Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

---

Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

---

This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2001

• Dopke, Jorg, 2001, "Macroeconomic forecasts and the nature of economic shocks in Germany," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 17, issue 2, pages 181-201.
• Martin Melecký, 2001, "Comparison of Selected Simple Models of Inflation in the Czech Economy," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 51, issue 5, pages 279-297, May.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001, "Forecasting output and inflation: the role of asset prices," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar.
• Olsson, Ola, 2001, "Why Does Technology Advance in Cycles?," Working Papers in Economics, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics, number 38, Mar.
• Koskinen, Lasse & Öller, Lars-Erik, 2001, "A Classifying Procedure for Signaling Turning Points," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 427, Feb.
• Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2001, "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information," Seminar Papers, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies, number 689, Feb.
• Jansson, Per & Vredin, Anders, 2001, "Forecast-based Monetary Policy in Sweden 1992-1998: A View from Within," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 120, Feb.
• Olekalns, N., 2001, "An Empirical Investigation of Structural Breaks in the Ex Ante Fisher Effect," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 786.
• Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2001, "Market Architecture and Nonlinear Dynamics of Australian Stock and Future Indices," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 3/01, May.
• Athanasopoulos, G. & Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2001, "Capturing the Shape of Business Cycles with Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading Indicator Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 7/01, Jun.
• Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001, "Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors," NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 0269, Mar.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001, "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 8180, Mar.
• Wouter J. Den Haan & Steven Sumner, 2001, "The Comovements between Real Activity and Prices in the G7," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 8195, Mar.
• Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2001, "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 8255, Apr.
• Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro & European University Institute & Florence, 2001, "A New Approach to the Analysis of Business Cycle Transitions in a Model of Output and Employment," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 59, Jan.
• Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J., 2001, "A New Approach To The Analysis Of Business Cycle Transitions In A Model Of Output And Employment," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 9959.
• Harding, Don & Kam, Timothy, 2001, "Perspectives on Unemployment from a General Equilibrium Search Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 3696, Aug.
• Harding, Don & Song, Lei Lei & Tran, Duy, 2001, "Evaluation of the Australian Industry Group / PricewaterhouseCoopers - Performance of Manufacturing Index (Ai-PMI)," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 3697, Apr.
• Acuña, Andrés & Oyarzún, Carlos, 2001, "Money and Real Fluctuations: Calibrating a Cash in Advance Model for the Chilean Economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 8274, Oct, revised Oct 2005.
• Khazri, Afifa, 2001, "Impact des chocs monétaires sur les variations du salaire réel
  [Monetary Shocks and Impact on Changes in Real Wages]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86772, May.
• Gabriel Desgranges & Giorgio Negroni, 2001, "Apprentissage et équilibres à taches solaires. Un point de vue divinatoire," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, volume 52, issue 3, pages 583-593, DOI: 10.3406/reco.2001.410339.
• Ivan Roberts & John Simon, 2001, "What do Sentiment Surveys Measure?," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2001-09, Nov.
• Scutaru, Cornelia & Pelinescu, Elena, 2001, "A Dynamic Model Of The Money Demand In Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 1, pages 32-47, June.
• Desmireanu, Ionel, 2001, "Evolution Of The Main Factors Of Production And Of Their Efficiency Of Use; Retrospective Analyses; Reference Points For Macroeconomic Forecasts," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 1, pages 48-55, June.
• Francesc Obiols-Homs, 2001, "Incomplete unemployment insurance and aggregate fluctuations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics, number 192, Apr.
• Toshiya Ishikawa, 2001, "Technology Diffusion, Intertemporal Substitution, and Business Cycles," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics, number 269, Apr.
• Gottschalk, Jan, 2001, "Monetary Conditions in the Euro Area: Useful Indicators of Aggregate Demand Conditions?," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1037.
• Strauß, Hubert, 2001, "Assessing the Effects of the Terrorist Attacks on the U.S. Economy," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1077.
• Berlemann, Michael, 2001, "Forecasting inflation via electronic markets: Results from a prototype market," Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics, number 06/01.
• Hüfner, Felix P. & Schröder, Michael, 2001, "Unternehmens- versus Analystenbefragungen: Zum Prognosegehalt von ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 01-04.

