Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2018

• purba, martin, 2018, "Analisis Pasar Uang Pada Model Mundell-Fleming Pada Perekonomian Indonesia (Tahun 2010-2017)
  [Money Market Analysis on the Mundell-Fleming Model in the Indonesian Economy (2010-2017)]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 97409.
• Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2018, "Is There a Role for Uncertainty in Forecasting Output Growth in OECD Countries? Evidence from a Time Varying Parameter-Panel Vector Autoregressive Model," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201823, Mar.
• Sergey Ivashchenko & Semih Emre Çekin & Kevin Kotzé & Rangan Gupta, 2018, "Forecasting with Second-Order Approximations and Markov Switching DSGE Models," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201862, Sep.
• Mundaca, Fernando & Sánchez, Elmer, 2018, "Índice de precios de inmuebles: Un enfoque hedónico," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 36, pages 55-74.
• Mundaca, Fernando & Sánchez, Elmer, 2018, "Índice de Precios de Inmuebles: Un Enfoque Hedónico," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2018-006, Nov.
• Michael P. Clements, 2018, "Assessing Macro-Forecaster Herding: Modelling versus Testing," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, Henley Business School, University of Reading, number icma-dp2018-01, Jul.
• Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Francesco Zanetti & Yang Yu, 2018, "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations and Fiscal Policy," 2018 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 386.
• Kaitila, Ville & Kauhanen, Antti & Kuusi, Tero & Lehmus, Markku & Maliranta, Mika & Vihriälä, Vesa, 2018, "Finland’s Growth Performance – The Lost Decade and the Prospects in the Near Term," ETLA Reports, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy, number 87, Nov.
• Sabbah Gueddoudj, 2018, "Financial Variables as Predictive Indicators of the Luxembourg GDP Growth," Empirical Economic Review, Department of Economics and Statistics, Dr Hassan Murad School of Management, University of Management and Technology, Lahore, volume 1, issue 2, pages 49-62.
• Iñaki Aldasoro & Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann, 2018, "Early warning indicators of banking crises: expanding the family," Journal of Financial Transformation, Capco Institute, volume 48, pages 142-155.
• Rizwan Raheem AHMED & Saghir Pervaiz GHAURI & Jolita VVEINHARDT & Dalia STREIMIKIENE, 2018, "An Empirical Analysis of Export, Import, and Inflation: A Case of Pakistan," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 3, pages 117-130, September.
• Tzu-Pu CHANG, Ray Yeutien CHOU & Ray Yeutien CHOU, 2018, "Anchoring Effect on Macroeconomic Forecasts : A Heterogeneity Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 4, pages 134-147, December.
• Arno Hantzsche & Marta Lopresto & Garry Young, 2018, "Using NiGEM in Uncertain Times: Introduction and Overview of NiGEM," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 244, issue 1, pages 1-14, May.
• Markus Jorra & Andreas Esser & Ulf D. Slopek, 2018, "The Import Content of Expenditure Components and the Size of International Spillovers," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 244, issue 1, pages 21-29, May.
• Ulf D. Slopek, 2018, "Export Pricing and the Macroeconomic Effects of US Import Tariffs," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 244, issue 1, pages 39-45, May.
• S.G. Hall & S.G.B. Henry, 2018, "Macro Modelling at the NIESR: Its Recent History," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 246, issue 1, pages 15-23, November.
• Ray Barrell & Andy Blake & Garry Young, 2018, "Macroeconomic Modelling at the Institute: Hopes, Challenges and a Lasting Contribution," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 246, issue 1, pages 3-14, November.
• Muhammad Nadim Hanif & Khurrum S. Mughal & Javed Iqbal, 2018, "A Thick ANN Model for Forecasting Inflation," SBP Working Paper Series, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, number 99, Oct.
• Tsotne Marghia, 2018, "Interdependence between Macroeconomic and Financial Stability Indicators: Macro-Feedback Effect," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 8209716, Jul.
