Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2026

• Jordan Kjosevski, 2026, "Coherence of Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the Function of Reducing Inflation in the European Union," Economic Alternatives, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 1, pages 312-332, March.
• Zigang Li & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Wang Renxuan, 2026, "Understanding Rationality and Disagreement in House Price Expectations," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 39, issue 2, pages 297-342.
• Bahaa Aly, Tarek, 2026, "Global Economic Cycles Unveiled: A Hybrid TCN-HMM Approach for Regime Dynamics Across Eight Nations," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127574, Jan.
• Kumar, Labesh, 2026, "The Output Gap: Method Choice, Data Revisions, and Policy Implications," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127829, Jan.
• Fantazzini, Dean & Kurbatskii, Alexey, 2026, "Nowcasting and Forecasting Russian Regional CPI: Sparse Models and the Time-Varying Value of Online Data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128456.
• Hardy, Nicolas & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2026, "Generalized Bayesian Composite Quantile Regression with an Application to Equity Premium Forecasting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 128752, Apr.
• Ia Vardishvili, 2026, "Entry Decision, the Option to Delay Entry, and Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 59, January, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2025.101319.
• Fedor Minichev, 2026, "The potential of using textual data to estimate inflation expectations in Russia," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 81, pages 26-45.
• Łukasz Mamica & Kamil Makieła & Renata Wróbel-Rotter & Monika Mazur-Bubak & Jakub Głowacki & Michał Król & Paweł Bajołek, 2026, "The Relationship Between Liquefied Petroleum Gas and Crude Oil Prices: A Case Study of the Polish Fuel Market," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 1, pages 23-38.
• Emanuel Nussli & Rachel Arulraj-Cordonier & Flurina Strasser & Marko Nanut Petrič & Morten Bech & Antonio Pipino, 2026, "From listings to all-tenant rents: A probabilistic model," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2026-02.
• Sidney M. Caetano & João H. G. Mazzeu, 2026, "Short-term inflation expectations evaluation in the presence of instabilities," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 2, pages 1-27, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02850-w.
• Elliot Beck & Michael Wolf, 2026, "Forecasting inflation with the hedged random forest," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 2, pages 1-36, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02879-x.
• Tural Yusifzada & Hasan Comert & Vugar Ahmadov, 2026, "A composite approach to nonlinear inflation dynamics in BRICS countries and Türkiye," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 3, pages 1-40, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-026-02902-9.
• Elisa Flori & Sandra Paterlini & Francesco Pattarin & Marco Villani, 2026, "Evaluation of the pandemic impact on global automotive supply chain through network analysis," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, volume 21, issue 1, pages 17-48, January, DOI: 10.1007/s11403-024-00440-0.
• Ndubuisi O. Chukwu & Ambrose Nnaemeka Omeje, 2026, "Global economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and stock returns in Nigeria," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, volume 25, issue 1, pages 117-136, January, DOI: 10.1007/s10258-025-00279-8.
• Raffaella Coppier & Elisabetta Michetti & Luisa Scaccia, 2026, "Potentiality of Benford’s law in deriving a firm-level evasion indicator for Italy," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, volume 60, issue 2, pages 7805-7827, April, DOI: 10.1007/s11135-026-02578-4.
• Davide Romaniello & Antonella Stirati, 2026, "Potential output versus target unemployment in the EU fiscal framework: implications for the Italian economy of a change in perspective," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, volume 7, issue 1, pages 1-26, December, DOI: 10.1007/s43253-026-00169-5.
• Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski & Philipp Wegmüller, 2026, "Estimating a weighted output gap for Switzerland: methodology and application," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, volume 162, issue 1, pages 1-25, December, DOI: 10.1186/s41937-026-00149-w.
• Merve Capan & Ahmet Gulveren & Tuba Ozsevinc, 2026, "A New Method for Measuring Underlying Inflation in Türkiye," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 2605.
