Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2010

• M.D Mtembu & G.R. Motlaleng, 2010, "The Effects Of Exchange Rate Volatility On Swaziland’S Exports," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 6, pages 167-186, December.
• Lucian-Liviu Albu & John M. Polimeni & Raluca I. Iorgulescu, 2010, "Spatial Distribution of Key Macroeconomic Growth Indicators in the EU-27: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," AIEL Series in Labour Economics, AIEL - Associazione Italiana Economisti del Lavoro, chapter 7, in: Floro Ernesto Caroleo & Francesco Pastore, "The Labour Market Impact of the EU Enlargement. A New Regional Geography of Europe?".
• Bao, T. & Hommes, C.H. & Sonnemans, J. & Tuinstra, J., 2010, "Individual Expectations, Limited Rationality and Aggregate Outcomes," CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance, number 10-07.
• Ellen E. Meade & Daniel L. Thornton, 2010, "The Phillips Curve and US Monetary Policy: What the FOMC Transcripts Tell Us," Working Papers, American University, Department of Economics, number 2010-18, Dec, DOI: 10.17606/p7em-2241.
• Stefan Kerbl, 2010, "Regulatory Medicine Against Financial Market Instability: What Helps And What Hurts?," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1011.6284, Nov, revised Nov 2010.
• Alfred Maussner, 2010, "The Analytics of New Keynesian Phillips Curves," Discussion Paper Series, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics, number 313, Nov.
• Marin Marinov, 2010, "Possibilities to Study the Market Trend Fluctuations by Means of Indicators for Technical Analysis," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 68-85.
• Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009, "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 0909, Oct.
• Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2009, "Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 0910, Oct.
• James Rossiter, 2010, "Nowcasting the Global Economy," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-12, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2010-12.
• Claudia Godbout & Jocelyn Jacob, 2010, "Le pouvoir de prévision des indices PMI," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-3, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2010-3.
• Jeannine Bailliu & Patrick Blagrave & James Rossiter, 2010, "Introducing the Bank of Canada's Projection Model for the Global Economy," Technical Reports, Bank of Canada, number 99, DOI: 10.34989/tr-99.
• Nikita Perevalov & Philipp Maier, 2010, "On the Advantages of Disaggregated Data: Insights from Forecasting the U.S. Economy in a Data-Rich Environment," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-10, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2010-10.
• Marco J. Lombardi & Philipp Maier, 2010, "‘Lean’ versus ‘Rich’ Data Sets: Forecasting during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-37, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2010-37.
• David de Antonio Liedo, 2010, "General Equilibrium Restrictions for Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1012, Apr.
• David de Antonio Liedo & Elena Fernández Muñoz, 2010, "Nowcasting Spanish GDP growth in real time: "One and a half months earlier"," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1037, Dec.
• Michele Caivano & Lisa Rodano & Stefano Siviero, 2010, "The transmission of the global financial crisis to the Italian economy. A counterfactual analysis, 2008-2010," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 64, Apr.
• Gianluca Moretti & Giulio Nicoletti, 2010, "Estimating DSGE models with unknown data persistence," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 750, Mar.
• Claudia Miani & Stefano Siviero, 2010, "A non-parametric model-based approach to uncertainty and risk analysis of macroeconomic forecast," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 758, Apr.
• Libero Monteforte & Gianluca Moretti, 2010, "Real time forecasts of inflation: the role of financial variables," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 767, Jul.
• Antonio Bassanetti & Michele Caivano & Alberto Locarno, 2010, "Modelling Italian potential output and the output gap," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 771, Sep.
• Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl, 2010, "Forecasting Inflation in Mexico Using Factor Models: Do Disaggregated CPI Data Improve Forecast Accuracy?," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-01, Mar.
• López Moctezuma Gabriel & Capistrán Carlos, 2010, "Forecast Revisions of Mexican Inflation and GDP Growth," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-11, Oct.
• Benavides Guillermo, 2010, "Forecasting Short-Run Inflation Volatility using Futures Prices: An Empirical Analysis from a Value at Risk Perspective," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-12, Oct.
