some Evidence for Argentina," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(70), pages 83-108, June.
Marianna Riggi & Fabrizio Venditti, 2014. "Surprise! Euro area inflation has fallen," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 237, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Stefano Neri & Alessandro Notarpietro, 2014. "Inflation, debt and the zero lower bound," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 242, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Emanuele Baldacci & Sanjeev Gupta & Carlos Mulas-Granados & Fabio Balboni & Mirko Licchetta & Alexander Klemm & Luca Agnello & Gilles Dufrï¿½not & Ricardo M. Sousa & Raffaela Giordano & Marcello Peric, 2014. "Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Imbalances," Workshop and Conferences 16, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Fabio Busetti & Pietro Cova & Antonio Maria Conti & Filippo Scoccianti & Libero Monteforte & Giordano Zevi & Valentina Aprigliano & Andrea Gerali & Alberto Locarno & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimili, 2014. "The effects of the crisis on production potential and household spending in Italy," Workshop and Conferences 18, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2014. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms Using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 32(73), pages 77-86, July.
- Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2014. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms Using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 32(73), pages 77-86, July.
- Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2012. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Borradores de Economia 9826, Banco de la Republica.
- Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2012. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Borradores de Economia 723, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Mogliani, Matteo & Darné, Olivier & Pluyaud, Bertrand, 2017. "The new MIBA model: Real-time nowcasting of French GDP using the Banque de France's monthly business survey," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 26-39.
- Mogliani, M. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & Darn , O. & Pluyaud, B., 2014. "New estimate of the MIBA forecasting model. Modeling first-release GDP using the Banque de France's Monthly Business Survey and the blocking approach," Working papers 473, Banque de France.
Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2019. "Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor‐augmented mixed‐frequency approach," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 846-875, March.
- L. Ferrara & C. Marsilli, 2014. "Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor-augmented mixed-frequency approach," Working papers 515, Banque de France.
- Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2019. "Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor-augmented mixed-frequency approach," Post-Print hal-01636761, HAL.
C. Marsilli, 2014. "Variable Selection in Predictive MIDAS Models," Working papers 520, Banque de France.
F. Bec & A. De Gaye, 2014. "How do oil price forecast errors impact inflation forecast errors? An empirical analysis from French and US inflation forecasts," Working papers 523, Banque de France.
Andrade, Philippe & Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Moench, Emanuel, 2016. "Fundamental disagreement," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 106-128.
- Philippe Andrade & Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2013. "Fundamental disagreement," Staff Reports 655, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- P. Andrade & R. Crump & S. Eusepi & E. Moench, 2014. "Fundamental disagreement," Working papers 524, Banque de France.
Laurent Ferrara & SESTIERI, G., 2014. "Marché du travail et politique monétaire aux États-Unis : débats actuels et enjeux," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 198, pages 113-124.
- Laurent Ferrara & Giulia Sestieri, 2014. "Marché du travail et politique monétaire aux Etats-Unis : débats actuels et enjeux," Post-Print hal-01386070, HAL.
L. Ferrara. & G. Sestieri., 2014. "US labour market and monetary policy: current debates and challenges," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 36, pages 111-129, winter.
Guonan Ma, 2014. "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," Bruegel Working Papers 853, Bruegel.
- Marlene Amstad & Ye Huan & Guonan Ma, 2014. "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," BIS Working Papers 465, Bank for International Settlements.
David Matesanz & Benno Torgler & Germán Dabat & Guillermo J. Ortega, 2014. "Co-movements in commodity prices: a note based on network analysis," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(S1), pages 13-21, November.
- David Matesanz Gomez & Guillermo J. Ortega & Benno Torgler & German Dabat, 2011. "Co-movements in commodity prices: A note based on network analysis," CREMA Working Paper Series 2011-21, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA).
Jan-Erik Antipin & Farid Jimmy Boumediene & Pär Österholm, 2014. "Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(1-2), pages 2-15, June.
- Antipin, Jan-Erik & Boumediene, Farid Jimmy & Österholm, Pär, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares," Working Papers 126, National Institute of Economic Research.
Costas KARFAKIS & Constantinos KATRAKILIDIS & Eftychia TSANANA, 2014. "Does output predict unemployment? A look at Okun's law in Greece," International Labour Review, International Labour Organization, vol. 153(3), pages 421-433, September.
- Costas Karfakis & Konstantinos Katrakilidis & Eftychia Tsanana, 2013. "Does Output Predict Unemployment? A Look at Okun’s Law in Greece," Discussion Paper Series 2013_01, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Dec 2013.
Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2014. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review Of Some Recent Developments," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 195-208, April.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2012. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments," Working Papers in Economics 12/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2012. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts:A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments," KIER Working Papers 821, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2012. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2012-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall, 2014. "Where Is An Oil Shock?," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(2), pages 169-185, March.
- Engemann, Kristie & Owyang, Michael T. & Wall, Howard J., 2011. "Where is an oil shock?," MPRA Paper 31383, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall, 2011. "Where is an oil shock?," Working Papers 2011-016, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
Ferdi Botha & Gavin Keeton, 2014. "A Note on the (Continued) Ability of the Yield Curve to Forecast Economic Downturns in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(3), pages 468-473, September.
Knut Are Aastveit & Anne Sofie Jore & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014. "Forecasting recessions in real time," Working Paper 2014/02, Norges Bank.
Ørjan Robstad, 2014. "House prices, credit and the effect of monetary policy in Norway: Evidence from Structural VAR Models," Working Paper 2014/05, Norges Bank.
Knut Are Aastveit & Claudia Foroni & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2017. "Density Forecasts With Midas Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 783-801, June.
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Casarin, Roberto & Grassi, Stefano & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2015. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo MATLAB Toolbox," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 68(i03).
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- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox," CREATES Research Papers 2013-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
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Knut Are Aastveit & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2018. "Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 131-145, January.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014. "Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-152/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014. "Combined Density Nowcasting in an uncertain economic environment," Working Paper 2014/17, Norges Bank.
Knut Are Aastveit & Claudia Foroni & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2017. "Density Forecasts With Midas Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 783-801, June.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Claudia Foroni & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014. "Density forecasts with MIDAS models," Working Paper 2014/10, Norges Bank.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Claudia Foroni & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2014. "Density forecasts with MIDAS models," Working Papers No 3/2014, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model," Working Paper 2013/20, Norges Bank.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014. "Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model," Working Papers No 8/2014, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model," Working Papers 2013:17, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", revised 2014.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Interactions between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts: A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching VAR Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-142/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 01 Nov 2014.
Paloviita, Maritta & Virén, Matti, 2014. "Analysis of forecast errors in micro-level survey data," Research Discussion Papers 8/2014, Bank of Finland.
Oinonen, Sami & Paloviita, Maritta, 2014. "Analysis of aggregated inflation expectations based on the ECB SPF survey," Research Discussion Papers 29/2014, Bank of Finland.
Kangwoo Park & Sangwoo Lee, 2014. "In Search of Better Labor-Market Indicators: Assessment of Inflation Predictability (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 20(1), pages 1-32, March.
Hwan-Koo Kang & Yang Su Park & Jinho Choi, 2014. "Recent Developments and Challenges in DSGE Modeling at Central Banks: A Survey (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 20(1), pages 94-144, March.
Alessandro Girardi & Roberto Golinelli & Carmine Pappalardo, 2017. "The role of indicator selection in nowcasting euro-area GDP in pseudo-real time," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 79-99, August.
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Suleyman Hilmi Kal & Nuran Arslaner & Ferhat Arslaner, 2014. "Inflation Dynamics and Business Cycles," BIFEC Book of Abstracts & Proceedings, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 1(2), pages 121-129, March.
Suleyman Hilmi Kal & Nuran Arslaner & Ferhat Arslaner, 2014. "Inflation Dynamics and Business Cycles," BIFEC Book of Abstracts & Proceedings, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 1(2), pages 121-129, March.
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Cassou Steven P. & Vázquez Jesús, 2014. "Small-scale New Keynesian model features that can reproduce lead, lag and persistence patterns," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 267-300, January.
Jawadi Fredj & Mallick Sushanta K. & Sousa Ricardo M., 2014. "Fiscal policy in the BRICs," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(2), pages 201-215, April.
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Kristensen Johannes Tang, 2014. "Factor-based forecasting in the presence of outliers: Are factors better selected and estimated by the median than by the mean?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(3), pages 309-338, May.
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Ravazzolo Francesco & Vahey Shaun P., 2014. "Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(4), pages 367-381, September.
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- Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010. "Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles," Working Paper 2010/02, Norges Bank.
Timmermann, Allan & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Valkanov, Rossen, 2014. "A Bayesian MIDAS Approach to Modeling First and Second Moment Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 10160, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Marlene Amstad & Ye Huan & Guonan Ma, 2014. "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," BIS Working Papers 465, Bank for International Settlements.
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Chase Coleman & Kerk L. Phillips, 2014. "Business Cycle Persistence in a Model with Schumpeterian Growth and Uncorrelated Shocks," BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory Working Paper Series 2014-01, Brigham Young University, Department of Economics, BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory.
Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2016. "The role of fiscal policy in Britain's Great Inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 203-218.
- Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Fan, Jingwen, 2014. "The role of fiscal policy in Britain's Great Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 10240, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2014. "The role of Fiscal policy in Britain s Great Inflation," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2014/20, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
Myroslav Pidkuyko, 2014. "Dynamics of Consumption and Dividends over the Business Cycle," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp522, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015. "Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
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Christoph Görtz & Afrasiab Mirza, 2014. "On the Applicability of Global Approximation Methods for Models with Jump Discontinuities in Policy Functions," CESifo Working Paper Series 4837, CESifo.
Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2016. "The great mortgaging: housing finance, crises and business cycles," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 31(85), pages 107-152.
- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 20501, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series 4993, CESifo.
- Oscar Jorda & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," Working Papers 252014, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Taylor, Alan M. & Schularick, Moritz & JordÃ , Ã’scar, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 10161, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," Working Paper Series 2014-23, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Chudik, Alexander & Grossman, Valerie & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2016. "A multi-country approach to forecasting output growth using PMIs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 349-365.
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Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Regional economic forecasting: state-of-the-art methodology and future challenges," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 218-231.
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Denis Beau & Christophe Cahn & Laurent Clerc & Benoît Mojon, 2014. "Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Sofía Bauducco & Lawrence Christiano & Claudio Raddatz (ed.),Macroeconomic and Financial Stability: challenges for Monetary Policy, edition 1, volume 19, chapter 9, pages 273-314, Central Bank of Chile.
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Pablo Pincheira & Andrés Gatty, 2016. "Forecasting Chilean inflation with international factors," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 981-1010, November.
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Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 30(1), pages 57-72, Abril.
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- Carlos Medel, 2014. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 735, Central Bank of Chile.
Michal Franta & Tomas Holub & Petr Kral & Ivana Kubicova & Katerina Smidkova & Borek Vasicek, 2014. "The Exchange Rate as an Instrument at Zero Interest Rates: The Case of the Czech Republic," Research and Policy Notes 2014/03, Czech National Bank.
Jan Bruha & Jaromir Tonner, 2014. "The Czech Housing Market Through the Lens of a DSGE Model Containing Collateral-Constrained Households," Working Papers 2014/09, Czech National Bank.
Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2014. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms Using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 32(73), pages 77-86, July.
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Joris de Wind & Luca Gambetti, 2014. "Reduced-rank time-varying vector autoregressions," CPB Discussion Paper 270, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
Joris de Wind & Luca Gambetti, 2014. "Reduced-rank time-varying vector autoregressions," CPB Discussion Paper 270.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
Joris de Wind, 2014. "Time variation in the dynamic effects of unanticipated changes in tax policy," CPB Discussion Paper 271, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
Joris de Wind, 2014. "Time variation in the dynamic effects of unanticipated changes in tax policy," CPB Discussion Paper 271.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
Costa Junior, Celso José & Sampaio, Armando Vaz, 2014. "Tax Reduction Policies of the Productive Sector and Its Impacts on Brazilian Economy," Dynare Working Papers 36, CEPREMAP.
Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2017. "The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(8), pages 1747-1776, December.
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Davide Pettenuzzo & Rossen Valkanov & Allan Timmermann, 2014. "A Bayesian MIDAS Approach to Modeling First and Second Moment Dynamics," Working Papers 76, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School.
- Timmermann, Allan & Pettenuzzo, Davide & Valkanov, Rossen, 2014. "A Bayesian MIDAS Approach to Modeling First and Second Moment Dynamics," CEPR Discussion Papers 10160, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2016. "The great mortgaging: housing finance, crises and business cycles," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 31(85), pages 107-152.
- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 20501, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Taylor, Alan M. & Schularick, Moritz & JordÃ , Ã’scar, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 10161, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series 4993, CESifo.
- Oscar Jorda & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," Working Papers 252014, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," Working Paper Series 2014-23, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2016. "The role of fiscal policy in Britain's Great Inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 203-218.
- Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2014. "The role of Fiscal policy in Britain s Great Inflation," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2014/20, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Fan, Jingwen, 2014. "The role of fiscal policy in Britain's Great Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers 10240, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Petrella, Ivan & Drechsel, Thomas & Antolin-Diaz, Juan, 2014. "Following the Trend: Tracking GDP when Long-Run Growth is Uncertain," CEPR Discussion Papers 10272, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Jordà, Òscar & Schularick, Moritz & Taylor, Alan M., 2015. "Betting the house," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(S1), pages 2-18.
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- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "Betting the House," CESifo Working Paper Series 5147, CESifo.
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- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "Betting the House," Working Paper Series 2014-28, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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Foroni, Claudia & Guérin, Pierre & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2015. "Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 692-711.
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Ray C. Fair, 2014. "The Financial Crisis and Macroeconomic Activity: 2008-2013," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1944, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Feb 2015.
Michis, Antonis A., 2014. "Time scale evaluation of economic forecasts," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(3), pages 279-281.
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Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, 2015. "Firm performance, macroeconomic conditions, and “animal spirits” in a Post Keynesian model of aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 38-63, July.
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Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, "undated". "Firm performance, macroeconomic conditions, and “animal spirits” in a Post Keynesian model of aggregate fluctuations," Working Papers 14-09, Davidson College, Department of Economics.
Setterfield, Mark & Gouri Suresh, Shyam, 2016. "Multi-agent systems as a tool for analyzing path-dependent macrodynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 25-37.
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- Mark Setterfield & Shyam Gouri Suresh, 2014. "Multi-Agent Systems as a Tool for Analyzing Path-Dependent Macrodynamics," Working Papers 14-11, Davidson College, Department of Economics.
Paul Viefers & Ferdinand Fichtner & Simon Junker & Maximilian Podstawski, 2014. "Filtering German Economic Conditions from a Large Dataset: The New DIW Economic Barometer," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1414, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
Markiewicz, Agnieszka & Pick, Andreas, 2014. "Adaptive learning and survey data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 107(PB), pages 685-707.
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Irma Hindrayanto & Jan Jacobs & Denise Osborn, 2014. "On trend-cycle-seasonal interactions," DNB Working Papers 417, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
Tom Boot & Andreas Pick, 2014. "Optimal forecasts from Markov switching models," DNB Working Papers 452, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
Anderton, Robert & Elding, Catherine & Haroutunian, Stephan & Jarvis, Valerie & Aranki, Ted & Rusinova, Desislava & Labhard, Vincent & Jacquinot, Pascal & Dieppe, Alistair & Szörfi, Béla, 2014. "Potential output from a euro area perspective," Occasional Paper Series 156, European Central Bank.
Jung, Alexander & El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian, 2014. "Does the federal reserve staff still beat private forecasters?," Working Paper Series 1635, European Central Bank.
Lucia Alessi & Eric Ghysels & Luca Onorante & Richard Peach & Simon Potter, 2014. "Central Bank Macroeconomic Forecasting During the Global Financial Crisis: The European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York Experiences," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 483-500, October.
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Stéphane Dées & Jochen Güntner, 2014. "Analysing and forecasting price dynamics across euro area countries and sectors: A panel VAR approach," Economics working papers 2014-10, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
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Van Robays, Ine & Belu Mănescu, Cristiana, 2014. "Forecasting the Brent oil price: addressing time-variation in forecast performance," Working Paper Series 1735, European Central Bank.
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Nicoletti, Giulio & Wacker, Konstantin M. & Lodge, David, 2014. "Measuring financial conditions in major non-euro area economies," Working Paper Series 1743, European Central Bank.
El Mehdi Ferrouhi, 2014. "Moroccan Banks Analysis Using CAMEL Model," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(3), pages 622-627.
Gokcen Ogruk, 2014. "Is Implied Taylor Rule Interest Rate Applicable as a Carry Trade Strategy?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(4), pages 909-919.
Guerrero, Víctor & Islas C., Alejandro & Poncela, Pilar & Rodríguez, Julio & Sánchez-Mangas, Rocío, 2014. "México: la combinación de las predicciones mensuales de inflación mediante encuestas," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
Guerrero, Víctor & Islas C., Alejandro & Poncela, Pilar & Rodríguez, Julio & Sánchez-Mangas, Rocío, 2014. "Mexico: Combining monthly inflation predictions from surveys," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 374-390.
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- Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2015-06, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series 40_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
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Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Loungani, Prakash & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2015. "Information rigidities: Comparing average and individual forecasts for a large international panel," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 144-154.
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Marie Bessec & Catherine Doz, 2014. "Short-term forecasting of French GDP growth using dynamic factor models," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2013(2), pages 11-50.
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Ferrara, Laurent & Marsilli, Clément & Ortega, Juan-Pablo, 2014. "Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 44-50.
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Laurent Ferrara & SESTIERI, G., 2014. "Marché du travail et politique monétaire aux États-Unis : débats actuels et enjeux," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 198, pages 113-124.
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Paul Hubert, 2014. "FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(7), pages 1381-1420, October.
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Paul Hubert, 2014. "FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(7), pages 1381-1420, October.
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Schock, Matthias, 2014. "Do Eurozone yield spreads predict recessions?," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-532, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
Forssbaeck, Jens & Oxel, Lars, 2014. "The Multi-Faceted Concept of Transparency," Working Paper Series 1013, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
Sergey V. Smirnov, 2014. "Predicting US Recessions: Does a Wishful Bias Exist?," HSE Working papers WP BRP 77/EC/2014, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
Takashi Kano, 2013. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Closing a Two-country Model," CAMA Working Papers 2013-62, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2016. "The great mortgaging: housing finance, crises and business cycles," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 31(85), pages 107-152.
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- Oscar Jorda & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," Working Papers 252014, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
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Jordà, Òscar & Schularick, Moritz & Taylor, Alan M., 2015. "Betting the house," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(S1), pages 2-18.
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Rafael Ravnik, 2014. "Short-Term Forecasting of GDP under Structural Changes," Working Papers 40, The Croatian National Bank, Croatia.
Lillian Kamal, 2014. "Do GAP Models Still have a Role to Play in Forecasting Inflation?," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 8(3), pages 1-12.
Oxana Malakhovskaya & Alexey Minabutdinov, 2014. "Are commodity price shocks important? A Bayesian estimation of a DSGE model for Russia," International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(1/2), pages 148-180.
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Günter Coenen & Anders Warne, 2014. "Risks to Price Stability, the Zero Lower Bound, and Forward Guidance: A Real-Time Assessment," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(2), pages 7-54, June.
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Matteo Luciani & Lorenzo Ricci, 2014. "Nowcasting Norway," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(4), pages 215-248, December.
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Ricardo Chávez & Carlos J. García, 2014. "Ciclo económico y reforma tributaria en fases: experiencia de la economía Chilena," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv299, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
Fuentes H., Fernando & García, Carlos J., 2016. "Ciclo económico y minería del cobre en Chile," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
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Matheson, Troy & Stavrev, Emil, 2014. "News and monetary shocks at a high frequency: A simple approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 125(2), pages 282-286.
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Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Loungani, Prakash & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2015. "Information rigidities: Comparing average and individual forecasts for a large international panel," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 144-154.
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Ales Bulir & Jaromir Hurnik & Katerina Smidkova, 2013. "Inflation Reports and Models: How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?," Working Papers 2013/03, Czech National Bank.
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Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Loungani, Prakash & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2015. "Information rigidities: Comparing average and individual forecasts for a large international panel," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 144-154.
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- Jonas Dovern & Mr. Ulrich Fritsche & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa, 2014. "Information Rigidities: Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel," IMF Working Papers 2014/031, International Monetary Fund.
Ales Bulir & Jaromir Hurnik & Katerina Smidkova, 2013. "Inflation Reports and Models: How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?," Working Papers 2013/03, Czech National Bank.
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Matheson, Troy & Stavrev, Emil, 2014. "News and monetary shocks at a high frequency: A simple approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 125(2), pages 282-286.
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Shawkat Hammoudeh & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2014. "China’s Monetary Policy and Commodity Prices," Working Papers 2014-298, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
Gupta, Rangan & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Modise, Mampho P. & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Can economic uncertainty, financial stress and consumer sentiments predict U.S. equity premium?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 367-378.
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Shawkat Hammoudeh & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2014. "US Monetary Policy and Commodity Sector Prices," Working Papers 2014-438, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
Katja Drechsel & S. Giesen & Axel Lindner, 2014. "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," IWH Discussion Papers 4, Halle Institute for Economic Research.
Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH, 2014. "Binnenwirtschaft trägt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research, vol. 20(1), pages 3-4.
Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2014. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2014: Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufschwung – aber Gegenwind von der Wirtschaftspolitik (Kurzfassung)," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research, vol. 20(2), pages 24-25.
Oliver Holtemöller, 2014. "Glaskugel Prognose – Warum werden ökonomische Prognosen nicht besser?," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research, vol. 20(2), pages 26-29.
Kathleen Dorsainvil, 2014. "Business cycles in the Haitian economy," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 48(3), pages 65-75, July-Sept.
Mihaela Simionescu, 2014. "A Comparative Analysis Of Real And Predicted Inflation Convergence In Cee Countries During The Economic Crisis," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 6(2), pages 142-155, July.
Dées, Stéphane & Güntner, Jochen, 2014. "Analysing and forecasting price dynamics across euro area countries and sectors: a panel VAR approach," Working Paper Series 1724, European Central Bank.
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Björn Roye, 2014. "Financial stress and economic activity in Germany," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(1), pages 101-126, February.
Piotr Białowolski & Tomasz Kuszewski & Bartosz Witkowski, 2014. "Bayesian averaging of classical estimates in forecasting macroeconomic indicators with application of business survey data," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(1), pages 53-68, February.
Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2014. "Inflation and output growth uncertainty in individual survey expectations," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(1), pages 69-81, February.
Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, 2014. "Monetary aggregates to improve early output gap estimates in the euro area - an empirical assessment," Kiel Working Papers 1908, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
Inske Pirschel & Maik Wolters, 2014. "Forecasting German Key Macroeconomic Variables Using Large Dataset Methods," Kiel Working Papers 1925, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
Peter Tillmann & Maik Wolters, 2014. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach," Kiel Working Papers 1951, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
Sumru Altug & Cem Cakmakli, 2014. "Inflation Targeting and Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1413, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwi, 2014. "Robustes Wirtschaftswachstum," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 8(1), pages 1-76, March.
Michael Graff & Klaus Abberger & Boriss Siliverstovs & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2014. "Das neue KOF Konjunkturbarometer – Version 2014," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 8(1), pages 91-106, March.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwi, 2014. "Stabiles Wachstum in einem sich verbessernden konjunkturellen Umfeld," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 8(2), pages 1-33, June.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwi, 2014. "Warten auf den Aufschwung," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 8(3), pages 1-106, October.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwi, 2014. "Schweizer Wirtschaft auf Kurs – dank internationalem Rückenwind," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 8(4), pages 1-31, December.
Klaus Abberger & Michael Graff & Boriss Siliverstovs & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2014. "The KOF Economic Barometer, Version 2014," KOF Working papers 14-353, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Berardi, Michele & Galimberti, Jaqueson K., 2014. "A note on the representative adaptive learning algorithm," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 104-107.
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Jaqueson K. Galimberti & Marcelo L. Moura, 2011. "Improving the reliability of real-time Hodrick-Prescott filtering using survey forecasts," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 159, Economics, The University of Manchester.
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Atsushi Sekine & Takayuki Tsuruga, 2018. "Effects of commodity price shocks on inflation: a cross-country analysis," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 70(4), pages 1108-1135.
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Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013. "Inflation fan charts, monetary policy and skew normal distribution," Discussion Papers in Economics 13/06, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
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Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Raeisian Parvari, Mozhgan, 2014. "Iranian-Oil-Free Zone and international oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 364-372.
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Atrianfar, Hamed & ,, 2014. "Evaluation of the Performance of Combined Methods in Real-Time Forecasting of Inflation in Iran (in Persian)," Journal of Monetary and Banking Research (فصلنامه پژوهش‌های پولی-بانکی), Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 6(18), pages 23-57, March.
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Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2014. "Estimating a DSGE model with Limited Asset Market Participation for the Euro Area," Working Papers 286, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2014.
Orsolya Csortos & Zoltán Szalai, 2014. "Early warning indicators: financial and macroeconomic imbalances in Central and Eastern European countries," MNB Working Papers 2014/2, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
Claudio Borio, 2014. "Macroprudential Policy and the Financial Cycle: Some Stylized Facts and Policy Suggestions," MIT Press Book Chapters, in: What Have We Learned? Macroeconomic Policy After the Crisis, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 6, pages 71-86, The MIT Press.
National Bank of Belgium, 2014. "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2014," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-28, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2014. "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2014," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 07-27, June.
Ch. Piette & G. Langenus, 2014. "Using BREL to nowcast the Belgian business cycle: the role of survey data," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 75-98, June.
David de Antonio Liedo, 2014. "Nowcasting Belgium," Working Paper Research 256, National Bank of Belgium.
Marcin Kolasa & Michal Rubaszek, 2015. "How Frequently Should We Reestimate DSGE Models?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(4), pages 279-305, December.
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Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(1), pages 289-344.
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Robert B. Barsky & Susanto Basu & Keyoung Lee, 2015. "Whither News Shocks?," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(1), pages 225-264.
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Jordà, Òscar & Schularick, Moritz & Taylor, Alan M., 2015. "Betting the house," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(S1), pages 2-18.
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- Òscar Jordà & Moritz HP. Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "Betting the House," NBER Working Papers 20771, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "Betting the House," Working Paper Series 2014-28, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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Marco Del Negro & Marc P. Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2015. "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 168-196, January.
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Oliver D. Bunn & Robert J. Shiller, "undated". "Changing Times, Changing Values: A Historical Analysis of Sectors within the US Stock Market 1872-2013," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1950, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
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Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2016. "The great mortgaging: housing finance, crises and business cycles," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 31(85), pages 107-152.
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- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers 20501, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series 4993, CESifo.
- Oscar Jorda & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," Working Papers 252014, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
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Del Negro, Marco & Hasegawa, Raiden B. & Schorfheide, Frank, 2016. "Dynamic prediction pools: An investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 391-405.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic prediction pools: an investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance," Staff Reports 695, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," NBER Working Papers 20575, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," PIER Working Paper Archive 14-034, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(1), pages 289-344.
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Robert B. Barsky & Susanto Basu & Keyoung Lee, 2015. "Whither News Shocks?," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(1), pages 225-264.
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- Robert B. Barsky & Susanto Basu & Keyoung Lee, 2014. "Whither News Shocks?," NBER Working Papers 20666, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Jordà, Òscar & Schularick, Moritz & Taylor, Alan M., 2015. "Betting the house," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(S1), pages 2-18.
- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "Betting the House," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2014, pages 2-18, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "Betting the House," Working Paper Series 2014-28, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Òscar Jordà & Moritz HP. Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "Betting the House," NBER Working Papers 20771, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Oscar Jorda & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "Betting the House," Working Papers 312014, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014. "Betting the House," CESifo Working Paper Series 5147, CESifo.
- Taylor, Alan M. & Schularick, Moritz & JordÃ , Ã’scar, 2014. "Betting the House," CEPR Discussion Papers 10305, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Setterfield, Mark & Gouri Suresh, Shyam, 2016. "Multi-agent systems as a tool for analyzing path-dependent macrodynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 25-37.
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Nigel Pain & Christine Lewis & Thai-Thanh Dang & Yosuke Jin & Pete Richardson, 2014. "OECD Forecasts During and After the Financial Crisis: A Post Mortem," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1107, OECD Publishing.
Thomas Chalaux & Cyrille Schwellnus, 2014. "Short-term Indicator Models for Quarterly GDP Growth in the BRIICS: A Small-scale Bridge Model Approach," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1109, OECD Publishing.
Christine Lewis & Nigel Pain, 2014. "Lessons from OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, vol. 2014(1), pages 9-39.
Matthieu Cornec, 2014. "Constructing a conditional GDP fan chart with an application to French business survey data," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2013(2), pages 109-127.
Marie Bessec & Catherine Doz, 2014. "Short-term forecasting of French GDP growth using dynamic factor models," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2013(2), pages 11-50.
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Sumru Altug & Erhan Uluceviz, 2013. "Identifying leading indicators of real activity and inflation for Turkey, 1988-2010: A pseudo out-of-sample forecasting approach," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2014(1), pages 1-37.
Tomáš Slacík & Katharina Steiner & Julia Wörz, 2014. "Can Trade Partners Help Better FORCEE the Future? Impact of Trade Linkages on Economic Growth Forecasts in Selected CESEE Countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 36-56.
Yazid Dissou & Lilia Karnizova, 2014. "Comovement of oil prices with US economic indicators over the business cycle: facts and explanations," Working Papers E1401E, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics.
Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Regional economic forecasting: state-of-the-art methodology and future challenges," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 218-231.
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Duda-Daianu Dana-Codruta & Piroi Marioara, 2014. "Consideration regarding the Improvement of the Financial Crisis Forecasting Models for Enterprises in Emerging Countries," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 296-301, May.
Del Negro, Marco & Hasegawa, Raiden B. & Schorfheide, Frank, 2016. "Dynamic prediction pools: An investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 391-405.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," NBER Working Papers 20575, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," PIER Working Paper Archive 14-034, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Dynamic prediction pools: an investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance," Staff Reports 695, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Papanek, Gábor & Petz, Raymund, 2014. "How Reliable are Hungarian Macroeconomic Forecasts?," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, vol. 59(1), pages 65-85.
Arora, Vipin, 2014. "Estimates of the Price Elasticities of Natural Gas Supply and Demand in the United States," MPRA Paper 54232, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Franco, Ray John Gabriel & Mapa, Dennis S., 2014. "The Dynamics of Inflation and GDP Growth: A Mixed Frequency Model Approach," MPRA Paper 55858, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Yu, Eric Jinsan, 2014. "Predictive Power of Aggregate Short Interest," MPRA Paper 56259, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cebula, Richard, 2014. "An Investigation into the Impact of Federal Government Budget Deficits on the Ex Ante Real Interest Rate Yield on Treasury Notes in the U.S," MPRA Paper 57317, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Carlos A. Medel, 2015. "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 30(1), pages 57-72, Abril.
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Sen Gupta, Abhijit & Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Rao, Narhari, 2014. "Understanding Food Inflation in India," MPRA Paper 58319, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Jari Hännikäinen, 2014. "The mortgage spread as a predictor of real-time economic activity," Working Papers 1496, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
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Ardakani Omid M. & Kishor N. Kundan, 2018. "Examining the success of the central banks in inflation targeting countries: the dynamics of the inflation gap and institutional characteristics," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 1-19, February.
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Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya A., 2019. "Structural Stability Of The Generalized Taylor Rule," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 1664-1678, June.
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Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2013. "Housing market cycles – a disequilibrium model and its application to the primary housing market in Warsaw," Chapters from NBP Conference Publications, in: Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski (ed.), Papers presented during the Narodowy Bank Polski Workshop: Recent trends in the real estate market and its analysis, 2013, chapter 11, pages 5-38, Narodowy Bank Polski.
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Guérin, Pierre & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2017. "Model averaging in Markov-switching models: Predicting national recessions with regional data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 45-49.
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- Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon, 2015. "Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models: Predicting National Recessions with Regional Data," Staff Working Papers 15-24, Bank of Canada.
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Gatt, William, 2014. "Communicating uncertainty - a fan chart for HICP projections," MPRA Paper 59603, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Krzysztof Olszewski & Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Laszek & Robert Leszczynski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2016. "On the dynamics of the primary housing market and the forecasting of house prices," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Combining micro and macro data for financial stability analysis, volume 41, Bank for International Settlements.
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Lahcen, Mohammed Ait, 2014. "DSGE models for developing economies: an application to Morocco," MPRA Paper 63404, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ovalle, Raul & Ramírez, Francisco A., 2014. "Reglas versus Discreción en la Política Fiscal: Introducción al caso Dominicano [Rules vs Discretion in Fiscal Policy: An Introduction to the Case of the Dominican Republic]," MPRA Paper 68332, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Huseynov, Salman & Ahmadov, Vugar, 2014. "Azərbaycan üzrə DSÜT modeli: qiymətləndirmə və proqnozlaşdırma [A DSGE model for Azerbaijan: estimation and forecasting]," MPRA Paper 78123, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Mansur, Alfan, 2014. "The Impacts of the United States Fiscal Deficit Reduction to the World Economy," MPRA Paper 93967, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Sep 2014.
Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen M., 2015. "Regime switching model of US crude oil and stock market prices: 1859 to 2013," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 317-327.
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- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2014. "Regime Switching Model of US Crude Oil and Stock Market Prices: 1859 to 2013," Working Papers 201429, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Has oil price predicted stock returns for over a century?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 18-23.
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- Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "Has oil price predicted stock returns for over a century?," Working Papers fe_2015_08, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
Pierdzioch, Christian & Reid, Monique B. & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Inflation forecasts and forecaster herding: Evidence from South African survey data," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 42-50.
- Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Inflation Forecasts and Forecaster Herding: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers 21/2014, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Inflation Forecasts and Forecaster Herding: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers 201455, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Forecasting US Inflation Using a VARFIMA Model," Working Papers 15-12, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014. "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Forecasting US Inflation Using a VARFIMA Model," Working Papers 201460, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the directional accuracy of inflation forecasts: evidence from South African survey data," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(5), pages 884-900, April.
- Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "On the Directional Accuracy of Inflation Forecasts: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers 24/2014, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "On the Directional Accuracy of Inflation Forecasts: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers 201463, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Pierdzioch, Christian & Reid, Monique B. & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Forecasting the South African inflation rate: On asymmetric loss and forecast rationality," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 82-92.
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- Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Forecasting the South African Inflation Rate: On Asymmetric Loss and Forecast Rationality," Working Papers 201475, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Daniela Milučká, 2014. "Inflation dynamics in the Czech Republic: Estimation of the New Keynesian Phillips curve," International Journal of Economic Sciences, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(2), pages 53-70.
Emília Jakubíková & Andrea Tkáčová & Anna Bánociová, 2014. "Kompozitné predstihové indikátory hospodárskych cyklov krajín V4 a ich komparácia s CLI Eurostatu a OECD [Composite Leading Indicators of Economic Cycles of V4 Countries and their Comparison to the," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(2), pages 194-215.
Helena Chytilová & Zdeněk Chytil, 2014. "Ekonomické vzdělání a peněžní iluze, experimentální přístup [Economic Education and Money Illusion: An Experimental Approach]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2014(4), pages 500-520.
Cláudia Duarte, 2014. "Autoregressive augmentation of MIDAS regressions," Working Papers w201401, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
Diana María Morán Chiquito, 2014. "Determinantes de la inflación en Ecuador Un análisis econométrico utilizando modelos VAR," Economia y Sociedad., Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolas de Hidalgo, Facultad de Economia, issue 31, pages 53-70, Julio-Dic.
Diego Winkelried, 2017. "Inferring Inflation Expectations from Fixed-Event Forecasts," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(2), pages 1-31, June.
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Michael K. Johnston & Robert G. King & Denny Lie, 2014. "Straightforward approximate stochastic equilibria for nonlinear rational expectations models," CAMA Working Papers 2014-59, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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McKnight, Stephen & Mihailov, Alexander & Rumler, Fabio, 2020. "Inflation forecasting using the New Keynesian Phillips Curve with a time-varying trend," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 383-393.
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Marco Del Negro & Marc P. Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2015. "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 168-196, January.
- Marco Del Negro & Marc Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2013. "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian models," Staff Reports 618, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Marc Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide & Marco Del Negro, 2014. "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models," 2014 Meeting Papers 506, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Marco Del Negro & Marc P. Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2014. "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models," NBER Working Papers 20055, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Stefano Eusepi & Richard Crump & Emanuel Moench & Philippe Andrade, 2014. "Noisy Information and Fundamental Disagreement," 2014 Meeting Papers 797, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Nebiye, Sinem & Yamak, Nebiye, 2014. "Demand for International Reserves in Turkey," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 17(52), pages 63-76, June.
Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 374-390.
- Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Papers 1409, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
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Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C. C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2016. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(8-10), pages 1638-1665, December.
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- Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney Strachan, 2014. "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 44_14, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Ferrarini, Benno, 2014. "Asian Development Outlook Forecast Skill," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 386, Asian Development Bank.
Roland-Holst, David & Sugiyarto, Guntur, 2014. "Growth Horizons for a Changing Asian Regional Economy," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 392, Asian Development Bank.
Simionescu, Mihaela, 2014. "Bayesian Forecasts Combination To Improve The Romanian Inflation Predictions Based On Econometric Models," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 5(2), pages 131-140.
Robert Pater, 2014. "Are there two types of business cycles? a note on crisis detection," "e-Finanse", University of Information Technology and Management, Institute of Financial Research and Analysis, vol. 10(3), pages 1-28, December.
Shashanka Bhide & Purna Chandra Parida, 2014. "Macroeconomic Modelling of Emerging Scenarios for Indiaâ€™s Twelfth Five-Year Plan," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 8(4), pages 495-565, November.
Hughes Hallett, Andrew & Rannenberg, Ansgar & Schreiber, Sven, 2014. "New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers: A comment," Discussion Papers 2014/6, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
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Randolph Luca Bruno & Elodie Douarin & Julia Korosteleva & Slavo Radosevic, 2014. "Technology choices and growth: testing and expanding the propositions of new structural economics in transition economies," UCL SSEES Economics and Business working paper series 127, UCL School of Slavonic and East European Studies (SSEES), revised Oct 2014.
Svetlana Makarova, 2014. "Risk and Uncertainty: Macroeconomic Perspective," UCL SSEES Economics and Business working paper series 129, UCL School of Slavonic and East European Studies (SSEES).
Salvatore Morelli, 2018. "Banking crises in the US: the response of top income shares in a historical perspective," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 16(2), pages 257-294, June.
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- Salvatore Morelli, 2014. "Banking Crises in the US: the Response of Top Income Shares in a Historical Perspective," CSEF Working Papers 359, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
Emilie Jasova, 2014. "A Model for Estimation of NAIRU Extended by Demand Shocks and its Application to Business Cycle Analysis in the Labour Market in Hungary and Poland," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 0401788, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
Ricardo Marto, 2014. "Assessing the Impacts of Non-Ricardian Households in an Estimated New Keynesian DSGE Model," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 150(IV), pages 353-398, December.
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Gregor Bäurle & Daniel Kaufmann, 2014. "Exchange rate and price dynamics in a small open economy - the role of the zero lower bound and monetary policy regimes," Working Papers 2014-10, Swiss National Bank.
Hercules E. Haralambides & Helen Thanopoulou, 2014. "The Economic Crisis of 2008 and World Shipping: Unheeded Warnings," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 64(2), pages 5-13, April-Jun.
P. Schanbacher, 2014. "Measuring and adjusting for overconfidence," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 37(2), pages 423-452, October.
Wojciech W. Charemza & Yuriy Kharin & Vladislav Maevskiy, 2014. "Bilinear Forecast Risk Assessment for Non-systematic Inflation: Theory and Evidence," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Frauke Schleer-van Gellecom (ed.), Advances in Non-linear Economic Modeling, edition 127, pages 205-232, Springer.
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Giovanni De Luca & Alfonso Carfora, 2014. "Predicting U.S. recessions through a combination of probability forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(1), pages 127-144, February.
Steven Cassou & Jesús Vázquez, 2014. "Employment comovements at the sectoral level over the business cycle," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 1301-1323, June.
Henning Fischer & Marta García-Bárzana & Peter Tillmann & Peter Winker, 2014. "Evaluating FOMC forecast ranges: an interval data approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 365-388, August.
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E. Mamatzakis, 2014. "Revealing asymmetries in the loss function of WTI oil futures market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 411-426, September.
Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2014. "Inflation uncertainty revisited: a proposal for robust measurement," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1497-1523, December.
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Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 34(1), pages 61-90, February.
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- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: Are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," ifo Working Paper Series 171, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
Hamid Baghestani, 2014. "On the loss structure of federal reserve forecasts of output growth," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 38(3), pages 518-527, July.
Ping Chen, 2014. "Metabolic growth theory: market-share competition, learning uncertainty, and technology wavelets," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 239-262, April.
Valentina Raponi & Cecilia Frale, 2014. "Revisions in official data and forecasting," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 23(3), pages 451-472, August.
Roland Döhrn, 2014. "Weshalb konjunkturprognostiker regelmäßig den wetterbericht studieren sollten," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 94(7), pages 487-491, July.
Ray John Gabriel FRANCO & Dennis S. MAPA, 2014. "Analyzing The Dynamics Of Gross Domestic Product Growth. A Mixed Frequency Model Approach," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences Quarterly, ASERS Publishing, vol. 0(2), pages 117-141, December.
Ray John Gabriel FRANCO & Dennis S. MAPA, 2014. "Analyzing The Dynamics Of Gross Domestic Product Growth. A Mixed Frequency Model Approach," Theoretical and Practical Research in Economic Fields, ASERS Publishing, vol. 0(2), pages 117-141, December.
Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016. "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 374-390.
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Yuelin Liu, 2014. "How Structural Is Unemployment in the United States?," Discussion Papers 2014-42, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
Michael K. Johnston & Robert G. King & Denny Lie, 2014. "Straightforward approximate stochastic equilibria for nonlinear rational expectations models," CAMA Working Papers 2014-59, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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Pierdzioch, Christian & Reid, Monique B. & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Inflation forecasts and forecaster herding: Evidence from South African survey data," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 42-50.
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Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "On the directional accuracy of inflation forecasts: evidence from South African survey data," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(5), pages 884-900, April.
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Pierdzioch, Christian & Reid, Monique B. & Gupta, Rangan, 2016. "Forecasting the South African inflation rate: On asymmetric loss and forecast rationality," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 82-92.
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Raphael A. Auer, 2015. "Exchange Rate Pass‐Through, Domestic Competition, and Inflation: Evidence from the 2005–08 Revaluation of the Renminbi," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(8), pages 1617-1650, December.
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Markus Haavio & Caterina Mendicino & Maria Teresa Punzi, 2014. "Financial and economic downturns in OECD countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(6), pages 407-412, April.
Aleksandra Hałka & Jacek Kotłowski, 2014. "Does the Domestic Output Gap Matter for Inflation in a Small Open Economy?," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(3), pages 89-107, May.
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Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2014. "Nowcasting GDP in Real Time: A Density Combination Approach," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 48-68, January.
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Lucia Alessi & Eric Ghysels & Luca Onorante & Richard Peach & Simon Potter, 2014. "Central Bank Macroeconomic Forecasting During the Global Financial Crisis: The European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York Experiences," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 483-500, October.
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Hännikäinen, Jari, 2014. "The mortgage spread as a predictor of real-time economic activity," MPRA Paper 58360, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Selen Başer Andiç & Hande Küçük & Fethi Öğünç, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey: In Pursuit of a Domestic Cost Measure," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(2), pages 418-431, March.
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Mihaela Simionescu, 2014. "Directional accuracy for inflation and unemployment rate predictions in Romania," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 7(2), pages 129-138, September.
Knut Are Aastveit & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2018. "Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(1), pages 131-145, January.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014. "Combined Density Nowcasting in an uncertain economic environment," Working Paper 2014/17, Norges Bank.
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Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B., 2014. "Experimental evidence on inflation expectation formation," Other publications TiSEM f337739d-e15a-4461-a461-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
Iikka Korhonen & Maria Ritola, 2014. "An Empirical Note on the Success of Forecasting Economic Developments in Major Emerging Markets," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 13(1), pages 131-154, Winter.
John Clark, 2014. "Capital gains tax: historical trends and forecasting frameworks," Economic Roundup, The Treasury, Australian Government, issue 2, pages 35-51, July.
Jared Bullen & Michael Kouparitsas & Michal Krolikowski, 2014. "Long run forecasts of Australia’s terms of trade," Treasury Working Papers 2014-01, The Treasury, Australian Government, revised May 2014.
Wang, Yiyao & Lee, Tae-Hwy, 2014. "Asymmetric loss in the Greenbook and the Survey of Professional Forecasters," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 235-245.
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Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Miller, Stephen M., 2015. "Regime switching model of US crude oil and stock market prices: 1859 to 2013," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 317-327.
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- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2014. "Regime Switching Model of US Crude Oil and Stock Market Prices: 1859 to 2013," Working papers 2014-26, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
Stefano Grassi & Tommaso Proietti & Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2014. "EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro," Studies in Economics 1406, School of Economics, University of Kent.
Robert Kollmann, 2015. "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation and Pruning," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 45(2), pages 239-260, February.
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Pablo Galaso & Sandra Rodriguez, 2014. "A composite leading cycle indicator for Uruguay," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 14-09, Instituto de EconomÃa - IECON.
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Atsushi Sekine & Takayuki Tsuruga, 2018. "Effects of commodity price shocks on inflation: a cross-country analysis," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 70(4), pages 1108-1135.
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- Atsushi Sekine & Takayuki Tsuruga, 2017. "Effects of commodity price shocks on inflation: A cross-country analysis," CAMA Working Papers 2017-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Atsushi Sekine & Takayuki Tsuruga, 2014. "Effects of Commodity Price Shocks on Inflation:A Cross-Country Analysis," UTokyo Price Project Working Paper Series 038, University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics.
Roberto Casarin & Komla Mawulom Agudze & Monica Billio & Eric Girardin, 2014. "Growth-cycle phases in Chinaï¿½s provinces: A panel Markov-switching approach," Working Papers 2014:19, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
Oscar Barriga Cabanillas & Maria Ana Lugo & Carlos Rodríguez-Castelan & Hannah Nielsen & Maria Pia Zanetti, 2015. "Is Uruguay More Resilient This Time? Distributional Impacts of a Crisis Similar to the 2001–02 Argentine Crisis," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 2(4), pages 64-90, June.
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Marta Bańbura & Michele Modugno, 2014. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Factor Models On Datasets With Arbitrary Pattern Of Missing Data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 133-160, January.
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Nalan Baştürk & Cem Çakmakli & S. Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. Van Dijk, 2014. "Posterior‐Predictive Evidence On Us Inflation Using Extended New Keynesian Phillips Curve Models With Non‐Filtered Data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(7), pages 1164-1182, November.
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Michael P. Clements, 2014. "US Inflation Expectations and Heterogeneous Loss Functions, 1968–2010," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 1-14, January.
- Clements, Michael P., 2012. "US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968–2010," Economic Research Papers 270653, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P., 2012. "US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968–2010," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 986, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
Miguel A.G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time‐Varying Parameter Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 80-94, January.
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- Miguel A. G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Paper series 35_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
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- Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Papers 1137, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop & Dimitris, Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," MPRA Paper 31827, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Klaus Wohlrabe & Teresa Buchen, 2014. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area and Germany," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 231-242, July.
- Teresa Buchen & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting - Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 4148, CESifo.
- Teresa, Buchen & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2014. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100626, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Paul Hubert, 2014. "FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(7), pages 1381-1420, October.
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- Paul Hubert, 2014. "FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations," Post-Print hal-03399408, HAL.
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Paloviita, Maritta & Virén, Matti, 2014. "Analysis of forecast errors in micro-level survey data," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 8/2014, Bank of Finland.
Oinonen, Sami & Paloviita, Maritta, 2014. "Analysis of aggregated inflation expectations based on the ECB SPF survey," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 29/2014, Bank of Finland.
Schumacher, Christian, 2014. "MIDAS and bridge equations," Discussion Papers 26/2014, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Wolters Maik H. & Tillmann Peter, 2015. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 161-182, April.
- Peter Tillmann & Maik H. Wolters, 2012. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201206, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Tillmann, Peter & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach," Economics Working Papers 2014-09, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Tillmann, Peter & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach," Kiel Working Papers 1951, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Tillmann, Peter & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach," IMFS Working Paper Series 60, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2017. "The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(8), pages 1747-1776, December.
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Anders Warne & Günter Coenen & Kai Christoffel, 2017. "Marginalized Predictive Likelihood Comparisons of Linear Gaussian State‐Space Models with Applications to DSGE, DSGE‐VAR, and VAR Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 103-119, January.
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Schreiber, Sven & Soldatenkova, Natalia, 2016. "Anticipating business-cycle turning points in real time using density forecasts from a VAR," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB), pages 166-187.
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Hughes Hallett, Andrew & Rannenberg, Ansgar & Schreiber, Sven, 2014. "New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers: A comment," Discussion Papers 2014/6, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
Leppin, Julian Sebastian, 2014. "The relation between overreaction in forecasts and uncertainty: A nonlinear approachvon," HWWI Research Papers 158, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
Jens Boysen‐Hogrefe, 2015. "Monetary Aggregates to Improve Early Output Gap Estimates in the Euro Area: An Empirical Assessment," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 533-542, November.
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Pirschel, Inske & Wolters, Maik, 2014. "Forecasting German key macroeconomic variables using large dataset methods," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100587, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
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Wolters Maik H. & Tillmann Peter, 2015. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 19(2), pages 161-182, April.
- Peter Tillmann & Maik H. Wolters, 2012. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201206, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Tillmann, Peter & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach," Kiel Working Papers 1951, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Tillmann, Peter & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach," Economics Working Papers 2014-09, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Tillmann, Peter & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach," IMFS Working Paper Series 60, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Lindner, Axel, 2014. "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100393, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
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Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Birgit & Schultz, Jan-Christopher & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Konjunktur aktuell: Binnenwirtschaft trägt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(1), pages 3-35.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Der Koalitionsvertrag und die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland – mittelfristige Projektion für die Jahre 2013 bis 2018," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(1), pages 36-40.
Holtemöller, Oliver & Altemeyer-Bartscher, Martin & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Zur Wirtschaftspolitik: Strukturreformen auch in Deutschland erforderlich," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(1), pages 41-54.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Henn, 2014. "Konjunktur aktuell: Konjunktur in Deutschland gewinnt an Schwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(2), pages 68-101.
Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Mittelfristige Projektion der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung in den Jahren 2014 bis 2018," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(2), pages 102-105.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Konjunktur aktuell: Binnennachfrage treibt Aufschwung in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(3), pages 112-118.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & H, 2014. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Konjunktur hat Schwung verloren," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(4), pages 163-174.
Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2014. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose im Herbst 2014: Deutsche Wirtschaft stagniert – Jetzt Wachstumskräfte stärken (Kurzfassung)," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 20(5), pages 80-81.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Birgit & Schultz, Jan-Christopher & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Binnenwirtschaft trägt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 20(1), pages 3-4.
Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2014. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2014: Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufschwung – aber Gegenwind von der Wirtschaftspolitik (Kurzfassung)," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 20(2), pages 24-25.
Holtemöller, Oliver, 2014. "Glaskugel Prognose – Warum werden ökonomische Prognosen nicht besser?," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 20(2), pages 26-29.
Schumacher, Christian, 2014. "MIDAS regressions with time-varying parameters: An application to corporate bond spreads and GDP in the Euro area," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100289, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Lindner, Axel, 2014. "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," IWH Discussion Papers 4/2014, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Lindner, Axel, 2014. "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100393, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Grimme, Christian & Siemsen, Thomas, 2014. "Are You a Lehman, Brother? Interbank Uncertainty in a DSGE Model," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100498, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Pirschel, Inske & Wolters, Maik H., 2014. "Forecasting German key macroeconomic variables using large dataset methods," Kiel Working Papers 1925, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Pirschel, Inske & Wolters, Maik, 2014. "Forecasting German key macroeconomic variables using large dataset methods," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100587, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