• Garratt Anthony & Petrella Ivan & Zhang Yunyi, 2026, "The Predictive Content of U.S. Energy Information Administration Oil Market Forecasts," Working papers, Department of Economics, Social Studies, Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e Matematico-Statistiche), University of Torino, number 104, Mar.
• Meijers, Huub & Muysken, Joan, 2026, "Redirect investment to stimulate the economy," MERIT Working Papers, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT), number 003, Feb, DOI: 10.53330/EPZP7795.
• Jesús Fernández‐Villaverde & Isaiah Hull, 2026, "Dynamic programming in economics on a quantum annealer," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 17, issue 1, pages 1-37, January, DOI: 10.3982/QE2555.
• Verona, Fabio, 2026, "Forecasting inflation: The sum of the cycles outperforms the whole," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 1/2026.
• Heinisch, Katja & van Norden, Simon & Wildi, Marc, 2026, "Smooth and persistent forecasts of German GDP: Balancing accuracy and stability," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 1/2026, DOI: 10.18717/dp99kr-7336.
• Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Schult, Christoph & Zeddies, Götz, 2026, "Einhaltung der EU-Fiskalregeln erfordert umfangreiche Konsolidierung: Mittelfristige Projektion der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung und der öffentlichen Finanzen in Deutschland," IWH Policy Notes, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 1/2026, DOI: 10.18717/pnb1fm-ja32.
• Ina Hajdini, 2026, "Mis-specified Forecasts and Myopia in an Estimated New Keynesian Model," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 18, issue 2, pages 188-226, April, DOI: 10.1257/mac.20230054.
• Gülbahar Atasever & Bora Süslü, 2026, "A Sectoral Approach to Inflation Expectations in the Turkish Economy: The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Time-Varying LA-VAR Granger Causality Analysis," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, volume 10, issue 4, pages 1419-1445, DOI: 10.30784/epfad.1721270.
• Төлепберген Әлішер // Tolepbergen Alisher, 2026, "Новый индикатор базовой инфляции для Казахстана // A New Core Inflation Indicator for Kazakhstan," Working Papers, National Bank of Kazakhstan, number #2026-6.
• Niko Hauzenberger Massimiliano Marcellino Michael Pfarrhofer Anna Stelzer, 2026, "Direct Gaussian Process Predictive Regressions with Mixed Frequency Data," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy, number 26265.
• Dalibor Stevanovic, 2026, "Who Saw It Coming? Historical Experienceand the 2021 Inflation Forecast Failure," Working Papers, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, number 26-02, Apr.
• Nicolás Bonino-Gayoso & Mónica Correa-López, 2026, "Unexpecting the Expected in Real-Time Inflation Forecasting: The Inflation Expectations Channel?," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2613, Mar, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/42915.
• Filippo Natoli & Sharath Sonti, 2026, "Overconfident forecasters and the impact of inflation information: evidence from a randomized survey experiment," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1532, Apr.
• Wilmer Martinez-Rivera & Manuel Dario Hernandez-Bejarano, 2026, "Approach to Estimating Confidence Intervals for a Business Cycle," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1348, Mar, DOI: 10.32468/be.1348.
• Aysegul Sahin & Ilyas Siklar, 2026, "A New Growth Indicator For Türkiye: Monthly Gdp Estimates Using Factor Models," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, volume 71, issue 248, pages 33-63, January –.
• Doan Gia Bao Ngoc & Luu Minh Quan & Truong Thi Thanh Ha & Nguyen Duc Minh Tan & Phan Thi Minh Huyen & Tran Duy Thanh, 2026, "Building a new hybrid machine learning model for improvement insurance cross-sell prediction," HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE - ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY, volume 16, issue 1, pages 93-111, DOI: 10.46223/HCMCOUJS.econ.en.16.1.4306.
• Mark Setterfield & George Wheaton, 2026, "Animal Spirits and the Goodwin Pattern," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, volume 77, issue 1, pages 2-16, February, DOI: 10.1111/meca.12506.