• Philippe Andrade & Hervé Le Bihan, 2010, "Inattentive professional forecasters," Working papers, Banque de France, number 307.
• Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2015, "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 422, Sep.
• Frank Leung & Kevin Chow & Simon Chan, 2010, "Measures of trend inflation in Hong Kong," BIS Papers chapters, Bank for International Settlements, in: Bank for International Settlements, "Monetary policy and the measurement of inflation: prices, wages and expectations".
• Fernanda Cuitiño & Elena Ganón & Ina Tiscordio & Leonardo Vicente, 2010, "Modelos univariados de series de tiempo para predecir la inflación de corto plazo," Documentos de trabajo, Banco Central del Uruguay, number 2010008, Aug.
• Dieter Gerdesmeier & Hans‐Eggert Reimers & Barbara Roffia, 2010, "Asset Price Misalignments and the Role of Money and Credit," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, volume 13, issue 3, pages 377-407, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2362.2010.01272.x.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010, "Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/02, Mar.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2010, "Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/18, Sep.
• Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2010, "Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/29, Dec.
• Hilde C. Bjørnland & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Christie Smith, 2010, "Does forecast combination improve Norges Bank inflation forecasts?," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 2/2010, Dec.
• Tanya Suhoy, 2010, "Monthly Assessments of Private Consumption," Bank of Israel Working Papers, Bank of Israel, number 2010.09, Aug.
• Takuji Fueki & Ichiro Fukunaga & Hibiki Ichiue & Toyoichiro Shirota, 2010, "Measuring Potential Growth with an Estimated DSGE Model of Japan's Economy," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 10-E-13, Dec.
• Woong Kim, 2010, "Assessment of Deflation Risk in Korea (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, volume 16, issue 2, pages 117-142, June.
• Daniel Tortorice, 2010, "Unemployment Expectations and the Business Cycle," Working Papers, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, number 05, Apr, revised Mar 2011.
• José Luis Oreiro & Celso Vila Nova de Souza & Kelly Pereira Guedes & Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza, 2010, "Um Modelo Keynes-Minsky Generalizado de Flutuações Cíclicas," Working papers - Textos para Discussao do Departamento de Economia da Universidade de Brasilia, Departamento de Economia da Universidade de Brasilia, number 337, Nov.
• Laurent Ferrara, 2010, "Les variables financières sont-elles utiles pour anticiper la croissance économique ?. Quelques évidences économétriques," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, volume 61, issue 3, pages 645-655.
• D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2010, "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 5/RT/10, Apr.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/09, Mar.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/12, Apr.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/16, Apr.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/35, May.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010, "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/36, May.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Globalization and Knowledge Spillover: International Direct Investment, Exports and Patents," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/54, Aug.
• Ping-Yu Chen & Chia-Lin Chang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/55, Sep.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/74, Dec.
• Chengsi Zhang & Joel Clovis, 2010, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve of rational expectations: A serial correlation extension," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, volume 13, pages 159-179, May.
• M. Hakan Berument & Afsin Sahin, 2010, "Seasonality in inflation volatility: Evidence from Turkey," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, volume 13, pages 39-65, May.
• Pooyan Amir Ahmadi & Albrecht Ritschl, 2010, "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0967, Jan.
• Albrecht Ritschl & Samad Salferaz, 2010, "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0977, May.
• Michael Graff & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2010, "The Information Content of Capacity Utilisation Rates for Output Gap Estimates," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3276.
• Joachim Ragnitz & Stefan Arent & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Beate Schirwitz & Johannes Steinbrecher & Gerit Vogt & Björn Ziegenbalg, 2010, "Methodenexpertise zur Analyse der Auswirkungen der internationalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise auf die Wirtschaft im Land Brandenburg : Gutachten im Auftrag des Ministeriums für Wirtschaft des Landes Brandenburg," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 53, February.
