Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2015

• Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015, "Forecasting with Instabilities: an Application to DSGE Models with Financial Frictions," Working Papers, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 201523, Oct.
• Robert B. Barsky & Susanto Basu & Keyoung Lee, 2015, "Whither News Shocks?," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, volume 29, issue 1, pages 225-264, DOI: 10.1086/680625.
• Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2015, "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, volume 29, issue 1, pages 289-344, DOI: 10.1086/680629.
• Tae-Hwy Lee & Yiyao Wang, 2015, "Finding SPF Percentiles Closest to Greenbook," Working Papers, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, number 201503, Feb.
• Francis W. Ahking, 2015, "Measuring U.S. Business Cycles: A Comparison of Two Methods and Two Indicators of Economic Activities (With Appendix A)," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2015-06, Apr.
• Sergiy Nikolaychuk & Yurii Sholomytskyi, 2015, "Using Macroeconomic Models for Monetary Policy in Ukraine," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 233, pages 54-64, DOI: 10.26531/vnbu2015.233.054.
• Pavol Majher, 2015, "Firm entry and exit, investment irreversibility, and business cycle dynamics," Vienna Economics Papers, University of Vienna, Department of Economics, number vie1513, Oct.
• Šindelář Jiří, 2015, "The accuracy of alternative GDP growth forecasts: Do they represent a credible alternative to the official ones?," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, volume 15, issue 3, pages 291-304, September, DOI: 10.1515/revecp-2015-0021.
• Stephane Dees, 2015, "Credit, Asset Prices and Business Cycles at the Global Level," ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association, number ersa15p1517, Oct.
• Maik H. Wolters, 2015, "Evaluating Point and Density Forecasts of DSGE Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 30, issue 1, pages 74-96, January.
• Jens Boysen‐Hogrefe, 2015, "Monetary Aggregates to Improve Early Output Gap Estimates in the Euro Area: An Empirical Assessment," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 34, issue 7, pages 533-542, November.
• Carlos Madeira & Basit Zafar, 2015, "Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations and Learning," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 47, issue 5, pages 867-896, August, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12230.
• Bill Dorval & Gregor W. Smith, 2015, "Interwar Inflation, Unexpected Inflation, and Output Growth," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 47, issue 8, pages 1599-1615, December, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12285.
• Raphael A. Auer, 2015, "Exchange Rate Pass‐Through, Domestic Competition, and Inflation: Evidence from the 2005–08 Revaluation of the Renminbi," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 47, issue 8, pages 1617-1650, December, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12286.
• Helene Maisonnave & Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwé & Ramos Mabugu & Véronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas Van der Berg & Dieter Von Fintel, 2015, "The Impact of the International Economic Crisis on Child Poverty in South Africa," Poverty & Public Policy, John Wiley & Sons, volume 7, issue 2, pages 176-199, June, DOI: 10.1002/pop4.100.
• Petar Sorić & Ivana Lolić & Mirjana Čižmešija, 2015, "European economic sentiment indicator: An empirical reappraisal," EFZG Working Papers Series, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, number 1505, Aug.
• Kholodilin, Konstantin & Kolmer, Christian & Thomas, Tobias & Ulbricht, Dirk, 2015, "Asymmetric perceptions of the economy: Media, firms, consumers, and experts," DICE Discussion Papers, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE), number 188.
• de Grauwe, Paul & Gerba, Eddie, 2015, "Stock market cycles and supply side dynamics," FinMaP-Working Papers, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents, number 45.
• Proietti, Tommaso & Marczak, Martyna & Mazzi, Gianluigi, 2015, "EuroMInd-D: A density estimate of monthly gross domestic product for the euro area," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, number 03-2015.
• Bialowolski, Piotr & Kuszewski, Tomasz & Witkowski, Bartosz, 2015, "Bayesian averaging vs. dynamic factor models for forecasting economic aggregates with tendency survey data," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2015-28.
