Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2002

• Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel & Alejandro M. Werner, 2002, "Inflation Targeting in Brazil, Chile, and Mexico: Performance, Credibility, and the Exchange Rate," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, volume 0, issue Spring 20, pages 31-90.
• Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2002, "Factor Models in Large Cross-Sections of Time Series," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 3285, Mar.
• Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2002, "Interest Rate Effects on Output: Evidence from a GDP Forecasting Model for South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 3595, Oct.
• Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2002, "Interest rate effects on output: evidence from a GDP forecasting model for South Africa," CSAE Working Paper Series, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford, number 2002-04.
• Tilman Brück & Andreas Cors & Klaus F. Zimmermann & Rudolf Zwiener, 2002, "Stability Criteria and Convergence: The Role of the System of National Accounts for Fiscal Policy in Europe," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 318.
• Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2002, "Learning stability in economics with heterogeneous agents," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 120, Jan.
• Wallis, Kenneth F., 2002, "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts, and the Bank of England's fan charts," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002, Royal Economic Society, number 181, Aug.
• Malliaris, A. G., 2002, "Global monetary instability: The role of the IMF, the EU and NAFTA," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 13, issue 1, pages 72-92, May.
• Sbordone, Argia M., 2002, "Prices and unit labor costs: a new test of price stickiness," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 49, issue 2, pages 265-292, March.
• Peter Hans Matthews & Ivan T. Kandilov, 2002, "The Cost of Job Loss and the "New" Phillips Curve," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, volume 28, issue 2, pages 181-202, Spring.
• Joshua C C Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M Potter, 2012, "A New Model of Trend Inflation," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2012-08, Feb.
• Jaromír Beneš & David Vávra & Jan Vlèek, 2002, "Støednìdobá makroekonomická predikce makroekonomické modely v analytickém systému ÈNB," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 52, issue 4, pages 197-231, April.
• Penelope A. Smith & Peter M. Summers, 2002, "Regime Switches in GDP Growth and Volatility: Some International Evidence and Implications for Modelling Business Cycles," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne, number wp2002n21, Nov.
• Giancarlo Bruno & Marco Malgarini, 2002, "An Indicator of Economic Sentiment for the Italian Economy," ISAE Working Papers, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY), number 28, Oct.
• Lumsdaine, Robin L. & Prasad, Eswar, 2002, "Identifying the Common Component of International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 487, Apr.
• Karanassou, Marika & Sala, Hector & Snower, Dennis J., 2002, "Unemployment in the European Union: A Dynamic Reappraisal," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 531, Jul.
• Hüfner Felix P. & Schröder Michael, 2002, "Prognosegehalt von ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen: Ein ökonometrischer Vergleich / Forecasting German industrial Production: An Econometric Comparison of ifo- and ZEW-Business Expectations," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 222, issue 3, pages 316-336, June, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2002-0303.

2001

• Marc-André Gosselin & Greg Tkacz, 2001, "Evaluating Factor Models: An Application to Forecasting Inflation in Canada," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 01-18, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2001-18.
• Fuchun Li & Greg Tkacz, 2001, "A Consistent Bootstrap Test for Conditional Density Functions with Time-Dependent Data," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 01-21, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2001-21.
• Maral Kichian, 2001, "On the Nature and the Stability of the Canadian Phillips Curve," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 01-4, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2001-4.
• Paolo carnazza & Giuseppe Parigi, 2001, "The Evolution of Confidence for European Consumers and Businesses in France, Germany and Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 406, Jun.
• Elena Angelini & Jérôme Henry & Ricardo Mestre, 2001, "Diffusion index-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," BIS Papers chapters, Bank for International Settlements, in: Bank for International Settlements, "Empirical studies of structural changes and inflation".
• Camilo E Tovar, 2008, "DSGE models and central banks," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 258, Sep.
• Gabriele Galati & Peter Heemeijer & Richhild Moessner, 2011, "How do inflation expectations form? New insights from a high-frequency survey," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 349, Jul.
• Heather M. Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2001, "Market Architecture and Nonlinear Dynamics of Australian Stock and Futures Indices," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, volume 40, issue 4, pages 541-566, December, DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.00141.