• François Lescaroux, 2010, "The petroleum market: The ongoing oil price “shock” and the next “counter-shock”," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 121, pages 99-130.
• Jan Filacek & Branislav Saxa, 2010, "Central Bank Forecasts as a Coordination Device," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2010/13, Dec.
• Filip Novotny & Marie Rakova, 2010, "Assessment of Consensus Forecasts Accuracy: The Czech National Bank Perspective," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2010/14, Dec.
• Herman Kamil & Jos� David Pulido & Jos� Luis Torres, 2010, "El IMACO": un �ndice mensual l�der de la actividad econ�mica en Colombia"," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 7129, Jun.
• Eliana Gonz�lez & Munir Jalil & Jose Vicente Romero Chamorro, 2010, "Inflaci�n y expectativas de inflaci�n en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 7307, Aug.
• Andrés Vélez, 2010, "valoracion de las quality options en los futuros de TES," Análisis - Revista del Mercado de Valores, Autorregulador del Mercado de Valores de Colombia.
• Carlos Aldana & Felipe Aristizabal & Claudia Echavarría, 2010, "Instrumentos regulatorios para fomentar la profundizacion del mercado de deuda privada en Colombia," Análisis - Revista del Mercado de Valores, Autorregulador del Mercado de Valores de Colombia.
• María Rosa Álvarez Castrillón & Andr�s Ram�rez Hassan & Alejandro Rend�n Barrera, 2010, "La curva de rendimientos como un indicador adelantado de la actividad económica, el caso colombiano: Período 2001-2009," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT.
• George Verikios & James McCaw & Jodie McVernon & Anthony Harris, 2010, "H1N1 influenza in Australia and its macroeconomic effects," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre, number g-212, Dec.
• Peter Broer & Jürgen Antony, 2010, "Linkages between the Financial and the Real Sector of the Economy: A Literature Survey," CPB Document, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 216, Dec.
• Minford, Patrick & Fan, Jingwen, 2010, "Can the Fiscal Theory of the price level explain UK inflation in the 1970s?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7630, Jan.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Musso, Alberto, 2010, "The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7716, Feb.
• Garratt, Anthony & Vahey, Shaun & Mitchell, James, 2010, "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7742, Mar.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Musso, Alberto, 2010, "The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7763, Mar.
• Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2010, "The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7870, Jun.
• Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2010, "New methods for forecasting inflation, applied to the US," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7877, Jun.
• Altug, Sumru & Bildirici, Melike, 2010, "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime-switching Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7968, Aug.
• Galí, Jordi, 2010, "Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 8027, Sep.
• Gabaix, Xavier & Carvalho, Vasco, 2010, "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 8044, Oct.
• Mario Coccia, 2010, "Positive and negative stress in business cycle behaviour," CERIS Working Paper, CNR-IRCrES Research Institute on Sustainable Economic Growth - Torino (TO) ITALY - former Institute for Economic Research on Firms and Growth - Moncalieri (TO) ITALY, number 201001, Jun.
• Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2010, "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1745, Jan.
• Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2010, "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1745R, Jan, revised Nov 2011.
• Igor Vetlov & Ricardo Mourinho Felix & Laure Frey & Tibor Hledik & Zoltan Jakab & Niki Papadopoulou & Lukas Reiss & Martin Schneider, 2010, "The Implementation of Scenarios using DSGE Models," Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus, number 2010-10, Dec.
• Dorothea Lucke, 2010, "Deutsche Industrie kommt mit Schwung aus der Krise," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 77, issue 47, pages 13-20.
• Boriss Siliverstovs & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2010, "Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 970.
• Sylvain Prado, 2010, "A Family Hitch : Econometrics of the New and the Used Car Markets," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2010-4.
• Paul Levine, 2010, "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World : Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Macroeconomics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research, number 21853, Jan.
• Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010, "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," Macroeconomics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research, number 21992, Jan.
• Teresa Garcia-Milà & Albert Marcet & Eva Ventura, 2010, "Supply Side Interventions and Redistribution," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 120, issue 543, pages 105-130, March.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2010, "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2010-113.
