Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2016

• Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2016, "The role of fiscal policy in Britain's Great Inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, pages 203-218, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2016.05.027.
• Hur, Joonyoung & Kim, Insu, 2016, "Information rigidities in survey data: Evidence from dispersions in forecasts and forecast revisions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 142, issue C, pages 10-14, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.02.021.
• Baetje, Fabian & Friedrici, Karola, 2016, "Does cross-sectional forecast dispersion proxy for macroeconomic uncertainty? New empirical evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 143, issue C, pages 38-43, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.03.014.
• Barhoumi, Karim & Darné, Olivier & Ferrara, Laurent, 2016, "A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI)," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 146, issue C, pages 111-115, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.07.032.
• Lucotte, Yannick, 2016, "Co-movements between crude oil and food prices: A post-commodity boom perspective," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 147, issue C, pages 142-147, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.08.032.
• Chudik, Alexander & Grossman, Valerie & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2016, "A multi-country approach to forecasting output growth using PMIs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 192, issue 2, pages 349-365, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.02.003.
• Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016, "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 192, issue 2, pages 374-390, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.02.005.
• Del Negro, Marco & Hasegawa, Raiden B. & Schorfheide, Frank, 2016, "Dynamic prediction pools: An investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 192, issue 2, pages 391-405, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.02.006.
• Pettenuzzo, Davide & Timmermann, Allan & Valkanov, Rossen, 2016, "A MIDAS approach to modeling first and second moment dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 193, issue 2, pages 315-334, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.04.009.
• Pierdzioch, Christian & Reid, Monique B. & Gupta, Rangan, 2016, "Forecasting the South African inflation rate: On asymmetric loss and forecast rationality," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 1, pages 82-92, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2015.08.004.
• Caldara, Dario & Fuentes-Albero, Cristina & Gilchrist, Simon & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2016, "The macroeconomic impact of financial and uncertainty shocks," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, pages 185-207, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2016.02.020.
• Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2016, "In search of the Euro area fiscal stance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 39, issue PB, pages 254-264, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2016.06.007.
• Castro, César & Jerez, Miguel & Barge-Gil, Andrés, 2016, "The deflationary effect of oil prices in the euro area," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 56, issue C, pages 389-397, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.03.010.
• Naser, Hanan, 2016, "Estimating and forecasting the real prices of crude oil: A data rich model using a dynamic model averaging (DMA) approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 56, issue C, pages 75-87, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.02.017.
• Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Ma, Feng & Wu, Chongfeng, 2016, "What the investors need to know about forecasting oil futures return volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 57, issue C, pages 128-139, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.05.004.
• Haugom, Erik & Mydland, Ørjan & Pichler, Alois, 2016, "Long term oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, pages 84-94, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.06.014.
• Arouri, Mohamed & Estay, Christophe & Rault, Christophe & Roubaud, David, 2016, "Economic policy uncertainty and stock markets: Long-run evidence from the US," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 18, issue C, pages 136-141, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2016.04.011.
• Bekiros, Stelios & Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2016, "Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 26, issue C, pages 216-227, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2016.07.006.
• Oet, Mikhail V. & Gramlich, Dieter & Sarlin, Peter, 2016, "Evaluating measures of adverse financial conditions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 27, issue C, pages 234-249, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2016.06.008.
• Altug, Sumru & Çakmaklı, Cem, 2016, "Forecasting inflation using survey expectations and target inflation: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 1, pages 138-153, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.03.010.
• Aastveit, Knut Are & Jore, Anne Sofie & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2016, "Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 2, pages 283-292, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.06.006.
• Liu, Weiling & Moench, Emanuel, 2016, "What predicts US recessions?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 4, pages 1138-1150, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2016.02.007.
• Modugno, Michele & Soybilgen, Barış & Yazgan, Ege, 2016, "Nowcasting Turkish GDP and news decomposition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 4, pages 1369-1384, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2016.07.001.
• Chang, Andrew C. & Hanson, Tyler J., 2016, "The accuracy of forecasts prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, volume 83, issue C, pages 23-43, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2015.12.001.