2000

• Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2000, "Predicting the Probability of a Recession with Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading Indicator Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 3/00, Mar.
• Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 2000, "Nominal Income Targeting in an Open-Economy Optimizing Model," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6675, Jun.
• Mark Gertler & Cara S. Lown, 2000, "The Information in the High Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 7549, Feb.
• Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000, "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 7953, Oct.
• James D. Hamilton & Dong Heon Kim, 2000, "A Re-examination of the Predictability of Economic Activity Using the Yield Spread," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 7954, Oct.
• Vassiliki Koutsogeorgopoulou, 2000, "A Post-Mortem on Economic Outlook Projections," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 274, Dec, DOI: 10.1787/351822846618.
• Henry, Brian & Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J, 2000, "Adjustment Dynamics and the Natural Rate: An Account of UK Unemployment," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 52, issue 1, pages 178-203, January.
• Bilgili, Faik, 2000, "Forecasting the Macro Targets of Turkish Economy for the Year 2000: An Application of Box-Jenkins and Exponential Smoothing Methods," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 75532.
• Françoise Charpin & Hervé Péléraux, 2000, "L'indicateur avancé de l'OFCE," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, volume 72, issue 1, pages 133-155, DOI: 10.3406/ofce.2000.1572.
• Andrea Brischetto & Graham Voss, 2000, "Forecasting Australian Economic Activity Using Leading Indicators," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2000-02, Apr.
• Meredith Beechey & Nargis Bharucha & Adam Cagliarini & David Gruen & Christopher Thompson, 2000, "A Small Model of the Australian Macroeconomy," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2000-05, Jun.
• Klaus Göggelmann & Peter Winker & Martin Schellhorn & Wolfgang Franz, 2000, "Quasi-Monte Carlo methods in stochastic simulations: An application to policy simulations using a disequilibrium model of the West German economy 1960-1994," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 25, issue 2, pages 247-259.
• Vincent (Vincent Peter) Hogan, 2000, "The behaviour of inflation and unemployment in the United States," Working Papers, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 200016, Jun.
• Michael Berlemann & Kalina Dimitrova & Nikolay Nenovsky, 2000, "Assessing Market Expectations on Exchange Rates and Inflation: A Pilot Forecasting System for Bulgaria," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan, number wp759, Mar.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 2000, "Unsolved Econometric Problems in Nonlinearity, Chaos, and Bifurcation," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0004021, Sep.
• Döpke, Jörg, 2000, "Macroeconomic Forecasts and the Nature of Economic Shocks in Germany," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 972.
• van Zandweghe, Willem & Martinez Rico, Felipe & Gottschalk, Jan, 2000, "Money as an Indicator in the Euro Zone," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 984.
• Munir A. Jalil & Luis Fernando Melo, 2000, "Una Relación no Líneal entre Inflación y los Medios de Pago," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 145, Apr, DOI: 10.32468/be.145.
• Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 2000, "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 119, Jul.
• Potter Simon M., 2000, "A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 4, issue 2, pages 1-11, July, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1058.
• Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2000, "An Index of Coincident Economic Indicators for the Indian Economy," Working papers, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics, number 73, Jan.
• Hans-Dieter Karl, 2000, "AIECE-Prognose: Weltrohstoffpreise 2001," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 53, issue 14, pages 14-22, May.
• Söderlind, Paul, 2000, "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 2499, Jul.
• Ritschl, Albrecht & Woitek, Ulrich, 2000, "Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 2547, Sep.
• Moen, Jon R. & Tallman, Ellis W., 2000, "Clearinghouse Membership and Deposit Contraction during the Panic of 1907," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, volume 60, issue 1, pages 145-163, March.
• Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2000, "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 12, Feb.
• Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2000, "Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society, number 1421, Aug.
• Barnett, William A. & Serletis, Apostolos, 2000, "Martingales, nonlinearity, and chaos," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 24, issue 5-7, pages 703-724, June.
• Mohamad Shaaf, 2000, "Predicting Recession Using the Yield Curve: An Artificial Intelligence and Econometric Comparison," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, volume 26, issue 2, pages 171-190, Spring.
• D'Amuri, Francesco & Marcucci, Juri, 2009, "‘Google it!’ Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index," ISER Working Paper Series, Institute for Social and Economic Research, number 2009-32, Nov.
• Barrell, R. & Pina, A.M., 2000, "How Important are Automatic Stabilizers in Europe? A Stochastic Simulation Assessment," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number eco2000/2.
• Adam, K., 2000, "Adaptive Learning and the Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number eco2000/25.
• Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000, "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
• Hogan, V., 2000, "The Behaviour of Inflation and Unemployment the United States," Papers, College Dublin, Department of Political Economy-, number 00/16.
• Packalen, M., 2000, "On the Learnability of Rational Expectations Equilibria in Three Business Cycle Models," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics, number 87.
• Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T., 2000, "Outlook for the Canadian Economy: National Projection Through 2020," Papers, Institute for Policy Analysis, number 2000-2.
• Albrecht Ritschl & Ulrich Woitek, 2000, "Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression? A Bayesian VAR Analysis for the U.S. Economy," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2000_07, Jun.
• Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2000, "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 384, May, revised 06 Nov 2001.
• Svensson, Lars & Woodford, Michael, 2000, "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," Seminar Papers, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies, number 688, Sep.
• Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2000, "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 103, Feb.
• SaangJoon Baak, 2000, "Heterogeneous Expectations, Volatility and Welfare," Working Papers, Research Institute, International University of Japan, number EMS_2000_01, Jun.
• Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2000, "Forecasting And Turning Point Predictions In A Bayesian Panel Var Model," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2000-05, Mar.
• Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 2000, "Characteristics of Unemployment Dynamics: The Chain Reaction Approach," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 127, Mar.

