IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rpo/ripoec/v92y2002i5p57-96.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Il contenuto informativo dell’attività fieristica per l’analisi congiunturale

Author

Listed:
  • Emilio Colombo

    () (Università di Milano-Bicocca)

  • Luca Matteo Stanca

    () (Università di Milano-Bicocca)

Abstract

This paper provides an empirical investigation of the informative content of indicators of trade exhibition activity for business cycle analysis. We analyse the comovements between alternative indicators of trade exhibition activity and reference variables at both aggregate and disaggregate level. The results indicate a systematic pattern in the co-movements between many of the indicators examined and the reference variables. Both correlation and turning point analyses show a leading behaviour for some indicators. The forecasting analysis suggests, for some of the series considered, a significant predictive content. Overall, the results suggest that appropriate indicators of trade exhibition activity could potentially represent useful instruments for business cycle analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Emilio Colombo & Luca Matteo Stanca, 2002. "Il contenuto informativo dell’attività fieristica per l’analisi congiunturale," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 92(5), pages 57-96, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:rpo:ripoec:v:92:y:2002:i:5:p:57-96
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.rivistapoliticaeconomica.it/2002/set-ott/stanca.php
    Download Restriction: no

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rpo:ripoec:v:92:y:2002:i:5:p:57-96. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Sabrina Marino). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.