• Giglio, Stefano & Kelly, Bryan & Pruitt, Seth, 2016, "Systemic risk and the macroeconomy: An empirical evaluation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 119, issue 3, pages 457-471, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.01.010.
• Schreiber, Sven & Soldatenkova, Natalia, 2016, "Anticipating business-cycle turning points in real time using density forecasts from a VAR," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 47, issue PB, pages 166-187, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2015.12.002.
• Morikawa, Masayuki, 2016, "Business uncertainty and investment: Evidence from Japanese companies," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 49, issue C, pages 224-236, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2016.08.001.
• Hamilton, J.D., 2016, "Macroeconomic Regimes and Regime Shifts," Handbook of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, chapter 0, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig, "Handbook of Macroeconomics", DOI: 10.1016/bs.hesmac.2016.03.004.
• Stock, J.H. & Watson, M.W., 2016, "Dynamic Factor Models, Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressions, and Structural Vector Autoregressions in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, chapter 0, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig, "Handbook of Macroeconomics", DOI: 10.1016/bs.hesmac.2016.04.002.
• Andrade, Philippe & Crump, Richard K. & Eusepi, Stefano & Moench, Emanuel, 2016, "Fundamental disagreement," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 83, issue C, pages 106-128, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2016.08.007.
• Geyer, Alois & Hanke, Michael & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2016, "Inflation forecasts extracted from nominal and real yield curves," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 60, issue C, pages 180-188, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2015.10.002.
• Zhang, Chengsi & Zhou, You, 2016, "The Global Slack Hypothesis: New Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 42, issue C, pages 339-348, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2015.10.007.
• Miah, Fazlul & Rahman, M. Saifur & Albinali, Khalid, 2016, "Rationality of survey based inflation expectations: A study of 18 emerging economies’ inflation forecasts," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 36, issue C, pages 158-166, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2015.09.029.
• Pierdzioch, Christian & Reid, Monique B. & Gupta, Rangan, 2016, "Inflation forecasts and forecaster herding: Evidence from South African survey data," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, pages 42-50, DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2016.03.004.
• Setterfield, Mark & Gouri Suresh, Shyam, 2016, "Multi-agent systems as a tool for analyzing path-dependent macrodynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, volume 38, issue C, pages 25-37, DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2016.03.001.
• Prayudhi Azwar & Rod Tyers, 2016, "Post-GFC External Shocks and Indonesian Economic Performance," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2016-58, Sep.
• Delajara, Marcelo & Álvarez, Federico Hernández & Tirado, Abel Rodríguez, 2016, "Nowcasting Mexico’s short-term GDP growth in real-time: a factor model versus professional forecasters," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 123297, Oct.
• Cai, Xiaoming & Den Haan, Wouter J. & Pinder, Jonathan, 2016, "Predictable recoveries," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 65188, Apr.
• Giacomini, Raffaella & Skreta, Vasiliki & Turen, Javier, 2016, "Models, inattention and expectation updates," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 86245, Dec.
• Chávez, Ricardo & García, Carlos J., 2016, "Reforma tributaria en fases," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 0, issue 330, pages .275-310, abril-jun, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v83i.
• Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Enrique Sentana, 2016, "Fast ML Estimation of Dynamic Bifactor Models: An Application to European Inflation," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Dynamic Factor Models", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-905320150000035006.
• Maximo Camacho & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Gabriel Perez-Quiros, 2016, "Country Shocks, Monetary Policy Expectations and ECB Decisions. A Dynamic Non-linear Approach," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Dynamic Factor Models", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-905320150000035007.
• Gerhard Rünstler, 2016, "On the Design of Data Sets for Forecasting with Dynamic Factor Models," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Dynamic Factor Models", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-905320150000035016.
• SEKINE Atsushi & TSURUGA Takayuki, 2016, "Effects of Commodity Price Shocks on Inflation: A Cross-Country Analysis," ESRI Discussion paper series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number 331, Jul.
• Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2016, "Business Uncertainty and Investment: Evidence from Japanese companies," Discussion papers, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI), number 16014, Feb.