1999

• Richard Dion, 1999, "Indicator Models of Core Inflation for Canada," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 99-13, DOI: 10.34989/swp-1999-13.
• René Lalonde, 1999, "The U.S. Capacity Utilization Rate: A New Estimation Approach," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 99-14, DOI: 10.34989/swp-1999-14.
• Greg Tkacz & Sarah Hu, 1999, "Forecasting GDP Growth Using Artificial Neural Networks," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 99-3, DOI: 10.34989/swp-1999-3.
• Camilo Zea, 1999, "Financial Inefficiency and Real Business Cycle in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 127, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.127.
• Peter N. Ireland, 1999, "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 421, Apr.
• Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999, "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 1/RT/99, Mar.
• Wolfgang Nierhaus, 1999, "Aus dem Instrumentenkasten der Konjunkturanalyse : Veränderungen im Vergleich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 52, issue 27, pages 11-19, October.
• Luis Eduardo Arango, 1999, "Componentes no observados de la inflación en Colombia," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario.
• Martin Boileau & Michel Normandin, 1999, "Capacity Utilization and the Dynamics of Business Cycle Fluctuations," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal, number 92, Sep.
• Peter Ireland, 1999, "Matlab code for A Method for Taking Models to the Data," QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles, number 46, revised .
• Malliaris, A. G. & Stein, Jerome L., 1999, "Methodological issues in asset pricing: Random walk or chaotic dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 23, issue 11, pages 1605-1635, November.
• McCallum, Bennett T. & Nelson, Edward, 1999, "Nominal income targeting in an open-economy optimizing model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 43, issue 3, pages 553-578, June.
• Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J., 1999, "A New Approach to the Analysis of Shocks and the Cycle in a Model of Output and Employment," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number eco99/30.
• Peter N. Ireland, 1999, "A method for taking models to the data," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9903, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-199903.
• Atta, J.K. & Jefferis, K.R. & Mannathoko, I. & Siwawa-Ndai, P., 1999, "Exchange Rate Policy and Prices Determination in Botswana," Papers, African Economic Research Consortium, number 93.
• Mitra, K., 1999, "Is More Data Better?," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics, number 452.
• Honkapohja, S. & Mitra, K., 1999, "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics, number 456.
• Robin L. Lumsdaine & Mr. Eswar S Prasad, 1999, "Identifying the Common Component in International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 1999/154, Nov.
• Snower, Dennis J. & Karanassou, Marika & Henry, Brian, 1999, "Adjustment Dynamics and the Natural Rate: An Account of UK Unemployment," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 75, Dec.
• Grupp Hariolf, 1999, "Umweltfreundliche Innovation durch Preissignale oder Regulation? / Environment-friendly Innovation by Price Signals or Regulation?: Eine empirische Untersuchung für Deutschland / An Empirical Investigation for Germany," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 219, issue 5-6, pages 611-631, October, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-1999-5-622.
• Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1999, "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semiclassical Structural Model," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Monetary Policy Rules".
• Victor Zarnowitz, 1999, "Has the Business Cycle Been Abolished?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6367, Apr.
• Gertler, Mark & Lown, Cara S, 1999, "The Information in the High-Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, volume 15, issue 3, pages 132-150, Autumn.
• Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999, "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 11361, Mar.
• Khazri, Afifa, 1999, "Contrats salariaux, rétention de main-d’œuvre et cycle économique
  [Wage Contracts, Labor Retention and Economic Cycle]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86755, Dec.
• Khazri, Afifa, 1999, "Contrats salariaux, rétention de main-d’œuvre et cycle économique
  [Wage Contracts, Labor Retention and Economic Cycle]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86947, Dec.
• Andrea Brischetto & Graham Voss, 1999, "A Structural Vector Autoregression Model of Monetary Policy in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp1999-11, Dec.
• Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 1999, "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics, number 1052, Mar.
• Peter Ireland, 1999, "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics, number 1233, Mar.
• Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja, 1999, "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics, number 221, Mar.
• Nicolas A. Cuche & Martin K. Hess, 1999, "Estimating Monthly GDP In A General Kalman Filter Framework: Evidence From Switzerland," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee, number 99.02, Mar.
• Wilfredo Leiva, 1999, "Adaptive learning in models with lagged variables," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 413, Oct.
• Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 1999, "Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 443, Oct.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 1999, "Center Manifold, Stability, and Bifurcations in Continuous Time Macroeconometric Systems," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9901002, Jan.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He & ., 1999, "Stabilization Policy as Bifurcation Selection: Would Keynesian Policy Work if the World Really were Keynesian?," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9906008, Jun.
• Schumacher, Christian & Loose, Brigitte & Langmantel, Erich & Gottschalk, Jan & Fritsche, Ulrich & Döpke, Jörg, 1999, "Indikatoren zur Prognose der Investitionen in Deutschland," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 906.