• Gabriel Desgranges & Giorgio Negroni, 2001, "Apprentissage et équilibres à taches solaires. Un point de vue divinatoire," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, volume 52, issue 3, pages 583-593.
• Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2001, "A Leading Index for the Indian Economy," Working papers, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics, number 90, Mar.
• Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2001, "Konjunkturprognosen und Prognoserisiko," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 54, issue 16, pages 17-21, October.
• Gernot Nerb, 2001, "Weltkonjunktur: Abwärtstrend setzt sich fort - Besserung erwartet," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 54, issue 17, pages 15-21, October.
• Hans-Werner Sinn & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Wolfgang Meister, 2001, "Vor der Talsohle," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 54, issue 24, pages 27-42, January.
• Andrés Acuña & Carlos Oyarzún, 2001, "Money and Real Fluctuations: Calibrating a Cash in Advance Model for the Chilean Economy," Working Papers, Departamento de Economía, Universidad de Concepción, number 06-2001.
• Kilian, Lutz & Ivanov, Ventzislav, 2001, "A Practitioner's Guide to Lag-Order Selection for Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 2685, Jan.
• Den Haan, Wouter & Sumner, Steven, 2001, "The Comovements between Real Activity and Prices in the G7," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 2801, May.
• Muellbauer, John & Nunziata, Luca, 2001, "Credit, the Stock Market and Oil: Forecasting US GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 2906, Aug.
• Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2001, "Forecasting and Turning Point Predictions in a Bayesian Panel VAR Model," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 2961, Sep.
• Martin Boileau & Michel Normandin, 2001, "Labor Hoarding, Superior Information and Business Cycle Dynamics," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal, number 129, Mar.
• Anderson, Heather M. & Vahid, Farshid, 2001, "Predicting The Probability Of A Recession With Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading-Indicator Models," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 5, issue 4, pages 482-505, September.
• Roy Batchelor, 2001, "Confidence indexes and the probability of recession: a Markov switching model," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 36, issue 1, pages 107-124, January.
• Bryan L. Boulier & H. O. Stekler & Jeremy Dutra, 2001, "Measuring the Onset of the Great Depression: Then and Now," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 36, issue 1, pages 137-151, January.
• Mehdi Mosthaghimi, 2001, "Are the New U.S. Composite Leading Economic Indicators More Informative?," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 36, issue 1, pages 205-213, January.
• Gangadhar Darbha, 2001, "Identification of Cyclical Phases: A Dynamic Factor- Markov Switching Model for India," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 36, issue 1, pages 215-229, January.
• Micheal P. Niemira, 2001, "An AHP-Based Composite Cyclical-Performance Index," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 36, issue 1, pages 241-250, January.
• Robert S. Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler, 2001, "Combining the Results of rationality Studies: What Did We know and When Did We know It?," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 36, issue 1, pages 269-300, January.
• Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2001, "An Indicator Approach to Business and Growth Rate Cycles: The Case of India," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 36, issue 1, pages 55-78, January.
• Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo & Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego, 2001, "Assessment criteria for output gap estimates," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 54, Apr.
• Henry, Jérôme & Mestre, Ricardo & Backé, Peter, 2001, "Diffusion index-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 61, Apr.
• Wallis, Kenneth F., 2001, "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts and the Bank of England's fan charts," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 83, Nov.
• Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2001, "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 25, issue 6-7, pages 891-910, June.
• Dopke, Jorg, 2001, "Macroeconomic forecasts and the nature of economic shocks in Germany," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 17, issue 2, pages 181-201.
• Martin Melecký, 2001, "Comparison of Selected Simple Models of Inflation in the Czech Economy," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 51, issue 5, pages 279-297, May.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001, "Forecasting output and inflation: the role of asset prices," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar.
• Olsson, Ola, 2001, "Why Does Technology Advance in Cycles?," Working Papers in Economics, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics, number 38, Mar.
• Koskinen, Lasse & Öller, Lars-Erik, 2001, "A Classifying Procedure for Signaling Turning Points," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 427, Feb.
• Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2001, "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information," Seminar Papers, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies, number 689, Feb.
• Jansson, Per & Vredin, Anders, 2001, "Forecast-based Monetary Policy in Sweden 1992-1998: A View from Within," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 120, Feb.
