Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2014

• Jonas Dovern & Mr. Ulrich Fritsche & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa, 2014, "Information Rigidities: Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2014/031, Feb.
• Mr. Aleš Bulíř & Jaromír Hurník & Ms. Katerina Smídková, 2014, "Inflation Reports and Models: How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2014/091, May.
• Mr. Troy D Matheson & Mr. Emil Stavrev, 2014, "News and Monetary Shocks at a High Frequency: A Simple Approach," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2014/167, Sep.
• Shawkat Hammoudeh & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2014, "China’s Monetary Policy and Commodity Prices," Working Papers, Department of Research, Ipag Business School, number 2014-298, Jan.
• Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2014, "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Senti-ments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers, Department of Research, Ipag Business School, number 2014-436, Jan.
• Shawkat Hammoudeh & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2014, "US Monetary Policy and Commodity Sector Prices," Working Papers, Department of Research, Ipag Business School, number 2014-438, Jan.
• Kathleen Dorsainvil, 2014, "Business cycles in the Haitian economy," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, volume 48, issue 3, pages 65-75, July-Sept.
• Mihaela Simionescu, 2014, "A Comparative Analysis Of Real And Predicted Inflation Convergence In Cee Countries During The Economic Crisis," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, volume 6, issue 2, pages 142-155, July.
• Stéphane Dées & Jochen Güntner, 2014, "Analysing and forecasting price dynamics across euro area countries and sectors: A panel VAR approach," Economics working papers, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria, number 2014-10, Sep.
• Björn Roye, 2014, "Financial stress and economic activity in Germany," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 41, issue 1, pages 101-126, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-013-9224-0.
• Piotr Białowolski & Tomasz Kuszewski & Bartosz Witkowski, 2014, "Bayesian averaging of classical estimates in forecasting macroeconomic indicators with application of business survey data," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 41, issue 1, pages 53-68, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-013-9227-x.
• Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2014, "Inflation and output growth uncertainty in individual survey expectations," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 41, issue 1, pages 69-81, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-013-9225-z.
• Sumru Altug & Cem Cakmakli, 2014, "Inflation Targeting and Inflation Expectations: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 1413, Apr.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwi, 2014, "Robustes Wirtschaftswachstum," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 8, issue 1, pages 1-76, March, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Michael Graff & Klaus Abberger & Boriss Siliverstovs & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2014, "Das neue KOF Konjunkturbarometer – Version 2014," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 8, issue 1, pages 91-106, March, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwi, 2014, "Stabiles Wachstum in einem sich verbessernden konjunkturellen Umfeld," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 8, issue 2, pages 1-33, June, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwi, 2014, "Warten auf den Aufschwung," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 8, issue 3, pages 1-106, October, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwi, 2014, "Schweizer Wirtschaft auf Kurs – dank internationalem Rückenwind," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 8, issue 4, pages 1-31, December, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Michael Graff & Boriss Siliverstovs & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2014, "The KOF Economic Barometer, Version 2014," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 14-353, Jan, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010102658.
• Michele Bernardi & Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2014, "A Note on the Representative Adaptive Learning Algorithm," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 14-356, Apr, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010131559.
• Jaqueson K. Galimberti & Marcelo L. Moura, 2014, "Improving the reliability of real-time Hodrick-Prescott Filtering using survey forecasts," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 14-360, Jul, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010185424.
• Atsushi Sekine & Takayuki Tsuruga, 2014, "Effects of Commodity Price Shocks on Inflation: A Cross Country Analysis," Discussion papers, Graduate School of Economics Project Center, Kyoto University, number e-13-006, Mar.

2013

• Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013, "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2013-09, Aug.
• Charlotte Christiansen & Jonas Nygaard Eriksen & Stig V. Møller, 2013, "Forecasting US Recessions: The Role of Sentiments," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2013-14, 04.