1998

• Julio J. Rotemberg & Michael Woodford, 1998, "An Optimization-Based Econometric Framework for the Evaluation of Monetary Policy: Expanded Version," NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 0233, May.
• Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998, "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6599, Jun.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1998, "Diffusion Indexes," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6702, Aug.
• Paul Conway & Aaron Drew & Ben Hunt & Alasdair Scott, 1998, "Exchange rate effects and inflation targeting in a small open economy: a stochastic analysis using FPS," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number G99/4, May.
• Meyler, Aidan & Kenny, Geoff & Quinn, Terry, 1998, "Forecasting irish inflation using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 11359, Dec.
• Andreou, A. S. & Zombanakis, George A. & Likothanassis, S. D. & Georgakopoulos, E., 1998, "Modeling And Forecasting Exchange-Rate Shocks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 51539, Mar, revised 06 Jun 1998.
• Goyal, Ashima, 1998, "Labour Market Institutions, Real Wages and Macroeconomic Outcomes," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67130.
• Martin Chalkley & In Ho Lee, 1998, "Learning and Asymmetric Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 1, issue 3, pages 623-645, July, DOI: 10.1006/redy.1998.0024.
• Torbjørn Eika & Knut A. Magnussen, 1998, "Did Norway Gain from the 1979-85 Oil Price Shock?," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 210, Feb.
• William A. Barnett & Apostolos Serletis, 1998, "Martingales, Nonlinearity, and Chaos," Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9805003, Jun.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 1998, "Bifurcations in Continuous-Time Macroeconomic Systems," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9805018, Jun.
• Randal J. Verbrugge, 1998, "A cross-country investigation of macroeconomic asymmetries," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9809017, Sep, revised 30 Sep 1998.
• Kaiser, Ulrich & Buscher, Herbert S., 1998, "Der Service Sentiment Indicator: Ein Konjunkturklimaindikator für den Wirtschaftszweig unternehmensnahe Dienstleistungen," ZEW Dokumentationen, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 98-04.
• Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Quinn, Terry, 1998, "Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 3/RT/98, Dec.
• Luis Fernando Melo & Martha Misas, 1998, "Análisis del comportamiento de la inflación trimestral en Colombia bajo cambios de régimen: Una evidencia a través del modelo "Switching" de Hamilton," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario.
• ROCHON, Céline, 1998, "Liquidity constraints and cycles," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 1998007, Jan.
• Jean-Christophe PEREAU, 1998, "Négociation salariale en terme réel et en terme nominal : Une analyse des propriétés dynamiques d’un modèle avec contrats échelonnés," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES), number 1998033, Sep.
• Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998, "Performance of operational policy rules in an estimated semi-classical structural model," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue mar.
• Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T., 1998, "National Projection Throughgh 2020," Papers, California Davis - Institute of Governmental Affairs, number 98-1.
• Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T., 1998, "Outlook for the Canadian Economy: National Projection Through 2020," Papers, California Davis - Institute of Governmental Affairs, number 98-3.
• Mitra, K., 1998, "On the Relationship of Optimal Memory to Steady States, Cycles, Chaos," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics, number 433.
• Gardes, F. & Ghabri, S. & Pichery, M.-C., 1998, "A Comparison of France and the United States. Rationality of Price and Unemployment Expectations: Tests on French Quality Micro-Data," Papiers du Laboratoire de Microéconomie Appliquée, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), number 1998-11.
• Sbordone, A.M., 1998, "Prices and Unit Labor Costs: a New Test of Price Stickiness," Papers, Stockholm - International Economic Studies, number 653.
• Ana E. Lamo, 1998, "- Unemployment In Europe And Regional Labor Fluctuations," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 1998-19, Sep.