• Tom Doan, 2026, "MATHESONSTAVREVEL2013: RATS programs to replicate Matheson-Stavrev(2013) non-linear state-space model," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00054, revised .
• Panagiotis Delis & Georgios Kontogeorgos, 2026, "Outlier-robust evaluation of fixed-event macroeconomic survey expectations," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 356, Jan, DOI: 10.52903/wp2026356.
• Dimitris Louzis, 2026, "Trend inflation and inflation expectations in high dimensional vector autoregressions," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 360, Mar, DOI: 10.52903/wp2026360.
• Ko Adachi & Yoshiyuki Kurachi & Masato Okamoto & Tomohiro Sugo & Akitoshi Toyoda, 2026, "Supply Constraints and Inflation Dynamics," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 26-E-3, Feb.
• Jonas Andersson & Øivind Anti Nilsen & Hans J. Skaug, 2026, "Mixed Frequency Data in a Heterogenous Sticky Price Model," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12379.
• Lovisa Reiche & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2026, "Who’s on Fire? Household Characteristics and the Formation of Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12450.
• Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2026, "Using Transformers and Reinforcement Learning as Narrative Filters in Macroeconomics," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12454.
• Dalibor Stevanovic, 2026, "Who Saw It Coming? Historical Experience and the 2021 Inflation Forecast Failure," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2026s-06, Apr.
• Filip Blaha & Jan Botka & Josef Sveda & Ales Michl, 2026, "AI-Based Forecasting of Czech Inflation: Quantile Regression Forests with Dynamic Weights," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2026/09, Apr.
• Eraslan, Sercan & Fabbri, Andrea & Saiz, Lorena, 2026, "Short-term forecasting of euro area economic activity in an uncertain world," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 8.
• Rigato, Rodolfo Dinis, 2026, "A least-squares filter for sequence-space models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3191, Feb.
• Bricongne, Jean-Charles & Meunier, Baptiste & Macalos, Joao & Milis, Julia & Pical, Thomas, 2026, "Can satellites predict oil demand?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3198, Feb.
• Hommes, Cars & Poledna, Sebastian, 2026, "Forecasting economic crises: The Great Recession, the sovereign debt crisis, and COVID-19 in the euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2026.107497.
• Gallegati, Marco, 2026, "Financial and business cycles in the US: A non-parametric time–frequency investigation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 81, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2025.102547.
• Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Klieber, Karin, 2026, "An adaptive moving average for macroeconomic monitoring," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 259, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112773.
• Quinlan, Rory & Pinheiro, Roberto, 2026, "BLS payroll revisions: Forecasting recessions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 261, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2026.112859.
• Morita, Hiroshi, 2026, "Forecasting GDP growth with stock returns: Time-series or cross-sectional information?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 263, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2026.112946.
• He, Zhongfang, 2026, "A computationally efficient mixture innovation model for time-varying parameter regressions," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, volume 37, issue C, pages 250-269, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2023.08.001.
• Suveg, Melinda, 2026, "The working capital channel," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105193.
• Jiang, Danyang & Li, Haoyuan & Tian, Xiaoli, 2026, "IPO underwriting incentives and macroeconomic forecast optimism," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2026.101704.
• Babiak, Mykola & Baruník, Jozef, 2026, "Deep learning, predictability, and optimal portfolio returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2026.101705.
• Maih, Junior & Omotosho, Babatunde S. & Yang, Bo, 2026, "Fuel subsidy removal and monetary policy adjustments in an oil-producing emerging economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 156, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109208.
• Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2026, "The predictive content of U.S. Energy Information Administration oil market forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 156, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109214.
• Klinkowska, Olga & Zadorozhna, Olha, 2026, "The yield curve strikes back: New evidence of its predictive power for economic activity and inflation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 113, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2026.105128.