• Miroslava Zavadska & Lucía Morales & Joseph Coughlan & Lucía Morales & Joseph Coughlan, 2018, "The Importance of Integrating Quantitative Research Methods to Understand Commodity Business Finance," International Journal of Business and Management, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, volume 6, issue 1, pages 54-77, May.
• Takuma Tanaka, 2018, "Thermodynamic structure of a macroeconomic model," Discussion Papers CRR Discussion Paper Series A: General, Shiga University, Faculty of Economics,Center for Risk Research, number 30, May.
• Aleksandar Vasilev, 2018, "The Role of Energy in a Real-business-cycle Model with an Endogenous Capital Utilization Rate and a Government Sector: Lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)," Bulgarian Economic Papers, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, number bep-2018-05, Apr, revised Apr 2018.
• Aleksandar Vasilev, 2018, "Are Habits Important for the Propagation of Business Cycle Fluctuations in Bulgaria?," Bulgarian Economic Papers, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, number bep-2018-09, Sep, revised Sep 2018.
• Maxime Phillot & Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch, 2018, "Inflation Expectations: The Effect of Question Ordering on Forecast Inconsistencies," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2018-11.
• Gregor Bäurle & Elizabeth Steiner & Gabriel Züllig, 2018, "Forecasting the production side of GDP," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2018-16.
• Adriano dos Reis M. Laureno Oliveira & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, Laura Carvalho, 2018, "Of Fairies and Governments: An ABM Evaluation of the Expansionary Austerity Hypothesis," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), number 2018_13, Aug.
• Tobias F. Rötheli, 2018, "Should business rely on business cycle forecasting?," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, volume 26, issue 1, pages 121-133, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10100-017-0477-8.
• Kenshiro Ninomiya & Hiroyuki Takami, 2018, "Profit sharing, labour share and financial structure," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, volume 15, issue 1, pages 89-111, June, DOI: 10.1007/s40844-017-0090-5.
• Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2018, "Bottom-up or direct? Forecasting German GDP in a data-rich environment," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 54, issue 2, pages 705-745, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-016-1218-x.
• Ørjan Robstad, 2018, "House prices, credit and the effect of monetary policy in Norway: evidence from structural VAR models," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 54, issue 2, pages 461-483, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-016-1222-1.
• Inske Pirschel & Maik H. Wolters, 2018, "Forecasting with large datasets: compressing information before, during or after the estimation?," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 55, issue 2, pages 573-596, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-017-1286-6.
• Matteo Luciani & Madhavi Pundit & Arief Ramayandi & Giovanni Veronese, 2018, "Nowcasting Indonesia," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 55, issue 2, pages 597-619, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-017-1288-4.
• Fritz Breuss, 2018, "Would DSGE Models Have Predicted the Great Recession in Austria?," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 14, issue 1, pages 105-126, April, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-018-0025-1.
• Reiner Franke, 2018, "Competitive moment matching of a New-Keynesian and an Old-Keynesian model," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, volume 13, issue 2, pages 201-239, July, DOI: 10.1007/s11403-016-0181-0.
• Abhishek Das & Arpita Ghose & Gautam Gupta, 2018, "Expectation Formation in a New Keynesian Economy: Evidence from a Laboratory Experiment," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), volume 9, issue 1, pages 17-39, March, DOI: 10.1007/s13132-015-0314-z.
• Salvatore Morelli, 2018, "Banking crises in the US: the response of top income shares in a historical perspective," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, volume 16, issue 2, pages 257-294, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10888-018-9387-9.
• Sangeeta Das & Dipankor Coondoo, 2018, "Is PMI Useful in Quarterly GDP Growth Forecasts for India? An Exploratory Note," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), volume 16, issue 1, pages 199-207, December, DOI: 10.1007/s40953-017-0116-1.
• Marcos V. N. Montes & Ricardo Ramalhete Moreira, 2018, "Does Credibility Matter for Interest Rate Changes and Output Gaps? Econometric Experiment for an Emerging Economy," Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics, Springer, chapter 0, in: Nicholas Tsounis & Aspasia Vlachvei, "Advances in Time Series Data Methods in Applied Economic Research", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-02194-8_3.
