Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2016

• Kolev, Galina V. & Schaefer, Thilo, 2016, "Auswirkungen der jüngsten Ölpreisentwicklung auf die deutsche Konjunktur," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, volume 43, issue 1, pages 55-68, DOI: 10.2373/1864-810X.16-01-04.
• Hanck, Christoph & Prüser, Jan, 2016, "House prices and interest rates: Bayesian evidence from Germany," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 620, DOI: 10.4419/86788722.
• Heinisch, Katja, 2016, "A real-time analysis on the importance of hard and soft data for nowcasting German GDP," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 145864.
• Hartmann, Matthias & Dovern, Jonas, 2016, "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 145925.
• Alain Hecq & Lenard Lieb & Sean Telg, 2016, "Identification of Mixed Causal-Noncausal Models in Finite Samples," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 123-124, pages 307-331, DOI: 10.15609/annaeconstat2009.123-124.0.
• Emmanuel Olusegun STOBER, 2016, "Crude Oil Price Shocks And Macroeconomic Behavior In Nigeria," Journal of Social and Economic Statistics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, volume 5, issue 1, pages 56-66, JULY.
• Ringelberg, Josiah & Johnson, Andrew & Boehlje, Michael & Gunderson, Michael & Daninger, Nathan, 2016, "Modeling With @Risk: A Tutorial Guide," Working papers, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics, number 249766, Nov, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.249766.
• Crucini, Mario J. & Smith, Gregor W., 2016, "Distance and Time Effects in Swedish Commodity Prices, 1732-1914," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers, Queen's University - Department of Economics, number 274683, Mar, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.274683.
• Arturo L. Vásquez Cordano & Abdel M. Zellou, 2016, "Where are natural gas prices heading, and what are the environmental consequences for Latin America?," Working Papers, Peruvian Economic Association, number 71, Sep.
• Dovern, Jonas & Hartmann, Matthias, 2016, "Forecast Performance, Disagreement, and Heterogeneous Signal-to-Noise Ratios," Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, number 0611, Mar.
• Ramiz Rahmanov, 2016, "Permanent and Temporary Oil Price Shocks, Macroeconomic Policy, and Tradable Non-oil Sector: Case of Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Russia," Working Papers, Central Bank of Azerbaijan Republic, number 1609, Dec.
• Jose Luis Nolazco & Pablo Pincheira & Jorge Selaive, 2016, "The evasive predictive ability of core inflation," Working Papers, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department, number 15/34, Jan.
• Stephen S. Poloz, 2016, "The Doug Purvis Memorial Lecture—Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix and Financial Stability: The Medium Term Is Still the Message," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 16-13, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2016-13.
• Malik Shukayev & Argyn Toktamyssov, 2016, "Implementing Cross-Border Interbank Lending in BoC-GEM-FIN," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 16-19, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2016-19.
• Stephen S. Poloz, 2016, "The Paul Storer Memorial Lecture—Cross-Border Trade Integration and Monetary Policy," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 16-20, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2016-20.
• Calista Cheung & Dmitry Granovsky, 2016, "New Housing Registrations as a Leading Indicator of the BC Economy," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 16-3, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2016-3.
• Robert Fay & Justin-Damien Guénette & Louis Morel, 2016, "The Global Benefits of Low Oil Prices: More Than Meets the Eye," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 16-13, DOI: 10.34989/san-2016-13.
• Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2016, "Applying a Microfounded-Forecasting Approach to Predict Brazilian Inflation," Working Papers Series, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department, number 436, May.
• Laura D'Amato & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco, 2016, "GDP Nowcasting: Assessing the Cyclical Conditions of the Argentine Economy," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, volume 1, issue 74, pages 7-26, December.
• Paul De Grauwe & Eddie Gerba, 2016, "Stock market cycles and supply side dynamics: two worlds, one vision?," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1626, Oct.
• Alessandro Notarpietro & Lisa Rodano, 2016, "The evolution of bad debts in Italy during the global financial crisis and the sovereign debt crisis: a counterfactual analysis," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 350, Sep.
• Ugo Albertazzi & Alessandro Notarpietro & Stefano Siviero, 2016, "An inquiry into the determinants of the profitability of Italian banks," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 364, Oct.
• Hernando Vargas-Herrera, 2016, "Inflation Expectations and a Model-Based Core Inflation Measure in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 928, Feb, DOI: 10.32468/be.928.