• Rasmus Kattai, 2010, "Credit risk model for the Estonian banking sector," Bank of Estonia Working Papers, Bank of Estonia, number wp2010-01, Feb, revised 04 Feb 2010.
• Dorofeenko, Victor & Lee, Gabriel S. & Salyer, Kevin D., 2010, "A new algorithm for solving dynamic stochastic macroeconomic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 3, pages 388-403, March.
• Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2010, "An Empirical Analysis of Real Activity and Stock Returns in an Emerging Market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 2, pages 263-271, September.
• Barnett, William A. & He, Susan, 2010, "Existence of singularity bifurcation in an Euler-equations model of the United States economy: Grandmont was right," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 6, pages 1345-1354, November.
• Sinclair, Tara M. & Joutz, Fred & Stekler, H.O., 2010, "Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 108, issue 1, pages 28-32, July.
• Clements, Michael P., 2010, "Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 4, pages 536-549, May.
• Guse, Eran A., 2010, "Heterogeneous expectations, adaptive learning, and evolutionary dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 74, issue 1-2, pages 42-57, May.
• Blair, Andrew R. & Mandelker, Gershon N. & Saaty, Thomas L. & Whitaker, Rozann, 2010, "Forecasting the resurgence of the U.S. economy in 2010: An expert judgment approach," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, volume 44, issue 3, pages 114-121, September.
• E. M. Bentour & W. A. Razzak, 2010, "Real Interest Rates, Bubbles and Monetary Policy in the GCC countries," EERI Research Paper Series, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels, number EERI_RP_2010_03, Jan.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010, "Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2010-10, Apr.
• Don Harding, 2010, "Applying Shape and Phase Restrictions in Generalized Dynamic Categorical Models of the Business Cycle," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2010-25, Sep.
• Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2010, "Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2010-34, Dec.
• Guillermo Benavides, 2010, "Forecasting Short-Run Inflation Volatility using Futures Prices: An Empirical Analysis from a Value at Risk Perspective," Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics), Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México, volume 4, issue 2, pages 1-27.
• Oguz Kaynar & Serkan Tastan & Ferhan Demirkoparan, 2010, "Ham Petrol Fiyatlarinin Yapay Sinir Aglari ile Tahmini," Ege Academic Review, Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, volume 10, issue 2, pages 559-573.
• Ritschl, Albrecht & Salferaz, Samad, 2010, "Crisis?: What crisis?: currency vs. banking in the financial crisis of 1931," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 28726.
• Cassou, Steven P. & Vázquez Pérez, Jesús, 2010, "New Keynesian Model Features that Can Reproduce Lead, Lag and Persistence Patterns," DFAEII Working Papers, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, number 1988-088X, Apr.
• Gianluca Benigno & Pierpaolo Benigno & Salvatore Nisticò, 2010, "Second-Order Approximation of Dynamic Models with Time-Varying Risk," EIEF Working Papers Series, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), number 1021, revised Dec 2010.
• Bentancor, Andrea & Pincheira, Pablo, 2010, "Predicción de errores de proyección de inflación en Chile," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 77, issue 305, pages 129-154, enero-mar, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v77i.
• Capistrán, Carlos & López-Moctezuma, Gabriel, 2010, "Las expectativas macroeconómicas de los especialistas. Una evaluación de pronósticos de corto plazo en México," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 77, issue 306, pages 275-312, abril-jun, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v77i.
• Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J. & Legerstee, R., 2010, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecast: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2010-19, Mar.
• Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2010-24, Apr.
• Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2010, "Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2010-44, Jul.
• Chen, P-Y. & Chang, C-L. & Chen, C-C. & McAleer, M.J., 2010, "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2010-56, Sep.
• Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010, "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecast," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2010-74, Dec.
• Tausch, Arno, 2010, "Paul Boccara's analysis of global capitalism. the return of the Bourbons, and the breakdown of the Brussels / Paris neo-liberal consensus," Entelequia. Revista Interdisciplinar, Entelequia y Servicios Académicos Intercontinentales SL, issue 12, pages 105-147, Fall.