• Emeka Nkoro & Aham Kelvin Uko, 2018, "A Small-Size Macroeconometric Model for Nigerian Economy," Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, SCIENPRESS Ltd, volume 7, issue 2, pages 1-4.
• Emerson JACKSON & Edmund TAMUKE, 2018, "Probability Forecast Using Fan Chart Analysis A Case of the Sierra Leone Economy," Journal of Advanced Studies in Finance, ASERS Publishing, volume 9, issue 1, pages 34-44.
• Annarita Colasante & Simone Alfarano & Eva Camacho & Mauro Gallegati, 2018, "Long-run expectations in a learning-to-forecast experiment," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 25, issue 10, pages 681-687, June, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1355537.
• Vasilios Plakandaras & Rangan Gupta & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2018, "Macroeconomic uncertainty, growth and inflation in the Eurozone: a causal approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 25, issue 14, pages 1029-1033, August, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2017.1391996.
• Carlos A. Medel, 2018, "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 32, issue 3, pages 331-371, July, DOI: 10.1080/10168737.2018.1501589.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Monique B. Reid & Rangan Gupta, 2018, "On the directional accuracy of inflation forecasts: evidence from South African survey data," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 45, issue 5, pages 884-900, April, DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2017.1322556.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2018, "Combined Density Nowcasting in an Uncertain Economic Environment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 36, issue 1, pages 131-145, January, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2015.1137760.
• Rudrani Bhattacharya & Abhijit Sen Gupta, 2018, "Drivers and impact of food inflation in India," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 11, issue 2, pages 146-168, May, DOI: 10.1080/17520843.2017.1351461.
• Mahmut Gunay, 2018, "Forecasting industrial production and inflation in Turkey with factor models," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, volume 18, issue 4, pages 149-161.
• Mahmut Gunay, 2018, "Forecasting Industrial Production and Inflation in Turkey with Factor Models," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1805.
• Eva (E.F.) Janssens & Robin (R.) Lumsdaine & Sebastiaan (S.H.L.C.G.) Vermeulen, 2018, "An Epidemiological Model of Crisis Spread Across Sectors in The United States," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 18-008/III, Jan.
• Marta Banbura & Andries van Vlodrop, 2018, "Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Time Variation in the Mean," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 18-025/IV, Mar.
• Mengheng Li & Siem Jan (S.J.) Koopman, 2018, "Unobserved Components with Stochastic Volatility in U.S. Inflation: Estimation and Signal Extraction," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 18-027/III, Mar.
• Heikki Kauppi & Timo Virtanen, 2018, "Boosting Non-linear Predictabilityof Macroeconomic Time Series," Discussion Papers, Aboa Centre for Economics, number 124, Dec.
• Emanuele Ciola & EDOARDO GAFFEO & Mauro Gallegati, 2018, "Matching frictions, credit reallocation and macroeconomic activity: how harmful are financial crises?," DEM Working Papers, Department of Economics and Management, number 2018/05.
• Oleksandr Faryna & Oleksandr Talavera & Tetiana Yukhymenko, 2018, "What Drives the Difference between Online and Official Price Indexes?," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 243, pages 21-32, DOI: 10.26531/vnbu2018.243.021.
• Sergii Kiiashko, 2018, "Applications for DSGE Models in Central Banking: Key Issues Explored During Research Workshop of the National Bank of Ukraine," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 246, pages 4-9, DOI: 10.26531/vnbu2018.245.02.
• Vasilev Aleksandar, 2018, "The Role of Energy in a Real Business Cycle Model with an Endogenous Capital Utilization Rate in a Government Sector: Lessons from Bulgaria (1999–2016)," Central European Economic Journal, Sciendo, volume 5, issue 52, pages 130-141, January, DOI: 10.1515/ceej-2018-0011.
• Ralf Fendel & Nicola Mai & Oliver Mohr, 2018, "Recession Probabilities for the Eurozone at the Zero Lower Bound: Challenges to the Term Spread and Rise of Alternatives," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management, number 18-04, Jul.