• Bialowolski, Piotr & Kuszewski, Tomasz & Witkowski, Bartosz, 2015, "Bayesian averaging vs. dynamic factor models for forecasting economic aggregates with tendency survey data," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 9, pages 1-37, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2015-.
• Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2015, "Model pooling and changes in the informational content of predictors: An empirical investigation for the euro area," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1982.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2015, "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Konjunktur kommt langsam wieder in Schwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 3, issue 1, pages 5-43.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2015, "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2014 bis 2019," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 3, issue 1, pages 44-48.
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Schmalzbauer, Andreas & Zeddies, Götz, 2015, "Zur Wirtschaftspolitik: Investitionen fördern - aber nicht allein mit mehr öffentlichen Mitteln!," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 3, issue 1, pages 49-61.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Henn, 2015, "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Konjunktur: Starkes Winterhalbjahr und weiter robuste Dynamik," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 3, issue 2, pages 75-95.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2015, "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Konjunktur: Aufschwung setzt sich fort," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 3, issue 3, pages 100-108.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Jan-Brigitte & Scherer, Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2015, "Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland bleibt verhalten," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 3, issue 4, pages 155-179.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2015, "Robuste Binnenkonjunktur kompensiert schwächere Exportdynamik," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 3, issue 5, pages 184-223.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2015, "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2015 bis 2020," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 3, issue 5, pages 224-228.
• Döhrn, Roland & an de Meulen, Philipp, 2015, "Weather, the Forgotten Factor in Business Cycle Analyses," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 539, DOI: 10.4419/86788617.
• Kim, Dongkoo & Rhee, Tae-hwan & Ryu, Keunkwan & Shin, Changmock, 2015, "Crowdsourcing of Economic Forecast – Combination of Forecasts Using Bayesian Model Averaging," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 546, DOI: 10.4419/86788624.
• Kitlinski, Tobias, 2015, "With or without you: Do financial data help to forecast industrial production?," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 558, DOI: 10.4419/86788639.
• Kitlinski, Tobias & an de Meulen, Philipp, 2015, "The role of targeted predictors for nowcasting GDP with bridge models: Application to the Euro area," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 559, DOI: 10.4419/86788640.
• Weder, Mark & Pavlov, Oscar, 2015, "Product Scope and Endogenous Fluctuations," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 112942.
• Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber, Florian, 2015, "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Multivariate Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 112999.
• Pirschel, Inske, 2015, "Forecasting Euro Area Recessions in real-time with a mixed-frequency Bayesian VAR," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 113031.
• Reitz, Stefan & Pierdzioch, Christian & Rülke, Jan-Christoph, 2015, "Nonlinear Expectation Formation in the U.S. Stock Market," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 113210.

2014

• Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2014, "Term Structure Of Inflation Forecast Uncertainties And Skew Normal Distributions," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 14/01, Jan.
• Mohammad Reza Farzanegan & Mozhgan Raeisian Parvari, 2014, "Iranian-Oil-Free Zone and International Oil Prices," MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung), number 201427.
• Atrianfar, Hamed & ,, 2014, "Evaluation of the Performance of Combined Methods in Real-Time Forecasting of Inflation in Iran," Journal of Monetary and Banking Research (فصلنامه پژوهش‌های پولی-بانکی), Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, volume 6, issue 18, pages 23-57, March.
• Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2014, "Estimating a DSGE model with Limited Asset Market Participation for the Euro Area," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 286, Nov, revised Nov 2014.
• Orsolya Csortos & Zoltán Szalai, 2014, "Early warning indicators: financial and macroeconomic imbalances in Central and Eastern European countries," MNB Working Papers, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), number 2014/2.
• Claudio Borio, 2014, "Macroprudential Policy and the Financial Cycle: Some Stylized Facts and Policy Suggestions," MIT Press Book Chapters, The MIT Press, chapter 6, "What Have We Learned? Macroeconomic Policy After the Crisis".
• National Bank of Belgium, 2014, "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2014," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-28, December.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2014, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2014," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 07-27, June.