• Paul Levine, 2010, "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Working Papers, eSocialSciences, number id:2761, Aug.
• Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2010, "A Leading Index for the Indian Economy," Working Papers, eSocialSciences, number id:2935, Oct.
• Lars Jonung & Staffan Linden, 2010, "The forecasting horizon of inflationary expectations and perceptions in the EU – Is it really 12 months?," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 435, Dec.
• Massimiliano Marcellino & Alberto Musso, 2010, "the Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2010/06.
• Xuanhua Xu & Bin Pan, 2010, "Capital Liquidity and Residents’ Consumption Decision: An Asymmetry Analysis of Economic Prosperity," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, volume 5, issue 4, pages 622-639, December.
• Francesco D’Amuri & Juri Marcucci, 2010, "“Google it!”Forecasting the US Unemployment Rate with a Google Job Search index," Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, number 2010.31, Mar.
• Robert J. Tetlow, 2010, "Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: 'Robust' policies put to the test," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2010-15.
• Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2010, "Input and output inventories in general equilibrium," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1004.
• Ellen E. Meade & Daniel L. Thornton, 2010, "The Phillips curve and US monetary policy: what the FOMC transcripts tell us," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2010-017, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2010.017.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010, "Real-time macroeconomic monitoring: real activity, inflation, and interactions," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 10-5.
• Vitor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2010, "How Do Central Banks React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," GEMF Working Papers, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, number 2010-19, Sep.
• Ullrich Heilemann & Herman O. Stekler, 2010, "Has the Accuracy of German Macroeconomic Forecasts Improved?," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2010-001, Feb, revised Feb 2012.
• William D. Larson, 2010, "Evaluating Alternative Methods of Forecasting House Prices: A Post-Crisis Reassessment," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2010-004, Dec, revised Feb 2011.
• Byron Ganges, 2010, "Alternative Policies for US Economic Recovery," Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, number 2010-02, Feb.
• F. Gerard Adams & Byron Ganges, 2010, "Why Hasn’t the US Economic Stimulus Been More Effective? The Debate on Tax and Expenditure Multipliers," Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, number 2010-10, Jul.
• Byron Gangnes, 2010, "The Employment Effects of Fiscal Policy: How Costly are ARRA Jobs?," Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, number 2010-16, Dec.
• Peter Fuleky & Carl Bonham, 2010, "Forecasting Based on Common Trends in Mixed Frequency Samples," Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, number 2010-17R1, Dec, revised Jul 2013.
• Byron Gangnes, 2010, "Alternative Policies for US Economic Recovery," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 201002, Feb.
• F. Gerard Adams & Byron Gangnes, 2010, "Why Hasn’t the US Economic Stimulus Been More Effective? The Debate on Tax and Expenditure Multipliers," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 201010, Jul.
• F. Gerard Adams & Byron Gangnes, 2010, "The Employment Effects of Fiscal Policy: How Costly Are ARRA Jobs?," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 201026, Dec.
• Giacomo Carboni & Martin Ellison, 2010, "Inflation and output volatility under asymmetric incomplete information," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-00753043, Nov, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2010.08.003.
• Jihène Bousrih, 2010, "Degree of openness and inflation targeting policy : model of a small open economy," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00460136, Jan.
• Jihène Bousrih, 2010, "Degree of openess and inflation targeting policy : model of small open economy," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00496405, Jun.
• Sylvain Prado, 2010, "A Family Hitch: Econometrics of the New and the Used Car Markets," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-04140927.
• Ulrich Fritsche & Ullrich Heilemann, 2010, "Too Many Cooks? The German Joint Diagnosis and Its Production," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 201001, Jan.
• Durevall, Dick & Loening, Josef L. & Birru, Yohannes A., 2010, "Inflation Dynamics and Food Prices in Ethiopia," Working Papers in Economics, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics, number 478, Dec, revised 03 Jun 2013.