• José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St‐Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018, "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, volume 51, issue 3, pages 1029-1055, August, DOI: 10.1111/caje.12343.
• Carlos Díaz, 2018, "Extracting information shocks from the Bank of England inflation density forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 37, issue 3, pages 316-326, April, DOI: 10.1002/for.2501.
• Mawuli Segnon & Rangan Gupta & Stelios Bekiros & Mark E. Wohar, 2018, "Forecasting US GNP growth: The role of uncertainty," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 37, issue 5, pages 541-559, August, DOI: 10.1002/for.2517.
• Marek Jarociński & Michele Lenza, 2018, "An Inflation‐Predicting Measure of the Output Gap in the Euro Area," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 6, pages 1189-1224, September, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12496.
• Jesús Fernández‐Villaverde & Oren Levintal, 2018, "Solution methods for models with rare disasters," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 9, issue 2, pages 903-944, July, DOI: 10.3982/QE744.
• Lele Zou & Jinjun Xue & Alan Fox & Bo Meng, 2018, "The Emissions Reduction Effect And Economic Impact Of An Energy Tax Vs. A Carbon Tax In China: A Dynamic Cge Model Analysis," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 63, issue 02, pages 339-387, March, DOI: 10.1142/S021759081740015X.
• Ahrens, Steffen & Lustenhouwer, Joep & Tettamanzi, Michele, 2018, "The stabilizing role of forward guidance: A macro experiment," BERG Working Paper Series, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group, number 137.
• Amstad, Marlene & Ye, Huan & Ma, Guonan, 2018, "Developing an underlying inflation gauge for China," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 11/2018.
• Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2018, "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 9/2018.
• Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanović, Dalibor, 2018, "Mixed frequency models with MA components," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 02/2018.
• Kurz-Kim, Jeong-Ryeol, 2018, "A note on the predictive power of survey data in nowcasting euro area GDP," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 10/2018.
• Pinkwart, Nicolas, 2018, "Short-term forecasting economic activity in Germany: A supply and demand side system of bridge equations," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 36/2018.
• Heinisch, Katja & Lindner, Axel, 2018, "For how long do IMF forecasts of world economic growth stay up-to-date?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue Latest ar, pages 1-6, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1459035.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2018, "The role of energy in a real-business-cycle model with an endogenous capital utilization rate and a government sector: the case of Bulgaria (1999-2016)," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 173966.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2018, "Indeterminacy with preferences featuring multiplicative habits in consumption: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 182499.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2018, "Are habits important for the propagation of business cycle fluctuations in Bulgaria?," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 182501.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2018, "An RBC model with Epstein-Zin (non-expected-utility) recursive preferences: lessons from Bulgaria (1999-2016)," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 182577.
• Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2018, "Indeterminacy and multiplicity of equilibria in a two-sector economy with a public-sector production," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 184666.
• Ooft, Gavin, 2018, "Modelling and Forecasting Inflation for the Economy of Suriname," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 215534.
• Won Jun Nah & Lavoie, Marc, 2018, "Overhead labour costs in a neo-Kaleckian growth model with autonomous expenditures," IPE Working Papers, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE), number 111/2018.
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Schult, Christoph, 2018, "Expectation formation, financial frictions, and forecasting performance of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 15/2018.
• Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2018, "Mittelfristprojektion des IWH: Wirtschaftsentwicklung und Öffentliche Finanzen 2018 bis 2025," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 6, issue 4, pages 105-114.
• Daniel, Volker & ter Steege, Lucas, 2018, "Inflation Expectations and the Recovery from the Great Depression in Germany," Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin, number 6, DOI: 10.18452/19198.
• Weiske, Sebastian, 2018, "Indicator-based estimates of the output gap in the euro area," Working Papers, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, number 12/2018.
• Hahn, Volker & Marencak, Michal, 2018, "Price Points and Price Dynamics," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 181516.
• Döpke, Jörg & Waldhof, Gabi & Fritsche, Ulrich, 2018, "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 181617.
• Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Rupal Kamdar, 2018, "The Formation of Expectations, Inflation, and the Phillips Curve," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, volume 56, issue 4, pages 1447-1491, December.