• Alessandro Girardi & Christian Gayer & Andreas Reuter, 2016, "Replacing Judgment by Statistics: Constructing Consumer Confidence Indicators on the Basis of Data-driven Techniques," European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 034, Jul.
• Stanislav Tvrz & Osvald Vasicek, 2016, "The Great Recession in the Non-EMU Visegrád Countries: A Nonlinear DSGE Model with Time-Varying Parameters," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 66, issue 3, pages 207-235, June.
• Pablo M. Pincheira & Carlos A. Medel, 2016, "Forecasting with a Random Walk," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 66, issue 6, pages 539-564, December.
• Vedunka Kopecna, 2016, "Public Employment Effects over the Business Cycle: the Czech Case," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2016/13, Jul, revised Jul 2016.
• Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2016, "No man is an island : the Impact of Heterogeneity and local interactions on Macroeconomic Dynamics," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE), number 2016-18, Jun.
• Kevin X. D. Huang & Guoqiang Tian, 2016, "China's Macroeconomic Outlook and Risk Assessment: Counterfactual Analysis, Policy Simulation, and Long-Term Governance¡ªA Summary of Annual Report (2015¨C2016)," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, volume 11, issue 2, pages 173-191, June.
• Cordeiro, Yara de Almeida Campos & Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Issler, João Victor, 2016, "Inattention in individual expectations," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), number 776.
• Nikolay Gospodinov, 2016, "The role of commodity prices in forecasting U.S. core inflation," FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, number 2016-5, Feb.
• Brent Meyer & Saeed Zaman, 2016, "The Usefulness of the Median CPI in Bayesian VARs Used for Macroeconomic Forecasting and Policy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, number 2016-13, Nov.
• Enrique Martínez García, 2016, "Finite-Order VAR Representation of Linear Rational Expectations Models: With Some Lessons for Monetary Policy," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 285, Sep, DOI: 10.24149/gwp285r2.
• N. Kundan Kishor & Evan F. Koenig, 2016, "The roles of inflation expectations, core inflation, and slack in real-time inflation forecasting," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1613, Nov, DOI: 10.24149/wp1613.
• Kirstin Hubrich & Frauke Skudelny, 2016, "Forecast Combination for Euro Area Inflation - A Cure in Times of Crisis?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2016-104, Aug, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2016.104.
• Daniela Bragoli & Michele Modugno, 2016, "A Nowcasting Model for Canada: Do U.S. Variables Matter?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2016-036, Apr, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2016.036.
• Michele Modugno & Bariş Soybilgen & M. Ege Yazgan, 2016, "Nowcasting Turkish GDP and News Decomposition," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2016-044, May, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2016.044.
• Jeremy J. Nalewaik, 2016, "Non-Linear Phillips Curves with Inflation Regime-Switching," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2016-078, Aug, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2016.078.
• Dario Caldara & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Simon Gilchrist & Egon Zakrajšek, 2016, "The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1166, May, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2016.1166.
• Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2016, "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1179, Sep, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2016.1179.
• Scott Brave & R. Andrew Butters & Alejandro Justiniano, 2016, "Forecasting Economic Activity with Mixed Frequency Bayesian VARs," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number WP-2016-5, May.
• Troy Davig & Aaron Smalter Hall, 2016, "Recession forecasting using Bayesian classification," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 16-6, Aug, DOI: 10.18651/RWP2016-06.
• Jesús Bejarano & Franz Hamann & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria & Diego Rodríguez, 2016, "Monetary Policy in an Oil-Exporting Economy," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 98, issue 3, pages 239-261, DOI: 10.20955/r.2016.239-261.
• Sean P. Grover & Kevin L. Kliesen & Michael W. McCracken, 2016, "A Macroeconomic News Index for Constructing Nowcasts of U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product Growth," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 98, issue 4, pages 277-296, DOI: 10.20955/r.2016.277-296.
• Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2016, "Vulnerable growth," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 794, Sep.
• Sergey Drobyshevsky & Marina Turuntseva & Michael Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Viktoria Petrenko & Vasily Uzun, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-26, January.
• Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Pavel Trunin & Victor Lyashok, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 20, pages 1-26, February.
• Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Mikhail Khromov & Andrei Kaukin & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich & Pavel Pavlov & Vasily Uzun, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 21, pages 1-30, February.
• Alexandra Bozhechkova & Alexander Knobel & Sergey Tsukhlo & Elena Grishina & Pavel Trunin & Alexander Firanchuk & Olga Berezinskaya, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 22, pages 1-27, April.
• Mikhail Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Sergey Tsukhlo & E. Avraamova & D. Loginov & O. Rasenko & Ekaterina Ponomareva & Sergey Sudakov, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 23, pages 1-27, April.
• Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Averkiev Vladimir & Shishkina Ekaterina & Florinskaya Yulia & Mkrtchian N. & S, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 24, pages 1-27, April.
• Idrisov Georgy & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Goryunov Evgeny & Deryugin Alexander & Kaukin Andrey, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 25, pages 1-22, April.
• Drobyshevsky Sergey & Kazakova Maria & Tsukhlo Sergey & Lyashok Viktor, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 27, pages 1-24, May.
• Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bobylev Yuri & Rasenko O. & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Shagaida Nat, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 28, pages 1-28, June.
• Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Grishina Elena & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Deryugin Alexander & Burdyak Alexandra, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 31, pages 1-27, July.
• Idrisov Georgy & Loginova D. & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Tsukhlo Sergey & Uzun Vasily & Kaukin Andrey & Zubarevich Natalia, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 32, pages 1-27, September.
• Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Vedev Alexey & Gurevich Vladimir, 2016, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 33, pages 1-19, September.
• Idrisov Georgy & Avraamova Elena & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Shagaida Natalia & Kaukin Andrey & Gurevich Vladimir & Loginov Dmitry & Pavlov Pavel, 2016, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 35, pages 1-23, November.
• Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Florinskaya Yulia & Mkrtchian N. & Mamedov Arseny & Fomina Elena & Gurevich Vladimir, 2016, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 37, pages 1-20, December.
• Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Kaukin Andrey & Zubarevich Natalia & Gurevich Vladimir & Miller Evgenia, 2016, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 38, pages 1-23, December.
• Sergey Drobyshevsky & Marina Turuntseva & Michael Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Viktoria Petrenko & Vasily Uzun, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-26, January.
• Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Alexandra Bozhechkova & Sergey Tsukhlo & Pavel Trunin & Victor Lyashok, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 20, pages 1-22, February.
• Arseny Mamedov & Evgenia Fomina & Mikhail Khromov & Natalia Shagaida & Natalia Zubarevich & Pavel Pavlov & Vasily Uzun, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 21, pages 1-30, February.
• Alexandra Bozhechkova & Alexander Knobel & Sergey Tsukhlo & Elena Grishina & Pavel Trunin & Alexander Firanchuk & Olga Berezinskaya, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 22, pages 1-27, March.
• Mikhail Khromov & Yuri Bobylev & Sergey Tsukhlo & E. Avraamova & D. Loginov & O. Rasenko & Ekaterina Ponomareva & Sergey Sudakov, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 23, pages 1-27, March.
• Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Shishkina Ekaterina & Uzun Vasily & Flor, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 24, pages 1-27, April.
• Idrisov Georgy & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Goryunov Evgeny & Deryugin Alexander & Kaukin Andrey, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 25, pages 1-22, April.
• Drobyshevsky Sergey & Kazakova Maria & Idrisov Georgy & Tsukhlo Sergey & Lyashok Viktor, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 27, pages 1-24, May.
• Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bobylev Yuri & Rasenko O. & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Shagaida Natalia & Kiyutsevskaya Ann, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 28, pages 1-28, June.
• Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Grishina Elena & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Deryugin Alexander & Burdyak Alexandra, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 31, pages 1-27, July.
• Idrisov Georgy & Loginova D. & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Tsukhlo Sergey & Uzun Vasily & Kaukin Andrey & Zubarevich Natalia, 2016, "Online Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 32, pages 1-27, September.
• Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Averkiev Vladimir & Vedev Alexey & Gurevich Vladimir, 2016, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 33, pages 1-19, September.