• Ch. Piette & G. Langenus, 2014, "Using BREL to nowcast the Belgian business cycle: the role of survey data," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 75-98, June.
• David de Antonio Liedo, 2014, "Nowcasting Belgium," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 256, Apr.
• Marcin Kolasa & Michał Rubaszek, 2014, "How frequently should we re-estimate DSGE models?," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 194.
• Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2014, "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29".
• Robert B. Barsky & Susanto Basu & Keyoung Lee, 2014, "Whither News Shocks?," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29".
• Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014, "Betting the House," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2014".
• Marco Del Negro & Marc P. Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2014, "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20055, Apr.
• Oliver D. Bunn & Robert J. Shiller, 2014, "Changing Times, Changing Values: A Historical Analysis of Sectors within the US Stock Market 1872-2013," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20370, Aug.
• Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014, "The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20501, Sep.
• Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014, "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20575, Oct.
• Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2014, "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Re-examination," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20611, Oct.
• Robert B. Barsky & Susanto Basu & Keyoung Lee, 2014, "Whither News Shocks?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20666, Nov.
• Òscar Jordà & Moritz HP. Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2014, "Betting the House," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 20771, Dec.
• Mark Setterfield & Shyam Gouri Suresh, 2014, "Multi-Agent Systems as a Tool for Analyzing Path-Dependent Macrodynamics," Working Papers, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics, number 1405, Dec.
• Nigel Pain & Christine Lewis & Thai-Thanh Dang & Yosuke Jin & Pete Richardson, 2014, "OECD Forecasts During and After the Financial Crisis: A Post Mortem," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1107, Mar, DOI: 10.1787/5jz73l1qw1s1-en.
• Thomas Chalaux & Cyrille Schwellnus, 2014, "Short-term Indicator Models for Quarterly GDP Growth in the BRIICS: A Small-scale Bridge Model Approach," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1109, Mar, DOI: 10.1787/5jz5t6b77rg4-en.
• Christine Lewis & Nigel Pain, 2014, "Lessons from OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, volume 2014, issue 1, pages 9-39, DOI: 10.1787/eco_studies-2014-5jxrcm2glc.
• Matthieu Cornec, 2014, "Constructing a conditional GDP fan chart with an application to French business survey data," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2013, issue 2, pages 109-127, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2013-5jz417xzw931.
• Marie Bessec & Catherine Doz, 2014, "Short-term forecasting of French GDP growth using dynamic factor models," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2013, issue 2, pages 11-50, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2013-5jz742l0pt8s.
• Sumru Altug & Erhan Uluceviz, 2013, "Identifying leading indicators of real activity and inflation for Turkey, 1988-2010: A pseudo out-of-sample forecasting approach," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2014, issue 1, pages 1-37, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2013-5k4221j86n8v.
• Tomáš Slacík & Katharina Steiner & Julia Wörz, 2014, "Can Trade Partners Help Better FORCEE the Future? Impact of Trade Linkages on Economic Growth Forecasts in Selected CESEE Countries," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 36-56.
• Yazid Dissou & Lilia Karnizova, 2014, "Comovement of oil prices with US economic indicators over the business cycle: facts and explanations," Working Papers, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics, number E1401E.
• Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014, "Regional economic forecasting: state-of-the-art methodology and future challenges," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, volume 3, issue 4, pages 218-231.
• Duda-Daianu Dana-Codruta & Piroi Marioara, 2014, "Consideration regarding the Improvement of the Financial Crisis Forecasting Models for Enterprises in Emerging Countries," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 1, pages 296-301, May.
• Marco Del Negro & Raiden B. Hasegawa & Frank Schorfheide, 2014, "Dynamic Prediction Pools: An Investigation of Financial Frictions and Forecasting Performance," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 14-034, Oct.
• Papanek, Gábor & Petz, Raymund, 2014, "How Reliable are Hungarian Macroeconomic Forecasts?," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, volume 59, issue 1, pages 65-85.