• Park, Byeong U. & Simar, Leopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2018, "Forecasting of Recessions via Dynamic Probit for Time Series: Replication and Extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA), number 2018004, Jan.
• Muellbauer, John, 2018, "The Future of Macroeconomics," INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, number 2018-10, Nov.
• Fernando Mundaca & Elmer Sánchez León, 2018, "Índice de precios de inmuebles: un enfoque hedónico," Working Papers, Peruvian Economic Association, number 124, Jul.
• Elmer Sánchez León, 2018, "Mortgage Credit: Lending and Borrowing Constraints in a DSGE Model," Working Papers, Peruvian Economic Association, number 125, Jul.
• Viktor O. Ledenyov & Dimitri O. Ledenyov, 2018, "Business Cycles in Economics," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1803.06108, Mar.
• David Lee, 2018, "Pricing Financial Derivatives Subject to Counterparty Risk and Credit Value Adjustment," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1804.02289, Apr.
• Ion Stancu & Ion Alexandru Stancu & Laura Elly Naghi & Dragos Bâlteanu, 2018, "Predicting Strategic Areas of a Financial Intermediation Services (SIF) Company Using BSC and PLS," The Audit Financiar journal, Chamber of Financial Auditors of Romania, volume 20, issue 47, pages 218-218, February.
• Yurii Paida & Yaryna Andrushko & Olena Iliushyk, 2018, "Macroeconomic Risks: Classified Features, Methods Of Measurement, Mitigation Patterns," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", volume 4, issue 4, DOI: 10.30525/2256-0742/2018-4-4-258-264.
• Stephen Wright & James Mitchell & Donald Robertson, 2018, "R2 bounds for predictive models: what univariate properties tell us about multivariate predictability," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 1804, Apr.
• Tony Chernis & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018, "Nowcasting Canadian Economic Activity in an Uncertain Environment," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 18-9, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2018-9.
• Cameron MacDonald & Virginie Traclet, 2018, "The Framework for Risk Identification and Assessment," Technical Reports, Bank of Canada, number 113, DOI: 10.34989/tr-113.
• Lise Pichette & Marie-Noëlle Robitaille & Mohanad Salameh & Pierre St-Amant, 2018, "Dismiss the Gap? A Real-Time Assessment of the Usefulness of Canadian Output Gaps in Forecasting Inflation," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 18-10, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2018-10.
• José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys R. Mendes, 2018, "Could a Higher Inflation Target Enhance Macroeconomic Stability?," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 18-17, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2018-17.
• Monica Jain & Christopher S. Sutherland, 2018, "How Do Central Bank Projections and Forward Guidance Influence Private-Sector Forecasts?," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 18-2, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2018-2.
• Ba M. Chu & Kim Huynh & David T. Jacho-Chávez & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2018, "On the Evolution of the United Kingdom Price Distributions," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 18-25, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2018-25.
• Monica Jain, 2018, "Sluggish Forecasts," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 18-39, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2018-39.
• Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018, "Evaluating the Bank of Canada Staff Economic Projections Using a New Database of Real-Time Data and Forecasts," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 18-52, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2018-52.
• Andrew Agopsowicz & Dany Brouillette & Bassirou Gueye & Julien McDonald-Guimond & Jeffrey Mollins & Youngmin Park, 2018, "Potential Output in Canada: 2018 Reassessment," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2018-10, DOI: 10.34989/san-2018-10.
• Thibaut Duprey & Xuezhi Liu & Cameron MacDonald & Maarten van Oordt & Sofia Priazhkina & Xiangjin Shen & Joshua Slive, 2018, "Modelling the Macrofinancial Effects of a House Price Correction in Canada," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2018-36, DOI: 10.34989/san-2018-36.
• Thibaut Duprey, 2018, "Asymmetric Risks to the Economic Outlook Arising from Financial System Vulnerabilities," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2018-6, DOI: 10.34989/san-2018-6.
• Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Raffaella Giacomini & João Victor Issler & Vasiliki Skreta, 2018, "Incentive-driven Inattention," Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department, number 485, Oct.