• Olekalns, N., 2001, "An Empirical Investigation of Structural Breaks in the Ex Ante Fisher Effect," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 786.
• Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2001, "Market Architecture and Nonlinear Dynamics of Australian Stock and Future Indices," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 3/01, May.
• Athanasopoulos, G. & Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2001, "Capturing the Shape of Business Cycles with Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading Indicator Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 7/01, Jun.
• Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001, "Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors," NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 0269, Mar.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001, "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 8180, Mar.
• Wouter J. Den Haan & Steven Sumner, 2001, "The Comovements between Real Activity and Prices in the G7," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 8195, Mar.
• Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2001, "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 8255, Apr.
• Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro & European University Institute & Florence, 2001, "A New Approach to the Analysis of Business Cycle Transitions in a Model of Output and Employment," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 59, Jan.
• Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J., 2001, "A New Approach To The Analysis Of Business Cycle Transitions In A Model Of Output And Employment," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 9959.
• Harding, Don & Kam, Timothy, 2001, "Perspectives on Unemployment from a General Equilibrium Search Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 3696, Aug.
• Harding, Don & Song, Lei Lei & Tran, Duy, 2001, "Evaluation of the Australian Industry Group / PricewaterhouseCoopers - Performance of Manufacturing Index (Ai-PMI)," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 3697, Apr.
• Acuña, Andrés & Oyarzún, Carlos, 2001, "Money and Real Fluctuations: Calibrating a Cash in Advance Model for the Chilean Economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 8274, Oct, revised Oct 2005.
• Khazri, Afifa, 2001, "Impact des chocs monétaires sur les variations du salaire réel
  [Monetary Shocks and Impact on Changes in Real Wages]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86772, May.
• Gabriel Desgranges & Giorgio Negroni, 2001, "Apprentissage et équilibres à taches solaires. Un point de vue divinatoire," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, volume 52, issue 3, pages 583-593, DOI: 10.3406/reco.2001.410339.
• Ivan Roberts & John Simon, 2001, "What do Sentiment Surveys Measure?," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2001-09, Nov.
• Scutaru, Cornelia & Pelinescu, Elena, 2001, "A Dynamic Model Of The Money Demand In Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 1, pages 32-47, June.
• Desmireanu, Ionel, 2001, "Evolution Of The Main Factors Of Production And Of Their Efficiency Of Use; Retrospective Analyses; Reference Points For Macroeconomic Forecasts," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 1, pages 48-55, June.
• Francesc Obiols-Homs, 2001, "Incomplete unemployment insurance and aggregate fluctuations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics, number 192, Apr.
• Toshiya Ishikawa, 2001, "Technology Diffusion, Intertemporal Substitution, and Business Cycles," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics, number 269, Apr.
• Gottschalk, Jan, 2001, "Monetary Conditions in the Euro Area: Useful Indicators of Aggregate Demand Conditions?," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1037.
• Strauß, Hubert, 2001, "Assessing the Effects of the Terrorist Attacks on the U.S. Economy," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1077.
• Berlemann, Michael, 2001, "Forecasting inflation via electronic markets: Results from a prototype market," Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics, number 06/01.
• Hüfner, Felix P. & Schröder, Michael, 2001, "Unternehmens- versus Analystenbefragungen: Zum Prognosegehalt von ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 01-04.

2000

• Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2000, "Predicting the Probability of a Recession with Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading Indicator Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 3/00, Mar.
• Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 2000, "Nominal Income Targeting in an Open-Economy Optimizing Model," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6675, Jun.
• Mark Gertler & Cara S. Lown, 2000, "The Information in the High Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 7549, Feb.
• Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000, "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 7953, Oct.
• James D. Hamilton & Dong Heon Kim, 2000, "A Re-examination of the Predictability of Economic Activity Using the Yield Spread," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 7954, Oct.
• Vassiliki Koutsogeorgopoulou, 2000, "A Post-Mortem on Economic Outlook Projections," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 274, Dec, DOI: 10.1787/351822846618.
• Henry, Brian & Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J, 2000, "Adjustment Dynamics and the Natural Rate: An Account of UK Unemployment," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 52, issue 1, pages 178-203, January.