• Booth, Geoffrey G. & Ellina, Polina & Theodossiou, Panayiotis, 2026, "Decoding underprediction and anchoring in BEA's GDP backcasts," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 83, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2026.101509.
• Mitchell, James & Shiroff, Taylor & Braitsch, Hana, 2026, "Practice makes perfect: Learning effects with household point and density forecasts of inflation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 42, issue 2, pages 315-329, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2025.06.002.
• Bürgi, Constantin & Ortiz, Julio L., 2026, "Overreaction through anchoring," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 42, issue 2, pages 512-526, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2025.08.002.
• Cotton, Christopher D., 2026, "Understanding CPI shelter inflation: The importance of the new-tenant/all-tenant rent gap," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, volume 71, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102117.
• Ann Xing, Bingxin & Feunou, Bruno & Tédongap, Roméo, 2026, "Robust regularities in the heterogeneity of consumer price inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 163, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2026.103536.
• Carballo, Patricia, 2026, "Exploring monetary policy with imperfect credibility: The case of Uruguay," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, volume 7, issue 2, DOI: 10.1016/j.latcb.2025.100164.
• Gemmi, Luca & Valchev, Rosen, 2026, "Biased surveys," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103868.
• Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kieren, Pascal & Trautmann, Stefan, 2026, "A choice-based approach to the measurement of inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103882.
• Bargman, Daniil, 2026, "Latent variable modelling by supervised diffusion," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 106, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2026.104972.
• Fasanya, Ismail O. & Oyewole, Oluwatomisin J. & Saleh Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz, 2026, "The inflation-energy nexus in OPEC: A nonlinear forecasting perspective," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 107, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2026.105096.
• Magacho, Guilherme & Godin, Antoine & Spinola, Danilo & Yilmaz, Devrim, 2026, "Carbon tax recycling: Fostering reindustrialization in financialized developing economies," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, volume 77, issue C, pages 1-22, DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2025.12.008.
• Yilin Xiao & Jamie L. Cross, 2026, "Regularized Random Subspace Regressions," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-13, Feb.
• Philipp Wegmuller & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Marc Burri, 2026, "GDP-Flash Estimates: An International Assessment," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-26, Apr.
• Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Ping Wu, 2026, "Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models Using Pseudo VARs," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 26-04, Feb, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202604.
• Lutz Kilian & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2026, "The Impact of the 2026 Iran War on U.S. Inflation: A Scenario Analysis," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2609, Apr, DOI: 10.24149/wp2609.
• M.Jahangir Alam & Shane Boyle & Huiyu Li & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2026, "ChatMacro: Evaluating Inflation Forecasts of Generative AI," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-04, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-04.
• Peter Lihn Jørgensen & Kevin J. Lansing, 2026, "From Volcker to the Pandemic Era: History Dependent Anchoring of Short-Run Expected Inflation," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-08, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-08.
• Kevin J. Lansing & Adam Hale Shapiro, 2026, "Measuring Inflation Shock Momentum," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-10, Apr, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-10.
• Shengwu Du & Flora Haberkorn & Isabel Kitschelt & Seung Jung Lee & Anderson Monken & Dylan Saez & Kelsey Shipman & Sandeep Thakur, 2026, "Do Anecdotes Matter? Exploring the Beige Book through Textual Analysis from 1970 to 2025," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-004, Jan, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.004.
• Dobrislav Dobrev & Pawel J. Szerszen, 2026, "Missing Data Substitution for Enhanced Robust Filtering and Forecasting in State-Space Models," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2026-004, Mar.
• Drin, Svitlana & Zhuravlova, Anastasiia, 2026, "Real-Time Nowcasting of Kyiv’s Regional GRP Using Google Trends and Mixed-Frequency Data," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2026:1, Jan.
• Andrew B. Martinez & Alexander D. Schibuola & David Beckworth, 2026, "The Reliability of the Nominal GDP Expectations Gap," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 22, issue 2, pages 525-557, April.