• Alban Moura & Kyriacos Lambrias, 2018, "LU-EAGLE: A DSGE model for Luxembourg within the euro area and global economy," BCL working papers, Central Bank of Luxembourg, number 122, Jul.
• Fiorella Dogliolo, 2018, "Investment Nowcasting. A Real-Time Estimate with High Frequency Indicators," BCRA Working Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 201878, Apr.
• Laura D'Amato & Maximiliano Gómez Aguirre & Lorena Garegnani & Ariel Krysa & Luis Libonatti, 2018, "Forecasting Inflation in Argentina: A Comparison of Different Models," BCRA Working Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 201881, Aug.
• Simone Emiliozzi & Elisa Guglielminetti & Michele Loberto, 2018, "Forecasting house prices in Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 463, Oct.
• Andrea Carriero & Francesco Corsello & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2018, "The global component of inflation volatility," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1170, Apr.
• Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2018, "Short term forecasts of economic activity: are fortnightly factors useful?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1177, Jun.
• Julian A. Parra-Polania, 2018, "State-dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1035, Jan, DOI: 10.32468/be.1035.
• Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2018, "A well-timed raise in inflation targets," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1042, Apr, DOI: 10.32468/be.1042.
• Sophie Béreau & Faubert Violaine & Katia Schmidt, 2018, "Explaining and Forecasting Euro Area Inflation: the Role of Domestic and Global Factors," Working papers, Banque de France, number 663.
• Iñaki Aldasoro & Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann, 2018, "Early warning indicators of banking crises: expanding the family," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
• Benjamin H Cohen & Peter Hördahl & Dora Xia, 2018, "Term premia: models and some stylised facts," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
• Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann & Dora Xia, 2018, "The financial cycle and recession risk," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
• José Dorich & Nicholas Labelle St-Pierre & Vadym Lepetyuk & Rhys Mendes, 2018, "Could a higher inflation target enhance macroeconomic stability?," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 720, May.
• Emanuel Kohlscheen & Aaron Mehrotra & Dubravko Mihaljek, 2018, "Residential investment and economic activity: evidence from the past five decades," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 726, Jun.
• Michal Franta, 2018, "The likelihood of effective lower bound events," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 731, Jun.
• Dmitry Kreptsev & Sergei Seleznev, 2018, "Forecasting for the Russian Economy Using Small-Scale DSGE Models," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 77, issue 2, pages 51-67, June, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201802.51.
• Ksenia Yudaeva, 2018, "Frontiers of Monetary Policy: Global Trends and Russian Inflation Targeting Practicies," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 77, issue 2, pages 95-100, June, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201802.95.
• Erzsebet Eva Nagy & Veronika Tengely, 2018, "External and Domestic Drivers of Inflation: The Case Study of Hungary," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 77, issue 3, pages 49-64, September, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201803.49.
• Ksenia Yakovleva, 2018, "Text Mining-based Economic Activity Estimation," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 77, issue 4, pages 26-41, December, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201804.26.
• Ivan Baybuza, 2018, "Inflation Forecasting Using Machine Learning Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 77, issue 4, pages 42-59, December, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201804.42.
• Elizaveta Danilova & Evgeny Rumyantsev & Ivan Shevchuk, 2018, "Review of the Bank of Russia – IMF Workshop 'Recent Developments in Macroprudential Stress Testing'," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 77, issue 4, pages 60-83, December, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201804.60.
• Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko & Anna Rozhkova, 2018, "When are credit gap estimates reliable?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps34, Jul.
• Konstantin Styrin, 2018, "Forecasting inflation in Russia by Dynamic Model Averaging," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps39, Dec.
• Michael T. Kiley, 2018, "Quantitative Easing and the ‘New Normal’ in Monetary Policy," Manchester School, University of Manchester, volume 86, issue S1, pages 21-49, September, DOI: 10.1111/manc.12238.
• Daniela Bragoli & Jack Fosten, 2018, "Nowcasting Indian GDP," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 80, issue 2, pages 259-282, April, DOI: 10.1111/obes.12219.
• Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2018, "Monetary Policy Lessons from the Greenbook," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 955, Jul.
• Yosuke Uno & Saori Naganuma & Naoko Hara, 2018, "New Facts about Firms' Inflation Expectations: Simple Tests for a Sticky Information Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 18-E-14, Oct.
• Noureldin Diaa, 2018, "Much Ado about the Egyptian Pound: Exchange Rate Misalignment and the Path Towards Equilibrium," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, volume 14, issue 2, pages 1-19, August, DOI: 10.1515/rmeef-2018-0002.
• Lustenberger, Thomas & Rossi, Enzo, 2018, "Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?," Working papers, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel, number 2018/06.
• Dana Galizia, 2018, "Saddle Cycles: Solving Rational Expectations Models Featuring Limit Cycles (or Chaos) Using Perturbation Methods," Carleton Economic Papers, Carleton University, Department of Economics, number 18-11, Sep.
• Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2018, "Forecasting using a Nonlinear DSGE Model," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 7, issue 2, pages 73-98.
• Øivind Anti Nilsen & Magne Vange, 2018, "Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence Using Monthly Data," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7145.
• Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019, "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," Discussion Papers, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), number 1917, Sep.
• Tomas Adam & Filip Novotny, 2018, "Assessing the External Demand of the Czech Economy: Nowcasting Foreign GDP Using Bridge Equations," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2018/18, Dec.
• Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2018, "Sparse Restricted Perception Equilibrium," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2018/8, Sep.
• Sebasti√°n Cadavid S√°nchez, 2018, "Monetary policy and structural changes in Colombia, 1990-2016: A Markov Switching approach," Documentos CEDE, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE, number 16970, Nov.
• Adriana Uquillas & Carlos Gonz�lez, 2017, "Determinantes macro y microeconómicos para pruebas de tensión de riesgo de crédito: un estudio comparativo entre Ecuador y Colombia basado en la tasa de morosidad," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 35, issue 84, pages 245-259, DOI: 10.1016/j.espe.2017.11.002.
• Jesús Botero G & �lvaro Hurtado Rend�n & Humberto Franco G. & Jos� Garc�a Guzm�n, 2018, "Monetary Policy and Accumulation of Reserves in an Emerging Economy: A dsge Model for the Colombian Case," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, volume 21, issue 2, pages 309-339.
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• Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Zarruk Valencia , David, 2018, "A Practical Guide to Parallelization in Economics," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 12890, Apr.
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• Forni, Mario & Di Bonaventura, Luca & Pattarin, Francesco, 2018, "The Forcasting Performance of Dynamic Factor Models with Vintage Data," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13034, Jul.
• Altug, Sumru & Çakmaklı, Cem & Demircan, Hamza, 2018, "Modeling of Economic and Financial Conditions for Nowcasting and Forecasting Recessions: A Unified Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13171, Sep.
• Sergey Ivashchenko & Semih Emre Cekin & Kevin Kotze & Rangan Gupta, 2018, "Forecasting with second-order approximations and Markov-switching DSGE models," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series, School of Economics, University of Cape Town, number 2018-10.
• Moses Tule & Afees A. Salisu & Charles Chimeke, 2018, "You are what you eat: The role of oil price in Nigeria inflation forecast," Working Papers, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan, number 040, Jan.
• Afees A. Salisu & Raymond Swaray & Idris Adediran, 2018, "Improving the predictability of commodity prices in US inflation: The role of coffee price," Working Papers, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan, number 041, Jan.
• Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula Ephraim Ogbonna, 2018, "Does time-variation matter in the stochastic volatility components for G7 stock returns," Working Papers, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan, number 062, Jul.
• Pfajfar, Damjan & Žakelj, Blaž, 2018, "Inflation Expectations And Monetary Policy Design: Evidence From The Laboratory," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 22, issue 4, pages 1035-1075, June.
• Hantzsche, Arno & Lopresto, Marta & Young, Garry, 2018, "Using NiGEM in uncertain times: Introduction and overview of NiGEM," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 244, issue , pages 1-14, May.