• Bilgili, Faik, 2000, "Forecasting the Macro Targets of Turkish Economy for the Year 2000: An Application of Box-Jenkins and Exponential Smoothing Methods," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 75532.
• Françoise Charpin & Hervé Péléraux, 2000, "L'indicateur avancé de l'OFCE," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, volume 72, issue 1, pages 133-155, DOI: 10.3406/ofce.2000.1572.
• Andrea Brischetto & Graham Voss, 2000, "Forecasting Australian Economic Activity Using Leading Indicators," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2000-02, Apr.
• Meredith Beechey & Nargis Bharucha & Adam Cagliarini & David Gruen & Christopher Thompson, 2000, "A Small Model of the Australian Macroeconomy," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2000-05, Jun.
• Klaus Göggelmann & Peter Winker & Martin Schellhorn & Wolfgang Franz, 2000, "Quasi-Monte Carlo methods in stochastic simulations: An application to policy simulations using a disequilibrium model of the West German economy 1960-1994," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 25, issue 2, pages 247-259.
• Vincent (Vincent Peter) Hogan, 2000, "The behaviour of inflation and unemployment in the United States," Working Papers, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 200016, Jun.
• Michael Berlemann & Kalina Dimitrova & Nikolay Nenovsky, 2000, "Assessing Market Expectations on Exchange Rates and Inflation: A Pilot Forecasting System for Bulgaria," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan, number wp759, Mar.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 2000, "Unsolved Econometric Problems in Nonlinearity, Chaos, and Bifurcation," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0004021, Sep.
• Döpke, Jörg, 2000, "Macroeconomic Forecasts and the Nature of Economic Shocks in Germany," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 972.
• van Zandweghe, Willem & Martinez Rico, Felipe & Gottschalk, Jan, 2000, "Money as an Indicator in the Euro Zone," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 984.
• Munir A. Jalil & Luis Fernando Melo, 2000, "Una Relación no Líneal entre Inflación y los Medios de Pago," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 145, Apr, DOI: 10.32468/be.145.
• Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 2000, "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 119, Jul.
• Potter Simon M., 2000, "A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 4, issue 2, pages 1-11, July, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1058.
• Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2000, "An Index of Coincident Economic Indicators for the Indian Economy," Working papers, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics, number 73, Jan.
• Hans-Dieter Karl, 2000, "AIECE-Prognose: Weltrohstoffpreise 2001," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 53, issue 14, pages 14-22, May.
• Söderlind, Paul, 2000, "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 2499, Jul.
• Ritschl, Albrecht & Woitek, Ulrich, 2000, "Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 2547, Sep.
• Moen, Jon R. & Tallman, Ellis W., 2000, "Clearinghouse Membership and Deposit Contraction during the Panic of 1907," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, volume 60, issue 1, pages 145-163, March.
• Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2000, "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 12, Feb.
• Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2000, "Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society, number 1421, Aug.
• Barnett, William A. & Serletis, Apostolos, 2000, "Martingales, nonlinearity, and chaos," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 24, issue 5-7, pages 703-724, June.
• Mohamad Shaaf, 2000, "Predicting Recession Using the Yield Curve: An Artificial Intelligence and Econometric Comparison," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, volume 26, issue 2, pages 171-190, Spring.
• D'Amuri, Francesco & Marcucci, Juri, 2009, "‘Google it!’ Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index," ISER Working Paper Series, Institute for Social and Economic Research, number 2009-32, Nov.
• Barrell, R. & Pina, A.M., 2000, "How Important are Automatic Stabilizers in Europe? A Stochastic Simulation Assessment," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number eco2000/2.
• Adam, K., 2000, "Adaptive Learning and the Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number eco2000/25.
• Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000, "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
• Hogan, V., 2000, "The Behaviour of Inflation and Unemployment the United States," Papers, College Dublin, Department of Political Economy-, number 00/16.
• Packalen, M., 2000, "On the Learnability of Rational Expectations Equilibria in Three Business Cycle Models," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics, number 87.
• Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T., 2000, "Outlook for the Canadian Economy: National Projection Through 2020," Papers, Institute for Policy Analysis, number 2000-2.
• Albrecht Ritschl & Ulrich Woitek, 2000, "Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression? A Bayesian VAR Analysis for the U.S. Economy," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2000_07, Jun.
• Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2000, "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 384, May, revised 06 Nov 2001.
• Svensson, Lars & Woodford, Michael, 2000, "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," Seminar Papers, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies, number 688, Sep.
• Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2000, "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 103, Feb.
• SaangJoon Baak, 2000, "Heterogeneous Expectations, Volatility and Welfare," Working Papers, Research Institute, International University of Japan, number EMS_2000_01, Jun.
• Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2000, "Forecasting And Turning Point Predictions In A Bayesian Panel Var Model," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2000-05, Mar.
• Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 2000, "Characteristics of Unemployment Dynamics: The Chain Reaction Approach," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 127, Mar.

1999

• Richard Dion, 1999, "Indicator Models of Core Inflation for Canada," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 99-13, DOI: 10.34989/swp-1999-13.
• René Lalonde, 1999, "The U.S. Capacity Utilization Rate: A New Estimation Approach," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 99-14, DOI: 10.34989/swp-1999-14.
• Greg Tkacz & Sarah Hu, 1999, "Forecasting GDP Growth Using Artificial Neural Networks," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 99-3, DOI: 10.34989/swp-1999-3.
• Camilo Zea, 1999, "Financial Inefficiency and Real Business Cycle in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 127, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.127.
• Peter N. Ireland, 1999, "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 421, Apr.
• Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999, "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 1/RT/99, Mar.
• Wolfgang Nierhaus, 1999, "Aus dem Instrumentenkasten der Konjunkturanalyse : Veränderungen im Vergleich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 52, issue 27, pages 11-19, October.
• Luis Eduardo Arango, 1999, "Componentes no observados de la inflación en Colombia," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario.
• Martin Boileau & Michel Normandin, 1999, "Capacity Utilization and the Dynamics of Business Cycle Fluctuations," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal, number 92, Sep.
• Peter Ireland, 1999, "Matlab code for A Method for Taking Models to the Data," QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles, number 46, revised .
• Malliaris, A. G. & Stein, Jerome L., 1999, "Methodological issues in asset pricing: Random walk or chaotic dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 23, issue 11, pages 1605-1635, November.
• McCallum, Bennett T. & Nelson, Edward, 1999, "Nominal income targeting in an open-economy optimizing model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 43, issue 3, pages 553-578, June.
• Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J., 1999, "A New Approach to the Analysis of Shocks and the Cycle in a Model of Output and Employment," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number eco99/30.
• Peter N. Ireland, 1999, "A method for taking models to the data," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9903, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-199903.
• Atta, J.K. & Jefferis, K.R. & Mannathoko, I. & Siwawa-Ndai, P., 1999, "Exchange Rate Policy and Prices Determination in Botswana," Papers, African Economic Research Consortium, number 93.
• Mitra, K., 1999, "Is More Data Better?," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics, number 452.
• Honkapohja, S. & Mitra, K., 1999, "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics, number 456.
• Robin L. Lumsdaine & Mr. Eswar S Prasad, 1999, "Identifying the Common Component in International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 1999/154, Nov.
• Snower, Dennis J. & Karanassou, Marika & Henry, Brian, 1999, "Adjustment Dynamics and the Natural Rate: An Account of UK Unemployment," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 75, Dec.
• Grupp Hariolf, 1999, "Umweltfreundliche Innovation durch Preissignale oder Regulation? / Environment-friendly Innovation by Price Signals or Regulation?: Eine empirische Untersuchung für Deutschland / An Empirical Investigation for Germany," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 219, issue 5-6, pages 611-631, October, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-1999-5-622.
• Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1999, "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semiclassical Structural Model," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Monetary Policy Rules".
• Victor Zarnowitz, 1999, "Has the Business Cycle Been Abolished?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6367, Apr.
• Gertler, Mark & Lown, Cara S, 1999, "The Information in the High-Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, volume 15, issue 3, pages 132-150, Autumn.
• Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999, "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 11361, Mar.
• Khazri, Afifa, 1999, "Contrats salariaux, rétention de main-d’œuvre et cycle économique
  [Wage Contracts, Labor Retention and Economic Cycle]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86755, Dec.
• Khazri, Afifa, 1999, "Contrats salariaux, rétention de main-d’œuvre et cycle économique
  [Wage Contracts, Labor Retention and Economic Cycle]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86947, Dec.