• Arora, Vipin, 2014, "Estimates of the Price Elasticities of Natural Gas Supply and Demand in the United States," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 54232, Mar.
• Franco, Ray John Gabriel & Mapa, Dennis S., 2014, "The Dynamics of Inflation and GDP Growth: A Mixed Frequency Model Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 55858.
• Yu, Eric Jinsan, 2014, "Predictive Power of Aggregate Short Interest," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 56259, May.
• Cebula, Richard, 2014, "An Investigation into the Impact of Federal Government Budget Deficits on the Ex Ante Real Interest Rate Yield on Treasury Notes in the U.S," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 57317, Jul.
• Medel, Carlos A., 2014, "Probabilidad Clásica de Sobreajuste con Criterios de Información: Estimaciones con Series Macroeconómicas Chilenas
  [Classical Probability of Overfitting with Information Criteria: Estimations with Chilean Macroeconomic Series]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 57401, Jul.
• Sen Gupta, Abhijit & Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Rao, Narhari, 2014, "Understanding Food Inflation in India," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 58319, May.
• Hännikäinen, Jari, 2014, "The mortgage spread as a predictor of real-time economic activity," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 58360, Sep.
• Ardakani, Omid & Kishor, N. Kundan, 2014, "Examining the Success of the Central Banks in Inflation Targeting Countries: The Dynamics of Inflation Gap and the Institutional Characteristics," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 58402, Sep.
• Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya A., 2014, "Structural Stability of the Generalized Taylor Rule," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 58737.
• Augustyniak, Hanna & Łaszek, Jacek & Olszewski, Krzysztof & Waszczuk, Joanna, 2014, "Housing market cycles – a disequilibrium model and its application to the primary housing market in Warsaw," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59018.
• Guérin, Pierre & Leiva-Leon, Danilo, 2014, "Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models: Predicting National Recessions with Regional Data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59361, Oct.
• Gatt, William, 2014, "Communicating uncertainty - a fan chart for HICP projections," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59603, Sep.
• Augustyniak, Hanna & Leszczyński, Robert & Łaszek, Jacek & Olszewski, Krzysztof & Waszczuk, Joanna, 2014, "On the dynamics of the primary housing market and the forecasting of house prices," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 61015, Dec.
• Lahcen, Mohammed Ait, 2014, "DSGE models for developing economies: an application to Morocco," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 63404, Aug.
• Ovalle, Raul & Ramírez, Francisco A., 2014, "Reglas versus Discreción en la Política Fiscal: Introducción al caso Dominicano
  [Rules vs Discretion in Fiscal Policy: An Introduction to the Case of the Dominican Republic]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 68332, Sep.
• Huseynov, Salman & Ahmadov, Vugar, 2014, "Azərbaycan üzrə DSÜT modeli: qiymətləndirmə və proqnozlaşdırma
  [A DSGE model for Azerbaijan: estimation and forecasting]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 78123, Aug.
• Mansur, Alfan, 2014, "The Impacts of the United States Fiscal Deficit Reduction to the World Economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 93967, Sep, revised 20 Sep 2014.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2014, "Regime Switching Model of US Crude Oil and Stock Market Prices: 1859 to 2013," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201429, Jun.
• Paresh K. Narayan & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "Has Oil Pirce Predicted Stock Returns for Over a Century?," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201446, Aug.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "Inflation Forecasts and Forecaster Herding: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201455, Oct.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Charl Jooste, 2014, "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Forecasting US Inflation Using a VARFIMA Model," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201460, Oct.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "On the Directional Accuracy of Inflation Forecasts: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201463, Oct.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "Forecasting the South African Inflation Rate: On Asymmetric Loss and Forecast Rationality," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201475, Nov.
• Daniela Milučká, 2014, "Inflation dynamics in the Czech Republic: Estimation of the New Keynesian Phillips curve," International Journal of Economic Sciences, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2014, issue 2, pages 53-70.