• Jorra, Markus & Esser, Andreas & Slopek, Ulf D., 2018, "The import content of expenditure components and the size of international spillovers," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 244, issue , pages 21-29, May.
• Hall, S.G. & Henry, S.G.B., 2018, "Macro Modelling at the NIESR: Its Recent History," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 246, issue , pages 15-23, November.
• Barrell, Ray & Blake, Andy & Young, Garry, 2018, "Macroeconomic Modelling at the Institute: Hopes, Challenges and a Lasting Contribution," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 246, issue , pages 3-14, November.
• Zouhair Aït Benhamou, 2018, "A Steeper slope: the Laffer Tax Curve in Developing and Emerging Economies," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2018-44.
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• McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2018, "Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2140, Apr.
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• Coenen, Günter & Karadi, Peter & Schmidt, Sebastian & Warne, Anders, 2018, "The New Area-Wide Model II: an extended version of the ECB’s micro-founded model for forecasting and policy analysis with a financial sector," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2200, Nov.
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• Adedokun Lateef Adetunji & E. Chuke Nwude & Sergius N. Udeh, 2018, "Interface of Insurance and Economic Growth: Nigerian Experience," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, volume 8, issue 4, pages 16-26.
• Alexey Yurievich Mikhaylov, 2018, "Pricing in Oil Market and Using Probit Model for Analysis of Stock Market Effects," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 8, issue 2, pages 69-73.
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• De Grauwe, Paul & Gerba, Eddie, 2018, "The role of cognitive limitations and heterogeneous expectations for aggregate production and credit cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 91, issue C, pages 206-236, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2018.02.012.
• Dellas, Harris & Gibson, Heather D. & Hall, Stephen G. & Tavlas, George S., 2018, "The macroeconomic and fiscal implications of inflation forecast errors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 93, issue C, pages 203-217, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2018.01.030.
• Cardon, James H. & Eide, Eric R. & Phillips, Kerk L. & Showalter, Mark H., 2018, "A model of sleep, leisure and work over the business cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 95, issue C, pages 19-36, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2018.08.003.
• Abberger, Klaus & Graff, Michael & Siliverstovs, Boriss & Sturm, Jan-Egbert, 2018, "Using rule-based updating procedures to improve the performance of composite indicators," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 68, issue C, pages 127-144, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.06.014.
• Nalban, Valeriu, 2018, "Forecasting with DSGE models: What frictions are important?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 68, issue C, pages 190-204, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.07.015.
• Yıldırım-Karaman, Seçil, 2018, "Uncertainty in financial markets and business cycles," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 68, issue C, pages 329-339, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.08.001.
• Guerini, Mattia & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2018, "No man is an Island: The impact of heterogeneity and local interactions on macroeconomic dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 68, issue C, pages 82-95, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.05.004.
• Mo, Di & Gupta, Rakesh & Li, Bin & Singh, Tarlok, 2018, "The macroeconomic determinants of commodity futures volatility: Evidence from Chinese and Indian markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 70, issue C, pages 543-560, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.08.032.
• Salisu, Afees A. & Isah, Kazeem O., 2018, "Predicting US inflation: Evidence from a new approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 71, issue C, pages 134-158, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.12.008.
• Behrens, Christoph & Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian, 2018, "Testing the optimality of inflation forecasts under flexible loss with random forests," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 72, issue C, pages 270-277, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2018.02.004.
• Hur, Joonyoung, 2018, "Time-varying information rigidities and fluctuations in professional forecasters' disagreement," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 75, issue C, pages 117-131, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2018.06.009.
• Yi, Yongsheng & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie & Huang, Dengshi, 2018, "Forecasting the prices of crude oil using the predictor, economic and combined constraints," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 75, issue C, pages 237-245, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2018.06.020.
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• Zhu, Bangzhu & Ye, Shunxin & Wang, Ping & He, Kaijian & Zhang, Tao & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2018, "A novel multiscale nonlinear ensemble leaning paradigm for carbon price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 70, issue C, pages 143-157, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2017.12.030.
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