• Idrisov Georgy & Avraamova Elena & Tsukhlo Sergey & Shagaida Natalia & Kaukin Andrey & Gurevich Vladimir & Loginov Dmitry & Pavlov Pavel, 2016, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 35, pages 1-23, November.
• Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Florinskaya Yulia & Mkrtchyan Nikita & Mamedov Arseny & Fomina Elena & Gurevich Vladimir, 2016, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 37, pages 1-20, December.
• Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Kaukin Andrey & Zubarevich Natalia & Gurevich Vladimir & Miller Evgenia, 2016, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 38, pages 1-23, December.
• Idrisov Georgy & Kaukin Andrey & Ponomarev Yuri, 2016, "Industrial production dynamics in particular sectors of Russian industry," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number ppaper-2016-253, revised 2016.
• Tsukhlo Sergey, 2016, "Russian industrial enterprises in 2015 (on the basis of business surveys)," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number ppaper-2016-254, revised 2016.
• Elmer Sánchez León, 2016, "Mortgage Credit: Lending and Borrowing Constraints in a DSGE Framework," IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, number 15-2016, Jun.
• Ulrich Heilemann & Susanne Schnorr-Bäcker, 2016, "Could The Start Of The German Recession 2008-2009 Have Been Foreseen? Evidence From Real-Time Data," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2016-003, Feb.
• Herman O. Stekler & Tianyu Ye, 2016, "Evaluating a Leading Indicator: An Application: the Term Spread," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2016-004, Mar.
• Herman O. Stekler & Yongchen Zhao, 2016, "Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2016-006, Sep.
• Edward N. Gamber & Julie K. Smith, 2016, "Time-series measures of core inflation," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2016-008, Sep.
• Constantin Burgi, 2016, "What Do We Lose When We Average Expectations?," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2016-013.
• Jonathan Benchimol, 2016, "Money and monetary policy in Israel during the last decade," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01272174, Feb, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2015.12.007.
• Benjamin Carton & Dramane Coulibaly & Marc Pourroy, 2016, "Food prices and inflation targeting in emerging economies," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01386045, DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2015.12.001.
• Laurent Ferrara & Olivier Darné & Karim Barhoumi, 2016, "A world trade leading index (WLTI)," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01635948.
• Mohamed Arouri & Christophe Estay & Christophe Rault & David Roubaud, 2016, "Economic policy uncertainty and stock markets: Long-run evidence from the US," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-02009137, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2016.04.011.
• Stephane Dees, 2016, "Credit, asset prices and business cycles at the global level," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-03897004, Apr, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.12.027.
• Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Paul Gomme, 2016, "Debt Hangover in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-01420905, Mar.
• Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Paul Gomme, 2016, "Debt Hangover in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-01420913, Dec.
• Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2016, "No Man is an Island: The Impact of Heterogeneity and Local Interactions on Macroeconomic Dynamics," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main), HAL, number hal-03459315, Jun.
• Mattia Guerini & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini, 2016, "No Man is an Island: The Impact of Heterogeneity and Local Interactions on Macroeconomic Dynamics," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-03459315, Jun.
• Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2016, "Forecasting U.S. Recessions and Economic Activity," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-04141569.
• Zouhair Aït Benhamou, 2016, "Fluctuations in emerging economies: regional and global factors," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-04141608.
• Nilsen, Øivind A. & Vange, Magne, 2016, "Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence using Monthly Data," Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Economics, number 22/2016, Dec.
• Iversen, Jens & Laséen, Stefan & Lundvall, Henrik & Söderström, Ulf, 2016, "Real-Time Forecasting for Monetary Policy Analysis: The Case of Sveriges Riksbank," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 318, Mar.
• Andersson, Michael K. & Aranki, Ted & Reslow, André, 2016, "Adjusting for Information Content when Comparing Forecast Performance," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 328, Aug.
• Sergey V. Smirnov & Daria A. Avdeeva, 2016, "Wishful Bias in Predicting Us Recessions: Indirect Evidence," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 135/EC/2016.
• Kano, Takashi & 加納, 隆, 2019, "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: A General Equilibrium Exploration," Discussion paper series, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University, number HIAS-E-19, Apr.