• Yusuke Oh & Mototsugu Shintani, 2026, "Forecasting Recessions Using Machine Learning on Text Data and Mixed-Frequency Predictors," IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, number 26-E-07, Mar.
• Juan Camilo Anzoátegui Zapata & Danilo Rodríguez Arango & Sergio David Sánchez Varela, 2026, "Effects of reputation and monetary policy communication on exchange rate uncertainty: evidence from an emerging market economy," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, volume 50, issue 1, pages 117-140, DOI: 10.3326/pse.50.1.6.
• Jakov Corak & Mihael Brusan, 2026, "Inflation in Croatia: a new era of forecasting with machine learning," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, volume 50, issue 1, pages 39-65, DOI: 10.3326/pse.50.1.3.
• Kwangwon Ahn & Hanwool Jang & Daeyong Lee, 2026, "Impact of Monetary Policy on Corporate Defaults and Associated Welfare Costs," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 67, issue 4, pages 2697-2729, April, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-025-10950-z.
• Jiaxiang Huang & Renxiang Wang, 2026, "Prediction of Bank Systemic Risk Based on LSTM Model," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 67, issue 4, pages 3067-3086, April, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-025-10960-x.
• Julia Braun & Hans-Peter Burghof & Dag Einar Sommervoll, 2026, "The Effect of the Countercyclical Capital Buffer on the Stability of the Housing Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 72, issue 2, pages 235-283, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-024-09987-y.

2025

• Beatriz Muriel Hernandez & Ronaldo Terrazas, 2025, "Equilibrio y desalineamientos del tipo de cambio nominal en Bolivia (1990-2024)," Development Research Working Paper Series, Institute for Advanced Development Studies, number 13/2025, Dec.
• Evgenia L. Prokopjeva & Matvey S. Khoroshilov, 2025, "Accuracy of Market-Based and Survey-Based Inflation Expectations in Forecasting Russian Inflation," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, volume 24, issue 4, pages 1219-1248, DOI: https://doi.org/10.15826/vestnik.20.
• Christian Bayer & Luis Calderon & Moritz Kuhn, 2025, "Distributional Dynamics," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 351, Jan.
• Borsos, András & Carro, Adrian & Glielmo, Aldo & Hinterschweiger, Marc & Kaszowska-Mojsa, Jagoda & Uluc, Arzu, 2025, "Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges," INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, number 2025-05, Feb.
• Боймирзаев Т. // Boymirzaev T., 2025, "Разработка краткосрочного прогноза инфляции для Узбекистана: применение моделей FAVAR и BVAR // Development of the Near-Term Forecast of Inflation for Uzbekistan: Application of FAVAR and BVAR models," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 1-8.
• Nwabisa Florence Ndzama, 2025, "Assessing the ability of output gap estimates to forecast inflation in emerging countries," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, volume 11, issue 2, pages 144-167, June, DOI: 10.32609/j.ruje.11.126000.
• Matteo Barigozzi & Claudio Lissona & Matteo Luciani, 2025, "Measuring the Euro Area Output Gap," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2505.05536, May, revised Nov 2025.
• Nicolas Hardy & Dimitris Korobilis, 2025, "Learning from crises: A new class of time-varying parameter VARs with observable adaptation," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2512.03763, Dec.
• Joshua Brault & Louis Phaneuf, 2025, "What Drives Low and Stable Inflation?," Working Papers, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, number 25-02, Feb, revised Feb 2025.
• Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2025, "Panel Machine Learning with Mixed-Frequency Data: Monitoring State-Level Fiscal Variables," Working Papers, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, number 25-04, May, revised May 2025.
• Chris Naubert, 2025, "Differentiable, Filter Free Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models Using Mixture Density Networks," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 25-3, Jan, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2025-3.