2013

Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2013. "Housing market cycles – a disequilibrium model and its application to the primary housing market in Warsaw," Ekonomia journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, vol. 35.
- Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2013. "Housing market cycles – a disequilibrium model and its application to the primary housing market in Warsaw," Chapters from NBP Conference Publications, in: Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski (ed.), Papers presented during the Narodowy Bank Polski Workshop: Recent trends in the real estate market and its analysis, 2013, chapter 11, pages 5-38, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Augustyniak, Hanna & Łaszek, Jacek & Olszewski, Krzysztof & Waszczuk, Joanna, 2014. "Housing market cycles – a disequilibrium model and its application to the primary housing market in Warsaw," MPRA Paper 59018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Maritta Paloviita and Matti Viren, 2012. "Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?," Discussion Papers 77, Aboa Centre for Economics.
- Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2013. "Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?," NBP Working Papers 140, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Hanna Augustyniak & Laszek Jacek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2013. "Modelling of cycles in the residential real estate market – interactions between the primary and the secondary market and multiplier effects," NBP Working Papers 143, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Grzegorz Grabek & Bohdan Klos, 2013. "Unemployment in the Estimated New Keynesian SoePL-2012 DSGE Model," NBP Working Papers 144, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Aleksandra Hałka & Jacek Kotłowski, 2013. "Does domestic output gap matter for inflation in a small open economy?," NBP Working Papers 152, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Kathryn M. E. Dominguez & Matthew D. Shapiro, 2013. "Forecasting the Recovery from the Great Recession: Is This Time Different?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(3), pages 147-152, May.
- Kathryn M.E. Dominguez & Matthew D. Shapiro, 2013. "Forecasting the Recovery from the Great Recession: Is This Time Different?," NBER Working Papers 18751, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Serena Ng & Jonathan H. Wright, 2013. "Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1120-1154, December.
- Serena Ng & Jonathan H. Wright, 2013. "Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling," NBER Working Papers 19469, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Beber, Alessandro & Brandt, Michael W. & Luisi, Maurizio, 2015. "Distilling the macroeconomic news flow," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(3), pages 489-507.
- Beber, Alessandro & Brandt, Michael & Luisi, Maurizio, 2013. "Distilling the Macroeconomic News Flow," CEPR Discussion Papers 9360, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alessandro Beber & Michael W. Brandt & Maurizio Luisi, 2013. "Distilling the Macroeconomic News Flow," NBER Working Papers 19650, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
A. Pestova., 2013. "Predicting Turning Points of the Business Cycle: Do Financial Sector Variables Help?," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 7.
Larisa Nicoleta POP & Flavius ROVINARU & Mihaela ROVINARU, 2013. "Assessing The Price Risk On The Romanian Agricultural Market: Analyses And Implications," Interdisciplinary Management Research, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics, Croatia, vol. 9, pages 469-479.
Radulescu Magdalena & Stanciu Radu, 2013. "The Euro Changeover Monetary Strategies of the European States that Joined the European Union: Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary, Czech Republic and PolandAbstract:One of the most ambitious projects undertak," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(2), pages 686-692, May.
Núñez Tabales, Julia M. & Caridad y Ocerin, José María & Rey Carmona, Francisco J., 2013. "Artificial Neural Networks for Predicting Real Estate Prices || Redes neuronales artificiales para la predicción de precios inmobiliarios," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 15(1), pages 29-44, June.
Bratu, Mihaela, 2013. "The Accuracy of Forecasts Made for the Structure of Consumer Basket: A Comparative Analysis between Euro Area and Romania || La exactitud de las predicciones para la estructura de cesta del consumo: u," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 15(1), pages 87-100, June.
Firouzi Naeim, Peyman & Rahimzadeh, golnoush, 2013. "Inflation Skewness and Price Indexation," MPRA Paper 45968, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Delavari, Majid & Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya & Naderi, Esmaeil, 2013. "Does long memory matter in forecasting oil price volatility?," MPRA Paper 46356, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are forecast updates progressive?," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 9-18.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Working Papers in Economics 10/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," MPRA Paper 46387, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-049/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," KIER Working Papers 762, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-736, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-03, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-24, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
Yashkir, Olga & Yashkir, Yuriy, 2013. "Monitoring of Credit Risk through the Cycle: Risk Indicators," MPRA Paper 46402, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ergun Ermisoglu & Yasin Akcelik & Arif Oduncu, 2013. "GDP Growth and Credit Data," Working Papers 1327, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Ermişoğlu, Ergun & Akcelik, Yasin & Oduncu, Arif, 2013. "GDP Growth and Credit Data," MPRA Paper 46613, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 34(1), pages 61-90, February.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: Are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," ifo Working Paper Series 171, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013. "Sectoral gross value-added forecasts at the regional level: Is there any information gain?," MPRA Paper 46765, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Pakoš, Michal, 2013. "Long-run risk and hidden growth persistence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 1911-1928.
- Pakos, Michal, 2013. "Long-Run Risk and Hidden Growth Persistence," MPRA Paper 47217, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Palma, Nuno, 2013. "Did Greenspan Open Pandora's Box? Testing the Taylor Hypothesis and Beyond," MPRA Paper 48197, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Tausch, Arno, 2013. "The hallmarks of crisis. A new center-periphery perspective on long cycles," MPRA Paper 48356, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kossov, Vladimir & Kossova, Elena, 2013. "The normal price. The case of the retail price of diesel fuel," MPRA Paper 48667, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Oct 2013.
Tabata, Katsushi & Kawaguchi, Yuichiro, 2013. "Real estate prices in Japan and Lewis turning point," MPRA Paper 49090, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ivan Kitov & Oleg Kitov, 2013. "Inflation, unemployment, and labor force. Phillips curves and long-term projections for Japan," Papers 1309.1757, arXiv.org.
- Kitov, Ivan & KItov, Oleg, 2013. "Inflation, unemployment, and labor force. Phillips curves and long-term projections for Japan," MPRA Paper 49388, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Petreski, Marjan, 2013. "Assessing the forecasting power of the leading composite index in Macedonia," MPRA Paper 49433, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Doshchyn, Artur & Giommetti, Nicola, 2013. "Learning, Expectations, and Endogenous Business Cycles," MPRA Paper 49617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Christopher CRUZ & Claire MAPA, 2013. "An Early Warning System For Inflation In The Philippines Using Markov-Switching And Logistic Regression Models," Theoretical and Practical Research in the Economic Fields, ASERS Publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 136-150.
- Cruz, Christopher John & Mapa, Dennis, 2013. "An Early Warning System for Inflation in the Philippines Using Markov-Switching and Logistic Regression Models," MPRA Paper 50078, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Akande, Emmanuel, 2013. "Investment Shocks: Sources of Fluctuations in Small Open Economy," MPRA Paper 52159, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Everett, Craig R. & K., John, 2013. "Private Businesses Predict Limited Growth for 2013," MPRA Paper 55528, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ricardo Marto, 2014. "Assessing the Impacts of Non-Ricardian Households in an Estimated New Keynesian DSGE Model," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 150(IV), pages 353-398, December.
- Marto, Ricardo, 2013. "Assessing the Impacts of Non-Ricardian Households in an Estimated New Keynesian DSGE Model," MPRA Paper 55647, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Gatt, William, 2013. "Forecasting inflation at the Central Bank of Malta�," MPRA Paper 56876, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Jan Kodera & Quang Van Tran & Miloslav Vošvrda, 2013. "Complex Price Dynamics in the Modified Kaldorian Model," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(3), pages 358-384.
Dana Kloudová, 2013. "Produkční mezera jako indikátor inflace - případ pro českou ekonomiku [Output Gap as Indicator of Inflation - Case for Czech Economy]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(5), pages 639-652.
Bill Dorval & Gregor W. Smith, 2015. "Interwar Inflation, Unexpected Inflation, and Output Growth," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(8), pages 1599-1615, December.
- Gregor W. Smith, 2013. "Interwar Inflation, Unexpected Inflation, And Output Growth," Working Paper 1310, Economics Department, Queen's University.
James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2021. "Measuring the slowly evolving trend in US inflation with professional forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(1), pages 1-17, January.
- James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2013. "Measuring The Slowly Evolving Trend In Us Inflation With Professional Forecasts," Working Paper 1316, Economics Department, Queen's University.
- James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2014. "Measuring the Slowly Evolving Trend in US Inflation with Professional Forecasts," CAMA Working Papers 2014-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Winkelried, Diego, 2013. "Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP: Actualización y novedades," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 26, pages 9-60.
Arenas, Paúl & Morales, Daniel, 2013. "Are business tendency surveys useful to forecast private investment in Peru? A non-linear approach," Working Papers 2013-003, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
Menon, Jayant & Ng, Thiam Hee, 2013. "Impact of Eurozone Financial Shocks on Southeast Asian Economies," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 116, Asian Development Bank.
Pierzak, Agnieszka, 2013. "Forecasting inflation in Poland using dynamic factor model," MF Working Papers 17, Ministry of Finance in Poland, revised 01 Aug 2013.
Guohua He & Xinxin Chang, 2013. "The Dollar Standard and Stability of China’s Macroeconomy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 186-204, December.
Grassi, Stefano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mazzi, Gianluigi, 2015. "EuroMInd-C: A disaggregate monthly indicator of economic activity for the Euro area and member countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 712-738.
- Cecilia Frale & Stefano Grassi & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gianluigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2013. "EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro Area and member countries," CEIS Research Paper 287, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 01 Oct 2013.
Quaghebeur, Ewoud, 2019. "Learning And The Size Of The Government Spending Multiplier," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(8), pages 3189-3224, December.
- E. Quaghebeur, 2013. "Learning and the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 13/851, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
Roland Döhrn, 2013. "Transportation Data as a Tool for Nowcasting Economic Activity – The German Road Pricing System as an Example," Ruhr Economic Papers 0395, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
Markiewicz, Agnieszka & Pick, Andreas, 2014. "Adaptive learning and survey data," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 107(PB), pages 685-707.
- Agnieszka Markiewicz & Andreas Pick, 2013. "Adaptive Learning and Survey Data," CDMA Working Paper Series 201305, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
- Agnieszka Markiewicz & Andreas Pick, 2014. "Adaptive learning and survey data," DNB Working Papers 411, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
Adnan Haider & Musleh ud Din & Ejaz Ghani, 2012. "Monetary Policy, Informality and Business Cycle Fluctuations in a Developing Economy Vulnerable to External Shocks," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 609-681.
- Haider, Adnan & Din, Musleh-ud & Ghani, Ejaz, 2012. "Monetary policy, informality and business cycle fluctuations in a developing economy vulnerable to external shocks," MPRA Paper 42484, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Adnan Haider & Musleh-ud Din & Ejaz Ghani, 2013. "Monetary Policy, Informality and Business Cycle Fluctuations in a Developing Economy Vulnerable to External Shocks," SBP Working Paper Series 65, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
Marco Huwiler & Daniel Kaufmann, 2013. "Combining disaggregate forecasts for inflation: The SNB's ARIMA model," Economic Studies 2013-07, Swiss National Bank.
Francis Bismans & Reynald Majetti, 2013. "Forecasting recessions using financial variables: the French case," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 419-433, April.
Riccardo Cristadoro & Giuseppe Saporito & Fabrizio Venditti, 2013. "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 1065-1086, June.
- Venditti, Fabrizio & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Saporito, Giuseppe, 2008. "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Working Paper Series 900, European Central Bank.
- Riccardo Cristadoro & Fabrizio Venditti & Giuseppe Saporito, 2008. "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 677, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Piero Ferri, 2013. "Income distribution and debts in a fragile economy: market processes and macro constraints," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 8(2), pages 219-230, October.
Roland Döhrn, 2013. "Deutsche Konjunktur erholt sich — Ergebnisse der Gemeinschaftsdiagnose vom Frühjahr 2013," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 93(5), pages 323-327, May.
Oliver Bruttel, 2013. "Bevölkerungsstimmung als Indikator für das Wirtschaftswachstum," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 93(6), pages 390-395, June.
Christopher CRUZ & Claire MAPA, 2013. "An Early Warning System For Inflation In The Philippines Using Markov-Switching And Logistic Regression Models," Theoretical and Practical Research in the Economic Fields, ASERS Publishing, vol. 4(2), pages 136-150.
- Cruz, Christopher John & Mapa, Dennis, 2013. "An Early Warning System for Inflation in the Philippines Using Markov-Switching and Logistic Regression Models," MPRA Paper 50078, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop, 2014. "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Bayesian Model Comparison, volume 34, pages 45-69, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop, 2013. "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time- Varying Parameter Regression Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-34, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop, 2013. "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models," Working Papers 1302, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
Gary Koop, 2012. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 4(3), pages 143-167, September.
- Gary, Koop, 2013. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-35, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop, 2013. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," Working Papers 1303, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Globalization and knowledge spillover: international direct investment, exports and patents," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 329-352, June.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Globalization and Knowledge Spillover: International Direct Investment, Exports and Patents," KIER Working Papers 721, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2012. "Globalization and Knowledge Spillover: International Direct Investment, Exports and Patents," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2012-16, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Globalization and Knowledge Spillover: International Direct Investment, Exports and Patents," Working Papers in Economics 10/54, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chang, C-L. & Chang, S.P. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Globalization and Knowledge Spillover: International Direct Investment, Exports and Patents," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-55, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
Pierre Guérin & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013. "Markov-Switching MIDAS Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 45-56, January.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2011. "Markov-switching MIDAS models," CEPR Discussion Papers 8234, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2013. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 94-106, January.
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," CAMA Working Papers 2012-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A New Model Of Trend Inflation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-12, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A new model of trend inflation," MPRA Paper 39496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Working Papers 1202, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
S. Boragan Aruoba & Cagri Sarikaya, 2013. "A Real Economic Activity Indicator for Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 13(1), pages 15-29.
Mehmet Fatih Ekinci & Gazi Kabas & Enes Sunel, 2013. "End-Point Bias in Trend-Cycle Decompositions : An Application to the Real Exchange Rates of Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 13(3), pages 61-71.
- M. Fatih Ekinci & Gazi Kabas & Enes Sunel, 2013. "End-Point Bias in Trend-Cycle Decompositions : An Application to the Real Exchange Rates of Turkey," Working Papers 1316, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Selen Başer Andiç & Hande Küçük & Fethi Öğünç, 2015. "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey: In Pursuit of a Domestic Cost Measure," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(2), pages 418-431, March.
- Selen Baser & Hande Kucuk & Fethi Ogunc, 2013. "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey : In Pursuit of a Domestic Cost Measure," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1311, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Selen Baser Andic & Hande Kucuk & Fethi Ogunc, 2014. "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey : In Pursuit of a Domestic Cost Measure," Working Papers 1420, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Mehmet Fatih Ekinci & Gazi Kabas & Enes Sunel, 2013. "End-Point Bias in Trend-Cycle Decompositions : An Application to the Real Exchange Rates of Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 13(3), pages 61-71.
- M. Fatih Ekinci & Gazi Kabas & Enes Sunel, 2013. "End-Point Bias in Trend-Cycle Decompositions : An Application to the Real Exchange Rates of Turkey," Working Papers 1316, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Ermişoğlu, Ergun & Akcelik, Yasin & Oduncu, Arif, 2013. "GDP Growth and Credit Data," MPRA Paper 46613, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ergun Ermisoglu & Yasin Akcelik & Arif Oduncu, 2013. "GDP Growth and Credit Data," Working Papers 1327, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Kurmas Akdogan, 2013. "Asymmetric Behaviour of Inflation around the Target in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Markets," Working Papers 1342, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Phillips Curve Models with Non-Filtered Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-011/III, Tinbergen Institute.
Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are forecast updates progressive?," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 9-18.
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- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-049/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," KIER Working Papers 762, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-03, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
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- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Working Papers in Economics 10/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
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Casarin, Roberto & Grassi, Stefano & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2015. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo MATLAB Toolbox," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 68(i03).
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- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-055/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 16 Jan 2015.
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo Matlab Toolbox," Working Papers 2013:08, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
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Chang, Chia-Lin & de Bruijn, Bert & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Analyzing fixed-event forecast revisions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 622-627.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Working Papers in Economics 11/25, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-Event Forecast Revisions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-057/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, revised Apr 2013.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-24, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2011-22, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," KIER Working Papers 779, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Francisco Blasques, 2013. "Solution-Driven Specification of DSGE Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-062/III, Tinbergen Institute.
Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013. "Modeling and Simulation: An Overview," Working Papers in Economics 13/18, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-069/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Les Oxley & Felix Chan, 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-16, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- McAleer, M.J. & Chan, F. & Oxley, L., 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2013-19, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," KIER Working Papers 865, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Nalan Baştürk & Cem Çakmakli & S. Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. Van Dijk, 2014. "Posterior‐Predictive Evidence On Us Inflation Using Extended New Keynesian Phillips Curve Models With Non‐Filtered Data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(7), pages 1164-1182, November.
- Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Extended New Keynesian Phillips Curve Models with Non-filtered Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-090/III, Tinbergen Institute.
Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model," Working Papers 2013:17, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", revised 2014.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Interactions between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts: A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching VAR Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-142/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 01 Nov 2014.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014. "Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model," Working Papers No 8/2014, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model," Working Paper 2013/20, Norges Bank.
Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2013. "Inference on impulse response functions in structural VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(1), pages 1-13.
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- Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2013. "Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models," DSSR Discussion Papers 11, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
- Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2013. "Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models," TERG Discussion Papers 307, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2013. "Inference on impulse response functions in structural VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(1), pages 1-13.
- Kilian, Lutz & Inoue, Atsushi, 2011. "Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 8419, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2013. "Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models," TERG Discussion Papers 307, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
- Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2013. "Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models," DSSR Discussion Papers 11, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
Nikolay Gospodinov & Serena Ng, 2013. "Commodity Prices, Convenience Yields, and Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 95(1), pages 206-219, March.
Mark Setterfield & Shyam Gouri Suresh, 2013. "Did CNBC contribute to the Great Moderation or the Great Recession?," Working Papers 1307, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
Mark Setterfield & Bill Gibson, 2013. "Real and financial crises: A multi-agent approach," Working Papers 1309, Trinity College, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2014.
Chang, Chia-Lin & de Bruijn, Bert & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Analyzing fixed-event forecast revisions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 622-627.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Working Papers in Economics 11/25, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, revised Apr 2013.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-24, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-Event Forecast Revisions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-057/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2011-22, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," KIER Working Papers 779, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013. "Modeling and Simulation: An Overview," Working Papers in Economics 13/18, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Michael McAleer & Les Oxley & Felix Chan, 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-16, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- McAleer, M.J. & Chan, F. & Oxley, L., 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2013-19, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," KIER Working Papers 865, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-069/III, Tinbergen Institute.
Ahking, Francis W., 2014. "Measuring U.S. business cycles: A comparison of two methods and two indicators of economic activities," Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, IOS Press, issue 4, pages 199-216.
- Francis W. Ahking, 2013. "Measuring U.S. Business Cycles: A Comparison of Two Methods and Two Indicators of Economic Activities," Working papers 2013-10, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
Takashi Kano, 2013. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Closing a Two-country Model," CAMA Working Papers 2013-62, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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- Takashi Kano, 2013. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals:Closing a Two-country Model," UTokyo Price Project Working Paper Series 011, University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics.
Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 226-254, May.
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- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors," ERSA conference papers ersa13p15, European Regional Science Association.
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Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2013. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 82-101, January.
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- Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2010. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Working Paper Series 1167, European Central Bank.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca & Giannone, Domenico & Giannone, Domenico, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Research Technical Papers 8/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.
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Dimitris Korobilis, 2013. "Var Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 204-230, March.
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- Dimitris Korobilis, 2010. "VAR Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Paper series 51_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Apr 2011.
Libero Monteforte & Gianluca Moretti, 2013. "Real‐Time Forecasts of Inflation: The Role of Financial Variables," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 51-61, January.
- Libero Monteforte & Gianluca Moretti, "undated". "Real time forecasts of inflation: the role of financial variables," Working Papers wp2011-6, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Libero Monteforte & Gianluca Moretti, 2010. "Real time forecasts of inflation: the role of financial variables," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 767, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Nikolaos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2013. "Nowcasting Business Cycles Using Toll Data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 299-306, July.
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Marie Bessec, 2013. "Short‐Term Forecasts of French GDP: A Dynamic Factor Model with Targeted Predictors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), pages 500-511, September.
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- Marie Bessec, 2013. "Short-term forecasts of French GDP: A dynamic factor model with targeted predictors," Post-Print hal-01515605, HAL.
Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013. "Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2-3), pages 449-463, March.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013. "Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real‐Time Out‐of‐Sample Examination," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2‐3), pages 449-463, March.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2010. "Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination," Working Paper 2010/18, Norges Bank.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2011. "Oil and US GDP: A Real-Time out-of Sample Examination," Working Papers No 2/2011, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P., 2014. "Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 268-279.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2011. "Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty," CAMA Working Papers 2011-16, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun, 2013. "Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty," EMF Research Papers 01, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
Haavio, Markus & Mendicino, Caterina & Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2013. "Financial and economic downturns in OECD countries," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 35/2013, Bank of Finland.
Menz, Jan-Oliver & Poppitz, Philipp, 2013. "Household`s Disagreement on Inflation Expectations and Socioeconomic Media Exposure in Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80006, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Menz, Jan-Oliver & Poppitz, Philipp, 2013. "Households' disagreement on inflation expectations and socioeconomic media exposure in Germany," Discussion Papers 27/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Maik H. Wolters, 2015. "Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 74-96, January.
- Wolters, Maik H., 2011. "Forecasting under Model Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48723, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Wolters, Maik H., 2013. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," Economics Working Papers 2013-03, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series 59, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," MPRA Paper 36147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Günter Coenen & Anders Warne, 2014. "Risks to Price Stability, the Zero Lower Bound, and Forward Guidance: A Real-Time Assessment," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(2), pages 7-54, June.
- Coenen, Günter & Warne, Anders, 2013. "Risks to price stability, the zero lower bound and forward guidance: a real-time assessment," Working Paper Series 1582, European Central Bank.
- Coenen, Günter & Warne, Anders, 2013. "Risks to price stability, the zero lower bound and forward guidance: A real-time assessment," CFS Working Paper Series 2013/06, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
Martyna Marczak & Víctor Gómez, 2017. "Monthly US business cycle indicators: a new multivariate approach based on a band-pass filter," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1379-1408, June.
- Marczak, Martyna & Gómez, Victor, 2013. "Monthly US business cycle indicators: A new multivariate approach based on a band-pass filter," FZID Discussion Papers 64-2013, University of Hohenheim, Center for Research on Innovation and Services (FZID).
Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Reimers, Hans-Eggert & Roffia, Barbara, 2013. "Testing for the existence of a bubble in the stock market," Wismar Discussion Papers 01/2013, Hochschule Wismar, Wismar Business School.
Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua, 2013. "Globalisation effect on inflation in the Great Moderation era: New evidence from G10 countries," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-32.
- Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua, 2011. "Globalisation effect on inflation in the great moderation era: new evidence from G10 countries," MPRA Paper 32994, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua, 2012. "Globalisation effect on inflation in the great moderation era: New evidence from G10 countries," Economics Discussion Papers 2012-56, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin A., 2013. "An early warning system to predict speculative house price bubbles," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-26.
- Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin A., 2012. "An early warning system to predict the speculative house price bubbles," Economics Discussion Papers 2012-44, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2018. "Bottom-up or direct? Forecasting German GDP in a data-rich environment," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 705-745, March.
- Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2012. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," Working Papers 2012-16, Swiss National Bank.
- Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2013. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," IWH Discussion Papers 7/2013, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & , 2013. "Konjunktur aktuell: Konjunkturelle Flaute zum Jahresende 2012 – aber auch Anzeichen für eine mäßige Brise im neuen Jahr," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(1), pages 3-32.
Holtemöller, Oliver & Drechsel, Katja & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2013. "Mittelfristige Projektion der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung und der Staatsfinanzen in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(1), pages 33-37.
Holtemöller, Oliver & Altemeyer-Bartscher, Martin & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Zeddies, Götz, 2013. "Zur Wirtschaftspolitik: Haushaltskrisen berücksichtigen, Lösung der Griechenlandkrise voranbringen," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(1), pages 38-46.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & , 2013. "Rückkehr des Vertrauens beflügelt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(2), pages 55-94.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2013. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft erholt sich seit dem Frühjahr," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(2), pages 102-107.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Dove, 2013. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(4), pages 144-177.
Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & , 2013. "Konjunkturelle Flaute zum Jahresende 2012 – aber auch Anzeichen für eine mäßige Brise im neuen Jahr," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 19(1), pages 4-5.
Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2013. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2013: Deutsche Konjunktur erholt sich – Wirtschaftspolitik stärker an der langen Frist ausrichten (Kurzfassung)," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 19(2), pages 24-25.
Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2013. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2013: Konjunktur zieht an – Haushaltsüberschüsse sinnvoll nutzen (Kurzfassung)," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 19(5), pages 88-90.
Bendel, Daniel & Demary, Markus & Jäger-Ambroçzewicz, 2013. "Konjunkturanalyse mit einem Gleichgewichtsmodell für die deutsche Wirtschaft," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, vol. 40(3), pages 33-46.
Döhrn, Roland, 2013. "Transportation Data as a Tool for Nowcasting Economic Activity – The German Road Pricing System as an Example," Ruhr Economic Papers 395, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2015. "Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in a New-Keynesian baseline model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 126-154.
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Schreiber, Sven, 2013. "Forecasting business-cycle turning points with (relatively large) linear systems in real time," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79709, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015. "Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series 155, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Theobald, Thomas, 2013. "Markov Switching with Endogenous Number of Regimes and Leading Indicators in a Real-Time Business Cycle Forecast," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79911, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian & Jung, Alexander, 2012. "Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
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Jonas Dovern & Mr. Ulrich Fritsche & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa, 2013. "Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel," IMF Working Papers 2013/056, International Monetary Fund.
- Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Loungani, Prakash & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2013. "Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79936, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Franke, Reiner, 2013. "Competitive Moment Matching of a New-Keynesian and an Old-Keynesian Model," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79988, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Menz, Jan-Oliver & Poppitz, Philipp, 2013. "Households' disagreement on inflation expectations and socioeconomic media exposure in Germany," Discussion Papers 27/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Menz, Jan-Oliver & Poppitz, Philipp, 2013. "Household`s Disagreement on Inflation Expectations and Socioeconomic Media Exposure in Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 80006, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Casarin, Roberto & Grassi, Stefano & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2015. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo MATLAB Toolbox," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 68(i03).
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-055/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 16 Jan 2015.
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox," CREATES Research Papers 2013-09, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The DeCo Matlab Toolbox," Working Papers 2013:08, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Harman K. van Dijk, 2014. "Parallel sequential Monte Carlo for efficient density combination: The DeCo MATLAB toolbox," Working Paper 2014/11, Norges Bank.
Christiansen, Charlotte & Eriksen, Jonas Nygaard & Møller, Stig Vinther, 2014. "Forecasting US recessions: The role of sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 459-468.
- Charlotte Christiansen & Jonas Nygaard Eriksen & Stig V. Møller, 2013. "Forecasting US Recessions: The Role of Sentiments," CREATES Research Papers 2013-14, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
Johannes Tang Kristensen, 2013. "Diffusion Indexes with Sparse Loadings," CREATES Research Papers 2013-22, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
R?diger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2013. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 217-249, April.
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- Eric R. Sims, 2012. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," Working Papers 014, University of Notre Dame, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2012.
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Serena Ng & Jonathan H. Wright, 2013. "Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(4), pages 1120-1154, December.
- Serena Ng & Jonathan H. Wright, 2013. "Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling," NBER Working Papers 19469, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2013. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(1), pages 95-107, February.
- Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2013. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(01), pages 1-13, February.
Bill Dorval & Gregor W. Smith, 2015. "Interwar Inflation, Unexpected Inflation, and Output Growth," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(8), pages 1599-1615, December.
- Bill Dorval & Gregor W. Smith, 2013. "Interwar Inflation, Unexpected Inflation, and Output Growth," Working Papers 1310, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
- Dorval, Bill & Smith, Gregor W., 2013. "Interwar Inflation, Unexpected Inflation, and Output Growth," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 274635, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2013. "Measuring the Slowly Evolving Trend in US Inflation with Professional Forecasts," Working Papers 1316, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
- Nason, Jason M. & Smith, Gregor W., 2013. "Measuring the Slowly Evolving Trend in US Inflation with Professional Forecasts," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 274641, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
- James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2014. "Measuring the Slowly Evolving Trend in US Inflation with Professional Forecasts," CAMA Working Papers 2014-07, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Fabia A. de Carvalho, 2013. "A brief analysis of aggregate measures as an alternative to the median at Central Bank of Brazil's Survey of Professional Forecasts," Economia, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 14(2), pages 11-26.
Olivier Armantier & Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Simon Potter & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert van der Klaauw & Basit Zafar, 2013. "Measuring Inflation Expectations," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 5(1), pages 273-301, May.
Yuri Biondi & Simone Righi, 2013. "What does the financial market pricing do? A simulation analysis with a view to systemic volatility, exuberance and vagary," Papers 1312.7460, arXiv.org.
Huseyin Kaya, 2013. "On the Predictive Power of Yield Spread for Future Growth and Recession: The Turkish Case," Working Papers 010, Bahcesehir University, Betam, revised Mar 2013.
Marcos Dal Bianco & Jaime Martinez-MartÃn & Maximo Camacho, 2013. "Short-Run Forecasting of Argentine GDP Growth," Working Papers 1314, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
Monica Jain, 2019. "Perceived Inflation Persistence," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(1), pages 110-120, January.
- Monica Jain, 2013. "Perceived Inflation Persistence," Staff Working Papers 13-43, Bank of Canada.
Golinelli, Roberto & Parigi, Giuseppe, 2014. "Tracking world trade and GDP in real time," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 847-862.
- Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2013. "Tracking world trade and GDP in real time," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 920, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Hernando Vargas & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign exchange intervention in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Sovereign risk: a world without risk-free assets?, volume 73, pages 95-125, Bank for International Settlements.
- Hernando Vargas Herrera & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign Exchange Intervention in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 10465, Banco de la Republica.
- Hernando Vargas Herrera & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign Exchange Intervention in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 757, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Wilmer Martínez, 2013. "Metodología de perfiles coincidentes para determinar indicadores líderes y contemporáneos, estudio de caso," Borradores de Economia 771, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Paulo M. Sánchez & Luis Fernando Melo, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 31(72), pages 74-82, December.
- Paulo M. Sánchez & Luis Fernando Melo, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 31(72), pages 74-82, December.
- Paulo Mauricio Sánchez Beltrán & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Borradores de Economia 10973, Banco de la Republica.
- Paulo Mauricio Sánchez Beltrán & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Borradores de Economia 775, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Jacobo Campo Robledo & Mónica Enciso Pulido & Andrés Acosta Hernández, 2013. "Sistema de inferencia difuso para la inflación en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 31(71), pages 73-84, June.
- Mónica Enciso Pulido & Andrés Acosta Hernández & Jacobo Campo Robledo, 2013. "Sistema de inferencia difuso para la inflación en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 31(71), pages 73-84, June.
- Mónica Enciso Pulido & Andrés Acosta Hernández & Jacobo Campo Robledo, 2012. "Sistema de Inferencia Difuso para la Inflación en Colombia," Documentos de Trabajo 9815, Universidad Católica de Colombia.
Paulo M. Sánchez & Luis Fernando Melo, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 31(72), pages 74-82, December.
- Paulo M. Sánchez & Luis Fernando Melo, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 31(72), pages 74-82, December.
- Paulo Mauricio Sánchez Beltrán & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Borradores de Economia 775, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Paulo Mauricio Sánchez Beltrán & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Borradores de Economia 10973, Banco de la Republica.
Suda, J., 2013. "Belief shocks and the macroeconomy," Working papers 434, Banque de France.
Bec, Frédérique & Mogliani, Matteo, 2015. "Nowcasting French GDP in real-time with surveys and “blocked” regressions: Combining forecasts or pooling information?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1021-1042.
- Frédérique Bec & Matteo Mogliani, 2013. "Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions : Information or Forecast Combinations ?," Working Papers 2013-21, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Bec, F. & Mogliani, M., 2013. "Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions: Information or Forecast Combinations?," Working papers 436, Banque de France.
Andrade, Philippe & Fourel, Valère & Ghysels, Eric & Idier, Julien, 2014. "The financial content of inflation risks in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 648-659.
- Andrade, P. & Fourel, V. & Ghysels, E. & Idier, I., 2013. "The financial content of inflation risks in the euro area," Working papers 437, Banque de France.
Hernando Vargas & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign exchange intervention in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Sovereign risk: a world without risk-free assets?, volume 73, pages 95-125, Bank for International Settlements.
- Hernando Vargas Herrera & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign Exchange Intervention in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 757, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Hernando Vargas Herrera & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign Exchange Intervention in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 10465, Banco de la Republica.
Hibiki Ichiue & Takushi Kurozumi & Takeki Sunakawa, 2013. "Inflation Dynamics And Labor Market Specifications: A Bayesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach For Japan'S Economy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 51(1), pages 273-287, January.
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- Ichiue, Hibiki & Kurozumi, Takushi & Sunakawa, Takeki, 2011. "Inflation dynamics and labor market specifications: a Bayesian DSGE approach for Japan's economy," MPRA Paper 33391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2013. "New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(5), pages 637-661, October.
- Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2010. "New methods for forecasting inflation, applied to the US," CEPR Discussion Papers 7877, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Efrem Castelnuovo, 2013. "What does a Monetary Policy Shock Do? An International Analysis with Multiple Filters," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(5), pages 759-784, October.
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Franz Ruch & Dirk Bester, 2013. "Towards a Measure of Core Inflation using Singular Spectrum Analysis," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 81(3), pages 307-329, September.
Sergio Cerezo Aguirre & Juan Carlos Heredia Gómez, 2013. "La Encuesta de Expectativas Económicas del BCB: una evaluación de la información contenida y racionalidad para la inflación," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, vol. 19(1), pages 103-130, July.
Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013. "A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data," Economics Working Papers ECO2013/02, European University Institute.
- Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013. "A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data," Working Paper 2013/06, Norges Bank.
Knut Are Aastveit & Gisle James Natvik & Sergio Sola, 2013. "Economic uncertainty and the effectiveness of monetary policy," Working Paper 2013/17, Norges Bank.
Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Interactions between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts: A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching VAR Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-142/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 01 Nov 2014.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model," Working Paper 2013/20, Norges Bank.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model," Working Papers 2013:17, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", revised 2014.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014. "Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model," Working Papers No 8/2014, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Haddow, Abigail & Mileva, Mariya, 2013. "Financial factors and the international transmission mechanism," Bank of England working papers 479, Bank of England.
Markus Haavio & Caterina Mendicino & Maria Teresa Punzi, 2014. "Financial and economic downturns in OECD countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(6), pages 407-412, April.
- Haavio, Markus & Mendicino, Caterina & Punzi, Maria Teresa, 2013. "Financial and economic downturns in OECD countries," Research Discussion Papers 35/2013, Bank of Finland.
Naoko Hara & Shotaro Yamane, 2013. "New Monthly Estimation Approach for Nowcasting GDP Growth: The Case of Japan," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 13-E-14, Bank of Japan.
Ergun Ermis oglu & Yasin Akcelik & Arif Oduncu, 2013. "Nowcasting GDP growth with credit data: Evidence from an emerging market economy," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 13(4), pages 93-98, December.
Brinca Pedro, 2013. "Monetary business cycle accounting for Sweden," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 1085-1119, October.
Chase Coleman & Kerk Phillips, 2013. "Can Uncorrelated Shocks Generate Aggregate Autocorrelation?: Business Cycle Persistence in a Model with Endogenous Growth and Fluctuations," BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory Working Paper Series 2013-03, Brigham Young University, Department of Economics, BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory.
Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-069/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013. "Modeling and Simulation: An Overview," Working Papers in Economics 13/18, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Michael McAleer & Les Oxley & Felix Chan, 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-16, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- McAleer, M.J. & Chan, F. & Oxley, L., 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2013-19, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," KIER Working Papers 865, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Fan, Jingwen, 2013. "The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level - identification and testing for the UK in the 1970s," CEPR Discussion Papers 9763, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2013. "The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level - identification and testing for the UK in the 1970s," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2013/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
Klaus Wohlrabe & Teresa Buchen, 2014. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area and Germany," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 231-242, July.
- Teresa Buchen & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting - Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 4148, CESifo.
- Teresa, Buchen & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2014. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100626, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Berg, Tim O. & Henzel, Steffen R., 2015. "Point and density forecasts for the euro area using Bayesian VARs," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1067-1095.
- Berg, Tim Oliver & Henzel, Steffen, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79783, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013. "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series 155, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014. "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), vol. 34(1), pages 61-90, February.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013. "Sectoral gross value-added forecasts at the regional level: Is there any information gain?," MPRA Paper 46765, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: Are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," ifo Working Paper Series 171, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
Denis Beau & Christophe Cahn & Laurent Clerc & Benoît Mojon, 2014. "Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Sofía Bauducco & Lawrence Christiano & Claudio Raddatz (ed.),Macroeconomic and Financial Stability: challenges for Monetary Policy, edition 1, volume 19, chapter 9, pages 273-314, Central Bank of Chile.
- Beau, D. & Clerc, L. & Mojon, B., 2011. "Macro-prudential policy and the conduct of monetary policy," Occasional papers 8, Banque de France.
- Denis Beau & Christophe Cahn & Laurent Clerc & Benoît Mojon, 2013. "Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 715, Central Bank of Chile.
- Beau, D. & Clerc, L. & Mojon, B., 2012. "Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy," Working papers 390, Banque de France.
John W. Galbraith & Greg Tkacz, 2013. "Nowcasting GDP: Electronic Payments, Data Vintages and the Timing of Data Releases," CIRANO Working Papers 2013s-25, CIRANO.
Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013. "Probability and Severity of Recessions," Cahiers de recherche 1341, CIRPEE.
- Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013. "Probability and Severity of Recessions," CIRANO Working Papers 2013s-43, CIRANO.
Ales Bulir & Jaromir Hurnik & Katerina Smidkova, 2013. "Inflation Reports and Models: How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?," Working Papers 2013/03, Czech National Bank.
- Mr. Aleš Bulíř & Jaromír Hurník & Ms. Katerina Smídková, 2014. "Inflation Reports and Models: How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?," IMF Working Papers 2014/091, International Monetary Fund.
Mateo Clavijo, 2013. "Desaceleración económica e inflación de activos financieros en Colombia," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, December.
Hernando Vargas & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign exchange intervention in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Sovereign risk: a world without risk-free assets?, volume 73, pages 95-125, Bank for International Settlements.
- Hernando Vargas Herrera & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign Exchange Intervention in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 757, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Hernando Vargas Herrera & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013. "Foreign Exchange Intervention in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 10465, Banco de la Republica.
Wilmer Martínez, 2013. "Metodología de perfiles coincidentes para determinar indicadores líderes y contemporáneos, estudio de caso," Borradores de Economia 10859, Banco de la Republica.
Paulo M. Sánchez & Luis Fernando Melo, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 31(72), pages 74-82, December.
- Paulo M. Sánchez & Luis Fernando Melo, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 31(72), pages 74-82, December.
- Paulo Mauricio Sánchez Beltrán & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Borradores de Economia 775, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Paulo Mauricio Sánchez Beltrán & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Borradores de Economia 10973, Banco de la Republica.
Mónica Enciso Pulido & Andrés Acosta Hernández & Jacobo Campo Robledo, 2013. "Sistema de inferencia difuso para la inflación en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 31(71), pages 73-84, June.
- Jacobo Campo Robledo & Mónica Enciso Pulido & Andrés Acosta Hernández, 2013. "Sistema de inferencia difuso para la inflación en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 31(71), pages 73-84, June.
- Mónica Enciso Pulido & Andrés Acosta Hernández & Jacobo Campo Robledo, 2012. "Sistema de Inferencia Difuso para la Inflación en Colombia," Documentos de Trabajo 9815, Universidad Católica de Colombia.
Paulo M. Sánchez & Luis Fernando Melo, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 31(72), pages 74-82, December.
- Paulo M. Sánchez & Luis Fernando Melo, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 31(72), pages 74-82, December.
- Paulo Mauricio Sánchez Beltrán & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Borradores de Economia 775, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Paulo Mauricio Sánchez Beltrán & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2013. "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Borradores de Economia 10973, Banco de la Republica.
Gómez Munoz, Wilman Arturo & Lopera Sierra, John Fernando, 2013. "Modelo VECM para estimar relaciones de largo plazo de un indicador de liquidez y sus determinantes," Borradores Departamento de Economía 17491, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE.
Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2012. "Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Working Papers (Old Series) 1227, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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Ferrara, Laurent & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mogliani, Matteo, 2015. "Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 664-679.
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Andrew Foerster & Juan F. Rubio‐Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2016. "Perturbation methods for Markov‐switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 7(2), pages 637-669, July.
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- Andrew Foerster & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2013. "Perturbation methods for Markov-switching DSGE models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2013-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Andrew Foerster & Juan Rubio-Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2014. "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," NBER Working Papers 20390, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrew T. Foerster & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2014. "Perturbation methods for Markov-switching DSGE models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2014-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
Robert Kollmann, 2013. "Tractable latent state filtering for non-linear DSGE models using a second-order Approximation," CAMA Working Papers 2013-29, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kollmann, Robert, 2013. "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation," CEPR Discussion Papers 9469, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Robert Kollmann, 2013. "Tractable latent state filtering for non-linear DSGE models using a second-order approximation," Globalization Institute Working Papers 147, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Robert Kollmann, 2013. "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2013-24, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2013. "The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level - identification and testing for the UK in the 1970s," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2013/12, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Fan, Jingwen, 2013. "The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level - identification and testing for the UK in the 1970s," CEPR Discussion Papers 9763, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Bec, Frédérique & Mogliani, Matteo, 2015. "Nowcasting French GDP in real-time with surveys and “blocked” regressions: Combining forecasts or pooling information?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1021-1042.
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- Frédérique Bec & Matteo Mogliani, 2013. "Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions : Information or Forecast Combinations ?," Working Papers 2013-21, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
Mattia Guerini, 2013. "Is the Friedman Rule Stabilizing? Some Unpleasant Results in a Heterogeneous Expectations Framework," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def003, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2013. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 45(01), pages 1-13, February.
- Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2013. "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(1), pages 95-107, February.
Dorothea Lucke, 2013. "Deutsche Industrie: durchwachsene Lage, positive Aussichten," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 80(47), pages 16-25.
Ferrara, Laurent & Marsilli, Clément & Ortega, Juan-Pablo, 2014. "Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 44-50.
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- Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli & Juan-Pablo Ortega, 2013. "Forecasting US growth during the Great Recession: Is the financial volatility the missing ingredient?," EconomiX Working Papers 2013-19, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Ferrara, L. & Marsilli, C. & Ortega, J-P., 2013. "Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient?," Working papers 454, Banque de France.
- Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli & Juan-Pablo Ortega, 2014. "Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient?," Post-Print hal-01385941, HAL.
Kollmann, Robert, 2013. "Estimating the state vector of linearized DSGE models without the Kalman filter," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 65-66.
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Matteo Luciani & Lorenzo Ricci, 2014. "Nowcasting Norway," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(4), pages 215-248, December.
- Matteo Luciani & Lorenzo Ricci, 2013. "Nowcasting Norway," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2013-10, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Kollmann, Robert, 2013. "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation," CEPR Discussion Papers 9469, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Robert Kollmann, 2013. "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2013-24, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Robert Kollmann, 2013. "Tractable latent state filtering for non-linear DSGE models using a second-order approximation," Globalization Institute Working Papers 147, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Robert Kollmann, 2013. "Tractable latent state filtering for non-linear DSGE models using a second-order Approximation," CAMA Working Papers 2013-29, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Henry, Jérôme & Zimmermann, Maik & Leber, Miha & Kolb, Markus & Grodzicki, Maciej & Amzallag, Adrien & Vouldis, Angelos & Hałaj, Grzegorz & Pancaro, Cosimo & Gross, Marco & Baudino, Patrizia & Sydow, , 2013. "A macro stress testing framework for assessing systemic risks in the banking sector," Occasional Paper Series 152, European Central Bank.
Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2003. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 691-720, April.
- Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," NBER Working Papers 7953, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Working Paper Series 0012, European Central Bank.
- Svensson, Lars & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," Seminar Papers 688, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
Camba-Mendez, Gonzalo & Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego, 2003. "Assessment criteria for output gap estimates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 529-562, May.
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- Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo & Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego, 2001. "Assessment criteria for output gap estimates," Working Paper Series 0054, European Central Bank.
Elena Angelini & Jérôme Henry & Ricardo Mestre, 2001. "Diffusion index-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," BIS Papers chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Empirical studies of structural changes and inflation, volume 3, pages 109-138 Bank for International Settlements.
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Wallis, Kenneth F., 2003. "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England's fan charts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 165-175.
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- Wallis, Kenneth F., 2002. "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England's fan charts," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002 181, Royal Economic Society.
Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2006. "Learning Stability in Economies with Heterogeneous Agents," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 9(2), pages 284-309, April.
- Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2002. "Learning Stability in Economies with Heterogenous Agents," CESifo Working Paper Series 772, CESifo Group Munich.
- Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja, 2004. "Learning Stability in Economies with Heterogenous Agents," Royal Holloway, University of London: Discussion Papers in Economics 04/17, Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London, revised Jul 2004.
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2002. "Learning stability in economics with heterogeneous agents," Working Paper Series 0120, European Central Bank.
Kilian, Lutz & Manganelli, Simone, 2003. "The Central Banker as a Risk Manager: Quantifying and Forecasting Inflation Risks," CEPR Discussion Papers 3918, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Hubrich, Kirstin, 2005. "Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 119-136.
- Hubrich, Kirstin, 2003. "Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?," Working Paper Series 0247, European Central Bank.
- Kirstin Hubrich, 2004. "Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 230, Society for Computational Economics.
Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico, 2005. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Macroeconomics 0510024, EconWPA.
- D’Agostino, Antonello & Giannone, Domenico & Surico, Paolo, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability," Working Paper Series 0605, European Central Bank.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Giannone, Domenico & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers 6594, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/06, Central Bank of Ireland.
Ironside, Brian & Tetlow, Robert J., 2005. "Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," CEPR Discussion Papers 5305, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Tetlow, Robert J. & Ironside, Brian, 2006. "Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," Working Paper Series 0610, European Central Bank.
- Robert J. Tetlow & Brian Ironside, 2006. "Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2006-08, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Marie Diron, 2008. "Short-term forecasts of euro area real GDP growth: an assessment of real-time performance based on vintage data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(5), pages 371-390.
- Diron, Marie, 2006. "Short-term forecasts of euro area real GDP growth: an assessment of real-time performance based on vintage data," Working Paper Series 0622, European Central Bank.
Paul Levine & Peter McAdam & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "Inflation-Forecast-Based Rules and Indeterminacy: A Puzzle and a Resolution," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(4), pages 77-110, December.
- Levine, Paul & McAdam, Peter & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2006. "Inflation forecast-based-rules and indeterminacy: a puzzle and a resolution," Working Paper Series 0643, European Central Bank.
Levine, Paul & McAdam, Peter & Pearlman, Joseph, 2008. "Quantifying and sustaining welfare gains from monetary commitment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(7), pages 1253-1276, October.
- Levine, Paul & McAdam, Peter & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2007. "Quantifying and sustaining welfare gains from monetary commitment," Working Paper Series 0709, European Central Bank.
Mestre, Ricardo, 2007. "Are survey-based inflation expections in the euro area informative?," Working Paper Series 0721, European Central Bank.
Carlo Altavilla & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2006. "Inflation Forecasts, Monetary Policy and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the US and the Euro Area," Discussion Papers 7_2006, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
- Altavilla, Carlo & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2007. "Inflation Forecasts, monetary policy and unemployment dynamics: evidence from the US and the euro area," Working Paper Series 0725, European Central Bank.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Carlo Altavilla, 2007. "Inflation Forecasts, Monetary Policy and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the US and the Euro area," 2007 Meeting Papers 315, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Banbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346, April.
- Bańbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346.
- Banbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2007. "A look into the factor model black box: publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," Working Paper Series 0751, European Central Bank.
Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph & Pierse, Richard, 2008. "Linear-quadratic approximation, external habit and targeting rules," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(10), pages 3315-3349, October.
- Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G. & Pierse, Richard, 2007. "Linear-quadratic approximation, external habit and targeting rules," Working Paper Series 0759, European Central Bank.
Dées, Stéphane & Vansteenkiste, Isabel, 2007. "The transmission of US cyclical developments to the rest of the world," Working Paper Series 0798, European Central Bank.
Luca Benati & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Evolving U.S. Monetary Policy and The Decline of Inflation Predictability," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 634-646, 04-05.
- Benati, Luca & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "Evolving U.S. monetary policy and the decline of inflation predictability," Working Paper Series 0824, European Central Bank.
Sánchez, Marcelo, 2008. "Oil shocks and endogenous markups: results from an estimated euro area DSGE model," Working Paper Series 0860, European Central Bank.
Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 621-633, 04-05.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, "undated". "Explaining the great moderation: it is not the shocks," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6413, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2008. "Explaining the Great Moderation: it is not the shocks," Working Paper Series 0865, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2007. "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 6600, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Levine, Paul & McAdam, Peter & Pearlman, Joseph G. & Pierse, Richard, 2008. "Risk Management in Action. Robust monetary policy rules under structured uncertainty," Working Paper Series 0870, European Central Bank.
Matthias Burgert & Stephane Dees, 2009. "Forecasting World Trade: Direct Versus “Bottom-Up” Approaches," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 385-402, July.
- Burgert, Matthias & Dées, Stéphane, 2008. "Forecasting world trade: direct versus “bottom-up” approaches," Working Paper Series 0882, European Central Bank.
Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Maurin, Laurent, 2008. "The role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro area manufacturing production: perspective from large panel factor models," Working Paper Series 0894, European Central Bank.
Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "Robust Monetary Rules under Unstructured and Structured Model Uncertainty," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0707, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Levine, Paul, 2008. "Robust monetary rules under unstructured and structured model uncertainty," Working Paper Series 0899, European Central Bank.
Riccardo Cristadoro & Giuseppe Saporito & Fabrizio Venditti, 2013. "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 1065-1086, June.
- Riccardo Cristadoro & Fabrizio Venditti & Giuseppe Saporito, 2008. "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 677, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Cristadoro, Riccardo & Venditti, Fabrizio & Saporito, Giuseppe, 2008. "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Working Paper Series 0900, European Central Bank.
Christoffel, Kai & Coenen, Günter & Warne, Anders, 2008. "The New Area-Wide Model of the euro area: a micro-founded open-economy model for forecasting and policy analysis," Working Paper Series 0944, European Central Bank.
Ricardo Mestre & Peter McAdam, 2011. "Is forecasting with large models informative? Assessing the role of judgement in macroeconomic forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 303-324, April.
- Mestre, Ricardo & McAdam, Peter, 2008. "Is forecasting with large models informative? Assessing the role of judgement in macroeconomic forecasts," Working Paper Series 0950, European Central Bank.
Elena Angelini & Marta Banbura & Gerhard Rünstler, 2010. "Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2010(1), pages 1-22.
- Angelini, Elena & Bańbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2008. "Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model," Working Paper Series 0953, European Central Bank.
Pagano Patrizio & Pisani Massimiliano, 2009. "Risk-Adjusted Forecasts of Oil Prices," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-28, June.
- Patrizio Pagano & Massimiliano Pisani, 2006. "Risk-Adjusted Forecasts of Oil Prices," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 585, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Pagano, Patrizio & Pisani, Massimiliano, 2009. "Risk-adjusted forecasts of oil prices," Working Paper Series 0999, European Central Bank.
Arratibel, Olga & Leiner-Killinger, Nadine & Kamps, Christophe, 2009. "Inflation forecasting in the new EU Member States," Working Paper Series 1015, European Central Bank.
Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2010. "Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 574-594.
- Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2008. "Forecast Evaluation of Small Nested Model Sets," NBER Working Papers 14601, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hubrich, Kirstin & West, Kenneth D., 2009. "Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets," Working Paper Series 1030, European Central Bank.
Stephane Dees & Arthur Saint-Guilhem, 2011. "The role of the United States in the global economy and its evolution over time," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 573-591, December.
- Dées, Stéphane & Saint-Guilhem, Arthur, 2009. "The role of the United States in the global economy and its evolution over time," Working Paper Series 1034, European Central Bank.
Detken, Carsten & Alessi, Lucia, 2009. "'Real time'early warning indicators for costly asset price boom/bust cycles: a role for global liquidity," Working Paper Series 1039, European Central Bank.
Audrone Jakaitiene & Stephane Dees, 2012. "Forecasting the World Economy in the Short Term," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 331-350, March.
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Dieter Gerdesmeier & Hans‐Eggert Reimers & Barbara Roffia, 2010. "Asset Price Misalignments and the Role of Money and Credit," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(3), pages 377-407, December.
- Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Roffia, Barbara & Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2009. "Asset price misalignments and the role of money and credit," Working Paper Series 1068, European Central Bank.
Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2012. "Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1081-1096, November.
- Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2009. "Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200906, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Slacalek, Jiri, 2009. "Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries," Working Paper Series 1082, European Central Bank.
Carboni, Giacomo & Ellison, Martin, 2011. "Inflation and output volatility under asymmetric incomplete information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 40-51, January.
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- Giacomo Carboni & Martin Ellison, 2010. "Inflation and output volatility under asymmetric incomplete information," Post-Print hal-00753043, HAL.
Frauke SKUDELNY & Bettina LANDAU, 2008. "Pass-Through of External Shocks Along the Pricing Chain: A Panel Estimation Approach for the Euro Area," EcoMod2008 23800134, EcoMod.
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Fichtner, Ferdinand & Rüffer, Rasmus & Schnatz, Bernd, 2009. "Leading indicators in a globalised world," Working Paper Series 1125, European Central Bank.
Michael Ehrmann & Sylvester Eijffinger & Marcel Fratzscher, 2012. "The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 114(3), pages 1018-1052, September.
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- Ehrmann, Michael & Eijffinger, Sylvester & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2010. "The role of central bank transparency for guiding private sector forecasts," Working Paper Series 1146, European Central Bank.
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Musso, Alberto, 2010. "Real time estimates of the euro area output gap: reliability and forecasting performance," Working Paper Series 1157, European Central Bank.
Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2013. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 82-101, January.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Working Papers ECARES 2009_020, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2010. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Working Paper Series 1167, European Central Bank.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca & Giannone, Domenico & Giannone, Domenico, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Research Technical Papers 8/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Giannone, Domenico & Dâ€™Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers 7542, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Gelain, Paolo, 2010. "The external finance premium in the euro area A useful indicator for monetary policy?," Working Paper Series 1171, European Central Bank.
Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2010. "Forecasting with DSGE models," Working Paper Series 1185, European Central Bank.
Marta Bańbura & Michele Modugno, 2014. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Factor Models On Datasets With Arbitrary Pattern Of Missing Data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 133-160, January.
- Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2010. "Maximum likelihood estimation of factor models on data sets with arbitrary pattern of missing data," Working Paper Series 1189, European Central Bank.
Fornari, Fabio & Lemke, Wolfgang, 2010. "Predicting recession probabilities with financial variables over multiple horizons," Working Paper Series 1255, European Central Bank.
Gross, Marco, 2011. "Corporate bond spreads and real activity in the euro area - Least Angle Regression forecasting and the probability of the recession," Working Paper Series 1286, European Central Bank.
Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting inflation using high frequency data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 664-675.
- Modugno, Michele, 2011. "Nowcasting inflation using high frequency data," Working Paper Series 1324, European Central Bank.
Andersson, Magnus & D'Agostino, Antonello & de Bondt, Gabe & Roma, Moreno, 2011. "The predictive content of sectoral stock prices: a US-euro area comparison," Working Paper Series 1343, European Central Bank.
Igor Vetlov & Tibor Hlédik & Magnus Jonsson & Henrik Kucsera & Massimiliano Pisani, 2011. "Potential Output in DSGE Models," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 9, Bank of Lithuania.
- Vetlov, Igor & Pisani, Massimiliano & Hlédik, Tibor & Jonsson, Magnus & Kucsera, Henrik, 2011. "Potential output in DSGE models," Working Paper Series 1351, European Central Bank.
Dieppe, Alistair & Ortega, Eva & D'Agostino, Antonello & Karlsson, Tohmas & Benkovskis, Konstantins & Caivano, Michele & Hurtado, Samuel & Várnai, Tímea, 2011. "Assessing the sensitivity of inflation to economic activity," Working Paper Series 1357, European Central Bank.
Lombardi, Marco J. & Maier, Philipp, 2011. "Forecasting economic growth in the euro area during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Working Paper Series 1379, European Central Bank.
Guérin, Pierre & Maurin, Laurent & Mohr, Matthias, 2015. "Trend-Cycle Decomposition Of Output And Euro Area Inflation Forecasts: A Real-Time Approach Based On Model Combination," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(2), pages 363-393, March.
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Lombardo, Giovanni & McAdam, Peter, 2012. "Financial market frictions in a model of the Euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2460-2485.
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Claudia Godbout & Marco J. Lombardi, 2012. "Short-Term Forecasting of the Japanese Economy Using Factor Models," Staff Working Papers 12-7, Bank of Canada.
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Nicoletti, Giulio & Passaro, Raffaele, 2012. "Sometimes it helps: the evolving predictive power of spreads on GDP dynamics," Working Paper Series 1447, European Central Bank.
Schnatz, Bernd & D'Agostino, Antonello, 2012. "Survey-based nowcasting of US growth: a real-time forecast comparison over more than 40 years," Working Paper Series 1455, European Central Bank.
Badarinza, Cristian & Gross, Marco, 2012. "Information flows and disagreement," Working Paper Series 1475, European Central Bank.
Dieter Gerdesmeier & Andreja Lenarčič & Barbara Roffia, 2015. "An alternative method for identifying booms and busts in the Euro area housing market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(5), pages 499-518, January.
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Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2015. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 436-451, May.
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Angelini, Elena & Dieppe, Alistair & Pierluigi, Beatrice, 2013. "Learning about wage and price mark-ups in euro area countries," Working Paper Series 1512, European Central Bank.
Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2013. "Predictive likelihood comparisons with DSGE and DSGE-VAR models," Working Paper Series 1536, European Central Bank.
BaÅ„bura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 195-237, Elsevier.
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Günter Coenen & Anders Warne, 2014. "Risks to Price Stability, the Zero Lower Bound, and Forward Guidance: A Real-Time Assessment," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(2), pages 7-54, June.
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Aydan Kansu & Nurtac Yildirim & Oguzhan Ozcelebi, 2013. "Is There a Link Between Monetary Policy and Risk Perception in Eastern European Countries Implementing Inflation Targeting Regime?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(2), pages 476-485.
Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop, 2014. "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Bayesian Model Comparison, volume 34, pages 45-69, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop, 2013. "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models," Working Papers 1302, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
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Gary Koop, 2012. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 4(3), pages 143-167, September.
- Gary Koop, 2013. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," Working Papers 1303, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
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Narayan, Seema, 2013. "Foreign exchange markets and oil prices in Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 41-50.
Durevall, Dick & Loening, Josef L. & Ayalew Birru, Yohannes, 2013. "Inflation dynamics and food prices in Ethiopia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 89-106.
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Benigno, Gianluca & Benigno, Pierpaolo & Nisticò, Salvatore, 2013. "Second-order approximation of dynamic models with time-varying risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 1231-1247.
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Pakoš, Michal, 2013. "Long-run risk and hidden growth persistence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 1911-1928.
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Fondeur, Y. & Karamé, F., 2013. "Can Google data help predict French youth unemployment?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 117-125.
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Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2013. "Do corporate executives have accurate predictions for the economy? A directional analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 167-174.
Di Giorgio, Giorgio & Traficante, Guido, 2013. "The loss from uncertainty on policy targets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 175-182.
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Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal, 2013. "Hopf bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 401-404.
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- William Barnett & Unal Eryilmaz, 2012. "Hopf Bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler Model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201211, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
Gupta, Rangan & Steinbach, Rudi, 2013. "A DSGE-VAR model for forecasting key South African macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 19-33.
Öğünç, Fethi & Akdoğan, Kurmaş & Başer, Selen & Chadwick, Meltem Gülenay & Ertuğ, Dilara & Hülagü, Timur & Kösem, Sevim & Özmen, Mustafa Utku & Tekatlı, Necati, 2013. "Short-term inflation forecasting models for Turkey and a forecast combination analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 312-325.
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Agnello, Luca & Dufrénot, Gilles & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2013. "Using time-varying transition probabilities in Markov switching processes to adjust US fiscal policy for asset prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 25-36.
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Rossi, Barbara, 2013. "Advances in Forecasting under Instability," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1203-1324, Elsevier.
- Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Advances in Forecasting Under Instability," Working Papers 11-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
BaÅ„bura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 195-237, Elsevier.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Banbura, Marta, 2012. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," CEPR Discussion Papers 9112, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series 1564, European Central Bank.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-026, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2013. "Forecasting and Policy Making," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 239-325, Elsevier.
- Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Forecasting and policy making," IMFS Working Paper Series 62, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
Kollmann, Robert, 2013. "Estimating the state vector of linearized DSGE models without the Kalman filter," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(1), pages 65-66.
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Matheson, Troy & Stavrev, Emil, 2013. "The Great Recession and the inflation puzzle," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 468-472.
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Dovern, Jonas, 2013. "When are GDP forecasts updated? Evidence from a large international panel," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 521-524.
Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2013. "Inference on impulse response functions in structural VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(1), pages 1-13.
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- Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2013. "Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models," DSSR Discussion Papers 11, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
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Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 185-198.
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- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 11_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Working Papers 2012_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," MPRA Paper 38591, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2013. "Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 213-232.
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Ponomarenko, Alexey, 2013. "Early warning indicators of asset price boom/bust cycles in emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 92-106.
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Lu, Yingying & Stegman, Alison & Cai, Yiyong, 2013. "Emissions intensity targeting: From China's 12th Five Year Plan to its Copenhagen commitment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1164-1177.
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Ho, Tai-kuang & Lai, Cheng-chung, 2013. "Silver fetters? The rise and fall of the Chinese price level 1928–34," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 446-462.
Mallick, Sushanta K. & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2013. "The real effects of financial stress in the Eurozone," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 1-17.
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Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013. "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 43-59.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," MPRA Paper 30380, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011021, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage Priors for Dynamic Regressions with Many Predictors," Working Paper series 21_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Chang, Chia-Lin & de Bruijn, Bert & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Analyzing fixed-event forecast revisions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 622-627.
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- Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2011-22, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-Event Forecast Revisions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-057/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-24, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Michael McAleer & Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," KIER Working Papers 779, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, revised Apr 2013.
Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting inflation using high frequency data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 664-675.
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Keen, Steve, 2013. "A monetary Minsky model of the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 221-235.
Deschamps, Bruno & Ioannidis, Christos, 2013. "Can rational stubbornness explain forecast biases?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 141-151.
Neveu, Andre R., 2013. "Fiscal policy and business cycle characteristics in a heterogeneous agent macro model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 224-240.
Henzel, Steffen R., 2013. "Fitting survey expectations and uncertainty about trend inflation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 172-185.
Cuddington, John T. & Zellou, Abdel M., 2013. "A simple mineral market model: Can it produce super cycles in prices?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 75-87.
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Pustov, Alexander & Malanichev, Alexander & Khobotilov, Ilya, 2013. "Long-term iron ore price modeling: Marginal costs vs. incentive price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 558-567.
Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are forecast updates progressive?," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 9-18.
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- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," KIER Working Papers 762, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-03, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
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- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-049/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Working Papers in Economics 10/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," MPRA Paper 46387, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Andrade, Philippe & Le Bihan, Hervé, 2013. "Inattentive professional forecasters," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(8), pages 967-982.
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Maertens Odria, Luís Ricardo & Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2013. "Inflation expectations formation in the presence of policy shifts and structural breaks: An experimental analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 59-67.
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Fusari, Angelo & Reati, Angelo, 2013. "Endogenizing technical change: Uncertainty, profits, entrepreneurship. A long-term view of sectoral dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 76-100.
Fakhri Issaoui & Talel Boufateh & Ghassen El Montasser, 2013. "The Dynamic Effect of Oil Rent on Industrial Value Added: a SVAR Approach," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 2013/04, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
Kollmann, Robert, 2013. "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation," CEPR Discussion Papers 9469, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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- Robert Kollmann, 2013. "Tractable latent state filtering for non-linear DSGE models using a second-order approximation," Globalization Institute Working Papers 147, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
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Takashi Kano, 2013. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals:Closing a Two-country Model," UTokyo Price Project Working Paper Series 011, University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics.
- Takashi Kano, 2013. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Closing a Two-country Model," CAMA Working Papers 2013-62, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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David O. Cushman, 2013. "Paul Krugman Denies Having Concurred With an Administration Forecast: A Note," Econ Journal Watch, Econ Journal Watch, vol. 10(1), pages 108-115, January.
Jacek Kotłowski & Aleksandra Halka, 2013. "Does domestic output gap matter for inflation in a small open economy?," EcoMod2013 5615, EcoMod.
Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2013. "Housing market cycles – a disequilibrium model and its application to the primary housing market in Warsaw," Chapters from NBP Conference Publications, in: Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski (ed.), Papers presented during the Narodowy Bank Polski Workshop: Recent trends in the real estate market and its analysis, 2013, chapter 11, pages 5-38, Narodowy Bank Polski.
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Alejandro Iván Aguirre Salado & Humberto Vaquera Huerta & Martha Elva Ramírez Guzmán & José René Valdez Lazalde & Carlos Arturo Aguirre Salado, 2013. "Value-at-Risk-Estimation in the Mexican Stock Exchange Using Conditional Heteroscedasticity Models and Theory of Extreme Values," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, vol. 0(1), pages 177-205., January-J.
Víctor M. Guerrero, 2013. "Predictive Ability of the Composed Cyclical Indices for the Turning Points of the Mexican Economy," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, vol. 0(1), pages 47-99, January-J.
Claudia Foroni & Eric Ghysels & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013. "Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregressive Models☆This views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Norges Bank. The usual disclaimers apply," Advances in Econometrics, in: VAR Models in Macroeconomics – New Developments and Applications: Essays in Honor of Christopher A. Sims, volume 32, pages 247-272, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
Ivan Jeliazkov, 2013. "Nonparametric Vector Autoregressions: Specification, Estimation, and Inference," Advances in Econometrics, in: VAR Models in Macroeconomics – New Developments and Applications: Essays in Honor of Christopher A. Sims, volume 32, pages 327-359, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
Leonardo Morales‐Arias & Guilherme V. Moura, 2013. "A conditionally heteroskedastic global inflation model," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(4), pages 572-596, August.
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Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013. "A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data," Working Paper 2013/06, Norges Bank.
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Paul Hubert, 2014. "FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(7), pages 1381-1420, October.
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Andrew Foerster & Juan F. Rubio‐Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2016. "Perturbation methods for Markov‐switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 7(2), pages 637-669, July.
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- Andrew T. Foerster & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2013. "Perturbation methods for Markov-switching DSGE model," Research Working Paper RWP 13-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Andrew Foerster & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2013. "Perturbation methods for Markov-switching DSGE models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2013-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Andrew Foerster & Juan Rubio-Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2014. "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," NBER Working Papers 20390, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Fabia Gumbau-Brisa & Giovanni P. Olivei, 2013. "An evaluation of the Federal Reserve estimates of the natural rate of unemployment in real time," Working Papers 13-24, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
Robert Kollmann, 2013. "Tractable latent state filtering for non-linear DSGE models using a second-order Approximation," CAMA Working Papers 2013-29, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
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Christine Garnier & Elmar Mertens & Edward Nelson, 2015. "Trend Inflation in Advanced Economies," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(4), pages 65-136, September.
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Andrew Foerster & Juan F. Rubio‐Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2016. "Perturbation methods for Markov‐switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 7(2), pages 637-669, July.
- Tao Zha & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Andrew T. Foerster, 2010. "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching Models," 2010 Meeting Papers 239, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Andrew T. Foerster & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2013. "Perturbation methods for Markov-switching DSGE model," Research Working Paper RWP 13-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Andrew Foerster & Juan Rubio-Ramirez & Dan Waggoner & Ta Zha, 2013. "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," Working Papers 2013-22, FEDEA.
- Andrew T. Foerster & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2014. "Perturbation methods for Markov-switching DSGE models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2014-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Zha, Tao & Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & , & Foerster, Andrew, 2013. "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 9464, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrew Foerster & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2013. "Perturbation methods for Markov-switching DSGE models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2013-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Andrew Foerster & Juan Rubio-Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2014. "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," NBER Working Papers 20390, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Marco Del Negro & Marc P. Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2015. "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 168-196, January.
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Andrade, Philippe & Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Moench, Emanuel, 2016. "Fundamental disagreement," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 106-128.
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Sergey Tsukhlo, 2013. "Russian Industrial Enterprises (on the Basis of the Surveys) in 2012," Published Papers 157, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2013.
Brinca, Pedro, 2014. "Distortions in the neoclassical growth model: A cross-country analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 1-19.
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- Pedro Brinca, 2013. "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross-Country Analysis," GEMF Working Papers 2013-24, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
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Brinca, Pedro, 2014. "Distortions in the neoclassical growth model: A cross-country analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 1-19.
- Brinca, Pedro, 2013. "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross-Country Analysis," Research Papers in Economics 2013:13, Stockholm University, Department of Economics.
- Pedro Brinca, 2013. "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross-Country Analysis," GEMF Working Papers 2013-24, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
- Pedro Miguel Soares Brinca, 2013. "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross Country Analysis," 2013 Papers pbr150, Job Market Papers.
Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013. "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers 201316, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl, 2013. "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers 2013-5, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013. "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers 201305, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
Peter Fuleky & Carl, 2013. "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers 2013-5, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013. "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers 201305, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013. "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers 201316, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
Inna Cintina, 2013. "Behind-the-counter, but Over-the-border? The Assessment of the Spillover Effect of Increased Availability of Emergency Contraception in Washington on Neighboring States," Working Papers 201308, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
Peter Fuleky & Carl, 2013. "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers 2013-5, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013. "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers 201316, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013. "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers 201305, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
Agnello, Luca & Dufrénot, Gilles & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2013. "Using time-varying transition probabilities in Markov switching processes to adjust US fiscal policy for asset prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 25-36.
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Marie Bessec, 2013. "Short‐Term Forecasts of French GDP: A Dynamic Factor Model with Targeted Predictors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), pages 500-511, September.
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Fondeur, Y. & Karamé, F., 2013. "Can Google data help predict French youth unemployment?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 117-125.
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Ferrara, Laurent & Marsilli, Clément & Ortega, Juan-Pablo, 2014. "Forecasting growth during the Great Recession: is financial volatility the missing ingredient?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 44-50.
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De Graeve, Ferre & Westermark, Andreas, 2013. "Un-truncating VARs," Working Paper Series 271, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
Brinca, Pedro, 2014. "Distortions in the neoclassical growth model: A cross-country analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 1-19.
- Pedro Brinca, 2013. "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross-Country Analysis," GEMF Working Papers 2013-24, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
- Brinca, Pedro, 2013. "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross-Country Analysis," Research Papers in Economics 2013:13, Stockholm University, Department of Economics.
- Pedro Miguel Soares Brinca, 2013. "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross Country Analysis," 2013 Papers pbr150, Job Market Papers.
Vladimir Kossov & Elena Kossova, 2013. "International dispersion of retail diesel fuel prices and the estimation of normal price values," HSE Working papers WP BRP 27/EC/2013, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
Bulat Gafarov, 2013. "Do unobserved components models forecast inflation in Russia?," HSE Working papers WP BRP 35/EC/2013, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
Oxana Malakhovskaya & Alexey Minabutdinov, 2014. "Are commodity price shocks important? A Bayesian estimation of a DSGE model for Russia," International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(1/2), pages 148-180.
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Oana Camelia Iacob & Ana-Maria VOlintiru & Andrei Mihai Cristea, 2013. "Efficiency of economic development models," Hyperion Economic Journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Hyperion University of Bucharest, Romania, vol. 1(1), pages 32-41, March.
Sergio Ocampo Diaz, 2013. "Rule-of-Thumb Consumers, Nominal Rigidities and the Design of Interest Rate Rules," Research Department Publications IDB-WP-400, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
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Oviedo, Marcelo P. & Andrian, Leandro Gaston, 2013. "Terms of Trade and Fiscal Sustainability when the Sovereign Exploits a Natural Resource," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 4656, Inter-American Development Bank.
Sergio Ocampo Diaz, 2013. "Rule-of-Thumb Consumers, Nominal Rigidities and the Design of Interest Rate Rules," Research Department Publications IDB-WP-400, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
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Marcelo P. Oviedo & Leandro Andrian, 2013. "Terms of Trade and Fiscal Sustainability when the Sovereign Exploits a Natural Resource," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 82893, Inter-American Development Bank.
Ocampo Díaz, Sergio, 2013. "Rule-of-Thumb Consumers, Nominal Rigidities and the Design of Interest Rate Rules," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 4627, Inter-American Development Bank.
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Pablo Pincheira, 2013. "Conditional Predictive Ability of Exchange Rates in Long Run Regressions," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 28(2), pages 3-35, October.
Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Felipe Pinto, 2013. "Impacto Macroeconómico del Retraso en las Inversiones de Generación Eléctrica en Chile," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv289, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
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Renato Agurto & Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Esteban Skoknic, 2013. "Impacto Macroeconómico del Retraso en las Inversiones de Generación Eléctrica en Chile," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv288, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
- Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Felipe Pinto, 2013. "Impacto Macroeconómico del Retraso en las Inversiones de Generación Eléctrica en Chile," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv289, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
Renato Agurto & Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Esteban Skoknic, 2013. "Power Generation and the Business Cycle: The Impact of Delaying Investment," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv290, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
Matheson, Troy & Stavrev, Emil, 2013. "The Great Recession and the inflation puzzle," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 468-472.
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Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Loungani, Prakash & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2013. "Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel," Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79936, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
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Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Loungani, Prakash & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2013. "Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79936, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
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Matheson, Troy & Stavrev, Emil, 2013. "The Great Recession and the inflation puzzle," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 468-472.
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Alexander Herzog-Stein & Fabian Lindner & Simon Sturn, 2013. "Explaining the German Employment Miracle in the Great Recession – The Crucial Role of Temporary Working Time Reductions," IMK Working Paper 114-2013, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
Antonio Bassanetti & Michele Caivano & Alberto Locarno, 2010. "Modelling Italian potential output and the output gap," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 771, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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Marco Cacciotti & Cecilia Frale & Serena Teobaldo, 2013. "A new methodology for a quarterly measure of the output gap," Working Papers 6, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
Katja Drechsel & R. Scheufele, 2013. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," IWH Discussion Papers 7, Halle Institute for Economic Research.
AK Konjunktur, 2013. "Konjunkturelle Flaute zum Jahresende 2012 – aber auch Anzeichen für eine mäßige Brise im neuen Jahr," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research, issue 1, pages 4-5.
Kin-Yip Ho & Albert K. Tsui & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2013. "Conditional Volatility Asymmetry Of Business Cycles: Evidence From Four Oecd Countries," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 38(3), pages 33-56, September.
Brinca, Pedro, 2014. "Distortions in the neoclassical growth model: A cross-country analysis," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 1-19.
- Brinca, Pedro, 2013. "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross-Country Analysis," Research Papers in Economics 2013:13, Stockholm University, Department of Economics.
- Pedro Miguel Soares Brinca, 2013. "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross Country Analysis," 2013 Papers pbr150, Job Market Papers.
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Klaus Weyerstrass & Reinhard Neck, 2013. "A young EU member’s ageing: budgetary and macroeconomic consequences of Slovenia’s demographic prospects," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 40(3), pages 427-456, August.
Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2013. "Trade-Off of Fiscal Austerity in the European Debt Crisis in Slovenia," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 19(4), pages 367-380, November.
Eduardo Giménez & José Martín-Moreno, 2013. "Transmission mechanisms of real stochastic shocks in a small open economy," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 217-245, June.
Jan Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2013. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What They Are and What They Do," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 147-163, February.
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Lukas Vogel & Werner Roeger & Bernhard Herz, 2013. "The Performance of Simple Fiscal Policy Rules in Monetary Union," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 165-196, February.
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Sushanta Mallick & Ricardo Sousa, 2013. "Commodity Prices, Inflationary Pressures, and Monetary Policy: Evidence from BRICS Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 677-694, September.
Janet Koech & Mark Wynne, 2013. "Core Import Price Inflation in the United States," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 717-730, September.
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Barsoum, Fady & Stankiewicz, Sandra, 2015. "Forecasting GDP growth using mixed-frequency models with switching regimes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 33-50.
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Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013. "Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Extended Phillips Curve Models with non-filtered Data," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1321, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Roland Aeppli & Erdal Atukeren & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lam, 2013. "Schweiz profitiert von Belebung der Weltwirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 7(1), pages 1-74, March.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Roland Aeppli & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosch &, 2013. "Schweizer Wirtschaft wächst trotz Rezession in Europa," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 7(2), pages 1-29, June.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Günther Greulich & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosc, 2013. "Schweizer Wirtschaft auf Expansionskurs," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 7(3), pages 1-102, September.
Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth, 2013. "Gute Konjunkturaussichten für die Schweizer Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 7(4), pages 1-29, December.
Carsten Croonenbroeck, 2013. "Evaluating Phillips Curve Based Inflation Forecasts in Europe: A Note," Credit and Capital Markets, Credit and Capital Markets, vol. 46(1), pages 79-93.
Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013. "Modeling and Simulation: An Overview," Working Papers in Economics 13/18, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
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- Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013. "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-069/III, Tinbergen Institute.
Yue ZHAO, 2013. "Role of Financial and Productivity Shocks in the US and Japan: A Two-Country Economy," KIER Working Papers 881, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013. "Inflation fan charts, monetary policy and skew normal distribution," Discussion Papers in Economics 13/06, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2014. "Term Structure Of Inflation Forecast Uncertainties And Skew Normal Distributions," Discussion Papers in Economics 14/01, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Díaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2015. "Ex-post Inflation Forecast Uncertainty and Skew Normal Distribution: ‘Back from the Future’ Approach," Discussion Papers in Economics 15/09, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013. "Too many skew normal distributions? The practitioner’s perspective," Discussion Papers in Economics 13/07, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Díaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2015. "Choosing the Right Skew Normal Distribution: the Macroeconomist’ Dilemma," Discussion Papers in Economics 15/08, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
Saira Tufail & Sadia Batool, 2013. "An Analysis of the Relationship between Inflation and Gold Prices: Evidence from Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 18(2), pages 1-35, July-Dec.
Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 226-254, May.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 16(2), pages 226-254, May.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2012. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," CESifo Working Paper Series 3956, CESifo.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013. "Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors," Discussion Papers in Economics 17104, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors," ERSA conference papers ersa13p15, European Regional Science Association.
Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013. "Probability and Severity of Recessions," CIRANO Working Papers 2013s-43, CIRANO.
- Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013. "Probability and Severity of Recessions," Cahiers de recherche 1341, CIRPEE.
Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Peter Tillmann, 2013. "Using forecasts to uncover the loss function of FOMC members," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201302, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
Shakeri , Abbas & Ahmadian , Azam, 2013. "A Model of Financial Shocks at Bank and Interbank of Iran (DSGE)," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 8(4), pages 19-58, October.
Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013. "Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real‐Time Out‐of‐Sample Examination," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2‐3), pages 449-463, March.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013. "Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2-3), pages 449-463, March.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2010. "Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination," Working Paper 2010/18, Norges Bank.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2011. "Oil and US GDP: A Real-Time out-of Sample Examination," Working Papers No 2/2011, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Costas KARFAKIS & Constantinos KATRAKILIDIS & Eftychia TSANANA, 2014. "Does output predict unemployment? A look at Okun's law in Greece," International Labour Review, International Labour Organization, vol. 153(3), pages 421-433, September.
- Costas Karfakis & Konstantinos Katrakilidis & Eftychia Tsanana, 2013. "Does Output Predict Unemployment? A Look at Okun’s Law in Greece," Discussion Paper Series 2013_01, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Dec 2013.
Orsolya Csortos & Zoltán Szalai, 2013. "Assessment of macroeconomic imbalance indicators," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 8(3), pages 14-24, October.
Ádám Reiff & Judit Várhegyi, 2013. "Sticky Price Inflation Index: An Alternative Core Inflation Measure," MNB Working Papers 2013/2, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
Andreas Karpf, 2013. "Herd behavior in consumer inflation expectations - Evidence from the French household survey," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 13054r, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Dec 2013.
- Andreas Karpf, 2013. "Herd behavior in consumer inflation expectations - Evidence from the French household survey," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 13054, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
Andreas Karpf, 2013. "Herd behavior in consumer inflation expectations - Evidence from the French household survey," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 13054, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
- Andreas Karpf, 2013. "Herd behavior in consumer inflation expectations - Evidence from the French household survey," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 13054r, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Dec 2013.
National Bank of Belgium, 2013. "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2013," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 07-26, December.
A. Stevens, 2013. "What inflation developments reveal about the Phillips curve: implications for monetary policy," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 67-76, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2013. "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2013," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 07-26, June.

2012

Kristensen Johannes Tang, 2014. "Factor-based forecasting in the presence of outliers: Are factors better selected and estimated by the median than by the mean?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(3), pages 309-338, May.
- Johannes Tang Kristensen, 2012. "Factor-Based Forecasting in the Presence of Outliers: Are Factors Better Selected and Estimated by the Median than by The Mean?," CREATES Research Papers 2012-28, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
John Geanakoplos & Robert Axtell & J. Doyne Farmer & Peter Howitt & Benjamin Conlee & Jonathan Goldstein & Matthew Hendrey & Nathan M. Palmer & Chun-Yi Yang, 2012. "Getting at Systemic Risk via an Agent-Based Model of the Housing Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(3), pages 53-58, May.
- John Geanakoplos & Robert Axtell & Doyne J. Farmer & Peter Howitt & Benjamin Conlee & Jonathan Goldstein & Matthew Hendrey & Nathan M. Palmer & Chun-Yi Yang, 2012. "Getting at Systemic Risk via an Agent-Based Model of the Housing Market," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1852, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
Boriss Siliverstovs, 2012. "Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 58(4), pages 299-326.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2012. "Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland," EcoMod2012 4219, EcoMod.
Araujo-Enciso, Sergio Rene, 2012. "Testing for linear and threshold cointegration under the spatial equilibrium condition," 123rd Seminar, February 23-24, 2012, Dublin, Ireland 122545, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
Mihaela Bratu (Simionescu), 2012. "Point forecasts based on the limits of the forecast intervals to improve the SPF predictions," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, vol. 8(2), pages 1-11, December.
- Bratu (Simionescu), Mihaela, 2012. "Point forecasts based on the limits of the forecast intervals to improve the SPF predictions," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center (PRADEC), vol. 8(2), pages 1-11, December.
Michael P. Clements, 2014. "US Inflation Expectations and Heterogeneous Loss Functions, 1968–2010," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 1-14, January.
- Clements, Michael P., 2012. "US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968–2010," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 986, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P., 2012. "US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968–2010," Economic Research Papers 270653, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
Seymur Agayev, 2012. "Determinants Of Inflation Rate In Transition Economies; Panel Data Analysis," Anadolu University Journal of Social Sciences, Anadolu University, vol. 12(1), pages 59-72, March.
Nebiye Yamak & Banu Tanriover, 2012. "Asymmetric Business Cycle : Theory And Application," Anadolu University Journal of Social Sciences, Anadolu University, vol. 12(2), pages 17-24, June.
José Luis Oreiro & Celso Vila Nova de Souza & Kelly Pereira Guedes & Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza, 2012. "Um Modelo Keynes-Minsky Generalizado de Flutuações Cíclicas," Economia, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 13(3b), pages 703-734.
- José Luis Oreiro & Celso Vila Nova de Souza & Kelly Pereira Guedes & Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza, 2010. "Um Modelo Keynes-Minsky Generalizado de Flutuações Cíclicas," Working papers - Textos para Discussao do Departamento de Economia da Universidade de Brasilia 337, Departamento de Economia da Universidade de Brasilia.
- José Luis Da Costa Oreiro & Sergio Rubens Stancato De Souza & Celso Vila Nova De Souza & Kelly Pereira Guedes, 2011. "Um Modelo Keynes-Minsky Generalizado Deflutuações Cíclicas," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 226, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
Christopher Heiberger & Torben Klarl & Alfred Maussner, 2012. "A Note on the Uniqueness of Solutions to Rational Expectations Models," Discussion Paper Series 319, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
Christopher Heiberger & Torben Klarl & Alfred Maussner, 2012. "System Reduction and the Accuracy of Solutions of DSGE Models: A Note," Discussion Paper Series 320, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
Christian Pierdzioch, 2012. "Macroeconomic Factors and the German Real Estate Market: A Stock-Market-Based Forecasting Experiment," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 2, pages 87-96, May.
Emilie Jašová & Božena Kaderábková, 2012. "Comparing NAIRU and Economic Cycle from the Perspective of Labour Market in the Countries of the Visegrad Group," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 4, pages 3-23.
Lise Pichette, 2012. "Extracting Information from the Business Outlook Survey Using Statistical Approaches," Discussion Papers 12-8, Bank of Canada.
Coletti, Donald & Lalonde, René & Masson, Paul & Muir, Dirk & Snudden, Stephen, 2021. "Commodities and monetary policy: Implications for inflation and price level targeting," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 982-999.
- Donald Coletti & René Lalonde & Paul Masson & Dirk Muir & Stephen Snudden, 2012. "Commodities and Monetary Policy: Implications for Inflation and Price Level Targeting," Staff Working Papers 12-16, Bank of Canada.
Lombardi, Marco J. & Godbout, Claudia, 2012. "Short-term forecasting of the Japanese economy using factor models," Working Paper Series 1428, European Central Bank.
- Claudia Godbout & Marco J. Lombardi, 2012. "Short-Term Forecasting of the Japanese Economy Using Factor Models," Staff Working Papers 12-7, Bank of Canada.
Concha Artola & Enrique Galán, 2012. "Tracking the future on the web: construction of leading indicators using internet searches," Occasional Papers 1203, Banco de España.
Cantore, Cristiano & Ferroni, Filippo & León-Ledesma, Miguel A., 2017. "The dynamics of hours worked and technology," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 67-82.
- Cristiano Cantore & Filippo Ferroni & Miguel A. León-Ledesma, 2012. "The dynamics of hours worked and technology," Working Papers 1238, Banco de España.
Guido Bulligan & Massimiliano Marcellino & Fabrizio Venditti, 2012. "Forecasting economic activity with higher frequency targeted predictors," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 847, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Alessandro Borin & Riccardo Cristadoro & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2012. "Forecasting world output: the rising importance of emerging economies," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 853, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
D’Amuri, Francesco & Marcucci, Juri, 2017. "The predictive power of Google searches in forecasting US unemployment," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 801-816.
- Francesco D'Amuri & Juri Marcucci, 2012. "The predictive power of Google searches in forecasting unemployment," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 891, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Delajara Marcelo, 2012. "Synchronization between the business cycles of Mexico and the United States. New evidence from the analysis of regional coincident indexes," Working Papers 2012-01, Banco de México.
Christian Bustamante & Luis E. Rojas, 2012. "Constant-Interest-Rate Projections and Its Indicator Properties," Borradores de Economia 9383, Banco de la Republica.
- Christian Bustamante & Luis E. Rojas, 2012. "Constant-Interest-Rate Projections and Its Indicator Properties," Borradores de Economia 696, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Sergio Ocampo Díaz, 2012. "A Model of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers With Nominal Price and Wage Rigidities," Vniversitas Económica, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá, vol. 0(0), pages 1-28, April.
- Sergio Ocampo Díaz, 2012. "A Model of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers With Nominal Price and Wage Rigidities," Borradores de Economia 9595, Banco de la Republica.
- Sergio Ocampo Díaz, 2012. "A Model of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers With Nominal Price and Wage Rigidities," Borradores de Economia 707, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Juan Pablo Zárate Perdomo & Adolfo León Cobo & José Eduardo Gómez-González, 2012. "Lecciones de las crisis financieras recientes para el diseño e implementación de las políticas monetarias," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 30(69), pages 258-293, December.
- Juan Pablo Zárate Perdomo & Adolfo León Cobo Serna & José Eduardo Gómez-González, 2012. "Lecciones de las crisis financieras recientes para el diseno e implementación de las políticas monetarias y financieras en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 30(69), pages 258-293, December.
- Juan Pablo Zárate Perdomo & Adolfo León Cobo & José Eduardo Gómez Gónzalez, 2012. "Lecciones de las crisis financieras recientes para el diseño e implementación de las políticas monetaria y financiera en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 9601, Banco de la Republica.
- Juan Pablo Zárate Perdomo & Adolfo Léon Cobo Serna & Jose Eduardo Gómez González, 2012. "Lecciones de las crisis financieras recientes para el diseño e implementación de las políticas monetaria y financiera en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 708, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Jair Ojeda-Joya & José E. Gómez-González, 2012. "The Term-Structure of Sovereign Default Risk in Colombia and its Determinants," Borradores de Economia 9603, Banco de la Republica.
- Jair Ojeda-Joya & José E. Gómez-González, 2012. "The Term-Structure of Sovereign Default Risk in Colombia and its Determinants," Borradores de Economia 709, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Carlos Gustavo Cano Sanz & Cesar Vallejo Mejía & Edgar Caicedo García & Juan Sebastian Amador Torres, 2012. "El mercado mundial del café y su impacto en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 9612, Banco de la Republica.
- Carlos Gustavo Cano Sanz & César Vallejo Mejía & Edgar Caicedo García & Juan Sebastian Amador Torres & Evelyn Yohana Tique Calderón, 2012. "El mercado mundial del café y su impacto en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 710, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2014. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms Using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 32(73), pages 77-86, July.
- Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2014. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms Using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 32(73), pages 77-86, July.
- Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2012. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Borradores de Economia 9826, Banco de la Republica.
- Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2012. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Borradores de Economia 723, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 30(69), pages 14-66, December.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González & Enrique López & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 30(69), pages 14-66, December.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés gonzález & Enrique López & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Borradores de Economia 9884, Banco de la Republica.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González & Enrique López & Norberto Rodíguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Borradores de Economia 728, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
González-Gómez, Andrés & Ocampo, Sergio & Rodríguez, Diego & Rodríguez-Niño, Norberto, 2012. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Chapters, in: Arango-Thomas, Luis Eduardo & Hamann-Salcedo, Franz Alonso (ed.), El mercado de trabajo en Colombia : hechos, tendencias e instituciones, chapter 11, pages 431-483, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 30(68), pages 218-272, June.
- Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 30(68), pages 218-272, June.
- Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez, 2011. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Borradores de Economia 8890, Banco de la Republica.
- Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez, 2011. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Borradores de Economia 663, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González & Enrique López & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 30(69), pages 14-66, December.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 30(69), pages 14-66, December.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González & Enrique López & Norberto Rodíguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Borradores de Economia 728, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés gonzález & Enrique López & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Borradores de Economia 9884, Banco de la Republica.
Simon Dubecq & Christian Gouriéroux, 2012. "Shock on Variable or Shock on Distribution with Application to Stress-Tests," Working Papers 2012-03, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
- Dubecq, S. & Gourieroux, C., 2012. "Shock on Variable or Shock on Distribution with Application to Stress-Tests," Working papers 368, Banque de France.
Ferrara, Laurent & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mogliani, Matteo, 2015. "Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 664-679.
- Ferrara, L. & Marcellino, M. & Mogliani, M., 2012. "Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?," Working papers 383, Banque de France.
- Laurent Ferrara & Massimiliano Marcellino & Matteo Mogliani, 2015. "Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: the return of non-linearity?," Post-Print hal-01635951, HAL.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Ferrara, Laurent & Mogliani, Matteo, 2013. "Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?," CEPR Discussion Papers 9313, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Marie Bessec & Othman Bouabdallah, 2015. "Forecasting GDP over the Business Cycle in a Multi-Frequency and Data-Rich Environment," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(3), pages 360-384, June.
- Bessec, M. & Bouabdallah, O., 2012. "Forecasting GDP over the business cycle in a multi-frequency and data-rich environment," Working papers 384, Banque de France.
- Marie Bessec & Othman Bouabdallah, 2015. "Forecasting GDP over the business cycle in a multi-frequency and data-rich environment," Post-Print hal-01275760, HAL.
Denis Beau & Christophe Cahn & Laurent Clerc & Benoît Mojon, 2014. "Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Sofía Bauducco & Lawrence Christiano & Claudio Raddatz (ed.),Macroeconomic and Financial Stability: challenges for Monetary Policy, edition 1, volume 19, chapter 9, pages 273-314, Central Bank of Chile.
- Beau, D. & Clerc, L. & Mojon, B., 2011. "Macro-prudential policy and the conduct of monetary policy," Occasional papers 8, Banque de France.
- Beau, D. & Clerc, L. & Mojon, B., 2012. "Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy," Working papers 390, Banque de France.
- Denis Beau & Christophe Cahn & Laurent Clerc & Benoît Mojon, 2013. "Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 715, Central Bank of Chile.
Andrade, P. & Ghysels, E. & Idier, J., 2012. "Tails of Inflation Forecasts and Tales of Monetary Policy," Working papers 407, Banque de France.
Marie Bessec, 2013. "Short‐Term Forecasts of French GDP: A Dynamic Factor Model with Targeted Predictors," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), pages 500-511, September.
- Bessec, M., 2012. "Short-term forecasts of French GDP: a dynamic factor model with targeted predictors," Working papers 409, Banque de France.
- Marie Bessec, 2013. "Short-term forecasts of French GDP: A dynamic factor model with targeted predictors," Post-Print hal-01515605, HAL.
Laurent Ferrara, 2012. "Prévoir le cycle économique. Synthèse du huitième séminaire de l’International Institute of Forecasters organisé par la Banque de France les 1er et 2 décembre 2011 à Paris," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 187, pages 63-69.
Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius, 2012. "Do debt service costs affect macroeconomic and financial stability?," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
Domić Alan, 2012. "An application of New Keynesian models to inflation in Croatia," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 3(2), pages 6-13, September.
Michael W. M. Roos & Ulrich Schmidt, 2012. "The Importance of Time‐Series Extrapolation for Macroeconomic Expectations," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 13(2), pages 196-210, May.
- Roos, Michael W.M. & Schmidt, Ulrich, 2011. "The importance of time series extrapolation for macroeconomic expectations," Kiel Working Papers 1723, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Sumru Altug & Bilin Neyapti & Mustafa Emin, 2012. "Institutions and Business Cycles," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(3), pages 347-366, December.
- Sumru Altug & Mustafa Emin & Bilin Neyapti, 2011. "Institutions and Business Cycles," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1109, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Altug, Sumru & Neyapti, Bilin & Emin, Mustafa, 2012. "Institutions and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 8728, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Hilde C. Bjørnland & Karsten Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Christie Smith & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2012. "Does Forecast Combination Improve Norges Bank Inflation Forecasts?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 74(2), pages 163-179, April.
- Hilde C. Bjørnland & Karsten Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Christie Smith & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2009. "Does forecast combination improve Norges Bank inflation forecasts?," Working Paper 2009/01, Norges Bank.
- Hilde C. BjÃ¸rnland & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Christie Smith, 2010. "Does forecast combination improve Norges Bank inflation forecasts?," Working Papers No 2/2010, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Michael Ehrmann & Sylvester Eijffinger & Marcel Fratzscher, 2012. "The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 114(3), pages 1018-1052, September.
- Eijffinger, Sylvester & Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2009. "The role of central bank transparency for guiding private sector forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 7585, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ehrmann, Michael & Eijffinger, Sylvester & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2010. "The role of central bank transparency for guiding private sector forecasts," Working Paper Series 1146, European Central Bank.
Audrone Jakaitiene & Stephane Dees, 2012. "Forecasting the World Economy in the Short Term," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 331-350, March.
- Jakaitiene, Audrone & Dées, Stéphane, 2009. "Forecasting the world economy in the short-term," Working Paper Series 1059, European Central Bank.
Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 402-412.
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Barnett, Alina & Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2014. "Forecasting UK GDP growth and inflation under structural change. A comparison of models with time-varying parameters," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 129-143.
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Korte, Niko, 2012. "Predictive power of confidence indicators for the Russian economy," BOFIT Discussion Papers 15/2012, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
Ponomarenko, Alexey, 2013. "Early warning indicators of asset price boom/bust cycles in emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 92-106.
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Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2014. "Inflation and output growth uncertainty in individual survey expectations," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 41(1), pages 69-81, February.
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Eyal Argov & Emanuel Barnea & Alon Binyamini & Eliezer Borenstein & David Elkayam & Irit Rozenshtrom, 2012. "MOISE: A DSGE Model for the Israeli Economy," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2012.06, Bank of Israel.
Eyal Argov & Alon Binyamini & Eliezer Borenstein & Irit Rozenshtrom, 2012. "Ex-Post Evaluation of Monetary Policy," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2012.07, Bank of Israel.
Keewha Kim, 2012. "Oil Price Shocks and the Macroeconomic Activity: Analyzing Transmission Channels using the New Keynesian Structural Model (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 18(1), pages 1-29, March.
M. Falagiarda & M. Marzo, 2012. "A DSGE model with Endogenous Term Structure," Working Papers wp830, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
Richard W. Evans & Kerk L. Phillips, 2012. "Simulating Utah State Pension Reform," BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory Working Paper Series 2012-01, Brigham Young University, Department of Economics, BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory.
Bermingham, Colin & Coates, Dermot & Larkin, John & O'Brien, Derry & O'Reilly, Gerard, 2012. "Explaining Irish Inflation During the Financial Crisis," Research Technical Papers 09/RT/12, Central Bank of Ireland.
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Bermingham, Colin & Coates, Dermot & Larkin, John & O'Brien, Derry & O'Reilly, Gerard, 2012. "Explaining Irish Inflation during the Financial Crisis," Economic Letters 13/EL/12, Central Bank of Ireland.
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Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2014. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review Of Some Recent Developments," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 195-208, April.
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Liu, Chunping & Minford, Patrick, 2014. "Comparing behavioural and rational expectations for the US post-war economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 407-415.
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Hamilton, James D & Kim, Dong Heon, 2002. "A Reexamination of the Predictability of Economic Activity Using the Yield Spread," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 34(2), pages 340-360, May.
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Ritschl, Albrecht, 2012. "Reparations, deficits, and debt default: the Great Depression in Germany," Economic History Working Papers 44335, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
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Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 16(2), pages 226-254, May.
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Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2013. "Konjunkturprognosen heute – Möglichkeiten und Probleme," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(01), pages 25-32, January.
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Marc Pourroy & Benjamin Carton & Dramane Coulibaly, 2016. "Food Prices and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 146, pages 108-140.
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- Marc Pourroy & Benjamin Carton & Dramane Coulibaly, 2013. "Food Prices and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies," EconomiX Working Papers 2013-7, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
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- Marc Pourroy & Benjamin Carton & Dramane Coulibaly, 2012. "Food Prices and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 12087, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
Andrés Salamanca Lugo, 2012. "Sincronización de los Ciclos Económicos: el Caso de Colombia, Ecuador y Venezuela," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, August.
Christian Bustamante & Luis E. Rojas, 2012. "Constant-Interest-Rate Projections and Its Indicator Properties," Borradores de Economia 696, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Christian Bustamante & Luis E. Rojas, 2012. "Constant-Interest-Rate Projections and Its Indicator Properties," Borradores de Economia 9383, Banco de la Republica.
Sergio Ocampo Díaz, 2012. "A Model of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers With Nominal Price and Wage Rigidities," Vniversitas Económica, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá, vol. 0(0), pages 1-28, April.
- Sergio Ocampo Díaz, 2012. "A Model of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers With Nominal Price and Wage Rigidities," Borradores de Economia 707, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Sergio Ocampo Díaz, 2012. "A Model of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers With Nominal Price and Wage Rigidities," Borradores de Economia 9595, Banco de la Republica.
Juan Pablo Zárate Perdomo & Adolfo León Cobo & José Eduardo Gómez-González, 2012. "Lecciones de las crisis financieras recientes para el diseño e implementación de las políticas monetarias," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 30(69), pages 258-293, December.
- Juan Pablo Zárate Perdomo & Adolfo León Cobo Serna & José Eduardo Gómez-González, 2012. "Lecciones de las crisis financieras recientes para el diseno e implementación de las políticas monetarias y financieras en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 30(69), pages 258-293, December.
- Juan Pablo Zárate Perdomo & Adolfo Léon Cobo Serna & Jose Eduardo Gómez González, 2012. "Lecciones de las crisis financieras recientes para el diseño e implementación de las políticas monetaria y financiera en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 708, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Juan Pablo Zárate Perdomo & Adolfo León Cobo & José Eduardo Gómez Gónzalez, 2012. "Lecciones de las crisis financieras recientes para el diseño e implementación de las políticas monetaria y financiera en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 9601, Banco de la Republica.
Jair Ojeda-Joya & José E. Gómez-González, 2012. "The Term-Structure of Sovereign Default Risk in Colombia and its Determinants," Borradores de Economia 709, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
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Carlos Gustavo Cano Sanz & César Vallejo Mejía & Edgar Caicedo García & Juan Sebastian Amador Torres & Evelyn Yohana Tique Calderón, 2012. "El mercado mundial del café y su impacto en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 710, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Carlos Gustavo Cano Sanz & Cesar Vallejo Mejía & Edgar Caicedo García & Juan Sebastian Amador Torres, 2012. "El mercado mundial del café y su impacto en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 9612, Banco de la Republica.
Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2014. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms Using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 32(73), pages 77-86, July.
- Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2014. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms Using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 32(73), pages 77-86, July.
- Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2012. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Borradores de Economia 723, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Alexander Guarín & Andrés González & Daphné Skandalis & Daniela Sánchez, 2012. "An Early Warning Model for Predicting Credit Booms using Macroeconomic Aggregates," Borradores de Economia 9826, Banco de la Republica.
Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 30(69), pages 14-66, December.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González & Enrique López & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 30(69), pages 14-66, December.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González & Enrique López & Norberto Rodíguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Borradores de Economia 728, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés gonzález & Enrique López & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Borradores de Economia 9884, Banco de la Republica.
González-Gómez, Andrés & Ocampo, Sergio & Rodríguez, Diego & Rodríguez-Niño, Norberto, 2012. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Chapters, in: Arango-Thomas, Luis Eduardo & Hamann-Salcedo, Franz Alonso (ed.), El mercado de trabajo en Colombia : hechos, tendencias e instituciones, chapter 11, pages 431-483, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 30(68), pages 218-272, June.
- Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 30(68), pages 218-272, June.
- Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez, 2011. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Borradores de Economia 663, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez, 2011. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Borradores de Economia 8890, Banco de la Republica.
Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 30(69), pages 14-66, December.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González & Enrique López & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 30(69), pages 14-66, December.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés gonzález & Enrique López & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Borradores de Economia 9884, Banco de la Republica.
- Juan José Echavarría & Andrés González & Enrique López & Norberto Rodíguez, 2012. "Choques internacionales reales y financieros y su impacto sobre la economía colombiana," Borradores de Economia 728, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Lanteri, Luis N., 2012. "Determinantes de los precios reales de las materias primas agrícolas. El papel de los inventarios y de los factores macroeconómicos (1960-2010)," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, October.
Oscar Andrés Espinosa Acuna - Paola Andrea Vaca González, 2012. "Impacto de los precios internacionales del petróleo WTI y los alimentos en la inflación y en el crecimiento sectorial y macroeconómico en Colombia. Un análisis para el siglo XXI," Econógrafos, Escuela de Economía 10034, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
Camilo Fabiam Gómez Segura, Oscar Hernán Cerquera Losada, Cristian Felipe Orjuela Yacue, 2012. "Racionalidad incompleta: una nueva forma de analizar las crisis económicas," Revista CIFE, Universidad Santo Tomás, December.
Sergio Ocampo Díaz, 2012. "A Model of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers With Nominal Price and Wage Rigidities," Vniversitas Económica, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá, vol. 0(0), pages 1-28, April.
- Sergio Ocampo Díaz, 2012. "A Model of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers With Nominal Price and Wage Rigidities," Borradores de Economia 9595, Banco de la Republica.
- Sergio Ocampo Díaz, 2012. "A Model of Rule-of-Thumb Consumers With Nominal Price and Wage Rigidities," Borradores de Economia 707, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Jacobo Campo Robledo & Mónica Enciso Pulido & Andrés Acosta Hernández, 2013. "Sistema de inferencia difuso para la inflación en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 31(71), pages 73-84, June.
- Mónica Enciso Pulido & Andrés Acosta Hernández & Jacobo Campo Robledo, 2013. "Sistema de inferencia difuso para la inflación en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 31(71), pages 73-84, June.
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Alessandro Flamini & Guido Ascari & Lorenza Rossi, 2012. "Industrial Transformation, Heterogeneity in Price Stickiness, and the Great Moderation," DEM Working Papers Series 025, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
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Sumru Altug & Bilin Neyapti & Mustafa Emin, 2012. "Institutions and Business Cycles," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(3), pages 347-366, December.
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- Altug, Sumru & Neyapti, Bilin & Emin, Mustafa, 2012. "Institutions and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 8728, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2015. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 436-451, May.
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- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 8755, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-002, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," NBER Working Papers 18467, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,35, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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Mitra, Kaushik & Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2012. "Baysian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-11, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
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BaÅ„bura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 195-237, Elsevier.
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- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series 1564, European Central Bank.
Liu, Chunping & Minford, Patrick, 2014. "Comparing behavioural and rational expectations for the US post-war economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 407-415.
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- Minford, Patrick & Liu, Chunping, 2012. "Comparing behavioural and rational expectations for the US post-war economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 9132, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Dubecq, S. & Gourieroux, C., 2012. "Shock on Variable or Shock on Distribution with Application to Stress-Tests," Working papers 368, Banque de France.
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Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Mikusheva, Anna & Ng, Serena, 2012. "Estimators For Persistent And Possibly Nonstationary Data With Classical Properties," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(5), pages 1003-1036, October.
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John Geanakoplos & Robert Axtell & J. Doyne Farmer & Peter Howitt & Benjamin Conlee & Jonathan Goldstein & Matthew Hendrey & Nathan M. Palmer & Chun-Yi Yang, 2012. "Getting at Systemic Risk via an Agent-Based Model of the Housing Market," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(3), pages 53-58, May.
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Dorothea Lucke, 2012. "German Industry - a Tower of Strength?," DIW Economic Bulletin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 2(1), pages 15-23.
Dorothea Lucke, 2012. "Deutsche Industrie stemmt sich gegen die Krise im Euroraum," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 79(48), pages 16-24.
Pierre Lafourcade & Joris de Wind, 2012. "Taking Trends Seriously in DSGE Models: An Application to the Dutch Economy," DNB Working Papers 345, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
Dmitri Blueschke & Viktoria Blueschke-Nikolaeva & Reinhard Neck & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2012. "Macroeconomic Policies for Slovenia after the “Great Recession”," Eurasian Economic Review, Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 2(2), pages 54-93, Fall.
Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2015. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 436-451, May.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," NBER Working Papers 18467, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-002, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2012. "Prior selection for vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series 1494, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio, 2012. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 8755, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
BaÅ„bura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 195-237, Elsevier.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Banbura, Marta, 2012. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," CEPR Discussion Papers 9112, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013. "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series 1564, European Central Bank.
- Martha Banbura & Domenico Giannone & Michèle Modugno & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-026, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & George Perendia & Bo Yang, 2012. "Endogenous Persistence in an estimated DSGE Model Under Imperfect Information," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 122(565), pages 1287-1312, December.
- Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & George Perendia & Bo Yang, 2010. "Endogenous Persistence in an Estimated DSGE Model under Imperfect Information," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0310, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Muhammed Monjurul Quadir, 2012. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables On Stock Returns on Dhaka Stock Exchange," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 2(4), pages 480-487.
Honkapohja, Seppo & Sargent, Thomas & Evans, George W. & Williams, Noah, 2012. "Bayesian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection," CEPR Discussion Papers 8917, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Mitra, Kaushik & Evans, George W. & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2012. "Baysian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-11, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2013. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 94-106, January.
- Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Working Papers 1202, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A New Model Of Trend Inflation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-12, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," CAMA Working Papers 2012-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A new model of trend inflation," MPRA Paper 39496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 185-198.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," MPRA Paper 38591, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-14, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 11_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Working Papers 2012_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2012. "The dynamics of UK and US inflation expectations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3120-3133.
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2008. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," SIRE Discussion Papers 2008-59, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2012. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-46, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2011. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 1120, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2011. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-47, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2009. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," Working Paper series 14_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2012. "The dynamics of UK and US inflation expectations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3120-3133.
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2008. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," SIRE Discussion Papers 2008-59, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2011. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-47, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2011. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 1120, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2012. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-46, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2009. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," Working Paper series 14_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Cantore, C. & Levine, P., 2012. "Getting normalization right: Dealing with ‘dimensional constants’ in macroeconomics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 1931-1949.
- Cantore, Cristiano & Levine, Paul, 2011. "Getting Normalization Right: Dealing with ‘Dimensional Constants’ in Macroeconomics," Dynare Working Papers 9, CEPREMAP.
- Cristiano Cantore & Paul Levine, 2011. "Getting Normalization Right: Dealing with 'Dimensional Constants' in Macroeconomics," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0511, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Damjanovic, Vladislav & Nolan, Charles, 2012. "S,s pricing in a dynamic equilibrium model with heterogeneous sectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 550-567.
Bao, Te & Hommes, Cars & Sonnemans, Joep & Tuinstra, Jan, 2012. "Individual expectations, limited rationality and aggregate outcomes," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1101-1120.
- Bao, T. & Hommes, C.H. & Sonnemans, J. & Tuinstra, J., 2010. "Individual Expectations, Limited Rationality and Aggregate Outcomes," CeNDEF Working Papers 10-07, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- Te Bao & Cars Hommes & Joep Sonnemans & Jan Tuinstra, 2012. "Individual Expectations, Limited Rationality and Aggregate Outcomes," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-016/1, Tinbergen Institute.
Kollmann, Robert & Zeugner, Stefan, 2012. "Leverage as a predictor for real activity and volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1267-1283.
- Kollmann, Robert & Zeugner, Stefan, 2011. "Leverage as a Predictor for Real Activity and Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 8327, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Robert Kollmann & Stefan Zeugner, 2011. "Leverage as a Predictor for Real Activity and Volatility," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2011-009, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Arora, Vipin & Tyers, Rod, 2012. "Asset arbitrage and the price of oil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 142-150.
Argov, Eyal, 2012. "The choice of a foreign price measure in a Bayesian estimated new-Keynesian model for Israel," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 408-420.
- Eyal Argov, 2009. "The Choice of a Foreign Price Measure in a Bayesian Estimated New-Keynesian Model for Israel," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2009.04, Bank of Israel.
Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2012. "How do central banks react to wealth composition and asset prices?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 641-653.
- Vítor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2010. "How Do Central Banks React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," NIPE Working Papers 26/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Vitor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2010. "How Do Central Banks React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," GEMF Working Papers 2010-19, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
Ibarra, Raul, 2012. "Do disaggregated CPI data improve the accuracy of inflation forecasts?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1305-1313.
Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Scharff, Juliane & Scheufele, Rolf, 2012. "The Halle Economic Projection Model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 1461-1472.
Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2012. "An empirical investigation of causality between producers' price and consumers' price indices in Australia in frequency domain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1571-1578.
Brunhes-Lesage, Véronique & Darné, Olivier, 2012. "Nowcasting the French index of industrial production: A comparison from bridge and factor models," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2174-2182.
Lombardo, Giovanni & McAdam, Peter, 2012. "Financial market frictions in a model of the Euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2460-2485.
- McAdam, Peter & Lombardo, Giovanni, 2012. "Financial market frictions in a model of the euro area," Working Paper Series 1423, European Central Bank.
Mandler, Martin, 2012. "Decomposing Federal Funds Rate forecast uncertainty using time-varying Taylor rules and real-time data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 228-245.
Krüger, Jens J. & Hoss, Julian, 2012. "German business cycle forecasts, asymmetric loss and financial variables," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 114(3), pages 284-287.
Hartmann, Matthias & Herwartz, Helmut, 2012. "Causal relations between inflation and inflation uncertainty—Cross sectional evidence in favour of the Friedman–Ball hypothesis," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 144-147.
Fendel, Ralf & Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2012. "Are heterogeneous FOMC forecasts consistent with the Fed’s monetary policy?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 5-7.
Mandler, Martin, 2012. "Inflation-regime dependent effects of monetary policy shocks. Evidence from threshold vector autoregressions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 116(3), pages 422-425.
Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2012. "Do professional forecasters in Asian–Pacific countries believe in the monetary neutrality?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 178-181.
Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012. "Who believes in the Taylor principle? Evidence from the Livingston survey," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 117(1), pages 96-98.
Levine, Paul & McAdam, Peter & Pearlman, Joseph, 2012. "Probability models and robust policy rules," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 246-262.
Sinclair, Tara M. & Gamber, Edward N. & Stekler, Herman & Reid, Elizabeth, 2012. "Jointly evaluating the Federal Reserve’s forecasts of GDP growth and inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 309-314.
- Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber & H.O. Stekler & Elizabeth Reid, 2008. "Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation," Working Papers 2008-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Mar 2011.
Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Hwang, Bruce B.K. & McAleer, Michael, 2012. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk using nonlinear regression quantiles and the intra-day range," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 557-574.
- Chen, C.W.S. & Gerlach, R. & Hwang, B.B.K. & McAleer, M.J., 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intraday Range," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2011-17, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-16, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Working Papers in Economics 11/22, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," KIER Working Papers 775, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Hong, Harrison & Yogo, Motohiro, 2012. "What does futures market interest tell us about the macroeconomy and asset prices?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(3), pages 473-490.
- Harrison Hong & Motohiro Yogo, 2011. "What Does Futures Market Interest Tell Us about the Macroeconomy and Asset Prices?," NBER Working Papers 16712, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Ng, Eric C.Y., 2012. "Forecasting US recessions with various risk factors and dynamic probit models," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 112-125.
Hendrickson, Joshua R., 2012. "An overhaul of Federal Reserve doctrine: Nominal income and the Great Moderation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 304-317.
Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2012. "How does fiscal policy react to wealth composition and asset prices?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 874-890.
- Luca Agnello & Vítor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "How Does Fiscal Policy React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," NIPE Working Papers 24/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Luca Agnello & Vitor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "How Does Fiscal Policy React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," GEMF Working Papers 2011-18, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 402-412.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011. "Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-123/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," Working Papers 2012_15, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," Working Paper 2012/04, Norges Bank.
Roy, Saktinil & Kemme, David M., 2012. "Causes of banking crises: Deregulation, credit booms and asset bubbles, then and now," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 270-294.
Nason, James M. & Tallman, Ellis W., 2015. "Business Cycles And Financial Crises: The Roles Of Credit Supply And Demand Shocks," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(4), pages 836-882, June.
- James M. Nason & Ellis W. Tallman, 2012. "Business cycles and financial crises: the roles of credit supply and demand shocks," Working Papers (Old Series) 1221, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- James M. Nason & Ellis W. Tallman, 2012. "Business Cycles and Financial Crises: The Roles of Credit Supply and Demand Shocks," CAMA Working Papers 2012-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- James M. Nason & Ellis W. Tallman, 2012. "Business cycles and financial crises: the roles of credit supply and demand shocks," Working Papers 12-24, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
Lu, Yingying & Stegman, Alison & Cai, Yiyong, 2013. "Emissions intensity targeting: From China's 12th Five Year Plan to its Copenhagen commitment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1164-1177.
- Yingying Lu & Alison Stegman & Yiyong Cai, 2012. "Emissions Intensity Targeting: From China's 12th Five Year Plan to its Copenhagen Commitment," CAMA Working Papers 2012-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Zedginidze Zviad, 2012. "Linking Macroeconomic Dynamics to Georgian Credit Portfolio Risk," EERC Working Paper Series 12/07e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
Banu TANRIOVER & Nebiye YAMAK, 2012. "Parasal Soklarin Asimetrik Etkileri: Teori ve Turkiye Uygulamasi," Ege Academic Review, Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 12(3), pages 339-350.
David O. Cushman, 2012. "Mankiw vs. DeLong and Krugman on the CEA's Real GDP Forecasts in Early 2009: What Might a Time Series Econometrician Have Said?," Econ Journal Watch, Econ Journal Watch, vol. 9(3), pages 309-349, September.
Boriss Siliverstovs, 2012. "Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 58(4), pages 299-326.
- Boriss Siliverstovs, 2012. "Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland," EcoMod2012 4219, EcoMod.
Pincheira, Pablo & García, Álvaro, 2012. "En busca de un buen marco de referencia predictivo para la inflación en Chile," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(313), pages 85-123, enero-mar.
Pedauga, Luis Enrique & Sáez, Francisco & Velázquez, Agustín, 2012. "Simulación de un modelo de equilibrio general computable para Venezuela," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(314), pages 415-448, abril-jun.
Fabio Milani & Ashish Rajbhandari, 2012. "Expectation Formation and Monetary DSGE Models: Beyond the Rational Expectations Paradigm," Advances in Econometrics, in: DSGE Models in Macroeconomics: Estimation, Evaluation, and New Developments, pages 253-288, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Fabio Milani & Ashish Rajbhandari, 2012. "Expectation Formation and Monetary DSGE Models: Beyond the Rational Expectations Paradigm," Working Papers 111212, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
Paul Levine, 2012. "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Indian Growth and Development Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(1), pages 70-88, April.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World : Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Macroeconomics Working Papers 21853, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Working Papers id:2761, eSocialSciences.
- Levine, Paul, 2010. "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: Probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Working Papers 10/72, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0210, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Paul Levine, 2012. "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Indian Growth and Development Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(1), pages 70-88, April.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World : Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Macroeconomics Working Papers 21853, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Working Papers id:2761, eSocialSciences.
- Levine, Paul, 2010. "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: Probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Working Papers 10/72, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0210, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Jihene Bousrih, 2012. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy: model of a small open economy," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(3), pages 232-246, July.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2010. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy : model of a small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00460136, HAL.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2010. "Degree of openess and inflation targeting policy : model of small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00496405, HAL.
- Bousrih Jihene, 2010. "Degree of Openness and Inflation Targeting Policy: Model of a Small Open Economy," Working Papers 2010.2, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2011. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy : model of a small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00603217, HAL.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2011. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy: Model of a small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00603207, HAL.
Fernando de Llano Paz & Anxo Calvo Silvosa & MartÃn Portos GarcÃa, 2012. "The Problem of Determining the Energy Mix: from the Portfolio Theory to the Reality of Energy Planning in the Spanish Case," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 3-30.
Jan Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2013. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What They Are and What They Do," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 147-163, February.
- Jan in 't Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2012. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What they are and what they do," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 452, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Jan in't Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2012. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What they are and what they do," Working Papers of VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics 29, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics.
- Jan in’t Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2012. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What they are and what they do," Working Papers of VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics 546211, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics.
Jan Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2013. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What They Are and What They Do," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 147-163, February.
- Jan in't Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2012. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What they are and what they do," Working Papers of VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics 29, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics.
- Jan in’t Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2012. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What they are and what they do," Working Papers of VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics 546211, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics.
- Jan in 't Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2012. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What they are and what they do," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 452, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Christian Buelens, 2012. "Inflation forecasting and the crisis: assessing the impact on the performance of different forecasting models and methods," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 451, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Jan Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2013. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What They Are and What They Do," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 147-163, February.
- Jan in't Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2012. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What they are and what they do," Working Papers of VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics 29, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics.
- Jan in 't Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2012. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What they are and what they do," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 452, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Jan in’t Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2012. "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What they are and what they do," Working Papers of VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics 546211, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), VIVES - Research Centre for Regional Economics.
João Medeiros, 2012. "Stochastic debt simulation using VAR models and a panel fiscal reaction function – results for a selected number of countries," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 459, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Jan in 't Veld & Andrea Pagano & Marco Ratto & Werner Roeger & Istvan P. Szekely, 2012. "Sovereign debt sustainability scenarios based on an estimated model for Spain," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 466, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Lukas Vogel & Werner Roeger & Bernhard Herz, 2013. "The Performance of Simple Fiscal Policy Rules in Monetary Union," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 165-196, February.
- Lukas Vogel & Werner Roeger & Bernhard Herz, 2012. "The performance of simple fiscal policy rules in monetary union," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 470, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Laura Gonzalez Cabanillas & Alessio Terzi, 2012. "The accuracy of the European Commission's forecasts re-examined," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 476, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Claudia FORONI & Massimiliano MARCELLINO, 2012. "A Comparison of Mixed Frequency Approaches for Modelling Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables," Economics Working Papers ECO2012/07, European University Institute.
Fondeur, Y. & Karamé, F., 2013. "Can Google data help predict French youth unemployment?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 117-125.
- Frédéric Karamé & Yannick Fondeur, 2012. "Can Google Data Help Predict French Youth Unemployment?," Documents de recherche 12-03, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
- Y. Fondeur & F. Karamé, 2013. "Can Google data help predict French youth unemployment?," Post-Print hal-02297071, HAL.
Joao Madeira, 2012. "Evaluating the Role of Firm-Specific Capital in New Keynesian models," Discussion Papers 1204, University of Exeter, Department of Economics.
Jan Filáček & Branislav Saxa, 2012. "Central Bank Forecasts as a Coordination Device: Evidence from the Czech Republic," Czech Economic Review, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, vol. 6(3), pages 244-264, October.
Roman Horvath, 2012. "Do Confidence Indicators Help Predict Economic Activity? The Case of the Czech Republic," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(5), pages 398-412, November.
Jakub Rysanek & Jaromir Tonner & Stanislav Tvrz & Osvald Vasicek, 2012. "Monetary Policy Implications of Financial Frictions in the Czech Republic," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(5), pages 413-429, November.
- Jakub Rysanek & Jaromir Tonner & Osvald Vasicek, 2011. "Monetary Policy Implications of Financial Frictions in the Czech Republic," Working Papers 2011/12, Czech National Bank.
Joël CARIOLLE, 2012. "Mesurer l’instabilité macroéconomique - Applications aux données de recettes d’exportation, 1970-2005," Working Papers I14, FERDI.
Joël CARIOLLE, 2012. "Measuring macroeconomic volatility - Applications to export revenue data, 1970-2005," Working Papers I14, FERDI.
Brent Meyer & Guhan Venkatu, 2012. "Trimmed-mean inflation statistics: just hit the one in the middle," Working Papers (Old Series) 1217, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Brent Meyer & Guhan Venkatu, 2014. "Trimmed-Mean Inflation Statistics: Just Hit the One in the Middle," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2014-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
Nason, James M. & Tallman, Ellis W., 2015. "Business Cycles And Financial Crises: The Roles Of Credit Supply And Demand Shocks," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(4), pages 836-882, June.
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Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015. "Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(4), pages 837-862, October.
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Janet Koech & Mark Wynne, 2013. "Core Import Price Inflation in the United States," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(4), pages 717-730, September.
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Andrea Ajello & Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2020. "Core and ‘Crust’: Consumer Prices and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(8), pages 3719-3765.
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Carlos Madeira & Basit Zafar, 2015. "Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations and Learning," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(5), pages 867-896, August.
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Nason, James M. & Tallman, Ellis W., 2015. "Business Cycles And Financial Crises: The Roles Of Credit Supply And Demand Shocks," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(4), pages 836-882, June.
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Sergey Tsukhlo, 2012. "Russian Industrial Enterprises in 2011," Published Papers 42, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2012.
Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 185-198.
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Marie Bessec & Catherine Doz, 2012. "Prévision à court terme de la croissance du PIB français à l’aide de modèles à facteurs dynamiques," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 199(1), pages 1-30.
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Marc Pourroy & Benjamin Carton & Dramane Coulibaly, 2016. "Food Prices and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 146, pages 108-140.
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Jan-Erik Antipin & Farid Jimmy Boumediene & Pär Österholm, 2014. "Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(1-2), pages 2-15, June.
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Rodrigo Mariscal & Andrew Powell, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation Risks in Latin America: A Technical Note," Research Department Publications 4785, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
Kateryna Onishchenko, 2012. "Can a pure real business cycle model explain the real exchange rate: the case of Ukraine," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(2), pages 111-135.
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Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2012. "How Informative Are Central Bank Assessments of Macroeconomic Risks?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(3), pages 87-139, September.
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Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(8), pages 2644-2678, August.
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Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015. "Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(8), pages 2644-2678, August.
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Katja Rietzler & Sabine Stephan, 2012. "Monthly recession predictions in real time: A density forecast approach for German industrial production," IMK Working Paper 94-2012, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
Thomas Theobald, 2012. "Real-time Markov Switching and Leading Indicators in Times of the Financial Crisis," IMK Working Paper 98-2012, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
Fabio Milani & Ashish Rajbhandari, 2012. "Expectation Formation and Monetary DSGE Models: Beyond the Rational Expectations Paradigm," Advances in Econometrics, in: DSGE Models in Macroeconomics: Estimation, Evaluation, and New Developments, pages 253-288, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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Cecilia Frale & Valentina Raponi, 2012. "WP 14 Revisions in official data and forecasting," Working Papers 14, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
Cecilia Frale & Valentina Raponi, 2012. "Revisions in official data and forecasting," Working Papers 3, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
Makram El-Shagi & Gregor von Schweinitz, 2012. "Qual VAR Revisited: Good Forecast, Bad Story," IWH Discussion Papers 12, Halle Institute for Economic Research.
Makram El-Shagi & Sebastian Giesen & A. Jung, 2012. "Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?," IWH Discussion Papers 5, Halle Institute for Economic Research.
Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics, 2012. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft überwindet die kurze Schwächephase," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research, vol. 18(3), pages 80-113.
Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics, 2012. "Konjunktur aktuell: Eurokrise nimmt deutscher Konjunktur den Wind aus den Segeln," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research, vol. 18(8-9), pages 228-258.
Oliver Holtemöller & Katja Drechsel & Brigitte Loose, 2012. "Mittelfristige Projektion der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research, vol. 18(8-9), pages 259-262.
Sebastian Florian Enea & Silvia Palaºcã, 2012. "Globalization Versus Segregation - Business Cycles Synchronization In Europe," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 4(4), pages 668-692, December.
Rülke Jan-Christoph, 2012. "Do Private Sector Forecasters Desire to Deviate From the German Council of Economic Experts?," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 232(4), pages 414-428, August.
Siliverstovs Boriss & Kholodilin Konstantin A., 2012. "Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 232(4), pages 429-444, August.
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Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal, 2016. "An Analytical And Numerical Search For Bifurcations In Open Economy New Keynesian Models," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(2), pages 482-503, March.
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- William Barnett & Unal Eryilmaz, 2012. "An Analytical and Numerical Search for Bifurcations in Open Economy New Keynesian Models," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201210, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2012.
Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal, 2013. "Hopf bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 401-404.
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- William Barnett & Unal Eryilmaz, 2012. "Hopf Bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler Model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201211, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 1998. "Bifurcations in Continuous-Time Macroeconomic Systems," Macroeconomics 9805018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 2000. "Unsolved Econometric Problems in Nonlinearity, Chaos, and Bifurcation," Macroeconomics 0004021, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William Barnett & Yijun He, 2012. "Unsolved Econometric Problems In Nonlinearity, Chaos, And Bifurcation," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201231, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Georg Stadtmann, 2012. "Housing Starts in Canada, Japan, and the United States: Do Forecasters Herd?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 45(3), pages 754-773, October.
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Eva Koeberl & Christian Mueller, 2012. "Catching a floating treasure," KOF Working papers 12-297, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Michael J. Lamla & Samad Sarferaz, 2012. "Updating Inflation Expectations," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201216, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Michael J. Lamla & Samad Sarferaz, 2012. "Updating inflation expectations," KOF Working papers 12-301, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Boriss Siliverstovs, 2012. "Keeping a Finger on the Pulse of the Economy," KOF Working papers 12-302, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Boriss Siliverstovs & Sergey Smirnov & Sergey Tsukhlo, 2012. "Assessing Forecasting Performance of Business Tendency Surveys during the Great Recession," KOF Working papers 12-306, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2012. "The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective," Credit and Capital Markets, Credit and Capital Markets, vol. 45(1), pages 1-26.
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Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Georg Stadtmann, 2012. "Prognosen von Metallpreisen: Asymmetrische Verlustfunktionen und Rationalität," Credit and Capital Markets, Credit and Capital Markets, vol. 45(3), pages 407-440.
Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2014. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review Of Some Recent Developments," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 195-208, April.
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- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2012. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts:A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments," KIER Working Papers 821, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
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Luis Lanteri, 2012. "Determinants of real prices of agricultural commodities. The role of inventories and macroeconomic factors (1960-2010)," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 77, pages 189-217.
Wojciech W. Charemza & Yuriy Kharin & Vladislav Maevskiy, 2014. "Bilinear Forecast Risk Assessment for Non-systematic Inflation: Theory and Evidence," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Frauke Schleer-van Gellecom (ed.), Advances in Non-linear Economic Modeling, edition 127, pages 205-232, Springer.
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Julius Stakenas, 2012. "Generating short-term forecasts of the Lithuanian GDP using factor models," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 13, Bank of Lithuania.
Ginters Buss, 2012. "A New Real-Time Indicator for the Euro Area GDP," Working Papers 2012/02, Latvijas Banka.
Ginters Buss, 2012. "Forecasting and Signal Extraction with Regularised Multivariate Direct Filter Approach," Working Papers 2012/06, Latvijas Banka.
Henning Fischer & Marta García-Bárzana & Peter Tillmann & Peter Winker, 2014. "Evaluating FOMC forecast ranges: an interval data approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 365-388, August.
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Michael J. Lamla & Samad Sarferaz, 2012. "Updating inflation expectations," KOF Working papers 12-301, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Michael J. Lamla & Samad Sarferaz, 2012. "Updating Inflation Expectations," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201216, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza, 2012. "Does the Iranian oil supply matter for the oil prices?," MPRA Paper 36030, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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Antonello D’Agostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 715-732, June.
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Paulo Júlio & Pedro M. Esperança, 2012. "Evaluating the forecast quality of GDP components: An application to G7," GEE Papers 0047, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Apr 2012.
Radim Gottwald, 2012. "Value at Risk Model Used to Stock Prices Prediction," MENDELU Working Papers in Business and Economics 2012-30, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics.
Cuddington, John T. & Zellou, Abdel M., 2013. "A simple mineral market model: Can it produce super cycles in prices?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 75-87.
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Abdel M. Zellou & John T. Cuddington, 2012. "Trends and Super Cycles in Crude Oil and Coal Prices," Working Papers 2012-10, Colorado School of Mines, Division of Economics and Business.
Wenli Cheng & Simon D. Angus, 2012. "The Cantillon Effect of Money Injection through Deficit Spending," Monash Economics Working Papers 12-12, Monash University, Department of Economics.
D.S. Poskitt & Wenying Yao, 2012. "VAR Modeling and Business Cycle Analysis: A Taxonomy of Errors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 11/12, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
Hans-Eggert Reimers, 2012. "Early Warning Indicator Model of Financial Developments Using an Ordered Logit," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 2(2), pages 171-191, December.
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National Bank of Belgium, 2012. "Economic projections for Belgium - Autumn 2012," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 07-23, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2012. "Economic projections for Belgium - Spring 2012," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-29, June.
William Poole & Robert H. Rasche & David C. Wheelock, 2013. "The Great Inflation: Did The Shadow Know Better?," NBER Chapters, in: The Great Inflation: The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking, pages 61-107, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Faust, Jon & Gupta, Abhishek, 2010. "Posterior Predictive Analysis for Evaluating DSGE Models," MPRA Paper 26721, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2012. "Disentangling the Channels of the 2007-2009 Recession," NBER Working Papers 18094, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Bennett T. McCallum, 2012. "Determinacy, Learnability, Plausibility, and the Role of Money in New Keynesian Models," NBER Working Papers 18215, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2015. "Prior Selection for Vector Autoregressions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(2), pages 436-451, May.
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Luca Agnello & Gilles Dufrénot & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2012. "Adjusting the U.S. Fiscal Policy for Asset Prices: Evidence from a TVP-MS Framework," NIPE Working Papers 20/2012, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Ricardo M. Sousa, 2012. "The Effects of Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy: The Case of Portugal," NIPE Working Papers 27/2012, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 201230, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
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Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010. "Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 621-634.
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Ray Barrell & Dawn Holland & Ian Hurst, 2012. "Fiscal Consolidation: Part 2. Fiscal Multipliers and Fiscal Consolidations," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 933, OECD Publishing.
Ivan Savin & Peter Winker, 2013. "Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2012(2), pages 67-89.
- Ivan Savin & Peter Winker, 2011. "Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201101, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Ivan Savin & Peter Winker, 2011. "Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany," Working Papers 046, COMISEF.
Marco Malgarini & Antonio Paradiso, 2012. "Measuring capacity utilisation in the italian manufacturing sector: a comparison between time series and survey estimates," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2012(2), pages 5-19.
Ellen E. Meade & Daniel L. Thornton, 2012. "The Phillips curve and US monetary policy: what the FOMC transcripts tell us," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 64(2), pages 197-216, April.
- Ellen E. Meade & Daniel L. Thornton, 2010. "The Phillips Curve and US Monetary Policy: What the FOMC Transcripts Tell Us," Working Papers 2010-18, American University, Department of Economics.
- Ellen E. Meade & Daniel L. Thornton, 2010. "The Phillips curve and US monetary policy: what the FOMC transcripts tell us," Working Papers 2010-017, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
Efrem Castelnuovo, 2013. "What does a Monetary Policy Shock Do? An International Analysis with Multiple Filters," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(5), pages 759-784, October.
- Efrem Castelnuovo, 2012. "What does a monetary policy shock do? An international analysis with multiple filters," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0145, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
Alessandro Flamini, 2012. "Heterogeneity in Sectoral Price Stickiness, Aggregate Dynamics and Monetary Policy Pitfalls with Real Shocks," DEM Working Papers Series 023, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
Guido Ascari & Alessandro Flamini & Lorenza Rossi, 2012. "Nominal Rigidities, Supply Shocks and Economic Stability," DEM Working Papers Series 024, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
Flamini, Alessandro & Ascari, Guido & Rossi, Lorenza, 2012. "Industrial Transformation, Heterogeneity in Price Stickiness, and the Great Moderation," Dynare Working Papers 24, CEPREMAP.
- Alessandro Flamini & Guido Ascari & Lorenza Rossi, 2012. "Industrial Transformation, Heterogeneity in Price Stickiness, and the Great Moderation," DEM Working Papers Series 025, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
Maertens Odria, Luís Ricardo & Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2013. "Inflation expectations formation in the presence of policy shifts and structural breaks: An experimental analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 59-67.
- Luis Ricardo Maertens & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2012. "Inflation Expectations Formation In The Presence Of Policy Shifts And Structural Breaks: An Experimental Analysis," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2012-339, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
Bratu (Simionescu), Mihaela, 2012. "Point forecasts based on the limits of the forecast intervals to improve the SPF predictions," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center (PRADEC), vol. 8(2), pages 1-11, December.
- Mihaela Bratu (Simionescu), 2012. "Point forecasts based on the limits of the forecast intervals to improve the SPF predictions," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, vol. 8(2), pages 1-11, December.
Adnan Haider & Musleh ud Din & Ejaz Ghani, 2012. "Monetary Policy, Informality and Business Cycle Fluctuations in a Developing Economy Vulnerable to External Shocks," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 609-681.
- Haider, Adnan & Din, Musleh-ud & Ghani, Ejaz, 2012. "Monetary policy, informality and business cycle fluctuations in a developing economy vulnerable to external shocks," MPRA Paper 42484, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Adnan Haider & Musleh-ud Din & Ejaz Ghani, 2013. "Monetary Policy, Informality and Business Cycle Fluctuations in a Developing Economy Vulnerable to External Shocks," SBP Working Paper Series 65, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
Zhang, Hewitt & Hu, Yannan & Hu, Bo, 2012. "House-price crash and macroeconomic crisis: a Hong Kong case study," MPRA Paper 35534, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Mohammad Reza Farzanegan, 2012. "Does the Iranian oil supply matter for the oil prices?," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201232, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza, 2012. "Does the Iranian oil supply matter for the oil prices?," MPRA Paper 36030, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Maik H. Wolters, 2015. "Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 74-96, January.
- Wolters, Maik H., 2011. "Forecasting under Model Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48723, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," MPRA Paper 36147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series 59, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Wolters, Maik H., 2013. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," Economics Working Papers 2013-03, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
Albers, Scott & Albers, Andrew L., 2012. "On the mathematic prediction of economic and social crises: toward a harmonic interpretation of the Kondratiev wave," MPRA Paper 37771, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 185-198.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-14, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," MPRA Paper 38591, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 11_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Working Papers 2012_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
Givens, Gregory E. & Salemi, Michael K., 2015. "Inferring monetary policy objectives with a partially observed state," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 190-208.
- Givens, Gregory & Salemi, Michael, 2012. "Inferring monetary policy objectives with a partially observed state," MPRA Paper 39353, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2013. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 94-106, January.
- Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Working Papers 1202, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A new model of trend inflation," MPRA Paper 39496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A New Model Of Trend Inflation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-12, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," CAMA Working Papers 2012-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Aleš Melecký & Martin Melecký, 2012. "Vliv makroekonomických šoků na dynamiku vládního dluhu: jak robustní je fiskální pozice České republiky? [The Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks on the Government Debt Dynamics: How Robust is the Fisca," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2012(6), pages 723-742.
- Melecky, Ales & Melecky, Martin, 2012. "Vliv makroekonomických šoků na dynamiku vládního dluhu: jak robustní je fiskální pozice České republiky? [The Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks on the Government Debt Dynamics: How Robust is the Fisca," MPRA Paper 39761, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Wong, Shirly Siew-Ling & Puah, Chin-Hong & Abu Mansor, Shazali & Liew, Venus Khim-Sen, 2012. "Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability," MPRA Paper 39944, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Sokolov, Yuri, 2012. "Modeling risk in a dynamically changing world: from association to causation," MPRA Paper 40096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal, 2016. "An Analytical And Numerical Search For Bifurcations In Open Economy New Keynesian Models," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(2), pages 482-503, March.
- William Barnett & Unal Eryilmaz, 2012. "An Analytical and Numerical Search for Bifurcations in Open Economy New Keynesian Models," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201210, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2012.
- Barnett, William & Eryilmaz, Unal, 2012. "An analytical and numerical search for bifurcations in open economy New Keynesian models," MPRA Paper 40426, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal, 2013. "Hopf bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 401-404.
- William Barnett & Unal Eryilmaz, 2012. "Hopf Bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler Model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201211, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
- Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal, 2012. "Hopf bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler model," MPRA Paper 40668, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Artiach, Miguel, 2012. "Leverage, skewness and amplitude asymmetric cycles," MPRA Paper 41267, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cavallari, Lilia, 2012. "Markups and Entry in a DSGE Model," MPRA Paper 41816, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Adnan Haider & Musleh ud Din & Ejaz Ghani, 2012. "Monetary Policy, Informality and Business Cycle Fluctuations in a Developing Economy Vulnerable to External Shocks," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 609-681.
- Haider, Adnan & Din, Musleh-ud & Ghani, Ejaz, 2012. "Monetary policy, informality and business cycle fluctuations in a developing economy vulnerable to external shocks," MPRA Paper 42484, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Adnan Haider & Musleh-ud Din & Ejaz Ghani, 2013. "Monetary Policy, Informality and Business Cycle Fluctuations in a Developing Economy Vulnerable to External Shocks," SBP Working Paper Series 65, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
Vipin Arora and Jozef Lieskovsky, 2014. "Natural Gas and U.S. Economic Activity," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
- Arora, Vipin & Lieskovsky, Jozef, 2012. "Natural Gas and U.S. Economic Activity," MPRA Paper 42659, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Dybczak, Kamil & Melecky, Martin, 2014. "EU fiscal stance vulnerability: Are the old members the gold members?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 87-101.
- Dybczak, Kamil & Melecky, Martin, 2012. "EU Fiscal Stance Vulnerability: Are the Old Members the Gold Members?," MPRA Paper 42837, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg, 2012. "Sustainable trends and periodicity in consumer price indices indicate that the era of low energy prices is approaching," MPRA Paper 43392, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Costa Junior, Celso Jose & Sampaio, Armando Vaz & Gonçalves, Flávio de Oliveria, 2012. "Income Transfer as Model of Economic Growth," MPRA Paper 45494, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Skribans, Valerijs, 2012. "European Union Economy System Dynamic Model Development," MPRA Paper 49170, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Khundrakpam, Jeevan Kumar & George, Asish Thomas, 2012. "An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between WPI and PMI-Manufacturing Price Indices in India," MPRA Paper 50929, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Bataa, Erdenebat, 2012. "The Composite Leading Indicator of Mongolia," MPRA Paper 72415, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Aleš Melecký & Martin Melecký, 2012. "Vliv makroekonomických šoků na dynamiku vládního dluhu: jak robustní je fiskální pozice České republiky? [The Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks on the Government Debt Dynamics: How Robust is the Fisca," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2012(6), pages 723-742.
- Melecky, Ales & Melecky, Martin, 2012. "Vliv makroekonomických šoků na dynamiku vládního dluhu: jak robustní je fiskální pozice České republiky? [The Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks on the Government Debt Dynamics: How Robust is the Fisca," MPRA Paper 39761, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Gary Koop, 2012. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 4(3), pages 143-167, September.
- Gary Koop, 2013. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," Working Papers 1303, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gary, Koop, 2013. "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-35, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
Alejandro Rodriguez Arana, 2012. "La curva de Phillips en Mexico: ¿Existe una relacion de largo plazo entre la inflacion y la brecha del producto?," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 9(1), pages 57-81, Enero-Jun.
Peter Tulip & Stephanie Wallace, 2012. "Estimates of Uncertainty around the RBA's Forecasts," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2012-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
Andrea Ajello & Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2020. "Core and ‘Crust’: Consumer Prices and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(8), pages 3719-3765.
- Andrea Ajello & Luca Benzoni & Olena Chyruk, 2012. "Core and 'Crust': Consumer Prices and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Paper Series WP-2014-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Olena Chyruk & Luca Benzoni & Andrea Ajello, 2012. "Core and `Crust': Consumer Prices and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," 2012 Meeting Papers 922, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 185-198.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-14, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series 11_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Working Papers 2012_04, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2012. "Large time-varying parameter VARs," MPRA Paper 38591, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2012. "Local Environment Analysis and Rules Inferring Procedure in an Agent-Based Model – Applications in Economics," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 128-143, March.
Chang, Chia Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & Mcaleer, Michael, 2012. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 22-43, September.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-15, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," KIER Working Papers 773, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics 11/16, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
David M. Kemme & Saktinil Roy, 2012. "Did the Recent Housing Boom Signal the Global Financial Crisis?," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 78(3), pages 999-1018, January.
Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2018. "Bottom-up or direct? Forecasting German GDP in a data-rich environment," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 705-745, March.
- Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2012. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," Working Papers 2012-16, Swiss National Bank.
- Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2013. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," IWH Discussion Papers 7/2013, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
Knut Aastveit & Tørres Trovik, 2012. "Nowcasting norwegian GDP: the role of asset prices in a small open economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 95-119, February.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Tørres G. Trovik, 2008. "Nowcasting Norwegian GDP: The role of asset prices in a small open economy," Working Paper 2007/09, Norges Bank.
Maximiano Pinheiro & Paulo Esteves, 2012. "On the uncertainty and risks of macroeconomic forecasts: combining judgements with sample and model information," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 639-665, June.
- Paulo Esteves & Maximiano Pinheiro, 2008. "On the uncertainty and risks of macroeconomic forecasts: Combining judgements with sample and model information," Working Papers w200821, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
Dmitri Blueschke & Viktoria Blueschke-Nikolaeva & Reinhard Neck & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2012. "Macroeconomic Policies for Slovenia after the “Great Recession”," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 2(2), pages 54-93, December.
Nils Jannsen & Julia Richter, 2012. "Kapazitätsauslastung im Ausland als Indikator für die deutschen Investitionsgüterexporte," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 92(12), pages 833-837, December.
Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2013. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 94-106, January.
- Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," CAMA Working Papers 2012-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Joshua Chan & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2012. "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Working Papers 1202, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A New Model Of Trend Inflation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-12, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Chan, Joshua & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon, 2012. "A new model of trend inflation," MPRA Paper 39496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Tom Holden, 2012. "Medium-frequency cycles and the remarkable near trend-stationarity of output," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1412, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
M. Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2012. "Neural network models for inflation forecasting: an appraisal," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(20), pages 2631-2635, July.
- M. Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2012. "Neural network models for inflation forecasting: an appraisal," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(20), pages 2631-2635, July.
- Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2008. "Neural Network Models for Inflation Forecasting: An Appraisal," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0808, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- M. Ali Choudhary, 2011. "Neural Network Models for Inflation Forecasting: An Appraisal," Post-Print hal-00704670, HAL.
M. Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2012. "Neural network models for inflation forecasting: an appraisal," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(20), pages 2631-2635, July.
- M. Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2012. "Neural network models for inflation forecasting: an appraisal," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(20), pages 2631-2635, July.
- Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2008. "Neural Network Models for Inflation Forecasting: An Appraisal," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0808, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- M. Ali Choudhary, 2011. "Neural Network Models for Inflation Forecasting: An Appraisal," Post-Print hal-00704670, HAL.
Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2012. "Leverage causes fat tails and clustered volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(5), pages 695-707, February.
- Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2009. "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Papers 0908.1555, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2010.
- Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2010. "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1745R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Nov 2011.
- Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2010. "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1745, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
Öğünç, Fethi & Akdoğan, Kurmaş & Başer, Selen & Chadwick, Meltem Gülenay & Ertuğ, Dilara & Hülagü, Timur & Kösem, Sevim & Özmen, Mustafa Utku & Tekatlı, Necati, 2013. "Short-term inflation forecasting models for Turkey and a forecast combination analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 312-325.
- Kurmas Akdogan & Selen Baser & Meltem Gulenay Chadwick & Dilara Ertug & Timur Hulagu & Sevim Kosem & Fethi Ogunc & M. Utku Ozmen & Necati Tekatli, 2012. "Short-Term Inflation Forecasting Models For Turkey and a Forecast Combination Analysis," Working Papers 1209, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
S. Boragan Aruoba & Cagri Sarikaya, 2012. "Turkiye Icin Bir Reel Iktisadi Faaliyet Gostergesi," Working Papers 1219, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Mahmut Gunay, 2012. "Nowcasting Turkish GDP Growth," Working Papers 1233, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Bao, Te & Hommes, Cars & Sonnemans, Joep & Tuinstra, Jan, 2012. "Individual expectations, limited rationality and aggregate outcomes," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1101-1120.
- Bao, T. & Hommes, C.H. & Sonnemans, J. & Tuinstra, J., 2010. "Individual Expectations, Limited Rationality and Aggregate Outcomes," CeNDEF Working Papers 10-07, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- Te Bao & Cars Hommes & Joep Sonnemans & Jan Tuinstra, 2012. "Individual Expectations, Limited Rationality and Aggregate Outcomes," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-016/1, Tinbergen Institute.
Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2013. "Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 213-232.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Time-varying Combinations of Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-118/III, Tinbergen Institute.
Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B., 2012. "Uncertainty and Disagreement in Forecasting Inflation : Evidence from the Laboratory (Revised version of CentER DP 2011-053)," Discussion Paper 2012-072, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
Maritta Paloviita and Matti Viren, 2012. "Analyzing the relationships between survey forecasts for different variables and countries," Discussion Papers 76, Aboa Centre for Economics.
Maritta Paloviita and Matti Viren, 2012. "Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?," Discussion Papers 77, Aboa Centre for Economics.
- Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2013. "Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?," NBP Working Papers 140, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Maheu, John M. & Song, Yong, 2014. "A new structural break model, with an application to Canadian inflation forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 144-160.
- John M. Maheu & Yong Song, 2012. "A New Structural Break Model with Application to Canadian Inflation Forecasting," Working Paper series 27_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- John M Maheu & Yong Song, 2012. "A New Structural Break Model with Application to Canadian Inflation Forecasting," Working Papers tecipa-448, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
- Maheu, John & Song, Yong, 2012. "A new structural break model with application to Canadian inflation forecasting," MPRA Paper 36870, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2012. "Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1081-1096, November.
- Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2009. "Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200906, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Slacalek, Jiri, 2009. "Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries," Working Paper Series 1082, European Central Bank.
Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2012. "A Century of Inflation Forecasts," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1097-1106, November.
- Surico, Paolo & ,, 2011. "A Century of Inflation Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 8292, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Antoine Godin & Stephen Kinsella, 2012. "Leverage, liquidity and crisis: A simulation study," ASSRU Discussion Papers 1205, ASSRU - Algorithmic Social Science Research Unit.
Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2014. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review Of Some Recent Developments," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 195-208, April.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2012. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts:A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments," KIER Working Papers 821, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2012. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2012-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2012. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments," Working Papers in Economics 12/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 1210, University of Nevada, Las Vegas , Department of Economics.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working papers 2012-38, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working Papers 201230, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Cantore, C. & Ferroni, F. & Le n-Ledesma, M A., 2011. "Interpreting the Hours-Technology time-varying relationship," Working papers 351, Banque de France.
- Cristiano Cantore & Filippo Ferroni & Miguel A León-Ledesma, 2012. "Interpreting the Hours-Technology time-varying relationship," Studies in Economics 1201, School of Economics, University of Kent.
Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 402-412.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011. "Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-123/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," Working Papers 2012_15, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," Working Paper 2012/04, Norges Bank.
Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2010. "Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data," Working Paper 2010/29, Norges Bank.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economic data," Working Papers 2012_16, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011. "Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-003/4, Tinbergen Institute.
Jan-Christoph Rülke & Maria Silgoner & Julia Wörz, 2012. "Herding Behavior of Business Cycle Forecasters in Times of Economic Crises," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 12-03, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 53(3), pages 867-886, August.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2009. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Paper series 34_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-40, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 1119, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2010. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers 2010-113, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
Luis Gil‐Alana & Antonio Moreno & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2012. "Exploring Survey‐Based Inflation Forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), pages 524-539, September.
- Luis Gil-Alana & Antonio Moreno & Fernando PÃ©rez de Gracia, 2011. "Exploring Survey-Based Inflation Forecasts," Faculty Working Papers 05/11, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
Antonello D‚Äôagostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 715-732, June.
- Antonello D’Agostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 715-732, June.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2010. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/10, Central Bank of Ireland.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2011. "Are some forecasters really better than others?," MPRA Paper 32938, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Antonello D’Agostino & Kieran McQuinn & Karl Whelan, 2010. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Working Papers 201012, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
David M. Kemme & Saktinil Roy, 2012. "Did the Recent Housing Boom Signal the Global Financial Crisis?," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 78(3), pages 999-1018, January.
Michał Bernardelli & Monika Dędys, 2012. "Ukryte modele Markowa w analizie wyników testu koniunktury gospodarczej [Hidden Markov Models in Analysis of Results of Business Tendency Surveys]," Prace i Materiały, Instytut Rozwoju Gospodarczego (SGH), vol. 90(3), pages 159-181.
Bartosz Olesiński, 2012. "Propozycja prostego, wyprzedzającego wskaźnika koniunktury w przemyśle [Proposition of a Simple Leading Industrial Confidence Indicator]," Prace i Materiały, Instytut Rozwoju Gospodarczego (SGH), vol. 90(3), pages 215-227.
Dirk J Bezemer, 2012. "The Economy As A Complex System: The Balance Sheet Dimension," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(su), pages 1-22.
Dirk J Bezemer, 2012. "The Economy As A Complex System: The Balance Sheet Dimension," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(supp0), pages 1-22.
N. Kundan Kishor, 2012. "Modeling Inflation In India: The Role Of Money," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 57(04), pages 1-19.
- Kishor, N. Kundan, 2009. "Modeling Inflation in India: The Role of Money," MPRA Paper 16098, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Korte, Niko, 2012. "Predictive power of confidence indicators for the Russian economy," BOFIT Discussion Papers 15/2012, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
Ponomarenko, Alexey, 2013. "Early warning indicators of asset price boom/bust cycles in emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 92-106.
- Ponomarenko, Alexey, 2012. "Early warning indicators of asset price boom/bust cycles in emerging markets," BOFIT Discussion Papers 22/2012, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
Paloviita, Maritta & Virén, Matti, 2012. "Inflation and output growth uncertainty in individual survey expectations," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 37/2012, Bank of Finland.
Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2015. "Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in a New-Keynesian baseline model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 126-154.
- Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2012. "Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in a New-Keynesian baseline model," Economics Working Papers 2012-08, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
- Sacht, Stephen & Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok, 2013. "Moment Matching versus Bayesian Estimation: Backward-Looking Behaviour in a New-Keynesian Baseline Model," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79694, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012. "House price forecasts in times of crisis: Do forecasters herd?," Discussion Papers 318, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics.
Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Georg Stadtmann, 2012. "Housing Starts in Canada, Japan, and the United States: Do Forecasters Herd?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 45(3), pages 754-773, October.
- Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan Christoph & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012. "Housing starts in Canada, Japan, and the United States: Do forecasters herd?," Discussion Papers 320, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics.
Croonenbroeck, Carsten & Stadtmann, Georg, 2012. "Evaluating Phillips curve based inflation forecasts in Europe: A note," Discussion Papers 329, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics.
Hans-Eggert Reimers, 2012. "Early Warning Indicator Model of Financial Developments Using an Ordered Logit," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 2(2), pages 171-191, December.
- Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2012. "Early warning indicator model of financial developments using an ordered logit," Wismar Discussion Papers 06/2012, Hochschule Wismar, Wismar Business School.
Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin A., 2013. "An early warning system to predict speculative house price bubbles," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-26.
- Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin A., 2012. "An early warning system to predict the speculative house price bubbles," Economics Discussion Papers 2012-44, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua, 2013. "Globalisation effect on inflation in the Great Moderation era: New evidence from G10 countries," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-32.
- Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua, 2011. "Globalisation effect on inflation in the great moderation era: new evidence from G10 countries," MPRA Paper 32994, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua, 2012. "Globalisation effect on inflation in the great moderation era: New evidence from G10 countries," Economics Discussion Papers 2012-56, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Maik H. Wolters, 2015. "Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 74-96, January.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," MPRA Paper 36147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series 59, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Wolters, Maik H., 2013. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," Economics Working Papers 2013-03, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2013. "Forecasting and Policy Making," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 239-325, Elsevier.
- Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Forecasting and policy making," IMFS Working Paper Series 62, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
Makram El-Shagi & Gregor von Schweinitz, 2016. "Qual VAR revisited: Good forecast, bad story," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 19, pages 293-322, November.
- Makram El-Shagi & Gregor Von Schweinitz, 2016. "Qual Var Revisited: Good Forecast, Bad Story," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(2), pages 293-321, November.
- El-Shagi, Makram & von Schweinitz, Gregor, 2012. "Qual VAR Revisited: Good Forecast, Bad Story," IWH Discussion Papers 12/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian & Jung, Alexander, 2012. "Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2012, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
- Jung, Alexander & El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian, 2013. "Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?," VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order 79925, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & El-Shagi, Makram & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, , 2012. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft überwindet die kurze Schwächephase," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(3), pages 80-113.
Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Dovern, Jon, 2012. "Konjunktur aktuell: Eurokrise nimmt deutscher Konjunktur den Wind aus den Segeln," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(8-9), pages 228-258.
Holtemöller, Oliver & Drechsel, Katja & Loose, Brigitte, 2012. "Mittelfristige Projektion der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(8-9), pages 259-262.

