Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2026

• Zigang Li & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Wang Renxuan, 2026, "Understanding Rationality and Disagreement in House Price Expectations," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, volume 39, issue 2, pages 297-342.
• Bahaa Aly, Tarek, 2026, "Global Economic Cycles Unveiled: A Hybrid TCN-HMM Approach for Regime Dynamics Across Eight Nations," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127574, Jan.
• Kumar, Labesh, 2026, "The Output Gap: Method Choice, Data Revisions, and Policy Implications," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127829, Jan.
• Ia Vardishvili, 2026, "Entry Decision, the Option to Delay Entry, and Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 59, January, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2025.101319.
• Emanuel Nussli & Rachel Arulraj-Cordonier & Flurina Strasser & Marko Nanut Petrič & Morten Bech & Antonio Pipino, 2026, "From listings to all-tenant rents: A probabilistic model," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2026-02.
• Sidney M. Caetano & João H. G. Mazzeu, 2026, "Short-term inflation expectations evaluation in the presence of instabilities," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 2, pages 1-27, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02850-w.
• Elliot Beck & Michael Wolf, 2026, "Forecasting inflation with the hedged random forest," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 2, pages 1-36, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02879-x.
• Tural Yusifzada & Hasan Comert & Vugar Ahmadov, 2026, "A composite approach to nonlinear inflation dynamics in BRICS countries and Türkiye," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 70, issue 3, pages 1-40, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-026-02902-9.
• Elisa Flori & Sandra Paterlini & Francesco Pattarin & Marco Villani, 2026, "Evaluation of the pandemic impact on global automotive supply chain through network analysis," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, volume 21, issue 1, pages 17-48, January, DOI: 10.1007/s11403-024-00440-0.
• Ndubuisi O. Chukwu & Ambrose Nnaemeka Omeje, 2026, "Global economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and stock returns in Nigeria," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, volume 25, issue 1, pages 117-136, January, DOI: 10.1007/s10258-025-00279-8.
• Davide Romaniello & Antonella Stirati, 2026, "Potential output versus target unemployment in the EU fiscal framework: implications for the Italian economy of a change in perspective," Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, Springer, volume 7, issue 1, pages 1-26, December, DOI: 10.1007/s43253-026-00169-5.
• Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski & Philipp Wegmüller, 2026, "Estimating a weighted output gap for Switzerland: methodology and application," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, volume 162, issue 1, pages 1-25, December, DOI: 10.1186/s41937-026-00149-w.
• Merve Capan & Ahmet Gulveren & Tuba Ozsevinc, 2026, "A New Method for Measuring Underlying Inflation in Türkiye," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 2605.
• Garratt Anthony & Petrella Ivan & Zhang Yunyi, 2026, "The Predictive Content of U.S. Energy Information Administration Oil Market Forecasts," Working papers, Department of Economics, Social Studies, Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e Matematico-Statistiche), University of Torino, number 104, Mar.
• Meijers, Huub & Muysken, Joan, 2026, "Redirect investment to stimulate the economy," MERIT Working Papers, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT), number 003, Feb, DOI: 10.53330/EPZP7795.
• Verona, Fabio, 2026, "Forecasting inflation: The sum of the cycles outperforms the whole," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 1/2026.
• Heinisch, Katja & van Norden, Simon & Wildi, Marc, 2026, "Smooth and persistent forecasts of German GDP: Balancing accuracy and stability," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 1/2026, DOI: 10.18717/dp99kr-7336.
• Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Schult, Christoph & Zeddies, Götz, 2026, "Einhaltung der EU-Fiskalregeln erfordert umfangreiche Konsolidierung: Mittelfristige Projektion der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung und der öffentlichen Finanzen in Deutschland," IWH Policy Notes, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 1/2026, DOI: 10.18717/pnb1fm-ja32.
• Gülbahar Atasever & Bora Süslü, 2026, "A Sectoral Approach to Inflation Expectations in the Turkish Economy: The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Time-Varying LA-VAR Granger Causality Analysis," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, volume 10, issue 4, pages 1419-1445, DOI: 10.30784/epfad.1721270.
• Niko Hauzenberger Massimiliano Marcellino Michael Pfarrhofer Anna Stelzer, 2026, "Direct Gaussian Process Predictive Regressions with Mixed Frequency Data," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy, number 26265.
• Wilmer Martinez-Rivera & Manuel Dario Hernandez-Bejarano, 2026, "Approach to Estimating Confidence Intervals for a Business Cycle," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1348, Mar, DOI: 10.32468/be.1348.