• Emília Jakubíková & Andrea Tkáčová & Anna Bánociová, 2014, "Kompozitné predstihové indikátory hospodárskych cyklov krajín V4 a ich komparácia s CLI Eurostatu a OECD
  [Composite Leading Indicators of Economic Cycles of V4 Countries and their Comparison to the CLI of the Eurostat and the OECD]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2014, issue 2, pages 194-215, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.946.
• Helena Chytilová & Zdeněk Chytil, 2014, "Ekonomické vzdělání a peněžní iluze, experimentální přístup
  [Economic Education and Money Illusion: An Experimental Approach]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2014, issue 4, pages 500-520, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.966.
• Cláudia Duarte, 2014, "Autoregressive augmentation of MIDAS regressions," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201401.
• Diana María Morán Chiquito, 2014, "Determinantes de la inflación en Ecuador Un análisis econométrico utilizando modelos VAR," Economia y Sociedad., Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolas de Hidalgo, Facultad de Economia, issue 31, pages 53-70, Julio-Dic.
• Winkelried, Diego, 2014, "Inferring inflation expectations from fixed-event forecasts," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2014-016, Dec.
• Michael K. Johnston & Robert G. King & Denny Lie, 2014, "Straightforward approximate stochastic equilibria for nonlinear Rational Expectations models," Working Papers, South African Reserve Bank, number 6457, Oct.
• Stephen McKnight & Alexander Mihailov & Kerry Patterson & Fabio Rumler, 2014, "The Predictive Performance of Fundamental Inflation Concepts: An Application to the Euro Area and the United States," Economics Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Reading, number em-dp2014-03, May.
• Marc Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide & Marco Del Negro, 2014, "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models," 2014 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 506.
• Stefano Eusepi & Richard Crump & Emanuel Moench & Philippe Andrade, 2014, "Noisy Information and Fundamental Disagreement," 2014 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 797.
• Nebiye, Sinem & Yamak, Nebiye, 2014, "Demand for International Reserves in Turkey," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, volume 17, issue 52, pages 63-76, June.
• Joshua C.C. Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014, "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 40_14, Nov.
• Eric Eisenstat & Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney Strachan, 2014, "Stochastic Model Specification Search for Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 44_14, Dec.
• Benno Ferrarini, 2014, "Asian Development Outlook Forecast Skill," ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank, number 386, Feb.
• David Roland-Holst & Guntur Sugiyarto, 2014, "Growth Horizons for a Changing Asian Regional Economy," ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank, number 392, Mar.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2014, "Bayesian Forecasts Combination To Improve The Romanian Inflation Predictions Based On Econometric Models," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, volume 5, issue 2, pages 131-140.
• Ferdi Botha & Gavin Keeton, 2014, "A Note on the (continued) Ability of the Yield Curve to Forecast Economic Downturns in South Africa," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, number 449, Aug.
• Robert Pater, 2014, "Are there two types of business cycles? a note on crisis detection," "e-Finanse", University of Information Technology and Management, Institute of Financial Research and Analysis, volume 10, issue 3, pages 1-28, December.
• Shashanka Bhide & Purna Chandra Parida, 2014, "Macroeconomic Modelling of Emerging Scenarios for India’s Twelfth Five-Year Plan," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, volume 8, issue 4, pages 495-565, November, DOI: 10.1177/0973801014544576.
• Randolph Luca Bruno & Elodie Douarin & Julia Korosteleva & Slavo Radosevic, 2014, "Technology choices and growth: testing and expanding the propositions of new structural economics in transition economies," UCL SSEES Economics and Business working paper series, UCL School of Slavonic and East European Studies (SSEES), number 127, May, revised Oct 2014.
• Svetlana Makarova, 2014, "Risk and Uncertainty: Macroeconomic Perspective," UCL SSEES Economics and Business working paper series, UCL School of Slavonic and East European Studies (SSEES), number 129, Sep.
• Salvatore Morelli, 2014, "Banking Crises in the US: the Response of Top Income Shares in a Historical Perspective," CSEF Working Papers, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy, number 359, Apr.