2011

Piotr Białowolski, 2011. "Forecasting inflation with consumer survey data – application of multi-group confirmatory factor analysis to elimination of the general sentiment factor," NBP Working Papers 100, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Hong, Harrison & Yogo, Motohiro, 2012. "What does futures market interest tell us about the macroeconomy and asset prices?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(3), pages 473-490.
- Harrison Hong & Motohiro Yogo, 2011. "What Does Futures Market Interest Tell Us about the Macroeconomy and Asset Prices?," NBER Working Papers 16712, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
William Poole & Robert H. Rasche & David C. Wheelock, 2013. "The Great Inflation: Did The Shadow Know Better?," NBER Chapters, in: The Great Inflation: The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking, pages 61-107, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- William Poole & Robert H. Rasche & David C. Wheelock, 2008. "The great inflation: did the shadow know better?," Working Papers 2008-032, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- William Poole & Robert H. Rasche & David C. Wheelock, 2011. "The Great Inflation: Did the Shadow Know Better?," NBER Working Papers 16910, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Gorodnichenko, Yuriy & Mikusheva, Anna & Ng, Serena, 2012. "Estimators For Persistent And Possibly Nonstationary Data With Classical Properties," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(5), pages 1003-1036, October.
- Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Anna Mikusheva & Serena Ng, 2011. "Estimators for Persistent and Possibly Non-Stationary Data with Classical Properties," NBER Working Papers 17424, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Karev, M., 2011. "Revealed Preferences of the Bank of Russia. Simulation Approach," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, issue 9, pages 72-97.
Mallick, Sushanta K. & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2013. "The real effects of financial stress in the Eurozone," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 1-17.
- Sushanta K. Mallick & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "The real effects of financial stress in the Euro zone," NIPE Working Papers 12/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Fredj Jawadi & Sushanta K. Mallick & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "Monetary Policy Rules in the BRICS: How Important is Nonlinearity?," NIPE Working Papers 18/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Jawadi Fredj & Mallick Sushanta K. & Sousa Ricardo M., 2014. "Fiscal policy in the BRICs," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(2), pages 201-215, April.
- Fredj Jawadi & Sushanta K. Mallick & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "Fiscal Policy in the BRICs," NIPE Working Papers 19/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Urban Sila & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "Do Windfall Gains Affect Labour Supply? Evidence from the European Household Panel," NIPE Working Papers 20/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2012. "How does fiscal policy react to wealth composition and asset prices?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 874-890.
- Luca Agnello & Vitor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "How Does Fiscal Policy React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," GEMF Working Papers 2011-18, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
- Luca Agnello & Vítor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "How Does Fiscal Policy React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," NIPE Working Papers 24/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2010. "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1210, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Gabriel, Vasco & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph & Yang, Bo, 2011. "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," Working Papers 11/95, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
- Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2010. "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," NIPE Working Papers 29/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph, 2011. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a DSGE Model of India," Working Papers 11/96, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
Sarah Drought & Chris McDonald, 2011. "Forecasting house price inflation: a model combination approach," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2011/07, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
Stéphanie Guichard & Elena Rusticelli, 2011. "A Dynamic Factor Model for World Trade Growth," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 874, OECD Publishing.
Cristina Conflitti, 2012. "Measuring Uncertainty and Disagreement in the European Survey of Professional Forecasters," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2011(2), pages 69-103.
David R. F. Love, 2011. "Aggregate Comovements, Anticipation, and Business Cycles," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2011(1), pages 93-110.
- David R.F. Love, 2007. "Aggregate Comovements, Anticipation, and Business Cycles," Working Papers 0704, Brock University, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2007.
- David R.F. Love, 2009. "Aggregate Comovements, Anticipation, and Business Cycles," Working Papers 0908, Brock University, Department of Economics.
Benjamin Neudorfer & Michael Sigmund & Alexander Trachta, 2011. "Detecting Financial Stability Vulnerabilities in Due Time: Can Simple Indicators Identify a Complex Issue?," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 22, pages 59-71.
Stefan Kerbl & Michael Sigmund, 2011. "What Drives Aggregate Credit Risk?," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 22, pages 72-87.
Stefan Kerbl, 2010. "Regulatory Medicine Against Financial Market Instability: What Helps And What Hurts?," Papers 1011.6284, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2010.
- Stefan Kerbl, 2011. "Regulatory Medicine Against Financial Market Instability: What Helps And What Hurts?," Working Papers 174, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
Willie Lahari, 2011. "Assessing Business Cycle Synchronisation - Prospects for a Pacific Islands Currency Union," Working Papers 1110, University of Otago, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2011.
Mark Setterfield & Andrew Budd, 2011. "A Keynes-Kalecki Model of Cyclical Growth with Agent-Based Features," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Philip Arestis (ed.), Microeconomics, Macroeconomics and Economic Policy, chapter 13, pages 228-250, Palgrave Macmillan.
- Mark Setterfield & Andrew Budd, 2010. "A Keynes-Kalecki Model of Cyclical Growth with Agent-Based Features," Working Papers 1008, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
Alice Albonico & Sarantis Kalyvitis & Evi Pappa, 2011. "Real Business Cycles with Capital Maintenance," Quaderni di Dipartimento 147, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
Erick Lahura & Marco Vega, 2011. "Evaluation of Wavelet-based Core Inflation Measures: Evidence from Peru," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2011-320, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
AndrÃ¡s Balatoni & TamÃ¡s MellÃ¡r, 2011. "RÃ¶vid tÃ¡vÃº elÅ‘rejelzÅ‘ modell MagyarorszÃ¡gra," UPFBE Working Paper Series 2011/3, Faculty of Business and Economics, University Pécs.
Charles Wyplosz, 2011. "Debt Sustainability Assessment: Mission Impossible," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 2(3).
Bessonovs, Andrejs, 2011. "GDP Modelling with Factor Model: an Impact of Nested Data on Forecasting Accuracy," MPRA Paper 30211, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Lanne, Markku & Nyberg, Henri & Saarinen, Erkka, 2011. "Forecasting U.S. Macroeconomic and Financial Time Series with Noncausal and Causal AR Models: A Comparison," MPRA Paper 30254, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013. "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 43-59.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage Priors for Dynamic Regressions with Many Predictors," Working Paper series 21_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," MPRA Paper 30380, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011021, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall, 2014. "Where Is An Oil Shock?," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(2), pages 169-185, March.
- Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall, 2011. "Where is an oil shock?," Working Papers 2011-016, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Engemann, Kristie & Owyang, Michael T. & Wall, Howard J., 2011. "Where is an oil shock?," MPRA Paper 31383, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Dasgupta, Dipak & Dubey, R.N. & Sathish, R, 2011. "Domestic Wheat Price Formation and Food Inflation in India," MPRA Paper 31564, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Miguel A.G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time‐Varying Parameter Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 80-94, January.
- Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Papers 1137, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop & Dimitris, Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," MPRA Paper 31827, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Miguel A. G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Paper series 35_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Belmonte, Miguel A & Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-68, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- BELMONTE, Miguel A.G. & KOOP, Gary & KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011036, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
Antonello D’Agostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 715-732, June.
- Antonello D‚Äôagostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 715-732, June.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2010. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/10, Central Bank of Ireland.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2011. "Are some forecasters really better than others?," MPRA Paper 32938, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Antonello D’Agostino & Kieran McQuinn & Karl Whelan, 2010. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Working Papers 201012, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua, 2013. "Globalisation effect on inflation in the Great Moderation era: New evidence from G10 countries," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-32.
- Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua, 2011. "Globalisation effect on inflation in the great moderation era: new evidence from G10 countries," MPRA Paper 32994, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Qin, Duo & He, Xinhua, 2012. "Globalisation effect on inflation in the great moderation era: New evidence from G10 countries," Economics Discussion Papers 2012-56, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Albers, Scott & Albers, Andrew L., 2011. "The Golden Mean, the Arab Spring and a 10-step analysis of American economic history," MPRA Paper 33004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Escañuela Romana, Ignacio, 2011. "Evidencia empírica sobre la predictibilidad de los ciclos bursátiles: el comportamiento del índice Dow Jones Industrial Average en las crisis bursátiles de 1929, 1987 y 2997 [Empirical evidence on ," MPRA Paper 33150, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Hibiki Ichiue & Takushi Kurozumi & Takeki Sunakawa, 2013. "Inflation Dynamics And Labor Market Specifications: A Bayesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach For Japan'S Economy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 51(1), pages 273-287, January.
- Hibiki Ichiue & Takushi Kurozumi & Takeki Sunakawa, 2008. "Inflation Dynamics and Labor Adjustments in Japan: A Bayesian DSGE Approach," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 08-E-9, Bank of Japan.
- Ichiue, Hibiki & Kurozumi, Takushi & Sunakawa, Takeki, 2011. "Inflation dynamics and labor market specifications: a Bayesian DSGE approach for Japan's economy," MPRA Paper 33391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Dybczak, Kamil & Melecky, Martin, 2011. "Macroeconomic Shocks and the Fiscal Stance within the EU: A Panel Regression Analysis," MPRA Paper 33684, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ko, Jun-Hyung, 2011. "Productivity shocks and housing market inflations in new Keynesian models," MPRA Paper 33848, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Skribans, Valerijs, 2011. "Development of System Dynamic Model of Latvia’s Economic Integration in the EU," MPRA Paper 34565, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Zhang, Tongbin & Hu, Bo, 2011. "House-Price Crash and Macroeconomic Crisis: A Hong Kong Case Study," MPRA Paper 34962, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Guzman, Giselle C., 2011. "The case for higher frequency inflation expectations," MPRA Paper 36656, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Francisco, Ramirez, 2011. "Modelos de Estimación de la Brecha de Producto: Aplicación al PIB de la República Dominicana [Models for Estimating the Output Gap: Application to the GDP of Dominican Republic]," MPRA Paper 38886, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ayala, Alfonso, 2011. "Un modelo de predicción de crisis financieras en los mercados emergentes: 1970 – 2009 [A Prediction Model of Financial Crises in Emerging Markets: 1970 - 2009]," MPRA Paper 42403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Faik Bilgili, 2016. "City Price Convergence in Turkey with Structural Breaks," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 933-941.
- Bilgili, Faik, 2011. "City price convergence in Turkey with structural breaks," MPRA Paper 54295, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Mirriam Chitalu Chama-Chiliba & Rangan Gupta & Nonophile Nkambule & Naomi Tlotlego, 2011. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Papers 201132, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Božena Kadeřábková & Emilie Jašová, 2011. "Analýza ukazatele NAIRU na sektorové úrovni [Analysis of the Indicator NAIRU on the Sector Level]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2011(4), pages 508-525.
Étienne Debauche & Éric Dubois & Pierre Leblanc, 2011. "La crise : quelles conséquences durables sur la croissance, l’emploi et les finances publiques ?," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 103(3), pages 41-57.
Ildeberta Abreu, 2011. "International organisations’ vs. private analysts’ forecasts: an evaluation," Working Papers w201120, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
Adrian Pagan & Don Harding, 2011. "Econometric Analysis and Prediction of Recurrent Events," CREATES Research Papers 2011-33, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Adrian Pagan & Don Harding, 2011. "Econometric Analysis and Prediction of Recurrent Events," NCER Working Paper Series 75, National Centre for Econometric Research.
David Matesanz & Benno Torgler & Germán Dabat & Guillermo J. Ortega, 2014. "Co-movements in commodity prices: a note based on network analysis," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(S1), pages 13-21, November.
- David Matesanz Gomez & Guillermo J. Ortega & Benno Torgler & German Dabat, 2011. "Co-movements in commodity prices: A note based on network analysis," CREMA Working Paper Series 2011-21, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA).
- David M Gomez & Guillermo J Ortega & Benno Torgler & German Debat, 2011. "Co-movements in commodity prices: a note based on network analysis," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 274, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.
Lahura, Erick & Vega, Marco, 2011. "Wavelet-based Core Inflation Measures: Evidence from Peru," Working Papers 2011-019, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
Maria Bejan, 2011. "Trade Agreements and International Comovements: the Case of NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement)," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(4), pages 667-685, October.
- Maria Bejan, 2011. "Code and data files for "Trade Agreements and International Comovements: the Case of NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement)"," Computer Codes 07-86, Review of Economic Dynamics.
Maria Bejan, 2011. "Trade Agreements and International Comovements: the Case of NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement)," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(4), pages 667-685, October.
- Maria Bejan, 2011. "Code and data files for "Trade Agreements and International Comovements: the Case of NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement)"," Computer Codes 07-86, Review of Economic Dynamics.
Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013. "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 43-59.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," MPRA Paper 30380, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage Priors for Dynamic Regressions with Many Predictors," Working Paper series 21_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011021, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
Miguel A.G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time‐Varying Parameter Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 80-94, January.
- Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Papers 1137, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Miguel A. G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Paper series 35_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop & Dimitris, Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," MPRA Paper 31827, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Belmonte, Miguel A & Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-68, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- BELMONTE, Miguel A.G. & KOOP, Gary & KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011036, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
Han, Fei & Hee Ng, Thiam, 2011. "ASEAN-5 Macroeconomic Forecasting Using a GVAR Model," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration 76, Asian Development Bank.
Fossati Sebastian, 2016. "Dating US business cycles with macro factors," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(5), pages 529-547, December.
- Fossati, Sebastian, 2011. "Dating U.S. Business Cycles with Macro Factors," Working Papers 2011-5, University of Alberta, Department of Economics, revised 01 Feb 2012.
Tunay, K. Batu, 2011. "Forecasting Recessions in Turkey with Qual-VAR Models," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 2(4), pages 1-51, October.
Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2011. "Analyzing the Dynamics of Relative Prices on a Market with Speculative and Non-Speculative Agents Based on the Evolutionary Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 72-87, March.
Jagric, Timotej & Beko, Jani, 2011. "How Good are the Growth and Inflation Forecasts for Slovenia?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 47-67, December.
Christian Bredemeier & Henry Goecke, 2011. "Sticky Prices vs. Sticky Information – A Cross-Country Study of Inflation Dynamics," Ruhr Economic Papers 0255, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
Tobias Kitlinski & Torsten Schmidt, 2011. "The Forecasting Performance of an Estimated Medium Run Model," Ruhr Economic Papers 0301, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
Ajit R. Joshi & Debashis Acharya, 2011. "Inflation Model for India in the Context of Open Economy," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 12(1), pages 39-59, March.
Dandan Liu*, 2011. "Learning and Estimation of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve Models," Southern Economic Journal, Southern Economic Association, vol. 78(2), pages 382-396, October.
Octav Negurita, 2011. "Factors That Contribute To The Formation Of Inflation," Journal of Academic Research in Economics, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Accounting and Financial Management Constanta, vol. 3(3 (Novemb), pages 629-635.
Alessandro Flamini, 2011. "Price Stickiness Asymmetry, Persistence and Volatility in a New Keynesian Model," Working Papers 2011013, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, revised May 2011.
Badi Baltagi & Panicos Demetriades, 2011. "Introduction to the special issue," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 1-5, August.
- Badi Baltagi & Jörg Breitung, 2011. "Introduction to the special issue," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 1-4, February.
Hilde Bjørnland & Kai Leitemo & Junior Maih, 2011. "Estimating the natural rates in a simple New Keynesian framework," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(3), pages 755-777, May.
- Hilde C. Bjørnland & Kai Leitemo & Junior Maih, 2008. "Estimating the natural rates in a simple New Keynesian framework," Working Paper 2007/10, Norges Bank.
Badi Baltagi & Jörg Breitung, 2011. "Introduction to the special issue," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 1-4, February.
- Badi Baltagi & Panicos Demetriades, 2011. "Introduction to the special issue," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 1-5, August.
Ulrich Fritsche & Vladimir Kuzin, 2011. "Analysing convergence in Europe using the non-linear single factor model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 343-369, October.
- Ulrich Fritsche & Vladimir Kuzin, 2008. "Analysing Convergence in Europe Using a Non-linear Single Factor Model," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200802, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
Stephane Dees & Arthur Saint-Guilhem, 2011. "The role of the United States in the global economy and its evolution over time," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 573-591, December.
- Dées, Stéphane & Saint-Guilhem, Arthur, 2009. "The role of the United States in the global economy and its evolution over time," Working Paper Series 1034, European Central Bank.
Volker Wieland & Maik Wolters, 2011. "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 47(2), pages 247-292, June.
- Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2010. "The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 7870, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H., 2010. "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the U.S. economy," CFS Working Paper Series 2010/08, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
António Afonso & Ricardo Sousa, 2011. "The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR analysis," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 10(1), pages 61-82, April.
- Ricardo M. Sousa & António Afonso, 2009. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR Analysis," NIPE Working Papers 3/2009, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- António Afonso & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR Analysis," Working Papers Department of Economics 2009/09, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
Gonzalo Fernández-de-Córdoba & José Torres, 2011. "Forecasting the Spanish economy with an augmented VAR–DSGE model," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 2(3), pages 379-399, September.
- Gonzalo Fernandez-de-Córdoba & José L. Torres, 2009. "Forecasting the Spanish economy with an Augmented VAR-DSGE model," Working Papers 2009-1, Universidad de Málaga, Department of Economic Theory, Málaga Economic Theory Research Center.
Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "UK macroeconomic forecasting with many predictors: Which models forecast best and when do they do so?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 2307-2318, September.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2009-40, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," Working Papers 1118, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korompilis, 2009. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," Working Papers 0917, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-39, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 53(3), pages 867-886, August.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2009. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Paper series 34_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 1119, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-40, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2010. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers 2010-113, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2012. "The dynamics of UK and US inflation expectations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3120-3133.
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2008. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," SIRE Discussion Papers 2008-59, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2011. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 1120, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2011. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-47, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2012. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-46, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2009. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," Working Paper series 14_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Miguel A.G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time‐Varying Parameter Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 80-94, January.
- Belmonte, Miguel A & Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-68, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Papers 1137, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Miguel A. G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Paper series 35_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- BELMONTE, Miguel A.G. & KOOP, Gary & KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011036, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop & Dimitris, Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," MPRA Paper 31827, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Cantore, C. & Levine, P., 2012. "Getting normalization right: Dealing with ‘dimensional constants’ in macroeconomics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 1931-1949.
- Cantore, Cristiano & Levine, Paul, 2011. "Getting Normalization Right: Dealing with ‘Dimensional Constants’ in Macroeconomics," Dynare Working Papers 9, CEPREMAP.
- Cristiano Cantore & Paul Levine, 2011. "Getting Normalization Right: Dealing with 'Dimensional Constants' in Macroeconomics," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0511, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Tommaso Proietti & Stefano Grassi, 2015. "Stochastic trends and seasonality in economic time series: new evidence from Bayesian stochastic model specification search," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 983-1011, May.
- Stefano Grassi & Tommaso Proietti, 2011. "Stochastic trends and seasonality in economic time series: new evidence from Bayesian stochastic model specification search," CREATES Research Papers 2011-30, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Grassi, Stefano & Proietti, Tommaso, 2011. "Stochastic trends and seasonality in economic time series: new evidence from Bayesian stochastic model specification search," Working Papers 07/2011, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
Martin Schneider & Gerhard Fenz, 2011. "Transmission of business cycle shocks between the US and the euro area," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(21), pages 2777-2793.
- Gerhard Fenz & Martin Schneider, 2008. "Transmission of business cycle shocks between the US and the euro area," Working Papers 145, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2011. "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 583-619.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010. "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Working Papers in Economics 10/36, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2011. "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010. "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," KIER Working Papers 714, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
A. Nazif Çatik & Mehmet Karaçuka, 2011. "A comparative analysis of alternative univariate time series models in forecasting Turkish inflation," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 275-293, April.
- Catik, A. Nazif & Karaçuka, Mehmet, 2011. "A comparative analysis of alternative univariate time series models in forecasting Turkish inflation," DICE Discussion Papers 20, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE).
Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2011. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(1), pages 86-95.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2011. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 86-95, January.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009. "An econometric analysis of some models for constructed binary time series," CAMA Working Papers 2009-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," NCER Working Paper Series 39, National Centre for Econometric Research, revised 02 Jul 2009.
Gospodinov, Nikolay & Maynard, Alex & Pesavento, Elena, 2011. "Sensitivity of Impulse Responses to Small Low-Frequency Comovements: Reconciling the Evidence on the Effects of Technology Shocks," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(4), pages 455-467.
- Nikolay Gospodinov & Alex Maynard & Elena Pesavento, 2011. "Sensitivity of Impulse Responses to Small Low-Frequency Comovements: Reconciling the Evidence on the Effects of Technology Shocks," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 455-467, October.
- GOSPODINOV, Nikolay & MAYNARD, Alex & PESAVENTO, Elena, 2009. "Sensitivity of Impulse Responses to Small Low Frequency Co-Movements : Reconciling the Evidence on the Effects of Technology Shocks," Cahiers de recherche 03-2009, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en Ã©conomie quantitative, CIREQ.
Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2010. "Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data," Working Paper 2010/29, Norges Bank.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011. "Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-003/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economic data," Working Papers 2012_16, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011. "Bayesian Combinations of Stock Price Predictions with an Application to the Amsterdam Exchange Index," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-082/4, Tinbergen Institute.
Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 402-412.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011. "Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-123/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," Working Papers 2012_15, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Combination schemes for turning point predictions," Working Paper 2012/04, Norges Bank.
Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011. "Combining Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-172/4, Tinbergen Institute.
Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B., 2011. "Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy Design : Evidence from the Laboratory (Replaces CentER DP 2009-007)," Discussion Paper 2011-091, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B., 2011. "Uncertainty and Disagreement in Forecasting Inflation : Evidence from the Laboratory (Replaced by CentER DP 2012-072)," Discussion Paper 2011-053, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
Lutz Kilian & Clara Vega, 2011. "Do Energy Prices Respond to U.S. Macroeconomic News? A Test of the Hypothesis of Predetermined Energy Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 93(2), pages 660-671, May.
- Lutz Kilian & Clara Vega, 2008. "Do energy prices respond to U.S. macroeconomic news? a test of the hypothesis of predetermined energy prices," International Finance Discussion Papers 957, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Kilian, Lutz & Vega, Clara, 2008. "Do Energy Prices Respond to U.S. Macroeconomic News? A Test of the Hypothesis of Predetermined Energy Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 7015, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
K. Vela Velupillai, 2011. "The Phillips Machine, the Analogue Computing Tradition in Economics and Computability," Economia politica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 39-62.
- K. Vela Velupillai, 2011. "The Phillips Machine, The Analogue Computing Traditoin in Economics and Computability," ASSRU Discussion Papers 1112, ASSRU - Algorithmic Social Science Research Unit.
Saed Khalil & Stephen Kinsella, 2011. "Bad banks choking good banks: simulating balance sheet contagion," Working Papers 201126, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
Stephen Kinsella, 2011. "Words to the Wise: Stock Flow Consistent Modeling of Financial Instability," Working Papers 201130, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are forecast updates progressive?," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 9-18.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-736, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-03, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," KIER Working Papers 762, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-24, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-049/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Working Papers in Economics 10/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," MPRA Paper 46387, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J. & Legerstee, R., 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecast: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-19, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee:, 2011. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-11, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2011. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," KIER Working Papers 771, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Working Papers in Economics 10/09, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-729, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
Chang, Chia Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & Mcaleer, Michael, 2012. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 22-43, September.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics 11/16, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-15, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," KIER Working Papers 773, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Hwang, Bruce B.K. & McAleer, Michael, 2012. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk using nonlinear regression quantiles and the intra-day range," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 557-574.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Working Papers in Economics 11/22, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-16, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," KIER Working Papers 775, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chen, C.W.S. & Gerlach, R. & Hwang, B.B.K. & McAleer, M.J., 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intraday Range," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2011-17, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
Chang, Chia-Lin & de Bruijn, Bert & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Analyzing fixed-event forecast revisions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 622-627.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Working Papers in Economics 11/25, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, revised Apr 2013.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-24, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-Event Forecast Revisions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-057/III, Tinbergen Institute.
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Luis Gil‐Alana & Antonio Moreno & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2012. "Exploring Survey‐Based Inflation Forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(6), pages 524-539, September.
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Pankaj SINHA & Sushant GUPTA & Nakul RANDEV, 2011. "Modeling & Forecasting Of Macro-Economic Variables Of India: Before, During & After Recession," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 6(1(15)/ Sp), pages 43-60.
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Jan-Christoph Rülke, 2011. "Do private sector forecasters desire to deviate from the German council of economic experts?," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 11-04, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
Jan-Christoph Rülke, 2011. "Are central bank projections rational?," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group 11-05, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management.
Dandan Liu*, 2011. "Learning and Estimation of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve Models," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 78(2), pages 382-396, October.
Guse, Eran A., 2014. "Adaptive learning, endogenous uncertainty, and asymmetric dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 355-373.
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Eran Guse & Sunny M.C. Wong, 2011. "Adaptive Learning and Information Diffusion," Working Papers 11-04, Department of Economics, West Virginia University.
Josip Tica, 2011. "Kriza 2008-20XY: Populizam i puna zaposlenost kao sukobljeni ciljevi," EFZG Occasional Publications (Department of Macroeconomics), in: Zbornik radova: Kriza: Preobrazba ili propast? (ur. Obadić, Alka; Šimurina, Jurica; Tica, Josip, izdavač: Ekonomski fakultet Zagreb), edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 143-164, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
- Josip Tica, 2011. "Kriza 2008-20XY: Populizam i puna zaposlenost kao sukobljeni ciljevi," EFZG Working Papers Series 1105, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
Josip Tica, 2011. "Kriza 2008-20XY: Populizam i puna zaposlenost kao sukobljeni ciljevi," EFZG Occasional Publications (Department of Macroeconomics), in: Zbornik radova: Kriza: Preobrazba ili propast? (ur. Obadić, Alka; Šimurina, Jurica; Tica, Josip, izdavač: Ekonomski fakultet Zagreb), edition 1, volume 1, chapter 11, pages 143-164, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
- Josip Tica, 2011. "Kriza 2008-20XY: Populizam i puna zaposlenost kao sukobljeni ciljevi," EFZG Working Papers Series 1105, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb.
Michael Funke & Aaron Mehrotra & Hao Yu, 2015. "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 1619-1641, June.
- Michael Funke & Hao Yu & Aaron Mehrota, 2011. "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 21112, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
- Funke, Michael & Mehrotra, Aaron & Yu, Hao, 2011. "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," BOFIT Discussion Papers 35/2011, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
Malte Knüppel & Guido Schultefrankenfeld, 2012. "How Informative Are Central Bank Assessments of Macroeconomic Risks?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 8(3), pages 87-139, September.
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Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011. "Evaluating macroeconomic risk forecasts," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,14, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,35, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Foroni, Claudia, 2012. "U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials," CEPR Discussion Papers 8828, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2011. "Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in the new-Keynesian three-equations model," Economics Working Papers 2011-10, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
Hess, Dieter & Orbe, Sebastian, 2011. "Irrationality or efficiency of macroeconomic survey forecasts? Implications from the anchoring bias test," CFR Working Papers 11-13, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
Ludwig, Björn, 2011. "Warum der Baseler Ausschluss für Bankenaufsicht mit seinem antizyklischen Kapitalpuffer falsch liegt," CIW Discussion Papers 7/2011, University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW).
A. Nazif Çatik & Mehmet Karaçuka, 2011. "A comparative analysis of alternative univariate time series models in forecasting Turkish inflation," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 275-293, April.
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Chang, Chia-ling & Chen, Shu-heng, 2011. "Interactions in DSGE models: The Boltzmann-Gibbs machine and social networks approach," Economics Discussion Papers 2011-25, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Skrove Falch, Nina & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2011. "The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 5, pages 1-36.
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Skrove Falch, Nina & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2011. "The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 5, pages 1-36.
- Falch, Nina Skrove & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2011. "The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank," Economics Discussion Papers 2011-6, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Michael W. M. Roos & Ulrich Schmidt, 2012. "The Importance of Time‐Series Extrapolation for Macroeconomic Expectations," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 13(2), pages 196-210, May.
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Keesookpuna, Chutipong & Mitomob, Hitoshi, 2011. "Cloud computing and prospective business and economic impacts in developing country: A case study of Thailand," 22nd European Regional ITS Conference, Budapest 2011: Innovative ICT Applications - Emerging Regulatory, Economic and Policy Issues 52181, International Telecommunications Society (ITS).
Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2011. "The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2011, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
van Deuverden, Kristina & Scheufele, Rolf, 2011. "Mittelfristprojektion des IWH: Wirtschaftsentwicklung und Staatsfinanzen – Eine Vorausschau der Jahre 2011 bis 2015," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 17(1), pages 33-49.
Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics, 2011. "Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland setzt sich kraftvoll fort," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 17(3), pages 96-120.
Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics, 2011. "Konjunktur aktuell: Schulden- und Vertrauenskrise bringt Rezessionsgefahr nach Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 17(9), pages 298-328.
Bredemeier, Christian & Goecke, Henry, 2011. "Sticky Prices vs. Sticky Information – A Cross-Country Study of Inflation Dynamics," Ruhr Economic Papers 255, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Kitlinski, Tobias & Schmidt, Torsten, 2011. "The Forecasting Performance of an Estimated Medium Run Model," Ruhr Economic Papers 301, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Wolters, Maik H., 2011. "Forecasting under Model Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48723, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Wolters, Maik Hendrik, 2012. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," MPRA Paper 36147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wolters, Maik H., 2013. "Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models," Economics Working Papers 2013-03, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
Tommaso Proietti & Stefano Grassi, 2015. "Stochastic trends and seasonality in economic time series: new evidence from Bayesian stochastic model specification search," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 983-1011, May.
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Adrian Pagan & Don Harding, 2011. "Econometric Analysis and Prediction of Recurrent Events," NCER Working Paper Series 75, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Adrian Pagan & Don Harding, 2011. "Econometric Analysis and Prediction of Recurrent Events," CREATES Research Papers 2011-33, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
Arora, Vipin & Tyers, Rod, 2012. "Asset arbitrage and the price of oil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 142-150.
Vipin Arora, 2011. "Asset Value, Interest Rates and Oil Price Volatility," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 87(s1), pages 45-55, September.
- Vipin Arora, 2011. "Asset Value, Interest Rates and Oil Price Volatility," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2011-536, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
Spencer D. Krane, 2011. "Professional Forecasters' View of Permanent and Transitory Shocks to GDP," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 3(1), pages 184-211, January.
Meredith J. Beechey & Benjamin K. Johannsen & Andrew T. Levin, 2011. "Are Long-Run Inflation Expectations Anchored More Firmly in the Euro Area Than in the United States?," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 104-129, April.
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Irrshad Kaseeram & Eleftherios Contogiannis, 2011. "The Impact of Inflation Targeting on Inflation Volatility in South Africa," The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute, vol. 13(Conferenc), pages 34-52.
George Verikios & Maura Sullivan & Pane Stojanovski & James Giesecke & Gordon Woo, 2011. "The Global Economic Effects of Pandemic Influenza," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-224, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
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Isengildina-Massa, Olga & Tysinger, David & Gerard, Patrick & MacDonald, Stephen, 2011. "What Can we Learn from our Mistakes? Evaluating the Benefits of Correcting Inefficiencies in USDA Cotton Forecasts," 2011 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2011, Corpus Christi, Texas 98811, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
José Luis Oreiro & Celso Vila Nova de Souza & Kelly Pereira Guedes & Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza, 2012. "Um Modelo Keynes-Minsky Generalizado de Flutuações Cíclicas," Economia, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 13(3b), pages 703-734.
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- José Luis Da Costa Oreiro & Sergio Rubens Stancato De Souza & Celso Vila Nova De Souza & Kelly Pereira Guedes, 2011. "Um Modelo Keynes-Minsky Generalizado Deflutuações Cíclicas," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 226, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
Dieter Gerdesmeier & Hans-Eggert Reimers & Barbara Roffia, 2011. "Early Warning Indicators for Asset Price Booms," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 1, pages 1-19, June.
Philipp Maier, 2011. "Mixed Frequency Forecasts for Chinese GDP," Staff Working Papers 11-11, Bank of Canada.
Cecilia Frale & Libero Monteforte, "undated". "FaMIDAS: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS structure," Working Papers 3, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Cecilia Frale & Libero Monteforte, 2011. "FaMIDAS: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS structure," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 788, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Martina Cecioni & Stefano Neri, 2011. "The monetary transmission mechanism in the euro area: has it changed and why?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 808, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Dzmitry Kruk, 2011. "The Impact of Directed Lending on Long-run Growth in Belarus," BEROC Working Paper Series 14, Belarusian Economic Research and Outreach Center (BEROC).
Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2011. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 86-95, January.
- Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2011. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(1), pages 86-95.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009. "An econometric analysis of some models for constructed binary time series," CAMA Working Papers 2009-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," NCER Working Paper Series 39, National Centre for Econometric Research, revised 02 Jul 2009.
Nikolay Gospodinov & Alex Maynard & Elena Pesavento, 2011. "Sensitivity of Impulse Responses to Small Low-Frequency Comovements: Reconciling the Evidence on the Effects of Technology Shocks," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 455-467, October.
- Gospodinov, Nikolay & Maynard, Alex & Pesavento, Elena, 2011. "Sensitivity of Impulse Responses to Small Low-Frequency Comovements: Reconciling the Evidence on the Effects of Technology Shocks," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(4), pages 455-467.
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Denis Beau & Christophe Cahn & Laurent Clerc & Benoît Mojon, 2014. "Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Sofía Bauducco & Lawrence Christiano & Claudio Raddatz (ed.),Macroeconomic and Financial Stability: challenges for Monetary Policy, edition 1, volume 19, chapter 9, pages 273-314, Central Bank of Chile.
- Beau, D. & Clerc, L. & Mojon, B., 2011. "Macro-prudential policy and the conduct of monetary policy," Occasional papers 8, Banque de France.
- Denis Beau & Christophe Cahn & Laurent Clerc & Benoît Mojon, 2013. "Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 715, Central Bank of Chile.
- Beau, D. & Clerc, L. & Mojon, B., 2012. "Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy," Working papers 390, Banque de France.
L. Ferrara., 2011. "Forecasting the business cycle. Summary of the 8th International Institute of Forecasters workshop hosted by the Banque de France on 1-2 December 2011 in Paris," Quarterly selection of articles - Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 24, pages 135-144, Winter.
Jamie Hall & Jarkko P. Jääskelä, 2011. "Inflation Volatility and Forecast Accuracy," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 44(4), pages 404-417, December.
- Jamie Hall & Jarkko Jääskelä, 2009. "Inflation Volatility and Forecast Accuracy," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2009-06, Reserve Bank of Australia.
Vipin Arora, 2011. "Asset Value, Interest Rates and Oil Price Volatility," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 87(s1), pages 45-55, September.
- Vipin Arora, 2011. "Asset Value, Interest Rates and Oil Price Volatility," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2011-536, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
Bennett T. Mccallum, 2011. "Causality, Structure And The Uniqueness Of Rational Expectations Equilibria," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 79(s1), pages 551-566, June.
- Bennett T. McCallum, 2009. "Causality, Structure, and the Uniqueness of Rational Expectations Equilibria," NBER Working Papers 15234, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Diego E. Vacaflores, 2011. "Monetary Stimulus: Through Wall Street or Main Street?," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, vol. 14(1), pages 9-40, June.
Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2014. "Nowcasting GDP in Real Time: A Density Combination Approach," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 48-68, January.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2011. "Nowcasting GDP in Real-Time: A Density Combination Approach," Working Papers No 1/2011, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2011. "Nowcasting GDP in real-time: A density combination approach," Working Paper 2011/11, Norges Bank.
Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2014. "Nowcasting GDP in Real Time: A Density Combination Approach," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 48-68, January.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2011. "Nowcasting GDP in real-time: A density combination approach," Working Paper 2011/11, Norges Bank.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2011. "Nowcasting GDP in Real-Time: A Density Combination Approach," Working Papers No 1/2011, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013. "Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2-3), pages 449-463, March.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013. "Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real‐Time Out‐of‐Sample Examination," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2‐3), pages 449-463, March.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2010. "Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination," Working Paper 2010/18, Norges Bank.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2011. "Oil and US GDP: A Real-Time out-of Sample Examination," Working Papers No 2/2011, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Harrison, Richard & Thomas, Ryland & de Weymarn, Iain, 2011. "The impact of permanent energy price shocks on the UK economy," Bank of England working papers 433, Bank of England.
Michael Funke & Aaron Mehrotra & Hao Yu, 2015. "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 1619-1641, June.
- Funke, Michael & Mehrotra, Aaron & Yu, Hao, 2011. "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," BOFIT Discussion Papers 35/2011, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Funke, Michael & Mehrotra, Aaron & Yu, Hao, 2011. "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," BOFIT Discussion Papers 35/2011, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
- Michael Funke & Hao Yu & Aaron Mehrota, 2011. "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 21112, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
Ichiro Fukunaga & Naoko Hara & Satoko Kojima & Yoichi Ueno & Shunichi Yoneyama, 2011. "The Quarterly Japanese Economic Model (Q-JEM): 2011 Version," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 11-E-11, Bank of Japan.
Étienne Debauche & Éric Dubois & Pierre Leblanc, 2011. "La crise : quelles conséquences durables sur la croissance, l'emploi et les finances publiques ?," Revue d'économie financière, Association d'économie financière, vol. 0(3), pages 41-58.
Françoise Charpin, 2011. "Réévaluation des modèles d'estimation précoce de la croissance," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(3), pages 129-142.
Chang, Chia Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & Mcaleer, Michael, 2012. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 22-43, September.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-15, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics 11/16, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," KIER Working Papers 773, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Hwang, Bruce B.K. & McAleer, Michael, 2012. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk using nonlinear regression quantiles and the intra-day range," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 557-574.
- Chen, C.W.S. & Gerlach, R. & Hwang, B.B.K. & McAleer, M.J., 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intraday Range," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2011-17, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Working Papers in Economics 11/22, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-16, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," KIER Working Papers 775, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Chang, Chia-Lin & de Bruijn, Bert & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Analyzing fixed-event forecast revisions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 622-627.
- Michael McAleer & Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," KIER Working Papers 779, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Working Papers in Economics 11/25, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, revised Apr 2013.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-24, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-Event Forecast Revisions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-057/III, Tinbergen Institute.
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Kateryna Onishchenko, 2012. "Can a pure real business cycle model explain the real exchange rate: the case of Ukraine," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(2), pages 111-135.
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Artis, Michael & Curran, Declan & Sensier, Marianne, 2011. "Investigating agglomeration economies in a panel of European cities and regions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 58459, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Michael Artis & Declan Curran & Marianne Sensier, 2011. "Investigating Agglomeration Economies in a Panel of European Cities and Regions," SERC Discussion Papers 0078, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
Artis, Michael & Sensier, Marianne, 2011. "Tracking unemployment in Wales through recession and into recovery," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 59248, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Michael Artis & Marianne Sensier, 2011. "Tracking Unemployment in Wales through Recession and into Recovery," SERC Discussion Papers 0079, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2014. "Inflation uncertainty revisited: a proposal for robust measurement," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1497-1523, December.
- Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2011. "Inflation uncertainty revisited: A proposal for robust measurement," ifo Working Paper Series 111, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
Lili Hao & Eric C.Y. Ng, 2011. "Predicting Canadian recessions using dynamic probit modelling approaches," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 44(4), pages 1297-1330, November.
Jakub Rysanek & Jaromir Tonner & Stanislav Tvrz & Osvald Vasicek, 2012. "Monetary Policy Implications of Financial Frictions in the Czech Republic," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 62(5), pages 413-429, November.
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Pietro Bonaldi & Juan D. Prada & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2011. "Método numérico para la calibración de un modelo dsge," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, December.
- Pietro Bonaldi & . Andrés González & Juan David Prada & Diego A.Rodríguez & Luis Eduardo Rojas, 2009. "Método numérico para la calibración de un modelo DSGE," Borradores de Economia 548, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Pietro Bonaldi & Andrés González & Juan David Prada & Diego A. Rodríguez, 2009. "Método numérico para la calibración de un modelo DSGE," Borradores de Economia 5265, Banco de la Republica.
Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 30(68), pages 218-272, June.
- Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez, 2012. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 30(68), pages 218-272, June.
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- Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez, 2011. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Borradores de Economia 663, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Andrés González & Sergio Ocampo & Diego Rodríguez & Norberto Rodríguez, 2011. "Asimetrías del empleo y el producto, una aproximación de equilibrio general," Borradores de Economia 8890, Banco de la Republica.
Ramiro Rodríguez Revilla, 2011. "Modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos y estocásticos para Colombia 1995-2011," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, December.
Claudía María García Mazo & Jilmer Arley Moreno Martínez, 2011. "Optimización de portafolios de pensiones en Colombia: el esquema de multifondos, 2003-2010," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, December.
Juan Carlos Munoz Mora & Sebastián Aparicio Rincón & Manuel Mesa Aristizábal, 2011. "¿Qué la economía no es un juego? Evidencia del uso de Economía Experimental en cursos de Introducción a la Economía," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, December.
Ivan Savin & Peter Winker, 2013. "Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2012(2), pages 67-89.
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Verikios, George & Sullivan, Maura & Stojanovski, Pane & Giesecke, James & Woo, Gordon, 2011. "The Global Economic Effects of Pandemic Influenza," Conference papers 332033, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
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Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013. "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 43-59.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," MPRA Paper 30380, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011021, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage Priors for Dynamic Regressions with Many Predictors," Working Paper series 21_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Dimitris Korobilis, 2013. "Var Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 204-230, March.
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Miguel A.G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time‐Varying Parameter Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 80-94, January.
- Belmonte, Miguel A & Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-68, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- BELMONTE, Miguel A.G. & KOOP, Gary & KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011036, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Miguel A. G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Paper series 35_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Papers 1137, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop & Dimitris, Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," MPRA Paper 31827, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Callum Jones & Mariano Kulish, 2016. "A graphical representation of an estimated DSGE model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(6), pages 483-489, February.
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Tom Holden, 2010. "Products, patents and productivity persistence: A DSGE model of endogenous growth," Economics Series Working Papers 512, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
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Cantore, C. & Levine, P., 2012. "Getting normalization right: Dealing with ‘dimensional constants’ in macroeconomics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 1931-1949.
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Pierre Guérin & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013. "Markov-Switching MIDAS Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 45-56, January.
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Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2012. "A Century of Inflation Forecasts," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1097-1106, November.
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Kollmann, Robert & Zeugner, Stefan, 2012. "Leverage as a predictor for real activity and volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1267-1283.
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- Kollmann, Robert & Zeugner, Stefan, 2011. "Leverage as a Predictor for Real Activity and Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 8327, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2013. "Inference on impulse response functions in structural VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(1), pages 1-13.
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- Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2013. "Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models," TERG Discussion Papers 307, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University.
David Matesanz & Benno Torgler & Germán Dabat & Guillermo J. Ortega, 2014. "Co-movements in commodity prices: a note based on network analysis," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(S1), pages 13-21, November.
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Brevik, Frode & d’Addona, Stefano, 2010. "Information Quality and Stock Returns Revisited," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(6), pages 1419-1446, December.
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Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2011. "Speculative Bubble on Housing Markets: Elements of an Early Warning System," DIW Economic Bulletin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 1(4), pages 3-9.
Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2011. "Spekulative Preisentwicklung an den Immobilienmärkten: Elemente eines Frühwarnsystems," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 78(37/38), pages 2-9.
Dorothea Lucke, 2011. "Die deutsche Industrie - ein Fels in der Brandung?," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 78(49), pages 3-11.
Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2011. "An Early Warning System to Predict the House Price Bubbles," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1142, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
Paul Viefers, 2011. "Bayesian Inference for the Mixed-Frequency VAR Model," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1172, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
Gabriele Galati & Peter Heemeijer & Richhild Moessner, 2011. "How do inflation expectations form? New insights from a high-frequency survey," BIS Working Papers 349, Bank for International Settlements.
- Gabriele Galati & Peter Heemeijer & Richhild Moessner, 2011. "How do inflation expectations form? New insights from a high-frequency survey," DNB Working Papers 283, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
Rossi, Barbara, 2013. "Advances in Forecasting under Instability," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1203-1324, Elsevier.
- Barbara Rossi, 2011. "Advances in Forecasting Under Instability," Working Papers 11-20, Duke University, Department of Economics.
Franziska Ohnsorge & Yevgeniya, 2011. "Forecasting growth in eastern Europe and central Asia," Working Papers 137, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Office of the Chief Economist.
Kollmann, Robert & Zeugner, Stefan, 2012. "Leverage as a predictor for real activity and volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1267-1283.
- Kollmann, Robert & Zeugner, Stefan, 2011. "Leverage as a Predictor for Real Activity and Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 8327, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Robert Kollmann & Stefan Zeugner, 2011. "Leverage as a Predictor for Real Activity and Volatility," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2011-009, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "UK macroeconomic forecasting with many predictors: Which models forecast best and when do they do so?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 2307-2318, September.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2009-40, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-39, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," Working Papers 1118, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korompilis, 2009. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," Working Papers 0917, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 53(3), pages 867-886, August.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2009. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Paper series 34_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-40, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 1119, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2010. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers 2010-113, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2012. "The dynamics of UK and US inflation expectations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3120-3133.
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- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2011. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-47, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2012. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-46, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2011. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 1120, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2009. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," Working Paper series 14_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Miguel A.G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time‐Varying Parameter Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 80-94, January.
- Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Papers 1137, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Belmonte, Miguel A & Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-68, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Miguel A. G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Paper series 35_11, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop & Dimitris, Korobilis, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," MPRA Paper 31827, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- BELMONTE, Miguel A.G. & KOOP, Gary & KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "Hierarchical shrinkage in time-varying parameter models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011036, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
Wolden Bache, Ida & Sofie Jore, Anne & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P., 2011. "Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 1659-1670, October.
- Ida Wolden Bache & Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities," Working Paper 2009/23, Norges Bank.
Carboni, Giacomo & Ellison, Martin, 2011. "Inflation and output volatility under asymmetric incomplete information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 40-51, January.
- Carboni, Giacomo & Ellison, Martin, 2009. "Inflation and output volatility under asymmetric incomplete information," Working Paper Series 1092, European Central Bank.
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Berardi, Michele, 2011. "Fundamentalists vs. chartists: Learning and predictor choice dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 776-792, May.
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Sharify, Nooraddin & Sancho, Ferran, 2011. "A new approach for the input–output price model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 188-195.
- Sharify, Nooraddin & Sancho, Ferran, 2011. "A new approach for the input-output price model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 188-195, January.
Álvarez, Luis J. & Hurtado, Samuel & Sánchez, Isabel & Thomas, Carlos, 2011. "The impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 422-431.
- Álvarez, Luis J. & Hurtado, Samuel & Sánchez, Isabel & Thomas, Carlos, 2011. "The impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 422-431, January.
- Luis J. Álvarez & Samuel Hurtado & Isabel Sánchez & Carlos Thomas, 2009. "The impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation," Occasional Papers 0904, Banco de España.
Sharify, Nooraddin & Sancho, Ferran, 2011. "A new approach for the input-output price model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 188-195, January.
- Sharify, Nooraddin & Sancho, Ferran, 2011. "A new approach for the input–output price model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 188-195.
Álvarez, Luis J. & Hurtado, Samuel & Sánchez, Isabel & Thomas, Carlos, 2011. "The impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1-2), pages 422-431, January.
- Álvarez, Luis J. & Hurtado, Samuel & Sánchez, Isabel & Thomas, Carlos, 2011. "The impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 422-431.
- Luis J. Álvarez & Samuel Hurtado & Isabel Sánchez & Carlos Thomas, 2009. "The impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation," Occasional Papers 0904, Banco de España.
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Musso, Alberto, 2011. "The reliability of real-time estimates of the euro area output gap," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 1842-1856, July.
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Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "UK macroeconomic forecasting with many predictors: Which models forecast best and when do they do so?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 2307-2318, September.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2009-40, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," Working Papers 1118, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korompilis, 2009. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," Working Papers 0917, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-39, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P. & Wakerly, Elizabeth C., 2011. "Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 77-87, January.
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El-Shagi, Makram, 2011. "Inflation expectations: Does the market beat econometric forecasts?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 298-319.
Roy, Saktinil & Kemme, David M., 2011. "What is really common in the run-up to banking crises?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(3), pages 211-214.
Li, Cheng, 2011. "Consumer expectation and output growth: The case of China," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 113(3), pages 298-300.
Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza, 2011. "Oil revenue shocks and government spending behavior in Iran," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1055-1069.
Banbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346, April.
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Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2011. "Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 452-465, April.
- Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2011. "Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 452-465.
- Jonas Dovern & Johannes Weisser, 2009. "Accuracy, Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts: An empirical Comparison for the G7," Jena Economics Research Papers 2009-091, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 529-542, April.
- Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 529-542.
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- Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/32, European University Institute.
Blaskowitz, Oliver & Herwartz, Helmut, 2011. "On economic evaluation of directional forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1058-1065, October.
Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2011. "How accurate are government forecasts of economic fundamentals? The case of Taiwan," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1066-1075, October.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2009. "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-637, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," KIER Working Papers 720, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," Working Papers in Economics 10/16, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
Bańbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346.
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Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2011. "Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 452-465.
- Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2011. "Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 452-465, April.
- Jonas Dovern & Johannes Weisser, 2009. "Accuracy, Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts: An empirical Comparison for the G7," Jena Economics Research Papers 2009-091, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 529-542.
- Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 529-542, April.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kuzin, Vladimir, 2009. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 7445, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/32, European University Institute.
Sakuragawa, Masaya & Hosono, Kaoru, 2011. "Fiscal sustainability in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 434-446.
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Mazumder, Sandeep, 2011. "Cost-based Phillips Curve forecasts of inflation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 553-567.
Phillips, Kerk L. & Spencer, David E., 2011. "Bootstrapping structural VARs: Avoiding a potential bias in confidence intervals for impulse response functions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 582-594.
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Bouwman, Kees E. & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M., 2011. "Forecasting with real-time macroeconomic data: The ragged-edge problem and revisions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 784-792.
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Galí, Jordi, 2011. "Are central banks' projections meaningful?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(6), pages 537-550.
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Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P., 2014. "Measuring output gap nowcast uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 268-279.
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Arora, Vipin & Tyers, Rod, 2012. "Asset arbitrage and the price of oil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 142-150.
Kateryna Onishchenko, 2012. "Can a pure real business cycle model explain the real exchange rate: the case of Ukraine," International Journal of Sustainable Economy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(2), pages 111-135.
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Kristina Mi?in, 2011. "Poreznom politikom do generatora gospodarskog razvoja s posebnim naglaskom na porezno potican razvoj životnih osiguranja," Ekonomija Economics, Rifin d.o.o., vol. 18(1), pages 57-72.
Michael Artis & Declan Curran & Marianne Sensier, 2011. "Investigating Agglomeration Economies in a Panel of European Cities and Regions," SERC Discussion Papers 0078, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
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Mason Gaffney, 2011. "An Award for Calling the Crash," Econ Journal Watch, Econ Journal Watch, vol. 8(2), pages 185-192, May.
Chang, Chia-Lin & de Bruijn, Bert & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Analyzing fixed-event forecast revisions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 622-627.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Working Papers in Economics 11/25, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
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- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, revised Apr 2013.
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- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-24, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Michael McAleer & Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," KIER Working Papers 779, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Hwang, Bruce B.K. & McAleer, Michael, 2012. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk using nonlinear regression quantiles and the intra-day range," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 557-574.
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- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-16, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," KIER Working Papers 775, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Doaa Akl Ahmed, 2011. "Modelling the Density of Inflation Using Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity, Skewness, and Kurtosis Models," Ensayos Revista de Economia, Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Facultad de Economia, vol. 0(2), pages 1-28, November.
Filip Novotný & Marie Raková, 2011. "Assessment of Consensus Forecasts Accuracy: The Czech National Bank Perspective," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 61(4), pages 348-366, August.
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Frédéric Reynes & Yasser Yeddir-Tamsamani & Gaël Callonec, 2011. "Presentation of the Three-ME model: Multi-sector Macroeconomic Model for the Evaluation of Environmental and Energy policy," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2011-10, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
Raphael A. Auer, 2015. "Exchange Rate Pass‐Through, Domestic Competition, and Inflation: Evidence from the 2005–08 Revaluation of the Renminbi," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(8), pages 1617-1650, December.
- Raphael Auer, 2011. "Exchange rate pass-through, domestic competition and inflation -- evidence from the 2005/08 revaluation of the Renminbi," Globalization Institute Working Papers 68, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Raphael A. Auer, 2012. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Domestic Competition, and Inflation: Evidence from the 2005/08 Revaluation of the Renminbi," Working Papers 2012-01, Swiss National Bank.
- Auer, Raphael, 2015. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Domestic Competition, and Inflation: Evidence from the 2005/08 Revaluation of the Renminbi," CEPR Discussion Papers 10344, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Kristie M. Engemann & Michael T. Owyang & Howard J. Wall, 2014. "Where Is An Oil Shock?," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(2), pages 169-185, March.
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Michael Dotsey & Shigeru Fujita & Tom Stark, 2018. "Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(4), pages 43-92, September.
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Benigno, Gianluca & Benigno, Pierpaolo & Nisticò, Salvatore, 2013. "Second-order approximation of dynamic models with time-varying risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 1231-1247.
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- Gianluca Benigno & Pierpaolo Benigno & Salvatore Nisticò, 2010. "Second-Order Approximation of Dynamic Models with Time-Varying Risk," CEP Discussion Papers dp1033, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Benigno, Gianluca & Benigno, Pierpaolo & Nisticò, Salvatore, 2011. "Second-order approximation of dynamic models with time-varying risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119071, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Benigno, Gianluca & Benigno, Pierpaolo & Nisticò, Salvatore, 2010. "Second-order approximation of dynamic models with time-varying risk," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121707, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Gianluca Benigno & Pierpaolo Benigno & Salvatore Nisticò, 2010. "Second-Order Approximation of Dynamic Models with Time-Varying Risk," EIEF Working Papers Series 1021, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Dec 2010.
M. Caivano & L. Rodano & S. Siviero, 2011. "The Transmission of the Global Financial Crisis to the Italian Economy," Giornale degli Economisti, GDE (Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia), Bocconi University, vol. 70(3), pages 1-32, December.
Agnello, Luca & Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2012. "How does fiscal policy react to wealth composition and asset prices?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 874-890.
- Luca Agnello & Vítor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "How Does Fiscal Policy React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," NIPE Working Papers 24/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Luca Agnello & Vitor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2011. "How Does Fiscal Policy React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," GEMF Working Papers 2011-18, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
Peter Fuleky & Carl Bonham, 2010. "Forecasting Based on Common Trends in Mixed Frequency Samples," Working Papers 2010-17R1, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, revised Jul 2013.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2011. "Forecasting Based on Common Trends in Mixed Frequency Samples," Working Papers 201110, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
M. Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2012. "Neural network models for inflation forecasting: an appraisal," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(20), pages 2631-2635, July.
- M. Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2012. "Neural network models for inflation forecasting: an appraisal," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(20), pages 2631-2635, July.
- Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2008. "Neural Network Models for Inflation Forecasting: An Appraisal," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0808, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
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Berardi, Michele, 2011. "Fundamentalists vs. chartists: Learning and predictor choice dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 776-792, May.
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Jihene Bousrih, 2012. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy: model of a small open economy," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(3), pages 232-246, July.
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- Jihène Bousrih, 2011. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy: Model of a small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00603207, HAL.
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- Bousrih Jihene, 2010. "Degree of Openness and Inflation Targeting Policy: Model of a Small Open Economy," Working Papers 2010.2, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
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Jihene Bousrih, 2012. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy: model of a small open economy," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(3), pages 232-246, July.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2010. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy : model of a small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00460136, HAL.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2011. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy : model of a small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00603217, HAL.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2010. "Degree of openess and inflation targeting policy : model of small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00496405, HAL.
- Bousrih Jihene, 2010. "Degree of Openness and Inflation Targeting Policy: Model of a Small Open Economy," Working Papers 2010.2, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2011. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy: Model of a small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00603207, HAL.
Michael Funke & Aaron Mehrotra & Hao Yu, 2015. "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 1619-1641, June.
- Funke, Michael & Mehrotra, Aaron & Yu, Hao, 2011. "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," BOFIT Discussion Papers 35/2011, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Michael Funke & Hao Yu & Aaron Mehrota, 2011. "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 21112, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
Lena Dräger, 2015. "Inflation perceptions and expectations in Sweden – Are media reports the missing link?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(5), pages 681-700, October.
- Lena Draeger, 2011. "Inflation perceptions and expectations in Sweden - are media reports the 'missing link'?," KOF Working papers 11-273, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Lena Dräger, 2011. "Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Sweden - Are Media Reports the `Missing Link'?," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201101, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
Lena Draeger, 2011. "Endogenous persistence with recursive inattentiveness," KOF Working papers 11-285, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Lena Dräger, 2011. "Endogenous Persistence with Recursive Inattentiveness," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201103, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
Lars Jonung & Staffan Linden, 2010. "The forecasting horizon of inflationary expectations and perceptions in the EU – Is it really 12 months?," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 435, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Jonung, Lars & Lindén, Staffan, 2011. "The forecasting horizon of inflationary expectations and perceptions in the EU. Is it really 12 months?," Working Papers 2011:5, Lund University, Department of Economics.
Matthew S. Yiu & Kenneth K. Chow, 2011. "Nowcasting Chinese GDP: Information Content of Economic and Financial Data," Working Papers 042011, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
Eduardo Lora & Andrew Powell & Pilar Tavella, 2011. "How Will the Food Price Shock Affect Inflation in Latin America and the Caribbean?," Research Department Publications 4719, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2011. "Input And Output Inventories In General Equilibrium," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 52(4), pages 1179-1213, November.
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- Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2007. "Input and output inventories in general equilibrium," Working Papers 07-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
Ida Wolden Bache & Øistein Røislanda & Kjersti Næss Torstensen, 2011. "Interest Rate Smoothing and "Calvo-Type" Interest Rate Rules: A Comment on Levine, McAdam, and Pearlman (2007)," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 7(3), pages 79-90, September.
Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2011. "The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective," IWH Discussion Papers 5, Halle Institute for Economic Research.
Kristina vanDeuverden & Rolf Scheufele, 2011. "Mittelfristprojektion des IWH: Wirtschaftsentwicklung und Staatsfinanzen – Eine Vorausschau der Jahre 2011 bis 2015," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research, vol. 17(1), pages 33-49.
Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics, 2011. "Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland setzt sich kraftvoll fort," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research, vol. 17(3), pages 96-120.
Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics, 2011. "Konjunktur aktuell: Schulden- und Vertrauenskrise bringt Rezessionsgefahr nach Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research, vol. 17(9), pages 298-328.
Nikolaos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2013. "Nowcasting Business Cycles Using Toll Data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 299-306, July.
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Ahmed Nawaz Hakro & Ikhtiar Ali Ghumro, 2011. "Determinants of foreign direct investment flows to Pakistan," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 44(2), pages 217-242, January-M.
BIRMAN Andrei, 2011. "Some Empirical Aspects regarding the Relationship between Inflation and Economic Growth in Romania – the Speed Limit Effect," European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Bucharest Economic Academy, issue 02, June.
Hofer Helmut & Weyerstraß Klaus & Schmidt Torsten, 2011. "Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(1), pages 153-171, February.
- Hofer, Helmut & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstrass, Klaus, 2010. "Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting," Ruhr Economic Papers 177, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Helmut Hofer & Torsten Schmidt & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2010. "Practice and prospects of medium-term economic forecasting," NRN working papers 2010-12, The Austrian Center for Labor Economics and the Analysis of the Welfare State, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
Schumacher Christian, 2011. "Forecasting with Factor Models Estimated on Large Datasets: A Review of the Recent Literature and Evidence for German GDP," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(1), pages 28-49, February.
Lenza Michele & Warmedinger Thomas, 2011. "A Factor Model for Euro-area Short-term Inflation Analysis," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(1), pages 50-62, February.
Ricardo Mestre & Peter McAdam, 2011. "Is forecasting with large models informative? Assessing the role of judgement in macroeconomic forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 303-324, April.
- McAdam, Peter & Mestre, Ricardo, 2008. "Is forecasting with large models informative? Assessing the role of judgement in macroeconomic forecasts," Working Paper Series 950, European Central Bank.
Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2011. "Optimal macroeconomic policies in a financial and economic crisis: a case study for Slovenia," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 38(3), pages 435-459, July.
Mario Meichle & Angelo Ranaldo & Attilio Zanetti, 2011. "Do financial variables help predict the state of the business cycle in small open economies? Evidence from Switzerland," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 25(4), pages 435-453, December.
Marcelo Sánchez, 2011. "Oil shocks and endogenous markups: results from an estimated euro area DSGE model," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 8(3), pages 247-273, September.
The Pham, 2011. "Growth, volatility and stabilisation policy in a DSGE model with nominal rigidities and learning-by-doing," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 8(3), pages 307-322, September.
Michael W.M. Roos & Ulrich Schmidt, 2011. "The importance of time series extrapolation for macroeconomic expectations," Kiel Working Papers 1723, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
Altug, Sumru & Tan, Barış & Gencer, Gözde, 2012. "Cyclical dynamics of industrial production and employment: Markov chain-based estimates and tests," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 1534-1550.
- Sumru Altug & Baris Tan & Gozde Gencer, 2011. "Cyclical Dynamics of Industrial Production and Employment: Markov Chain-based Estimates and Tests," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1101, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
Sumru Altug & Bilin Neyapti & Mustafa Emin, 2012. "Institutions and Business Cycles," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(3), pages 347-366, December.
- Sumru Altug & Mustafa Emin & Bilin Neyapti, 2011. "Institutions and Business Cycles," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1109, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Altug, Sumru & Neyapti, Bilin & Emin, Mustafa, 2012. "Institutions and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 8728, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Sumru Altug & Erhan Uluceviz, 2011. "Leading Indicators of Real Activity and Inflation for Turkey, 2001-2010," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1134, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
Lena Dräger, 2015. "Inflation perceptions and expectations in Sweden – Are media reports the missing link?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(5), pages 681-700, October.
- Lena Dräger, 2011. "Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Sweden - Are Media Reports the `Missing Link'?," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201101, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Lena Draeger, 2011. "Inflation perceptions and expectations in Sweden - are media reports the 'missing link'?," KOF Working papers 11-273, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Boriss Siliverstovs, 2011. "Are GDP revisions predictable?," KOF Working papers 11-281, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Lena Dräger, 2011. "Endogenous Persistence with Recursive Inattentiveness," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201103, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Lena Draeger, 2011. "Endogenous persistence with recursive inattentiveness," KOF Working papers 11-285, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are forecast updates progressive?," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 9-18.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-736, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," KIER Working Papers 762, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-03, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-24, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-049/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Working Papers in Economics 10/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," MPRA Paper 46387, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J. & Legerstee, R., 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecast: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-19, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2011. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," KIER Working Papers 771, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee:, 2011. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-11, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Working Papers in Economics 10/09, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-729, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
Chang, Chia Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & Mcaleer, Michael, 2012. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 22-43, September.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-15, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," KIER Working Papers 773, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics 11/16, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard & Hwang, Bruce B.K. & McAleer, Michael, 2012. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk using nonlinear regression quantiles and the intra-day range," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 557-574.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Working Papers in Economics 11/22, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," KIER Working Papers 775, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-16, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chen, C.W.S. & Gerlach, R. & Hwang, B.B.K. & McAleer, M.J., 2011. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intraday Range," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2011-17, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
Chang, Chia-Lin & de Bruijn, Bert & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Analyzing fixed-event forecast revisions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 622-627.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Working Papers in Economics 11/25, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Michael McAleer & Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," KIER Working Papers 779, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2013-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, revised Apr 2013.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-24, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Analyzing Fixed-Event Forecast Revisions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-057/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J., 2011. "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2011-22, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
Delphine Boutin, 2011. "D’une crise à l’autre : Mesurer l’impact des prix alimentaires sur la pauvreté," Larefi Working Papers 201106, Larefi, Université Bordeaux 4.
Delphine Boutin, 2011. "D’une crise à l’autre : Mesurer l’impact des prix alimentaires sur la pauvreté," Larefi Working Papers 1106, Larefi, Université Bordeaux 4.
Dirk J. Bezemer, 2011. "Causes of Financial Instability: Don’t Forget Finance," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_665, Levy Economics Institute.
Tomas Ramanauskas, 2011. "What Caused the Recent Boom-And-Bust Cycle in Lithuania? Evidence from a Macromodel with the Financial Sector," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 10, Bank of Lithuania.
Vetlov, Igor & Pisani, Massimiliano & Hlédik, Tibor & Jonsson, Magnus & Kucsera, Henrik, 2011. "Potential output in DSGE models," Working Paper Series 1351, European Central Bank.
- Igor Vetlov & Tibor Hlédik & Magnus Jonsson & Henrik Kucsera & Massimiliano Pisani, 2011. "Potential Output in DSGE Models," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 9, Bank of Lithuania.
Di Giorgio, Giorgio & Traficante, Guido, 2013. "The loss from uncertainty on policy targets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 175-182.
- Giorgio Di Giorgio & Guido Traficante, 2011. "The loss from uncertainty on policy targets," Working Papers CASMEF 1104, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
Cecilia Frale & Valentina Raponi, 2011. "Revisions in ocial data and forecasting," Working Papers LuissLab 1194, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
Jaqueson K. Galimberti & Marcelo L. Moura, 2011. "Improving the reliability of real-time Hodrick-Prescott filtering using survey forecasts," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 159, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Jaqueson K. Galimberti & Marcelo L. Moura, 2014. "Improving the reliability of real-time Hodrick-Prescott Filtering using survey forecasts," KOF Working papers 14-360, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Ivan Savin & Peter Winker, 2013. "Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2012(2), pages 67-89.
- Ivan Savin & Peter Winker, 2011. "Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany," Working Papers 046, COMISEF.
- Ivan Savin & Peter Winker, 2011. "Heuristic model selection for leading indicators in Russia and Germany," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201101, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
Atrianfar, Hamed & Barakchian, Seyed Mahdi, 2011. "Evaluation of Information Content of Economic Variables for Inflation Forecasting in Iran (in Persian)," Journal of Monetary and Banking Research (فصلنامه پژوهش‌های پولی-بانکی), Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 3(8), pages 1-42, September.
Ágnes Horváth & Csaba Köber & Katalin Szilágyi, 2011. "MPM – The Magyar Nemzeti Bank’s monetary policy model," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 6(2), pages 18-24, June.
Corder, Matthew & Weale, Martin, 2011. "Banking crises and recessions: what can leading indicators tell us?," Discussion Papers 33, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
Jing Tian & Heather M. Anderson, 2011. "Forecasting Under Strucural Break Uncertainty," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 8/11, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
K. Vela Velupillai, 2011. "The Phillips Machine, the Analogue Computing Tradition in Economics and Computability," Economia politica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 39-62.
- K. Vela Velupillai, 2011. "The Phillips Machine, The Analogue Computing Traditoin in Economics and Computability," ASSRU Discussion Papers 1112, ASSRU - Algorithmic Social Science Research Unit.
Allan McRobie, 2011. "Business Cycles in the Phillips Machine," Economia politica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 131-150.
National Bank of Belgium, 2011. "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2011," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-20, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2011. "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2011," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-26, June.