1997

• Muellbauer, John, 1997, "Income Persistence and Macro-Policy Feedbacks in the United States," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 1557, Feb.
• Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 1997, "Is the natural rate a reference point?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 41, issue 3-5, pages 559-569, April.
• Lopez, H & Ortega, E & Ubide, A, 1997, "Dating and Forecasting the Spanish Business Cycle," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number eco97/05.
• Schmitter, P.C. & Grote, J.R., 1997, "The Corporatist Sisyphus: Past, Present and Future," Papers, European Institute - Political and Social Sciences, number 97/4.
• Russell W. Cooper, 1997, "Business Cycles: Theory, Evidence and Implications," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 5994, Apr.
• Victor Zarnowitz, 1997, "Business Cycles Observed and Assessed: Why and How They Matter," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6230, Oct.
• W A Razzak, 1997, "Testing the rationality of the National Bank of New Zealand's survey data," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number G97/5, Jul.
• Freeman, Alan, 1997, "An endogenous profit rate cycle," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 1138.
• Norbert Funke, 1997, "Predicting recessions: Some evidence for Germany," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), volume 133, issue 1, pages 90-102, March, DOI: 10.1007/BF02707678.
• Döpke, Jörg & Langfeldt, Enno, 1997, "Abnehmende Bedeutung der Lagerinvestitionen für den Konjunkturverlauf?," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 815.

1996

• Bertrand Candelon & Jean-François Jacques, 1996, "La modélisation multivariée des contributions : Une tentative d'explication des derniers retournements de la conjoncture," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), number 96003, Jan.
• Kenneth Y. Chay & David S. Lee, 1996, "Changes in Relative Wages in the 1980s: Returns to Observed and Unobserved Skills and Black-White Wage Differentials," Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section., number 751, Dec.
• Ray Barrell & Knut A. Magnussen, 1996, "Counterfactual Analyses of Oil Price Shocks using a World Model," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 177, Jul.
• Einar Bowitz & Stein Inge Hove, 1996, "Business cycles and fiscal policy: Norway 1973-93," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 178, Aug.
• Harrison, Steve, 1996, "Cost-Benefit Analysis with Applications to Animal Health Programmes: Spreadsheet Implementation of Discounted Cash Flow and Risk Analysis," Animal Health Economics, University of Queensland, School of Economics, number 164571, Sep, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.164571.
• Marika Karanassou & Dennis Snower, 1996, "Is the Natural Rate a Reference Point?," Archive Discussion Papers, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 9623.
• Jamie Armour & Joseph Atta-Mensah & Walter Engert & Scott Hendry, 1996, "A Distant-Early-Warning Model of Inflation Based on M1 Disequilibria," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 96-5, DOI: 10.34989/swp-1996-5.
• María de los Llanos Matea & Ana Valentina Regil, 1996, "Short-term inflation indicators," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 9621.
• Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1996, "Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 14, issue 1, pages 11-30, January.
• Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 1996, "Is the Natural Rate a Reference Point?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 1507, Nov.
• Candelon, B., 1996, "La modelisation multivariee des contributions: une tentative d'explication des derniers retournements de la conjoncture," Papiers d'Economie Mathématique et Applications, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), number 96.03.
• Ana R. LAMO, 1996, "Unemployment in Europe and Regional Labour Fluctuations," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie, number 9620, Sep.