• Emilie Jasova, 2014, "A Model for Estimation of NAIRU Extended by Demand Shocks and its Application to Business Cycle Analysis in the Labour Market in Hungary and Poland," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 0401788, Jul.
• Ricardo Marto, 2014, "Assessing the Impacts of Non-Ricardian Households in an Estimated New Keynesian DSGE Model," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), volume 150, issue IV, pages 353-398, December.
• Gregor Bäurle & Daniel Kaufmann, 2014, "Exchange rate and price dynamics in a small open economy - the role of the zero lower bound and monetary policy regimes," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2014-10.
• Hercules E. Haralambides & Helen Thanopoulou, 2014, "The Economic Crisis of 2008 and World Shipping: Unheeded Warnings," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, volume 64, issue 2, pages 5-13, April-Jun.
• P. Schanbacher, 2014, "Measuring and adjusting for overconfidence," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, volume 37, issue 2, pages 423-452, October, DOI: 10.1007/s10203-013-0153-y.
• Wojciech W. Charemza & Yuriy Kharin & Vladislav Maevskiy, 2014, "Bilinear Forecast Risk Assessment for Non-systematic Inflation: Theory and Evidence," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, Springer, in: Frauke Schleer-van Gellecom, "Advances in Non-linear Economic Modeling", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-42039-9_6.
• Giovanni De Luca & Alfonso Carfora, 2014, "Predicting U.S. recessions through a combination of probability forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 46, issue 1, pages 127-144, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-012-0671-4.
• Steven Cassou & Jesús Vázquez, 2014, "Employment comovements at the sectoral level over the business cycle," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 46, issue 4, pages 1301-1323, June, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0720-7.
• Henning Fischer & Marta García-Bárzana & Peter Tillmann & Peter Winker, 2014, "Evaluating FOMC forecast ranges: an interval data approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 47, issue 1, pages 365-388, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0736-z.
• E. Mamatzakis, 2014, "Revealing asymmetries in the loss function of WTI oil futures market," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 47, issue 2, pages 411-426, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0764-8.
• Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Elisabeth Wieland, 2014, "Inflation uncertainty revisited: a proposal for robust measurement," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 47, issue 4, pages 1497-1523, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-013-0789-z.
• Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2014, "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," Review of Regional Research: Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaft, Springer;Gesellschaft für Regionalforschung (GfR), volume 34, issue 1, pages 61-90, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10037-013-0083-8.
• Hamid Baghestani, 2014, "On the loss structure of federal reserve forecasts of output growth," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, volume 38, issue 3, pages 518-527, July, DOI: 10.1007/s12197-012-9230-2.
• Ping Chen, 2014, "Metabolic growth theory: market-share competition, learning uncertainty, and technology wavelets," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 24, issue 2, pages 239-262, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-014-0341-0.
• Valentina Raponi & Cecilia Frale, 2014, "Revisions in official data and forecasting," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, volume 23, issue 3, pages 451-472, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10260-014-0262-y.
• Roland Döhrn, 2014, "Weshalb konjunkturprognostiker regelmäßig den wetterbericht studieren sollten," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 94, issue 7, pages 487-491, July, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-014-1701-y.
• Joshua C C Chan & Eric Eisenstat & Gary Koop, 2014, "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 1409, Sep.
• Yuelin Liu, 2014, "How Structural Is Unemployment in the United States?," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2014-42, Dec.
• Johnston, Michael K. & King, Robert G. & Lie, Denny, 2014, "Straightforward approximate stochastic equilibria for nonlinear Rational Expectations models," Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics, number 2014-09, Aug.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "Inflation Forecasts and Forecaster Herding: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 21/2014.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "On the Directional Accuracy of Inflation Forecasts: Evidence from South African Survey Data," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 24/2014.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2014, "Forecasting the South African Inflation Rate: On Asymmetric Loss and Forecast Rationality," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 26/2014.