2010

Finardi, Corrado & Arfini, Filippo & Turrini, Aida, 2010. "Dietary Evolution Over Time In Europe, Between Cyclops And Phaecians . An Outlook On The Role Of Supply-Side Factors In Driving Changes In The Food Patterns," 115th Joint EAAE/AAEA Seminar, September 15-17, 2010, Freising-Weihenstephan, Germany 116443, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
M.D Mtembu & G.R. Motlaleng, 2010. "The Effects Of Exchange Rate Volatility On Swaziland’S Exports," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 6, pages 167-186, December.
Lucian-Liviu Albu & John M. Polimeni & Raluca I. Iorgulescu, 2010. "Spatial Distribution of Key Macroeconomic Growth Indicators in the EU-27: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," AIEL Series in Labour Economics, in: Floro Ernesto Caroleo & Francesco Pastore (ed.), The Labour Market Impact of the EU Enlargement, pages 175-194, Springer.
- Lucian-Liviu Albu & John M. Polimeni & Raluca I. Iorgulescu, 2010. "Spatial Distribution of Key Macroeconomic Growth Indicators in the EU-27: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," AIEL Series in Labour Economics, in: Floro Ernesto Caroleo & Francesco Pastore (ed.), The Labour Market Impact of the EU Enlargement. A New Regional Geography of Europe?, edition 1, chapter 7, pages 175-194, AIEL - Associazione Italiana Economisti del Lavoro.
Bao, Te & Hommes, Cars & Sonnemans, Joep & Tuinstra, Jan, 2012. "Individual expectations, limited rationality and aggregate outcomes," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 1101-1120.
- Bao, T. & Hommes, C.H. & Sonnemans, J. & Tuinstra, J., 2010. "Individual Expectations, Limited Rationality and Aggregate Outcomes," CeNDEF Working Papers 10-07, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
- Te Bao & Cars Hommes & Joep Sonnemans & Jan Tuinstra, 2012. "Individual Expectations, Limited Rationality and Aggregate Outcomes," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-016/1, Tinbergen Institute.
Ellen E. Meade & Daniel L. Thornton, 2012. "The Phillips curve and US monetary policy: what the FOMC transcripts tell us," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 64(2), pages 197-216, April.
- Ellen E. Meade & Daniel L. Thornton, 2010. "The Phillips curve and US monetary policy: what the FOMC transcripts tell us," Working Papers 2010-017, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Ellen E. Meade & Daniel L. Thornton, 2010. "The Phillips Curve and US Monetary Policy: What the FOMC Transcripts Tell Us," Working Papers 2010-18, American University, Department of Economics.
Stefan Kerbl, 2010. "Regulatory Medicine Against Financial Market Instability: What Helps And What Hurts?," Papers 1011.6284, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2010.
- Stefan Kerbl, 2011. "Regulatory Medicine Against Financial Market Instability: What Helps And What Hurts?," Working Papers 174, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
Alfred Maussner, 2010. "The Analytics of New Keynesian Phillips Curves," Discussion Paper Series 313, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics.
Marin Marinov, 2010. "Possibilities to Study the Market Trend Fluctuations by Means of Indicators for Technical Analysis," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 68-85.
Dr. James Mitchell, 2009. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 342, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0909, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Garratt, Anthony & Vahey, Shaun & Mitchell, James, 2010. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 7742, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Measuring output gap uncertainty," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2009/15, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P. & Wakerly, Elizabeth C., 2011. "Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 77-87, January.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2009. "Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0910, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2010. "Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves," CAMA Working Papers 2010-34, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
James Rossiter, 2010. "Nowcasting the Global Economy," Discussion Papers 10-12, Bank of Canada.
Claudia Godbout & Jocelyn Jacob, 2010. "Le pouvoir de prévision des indices PMI," Discussion Papers 10-3, Bank of Canada.
Jeannine Bailliu & Patrick Blagrave & James Rossiter, 2010. "Introducing the Bank of Canada's Projection Model for the Global Economy," Technical Reports 99, Bank of Canada.
Nikita Perevalov & Philipp Maier, 2010. "On the Advantages of Disaggregated Data: Insights from Forecasting the U.S. Economy in a Data-Rich Environment," Staff Working Papers 10-10, Bank of Canada.
Marco J. Lombardi & Philipp Maier, 2010. "‘Lean’ versus ‘Rich’ Data Sets: Forecasting during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Staff Working Papers 10-37, Bank of Canada.
David de Antonio Liedo, 2010. "General Equilibrium Restrictions for Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers 1012, Banco de España.
David de Antonio Liedo & Elena Fernández Muñoz, 2010. "Nowcasting Spanish GDP growth in real time: "One and a half months earlier"," Working Papers 1037, Banco de España.
Michele Caivano & Lisa Rodano & Stefano Siviero, 2010. "The transmission of the global financial crisis to the Italian economy. A counterfactual analysis, 2008-2010," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 64, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Gianluca Moretti & Giulio Nicoletti, 2010. "Estimating DSGE models with unknown data persistence," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 750, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Claudia Miani & Stefano Siviero, 2010. "A non-parametric model-based approach to uncertainty and risk analysis of macroeconomic forecast," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 758, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Libero Monteforte & Gianluca Moretti, 2013. "Real‐Time Forecasts of Inflation: The Role of Financial Variables," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(1), pages 51-61, January.
- Libero Monteforte & Gianluca Moretti, "undated". "Real time forecasts of inflation: the role of financial variables," Working Papers wp2011-6, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Libero Monteforte & Gianluca Moretti, 2010. "Real time forecasts of inflation: the role of financial variables," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 767, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Antonio Bassanetti & Michele Caivano & Alberto Locarno, 2010. "Modelling Italian potential output and the output gap," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 771, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Antonio Bassanetti & Michele Caivano & Alberto Locarno, 2013. "Modelling italian potential output and the output gap," Working Papers 7, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl, 2010. "Forecasting Inflation in Mexico Using Factor Models: Do Disaggregated CPI Data Improve Forecast Accuracy?," Working Papers 2010-01, Banco de México.
Capistrán, Carlos & López-Moctezuma, Gabriel, 2014. "Forecast revisions of Mexican inflation and GDP growth," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 177-191.
- López Moctezuma Gabriel & Capistrán Carlos, 2010. "Forecast Revisions of Mexican Inflation and GDP Growth," Working Papers 2010-11, Banco de México.
Benavides Guillermo, 2010. "Forecasting Short-Run Inflation Volatility using Futures Prices: An Empirical Analysis from a Value at Risk Perspective," Working Papers 2010-12, Banco de México.
Andrade, Philippe & Le Bihan, Hervé, 2013. "Inattentive professional forecasters," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(8), pages 967-982.
- Hervé Le Bihan & Philippe Andrade, 2010. "Inattentive Professional Forecasters," 2010 Meeting Papers 1144, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Andrade, P. & Le Bihan, H., 2010. "Inattentive professional forecasters," Working papers 307, Banque de France.
Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2013. "The Great Diversification and Its Undoing," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(5), pages 1697-1727, August.
- Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010. "The great diversification and its undoing," Economics Working Papers 1208, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Oct 2010.
- Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2015. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," Working Papers 422, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Gabaix, Xavier & Carvalho, Vasco, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," CEPR Discussion Papers 8044, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," NBER Working Papers 16424, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Xavier Gabaix & Vasco M. Carvalho, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," 2010 Meeting Papers 880, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Frank Leung & Kevin Chow & Simon Chan, 2010. "Measures of trend inflation in Hong Kong," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy and the measurement of inflation: prices, wages and expectations, volume 49, pages 177-200, Bank for International Settlements.
- Frank Leung & Kevin Chow & Simon Chan, 2009. "Measures of Trend Inflation in Hong Kong," Working Papers 0907, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
Fernanda Cuitiño & Elena Ganón & Ina Tiscordio & Leonardo Vicente, 2010. "Modelos univariados de series de tiempo para predecir la inflación de corto plazo," Documentos de trabajo 2010008, Banco Central del Uruguay.
Dieter Gerdesmeier & Hans‐Eggert Reimers & Barbara Roffia, 2010. "Asset Price Misalignments and the Role of Money and Credit," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(3), pages 377-407, December.
- Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Roffia, Barbara & Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2009. "Asset price misalignments and the role of money and credit," Working Paper Series 1068, European Central Bank.
Ravazzolo Francesco & Vahey Shaun P., 2014. "Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(4), pages 367-381, September.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010. "Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles," CAMA Working Papers 2010-10, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010. "Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles," Working Paper 2010/02, Norges Bank.
Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013. "Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2-3), pages 449-463, March.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013. "Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real‐Time Out‐of‐Sample Examination," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2‐3), pages 449-463, March.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2010. "Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination," Working Paper 2010/18, Norges Bank.
- Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2011. "Oil and US GDP: A Real-Time out-of Sample Examination," Working Papers No 2/2011, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2010. "Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data," Working Paper 2010/29, Norges Bank.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2012. "Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economic data," Working Papers 2012_16, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011. "Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-003/4, Tinbergen Institute.
Hilde C. Bjørnland & Karsten Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Christie Smith & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2012. "Does Forecast Combination Improve Norges Bank Inflation Forecasts?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 74(2), pages 163-179, April.
- Hilde C. Bjørnland & Karsten Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Christie Smith & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2009. "Does forecast combination improve Norges Bank inflation forecasts?," Working Paper 2009/01, Norges Bank.
- Hilde C. BjÃ¸rnland & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Christie Smith, 2010. "Does forecast combination improve Norges Bank inflation forecasts?," Working Papers No 2/2010, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
Tanya Suhoy, 2010. "Monthly Assessments of Private Consumption," Bank of Israel Working Papers 2010.09, Bank of Israel.
Takuji Fueki & Ichiro Fukunaga & Hibiki Ichiue & Toyoichiro Shirota, 2016. "Measuring Potential Growth with an Estimated DSGE Model of Japan’s Economy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(1), pages 1-32, March.
- Takuji Fueki & Ichiro Fukunaga & Hibiki Ichiue & Toyoichiro Shirota, 2010. "Measuring Potential Growth with an Estimated DSGE Model of Japan's Economy," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 10-E-13, Bank of Japan.
Woong Kim, 2010. "Assessment of Deflation Risk in Korea (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 16(2), pages 117-142, June.
Tortorice Daniel Louis, 2012. "Unemployment Expectations and the Business Cycle," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-49, January.
- Daniel Tortorice, 2010. "Unemployment Expectations and the Business Cycle," Working Papers 05, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, revised Mar 2011.
José Luis Oreiro & Celso Vila Nova de Souza & Kelly Pereira Guedes & Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza, 2012. "Um Modelo Keynes-Minsky Generalizado de Flutuações Cíclicas," Economia, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 13(3b), pages 703-734.
- José Luis Oreiro & Celso Vila Nova de Souza & Kelly Pereira Guedes & Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza, 2010. "Um Modelo Keynes-Minsky Generalizado de Flutuações Cíclicas," Working papers - Textos para Discussao do Departamento de Economia da Universidade de Brasilia 337, Departamento de Economia da Universidade de Brasilia.
- José Luis Da Costa Oreiro & Sergio Rubens Stancato De Souza & Celso Vila Nova De Souza & Kelly Pereira Guedes, 2011. "Um Modelo Keynes-Minsky Generalizado Deflutuações Cíclicas," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 226, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
Laurent Ferrara, 2010. "Les variables financières sont-elles utiles pour anticiper la croissance économique ?. Quelques évidences économétriques," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 61(3), pages 645-655.
Antonello D’Agostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 715-732, June.
- Antonello D‚Äôagostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 715-732, June.
- Antonello D’Agostino & Kieran McQuinn & Karl Whelan, 2010. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Working Papers 201012, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2010. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/10, Central Bank of Ireland.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2011. "Are some forecasters really better than others?," MPRA Paper 32938, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J. & Legerstee, R., 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecast: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-19, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee:, 2011. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-11, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2011. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," KIER Working Papers 771, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Working Papers in Economics 10/09, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-729, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are forecast updates progressive?," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 9-18.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-736, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," KIER Working Papers 762, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Working Papers in Economics 10/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-03, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-049/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-24, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," MPRA Paper 46387, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2011. "How accurate are government forecasts of economic fundamentals? The case of Taiwan," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1066-1075, October.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2009. "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-637, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," Working Papers in Economics 10/16, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," KIER Working Papers 720, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2010. "Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-44, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics 10/35, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2011. "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 583-619.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010. "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," KIER Working Papers 714, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010. "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Working Papers in Economics 10/36, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2011. "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Globalization and knowledge spillover: international direct investment, exports and patents," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 329-352, June.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Globalization and Knowledge Spillover: International Direct Investment, Exports and Patents," KIER Working Papers 721, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2012. "Globalization and Knowledge Spillover: International Direct Investment, Exports and Patents," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2012-16, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Globalization and Knowledge Spillover: International Direct Investment, Exports and Patents," Working Papers in Economics 10/54, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chang, C-L. & Chang, S.P. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Globalization and Knowledge Spillover: International Direct Investment, Exports and Patents," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-55, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
Ping-Yu Chen & Chia-Lin Chang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," KIER Working Papers 722, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Ping-Yu Chen & Chia-Lin Chang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," Working Papers in Economics 10/55, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chen, P-Y. & Chang, C-L. & Chen, C-C. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-56, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecast," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-74, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics 10/74, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts," KIER Working Papers 744, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Chengsi Zhang & Joel Clovis, 2010. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve of Rational Expectations: A Serial Correlation Extension," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 159-179, May.
- Chengsi Zhang & Joel Clovis, 2010. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve of rational expectations: A serial correlation extension," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 13, pages 159-179, May.
M. Hakan Berument & Afsin Sahin, 2010. "Seasonality in Inflation Volatility: Evidence from Turkey," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 39-65, May.
- M. Hakan Berument & Afsin Sahin, 2010. "Seasonality in inflation volatility: Evidence from Turkey," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 13, pages 39-65, May.
Ritschl, Albrecht & Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir, 2009. "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEPR Discussion Papers 7546, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Pooyan Amir Ahmadi & Albrecht Ritschl, 2010. "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEP Discussion Papers dp0967, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009. "Depression econometrics: a FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," Economic History Working Papers 27878, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
- Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009. "Depression econometrics: a FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," Economic History Working Papers 51582, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
- Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009. "Depression econometrics: A FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2009-054, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2009. "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEPR Discussion Papers 7610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Albrecht Ritschl & Samad Salferaz, 2010. "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEP Discussion Papers dp0977, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2010. "Crisis? What crisis? Currency vs. banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-014, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Ritschl, Albrecht & Salferaz, Samad, 2010. "Crisis?: What crisis?: currency vs. banking in the financial crisis of 1931," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 28726, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
Michael Graff & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2010. "The information content of capacity utilisation rates for output gap estimates," KOF Working papers 10-269, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
- Michael Graff & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2010. "The Information Content of Capacity Utilisation Rates for Output Gap Estimates," CESifo Working Paper Series 3276, CESifo.
Joachim Ragnitz & Stefan Arent & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Beate Schirwitz & Johannes Steinbrecher & Gerit Vogt & Björn Ziegenbalg, 2010. "Methodenexpertise zur Analyse der Auswirkungen der internationalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise auf die Wirtschaft im Land Brandenburg : Gutachten im Auftrag des Ministeriums für Wirtschaft des Landes," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 53, September.
François Lescaroux, 2010. "The petroleum market: The ongoing oil price “shock” and the next “counter-shock”," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 121, pages 99-130.
Jan Filacek & Branislav Saxa, 2010. "Central Bank Forecasts as a Coordination Device," Working Papers 2010/13, Czech National Bank.
Filip Novotný & Marie Raková, 2011. "Assessment of Consensus Forecasts Accuracy: The Czech National Bank Perspective," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 61(4), pages 348-366, August.
- Filip Novotny & Marie Rakova, 2010. "Assessment of Consensus Forecasts Accuracy: The Czech National Bank Perspective," Working Papers 2010/14, Czech National Bank.
Herman Kamil & Jose David Pulido & Jose Luis Torres, 2010. "El "IMACO": un índice mensual líder de la actividad económica en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 609, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Herman Kamil & José David Pulido & José Luis Torres, 2010. "El IMACO": un índice mensual líder de la actividad económica en Colombia"," Borradores de Economia 7129, Banco de la Republica.
González-Molano, Eliana Rocío & Jalil-Barney, Munir Andrés & Romero-Chamorro, José Vicente, 2011. "Inflación y expectativas de inflación en Colombia," Chapters, in: López Enciso, Enrique & Ramírez Giraldo, María Teresa (ed.), Formación de precios y salarios en Colombia T.2, volume 2, chapter 13, pages 491-519, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Eliana González & Munir Jalil & José Vicente Romero, 2010. "Inflación y expectativas de inflación en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 618, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Eliana González & Munir Jalil & Jose Vicente Romero Chamorro, 2010. "Inflación y expectativas de inflación en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 7307, Banco de la Republica.
Andrés Vélez, 2010. "valoracion de las quality options en los futuros de TES," Análisis - Revista del Mercado de Valores, Autorregulador del Mercado de Valores de Colombia, December.
Carlos Aldana & Felipe Aristizabal & Claudia Echavarría, 2010. "Instrumentos regulatorios para fomentar la profundizacion del mercado de deuda privada en Colombia," Análisis - Revista del Mercado de Valores, Autorregulador del Mercado de Valores de Colombia, December.
María Rosa Álvarez Castrillón & Andrés Ramírez Hassan & Alejandro Rendón Barrera, 2010. "La curva de rendimientos como un indicador adelantado de la actividad económica, el caso colombiano: Período 2001-2009," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, October.
George Verikios & James McCaw & Jodie McVernon & Anthony Harris, 2010. "H1N1 influenza in Australia and its macroeconomic effects," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-212, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
Peter Broer & Jürgen Antony, 2010. "Linkages between the Financial and the Real Sector of the Economy: A Literature Survey," CPB Document 216, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
Peter Broer & Jürgen Antony, 2010. "Linkages between the Financial and the Real Sector of the Economy: A Literature Survey," CPB Document 216.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick, 2009. "Can the Fiscal Theory of the price level explain UK inflation in the 1970s?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2009/26, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Mar 2011.
- Minford, Patrick & Fan, Jingwen, 2010. "Can the Fiscal Theory of the price level explain UK inflation in the 1970s?," CEPR Discussion Papers 7630, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Musso, Alberto, 2011. "The reliability of real-time estimates of the euro area output gap," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 1842-1856, July.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Alberto Musso, 2010. "the Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap," Economics Working Papers ECO2010/06, European University Institute.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Musso, Alberto, 2010. "The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap," CEPR Discussion Papers 7716, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Dr. James Mitchell, 2009. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 342, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Garratt, Anthony & Vahey, Shaun & Mitchell, James, 2010. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 7742, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Measuring output gap uncertainty," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2009/15, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0909, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Musso, Alberto, 2010. "The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap," CEPR Discussion Papers 7763, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Volker Wieland & Maik Wolters, 2011. "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 47(2), pages 247-292, June.
- Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H., 2010. "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the U.S. economy," CFS Working Paper Series 2010/08, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2010. "The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 7870, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2013. "New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 75(5), pages 637-661, October.
- Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2010. "New methods for forecasting inflation, applied to the US," CEPR Discussion Papers 7877, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Sumru Altug & Melike Bildirici, 2010. "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1009, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Altug, Sumru & Bildirici, Melike, 2010. "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime-switching Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 7968, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Sumru Altuğ & Melike Bildirici, 2010. "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Working Papers 0032, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2010.
Galí, Jordi, 2011. "Are central banks' projections meaningful?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(6), pages 537-550.
- Jordi Gali, 2008. "Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?," 2008 Meeting Papers 174, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- GalÃ, Jordi, 2010. "Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8027, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Jordi Galí, 2010. "Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?," NBER Working Papers 16384, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2013. "The Great Diversification and Its Undoing," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(5), pages 1697-1727, August.
- Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010. "The great diversification and its undoing," Economics Working Papers 1208, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Oct 2010.
- Gabaix, Xavier & Carvalho, Vasco, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," CEPR Discussion Papers 8044, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2015. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," Working Papers 422, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," NBER Working Papers 16424, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Xavier Gabaix & Vasco M. Carvalho, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," 2010 Meeting Papers 880, Society for Economic Dynamics.
C. Minodier, 2010. "First results series or last available series: which series to use? A real-time illustration for the forecasting of French quarterly GDP growth," Documents de Travail de la DESE - Working Papers of the DESE g2010-01, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, DESE.
Mario Coccia, 2010. "Positive and negative stress in business cycle behaviour," CERIS Working Paper 201001, CNR-IRCrES Research Institute on Sustainable Economic Growth - Torino (TO) ITALY - former Institute for Economic Research on Firms and Growth - Moncalieri (TO) ITALY.
Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2012. "Leverage causes fat tails and clustered volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(5), pages 695-707, February.
- Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2009. "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Papers 0908.1555, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2010.
- Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2010. "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1745, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2010. "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1745R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Nov 2011.
Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2012. "Leverage causes fat tails and clustered volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(5), pages 695-707, February.
- Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2009. "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Papers 0908.1555, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2010.
- Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2010. "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1745R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Nov 2011.
- Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2010. "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1745, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
Igor Vetlov & Ricardo Mourinho Félix & Laure Frey & Tibor Hlédik & Zoltán Jakab & Niki Papadopoulou & Lukas Reiss & Martin Schneider, 2010. "The Implementation of Scenarios Using DSGE Models," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 8, Bank of Lithuania.
- Igor Vetlov & Ricardo Mourinho Felix & Laure Frey & Tibor Hledik & Zoltan Jakab & Niki Papadopoulou & Lukas Reiss & Martin Schneider, 2010. "The Implementation of Scenarios using DSGE Models," Working Papers 2010-10, Central Bank of Cyprus.
Dorothea Lucke, 2010. "Deutsche Industrie kommt mit Schwung aus der Krise," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 77(47), pages 13-20.
Siliverstovs Boriss & Kholodilin Konstantin A., 2012. "Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 232(4), pages 429-444, August.
- Boriss Siliverstovs & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2010. "Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 970, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
Sylvain Prado, 2010. "A Family Hitch: Econometrics of the New and the Used Car Markets," Working Papers hal-04140927, HAL.
- Sylvain Prado, 2010. "A Family Hitch : Econometrics of the New and the Used Car Markets," EconomiX Working Papers 2010-4, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
Paul Levine, 2012. "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Indian Growth and Development Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(1), pages 70-88, April.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Working Papers id:2761, eSocialSciences.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World : Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Macroeconomics Working Papers 21853, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Levine, Paul, 2010. "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: Probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Working Papers 10/72, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0210, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Batini, Nicoletta & Gabriel, Vasco & Levine, Paul, 2010. "A Floating versus managed exchange rate regime in a DSGE model of India," Working Papers 10/70, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
- Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," Macroeconomics Working Papers 21992, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0410, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Nicoletta Batini & Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," NIPE Working Papers 31/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Teresa Garcia-Milà & Albert Marcet & Eva Ventura, 2010. "Supply Side Interventions and Redistribution," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 120(543), pages 105-130, March.
- Teresa Garcia-Milà & Albert Marcet & Eva Ventura, 1995. "Supply side interventions and redistribution," Economics Working Papers 115, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 53(3), pages 867-886, August.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2009. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Paper series 34_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-40, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 1119, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
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Rasmus Kattai, 2010. "Credit risk model for the Estonian banking sector," Bank of Estonia Working Papers wp2010-01, Bank of Estonia, revised 04 Feb 2010.
Dorofeenko, Victor & Lee, Gabriel S. & Salyer, Kevin D., 2010. "A new algorithm for solving dynamic stochastic macroeconomic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 388-403, March.
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Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2010. "An Empirical Analysis of Real Activity and Stock Returns in an Emerging Market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 263-271, September.
Barnett, William A. & He, Susan, 2010. "Existence of singularity bifurcation in an Euler-equations model of the United States economy: Grandmont was right," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1345-1354, November.
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Sinclair, Tara M. & Joutz, Fred & Stekler, H.O., 2010. "Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 28-32, July.
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Clements, Michael P., 2010. "Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 536-549, May.
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Guse, Eran A., 2010. "Heterogeneous expectations, adaptive learning, and evolutionary dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 74(1-2), pages 42-57, May.
Elmostafa Bentour and Weshah Razzak, "undated". "Real Interest Rates, Bubbles and Monetary Policy in the GCC countries," API-Working Paper Series 0912, Arab Planning Institute - Kuwait, Information Center.
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Ravazzolo Francesco & Vahey Shaun P., 2014. "Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(4), pages 367-381, September.
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Don Harding, 2010. "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers 2010.05, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
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Garratt, Anthony & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P. & Wakerly, Elizabeth C., 2011. "Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 77-87, January.
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Guillermo Benavides, 2010. "Forecasting Short-Run Inflation Volatility using Futures Prices: An Empirical Analysis from a Value at Risk Perspective," Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics), Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México, vol. 4(2), pages 1-27.
Oguz Kaynar & Serkan Tastan & Ferhan Demirkoparan, 2010. "Ham Petrol Fiyatlarinin Yapay Sinir Aglari ile Tahmini," Ege Academic Review, Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 10(2), pages 559-573.
Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2009. "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEPR Discussion Papers 7610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Cassou, Steven P. & Vázquez Pérez, Jesús, 2010. "New Keynesian Model Features that Can Reproduce Lead, Lag and Persistence Patterns," DFAEII Working Papers 1988-088X, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
Benigno, Gianluca & Benigno, Pierpaolo & Nisticò, Salvatore, 2013. "Second-order approximation of dynamic models with time-varying risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 1231-1247.
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Bentancor, Andrea & Pincheira, Pablo, 2010. "Predicción de errores de proyección de inflación en Chile," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(305), pages 129-154, enero-mar.
Capistrán, Carlos & López-Moctezuma, Gabriel, 2010. "Las expectativas macroeconómicas de los especialistas. Una evaluación de pronósticos de corto plazo en México," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(306), pages 275-312, abril-jun.
Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-729, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee:, 2011. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-11, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J. & Legerstee, R., 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecast: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-19, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2011. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," KIER Working Papers 771, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Working Papers in Economics 10/09, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are forecast updates progressive?," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 9-18.
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- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," KIER Working Papers 762, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-03, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-24, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-049/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Working Papers in Economics 10/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," MPRA Paper 46387, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics 10/35, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
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Ping-Yu Chen & Chia-Lin Chang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," Working Papers in Economics 10/55, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chen, P-Y. & Chang, C-L. & Chen, C-C. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-56, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Ping-Yu Chen & Chia-Lin Chang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," KIER Working Papers 722, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics 10/74, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecast," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-74, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
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Tausch, Arno, 2010. "Paul Boccara's analysis of global capitalism. the return of the Bourbons, and the breakdown of the Brussels / Paris neo-liberal consensus," Entelequia. Revista Interdisciplinar, Entelequia y Servicios Académicos Intercontinentales SL, issue 12, pages 105-147, Fall.
Paul Levine, 2012. "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Indian Growth and Development Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(1), pages 70-88, April.
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Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2001. "A Leading Index for the Indian Economy," Working papers 90, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
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Lars Jonung & Staffan Linden, 2010. "The forecasting horizon of inflationary expectations and perceptions in the EU – Is it really 12 months?," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 435, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
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Marcellino, Massimiliano & Musso, Alberto, 2011. "The reliability of real-time estimates of the euro area output gap," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 1842-1856, July.
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Xuanhua Xu & Bin Pan, 2010. "Capital Liquidity and Residents’ Consumption Decision: An Asymmetry Analysis of Economic Prosperity," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, vol. 5(4), pages 622-639, December.
D'Amuri, Francesco & Marcucci, Juri, 2009. "‘Google it!’ Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index," ISER Working Paper Series 2009-32, Institute for Social and Economic Research.
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Robert J. Tetlow, 2015. "Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: "Robust" Policies Put to the Test," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 11(2), pages 113-155, March.
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Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2011. "Input And Output Inventories In General Equilibrium," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 52(4), pages 1179-1213, November.
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Ellen E. Meade & Daniel L. Thornton, 2012. "The Phillips curve and US monetary policy: what the FOMC transcripts tell us," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 64(2), pages 197-216, April.
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S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010. "Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 20-24, May.
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Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2012. "How do central banks react to wealth composition and asset prices?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 641-653.
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Heilemann, Ullrich & Stekler, H. O., 2003. "Has the accuracy of German macroeconomic forecasts improved?," Technical Reports 2003,31, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
- Ullrich Heilemann & Herman O. Stekler, 2010. "Has the Accuracy of German Macroeconomic Forecasts Improved?," Working Papers 2010-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Feb 2012.
William D. Larson, 2010. "Evaluating Alternative Methods of Forecasting House Prices: A Post-Crisis Reassessment," Working Papers 2010-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Feb 2011.
Byron Gangnes, 2010. "Alternative Policies for US Economic Recovery," Working Papers 201002, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- Byron Ganges, 2010. "Alternative Policies for US Economic Recovery," Working Papers 2010-02, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
F. Gerard Adams & Byron Ganges, 2010. "Why Hasnâ€™t the US Economic Stimulus Been More Effective? The Debate on Tax and Expenditure Multipliers," Working Papers 2010-10, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
F. Gerard Adams & Byron Gangnes, 2010. "The Employment Effects of Fiscal Policy: How Costly Are ARRA Jobs?," Working Papers 201026, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
- Byron Gangnes, 2010. "The Employment Effects of Fiscal Policy: How Costly are ARRA Jobs?," Working Papers 2010-16, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
Peter Fuleky & Carl Bonham, 2010. "Forecasting Based on Common Trends in Mixed Frequency Samples," Working Papers 2010-17R1, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, revised Jul 2013.
- Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2011. "Forecasting Based on Common Trends in Mixed Frequency Samples," Working Papers 201110, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
Byron Ganges, 2010. "Alternative Policies for US Economic Recovery," Working Papers 2010-02, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
- Byron Gangnes, 2010. "Alternative Policies for US Economic Recovery," Working Papers 201002, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
F. Gerard Adams & Byron Gangnes, 2010. "Why Hasn’t the US Economic Stimulus Been More Effective? The Debate on Tax and Expenditure Multipliers," Working Papers 201010, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
Byron Gangnes, 2010. "The Employment Effects of Fiscal Policy: How Costly are ARRA Jobs?," Working Papers 2010-16, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
- F. Gerard Adams & Byron Gangnes, 2010. "The Employment Effects of Fiscal Policy: How Costly Are ARRA Jobs?," Working Papers 201026, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics.
Carboni, Giacomo & Ellison, Martin, 2011. "Inflation and output volatility under asymmetric incomplete information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 40-51, January.
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Jihene Bousrih, 2012. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy: model of a small open economy," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(3), pages 232-246, July.
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Jihene Bousrih, 2012. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy: model of a small open economy," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(3), pages 232-246, July.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2010. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy : model of a small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00460136, HAL.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2010. "Degree of openess and inflation targeting policy : model of small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00496405, HAL.
- Bousrih Jihene, 2010. "Degree of Openness and Inflation Targeting Policy: Model of a Small Open Economy," Working Papers 2010.2, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
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Sylvain Prado, 2010. "A Family Hitch : Econometrics of the New and the Used Car Markets," EconomiX Working Papers 2010-4, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
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Ulrich Fritsche & Ullrich Heilemann, 2010. "Too Many Cooks? The German Joint Diagnosis and Its Production," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201001, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
Durevall, Dick & Loening, Josef L. & Ayalew Birru, Yohannes, 2013. "Inflation dynamics and food prices in Ethiopia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 89-106.
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Andersson, Michael K. & Palmqvist, Stefan & Waggoner, Daniel F., 2010. "Density-Conditional Forecasts in Dynamic Multivariate Models," Working Paper Series 247, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
Lundholm, Michael, 2010. "Are Inflation Forecasts from Major Swedish Forecasters Biased?," Research Papers in Economics 2010:10, Stockholm University, Department of Economics.
Lundholm, Michael, 2010. "Sveriges Riksbank's Inflation Interval Forecasts 1999-2005," Research Papers in Economics 2010:11, Stockholm University, Department of Economics.
Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2009. "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEPR Discussion Papers 7610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Albrecht Ritschl & Samad Sarferaz, 2010. "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2010-014, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Albrecht Ritschl & Samad Salferaz, 2010. "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEP Discussion Papers dp0977, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Ritschl, Albrecht & Salferaz, Samad, 2010. "Crisis?: What crisis?: currency vs. banking in the financial crisis of 1931," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 28726, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
Maciej Bukowski & Pawel Kowal, 2010. "Large scale, multi-sector DSGE model as a climate policy assessment tool - Macroeconomic Mitigation Options (MEMO) model for Poland," IBS Working Papers 3/2010, Instytut Badan Strukturalnych.
Michael Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence Schembri, 2010. "Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s: (Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 6(3), pages 51-99, September.
- Michael D. Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence Schembri, 2007. "Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s:(Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," NBER Working Papers 13605, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence L. Schembri, 2007. "Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s: (Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," Staff Working Papers 07-45, Bank of Canada.
Carlos Garcia & Pablo Gonzalez & Antonio Moncado, 2010. "Proyecciones Macroeconómicas en Chile: Una Aproximación Bayesiana," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv262, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
Nicoletta Batini & Young-Bae Kim & Paul Levine & Emanuela Lotti, 2009. "Informal Labour and Credit Markets: A Survey," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0609, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Paul L Levine & Emanuela Lotti & Nicoletta Batini & Young-Bae Kim, 2010. "Informal Labour and Credit Markets; A Survey," IMF Working Papers 10/42, International Monetary Fund.
- Batini, Nicoletta & Kim, Young-Bae & Levine, Paul & Lotti, Emanuela, 2011. "Informal Labour and Credit Markets: A Survey," Working Papers 11/94, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
Nicoletta Batini & Young-Bae Kim & Paul Levine & Emanuela Lotti, 2009. "Informal Labour and Credit Markets: A Survey," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0609, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Batini, Nicoletta & Kim, Young-Bae & Levine, Paul & Lotti, Emanuela, 2011. "Informal Labour and Credit Markets: A Survey," Working Papers 11/94, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
- Mr. Paul L Levine & Emanuela Lotti & Nicoletta Batini & Young-Bae Kim, 2010. "Informal Labour and Credit Markets: A Survey," IMF Working Papers 2010/042, International Monetary Fund.
Jihene Bousrih, 2012. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy: model of a small open economy," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 4(3), pages 232-246, July.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2010. "Degree of openess and inflation targeting policy : model of small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00496405, HAL.
- Bousrih Jihene, 2010. "Degree of Openness and Inflation Targeting Policy: Model of a Small Open Economy," Working Papers 2010.2, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2010. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy : model of a small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00460136, HAL.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2011. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy : model of a small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00603217, HAL.
- Jihène Bousrih, 2011. "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy: Model of a small open economy," Post-Print halshs-00603207, HAL.
Oliver Hossfeld, 2010. "US Money Demand, Monetary Overhang, and Inflation," Working Papers 2010.4, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2010. "Should We Trust in Leading Indicators? Evidence from the Recent Recession," IWH Discussion Papers 10, Halle Institute for Economic Research.
Sebastian Giesen & Oliver Holtemöller & Juliane Scharff & Rolf Scheufele, 2010. "A First Look on the New Halle Economic Projection Model," IWH Discussion Papers 6, Halle Institute for Economic Research.
Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2010. "Measuring forecast uncertainty by disagreement: The missing link," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 514-538.
- Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2008. "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link," ifo Working Paper Series 60, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2009. "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link," Discussion Papers 09-06, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2010. "Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 574-594.
- Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2008. "Forecast Evaluation of Small Nested Model Sets," NBER Working Papers 14601, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hubrich, Kirstin & West, Kenneth D., 2009. "Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets," Working Paper Series 1030, European Central Bank.
Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010. "Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 621-634.
- Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun Vahey, 2008. "Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2008/18, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Anne-Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2008. "Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities," Working Paper 2008/01, Norges Bank.
Pablo A. Guerron-Quintana, 2010. "What you match does matter: the effects of data on DSGE estimation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(5), pages 774-804.
- Pablo A. Guerron, 2007. "What You Match Does Matter: The Effects of Data on DSGE Estimation," Working Paper Series 012, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics.
Hofer Helmut & Weyerstraß Klaus & Schmidt Torsten, 2011. "Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(1), pages 153-171, February.
- Hofer, Helmut & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstrass, Klaus, 2010. "Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting," Ruhr Economic Papers 177, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Helmut Hofer & Torsten Schmidt & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2010. "Practice and prospects of medium-term economic forecasting," NRN working papers 2010-12, The Austrian Center for Labor Economics and the Analysis of the Welfare State, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2010. "Survey data as coincident or leading indicators," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 109-131.
- Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, "undated". "Survey Data as Coincident or Leading Indicators," Working Papers 3, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2009. "Survey Data as Coicident or Leading Indicators," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/19, European University Institute.
Christian Kascha & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2010. "Combining inflation density forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 231-250.
- Christian Kascha & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2008. "Combining inflation density forecasts," Working Paper 2008/22, Norges Bank.
Dionisios Chionis & Periklis Gogas & Ioannis Pragidis, 2010. "Predicting European Union Recessions in the Euro Era: The Yield Curve as a Forecasting Tool of Economic Activity," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 16(1), pages 1-10, February.
- Gogas, Periklis & Chionis, Dionisios & Pragkidis, Ioannis, 2009. "Predicting European Union recessions in the euro era: The yield curve as a forecasting tool of economic activity," MPRA Paper 13911, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Asuncion Beamonte & Pilar Gargallo & Manuel Salvador, 2010. "Analysis of housing price by means of STAR models with neighbourhood effects: a Bayesian approach," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 227-240, June.
Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2010. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 294-319, October.
- Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 200821, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Sang Hoon Kang & Seong-Min Yoon, 2010. "Sudden Changes and Persistence in Volatility of Korean Equity Sector Returns," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 26, pages 431-451.
Leonardo Morales-Arias & Guilherme V. Moura, 2010. "A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Global Inflation Model," Kiel Working Papers 1666, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
Altug, Sumru & Bildirici, Melike, 2010. "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime-switching Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 7968, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Sumru Altug & Melike Bildirici, 2010. "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1009, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- Sumru Altuğ & Melike Bildirici, 2010. "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Working Papers 0032, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2010.
Konstantin Kholodilin & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2010. "Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP," KOF Working papers 10-251, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Michael Graff & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2010. "The Information Content of Capacity Utilisation Rates for Output Gap Estimates," CESifo Working Paper Series 3276, CESifo.
- Michael Graff & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2010. "The information content of capacity utilisation rates for output gap estimates," KOF Working papers 10-269, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2011. "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 583-619.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010. "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Working Papers in Economics 10/36, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2011. "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-14, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010. "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," KIER Working Papers 714, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2011. "How accurate are government forecasts of economic fundamentals? The case of Taiwan," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1066-1075, October.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2009. "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-637, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," KIER Working Papers 720, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," Working Papers in Economics 10/16, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
Ping-Yu Chen & Chia-Lin Chang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," Working Papers in Economics 10/55, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Ping-Yu Chen & Chia-Lin Chang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," KIER Working Papers 722, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chen, P-Y. & Chang, C-L. & Chen, C-C. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-56, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics 10/74, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts," KIER Working Papers 744, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecast," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-74, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
Igor Vetlov & Ricardo Mourinho Felix & Laure Frey & Tibor Hledik & Zoltan Jakab & Niki Papadopoulou & Lukas Reiss & Martin Schneider, 2010. "The Implementation of Scenarios using DSGE Models," Working Papers 2010-10, Central Bank of Cyprus.
- Igor Vetlov & Ricardo Mourinho Félix & Laure Frey & Tibor Hlédik & Zoltán Jakab & Niki Papadopoulou & Lukas Reiss & Martin Schneider, 2010. "The Implementation of Scenarios Using DSGE Models," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 8, Bank of Lithuania.
Syed Kumail Abbas Naqvi & Bushra Naqvi, 2010. "Asymmetric Behavior of Inflation Uncertainty and Friedman-Ball Hypothesis: Evidence from Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 15(2), pages 1-33, Jul-Dec.
Don Harding, 2010. "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," NCER Working Paper Series 58, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Don Harding, 2010. "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers 2010.05, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
- Don Harding, 2010. "Applying Shape and Phase Restrictions in Generalized Dynamic Categorical Models of the Business Cycle," CAMA Working Papers 2010-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Don Harding, 2010. "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers 2010.05, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
Branimir Jovanovic & Magdalena Petrovska, 2010. "Forecasting Macedonian GDP: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting," Working Papers 2010-02, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia, revised Aug 2010.
Balázs Krusper & Gábor Pellényi, 2010. "Impacts of fiscal adjustments in Western European countries on the Hungarian economy," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 5(4), pages 17-23, December.
Heather M Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2010. "VARs, Cointegration and Common Cycle Restrictions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/10, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
National Bank of Belgium, 2010. "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2010," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-20, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2010. "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2010," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-25, June.
V. Baugnet & D. Dury, 2010. "Energy markets and the macroeconomy," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 61-82, September.
Kishor N. Kundan, 2010. "The Superiority of Greenbook Forecasts and the Role of Recessions," NBP Working Papers 74, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Alejandro Gaviria & Carlos Medina & Leonardo Morales & Jairo Núñez, 2010. "The Cost of Avoiding Crime: The Case of Bogotá," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Crime: Lessons For and From Latin America, pages 101-132, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alejandro Gaviria & Carlos Medina & Leonardo Morales & Jairo Nuñez, 2008. "The Cost of Avoiding Crime: The Case of Bogotá," Borradores de Economia 508, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Alejandro Gaviria & Carlos Medina & Leonardo Morales & Jairo Nuñez, 2008. "The Cost of Avoiding Crime: The Case of Bogotá," Borradores de Economia 4600, Banco de la Republica.
Sakuragawa, Masaya & Hosono, Kaoru, 2011. "Fiscal sustainability in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 434-446.
- Masaya Sakuragawa & Kaoru Hosono, 2010. "Fiscal Sustainability in Japan," NBER Chapters, in: Fiscal Policy and Crisis, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
R?diger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2013. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 217-249, April.
- Steffen Elstner & Eric Sims & Ruediger Bachmann, 2010. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," 2010 Meeting Papers 614, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Eric R. Sims, 2012. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," Working Papers 014, University of Notre Dame, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2012.
- Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2010. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," NBER Working Papers 16143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Galí, Jordi, 2011. "Are central banks' projections meaningful?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(6), pages 537-550.
- Jordi Gali, 2008. "Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?," 2008 Meeting Papers 174, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jordi Galí, 2010. "Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?," NBER Working Papers 16384, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- GalÃ, Jordi, 2010. "Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8027, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Menzie Chinn & Kavan Kucko, 2015. "The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve Across Countries and Time," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(2), pages 129-156, June.
- Menzie D. Chinn & Kavan J. Kucko, 2010. "The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time," NBER Working Papers 16398, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2013. "The Great Diversification and Its Undoing," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(5), pages 1697-1727, August.
- Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010. "The great diversification and its undoing," Economics Working Papers 1208, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Oct 2010.
- Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," NBER Working Papers 16424, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2015. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," Working Papers 422, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Gabaix, Xavier & Carvalho, Vasco, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," CEPR Discussion Papers 8044, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Xavier Gabaix & Vasco M. Carvalho, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," 2010 Meeting Papers 880, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Castro, Vítor & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2012. "How do central banks react to wealth composition and asset prices?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 641-653.
- Vitor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2010. "How Do Central Banks React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," GEMF Working Papers 2010-19, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
- Vítor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2010. "How Do Central Banks React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," NIPE Working Papers 26/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2010. "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1210, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Gabriel, Vasco & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph & Yang, Bo, 2011. "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," Working Papers 11/95, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
- Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2010. "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," NIPE Working Papers 29/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0410, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Nicoletta Batini & Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," NIPE Working Papers 31/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," Macroeconomics Working Papers 21992, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Batini, Nicoletta & Gabriel, Vasco & Levine, Paul, 2010. "A Floating versus managed exchange rate regime in a DSGE model of India," Working Papers 10/70, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," Macroeconomics Working Papers 21992, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Batini, Nicoletta & Gabriel, Vasco & Levine, Paul, 2010. "A Floating versus managed exchange rate regime in a DSGE model of India," Working Papers 10/70, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
- Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0410, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Nicoletta Batini & Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," NIPE Working Papers 31/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Paul Levine, 2012. "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Indian Growth and Development Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(1), pages 70-88, April.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World : Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Macroeconomics Working Papers 21853, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Levine, Paul, 2010. "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: Probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Working Papers 10/72, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0210, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Working Papers id:2761, eSocialSciences.
C. Minodier, 2010. "First results series or last available series: which series to use? A real-time illustration for the forecasting of French quarterly GDP growth," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers g2010-01, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
Yvan Guillemette, 2010. "A Simulation Model of Federal, Provincial and Territorial Government Accounts for the Analysis of Fiscal-Consolidation Strategies in Canada," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 800, OECD Publishing.
Elena Angelini & Marta Banbura & Gerhard Rünstler, 2010. "Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2010(1), pages 1-22.
- Angelini, Elena & Rünstler, Gerhard & Bańbura, Marta, 2008. "Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model," Working Paper Series 953, European Central Bank.
Nikolay Robinzonov & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2010. "Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting ," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 56(2), pages 192-220, June.
- Nikolay Robinzonov & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2008. "Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting: An Illustration with German Industrial Production and Linear Models," ifo Working Paper Series 57, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
Patrick Minford, 2010. "The Banking Crisis as Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 56(4), pages 554-574, December.
Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg & Amit Kumar Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2010. "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 125(4), pages 1727-1767.
- Pinelopi K. Goldberg & Amit Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2008. "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," NBER Working Papers 14416, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Pinelopi Goldberg & Amit Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2009. "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," Working Papers 1179, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
Tom Holden, 2010. "Products, patents and productivity persistence: A DSGE model of endogenous growth," Economics Series Working Papers 512, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Holden, Tom, 2011. "Products, patents and productivity persistence: A DSGE model of endogenous growth," Dynare Working Papers 4, CEPREMAP.
S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010. "Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(2), pages 20-24, May.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010. "Real-time macroeconomic monitoring: real activity, inflation, and interactions," Working Papers 10-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010. "Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions," PIER Working Paper Archive 10-002, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010. "Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions," NBER Working Papers 15657, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Mamatzakis, E & Remoundos, P, 2010. "Threshold Cointegration in BRENT crude futures market," MPRA Paper 19978, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Phillips, Kerk L. & Spencer, David E., 2011. "Bootstrapping structural VARs: Avoiding a potential bias in confidence intervals for impulse response functions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 582-594.
- Phillips, Kerk L. & Spencer, David E., 2010. "Bootstrapping Structural VARs: Avoiding a Potential Bias in Confidence Intervals for Impulse Response Functions," MPRA Paper 23503, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Harin, Alexander, 2010. "Теорема О Существовании Разрывов В Шкале Вероятностей. Дискретный Случай [Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale. Discrete case]," MPRA Paper 23902, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Eyler, Robert & Sonora, Robert, 2010. "Is a National Monetary Policy Optimal?," MPRA Paper 24745, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Fry, J. M., 2010. "Bubbles and crashes in finance: A phase transition from random to deterministic behaviour in prices," MPRA Paper 24778, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Alfaro, Rodrigo & Sagner, Andres, 2010. "Financial Forecast for the Relative Strength Index," MPRA Paper 25913, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2010.
Pankaj SINHA & Sushant GUPTA & Nakul RANDEV, 2011. "Modeling & Forecasting Of Macro-Economic Variables Of India: Before, During & After Recession," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 6(1(15)/ Sp), pages 43-60.
- Sinha, Pankaj & Gupta, Sushant & Randev, Nakul, 2010. "Modeling & Forecasting of Macro-Economic Variables of India: Before, During & After Recession," MPRA Paper 26539, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Bell, Peter N, 2010. "Introduction of the Profit Surface," MPRA Paper 26812, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Sokolov, Yuri, 2010. "Business cycle effects on portfolio credit risk: A simple FX Adjustment for a factor model," MPRA Paper 27222, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Skribans, Valerijs, 2010. "Investments model development with the system dynamic method," MPRA Paper 27235, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Sophocles N. Brissimis & Petros M. Migiakis, 2016. "Inflation persistence, learning dynamics and the rationality of inflation expectations," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 963-979, November.
- Brissimis, Sophocles & Migiakis, Petros, 2010. "Inflation persistence and the rationality of inflation expectations," MPRA Paper 29052, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Sophocles N. Brissimis & Petros M. Migiakis, 2013. "Inflation persistence and the rationality of inflation expectations," Working Papers 151, Bank of Greece.
Skribans, Valerijs, 2010. "Latvijas iestāšanās Eiropas Savienībā ekonomiskā efekta novērtēšana [Estimation of Economic Benefit of the Introduction of Latvia in the European Union]," MPRA Paper 29313, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Skribans, Valerijs, 2010. "Latvia’s incoming in European Union economic effect estimation," MPRA Paper 32522, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Guzman, Giselle C., 2010. "An inflation expectations horserace," MPRA Paper 36511, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Branimir, Jovanovic & Magdalena, Petrovska, 2010. "Forecasting Macedonian GDP: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting," MPRA Paper 43162, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kreiter, Zebulun & Paul, Tapas Kumar, 2010. "Deficit Financing and Inflation in Bangladesh: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis," MPRA Paper 45981, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Esquivel Monge, Manfred & Gomez Rodriguez, Jose Fabio, 2010. "Asymmetries of the Exchange Rate Pass Through to Domestic Prices: The Case of Costa Rica," MPRA Paper 60251, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jul 2010.
Helene Maisonnave & Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwé & Ramos Mabugu & Véronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas Van der Berg & Dieter Von Fintel, 2015. "The Impact of the International Economic Crisis on Child Poverty in South Africa," Poverty & Public Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(2), pages 176-199, June.
- Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwé & Ramos Mabugu & Hélène Maisonnave & Véronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van der Berg & Dieter von Fintel, 2010. "The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa," Working Papers 13/2010, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- Helene Maisonnave & Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluw & Ramos Mabugu & Veronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van Der Berg & Dieter Von Fintel, 2015. "The Impact of the International Economic Crisis on Child Poverty in South Africa," Post-Print hal-02314216, HAL.
- Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwe & Ramos Mabugu & Helene Maisonnave & Veronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van der Berg & Dieter von Fintel, 2010. "The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa," Working Papers 201015, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Rangan Gupta & Rudi Steinbach, 2010. "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model," Working Papers 201019, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Matthew Kofi Ocran, 2010. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through To Domestic Prices: The Case of South Africa," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2010(4), pages 291-306.
Marie Bessec, 2010. "Etalonnages du taux de croissance du PIB français sur la base des enquêtes de conjoncture," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(2), pages 77-99.
- Marie Bessec, 2010. "Étalonnages du taux de croissance du PIB français sur la base des enquêtes de conjoncture," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 193(2), pages 77-99.
André Babeau, 2010. "L’absence de prévisions macrofinancières : une situation calamiteuse heureusement en cours d’évolution," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 98(3), pages 39-53.
Don Harding, 2010. "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers 2010.05, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
- Don Harding, 2010. "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," NCER Working Paper Series 58, National Centre for Econometric Research.
- Don Harding, 2010. "Applying Shape and Phase Restrictions in Generalized Dynamic Categorical Models of the Business Cycle," CAMA Working Papers 2010-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Don Harding, 2010. "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers 2010.05, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
Adam Cagliarini & Warwick McKibbin, 2010. "Global Relative Price Shocks: The Role of Macroeconomic Policies," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Renée Fry & Callum Jones & Christopher Kent (ed.),Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Adam Cagliarini & Warwick McKibbin, 2009. "Global Relative Price Shocks: The Role of Macroeconomic Policies," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2009-10, Reserve Bank of Australia.
Andrade, Philippe & Le Bihan, Hervé, 2013. "Inattentive professional forecasters," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(8), pages 967-982.
- Andrade, P. & Le Bihan, H., 2010. "Inattentive professional forecasters," Working papers 307, Banque de France.
- Hervé Le Bihan & Philippe Andrade, 2010. "Inattentive Professional Forecasters," 2010 Meeting Papers 1144, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Andrew Foerster & Juan F. Rubio‐Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2016. "Perturbation methods for Markov‐switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 7(2), pages 637-669, July.
- Tao Zha & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Andrew T. Foerster, 2010. "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching Models," 2010 Meeting Papers 239, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Andrew Foerster & Juan Rubio-Ramirez & Dan Waggoner & Ta Zha, 2013. "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," Working Papers 2013-22, FEDEA.
- Zha, Tao & Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & , & Foerster, Andrew, 2013. "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 9464, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andrew T. Foerster & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2013. "Perturbation methods for Markov-switching DSGE model," Research Working Paper RWP 13-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Andrew Foerster & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2013. "Perturbation methods for Markov-switching DSGE models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2013-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Andrew Foerster & Juan Rubio-Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2014. "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," NBER Working Papers 20390, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
R?diger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2013. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 5(2), pages 217-249, April.
- Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2010. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," NBER Working Papers 16143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Eric R. Sims, 2012. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," Working Papers 014, University of Notre Dame, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2012.
- Steffen Elstner & Eric Sims & Ruediger Bachmann, 2010. "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," 2010 Meeting Papers 614, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2013. "The Great Diversification and Its Undoing," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(5), pages 1697-1727, August.
- Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010. "The great diversification and its undoing," Economics Working Papers 1208, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Oct 2010.
- Xavier Gabaix & Vasco M. Carvalho, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," 2010 Meeting Papers 880, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2015. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," Working Papers 422, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," NBER Working Papers 16424, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Gabaix, Xavier & Carvalho, Vasco, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," CEPR Discussion Papers 8044, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
George A. Christodoulakis & Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis, 2010. "Labour Market Dynamics in Greek Regions: a Bayesian Markov Chain Approach Using Proportions Data," Review of Economic Analysis, Digital Initiatives at the University of Waterloo Library, vol. 2(1), pages 32-45, January.
Dimitris Korobilis, 2013. "Var Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 204-230, March.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009. "VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection," MPRA Paper 21124, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011022, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2010. "VAR Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Paper series 51_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Apr 2011.
Zachłod-Jelec, Magdalena & Karp, Piotr, 2010. "Responses of the Polish economy to demand and supply shocks under alternative fiscal policy rules," MF Working Papers 5, Ministry of Finance in Poland, revised 31 Jul 2010.
Liquitaya Briceño, José D., 2010. "La curva de Phillips en la nueva economía keynesiana: una revisión crítica," Revista Nicolaita de Estudios Económicos, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Empresariales, vol. 0(2), pages 59-83.
Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2010. "Measuring Core Inflation in Romania Using the Dobrescu Method – A Comparative Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 308-319, July.
Albu, Lucian Liviu & Gorun, Adrian, 2010. "Examples of New Macroeconomic Modelling and Simulation Techniques: How They Could Improve Decisions and Public Perception," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(5), pages 7-16.
Torsten Schmidt & Helmut Hofer & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2010. "Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting," Ruhr Economic Papers 0177, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua, 2010. "Synchronisation of Recessions in Major Developed and Emerging Economies," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 4(2), pages 197-223, May.
- Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2009. "Synchronization Of Recessions In Major Developed And Emerging Economies," Working papers 182, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
- Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2010. "Synchronization of Recessions in Major Developed and Emerging Economies," Working Papers id:2859, eSocialSciences.
Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Groll, Dominik, 2010. "The German Labour Market Miracle," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 214, pages 38-50, October.
- Jens Boysen-Hogrefe & Dominik Groll, 2010. "The German Labour Market Miracle," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 214(1), pages 38-50, October.
Barbara Rudolf & Mathias Zurlinden, 2010. "Productivity and Economic Growth in Switzerland 1991-2006," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 146(III), pages 577-600, September.
Lucian-Liviu Albu & John M. Polimeni & Raluca I. Iorgulescu, 2010. "Spatial Distribution of Key Macroeconomic Growth Indicators in the EU-27: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," AIEL Series in Labour Economics, in: Floro Ernesto Caroleo & Francesco Pastore (ed.), The Labour Market Impact of the EU Enlargement. A New Regional Geography of Europe?, edition 1, chapter 7, pages 175-194, AIEL - Associazione Italiana Economisti del Lavoro.
- Lucian-Liviu Albu & John M. Polimeni & Raluca I. Iorgulescu, 2010. "Spatial Distribution of Key Macroeconomic Growth Indicators in the EU-27: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," AIEL Series in Labour Economics, in: Floro Ernesto Caroleo & Francesco Pastore (ed.), The Labour Market Impact of the EU Enlargement, pages 175-194, Springer.
Guido Bulligan & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2010. "Forecasting monthly industrial production in real-time: from single equations to factor-based models," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 39(2), pages 303-336, October.
Xuanhua Xu & Bin Pan, 2010. "Capital liquidity and residents’ consumption decision: An asymmetry analysis of economic prosperity," Frontiers of Economics in China, Springer;Higher Education Press, vol. 5(4), pages 622-639, December.
William Barnett & Evgeniya Duzhak, 2010. "Empirical assessment of bifurcation regions within New Keynesian models," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 45(1), pages 99-128, October.
- William Barnett & Evgeniya Aleksandrovna Duzhak, 2008. "Empirical Assessment of Bifurcation Regions within New Keynesian Models," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200811, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2008.
- Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya A., 2008. "Empirical assessment of bifurcation regions within new Keynesian models," MPRA Paper 11249, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Joanne Lindley & Steven McIntosh, 2010. "Is the Over-Education Wage Penalty Permanent?," Working Papers 2010004, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2010.
- Joanne Lindley & Steven McIntosh, 2010. "Is the Over-Education Wage Penalty Permanent?," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0110, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Paul Levine, 2012. "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Indian Growth and Development Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(1), pages 70-88, April.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World : Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Macroeconomics Working Papers 21853, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0210, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Levine, Paul, 2010. "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: Probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Working Papers 10/72, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
- Paul Levine, 2010. "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Working Papers id:2761, eSocialSciences.
Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & George Perendia & Bo Yang, 2012. "Endogenous Persistence in an estimated DSGE Model Under Imperfect Information," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 122(565), pages 1287-1312, December.
- Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & George Perendia & Bo Yang, 2010. "Endogenous Persistence in an Estimated DSGE Model under Imperfect Information," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0310, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Batini, Nicoletta & Gabriel, Vasco & Levine, Paul, 2010. "A Floating versus managed exchange rate regime in a DSGE model of India," Working Papers 10/70, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
- Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0410, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Nicoletta Batini & Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," NIPE Working Papers 31/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," Macroeconomics Working Papers 21992, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2010. "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," NIPE Working Papers 29/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2010. "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1210, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Gabriel, Vasco & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph & Yang, Bo, 2011. "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," Working Papers 11/95, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
Helene Maisonnave & Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwé & Ramos Mabugu & Véronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas Van der Berg & Dieter Von Fintel, 2015. "The Impact of the International Economic Crisis on Child Poverty in South Africa," Poverty & Public Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(2), pages 176-199, June.
- Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwe & Ramos Mabugu & Helene Maisonnave & Veronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van der Berg & Dieter von Fintel, 2010. "The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa," Working Papers 201015, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwé & Ramos Mabugu & Hélène Maisonnave & Véronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van der Berg & Dieter von Fintel, 2010. "The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa," Working Papers 13/2010, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- Helene Maisonnave & Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluw & Ramos Mabugu & Veronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van Der Berg & Dieter Von Fintel, 2015. "The Impact of the International Economic Crisis on Child Poverty in South Africa," Post-Print hal-02314216, HAL.
H. O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto, 2010. "Evaluating current-year forecasts made during the year: a Japanese example," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(7), pages 673-676.
- H.O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto, 2008. "Evaluating Current Year Forecasts Made During the Year: A Japanese Example," Working Papers 2008-005, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
Par Osterholm, 2010. "The effect on the Swedish real economy of the financial crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(4), pages 265-274.
- Österholm, Pär, 2009. "The Effect on the Swedish Real Economy of the Financial Crisis," Working Papers 110, National Institute of Economic Research.
Chengsi Zhang & Joel Clovis, 2010. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve of rational expectations: A serial correlation extension," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 13, pages 159-179, May.
- Chengsi Zhang & Joel Clovis, 2010. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve of Rational Expectations: A Serial Correlation Extension," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 159-179, May.
M. Hakan Berument & Afsin Sahin, 2010. "Seasonality in inflation volatility: Evidence from Turkey," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 13, pages 39-65, May.
- M. Hakan Berument & Afsin Sahin, 2010. "Seasonality in Inflation Volatility: Evidence from Turkey," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 39-65, May.
Ehrmann, M. & Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Fratzcher, M., 2010. "The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts," Other publications TiSEM 25125044-98fc-44b3-8698-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
Heikki Kauppi, 2010. "Yield-Curve Based Probability Forecasts of U.S. Recessions: Stability and Dynamics," Discussion Papers 57, Aboa Centre for Economics.
Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J. & Legerstee, R., 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecast: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-19, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee:, 2011. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-11, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-729, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2011. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," KIER Working Papers 771, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010. "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Working Papers in Economics 10/09, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are forecast updates progressive?," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 9-18.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Working Papers in Economics 10/12, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," KIER Working Papers 762, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-736, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2011-03, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2010-24, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-049/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," MPRA Paper 46387, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Olivier Coibion, 2010. "Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(1), pages 87-101, February.
- Olivier Coibion, 2007. "Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," Working Papers 61, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary.
Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2010. "Global Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(3), pages 524-535, August.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2005. "Global Inflation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 357, Central Bank of Chile.
- Flora Budianto & Giovanni Lombardo & Benoit Mojon & Daniel Rees, 2021. "Global reflation ?," BIS Bulletins 43, Bank for International Settlements.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoit Mojon, 2008. "Global inflation," Working Paper Series WP-08-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Mojon, Benoît, 2006. "Global Inflation," Kiel Working Papers 1337, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Mojon, Benoît, 2005. "Global inflation," Working Paper Series 537, European Central Bank.
Don Harding, 2010. "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers 2010.05, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
- Don Harding, 2010. "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers 2010.05, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
- Don Harding, 2010. "Applying Shape and Phase Restrictions in Generalized Dynamic Categorical Models of the Business Cycle," CAMA Working Papers 2010-25, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Don Harding, 2010. "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," NCER Working Paper Series 58, National Centre for Econometric Research.
Mark Setterfield & Andrew Budd, 2011. "A Keynes-Kalecki Model of Cyclical Growth with Agent-Based Features," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Philip Arestis (ed.), Microeconomics, Macroeconomics and Economic Policy, chapter 13, pages 228-250, Palgrave Macmillan.
- Mark Setterfield & Andrew Budd, 2010. "A Keynes-Kalecki Model of Cyclical Growth with Agent-Based Features," Working Papers 1008, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
Orla Doyle, 2010. "Unravelling Voters’ Perceptions of the Economy," Working Papers 201012, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
Antonello D’Agostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 715-732, June.
- Antonello D‚Äôagostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 715-732, June.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2010. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/10, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Antonello D’Agostino & Kieran McQuinn & Karl Whelan, 2010. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Working Papers 201012, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2011. "Are some forecasters really better than others?," MPRA Paper 32938, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2013. "The Great Diversification and Its Undoing," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(5), pages 1697-1727, August.
- Gabaix, Xavier & Carvalho, Vasco, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," CEPR Discussion Papers 8044, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010. "The great diversification and its undoing," Economics Working Papers 1208, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Oct 2010.
- Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2015. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," Working Papers 422, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," NBER Working Papers 16424, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Xavier Gabaix & Vasco M. Carvalho, 2010. "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," 2010 Meeting Papers 880, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Mohamed Daly Sfia, 2010. "A Composite Leading Indicator of Tunisian Inflation," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp980, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
Gerhard Rünstler, 2016. "On the Design of Data Sets for Forecasting with Dynamic Factor Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 629-662, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Gerhard Rünstler, 2010. "On the Design of Data Sets for Forecasting with Dynamic Factor Models," WIFO Working Papers 376, WIFO.
- Rünstler, Gerhard, 2016. "On the design of data sets for forecasting with dynamic factor models," Working Paper Series 1893, European Central Bank.
Sumru Altuğ & Melike Bildirici, 2010. "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Working Papers 0031, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2010.
Altug, Sumru & Bildirici, Melike, 2010. "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime-switching Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 7968, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Sumru Altuğ & Melike Bildirici, 2010. "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Working Papers 0032, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Economics, revised Mar 2010.
- Sumru Altug & Melike Bildirici, 2010. "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 1009, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
Tödter, Karl-Heinz, 2010. "How useful is the carry-over effect for short-term economic forecasting?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2010,21, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Volker Wieland & Maik Wolters, 2011. "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 47(2), pages 247-292, June.
- Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2010. "The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 7870, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H., 2010. "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the U.S. economy," CFS Working Paper Series 2010/08, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
Harin, Alexander, 2010. "The ruptures in the probability scale and some problems of modelling," EconStor Conference Papers 57846, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
Babutsidze, Zakaria, 2010. "(S,s) pricing: Does the heterogeneity wipe out the asymmetry on micro level?," Economics Discussion Papers 2010-19, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Leonardo Morales‐Arias & Guilherme V. Moura, 2013. "A conditionally heteroskedastic global inflation model," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(4), pages 572-596, August.
- Morales-Arias, Leonardo & Moura, Guilherme V., 2010. "A conditionally heteroskedastic global inflation model," Kiel Working Papers 1666, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2010. "Should We Trust in Leading Indicators? Evidence from the Recent Recession," IWH Discussion Papers 10/2010, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Scharff, Juliane & Scheufele, Rolf, 2010. "A First Look on the New Halle Economic Projection Model," IWH Discussion Papers 6/2010, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
Hofer Helmut & Weyerstraß Klaus & Schmidt Torsten, 2011. "Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 231(1), pages 153-171, February.
- Helmut Hofer & Torsten Schmidt & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2010. "Practice and prospects of medium-term economic forecasting," NRN working papers 2010-12, The Austrian Center for Labor Economics and the Analysis of the Welfare State, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
- Hofer, Helmut & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstrass, Klaus, 2010. "Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting," Ruhr Economic Papers 177, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2009. "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEPR Discussion Papers 7610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2010. "Crisis? What crisis? Currency vs. banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-014, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Albrecht Ritschl & Samad Salferaz, 2010. "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEP Discussion Papers dp0977, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Ritschl, Albrecht & Salferaz, Samad, 2010. "Crisis?: What crisis?: currency vs. banking in the financial crisis of 1931," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 28726, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
Clostermann, Jörg & Keis, Nikolaus & Seitz, Franz, 2010. "Short-term oil models before and during the financial market crisis," Arbeitsberichte – Working Papers 18, Technische Hochschule Ingolstadt (THI).