• Johannes Tang Kristensen, 2013, "Diffusion Indexes with Sparse Loadings," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2013-22, Mar.
• R?diger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2013, "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 5, issue 2, pages 217-249, April.
• Serena Ng & Jonathan H. Wright, 2013, "Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, volume 51, issue 4, pages 1120-1154, December.
• Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2013, "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, volume 45, issue 01, pages 1-13, February, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.143639.
• Dorval, Bill & Smith, Gregor W., 2013, "Interwar Inflation, Unexpected Inflation, and Output Growth," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers, Queen's University - Department of Economics, number 274635, Oct, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.274635.
• Nason, Jason M. & Smith, Gregor W., 2013, "Measuring the Slowly Evolving Trend in US Inflation with Professional Forecasts," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers, Queen's University - Department of Economics, number 274641, Oct, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.274641.
• Fabia A. de Carvalho, 2013, "A brief analysis of aggregate measures as an alternative to the median at Central Bank of Brazil's Survey of Professional Forecasts," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], volume 14, issue 2, pages 11-26.
• Olivier Armantier & Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Simon Potter & Giorgio Topa & Wilbert van der Klaauw & Basit Zafar, 2013, "Measuring Inflation Expectations," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, volume 5, issue 1, pages 273-301, May.
• Yuri Biondi & Simone Righi, 2013, "What does the financial market pricing do? A simulation analysis with a view to systemic volatility, exuberance and vagary," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1312.7460, Dec.
• Huseyin Kaya, 2013, "On the Predictive Power of Yield Spread for Future Growth and Recession: The Turkish Case," Working Papers, Bahcesehir University, Betam, number 010, Mar, revised Mar 2013.
• Monica Jain, 2013, "Perceived Inflation Persistence," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 13-43, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2013-43.
• Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2013, "Tracking world trade and GDP in real time," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 920, Jul.
• Hernando Vargas Herrera & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013, "Foreign Exchange Intervention in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 757, Feb, DOI: 10.32468/be.757.
• Wilmer Martínez, 2013, "Metodología de perfiles coincidentes para determinar indicadores líderes y contemporáneos, estudio de caso," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 771, Jun, DOI: 10.32468/be.771.
• Paulo Mauricio Sánchez Beltrán & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2013, "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 775, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.775.
• Mónica Enciso Pulido & Andrés Acosta Hernández & Jacobo Campo Robledo, 2013, "Sistema de inferencia difuso para la inflación en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, volume 31, issue 71, pages 73-84, June, DOI: 10.1016/S0120-4483(13)70012-5.
• Paulo M. Sánchez & Luis Fernando Melo, 2013, "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, volume 31, issue 72, pages 74-82, December, DOI: 10.1016/S0120-4483(13)70006-X.
• Jacek Suda, 2013, "Belief shocks and the macroeconomy," Working papers, Banque de France, number 434.
• Frédérique Bec & Matteo Mogliani, 2013, "Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions: Information or Forecast Combinations?," Working papers, Banque de France, number 436.
• Philippe Andrade & Valère Fourel & Ghysels, E. & Idier, I., 2013, "The financial content of inflation risks in the euro area," Working papers, Banque de France, number 437.
• Hernando Vargas & Andrés González & Diego Rodríguez, 2013, "Foreign exchange intervention in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters, Bank for International Settlements, in: Bank for International Settlements, "Sovereign risk: a world without risk-free assets?".
• Hibiki Ichiue & Takushi Kurozumi & Takeki Sunakawa, 2013, "Inflation Dynamics And Labor Market Specifications: A Bayesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach For Japan'S Economy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 51, issue 1, pages 273-287, January, DOI: j.1465-7295.2011.00428.x.
• Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2013, "New Methods for Forecasting Inflation, Applied to the US," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 75, issue 5, pages 637-661, October.
• Efrem Castelnuovo, 2013, "What does a Monetary Policy Shock Do? An International Analysis with Multiple Filters," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 75, issue 5, pages 759-784, October.
