Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:
2023
- Hardy, Nicolás & Ferreira, Tiago & Quinteros, Maria J. & Magner, Nicolás S., 2023, "“Watch your tone!”: Forecasting mining industry commodity prices with financial report tone," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 86, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.104251.
- Harding, Martín & Lindé, Jesper & Trabandt, Mathias, 2023, "Understanding post-COVID inflation dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 140, issue S, pages 101-118, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2023.05.012.
- Ferrante, Francesco & Graves, Sebastian & Iacoviello, Matteo, 2023, "The inflationary effects of sectoral reallocation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 140, issue S, pages 64-81, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2023.03.003.
- Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2023, "Macroeconomic expectations and consumer sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic: The role of others’ beliefs," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, volume 77, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2022.102295.
- Lecca, Patrizio & Persyn, Damiaan & Sakkas, Stelios, 2023, "Capital-skill complementarity and regional inequality: A spatial general equilibrium analysis," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, volume 102, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2023.103937.
- Orte, Francisco & Mira, José & Sánchez, María Jesús & Solana, Pablo, 2023, "A random forest-based model for crypto asset forecasts in futures markets with out-of-sample prediction," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 64, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101829.
- Citera, Emanuele & Gouri Suresh, Shyam & Setterfield, Mark, 2023, "The network origins of aggregate fluctuations: A demand-side approach," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, volume 64, issue C, pages 111-123, DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2022.12.005.
- Max Gillman & Adrian Pagan, 2023, "Investigating Cycle Anatomy," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2023-09, Feb.
- Ye Lu & Adrian Pagan, 2023, "To Boost or Not to Boost? That is the Question," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2023-12, Feb.
- Bonsoo Koo & Benjamin Wong & Ze-Yu Zhong, 2023, "Disentangling Structural Breaks in Factor Models for Macroeconomic Data," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2023-15, Mar, revised Nov 2025.
- Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023, "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards and Policies," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2023-19, Apr.
- Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & F. Ulrich Ruch, 2023, "Potential Growth: A Global Database," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2023-20, Apr.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023, "Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2023-23, May.
- Yunjong Eo & James Morley, 2023, "Does the Survey of Professional Forecasters Help Predict the Shape of Recessions in Real Time? ," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2023-24, May.
- Cesar Ramos, 2023, "Machine Learning Insights into Bolivia’s Economic Downturns," Cuadernos de Investigación Económica Boliviana, Ministerio de Economía y Finanzas Públicas de Bolivia, volume 6, issue 2, pages 5-33, December.
- Reis, Ricardo, 2023, "Four mistakes in the use of measures of expected inflation," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 118130, May.
- Goodhart, C. A. E. & Pradhan, Manoj, 2023, "A snapshot of Central Bank (two year) forecasting: a mixed picture," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 118680, Mar.
- Ibarra, Raul, 2023, "The yield spread as a predictor of economic activity in Mexico: the role of the term premium," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 120717, Oct.
- José Luis Oreiro & Julio Fernando Costa Santos, 2023, "O quarteto impossível em um modelo supermultiplicador de crescimento liderado pela demanda para uma pequena economia aberta," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, FGV EAESP, volume 43, issue 3, pages 592-618, August, DOI: 10.1590/0101-31572023-3448.
- Hamid Baghestani & Bassam M. AbuAl-Foul, 2023, "US unemployment rate: Federal Reserve versus private information," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 51, issue 5, pages 1093-1105, November, DOI: 10.1108/JES-05-2023-0273.
- Hardik Marfatia, 2023, "The financial market's ability to forecast economic growth: information from sectoral movements," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 50, issue 7, pages 1467-1484, January, DOI: 10.1108/JES-08-2022-0466.
- Magdalena Majchrzak & Aneta Ejsmont, 2023, "Competitiveness of Small and Medium-Sized Enterprisesin the German-Polish Border Area in Timesof Extraordinary Threats," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue 1, pages 247-267.
- Pablo Pincheira-Brown & Nicolás Hardy & Cristobal Henrriquez & Ignacio Tapia & Andrea Bentancor, 2023, "Forecasting Base Metal Prices with an International Stock Index," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 73, issue 3, pages 277-302, October.
- Christopher D. Cotton & John O'Shea, 2023, "Forecasting CPI Shelter under Falling Market-Rent Growth," Current Policy Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 95664, Feb.
- Gary Koop & Gary Koop & Stuart McIntyre & James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Ping Wu, 2023, "Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 23-09, May, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202309.
- Kurt Graden Lunsford & Kenneth D. West, 2023, "Random Walk Forecasts of Stationary Processes Have Low Bias," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 23-18, Aug, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202318.