• Mark Setterfield & George Wheaton, 2026, "Animal Spirits and the Goodwin Pattern," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, volume 77, issue 1, pages 2-16, February, DOI: 10.1111/meca.12506.
• Tom Doan, 2026, "MATHESONSTAVREVEL2013: RATS programs to replicate Matheson-Stavrev(2013) non-linear state-space model," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00054, revised .
• Panagiotis Delis & Georgios Kontogeorgos, 2026, "Outlier-robust evaluation of fixed-event macroeconomic survey expectations," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 356, Jan, DOI: 10.52903/wp2026356.
• Ko Adachi & Yoshiyuki Kurachi & Masato Okamoto & Tomohiro Sugo & Akitoshi Toyoda, 2026, "Supply Constraints and Inflation Dynamics," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 26-E-3, Feb.
• Jonas Andersson & Øivind Anti Nilsen & Hans J. Skaug, 2026, "Mixed Frequency Data in a Heterogenous Sticky Price Model," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12379.
• Lovisa Reiche & Gabriele Galati & Richhild Moessner & Maarten van Rooij, 2026, "Who’s on Fire? Household Characteristics and the Formation of Inflation Expectations," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12450.
• Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2026, "Using Transformers and Reinforcement Learning as Narrative Filters in Macroeconomics," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 12454.
• Eraslan, Sercan & Fabbri, Andrea & Saiz, Lorena, 2026, "Short-term forecasting of euro area economic activity in an uncertain world," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 8.
• Rigato, Rodolfo Dinis, 2026, "A least-squares filter for sequence-space models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3191, Feb.
• Bricongne, Jean-Charles & Meunier, Baptiste & Macalos, Joao & Milis, Julia & Pical, Thomas, 2026, "Can satellites predict oil demand?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 3198, Feb.
• Hommes, Cars & Poledna, Sebastian, 2026, "Forecasting economic crises: The Great Recession, the sovereign debt crisis, and COVID-19 in the euro area," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 158, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2026.107497.
• Gallegati, Marco, 2026, "Financial and business cycles in the US: A non-parametric time–frequency investigation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 81, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2025.102547.
• Goulet Coulombe, Philippe & Klieber, Karin, 2026, "An adaptive moving average for macroeconomic monitoring," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 259, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112773.
• Quinlan, Rory & Pinheiro, Roberto, 2026, "BLS payroll revisions: Forecasting recessions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 261, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2026.112859.
• He, Zhongfang, 2026, "A computationally efficient mixture innovation model for time-varying parameter regressions," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, volume 37, issue C, pages 250-269, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosta.2023.08.001.
• Suveg, Melinda, 2026, "The working capital channel," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 182, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.105193.
• Maih, Junior & Omotosho, Babatunde S. & Yang, Bo, 2026, "Fuel subsidy removal and monetary policy adjustments in an oil-producing emerging economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 156, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109208.
• Garratt, Anthony & Petrella, Ivan & Zhang, Yunyi, 2026, "The predictive content of U.S. Energy Information Administration oil market forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 156, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2026.109214.
• Bürgi, Constantin & Ortiz, Julio L., 2026, "Overreaction through anchoring," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 42, issue 2, pages 512-526, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2025.08.002.
• Cotton, Christopher D., 2026, "Understanding CPI shelter inflation: The importance of the new-tenant/all-tenant rent gap," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, volume 71, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2025.102117.
• Ann Xing, Bingxin & Feunou, Bruno & Tédongap, Roméo, 2026, "Robust regularities in the heterogeneity of consumer price inflation," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 163, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2026.103536.
• Gemmi, Luca & Valchev, Rosen, 2026, "Biased surveys," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103868.
• Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kieren, Pascal & Trautmann, Stefan, 2026, "A choice-based approach to the measurement of inflation expectations," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 157, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103882.
• Yilin Xiao & Jamie L. Cross, 2026, "Regularized Random Subspace Regressions," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2026-13, Feb.
• Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Ping Wu, 2026, "Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models Using Pseudo VARs," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 26-04, Feb, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202604.
• M.Jahangir Alam & Shane Boyle & Huiyu Li & Tatevik Sekhposyan, 2026, "ChatMacro: Evaluating Inflation Forecasts of Generative AI," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2026-04, Feb, DOI: 10.24148/wp2026-04.