• Franz Ruch & Dirk Bester, 2013, "Towards a Measure of Core Inflation using Singular Spectrum Analysis," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 81, issue 3, pages 307-329, September.
• Sergio Cerezo Aguirre & Juan Carlos Heredia Gómez, 2013, "La Encuesta de Expectativas Económicas del BCB: una evaluación de la información contenida y racionalidad para la inflación," Revista de Análisis del BCB, Banco Central de Bolivia, volume 19, issue 1, pages 103-130, July.
• Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013, "A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2013/06, Feb.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Gisle James Natvik & Sergio Sola, 2013, "Economic uncertainty and the effectiveness of monetary policy," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2013/17, Jul.
• Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013, "Interactions between eurozone and US booms and busts: A Bayesian panel Markov-switching VAR model," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2013/20, Aug.
• Abigail Haddow & Mariya Mileva, 2013, "Financial factors and the international transmission mechanism," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 479, Aug.
• Naoko Hara & Shotaro Yamane, 2013, "New Monthly Estimation Approach for Nowcasting GDP Growth: The Case of Japan," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 13-E-14, Oct.
• Ergun Ermis oglu & Yasin Akcelik & Arif Oduncu, 2013, "Nowcasting GDP growth with credit data: Evidence from an emerging market economy," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, volume 13, issue 4, pages 93-98, December.
• Brinca Pedro, 2013, "Monetary business cycle accounting for Sweden," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, volume 13, issue 1, pages 1085-1119, October, DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2013-0027.
• Chase Coleman & Kerk Phillips, 2013, "Can Uncorrelated Shocks Generate Aggregate Autocorrelation?: Business Cycle Persistence in a Model with Endogenous Growth and Fluctuations," BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory Working Paper Series, Brigham Young University, Department of Economics, BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory, number 2013-03, Aug.
• Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013, "Modeling and Simulation: An Overview," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 13/18, May.
• Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2013, "The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level - identification and testing for the UK in the 1970s," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2013/12, Nov.
• Teresa Buchen & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013, "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting - Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 4148.
• Tim Oliver Berg & Steffen Henzel, 2013, "Point and Density Forecasts for the Euro Area Using Many Predictors: Are Large BVARs Really Superior?," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 155.
• Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013, "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: Are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 171.
• Denis Beau & Christophe Cahn & Laurent Clerc & Benoît Mojon, 2013, "Macro-Prudential Policy and the Conduct of Monetary Policy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 715, Dec.
• John W. Galbraith & Greg Tkacz, 2013, "Nowcasting GDP: Electronic Payments, Data Vintages and the Timing of Data Releases," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2013s-25, Aug.
• Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013, "Probability and Severity of Recessions," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2013s-43, Nov.
• Ales Bulir & Jaromir Hurnik & Katerina Smidkova, 2013, "Inflation Reports and Models: How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2013/03, Jun.
• Mateo Clavijo, 2013, "Desaceleración económica e inflación de activos financieros en Colombia," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
• Hernando Vargas Herrera & Andr�s Gonz�lez & Diego Rodr�guez, 2013, "Foreign Exchange Intervention in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 10465, Feb.
• Wilmer Mart�nez, 2013, "Metodolog�a de perfiles coincidentes para determinar indicadores l�deres y contempor�neos, estudio de caso," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 10859, Jun.
• Paulo Mauricio S�nchez Beltr�n & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2013, "Combinaci�n de brechas del producto colombiano," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 10973, Jul.
• Jacobo Campo Robledo & M�nica Enciso Pulido & Andr�s Acosta Hern�ndez, 2013, "Sistema de inferencia difuso para la inflación en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 31, issue 71, pages 73-84, DOI: 10.1016/S0120-4483(13)70012-5.
• Paulo M. Sánchez & Luis Fernando Melo, 2013, "Combinación de brechas del producto colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 31, issue 72, pages 74-82, DOI: 10.1016/S0120-4483(13)70006-X.