• Gokcen Ogruk, 2016, "Carry Trade Strategies With Factor Augmented Macro Fundamentals: A Dynamic Markov-Switching Factor Model," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, volume 10, issue 3, pages 11-28.
• Caballero, Julián & Fernandez, Andres & Park, Jongho, 2016, "On Corporate Borrowing, Credit Spreads and Economic Activity in Emerging Economies: An Empirical Investigation," IDB Publications (Working Papers), Inter-American Development Bank, number 7793, Aug, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011756.
• Khadan, Jeetendra, 2016, "An Econometric Analysis of Energy Revenue and Government Expenditure Shocks on Economic Growth in Trinidad and Tobago," IDB Publications (Working Papers), Inter-American Development Bank, number 8025, Dec, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011776.
• Takuji Fueki & Ichiro Fukunaga & Hibiki Ichiue & Toyoichiro Shirota, 2016, "Measuring Potential Growth with an Estimated DSGE Model of Japan’s Economy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 12, issue 1, pages 1-32, March.
• Yaniv Azoulay & Andrey Kudryavtsev & Shosh Shahrabani, 2016, "Accumulating approach to the life-cycle pension model: practical advantages," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, volume 40, issue 4, pages 413-436.
• Rangan Gupta & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mampho P. Modise & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2013, "Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Sentiments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?," Working Papers, Department of Research, Ipag Business School, number 2013-20, Jan.
• Annarita Colasante & Simone Alfarano & Eva Camacho-Cuena & Mauro Gallegati, 2016, "Long-run expectations in a Learning-to-Forecast Experiment," Working Papers, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain), number 2016/26.
• Rossen Anja, 2016, "On the Predictive Content of Nonlinear Transformations of Lagged Autoregression Residuals and Time Series Observations," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 236, issue 3, pages 389-409, May, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-1019.
• Rossen Anja, 2016, "On the Predictive Content of Nonlinear Transformations of Lagged Autoregression Residuals and Time Series Observations," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 236, issue 3, pages 389-409, May, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-1019.
• Rossen Anja, 2016, "On the Predictive Content of Nonlinear Transformations of Lagged Autoregression Residuals and Time Series Observations," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 236, issue 3, pages 389-409, May, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-1019.
• Aleš Bulíř & Jaromír Hurník & Kateřina Šmídková, 2016, "What Do Central Banks Know about Inflation Factors?," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 27, issue 4, pages 795-810, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-016-9396-x.
• Nicola Giocoli, 2016, "Truth or precision? Some reflections on the economists’ failure to predict the financial crisis," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, volume 29, issue 4, pages 371-386, December, DOI: 10.1007/s11138-015-0335-7.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016, "Schweizer Wirtschaft in turbulentem Umfeld," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 10, issue 1, pages 1-72, March, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016, "Preise fangen sich langsam, verhaltener Konjunkturausblick," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 10, issue 2, pages 1-29, June, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016, "Zurück zu moderatem Wachstum," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 10, issue 3, pages 1-108, October, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2016, "Langsame Erholung in unsicheren Zeiten," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 10, issue 4, pages 1-27, December, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Michele Berardi & Jaqueson K Galimberti, 2016, "On the Initialization of Adaptive Learning in Macroeconomic Models," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 16-422, Dec, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010793139.
• Kőrösi, Gábor, 2016, "A lány továbbra is szolgál..
  [Modelling and econometrics]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 6, pages 647-667, DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2016.6.647.
• Mellár, Tamás, 2016, "Válasz Kőrösi Gábornak
  [Response to Gábor Kőrösi]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 6, pages 668-672, DOI: 10.18414/KSZ.2016.6.668.
• Anton Antonov GERUNOV, 2016, "Automating Analytics: Forecasting Time Series in Economics and Business," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, KSP Journals, volume 3, issue 2, pages 340-349, June.
• Hirokazu Mizobata & Hiroki Toyoda, 2016, "Business Cycles, Asset Prices, and the Frictions of Capital and Labor," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 953, Nov.
• Carlos Diaz Vela, 2016, "Extracting the Information Shocks from the Bank of England Inflation Density Forecasts," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 16/13.