• Jesús Bejarano & Franz Hamann & Diego Rodríguez, 2016, "Indicador de Inflación Básica a partir de un Modelo Semi-estructural con inflación de alimentos," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 935, Mar, DOI: 10.32468/be.935.
• J. Sebastián Amador-Torres, 2016, "Finance neutral potential output: an evaluation on an emerging market monetary policy context," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 958, Sep, DOI: 10.32468/be.958.
• Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2016, "Commodity Price Fluctuations, Core Inflation and Policy Interest Rates," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 967, Oct, DOI: 10.32468/be.967.
• C. Thubin & Thomas Ferrière & Eric Monnet & Magali Marx & Vichett Oung, 2016, "The PRISME model: can disaggregation on the production side help to forecast GDP?," Working papers, Banque de France, number 596.
• M. Mogliani & Thomas Ferrière, 2016, "Rationality of announcements, business cycle asymmetry, and predictability of revisions. The case of French GDP," Working papers, Banque de France, number 600.
• Hernando Vargas-Herrera, 2016, "Inflation expectations and a model-based core inflation measure in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters, Bank for International Settlements, in: Bank for International Settlements, "Inflation mechanisms, expectations and monetary policy".
• Krzysztof Olszewski & Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Laszek & Robert Leszczynski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2016, "On the dynamics of the primary housing market and the forecasting of house prices," IFC Bulletins chapters, Bank for International Settlements, in: Bank for International Settlements, "Combining micro and macro data for financial stability analysis".
• Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2016, "An Evaluation Of Inflation Expectations In Turkey," Working Papers, The Center for Financial Studies (CEFIS), Istanbul Bilgi University, number 1601, Feb.
• Farooq Akram & Andrew Binning & Junior Maih, 2016, "Joint prediction bands for macroeconomic risk management," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2016/7, Apr.
• Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2016, "Nowcasting using news topics. Big Data versus big bank," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2016/20, Dec.
• Farooq Akram & Andrew Binning & Junior Maih, 2016, "Joint Prediction Bands for Macroeconomic Risk Management," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 5/2016, May.
• Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2016, "Nowcasting using news topics Big Data versus big bank," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 6/2016, Nov.
• Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2016, "Circumventing the Zero Lower Bound with Monetary Policy Rules Based on Money," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 911, May.
• Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2016, "Targeting Constant Money Growth at the Zero Lower Bound," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 913, May.
• Stephen Burgess & Oliver Burrows & Antoine Godin & Stephen Kinsella & Stephen Millard, 2016, "A dynamic model of financial balances for the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 614, Sep.
• Alex Haberis & Riccardo Masolo & Kate Reinold, 2016, "Deflation probability and the scope for monetary loosening in the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 627, Nov.
• Kazutoshi Kan & Yui Kishaba & Tomohiro Tsuruga, 2016, "Supplementary Paper Series for the "Comprehensive Assessment" (3): Policy Effects since the Introduction of Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE) -- Assessment Based on Bank of Japan's Large-scale Macroeconomic Model (Q-JEM) --," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 16-E-15, Nov.
• Koji Takahashi, 2016, "TIPS: The Trend Inflation Projection System and Estimation Results," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 16-E-18, Nov.
• M. E. Bontempi & R. Golinelli & M. Squadrani, 2016, "A New Index of Uncertainty Based on Internet Searches: A Friend or Foe of Other Indicators?," Working Papers, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna, number wp1062, Mar.
• Wiriyawit Varang & Wong Benjamin, 2016, "Structural VARs, deterministic and stochastic trends: how much detrending matters for shock identification," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 20, issue 2, pages 141-157, April, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2015-0030.
• Lahiri Kajal & Yang Liu, 2016, "A non-linear forecast combination procedure for binary outcomes," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 20, issue 4, pages 421-440, September, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2014-0054.
• Ravazzolo Francesco & Rothman Philip, 2016, "Oil-price density forecasts of US GDP," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 20, issue 4, pages 441-453, September, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2015-0116.
• Fossati Sebastian, 2016, "Dating US business cycles with macro factors," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 20, issue 5, pages 529-547, December, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2015-0037.
• Graham Gudgin & Ken Coutts & Neil Gibson & Jordan Buchanan, 2016, "The Macro-Economic Impact of Brexit: Using the CBR Macro-Economic Model of the UK Economy (UKMOD)," Working Papers, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge, number wp483, May.