1995

• McKibbin, W.J. & Siegloff, E., 1995, "International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination : Implications for Australia," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University, number 334.
• Mika Linden, 1995, "Interest rate and inflation expectations in Finland 1987-1994 : a case for the inverted fisher hypothesis," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, volume 8, issue 2, pages 108-115, Autumn.
• Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 1995, "Tobin's Q and asset returns: implications for business cycle analysis," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number 95-14.
• Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 1995, "Tobin's Q and asset returns: implications for business cycle analysis," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 200.
• Brännström, Tomas, 1995, "Money Growth and Inflation: Implications of Reducing the Bias of VAR Estimates," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 82, Nov.
• Malliaris, A G & Malliaris, Mary E, 1995, "Decomposition of Inflation and Its Volatility: A Stochastic Approach," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, volume 5, issue 1, pages 93-103, March.
• Stephen G. Cecchetti, 1995, "Inflation Indicators and Inflation Policy," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1995, Volume 10".
• Stephen G. Cecchetti, 1995, "Inflation Indicators and Inflation Policy," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 5161, Jun.
• Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas Fisher, 1995, "Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cycle Analysis," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 5292, Oct.
• Artis, Michael J, et al, 1995, "Turning Point Prediction for the UK Using CSO Leading Indicators," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 47, issue 3, pages 397-417, July.
• Gary G. Moser, 1995, "The Main Determinants of Inflation in Nigeria," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 42, issue 2, pages 270-289, June.
• Jordan, Thomas J & Lenz, Carlos, 1995, "Monetary and Real Shocks in a Monetary Union: The Swiss Case," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 20, issue 4, pages 635-649.
• Teresa Garcia-Milà & Albert Marcet & Eva Ventura, 1995, "Supply side interventions and redistribution," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 115, Jun.
• Fisher, J.D.M. & Christiano, L.J., 1995, "Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cyle Analysis," University of Western Ontario, Departmental Research Report Series, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics, number 9515.
• Michelis, L., 1995, "Non-Nested Pretest Tests," University of Western Ontario, Departmental Research Report Series, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics, number 9520.
• Clements, Michael P., 2010, "Why are survey forecasts superior to model forecasts?," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics, number 954.

1994

• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1994, "Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations," NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 0164, Sep.
• Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 1994, "Diffusion of Technical Change and the Decomposition of Output into Trend and Cycle," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 61, issue 1, pages 19-30.
• Thomas Jordan & Carlos Lenz, 1994, "Monetary and Real Shocks in a Monetary Union: The Swiss Case," Diskussionsschriften, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft, number dp9403, Mar.
• Marco Lippi & Lucrezia Reichlin, 1994, "Diffusion of technical change and the decomposition of output into trend and cycle," ULB Institutional Repository, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2013/10157, Jan.
• Martin Fleming & John Jordan & Kathleen Lang, 1994, "Macroeconomic Policy and Methodological Misdirection in the National Income and Product Accounts," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 278, Jul.
• Quah, Danny, 1994, "One Business Cycle and One Trend from (Many) Many Disaggregates," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 873, Jan.
• Dezhbakhsh, Hashem & Levy, Daniel, 1994, "Periodic properties of interpolated time series," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 44, issue 3, pages 221-228.
• Quah, Danny, 1994, "One business cycle and one trend from (many,) many disaggregates," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 38, issue 3-4, pages 605-614, April.