• Wilman Arturo Gómez Munoz & John Fernando Lopera Sierra, 2013, "Modelo VECM para estimar relaciones de largo plazo de un indicador de liquidez y sus determinantes," Borradores Departamento de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, number 17491, Nov.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd, 2013, "Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9312, Jan.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Ferrara, Laurent & Mogliani, Matteo, 2013, "Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9313, Jan.
• Zha, Tao & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco & , & Foerster, Andrew, 2013, "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9464, May.
• Kollmann, Robert, 2013, "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9469, May.
• Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong & Fan, Jingwen, 2013, "The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level - identification and testing for the UK in the 1970s," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 9763, Nov.
• Frédérique Bec & Matteo Mogliani, 2013, "Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions : Information or Forecast Combinations ?," Working Papers, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics, number 2013-21, Dec.
• Mattia Guerini, 2013, "Is the Friedman Rule Stabilizing? Some Unpleasant Results in a Heterogeneous Expectations Framework," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE), number def003, Nov.
• Isengildina, Olga & Irwin, Scott H. & Good, Darrel L., 2013, "Do Big Crops Get Bigger and Small Crops Get Smaller? Further Evidence on Smoothing in U.S. Department of Agriculture Forecasts," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, volume 45, issue 1, pages 95-107, February.
• Dorothea Lucke, 2013, "Deutsche Industrie: durchwachsene Lage, positive Aussichten," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 80, issue 47, pages 16-25.
• Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli & Juan-Pablo Ortega, 2013, "Forecasting US growth during the Great Recession: Is the financial volatility the missing ingredient?," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2013-19.
• Robert Kollmann, 2013, "Estimating the State Vector of Linearized DSGE Models without the Kalman Filter," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number ECARES 2013-08, Jan.
• Matteo Luciani & Lorenzo Ricci, 2013, "Nowcasting Norway," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number ECARES 2013-10, Feb.
• Robert Kollmann, 2013, "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number ECARES 2013-24, May.
• Henry, Jérôme & Zimmermann, Maik & Leber, Miha & Kolb, Markus & Grodzicki, Maciej & Amzallag, Adrien & Vouldis, Angelos & Hałaj, Grzegorz & Pancaro, Cosimo & Gross, Marco & Baudino, Patrizia & Sydow, , 2013, "A macro stress testing framework for assessing systemic risks in the banking sector," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 152, Oct.
• Arratibel, Olga & Leiner-Killinger, Nadine & Kamps, Christophe, 2009, "Inflation forecasting in the new EU Member States," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1015, Feb.
• Hubrich, Kirstin & West, Kenneth D., 2009, "Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1030, Mar.
• Dées, Stéphane & Saint-Guilhem, Arthur, 2009, "The role of the United States in the global economy and its evolution over time," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1034, Mar.
• Detken, Carsten & Alessi, Lucia, 2009, "'Real time'early warning indicators for costly asset price boom/bust cycles: a role for global liquidity," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1039, Mar.
• Jakaitiene, Audrone & Dées, Stéphane, 2009, "Forecasting the world economy in the short-term," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1059, Jun.
• Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Roffia, Barbara & Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 2009, "Asset price misalignments and the role of money and credit," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1068, Jul.
• Dovern, Jonas & Fritsche, Ulrich & Slacalek, Jiri, 2009, "Disagreement among forecasters in G7 countries," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1082, Aug.
• Carboni, Giacomo & Ellison, Martin, 2009, "Inflation and output volatility under asymmetric incomplete information," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1092, Sep.
• Landau, Bettina & Skudelny, Frauke, 2009, "Pass-through of external shocks along the pricing chain: A panel estimation approach for the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1104, Nov.
• Fichtner, Ferdinand & Rüffer, Rasmus & Schnatz, Bernd, 2009, "Leading indicators in a globalised world," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1125, Dec.