• Raphael A Auer, 2014, "Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Domestic Competition, and Infl?ation: Evidence from the 2005/08 Revaluation of the Renminbi," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee, number 15.01, Dec.
• Markus Haavio & Caterina Mendicino & Maria Teresa Punzi, 2014, "Financial and economic downturns in OECD countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 21, issue 6, pages 407-412, April, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.864025.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2014, "Nowcasting GDP in Real Time: A Density Combination Approach," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 32, issue 1, pages 48-68, January, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2013.844155.
• Lucia Alessi & Eric Ghysels & Luca Onorante & Richard Peach & Simon Potter, 2014, "Central Bank Macroeconomic Forecasting During the Global Financial Crisis: The European Central Bank and Federal Reserve Bank of New York Experiences," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 32, issue 4, pages 483-500, October, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2014.959124.
• Jari Hännikäinen, 2014, "The mortgage spread as a predictor of real-time economic activity," Working Papers, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics, number 1496, Sep.
• Selen Baser Andic & Hande Kucuk & Fethi Ogunc, 2014, "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey : In Pursuit of a Domestic Cost Measure," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1420.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2014, "Directional accuracy for inflation and unemployment rate predictions in Romania," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, volume 7, issue 2, pages 129-138, September.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2014, "Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 14-152/III, Dec.
• Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B., 2014, "Experimental evidence on inflation expectation formation," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number f337739d-e15a-4461-a461-8.
• Iikka Korhonen & Maria Ritola, 2014, "An Empirical Note on the Success of Forecasting Economic Developments in Major Emerging Markets," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, volume 13, issue 1, pages 131-154, Winter.
• John Clark, 2014, "Capital gains tax: historical trends and forecasting frameworks," Economic Roundup, The Treasury, Australian Government, issue 2, pages 35-51, July.
• Jared Bullen & Michael Kouparitsas & Michal Krolikowski, 2014, "Long run forecasts of Australia’s terms of trade," Treasury Working Papers, The Treasury, Australian Government, number 2014-01, May, revised May 2014.
• Tae-Hwy Lee & Yiyao Wang, 2014, "Asymmetric Loss in the Greenbook and the Survey of Professional Forecasters," Working Papers, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, number 201407, Sep.
• Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2014, "Regime Switching Model of US Crude Oil and Stock Market Prices: 1859 to 2013," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2014-26, Sep.
• Stefano Grassi & Tommaso Proietti & Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2014, "EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro," Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent, number 1406, May.
• Robert Kollmann, 2014, "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation and Pruning," ULB Institutional Repository, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2013/250061.
• Pablo Galaso & Sandra Rodriguez, 2014, "A composite leading cycle indicator for Uruguay," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers), Instituto de Economía - IECON, number 14-09, Sep.
• Roberto Casarin & Komla Mawulom Agudze & Monica Billio & Eric Girardin, 2014, "Growth-cycle phases in China�s provinces: A panel Markov-switching approach," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2014:19.
• Cabanillas, Oscar Barriga & Lugo, Maria Ana & Nielsen, Hannah & Rodriguez-Castelan, Carlos & Zanetti, Maria Pia, 2014, "Is Uruguay more resilient this time? distributional impacts of a crisis similar to the 2001/02 Argentine crisis," Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank, number 6849, Apr.
• Marta Bańbura & Michele Modugno, 2014, "Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of Factor Models On Datasets With Arbitrary Pattern Of Missing Data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 1, pages 133-160, January, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2306.
• Nalan Baştürk & Cem Çakmakli & S. Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. Van Dijk, 2014, "Posterior‐Predictive Evidence On Us Inflation Using Extended New Keynesian Phillips Curve Models With Non‐Filtered Data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 7, pages 1164-1182, November, DOI: 10.1002/jae.2411.
• Michael P. Clements, 2014, "US Inflation Expectations and Heterogeneous Loss Functions, 1968–2010," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 1, pages 1-14, January.
• Miguel A.G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2014, "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time‐Varying Parameter Models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 1, pages 80-94, January.