• Shengwu Du & Flora Haberkorn & Isabel Kitschelt & Seung Jung Lee & Anderson Monken & Dylan Saez & Kelsey Shipman & Sandeep Thakur, 2026, "Do Anecdotes Matter? Exploring the Beige Book through Textual Analysis from 1970 to 2025," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2026-004, Jan, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2026.004.
• Dobrislav Dobrev & Pawel J. Szerszén, 2026, "Missing Data Substitution for Enhanced Robust Filtering and Forecasting in State-Space Models," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2026-004, Mar.
• Drin, Svitlana & Zhuravlova, Anastasiia, 2026, "Real-Time Nowcasting of Kyiv’s Regional GRP Using Google Trends and Mixed-Frequency Data," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2026:1, Jan.
• Juan Camilo Anzoátegui Zapata & Danilo Rodríguez Arango & Sergio David Sánchez Varela, 2026, "Effects of reputation and monetary policy communication on exchange rate uncertainty: evidence from an emerging market economy," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, volume 50, issue 1, pages 117-140, DOI: 10.3326/pse.50.1.6.
• Jakov Corak & Mihael Brusan, 2026, "Inflation in Croatia: a new era of forecasting with machine learning," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, volume 50, issue 1, pages 39-65, DOI: 10.3326/pse.50.1.3.
• Julia Braun & Hans-Peter Burghof & Dag Einar Sommervoll, 2026, "The Effect of the Countercyclical Capital Buffer on the Stability of the Housing Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 72, issue 2, pages 235-283, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-024-09987-y.

2025

• Beatriz Muriel Hernandez & Ronaldo Terrazas, 2025, "Equilibrio y desalineamientos del tipo de cambio nominal en Bolivia (1990-2024)," Development Research Working Paper Series, Institute for Advanced Development Studies, number 13/2025, Dec.
• Evgenia L. Prokopjeva & Matvey S. Khoroshilov, 2025, "Accuracy of Market-Based and Survey-Based Inflation Expectations in Forecasting Russian Inflation," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, volume 24, issue 4, pages 1219-1248, DOI: https://doi.org/10.15826/vestnik.20.
• Christian Bayer & Luis Calderon & Moritz Kuhn, 2025, "Distributional Dynamics," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 351, Jan.
• Borsos, András & Carro, Adrian & Glielmo, Aldo & Hinterschweiger, Marc & Kaszowska-Mojsa, Jagoda & Uluc, Arzu, 2025, "Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges," INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, number 2025-05, Feb.
• Боймирзаев Т. // Boymirzaev T., 2025, "Разработка краткосрочного прогноза инфляции для Узбекистана: применение моделей FAVAR и BVAR // Development of the Near-Term Forecast of Inflation for Uzbekistan: Application of FAVAR and BVAR models," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 1-8.
• Nwabisa Florence Ndzama, 2025, "Assessing the ability of output gap estimates to forecast inflation in emerging countries," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, volume 11, issue 2, pages 144-167, June, DOI: 10.32609/j.ruje.11.126000.
• Matteo Barigozzi & Claudio Lissona & Matteo Luciani, 2025, "Measuring the Euro Area Output Gap," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2505.05536, May, revised Nov 2025.
• Nicolas Hardy & Dimitris Korobilis, 2025, "Learning from crises: A new class of time-varying parameter VARs with observable adaptation," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2512.03763, Dec.
• Joshua Brault & Louis Phaneuf, 2025, "What Drives Low and Stable Inflation?," Working Papers, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, number 25-02, Feb, revised Feb 2025.
• Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2025, "Panel Machine Learning with Mixed-Frequency Data: Monitoring State-Level Fiscal Variables," Working Papers, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, number 25-04, May, revised May 2025.
• Chris Naubert, 2025, "Differentiable, Filter Free Bayesian Estimation of DSGE Models Using Mixture Density Networks," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 25-3, Jan, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2025-3.
• Stéphane Surprenant, 2025, "Quantile VARs and Macroeconomic Risk Forecasting," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 25-4, Jan, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2025-4.
• Tatjana Dahlhaus & Thibaut Duprey & Craig Johnston, 2025, "Estimating the impacts on GDP of natural disasters in Canada," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2025-5, Feb, DOI: 10.34989/san-2025-5.
• Julien Pascal, 2025, "Solving economic models with neural networks without backpropagation," BCL working papers, Central Bank of Luxembourg, number 196, Apr.
• András Borsos & Adrian Carro & Aldo Glielmo & Marc Hinterschweiger & Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa & Arzu Uluc, 2025, "Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 2503, Feb, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/39238.