2009

Dario Caldara & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Wen Yao, 2009. "Computing DSGE Models with Recursive Preferences," PIER Working Paper Archive 09-018, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Dario Caldara & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez & Wen Yao, 2009. "Computing DSGE Models with Recursive Preferences," NBER Working Papers 15026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Caldara, Dario & Yao, Wen, 2009. "Computing DSGE Models with Recursive Preferences," CEPR Discussion Papers 7312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Bennett T. Mccallum, 2011. "Causality, Structure And The Uniqueness Of Rational Expectations Equilibria," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 79(s1), pages 551-566, June.
- Bennett T. McCallum, 2009. "Causality, Structure, and the Uniqueness of Rational Expectations Equilibria," NBER Working Papers 15234, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Khandani, Amir E. & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C., 2013. "Systemic risk and the refinancing ratchet effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 29-45.
- Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton, 2009. "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect," Harvard Business School Working Papers 10-023, Harvard Business School, revised Jul 2010.
- Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton, 2009. "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect," NBER Working Papers 15362, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009. "What Are The Wealth E¤ects Of Monetary Policy?," NIPE Working Papers 26/2009, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
Sushanta K. Mallick & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009. "Monetary Policy and Economic Activity in the BRICS," NIPE Working Papers 27/2009, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
António Afonso & Ricardo Sousa, 2011. "The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR analysis," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 10(1), pages 61-82, April.
- António Afonso & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR Analysis," Working Papers Department of Economics 2009/09, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
- Ricardo M. Sousa & António Afonso, 2009. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR Analysis," NIPE Working Papers 3/2009, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
H. Erkel-Rousse & C. Minodier, 2009. "Do Business Tendency Surveys in Industry and Services Help in Forecasting GDP Growth? A Real-Time Analysis on French Data," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers g2009-03, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
J. Bardaji & F. Tallet, 2009. "Detecting Economic Regimes in France : a Qualitative Markov-Switching Indicator Using Mixed Frequency Data," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers g2009-12, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
Ida Wolden Bache & James Mitchell & Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Macro modelling with many models," Working Paper 2009/15, Norges Bank.
- Dr. James Mitchell, 2009. "Macro Modelling with Many Models," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 337, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0909, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Dr. James Mitchell, 2009. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 342, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Garratt, Anthony & Vahey, Shaun & Mitchell, James, 2010. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 7742, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Measuring output gap uncertainty," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2009/15, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
Lui, Silvia & Mitchell, James & Weale, Martin, 2011. "The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1128-1146, October.
- Dr Silvia Lui & Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2009. "The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 343, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2010. "Measuring forecast uncertainty by disagreement: The missing link," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 514-538.
- Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2008. "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link," ifo Working Paper Series 60, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2009. "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link," Discussion Papers 09-06, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
Dr. James Mitchell, 2009. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 342, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Garratt, Anthony & Vahey, Shaun & Mitchell, James, 2010. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 7742, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Measuring output gap uncertainty," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2009/15, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009. "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0909, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009. "Analyzing and forecasting business cycles in a small open economy: A dynamic factor model for Singapore," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2009(1), pages 19-41.
- Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009. "Analyzing and Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore," Working Papers 05-2009, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009. "Analyzing and Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy : A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore," Macroeconomics Working Papers 22074, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
Gerhard Fenz & Martin Schneider, 2009. "A Leading Indicator of Austrian Exports Based on Truck Mileage," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 44-52.
Efrem Castelnuovo, 2009. "Estimating a NKBC Model for the U.S. Economy with Multiple Filters," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0102, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
Dario Caldara & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez & Wen Yao, 2009. "Computing DSGE Models with Recursive Preferences," NBER Working Papers 15026, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dario Caldara & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Wen Yao, 2009. "Computing DSGE Models with Recursive Preferences," PIER Working Paper Archive 09-018, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Rubio-RamÃrez, Juan Francisco & FernÃ¡ndez-Villaverde, JesÃºs & Caldara, Dario & Yao, Wen, 2009. "Computing DSGE Models with Recursive Preferences," CEPR Discussion Papers 7312, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Carlos C. Bautista & Roberto S. Mariano & Bayani Victor Bawagan, 2009. "The NEDA quarterly macroeconomic model: theoretical structure and some empirical results," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, vol. 46(2), pages 240-260, December.
Adnan Haider & Drissi Ramzi, 2009. "Nominal Frictions and Optimal Monetary Policy," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 48(4), pages 525-551.
Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2009. "Interactions between Labor Market Reforms and Monetary Policy under Slowly Changing Habits," FEP Working Papers 309, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
Kimolo, Deogratius, 2009. "Modelling and Forecasting Inflation in Tanzania: A Univariate Time Series Analysis," MPRA Paper 114782, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Barnett, William A. & He, Susan, 2010. "Existence of singularity bifurcation in an Euler-equations model of the United States economy: Grandmont was right," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1345-1354, November.
- Barnett, William A. & He, Susan, 2009. "Existence of Singularity Bifurcation in an Euler-Equations Model of the United States Economy: Grandmont was Right," MPRA Paper 12803, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kitov, Ivan, 2009. "Apples and oranges: relative growth rate of consumer price indices," MPRA Paper 13587, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Dionisios Chionis & Periklis Gogas & Ioannis Pragidis, 2010. "Predicting European Union Recessions in the Euro Era: The Yield Curve as a Forecasting Tool of Economic Activity," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 16(1), pages 1-10, February.
- Gogas, Periklis & Chionis, Dionisios & Pragkidis, Ioannis, 2009. "Predicting European Union recessions in the euro era: The yield curve as a forecasting tool of economic activity," MPRA Paper 13911, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano & Englama, Abwaku, 2009. "Is Nigeria Ready for Inflation Targeting?," MPRA Paper 14870, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Apr 2009.
Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg, 2009. "A fair price for motor fuel in the United States," MPRA Paper 15039, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg, 2009. "Sustainable trends in producer price indices," MPRA Paper 15194, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Bezemer, Dirk J, 2009. "“No One Saw This Coming”: Understanding Financial Crisis Through Accounting Models," MPRA Paper 15892, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kim, Insu & Kim, Minsoo, 2009. "Irrational Bias in Inflation Forecasts," MPRA Paper 16447, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Sokolov, Yuri, 2009. "Interaction between market and credit risk: Focus on the endogeneity of aggregate risk," MPRA Paper 18245, University Library of Munich, Germany.
D'Amuri, Francesco & Marcucci, Juri, 2009. "‘Google it!’ Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index," ISER Working Paper Series 2009-32, Institute for Social and Economic Research.
- D'Amuri, Francesco/FD & Marcucci, Juri/JM, 2009. ""Google it!" Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index," MPRA Paper 18248, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Francesco D’Amuri & Juri Marcucci, 2010. "“Google it!”Forecasting the US Unemployment Rate with a Google Job Search index," Working Papers 2010.31, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano, 2009. "Oil Price Shocks and the Macroeconomy of Nigeria: A Non-linear Approach," MPRA Paper 18726, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Nov 2009.
Elmostafa Bentour and Weshah Razzak, "undated". "Real Interest Rates, Bubbles and Monetary Policy in the GCC countries," API-Working Paper Series 0912, Arab Planning Institute - Kuwait, Information Center.
- E. M. Bentour & W. A. Razzak, 2010. "Real Interest Rates, Bubbles and Monetary Policy in the GCC countries," EERI Research Paper Series EERI_RP_2010_03, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
- Razzak, Weshah & Bentour, E M, 2009. "Real Interest Rates, Bubbles and Monetary Policy in the GCC countries," MPRA Paper 19384, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra, 2009. "Inflation Volatility: An Asian Perspective," MPRA Paper 19489, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Meyler, Aidan & Rubene, Ieva, 2009. "Results of a special questionnaire for participants in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF)," MPRA Paper 20751, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Dimitris Korobilis, 2013. "Var Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 204-230, March.
- Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009. "VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection," MPRA Paper 21124, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- KOROBILIS, Dimitris, 2011. "VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2011022, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2010. "VAR Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Paper series 51_10, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, revised Apr 2011.
Durevall, Dick & Loening, Josef, 2009. "Ethiopia: Updated Inflation Forecasts," MPRA Paper 25899, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Julio, Juan Manuel, 2009. "The HPD Fan ChartT With Data Revision," MPRA Paper 29141, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Belhadj, ARAM & Bouguezzi, WAJDI & Jedlane, NABIL, 2009. "A Common Monetary Policy For The Maghreb: The Winners and The Losers?," MPRA Paper 29701, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Coenen, Gunter & Vetlov, Igor, 2009. "Extending the NAWM for the import content of exports," MPRA Paper 76490, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Coenen, Gunter, 2009. "Extending the NAWM with a partial indexation mechanism linking wages and trend productivitiy," MPRA Paper 86153, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2009. "Is the Permanent Income Hypothesis Really Well-Suited for Forecasting?," Working Papers 200909, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Luboš Komárek & Filip Rozsypal, 2009. "Vymezení a vyhodnocení agresivity centrálních bank [Definition and Evaluation of the Central Bank agresivity]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2009(3), pages 383-404.
Burton G. Malkiel & Atanu Saha & Alex Grecu, 2009. "The Clustering of Extreme Movements: Stock Prices and the Weather," Working Papers 1162, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
Burton G. Malkiel & Atanu Saha & Alex Grecu, 2009. "The Clustering of Extreme Movements: Stock Prices and the Weather," Working Papers 1162, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg & Amit Kumar Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2010. "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 125(4), pages 1727-1767.
- Pinelopi K. Goldberg & Amit Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2008. "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," NBER Working Papers 14416, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Pinelopi Goldberg & Amit Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2009. "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," Working Papers 1179, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg & Amit Kumar Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2010. "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 125(4), pages 1727-1767.
- Pinelopi K. Goldberg & Amit Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2008. "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," NBER Working Papers 14416, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Pinelopi Goldberg & Amit Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2009. "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," Working Papers 1179, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
Pinelopi K. Goldberg & Rebecca Hellerstein, 2009. "How rigid are producer prices?," Staff Reports 407, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Pinelopi Goldberg & Rebecca Hellerstein, 2009. "How Rigid Are Producer Prices?," Working Papers 1184, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
Pinelopi K. Goldberg & Rebecca Hellerstein, 2009. "How rigid are producer prices?," Staff Reports 407, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Pinelopi Goldberg & Rebecca Hellerstein, 2009. "How Rigid Are Producer Prices?," Working Papers 1184, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
Vanda Almeida, 2009. "Bayesian estimation of a DSGE model for the Portuguese economy," Working Papers w200914, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2011. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(1), pages 86-95.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2011. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 86-95, January.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009. "An econometric analysis of some models for constructed binary time series," CAMA Working Papers 2009-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," NCER Working Paper Series 39, National Centre for Econometric Research, revised 02 Jul 2009.
Jamie Hall & Jarkko P. Jääskelä, 2011. "Inflation Volatility and Forecast Accuracy," Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 44(4), pages 404-417, December.
- Jamie Hall & Jarkko Jääskelä, 2009. "Inflation Volatility and Forecast Accuracy," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2009-06, Reserve Bank of Australia.
Adam Cagliarini & Warwick McKibbin, 2010. "Global Relative Price Shocks: The Role of Macroeconomic Policies," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Renée Fry & Callum Jones & Christopher Kent (ed.),Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Adam Cagliarini & Warwick McKibbin, 2009. "Global Relative Price Shocks: The Role of Macroeconomic Policies," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2009-10, Reserve Bank of Australia.
Batini, Nicoletta & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph, 2009. "Estabilización óptima del tipo de cambio en una economía dolarizada con meta inflacionaria," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 16, pages 37-82.
Vega, Marco & Bigio, Saki & Florian, David & Llosa, Gonzalo & Miller, Shirley & Ramirez-Rondan, Nelson & Rodriguez, Donita & Salas, Jorge & Winkelried, Diego, 2009. "Un modelo semiestructural de proyección para la economía peruana," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 17, pages 51-83.
BCRP, Departamento de Modelos Macroeconómicos, 2009. "Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP," Working Papers 2009-006, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
Barrera, Carlos, 2009. "Ciclos sectoriales de los negocios en el Perú e indicadores anticipados para el crecimiento del PBI no primario," Working Papers 2009-013, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
Kevin Lansing, 2009. "Time Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 12(2), pages 304-326, April.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-varying U.S. inflation dynamics and the New-Keynesian Phillips curve," Working Paper Series 2006-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 488, Society for Computational Economics.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," 2006 Meeting Papers 758, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Kevin Lansing, 2008. "Code for "Time Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve"," Computer Codes 07-129, Review of Economic Dynamics.
Kilian, Lutz & Vigfusson, Robert J., 2009. "Pitfalls in Estimating Asymmetric Effects of Energy Price Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 7284, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lutz Kilian, 2009. "Pitfalls in Estimating Asymmetric Effects of Energy Price Shocks," 2009 Meeting Papers 473, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2009. "Pitfalls in estimating asymmetric effects of energy price shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 970, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2012. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 53(3), pages 867-886, August.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2009. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Paper series 34_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-40, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2010. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers 2010-113, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers 1119, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
Purica, Ionut & Caraiani, Petre, 2009. "Second Order Dynamics Of Economic Cycles," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 6(1), pages 36-47, March.
Ozun, Alper & Turk, Mehmet, 2009. "A Duration-Dependent Regime Switching Model for an Open Emerging Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 66-81, December.
LUBAN Florica, 2009. "Using simulation to evaluate investment projects," Economia. Seria Management, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 12(1 Special), pages 139-144, July.
Nikolaos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 55(2), pages 107-120.
- Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," IZA Discussion Papers 4201, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," RatSWD Research Notes 41, German Data Forum (RatSWD).
- Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 899, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
Lewis Vivien & Markiewicz Agnieszka, 2009. "Model Misspecification, Learning and the Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-24, April.
- Vivien Lewis & Agnieszka Markiewicz, 2009. "Model misspecification, learning and the exchange rate disconnect puzzle," Working Paper Research 168, National Bank of Belgium.
- V. Lewis & A. Markiewicz, 2009. "Model Misspecification, Learning and the Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 09/563, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
Vladimir Dubrovskiy & Inna Golodniuk & Janusz Szyrmer, 2009. "Composite Leading Indicators for Ukraine: An Early Warning Model," CASE Network Reports 0085, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research.
Christian Müller-Kademann, 2009. "Biased Estimation in a Simple Extension of a Standard Error Correction Model," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 145(I), pages 37-60, March.
Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009. "Analyzing and forecasting business cycles in a small open economy: A dynamic factor model for Singapore," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2009(1), pages 19-41.
- Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009. "Analyzing and Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy : A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore," Macroeconomics Working Papers 22074, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
- Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009. "Analyzing and Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore," Working Papers 05-2009, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
Barbara Rudolf & Mathias Zurlinden, 2009. "Productivity and economic growth in Switzerland 1991-2005," Working Papers 2009-13, Swiss National Bank.
Kosei Fukuda, 2009. "Forecasting growth cycle turning points using US and Japanese professional forecasters," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 36(2), pages 243-267, May.
Gang Fan & Liping He & Jiani Hu, 2009. "CPI vs. PPI: Which drives which?," Frontiers of Economics in China, Springer;Higher Education Press, vol. 4(3), pages 317-334, September.
Khurshid Kiani, 2009. "Inflation in Transition Economies: An Empirical Analysis," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 16(1), pages 34-46, May.
Sarfaraz SYED & Ali SHAH, 2009. "Output Gap Measures For Pakistan: Methodoligies And Challenges For The Monetary Policy," Journal of Applied Research in Finance Bi-Annually, ASERS Publishing, vol. 0(2), pages 206-227, December.
Ivan O. KITOV & Oleg I. KITOV, 2009. "Sustainable Trends In Producer Price Indices," Journal of Applied Research in Finance Bi-Annually, ASERS Publishing, vol. 0(1), pages 43-51, June.
- Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg, 2009. "Sustainable trends in producer price indices," MPRA Paper 15194, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "UK macroeconomic forecasting with many predictors: Which models forecast best and when do they do so?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 2307-2318, September.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2009-40, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," Working Papers 1118, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korompilis, 2009. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," Working Papers 0917, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
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Nicoletta Batini & Young-Bae Kim & Paul Levine & Emanuela Lotti, 2009. "Informal Labour and Credit Markets: A Survey," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0609, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
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MaruÃ…Â¡ka Vizek & Tanja Broz, 2009. "Modeling Inflation in Croatia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 45(6), pages 87-98, November.
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Tim Willems, 2009. "Visualizing the Invisible: Estimating the New Keynesian Output Gap via a Bayesian Approach," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 09-074/2, Tinbergen Institute, revised 26 Mar 2010.
Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2011. "How accurate are government forecasts of economic fundamentals? The case of Taiwan," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1066-1075, October.
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Armida Alisjahbana, 2009. "Revisiting Indonesia’s Sources of Economic Growth and Its Projection Towards 2030," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 200905, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Jul 2009.
Ivan O. KITOV & Oleg I. KITOV & Svetlana A. DOLINSKAYA, 2009. "Modelling Real Gdp Per Capita In The Usa:Cointegration Tests," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 4(1(7)_ Spr).
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Loening, Josef L. & Durevall, Dick & Ayalew Birru, Yohannes, 2009. "Inflation Dynamics and Food Prices in an Agricultural Economy: The Case of Ethiopia," Working Papers in Economics 347, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
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KevinX.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2009. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations and Technology Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(536), pages 377-405, March.
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Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 479-489, March.
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Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/13, European University Institute.
- Kuzin, Vladimir N. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009. "Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,03, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kuzin, Vladimir, 2009. "Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: An application to German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7197, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Kuzin, Vladimir N. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009. "MIDAS versus mixed-frequency VAR: nowcasting GDP in the euro area," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,07, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Clostermann, Jörg & Koch, Alexander & Rees, Andreas & Seitz, Franz, 2009. "Ein Factor Augmented Stepwise Probit Prognosemodell für den ifo-Geschäftserwartungsindex," Arbeitsberichte – Working Papers 17, Technische Hochschule Ingolstadt (THI).
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Tovar, Camilo Ernesto, 2009. "DSGE Models and Central Banks," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-31.
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El-Shagi, Makram, 2009. "Inflation Expectations: Does the Market Beat Professional Forecasts?," IWH Discussion Papers 16/2009, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
Blaskowitz, Oliver J. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2009. "On economic evaluation of directional forecasts," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2009-052, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
Ritschl, Albrecht & Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir, 2009. "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEPR Discussion Papers 7546, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Clostermann, Jörg & Koch, Alexander & Rees, Andreas & Seitz, Franz, 2009. "Ein Factor Augmented Stepwise Probit Prognosemodell für den ifo-Geschäftserwartungsindex," Weidener Diskussionspapiere 21, University of Applied Sciences Amberg-Weiden (OTH).
- Clostermann, Jörg & Koch, Alexander & Rees, Andreas & Seitz, Franz, 2009. "Ein Factor Augmented Stepwise Probit Prognosemodell für den ifo-Geschäftserwartungsindex," Arbeitsberichte – Working Papers 17, Technische Hochschule Ingolstadt (THI).
Nikolaos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 55(2), pages 107-120.
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Jean-Marie Dufour & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian, 2009. "Structural Multi-Equation Macroeconomic Models: Identification-Robust Estimation and Fit," Staff Working Papers 09-19, Bank of Canada.
Álvarez, Luis J. & Hurtado, Samuel & Sánchez, Isabel & Thomas, Carlos, 2011. "The impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 422-431.
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Andrea Nobili, 2009. "Composite indicators for monetary analysis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 713, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Capistrán Carlos & Constandse Christian & Ramos Francia Manuel, 2009. "Using Seasonal Models to Forecast Short-Run Inflation in Mexico," Working Papers 2009-05, Banco de México.
Sidaoui José Julián & Capistrán Carlos & Chiquiar Daniel & Ramos Francia Manuel, 2009. "A Note on the Predictive Content of PPI over CPI Inflation: The Case of Mexico," Working Papers 2009-14, Banco de México.
Aruoba, S. BoraÄŸan & Diebold, Francis X. & Scotti, Chiara, 2009. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 417-427.
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CapistrÃ¡n, Carlos & Timmermann, Allan, 2009. "Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit of Experts," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 428-440.
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Faust, Jon & Wright, Jonathan H., 2009. "Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts Using a Large Realtime Dataset," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 468-479.
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C l rier, C., 2009. "Forecasting inflation in France," Working papers 262, Banque de France.
Borgy, V. & Clerc, L. & Renne, J-P., 2009. "Asset-price boom-bust cycles and credit: what is the scope of macro-prudential regulation?," Working papers 263, Banque de France.
Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann, 2009. "Assessing the risk of banking crises - revisited," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
Emi Nakamura, 2009. "Deconstructing The Success Of Real Business Cycles," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 47(4), pages 739-753, October.
Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2009. "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(5), pages 683-713, October.
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Hilde C. Bjørnland & Karsten Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Christie Smith & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2012. "Does Forecast Combination Improve Norges Bank Inflation Forecasts?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 74(2), pages 163-179, April.
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Dr. James Mitchell, 2009. "Macro Modelling with Many Models," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 337, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
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Wolden Bache, Ida & Sofie Jore, Anne & Mitchell, James & Vahey, Shaun P., 2011. "Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 1659-1670, October.
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Nikos G. Zonzilos & Zacharias G. Bragoudakis & Georgia I. Pavlou, 2009. "An analysis of the reliability of first (flash) quarterly national account data releases for Greece," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 32, pages 39-51, May.
Argov, Eyal, 2012. "The choice of a foreign price measure in a Bayesian estimated new-Keynesian model for Israel," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 408-420.
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Akira Otani & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Ryoko Tsurui & Takeshi Yamada, 2009. "Macro Stress-Testing on the Loan Portfolio of Japanese Banks," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 09-E-1, Bank of Japan.
Ha-Hyun Jo & Sun-Oong Hwang, 2009. "Forecasting Economic Variables Using Disaggregated Data for Consumer Expectations: A Comparison of Forecast Combination Methods (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 15(1), pages 1-38, March.
David R.F. Love, 2009. "Accuracy of Deterministic Extended-Path Solution Methods for Dynamic Stochastic Optimization Problems in Macroeconomics," Working Papers 0907, Brock University, Department of Economics.
David R. F. Love, 2011. "Aggregate Comovements, Anticipation, and Business Cycles," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2011(1), pages 93-110.
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- David R.F. Love, 2009. "Aggregate Comovements, Anticipation, and Business Cycles," Working Papers 0908, Brock University, Department of Economics.
Stéphane Sorbe, 2009. "Un modèle de prix de l'immobilier pour estimer l'ampleur de la bulle américaine," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 60(1), pages 173-187.
Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2013. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 82-101, January.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Working Papers ECARES 2009_020, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2010. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Working Paper Series 1167, European Central Bank.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca & Giannone, Domenico & Giannone, Domenico, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Research Technical Papers 8/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Giannone, Domenico & Dâ€™Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers 7542, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Oscar Jorda & Travis Berge, 2009. "The Classification of Economic Activity into Expansions and Recessions," Working Papers 918, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
Oscar Jorda & Travis Berge, 2009. "The Classification of Economic Activity into Expansions and Recessions," Working Papers 308, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
Oscar Jorda & Travis Berge, 2009. "The Classification of Economic Activity into Expansions and Recessions," Working Papers 918, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick, 2009. "Can the Fiscal Theory of the price level explain UK inflation in the 1970s?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2009/26, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Mar 2011.
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Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin Kholodilin, 2009. "Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 118, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin Kholodilin, 2009. "Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles," SERC Discussion Papers 0022, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Artis, Michael & Dreger, Christian & Kholodilinf, Konstantin, 2009. "Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 33213, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2009. "Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 859, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Artis, Michael & Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin, 2009. "Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 7206, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Shynar Shaikh, 2009. "Findings of the Signal Approach for Financial Monitoring in Kazakhstan," CESifo Working Paper Series 2774, CESifo.
Gerit Vogt, 2009. "Konjunkturprognose in Deutschland. Ein Beitrag zur Prognose der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung auf Bundes- und Länderebene," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 36, May.
Michael Reinhard & Hans Schedl & Achim Buchwald & Ralph Henger, 2007. "Positionierung der deutschen Industrie im globalen Konsolidierungsprozess : im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums für Wirtschaft und Technologie," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 36.
Karrar Hussain, 2009. "Monetary Policy Channels of Pakistan and Their Impact on Real GDP and Inflation," CID Working Papers 41, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
Ho, Kin-Yip & Tsui, Albert K. & Zhang, Zhaoyong, 2009. "Volatility dynamics of the US business cycle: A multivariate asymmetric GARCH approach," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(9), pages 2856-2868.
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Fernando Nascimento de Oliveira, 2009. "Efectos de la política monetaria sobre las empresas en Brasil: análisis empírico del canal del balance general," Premio de Banca Central Rodrigo Gómez / Central Banking Award "Rodrigo Gómez", Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, number prg2009, July-Dece.
Fernando Nascimento de Oliveira, 2009. "Effects of Monetary Policy on Firms in Brazil: An Empirical Analysis of the Balance of the Balance Sheet Channel," Premio de Banca Central Rodrigo Gómez / Central Banking Award "Rodrigo Gómez", Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, number prg2009eng, July-Dece.
Pietro Bonaldi & Juan D. Prada & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2011. "Método numérico para la calibración de un modelo dsge," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, December.
- Pietro Bonaldi & . Andrés González & Juan David Prada & Diego A.Rodríguez & Luis Eduardo Rojas, 2009. "Método numérico para la calibración de un modelo DSGE," Borradores de Economia 548, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Pietro Bonaldi & Andrés González & Juan David Prada & Diego A. Rodríguez, 2009. "Método numérico para la calibración de un modelo DSGE," Borradores de Economia 5265, Banco de la Republica.
Carlos Esteban Posada P. & Jorge Andrés Tamayo C., 2009. "La crisis reciente de Estados Unidos (2007-2008): redescubriendo la importancia del mercado de "fondos prestables"," Borradores de Economia 554, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Carlos Esteban Posada & Jorge Andrés Tamayo C., 2009. "La crisis reciente de Estados Unidos (2007-2008): redescubriendo la importancia del mercado de "fondos prestables"," Borradores de Economia 5388, Banco de la Republica.
Dora Elena Jiménez Giraldo & Bernardo Alberto Zapata Bonett, 2009. "Modelo de Equilibrio General Dinámico para una Pequena Economía Abierta," Ensayos de Economía 8002, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín.
Ignacio Velez-Pareja, 2009. "Metodos de pronostico," Proyecciones Financieras y Valoración 5675, Master Consultores.
Peter B. Dixon & Maureen T. Rimmer, 2009. "Forecasting with a CGE model: does it work?," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-197, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
Kuzin, Vladimir N. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009. "Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,03, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kuzin, Vladimir, 2009. "Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: An application to German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7197, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/13, European University Institute.
Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin Kholodilin, 2009. "Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 118, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Artis, Michael & Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin, 2009. "Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 7206, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Artis, Michael & Dreger, Christian & Kholodilinf, Konstantin, 2009. "Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 33213, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2009. "Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 859, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin Kholodilin, 2009. "Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles," SERC Discussion Papers 0022, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
Lutz Kilian, 2009. "Pitfalls in Estimating Asymmetric Effects of Energy Price Shocks," 2009 Meeting Papers 473, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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- Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2009. "Pitfalls in estimating asymmetric effects of energy price shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 970, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 529-542.
- Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 529-542, April.
- Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/32, European University Institute.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kuzin, Vladimir, 2009. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 7445, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Den Haan, Wouter & Cai, Xiaoming, 2009. "Predicting recoveries and the importance of using enough information," CEPR Discussion Papers 7508, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2013. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 82-101, January.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Working Papers ECARES 2009_020, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2010. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Working Paper Series 1167, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Dâ€™Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers 7542, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca & Giannone, Domenico & Giannone, Domenico, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Research Technical Papers 8/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.
Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009. "Depression econometrics: A FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2009-054, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Pooyan Amir Ahmadi & Albrecht Ritschl, 2010. "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEP Discussion Papers dp0967, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Ritschl, Albrecht & Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir, 2009. "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEPR Discussion Papers 7546, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009. "Depression econometrics: a FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," Economic History Working Papers 51582, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
- Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009. "Depression econometrics: a FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," Economic History Working Papers 27878, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
Michael Ehrmann & Sylvester Eijffinger & Marcel Fratzscher, 2012. "The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 114(3), pages 1018-1052, September.
- Eijffinger, Sylvester & Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2009. "The role of central bank transparency for guiding private sector forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 7585, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ehrmann, Michael & Eijffinger, Sylvester & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2010. "The role of central bank transparency for guiding private sector forecasts," Working Paper Series 1146, European Central Bank.
- Ehrmann, M. & Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Fratzcher, M., 2010. "The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts," Other publications TiSEM 25125044-98fc-44b3-8698-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2009. "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEPR Discussion Papers 7610, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2010. "Crisis? What crisis? Currency vs. banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-014, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Albrecht Ritschl & Samad Salferaz, 2010. "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEP Discussion Papers dp0977, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Ritschl, Albrecht & Salferaz, Samad, 2010. "Crisis?: What crisis?: currency vs. banking in the financial crisis of 1931," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 28726, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
H. Erkel-Rousse & C. Minodier, 2009. "Do Business Tendency Surveys in Industry and Services Help in Forecasting GDP Growth? A Real-Time Analysis on French Data," Documents de Travail de la DESE - Working Papers of the DESE g2009-03, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, DESE.
J. Bardaji & F. Tallet, 2009. "Detecting Economic Regimes in France : a Qualitative Markov-Switching Indicator Using Mixed Frequency Data," Documents de Travail de la DESE - Working Papers of the DESE g2009-12, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, DESE.
Dikaios Tserkezos, 2009. "Evaluation of the Diachronic Performance of the OECD Macroeconomic Forecasts for Greece," Working Papers 0902, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
Mario Coccia, 2009. "Forecast horizon of 5th – 6th – 7th long wave and short-period of contraction in economic cycles," CERIS Working Paper 200904, CNR-IRCrES Research Institute on Sustainable Economic Growth - Torino (TO) ITALY - former Institute for Economic Research on Firms and Growth - Moncalieri (TO) ITALY.
Mario Coccia, 2009. "Possible technological determinants and primary energy resources of future long waves," CERIS Working Paper 200905, CNR-IRCrES Research Institute on Sustainable Economic Growth - Torino (TO) ITALY - former Institute for Economic Research on Firms and Growth - Moncalieri (TO) ITALY.
Mario Coccia, 2009. "Business cycles and the scale of economic shock," CERIS Working Paper 200906, CNR-IRCrES Research Institute on Sustainable Economic Growth - Torino (TO) ITALY - former Institute for Economic Research on Firms and Growth - Moncalieri (TO) ITALY.
Luca Colombo & Gerd Weinrich, 2009. "Persistent disequilibrium dynamics and economic policy," DISCE - Quaderni dell'Istituto di Economia e Finanza ief0086, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
Quante, R. & Meyr, H. & Fleischmann, M., 2007. "Revenue Management and Demand Fulfillment: Matching Applications, Models, and Software," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2007-050-LIS, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
- Quante, R. & Meyr, H. & Fleischmann, M., 2009. "Revenue management and demand fulfillment: matching applications, models, and software," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 36060, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Prognosen aus dem Internet: weitere Erholung am Arbeitsmarkt erwartet," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 76(25), pages 402-408.
- Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009. "Prognosen aus dem Internet: Weitere Erholung am Arbeitsmarkt erwartet," IZA Standpunkte 13, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Sommerpause bei der Arbeitslosigkeit: Google-gestützte Prognose signalisiert Entspannung," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 76(33), pages 561-566.
Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2009. "Regionale Konjunkturunterschiede kein Hinderungsgrund für Geldpolitik im Euroraum," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 76(46), pages 806-809.
Dorothea Lucke, 2009. "Talsohle durchschritten: Nachfrage nach Industriegütern legt wieder zu," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 76(49), pages 861-868.
Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin Kholodilin, 2009. "Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 118, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2009. "Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 859, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Artis, Michael & Dreger, Christian & Kholodilinf, Konstantin, 2009. "Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 33213, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Artis, Michael & Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin, 2009. "Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 7206, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin Kholodilin, 2009. "Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles," SERC Discussion Papers 0022, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
Nikolaos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 55(2), pages 107-120.
- Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," RatSWD Research Notes 41, German Data Forum (RatSWD).
- Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 899, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," IZA Discussion Papers 4201, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "A Summer Break for the Unemployment Rate: Google-Assisted Forecasting Signals Easing," Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 5(25), pages 176-181.
Georg Erber & Ulrich Fritsche, 2009. "Productivity Growth in Germany: No Sustainable Economic Recovery in Sight," Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 5(3), pages 19-25.
Kar, Sujata, 2009. "Statistical Tools as Measures of Core Inflation for India," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 44(2), pages 225-245.
Hall, Alastair R. & Inoue, Atsushi & Nason, James M. & Rossi, Barbara, 2012. "Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(2), pages 499-518.
- Alastair R. Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2007. "Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2007-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Alastair Hall & Atsushi & James M Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2009. "Information Criteria For Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation Of Dsge Models," Working Papers 09-09, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Alastair R. Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2009. "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 127, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Hall, Alastair & Inoue, Atsushi & Nason M, James & Rossi, Barbara, 2007. "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Working Papers 07-04, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Alastair Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2010. "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Working Papers 10-28, Duke University, Department of Economics.
Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009. "Analyzing and forecasting business cycles in a small open economy: A dynamic factor model for Singapore," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2009(1), pages 19-41.
- Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009. "Analyzing and Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore," Working Papers 05-2009, Singapore Management University, School of Economics.
- Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009. "Analyzing and Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy : A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore," Macroeconomics Working Papers 22074, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
Kalina Dimitrova, 2009. "Директен И Индиректен Подход За Прогнозиране На Инфлацията В България," Working paper series 12009bg, Agency for Economic Analysis and Forecasting.
Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2013. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 82-101, January.
- Giannone, Domenico & Dâ€™Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers 7542, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2010. "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Working Paper Series 1167, European Central Bank.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Working Papers ECARES 2009_020, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca & Giannone, Domenico & Giannone, Domenico, 2009. "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Research Technical Papers 8/RT/09, Central Bank of Ireland.
Lucia Alessi & Carsten Detken, 2009. "Global liquidity as an early warning indicator for asset price boom/bust cycles," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 8, pages 7-9.
Pagano Patrizio & Pisani Massimiliano, 2009. "Risk-Adjusted Forecasts of Oil Prices," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-28, June.
- Patrizio Pagano & Massimiliano Pisani, 2006. "Risk-Adjusted Forecasts of Oil Prices," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 585, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Pagano, Patrizio & Pisani, Massimiliano, 2009. "Risk-adjusted forecasts of oil prices," Working Paper Series 999, European Central Bank.
Kevin X.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2009. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations and Technology Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(536), pages 377-405, March.
- KevinX.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2009. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations and Technology Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(536), pages 377-405, March.
- Kevin X.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations, and Technology Shocks," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0807, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
- Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, adaptive expectations, and technology shocks," Working Paper Series 2008-18, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, adaptive expectations, and technology shocks," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2008-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "UK macroeconomic forecasting with many predictors: Which models forecast best and when do they do so?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 2307-2318, September.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korompilis, 2009. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," Working Papers 0917, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," Working Papers 1118, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2009-40, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2011. "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-39, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
Smith, Gregor W., 2009. "Pooling forecasts in linear rational expectations models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(11), pages 1858-1866, November.
- Gregor W. Smith, 2007. "Pooling Forecasts In Linear Rational Expectations Models," Working Paper 1129, Economics Department, Queen's University.
Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Sofat, Prakriti & Srinivasan, Naveen, 2009. "Can the facts of UK inflation persistence be explained by nominal rigidity?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 978-992, September.
- Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Sofat, Prakriti & Srinivasan, Naveen, 2008. "Can the Facts of UK Inflation Persistence be Explained by Nominal Rigidity?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2008/7, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Apr 2010.
- Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Srinivasan, Naveen & Meenagh, David & Sofat, Prakriti, 2008. "Can the Facts of UK Inflation Persistence be Explained by Nominal Rigidity?," CEPR Discussion Papers 6834, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Jiménez, Gabriel & Mencía, Javier, 2009. "Modelling the distribution of credit losses with observable and latent factors," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 235-253, March.
- Gabriel Jiménez & Javier Mencía, 2007. "Modeling the distribution of credit losses with observable and latent factors," Working Papers 0709, Banco de España.
Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Markwardt, Gunther, 2009. "The effects of oil price shocks on the Iranian economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 134-151, January.
- Mohammad Reza FARZANEGAN & Gunther MARKWARDT, 2008. "The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on the Iranian Economy," EcoMod2008 23800037, EcoMod.
- Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Markwardt, Gunther, 2008. "The effects of oil price shocks on the Iranian economy," Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics 15/08, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics.
Akram, Q. Farooq, 2009. "Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 838-851, November.
- Q. Farooq Akram, 2008. "Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar," Working Paper 2008/12, Norges Bank.
Ager, P. & Kappler, M. & Osterloh, S., 2009. "The accuracy and efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A further application and extension of the pooled approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 167-181.
- Ager, Philipp & Kappler, Marcus & Osterloh, Steffen, 2007. "The Accuracy and Efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A Further Application and Extension of the Pooled Approach," ZEW Discussion Papers 07-058, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
Lux, Thomas, 2009. "Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 638-655, November.
- Lux, Thomas, 2008. "Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey," Economics Working Papers 2008-07, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
Croce, Roberto M. & Haurin, Donald R., 2009. "Predicting turning points in the housing market," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 281-293, December.
Gamber, Edward N. & Smith, Julie K., 2009. "Are the Fed's inflation forecasts still superior to the private sector's?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 240-251, June.
- Edward N. Gamber & Julie K. Smith, 2007. "Are the Fed’s Inflation Forecasts Still Superior to the Private Sector’s?," Working Papers 2007-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Jul 2008.
Kin-Yip Ho & Albert K. Tsui & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2009. "Volatility Dynamics of the UK Business Cycle: a Multivariate Asymmetric Garch Approach," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 117, pages 31-46.
- Ho, Kin-Yip & Tsui, Albert K. & Zhang, Zhaoyong, 2009. "Volatility dynamics of the US business cycle: A multivariate asymmetric GARCH approach," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(9), pages 2856-2868.
Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2011. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(1), pages 86-95.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2011. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 86-95, January.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009. "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," NCER Working Paper Series 39, National Centre for Econometric Research, revised 02 Jul 2009.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009. "An econometric analysis of some models for constructed binary time series," CAMA Working Papers 2009-08, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Ritschl, Albrecht & Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir, 2009. "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEPR Discussion Papers 7546, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Pooyan Amir Ahmadi & Albrecht Ritschl, 2010. "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEP Discussion Papers dp0967, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009. "Depression econometrics: a FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," Economic History Working Papers 51582, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
- Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009. "Depression econometrics: a FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," Economic History Working Papers 27878, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
- Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009. "Depression econometrics: A FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2009-054, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
Steven Cassou & Jesús Vázquez, 2014. "Employment comovements at the sectoral level over the business cycle," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 1301-1323, June.
- Cassou, Steven P. & Vázquez Pérez, Jesús, 2009. "Employment comovements at the sectoral level over the business cycle," DFAEII Working Papers 1988-088X, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II.
W. David McCausland & Ian D. McAvinchey, 2009. "Macroeconomic Stability, Equities and Real Estate: A Dynamic Model for the U.K," Ekonomia, Cyprus Economic Society and University of Cyprus, vol. 12(2), pages 127-159, Winter.
Arturo Antón-Sarabia, 2009. "Efectos del ciclo económico en EE. UU. sobre la producción y el empleo en México," Working Papers DTE 456, CIDE, División de Economía.
Kuzin, Vladimir N. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009. "Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2009,03, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/13, European University Institute.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kuzin, Vladimir, 2009. "Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: An application to German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7197, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2010. "Survey data as coincident or leading indicators," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 109-131.
- Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, "undated". "Survey Data as Coincident or Leading Indicators," Working Papers 3, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2009. "Survey Data as Coicident or Leading Indicators," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/19, European University Institute.
Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 529-542.
- Kuzin, Vladimir & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 529-542, April.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Kuzin, Vladimir, 2009. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 7445, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009. "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/32, European University Institute.
FAN Gang & HE Liping & HU Jiani, 2009. "CPI vs. PPI: Which drives which£¿," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, vol. 4(3), pages 317-334, September.
Samu Kurri, 2009. "Price Changes in Finland: Some Evidence from the Micro CPI data," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 22(2), pages 47-62, Autumn.
Lutz Kilian, 2009. "Pitfalls in Estimating Asymmetric Effects of Energy Price Shocks," 2009 Meeting Papers 473, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2009. "Pitfalls in estimating asymmetric effects of energy price shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 970, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Kilian, Lutz & Vigfusson, Robert J., 2009. "Pitfalls in Estimating Asymmetric Effects of Energy Price Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 7284, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Pinelopi Goldberg & Rebecca Hellerstein, 2009. "How Rigid Are Producer Prices?," Working Papers 1184, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
- Pinelopi K. Goldberg & Rebecca Hellerstein, 2009. "How rigid are producer prices?," Staff Reports 407, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Sinclair, Tara M. & Joutz, Fred & Stekler, H.O., 2010. "Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 28-32, July.
- Tara Sinclair & Frederick L. Joutz, 2009. "Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?," Working Papers 2008-06, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
- Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler, 2009. "Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?," Working Papers 2009-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Mar 2010.
Tara Sinclair & H.O. Stekler & Elizabeth Reid & Edward N. Gamber, 2009. "Jointly Evaluating GDP and Inflation Forcasts in the Context of the Taylor Rule," Working Papers 2008-05, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
Sinclair, Tara M. & Joutz, Fred & Stekler, H.O., 2010. "Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 28-32, July.
- Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler, 2009. "Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?," Working Papers 2009-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Mar 2010.
- Tara Sinclair & Frederick L. Joutz, 2009. "Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?," Working Papers 2008-06, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
Thomas Lux, 2009. "Rational Forecasts or Social Opinion Dynamics? Identification of Interaction Effects in a Business Climate Survey," Post-Print hal-00720175, HAL.
Khandani, Amir E. & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C., 2013. "Systemic risk and the refinancing ratchet effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 29-45.
- Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton, 2009. "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect," NBER Working Papers 15362, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton, 2009. "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect," Harvard Business School Working Papers 10-023, Harvard Business School, revised Jul 2010.
Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2012. "Disagreement Among Forecasters in G7 Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(4), pages 1081-1096, November.
- Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Slacalek, Jiri, 2009. "Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries," Working Paper Series 1082, European Central Bank.
- Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2009. "Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200906, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
Loening, Josef L. & Durevall, Dick & Birru, Yohannes A., 2009. "Inflation dynamics and food prices in an agricultural economy : the case of Ethiopia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4969, The World Bank.
- Loening, Josef L. & Durevall, Dick & Ayalew Birru, Yohannes, 2009. "Inflation Dynamics and Food Prices in an Agricultural Economy: The Case of Ethiopia," Working Papers in Economics 347, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
Ljungwall, Christer & Gao, Xu, 2009. "Sources Of Business Cycle Fluctuations: Comparing China And India," Working Paper Series 2009-7, Stockholm School of Economics, China Economic Research Center.
Par Osterholm, 2010. "The effect on the Swedish real economy of the financial crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(4), pages 265-274.
- Österholm, Pär, 2009. "The Effect on the Swedish Real Economy of the Financial Crisis," Working Papers 110, National Institute of Economic Research.
Frank Leung & Kevin Chow & Simon Chan, 2010. "Measures of trend inflation in Hong Kong," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy and the measurement of inflation: prices, wages and expectations, volume 49, pages 177-200, Bank for International Settlements.
- Frank Leung & Kevin Chow & Simon Chan, 2009. "Measures of Trend Inflation in Hong Kong," Working Papers 0907, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
Blaskowitz, Oliver & Herwartz, Helmut, 2011. "On economic evaluation of directional forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 1058-1065, October.
- Oliver Blaskowitz & Helmut Herwartz, 2009. "On economic evaluation of directional forecasts," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2009-052, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
Ritschl, Albrecht & Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir, 2009. "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEPR Discussion Papers 7546, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Pooyan Amir Ahmadi & Albrecht Ritschl, 2009. "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2009-054, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
- Pooyan Amir Ahmadi & Albrecht Ritschl, 2010. "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEP Discussion Papers dp0967, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009. "Depression econometrics: a FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," Economic History Working Papers 27878, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
- Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009. "Depression econometrics: a FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," Economic History Working Papers 51582, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History.
Kayhan Koleyni, 2009. "Using Artificial Neural Networks For Income Convergence," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 3(2), pages 141-152.
Mohamed A. Osman & Rosmy Jean Louis & Faruk Balli, 2009. "Output gap and inflation nexus: the case of United Arab Emirates," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(1), pages 118-135.
- Osman, Mohammad & Jean Louis, Rosmy & Balli, Faruk, 2008. "Output gap and inflation nexus: the case of United Arab Emirates," MPRA Paper 34006, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2009.
Antonella Foglia, 2009. "Stress Testing Credit Risk: A Survey of Authorities' Aproaches," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 5(3), pages 9-45, September.
Naohisa Hirakata & Nao Sudo, 2009. "Accounting for Oil Price Variation and Weakening Impact of the Oil Crisis," IMES Discussion Paper Series 09-E-01, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine, 2008. "Monetary and Fiscal Rules in an Emerging Small Open Economy," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0810, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
- Paul L Levine & Joseph G Pearlman & Nicoletta Batini, 2009. "“Monetary and Fiscal Rules in an Emerging Small Open Economy”," IMF Working Papers 09/22, International Monetary Fund.
Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine, 2008. "Monetary and Fiscal Rules in an Emerging Small Open Economy," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0810, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
- Mr. Paul L Levine & Joseph G Pearlman & Nicoletta Batini, 2009. "“Monetary and Fiscal Rules in an Emerging Small Open Economy”," IMF Working Papers 2009/022, International Monetary Fund.
António Afonso & Ricardo Sousa, 2011. "The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR analysis," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 10(1), pages 61-82, April.
- Ricardo M. Sousa & António Afonso, 2009. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR Analysis," NIPE Working Papers 3/2009, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- António Afonso & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR Analysis," Working Papers Department of Economics 2009/09, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
Makram El-Shagi, 2009. "Inflation Expectations: Does the Market Beat Professional Forecasts?," IWH Discussion Papers 16, Halle Institute for Economic Research.
Nikolaos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 55(2), pages 107-120.
- Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," RatSWD Research Notes 41, German Data Forum (RatSWD).
- Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," IZA Discussion Papers 4201, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 899, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
Dufourt, Frédéric & Lloyd-Braga, Teresa & Modesto, Leonor, 2009. "Expected Inflation, Sunspots Equilibria and Persistent Unemployment Fluctuations," IZA Discussion Papers 4302, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009. "Prognosen aus dem Internet: weitere Erholung am Arbeitsmarkt erwartet," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 76(25), pages 402-408.
- Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009. "Prognosen aus dem Internet: Weitere Erholung am Arbeitsmarkt erwartet," IZA Standpunkte 13, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009. "Googlemetrie und Arbeitsmarkt in der Wirtschaftskrise," IZA Standpunkte 17, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
Mu-Chun Wang, 2009. "Comparing the DSGE model with the factor model: an out-of-sample forecasting experiment," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 167-182.
- Wang, Mu-Chun, 2008. "Comparing the DSGE model with the factor model: an out-of-sample forecasting experiment," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2008,04, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Guangling 'Dave' Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2009. "A New-Keynesian DSGE model for forecasting the South African economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 387-404.
- Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2008. "A New-Keynesian DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy," Working Papers 200805, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2011. "Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 452-465.
- Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2011. "Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 452-465, April.
- Jonas Dovern & Johannes Weisser, 2009. "Accuracy, Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts: An empirical Comparison for the G7," Jena Economics Research Papers 2009-091, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
Andreas Billmeier, 2009. "Ghostbusting: which output gap really matters?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 6(4), pages 391-419, December.
Matthias Burgert & Stephane Dees, 2009. "Forecasting World Trade: Direct Versus “Bottom-Up” Approaches," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 385-402, July.
- Dées, Stéphane & Burgert, Matthias, 2008. "Forecasting world trade: direct versus "bottom-up" approaches," Working Paper Series 882, European Central Bank.
Michael J. Lamla & Thomas Maag, 2012. "The Role of Media for Inflation Forecast Disagreement of Households and Professional Forecasters," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(7), pages 1325-1350, October.
- Michael J. Lamla & Thomas Maag, 2012. "The Role of Media for Inflation Forecast Disagreement of Households and Professional Forecasters," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(7), pages 1325-1350, October.
- Thomas Maag & Michael J. Lamla, 2009. "The role of media for inflation forecast disagreement of households and professional forecasters," KOF Working papers 09-223, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
Gonzalo Fernández-de-Córdoba & José Torres, 2011. "Forecasting the Spanish economy with an augmented VAR–DSGE model," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 2(3), pages 379-399, September.
- Gonzalo Fernandez-de-Córdoba & José L. Torres, 2009. "Forecasting the Spanish economy with an Augmented VAR-DSGE model," Working Papers 2009-1, Universidad de Málaga, Department of Economic Theory, Málaga Economic Theory Research Center.
Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin Kholodilin, 2009. "Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles," SERC Discussion Papers 0022, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin Kholodilin, 2009. "Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 118, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Artis, Michael & Dreger, Christian & Kholodilinf, Konstantin, 2009. "Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 33213, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2009. "Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 859, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Artis, Michael & Dreger, Christian & Kholodilin, Konstantin, 2009. "Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 7206, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Hall, Alastair R. & Inoue, Atsushi & Nason, James M. & Rossi, Barbara, 2012. "Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(2), pages 499-518.
- Alastair R. Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2007. "Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2007-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Alastair R. Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2009. "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 127, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Alastair Hall & Atsushi & James M Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2009. "Information Criteria For Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation Of Dsge Models," Working Papers 09-09, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Hall, Alastair & Inoue, Atsushi & Nason M, James & Rossi, Barbara, 2007. "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Working Papers 07-04, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Alastair Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2010. "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Working Papers 10-28, Duke University, Department of Economics.
Carlos Capistr¡N & Allan Timmermann, 2009. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 365-396, March.
- Timmermann Allan & Capistrán Carlos, 2006. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 2006-07, Banco de México.
- Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," CREATES Research Papers 2008-56, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Carlos CapistrÃ¡n & Allan Timmermann, 2006. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 3, Society for Computational Economics.
Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2‐3), pages 479-489, March.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 479-489, March.
- D'Agostino, A & Surico, P, 2007. "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," MPRA Paper 6283, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," Research Technical Papers 10/RT/07, Central Bank of Ireland.
George A. Christodoulakis & Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis, 2009. "Labour Market Dynamics in EU: a Bayesian Markov Chain Approach," Discussion Paper Series 2009_07, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Apr 2009.
MaruÃ…Â¡ka Vizek & Tanja Broz, 2009. "Modeling Inflation in Croatia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(6), pages 87-98, November.
- Maruška Vizek & Tanja Broz, 2007. "Modelling Inflation in Croatia," Working Papers 0703, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb.
Michael Meow-Chung Yap, 2009. "Assessing Malaysiaâ€™s Business Cycle indicators," Monash Economics Working Papers 04-09, Monash University, Department of Economics.
Nikolay Gospodinov & Alex Maynard & Elena Pesavento, 2011. "Sensitivity of Impulse Responses to Small Low-Frequency Comovements: Reconciling the Evidence on the Effects of Technology Shocks," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 455-467, October.
- Gospodinov, Nikolay & Maynard, Alex & Pesavento, Elena, 2011. "Sensitivity of Impulse Responses to Small Low-Frequency Comovements: Reconciling the Evidence on the Effects of Technology Shocks," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(4), pages 455-467.
- GOSPODINOV, Nikolay & MAYNARD, Alex & PESAVENTO, Elena, 2009. "Sensitivity of Impulse Responses to Small Low Frequency Co-Movements : Reconciling the Evidence on the Effects of Technology Shocks," Cahiers de recherche 03-2009, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en Ã©conomie quantitative, CIREQ.
National Bank of Belgium, 2009. "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2009," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iv, pages 7-20, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2009. "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2009," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 7-29, June.
Lewis Vivien & Markiewicz Agnieszka, 2009. "Model Misspecification, Learning and the Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-24, April.
- V. Lewis & A. Markiewicz, 2009. "Model Misspecification, Learning and the Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 09/563, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
- Vivien Lewis & Agnieszka Markiewicz, 2009. "Model misspecification, learning and the exchange rate disconnect puzzle," Working Paper Research 168, National Bank of Belgium.

2008

CapistrÃ¡n, Carlos & Timmermann, Allan, 2009. "Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit of Experts," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 428-440.
- Timmermann Allan & Capistrán Carlos, 2006. "Forecast Combination with Entry and Exit of Experts," Working Papers 2006-08, Banco de México.
- Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit of Experts," CREATES Research Papers 2008-55, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
Carlos Capistr¡N & Allan Timmermann, 2009. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 365-396, March.
- Carlos CapistrÃ¡n & Allan Timmermann, 2006. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 3, Society for Computational Economics.
- Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," CREATES Research Papers 2008-56, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Timmermann Allan & Capistrán Carlos, 2006. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 2006-07, Banco de México.
Steffen Osterloh, 2008. "Accuracy and Properties of German Business Cycle Forecasts," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 54(1), pages 27-57.
- Osterloh, Steffen, 2006. "Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts," ZEW Discussion Papers 06-087, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
Jonas Dovern & Christina Ziegler, 2008. "Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators under Real-Time Condition," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 54(4), pages 293-318.
- Dovern, Jonas & Ziegler, Christina, 2008. "Predicting growth rates and recessions: assessing US leading indicators under real-time conditions," Kiel Working Papers 1397, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Gregor W. Smith, 2008. "US Inflation Dynamics 1981-2007: 13,193 Quarterly Observations," Working Papers 1155, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
- Smith, Gregor W., 2008. "US Inflation Dynamics 1981-2007: 13,193 Quarterly Observations," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 273631, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
Clements, Michael P., 2008. "Rounding of probability forecasts : The SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 869, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P., 2008. "Rounding of probability forecasts: The SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth," Economic Research Papers 269880, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
Clements, Michael P., 2010. "Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 536-549, May.
- Clements, Michael P., 2008. "Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents'forecasts," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 870, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P., 2008. "Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts," Economic Research Papers 269881, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
Pedro Elosegui & Lorena Garegnani & Luis Lanteri & Emilio Blanco, 2008. "Aggregate Indicators of Economic Activity for the Argentine Case: The Principal Components Methodology," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(51), pages 7-41, April - S.
Pedro Elosegui & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco, 2008. "Aggregate Indicators of Economic Activity for Argentina: The Principal Components Method," BCRA Working Paper Series 200832, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
Laura D´Amato & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco, 2008. "Forecasting Inflation in Argentina: Individual Models or Forecast Pooling?," BCRA Working Paper Series 200835, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
Antonella Foglia, 2008. "Stress testing credit risk: a survey of authorities' approaches," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 37, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Riccardo Cristadoro & Giuseppe Saporito & Fabrizio Venditti, 2013. "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 1065-1086, June.
- Venditti, Fabrizio & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Saporito, Giuseppe, 2008. "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Working Paper Series 900, European Central Bank.
- Riccardo Cristadoro & Fabrizio Venditti & Giuseppe Saporito, 2008. "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 677, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Capistrán Carlos & López Moctezuma Gabriel, 2008. "Experts' Macroeconomics Expectations: An Evaluation of Mexican Short-Run Forecasts," Working Papers 2008-11, Banco de México.
Chauvin, V. & Devulder, A., 2008. "An Inflation Forecasting Model for the Euro Area," Working papers 192, Banque de France.
K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze & G. Rünstler, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working Paper Research 133, National Bank of Belgium.
- Barhoumi, K. & R nstler, G. & Cristadoro, R. & Den Reijer, A. & Jakaitiene, A. & Jelonek, P. & Rua, A. & Ruth, K. & Benk, S. & Van Nieuwenhuyze, C., 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working papers 215, Banque de France.
- G. Rünstler & K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2008. "Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets: A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 1, Bank of Lithuania.
- Van Nieuwenhuyze, Christophe & Benk, Szilard & Rünstler, Gerhard & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Den Reijer, Ard & Jakaitiene, Audrone & Jelonek, Piotr & Rua, António & Ruth, Karsten & Barhoumi, Karim, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Occasional Paper Series 84, European Central Bank.
Lance Bachmeier & Qi Li & Dandan Liu, 2008. "Should Oil Prices Receive So Much Attention? An Evaluation Of The Predictive Power Of Oil Prices For The U.S. Economy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 46(4), pages 528-539, October.
Daniel Buncic & Martin Melecky, 2008. "An Estimated New Keynesian Policy Model for Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 84(264), pages 1-16, March.
- Martin Melecky & Daniel Buncic, 2005. "An Estimated, New Keynesian Policy Model for Australia," Macroeconomics 0511026, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Buncic, Daniel & Melecky, Martin, 2007. "An estimated New Keynesian policy model for Australia," MPRA Paper 4138, University Library of Munich, Germany.
David Shepherd & Robert Dixon, 2008. "The Cyclical Dynamics and Volatility of Australian Output and Employment," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 84(264), pages 34-49, March.
- Robert Dixon & David Shepherd, 2006. "The Cyclical Dynamics and Volatility of Australian Output and Employment," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 968, The University of Melbourne.
Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2008. "The Credibility Problem Revisited: Thirty Years on from Kydland and Prescott," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(4), pages 728-746, September.
- Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2007. "The Credibility Problem Revisited: Thirty Years on from Kydland and Prescott," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1807, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Spatial Bayesian Methods Of Forecasting House Prices In Six Metropolitan Areas Of South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 76(2), pages 298-313, June.
- Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa," Working Papers 200813, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Knut Aastveit & Tørres Trovik, 2012. "Nowcasting norwegian GDP: the role of asset prices in a small open economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 95-119, February.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Tørres G. Trovik, 2008. "Nowcasting Norwegian GDP: The role of asset prices in a small open economy," Working Paper 2007/09, Norges Bank.
Hilde Bjørnland & Kai Leitemo & Junior Maih, 2011. "Estimating the natural rates in a simple New Keynesian framework," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 40(3), pages 755-777, May.
- Hilde C. Bjørnland & Kai Leitemo & Junior Maih, 2008. "Estimating the natural rates in a simple New Keynesian framework," Working Paper 2007/10, Norges Bank.
Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010. "Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 621-634.
- Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun Vahey, 2008. "Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2008/18, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Anne-Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2008. "Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities," Working Paper 2008/01, Norges Bank.
Akram, Q. Farooq, 2009. "Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 838-851, November.
- Q. Farooq Akram, 2008. "Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar," Working Paper 2008/12, Norges Bank.
Christian Kascha & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2010. "Combining inflation density forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 231-250.
- Christian Kascha & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2008. "Combining inflation density forecasts," Working Paper 2008/22, Norges Bank.
Hibiki Ichiue & Takushi Kurozumi & Takeki Sunakawa, 2013. "Inflation Dynamics And Labor Market Specifications: A Bayesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach For Japan'S Economy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 51(1), pages 273-287, January.
- Hibiki Ichiue & Takushi Kurozumi & Takeki Sunakawa, 2008. "Inflation Dynamics and Labor Adjustments in Japan: A Bayesian DSGE Approach," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 08-E-9, Bank of Japan.
- Ichiue, Hibiki & Kurozumi, Takushi & Sunakawa, Takeki, 2011. "Inflation dynamics and labor market specifications: a Bayesian DSGE approach for Japan's economy," MPRA Paper 33391, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Joonhyuk Song & Youngsoo Choi, 2008. "Bond Risk Premia and Business Cycle (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 14(4), pages 1-46, December.
David R.F. Love, 2008. "A Note on the Accuracy of Extended-Path Solution Methods for Dynamic General Equilibrium Economies," Working Papers 0801, Brock University, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2008.
Jef Vuchelen & Jesse De Wit, 2008. "An Evaluation of the OECD Cyclically-Adjusted Primary Government Balance Forecasts," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 51(4), pages 459-479.
Bermingham, Colin, 2008. "Quantifying the Impact of Oil Prices on Inflation," Research Technical Papers 8/RT/08, Central Bank of Ireland.
Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Sofat, Prakriti & Srinivasan, Naveen, 2009. "Can the facts of UK inflation persistence be explained by nominal rigidity?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 978-992, September.
- Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Srinivasan, Naveen & Meenagh, David & Sofat, Prakriti, 2008. "Can the Facts of UK Inflation Persistence be Explained by Nominal Rigidity?," CEPR Discussion Papers 6834, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Sofat, Prakriti & Srinivasan, Naveen, 2008. "Can the Facts of UK Inflation Persistence be Explained by Nominal Rigidity?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2008/7, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Apr 2010.
Pelinescu, Elena & Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2008. "Choosing between alternative measures of core inflation using bounded rationality and cognitive biases," Revista de Economie Industriala (Journal of Industrial Eonomics), Centre for Industrial Economics and Services, vol. 6(1), pages 42-52, March.
Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower, 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," Working Papers 493, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis Snower, 2004. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series 1247, CESifo.
- Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J., 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," IZA Discussion Papers 899, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
Oliver Hülsewig & Johannes Mayr & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2008. "Forecasting Euro Area Real GDP: Optimal Pooling of Information," CESifo Working Paper Series 2371, CESifo.
Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2008. "Die ifo Kapazitätsauslastung - ein gleichlaufender Indikator der deutschen Industriekonjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 61(16), pages 15-23, August.
Steffen Henzel, 2008. "Learning Trend Inflation – Can Signal Extraction Explain Survey Forecasts?," ifo Working Paper Series 55, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
Nikolay Robinzonov & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2010. "Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting ," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 56(2), pages 192-220, June.
- Nikolay Robinzonov & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2008. "Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting: An Illustration with German Industrial Production and Linear Models," ifo Working Paper Series 57, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2010. "Measuring forecast uncertainty by disagreement: The missing link," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 514-538.
- Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2008. "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link," ifo Working Paper Series 60, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
- Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2009. "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link," Discussion Papers 09-06, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics.
Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2008. "Forecasting Canadian time series with the New Keynesian model," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(1), pages 138-165, February.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2008. "Forecasting Canadian time series with the New Keynesian model," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 138-165, February.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2005. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New-Keynesian Model," Cahiers de recherche 0527, CIRPEE.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2006. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series With the New-Keynesian Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 382, Central Bank of Chile.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2006. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New Keynesian Model," Staff Working Papers 06-4, Bank of Canada.
José Luis Torres T., 2008. "La Estimación de la brecha del producto en Colombia," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos (CEMLA) (ed.), Estimación y Uso de Variables no Observables en la Región, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 4, pages 103-132, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
- Jose Luis Torres, 2007. "La estimación de la brecha del producto en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 462, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- José Luis Torres, 2007. "La estimación de la brecha del producto en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 4288, Banco de la Republica.
Katerina Smidkova, 2008. "Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: Katerina Smidkova (ed.), Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007, chapter 1, pages 10-17, Czech National Bank.
Juraj Antal & Michal Hlavacek & Tomas Holub, 2008. "Basic Characteristics of Inflation Targeting in the Czech Republic," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: Katerina Smidkova (ed.), Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007, chapter 2, pages 18-34, Czech National Bank.
Juraj Antal & Michal Hlavacek & Roman Horvath, 2008. "Prediction Bias and Undershooting of the Inflation Target," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: Katerina Smidkova (ed.), Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007, chapter 5, pages 57-76, Czech National Bank.
Jan Babecky & Jiri Podpiera, 2008. "Inflation Forecasts Errors in the Czech Republic: Evidence from a Panel of Institutions," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: Katerina Smidkova (ed.), Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007, chapter 6, pages 77-85, Czech National Bank.
Zuzana Antonicova & Karel Musil & Lubos Ruzicka & Jan Vlcek, 2008. "Evaluation of the Quality and Success Rate of Forecasts: A Historic Overview," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: Katerina Smidkova (ed.), Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007, chapter 7, pages 86-101, Czech National Bank.
Eliana Rocío González Molano, 2008. "Pronósticos de agregados a partir de desagregados Caso empírico: Inflación de alimentos en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 504, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Eliana Rocío González Molano, 2008. "Pronósticos de agregados a partir de desagregados Caso empírico: Inflación de alimentos en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 4596, Banco de la Republica.
Ignacio Lozano & Hernán Rincón & Miguel Sarmiento & Jorge Ramos, 2008. "Regla fiscal cuantitativa para consolidar y blindar las finanzas públicas de Colombia," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 10(19), pages 311-352, July-Dece.
- Ignacio Lozano & Hernán Rincón & Miguel Sarmiento & Jorge Ramos, 2008. "Regla fiscal cuantitativa para consolidar y blindar las finanzas públicas de Colombia," Borradores de Economia 505, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Ignacio Lozano & Hernán Rincón & Miguel Sarmiento & Jorge Ramos, 2008. "Regla fiscal cuantitativa para consolidar y blindar las finanzas públicas de Colombia," Borradores de Economia 4597, Banco de la Republica.
Alejandro Reveiz & Carlos León, 2008. "Administración de fondos de pensiones y multifondos en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 506, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Alejandro Reveiz & Carlos León, 2008. "Administración de fondos de pensiones y multifondos en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 4598, Banco de la Republica.
Alejandro Reveiz & Carlos León & Juan Mario Laserna & Ivonne Martínez, 2008. "Recomendaciones para la modificación del régimen de pensiones obligatorias de Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 26(56), pages 78-113, June.
- Alejandro Reveiz & Carlos León & Juan Mario Laserna & Ivonne Martínez, 2008. "Recomendaciones para la modificación del régimen de pensiones obligatorias de Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 26(56), pages 78-113, June.
- Alejandro Reveiz & Carlos león & Juan Mario laserna & Ivonne Martínez, 2008. "Recomendaciones para la modificación del régimen de pensiones obligatorias de Colombia," Borradores de Economia 507, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Alejandro Reveiz & Carlos León & Juan Mario Laserna & Ivonne Martínez, 2008. "Recomendaciones para la modificación del régimen de pensiones obligatorias de Colombia," Borradores de Economia 4599, Banco de la Republica.
Alejandro Gaviria & Carlos Medina & Leonardo Morales & Jairo Núñez, 2010. "The Cost of Avoiding Crime: The Case of Bogotá," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Crime: Lessons For and From Latin America, pages 101-132, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alejandro Gaviria & Carlos Medina & Leonardo Morales & Jairo Nuñez, 2008. "The Cost of Avoiding Crime: The Case of Bogotá," Borradores de Economia 508, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Alejandro Gaviria & Carlos Medina & Leonardo Morales & Jairo Nuñez, 2008. "The Cost of Avoiding Crime: The Case of Bogotá," Borradores de Economia 4600, Banco de la Republica.
Adam Elbourne & Debby Lanser & Bert Smid & Martin Vromans, 2008. "Macroeconomic resilience in a DSGE model," CPB Discussion Paper 96, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
Adam Elbourne & Debby Lanser & Bert Smid & Martin Vromans, 2008. "Macroeconomic resilience in a DSGE model," CPB Discussion Paper 96.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
Adam Elbourne & Henk Kranendonk & Rob Luginbuhl & Bert Smid & Martin Vromans, 2008. "Evaluating CPB's published GDP growth forecasts; a comparison with individual and pooled VAR based forecasts," CPB Document 172, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
Adam Elbourne & Henk Kranendonk & Rob Luginbuhl & Bert Smid & Martin Vromans, 2008. "Evaluating CPB's published GDP growth forecasts; a comparison with individual and pooled VAR based forecasts," CPB Document 172.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change," Working Papers 334, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers 6706, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/17, European University Institute.
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2007. "Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,34, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2008. "Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 6708, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008. "Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/16, European University Institute.
Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Sofat, Prakriti & Srinivasan, Naveen, 2009. "Can the facts of UK inflation persistence be explained by nominal rigidity?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 978-992, September.
- Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Sofat, Prakriti & Srinivasan, Naveen, 2008. "Can the Facts of UK Inflation Persistence be Explained by Nominal Rigidity?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2008/7, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, revised Apr 2010.
- Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Srinivasan, Naveen & Meenagh, David & Sofat, Prakriti, 2008. "Can the Facts of UK Inflation Persistence be Explained by Nominal Rigidity?," CEPR Discussion Papers 6834, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2008. "A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/32, European University Institute.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Mazzi, Gian Luigi, 2008. "A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7007, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Lutz Kilian & Clara Vega, 2011. "Do Energy Prices Respond to U.S. Macroeconomic News? A Test of the Hypothesis of Predetermined Energy Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 93(2), pages 660-671, May.
- Lutz Kilian & Clara Vega, 2008. "Do energy prices respond to U.S. macroeconomic news? a test of the hypothesis of predetermined energy prices," International Finance Discussion Papers 957, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Kilian, Lutz & Vega, Clara, 2008. "Do Energy Prices Respond to U.S. Macroeconomic News? A Test of the Hypothesis of Predetermined Energy Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 7015, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Dikaios Tserkezos & George Xanthos & Eva Pitikaki, 2008. "A Note on the Diachronic Behaviour of the OECD Forecasts for Greece," Working Papers 0814, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
Granato, Jim & Guse, Eran A. & Wong, M. C. Sunny, 2008. "Learning From The Expectations Of Others," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 345-377, June.
- Granato, J. & Guse, E. & Sunny Wong, M.C., 2006. "Learning from the Expectations of Others," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0605, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Jim Granato & Eran Guse & Sunny Wong, 2006. "Learning From the Expectations of Others," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 449, Society for Computational Economics.
Jana Eklund & George Kapetanios, 2008. "A review of forecasting techniques for large datasets," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 203(1), pages 109-115, January.
- Eklund, Jana & Kapetanios, George, 2008. "A review of forecasting techniques for large datasets," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 203, pages 109-115, January.
- Jana Eklund & George Kapetanios, 2008. "A Review of Forecasting Techniques for Large Data Sets," Working Papers 625, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
Miroslav Hloušek, 2008. "DSGE model with nominal rigidities: estimation and assessing of fit," Bulletin of the Czech Econometric Society, The Czech Econometric Society, vol. 15(25).
Georg Erber & Ulrich Fritsche, 2008. "Produktivitätswachstum in Deutschland: kein nachhaltiger Aufschwung in Sicht," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 75(36), pages 512-519.
Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche, 2008. "Estimating fundamental cross-section dispersion from fixed event forecasts," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200801, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
- Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche, 2008. "Estimating Fundamental Cross-Section Dispersion from Fixed Event Forecasts," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 787, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
LOENING, Josef & TAKADA, Hideki, 2008. "Inflationary Expectations In Ethiopia: Some Preliminary Results," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 8(2), pages 159-176.
Cecilia Frale & David Veredas, 2008. "A Monthly Volatility Index for the US Economy," Working Papers ECARES 2008-008, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze & G. Rünstler, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working Paper Research 133, National Bank of Belgium.
- Van Nieuwenhuyze, Christophe & Benk, Szilard & Rünstler, Gerhard & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Den Reijer, Ard & Jakaitiene, Audrone & Jelonek, Piotr & Rua, António & Ruth, Karsten & Barhoumi, Karim, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Occasional Paper Series 84, European Central Bank.
- G. Rünstler & K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2008. "Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets: A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 1, Bank of Lithuania.
- Barhoumi, K. & R nstler, G. & Cristadoro, R. & Den Reijer, A. & Jakaitiene, A. & Jelonek, P. & Rua, A. & Ruth, K. & Benk, S. & Van Nieuwenhuyze, C., 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working papers 215, Banque de France.
Sánchez, Marcelo, 2008. "Oil shocks and endogenous markups: results from an estimated euro area DSGE model," Working Paper Series 860, European Central Bank.
Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 621-633, 04-05.
- Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2007. "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 6600, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2008. "Explaining the Great Moderation: it is not the shocks," Working Paper Series 865, European Central Bank.
- Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Explaining the great moderation: it is not the shocks," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6413, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Levine, Paul & McAdam, Peter & Pierse, Richard & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2008. "Risk Management in Action. Robust monetary policy rules under structured uncertainty," Working Paper Series 870, European Central Bank.
Matthias Burgert & Stephane Dees, 2009. "Forecasting World Trade: Direct Versus “Bottom-Up” Approaches," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 385-402, July.
- Dées, Stéphane & Burgert, Matthias, 2008. "Forecasting world trade: direct versus "bottom-up" approaches," Working Paper Series 882, European Central Bank.
Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Maurin, Laurent, 2008. "The role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro area manufacturing production: perspective from large panel factor models," Working Paper Series 894, European Central Bank.
Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "Robust Monetary Rules under Unstructured and Structured Model Uncertainty," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0707, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Levine, Paul, 2008. "Robust monetary rules under unstructured and structured model uncertainty," Working Paper Series 899, European Central Bank.
Riccardo Cristadoro & Giuseppe Saporito & Fabrizio Venditti, 2013. "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 1065-1086, June.
- Riccardo Cristadoro & Fabrizio Venditti & Giuseppe Saporito, 2008. "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 677, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Venditti, Fabrizio & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Saporito, Giuseppe, 2008. "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Working Paper Series 900, European Central Bank.
Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2008. "The new area-wide model of the euro area: a micro-founded open-economy model for forecasting and policy analysis," Working Paper Series 944, European Central Bank.
Ricardo Mestre & Peter McAdam, 2011. "Is forecasting with large models informative? Assessing the role of judgement in macroeconomic forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 303-324, April.
- McAdam, Peter & Mestre, Ricardo, 2008. "Is forecasting with large models informative? Assessing the role of judgement in macroeconomic forecasts," Working Paper Series 950, European Central Bank.
Elena Angelini & Marta Banbura & Gerhard Rünstler, 2010. "Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2010(1), pages 1-22.
- Angelini, Elena & Rünstler, Gerhard & Bańbura, Marta, 2008. "Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model," Working Paper Series 953, European Central Bank.
Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2012. "The dynamics of UK and US inflation expectations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3120-3133.
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2008. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," SIRE Discussion Papers 2008-59, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2011. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 1120, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2011. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," SIRE Discussion Papers 2011-47, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2012. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-46, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2009. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," Working Paper series 14_09, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
Christian Schulz, 2008. "Forecasting economic activity for Estonia : The application of dynamic principal component analyses," Bank of Estonia Working Papers 2008-02, Bank of Estonia, revised 30 Oct 2008.
Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph & Pierse, Richard, 2008. "Linear-quadratic approximation, external habit and targeting rules," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(10), pages 3315-3349, October.
- Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G. & Pierse, Richard, 2007. "Linear-quadratic approximation, external habit and targeting rules," Working Paper Series 759, European Central Bank.
Lungu, L. & Matthews, K.G.P. & Minford, A.P.L., 2008. "Partial current information and signal extraction in a rational expectations macroeconomic model: A computational solution," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 255-273, March.
- L. Lungu & K. G. P. Matthews, 2002. "Partial Current Information and Signal Extraction in a Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model: A Computational Solution," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 115, Society for Computational Economics.
- Lungu, Laurian & Matthews, Kent & Minford, Patrick, 2006. "Partial Current Information and Signal Extraction in a Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model: A Computational Solution," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2006/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
Nolan, Charles & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2008. "Labour markets and firm-specific capital in New Keynesian general equilibrium models," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 817-843, September.
Levine, Paul & McAdam, Peter & Pearlman, Joseph, 2008. "Quantifying and sustaining welfare gains from monetary commitment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(7), pages 1253-1276, October.
- McAdam, Peter & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2007. "Quantifying and sustaining welfare gains from monetary commitment," Working Paper Series 709, European Central Bank.
Chari, V.V. & Kehoe, Patrick J. & McGrattan, Ellen R., 2008. "Are structural VARs with long-run restrictions useful in developing business cycle theory?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(8), pages 1337-1352, November.
- V. V. Chari & Patrick J. Kehoe & Ellen R. McGrattan, 2007. "Are structural VARs with long-run restrictions useful in developing business cycle theory?," Staff Report 364, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- V. V. Chari & Patrick J. Kehoe & Ellen R. McGrattan, 2008. "Are Structural VARs with Long-Run Restrictions Useful in Developing Business Cycle Theory?," NBER Working Papers 14430, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya Aleksandrovna, 2008. "Non-robust dynamic inferences from macroeconometric models: Bifurcation stratification of confidence regions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(15), pages 3817-3825.
- William Barnett & Evgeniya Aleksandrovna Duzhak, 2006. "Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200608, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
- Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya, 2006. "Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions," MPRA Paper 402, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya A., 2007. "Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions," MPRA Paper 6005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Warwick McKibbin & Adele Morris & Peter Wilcoxen, 2008. "Expecting The Unexpected: Macroeconomic Volatility And Climate Policy," CAMA Working Papers 2008-35, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Reiner Franke, 2008. "A Microfounded Herding Model and Its Estimation On German Survey Expectations," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 5(2), pages 301-328.
KevinX.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2009. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations and Technology Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(536), pages 377-405, March.
- Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, adaptive expectations, and technology shocks," Working Paper Series 2008-18, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Zheng Liu & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations, and Technology Shocks," Emory Economics 0803, Department of Economics, Emory University (Atlanta).
- Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, adaptive expectations, and technology shocks," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2008-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Kevin X.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations, and Technology Shocks," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0807, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
Dean Baker & John Schmitt, 2008. "What We’re In For: Projected Economic Impact of the Next Recession," CEPR Reports and Issue Briefs 2008-03, Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR).
Carlo Favero & Francesco Giavazzi, 2008. "The ECB and the bond market," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 314, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2007. "Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,34, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008. "Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/16, European University Institute.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2008. "Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 6708, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change," Working Papers 334, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/17, European University Institute.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers 6706, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Mazzi, Gian Luigi, 2008. "A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7007, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Juraj Antal & Michal Hlaváèek & Tomáš Holub, 2008. "Inflation Target Fulfillment in the Czech Republic in 1998–2007: Some Stylized Facts," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 58(09-10), pages 406-424, December.
Juraj Antal & Michal Hlaváèek & Roman Horváth, 2008. "Do Central Bank Forecast Errors Contribute to the Missing of Inflation Targets? The Case of the Czech Republic," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 58(09-10), pages 434-453, December.
Kevin X.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2009. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations and Technology Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(536), pages 377-405, March.
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James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2008. "Phillips curve inflation forecasts," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
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Kevin X.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2009. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations and Technology Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(536), pages 377-405, March.
- KevinX.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2009. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations and Technology Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(536), pages 377-405, March.
- Kevin X.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations, and Technology Shocks," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0807, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
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Meredith J. Beechey & Benjamin K. Johannsen & Andrew T. Levin, 2011. "Are Long-Run Inflation Expectations Anchored More Firmly in the Euro Area Than in the United States?," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 104-129, April.
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Barnichon, Regis, 2007. "Productivity, aggregate demand and unemployment fluctuations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 19694, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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Lutz Kilian & Clara Vega, 2011. "Do Energy Prices Respond to U.S. Macroeconomic News? A Test of the Hypothesis of Predetermined Energy Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 93(2), pages 660-671, May.
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Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2010. "Global Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(3), pages 524-535, August.
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William Poole & Robert H. Rasche & David C. Wheelock, 2013. "The Great Inflation: Did The Shadow Know Better?," NBER Chapters, in: The Great Inflation: The Rebirth of Modern Central Banking, pages 61-107, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Groen, Jan J.J. & Kapetanios, George, 2016. "Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 221-239.
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Aruoba, S. BoraÄŸan & Diebold, Francis X. & Scotti, Chiara, 2009. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 417-427.
- Chiara Scotti & S.Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & University of Maryland, 2006. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 387, Society for Computational Economics.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008. "Real-time measurement of business conditions," Working Papers 08-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," NBER Working Papers 14349, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," PIER Working Paper Archive 07-028, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
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Dean Croushore, 2019. "Revisions to PCE Inflation Measures: Implications for Monetary Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(4), pages 241-265, October.
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Vladimir Nazarov & Pavel Kadochnikov & Sergey Sinelnikov-Murylev, 2008. "The Long-Term Sustainability of Russia’s Budgetary Policy," Published Papers 40, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, revised 2012.
Edward N. Gamber & Julie K. Smith & Matthew Weiss, 2008. "Forecast Errors Before and After the Great Moderation," Working Papers 2008-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Mar 2009.
Sinclair, Tara M. & Gamber, Edward N. & Stekler, Herman & Reid, Elizabeth, 2012. "Jointly evaluating the Federal Reserve’s forecasts of GDP growth and inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 309-314.
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H. O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto, 2010. "Evaluating current-year forecasts made during the year: a Japanese example," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(7), pages 673-676.
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Herman O. Stekler, 2008. "What Do We Know About G-7 Macro Forecasts?," Working Papers 2008-009, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler, 2008. "Are 'unbiased' forecasts really unbiased? Another look at the Fed forecasts," Working Papers 2008-010, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
Françoise Charpin & Catherine Mathieu & Gian Luigi Mazzi, 2008. "Construction of coincident indicators for the euro area. 5th EUROSTAT Colloquium on Modern Tools For Business Cycle Analysis, Luxembourg, 29th September - 1st October 2008," Post-Print hal-01053253, HAL.
Sandrine LARDIC & Karine MICHALON & François DOSSOU, 2008. "Can earnings forecasts be improved by taking into account the forecast bias?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 7(11), pages 1-20.
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Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche, 2008. "Estimating Fundamental Cross-Section Dispersion from Fixed Event Forecasts," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 787, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
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Ulrich Fritsche & Vladimir Kuzin, 2011. "Analysing convergence in Europe using the non-linear single factor model," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 343-369, October.
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Tom Pak-wing Fong & Chun-shan Wong, 2008. "Stress Testing Banks' Credit Risk Using Mixture Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Papers 0813, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
Christian Proa~no & Peter Flaschel & Willi Semmler, 2008. "Currency Crises and Monetary Policy in Economies with Partial Dollarization of Liabilities," The IUP Journal of Monetary Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(3), pages 14-39, August.
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Samuel Zita & Rangan Gupta, 2008. "Modeling and Forecasting the Metical-Rand Exchange Rate," The IUP Journal of Monetary Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(4), pages 63-90, November.
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Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2008. "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers 6706, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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Sophocles N. Brissimis & Nicholas S. Magginas, 2008. "Inflation Forecasts and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(2), pages 1-22, June.
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Anton Nakov, 2008. "Optimal and Simple Monetary Policy Rules with Zero Floor on the Nominal Interest Rate," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(2), pages 73-127, June.
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Alex Brazier & Richard Harrison & Mervyn King & Tony Yates, 2008. "The Danger of Inflating Expectations of Macroeconomic Stability: Heuristic Switching in an Overlapping-Generations Monetary Model," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(2), pages 219-254, June.
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Jean-Thomas Bernard & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian & Sebastien Mcmahon, 2008. "Forecasting commodity prices: GARCH, jumps, and mean reversion," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 279-291.
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Marie Diron, 2008. "Short-term forecasts of euro area real GDP growth: an assessment of real-time performance based on vintage data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(5), pages 371-390.
William Barnett & Evgeniya Duzhak, 2010. "Empirical assessment of bifurcation regions within New Keynesian models," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 45(1), pages 99-128, October.
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William Trainor & Carolyn Rochelle, 2008. "Funding Status Projections for Southern Public Teaching Pension Plans," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 36(1), pages 77-87, March.
Cees Diks & Cars Hommes & Valentyn Panchenko & Roy Weide, 2008. "E&F Chaos: A User Friendly Software Package for Nonlinear Economic Dynamics," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 32(1), pages 221-244, September.
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David Hudgins & C. Chan, 2008. "Optimal Exchange Rate Policy Under Unknown Pass-through and Learning With Applications to Korea," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 32(3), pages 279-293, October.
Khurshid Kiani & Terry Kastens, 2008. "Testing Forecast Accuracy of Foreign Exchange Rates: Predictions from Feed Forward and Various Recurrent Neural Network Architectures," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 32(4), pages 383-406, November.
Glen Larsen & Bruce Resnick, 2008. "Return enhancement trading strategies for size based portfolios," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 22(1), pages 21-45, March.
Jonas Dovern & Christina Ziegler, 2008. "Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators Under Real-Time Conditions," Kiel Working Papers 1397, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
Thomas Lux, 2008. "Rational Forecasts or Social Opinion Dynamics? Identification of Interaction Effects in a Business Climate Survey," Kiel Working Papers 1424, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
Jonas Dovern & Johannes Weisser, 2008. "Are They Really Rational? Assessing Professional Macro-Economic Forecasts from the G7-Countries," Kiel Working Papers 1447, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze & G. Rünstler, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working Paper Research 133, National Bank of Belgium.
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Konstantins Benkovskis, 2008. "Short-Term Forecasts of Latvia's Real Gross Domestic Product Growth Using Monthly Indicators," Working Papers 2008/05, Latvijas Banka.
Berardi, Michele, 2011. "Fundamentalists vs. chartists: Learning and predictor choice dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 776-792, May.
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Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(4), pages 667-699, June.
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- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2007. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Discussion Paper Series 0715, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
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George Christodoulakis & Emmanuel Mamatzakis, 2008. "Asymmetries in the sport-forward G10 exchange rates: an answer to an old puzzle?," Discussion Paper Series 2008_12, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Sep 2008.
National Bank of Belgium, 2008. "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2008," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iv, pages 7-19, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2008. "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2008," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 7-28, June.
Van Nieuwenhuyze, Christophe & Benk, Szilard & Rünstler, Gerhard & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Den Reijer, Ard & Jakaitiene, Audrone & Jelonek, Piotr & Rua, António & Ruth, Karsten & Barhoumi, Karim, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Occasional Paper Series 84, European Central Bank.
- K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze & G. Rünstler, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working Paper Research 133, National Bank of Belgium.
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Julio J. Rotemberg, 2008. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2006, pages 65-114, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 2008. "The FOMC versus the Staff: Where Can Monetary Policymakers Add Value?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 230-235, May.
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Buiter, Willem H., 2010. "Housing wealth isn't wealth," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 4, pages 1-29.
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Edward E. Leamer, 2008. "What's a Recession, Anyway?," NBER Working Papers 14221, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2008. "Phillips curve inflation forecasts," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
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Aruoba, S. BoraÄŸan & Diebold, Francis X. & Scotti, Chiara, 2009. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 417-427.
- Chiara Scotti & S.Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & University of Maryland, 2006. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 387, Society for Computational Economics.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," NBER Working Papers 14349, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," PIER Working Paper Archive 07-028, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
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Chari, V.V. & Kehoe, Patrick J. & McGrattan, Ellen R., 2008. "Are structural VARs with long-run restrictions useful in developing business cycle theory?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(8), pages 1337-1352, November.
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Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2010. "Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 574-594.
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Dr. James Mitchell, 2008. "Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 303, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
Martin Schneider & Gerhard Fenz, 2011. "Transmission of business cycle shocks between the US and the euro area," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(21), pages 2777-2793.
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Peter J. Klenow & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2008. "State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing: Does it Matter for Recent U.S. Inflation?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 123(3), pages 863-904.
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Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2008. "New methods for forecasting inflation and its sub-components: application to the USA," Economics Series Working Papers 406, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
William Barnett & Evgeniya Duzhak, 2010. "Empirical assessment of bifurcation regions within New Keynesian models," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 45(1), pages 99-128, October.
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Shamiri, Ahmed & Shaari, Abu Hassan & Isa, Zaidi, 2008. "Comparing the accuracy of density forecasts from competing GARCH models," MPRA Paper 13662, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Mukherjee, Deepraj & Kemme, David, 2008. "Evaluating inflation forecast models for Poland: Openness matters, money does not (but its cost does)," MPRA Paper 14952, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Gutierrez Girault, Matias Alfredo, 2008. "Modeling extreme but plausible losses for credit risk: a stress testing framework for the Argentine Financial System," MPRA Paper 16378, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Shin, Inyong & Kim, Hyunho & Yamamura, Eiji, 2008. "Technological Progress and the Future of Kuznets Curve's," MPRA Paper 18866, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra, 2008. "Asymmetric Behavior of Inflation Uncertainty and Friedman-Ball Hypothesis: Evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 19488, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Omay, Tolga, 2008. "The Term Structure of Interest Rate as a Predictor of Inflation and Real Economic Activity: Nonlinear Evidence from Turkey," MPRA Paper 28572, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Mohamed A. Osman & Rosmy Jean Louis & Faruk Balli, 2009. "Output gap and inflation nexus: the case of United Arab Emirates," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(1), pages 118-135.
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Giselle Guzmán, 2009. "Using Sentiment Surveys to Predict GDP Growth and Stock Returns," Chapters, in: Lawrence R. Klein (ed.), The Making of National Economic Forecasts, chapter 12, Edward Elgar Publishing.
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Bell, William Paul, 2008. "Adaptive interactive profit expectations using small world networks and runtime weighted model averaging," MPRA Paper 38027, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Damdinsuren, Batnyam & Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Łyziak, Tomasz, 2008. "Small Inflation Model of Mongolia (SIMOM)," MPRA Paper 72139, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2008.
Jurdziak, Leszek, 2008. "Metoda Szacowania Kosztów Inwestycyjnych Oraz Eksploatacyjnych Przenośników [Method Of Capital And Operational Cost Estimation Of Belt Coneyors]," MPRA Paper 75183, University Library of Munich, Germany.
S. Adnan H. A. S. Bukhari & Safdar Ullah Khan, 2008. "Estimating Output Gap for Pakistan Economy: Structural and Statistical Approaches," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 4, pages 31-60.
- Syed Adnan H. A. S. Bukhari & Safdar Ullah Khan, 2008. "Estimating Output Gap for Pakistan economy: Structural and Statistical Approaches," SBP Working Paper Series 24, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
- S. Adnan H. A. S., Bukhari & Safdar Ullah, Khan, 2008. "Estimating Output Gap for Pakistan Economy:Structural and Statistical Approaches," MPRA Paper 9736, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Jun 2008.
Guangling 'Dave' Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2009. "A New-Keynesian DSGE model for forecasting the South African economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(5), pages 387-404.
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Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008. "Spatial Bayesian Methods Of Forecasting House Prices In Six Metropolitan Areas Of South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 76(2), pages 298-313, June.
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Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2010. "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 294-319, October.
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Carlo Altavilla & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2008. "Inflation models, optimal monetary policy and uncertain unemployment dynamics: Evidence from the US and the euro area," Discussion Papers 8_2008, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
Maximiano Pinheiro & Paulo Esteves, 2012. "On the uncertainty and risks of macroeconomic forecasts: combining judgements with sample and model information," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 639-665, June.
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Gregor W. Smith, 2008. "Us Inflation Dynamics 1981-2007: 13,193 Quarterly Observations," Working Paper 1155, Economics Department, Queen's University.
Groen, Jan J.J. & Kapetanios, George, 2016. "Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 221-239.
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Eklund, Jana & Kapetanios, George, 2008. "A review of forecasting techniques for large datasets," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 203, pages 109-115, January.
- Jana Eklund & George Kapetanios, 2008. "A review of forecasting techniques for large datasets," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 203(1), pages 109-115, January.
- Jana Eklund & George Kapetanios, 2008. "A Review of Forecasting Techniques for Large Data Sets," Working Papers 625, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
Groen, Jan J.J. & Kapetanios, George, 2016. "Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 221-239.
- Jan J. J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2008. "Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting," Staff Reports 327, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Jan J.J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2008. "Revisiting Useful Approaches to Data-Rich Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers 624, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Jan J.J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2008. "Revisiting Useful Approaches to Data-Rich Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Papers 624, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
Eklund, Jana & Kapetanios, George, 2008. "A review of forecasting techniques for large datasets," National Institute Economic Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 203, pages 109-115, January.
- Jana Eklund & George Kapetanios, 2008. "A Review of Forecasting Techniques for Large Data Sets," Working Papers 625, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Jana Eklund & George Kapetanios, 2008. "A Review of Forecasting Techniques for Large Data Sets," Working Papers 625, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
Oleg Demidov, 2008. "Different indexes for forecasting economic activity in Russia (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 5, pages 83-102, September.
Andrew Hodge & Tim Robinson & Robyn Stuart, 2008. "A Small BVAR-DSGE Model for Forecasting the Australian Economy," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2008-04, Reserve Bank of Australia.
Nicoletta Batini & Joseph Pearlman & Paul Levine, 2006. "Optimal Exchange Rate Stabilization in a Dollarized Economy with Inflation Targets," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 148, Society for Computational Economics.
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Kevin Lansing, 2009. "Time Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 12(2), pages 304-326, April.
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Ian Christensen & Ali Dib, 2008. "The Financial Accelerator in an Estimated New Keynesian Model," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 11(1), pages 155-178, January.
Galí, Jordi, 2011. "Are central banks' projections meaningful?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(6), pages 537-550.
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Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2012. "The dynamics of UK and US inflation expectations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3120-3133.
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- Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2012. "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectation," SIRE Discussion Papers 2012-46, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
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Pelinescu, Elena & Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2008. "Alternative Measures of Core Inflation in Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(1), pages 134-148, March.
Roland Döhrn & Christoph M. Schmidt & Tobias Zimmermann, 2008. "Inflation Forecasting with Inflation Sentiment Indicators," Ruhr Economic Papers 0080, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
Eklund, Jana & Kapetanios, George, 2008. "A review of forecasting techniques for large datasets," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 203, pages 109-115, January.
- Jana Eklund & George Kapetanios, 2008. "A review of forecasting techniques for large datasets," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 203(1), pages 109-115, January.
- Jana Eklund & George Kapetanios, 2008. "A Review of Forecasting Techniques for Large Data Sets," Working Papers 625, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine, 2008. "Monetary and Fiscal Rules in an Emerging Small Open Economy," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0810, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
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Mahmood-ul-Hasan Khan, 2008. "Short Run Effects of an Unanticipated Change in Monetary Policy: Interpreting Macroeconomic Dynamics in Pakistan," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 4, pages 1-30.
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S. Adnan H. A. S. Bukhari & Safdar Ullah Khan, 2008. "Estimating Output Gap for Pakistan Economy: Structural and Statistical Approaches," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 4, pages 31-60.
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- S. Adnan H. A. S., Bukhari & Safdar Ullah, Khan, 2008. "Estimating Output Gap for Pakistan Economy:Structural and Statistical Approaches," MPRA Paper 9736, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Jun 2008.
S. Adnan H. A. S. Bukhari & Safdar Ullah Khan, 2008. "Estimating Output Gap for Pakistan Economy: Structural and Statistical Approaches," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 4, pages 31-60.
- S. Adnan H. A. S., Bukhari & Safdar Ullah, Khan, 2008. "Estimating Output Gap for Pakistan Economy:Structural and Statistical Approaches," MPRA Paper 9736, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Jun 2008.
- Syed Adnan H. A. S. Bukhari & Safdar Ullah Khan, 2008. "Estimating Output Gap for Pakistan economy: Structural and Statistical Approaches," SBP Working Paper Series 24, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
Françoise Charpin & Catherine Mathieu, 2004. "Un indicateur de croissance à court terme au Royaume-Uni," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 89(2), pages 231-251.
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Françoise Charpin & Catherine Mathieu & Gian Luigi Mazzi, 2008. "Construction of coincident indicators for the euro area. 5th EUROSTAT Colloquium on Modern Tools For Business Cycle Analysis, Luxembourg, 29th September - 1st October 2008," Post-Print hal-01053253, HAL.
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Michele Battisti & Gianfranco Vaio, 2009. "A spatially filtered mixture of β-convergence regressions for EU regions, 1980–2002," Studies in Empirical Economics, in: Giuseppe Arbia & Badi H. Baltagi (ed.), Spatial Econometrics, pages 105-121, Springer.
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Michele Battisti & Gianfranco Vaio, 2009. "A spatially filtered mixture of β-convergence regressions for EU regions, 1980–2002," Studies in Empirical Economics, in: Giuseppe Arbia & Badi H. Baltagi (ed.), Spatial Econometrics, pages 105-121, Springer.
- Michele Battisti & Gianfranco Vaio, 2008. "A spatially filtered mixture of β-convergence regressions for EU regions, 1980–2002," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 203-203, February.
- Michele Battisti & Gianfranco Di Vaio, 2008. "A spatially filtered mixture of β-convergence regressions for EU regions, 1980–2002," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 34(1), pages 105-121, February.
Hilde Bjørnland & Leif Brubakk & Anne Jore, 2008. "Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 413-436, November.
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Hamid Baghestani, 2008. "Predicting capacity utilization: Federal Reserve vs time-series models," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 32(1), pages 47-57, January.
Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Peter Welz, 2008. "Robust Inflation-Targeting Rules and the Gains from International Policy Coordination," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0208, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
M. Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2012. "Neural network models for inflation forecasting: an appraisal," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(20), pages 2631-2635, July.
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- Ali Choudhary & Adnan Haider, 2008. "Neural Network Models for Inflation Forecasting: An Appraisal," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0808, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
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Young-Bae Kim, 2008. "Is There A Trade-off Between Regional Growth and National Income? Theory and Evidence from the EU," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1008, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Aaron Mehrotra & Jouko Rautava, 2008. "Do sentiment indicators help to assess and predict actual developments of the Chinese economy?," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 225-239.
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Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2007. "Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach," Working Papers 200724, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Liu, G. & Gupta, R. & Schaling, E., 2008. "Forecasting the South African Economy : A DSGE-VAR Approach," Discussion Paper 2008-32, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
- Liu, G. & Gupta, R. & Schaling, E., 2008. "Forecasting the South African Economy : A DSGE-VAR Approach," Other publications TiSEM adfaca2d-b9dd-4548-93d0-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
Liu, G. & Gupta, R. & Schaling, E., 2008. "Forecasting the South African Economy : A DSGE-VAR Approach," Other publications TiSEM adfaca2d-b9dd-4548-93d0-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
Heikki Kauppi, 2008. "Yield-Curve Based Probit Models for Forecasting U.S. Recessions: Stability and Dynamics," Discussion Papers 31, Aboa Centre for Economics.
Alonso Gomez & John M Maheu & Alex Maynard, 2008. "Improving Forecasts of Inflation using the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers tecipa-319, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(1), pages 122-157, March.
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- Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer & Allan Timmermann, 2005. "Biases In Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality Or Asymmetric Loss?," CAMA Working Papers 2005-14, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 621-633, 04-05.
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Luca Benati & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Evolving U.S. Monetary Policy and The Decline of Inflation Predictability," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 634-646, 04-05.
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Kevin X.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2009. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations and Technology Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(536), pages 377-405, March.
- KevinX.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2009. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations and Technology Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(536), pages 377-405, March.
- Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, adaptive expectations, and technology shocks," Working Paper Series 2008-18, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Kevin X.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, Adaptive Expectations, and Technology Shocks," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0807, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
- Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008. "Learning, adaptive expectations, and technology shocks," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2008-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2008. "Forecasting Canadian time series with the New Keynesian model," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 138-165, February.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2008. "Forecasting Canadian time series with the New Keynesian model," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(1), pages 138-165, February.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2005. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New-Keynesian Model," Cahiers de recherche 0527, CIRPEE.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2006. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series With the New-Keynesian Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 382, Central Bank of Chile.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2006. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New Keynesian Model," Staff Working Papers 06-4, Bank of Canada.
Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(4), pages 667-699, June.
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- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: from Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 78, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2007. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Discussion Paper Series 0715, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: from Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0631, Economics, The University of Manchester.
Clements, Michael P., 2008. "Rounding of probability forecasts: The SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth," Economic Research Papers 269880, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
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Clements, Michael P., 2010. "Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 536-549, May.
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Jacek Kotlowski, 2008. "Forecasting inflation with dynamic factor model – the case of Poland," Working Papers 24, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
Guse, Eran A., 2010. "Heterogeneous expectations, adaptive learning, and evolutionary dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 74(1-2), pages 42-57, May.
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Mu-Chun Wang, 2009. "Comparing the DSGE model with the factor model: an out-of-sample forecasting experiment," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 167-182.
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Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2008. "How informative are macroeconomic risk forecasts? An examination of the Bank of England's inflation forecasts," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2008,14, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Lux, Thomas, 2009. "Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 638-655, November.
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Fendel, Ralf & Lis, Eliza M. & Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2008. "Does the financial market believe in the Phillips Curve? Evidence from the G7 countries," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 73, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
Tovar, Camilo Ernesto, 2009. "DSGE Models and Central Banks," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-31.
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Jonas Dovern & Christina Ziegler, 2008. "Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators under Real-Time Condition," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 54(4), pages 293-318.
- Dovern, Jonas & Ziegler, Christina, 2008. "Predicting growth rates and recessions: assessing US leading indicators under real-time conditions," Kiel Working Papers 1397, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Lux, Thomas, 2008. "Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey," Kiel Working Papers 1424, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Dovern, Jonas & Weisser, Johannes, 2008. "Are they really rational? Assessing professional macro-economic forecasts from the G7-countries," Kiel Working Papers 1447, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
Döhrn, Roland & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Zimmermann, Tobias, 2008. "Inflation Forecasting with Inflation Sentiment Indicators," Ruhr Economic Papers 80, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Markwardt, Gunther, 2009. "The effects of oil price shocks on the Iranian economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 134-151, January.
- Mohammad Reza FARZANEGAN & Gunther MARKWARDT, 2008. "The Effects of Oil Price Shocks on the Iranian Economy," EcoMod2008 23800037, EcoMod.
- Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Markwardt, Gunther, 2008. "The effects of oil price shocks on the Iranian economy," Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics 15/08, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics.