• Makram El-Shagi & Gregor von Schweinitz, 2016, "Qual VAR revisited: Good forecast, bad story," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, volume 19, pages 293-322, November.
• Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2016, "The Role of Oil Price Shocks in Causing U.S. Recessions," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5743.
• Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2016, "Boosting and Regional Economic Forecasting: The Case of Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 6157.
• Cristiana Belu Manescu & Ine Van Robays, 2016, "Forecasting the Brent Oil Price: Addressing Time-Variation in Forecast Performance," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 6242.
• Robert Lehmann, 2016, "Economic Growth and Business Cycle Forecasting at the Regional Level," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 65, October.
• Klaus Abberger & Biswa Nath Bhattacharyay & Chang Woon Nam & Gernot Nerb & Siegfried Schönherr, 2014, "How Can the Crisis Vulnerability of Emerging Economies Be Reduced?," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 65.
• Franziska Fobbe & Robert Lehmann, 2016, "Elektromotoren, Energieversorgung und Erziehung: Die Güte der entstehungsseitigen ifo-Kurzfristprognose," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 69, issue 12, pages 58-63, June.
• Robert Lehmann & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016, "Zur Prognosegüte der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Stundenproduktivität," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 69, issue 22, pages 57-61, November.
• Carlos Medel & Gilmour Camilleri & Hsiang-Ling Hsu & Stefan Kania & Miltiadis Touloumtzoglou, 2016, "Robustness in Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Models: Economics-Based Modelling After the Financial Crisis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 784, May.
• Carlos Medel, 2016, "Forecasting Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Compact-Scale Global VAR Approach," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 785, May.
• Carlos Medel, 2016, "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 791, Oct.
• Patrick Gagliardini & Eric Ghysels & Mirco Rubin, 2016, "Indirect Inference Estimation of Mixed Frequency Stochastic Volatility State Space Models Using MIDAS Regressions and ARCH Models," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 16-46, Jul.
• Dalibor Stevanovic & Rachidi Kotchoni, 2016, "Forecasting U.S. Recessions and Economic Activity," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2016s-36, Aug.
• Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2016, "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2016s-53, Oct.
• Pablo Galaso & Sandra Rodríguez, 2016, "A composite leading cycle indicator for Uruguay," Estudios Regionales en Economía, Población y Desarrollo. Cuadernos de Trabajo de la Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez., Cuerpo Académico 41 de la Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez, number 31, Feb, revised 01 Feb 2016.
• Hernando Vargas-Herrera, 2016, "Inflation Expectations and a Model-Based Core Inflation Measure in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 14264, Feb.
• Álvaro Hurtado Rendón, 2016, "A contribution of Bayesian approach to experimental economics," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público, Universidad EAFIT, number 14250, Feb.
• Abel Rodríguez Tirado & Marcelo Delajara & Federico Hern�ndez �lvarez, 2016, "Nowcasting Mexico’s Short-Term GDP Growth in Real-Time: A Factor Model versus Professional Forecasters," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, volume 0, issue Fall 2016, pages 167-182.
• Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Levintal, Oren, 2016, "Solution Methods for Models with Rare Disasters," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 11115, Feb.
• Söderström, Ulf & Iversen, Jens & LASEEN, PER & Lundvall, Henrik, 2016, "Real-Time Forecasting for Monetary Policy Analysis: The Case of Sveriges Riksbank," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 11203, Mar.
• Primiceri, Giorgio & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2016, "Priors for the Long Run," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 11261, May.
• Adrian, Tobias & Boyarchenko, Nina & Giannone, Domenico, 2016, "Vulnerable Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 11583, Oct.
• Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Paul Gomme, 2016, "Debt Hangover in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Working Papers, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics, number 2016-02, Jan.
• Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal, 2016, "An Analytical And Numerical Search For Bifurcations In Open Economy New Keynesian Models," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 20, issue 2, pages 482-503, March.
• Anton Antonov GERUNOV, 2016, "Automating Analytics: Forecasting Time Series in Economics and Business," Journal of Economics and Political Economy, EconSciences Journals, volume 3, issue 2, pages 340-349, June.
• Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2016, "The Dynamics of Capital Accumulation in the US: Simulations after Piketty," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1998R, Jun.
• Tomasz Lyziak, 2016, "New Keynesian Phillips Curve is still alive. Interpretation of low inflation episode in Poland," Working Papers, Institute of Economics, Polish Academy of Sciences, number 40, Jun.