• Klaus Wohlrabe & Teresa Buchen, 2014, "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area and Germany," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 33, issue 4, pages 231-242, July.
• Paul Hubert, 2014, "FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 46, issue 7, pages 1381-1420, October, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12142.
• Paloviita, Maritta & Virén, Matti, 2014, "Analysis of forecast errors in micro-level survey data," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 8/2014.
• Oinonen, Sami & Paloviita, Maritta, 2014, "Analysis of aggregated inflation expectations based on the ECB SPF survey," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 29/2014.
• Schumacher, Christian, 2014, "MIDAS and bridge equations," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 26/2014.
• Tillmann, Peter & Wolters, Maik H., 2014, "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2014-09.
• Kilian, Lutz & Vigfusson, Robert J., 2014, "The role of oil price shocks in causing U.S. recessions," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 460.
• Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2014, "Marginalized predictive likelihood comparisons of linear Gaussian state-space models with applications to DSGE, DSGEVAR, and VAR models," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 478.
• Schreiber, Sven, 2014, "Anticipating business-cycle turning points in real time using density forecasts from a VAR," Discussion Papers, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics, number 2014/2.
• Hughes Hallett, Andrew & Rannenberg, Ansgar & Schreiber, Sven, 2014, "New Keynesian versus old Keynesian government spending multipliers: A comment," Discussion Papers, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics, number 2014/6.
• Leppin, Julian Sebastian, 2014, "The relation between overreaction in forecasts and uncertainty: A nonlinear approachvon," HWWI Research Papers, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI), number 158.
• Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens, 2014, "Monetary aggregates to improve early output gap estimates in the euro area: An empirical assessment," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1908.
• Pirschel, Inske & Wolters, Maik H., 2014, "Forecasting German key macroeconomic variables using large dataset methods," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1925.
• Tillmann, Peter & Wolters, Maik H., 2014, "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: A quantile regression approach," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1951.
• Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Lindner, Axel, 2014, "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 4/2014.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Birgit & Schultz, Jan-Christopher & Zeddies, Götz, 2014, "Konjunktur aktuell: Binnenwirtschaft trägt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 2, issue 1, pages 3-35.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2014, "Der Koalitionsvertrag und die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland – mittelfristige Projektion für die Jahre 2013 bis 2018," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 2, issue 1, pages 36-40.
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Altemeyer-Bartscher, Martin & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Zeddies, Götz, 2014, "Zur Wirtschaftspolitik: Strukturreformen auch in Deutschland erforderlich," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 2, issue 1, pages 41-54.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Henn, 2014, "Konjunktur aktuell: Konjunktur in Deutschland gewinnt an Schwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 2, issue 2, pages 68-101.
• Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2014, "Mittelfristige Projektion der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung in den Jahren 2014 bis 2018," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 2, issue 2, pages 102-105.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2014, "Konjunktur aktuell: Binnennachfrage treibt Aufschwung in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 2, issue 3, pages 112-118.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & H, 2014, "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Konjunktur hat Schwung verloren," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 2, issue 4, pages 163-174.
• Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2014, "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose im Herbst 2014: Deutsche Wirtschaft stagniert – Jetzt Wachstumskräfte stärken (Kurzfassung)," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 20, issue 5, pages 80-81.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Birgit & Schultz, Jan-Christopher & Zeddies, Götz, 2014, "Binnenwirtschaft trägt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 20, issue 1, pages 3-4.
• Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2014, "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2014: Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufschwung – aber Gegenwind von der Wirtschaftspolitik (Kurzfassung)," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 20, issue 2, pages 24-25.
• Holtemöller, Oliver, 2014, "Glaskugel Prognose – Warum werden ökonomische Prognosen nicht besser?," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 20, issue 2, pages 26-29.
• Schumacher, Christian, 2014, "MIDAS regressions with time-varying parameters: An application to corporate bond spreads and GDP in the Euro area," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 100289.