• Luis Fernández Lafuerza & Irene Roibás & Raquel Vegas Sánchez, 2025, "Indicadores de desequilibrios de precios del mercado inmobiliario comercial," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 2507, Apr, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/39625.
• Matteo Mogliani & Florens Odendahl, 2025, "Density forecast transformations," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2511, Feb, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/38959.
• Valentina Aprigliano & Francesco Corsello, 2025, "Underlying Composite Inflation (UCI): a novel indicator to track inflation developments," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 928, Apr.
• András Borsos & Adrian Carro & Aldo Glielmo & Marc Hinterschweiger & Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa & Arzu Uluc, 2025, "Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 956, Jul.
• Matteo Santi & Sefano Schiaffi, 2025, "The bank-based transmission of the 2024-25 monetary policy easing in the euro area," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 964, Sep.
• Stefano Neri, 2025, "Energy prices, inflation and the ECB's monetary policy during the 2021-22 energy crisis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1481, Mar.
• Matteo Santi, 2025, "A high-dimensional GDP-at-risk and Inflation-at-risk for the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1484, Mar.
• Vincenzo Cuciniello & Giuseppe Ferrero & Alessandro Notarpietro & Sergio Santoro, 2025, "Uncertainty, data dependence and interest rate volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1513, Dec.
• Daniel Parra-Amado & Camilo Granados, 2025, "Output Gap Measurement after COVID for Colombia: Lessons from a Permanent-Transitory Approach," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1295, Jan, DOI: 10.32468/be.1295.
• Felipe Roldán-Ferrín & Julián A. Parra-Polania, 2025, "Enhancing inflation nowcasting with online search data: a random forest application for Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1318, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.1318.
• César Anzola Bravo & Paola Poveda, 2025, "Forecasting Disaggregated Food Inflation Baskets in Colombia with an XGBoost Model," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1335, Dec, DOI: 10.32468/be.1335.
• Fanny Henriet & Yannick Kalantzis & Matthieu Lemoine & Noëmie Lisack & Harri Turunen, 2025, "Bridging the Gap in Macroeconomic Analysis of the Energy Transition: Combining Medium-and Long-Term Approaches," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1000.
• Stéphane Lhuissier, 2025, "Assessing Asymmetric Macroeconomic Risk," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1004.
• Oriane Wegner & Stéphane Dees & Mathieu Boullot & Pauline Lesterquy & Charles Serfaty & Camille Thubin & Youssef Ulgazi & Alice Boitout & Marie Gabet, 2025, "Seeds of Inflation: Macro Modelling of Nature-Related Risks through Agricultural Prices," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1006.
• Matteo Mogliani & Florens Odendahl, 2025, "Density Forecast Transformations," Working papers, Banque de France, number 1027.
• Douglas Kiarelly Godoy de Araujo & Nikola Bokan & Fabio Alberto Comazzi & Michele Lenza, 2025, "Word2Prices: embedding central bank communications for inflation prediction," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1253, Mar.
• Carlos Madeira, 2025, "The life experience of central bankers and monetary policy decisions: a cross-country dataset," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1304, Nov.
• Emanuel Nussli & Rachel Arulraj-Cordonier & Flurina Strasser & Marko Nanut Petrič & Morten Linnemann Bech & Antonio Pipino, 2025, "From listings to all-tenant rents: a probabilistic model," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1317, Dec.
• Elizaveta Volgina, 2025, "Forecasting Inflation Using News Indices," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 1, pages 26-59, March.
• Sophia Panteeva & Sergey Arzhenovskiy & Karen Tumanyants, 2025, "Semi-Structural Model of Economy of the Southern Macroregion of Russia," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 2, pages 65-88, June.
• Alexander Eliseev, 2025, "Nowcasting Russian GDP in a Mixed-Frequency DSGE Model with a Panel of Non-Modelled Variables," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 3, pages 63-93, September.
• Ilya Zverev & Nadezhda Kislyak, 2025, "Estimating the Output Gap of the Russian Economy: A Multivariate Approach Based on BVAR and the Beveridge–Nelson Filter," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 4, pages 22-46, December.
• Urmat Dzhunkeev, 2025, "MOSES: Macroeconomic Forecasting with Models and Sentiment Synthesis," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 4, pages 63-84, December.
• Sergey Ivashchenko, 2025, "Do We Need Тaylor-type Rules in DSGE?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps144, Jan.
• Alexander Eliseev, 2025, "Nowcasting Russian GDP in a mixed-frequency DSGE model with a panel of non-modelled variables," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps145, Feb.