• Shirly Siew-Ling WONG & Chin-Hong PUAH & Shazali ABU MANSOR & Venus Khim-Sen LIEW, 2016, "Measuring Business Cycle Fluctuations: An Alternative Precursor To Economic Crises," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, volume 50, issue 4, pages 235-248.
• Julio B. CLEMPNER & Alexander S. POZNYAK, 2016, "Analyzing An Optimistic Attitude For The Leader Firm In Duopoly Models: A Strong Stackelberg Equilibrium Based On A Lyapunov Game Theory Approach," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, volume 50, issue 4, pages 41-60.
• Zouhair Ait Benhamou, 2016, "Fluctuations in emerging economies: regional and global factors," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2016-3.
• Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2016, "Forecasting U.S. Recessions and Economic Activity," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2016-40.
• Robert Kollmann, 2016, "Tractable Likelihood-Based Estimation of Non-Linear DSGE Models Using Higher-Order Approximations," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number ECARES 2016-15, Mar.
• Studener, Werner & Merriman, Niall & Karakitsos, Polychronis & Bunea, Daniela, 2016, "Profit distribution and loss coverage rules for central banks," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 169, Apr.
• Jarociński, Marek & Lenza, Michele, 2016, "How large is the output gap in the euro area," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 24.
• Coenen, Günter & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2016, "The role of the ECB’s asset purchases in preventing a potential de-anchoring of longer-term inflation expectations," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 25.
• Gilbert, Thomas & Scotti, Chiara & Strasser, Georg & Vega, Clara, 2016, "Is the intrinsic value of macroeconomic news announcements related to their asset price impact?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1882, Feb.
• Rünstler, Gerhard, 2016, "On the design of data sets for forecasting with dynamic factor models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1893, Apr.
• Dées, Stéphane, 2016, "Credit, asset prices and business cycles at the global level," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1895, Apr.
• Krylova, Elizaveta, 2016, "Leading indicator properties of corporate bond spreads, excess bond premia and lending spreads in the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1911, Jun.
• Mikolajun, Irena & Lodge, David, 2016, "Advanced economy inflation: the role of global factors," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1948, Aug.
• Lenza, Michele & Jarociński, Marek, 2016, "An inflation-predicting measure of the output gap in the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1966, Sep.
• Hubrich, Kirstin & Skudelny, Frauke, 2016, "Forecast combination for euro area inflation: a cure in times of crisis?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1972, Oct.
• Tanveer Bagh & Muhammad Imran Nazir & Muhammad Asif Khan & Muhammad Atif Khan & Sadaf Razzaq, 2016, "The Impact of Working Capital Management on Firms Financial Performance: Evidence from Pakistan," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, volume 6, issue 3, pages 1097-1105.
• Marat Rashitovich Safiullin & Leonid Alekseevich Elshin & Leonid Alekseevich Elshin & Elvira Gumarovna Nikiforova, 2016, "Methodological Approaches to the Diagnosis and Forecast of the Long-Wave Fluctuations in the Economy," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, volume 6, issue 4, pages 1616-1624.
• Fuentes H., Fernando & García, Carlos J., 2016, "Ciclo económico y minería del cobre en Chile," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
• Fuentes H., Fernando & García, Carlos J., 2016, "The business cycle and copper mining in Chile," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
• Groen, Jan J.J. & Kapetanios, George, 2016, "Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 100, issue C, pages 221-239, DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2015.11.014.
• Elias, Christopher J., 2016, "Asset pricing with expectation shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 65, issue C, pages 68-82, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2016.02.005.
• Popp, Aaron & Zhang, Fang, 2016, "The macroeconomic effects of uncertainty shocks: The role of the financial channel," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 69, issue C, pages 319-349, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2016.05.021.
• Dovern, Jonas & Feldkircher, Martin & Huber, Florian, 2016, "Does joint modelling of the world economy pay off? Evaluating global forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 70, issue C, pages 86-100, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2016.06.006.
• Sims, Eric, 2016, "What׳s news in News? A cautionary note on using a variance decomposition to assess the quantitative importance of news shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 73, issue C, pages 41-60, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2016.09.005.
• Belongia, Michael T. & Ireland, Peter N., 2016, "The evolution of U.S. monetary policy: 2000–2007," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 73, issue C, pages 78-93, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2016.09.009.