2007

Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "Monetary Rules in Emerging Economies with Financial Market Imperfections," NBER Chapters, in: International Dimensions of Monetary Policy, pages 251-311, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "Monetary Rules in Emerging Economies with Financial Market Imperfections," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0807, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Faust, Jon & Wright, Jonathan H., 2009. "Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts Using a Large Realtime Dataset," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 468-479.
- Jon Faust & Jonathan H. Wright, 2007. "Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts using a Large Realtime Dataset," NBER Working Papers 13397, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Michael Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence Schembri, 2010. "Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s: (Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 6(3), pages 51-99, September.
- Michael Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence L. Schembri, 2007. "Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s: (Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," Staff Working Papers 07-45, Bank of Canada.
- Michael D. Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence Schembri, 2007. "Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s:(Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," NBER Working Papers 13605, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Pablo A. Guerron-Quintana, 2010. "What you match does matter: the effects of data on DSGE estimation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(5), pages 774-804.
- Pablo A. Guerron, 2007. "What You Match Does Matter: The Effects of Data on DSGE Estimation," Working Paper Series 012, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics.
Pablo A. Guerron, 2007. "The Welfare Costs of Inflation in a Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Model," Working Paper Series 013, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics.
Ivan O. KITOV & Oleg I. KITOV & Svetlana A. DOLINSKAYA, 2009. "Modelling Real Gdp Per Capita In The Usa:Cointegration Tests," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 4(1(7)_ Spr).
- Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg & Dolinskaya, Svetlana, 2007. "Modelling real GDP per capita in the USA: cointegration test," MPRA Paper 2739, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ivan Kitov & Oleg Kitov & Svetlana Dolinskaya, 2007. "Modeling Real GDP Per Capita in the USA: Cointegration Test," Mechonomics mechanomics1, Socionet.
- Ivan O. Kitov & Oleg I. Kitov & Svetlana A. Dolinskaya, 2008. "Modelling real GDP per capita in the USA: cointegration test," Papers 0811.0490, arXiv.org.
Kitov, Ivan, 2006. "The Japanese economy," MPRA Paper 2737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ivan Kitov, 2007. "The Japanese Economy," Mechonomics mechonomics6, Socionet.
Kitov, Ivan, 2007. "Inflation, unemployment, labor force change in European countries," MPRA Paper 14557, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ivan Kitov, 2007. "Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Counties," Mechonomics mechonomics7, Socionet.
Lukas Vogel, 2007. "How do the OECD Growth Projections for the G7 Economies Perform?: A Post-Mortem," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 573, OECD Publishing.
Minford Patrick, 2007. "Care sunt modelele şi politicile potrivite într-un context global cu inflaţie scăzută?," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 01, March.
Sylvia Kaufmann, 2007. "Capturing the Link between M3 Growth and Inflation in the Euro Area – An Econometric Model to Produce Conditional Inflation Forecasts," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 93-108.
Nooraddin Sharify & M. Alejandro Cardenete, 2007. "Cost-push impact of motor spirit price on price indices and inflation," Working Papers 07.11, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics.
Aruoba, S. BoraÄŸan & Diebold, Francis X. & Scotti, Chiara, 2009. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 417-427.
- Chiara Scotti & S.Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & University of Maryland, 2006. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 387, Society for Computational Economics.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," PIER Working Paper Archive 07-028, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," NBER Working Papers 14349, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007. "Real-time measurement of business conditions," International Finance Discussion Papers 901, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008. "Real-time measurement of business conditions," Working Papers 08-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions, Second Version," PIER Working Paper Archive 08-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 04 Apr 2008.
Ã¿lvaro Aguiar & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2007. "Monetary Policy and the Political Support for a Labor Market Reform," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 112, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- Álvaro Aguiar & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2007. "Monetary Policy and the Political Support for a Labor Market Reform," FEP Working Papers 237, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
Falnita, Eugen & Sipos, Ciprian, 2007. "A multiple regression model for inflation rate in Romania in the enlarged EU," MPRA Paper 11473, University Library of Munich, Germany.
ODIA NDONGO, Yves Francis, 2007. "Les sources des fluctuations marcoéconomiques au Cameroun," MPRA Paper 1308, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ivan Kitov, 2007. "Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Counties," Mechonomics mechonomics7, Socionet.
- Kitov, Ivan, 2007. "Inflation, unemployment, labor force change in European countries," MPRA Paper 14557, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Haider, Adnan & Hanif, Muhammad Nadeem, 2007. "Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan using Artificial Neural Networks," MPRA Paper 14645, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Marcelle, Chauvet & Simon, Potter, 2007. "Monitoring Business Cycles with Structural Breaks," MPRA Paper 15097, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Apr 2009.
Olafsdottir, Katrin & Sigurdsson, Kari, 2007. "Hversu vel tekst til með verðbólguspár greiningardeilda? [How accurate are the inflation forecasts published by the commercial banks?]," MPRA Paper 18288, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg & Dolinskaya, Svetlana, 2007. "Relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate in France: cointegration test," MPRA Paper 2736, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ivan O. Kitov & Oleg I. Kitov & Svetlana A. Dolinskaya, 2008. "Relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate in France: cointegration test," Papers 0811.0896, arXiv.org.
Ivan O. KITOV & Oleg I. KITOV & Svetlana A. DOLINSKAYA, 2009. "Modelling Real Gdp Per Capita In The Usa:Cointegration Tests," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 4(1(7)_ Spr).
- Ivan Kitov & Oleg Kitov & Svetlana Dolinskaya, 2007. "Modeling Real GDP Per Capita in the USA: Cointegration Test," Mechonomics mechanomics1, Socionet.
- Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg & Dolinskaya, Svetlana, 2007. "Modelling real GDP per capita in the USA: cointegration test," MPRA Paper 2739, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ivan O. Kitov & Oleg I. Kitov & Svetlana A. Dolinskaya, 2008. "Modelling real GDP per capita in the USA: cointegration test," Papers 0811.0490, arXiv.org.
Daniel Buncic & Martin Melecky, 2008. "An Estimated New Keynesian Policy Model for Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 84(264), pages 1-16, March.
- Martin Melecky & Daniel Buncic, 2005. "An Estimated, New Keynesian Policy Model for Australia," Macroeconomics 0511026, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Buncic, Daniel & Melecky, Martin, 2007. "An estimated New Keynesian policy model for Australia," MPRA Paper 4138, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kitov, Ivan, 2007. "Exact prediction of inflation and unemployment in Canada," MPRA Paper 5015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Fabbri, Giorgio & Iacopetta, Maurizio, 2007. "Dynamic Programming, Maximum Principle and Vintage Capital," MPRA Paper 5115, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 479-489, March.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2‐3), pages 479-489, March.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," Research Technical Papers 10/RT/07, Central Bank of Ireland.
- D'Agostino, A & Surico, P, 2007. "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," MPRA Paper 6283, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Gao, Xu, 2007. "Business Cycle Accounting for the Chinese Economy," MPRA Paper 7050, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2007.
Christoffel, Kai & Coenen, Gunter & Warne, Anders, 2007. "Conditional versus unconditional forecasting with the New Area-Wide Model of the euro area," MPRA Paper 76759, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Rangan Gupta, 2007. "FORECASTING THE SOUTH AFRICAN ECONOMY WITH GIBBS SAMPLED BVECMs," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 75(4), pages 631-643, December.
- Rangan Gupta, 2007. "Forecasting the South African Economy with Gibbs Sampled BVECMs," Working Papers 200701, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Samuel Zita & Rangan Gupta, 2008. "Modeling and Forecasting the Metical-Rand Exchange Rate," The IUP Journal of Monetary Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(4), pages 63-90, November.
- Samuel Zita & Rangan Gupta, 2007. "Modelling and Forecasting the Metical-Rand Exchange Rate," Working Papers 200702, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Rangan Gupta, 2007. "Bayesian Methods of Forecasting Inventory Investment in South Africa," Working Papers 200704, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2007. "Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach," Working Papers 200724, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Liu, G. & Gupta, R. & Schaling, E., 2008. "Forecasting the South African Economy : A DSGE-VAR Approach," Discussion Paper 2008-32, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
Alan S. Blinder & John Morgan, 2008. "Leadership in Groups: A Monetary Policy Experiment," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(4), pages 117-150, December.
- Alan S. Blinder & John Morgan, 2007. "Leadership in Groups: A Monetary Policy Experiment," Working Papers 2007-3, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Alan S Blinder & John Morgan, 2007. "Leadership in Groups: A Monetary Policy Experiment," Working Papers 151, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
- Alan S. Blinder & John Morgan, 2007. "Leadership in Groups: A Monetary Policy Experiment," NBER Working Papers 13391, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Alan S. Blinder & John Morgan, 2008. "Leadership in Groups: A Monetary Policy Experiment," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(4), pages 117-150, December.
- Alan S. Blinder & John Morgan, 2007. "Leadership in Groups: A Monetary Policy Experiment," NBER Working Papers 13391, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alan S. Blinder & John Morgan, 2007. "Leadership in Groups: A Monetary Policy Experiment," Working Papers 2007-3, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Alan S Blinder & John Morgan, 2007. "Leadership in Groups: A Monetary Policy Experiment," Working Papers 151, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
Smith, Gregor W., 2009. "Pooling forecasts in linear rational expectations models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(11), pages 1858-1866, November.
- Gregor W. Smith, 2007. "Pooling Forecasts In Linear Rational Expectations Models," Working Paper 1129, Economics Department, Queen's University.
Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2007. "A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 219-236.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007. "A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK," Working Papers 590, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2007. "A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 219-236.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007. "A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK," Working Papers 590, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007. "A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK," Working Papers 590, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
Christian Gillitzer & Jonathan Kearns, 2007. "Forecasting with Factors: The Accuracy of Timeliness," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2007-03, Reserve Bank of Australia.
Jarkko Jääskelä, 2007. "More Potent Monetary Policy? Insights from a Threshold Model," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2007-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
Barrera Carlos, 2007. "Proyecciones desagregadas de inflación con modelos Sparse VAR robustos," Working Papers 2007-015, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
Carlo Altavilla & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2006. "Inflation Forecasts, Monetary Policy and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the US and the Euro Area," Discussion Papers 7_2006, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Carlo Altavilla, 2007. "Inflation Forecasts, Monetary Policy and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the US and the Euro area," 2007 Meeting Papers 315, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Altavilla, Carlo, 2007. "Inflation Forecasts, monetary policy and unemployment dynamics: evidence from the US and the euro area," Working Paper Series 725, European Central Bank.
Pedro José Pérez & Luisa Escriche & Jose Ramón García, 2007. "Las perturbaciones externas en la economía española tras la integración: ¿tamaño del shock o grado de respuesta?," Revista de Economia Aplicada, Universidad de Zaragoza, Departamento de Estructura Economica y Economia Publica, vol. 15(3), pages 5-39, Winter.
Maheu, John M. & Song, Yong, 2014. "A new structural break model, with an application to Canadian inflation forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 144-160.
- Maheu, John & Song, Yong, 2012. "A new structural break model with application to Canadian inflation forecasting," MPRA Paper 36870, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- John M. Maheu & Yong Song, 2012. "A New Structural Break Model with Application to Canadian Inflation Forecasting," Working Paper series 27_12, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
- John M Maheu & Yong Song, 2012. "A New Structural Break Model with Application to Canadian Inflation Forecasting," Working Papers tecipa-448, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.
Bhar, Ramaprasad & Nikolova, Biljana, 2007. "Analysis of Mean and Volatility Spillovers Using BRIC Countries, Regional and World Equity Index Returns," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 22, pages 369-381.
Caraiani, Petre, 2007. "An Analysis of the Fluctuations in the Romanian Economy using the Real Business Cycles Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 4(2), pages 76-86, June.
Raffaele Passaro, 2007. "The Predictive Power of Interest Rates Spread for Economic Activity," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 97(6), pages 81-112, November-.
Fiorella Triscritti, 2007. "Free Trade and New Economic Powers: The Worldview of Peter Mandelson," RSCAS Working Papers 2007/11, European University Institute.
Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2007. "Predicting Indian Business Cycles," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 1(3), pages 249-265, July.
Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2007. "S,s Pricing in a General Equilibrium Model with Heterogeneous Sectors," CDMA Working Paper Series 200709, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
Peter J. Klenow & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2008. "State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing: Does it Matter for Recent U.S. Inflation?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 123(3), pages 863-904.
- Oleksiy Kryvtsov & Peter J. Klenow, 2004. "State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing: Does It Matter For Recent U.S. Inflation?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 277, Society for Computational Economics.
- Peter J. Klenow & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2007. "State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing: Does It Matter for Recent U.S. Inflation?," Discussion Papers 07-007, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
- Peter J. Klenow & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2005. "State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing: Does it Matter for Recent U.S. Inflation?," NBER Working Papers 11043, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Peter J. Klenow & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2005. "State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing: Does It Matter for Recent U.S. Inflation?," Staff Working Papers 05-4, Bank of Canada.
Rolando Pelàez, 2007. "Ex ante forecasts of business-cycle turning points," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 239-246, April.
Roberto Dell’Anno & Miguel Gómez-Antonio & Angel Pardo, 2007. "The shadow economy in three Mediterranean countries: France, Spain and Greece. A MIMIC approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 51-84, July.
- Roberto Dell’Anno & Miguel Gómez-Antonio & Angel Alañon-Pardo, 2007. "The shadow economy in three Mediterranean countries: France, Spain and Greece. A MIMIC approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 197-197, July.
Roberto Dell’Anno & Miguel Gómez-Antonio & Angel Alañon-Pardo, 2007. "The shadow economy in three Mediterranean countries: France, Spain and Greece. A MIMIC approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 197-197, July.
- Roberto Dell’Anno & Miguel Gómez-Antonio & Angel Pardo, 2007. "The shadow economy in three Mediterranean countries: France, Spain and Greece. A MIMIC approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 51-84, July.
Hiroyuki Nakata, 2007. "A Model of Financial Markets with Endogenously Correlated Rational Beliefs," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 30(3), pages 431-452, March.
Erling Røed Larsen & Steffen Weum, 2007. "Home, Sweet Home or Is It - Always? Testing the Efficiency of the Norwegian Housing Market," Discussion Papers 506, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "Robust Monetary Rules under Unstructured and Structured Model Uncertainty," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0707, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Levine, Paul, 2008. "Robust monetary rules under unstructured and structured model uncertainty," Working Paper Series 899, European Central Bank.
Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "Monetary Rules in Emerging Economies with Financial Market Imperfections," NBER Chapters, in: International Dimensions of Monetary Policy, pages 251-311, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "Monetary Rules in Emerging Economies with Financial Market Imperfections," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0807, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Richard Pierse, 2007. "Monetary Policy Coordination Revisited in a Two-Bloc DSGE Model," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0907, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2008. "The Credibility Problem Revisited: Thirty Years on from Kydland and Prescott," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(4), pages 728-746, September.
- Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2007. "The Credibility Problem Revisited: Thirty Years on from Kydland and Prescott," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1807, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Melisso Boschi & Alessandro Girardi, 2007. "Euro area inflation: long-run determinants and short-run dynamics," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 9-24.
- Melisso Boschi & Alessandro Girardi, 2005. "Euro Area inflation: long-run determinants and short-run dynamics," ISAE Working Papers 60, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY).
Bernd Meyer & Christian Lutz & Peter Schnur & Gerd Zika, 2007. "National Economic Policy Simulations with Global Interdependencies: A Sensitivity Analysis for Germany," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 37-55.
- Meyer, Bernd & Lutz, Christian & Schnur, Peter & Zika, Gerd, 2006. "National economic policy simulations with global interdependencies : a sensitivity analysis for Germany," IAB-Discussion Paper 200612, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
John Aldrich & Anna Staszewska, 2007. "The experiment in macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 143-166.
- John Aldrich & Anna Staszewska, 2006. "The experiment in macroeconometrics," Working Papers 12, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
Jordi Galí, 2007. "Constant interest rate projections without the curse of indeterminacy," Economics Working Papers 1057, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Feb 2008.
Hiroyuki NAKATA, 2007. "Communication, correlation of beliefs and asset price fluctuations," Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali, Vita e Pensiero, Pubblicazioni dell'Universita' Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, vol. 115(3), pages 443-469.
Lux, Thomas, 2009. "Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 638-655, November.
- Thomas Lux, 2007. "Rational Forecasts or Social Opinion Dynamics? Identification of Interaction Effects in a Business Climate Survey," Working Papers wp07-11, Warwick Business School, Finance Group.
- Lux, Thomas, 2008. "Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey," Economics Working Papers 2008-07, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
Aaron Mehrotra & Jouko Rautava, 2008. "Do sentiment indicators help to assess and predict actual developments of the Chinese economy?," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 225-239.
- Mehrotra, Aaron & Rautava, Jouko, 2007. "Do sentiment indicators help to assess and predict actual developments of the Chinese economy?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 11/2007, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
Jokivuolle, Esa & Kilponen, Juha & Kuusi, Tero, 2007. "GDP at risk in a DSGE model: an application to banking sector stress testing," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 26/2007, Bank of Finland.
Scharnagl, Michael & Schumacher, Christian, 2007. "Reconsidering the role of monetary indicators for euro area inflation from a Bayesian perspective using group inclusion probabilities," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,09, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Weber, Anke, 2007. "Heterogeneous expectations, learning and European inflation dynamics," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,16, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Knüppel, Malte & Tödter, Karl-Heinz, 2007. "Quantifying risk and uncertainty in macroeconomic forecasts," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,25, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2007. "Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2007,34, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2008. "Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 6708, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008. "Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP," Economics Working Papers ECO2008/16, European University Institute.
Hogrefe, Jens, 2007. "The yield spread and GDP growth - Time Varying Leading Properties and the Role of Monetary Policy," Economics Working Papers 2007-12, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
Ager, P. & Kappler, M. & Osterloh, S., 2009. "The accuracy and efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A further application and extension of the pooled approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 167-181.
- Ager, Philipp & Kappler, Marcus & Osterloh, Steffen, 2007. "The Accuracy and Efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A Further Application and Extension of the Pooled Approach," ZEW Discussion Papers 07-058, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
Richardson, James W. & Herbst, Brian & Duncan, Anthony & den Besten, Mark & van Hoven, Peter, 2007. "Location Preference for Risk-Averse Dutch Dairy Farmers Immigrating to the United States," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(3), pages 735-748, December.
- Richardson, James W. & Herbst, Brian K. & Duncan, Anthony & den Besten, Mark & van Hoven, Peter, 2007. "Location Preference for Risk-Averse Dutch Dairy Farmers Immigrating to the United States," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(3), pages 1-14, December.
Smith, Gregor W., 2009. "Pooling forecasts in linear rational expectations models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(11), pages 1858-1866, November.
- Gregor W. Smith, 2007. "Pooling Forecasts in Linear Rational Expectations Models," Working Papers 1129, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
- Smith, Gregor W., 2007. "Pooling Forecasts in Linear Rational Expectations Models," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 273605, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
Ferran Sancho, 2007. "The Total Fiscal Cost of Indirect Taxation: an Approximation Using Catalonia's Recent Input-output Table," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 716.07, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
Brad Baxter & Liam Graham & Stephen Wright, 2007. "The Endogenous Kalman Filter," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0719, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
Valentin Toader & Rozalia Veronica Rus, 2007. "The Impact Of Inflation Expectations On Transylvanian Smes’ Activity," JOURNAL STUDIA UNIVERSITATIS BABES-BOLYAI NEGOTIA, Babes-Bolyai University, Faculty of Business.
René Lalonde & Dirk Muir, 2007. "The Bank of Canada's Version of the Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM)," Technical Reports 98, Bank of Canada.
Maral Kichian & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2007. "Does Indexation Bias the Estimated Frequency of Price Adjustment?," Staff Working Papers 07-15, Bank of Canada.
Frédérick Demers & Ryan Macdonald, 2007. "The Canadian Business Cycle: A Comparison of Models," Staff Working Papers 07-38, Bank of Canada.
Michael Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence Schembri, 2010. "Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s: (Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 6(3), pages 51-99, September.
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Calista Cheung & Frédérick Demers, 2007. "Evaluating Forecasts from Factor Models for Canadian GDP Growth and Core Inflation," Staff Working Papers 07-8, Bank of Canada.
Verónica Balzarotti, 2007. "Real Interest Rate Risk in the Argentine Banking System. A Measuring Model," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(46), pages 7-61, January -.
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Pedro Elosegui & Guillermo Escudé & Lorena Garegnani & Juan Martín Sotes Paladino (ed.), 2007. "A Small Economic Model for Argentina," BCRA Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 03, November.
Pedro Elosegui & Guillermo Escudé & Lorena Garegnani & Juan Martín Sotes Paladino, 2007. "The BCRA’s Small Economic Model," BCRA Working Paper Series 200718, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
Jiménez, Gabriel & Mencía, Javier, 2009. "Modelling the distribution of credit losses with observable and latent factors," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 235-253, March.
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Javier Andrés & Fernando Restoy, 2007. "Macroeconomic modelling in EMU: how relevant is the change in regime?," Working Papers 0718, Banco de España.
Marc P. Giannoni & Jean Boivin, 2005. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 431, Society for Computational Economics.
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M sonnier, J-S. & Renne, J-P., 2007. "Does uncertainty make a time-varying natural rate of interest irrelevant for the conduct of monetary policy?," Working papers 175, Banque de France.
Chauvin, V. & Devulder, A., 2007. "Maquette d’inflation zone euro," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 167, pages 77-94.
Guangling (dave Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2007. "A Small‐Scale Dsge Model For Forecasting The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 75(2), pages 179-193, June.
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Rangan Gupta, 2007. "FORECASTING THE SOUTH AFRICAN ECONOMY WITH GIBBS SAMPLED BVECMs," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 75(4), pages 631-643, December.
- Rangan Gupta, 2007. "Forecasting the South African Economy with Gibbs Sampled BVECMs," Working Papers 200701, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2011. "Input And Output Inventories In General Equilibrium," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 52(4), pages 1179-1213, November.
- Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2007. "Input and output inventories in general equilibrium," Working Papers 07-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2007. "Input and Output Inventories in General Equilibrium," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 658, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 23 Oct 2009.
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Aaron Mehrotra & Jouko Rautava, 2008. "Do sentiment indicators help to assess and predict actual developments of the Chinese economy?," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(3), pages 225-239.
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Jokivuolle, Esa & Kilponen, Juha & Kuusi, Tero, 2007. "GDP at risk in a DSGE model : an application to banking sector stress testing," Research Discussion Papers 26/2007, Bank of Finland.
Maria K. Albani & Nicholas G. Zonzilos & Zacharias G. Bragoudakis, 2007. "An operational framework for the short-term forecasting of inflation," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 29, pages 89-106, October.
Piero Ferri & Anna Maria Variato, 2007. "Endogenous Cycles, Debt and Monetary Policy," Working Papers (-2012) 0703, University of Bergamo, Department of Economics.
Piero Ferri & Anna Maria Variato, 2007. "Macro Dynamics in a Model with Uncertainty," Working Papers (-2012) 0704, University of Bergamo, Department of Economics.
David R. F. Love, 2011. "Aggregate Comovements, Anticipation, and Business Cycles," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2011(1), pages 93-110.
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- David R.F. Love, 2009. "Aggregate Comovements, Anticipation, and Business Cycles," Working Papers 0908, Brock University, Department of Economics.
Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 479-489, March.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009. "Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2‐3), pages 479-489, March.
- D'Agostino, A & Surico, P, 2007. "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," MPRA Paper 6283, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," Research Technical Papers 10/RT/07, Central Bank of Ireland.
Barnichon, Regis, 2007. "Productivity, aggregate demand and unemployment fluctuations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 19694, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Régis Barnichon, 2008. "Productivity, aggregate demand and unemployment fluctuations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-47, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Régis Barnichon, 2007. "Productivity, Aggregate Demand and Unemployment Fluctuations," CEP Discussion Papers dp0819, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
Barnichon, Regis, 2007. "The Shimer puzzle and the correct identification of productivity shocks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 19691, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Régis Barnichon, 2007. "The Shimer Puzzle and the Correct Identification of Productivity Shocks," CEP Discussion Papers dp0823, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
Roy Batchelor, 2007. "Forecaster Behaviour and Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts," ifo Working Paper Series 39, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
Johannes Mayr & Dirk Ulbricht, 2007. "VAR Model Averaging for Multi-Step Forecasting," ifo Working Paper Series 48, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
Vojtech Benda & Lubos Ruzicka, 2007. "Short-term Forecasting Methods Based on the LEI Approach: The Case of the Czech Republic," Research and Policy Notes 2007/01, Czech National Bank.
Eliana González Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velnadia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007. "Pronósticos directos de la inflación colombiana," Borradores de Economia 4247, Banco de la Republica.
- Eliana González Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velnadia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007. "Pronósticos directos de la inflación colombiana," Borradores de Economia 4246, Banco de la Republica.
- Eliana González Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007. "Pronósticos directos de la inflación colombiana," Borradores de Economia 458, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Eliana González Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velnadia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007. "Pronósticos directos de la inflación colombiana," Borradores de Economia 4246, Banco de la Republica.
- Eliana González Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velnadia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007. "Pronósticos directos de la inflación colombiana," Borradores de Economia 4247, Banco de la Republica.
- Eliana González Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007. "Pronósticos directos de la inflación colombiana," Borradores de Economia 458, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Andrés Langebaek R. & Eliana González Molano, 2007. "Inflación Y Precios Relativos En Colombia," Borradores de Economia 459, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Andrés Langebaek & Eliana González M., 2007. "Inflación Y Precios Relativos En Colombia," Borradores de Economia 4248, Banco de la Republica.
- Andrés Langebaek & Eliana González M., 2007. "Inflación Y Precios Relativos En Colombia," Borradores de Economia 4249, Banco de la Republica.
Andrés Langebaek R. & Eliana González Molano, 2007. "Inflación Y Precios Relativos En Colombia," Borradores de Economia 459, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Andrés Langebaek & Eliana González M., 2007. "Inflación Y Precios Relativos En Colombia," Borradores de Economia 4249, Banco de la Republica.
- Andrés Langebaek & Eliana González M., 2007. "Inflación Y Precios Relativos En Colombia," Borradores de Economia 4248, Banco de la Republica.
José Luis Torres T., 2008. "La Estimación de la brecha del producto en Colombia," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos (CEMLA) (ed.), Estimación y Uso de Variables no Observables en la Región, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 4, pages 103-132, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
- Jose Luis Torres, 2007. "La estimación de la brecha del producto en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 462, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- José Luis Torres, 2007. "La estimación de la brecha del producto en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 4288, Banco de la Republica.
Juan Manuel Julio Román, 2007. "The Fan Chart: The Technical Details Of The New Implementation," Borradores de Economia 468, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Juan Manuel Julio, 2007. "The Fan Chart: The Technical Details Of The New Implementation," Borradores de Economia 4294, Banco de la Republica.
Lozano, Ignacio & Ramírez, Carolina & Guarín, Alexander, 2007. "Sostenibilidad fiscal en Colombia: una mirada hacia el mediano plazo," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, July.
Timmermann, Allan & Patton, Andrew, 2007. "Learning in Real Time: Theory and Empirical Evidence from the Term Structure of Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 6526, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico, 2005. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Macroeconomics 0510024, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Giannone, Domenico & Dâ€™Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers 6594, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/06, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Surico, Paolo & Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability," Working Paper Series 605, European Central Bank.
Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 621-633, 04-05.
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Richardson, James W. & Herbst, Brian K. & Duncan, Anthony & den Besten, Mark & van Hoven, Peter, 2007. "Location Preference for Risk-Averse Dutch Dairy Farmers Immigrating to the United States," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 39(3), pages 1-14, December.
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Olivier Coibion, 2010. "Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(1), pages 87-101, February.
- Olivier Coibion, 2007. "Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," Working Papers 61, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary.
Corporate author, 2007. "Tendenzen der Wirtschaftsentwicklung 2007/2008," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 74(30), pages 453-477.
Pham The Anh, 2007. "Growth, Volatility And Stabilisation Policy In A DSGE Model With Nominal Rigidities And Learning-By-Doing," Working Papers 04, Development and Policies Research Center (DEPOCEN), Vietnam.
Kenny, Geoff & Genre, Véronique & Bowles, Carlos & Friz, Roberta & Meyler, Aidan & Rautanen, Tuomas, 2007. "The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) - A review after eight years' experience," Occasional Paper Series 59, European Central Bank.
Levine, Paul & McAdam, Peter & Pearlman, Joseph, 2008. "Quantifying and sustaining welfare gains from monetary commitment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(7), pages 1253-1276, October.
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Mestre, Ricardo, 2007. "Are survey-based inflation expections in the euro area informative?," Working Paper Series 721, European Central Bank.
Carlo Altavilla & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2006. "Inflation Forecasts, Monetary Policy and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the US and the Euro Area," Discussion Papers 7_2006, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Altavilla, Carlo, 2007. "Inflation Forecasts, monetary policy and unemployment dynamics: evidence from the US and the euro area," Working Paper Series 725, European Central Bank.
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Bańbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346.
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Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph & Pierse, Richard, 2008. "Linear-quadratic approximation, external habit and targeting rules," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(10), pages 3315-3349, October.
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Vansteenkiste, Isabel & Dées, Stéphane, 2007. "The transmission of US cyclical developments to the rest of the world," Working Paper Series 798, European Central Bank.
Luca Benati & Paolo Surico, 2008. "Evolving U.S. Monetary Policy and The Decline of Inflation Predictability," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 634-646, 04-05.
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Klaus Adam, 2007. "Experimental Evidence on the Persistence of Output and Inflation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 117(520), pages 603-636, April.
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Lees, Kirdan & Matheson, Troy, 2007. "Mind your ps and qs! Improving ARMA forecasts with RBC priors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 275-281, August.
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Huisman, Ronald & Huurman, Christian & Mahieu, Ronald, 2007. "Hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 240-248, March.
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Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2007. "A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 219-236.
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Ang, Andrew & Bekaert, Geert & Wei, Min, 2007. "Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 1163-1212, May.
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2005. "Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better?," NBER Working Papers 11538, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2006. "Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2006-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Régis Barnichon, 2007. "The Shimer Puzzle and the Correct Identification of Productivity Shocks," CEP Discussion Papers dp0823, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Barnichon, Regis, 2007. "The Shimer puzzle and the correct identification of productivity shocks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 19691, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
Régis Barnichon, 2007. "Productivity, Aggregate Demand and Unemployment Fluctuations," CEP Discussion Papers dp0819, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Barnichon, Regis, 2007. "Productivity, aggregate demand and unemployment fluctuations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 19694, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Régis Barnichon, 2008. "Productivity, aggregate demand and unemployment fluctuations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-47, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
William A. Barnett & Ikuyasu Usui, 2007. "The Theoretical Regularity Properties of the Normalized Quadratic Consumer Demand Model," International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, in: Functional Structure Inference, pages 107-127, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
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- Barnett, William A. & Usui, Ikuyasu, 2006. "The Theoretical Regularity Properties of the Normalized Quadratic Consumer Demand Model," MPRA Paper 410, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Quante, R. & Meyr, H. & Fleischmann, M., 2007. "Revenue Management and Demand Fulfillment: Matching Applications, Models, and Software," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2007-050-LIS, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
- Quante, R. & Meyr, H. & Fleischmann, M., 2009. "Revenue management and demand fulfillment: matching applications, models, and software," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 36060, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
Huisman, Ronald & Huurman, Christian & Mahieu, Ronald, 2007. "Hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 240-248, March.
- Huisman, R. & Huurman, C. & Mahieu, R.J., 2007. "Hourly Electricity Prices in Day-Ahead Markets," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2007-002-F&A, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
Hall, Alastair R. & Inoue, Atsushi & Nason, James M. & Rossi, Barbara, 2012. "Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(2), pages 499-518.
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- Alastair Hall & Atsushi & James M Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2009. "Information Criteria For Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation Of Dsge Models," Working Papers 09-09, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Alastair R. Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2007. "Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2007-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Alastair R. Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2009. "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 127, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Alastair Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2010. "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Working Papers 10-28, Duke University, Department of Economics.
Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2011. "Input And Output Inventories In General Equilibrium," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 52(4), pages 1179-1213, November.
- Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2007. "Input and Output Inventories in General Equilibrium," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 658, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 23 Oct 2009.
- Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2010. "Input and output inventories in general equilibrium," International Finance Discussion Papers 1004, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2007. "Input and output inventories in general equilibrium," Working Papers 07-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
Aruoba, S. BoraÄŸan & Diebold, Francis X. & Scotti, Chiara, 2009. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 417-427.
- Chiara Scotti & S.Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & University of Maryland, 2006. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 387, Society for Computational Economics.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," NBER Working Papers 14349, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007. "Real-time measurement of business conditions," International Finance Discussion Papers 901, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007. "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," PIER Working Paper Archive 07-028, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008. "Real-time measurement of business conditions," Working Papers 08-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
Chari, V.V. & Kehoe, Patrick J. & McGrattan, Ellen R., 2008. "Are structural VARs with long-run restrictions useful in developing business cycle theory?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(8), pages 1337-1352, November.
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Bart De Ketelbutter & Ludovic Dobbelaere & Filip Vanhorebeek, 2007. "Working Paper 10-07 - Foreign trade in Modtrim," Working Papers 0710, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium.
Bart De Ketelbutter & Ludovic Dobbelaere & Filip Vanhorebeek, 2007. "Working Paper 10-07 - Foreign trade in Modtrim," Working Papers 200710, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium.
Marcelo de Oliveira Passos & José Luís Oreiro, 2007. "Um modelo macrodinâmico pós-keynesiano de simulação para uma economia aberta," Working Papers 0069, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Department of Economics.
Gamber, Edward N. & Smith, Julie K., 2009. "Are the Fed's inflation forecasts still superior to the private sector's?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 240-251, June.
- Edward N. Gamber & Julie K. Smith, 2007. "Are the Fed’s Inflation Forecasts Still Superior to the Private Sector’s?," Working Papers 2007-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Jul 2008.
Hansson, Jesper & Jansson, Per & Löf, Mårten, 2003. "Business Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting the Macro Economy?," Working Paper Series 151, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Hansson, Jesper & Jansson, Per & Löf, Mårten, 2003. "Business Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting the Macro Economy?," Working Papers 84, National Institute of Economic Research.
Andersson, Michael K. & Karlsson, Gustav & Svensson, Josef, 2007. "The Riksbank’s Forecasting Performance," Working Paper Series 218, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
Hans Genberg & Jian Chang, 2007. "A VAR Framework for Forecasting Hong Kong'S Output and Inflation," Working Papers 0702, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
J.E. Boscá & A. Bustos & A. Díaz & R. Doménech & J. Ferri & E. Pérez & L. Puch, 2007. "The REMSDB Macroeconomic Database of The Spanish Economy," Working Papers 0704, International Economics Institute, University of Valencia.
Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(4), pages 667-699, June.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(4), pages 667-699, June.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: from Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 78, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2007. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Discussion Paper Series 0715, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: from Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0631, Economics, The University of Manchester.
MaruÃ…Â¡ka Vizek & Tanja Broz, 2009. "Modeling Inflation in Croatia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(6), pages 87-98, November.
- Maruška Vizek & Tanja Broz, 2007. "Modelling Inflation in Croatia," Working Papers 0703, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb.
Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 2000. "Characteristics of Unemployment Dynamics: The Chain Reaction Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 127, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 2007. "Characteristics of Unemployment Dynamics. The Chain Reaction Approach," Economics Series 205, Institute for Advanced Studies.
Hofer, Helmut & Kunst, Robert M. & Schwarzbauer, Wolfgang & Schuh, Ulrich & Snower, Dennis J., 2007. "Some Evidence on the Relevance of the Chain-reaction Theory in Selected Countries," Economics Series 207, Institute for Advanced Studies.
Paul Levine & Peter McAdam & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "Inflation-Forecast-Based Rules and Indeterminacy: A Puzzle and a Resolution," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(4), pages 77-110, December.
- McAdam, Peter & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2006. "Inflation forecast-based-rules and indeterminacy: a puzzle and a resolution," Working Paper Series 643, European Central Bank.
Malin Adolfson & Michael K. Andersson & Jesper Lindé & Mattias Villani & Anders Vredin, 2007. "Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(4), pages 111-144, December.
- Adolfson, Malin & Andersson, Michael K. & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias & Vredin, Anders, 2005. "Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks," Working Paper Series 188, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), revised 01 Jun 2006.
Bianca Maria Martelli & Gaia Rocchetti, 2007. "Cyclical features of the ISAE business services series," ISAE Working Papers 89, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY).
Bastian M. Zams & Nawalage S. Cooray, 2007. "Econometric Analysis of the Exchange Rate Channel and Monetary Policy Rule: The Case of Indonesia," Working Papers EMS_2007_04, Research Institute, International University of Japan.
George Athanasopoulos & Heather M. Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2007. "Nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of output in G-7 countries," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 63-87.
- Heather M. Anderson & George Athanasopoulos & Farshid Vahid, 2002. "Nonlinear Autoregresssive Leading Indicator Models of Output in G-7 Countries," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 20/02, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Heather M. Anderson & George Athanasopoulos & Farshid Vahid, 2006. "Nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of output in G-7 countries," CAMA Working Papers 2006-14, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Kin-Yip Ho & Albert K Tsui & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2007. "An Analysis Of The Conditional Volatility Dynamics Of The Australian Business Cycle," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 32(2), pages 157-182, December.
O. De Bandt & E. Michaux & C. Bruneau & A. Flageollet, 2007. "Forecasting inflation using economic indicators: the case of France," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1-22.
- Bruneau, C. & De Bandt, O. & Flageollet, A. & Michaux, E., 2003. "Forecasting Inflation using Economic Indicators: the Case of France," Working papers 101, Banque de France.
Thomas A. Knetsch, 2007. "Forecasting the price of crude oil via convenience yield predictions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(7), pages 527-549.
- Knetsch, Thomas A., 2006. "Forecasting the price of crude oil via convenience yield predictions," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,12, Deutsche Bundesbank.
George Hondroyiannis & Sophia Lazaretou, 2007. "Inflation persistence during periods of structural change: an assessment using Greek data," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 34(5), pages 453-475, December.
- George Hondroyiannis & Sophia Lazaretou, 2004. "Inflation Persistence during Periods of Structural Change: An Assessment Using Greek Data," Working Papers 13, Bank of Greece.
- Hondroyiannis, George & Lazaretou, Sophia, 2004. "Inflation persistence during periods of structural change: an assessment using Greek data," Working Paper Series 370, European Central Bank.
Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2007. "Global Inflation," Kiel Working Papers 1337, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
Szabó-Bakos, Eszter, 2007. "Az új keynesi elvek alkalmazása a Fed, az IMF és az Európai Központi Bank modellezési gyakorlatában [Application of new Keynesian principles in the modelling practice of the Fed, the IMF and the Eu," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(5), pages 415-434.
Viktors Ajevskis, 2007. "Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in Latvia," Working Papers 2007/04, Latvijas Banka.
James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2007. "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(s1), pages 3-33, February.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2006. "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?," NBER Working Papers 12324, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Jean-StÃ©phane MESONNIER, 2007. "The predictive content of the real interest rate gap for macroeconomic variables in the euro area," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 102, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
Álvaro Aguiar & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2007. "Monetary Policy and the Political Support for a Labor Market Reform," FEP Working Papers 237, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
- Ã¿lvaro Aguiar & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2007. "Monetary Policy and the Political Support for a Labor Market Reform," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 112, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
National Bank of Belgium, 2007. "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2007," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-16, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2007. "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2007," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-28, June.

2006

Clements, Michael P, 2006. "Internal consistency of survey respondents.forecasts : Evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 772, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P., 2006. "Internal consistency of survey respondentsíforecasts: Evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters," Economic Research Papers 269742, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
Cees Diks & Cars Hommes & Valentyn Panchenko & Roy Weide, 2008. "E&F Chaos: A User Friendly Software Package for Nonlinear Economic Dynamics," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 32(1), pages 221-244, September.
- Diks, C.G.H. & Hommes, C.H. & Panchenko, V. & Weide, R. van der, 2006. "E&F Chaos: a user friendly software package for nonlinear economic dynamics," CeNDEF Working Papers 06-15, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
Márcio Holland, 2006. "Exchange Rate Volatility and the Fear of Floating in Brazil," Economia, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 7(2), pages 279-292.
Lukas Vogel & Werner Roeger & Bernhard Herz, 2006. "Optimal Simple Rules for Fiscal Policy in a Monetary Union," Working Papers 021, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE).
Jean-Thomas Bernard & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian & Sebastien Mcmahon, 2008. "Forecasting commodity prices: GARCH, jumps, and mean reversion," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 279-291.
- Jean-Thomas Bernard & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian & Sebastien McMahon, 2006. "Forecasting Commodity Prices: GARCH, Jumps, and Mean Reversion," Staff Working Papers 06-14, Bank of Canada.
Anna Piretti & Charles St-Arnaud, 2006. "Launching the NEUQ: The New European Union Quarterly Model, A Small Model of the Euro Area and U.K. Economies," Staff Working Papers 06-22, Bank of Canada.
Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2008. "Forecasting Canadian time series with the New Keynesian model," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(1), pages 138-165, February.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2008. "Forecasting Canadian time series with the New Keynesian model," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 138-165, February.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2005. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New-Keynesian Model," Cahiers de recherche 0527, CIRPEE.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2006. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New Keynesian Model," Staff Working Papers 06-4, Bank of Canada.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2006. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series With the New-Keynesian Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 382, Central Bank of Chile.
Ali Dib & Ian Christensen, 2005. "Monetary Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model with a Financial Accelerator," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 314, Society for Computational Economics.
- Ian Christensen & Ali Dib, 2006. "Monetary Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model with a Financial Accelerator," Staff Working Papers 06-9, Bank of Canada.
Laura D´Amato & Lidia Sanz & Juan M. Sotes Paladino (ed.), 2006. "Evaluating Alternative Core Inflation Measures for Argentina," BCRA Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 01, November.
Verónica Balzarotti, 2007. "Real Interest Rate Risk in the Argentine Banking System. A Measuring Model," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(46), pages 7-61, January -.
- Verónica Balzarotti, 2006. "Real Interest Rate Risk in the Argentine Banking System. A Measuring Model," BCRA Working Paper Series 200606, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
Anton Nakov, 2008. "Optimal and Simple Monetary Policy Rules with Zero Floor on the Nominal Interest Rate," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(2), pages 73-127, June.
- Anton Nakov, 2006. "Optimal and Simple Monetary Policy Rules with Zero Floor on the Nominal Interest Rate," Working Papers 0637, Banco de España.
Pagano Patrizio & Pisani Massimiliano, 2009. "Risk-Adjusted Forecasts of Oil Prices," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-28, June.
- Patrizio Pagano & Massimiliano Pisani, 2006. "Risk-Adjusted Forecasts of Oil Prices," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 585, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Pagano, Patrizio & Pisani, Massimiliano, 2009. "Risk-adjusted forecasts of oil prices," Working Paper Series 999, European Central Bank.
Carlos Capistr¡N & Allan Timmermann, 2009. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 41(2-3), pages 365-396, March.
- Carlos CapistrÃ¡n & Allan Timmermann, 2006. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 3, Society for Computational Economics.
- Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," CREATES Research Papers 2008-56, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Timmermann Allan & Capistrán Carlos, 2006. "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Working Papers 2006-07, Banco de México.
CapistrÃ¡n, Carlos & Timmermann, Allan, 2009. "Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit of Experts," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 428-440.
- Timmermann Allan & Capistrán Carlos, 2006. "Forecast Combination with Entry and Exit of Experts," Working Papers 2006-08, Banco de México.
- Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit of Experts," CREATES Research Papers 2008-55, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
José Luis Torres, 2006. "Modelos para la Inflación Básica de Bienes Transables y No Transables en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 3246, Banco de la Republica.
- José Luis Torres, 2006. "Modelos Para La Inflación Básica de Bienes Transables y No Transables en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 365, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Norberto Rodríguez N & José Luis Torres & Andrés Velasco M., 2006. "La estimación de un indicador de brecha del producto a partir de encuestas y datos reales," Borradores de Economia 3000, Banco de la Republica.
- Norberto Rodríguez N. & José Luis Torres T. & Andrés Velasco M., 2006. "La estimación de un indicador de brecha del producto a partir de encuestas y datos reales," Borradores de Economia 392, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
M sonnier, J-S., 2006. "The Reliability of Macroeconomic Forecasts based on Real Interest Rate Gap Estimates in Real Time: an Assessment for the Euro Area," Working papers 157, Banque de France.
Rangan Gupta & Moses M. Sichei, 2006. "A Bvar Model For The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 74(3), pages 391-409, September.
- Rangan Gupta & Moses M. Sichei, 2006. "A BVAR Model for the South African Economy," Working Papers 200612, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Rangan Gupta, 2006. "FORECASTING THE SOUTH AFRICAN ECONOMY WITH VARs AND VECMs," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 74(4), pages 611-628, December.
- Rangan Gupta, 2006. "Forecasting the South African Economy with VARs and VECMs," Working Papers 200618, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Hilde Bjørnland & Leif Brubakk & Anne Jore, 2008. "Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 413-436, November.
- Bjørnland, Hilde C. & Brubakk, Leif & Jore, Anne Sofie, 2006. "Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap," Memorandum 11/2006, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
- Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Brubakk & Anne Sofie Jore, 2006. "Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap," Working Paper 2006/02, Norges Bank.
Alex Brazier & Richard Harrison & Mervyn King & Tony Yates, 2008. "The Danger of Inflating Expectations of Macroeconomic Stability: Heuristic Switching in an Overlapping-Generations Monetary Model," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(2), pages 219-254, June.
- Alex Brazier & Richard Harrison & Mervyn King & Tony Yates, 2006. "The danger of inflating expectations of macroeconomic stability: heuristic switching in an overlapping generations monetary model," Bank of England working papers 303, Bank of England.
Declan Curran & Michael Funke, 2006. "Taking the Temperature - Forecasting GDP Growth for Mainland China," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 20606, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
- Curran, Declan & Funke, Michael, 2006. "Taking the temperature : forecasting GDP growth for mainland in China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 6/2006, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
- Curran, Declan & Funke, Michael, 2006. "Taking the temperature: forecasting GDP growth for mainland in China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 6/2006, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
Sophocles N. Brissimis & Nicholas S. Magginas, 2008. "Inflation Forecasts and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4(2), pages 1-22, June.
- Sophocles N. Brissimis & Nicholas S. Magginas, 2006. "Inflation Forecasts and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Papers 38, Bank of Greece.
Alan Cosme Rodrigues da Silva & Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo & Gustavo Silva Araújo & Myrian Beatriz Eiras das Neves, 2006. "Internal Model Validation in Brazil: Analysis of VaR Backtesting Methodologies," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 4(1), pages 97-118.
Granato, Jim & Guse, Eran A. & Wong, M. C. Sunny, 2008. "Learning From The Expectations Of Others," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 345-377, June.
- Jim Granato & Eran Guse & Sunny Wong, 2006. "Learning From the Expectations of Others," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 449, Society for Computational Economics.
- Granato, J. & Guse, E. & Sunny Wong, M.C., 2006. "Learning from the Expectations of Others," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0605, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
Bermingham, Colin, 2006. "How Useful is Core Inflation for Forecasting Headline Inflation?," Research Technical Papers 11/RT/06, Central Bank of Ireland.
Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico, 2005. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Macroeconomics 0510024, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/06, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Surico, Paolo & Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability," Working Paper Series 605, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Dâ€™Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers 6594, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Lungu, L. & Matthews, K.G.P. & Minford, A.P.L., 2008. "Partial current information and signal extraction in a rational expectations macroeconomic model: A computational solution," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 255-273, March.
- L. Lungu & K. G. P. Matthews, 2002. "Partial Current Information and Signal Extraction in a Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model: A Computational Solution," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 115, Society for Computational Economics.
- Lungu, Laurian & Matthews, Kent & Minford, Patrick, 2006. "Partial Current Information and Signal Extraction in a Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model: A Computational Solution," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2006/1, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2008. "Forecasting Canadian time series with the New Keynesian model," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(1), pages 138-165, February.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2008. "Forecasting Canadian time series with the New Keynesian model," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 138-165, February.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2005. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New-Keynesian Model," Cahiers de recherche 0527, CIRPEE.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2006. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series With the New-Keynesian Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 382, Central Bank of Chile.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2006. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New Keynesian Model," Staff Working Papers 06-4, Bank of Canada.
Andrés González & Luis Fernando Melo & Carlos Esteban Posada, 2006. "Inflación y dinero en Colombia: otro modelo P-estrella," Borradores de Economia 418, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Andrés González & Luis Fernando Melo & Carlos Esteban Posada, 2006. "Inflación y dinero en Colombia: otro modelo P-estrella," Borradores de Economia 2851, Banco de la Republica.
Norberto Rodríguez N. & José Luis Torres T. & Andrés Velasco M., 2006. "La estimación de un indicador de brecha del producto a partir de encuestas y datos reales," Borradores de Economia 392, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Norberto Rodríguez N & José Luis Torres & Andrés Velasco M., 2006. "La estimación de un indicador de brecha del producto a partir de encuestas y datos reales," Borradores de Economia 3000, Banco de la Republica.
José Luis Torres, 2006. "Modelos Para La Inflación Básica de Bienes Transables y No Transables en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 365, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- José Luis Torres, 2006. "Modelos para la Inflación Básica de Bienes Transables y No Transables en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 3246, Banco de la Republica.
Fabia A de Carvalho & Mauricio S. Bugarin, 2006. "Inflation Expectations in Latin America," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 101-145, January.
Julio J. Rotemberg, 2008. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2006, pages 65-114, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Cyclical wages in a search-and-bargaining model with large firms," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," NBER Working Papers 12415, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Rotemberg, Julio J., 2006. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," CEPR Discussion Papers 5791, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Cyclical wages in a search and bargaining model with large firms," Working Papers 06-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
G. Biau & O. Biau & L. Rouviere, 2006. "Nonparametric Forecasting of the Manufacturing Output Growth with Firm-level Survey Data," Documents de Travail de la DESE - Working Papers of the DESE g2006-06, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, DESE.
Kolver Hernandez, 2004. "State-Dependent Nominal Rigidities & Disinflation Programs in Small Open Economies," Macroeconomics 0411021, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Kolver Hernandez, 2006. "State-Dependent Nominal Rigidities & Disinflation Programs in Small Open Economies," Working Papers 06-13, University of Delaware, Department of Economics.
Ard den Reijer, 2006. "The Dutch business cycle: which indicators should we monitor?," DNB Working Papers 100, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
Lennard van Gelder & Ad Stokman, 2006. "Regime transplants in GDP growth forecasting: A recipe for better predictions?," DNB Working Papers 106, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
Tsoulfidis, L. & Dergiades, Th., 2006. "The Inflation-Capacity Utilization Conundrum: Evidence from the Canadian Economy," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(2).
Anthony S. Tay, 2006. "Mixing Frequencies : Stock Returns as a Predictor of Real Output Growth," Macroeconomics Working Papers 22480, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
Libor Krkoska & Utku Teksoz, 2006. "Forecasting inflation for transition countries: How accurate are the EBRD forecasts?," Working Papers 98, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Office of the Chief Economist.
Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico, 2005. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Macroeconomics 0510024, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Surico, Paolo & Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability," Working Paper Series 605, European Central Bank.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/06, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Giannone, Domenico & Dâ€™Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers 6594, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Tetlow, Robert J. & Ironside, Brian, 2005. "Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," CEPR Discussion Papers 5305, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Tetlow, Robert J. & Ironside, Brian, 2006. "Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," Working Paper Series 610, European Central Bank.
- Brian Ironside & Robert J. Tetlow, 2006. "Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2006-08, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Diron, Marie, 2006. "Short-term forecasts of euro area real GDP growth: an assessment of real-time performance based on vintage data," Working Paper Series 622, European Central Bank.
Paul Levine & Peter McAdam & Joseph Pearlman, 2007. "Inflation-Forecast-Based Rules and Indeterminacy: A Puzzle and a Resolution," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(4), pages 77-110, December.
- McAdam, Peter & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2006. "Inflation forecast-based-rules and indeterminacy: a puzzle and a resolution," Working Paper Series 643, European Central Bank.
Bruce McGough, 2006. "Shocking Escapes," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(511), pages 507-528, April.
- Bruce McGough, 2003. "Shocking Escapes," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 294, Society for Computational Economics.
Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2006. "Aggregation and Optimization with State-Dependent Pricing: A Comment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(2), pages 565-573, March.
Aruoba, S. Boragan & Fernandez-Villaverde, Jesus & Rubio-Ramirez, Juan F., 2006. "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2477-2508, December.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Comparing Solution Methods for Dynamic Equilibrium Economies," PIER Working Paper Archive 04-003, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- S. B. Aruoba & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2005. "Comparing Solution Methods for Dynamic Equilibrium Economies," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000000855, UCLA Department of Economics.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
Batini, Nicoletta & Justiniano, Alejandro & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph, 2006. "Robust inflation-forecast-based rules to shield against indeterminacy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(9-10), pages 1491-1526.
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Branch, William A. & Evans, George W., 2006. "A simple recursive forecasting model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 158-166, May.
- Wiliam Branch & George W. Evans, 2005. "A Simple Recursive Forecasting Model," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2005-3, University of Oregon Economics Department, revised 01 Feb 2005.
Boivin, Jean & Ng, Serena, 2006. "Are more data always better for factor analysis?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 169-194, May.
- Jean Boivin & Serena Ng, 2003. "Are More Data Always Better for Factor Analysis?," NBER Working Papers 9829, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 2006. "A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 499-526.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & James Stock & Mark Watson, 2005. "A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series," Working Papers 285, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Stock, James & Watson, Mark & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2005. "A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series," CEPR Discussion Papers 4976, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Kobayashi, Keiichiro & Inaba, Masaru, 2006. "Business cycle accounting for the Japanese economy," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 418-440, December.
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- Keiichiro Kobayashi & Masaru Inaba, 2006. "Business cycle accounting for the Japanese economy," 2006 Meeting Papers 313, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Barnett, William A., 2006. "Comments on "Chaotic monetary dynamics with confidence"," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 253-255, March.
- William Barnett, 2005. "Comment on 'Chaotic Monetary Dynamics with Confidence'," Macroeconomics 0505017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William Barnett, 2006. "Comment on 'Chaotic Monetary Dynamics with Confidence'," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200602, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
He, Yijun & Barnett, William A., 2006. "Singularity bifurcations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 5-22, March.
- Yijun He & William Barnett, 2004. "Singularity Bifurcations," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200412, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2004.
- Yijun He & William A. Barnett, 2004. "Singularity Bifurcation," Macroeconomics 0409024, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 13 Oct 2004.
Bruck, Tilman & Zwiener, Rudolf, 2006. "Fiscal policy rules for stabilisation and growth: A simulation analysis of deficit and expenditure targets in a monetary union," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 357-369, May.
- Tilman Brück & Rudolf Zwiener, 2004. "Fiscal Policy Rules for Stabilisation and Growth: A Simulation Analysis of Deficit and Expenditure Targets in a Monetary Union," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 427, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
George Athanasopoulos & Heather M. Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2007. "Nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of output in G-7 countries," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 63-87.
- Heather M. Anderson & George Athanasopoulos & Farshid Vahid, 2002. "Nonlinear Autoregresssive Leading Indicator Models of Output in G-7 Countries," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 20/02, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Heather M. Anderson & George Athanasopoulos & Farshid Vahid, 2006. "Nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of output in G-7 countries," CAMA Working Papers 2006-14, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Kajal Lahiri & Fushang Liu, 2006. "ARCH Models for Multi-period Forecast Uncertainty: A Reality Check Using a Panel of Density Forecasts," Advances in Econometrics, in: Econometric Analysis of Financial and Economic Time Series, pages 321-363, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Lahiri, Kajal & Liu, Fushang, 2005. "ARCH models for multi-period forecast uncertainty-a reality check using a panel of density forecasts," MPRA Paper 21693, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Karsten Neuhoff & Federico Ferrario & Michael Grubb & Etienne Gabel & Kim Keats, 2006. "Emission projections 2008-2012 versus NAPs II," Working Papers EPRG 0631, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
Victor Bystrov, 2006. "Forecasting Emerging Market Indicators: Brazil and Russia," Economics Working Papers ECO2006/12, European University Institute.
Andreas Billmeier, 2006. "Measuring a Roller Coaster: Evidence on the Finnish Output Gap," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 19(2), pages 69-83, Autumn.
- Mr. Andreas Billmeier, 2004. "Measuring a Roller Coaster: Evidenceon the Finnish Output Gap," IMF Working Papers 2004/057, International Monetary Fund.
Julio J. Rotemberg, 2008. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2006, pages 65-114, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Cyclical wages in a search-and-bargaining model with large firms," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," NBER Working Papers 12415, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Cyclical wages in a search and bargaining model with large firms," Working Papers 06-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Rotemberg, Julio J., 2006. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," CEPR Discussion Papers 5791, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Julio J. Rotemberg, 2008. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2006, pages 65-114, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Cyclical wages in a search-and-bargaining model with large firms," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," NBER Working Papers 12415, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Rotemberg, Julio J., 2006. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," CEPR Discussion Papers 5791, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Cyclical wages in a search and bargaining model with large firms," Working Papers 06-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
Kevin Lansing, 2009. "Time Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 12(2), pages 304-326, April.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," 2006 Meeting Papers 758, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-varying U.S. inflation dynamics and the New-Keynesian Phillips curve," Working Paper Series 2006-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 488, Society for Computational Economics.
Swanson Eric T, 2006. "The Relative Price and Relative Productivity Channels for Aggregate Fluctuations," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-39, October.
- Eric T. Swanson, 2006. "The relative price and relative productivity channels for aggregate fluctuations," Working Paper Series 2006-20, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Tetlow, Robert J. & Ironside, Brian, 2005. "Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," CEPR Discussion Papers 5305, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Brian Ironside & Robert J. Tetlow, 2006. "Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2006-08, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Tetlow, Robert J. & Ironside, Brian, 2006. "Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," Working Paper Series 610, European Central Bank.
Ang, Andrew & Bekaert, Geert & Wei, Min, 2007. "Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 1163-1212, May.
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2005. "Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better?," NBER Working Papers 11538, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2006. "Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2006-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Patrick J. Kehoe, 2006. "How to Advance Theory with Structural VARs: Use the Sims-Cogley-Nason Approach," NBER Working Papers 12575, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Patrick J. Kehoe, 2006. "How to advance theory with structural VARs: use the Sims-Cogley-Nason approach," Staff Report 379, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2006. "The relationship between expected inflation, disagreement, and uncertainty: evidence from matched point and density forecasts," Staff Reports 253, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Croushore Dean, 2010. "An Evaluation of Inflation Forecasts from Surveys Using Real-Time Data," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-32, May.
- Dean Croushore, 2006. "An evaluation of inflation forecasts from surveys using real-time data," Working Papers 06-19, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
Tommaso Mancini Griffoli, 2006. "Monetary Policy with Endogenous Firm Entry and Sticky Entry Costs," IHEID Working Papers 09-2006, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.
Curran, Declan & Funke, Michael, 2006. "Taking the temperature: forecasting GDP growth for mainland in China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 6/2006, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
- Declan Curran & Michael Funke, 2006. "Taking the Temperature - Forecasting GDP Growth for Mainland China," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 20606, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
Ulrich Fritsche & Jörg Döpke, 2005. "Forecast Errors and the Macroeconomy: A Non-Linear Relationship?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 498, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
- Ulrich Fritsche & Joerg Doepke, 2006. "Forecast errors and the macroeconomy — a non-linear relationship?," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200602, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
Hilde Bjørnland & Leif Brubakk & Anne Jore, 2008. "Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 413-436, November.
- Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Brubakk & Anne Sofie Jore, 2006. "Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap," Working Paper 2006/02, Norges Bank.
- Bjørnland, Hilde C. & Brubakk, Leif & Jore, Anne Sofie, 2006. "Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap," Memorandum 11/2006, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
Bårdsen, Gunnar & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2006. "U.S. natural rate dynamics reconsidered," Memorandum 13/2006, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
Ansgar Belke & Thorsten Polleit & Wim Kösters & Martin Leschke, 2006. "Money matters for inflation in the euro area," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim 279/2006, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany.
Bernd Meyer & Christian Lutz & Peter Schnur & Gerd Zika, 2007. "National Economic Policy Simulations with Global Interdependencies: A Sensitivity Analysis for Germany," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 37-55.
- Meyer, Bernd & Lutz, Christian & Schnur, Peter & Zika, Gerd, 2006. "National economic policy simulations with global interdependencies : a sensitivity analysis for Germany," IAB-Discussion Paper 200612, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
Lei Lei Song, 2006. "The Comovement between Fuel Prices and the General Price level in Australia," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2006n17, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
Christian Proa~no & Peter Flaschel & Willi Semmler, 2008. "Currency Crises and Monetary Policy in Economies with Partial Dollarization of Liabilities," The IUP Journal of Monetary Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(3), pages 14-39, August.
- Peter Flaschel & Christian Proano & Willi Semmler, 2006. "Currency Crises and Monetary Policy in Economies with Partial Dollarisation of Liabilities," IMK Working Paper 05-2006, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
Ivan Kitov, 2005. "GDP growth rate and population," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 28(9), pages 1.
- Ivan O. Kitov, 2006. "GDP growth rate and population," Working Papers 42, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
- Ivan O. Kitov, 2008. "GDP growth rate and population," Papers 0811.2125, arXiv.org.
Katarina Bacic & Maruska Vizek, 2006. "A Brand New CROLEI: Do We Need a New Forecasting Index?," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 30(4), pages 311-346.
Anthony Garratt & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2006. "Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 521-542, May.
- Donald Robertson & Anthony Garratt & Stephen Wright, 2006. "Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 521-542.
- Anthony Garratt & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2005. "Permanent vs Transitory Components and Economic Fundamentals," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0501, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
Gultekin Isiklar & Kajal Lahiri & Prakash Loungani, 2006. "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross‐country surveys," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(6), pages 703-725, September.
- Kajal Lahiri & Gultekin Isiklar & Prakash Loungani, 2006. "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(6), pages 703-725.
- Isiklar, Gultekin & Lahiri, Kajal & Loungani, Prakash, 2006. "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys," MPRA Paper 22065, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji & Stephen M. Miller, 2006. "Performance evaluation of the New Connecticut Leading Employment Index using lead profiles and BVAR models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 415-437.
- Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua & Stephen M. Miller, 2002. "Performance Evaluation of the New Connecticut Leading Employment Index Using Lead Profiles and BVAR Models," Working papers 2002-34, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2005.
- Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua & Stephen M. Miller, 2003. "Performance Evaluation of the New Connecticut Leading Employment Index Using Lead Profiles and BVAR Models," Working papers 114, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
Barnett, William A., 2006. "Comments on "Chaotic monetary dynamics with confidence"," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 253-255, March.
- William Barnett, 2005. "Comment on 'Chaotic Monetary Dynamics with Confidence'," Macroeconomics 0505017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William Barnett, 2006. "Comment on 'Chaotic Monetary Dynamics with Confidence'," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200602, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya Aleksandrovna, 2008. "Non-robust dynamic inferences from macroeconometric models: Bifurcation stratification of confidence regions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(15), pages 3817-3825.
- Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya, 2006. "Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions," MPRA Paper 402, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William Barnett & Evgeniya Aleksandrovna Duzhak, 2006. "Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200608, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
- Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya A., 2007. "Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions," MPRA Paper 6005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
William A. Barnett & Ikuyasu Usui, 2007. "The Theoretical Regularity Properties of the Normalized Quadratic Consumer Demand Model," International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, in: Functional Structure Inference, pages 107-127, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Barnett, William A. & Usui, Ikuyasu, 2006. "The Theoretical Regularity Properties of the Normalized Quadratic Consumer Demand Model," MPRA Paper 410, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William Barnett & Ikuyasu Usui, 2006. "The Theoretical Regularity Properties of the Normalized Quadratic Consumer Demand Model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200609, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
He, Yijun & Barnett, William A., 2006. "Existence of bifurcation in macroeconomic dynamics: Grandmont was right," MPRA Paper 756, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William Barnett & Yijun He, 2006. "Existence of Bifurcation in Macroeconomic Dynamics: Grandmont was Right," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200610, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
Jonas Dovern, 2006. "Predicting GDP Components. Do Leading Indicators Increase Predictability?," Kiel Advanced Studies Working Papers 436, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
Jakab M., Zoltán & Kovács, Mihály András & Kiss, Gergely, 2006. "Mit tanultunk?. A jegybanki előrejelzések szerepe az inflációs cél követésének első öt évében Magyarországon [What are we studying?. The role of central-bank forecasts in Hungarian inflation target," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 1101-1134.
Várpalotai, Viktor, 2006. "Az inflációs cél követésének optimális horizontja Magyarországon [The optimal horizon for inflation targeting in Hungary]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(12), pages 1135-1154.
Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(4), pages 667-699, June.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(4), pages 667-699, June.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: from Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0631, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: from Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 78, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2007. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Discussion Paper Series 0715, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(4), pages 667-699, June.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(4), pages 667-699, June.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: from Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 78, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2007. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Discussion Paper Series 0715, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
- Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2006. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: from Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0631, Economics, The University of Manchester.
Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2006. "The Predictive Content of the Output Gap for Inflation: Resolving In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(5), pages 1127-1148, August.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2003. "The predictive content of the output gap for inflation : resolving in-sample and out-of-sample evidence," Research Working Paper RWP 03-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Michael W. McCracken & Todd E. Clark, 2003. "The Predictive Content of the Output Gap for Inflation: Resolving In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Evidence," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 183, Society for Computational Economics.
Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2006. "The Econometric Analysis of Constructed Binary Time Series," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 963, The University of Melbourne.
David Shepherd & Robert Dixon, 2008. "The Cyclical Dynamics and Volatility of Australian Output and Employment," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 84(264), pages 34-49, March.
- Robert Dixon & David Shepherd, 2006. "The Cyclical Dynamics and Volatility of Australian Output and Employment," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 968, The University of Melbourne.
National Bank of Belgium, 2006. "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2006," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-15, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2006. "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2006," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-26, June.
Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2006. "A generalised dynamic factor model for the Belgian economy - Useful business cycle indicators and GDP growth forecasts," Working Paper Research 80, National Bank of Belgium.
Marc P. Giannoni & Jean Boivin, 2005. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 431, Society for Computational Economics.
- Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2006. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," NBER Technical Working Papers 0332, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2006. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," NBER Working Papers 12772, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Boivin, J. & Giannoni, M., 2007. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," Working papers 162, Banque de France.
James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2007. "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(s1), pages 3-33, February.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2006. "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?," NBER Working Papers 12324, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Julio J. Rotemberg, 2008. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2006, pages 65-114, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Cyclical wages in a search-and-bargaining model with large firms," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Cyclical wages in a search and bargaining model with large firms," Working Papers 06-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," NBER Working Papers 12415, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Rotemberg, Julio J., 2006. "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," CEPR Discussion Papers 5791, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Patrick J. Kehoe, 2006. "How to advance theory with structural VARs: use the Sims-Cogley-Nason approach," Staff Report 379, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Patrick J. Kehoe, 2006. "How to Advance Theory with Structural VARs: Use the Sims-Cogley-Nason Approach," NBER Working Papers 12575, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Marc P. Giannoni & Jean Boivin, 2005. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 431, Society for Computational Economics.
- Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2006. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," NBER Working Papers 12772, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2006. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," NBER Technical Working Papers 0332, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Boivin, J. & Giannoni, M., 2007. "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," Working papers 162, Banque de France.
G. Biau & O. Biau & L. Rouviere, 2006. "Nonparametric Forecasting of the Manufacturing Output Growth with Firm-level Survey Data," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers g2006-06, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
Roland Meeks, 2006. "Credit Shocks and Cycles: a Bayesian Calibration Approach," Economics Papers 2006-W11, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
Khoon Lek Goh & Daniel Lawrence, 2006. "Treasury’s Forecasting Performance: A Head-to-Head Comparison," Treasury Working Paper Series 06/10, New Zealand Treasury.
Peter Hoeller & Claude Giorno, 2006. "Nothing Ventured, Nothing Gained: The Long-Run Fiscal Reward of Structural Reforms," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 493, OECD Publishing.
Annabelle Mourougane, 2006. "Forecasting Monthly GDP for Canada," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 515, OECD Publishing.
Nigel Pain & Isabell Koske & Marte Sollie, 2006. "Globalisation and Inflation in the OECD Economies," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 524, OECD Publishing.
Pelinescu Elena, 2006. "Modelarea inflaţiei în România," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 01, March.
Madhavi Bokil & Axel Schimmelpfennig, 2006. "Three Attempts at Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 45(3), pages 341-368.
Everts, Martin, 2006. "Sectoral and Industrial Business Cycles," MPRA Paper 1176, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Everts, Martin, 2006. "Duration of Business Cycles," MPRA Paper 1219, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Mendoza Lugo, Omar & Pedauga, Luis Enrique, 2006. "Efecto transferencia (pass-through) del tipo de cambio en los precios de bienes y servicios en Venezuela [Exchange rate pass-through on prices of goods and services in Venezuela]," MPRA Paper 14874, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ghent, Andra, 2006. "Comparing Models of Macroeconomic Fluctuations: How Big Are the Differences?," MPRA Paper 180, University Library of Munich, Germany.
dong, congcong, 2006. "世界经济长波导论:对危机与萧条的研究及预测 [An Introduction to World Economic Long Wave-Crises and Depressions: From Study to Anticipation]," MPRA Paper 2106, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 Mar 2006.
Gultekin Isiklar & Kajal Lahiri & Prakash Loungani, 2006. "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross‐country surveys," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(6), pages 703-725, September.
- Kajal Lahiri & Gultekin Isiklar & Prakash Loungani, 2006. "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(6), pages 703-725.
- Isiklar, Gultekin & Lahiri, Kajal & Loungani, Prakash, 2006. "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys," MPRA Paper 22065, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kitov, Ivan, 2006. "The Japanese economy," MPRA Paper 2737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ivan Kitov, 2007. "The Japanese Economy," Mechonomics mechonomics6, Socionet.
Foresti, Pasquale, 2006. "Testing for Granger causality between stock prices and economic growth," MPRA Paper 2962, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2007.
Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya Aleksandrovna, 2008. "Non-robust dynamic inferences from macroeconometric models: Bifurcation stratification of confidence regions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(15), pages 3817-3825.
- William Barnett & Evgeniya Aleksandrovna Duzhak, 2006. "Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200608, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
- Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya, 2006. "Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions," MPRA Paper 402, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya A., 2007. "Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions," MPRA Paper 6005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Odia Ndongo, Yves Francis, 2006. "Datation du Cycle du PIB Camerounais entre 1960 et 2003," MPRA Paper 552, University Library of Munich, Germany.
William Barnett & Yijun He, 2006. "Existence of Bifurcation in Macroeconomic Dynamics: Grandmont was Right," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200610, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
- He, Yijun & Barnett, William A., 2006. "Existence of bifurcation in macroeconomic dynamics: Grandmont was right," MPRA Paper 756, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Vitek, Francis, 2006. "Monetary Policy Analysis in a Closed Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," MPRA Paper 797, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Vitek, Francis, 2006. "Measuring the Stance of Monetary Policy in a Closed Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," MPRA Paper 801, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Ahec Šonje, Amina & Katarina, Bacic, 2006. "A composite leading indicator for a small transition economy: the case of Croatia," MPRA Paper 83135, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Apr 2006.
Mulraine, Millan L. B., 2006. "Real Exchange Rate Dynamics With Endogenous Distribution Costs," MPRA Paper 9, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Rangan Gupta & Moses M. Sichei, 2006. "A Bvar Model For The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 74(3), pages 391-409, September.
- Rangan Gupta & Moses M. Sichei, 2006. "A BVAR Model for the South African Economy," Working Papers 200612, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Rangan Gupta, 2006. "FORECASTING THE SOUTH AFRICAN ECONOMY WITH VARs AND VECMs," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 74(4), pages 611-628, December.
- Rangan Gupta, 2006. "Forecasting the South African Economy with VARs and VECMs," Working Papers 200618, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Guangling (dave Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2007. "A Small‐Scale Dsge Model For Forecasting The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 75(2), pages 179-193, June.
- Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2006. "A Small-Scale DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy," Working Papers 200621, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
Mejra Festić, 2006. "Procyclicality of Financial and Real Sector in Transition Economies," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2006(4), pages 315-349.
Carlo Altavilla & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2006. "Inflation Forecasts, Monetary Policy and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the US and the Euro Area," Discussion Papers 7_2006, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Altavilla, Carlo, 2007. "Inflation Forecasts, monetary policy and unemployment dynamics: evidence from the US and the euro area," Working Paper Series 725, European Central Bank.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Carlo Altavilla, 2007. "Inflation Forecasts, Monetary Policy and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the US and the Euro area," 2007 Meeting Papers 315, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Wilfredo Toledo, 2006. "Avances tecnologicos y las fluctuaciones economicas: evidencia del sector de la manufactura de Puerto Rico," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 3(1), pages 35-61, Julio-Dic.
Mario Mesía & Eduardo Costa & Oscar Graham & Robert Soto & Alejandro Rabanal, 2006. "El costo del crédito en el Perú, revisión de la evolución reciente," Working Papers 2006-004, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
Kobayashi, Keiichiro & Inaba, Masaru, 2006. "Business cycle accounting for the Japanese economy," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 418-440, December.
- Keiichiro Kobayashi & Masaru Inaba, 2005. "Business Cycle Accounting for the Japanese Economy," Discussion papers 05023, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Keiichiro Kobayashi & Masaru Inaba, 2006. "Business cycle accounting for the Japanese economy," 2006 Meeting Papers 313, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Kevin Lansing, 2009. "Time Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 12(2), pages 304-326, April.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-varying U.S. inflation dynamics and the New-Keynesian Phillips curve," Working Paper Series 2006-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," 2006 Meeting Papers 758, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 488, Society for Computational Economics.
Gómez, Mario & Gómez, Ivonne Dalila, 2006. "Correlación de la producción cíclica manufacturera de México y EUA comprobada con el análisis espectral," Revista Nicolaita de Estudios Económicos, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Empresariales, vol. 0(1), pages 51-75.
Roland Döhrn, 2006. "Improving Business Cycle Forecasts’ Accuracy - What Can We Learn from Past Errors?," RWI Discussion Papers 0051, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung.
Liam Graham & Stephen Wright, 2006. "Inspecting the noisy mechanism: the stochastic growth model with partial information," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 207, Society for Computational Economics.
Viktor Dorofeenko & Gabriel S. Lee & Kevin D. Salyer, 2006. "Recovering from Crash States: A ''New'' Algorithm for Solving Dynamic Stochastic Macroeconomic Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 215, Society for Computational Economics.
Oscar Mauricio Valencia, 2006. "Fiscal Policy and Microstructure of Treasury Bonds," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 328, Society for Computational Economics.
M. Ratto & R. Girardi & R. Liska & W. Roeger & J. In't Veld, 2006. "Impact of oil prices in an estimated EU12 open economy model," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 386, Society for Computational Economics.
Paul Levine & Peter McAdam & Joseph Pearlman, 2006. "Welfare Gains from Monetary Commitment in a Model of the Euro-Area," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 403, Society for Computational Economics.
Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Richard Pierse, 2006. "Linear-Quadratic Approximation, Efficiency and Target-Implementability," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 441, Society for Computational Economics.
Granato, Jim & Guse, Eran A. & Wong, M. C. Sunny, 2008. "Learning From The Expectations Of Others," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 345-377, June.
- Granato, J. & Guse, E. & Sunny Wong, M.C., 2006. "Learning from the Expectations of Others," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0605, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Jim Granato & Eran Guse & Sunny Wong, 2006. "Learning From the Expectations of Others," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 449, Society for Computational Economics.
Kevin Lansing, 2009. "Time Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 12(2), pages 304-326, April.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-varying U.S. inflation dynamics and the New-Keynesian Phillips curve," Working Paper Series 2006-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 488, Society for Computational Economics.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2006. "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," 2006 Meeting Papers 758, Society for Economic Dynamics.
William A. Barnett & Evgeniya A. Duzhak, 2006. "Bifurcation analysis of New Keynesian models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 55, Society for Computational Economics.
Caesar Lack, 2006. "Forecasting Swiss inflation using VAR models," Economic Studies 2006-02, Swiss National Bank.
Subal Kumbhakar, 2006. "Specification and estimation of nonstandard profit functions," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 799-799, September.
- Subal Khumbhakar, 2006. "Specification and estimation of nonstandard profit functions," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 243-260, March.
Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche, 2006. "Growth and inflation forecasts for Germany a panel-based assessment of accuracy and efficiency," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 777-798, September.
Subal Khumbhakar, 2006. "Specification and estimation of nonstandard profit functions," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 243-260, March.
- Subal Kumbhakar, 2006. "Specification and estimation of nonstandard profit functions," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 31(3), pages 799-799, September.
Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2009. "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 71(5), pages 683-713, October.
- Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2006. "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 06-101/4, Tinbergen Institute.
Matti Viren, 2006. "Inflation Expectations and Regime Shifts," Discussion Papers 5, Aboa Centre for Economics.
Babutsidze, Zakaria, 2006. "(S,s) Pricing: Does the Heterogeneity Wipe Out the Asymmetry on Micro Level?," MERIT Working Papers 2006-033, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
Donald Robertson & Anthony Garratt & Stephen Wright, 2006. "Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 521-542.
- Anthony Garratt & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2006. "Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 521-542, May.
- Anthony Garratt & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2005. "Permanent vs Transitory Components and Economic Fundamentals," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance 0501, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
Kajal Lahiri & Gultekin Isiklar & Prakash Loungani, 2006. "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(6), pages 703-725.
- Gultekin Isiklar & Kajal Lahiri & Prakash Loungani, 2006. "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross‐country surveys," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(6), pages 703-725, September.
- Isiklar, Gultekin & Lahiri, Kajal & Loungani, Prakash, 2006. "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys," MPRA Paper 22065, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Clements, Michael P., 2006. "Internal consistency of survey respondentsíforecasts: Evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters," Economic Research Papers 269742, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P, 2006. "Internal consistency of survey respondents.forecasts : Evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 772, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
John Aldrich & Anna Staszewska, 2007. "The experiment in macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 143-166.
- John Aldrich & Anna Staszewska, 2006. "The experiment in macroeconometrics," Working Papers 12, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics.
Declan Curran & Michael Funke, 2006. "Taking the Temperature - Forecasting GDP Growth for Mainland China," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 20606, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
- Curran, Declan & Funke, Michael, 2006. "Taking the temperature: forecasting GDP growth for mainland in China," BOFIT Discussion Papers 6/2006, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
Thomas A. Knetsch, 2007. "Forecasting the price of crude oil via convenience yield predictions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(7), pages 527-549.
- Knetsch, Thomas A., 2006. "Forecasting the price of crude oil via convenience yield predictions," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,12, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Schumacher, Christian & Breitung, Jörg, 2006. "Real-time forecasting of GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,33, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Ziegler, Christina & Eickmeier, Sandra, 2006. "How good are dynamic factor models at forecasting output and inflation? A meta-analytic approach," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2006,42, Deutsche Bundesbank.
Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2010. "Global Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(3), pages 524-535, August.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2005. "Global Inflation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 357, Central Bank of Chile.
- Flora Budianto & Giovanni Lombardo & Benoit Mojon & Daniel Rees, 2021. "Global reflation ?," BIS Bulletins 43, Bank for International Settlements.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoit Mojon, 2008. "Global inflation," Working Paper Series WP-08-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Mojon, Benoît, 2006. "Global Inflation," Kiel Working Papers 1337, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Mojon, Benoît, 2005. "Global inflation," Working Paper Series 537, European Central Bank.
Döhrn, Roland, 2006. "Improving Business Cycle Forecasts' Accuracy - What Can We Learn from Past Errors?," RWI Discussion Papers 51, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung.
Steffen Osterloh, 2008. "Accuracy and Properties of German Business Cycle Forecasts," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 54(1), pages 27-57.
- Osterloh, Steffen, 2006. "Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts," ZEW Discussion Papers 06-087, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.