• Ehrmann, Michael & Eijffinger, Sylvester & Fratzscher, Marcel, 2010, "The role of central bank transparency for guiding private sector forecasts," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1146, Jan.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Musso, Alberto, 2010, "Real time estimates of the euro area output gap: reliability and forecasting performance," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1157, Feb.
• Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2010, "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1167, Apr.
• Gelain, Paolo, 2010, "The external finance premium in the euro area A useful indicator for monetary policy?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1171, Apr.
• Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2010, "Forecasting with DSGE models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1185, May.
• Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2010, "Maximum likelihood estimation of factor models on data sets with arbitrary pattern of missing data," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1189, May.
• Fornari, Fabio & Lemke, Wolfgang, 2010, "Predicting recession probabilities with financial variables over multiple horizons," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1255, Oct.
• Gross, Marco, 2011, "Corporate bond spreads and real activity in the euro area - Least Angle Regression forecasting and the probability of the recession," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1286, Jan.
• Modugno, Michele, 2011, "Nowcasting inflation using high frequency data," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1324, Apr.
• Andersson, Magnus & D'Agostino, Antonello & de Bondt, Gabe & Roma, Moreno, 2011, "The predictive content of sectoral stock prices: a US-euro area comparison," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1343, May.
• Vetlov, Igor & Pisani, Massimiliano & Hlédik, Tibor & Jonsson, Magnus & Kucsera, Henrik, 2011, "Potential output in DSGE models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1351, Jun.
• Dieppe, Alistair & Ortega, Eva & D'Agostino, Antonello & Karlsson, Tohmas & Benkovskis, Konstantins & Caivano, Michele & Hurtado, Samuel & Várnai, Tímea, 2011, "Assessing the sensitivity of inflation to economic activity," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1357, Jun.
• Lombardi, Marco J. & Maier, Philipp, 2011, "Forecasting economic growth in the euro area during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1379, Sep.
• Mohr, Matthias & Maurin, Laurent & Guérin, Pierre, 2011, "Trend-cycle decomposition of output and euro area inflation forecasts: a real-time approach based on model combination," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1384, Oct.
• McAdam, Peter & Lombardo, Giovanni, 2012, "Financial market frictions in a model of the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1423, Feb.
• Lombardi, Marco J. & Godbout, Claudia, 2012, "Short-term forecasting of the Japanese economy using factor models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1428, Mar.
• Nicoletti, Giulio & Passaro, Raffaele, 2012, "Sometimes it helps: the evolving predictive power of spreads on GDP dynamics," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1447, Jul.
• Schnatz, Bernd & D'Agostino, Antonello, 2012, "Survey-based nowcasting of US growth: a real-time forecast comparison over more than 40 years," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1455, Aug.
• Badarinza, Cristian & Gross, Marco, 2012, "Information flows and disagreement," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1475, Sep.
• Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Roffia, Barbara & Lenarčič, Andreja, 2012, "An alternative method for identifying booms and busts in the euro area housing market," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1493, Nov.
• Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2012, "Prior selection for vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1494, Nov.
• Angelini, Elena & Dieppe, Alistair & Pierluigi, Beatrice, 2013, "Learning about wage and price mark-ups in euro area countries," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1512, Feb.
• Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2013, "Predictive likelihood comparisons with DSGE and DSGE-VAR models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1536, Apr.
• Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013, "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1564, Jul.
• Coenen, Günter & Warne, Anders, 2013, "Risks to price stability, the zero lower bound and forward guidance: a real-time assessment," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1582, Aug.
• Aydan Kansu & Nurtac Yildirim & Oguzhan Ozcelebi, 2013, "Is There a Link Between Monetary Policy and Risk Perception in Eastern European Countries Implementing Inflation Targeting Regime?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, volume 3, issue 2, pages 476-485.
• Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop, 2013, "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time- Varying Parameter Regression Models," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2013-34.
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