• Andrea Brischetto & Graham Voss, 1999, "A Structural Vector Autoregression Model of Monetary Policy in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp1999-11, Dec.
• Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 1999, "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics, number 1052, Mar.
• Peter Ireland, 1999, "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics, number 1233, Mar.
• Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja, 1999, "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics, number 221, Mar.
• Nicolas A. Cuche & Martin K. Hess, 1999, "Estimating Monthly GDP In A General Kalman Filter Framework: Evidence From Switzerland," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee, number 99.02, Mar.
• Wilfredo Leiva, 1999, "Adaptive learning in models with lagged variables," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 413, Oct.
• Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 1999, "Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 443, Oct.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 1999, "Center Manifold, Stability, and Bifurcations in Continuous Time Macroeconometric Systems," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9901002, Jan.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He & ., 1999, "Stabilization Policy as Bifurcation Selection: Would Keynesian Policy Work if the World Really were Keynesian?," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9906008, Jun.
• Schumacher, Christian & Loose, Brigitte & Langmantel, Erich & Gottschalk, Jan & Fritsche, Ulrich & Döpke, Jörg, 1999, "Indikatoren zur Prognose der Investitionen in Deutschland," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 906.

1998

• Julio J. Rotemberg & Michael Woodford, 1998, "An Optimization-Based Econometric Framework for the Evaluation of Monetary Policy: Expanded Version," NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 0233, May.
• Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998, "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6599, Jun.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1998, "Diffusion Indexes," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6702, Aug.
• Paul Conway & Aaron Drew & Ben Hunt & Alasdair Scott, 1998, "Exchange rate effects and inflation targeting in a small open economy: a stochastic analysis using FPS," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number G99/4, May.
• Meyler, Aidan & Kenny, Geoff & Quinn, Terry, 1998, "Forecasting irish inflation using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 11359, Dec.
• Andreou, A. S. & Zombanakis, George A. & Likothanassis, S. D. & Georgakopoulos, E., 1998, "Modeling And Forecasting Exchange-Rate Shocks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 51539, Mar, revised 06 Jun 1998.
• Goyal, Ashima, 1998, "Labour Market Institutions, Real Wages and Macroeconomic Outcomes," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67130.
• Martin Chalkley & In Ho Lee, 1998, "Learning and Asymmetric Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 1, issue 3, pages 623-645, July, DOI: 10.1006/redy.1998.0024.
• Torbjørn Eika & Knut A. Magnussen, 1998, "Did Norway Gain from the 1979-85 Oil Price Shock?," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 210, Feb.
• William A. Barnett & Apostolos Serletis, 1998, "Martingales, Nonlinearity, and Chaos," Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9805003, Jun.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 1998, "Bifurcations in Continuous-Time Macroeconomic Systems," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9805018, Jun.
• Randal J. Verbrugge, 1998, "A cross-country investigation of macroeconomic asymmetries," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9809017, Sep, revised 30 Sep 1998.
• Kaiser, Ulrich & Buscher, Herbert S., 1998, "Der Service Sentiment Indicator: Ein Konjunkturklimaindikator für den Wirtschaftszweig unternehmensnahe Dienstleistungen," ZEW Dokumentationen, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 98-04.
• Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Quinn, Terry, 1998, "Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 3/RT/98, Dec.
• Luis Fernando Melo & Martha Misas, 1998, "Análisis del comportamiento de la inflación trimestral en Colombia bajo cambios de régimen: Una evidencia a través del modelo "Switching" de Hamilton," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario.
• ROCHON, Céline, 1998, "Liquidity constraints and cycles," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 1998007, Jan.
• Jean-Christophe PEREAU, 1998, "Négociation salariale en terme réel et en terme nominal : Une analyse des propriétés dynamiques d’un modèle avec contrats échelonnés," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES), number 1998033, Sep.
• Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998, "Performance of operational policy rules in an estimated semi-classical structural model," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar.
• Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T., 1998, "National Projection Throughgh 2020," Papers, California Davis - Institute of Governmental Affairs, number 98-1.
• Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T., 1998, "Outlook for the Canadian Economy: National Projection Through 2020," Papers, California Davis - Institute of Governmental Affairs, number 98-3.