2005

Bohdan Klos & Ryszard Kokoszczynski & Tomasz Lyziak & Jan Przystupa & Ewa Wrobel, 2005. "Structural Econometric Models in Forecasting Inflation at the National Bank of Poland," NBP Working Papers 31, Narodowy Bank Polski.
Jean Boivin & Serena Ng, 2005. "Understanding and Comparing Factor-Based Forecasts," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 1(3), December.
- Boivin, Jean & Ng, Serena, 2005. "Understanding and Comparing Factor-Based Forecasts," MPRA Paper 836, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Jean Boivin & Serena Ng, 2005. "Understanding and Comparing Factor-Based Forecasts," NBER Working Papers 11285, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Ang, Andrew & Bekaert, Geert & Wei, Min, 2007. "Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 1163-1212, May.
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2005. "Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better?," NBER Working Papers 11538, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2006. "Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2006-15, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Aguiar-Conraria, Luis & Wen, Yi, 2005. "Understanding the Impact of Oil Shocks," Working Papers 05-01, Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics.
- Luís Francisco Aguiar-Conraria & Yi Wen, 2005. "Understanding the Impact of Oil Shocks," NIPE Working Papers 2/2005, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
O. Biau & H. Erkel-Rousse & N. Ferrari, 2005. "Individual responses to BTS and the Forecasting of Manufactured Production," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers g2005-12, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques.
Lees, Kirdan & Matheson, Troy, 2007. "Mind your ps and qs! Improving ARMA forecasts with RBC priors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 275-281, August.
- Kirdan Lees & Troy Matheson, 2005. "Mind your Ps and Qs! Improving ARMA forecasts with RBC priors," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2005/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
Branch, William A. & Evans, George W., 2006. "A simple recursive forecasting model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 91(2), pages 158-166, May.
- Wiliam Branch & George W. Evans, 2005. "A Simple Recursive Forecasting Model," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2005-3, University of Oregon Economics Department, revised 01 Feb 2005.
da Silva Filho, Tito Nícias Teixeira, 2005. "Is there too much certainty when measuring uncertainty," MPRA Paper 16383, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Pereira, Ana Luiza Louzada, 2005. "Um ensaio sobre expectativas da taxa de câmbio no Brasil [An essay on the foreign exchange rate expectations in Brazil]," MPRA Paper 20840, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Kajal Lahiri & Fushang Liu, 2006. "ARCH Models for Multi-period Forecast Uncertainty: A Reality Check Using a Panel of Density Forecasts," Advances in Econometrics, in: Econometric Analysis of Financial and Economic Time Series, pages 321-363, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
- Lahiri, Kajal & Liu, Fushang, 2005. "ARCH models for multi-period forecast uncertainty-a reality check using a panel of density forecasts," MPRA Paper 21693, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Boschi, Melisso & Girardi, Alessandro, 2005. "Does one monetary policy fit all? the determinants of inflation in EMU countries," MPRA Paper 28554, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Millan L. B. Mulraine, 2005. "Investment-Specific Technology Shocks in a Small Open Economy," Macroeconomics 0506009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mulraine, Millan L. B., 2005. "Investment-Specific Technology Shocks in a Small Open Economy," MPRA Paper 7, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2006.
António Rua & Cláudia Duarte, 2005. "Forecasting Inflation Through a Bottom-Up Approach: The Portuguese Case," Working Papers w200502, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
Andrew Stone & Troy Wheatley & Louise Wilkinson, 2005. "A Small Model of the Australian Macroeconomy: An Update," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2005-11, Reserve Bank of Australia.
Junjian Miao & Manuel Santos, 2005. "Numerical Solution of Dynamic Non-Optimal Economies," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2005-003, Boston University - Department of Economics.
- Manuel Santos & Jianjun Miao, 2005. "Numerical Solution of Dynamic Non-Optimal Economies," 2005 Meeting Papers 266, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Albu, Lucian Liviu, 2005. "A Dynamic Model To Estimate The “Pure” Productivity," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 2(1), pages 30-34.
- Albu, Lucian-Liviu, 2005. "A dynamic model to estimate the “pure” productivity," MPRA Paper 13425, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Pelinescu, Elena & Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2005. "A Model To Forecast The Monthly Inflation In Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 2(3), pages 37-58.
Pelinescu, Elena & Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2005. "Impulse Analyses Of The Romanian Inflation," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 2(4), pages 5-24.
Nolan, Charles & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2008. "Labour markets and firm-specific capital in New Keynesian general equilibrium models," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 817-843, September.
- Charles Nolan & Christoph Thoenissen, 2005. "Labour Markets and Firm-Specific Capital in New Keynesian General Equilibrium Models," CDMA Working Paper Series 200501, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis, revised 15 May 2005.
Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2005. "Aggregate Dynamics with Heterogeneous Agents and State-Dependent Pricing," CDMA Working Paper Series 200505, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2006. "Aggregation and Optimization with State-Dependent Pricing: A Comment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 74(2), pages 565-573, March.
- Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2005. "Aggregation and Optimization with State-Dependent Pricing: A Comment," CDMA Working Paper Series 200506, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
Michel Juillard & Ondra Kamenik, 2005. "Solving SDGE Models: Approximation About The Stochastic Steady State," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 106, Society for Computational Economics.
Eric Swanson & Gary Anderson & Andrew Levin, 2005. "Higher-Order Perturbation Solutions to Dynamic, Discrete-Time Rational Expectations Models: Methods and an Application to Optimal Monetary Policy," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 146, Society for Computational Economics.
Ali Dib & Kevin Moran, 2005. "Forecasting with the New-Keynesian Model: An Experiment with Canadian Data," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 235, Society for Computational Economics.
J. Huston McCulloch, 2005. "The Kalman Foundations of Adaptive Least Squares: Applications to Unemployment and Inflation," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 239, Society for Computational Economics.
Tom Bernhardsen & Ã˜Yvind Eitrheim, 2005. "Real-time data for Norway: Output gap revisions and challenges for monetary policy," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 274, Society for Computational Economics.
Marco Raberto & Andrea Teglio, 2005. "A dynamic model of a monetary production economy under the disequilibrium economics approach," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 320, Society for Computational Economics.
Stefano Eusepi & Stefania D'Amico, 2005. "Estimating the Deep Parameters of RBC Model with Learning," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 404, Society for Computational Economics.
Staszewska, Anna & Aldrich, John, 2005. "The experiment in macroeconometrics," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 0604, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
Staszewska, Anna & Aldrich, John, 2005. "The experiment in macroeconometrics," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 604, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
Wh Boshoff, 2005. "The Properties Of Cycles In South African Financial Variables And Their Relation To The Business Cycle," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 73(4), pages 694-709, December.
- Willem Boshoff, 2005. "The properties of cycles in South African financial variables and their relation to the business cycle," Working Papers 02/2005, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
Geert B. Woltjer, 2005. "Decisions and Macroeconomics: Development and Implementation of a Simulation Game," The Journal of Economic Education, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(2), pages 139-144, April.
Jinill Kim & Sunghyun Henry Kim & Ernst Schaumburg & Christopher A. Sims, 2003. "Calculating and using second order accurate solutions of discrete time dynamic equilibrium models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2003-61, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Henry Kim & Jinill Kim & Ernst Schaumburg & Christopher A. Sims, 2005. "Calculating and Using Second Order Accurate Solutions of Discrete Time Dynamic Equilibrium Models," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0505, Department of Economics, Tufts University.
- Christopher A. Sims & Jinill Kim & Sunghyun Kim, 2003. "Calculating and Using Second Order Accurate Solution of Discrete Time Dynamic Equilibrium Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 162, Society for Computational Economics.
- Christopher A. Sims & Jinill Kim & Sunghyun Kim, 2004. "Calculating and Using Second Order Accurate Solution of Discrete Time Dynamic Equilibrium Models," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 411, Econometric Society.
Nicholas Apergis & Stephen M. Miller & Alexandros Panethimitakis & Athanassios Vamvakidis, 2005. "Inflation Targeting and Output Growth: Evidence from Aggregate European Data," Working papers 2005-06, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
Brevik, Frode & d’Addona, Stefano, 2010. "Information Quality and Stock Returns Revisited," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(6), pages 1419-1446, December.
- Frode Brevik & Stefano d'Addona, 2005. "Information Quality and Stock Returns Revisited," Finance 0511006, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 26 Mar 2006.
- Frode Brevik & Stefano d'Addona, 2005. "Information Quality and Stock Returns Revisited," University of St. Gallen Department of Economics working paper series 2005 2005-24, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen.
Dezhbakhsh, Hashem & Levy, Daniel, 1994. "Periodic properties of interpolated time series," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 221-228.
- Dezhbakhsh, Hashem & Levy, Daniel, 1994. "Periodic Properties of Interpolated Time Series," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 44(3), pages 221-228.
- Hashem Dezhbakhsh & Daniel Levy, 1994. "Periodic properties of interpolated time series," Post-Print hal-02382750, HAL.
- Hashem Dezhbakhsh & Daniel Levy, 2005. "Periodic Properties of Interpolated Time Series," Econometrics 0505004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
William Barnett & Apostolos Serletis & Demitre Serletis, 2005. "Nonlinear and Complex Dynamics in Real Systems," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200517, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2005.
- William Barnett & Apostolos Serletis & Demitre Serletis, 2005. "Nonlinear and Complex Dynamics in Real Systems," GE, Growth, Math methods 0509002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Barnett, William A., 2006. "Comments on "Chaotic monetary dynamics with confidence"," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 253-255, March.
- William Barnett, 2005. "Comment on 'Chaotic Monetary Dynamics with Confidence'," Macroeconomics 0505017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William Barnett, 2006. "Comment on 'Chaotic Monetary Dynamics with Confidence'," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200602, University of Kansas, Department of Economics.
Mulraine, Millan L. B., 2005. "Investment-Specific Technology Shocks in a Small Open Economy," MPRA Paper 7, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2006.
- Millan L. B. Mulraine, 2005. "Investment-Specific Technology Shocks in a Small Open Economy," Macroeconomics 0506009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
William Barnett & Yijun He, 2005. "Robustness of Inferences to Singularity Bifurcations," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200518, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2005.
- Yijun He & William Barnett, 2005. "Robustness of Inferences to Singularity Bifurcations," Macroeconomics 0510019, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 24 Oct 2005.
Antonello D'Agostino & Domenico Giannone & Paolo Surico, 2005. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Macroeconomics 0510024, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Surico, Paolo & Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability," Working Paper Series 605, European Central Bank.
- Giannone, Domenico & Dâ€™Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers 6594, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo, 2006. "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Research Technical Papers 5/RT/06, Central Bank of Ireland.
Daniel Buncic & Martin Melecky, 2008. "An Estimated New Keynesian Policy Model for Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 84(264), pages 1-16, March.
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Francis Vitek, 2005. "An Unobserved Components Model of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in a Closed Economy," Macroeconomics 0512018, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Feb 2006.
A G Malliaris, 2005. "Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities and Asset Bubbles:Selected Essays," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 5864.
Fwu-Ranq Chang & A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "Asymptotic Growth under Uncertainty: Existence and Uniqueness," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 1, pages 3-8, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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A. G. Malliaris & Jorge L. Urrutia, 2005. "How big is the random walk in macroeconomic time series: Variance ratio tests," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 2, pages 9-12, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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A. G. Malliaris & Jorge L. Urrutia, 2005. "An empirical investigation among real, monetary and financial variables," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 3, pages 13-20, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "Several Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money: 1947–1987 and 1867–1975," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 6, pages 41-57, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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A. G. Malliaris & Silvana Stefani, 2005. "Money, inflation and interest rates: Illustrations from twelve European economies," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 7, pages 59-82, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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A. G. Malliaris & Jerome L. Stein, 2005. "Methodological issues in asset pricing: Random walk or chaotic dynamics," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 8, pages 85-115, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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George C. Philippatos & Efi Pilarinu & A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "Chaotic Behavior in Prices of European Equity Markets: A Comparative Analysis of Major Economic Regions," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 9, pages 117-136, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
A. G. Malliaris & Jorge L. Urrutia, 2005. "European Stock Market Fluctuations: Short And Long Term Links," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 10, pages 137-149, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
Marco Corazza & A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "Multi-Fractality in Foreign Currency Markets," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 11, pages 151-184, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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Ramaprasad Bhar & A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "Are There Rational Bubbles In The U.S Stock Market? Overview And A New Test," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 12, pages 187-206, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
Marc D. Hayford & A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "Is The Federal Reserve Stock Market Bubble-Neutral?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 13, pages 207-221, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
Hayford, M. D. & Malliaris, A. G., 2005. "How did the Fed react to the 1990s stock market bubble? Evidence from an extended Taylor rule," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 163(1), pages 20-29, May.
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Marc D. Hayford & A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "Monetary Policy And The U.S. Stock Market," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 15, pages 233-247, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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A. G. Malliaris & Jorge L. Urrutia, 2005. "The International Crash of October 1987: Causality Tests," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 16, pages 251-262, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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A. G. Malliaris & Jorge L. Urrutia, 2005. "The Impact Of The Persian Gulf Crisis On National Equity Markets," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 17, pages 263-285, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
A. G. Malliaris & Jorge L. Urrutia, 2005. "Oil And World Stock Markets' Reaction To The Gulf Crisis," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 18, pages 287-307, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
Jorge Urrutia & A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "Equity And Oil Markets Under External Shocks," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 19, pages 309-322, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "Global monetary instability: The role of the IMF, the EU and NAFTA," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 20, pages 323-343, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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Roberto Tatiwa Ferreira & Herman Bierens & Ivan Castelar, 2005. "Forecasting Quarterly Brazilian GDP Growth Rate With Linear and NonLinear Diffusion Index Models," Economia, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 6(3), pages 261-292.
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Roberto Tatiwa Ferreira & Herman Bierens & Ivan Castelar, 2005. "Forecasting Quarterly Brazilian GDP Growth Rate With Linear and NonLinear Diffusion Index Models," Economia, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 6(3), pages 261-292.
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Márcio Holland, 2005. "Monetary And Exchange Rate Policy In Brazil After Inflation Targeting," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 032, ANPEC - AssociaÃ§Ã£o Nacional dos Centros de PÃ³s-GraduaÃ§Ã£o em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
Donald Robertson & Anthony Garratt & Stephen Wright, 2006. "Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 521-542.
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Marc-André Gosselin & René Lalonde, 2005. "MUSE: The Bank of Canada's New Projection Model of the U.S. Economy," Technical Reports 96, Bank of Canada.
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Sylvain Martel, 2005. "Y a-t-il eu surinvestissement au Canada durant la seconde moitié des années 1990?," Staff Working Papers 05-5, Bank of Canada.
Laura D´Amato & PLidia Sanz & Juan Sotes Paladino, 2005. "Evaluating Alternative Core Inflation Measures for Argentina," BCRA Working Paper Series 200501, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
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Adolfo L.Cobo, 2005. "Output Gap in Colombia: An Eclectic Approach," Borradores de Economia 327, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2005. "Leading Indicators for Euro‐area Inflation and GDP Growth," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(s1), pages 785-813, December.
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Wh Boshoff, 2005. "The Properties Of Cycles In South African Financial Variables And Their Relation To The Business Cycle," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 73(4), pages 694-709, December.
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Virén, Matti, 2005. "Inflation expectations and regime shifts in the euro area," Research Discussion Papers 25/2005, Bank of Finland.
Manuel Santos & Jianjun Miao, 2005. "Numerical Solution of Dynamic Non-Optimal Economies," 2005 Meeting Papers 266, Society for Economic Dynamics.
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Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Ana Luiza Louzada Pereira, 2005. "An Essay on the Foreign Exchange Rate Expectations in Brazil," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 3(1), pages 55-100.
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Dorofeenko, Victor & Lee, Gabriel S. & Salyer, Kevin D., 2010. "A new algorithm for solving dynamic stochastic macroeconomic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 388-403, March.
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Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2010. "Global Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(3), pages 524-535, August.
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Aruoba, S. Boragan & Fernandez-Villaverde, Jesus & Rubio-Ramirez, Juan F., 2006. "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2477-2508, December.
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Katerina Arnostova & Jaromir Hurnik, 2005. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Czech Republic (evidence from VAR analysis)," Working Papers 2005/04, Czech National Bank.
Octavio José Salcedo Parra & Marco Aguilera Prado, 2005. "Órdenes de flujo, tasa de interés y tasa de cambio nominal: un ejemplo de redes neuronales para Colombia 2005," Revista de Economía y Administración, Universidad Autónoma de Occidente, May.
Henk Kranendonk & Johan Verbruggen, 2005. "How to determine the contributions of domestic demand and exports to economic growth?," CPB Memorandum 129, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
Henk Kranendonk & Johan Verbruggen, 2005. "How to determine the contributions of domestic demand and exports to economic growth?," CPB Memorandum 129.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
Orphanides, Athanasios & van Norden, Simon, 2005. "The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(3), pages 583-601, June.
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Klaus Adam, 2007. "Experimental Evidence on the Persistence of Output and Inflation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 117(520), pages 603-636, April.
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Carlo Favero & Iryna Kaminska & Ulf Soderstrom, 2005. "The Predictive Power of the Yield Spread: Further Evidence and a Structural Interpretation," Working Papers 280, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
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Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 2006. "A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 499-526.
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Massimiliano Marcellino, 2005. "Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned?," Working Papers 286, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
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Martin D. D. Evans, 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macroeconomy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 1(2), September.
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Tetlow, Robert J. & Ironside, Brian, 2005. "Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," CEPR Discussion Papers 5305, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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O. Biau & H. Erkel-Rousse & N. Ferrari, 2005. "Individual responses to BTS and the Forecasting of Manufactured Production," Documents de Travail de la DESE - Working Papers of the DESE g2005-12, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, DESE.
Vincent, BODART & Konstantin, KHOLODILIN & Fati, SHADMAN-MEHTA, 2005. "Identifying and Forecasting the Turning Points of the Belgian Business Cycle with Regime-Switching and Logit Models," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques) 2005006, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
Adam, Klaus, 2005. "Learning To Forecast And Cyclical Behavior Of Output And Inflation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, February.
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Ulrich Fritsche & Jörg Döpke, 2005. "Forecast Errors and the Macroeconomy: A Non-Linear Relationship?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 498, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
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Libor Krkoska & Utku Teksoz, 2005. "Accuracy of growth forecasts for transition countries: Assessing ten years of EBRD forecasting," Working Papers 94, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Office of the Chief Economist.
Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoit Mojon, 2005. "Is inflation a global phenomenon?," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 3, pages 6-7.
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Banerjee, Anindya & Masten, Igor, 2005. "Forecasting macroeconomic variables for the new member states of the European Union," Working Paper Series 482, European Central Bank.
Klaus Adam, 2007. "Experimental Evidence on the Persistence of Output and Inflation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 117(520), pages 603-636, April.
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Abadir, Karim & Talmain, Gabriel, 2005. "Distilling co-movements from persistent macro and financial series," Working Paper Series 525, European Central Bank.
Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2010. "Global Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(3), pages 524-535, August.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2005. "Global Inflation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 357, Central Bank of Chile.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Mojon, Benoît, 2006. "Global Inflation," Kiel Working Papers 1337, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Flora Budianto & Giovanni Lombardo & Benoit Mojon & Daniel Rees, 2021. "Global reflation ?," BIS Bulletins 43, Bank for International Settlements.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoit Mojon, 2008. "Global inflation," Working Paper Series WP-08-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Ciccarelli, Matteo & Mojon, Benoît, 2005. "Global inflation," Working Paper Series 537, European Central Bank.
Luís Francisco Aguiar-Conraria & Yi Wen, 2005. "Understanding the Impact of Oil Shocks," NIPE Working Papers 2/2005, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
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Bernhardsen, Tom & Eitrheim, Oyvind & Jore, Anne Sofie & Roisland, Oistein, 2005. "Real-time data for Norway: Challenges for monetary policy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 333-349, December.
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M. D. Hayford & A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "How did the Fed react to the 1990s stock market bubble? Evidence from an extended Taylor rule," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 14, pages 223-232, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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Abad, Pilar & Novales, Alfonso, 2005. "An error correction factor model of term structure slopes in international swap markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 229-254, July.
Hubrich, Kirstin, 2005. "Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 119-136.
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Kaiser, Regina & Maravall, Agustin, 2005. "Combining filter design with model-based filtering (with an application to business-cycle estimation)," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 691-710.
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Mitra, Kaushik, 2005. "Is more data better?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 263-272, February.
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- Kaushik Mitra, 2004. "Is more data better?," Royal Holloway, University of London: Discussion Papers in Economics 04/19, Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London, revised Jul 2004.
- Mitra, K., 1999. "Is More Data Better?," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 452, Department of Economics.
Seonghwan Oh & Michael Waldman, 2005. "The Index of Leading Economic Indicators as a Source of Expectational Shocks," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 31(1), pages 75-95, Winter.
Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(1), pages 122-157, March.
- Allan Timmermann & Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer, 2004. "Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 601, Econometric Society.
- Graham Elliott & Ivana Komunjer & Allan Timmermann, 2005. "Biases In Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality Or Asymmetric Loss?," CAMA Working Papers 2005-14, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Viv B. Hall, 2005. "An Australasian Currency, New Zealand Adopting The Us Dollar, Or An Independent Monetary Policy?," CAMA Working Papers 2005-21, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Emma Xiaoqin Fan & Jesus Felipe, 2005. "The diverging patterns of profitability, investment and growth of China and India, 1980-2003," CAMA Working Papers 2005-22, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
Kobayashi, Keiichiro & Inaba, Masaru, 2006. "Business cycle accounting for the Japanese economy," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 418-440, December.
- Keiichiro Kobayashi & Masaru Inaba, 2005. "Business Cycle Accounting for the Japanese Economy," Discussion papers 05023, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Keiichiro Kobayashi & Masaru Inaba, 2006. "Business cycle accounting for the Japanese economy," 2006 Meeting Papers 313, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Jan Filáèek, 2005. "Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 55(7-8), pages 380-394, July.
Martin D. D. Evans, 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macroeconomy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 1(2), September.
- Evans, Martin D, 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macroeconomy," MPRA Paper 831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Martin D. D. Evans(Georgetown University and NBER), 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-time Estimates of the Macro Economy," Working Papers gueconwpa~05-05-02, Georgetown University, Department of Economics.
- Evans, Martin D.D., 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macro Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 5270, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martin D.D. Evans, 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macro Economy," NBER Working Papers 11064, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Michael Groemling, 2005. "Konjunkturprognosen – Verfahren, Erfolgskontrolle und Prognosefehler," Departmental Discussion Papers 123, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
Ramón Cobo-Reyes & Gabriel Pérez Quirós, 2005. "The effect of oil price on industrial production and on stock returns," ThE Papers 05/18, Department of Economic Theory and Economic History of the University of Granada..
Bouwman, Kees E. & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M., 2011. "Forecasting with real-time macroeconomic data: The ragged-edge problem and revisions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 784-792.
- Bouwman, Kees E. & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M., 2005. "Forecasting with real-time macroeconomic data: the ragged-edge problem and revisions," CCSO Working Papers 200505, University of Groningen, CCSO Centre for Economic Research.
Karine Michalon & Sandrine Lardic & François Dossou, 2005. "Earnings forecast bias - a statistical analysis," Post-Print halshs-00142773, HAL.
Nymoen, Ragnar, 2005. "Evaluating a Central Bank’s Recent Forecast Failure," Memorandum 22/2005, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
Malin Adolfson & Michael K. Andersson & Jesper Lindé & Mattias Villani & Anders Vredin, 2007. "Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(4), pages 111-144, December.
- Adolfson, Malin & Andersson, Michael K. & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias & Vredin, Anders, 2005. "Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks," Working Paper Series 188, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), revised 01 Jun 2006.
Mattias Villani & Malin Adolfson & Jesper Linde, 2005. "Forecasting Performance of an Open Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 32, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- Adolfson, Malin & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias, 2005. "Forecasting Performance of an Open Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model," Working Paper Series 190, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), revised 01 Jun 2006.
Favero, Carlo A. & SÃ¶derstrÃ¶m, Ulf & Kaminska, Iryna, 2005. "The Predictive Power of the Yield Spread: Further Evidence and A Structural Interpretation," CEPR Discussion Papers 4910, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Carlo Favero & Iryna Kaminska & Ulf Soderstrom, 2005. "The Predictive Power of the Yield Spread: Further Evidence and a Structural Interpretation," Working Papers 280, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 2006. "A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 499-526.
- Stock, James & Watson, Mark & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2005. "A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series," CEPR Discussion Papers 4976, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & James Stock & Mark Watson, 2005. "A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series," Working Papers 285, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2005. "Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned?," CEPR Discussion Papers 4977, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Massimiliano Marcellino, 2005. "Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned?," Working Papers 286, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
Martin D. D. Evans, 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macroeconomy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 1(2), September.
- Martin D. D. Evans(Georgetown University and NBER), 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-time Estimates of the Macro Economy," Working Papers gueconwpa~05-05-02, Georgetown University, Department of Economics.
- Evans, Martin D.D., 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macro Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers 5270, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martin D.D. Evans, 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macro Economy," NBER Working Papers 11064, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Evans, Martin D, 2005. "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macroeconomy," MPRA Paper 831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Jean Boivin & Serena Ng, 2005. "Understanding and Comparing Factor-Based Forecasts," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 1(3), December.
- Jean Boivin & Serena Ng, 2005. "Understanding and Comparing Factor-Based Forecasts," NBER Working Papers 11285, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Boivin, Jean & Ng, Serena, 2005. "Understanding and Comparing Factor-Based Forecasts," MPRA Paper 836, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Madhavi Bokil & Axel Schimmelpfennig, 2006. "Three Attempts at Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 45(3), pages 341-368.
- International Monetary Fund, 2005. "Three Attempts at Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan," IMF Working Papers 05/105, International Monetary Fund.
Melisso Boschi & Alessandro Girardi, 2007. "Euro area inflation: long-run determinants and short-run dynamics," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 9-24.
- Melisso Boschi & Alessandro Girardi, 2005. "Euro Area inflation: long-run determinants and short-run dynamics," ISAE Working Papers 60, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY).
Pedro José Pérez & José Ramón García & Luisa Escriche, 2005. "Importancia De Las Perturbaciones Externas En La Economía Española Tras La Integración: ¿Tamaño Del Shock O Grado De Respuesta?," Working Papers. Serie EC 2005-07, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
William Barnett & Apostolos Serletis & Demitre Serletis, 2005. "Nonlinear and Complex Dynamics in Real Systems," GE, Growth, Math methods 0509002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William Barnett & Apostolos Serletis & Demitre Serletis, 2005. "Nonlinear and Complex Dynamics in Real Systems," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200517, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2005.
Yijun He & William Barnett, 2005. "Robustness of Inferences to Singularity Bifurcations," Macroeconomics 0510019, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 24 Oct 2005.
- William Barnett & Yijun He, 2005. "Robustness of Inferences to Singularity Bifurcations," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200518, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2005.
José Cancelo & Estefanía Mourelle, 2005. "Modeling Cyclical Asymmetries in GDP: International Evidence," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 33(3), pages 297-309, September.
OndŘej KamenÍk, 2005. "Solving SDGE Models: A New Algorithm for the Sylvester Equation," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 25(1), pages 167-187, February.
- Ondrej Kamenik, 2004. "Solving SDGE Models: A New Algorithm for Sylvester Equation," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 222, Society for Computational Economics.
- Ondrej Kamenik, 2005. "Solving SDGE Models: A New Algorithm for the Sylvester Equation," Working Papers 2005/10, Czech National Bank.
Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2008. "Forecasting Canadian time series with the New Keynesian model," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(1), pages 138-165, February.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2008. "Forecasting Canadian time series with the New Keynesian model," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 41(1), pages 138-165, February.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2005. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New-Keynesian Model," Cahiers de recherche 0527, CIRPEE.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2006. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series With the New-Keynesian Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 382, Central Bank of Chile.
- Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2006. "Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New Keynesian Model," Staff Working Papers 06-4, Bank of Canada.
Orphanides, Athanasios & van Norden, Simon, 2005. "The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(3), pages 583-601, June.
- Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden, 2003. "The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-01, CIRANO.
- Orphanides, Athanasios & van Norden, Simon, 2005. "The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time," CEPR Discussion Papers 4830, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden, 2004. "The reliability of inflation forecasts based on output gap estimates in real time," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-68, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Adolfson, Malin & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias, 2005. "Forecasting Performance of an Open Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model," Working Paper Series 190, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), revised 01 Jun 2006.
- Mattias Villani & Malin Adolfson & Jesper Linde, 2005. "Forecasting Performance of an Open Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 32, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
National Bank of Belgium, 2005. "Economic projections for Belgium - Autumn 2005," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iv, pages 7-15, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2005. "Economic projections for Belgium – spring 2005," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 7-31, June.

2004

Marc-André Gosselin & René Lalonde, 2004. "Modélisation « PAC » du secteur extérieur de l'économie américaine," Staff Working Papers 04-3, Bank of Canada.
Jean-Paul Lam & Greg Tkacz, 2004. "Estimating Policy-Neutral Interest Rates for Canada Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Framework," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 140(I), pages 89-126, March.
- Jean-Paul Lam, 2004. "Estimating Policy-Neutral Interest Rates for Canada Using a Dynamic Stochastic General-Equilibrium Framework," Staff Working Papers 04-9, Bank of Canada.
Kaiser, Regina & Maravall, Agustin, 2005. "Combining filter design with model-based filtering (with an application to business-cycle estimation)," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 691-710.
- Regina Kaiser & Agustín Maravall, 2004. "Combining filter design with model based filtering (with an application to business cycle estimation)," Working Papers 0417, Banco de España.
Pilar Bengoechea & Gabriel Pérez Quirós, 2004. "A useful tool to identify recessions in the euro area," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 215, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
- Pilar Bengoechea & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2004. "A useful tool to identify recessions in the euro-area," Working Papers 0419, Banco de España.
Alberto Baffigi & Antonio Bassanetti, 2004. "Turning-point indicators from business surveys: real-time detection for the euro area and its major member countries," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 500, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Baghli, M. & Brunhes-Lesage, V. & De bandt, O. & Fraisse, H. & Villetelle, J-P., 2004. "MASCOTTE: Model for AnalySing and foreCasting shOrT TErm developments," Working papers 106, Banque de France.
Bruneau, C. & De bandt, O. & Flageollet, A., 2004. "Inflation and the Markup in the Euro Area," Working papers 114, Banque de France.
Marco Sorge, 2004. "Stress-testing financial systems: an overview of current methodologies," BIS Working Papers 165, Bank for International Settlements.
Eran Guse, 2004. "Expectational Business Cycles," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 97, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- Guse, Eran A., 2004. "Expectational business cycles," Research Discussion Papers 19/2004, Bank of Finland.
George Hondroyiannis & Sophia Lazaretou, 2007. "Inflation persistence during periods of structural change: an assessment using Greek data," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 34(5), pages 453-475, December.
- Hondroyiannis, George & Lazaretou, Sophia, 2004. "Inflation persistence during periods of structural change: an assessment using Greek data," Working Paper Series 370, European Central Bank.
- George Hondroyiannis & Sophia Lazaretou, 2004. "Inflation Persistence during Periods of Structural Change: An Assessment Using Greek Data," Working Papers 13, Bank of Greece.
David R.F. Love & Jean-Francois Lamarche, 2004. "Anticipation and Real Business Cycles," Working Papers 0703, Brock University, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2007.
Bharat Barot, 2004. "How accurate are the Swedish forecasters on GDB-Growth, CPI-inflation and unemployment? (1993 - 2001)," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 47(2), pages 249-278.
- Bharat Barot, 2005. "How Accurate Are The Swedish Forecasters On Gdp-Growth,Cpi- Inflation And Unemployment? (1993-2001)," Macroeconomics 0510017, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Françoise Charpin & Catherine Mathieu, 2004. "Un indicateur de croissance à court terme au Royaume-Uni," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 89(2), pages 231-251.
- Françoise Charpin & Catherine Mathieu, 2004. "Un indicateur de croissance à court terme au Royaume-Uni," Post-Print hal-01020087, HAL.
Georg Goldrian, 2004. "Handbuch der umfragebasierten Konjunkturforschung," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 15, May.
Ulrich Adler, 2002. "Bewegungslose Arbeit, gefesselter Blick : Sehen und Arbeit bei neuen Produktionsmethoden ; sozioökonomische Evaluation des Verbundvorhabens - Entwicklung von Methoden zur Identifikation visueller Ursa," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 15.
Jiri Podpiera, 2004. "Consumers, Consumer Prices and the Czech Business Cycle Identification," Working Papers 2004/04, Czech National Bank.
Snower, Dennis & Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector, 2004. "Unemployment in the EU: Institutions, Prices and Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 4243, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Muellbauer, John & Nunziata, Luca, 2004. "Forecasting (and Explaining) US Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 4584, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Toshiya Ishikawa, 2004. "Technology Diffusion and Business Cycle Asymmetry," DEGIT Conference Papers c009_016, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade.
Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche, 2004. "Growth and Inflation Forecasts for Germany: An Assessment of Accuracy and Dispersion," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 399, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
Bruck, Tilman & Zwiener, Rudolf, 2006. "Fiscal policy rules for stabilisation and growth: A simulation analysis of deficit and expenditure targets in a monetary union," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 357-369, May.
- Tilman Brück & Rudolf Zwiener, 2004. "Fiscal Policy Rules for Stabilisation and Growth: A Simulation Analysis of Deficit and Expenditure Targets in a Monetary Union," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 427, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2003. "Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-cased rules in a two-bloc model," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2004. "Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-based rules in a two-bloc model," International Finance Discussion Papers 797, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Batini, Nicoletta & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2004. "Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-based rules in a two-bloc model," Working Paper Series 340, European Central Bank.
- Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2004. "Indeterminacy with Inflation-Forecast-Based Rules in a Two-Bloc Model," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0204, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
George Hondroyiannis & Sophia Lazaretou, 2007. "Inflation persistence during periods of structural change: an assessment using Greek data," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 34(5), pages 453-475, December.
- George Hondroyiannis & Sophia Lazaretou, 2004. "Inflation Persistence during Periods of Structural Change: An Assessment Using Greek Data," Working Papers 13, Bank of Greece.
- Hondroyiannis, George & Lazaretou, Sophia, 2004. "Inflation persistence during periods of structural change: an assessment using Greek data," Working Paper Series 370, European Central Bank.
Roma, Moreno & Skudelny, Frauke & Benalal, Nicholai & Diaz del Hoyo, Juan Luis & Landau, Bettina, 2004. "To aggregate or not to aggregate? Euro area inflation forecasting," Working Paper Series 374, European Central Bank.
Morgan, Julian & Locarno, Alberto & Vallés, Javier & Berben, Robert-Paul, 2004. "Cross-country differences in monetary policy transmission," Working Paper Series 400, European Central Bank.
- Robert-Paul Berben & Alberto Locarno & Julian Morgan & Javier Vallés, 2005. "Cross-country differences in monetary policy transmission," Working Papers 0502, Banco de España.
Fushang Liu & Kajal Lahiri, 2004. "Determinants of Multi-period Forecast Uncertainty Using a Panel of Density Forecasts," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 329, Econometric Society.
Christopher A. Sims & Jinill Kim & Sunghyun Kim, 2003. "Calculating and Using Second Order Accurate Solution of Discrete Time Dynamic Equilibrium Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 162, Society for Computational Economics.
- Christopher A. Sims & Jinill Kim & Sunghyun Kim, 2004. "Calculating and Using Second Order Accurate Solution of Discrete Time Dynamic Equilibrium Models," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 411, Econometric Society.
- Jinill Kim & Sunghyun Henry Kim & Ernst Schaumburg & Christopher A. Sims, 2003. "Calculating and using second order accurate solutions of discrete time dynamic equilibrium models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2003-61, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Henry Kim & Jinill Kim & Ernst Schaumburg & Christopher A. Sims, 2005. "Calculating and Using Second Order Accurate Solutions of Discrete Time Dynamic Equilibrium Models," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0505, Department of Economics, Tufts University.
Potter Simon M., 2000. "A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(2), pages 1-11, July.
- Simon M. Potter & Edward E. Leamer, 2004. "A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 490, Econometric Society.
Eric Swanson & Gary Anderson & Andrew Levin, 2003. "Higher-Order Solutions to Dynamic, Discrete-Time Rational Expectations Models: Methods and an Application to Optimal Monetary Policy," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 64, Society for Computational Economics.
- Eric Swanson & Gary Anderson & Andrew Levin, 2004. "Higher-Order Solutions to Dynamic, Discrete-Time Rational Expectations Models: Methods and an Application to Optimal Monetary Policy," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 576, Econometric Society.
Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2004. "Indicator variables for optimal policy under asymmetric information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 661-690, January.
- Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2001. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information," NBER Working Papers 8255, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2001. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information," Seminar Papers 689, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
Ireland, Peter N., 2004. "A method for taking models to the data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 1205-1226, March.
- Peter Ireland, 1999. "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1233, Society for Computational Economics.
- Peter N. Ireland, 1999. "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 421, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Peter N. Ireland, 1999. "A method for taking models to the data," Working Papers (Old Series) 9903, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- Tom Doan, "undated". "RATS programs to replicate Ireland's JEDC 2004 estimation of DSGE model," Statistical Software Components RTZ00104, Boston College Department of Economics.
Barrell, Ray & Pina, Alvaro M., 2004. "How important are automatic stabilisers in Europe? A stochastic simulation assessment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 1-35, January.
- Barrell, R. & Pina, A.M., 2000. "How Important are Automatic Stabilizers in Europe? A Stochastic Simulation Assessment," Economics Working Papers eco2000/2, European University Institute.
- Ray Barrell, 2002. "How Important are Automatic Stabilisers in Europe? A Stochastic Simulation Assessment," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 196, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2004. "Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 327-359, June.
- Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 1999. "Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model," Economics Working Papers 443, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2001. "Forecasting and Turning Point Predictions in a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 2961, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2000. "Forecasting And Turning Point Predictions In A Bayesian Panel Var Model," Working Papers. Serie AD 2000-05, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
den Haan, Wouter J. & Sumner, Steven W., 2004. "The comovement between real activity and prices in the G7," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(6), pages 1333-1347, December.
- Wouter J. Den Haan & Steven Sumner, 2001. "The Comovements between Real Activity and Prices in the G7," NBER Working Papers 8195, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Den Haan, Wouter & Sumner, Steven, 2001. "The Comovements between Real Activity and Prices in the G7," CEPR Discussion Papers 2801, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Kobayashi Keiichiro & Nutahara Kengo, 2010. "Nominal Rigidities, News-Driven Business Cycles, and Monetary Policy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-26, September.
- Keiichiro KOBAYASHI & Kengo NUTAHARA, 2008. "Nominal Rigidities, News-Driven Business Cycles, and Monetary Policy," Discussion papers 08018, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
Pilar Bengoechea & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2004. "A useful tool to identify recessions in the euro-area," Working Papers 0419, Banco de España.
- Pilar Bengoechea & Gabriel Pérez Quirós, 2004. "A useful tool to identify recessions in the euro area," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 215, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
Orphanides, Athanasios & van Norden, Simon, 2005. "The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(3), pages 583-601, June.
- Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden, 2003. "The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-01, CIRANO.
- Orphanides, Athanasios & van Norden, Simon, 2005. "The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time," CEPR Discussion Papers 4830, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden, 2004. "The reliability of inflation forecasts based on output gap estimates in real time," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-68, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2003. "Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-cased rules in a two-bloc model," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2004. "Indeterminacy with Inflation-Forecast-Based Rules in a Two-Bloc Model," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0204, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2004. "Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-based rules in a two-bloc model," International Finance Discussion Papers 797, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Batini, Nicoletta & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2004. "Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-based rules in a two-bloc model," Working Paper Series 340, European Central Bank.
Ludovic Dobbelaere & Bart Hertveldt, 2004. "Working Paper 13-04 - 10 jaar Economische Begroting : Een terugblik op de kwaliteit van de vooruitzichten," Working Papers 0413, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium.
Ludovic Dobbelaere & Bart Hertveldt, 2004. "Working Paper 13-04 - 10 jaar Economische Begroting : Een terugblik op de kwaliteit van de vooruitzichten," Working Papers 200413, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium.
Françoise Charpin & Catherine Mathieu, 2004. "Un indicateur de croissance à court terme au Royaume-Uni," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 89(2), pages 231-251.
- Françoise Charpin & Catherine Mathieu, 2004. "Un indicateur de croissance à court terme au Royaume-Uni," Post-Print hal-01020087, HAL.
Michael Berlemann & Kalina Dimitrova & Nikolay Nenovsky, 2000. "Assessing Market Expectations on Exchange Rates and Inflation: A Pilot Forecasting System for Bulgaria," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp759, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
- M. Berlemann & K. Dimitrova & Nikolay Nenovsky, 2004. "Assessing Market Expectations on Exchange Rates and Inflation: A Pilot Forecasting System for Bulgaria," Post-Print halshs-00259473, HAL.
Mitra, Kaushik, 2005. "Is more data better?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 263-272, February.
- Kaushik Mitra, "undated". "Is more data better?," Discussion Papers 00/44, Department of Economics, University of York.
- Kaushik Mitra, 2004. "Is more data better?," Royal Holloway, University of London: Discussion Papers in Economics 04/19, Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London, revised Jul 2004.
- Mitra, K., 1999. "Is More Data Better?," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 452, Department of Economics.
Fujiwara, Ippei & Koga, Maiko, 2004. "A Statistical Forecasting Method for Inflation Forecasting: Hitting Every Vector Autoregression and Forecasting under Model Uncertainty," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 22(1), pages 123-142, March.
Andreas Billmeier, 2006. "Measuring a Roller Coaster: Evidence on the Finnish Output Gap," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 19(2), pages 69-83, Autumn.
- Andreas Billmeier, 2004. "Measuring a Roller Coaster; Evidenceon the Finnish Output Gap," IMF Working Papers 04/57, International Monetary Fund.
Andreas Billmeier, 2006. "Measuring a Roller Coaster: Evidence on the Finnish Output Gap," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 19(2), pages 69-83, Autumn.
- Mr. Andreas Billmeier, 2004. "Measuring a Roller Coaster: Evidenceon the Finnish Output Gap," IMF Working Papers 2004/057, International Monetary Fund.
Oppenländer Karl Heinrich, 2004. "Neuere Ansätze in der Konjunkturforschung durch die Verwendung von Konjunkturindikatoren / New Approaches in Business Cycle Research: The Application of Business Cycle Indicators," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 224(1-2), pages 152-165, February.
Heilemann Ullrich, 2004. "Besser geht’s nicht – Genauigkeitsgrenzen von Konjunkturprognosen / As Good as it Gets – Limits of Accuracy of Macroeconomic Short Term Forecasts," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 224(1-2), pages 51-64, February.
Benner Joachim & Meier Carsten-Patrick, 2004. "Prognosegüte alternativer Früh Indikatoren für die Konjunktur in Deutschland / Forecasting Performance of Alternative Indicators for the German Economy," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 224(6), pages 639-652, December.
W. Jos Jansen & Niek J. Nahuis, 2004. "Which survey indicators are useful for monitoring consumption? Evidence from European countries," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 89-98.
- Niek J. Nahuis & W. Jos Jansen, 2003. "Which Survey Indicators Are Useful for Monitoring Consumption? Evidence fron European Countries," Macroeconomics 0309013, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Lars-Erik Öller & Lasse Koskinen, 2004. "A classifying procedure for signalling turning points," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(3), pages 197-214.
- Koskinen, Lasse & Öller, Lars-Erik, 2001. "A Classifying Procedure for Signaling Turning Points," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 427, Stockholm School of Economics.
William A. Barnett & Barry E. Jones & Milka Kirova & Travis Nesmith & Meenakshi Pasupathy, 2004. "The Nonlinear Skeletons in the Closet," Econometrics 0405003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- William Barnett & Barry E. Jones & Milka Kirova & Travis D. Nesmith & Meenakshi Pasupathy1, 2004. "The Nonlinear Skeletons in the Closet," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200403, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised May 2004.
He, Yijun & Barnett, William A., 2006. "Singularity bifurcations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 5-22, March.
- Yijun He & William A. Barnett, 2004. "Singularity Bifurcation," Macroeconomics 0409024, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 13 Oct 2004.
- Yijun He & William Barnett, 2004. "Singularity Bifurcations," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200412, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2004.
Eran Guse, 2004. "Expectational Business Cycles," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 97, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
National Bank of Belgium, 2004. "Economic projections for Belgium – autumn 2004," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iv, pages 7-16, December.
National Bank of Belgium, 2004. "Economic projections for Belgium, 2004-2005," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 7-35, June.
Michael Graff, 2004. "Estimates of the output gap in real time: how well have we been doing?," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP 2004/04, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
Oldřich Dědek, 2004. "Čtyři zamyšlení nad cílováním inflace v České republice [Four reflections on practising inflation targeting in the Czech Republic]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2004(2).
Florian PELGRIN & Michel JUILLARD, 2004. "Which order is too much? An application to a model with staggered price and wage contratcs," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 58, Society for Computational Economics.
- Florian Pelgrin & Michel Juillard, 2004. "Which order is too much? An application to a model with staggered price and wage contracts," 2004 Meeting Papers 635, Society for Economic Dynamics.
Chung, Sang-Kuck & Kim, Bong-Han, 2004. "Nonlinear Dynamics and Out¡-of¡-sample Forecasts of Real Exchange Rates," East Asian Economic Review, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, vol. 8(2), pages 223-255, December.
Stanica, Cristian, 2004. "MACROECONOMIC FORECASTING BASED ON A SAM MODEL OF THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY - Part I – Main Features of the Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 1(1), pages 92-96, February.
Stanica, Cristian, 2004. "Macroeconomic Forecasting With A Sam Model For The Romanian Economy - Part Ii – Equations Of The Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 1(3), pages 66-73, August.
Ryan Banerjee & Nicoletta Batini, 2003. "Inflation Dynamics in Seven Industrialised Open Economies," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 303, Society for Computational Economics.
- Nicoletta Batini & Ryan Banerjee, 2004. "Inflation Dynamics in Seven Industrialised Open Economies," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 116, Society for Computational Economics.
OndŘej KamenÍk, 2005. "Solving SDGE Models: A New Algorithm for the Sylvester Equation," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 25(1), pages 167-187, February.
- Ondrej Kamenik, 2004. "Solving SDGE Models: A New Algorithm for Sylvester Equation," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 222, Society for Computational Economics.
- Ondrej Kamenik, 2005. "Solving SDGE Models: A New Algorithm for the Sylvester Equation," Working Papers 2005/10, Czech National Bank.
Hubrich, Kirstin, 2005. "Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 119-136.
- Hubrich, Kirstin, 2003. "Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?," Working Paper Series 247, European Central Bank.
- Kirstin Hubrich, 2004. "Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 230, Society for Computational Economics.
Serge Hayward, 2004. "Heterogeneous Agents Past and Forward Time Horizons in Setting Up a Computational Model," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 241, Society for Computational Economics.
Toshiya Ishikawa, 2004. "Human Capital Accumulation, Time to Build, and Business Cycles," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 329, Society for Computational Economics.
Klaus Adam, 2004. "Should macroeconomists consider restricted perception equilibria? Evidence from the experimental laboratory," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 338, Society for Computational Economics.
Eran Guse, 2004. "Learning with Heterogeneous Expectations in an Evolutionary World," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 99, Society for Computational Economics.
- Guse, E., 2005. "Learning with Heterogeneous Expectations in an Evolutionary World," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0547, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
Jedrzej Bialkowski, 2004. "Modelling Returns on Stock Indices for Western and Central European Stock Exchanges - a Markov Switching Approach," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 2(2), pages 81-100.
Jean-Paul Lam & Greg Tkacz, 2004. "Estimating Policy-Neutral Interest Rates for Canada Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Framework," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 140(I), pages 89-126, March.
- Jean-Paul Lam, 2004. "Estimating Policy-Neutral Interest Rates for Canada Using a Dynamic Stochastic General-Equilibrium Framework," Staff Working Papers 04-9, Bank of Canada.
Gilbert Cette & Christian Pfister, 2004. "Challenges of the “New Economy” for Monetary Policy," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 8, pages 27-36, Spring.
- Gilbert Cette & Christian Pfister, 2003. "The challenges of the "new economy" for monetary policy," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy in a changing environment, volume 19, pages 213-233, Bank for International Settlements.
- Cette, G. & Pfister, C., 2003. "The Challenges of the "New Economy" for Monetary Policy," Working papers 100, Banque de France.
Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2003. "Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-cased rules in a two-bloc model," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2004. "Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-based rules in a two-bloc model," International Finance Discussion Papers 797, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2004. "Indeterminacy with Inflation-Forecast-Based Rules in a Two-Bloc Model," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0204, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
- Batini, Nicoletta & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2004. "Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-based rules in a two-bloc model," Working Paper Series 340, European Central Bank.
Batini, Nicoletta & Justiniano, Alejandro & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph, 2006. "Robust inflation-forecast-based rules to shield against indeterminacy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(9-10), pages 1491-1526.
- Nicoletta Batini & Alejandro Justiniano & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2004. "Robust Inflation-Forecast-Based Rules to Shield against Indeterminacy," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0804, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Viv Hall & Angela Huang, 2004. "Would adopting the us dollar have led to improved inflation, output and trade balances, for New Zealand in the 1990s?," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 49-63.
- Viv Hall & Angela Huang, 2003. "Would Adopting the US Dollar Have Led to Improved Inflation, Output and Trade Balances for New Zealand in the 1990s?," Working Papers 03_14, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
- Viv Hall & Angela Huang, 2004. "WOULD ADOPTING THE US DOLLAR HAVE LED TO IMPROVED INFLATION, OUTPUT AND TRADE BALANCES FOR NEW ZEALAND IN THE 1990s?," Macroeconomics 0401001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Nir, A., 2004. "A Behavioral Model of Conumption Patterns : The Effects of Cognitive Dissonance and Conformity," Discussion Paper 2004-48, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
Gustavo A. Marrero, 2004. "Component versus Tradicional Models to Forecast Quarterly National Account Aggregates: a Monte Carlo Experiment," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0410, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
Marco Vega, 2004. "Policy Makers Priors and Inflation Density Forecasts," Econometrics 0403005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
William Barnett & Barry E. Jones & Milka Kirova & Travis D. Nesmith & Meenakshi Pasupathy1, 2004. "The Nonlinear Skeletons in the Closet," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200403, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised May 2004.
- William A. Barnett & Barry E. Jones & Milka Kirova & Travis Nesmith & Meenakshi Pasupathy, 2004. "The Nonlinear Skeletons in the Closet," Econometrics 0405003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Viv Hall & Angela Huang, 2004. "Would adopting the us dollar have led to improved inflation, output and trade balances, for New Zealand in the 1990s?," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 49-63.
- Viv Hall & Angela Huang, 2003. "Would Adopting the US Dollar Have Led to Improved Inflation, Output and Trade Balances for New Zealand in the 1990s?," Working Papers 03_14, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
- Viv Hall & Angela Huang, 2004. "WOULD ADOPTING THE US DOLLAR HAVE LED TO IMPROVED INFLATION, OUTPUT AND TRADE BALANCES FOR NEW ZEALAND IN THE 1990s?," Macroeconomics 0401001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
He, Yijun & Barnett, William A., 2006. "Singularity bifurcations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 5-22, March.
- Yijun He & William Barnett, 2004. "Singularity Bifurcations," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 200412, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2004.
- Yijun He & William A. Barnett, 2004. "Singularity Bifurcation," Macroeconomics 0409024, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 13 Oct 2004.
Guse, Eran A., 2004. "Expectational business cycles," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 19/2004, Bank of Finland.
Bernhardsen, Tom & Eitrheim, Oyvind & Jore, Anne Sofie & Roisland, Oistein, 2005. "Real-time data for Norway: Challenges for monetary policy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 333-349, December.
- Bernhardsen, Tom & Eitrheim, Øyvind & Jore, Anne Sofie & Røisland, Øistein, 2004. "Real-time Data for Norway: Challenges for Monetary Policy," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,26, Deutsche Bundesbank.

2003

Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2003. "Optimal Policy with Partial Information in a Forward-Looking Model: Certainty-Equivalence Redux," NBER Working Papers 9430, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Boivin, Jean & Ng, Serena, 2006. "Are more data always better for factor analysis?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 169-194, May.
- Jean Boivin & Serena Ng, 2003. "Are More Data Always Better for Factor Analysis?," NBER Working Papers 9829, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Franck Sédillot & Nigel Pain, 2003. "Indicator Models of Real GDP Growth in Selected OECD Countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 364, OECD Publishing.
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Some results on the solution of the neoclassical growth model," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Some Results on the Solution of the Neoclassical Growth Model," PIER Working Paper Archive 04-002, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
Aruoba, S. Boragan & Fernandez-Villaverde, Jesus & Rubio-Ramirez, Juan F., 2006. "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2477-2508, December.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- S. B. Aruoba & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2005. "Comparing Solution Methods for Dynamic Equilibrium Economies," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000000855, UCLA Department of Economics.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Comparing Solution Methods for Dynamic Equilibrium Economies," PIER Working Paper Archive 04-003, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
Kitchen, John & Monaco, Ralph, 2003. "Real-Time Forecasting in Practice: The U.S. Treasury Staff's Real-Time GDP Forecast System," MPRA Paper 21068, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Oct 2003.
Rapacciuolo, Ciro, 2003. "Un semplice modello univariato per la previsione a breve termine dell'inflazione italiana [A simple model for the short term forecasting of Italian inflation]," MPRA Paper 7714, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Timotej Jagric, 2003. "Forecasting with leading economic indicators - a non-linear approach," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2003(1), pages 68-83.
Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J., 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," IZA Discussion Papers 899, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower, 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," Working Papers 493, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis Snower, 2004. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series 1247, CESifo.
Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J., 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," IZA Discussion Papers 899, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis Snower, 2004. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series 1247, CESifo.
- Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower, 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," Working Papers 493, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower, 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," Working Papers 493, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
Tim Robinson & Andrew Stone & Marileze van Zyl, 2003. "The Real-time Forecasting Performance of Phillips Curves," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2003-12, Reserve Bank of Australia.
Francesc Obiols-Homs, 2003. "Incomplete Unemployment Insurance and Aggregate Fluctuations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 6(3), pages 602-636, July.
- Francesc Obiols-Homs, 2001. "Incomplete unemployment insurance and aggregate fluctuations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 192, Society for Computational Economics.
Stanica, Cristian Nicolae, 2003. "A Deterministic Method For Short-Term Gdp Evaluation," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 122-132, June.
Dobrescu, Emilian, 2003. "Macroeconomic Estimations For The Romanian “Pre-Accession Economic Program” (The 2003 Version)," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 23-49, December.
Croitoru, Lucian & Tarhoaca, Cornel, 2003. "The Romanian Growth Potential – A Cge Analysis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 7-22, December.
Nicolae, Mariana & Albu, Lucian Liviu & Andrei, Dalina & Stanica, Cristian & Iordan, Mioara, 2003. "Multi - Annual Scenarios Using A Small – Sized Rmsm Type Of Model In Order To Forecast The Main Macroeconomic Indicators In Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(5), pages 25-31, December.
Dobrescu, Emilian, 2003. "Possible Evolutions Of The Romanian Economy (Macromodel Estimations)," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(5), pages 32-63, December.
Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2006. "The Predictive Content of the Output Gap for Inflation: Resolving In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(5), pages 1127-1148, August.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2003. "The predictive content of the output gap for inflation : resolving in-sample and out-of-sample evidence," Research Working Paper RWP 03-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
- Michael W. McCracken & Todd E. Clark, 2003. "The Predictive Content of the Output Gap for Inflation: Resolving In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Evidence," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 183, Society for Computational Economics.
Serena Ng & Jean Boivin, 2003. "Assessing Three Estimators of Latent Factors with Calibrated Macroeconomic Data," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 255, Society for Computational Economics.
Angelini & Henry & Mestre, 2003. "Factor based leading indicators for euro area business cycle: A comparative assessment," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 260, Society for Computational Economics.
Bruce McGough, 2006. "Shocking Escapes," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(511), pages 507-528, April.
- Bruce McGough, 2003. "Shocking Escapes," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 294, Society for Computational Economics.
Adam, Klaus, 2005. "Learning To Forecast And Cyclical Behavior Of Output And Inflation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, February.
- Adam, Klaus, 2003. "Learning to Forecast and Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/01, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Klaus Adam, 2003. "Learning to Forecast and Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 297, Society for Computational Economics.
Eric Swanson & Gary Anderson & Andrew Levin, 2003. "Higher-Order Solutions to Dynamic, Discrete-Time Rational Expectations Models: Methods and an Application to Optimal Monetary Policy," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 64, Society for Computational Economics.
- Eric Swanson & Gary Anderson & Andrew Levin, 2004. "Higher-Order Solutions to Dynamic, Discrete-Time Rational Expectations Models: Methods and an Application to Optimal Monetary Policy," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 576, Econometric Society.
Richard Etter & Michael Graff, 2003. "Estimating and Forecasting Production and Orders in Manufacturing Industry from Business Survey Data: Evidence from Switzerland, 1990-2003," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 139(IV), pages 507-533, December.
Thomas Mayer, 2003. "The macroeconomic Loss Function: a Critical Note," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 347-349.
- Thomas Mayer, 2002. "The Macroeconomic Loss Function: A Critical Note," CESifo Working Paper Series 771, CESifo.
- Thomas Mayer, 2003. "The Macroeconomic Loss Function: A Critical Note," Working Papers 5, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
Eijffinger, Sylvester & Beugelsdijk, Maaike, 2003. "The Effectiveness of Structural Policy in the European Union: An Empirical Analysis for the EU-15 during the Period 1995-2001," CEPR Discussion Papers 3879, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Beugelsdijk, S., 2003. "The Effectiveness of Structural Policy in the European Union : An Empirical Analysis for the EU-15 During the Period 1995-2001," Other publications TiSEM b49148f9-6d69-49ac-93c1-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
Australian Treasury, 2003. "The economic impact of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)," Economic Roundup, The Treasury, Australian Government, issue 2, pages 43-60, July.
Francisco J. Sáez & Luis A. Puch, 2003. "Trade Shoks and Aggregate Fluctuations in an Oil-Exporting Economy," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0301, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2002. "Factor Models in Large Cross-Sections of Time Series," CEPR Discussion Papers 3285, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lucrezia Reichlin, 2003. "Factor models in large cross sections of time series," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10179, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
Philip Arestis & Elias Karakitsos, 2003. "The Conditions for Sustainable U.S. Recovery: The Role of Investment," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_378, Levy Economics Institute.
- Philip Arestis & Elias Karakitsos, 2003. "The conditions for a Sustainable U.S. Recovery: The Role of Investment," General Economics and Teaching 0306001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Philip Arestis & Elias Karakitsos, 2003. "How Long Can the U.S. Consumers Carry the Economy on Their Shoulders?," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_380, Levy Economics Institute.
- Philip Arestis & Elias Karakitsos, 2003. "How Long Can the U.S. Consumers Carry the economy on Their Shoulders?," General Economics and Teaching 0306003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Gilles DUFRENOT & Val=E9rie MIGNON & Anne PEGUIN-FEISSOLE, 2003. "Business cycles asymmetry and monetary policy: a further investigatio= n=20 using MRSTAR models," Macroeconomics 0309002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Andrea de Panizza, 2003. "I processi cumulativi nella crisi del debito degli anni 80: una lettura dai casi di Argentina, Brasile e Messico Cumulative processes in the 1980s debt crisis: an analysis from Argentina, Brazil and M," Macroeconomics 0309004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
W. Jos Jansen & Niek J. Nahuis, 2004. "Which survey indicators are useful for monitoring consumption? Evidence from European countries," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 89-98.
- Niek J. Nahuis & W. Jos Jansen, 2003. "Which Survey Indicators Are Useful for Monitoring Consumption? Evidence fron European Countries," Macroeconomics 0309013, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Adam, Klaus, 2005. "Learning To Forecast And Cyclical Behavior Of Output And Inflation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, February.
- Klaus Adam, 2003. "Learning to Forecast and Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 297, Society for Computational Economics.
- Adam, Klaus, 2003. "Learning to Forecast and Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," CFS Working Paper Series 2003/01, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
Antzoulatos, Angelos A. & Wilfling, Bernd, 2003. "Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany," Discussion Paper Series 26169, Hamburg Institute of International Economics.
- Antzoulatos, Angelos A. & Wilfling, Bernd, 2003. "Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany," HWWA Discussion Papers 223, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis, 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: a dynamic reappraisal," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 237-273, March.
- Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J., 2002. "Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal," IZA Discussion Papers 531, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Héctor & Snower, Dennis J., 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: A dynamic reappraisal," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 2933, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower, 2002. "Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal," Working Papers 480, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
Nielsen, Hannah, 2003. "Inflation Expectations in the EU: Results from Survey Data," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2003,13, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
Heilemann, Ullrich & Stekler, H. O., 2003. "Has the accuracy of German macroeconomic forecasts improved?," Technical Reports 2003,31, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
- Ullrich Heilemann & Herman O. Stekler, 2010. "Has the Accuracy of German Macroeconomic Forecasts Improved?," Working Papers 2010-001, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting, revised Feb 2012.
Hüfner, Felix P. & Lahl, David, 2003. "What Determines the ZEW Indicator?," ZEW Discussion Papers 03-48, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
James H. Stock & Mark W.Watson, 2003. "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 41(3), pages 788-829, September.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001. "Forecasting output and inflation: the role of asset prices," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001. "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 8180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Antzoulatos, Angelos A. & Wilfling, Bernd, 2003. "Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany," HWWA Discussion Papers 223, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
- Antzoulatos, Angelos A. & Wilfling, Bernd, 2003. "Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany," Discussion Paper Series 26169, Hamburg Institute of International Economics.
Jeannine Bailliu & Daniel Garcés & Mark Kruger & Miguel Messmacher, 2003. "Explaining and Forecasting Inflation in Emerging Markets: The Case of Mexico," Staff Working Papers 03-17, Bank of Canada.
Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian, 2003. "Testing the Stability of the Canadian Phillips Curve Using Exact Methods," Staff Working Papers 03-7, Bank of Canada.
O. De Bandt & E. Michaux & C. Bruneau & A. Flageollet, 2007. "Forecasting inflation using economic indicators: the case of France," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1-22.
- Bruneau, C. & De Bandt, O. & Flageollet, A. & Michaux, E., 2003. "Forecasting Inflation using Economic Indicators: the Case of France," Working papers 101, Banque de France.
Bruneau, C. & De Bandt, O. & Flageollet, A., 2003. "Forecasting Inflation in the Euro Area," Working papers 102, Banque de France.
Dick van Dijk & Philip Hans Franses, 2003. "Selecting a Nonlinear Time Series Model using Weighted Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(s1), pages 727-744, December.
- van Dijk, D.J.C. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2003. "Selecting a Nonlinear Time Series Model using Weighted Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2003-10, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
Jozef Vuchelen & Maria Gutierrez, 2003. "Do the OECD forecasts for the belgian economy contain information?," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 46(2), pages 31-64.
Thomas Mayer, 2003. "The Macroeconomic Loss Function: A Critical Note," Working Papers 22, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
Thomas Mayer, 2003. "The macroeconomic Loss Function: a Critical Note," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 347-349.
- Thomas Mayer, 2002. "The Macroeconomic Loss Function: A Critical Note," CESifo Working Paper Series 771, CESifo Group Munich.
- Thomas Mayer, 2003. "The Macroeconomic Loss Function: A Critical Note," Working Papers 22, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
Thomas Mayer, 2003. "The macroeconomic Loss Function: a Critical Note," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 347-349.
- Thomas Mayer, 2002. "The Macroeconomic Loss Function: A Critical Note," CESifo Working Paper Series 771, CESifo.
- Thomas Mayer, 2003. "The Macroeconomic Loss Function: A Critical Note," Working Papers 5, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji & Stephen M. Miller, 2006. "Performance evaluation of the New Connecticut Leading Employment Index using lead profiles and BVAR models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 415-437.
- Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua & Stephen M. Miller, 2002. "Performance Evaluation of the New Connecticut Leading Employment Index Using Lead Profiles and BVAR Models," Working papers 2002-34, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2005.
- Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua & Stephen M. Miller, 2003. "Performance Evaluation of the New Connecticut Leading Employment Index Using Lead Profiles and BVAR Models," Working papers 114, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
Orphanides, Athanasios & van Norden, Simon, 2005. "The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(3), pages 583-601, June.
- Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden, 2003. "The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-01, CIRANO.
- Athanasios Orphanides & Simon van Norden, 2004. "The reliability of inflation forecasts based on output gap estimates in real time," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2004-68, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Orphanides, Athanasios & van Norden, Simon, 2005. "The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time," CEPR Discussion Papers 4830, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Beugelsdijk, S., 2003. "The Effectiveness of Structural Policy in the European Union : An Empirical Analysis for the EU-15 During the Period 1995-2001," Other publications TiSEM b49148f9-6d69-49ac-93c1-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Eijffinger, Sylvester & Beugelsdijk, Maaike, 2003. "The Effectiveness of Structural Policy in the European Union: An Empirical Analysis for the EU-15 during the Period 1995-2001," CEPR Discussion Papers 3879, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2005. "Leading Indicators for Euro‐area Inflation and GDP Growth," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(s1), pages 785-813, December.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2003. "Leading Indicators for Euro-area Inflation and GDP Growth," Working Papers 235, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2003. "Leading Indicators for Euro Area Inflation and GDP Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 3893, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Kilian, Lutz & Manganelli, Simone, 2003. "The central bank as a risk manager: quantifying and forecasting inflation risks," Working Paper Series 226, European Central Bank.
- Kilian, Lutz & Manganelli, Simone, 2003. "The Central Banker as a Risk Manager: Quantifying and Forecasting Inflation Risks," CEPR Discussion Papers 3918, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Vincent, BODART & Konstantin A., KHOLODILIN & Fati, SHADMAN-MEHTA, 2003. "Dating and Forecasting the Belgian Business Cycle," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2003018, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
Toichiro Asada & Peter Flaschel & Gang Gong & Willi Semmler, 2003. "Monetary Policy, Currency Unions and Open Economy Macrodynamics," Bulletin of the Czech Econometric Society, The Czech Econometric Society, vol. 10(19).
S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Linear and Log-Linear Approximation," QM&RBC Codes 117, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Finite Elements Method," QM&RBC Codes 118, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Chebyshev Polynomials," QM&RBC Codes 119, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Perturbation (2nd and 5th order)," QM&RBC Codes 120, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Value Function Iteration," QM&RBC Codes 121, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Some results on the solution of the neoclassical growth model," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Mathematica Notebook for Some Results on the Solution of the Neoclassical Growth Model," QM&RBC Codes 92, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
Gustav Adolf Horn, 2003. "US Outlook and German Confidence: Does the Confidence Channel Work?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 324, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
Kilian, Lutz & Manganelli, Simone, 2003. "The Central Banker as a Risk Manager: Quantifying and Forecasting Inflation Risks," CEPR Discussion Papers 3918, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Kilian, Lutz & Manganelli, Simone, 2003. "The central bank as a risk manager: quantifying and forecasting inflation risks," Working Paper Series 226, European Central Bank.
Hubrich, Kirstin, 2005. "Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 119-136.
- Hubrich, Kirstin, 2003. "Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?," Working Paper Series 247, European Central Bank.
- Kirstin Hubrich, 2004. "Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 230, Society for Computational Economics.
Robin L. Lumsdaine & Eswar S. Prasad, 2003. "Identifying the Common Component of International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(484), pages 101-127, January.
- Robin L. Lumsdaine & Mr. Eswar S Prasad, 1999. "Identifying the Common Component in International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," IMF Working Papers 1999/154, International Monetary Fund.
- Lumsdaine, Robin L. & Prasad, Eswar, 2002. "Identifying the Common Component of International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 487, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2003. "Learning with bounded memory in stochastic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(8), pages 1437-1457, June.
- Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, "undated". "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," Discussion Papers 00/42, Department of Economics, University of York.
- Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja, 1999. "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 221, Society for Computational Economics.
- Honkapohja, S. & Mitra, K., 1999. "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 456, Department of Economics.
Boileau, Martin & Normandin, Michel, 2003. "Labor hoarding, superior information, and business cycle dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 397-418, November.
- Martin Boileau & Michel Normandin, 2001. "Labor Hoarding, Superior Information and Business Cycle Dynamics," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 129, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal.
Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis, 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: a dynamic reappraisal," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 237-273, March.
- Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J., 2002. "Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal," IZA Discussion Papers 531, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Héctor & Snower, Dennis J., 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: A dynamic reappraisal," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 2933, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower, 2002. "Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal," Working Papers 480, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
Camba-Mendez, Gonzalo & Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego, 2003. "Assessment criteria for output gap estimates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 529-562, May.
- Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo & Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego, 2001. "Assessment criteria for output gap estimates," Working Paper Series 54, European Central Bank.
- Camba-Mendez, G.C. & Palenzuela-Rodriguez, D., 2001. "Assessemt Criteria for Output Gap Estimates," Papers 54, Quebec a Montreal - Recherche en gestion.
Awokuse, Titus O. & Yang, Jian, 2003. "The informational role of commodity prices in formulating monetary policy: a reexamination," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 219-224, May.
- Awokuse, Titus O. & Yang, Jian, 2002. "The Informational Role Of Commodity Prices In Formulating Monetary Policy: A Reexamination," Staff Papers 15834, University of Delaware, Department of Food and Resource Economics.
Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2003. "Inflation forecast uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(6), pages 1037-1059, December.
- Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2000. "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 384, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 06 Nov 2001.
- SÃ¶derlind, Paul, 2000. "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 2499, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
Wallis, Kenneth F., 2003. "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England's fan charts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 165-175.
- Wallis, Kenneth F., 2001. "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts and the Bank of England's fan charts," Working Paper Series 83, European Central Bank.
- Wallis, Kenneth F., 2002. "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England's fan charts," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002 181, Royal Economic Society.
Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2003. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 691-720, April.
- Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Svensson, Lars & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," Seminar Papers 688, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
- Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," NBER Working Papers 7953, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Working Paper Series 12, European Central Bank.
Dick van Dijk & Philip Hans Franses, 2003. "Selecting a Nonlinear Time Series Model using Weighted Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(s1), pages 727-744, December.
- van Dijk, D.J.C. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2003. "Selecting a Nonlinear Time Series Model using Weighted Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2003-10, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
Kristoffer P. NIMARK, 2003. "Monetary Policy Performance and the Accuracy of Observations," Economics Working Papers ECO2003/08, European University Institute.
Aruoba, S. Boragan & Fernandez-Villaverde, Jesus & Rubio-Ramirez, Juan F., 2006. "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2477-2508, December.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Comparing Solution Methods for Dynamic Equilibrium Economies," PIER Working Paper Archive 04-003, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-27, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- S. B. Aruoba & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2005. "Comparing Solution Methods for Dynamic Equilibrium Economies," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000000855, UCLA Department of Economics.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Value Function Iteration," QM&RBC Codes 121, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Finite Elements Method," QM&RBC Codes 118, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Perturbation (2nd and 5th order)," QM&RBC Codes 120, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Linear and Log-Linear Approximation," QM&RBC Codes 117, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Chebyshev Polynomials," QM&RBC Codes 119, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Some Results on the Solution of the Neoclassical Growth Model," PIER Working Paper Archive 04-002, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Some results on the solution of the neoclassical growth model," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2003-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2003. "Mathematica Notebook for Some Results on the Solution of the Neoclassical Growth Model," QM&RBC Codes 92, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
Christopher A. Sims & Jinill Kim & Sunghyun Kim, 2003. "Calculating and Using Second Order Accurate Solution of Discrete Time Dynamic Equilibrium Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 162, Society for Computational Economics.
- Jinill Kim & Sunghyun Henry Kim & Ernst Schaumburg & Christopher A. Sims, 2003. "Calculating and using second order accurate solutions of discrete time dynamic equilibrium models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2003-61, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Henry Kim & Jinill Kim & Ernst Schaumburg & Christopher A. Sims, 2005. "Calculating and Using Second Order Accurate Solutions of Discrete Time Dynamic Equilibrium Models," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0505, Department of Economics, Tufts University.
- Christopher A. Sims & Jinill Kim & Sunghyun Kim, 2004. "Calculating and Using Second Order Accurate Solution of Discrete Time Dynamic Equilibrium Models," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 411, Econometric Society.
Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2003. "Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-cased rules in a two-bloc model," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2004. "Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-based rules in a two-bloc model," International Finance Discussion Papers 797, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Batini, Nicoletta & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2004. "Indeterminacy with inflation-forecast-based rules in a two-bloc model," Working Paper Series 340, European Central Bank.
- Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2004. "Indeterminacy with Inflation-Forecast-Based Rules in a Two-Bloc Model," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0204, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2006. "The Predictive Content of the Output Gap for Inflation: Resolving In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(5), pages 1127-1148, August.
- Michael W. McCracken & Todd E. Clark, 2003. "The Predictive Content of the Output Gap for Inflation: Resolving In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Evidence," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 183, Society for Computational Economics.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken, 2003. "The predictive content of the output gap for inflation : resolving in-sample and out-of-sample evidence," Research Working Paper RWP 03-06, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2003. "Forecasting in Large Macroeconomic Panels using Bayesian Model Averaging," Discussion Papers in Economics 04/16, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2003. "Forecasting in large macroeconomic panels using Bayesian Model Averaging," Staff Reports 163, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Hansson, Jesper & Jansson, Per & Löf, Mårten, 2003. "Business Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting the Macro Economy?," Working Papers 84, National Institute of Economic Research.
- Hansson, Jesper & Jansson, Per & Löf, Mårten, 2003. "Business Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting the Macro Economy?," Working Paper Series 151, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
Nimark, Kristoffer P., 2003. "Indicator Accuracy and Monetary Policy: Is Ignorance Bliss?," Working Paper Series 157, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
Pedro José Pérez Vázquez, 2003. "Fuentes de variabilidad en las principales economías occidentales," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 27(3), pages 565-591, September.
Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2005. "Leading Indicators for Euro‐area Inflation and GDP Growth," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(s1), pages 785-813, December.
- Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2003. "Leading Indicators for Euro Area Inflation and GDP Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 3893, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2003. "Leading Indicators for Euro-area Inflation and GDP Growth," Working Papers 235, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
Kitamura, Tomiyuki & Koike, Ryoji, 2003. "The Effectiveness of Forecasting Methods Using Multiple Information Variables," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 21(1), pages 105-143, February.
Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower, 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," Working Papers 493, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis Snower, 2004. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series 1247, CESifo.
- Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J., 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," IZA Discussion Papers 899, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
Várpalotai, Viktor, 2003. "Dezinflációs számítások dezaggregált kibocsátási résekre alapozó makromodellel [Disinflation simulations with a disaggregated output gap-based model]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(4), pages 287-314.
Fabio ALESSANDRINI, 2003. "Do Financial Variables Provide Information about the Swiss Business Cycle ?," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 03.02, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2003. "Forecasting in large macroeconomic panels using Bayesian Model Averaging," Staff Reports 163, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2003. "Forecasting in Large Macroeconomic Panels using Bayesian Model Averaging," Discussion Papers in Economics 04/16, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
Philip Arestis & Elias Karakitsos, 2003. "The conditions for a Sustainable U.S. Recovery: The Role of Investment," General Economics and Teaching 0306001, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Philip Arestis & Elias Karakitsos, 2003. "The Conditions for Sustainable U.S. Recovery: The Role of Investment," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_378, Levy Economics Institute.
Philip Arestis & Elias Karakitsos, 2003. "How Long Can the U.S. Consumers Carry the economy on Their Shoulders?," General Economics and Teaching 0306003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Philip Arestis & Elias Karakitsos, 2003. "How Long Can the U.S. Consumers Carry the Economy on Their Shoulders?," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_380, Levy Economics Institute.
André Kurmann, 2003. "Quantifying the Uncertainty about the Fit of a New Keynesian Pricing Model: Extended Version," Cahiers de recherche 0344, CIRPEE.
Viktor Várpalotai, 2003. "Disaggregated Cost Pass-Through Based Econometric Inflation-Forecasting Model for Hungary," MNB Working Papers 2003/4, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
- VÁRPALOTAI Viktor, 2010. "Disaggregated Cost Pass-Through Based Econometric Inflation-Forecasting Model for Hungary," EcoMod2003 330700148, EcoMod.
Zoltán M. Jakab & Mihály András Kovács, 2003. "Explaining the Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Hungary: Simulations with the NIGEM Model," MNB Working Papers 2003/5, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
Viv Hall & Angela Huang, 2004. "Would adopting the us dollar have led to improved inflation, output and trade balances, for New Zealand in the 1990s?," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 49-63.
- Viv Hall & Angela Huang, 2003. "Would Adopting the US Dollar Have Led to Improved Inflation, Output and Trade Balances for New Zealand in the 1990s?," Working Papers 03_14, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
- Viv Hall & Angela Huang, 2004. "WOULD ADOPTING THE US DOLLAR HAVE LED TO IMPROVED INFLATION, OUTPUT AND TRADE BALANCES FOR NEW ZEALAND IN THE 1990s?," Macroeconomics 0401001, University Library of Munich, Germany.