• Valadkhani, Abbas & Costello, Greg & Ratti, Ronald, 2016, "House price cycles in Australia’s four largest capital cities," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, volume 52, issue C, pages 11-22, DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2016.07.003.
• Dees, Stéphane, 2016, "Credit, asset prices and business cycles at the global level," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 54, issue C, pages 139-152, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.12.027.
• Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2016, "Do production managers predict turning points? A directional analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, pages 1-8, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2016.05.019.
• Fan, Jingwen & Minford, Patrick & Ou, Zhirong, 2016, "The role of fiscal policy in Britain's Great Inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, pages 203-218, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2016.05.027.
• Hur, Joonyoung & Kim, Insu, 2016, "Information rigidities in survey data: Evidence from dispersions in forecasts and forecast revisions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 142, issue C, pages 10-14, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.02.021.
• Baetje, Fabian & Friedrici, Karola, 2016, "Does cross-sectional forecast dispersion proxy for macroeconomic uncertainty? New empirical evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 143, issue C, pages 38-43, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.03.014.
• Barhoumi, Karim & Darné, Olivier & Ferrara, Laurent, 2016, "A World Trade Leading Index (WTLI)," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 146, issue C, pages 111-115, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.07.032.
• Lucotte, Yannick, 2016, "Co-movements between crude oil and food prices: A post-commodity boom perspective," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 147, issue C, pages 142-147, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2016.08.032.
• Chudik, Alexander & Grossman, Valerie & Pesaran, M. Hashem, 2016, "A multi-country approach to forecasting output growth using PMIs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 192, issue 2, pages 349-365, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.02.003.
• Chan, Joshua C.C. & Eisenstat, Eric & Koop, Gary, 2016, "Large Bayesian VARMAs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 192, issue 2, pages 374-390, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.02.005.
• Del Negro, Marco & Hasegawa, Raiden B. & Schorfheide, Frank, 2016, "Dynamic prediction pools: An investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 192, issue 2, pages 391-405, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.02.006.
• Pettenuzzo, Davide & Timmermann, Allan & Valkanov, Rossen, 2016, "A MIDAS approach to modeling first and second moment dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 193, issue 2, pages 315-334, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.04.009.
• Pierdzioch, Christian & Reid, Monique B. & Gupta, Rangan, 2016, "Forecasting the South African inflation rate: On asymmetric loss and forecast rationality," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 1, pages 82-92, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2015.08.004.
• Caldara, Dario & Fuentes-Albero, Cristina & Gilchrist, Simon & Zakrajšek, Egon, 2016, "The macroeconomic impact of financial and uncertainty shocks," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, pages 185-207, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2016.02.020.
• Albonico, Alice & Paccagnini, Alessia & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2016, "In search of the Euro area fiscal stance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 39, issue PB, pages 254-264, DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2016.06.007.
• Castro, César & Jerez, Miguel & Barge-Gil, Andrés, 2016, "The deflationary effect of oil prices in the euro area," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 56, issue C, pages 389-397, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.03.010.
• Naser, Hanan, 2016, "Estimating and forecasting the real prices of crude oil: A data rich model using a dynamic model averaging (DMA) approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 56, issue C, pages 75-87, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.02.017.
• Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Ma, Feng & Wu, Chongfeng, 2016, "What the investors need to know about forecasting oil futures return volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 57, issue C, pages 128-139, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.05.004.
• Haugom, Erik & Mydland, Ørjan & Pichler, Alois, 2016, "Long term oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, pages 84-94, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2016.06.014.
• Arouri, Mohamed & Estay, Christophe & Rault, Christophe & Roubaud, David, 2016, "Economic policy uncertainty and stock markets: Long-run evidence from the US," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 18, issue C, pages 136-141, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2016.04.011.
• Bekiros, Stelios & Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2016, "Dealing with financial instability under a DSGE modeling approach with banking intermediation: A predictability analysis versus TVP-VARs," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 26, issue C, pages 216-227, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2016.07.006.
• Oet, Mikhail V. & Gramlich, Dieter & Sarlin, Peter, 2016, "Evaluating measures of adverse financial conditions," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 27, issue C, pages 234-249, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2016.06.008.
• Altug, Sumru & Çakmaklı, Cem, 2016, "Forecasting inflation using survey expectations and target inflation: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 1, pages 138-153, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.03.010.
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