• Sergey Ivashchenko & Andrey Sinyakov, 2025, "Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations Across Economic Agents: Implications for Monetary Policy," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps152, Jul.
• Luke Hartigan & Tom Rosewall, 2025, "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth During the COVID‐19 Crisis Using a Monthly Activity Indicator," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 101, issue 335, pages 456-484, December, DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.70000.
• F. Blasques & S. J. Koopman & G. Mingoli & S. Telg, 2025, "A Novel Test for the Presence of Local Explosive Dynamics," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, volume 46, issue 5, pages 966-980, September, DOI: 10.1111/jtsa.70001.
• Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2025, "Firm‐Level Expectations and Macroeconomic Conditions: Underpinnings and Disagreement," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 93, issue 2, pages 203-218, June, DOI: 10.1111/saje.12393.
• Tom Doan, 2025, "BALCILARGUPTAMILLER_EE2015: RATS program to replicate Balcilar, Gupta, Miller(2015) Markov Switching VECM," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTZ00192, revised .
• Tom Doan, 2025, "MATHESON_STAVREV_EL2013: RATS programs to replicate Matheson-Stavrev(2013) non-linear state-space model," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTZ00216, revised .
• András Borsos & Adrian Carro & Aldo Glielmo & Marc Hinterschweiger & Jagoda Kaszowska-Mojsa & Arzu Uluc, 2025, "Agent-based modeling at central banks: recent developments and new challenges," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 1122, Feb.
• Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader & Mario Dotta, 2025, "Estimating Behavioral Inattention," Bank of Israel Working Papers, Bank of Israel, number 2025.09, Jul.
• Shunsuke Haba & Kimihiko Izawa & Yui Kishaba & Yusuke Takahashi & Shunichi Yoneyama, 2025, "Measuring Policy Effects since the Introduction of Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE): An Analysis Using the Macroeconomic Model Q-JEM," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 25-E-2, Feb.
• Ichiro Fukunaga & Yui Kishaba & Nao Shibata & Shunichi Yoneyama, 2025, "Uncertainty in the Formation of Inflation Expectations in Japan: An Analysis Using the Macroeconomic Model Q-JEM," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 25-E-3, Feb.
• Christian Bayer & Luis Calderon & Moritz Kuhn, 2025, "Distributional Dynamics," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany, number crctr224_2025_625, Jan.
• Dorfman Jeffrey H. & Li Wenying & Zhang Jingfang, 2025, "Forecasting Revisions to U.S. Jobs Report Data," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 25, issue 2, pages 825-845, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2024-0145.
• Bachmair, K. & Schmitz, N., 2025, "Forecasting Macro with Finance," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 2574, Nov.
• Hedvig Gal & Attila Juhasz, 2025, "Quantitative Tightening: Theory, Research, and Impact on Selected Emerging Market Economies," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 14, issue 1, pages 163-181.
• Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2025, "Dynamic Sparse Adaptive Learning," CERGE-EI Working Papers, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague, number wp797, Jun.
• MD Nazmul Ahsan & Jean-Marie Dufour & Gabriel Rodriguez, 2025, "Modèles de volatilité stochastique à haute dimension: applications à l’incertitude macroéconomique au Québec et au Canada," CIRANO Project Reports, CIRANO, number 2025rp-19, Sep.
• Etienne Briand & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2025, "Inflation, Attention and Expectations," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2025s-01, Jan.
• Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2025, "Panel Machine Learning with Mixed-Frequency Data: Monitoring State-Level Fiscal Variables," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2025s-15, May.
• Sona Benecka, 2025, "Forecasting Disaggregated Producer Prices: A Fusion of Machine Learning and Econometric Techniques," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2025/2, Mar.
• Frantisek Brazdik & Karel Musil & Tomas Pokorny & Tomas Sestorad & Jaromir Tonner & Jan Zacek, 2025, "Upgrading the Czech National Bank's Core Forecasting Model g3+," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2025/7, May.
• Michal Franta & Jan Vlcek, 2025, "Inflation at Risk: The Czech Case," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2025/8, May.
• Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2025, "Dynamic Sparse Adaptive Learning," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2025/9, Jun.
• Juan Jos√© Rinc√≥n Brice√±o, 2025, "Colombian economic activity nowcasting: addressing nonlinearities and high dimensionality through machine-learning," Documentos CEDE, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE, number 21388, Jun.
• Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2025, "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," LIDAM Reprints CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 3331, Jan, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2.
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