2002

Awokuse, Titus O. & Yang, Jian, 2003. "The informational role of commodity prices in formulating monetary policy: a reexamination," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 219-224, May.
- Awokuse, Titus O. & Yang, Jian, 2002. "The Informational Role Of Commodity Prices In Formulating Monetary Policy: A Reexamination," Staff Papers 15834, University of Delaware, Department of Food and Resource Economics.
Kevin Moran & Veronika Dolar, 2002. "Estimated DGE Models and Forecasting Accuracy: A Preliminary Investigation with Canadian Data," Staff Working Papers 02-18, Bank of Canada.
Robert Amano & Kim McPhail & Hope Pioro & Andrew Rennison, 2002. "Evaluating the Quarterly Projection Model: A Preliminary Investigation," Staff Working Papers 02-20, Bank of Canada.
Alberto Baffigi & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2002. "Real-time GDP forecasting in the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 456, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
Jozef Vuchelen & Maria Gutierrez, 2002. "The quality of a consensus forecast for economic growth in Belgium, 1981-2001," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 45(1), pages 67-90.
Thomas Mayer, 2003. "The macroeconomic Loss Function: a Critical Note," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 347-349.
- Thomas Mayer, 2002. "The Macroeconomic Loss Function: A Critical Note," CESifo Working Paper Series 771, CESifo.
- Thomas Mayer, 2003. "The Macroeconomic Loss Function: A Critical Note," Working Papers 5, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics.
Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, 2006. "Learning Stability in Economies with Heterogeneous Agents," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 9(2), pages 284-309, April.
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2002. "Learning stability in economics with heterogeneous agents," Working Paper Series 120, European Central Bank.
- Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja, 2004. "Learning Stability in Economies with Heterogenous Agents," Royal Holloway, University of London: Discussion Papers in Economics 04/17, Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London, revised Jul 2004.
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- Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(13), pages 49-50, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(12), pages 55-56, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(14), pages 28-29, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(15), pages 40-41, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 52-53, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(15), pages 41-42, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2002. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2002 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(13), pages 44-45, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(12), pages 42-43, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(13), pages 49-50, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(12), pages 55-56, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(12), pages 55-56, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(15), pages 40-41, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 52-53, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(14), pages 28-29, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(15), pages 41-42, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(12), pages 55-56, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(12), pages 55-56, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(13), pages 49-50, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2002. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2002 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(13), pages 44-45, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(12), pages 42-43, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(15), pages 40-41, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 52-53, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(14), pages 28-29, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(15), pages 41-42, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2002. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2002 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(13), pages 44-45, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(12), pages 42-43, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(13), pages 49-50, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(12), pages 55-56, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(12), pages 55-56, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(15), pages 40-41, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 52-53, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(14), pages 28-29, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(15), pages 41-42, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(12), pages 55-56, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(12), pages 55-56, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(13), pages 49-50, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(12), pages 42-43, 06.
- Hans G. Russ, 2002. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juni 2002 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(13), pages 44-45, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2004. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2004 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(14), pages 28-29, 07.
- Hans G. Russ, 2006. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2006 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(15), pages 41-42, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2003. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2003 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(15), pages 40-41, 08.
- Hans G. Russ, 2005. "ifo Konjunkturtest Juli 2005 in Kürze," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 58(15), pages 52-53, 08.
- Owens, Trudy & Hoddinott, John & Kinsey, Bill, 2003. "The Impact of Agricultural Extension on Farm Production in Resettlement Areas of Zimbabwe," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 51(2), pages 337-57, January.
- Facchini, Giovanni & Steinhardt, Max Friedrich, 2011. "What drives U.S. immigration policy? Evidence from congressional roll call votes," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(7), pages 734-743.
- Davide Castellani & Giorgia Giovannetti, 2010. "Productivity and the international firm: dissecting heterogeneity," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 25-42.
- Artjoms Ivlevs & Jaime De Melo, 2010. "FDI, the Brain Drain and Trade: Channels and Evidence," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 97-98, pages 103-121.
- Julien Gourdon & Nicolas Maystre & Jaime de Melo, 2008. "Openness, inequality and poverty: Endowments matter," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(3), pages 343-378.
- Robert N. McCauley, 2012. "Risk-on/risk-off, capital flows, leverage and safe assets," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 8(3), pages 281-298, August.
- Robert N. McCauley, 2012. "Risk-on/risk-off, capital flows, leverage and safe assets," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 8(3), pages 281-298, August.
- Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Miklós Koren & Silvana Tenreyro, 2007. "Technological diversification," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
- Keith Kuester & Volker Wieland, 2010. "Insurance Policies for Monetary Policy in the Euro Area," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 8(4), pages 872-912, 06.
- Elena Angelini & Gonzalo Camba‐Mendez & Domenico Giannone & Lucrezia Reichlin & Gerhard Rünstler, 2011. "Short‐term forecasts of euro area GDP growth," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14(1), pages C25-C44, February.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza, 2010. "The Feldstein-Horioka Fact," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2009, pages 103-117 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Christian Dreger & Hans-Eggert Reimers & Barbara Roffia, 2007. "Long-Run Money Demand in the New EU Member States with Exchange Rate Effects," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(2), pages 75-94, April.
- Christian Daude & Marcel Fratzscher, 2007. "The pecking order of cross-border investment," CGFS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Research on global financial stability: the use of BIS international financial statistics, volume 29, pages 53-89 Bank for International Settlements.
- Reint Gropp & Jukka M. Vesala & Giuseppe Vulpes, 2002. "Equity and bond market signals as leading indicators of bank fragility," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Kalin Nikolov, 2012. "Bubbles, banks and financial stability," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 15, pages 2-6.
- Forbes, Kristin J. & Fratzscher, Marcel & Kostka, Thomas & Straub, Roland, 2012. "Bubble thy neighbor: portfolio effects and externalities from capital controls," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov, pages 1-48.
- Marcel Fratzscher, 2012. "Capital Controls and Foreign Exchange Policy," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 15(2), pages 66-98, August.
- Geert Bekaert & Marie Hoerova, 2010. "Risk, uncertainty and monetary policy," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, vol. 10, pages 11-13.
- António Afonso & João Tovar Jalles, 2013. "Fiscal Composition and Long-term Growth," Chapters in SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum.
- Alexander Chudik & M. Hashem Pesaran & Elisa Tosetti, 2011. "Weak and strong cross‐section dependence and estimation of large panels," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 14, pages C45-C90, 02.
- Marcel Fratzscher, 2011. "Capital Flows, Push versus Pull Factors and the Global Financial Crisis," NBER Chapters, in: Global Financial Crisis National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hendry, David F. & Hubrich, Kirstin, 2011. "Combining Disaggregate Forecasts or Combining Disaggregate Information to Forecast an Aggregate," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 29(2), pages 216-227.
- Elena Bobeica & Paulo Esteves & António Rua & Karsten Staehr, 2016. "Exports and domestic demand pressure: a dynamic panel data model for the euro area countries," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 152(1), pages 107-125, February.
- Peter Hördahl & David Vestin, 2005. "Interpreting Implied Risk-Neutral Densities: The Role of Risk Premia," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 9(1), pages 97-137.
- Charles Engel & Kenneth D. West, 2003. "Exchange rates and fundamentals," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
- Pierpaolo Benigno & Michael Woodford, 2003. "Optimal monetary and fiscal policy: a linear-quadratic approach," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- J. Galí & D. López-Salido & J. Vallés, 2003. "Understanding the effects of government spending on consumption," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Athanasios Orphanides & John C. Williams, 2003. "The decline of activist stabilization policy: natural rate misperceptions, learning, and expectations," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Fabrice Collard & Harris Dellas, 2003. "The great inflation of the 1970s," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Banbura, Marta & Rünstler, Gerhard, 2011. "A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 333-346, April.
- Stephen Bond & Dietmar Harhoff & John Van Reenen, 2005. "Investment, R&D and Financial Constraints in Britain and Germany," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 79-80, pages 433-460.
- Nick Bloom & Mark Schankerman & John Van Reenen, 2005. "Identifying technology spillovers and product market rivalry," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Francesco Caselli & Silvana Tenreyro, 2004. "Is Poland the next Spain?," Communities and Banking, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Saul Lach & Mark Schankerman, 2003. "Incentives and invention in universities," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
- Nick Bloom & Mark Schankerman & John Van Reenen, 2005. "Identifying technology spillovers and product market rivalry," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Miklós Koren & Silvana Tenreyro, 2007. "Technological diversification," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
- Christopher A. Pissarides, 2009. "The Unemployment Volatility Puzzle: Is Wage Stickiness the Answer?," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(5), pages 1339-1369, 09.
- Saul Lach & Mark Schankerman, 2003. "Incentives and invention in universities," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
- Nick Bloom & Mark Schankerman & John Van Reenen, 2005. "Identifying technology spillovers and product market rivalry," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Nick Bloom & Mark Schankerman & John Van Reenen, 2005. "Identifying technology spillovers and product market rivalry," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Jo Blanden & Stephen Machin, 2004. "Educational Inequality and the Expansion of UK Higher Education," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 51(2), pages 230-249, 05.
- Anthony J. Venables, 2006. "Shifts in economic geography and their causes," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 15-39.
- Eva Catarineu-Rabell & Patricia Jackson & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, 2002. "Procyclicality and the New Basel Accord: banks' choice of loan rating system," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
- Jean-Charles Rochet & Jean Tirole, 2003. "Platform Competition in Two-Sided Markets," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(4), pages 990-1029, 06.
- Larcinese, Valentino & Puglisi, Riccardo & Snyder, James M., 2011. "Partisan bias in economic news: Evidence on the agenda-setting behavior of U.S. newspapers," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(9), pages 1178-1189.
- Saul Lach & Mark Schankerman, 2003. "Incentives and invention in universities," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
- Richard Freeman & John Van Reenen, 2009. "What if Congress Doubled R&D Spending on the Physical Sciences?," NBER Chapters, in: Innovation Policy and the Economy, Volume 9, pages 1-38 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Richard Perkins & Eric Neumayer, 2010. "Geographic variations in the early diffusion of corporate voluntary standards: comparing ISO 14001 and the Global Compact," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 42(2), pages 347-365, February.
- Richard B. Freeman, 2007. "When Workers Share in Profits: Effort and Responses to Shirking," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 97(6), pages 9-36, November-.
- Robert C. Allen & Jean‐Pascal Bassino & Debin Ma & Christine Moll‐Murata & Jan Luiten Van Zanden, 2011. "Wages, prices, and living standards in China, 1738–1925: in comparison with Europe, Japan, and India," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 64(s1), pages 8-38, February.
- Nick Bloom & Mark Schankerman & John Van Reenen, 2005. "Identifying technology spillovers and product market rivalry," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Miklós Koren & Silvana Tenreyro, 2007. "Technological diversification," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov.
- Nancy Holman & Gabriel M Ahlfeldt, 2015. "No escape? The coordination problem in heritage preservation," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 47(1), pages 172-187, January.
- Paul Beaudry & David A. Green & Benjamin M. Sand, 2013. "The Great Reversal in the Demand for Skill and Cognitive Tasks," NBER Chapters, in: Labor Markets in the Aftermath of the Great Recession, pages 199-247 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Giuseppe Moscarini & Fabien Postel-Vinay, 2013. "Did the Job Ladder Fail after the Great Recession?," NBER Chapters, in: Labor Markets in the Aftermath of the Great Recession, pages 55-93 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nuno Ferreira da Cruz & Pedro SimÃµes & Rui Cunha Marques, 2013. "The hurdles of local governments with PPP contracts in the waste sector," Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 31(2), pages 292-307, April.
- Eric Neumayer & Peter Nunnenkamp & Martin Roy, 2016. "Are stricter investment rules contagious? Host country competition for foreign direct investment through international agreements," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 152(1), pages 177-213, February.
- Joseph Seidel & Yang Xu, 2016. "MHTEXP: Stata module to perform multiple hypothesis testing correction procedure," Statistical Software Components S458153, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Heike Hennig-Schmidt & Bettina Rockenbach & Abdolkarim Sadrieh, 2010. "In Search Of Workers' Real Effort Reciprocity-A Field and a Laboratory Experiment," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 8(4), pages 817-837, 06.
- Karlan, Dean & List, John A. & Shafir, Eldar, 2011. "Small matches and charitable giving: Evidence from a natural field experiment," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(5), pages 344-350.
- Matthew T. Cole & Amélie Guillin, 2015. "The determinants of trade agreements in services vs. goods," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 144, pages 66-82.
- Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2016. "Forecasting the Great Trade Collapse," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 145-154.
- Georgy Idrisov & Yuri Bobylev & Arseny Mamedov & Olga Morgunova & Mikhail Khromov & Sergey Tsukhlo & Olesia Rasenko, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic Development," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 15, pages 1-26, November.
- Georgy Idrisov & Mikhail Khromov & Evgeny Goryunov & Alexander Knobel & Yuri Ponomarev & Alexander Deryugin & Julia Florinskaya & Nikita Mkrtchan, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic Development," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 16, pages 1-26, November.
- Alexander Knobel & Yuri Bobylev & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Pavel Trunin & Mikhail Khromov & Natalia Shagaida & Vasily Uzun & Elena Avraamova & D. Loginov, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic Development," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 14, pages 1-26, October.
- Firanchuk Alexander & Shagaida Natalia & Mamedov Arseny & Fomina Elena & Zubarevich Natalia, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 26, pages 1-27, May.
- Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Averkiev Vladimir & Shishkina Ekaterina & Florinskaya Yulia & Mkrtchian N. & S, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 24, pages 1-27, April.
- Sergey Drobyshevsky & Marina Turuntseva & Michael Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Viktoria Petrenko & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-26, January.
- Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Pavel Trunin & Victor Lyashok, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 20, pages 1-26, February.
- Sergey Drobyshevsky & Marina Turuntseva & Michael Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Viktoria Petrenko & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-26, January.
- Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Pavel Trunin & Victor Lyashok, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 20, pages 1-22, February.
- Sergey Drobyshevsky & Mikhail Khromov & Maria Kazakova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 17, pages 1-26, December.
- Mikhail Khromov & Sergey Drobyshevsky & Maria Kazakova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 17, pages 1-26, December.
- Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bobylev Yuri & Rasenko O. & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Shagaida Natalia & Kiyutsevskaya Ann, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 28, pages 1-28, June.
- Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Shishkina Ekaterina & Uzun Vasily & Flor, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 24, pages 1-27, April.
- Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bobylev Yuri & Rasenko O. & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Shagaida Nat, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 28, pages 1-28, June.
- Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Mikhail Khromov & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich & Pavel Pavlov & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 21, pages 1-30, February.
- Sergey Drobyshevsky & Marina Turuntseva & Michael Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Viktoria Petrenko & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-26, January.
- Idrisov Georgy & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Goryunov Evgeny & Deryugin Alexander & Kaukin Andrey, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 25, pages 1-22, April.
- Firanchuk Alexander & Shagaida Natalia & Mamedov Arseny & Fomina Elena & Zubarevich Natalia, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 26, pages 1-27, May.
- Alexandra Bozhechkova & Alexander Knobel & Sergey Tsukhlo & Elena Grishina & Pavel Trunin & Alexander Firanchuk & Olga Berezinskaya, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 22, pages 1-27, March.
- Sergey Drobyshevsky & Marina Turuntseva & Michael Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Viktoria Petrenko & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-26, January.
- Idrisov Georgy & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Goryunov Evgeny & Deryugin Alexander & Kaukin Andrey, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 25, pages 1-22, April.
- Loginov D. & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Goryunov Evgeny & Kiyutsevskaya Anna & Larionova M. & Sakharov A. & Shelepov A. & Avraamova A., 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 29, pages 1-26, June.
- Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Mikhail Khromov & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich & Pavel Pavlov & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 21, pages 1-30, February.
- Idrisov Georgy & Loginova D. & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Tsukhlo Sergey & Uzun Vasily & Kaukin Andrey & Zubarevich Natalia, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 32, pages 1-27, September.
- Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Mikhail Khromov & Andrei Kaukin & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich & Pavel Pavlov & Vasily Uzun, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 21, pages 1-30, February.
- Mikhail Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Sergey Tsukhlo & E. Avraamova & D. Loginov & O. Rasenko & Ekaterina Ponomareva & Sergey Sudakov, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 23, pages 1-27, March.
- Firanchuk Alexander & Shagaida Natalia & Mamedov Arseny & Fomina Elena & Zubarevich Natalia, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 26, pages 1-27, May.
- Alexandra Bozhechkova & Alexander Knobel & Georgy Idrisov & Yuri Ponomarev & Sergey Tsukhlo & Pavel Trunin & Sergey Sudakov & Alexandra Burdyak & Elena Grishina, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 18, pages 1-26, December.
- Mikhail Khromov & Sergey Drobyshevsky & Maria Kazakova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich, 2015. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 17, pages 1-26, December.
- Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Grishina Elena & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Deryugin Alexander & Burdyak Alexandra, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 31, pages 1-27, July.
- Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Pavel Trunin & Victor Lyashok, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 20, pages 1-22, February.
- Idrisov Georgy & Loginova D. & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Tsukhlo Sergey & Uzun Vasily & Kaukin Andrey & Zubarevich Natalia, 2016. "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of
- Peter M. Summers, 2002. "Comment on International Shocks and the Role of Domestic Policy in Australia," Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE), Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School, vol. 5(2), pages 171-173, June.
- Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2002. "Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 49(Special i), pages 185-213.
  - Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2002. "Interest rate effects on output: evidence from a GDP forecasting model for South Africa," CSAE Working Paper Series 2002-04, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
  - Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2002. "Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 3595, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- D'Ecclesia, Rita Laura & Gallo, Crescenzio, 2002. "Price-caps and Efficient Pricing for the Electricity Italian Market," MPRA Paper 10048, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Giancarlo Bruno & Marco Malgarini, 2002. "An Indicator of Economic Sentiment for the Italian Economy," ISAE Working Papers 28, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY).
  - Bruno, Giancarlo & Malgarini, Marco, 2002. "An Indicator of Economic Sentiment for the Italian Economy," MPRA Paper 42331, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis, 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: a dynamic reappraisal," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 237-273, March.
  - Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J., 2002. "Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal," IZA Discussion Papers 531, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  - Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Héctor & Snower, Dennis J., 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: A dynamic reappraisal," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 2933, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  - Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower, 2002. "Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal," Working Papers 480, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis, 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: a dynamic reappraisal," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 237-273, March.
  - Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J., 2002. "Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal," IZA Discussion Papers 531, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  - Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Héctor & Snower, Dennis J., 2003. "Unemployment in the European Union: A dynamic reappraisal," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 2933, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  - Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower, 2002. "Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal," Working Papers 480, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  - Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis J. Snower, 2002. "Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal," Working Papers 480, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Dobrescu, Emilian, 2002. "Updated Scenarios For The Romanian Economy Medium-Term Dynamics," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 5-16, March.
  - Dobrescu, Emilian, 2001. "Updated scenarios for the Romanian economy medium-term dynamics," MPRA Paper 35792, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Scutaru, Cornelia, 2002. "Previsional Estimates Of The Romanian Economy In 2001 - The "Dobrescu" Macromodel Of The Romanian Transition Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 30-38, June.
- Dobrescu, Emilian, 2002. "Macromodel Estimation for the Romanian "Pre-Accession Economic Programme"," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(5), pages 5-38, December.
  - Dobrescu, Emilian, 2001. "Macromodel estimations for the Romanian "pre-accession economic programme," MPRA Paper 35793, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  - Dobrescu, Emilian, 2002. "Macromodel estimations for the Romanian "Preaccesion economic programme"," MPRA Paper 35774, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Emilio Colombo & Luca Matteo Stanca, 2002. "Il contenuto informativo dell’attività fieristica per l’analisi congiunturale," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 92(5), pages 57-96, September.
- Nicoletta Batini & Joseph Pearlman, 2002. "Too Much Too Soon: Instability and Indeterminacy with Forward-Looking Rules," Discussion Papers 08, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England.
  - Nicoletta Batini & Joe Pearlman, 2002. "Too Much Too Soon: Instability and Indeterminacy with Forward-Looking Rules," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 182, Society for Computational Economics.
- Israel Sancho & maximo Camacho, 2002. "Spanish diffusion indexes," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 276, Society for Computational Economics.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon & Hans-Martin Krolzig, 2002. "A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 233-254.
  - Hans-Martin Krolzig & Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, "undated". "A Markov-Switching Vector Equilibrium Correction Model of the UK Labour Market," Working Papers 185, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- J. Z. Easaw & S. M. Heravi & J. C. K. Ash & D. J. Smyth, 2002. "Are Hodrick-Prescott `forecasts' rational?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 631-643.
- Eduardo L. Giménez & José María Martín-Moreno, 2002. "On the role of money in a business cycle model of a small open economy: The case of Spain," Spanish Economic Review, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 4(3), pages 159-177.
- Emilio Dominguez & Alfonso Novales, 2002. "A factor model of term structure slopes in Eurocurrency markets," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(9), pages 585-593.
  - Alfonso Novales & Emilio Domínguez, 2002. "A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0224, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Emilio Dominguez & Alfonso Novales, 2002. "Can forward rates be used to improve interest rate forecasts?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(7), pages 493-504.
  - Alfonso Novales & Emilio Domínguez, 2002. "Can forward rates be used to improve interest rate forecasts?"," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0225, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Wouter J. den Haan, 2002. "The Comovement between Real Activity and Prices in the G7," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 02-092/2, Tinbergen Institute.
- Pilar Abad & Alfonso Novales, 2002. "The Forecasting Ability of Factor Models of the Term Structure of IRS Markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0221, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Pilar Abad & Alfonso Novales, 2002. "An Error Correction Factor Model of Term Structure Slopes in International Swaps Markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0222, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Emilio Dominguez & Alfonso Novales, 2002. "A factor model of term structure slopes in Eurocurrency markets," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(9), pages 585-593.
  - Alfonso Novales & Emilio Domínguez, 2002. "A factor model of term structure slopes in eurocurrency markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0224, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Emilio Dominguez & Alfonso Novales, 2002. "Can forward rates be used to improve interest rate forecasts?," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(7), pages 493-504.
  - Alfonso Novales & Emilio Domínguez, 2002. "Can forward rates be used to improve interest rate forecasts?"," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0225, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Alfonso Novales & Emilio Domínguez, 2002. "Dynamic correlations and forecasting of term structure slopes in eurocurrency market," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 0226, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
- Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji & Stephen M. Miller, 2006. "Performance evaluation of the New Connecticut Leading Employment Index using lead profiles and BVAR models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 415-437.
  - Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua & Stephen M. Miller, 2002. "Performance Evaluation of the New Connecticut Leading Employment Index Using Lead Profiles and BVAR Models," Working papers 2002-34, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Jun 2005.
  - Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua & Stephen M. Miller, 2003. "Performance Evaluation of the New Connecticut Leading Employment Index Using Lead Profiles and BVAR Models," Working papers 114, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
- Luis A. Rivas, 2002. "Core Inflation and Inflation Targeting in a Developing Economy," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 0207, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics, revised Sep 2003.
- William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 2002. "Bifurcations in Macroeconomic Models," Macroeconomics 0210006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Adam, K., 2000. "Adaptive Learning and the Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," Economics Working Papers eco2000/25, European University Institute.
  - Klaus Adam, 2002. "Adaptive Learning and Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," Macroeconomics 0211013, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Sell, Friedrich L., 2002. "Optimism, pessimism and the unforeseen: Modelling an endogenous business cycle driven by strong beliefs," Working Papers in Economics 2002,1, Bundeswehr University Munich, Economic Research Group.
- Schröder, Michael & Hüfner, Felix P., 2002. "Forecasting economic activity in Germany: how useful are sentiment indicators?," ZEW Discussion Papers 02-56, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
2001
- Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2000. "Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1421, Econometric Society.
  - Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001. "Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors," NBER Technical Working Papers 0269, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- James H. Stock & Mark W.Watson, 2003. "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 41(3), pages 788-829, September.
  - James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001. "Forecasting output and inflation: the role of asset prices," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
  - James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001. "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 8180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- den Haan, Wouter J. & Sumner, Steven W., 2004. "The comovement between real activity and prices in the G7," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(6), pages 1333-1347, December.
  - Den Haan, Wouter & Sumner, Steven, 2001. "The Comovements between Real Activity and Prices in the G7," CEPR Discussion Papers 2801, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  - Wouter J. Den Haan & Steven Sumner, 2001. "The Comovements between Real Activity and Prices in the G7," NBER Working Papers 8195, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2004. "Indicator variables for optimal policy under asymmetric information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 661-690, January.
  - Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2001. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information," Seminar Papers 689, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
  - Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2001. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information," NBER Working Papers 8255, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J., 2001. "A New Approach To The Analysis Of Business Cycle Transitions In A Model Of Output And Employment," Economics Series Working Papers 9959, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  - Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro & European University Institute & Florence, 2001. "A New Approach to the Analysis of Business Cycle Transitions in a Model of Output and Employment," Economics Series Working Papers 59, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro & European University Institute & Florence, 2001. "A New Approach to the Analysis of Business Cycle Transitions in a Model of Output and Employment," Economics Series Working Papers 59, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
  - Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J., 2001. "A New Approach To The Analysis Of Business Cycle Transitions In A Model Of Output And Employment," Economics Series Working Papers 9959, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Harding, Don & Kam, Timothy, 2001. "Perspectives on Unemployment from a General Equilibrium Search Model," MPRA Paper 3696, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Harding, Don & Song, Lei Lei & Tran, Duy, 2001. "Evaluation of the Australian Industry Group / PricewaterhouseCoopers - Performance of Manufacturing Index (Ai-PMI)," MPRA Paper 3697, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Andrés Acuña & Carlos Oyarzún, 2001. "Money and Real Fluctuations: Calibrating a Cash in Advance Model for the Chilean Economy," Working Papers 06-2001, Departamento de Economía, Universidad de Concepción.
  - Acuña, Andrés & Oyarzún, Carlos, 2001. "Money and Real Fluctuations: Calibrating a Cash in Advance Model for the Chilean Economy," MPRA Paper 8274, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Oct 2005.
- Khazri, Afifa, 2001. "Impact des chocs monétaires sur les variations du salaire réel [Monetary Shocks and Impact on Changes in Real Wages]," MPRA Paper 86772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gabriel Desgranges & Giorgio Negroni, 2001. "Apprentissage et équilibres à taches solaires. Un point de vue divinatoire," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 52(3), pages 583-593.
  - Gabriel Desgranges & Giorgio Negroni, 2001. "Apprentissage et équilibres à taches solaires. Un point de vue divinatoire," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 52(3), pages 583-593.
- Ivan Roberts & John Simon, 2001. "What do Sentiment Surveys Measure?," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2001-09, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Scutaru, Cornelia & Pelinescu, Elena, 2001. "A Dynamic Model Of The Money Demand In Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 32-47, June.
- Desmireanu, Ionel, 2001. "Evolution Of The Main Factors Of Production And Of Their Efficiency Of Use; Retrospective Analyses; Reference Points For Macroeconomic Forecasts," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 48-55, June.
- Francesc Obiols-Homs, 2003. "Incomplete Unemployment Insurance and Aggregate Fluctuations," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 6(3), pages 602-636, July.
  - Francesc Obiols-Homs, 2001. "Incomplete unemployment insurance and aggregate fluctuations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 192, Society for Computational Economics.
- Toshiya Ishikawa, 2001. "Technology Diffusion, Intertemporal Substitution, and Business Cycles," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001 269, Society for Computational Economics.
- Gottschalk, Jan, 2001. "Monetary Conditions in the Euro Area: Useful Indicators of Aggregate Demand Conditions?," Kiel Working Papers 1037, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Strauß, Hubert, 2001. "Assessing the Effects of the Terrorist Attacks on the U.S. Economy," Kiel Working Papers 1077, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Berlemann, Michael, 2001. "Forecasting inflation via electronic markets: Results from a prototype market," Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics 06/01, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics.
- Hüfner, Felix P. & Schröder, Michael, 2001. "Unternehmens- versus Analystenbefragungen: Zum Prognosegehalt von ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen," ZEW Discussion Papers 01-04, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Marc-André Gosselin & Greg Tkacz, 2001. "Evaluating Factor Models: An Application to Forecasting Inflation in Canada," Staff Working Papers 01-18, Bank of Canada.
- Fuchun Li & Greg Tkacz, 2001. "A Consistent Bootstrap Test for Conditional Density Functions with Time-Dependent Data," Staff Working Papers 01-21, Bank of Canada.
- Maral Kichian, 2001. "On the Nature and the Stability of the Canadian Phillips Curve," Staff Working Papers 01-4, Bank of Canada.
- Paolo carnazza & Giuseppe Parigi, 2001. "The Evolution of Confidence for European Consumers and Businesses in France, Germany and Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 406, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Elena Angelini & Jérôme Henry & Ricardo Mestre, 2001. "Diffusion index-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Empirical studies of structural changes and inflation, volume 3, pages 109-138, Bank for International Settlements.
  - Henry, Jérôme & Mestre, Ricardo & Backé, Peter, 2001. "Diffusion index-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," Working Paper Series 61, European Central Bank.
- Tovar, Camilo Ernesto, 2009. "DSGE Models and Central Banks," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-31.
  - Tovar, Camilo Ernesto, 2008. "DSGE Models and Central Banks," Economics Discussion Papers 2008-30, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  - Camilo E Tovar, 2008. "DSGE models and central banks," BIS Working Papers 258, Bank for International Settlements.
- Gabriele Galati & Peter Heemeijer & Richhild Moessner, 2011. "How do inflation expectations form? New insights from a high-frequency survey," BIS Working Papers 349, Bank for International Settlements.
- Heather M. Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2001. "Market Architecture and Nonlinear Dynamics of Australian Stock and Futures Indices," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(4), pages 541-566, December.
  - Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2001. "Market Architecture and Nonlinear Dynamics of Australian Stock and Future Indices," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/01, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Anderson, Heather M & Vahid, Farshid, 2001. "Market Architecture and Nonlinear Dynamics of Australian Stock and Futures Indices," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(4), pages 541-566, December.
- Gabriel Desgranges & Giorgio Negroni, 2001. "Apprentissage et équilibres à taches solaires. Un point de vue divinatoire," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 52(3), pages 583-593.
  - Gabriel Desgranges & Giorgio Negroni, 2001. "Apprentissage et équilibres à taches solaires. Un point de vue divinatoire," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 52(3), pages 583-593.
- Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2001. "A Leading Index for the Indian Economy," Working papers 90, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
  - Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2010. "A Leading Index for the Indian Economy," Working Papers id:2935, eSocialSciences.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2001. "Konjunkturprognosen und Prognoserisiko," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(16), pages 17-21, October.
- Gernot Nerb, 2001. "Weltkonjunktur: Abwärtstrend setzt sich fort - Besserung erwartet," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(17), pages 15-21, October.
- Hans-Werner Sinn & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Wolfgang Meister, 2001. "Vor der Talsohle," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(24), pages 27-42, January.
- Acuña, Andrés & Oyarzún, Carlos, 2001. "Money and Real Fluctuations: Calibrating a Cash in Advance Model for the Chilean Economy," MPRA Paper 8274, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Oct 2005.
  - Andrés Acuña & Carlos Oyarzún, 2001. "Money and Real Fluctuations: Calibrating a Cash in Advance Model for the Chilean Economy," Working Papers 06-2001, Departamento de Economía, Universidad de Concepción.
- Kilian, Lutz & Ivanov, Ventzislav, 2001. "A Practitioner's Guide to Lag-Order Selection for Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers 2685, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- den Haan, Wouter J. & Sumner, Steven W., 2004. "The comovement between real activity and prices in the G7," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(6), pages 1333-1347, December.
  - Wouter J. Den Haan & Steven Sumner, 2001. "The Comovements between Real Activity and Prices in the G7," NBER Working Papers 8195, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - Den Haan, Wouter & Sumner, Steven, 2001. "The Comovements between Real Activity and Prices in the G7," CEPR Discussion Papers 2801, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Muellbauer, John & Nunziata, Luca, 2001. "Credit, the Stock Market and Oil: Forecasting US GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 2906, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2004. "Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 327-359, June.
  - Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 1999. "Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model," Economics Working Papers 443, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
  - Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2001. "Forecasting and Turning Point Predictions in a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 2961, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  - Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2000. "Forecasting And Turning Point Predictions In A Bayesian Panel Var Model," Working Papers. Serie AD 2000-05, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
- Boileau, Martin & Normandin, Michel, 2003. "Labor hoarding, superior information, and business cycle dynamics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 397-418, November.
  - Martin Boileau & Michel Normandin, 2001. "Labor Hoarding, Superior Information and Business Cycle Dynamics," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 129, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal.
- Anderson, Heather M. & Vahid, Farshid, 2001. "Predicting The Probability Of A Recession With Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading-Indicator Models," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(4), pages 482-505, September.
  - Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2000. "Predicting the Probability of a Recession with Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading Indicator Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/00, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- C.K. Folkertsma & K. Hubrich, 2000. "Performance of core inflation measures," WO Research Memoranda (discontinued) 639, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
  - C.K. Folkertsma & K. Hubrich, 2001. "Performance of core inflation measures," DNB Staff Reports (discontinued) 63, Netherlands Central Bank.
- Roy Batchelor, 2001. "Confidence indexes and the probability of recession: a Markov switching model," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 107-124, January.
- Bryan L. Boulier & H. O. Stekler & Jeremy Dutra, 2001. "Measuring the Onset of the Great Depression: Then and Now," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 137-151, January.
- Mehdi Mosthaghimi, 2001. "Are the New U.S. Composite Leading Economic Indicators More Informative?," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 205-213, January.
- Gangadhar Darbha, 2001. "Identification of Cyclical Phases: A Dynamic Factor- Markov Switching Model for India," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 215-229, January.
- Micheal P. Niemira, 2001. "An AHP-Based Composite Cyclical-Performance Index," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 241-250, January.
- Robert S. Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler, 2001. "Combining the Results of rationality Studies: What Did We know and When Did We know It?," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 269-300, January.
- Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2001. "An Indicator Approach to Business and Growth Rate Cycles: The Case of India," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 36(1), pages 55-78, January.
- Camba-Mendez, Gonzalo & Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego, 2003. "Assessment criteria for output gap estimates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 529-562, May.
  - Camba-Mendez, G.C. & Palenzuela-Rodriguez, D., 2001. "Assessemt Criteria for Output Gap Estimates," Papers 54, Quebec a Montreal - Recherche en gestion.
  - Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo & Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego, 2001. "Assessment criteria for output gap estimates," Working Paper Series 54, European Central Bank.
- Elena Angelini & Jérôme Henry & Ricardo Mestre, 2001. "Diffusion index-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Empirical studies of structural changes and inflation, volume 3, pages 109-138, Bank for International Settlements.
  - Henry, Jérôme & Mestre, Ricardo & Backé, Peter, 2001. "Diffusion index-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," Working Paper Series 61, European Central Bank.
- Wallis, Kenneth F., 2003. "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England's fan charts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 165-175.
  - Wallis, Kenneth F., 2001. "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts and the Bank of England's fan charts," Working Paper Series 83, European Central Bank.
  - Wallis, Kenneth F., 2002. "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England's fan charts," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002 181, Royal Economic Society.
- Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2001. "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(6-7), pages 891-910, June.
  - Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 1999. "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1052, Society for Computational Economics.
  - Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 2000. "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Bank of England working papers 119, Bank of England.
  - Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2000. "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Working Paper Series 103, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Dopke, Jorg, 2001. "Macroeconomic forecasts and the nature of economic shocks in Germany," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 181-201.
  - Döpke, Jörg, 2000. "Macroeconomic Forecasts and the Nature of Economic Shocks in Germany," Kiel Working Papers 972, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Martin Melecký, 2001. "Comparison of Selected Simple Models of Inflation in the Czech Economy," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 51(5), pages 279-297, May.
- James H. Stock & Mark W.Watson, 2003. "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 41(3), pages 788-829, September.
  - James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001. "Forecasting output and inflation: the role of asset prices," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
  - James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001. "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers 8180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Olsson, Ola, 2001. "Why Does Technology Advance in Cycles?," Working Papers in Economics 38, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
- Lars-Erik Öller & Lasse Koskinen, 2004. "A classifying procedure for signalling turning points," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(3), pages 197-214.
  - Koskinen, Lasse & Öller, Lars-Erik, 2001. "A Classifying Procedure for Signaling Turning Points," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 427, Stockholm School of Economics.
- Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2004. "Indicator variables for optimal policy under asymmetric information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 661-690, January.
  - Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2001. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information," NBER Working Papers 8255, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2001. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information," Seminar Papers 689, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
- Jansson, Per & Vredin, Anders, 2001. "Forecast-based Monetary Policy in Sweden 1992-1998: A View from Within," Working Paper Series 120, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Jan Gottschalk, 2001. "Monetary Conditions in the Euro Area: Useful Indicators of Aggregate Demand Conditions?," Kiel Working Papers 1037, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
- Hubert Strauß, 2001. "Assessing the Effects of the Terrorist Attacks on the U.S. Economy," Kiel Working Papers 1077, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
- Olekalns, N., 2001. "An Empirical Investigation of Structural Breaks in the Ex Ante Fisher Effect," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 786, The University of Melbourne.
- Heather M. Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2001. "Market Architecture and Nonlinear Dynamics of Australian Stock and Futures Indices," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(4), pages 541-566, December.
  - Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2001. "Market Architecture and Nonlinear Dynamics of Australian Stock and Future Indices," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/01, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Athanasopoulos, G. & Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2001. "Capturing the Shape of Business Cycles with Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading Indicator Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 7/01, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
2000
- Munir A. Jalil & Luis Fernando Melo, 2000. "Una Relación no Líneal entre Inflación y los Medios de Pago," Borradores de Economia 145, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2001. "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(6-7), pages 891-910, June.
  - Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 1999. "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1052, Society for Computational Economics.
  - Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 2000. "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Bank of England working papers 119, Bank of England.
  - Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2000. "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Working Paper Series 103, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Potter Simon M., 2000. "A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(2), pages 1-11, July.
  - Simon M. Potter & Edward E. Leamer, 2004. "A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 490, Econometric Society.
- Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2000. "An Index of Coincident Economic Indicators for the Indian Economy," Working papers 73, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics.
- Hans-Dieter Karl, 2000. "AIECE-Prognose: Weltrohstoffpreise 2001," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 53(14), pages 14-22, May.
- Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2003. "Inflation forecast uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(6), pages 1037-1059, December.
  - Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2000. "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 384, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 06 Nov 2001.
  - SÃ¶derlind, Paul, 2000. "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 2499, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ritschl, Albrecht & Woitek, Ulrich, 2000. "Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression?," CEPR Discussion Papers 2547, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Moen, Jon R. & Tallman, Ellis W., 2000. "Clearinghouse Membership and Deposit Contraction during the Panic of 1907," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 60(1), pages 145-163, March.
  - Jon R. Moen & Ellis W. Tallman, 1994. "Clearinghouse access and bank runs: trust companies in New York and Chicago during the Panic of 1907," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 94-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
  - James M. Nason & Ellis W. Tallman, 2012. "Business cycles and financial crises: the roles of credit supply and demand shocks," Working Papers (Old Series) 1221, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
- M.C.J. van Rooij & A.C.J. Stokman, 2000. "Forecasting gdp growth in the US, Japan and the EU on the basis of leading indicators," WO Research Memoranda (discontinued) 636, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- C.K. Folkertsma & K. Hubrich, 2000. "Performance of core inflation measures," WO Research Memoranda (discontinued) 639, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
  - C.K. Folkertsma & K. Hubrich, 2001. "Performance of core inflation measures," DNB Staff Reports (discontinued) 63, Netherlands Central Bank.
- Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2003. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 691-720, April.
  - Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  - Svensson, Lars & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," Seminar Papers 688, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
  - Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Working Paper Series 12, European Central Bank.
  - Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," NBER Working Papers 7953, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2000. "Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1421, Econometric Society.
  - Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001. "Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors," NBER Technical Working Papers 0269, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Barnett, William A. & Serletis, Apostolos, 2000. "Martingales, nonlinearity, and chaos," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(5-7), pages 703-724, June.
  - William A. Barnett & Apostolos Serletis, 1998. "Martingales, Nonlinearity, and Chaos," Econometrics 9805003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  - William Barnett & Apostolos Serletis, 2012. "Martingales, Nonlinearity, And Chaos," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201225, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
- Mohamad Shaaf, 2000. "Predicting Recession Using the Yield Curve: An Artificial Intelligence and Econometric Comparison," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 26(2), pages 171-190, Spring.
- D'Amuri, Francesco/FD & Marcucci, Juri/JM, 2009. ""Google it!" Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index," MPRA Paper 18248, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  - D'Amuri, Francesco & Marcucci, Juri, 2009. "‘Google it!’ Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index," ISER Working Paper Series 2009-32, Institute for Social and Economic Research.
  - Francesco D’Amuri & Juri Marcucci, 2010. "“Google it!”Forecasting the US Unemployment Rate with a Google Job Search index," Working Papers 2010.31, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
- Barrell, Ray & Pina, Alvaro M., 2004. "How important are automatic stabilisers in Europe? A stochastic simulation assessment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 1-35, January.
  - Barrell, R. & Pina, A.M., 2000. "How Important are Automatic Stabilizers in Europe? A Stochastic Simulation Assessment," Economics Working Papers eco2000/2, European University Institute.
  - Ray Barrell, 2002. "How Important are Automatic Stabilisers in Europe? A Stochastic Simulation Assessment," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 196, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Adam, K., 2000. "Adaptive Learning and the Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," Economics Working Papers eco2000/25, European University Institute.
  - Klaus Adam, 2002. "Adaptive Learning and Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," Macroeconomics 0211013, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2003. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 691-720, April.
  - Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  - Svensson, Lars & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," Seminar Papers 688, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
  - Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," NBER Working Papers 7953, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Working Paper Series 12, European Central Bank.
- Vincent (Vincent Peter) Hogan, 2000. "The behaviour of inflation and unemployment in the United States," Working Papers 200016, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  - Hogan, V., 2000. "The Behaviour of Inflation and Unemployment the United States," Papers 00/16, College Dublin, Department of Political Economy-.
- Packalen, M., 2000. "On the Learnability of Rational Expectations Equilibria in Three Business Cycle Models," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 87, Department of Economics.
- Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T., 2000. "Outlook for the Canadian Economy: National Projection Through 2020," Papers 2000-2, Institute for Policy Analysis.
- Albrecht Ritschl & Ulrich Woitek, "undated". "Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression? A Bayesian VAR Analysis for the U.S. Economy," IEW - Working Papers 050, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich.
  - Albrecht Ritschl & Ulrich Woitek, 2000. "Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression? A Bayesian VAR Analysis for the U.S. Economy," Working Papers 2000_07, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2003. "Inflation forecast uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(6), pages 1037-1059, December.
  - SÃ¶derlind, Paul, 2000. "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers 2499, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  - Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2000. "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 384, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 06 Nov 2001.
- Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2003. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 691-720, April.
  - Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  - Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Working Paper Series 12, European Central Bank.
  - Svensson, Lars & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," Seminar Papers 688, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
  - Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," NBER Working Papers 7953, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2001. "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(6-7), pages 891-910, June.
  - Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 1999. "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1052, Society for Computational Economics.
  - Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2000. "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Working Paper Series 103, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
  - Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 2000. "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Bank of England working papers 119, Bank of England.
- SaangJoon Baak, 2000. "Heterogeneous Expectations, Volatility and Welfare," Working Papers EMS_2000_01, Research Institute, International University of Japan.
- Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2004. "Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 327-359, June.
  - Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 1999. "Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model," Economics Working Papers 443, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
  - Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2001. "Forecasting and Turning Point Predictions in a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 2961, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  - Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2000. "Forecasting And Turning Point Predictions In A Bayesian Panel Var Model," Working Papers. Serie AD 2000-05, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
- Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 2000. "Characteristics of Unemployment Dynamics: The Chain Reaction Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 127, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
  - Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 2007. "Characteristics of Unemployment Dynamics. The Chain Reaction Approach," Economics Series 205, Institute for Advanced Studies.
- Jörg Döpke, 2000. "Macroeconomic Forecasts and the Nature of Economic Shocks in Germany," Kiel Working Papers 972, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
- Jan Gottschalk & Felipe Martinez Rico & Willem Van Zandweghe, 2000. "Money as an Indicator in the Euro Zone," Kiel Working Papers 984, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
- Anderson, Heather M. & Vahid, Farshid, 2001. "Predicting The Probability Of A Recession With Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading-Indicator Models," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(4), pages 482-505, September.
  - Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2000. "Predicting the Probability of a Recession with Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading Indicator Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/00, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- McCallum, Bennett T. & Nelson, Edward, 1999. "Nominal income targeting in an open-economy optimizing model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 553-578, June.
  - McCallum, Bennett T. & Nelson, Edward, 1998. "Nominal Income Targeting in an Open-Economy Optimizing Model," Seminar Papers 644, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
  - Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 2000. "Nominal Income Targeting in an Open-Economy Optimizing Model," NBER Working Papers 6675, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - McCallum, B.T. & Nelson, E., 1998. "Nominal Income Targeting in an Open-Economy Optimizing Model," Papers 644, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
- Gertler, Mark & Lown, Cara S, 1999. "The Information in the High-Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 15(3), pages 132-150, Autumn.
  - Mark Gertler & Cara S. Lown, 2000. "The Information in the High Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications," NBER Working Papers 7549, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2003. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 691-720, April.
  - Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  - Svensson, Lars & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," Seminar Papers 688, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
  - Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000. "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," NBER Working Papers 7953, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2000. "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Working Paper Series 12, European Central Bank.
- Hamilton, James D & Kim, Dong Heon, 2002. "A Reexamination of the Predictability of Economic Activity Using the Yield Spread," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 34(2), pages 340-360, May.
  - Hamilton, James Douglas & Kim, Dong Heon, 2000. "A Re-examination of the Predictability of Economic Activity Using the Yield Spread," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt69v8p1m9, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
  - James D. Hamilton & Dong Heon Kim, 2000. "A Re-examination of the Predictability of Economic Activity Using the Yield Spread," NBER Working Papers 7954, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Vassiliki Koutsogeorgopoulou, 2000. "A Post-Mortem on Economic Outlook Projections," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 274, OECD Publishing.
- Henry, Brian & Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J, 2000. "Adjustment Dynamics and the Natural Rate: An Account of UK Unemployment," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 52(1), pages 178-203, January.
  - Snower, Dennis J. & Karanassou, Marika & Henry, Brian, 1999. "Adjustment Dynamics and the Natural Rate: An Account of UK Unemployment," IZA Discussion Papers 75, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Hans-Martin Krolzig, 2000. "Predicting Markov-Switching Vector Autoregressive Processes," Economics Series Working Papers 2000-W31, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Liam Brunt, 2000. "Where theres Muck theres Brass The Market for Manure in the Industrial Revolution," Economics Series Working Papers 2000-W35, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Martin West, 2000. "State Intervention in English Education, 1833-1891: A Public Goods and Agency Approach," Economics Series Working Papers 2000-W37, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Bilgili, Faik, 2000. "Forecasting the Macro Targets of Turkish Economy for the Year 2000: An Application of Box-Jenkins and Exponential Smoothing Methods," MPRA Paper 75532, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Françoise Charpin & Hervé Péléraux, 2000. "L'indicateur avancé de l'OFCE," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 72(1), pages 133-155.
- Andrea Brischetto & Graham Voss, 2000. "Forecasting Australian Economic Activity Using Leading Indicators," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2000-02, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Meredith Beechey & Nargis Bharucha & Adam Cagliarini & David Gruen & Christopher Thompson, 2000. "A Small Model of the Australian Macroeconomy," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2000-05, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Françoise Charpin & Hervé Péléraux, 2000. "L'indicateur avancé de l'OFCE," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/2466, Sciences Po.
- Klaus Göggelmann & Peter Winker & Martin Schellhorn & Wolfgang Franz, 2000. "Quasi-Monte Carlo methods in stochastic simulations: An application to policy simulations using a disequilibrium model of the West German economy 1960-1994," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 247-259.
- Krolzig, Hans-Martin & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mizon, Grayham E., 2000. "A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 0105, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon & Hans-Martin Krolzig, 2002. "A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 233-254.
  - Hans-Martin Krolzig & Massimiliano Marcellino & Grayham E. Mizon, "undated". "A Markov-Switching Vector Equilibrium Correction Model of the UK Labour Market," Working Papers 185, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
  - Krolzig, Hans-Martin & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mizon, Grayham E., 2000. "A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 105, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
- Hogan, V., 2000. "The Behaviour of Inflation and Unemployment the United States," Papers 00/16, College Dublin, Department of Political Economy-.
  - Vincent (Vincent Peter) Hogan, 2000. "The behaviour of inflation and unemployment in the United States," Working Papers 200016, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Michael Berlemann & Kalina Dimitrova & Nikolay Nenovsky, 2000. "Assessing Market Expectations on Exchange Rates and Inflation: A Pilot Forecasting System for Bulgaria," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp759, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
  - M. Berlemann & K. Dimitrova & Nikolay Nenovsky, 2004. "Assessing Market Expectations on Exchange Rates and Inflation: A Pilot Forecasting System for Bulgaria," Post-Print halshs-00259473, HAL.
- William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 2000. "Unsolved Econometric Problems in Nonlinearity, Chaos, and Bifurcation," Macroeconomics 0004021, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  - William Barnett & Yijun He, 2012. "Unsolved Econometric Problems In Nonlinearity, Chaos, And Bifurcation," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201231, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
- Dopke, Jorg, 2001. "Macroeconomic forecasts and the nature of economic shocks in Germany," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 181-201.
  - Döpke, Jörg, 2000. "Macroeconomic Forecasts and the Nature of Economic Shocks in Germany," Kiel Working Papers 972, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- van Zandweghe, Willem & Martinez Rico, Felipe & Gottschalk, Jan, 2000. "Money as an Indicator in the Euro Zone," Kiel Working Papers 984, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
1999
- Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1999. "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semiclassical Structural Model," NBER Chapters, in: Monetary Policy Rules, pages 15-56, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998. "Performance of operational policy rules in an estimated semi-classical structural model," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
  - Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, "undated". "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model," GSIA Working Papers 1998-22, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business.
  - Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998. "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model," NBER Working Papers 6599, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Victor Zarnowitz, 1999. "Has the Business Cycle Been Abolished?," NBER Working Papers 6367, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Gertler, Mark & Lown, Cara S, 1999. "The Information in the High-Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 15(3), pages 132-150, Autumn.
  - Mark Gertler & Cara S. Lown, 2000. "The Information in the High Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications," NBER Working Papers 7549, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999. "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," Research Technical Papers 1/RT/99, Central Bank of Ireland.
  - Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999. "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," MPRA Paper 11361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Khazri, Afifa, 1999. "Contrats salariaux, rétention de main-d’œuvre et cycle économique [Wage Contracts, Labor Retention and Economic Cycle]," MPRA Paper 86755, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Khazri, Afifa, 1999. "Contrats salariaux, rétention de main-d’œuvre et cycle économique [Wage Contracts, Labor Retention and Economic Cycle]," MPRA Paper 86947, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Andrea Brischetto & Graham Voss, 1999. "A Structural Vector Autoregression Model of Monetary Policy in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp1999-11, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2001. "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(6-7), pages 891-910, June.
  - Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 1999. "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1052, Society for Computational Economics.
  - Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 2000. "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Bank of England working papers 119, Bank of England.
  - Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2000. "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Working Paper Series 103, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Ireland, Peter N., 2004. "A method for taking models to the data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 1205-1226, March.
  - Peter N. Ireland, 1999. "A method for taking models to the data," Working Papers (Old Series) 9903, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  - Peter Ireland, 1999. "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1233, Society for Computational Economics.
  - Peter N. Ireland, 1999. "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 421, Boston College Department of Economics.
  - Peter Ireland, 1999. "Matlab code for A Method for Taking Models to the Data," QM&RBC Codes 46, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2003. "Learning with bounded memory in stochastic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(8), pages 1437-1457, June.
  - Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, "undated". "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," Discussion Papers 00/42, Department of Economics, University of York.
  - Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja, 1999. "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 221, Society for Computational Economics.
  - Honkapohja, S. & Mitra, K., 1999. "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 456, Department of Economics.
- Nicolas A. Cuche & Martin K. Hess, 1999. "Estimating Monthly GDP In A General Kalman Filter Framework: Evidence From Switzerland," Working Papers 99.02, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
- Wilfredo Leiva, 1999. "Adaptive learning in models with lagged variables," Economics Working Papers 413, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2004. "Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 120(2), pages 327-359, June.
  - Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 1999. "Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model," Economics Working Papers 443, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
  - Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2001. "Forecasting and Turning Point Predictions in a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 2961, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  - Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2000. "Forecasting And Turning Point Predictions In A Bayesian Panel Var Model," Working Papers. Serie AD 2000-05, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
- William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 1999. "Center Manifold, Stability, and Bifurcations in Continuous Time Macroeconometric Systems," Macroeconomics 9901002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  - William Barnett & Yijun He, 2012. "Center Manifold, Stability, and Bifurcations in Continuous Time Macroeconometric Systems," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201227, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
- William A. Barnett & Yijun He & ., 1999. "Stabilization Policy as Bifurcation Selection: Would Keynesian Policy Work if the World Really were Keynesian?," Macroeconomics 9906008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  - William Barnett & Yijun He, 2012. "Stabilization Policy as Bifurcation Selection: Would Keynesian Policy Work if the World Really Were Keynesian?," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201228, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
- Schumacher, Christian & Loose, Brigitte & Langmantel, Erich & Gottschalk, Jan & Fritsche, Ulrich & Döpke, Jörg, 1999. "Indikatoren zur Prognose der Investitionen in Deutschland," Kiel Working Papers 906, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Atta, J.K. & Jefferis, K.R. & Mannathoko, I. & Siwawa-Ndai, P., 1999. "Exchange Rate Policy and Prices Determination in Botswana," Papers 93, African Economic Research Consortium.
  - Jacob K. Atta & Keith R. Jefferis & Ita Mannathoko & Pelani Siwawa-Ndai, 1999. "Exchange rate policy and price determination in Botswana," Research Papers RP_93, African Economic Research Consortium.
- Richard Dion, 1999. "Indicator Models of Core Inflation for Canada," Staff Working Papers 99-13, Bank of Canada.
- René Lalonde, 1999. "The U.S. Capacity Utilization Rate: A New Estimation Approach," Staff Working Papers 99-14, Bank of Canada.
- Greg Tkacz & Sarah Hu, 1999. "Forecasting GDP Growth Using Artificial Neural Networks," Staff Working Papers 99-3, Bank of Canada.
- Camilo Zea, 1999. "Financial Inefficiency and Real Business Cycle in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 127, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Ireland, Peter N., 2004. "A method for taking models to the data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 1205-1226, March.
  - Peter Ireland, 1999. "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1233, Society for Computational Economics.
  - Peter N. Ireland, 1999. "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 421, Boston College Department of Economics.
  - Peter N. Ireland, 1999. "A method for taking models to the data," Working Papers (Old Series) 9903, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  - Peter Ireland, 1999. "Matlab code for A Method for Taking Models to the Data," QM&RBC Codes 46, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
- Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999. "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," MPRA Paper 11361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  - Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999. "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," Research Technical Papers 1/RT/99, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Wolfgang Nierhaus, 1999. "Aus dem Instrumentenkasten der Konjunkturanalyse : Veränderungen im Vergleich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 52(27), pages 11-19, October.
- Luis Eduardo Arango, 1999. "Componentes no observados de la inflación en Colombia," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, June.
- Martin Boileau & Michel Normandin, 1999. "Capacity Utilization and the Dynamics of Business Cycle Fluctuations," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 92, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal.
- Peter N. Ireland, 1999. "A method for taking models to the data," Working Papers (Old Series) 9903, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  - Peter N. Ireland, 1999. "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 421, Boston College Department of Economics.
  - Peter Ireland, 1999. "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1233, Society for Computational Economics.
  - Peter Ireland, 1999. "Matlab code for A Method for Taking Models to the Data," QM&RBC Codes 46, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
- A. G. Malliaris & Jerome L. Stein, 2005. "Methodological issues in asset pricing: Random walk or chaotic dynamics," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 8, pages 85-115, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  - Malliaris, A. G. & Stein, Jerome L., 1999. "Methodological issues in asset pricing: Random walk or chaotic dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(11), pages 1605-1635, November.
- McCallum, Bennett T. & Nelson, Edward, 1999. "Nominal income targeting in an open-economy optimizing model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 553-578, June.
  - McCallum, Bennett T. & Nelson, Edward, 1998. "Nominal Income Targeting in an Open-Economy Optimizing Model," Seminar Papers 644, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
  - Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 2000. "Nominal Income Targeting in an Open-Economy Optimizing Model," NBER Working Papers 6675, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - McCallum, B.T. & Nelson, E., 1998. "Nominal Income Targeting in an Open-Economy Optimizing Model," Papers 644, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
- Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J., 1999. "A New Approach to the Analysis of Shocks and the Cycle in a Model of Output and Employment," Economics Working Papers eco99/30, European University Institute.
- Ireland, Peter N., 2004. "A method for taking models to the data," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 1205-1226, March.
  - Peter Ireland, 1999. "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 1233, Society for Computational Economics.
  - Peter N. Ireland, 1999. "A method for taking models to the data," Working Papers (Old Series) 9903, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  - Peter N. Ireland, 1999. "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 421, Boston College Department of Economics.
  - Peter Ireland, 1999. "Matlab code for A Method for Taking Models to the Data," QM&RBC Codes 46, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles.
- Atta, J.K. & Jefferis, K.R. & Mannathoko, I. & Siwawa-Ndai, P., 1999. "Exchange Rate Policy and Prices Determination in Botswana," Papers 93, African Economic Research Consortium.
- Mitra, Kaushik, 2005. "Is more data better?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 263-272, February.
  - Kaushik Mitra, "undated". "Is more data better?," Discussion Papers 00/44, Department of Economics, University of York.
  - Mitra, K., 1999. "Is More Data Better?," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 452, Department of Economics.
  - Kaushik Mitra, 2004. "Is more data better?," Royal Holloway, University of London: Discussion Papers in Economics 04/19, Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London, revised Jul 2004.
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2003. "Learning with bounded memory in stochastic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(8), pages 1437-1457, June.
  - Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, "undated". "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," Discussion Papers 00/42, Department of Economics, University of York.
  - Honkapohja, S. & Mitra, K., 1999. "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 456, Department of Economics.
  - Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja, 1999. "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 221, Society for Computational Economics.
- Robin L. Lumsdaine & Eswar S. Prasad, 2003. "Identifying the Common Component of International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(484), pages 101-127, January.
  - Robin L. Lumsdaine & Mr. Eswar S Prasad, 1999. "Identifying the Common Component in International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," IMF Working Papers 1999/154, International Monetary Fund.
  - Lumsdaine, Robin L. & Prasad, Eswar, 2002. "Identifying the Common Component of International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 487, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Robin L. Lumsdaine & Eswar S. Prasad, 2003. "Identifying the Common Component of International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(484), pages 101-127, January.
  - Robin L. Lumsdaine & Eswar S Prasad, 1999. "Identifying the Common Component in International Economic Fluctuations; A New Approach," IMF Working Papers 99/154, International Monetary Fund.
  - Lumsdaine, Robin L. & Prasad, Eswar, 2002. "Identifying the Common Component of International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 487, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Henry, Brian & Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J, 2000. "Adjustment Dynamics and the Natural Rate: An Account of UK Unemployment," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 52(1), pages 178-203, January.
  - Snower, Dennis J. & Karanassou, Marika & Henry, Brian, 1999. "Adjustment Dynamics and the Natural Rate: An Account of UK Unemployment," IZA Discussion Papers 75, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Grupp Hariolf, 1999. "Umweltfreundliche Innovation durch Preissignale oder Regulation? / Environment-friendly Innovation by Price Signals or Regulation?: Eine empirische Untersuchung für Deutschland / An Empirical Investig," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 219(5-6), pages 611-631, October.
- Jörg Döpke & Jan Gottschalk, 1999. "Indikatoren zur Prognose der Investitionen in Deutschland," Kiel Working Papers 906, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
1998
- Meyler, Aidan & Kenny, Geoff & Quinn, Terry, 1998. "Forecasting irish inflation using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 11359, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  - Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Quinn, Terry, 1998. "Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models," Research Technical Papers 3/RT/98, Central Bank of Ireland.
- Luis Fernando Melo & Martha Misas, 1998. "Análisis del comportamiento de la inflación trimestral en Colombia bajo cambios de régimen: Una evidencia a través del modelo "Switching" de Hamilton," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, November.
  - Luis Fernando Melo & Martha Misas, 1998. "Análisis del Comportamiento de la Inflación Trimestral en Colombia Bajo Cambios de Régimen: Una Evidencia a Través del Modelo: "Switching" de Hamilton," Borradores de Economia 086, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- ROCHON, Céline, 1998. "Liquidity constraints and cycles," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 1998007, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Jean-Christophe PEREAU, 1998. "Négociation salariale en terme réel et en terme nominal : Une analyse des propriétés dynamiques d’un modèle avec contrats échelonnés," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain) 1998033, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
- Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1999. "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semiclassical Structural Model," NBER Chapters, in: Monetary Policy Rules, pages 15-56, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998. "Performance of operational policy rules in an estimated semi-classical structural model," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
  - Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, "undated". "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model," GSIA Working Papers 1998-22, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business.
  - Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998. "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model," NBER Working Papers 6599, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T., 1998. "National Projection Throughgh 2020," Papers 98-1, California Davis - Institute of Governmental Affairs.
- Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T., 1998. "Outlook for the Canadian Economy: National Projection Through 2020," Papers 98-3, California Davis - Institute of Governmental Affairs.
- Mitra, K., 1998. "On the Relationship of Optimal Memory to Steady States, Cycles, Chaos," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 433, Department of Economics.
- Gardes, F. & Ghabri, S. & Pichery, M.-C., 1998. "A Comparison of France and the United States. Rationality of Price and Unemployment Expectations: Tests on French Quality Micro-Data," Papiers du Laboratoire de MicroÃ©conomie AppliquÃ©e 1998-11, UniversitÃ© PanthÃ©on-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
- Sbordone, Argia M., 2002. "Prices and unit labor costs: a new test of price stickiness," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 265-292, March.
  - Sbordone, Argia, 1998. "Prices and Unit Labor Costs: A New Test of Price Stickiness," Seminar Papers 653, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
  - Argia M. Sbordone, 2001. "Prices and Unit Labor Costs: A New Test of Price Stickiness," Departmental Working Papers 199822, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
  - Sbordone, A.M., 1998. "Prices and Unit Labor Costs: a New Test of Price Stickiness," Papers 653, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
  - Argia M. Sbordone, 2001. "Prices and Unit Labor Costs: A New Test of Price Stickiness," Departmental Working Papers 200112, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
- Ana R. LAMO, 1996. "Unemployment in Europe and Regional Labour Fluctuations," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 9620, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
  - Ana E. Lamo, 1998. "- Unemployment In Europe And Regional Labor Fluctuations," Working Papers. Serie AD 1998-19, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
- Julio J. Rotemberg & Michael Woodford, 1998. "An Optimization-Based Econometric Framework for the Evaluation of Monetary Policy: Expanded Version," NBER Technical Working Papers 0233, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1999. "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semiclassical Structural Model," NBER Chapters, in: Monetary Policy Rules, pages 15-56, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998. "Performance of operational policy rules in an estimated semi-classical structural model," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
  - Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, "undated". "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model," GSIA Working Papers 1998-22, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business.
  - Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998. "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model," NBER Working Papers 6599, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1998. "Diffusion Indexes," NBER Working Papers 6702, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Paul Conway & Aaron Drew & Ben Hunt & Alasdair Scott, 1998. "Exchange rate effects and inflation targeting in a small open economy: a stochastic analysis using FPS," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G99/4, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Quinn, Terry, 1998. "Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models," Research Technical Papers 3/RT/98, Central Bank of Ireland.
  - Meyler, Aidan & Kenny, Geoff & Quinn, Terry, 1998. "Forecasting irish inflation using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper 11359, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Andreou, A. S. & Zombanakis, George A. & Likothanassis, S. D. & Georgakopoulos, E., 1998. "Modeling And Forecasting Exchange-Rate Shocks," MPRA Paper 51539, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Jun 1998.
- Goyal, Ashima, 1998. "Labour Market Institutions, Real Wages and Macroeconomic Outcomes," MPRA Paper 67130, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Martin Chalkley & In Ho Lee, 1998. "Learning and Asymmetric Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 1(3), pages 623-645, July.
- Torbjørn Eika & Knut A. Magnussen, 1998. "Did Norway Gain from the 1979-85 Oil Price Shock?," Discussion Papers 210, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
- Barnett, William A. & Serletis, Apostolos, 2000. "Martingales, nonlinearity, and chaos," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(5-7), pages 703-724, June.
  - William A. Barnett & Apostolos Serletis, 1998. "Martingales, Nonlinearity, and Chaos," Econometrics 9805003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  - William Barnett & Apostolos Serletis, 2012. "Martingales, Nonlinearity, And Chaos," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201225, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
- William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 1998. "Bifurcations in Continuous-Time Macroeconomic Systems," Macroeconomics 9805018, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  - William Barnett & Yijun He, 2012. "Bifurcations in Continuous-Time Macroeconomic Systems," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS 201226, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2012.
- Randal J. Verbrugge, 1998. "A cross-country investigation of macroeconomic asymmetries," Macroeconomics 9809017, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Sep 1998.
- Kaiser, Ulrich & Buscher, Herbert S., 1998. "Der Service Sentiment Indicator: Ein Konjunkturklimaindikator für den Wirtschaftszweig unternehmensnahe Dienstleistungen," ZEW Dokumentationen 98-04, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
1997
- Russell W. Cooper, 1997. "Business Cycles: Theory, Evidence and Implications," NBER Working Papers 5994, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Victor Zarnowitz, 1997. "Business Cycles Observed and Assessed: Why and How They Matter," NBER Working Papers 6230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- W A Razzak, 1997. "Testing the rationality of the National Bank of New Zealand's survey data," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G97/5, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Freeman, Alan, 1997. "An endogenous profit rate cycle," MPRA Paper 1138, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Norbert Funke, 1997. "Predicting recessions: Some evidence for Germany," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 133(1), pages 90-102, March.
- Döpke, Jörg & Langfeldt, Enno, 1997. "Abnehmende Bedeutung der Lagerinvestitionen für den Konjunkturverlauf?," Kiel Working Papers 815, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Muellbauer, John, 1997. "Income Persistence and Macro-Policy Feedbacks in the United States," CEPR Discussion Papers 1557, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 1997. "Is the natural rate a reference point?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-5), pages 559-569, April.
  - Marika Karanassou & Dennis Snower, 1996. "Is the Natural Rate a Reference Point?," Archive Discussion Papers 9623, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
  - Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 1996. "Is the Natural Rate a Reference Point?," CEPR Discussion Papers 1507, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lopez, H & Ortega, E & Ubide, A, 1997. "Dating and Forecasting the Spanish Business Cycle," Economics Working Papers eco97/05, European University Institute.
- Schmitter, P.C. & Grote, J.R., 1997. "The Corporatist Sisyphus: Past, Present and Future," Papers 97/4, European Institute - Political and Social Sciences.
- Döpke, Jörg & Langfeldt, Enno, 1997. "Abnehmende Bedeutung der Lagerinvestitionen für den Konjunkturverlauf?," Kiel Working Papers 815, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
1996
- Harrison, Steve, 1996. "Cost-Benefit Analysis with Applications to Animal Health Programmes: Spreadsheet Implementation of Discounted Cash Flow and Risk Analysis," Animal Health Economics 164571, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
- Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 1997. "Is the natural rate a reference point?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-5), pages 559-569, April.
  - Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 1996. "Is the Natural Rate a Reference Point?," CEPR Discussion Papers 1507, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  - Marika Karanassou & Dennis Snower, 1996. "Is the Natural Rate a Reference Point?," Archive Discussion Papers 9623, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
- Jamie Armour & Joseph Atta-Mensah & Walter Engert & Scott Hendry, 1996. "A Distant-Early-Warning Model of Inflation Based on M1 Disequilibria," Staff Working Papers 96-5, Bank of Canada.
- María de los Llanos Matea & Ana Valentina Regil, 1996. "Short-term inflation indicators," Working Papers 9621, Banco de España.
- Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1996. "Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(1), pages 11-30, January.
  - James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1994. "Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations," NBER Technical Working Papers 0164, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1994. "Evidence on structural instability in macroeconomic times series relations," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 94-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 1997. "Is the natural rate a reference point?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-5), pages 559-569, April.
  - Marika Karanassou & Dennis Snower, 1996. "Is the Natural Rate a Reference Point?," Archive Discussion Papers 9623, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics.
  - Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 1996. "Is the Natural Rate a Reference Point?," CEPR Discussion Papers 1507, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Candelon, B., 1996. "La modelisation multivariee des contributions: une tentative d'explication des derniers retournements de la conjoncture," Papiers d'Economie MathÃ©matique et Applications 96.03, UniversitÃ© PanthÃ©on-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
- Ana R. LAMO, 1996. "Unemployment in Europe and Regional Labour Fluctuations," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie 9620, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie.
  - Ana E. Lamo, 1998. "- Unemployment In Europe And Regional Labor Fluctuations," Working Papers. Serie AD 1998-19, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
- Bertrand Candelon & Jean-François Jacques, 1996. "La modélisation multivariée des contributions : Une tentative d'explication des derniers retournements de la conjoncture," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques 96003, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
- Kenneth Y. Chay & David S. Lee, 1996. "Changes in Relative Wages in the 1980s: Returns to Observed and Unobserved Skills and Black-White Wage Differentials," Working Papers 751, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section..
- Kenneth Chay & David S. Lee, 1996. "Changes in Relative Wages in the 1980s: Returns to Observed and Unobserved Skills and Black-White Wage Differentials," Working Papers 751, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section..
- Ray Barrell & Knut A. Magnussen, 1996. "Counterfactual Analyses of Oil Price Shocks using a World Model," Discussion Papers 177, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
- Einar Bowitz & Stein Inge Hove, 1996. "Business cycles and fiscal policy: Norway 1973-93," Discussion Papers 178, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
1995
- Stephen G. Cecchetti, 1995. "Inflation Indicators and Inflation Policy," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1995, Volume 10, pages 189-236, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - Stephen G. Cecchetti, 1995. "Inflation Indicators and Inflation Policy," NBER Working Papers 5161, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Stephen G. Cecchetti, 1995. "Inflation Indicators and Inflation Policy," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1995, Volume 10, pages 189-236, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - Stephen G. Cecchetti, 1995. "Inflation Indicators and Inflation Policy," NBER Working Papers 5161, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 1995. "Tobin's Q and asset returns: implications for business cycle analysis," Staff Report 200, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  - Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas Fisher, 1995. "Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cycle Analysis," NBER Working Papers 5292, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - Fisher, J.D.M. & Christiano, L.J., 1995. "Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cyle Analysis," University of Western Ontario, Departmental Research Report Series 9515, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics.
  - Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 1995. "Tobin's Q and asset returns: implications for business cycle analysis," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 95-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Artis, Michael J, et al, 1995. "Turning Point Prediction for the UK Using CSO Leading Indicators," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 47(3), pages 397-417, July.
  - Artis, Michael J, 1993. "Turning Point Prediction for the UK using CSO Leading Indicators," CEPR Discussion Papers 833, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Gary G. Moser, 1995. "The Main Determinants of Inflation in Nigeria," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 42(2), pages 270-289, June.
- Jordan, Thomas J & Lenz, Carlos, 1995. "Monetary and Real Shocks in a Monetary Union: The Swiss Case," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 635-649.
  - Thomas Jordan & Carlos Lenz, 1994. "Monetary and Real Shocks in a Monetary Union: The Swiss Case," Diskussionsschriften dp9403, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
- Teresa Garcia-Milà & Albert Marcet & Eva Ventura, 2010. "Supply Side Interventions and Redistribution," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 120(543), pages 105-130, March.
  - Teresa Garcia-Milà & Albert Marcet & Eva Ventura, 1995. "Supply side interventions and redistribution," Economics Working Papers 115, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas Fisher, 1995. "Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cycle Analysis," NBER Working Papers 5292, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - Fisher, J.D.M. & Christiano, L.J., 1995. "Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cyle Analysis," University of Western Ontario, Departmental Research Report Series 9515, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics.
  - Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 1995. "Tobin's Q and asset returns: implications for business cycle analysis," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 95-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  - Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 1995. "Tobin's Q and asset returns: implications for business cycle analysis," Staff Report 200, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- Michelis, L., 1994. "Non-Nested Pretest Tests," Papers 94-7, York (Canada) - Department of Economics.
  - Michelis, L., 1995. "Non-Nested Pretest Tests," University of Western Ontario, Departmental Research Report Series 9520, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics.
- Clements, Michael P., 2010. "Why are survey forecasts superior to model forecasts?," Economic Research Papers 270770, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
  - Clements, Michael P., 2010. "Why are survey forecasts superior to model forecasts?," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 954, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- McKibbin, W.J. & Siegloff, E., 1995. "International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination : Implications for Australia," CEPR Discussion Papers 334, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
- Mika Linden, 1995. "Interest rate and inflation expectations in Finland 1987-1994 : a case for the inverted fisher hypothesis," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, vol. 8(2), pages 108-115, Autumn.
- Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 1995. "Tobin's Q and asset returns: implications for business cycle analysis," Staff Report 200, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  - Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 1995. "Tobin's Q and asset returns: implications for business cycle analysis," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 95-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  - Fisher, J.D.M. & Christiano, L.J., 1995. "Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cyle Analysis," University of Western Ontario, Departmental Research Report Series 9515, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics.
  - Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas Fisher, 1995. "Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cycle Analysis," NBER Working Papers 5292, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 1995. "Tobin's Q and asset returns: implications for business cycle analysis," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 95-14, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  - Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 1995. "Tobin's Q and asset returns: implications for business cycle analysis," Staff Report 200, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  - Fisher, J.D.M. & Christiano, L.J., 1995. "Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cyle Analysis," University of Western Ontario, Departmental Research Report Series 9515, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics.
  - Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas Fisher, 1995. "Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cycle Analysis," NBER Working Papers 5292, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Brännström, Tomas, 1995. "Money Growth and Inflation: Implications of Reducing the Bias of VAR Estimates," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 82, Stockholm School of Economics.
- A. G. Malliaris & Mary E. Malliaris, 2005. "Decomposition of Inflation and its Volatility: A Stochastic Approach," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 5, pages 29-39, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  - Malliaris, A G & Malliaris, Mary E, 1995. "Decomposition of Inflation and Its Volatility: A Stochastic Approach," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 93-103, March.
1994
- Martin Fleming & John Jordan & Kathleen Lang, 1994. "Macroeconomic Policy and Methodological Misdirection in the National Income and Product Accounts," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 278, Boston College Department of Economics.
- Quah, Danny, 1994. "One business cycle and one trend from (many,) many disaggregates," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(3-4), pages 605-614, April.
  - Quah, D., 1993. "One Business Cycle and One Trend From(Many) Many Disaggregates," Papers 550, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
  - Quah, Danny, 1994. "One Business Cycle and One Trend from (Many) Many Disaggregates," CEPR Discussion Papers 873, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Dezhbakhsh, Hashem & Levy, Daniel, 1994. "Periodic Properties of Interpolated Time Series," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 44(3), pages 221-228.
  - Dezhbakhsh, Hashem & Levy, Daniel, 1994. "Periodic properties of interpolated time series," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 221-228.
  - Hashem Dezhbakhsh & Daniel Levy, 1994. "Periodic properties of interpolated time series," Post-Print hal-02382750, HAL.
  - Hashem Dezhbakhsh & Daniel Levy, 2005. "Periodic Properties of Interpolated Time Series," Econometrics 0505004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Quah, Danny, 1994. "One business cycle and one trend from (many,) many disaggregates," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(3-4), pages 605-614, April.
  - Quah, D., 1993. "One Business Cycle and One Trend From(Many) Many Disaggregates," Papers 550, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
  - Quah, Danny, 1994. "One Business Cycle and One Trend from (Many) Many Disaggregates," CEPR Discussion Papers 873, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Moen, Jon R. & Tallman, Ellis W., 2000. "Clearinghouse Membership and Deposit Contraction during the Panic of 1907," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 60(1), pages 145-163, March.
  - Jon R. Moen & Ellis W. Tallman, 1994. "Clearinghouse access and bank runs: trust companies in New York and Chicago during the Panic of 1907," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 94-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
- Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1996. "Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(1), pages 11-30, January.
  - James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1994. "Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations," NBER Technical Working Papers 0164, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  - James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1994. "Evidence on structural instability in macroeconomic times series relations," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 94-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Dezhbakhsh, Hashem & Levy, Daniel, 1994. "Periodic properties of interpolated time series," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 221-228.
  - Dezhbakhsh, Hashem & Levy, Daniel, 1994. "Periodic Properties of Interpolated Time Series," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 44(3), pages 221-228.
  - Hashem Dezhbakhsh & Daniel Levy, 1994. "Periodic properties of interpolated time series," Post-Print hal-02382750, HAL.
  - Hashem Dezhbakhsh & Daniel Levy, 2005. "Periodic Properties of Interpolated Time Series," Econometrics 0505004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1996. "Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(1), pages 11-30, January.
  - James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1994. "Evidence on structural instability in macroeconomic times series relations," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 94-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  - James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1994. "Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations," NBER Technical Working Papers 0164, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 1994. "Diffusion of Technical Change and the Decomposition of Output into Trend and Cycle," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 61(1), pages 19-30.
  - Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 1993. "Diffusion of Technical Change and the Decomposition of Output into Trend and Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 775, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  - Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 1994. "Diffusion of technical change and the decomposition of output into trend and cycle," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10157, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Jordan, Thomas J & Lenz, Carlos, 1995. "Monetary and Real Shocks in a Monetary Union: The Swiss Case," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 635-649.
  - Thomas Jordan & Carlos Lenz, 1994. "Monetary and Real Shocks in a Monetary Union: The Swiss Case," Diskussionsschriften dp9403, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
- Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 1994. "Diffusion of Technical Change and the Decomposition of Output into Trend and Cycle," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 61(1), pages 19-30.
  - Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 1993. "Diffusion of Technical Change and the Decomposition of Output into Trend and Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 775, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  - Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 1994. "Diffusion of technical change and the decomposition of output into trend and cycle," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10157, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
1993
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1993. "Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number stoc93-1, June.
- Ray C. Fair, 1993. "Estimating Event Probabilities from Macroeconometric Models Using Stochastic Simulation," NBER Chapters, in: Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting, pages 157-178, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 1994. "Diffusion of Technical Change and the Decomposition of Output into Trend and Cycle," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 61(1), pages 19-30.
  - Lippi, Marco & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 1993. "Diffusion of Technical Change and the Decomposition of Output into Trend and Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 775, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  - Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 1994. "Diffusion of technical change and the decomposition of output into trend and cycle," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/10157, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Artis, Michael J, et al, 1995. "Turning Point Prediction for the UK Using CSO Leading Indicators," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 47(3), pages 397-417, July.
  - Artis, Michael J, 1993. "Turning Point Prediction for the UK using CSO Leading Indicators," CEPR Discussion Papers 833, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Fernando de Holanda Barbosa & Waldyr Muniz Oliva & Elvia Mureb Sallum, 1993. "The dynamics of hyperinflation," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 13(1), pages 3-23.
- Edward Amadeo & Elena Landau, 1993. "Indexation and dispersion of relative prices: analysis of the Brazilian case (1975-1991)," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 13(3), pages 472-481.
- Quah, Danny, 1994. "One business cycle and one trend from (many,) many disaggregates," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(3-4), pages 605-614, April.
  - Quah, D., 1993. "One Business Cycle and One Trend From(Many) Many Disaggregates," Papers 550, Stockholm - International Economic Studies.
  - Quah, Danny, 1994. "One Business Cycle and One Trend from (Many) Many Disaggregates," CEPR Discussion Papers 873, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
1992
- A. G. Malliaris & Jorge L. Urrutia, 2005. "The International Crash of October 1987: Causality Tests," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 16, pages 251-262, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  - Malliaris, A. G. & Urrutia, Jorge L., 1992. "The International Crash of October 1987: Causality Tests," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 27(3), pages 353-364, September.
- A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "Several Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money: 1947–1987 and 1867–1975," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 6, pages 41-57, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  - Malliaris, A. G., 1992. "Several illustrations of the quantity theory of money: 1947-1987 and 1867-1975," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 77-93.
- Neio Lúcio Peres Gualda, 1992. "Accelerating, maintaining and sanctioning factors of inflation: a test of empirical evidence for Brazil," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 12(3), pages 373-386.
- Manmohan S. Kumar, 1992. "The Forecasting Accuracy of Crude Oil Futures Prices," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 39(2), pages 432-461, June.
- Michael P. Clements, 2014. "US Inflation Expectations and Heterogeneous Loss Functions, 1968–2010," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 1-14, January.
  - Clements, Michael P., 2012. "US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968–2010," Economic Research Papers 270653, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
  - Clements, Michael P., 2012. "US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968–2010," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 986, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
1991
- Liam P. Ebrill & Steven M. Fries, 1991. "Broad Money Growth and Inflation in the United States," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 38(4), pages 736-750, December.
- A. G. Malliaris & Jorge L. Urrutia, 2005. "An empirical investigation among real, monetary and financial variables," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 3, pages 13-20, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  - Malliaris, A. G. & Urrutia, Jorge L., 1991. "An empirical investigation among real, monetary and financial variables," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 151-158, October.
- A. G. Malliaris & Walter F. Mullady & M. E. Malliaris, 2005. "Interest rates and inflation: A continuous time stochastic approach," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 4, pages 23-28, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  - Malliaris, A. G. & Mullady, Walter Sr. & Malliaris, M. E., 1991. "Interest rates and inflation : A continuous time stochastic approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 351-356, December.
- A. G. Malliaris & Silvana Stefani, 2005. "Money, inflation and interest rates: Illustrations from twelve European economies," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 7, pages 59-82, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  - Malliaris, A. G. & Stefani, Silvana, 1991. "Money, inflation and interest rates: Illustrations from twelve European economies," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 275-298, October.
1990
- A. G. Malliaris & Jorge L. Urrutia, 2005. "How big is the random walk in macroeconomic time series: Variance ratio tests," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 2, pages 9-12, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  - Malliaris, A. G. & Urrutia, Jorge L., 1990. "How big is the random walks in macroeconomic time series : Variance ratio tests," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 113-116, October.
- Dale, Charles, 1990. "From Kondratieff to Chaos: Some Perspectives on Long-Term and Short-Term Business Cycles," MPRA Paper 46229, University Library of Munich, Germany.
1989
- María de los Llanos Matea, 1989. "Funciones de transferencia simultáneas del índice de precios al consumo de bienes elaborados no energéticos," Working Papers 8901, Banco de España.
- Bruce F. Parsell & Alan A. Powell & Peter J. Wilcoxen, 1989. "The Reconciliation of Computable General Equilibrium and Macroeconomic Modelling: Grounds for Hope?," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers ip-44, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
1987
- Fwu-Ranq Chang & A. G. Malliaris, 2005. "Asymptotic Growth under Uncertainty: Existence and Uniqueness," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Economic Uncertainty, Instabilities And Asset Bubbles Selected Essays, chapter 1, pages 3-8, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  - Fwu-Ranq Chang & A. G. Malliaris, 1987. "Asymptotic Growth under Uncertainty: Existence and Uniqueness," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 54(1), pages 169-174.
1986
- Peter B. Dixon & B. R. Parmenter & Mark Horridge, 1986. "Forecasting Versus Policy Analysis with the ORANI Model," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers op-56, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
- K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze & G. Rünstler, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working Paper Research 133, National Bank of Belgium.
  - Karim Barhoumi & Szilard Benk & Riccardo Cristadoro & Ard Den Reijer & Audrone Jakaitiene & Piotr Jelonek & António Rua & Gerhard Rünstler & Karsten Ruth & Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets - a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Occasional Paper Series 84, European Central Bank.
  - G. Rünstler & K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2008. "Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets: A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 1, Bank of Lithuania.
  - Barhoumi, K. & Rünstler, G. & Cristadoro, R. & Den Reijer, A. & Jakaitiene, A. & Jelonek, P. & Rua, A. & Ruth, K. & Benk, S. & Van Nieuwenhuyze, C., 2008. "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working papers 215, Banque de France.
1974
- Magee, Rp, 1974. "Industry-Wide Commonalities In Earnings," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(2), pages 270-287.
1972
- Gupta, Mc & Huefner, Rj, 1972. "Cluster Analysis Study Of Financial Ratios And Industry Characteristics," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(1), pages 77-95.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Michael C. Grohman, 1972. "A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 211-221, October.
  - Armstrong, J. Scott & C., Michael, 1972. "A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting," MPRA Paper 81673, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  - JS Armstrong & Michael C. Grohman, 2004. "A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting," General Economics and Teaching 0412010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- J. Scott Armstrong & Michael C. Grohman, 1972. "A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 211-221, October.
  - Armstrong, J. Scott & C., Michael, 1972. "A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting," MPRA Paper 81673, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  - JS Armstrong & Michael C. Grohman, 2004. "A Comparative Study of Methods for Long-Range Market Forecasting," General Economics and Teaching 0412010, University Library of Munich, Germany.
0
- Mastromarco, Camilla & Simar, Leopold & Wilson, Paul, 2019. "Predicting Recessions: A New Measure of Output Gap as Predictor," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2019023, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
  - Camilla Mastromarco & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2019. "Predicting Recessions: A New Measure of Output Gap as Predictor," CEPA Working Papers Series WP112019, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
- Bo?ena Kade?ábková & Emilie Ja?ová, 0000. "Phillips curve during the economic cycle in the Czech Republic and Poland in the years 2000 to 2016," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 11413218, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
- Harsimrat Kaeley & Ye QIAO & Nader BAGHERZADEH, 0000. "Support for Stock Trend Prediction Using Transformers and Sentiment Analysis," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 13815878, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
- Ádám Csápai, 0000. "Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Machine Learning: A Case of Slovakia," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 14115967, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
- Hashmat Khan & Santosh Upadhayaya, 0. "Does business confidence matter for investment?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-33.
  - Hashmat Khan & Santosh Upadhayaya, 2017. "Does Business Confidence Matter for Investment?," Carleton Economic Papers 17-13, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised 20 Mar 2019.
- Aaron G. Grech & Reuben Ellul, 0. "Are the European Commission’s Business and Consumer Survey Results Coincident Indicators for Maltese Economic Activity?," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 0, pages 1-18.
- Yongchen Zhao, 0. "Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 0, pages 1-21.
  - Herman O. Stekler & Yongchen Zhao, 2016. "Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set," Working Papers 2016-006, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting.
  - Herman Stekler & Yongchen Zhao, 2016. "Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set," Working Papers 2016-15, Towson University, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2016.
- Gary Koop & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Ping Wu, 2023. "Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting," Working Papers 23-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  - Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Ping Wu, 2023. "Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting," Working Papers 2311, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- Martin Cesnak & Jan Klacso & Patrik Kupkovic & Andrej Moravcik & Stefan Rychtarik & Roman Vrbovsky, 2024. "Assessing Residential Real Estate prices in Slovakia: Possible Approaches and Indices," Working and Discussion Papers OP 1/2024, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
- Kano, Takashi & Morita, Hiroshi, 2015. "An equilibrium foundation of the Soros chart," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 21-42.
  - Takashi Kano & Hiroshi Morita, 2014. "An Equilibrium Foundation of the Soros Chart," Working Papers e079, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
  - Kano, Takashi & 加納, 隆 & Morita, Hiroshi & 森田, 裕史, 2015. "An Equilibrium Foundation of the Soros Chart," Discussion Papers 2014-07, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
- Guerini, Mattia & Moneta, Alessio, 2017. "A method for agent-based models validation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 125-141.
  - Mattia Guerini & Alessio Moneta, 2016. "A Method for Agent-Based Models Validation," LEM Papers Series 2016/16, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  - Mattia Guerini & Alessio Moneta, 2016. "A Method for Agent-Based Models Validation," Working Papers Series 42, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 6(2-3), pages 621-633, 04-05.
  - Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2007. "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 6600, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  - Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2008. "Explaining the great moderation: it is not the shocks," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/6413, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  - Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2008. "Explaining the Great Moderation: it is not the shocks," Working Paper Series 865, European Central Bank.
- Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2003. "Learning with bounded memory in stochastic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(8), pages 1437-1457, June.
  - Seppo Honkapohja & Kaushik Mitra, "undated". "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," Discussion Papers 00/42, Department of Economics, University of York.
  - Honkapohja, S. & Mitra, K., 1999. "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 456, Department of Economics.
  - Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja, 1999. "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 221, Society for Computational Economics.
- Mitra, Kaushik, 2005. "Is more data better?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 263-272, February.
  - Kaushik Mitra, "undated". "Is more data better?," Discussion Papers 00/44, Department of Economics, University of York.
  - Kaushik Mitra, 2004. "Is more data better?," Royal Holloway, University of London: Discussion Papers in Economics 04/19, Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London, revised Jul 2004.
  - Mitra, K., 1999. "Is More Data Better?," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics 452, Department of Economics.
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- Kobayashi Keiichiro & Nutahara Kengo, 2010. "Nominal Rigidities, News-Driven Business Cycles, and Monetary Policy," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-26, September.
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- Tortorice Daniel Louis, 2012. "Unemployment Expectations and the Business Cycle," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-49, January.
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- Pagano Patrizio & Pisani Massimiliano, 2009. "Risk-Adjusted Forecasts of Oil Prices," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-28, June.
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- Smith Penelope & Summers Peter M, 2009. "Regime Switches in GDP Growth and Volatility: Some International Evidence and Implications for Modeling Business Cycles," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-19, September.
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- Swanson Eric T, 2006. "The Relative Price and Relative Productivity Channels for Aggregate Fluctuations," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-39, October.
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- Feroli Michael, 2004. "Monetary Policy and the Information Content of the Yield Spread," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 1-17, September.
- Kim Soyoung, 2006. "Counter-Cyclical and Counter-Inflation Monetary Policy Rules and Comovement Properties of Money Growth," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 1-39, August.
- Franke Reiner, 2012. "Microfounded Animal Spirits in the New Macroeconomic Consensus," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 16(4), pages 1-41, October.
- Jagric Timotej, 2003. "A Nonlinear Approach to Forecasting with Leading Economic Indicators," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(2), pages 1-20, July.
- Selover David D. & Jensen Roderick V. & Kroll John, 2003. "Industrial Sector Mode-Locking and Business Cycle Formation," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(3), pages 1-39, October.
- Süssmuth Bernd & Woitek Ulrich, 2005. "Some New Results on Industrial Sector Mode-Locking and Business Cycle Formation," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(3), pages 1-35, September.
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- Gloria Jarne, Julio Sánchez-Chóliz, Francisco Fatás-Villafranca, . ""S-shaped" Economic Dynamics. The Logistic and Gompertz curves generalized," The Electronic Journal of Evolutionary Modeling and Economic Dynamics, IFReDE - Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV.
- Jiří Šindelář, . "GDP Forecasting by Czech Institutions: An Empirical Evaluation," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 0, pages 1-15.
- Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi, . "Impacts of Global-Economic-Policy Uncertainty on Emerging Stock Market: Evidence from Linear and Non-Linear Models," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 0, pages 1-12.
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- Javier Bianchi & Enrique Mendoza, 2020. "A Fisherian Approach to Financial Crises: Lessons from the Sudden Stops Literature," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 254-283, August.
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- Tyler Atkinson & Michael Plante & Alexander Richter & Nathaniel Throckmorton, 2022. "Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 44, pages 225-243, April.
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