• Bührig, Pascal & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2016, "Forecasting revisions of German industrial production," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 43524.
• Lehmann, R. & Wohlrabe, K., 2016, "Looking into the black box of boosting: the case of Germany," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 43525.
• Faisal Rachman, 2016, "Is Inflation Target Announced by Bank Indonesia the Most Accurate Inflation Forecast?," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, volume 62, pages 98-120, August.
• Christian Gayer & Alessandro Girardi & Andreas Reuter, 2016, "Replacing Judgment by Statistics: Constructing Consumer Confidence Indicators on the basis of Data-driven Techniques. The Case of the Euro Area," Working Papers LuissLab, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli, number 16125.

2015

• Tommaso Proietti & Martyna Marczak & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2015, "EuroMInd-D: A Density Estimate of Monthly Gross Domestic Product for the Euro Area," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2015-12, Feb.
• Harri Pönkä, 2015, "The Role of Credit in Predicting US Recessions," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2015-48, Nov.
• Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2015, "Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 105, issue 8, pages 2644-2678, August.
• Marco Del Negro & Marc P. Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2015, "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, volume 7, issue 1, pages 168-196, January.
• Fiamohe, Rose & Diallo, Souleymane & Diagne, Aliou & Agossadou, Arsene, 2015, "Impact of the ECOWAS Common External Tariff on the Rice Sector in West Africa," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy, International Association of Agricultural Economists, number 211632, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.211632.
• Martín Guzmán & Daniel Heymann, 2015, "The IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis: Issues and Problems," Documentos de trabajo del Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET), Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET), number 2015-9, Dec.
• Cesar Carrera & Alan Ledesma, 2015, "Aggregate Inflation Forecast with Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Papers, Peruvian Economic Association, number 50, Jul.
• Dovern, Jonas & Huber, Florian, 2015, "Global Prediction of Recessions," Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, number 0585, Mar.
• Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber , Florian, 2015, "Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, number 0590, Mar.
• Andrew R. Blair & Gershon Mandelker & Thomas L. Saaty & Rozann Whitaker, 2015, "Forecasting the Resurgence of the U.S. Economy in 2010: An Expert Judgment Approach," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, volume 5, pages 1-18, May.
• Diego Torres Torres, 2015, "Eurozona | Evaluando la capacidad predictiva del MIDAS," Working Papers, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department, number 1516, May.
• Pierre Guérin & Danilo Leiva-Leon, 2015, "Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models: Predicting National Recessions with Regional Data," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 15-24, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2015-24.
• Tatjana Dahlhaus & Justin-Damien Guénette & Garima Vasishtha, 2015, "Nowcasting BRIC+M in Real Time," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 15-38, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2015-38.
• Yara de Almeida Campos Cordeiro & Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler, 2015, "Inattention in Individual Expectations," Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department, number 395, Aug.
• Laura D´Amato & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco, 2015, "GDP Nowcasting: Assessing business cycle conditions in Argentina," BCRA Working Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 201569, Nov.
• Gabriele Fiorentini & Alessandro Galesi & Enrique Sentana, 2015, "Fast ML estimation of dynamic bifactor models: an application to European inflation," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1525, Sep.
• Lorenzo Burlon & Simone Emiliozzi & Alessandro Notarpietro & Massimiliano Pisani, 2015, "Medium-term forecasting of euro-area macroeconomic variables with DSGE and BVARX models," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 257, Jan.
• Giacomo Sbrana & Andrea Silvestrini & Fabrizio Venditti, 2015, "Short term inflation forecasting: the M.E.T.A. approach," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1016, Jun.
• Fabio Busetti & Michele Caivano & Lisa Rodano, 2015, "On the conditional distribution of euro area inflation forecast," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1027, Jul.
• Stefano Neri & Alessandro Notarpietro, 2015, "The macroeconomic effects of low and falling inflation at the zero lower bound," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1040, Nov.
• Franz Hamann & Jesús Bejarano & Diego Rodríguez, 2015, "Monetary policy implications for an oil-exporting economy of lower long-run international oil prices," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 871, Mar, DOI: 10.32468/be.871.