• Andersson, Michael K. & Palmqvist, Stefan & Waggoner, Daniel F., 2010, "Density-Conditional Forecasts in Dynamic Multivariate Models," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 247, Sep.
• Lundholm, Michael, 2010, "Are Inflation Forecasts from Major Swedish Forecasters Biased?," Research Papers in Economics, Stockholm University, Department of Economics, number 2010:10, Jun.
• Lundholm, Michael, 2010, "Sveriges Riksbank's Inflation Interval Forecasts 1999-2005," Research Papers in Economics, Stockholm University, Department of Economics, number 2010:11, Jun.
• Mizuno, Takayuki & Watanabe, Tsutomu & Saito, Yukiko, 2010, "価格の実質硬直性―計測手法と応用例―, Real Price Rigidities -Measuring Method and Application-," Economic Review, Hitotsubashi University, volume 61, issue 1, pages 68-81, January, DOI: 10.15057/21450.
• Michael Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence Schembri, 2010, "Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s: (Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 6, issue 3, pages 51-99, September.
• Carlos Garcia & Pablo Gonzalez & Antonio Moncado, 2010, "Proyecciones Macroeconómicas en Chile: Una Aproximación Bayesiana," ILADES-UAH Working Papers, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, number inv262, Dec.
• Mr. Paul L Levine & Emanuela Lotti & Nicoletta Batini & Young-Bae Kim, 2010, "Informal Labour and Credit Markets: A Survey," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2010/042, Feb.
• Bousrih Jihene, 2010, "Degree of Openness and Inflation Targeting Policy: Model of a Small Open Economy," Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER, number 2010.2.
• Oliver Hossfeld, 2010, "US Money Demand, Monetary Overhang, and Inflation," Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER, number 2010.4.
• Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2010, "Measuring forecast uncertainty by disagreement: The missing link," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 25, issue 4, pages 514-538, DOI: 10.1002/jae.1167.
• Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2010, "Forecast evaluation of small nested model sets," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 25, issue 4, pages 574-594, DOI: 10.1002/jae.1176.
• Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010, "Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 25, issue 4, pages 621-634, DOI: 10.1002/jae.1162.
• Pablo A. Guerron-Quintana, 2010, "What you match does matter: the effects of data on DSGE estimation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 25, issue 5, pages 774-804, DOI: 10.1002/jae.1106.
• Helmut Hofer & Torsten Schmidt & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2010, "Practice and prospects of medium-term economic forecasting," NRN working papers, The Austrian Center for Labor Economics and the Analysis of the Welfare State, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria, number 2010-12, Aug.
• Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2010, "Survey data as coincident or leading indicators," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 1-2, pages 109-131, DOI: 10.1002/for.1142.
• Christian Kascha & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2010, "Combining inflation density forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 29, issue 1-2, pages 231-250, DOI: 10.1002/for.1147.
• Dionisios Chionis & Periklis Gogas & Ioannis Pragidis, 2010, "Predicting European Union Recessions in the Euro Era: The Yield Curve as a Forecasting Tool of Economic Activity," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, volume 16, issue 1, pages 1-10, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11294-009-9247-2.
• Asuncion Beamonte & Pilar Gargallo & Manuel Salvador, 2010, "Analysis of housing price by means of STAR models with neighbourhood effects: a Bayesian approach," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, volume 12, issue 2, pages 227-240, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10109-010-0115-7.
• Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2010, "Predicting Downturns in the US Housing Market: A Bayesian Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, volume 41, issue 3, pages 294-319, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11146-008-9163-x.
• Sang Hoon Kang & Seong-Min Yoon, 2010, "Sudden Changes and Persistence in Volatility of Korean Equity Sector Returns," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, volume 26, pages 431-451.
• Sumru Altug & Melike Bildirici, 2010, "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 1009, Mar.
• Konstantin Kholodilin & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2010, "Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 10-251, Jan, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005975867.
• Michael Graff & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2010, "The information content of capacity utilisation rates for output gap estimates," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 10-269, Nov, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010703548.