• Stéphane Surprenant, 2025, "Quantile VARs and Macroeconomic Risk Forecasting," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 25-4, Jan, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2025-4.
• Tatjana Dahlhaus & Thibaut Duprey & Craig Johnston, 2025, "Estimating the impacts on GDP of natural disasters in Canada," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2025-5, Feb, DOI: 10.34989/san-2025-5.
• Julien Pascal, 2025, "Solving economic models with neural networks without backpropagation," BCL working papers, Central Bank of Luxembourg, number 196, Apr.
• András Borsos & Adrian Carro & Aldo Glielmo & Marc Hinterschweiger & Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa & Arzu Uluc, 2025, "Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 2503, Feb, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/39238.
• Luis Fernández Lafuerza & Irene Roibás & Raquel Vegas Sánchez, 2025, "Indicadores de desequilibrios de precios del mercado inmobiliario comercial," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 2507, Apr, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/39625.
• Matteo Mogliani & Florens Odendahl, 2025, "Density forecast transformations," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2511, Feb, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/38959.
• Valentina Aprigliano & Francesco Corsello, 2025, "Underlying Composite Inflation (UCI): a novel indicator to track inflation developments," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 928, Apr.
• András Borsos & Adrian Carro & Aldo Glielmo & Marc Hinterschweiger & Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa & Arzu Uluc, 2025, "Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 956, Jul.
• Matteo Santi & Sefano Schiaffi, 2025, "The bank-based transmission of the 2024-25 monetary policy easing in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 964, Sep.
• Stefano Neri, 2025, "Energy prices, inflation and the ECB's monetary policy during the 2021-22 energy crisis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1481, Mar.
• Matteo Santi, 2025, "A high-dimensional GDP-at-risk and Inflation-at-risk for the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1484, Mar.
• Vincenzo Cuciniello & Giuseppe Ferrero & Alessandro Notarpietro & Sergio Santoro, 2025, "Uncertainty, data dependence and interest rate volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1513, Dec.
• Daniel Parra-Amado & Camilo Granados, 2025, "Output Gap Measurement after COVID for Colombia: Lessons from a Permanent-Transitory Approach," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1295, Jan, DOI: 10.32468/be.1295.
• Felipe Roldán-Ferrín & Julián A. Parra-Polania, 2025, "Enhancing inflation nowcasting with online search data: a random forest application for Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1318, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.1318.
• César Anzola Bravo & Paola Poveda, 2025, "Forecasting Disaggregated Food Inflation Baskets in Colombia with an XGBoost Model," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1335, Dec, DOI: 10.32468/be.1335.
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• Stéphane Lhuissier, 2025, "Assessing Asymmetric Macroeconomic Risk," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1004.
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• Sophia Panteeva & Sergey Arzhenovskiy & Karen Tumanyants, 2025, "Semi-Structural Model of Economy of the Southern Macroregion of Russia," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 2, pages 65-88, June.
• Alexander Eliseev, 2025, "Nowcasting Russian GDP in a Mixed-Frequency DSGE Model with a Panel of Non-Modelled Variables," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 3, pages 63-93, September.
• Ilya Zverev & Nadezhda Kislyak, 2025, "Estimating the Output Gap of the Russian Economy: A Multivariate Approach Based on BVAR and the Beveridge–Nelson Filter," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 4, pages 22-46, December.
• Urmat Dzhunkeev, 2025, "MOSES: Macroeconomic Forecasting with Models and Sentiment Synthesis," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 4, pages 63-84, December.
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• Tom Doan, 2025, "MATHESON_STAVREV_EL2013: RATS programs to replicate Matheson-Stavrev(2013) non-linear state-space model," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTZ00216, revised .
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• Ichiro Fukunaga & Yui Kishaba & Nao Shibata & Shunichi Yoneyama, 2025, "Uncertainty in the Formation of Inflation Expectations in Japan: An Analysis Using the Macroeconomic Model Q-JEM," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 25-E-3, Feb.
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