• Pavel Vidal Alejandro & Lya Paola Sierra Suárez & Johana Sanabria Dominguez & Jaime Andres Collazos Rodríguez, 2015, "Indicador mensual de actividad económica (IMAE) para el Valle del Cauca," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 900, Aug, DOI: 10.32468/be.900.
• Tao Chen & Erin Pik Ki So & Liang Wu & Isabel Kit Ming Yan, 2015, "The 2007–2008 U.S. Recession: What Did The Real-Time Google Trends Data Tell The United States?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, volume 33, issue 2, pages 395-403, April.
• Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015, "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, volume 16, issue 2, pages 226-254, May.
• Menzie Chinn & Kavan Kucko, 2015, "The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve Across Countries and Time," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, volume 18, issue 2, pages 129-156, June.
• Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015, "Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, volume 178, issue 4, pages 837-862, October.
• Marie Bessec & Othman Bouabdallah, 2015, "Forecasting GDP over the Business Cycle in a Multi-Frequency and Data-Rich Environment," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 77, issue 3, pages 360-384, June.
• Lena Dräger, 2015, "Inflation perceptions and expectations in Sweden – Are media reports the missing link?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 77, issue 5, pages 681-700, October.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Anne Sofie Jore & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2015, "Identification and real-time forecasting of Norwegian business cycles," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2015/09, May.
• Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2015, "Dynamic predictive density combinations for large data sets in economics and finance," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2015/12, Jul.
• Claudia Foroni & Pierre Guérin & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2015, "Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2015/13, Oct.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2015, "Oil-Price Density Forecasts of U.S. GDP," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 10/2015, Oct.
• Thomas Gilbert & Chiara Scotti & Georg H. Strasser & Clara Vega, 2015, "Is the Intrinsic Value of Macroeconomic News Announcements Related to Their Asset Price Impact?," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 874, Feb, revised 23 Apr 2015.
• Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2015, "The Evolution of US Monetary Policy: 2000-2007," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 882, Aug.
• Monetary Affairs Department, 2015, "Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing: Assessment of Its Effects in the Two Years since Its Introduction," Bank of Japan Review Series, Bank of Japan, number 15-E-3, May.
• Lehmann Robert & Wohlrabe Klaus, 2015, "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, volume 16, issue 2, pages 226-254, May, DOI: 10.1111/geer.12042.
• Guzman Martin & Heymann Daniel, 2015, "The IMF Debt Sustainability Analysis: Issues and Problems," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, volume 6, issue 2, pages 387-404, December, DOI: 10.1515/jgd-2015-0034.
• Wolters Maik H. & Tillmann Peter, 2015, "The changing dynamics of US inflation persistence: a quantile regression approach," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 19, issue 2, pages 161-182, April, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2013-0080.
• Melquiades Pereira Lima & Vinicio de Souza Almeida, 2015, "Sell-side analysts make good predictions in Brazil?," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, volume 13, issue 3, pages 365-393.
• Richard W. Evans & Kerk L. Phillips, 2015, "Linearization about the Current State: A Computational Method for Approximating Nonlinear Policy Functions during Simulation," BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory Working Paper Series, Brigham Young University, Department of Economics, BYU Macroeconomics and Computational Laboratory, number 2015-02, Sep.
• Miroslav Klucik, 2015, "Fiscal Adjustment in Slovakia: Findings from a Medium-Scale Econometric Model," Working Papers, Council for Budget Responsibility, number Working Paper No. 1/2015, Apr.
• Kajal Lahiri & Liu Yang, 2015, "A Non-linear Forecast Combination Procedure for Binary Outcomes," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5175.
• Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2015, "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5329.
• Steffen Henzel & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015, "Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5336.
• Kajal Lahiri & Huaming Peng & Xuguang Sheng, 2015, "Measuring Uncertainty of a Combined Forecast and Some Tests for Forecaster Heterogeneity," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5468.
• Paul De Grauwe & Eddie Gerba, 2015, "Stock Market Cycles and Supply Side Dynamics: Two Worlds, One Vision?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5573.