2009

• Nikolaos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009, "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, volume 55, issue 2, pages 107-120.
• Jean-Marie Dufour & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian, 2009, "Structural Multi-Equation Macroeconomic Models: Identification-Robust Estimation and Fit," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 09-19, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2009-19.
• Luis J. Álvarez & Samuel Hurtado & Isabel Sánchez & Carlos Thomas, 2009, "The impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 0904, Oct.
• Andrea Nobili, 2009, "Composite indicators for monetary analysis," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 713, May.
• Capistrán Carlos & Constandse Christian & Ramos Francia Manuel, 2009, "Using Seasonal Models to Forecast Short-Run Inflation in Mexico," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2009-05, Jul.
• Sidaoui José Julián & Capistrán Carlos & Chiquiar Daniel & Ramos Francia Manuel, 2009, "A Note on the Predictive Content of PPI over CPI Inflation: The Case of Mexico," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2009-14, Nov.
• Aruoba, S. BoraÄŸan & Diebold, Francis X. & Scotti, Chiara, 2009, "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, issue 4, pages 417-427.
• Capistrán, Carlos & Timmermann, Allan, 2009, "Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit of Experts," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, issue 4, pages 428-440.
• Faust, Jon & Wright, Jonathan H., 2009, "Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts Using a Large Realtime Dataset," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 27, issue 4, pages 468-479.
• Claire C l rier, 2009, "Forecasting inflation in France," Working papers, Banque de France, number 262.
• Vladimir Borgy & Laurent Clerc & Jean-Paul Renne, 2009, "Asset-price boom-bust cycles and credit: what is the scope of macro-prudential regulation?," Working papers, Banque de France, number 263.
• Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann, 2009, "Assessing the risk of banking crises - revisited," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
• Emi Nakamura, 2009, "Deconstructing The Success Of Real Business Cycles," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 47, issue 4, pages 739-753, October, DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2008.00141.x.
• Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2009, "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 71, issue 5, pages 683-713, October, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0084.2009.00557.x.
• Hilde C. Bjørnland & Karsten Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Christie Smith & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2009, "Does forecast combination improve Norges Bank inflation forecasts?," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2009/01, Jan.
• Ida Wolden Bache & James Mitchell & Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009, "Macro modelling with many models," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2009/15, Aug.
• Ida Wolden Bache & Anne Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009, "Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2009/23, Nov.
• Nikos G. Zonzilos & Zacharias G. Bragoudakis & Georgia I. Pavlou, 2009, "An analysis of the reliability of first (flash) quarterly national account data releases for Greece," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 32, pages 39-51, May.
• Eyal Argov, 2009, "The Choice of a Foreign Price Measure in a Bayesian Estimated New-Keynesian Model for Israel," Bank of Israel Working Papers, Bank of Israel, number 2009.04, Jun.
• Akira Otani & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Ryoko Tsurui & Takeshi Yamada, 2009, "Macro Stress-Testing on the Loan Portfolio of Japanese Banks," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 09-E-1, Mar.
• Ha-Hyun Jo & Sun-Oong Hwang, 2009, "Forecasting Economic Variables Using Disaggregated Data for Consumer Expectations: A Comparison of Forecast Combination Methods (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, volume 15, issue 1, pages 1-38, March.
• David R.F. Love, 2009, "Accuracy of Deterministic Extended-Path Solution Methods for Dynamic Stochastic Optimization Problems in Macroeconomics," Working Papers, Brock University, Department of Economics, number 0907, Nov.
• David R.F. Love, 2009, "Aggregate Comovements, Anticipation, and Business Cycles," Working Papers, Brock University, Department of Economics, number 0908, Nov.
• Stéphane Sorbe, 2009, "Un modèle de prix de l'immobilier pour estimer l'ampleur de la bulle américaine," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, volume 60, issue 1, pages 173-187.
• D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca & Giannone, Domenico & Giannone, Domenico, 2009, "Macroeconomic Forecasting and Structural Change," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 8/RT/09, Oct.