- James Mitchell & Saeed Zaman, 2023, "The Distributional Predictive Content of Measures of Inflation Expectations," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 23-31, Nov, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202331.
- Todd E. Clark & Matthew V. Gordon & Saeed Zaman, 2023, "Forecasting Core Inflation and Its Goods, Housing, and Supercore Components," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 23-34, Dec, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202334.
- Michael T. Kiley, 2023, "Recession Signals and Business Cycle Dynamics: Tying the Pieces Together," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2023-008, Jan, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2023.008.
- Michael T. Kiley, 2023, "The Role of Wages in Trend Inflation: Back to the 1980s?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2023-022, Apr, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2023.022.
- Bennett Schmanski & Chiara Scotti & Clara Vega, 2023, "Fed Communication, News, Twitter, and Echo Chambers," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2023-036, May, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2023.036.
- Colin Campbell & Anthony M. Diercks & Steven A. Sharpe & Daniel Soques, 2023, "The Swaps Strike Back: Evaluating Expectations of One-Year Inflation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2023-061, Sep, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2023.061.
- Isabel Cairó & Hess T. Chung & Francesco Ferrante & Cristina Fuentes-Albero & Camilo Morales-Jimenez & Damjan Pfajfar, 2023, "Endogenous Labor Supply in an Estimated New-Keynesian Model: Nominal versus Real Rigidities," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2023-069, Nov, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2023.069.
- Kenneth Eva & Fabian Winkler, 2023, "A Comprehensive Empirical Evaluation of Biases in Expectation Formation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2023-042, Jun, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2023.042.
- Francesco Ferrante & Sebastian Graves & Matteo Iacoviello, 2023, "The Inflationary Effects of Sectoral Reallocation," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1369, Feb, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2023.1369.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Matteo Luciani & Michele Modugno, 2023, "Lessons from Nowcasting GDP across the World," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1385, Dec, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2023.1385.
- Gadi Barlevy & Luojia Hu, 2023, "Unit Labor Costs and Inflation in the Non-Housing Service Sector," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, volume 0, March.
- Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2023, "Job-to-Job Mobility and Inflation," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number WP 2023-03, Jan.
- Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Fernando Leibovici, 2023, "Artificial Intelligence and Inflation Forecasts," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2023-015, Jul, revised 26 Feb 2024, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2023.015.
- Sushant Acharya & William Chen & Marco Del Negro & Keshav Dogra & Aidan Gleich & Shlok Goyal & Donggyu Lee & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Sikata Sengupta, 2023, "Estimating HANK for Central Banks," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 1071, Aug, DOI: 10.59576/sr.1071.
- Fatima Mboup, 2023, "Economic Activity by Race," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 23-16, Aug, DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2023.16.
- John O'Trakoun, 2023, "An Alternative Measure of Core Inflation: The Trimmed Persistence PCE Price Index," Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, number 23-10, Nov.
- Boris I. Alekhin, 2023, "Interregional Differences in Inflation through the Prism of Ackley’s Theory," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 1, pages 8-25, February, DOI: 10.31107/2075-1990-2023-1-8-25.
- Tsukhlo Sergey, 2023, "Russian industry in 2022," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number ppaper-2023-1281, revised 2023.
- Barinova Vera & Zemtsov Stepan & Demidova Ksenia & Levakov P., 2023, "Business activity of small and medium-sized enterprises in Russia in the context of sanctions," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number ppaper-2023-1285, revised 2023.
- Andrey Polbin & Andrei Shumilov, 2023, "Forecasting inflation in Russia using a TVP model with Bayesian shrinkage," Working Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number wpaper-2023-1462, revised 2023.
- James T. E. Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2023, "Macroeconomic Predictions Using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Forecasting, MDPI, volume 5, issue 4, pages 1-32, November.
- Mihnea Constantinescu, 2023, "Sparse Warcasting," IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, number 15-2023, Sep, revised 02 Oct 2023.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2023, "Monitoring multicountry macroeconomic risk," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2023_07, May.
- Pedro Bação & José Diogo Silva, 2023, "Inflation in Portugal Through the Lens of the Fair Model," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 57, pages 87-97, December, DOI: 10.14195/2183-203X_57_4.
- Oren Barkan & Jonathan Benchimol & Itamar Caspi & Eliya Cohen & Allon Hammer & Noam Koenigstein, 2023, "Forecasting CPI inflation components with Hierarchical Recurrent Neural Networks," Post-Print, HAL, number emse-04624940, Jul, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.04.009.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2023, "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," Post-Print, HAL, number emse-04624979, Aug, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2023.101151.
- Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & David Sabes, 2023, "Do yield curve inversions predict recessions in the euro area?," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-03914540.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023, "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-03919944, Oct, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2022.2116025.
- Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2024, "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-04184412, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2227416.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023, "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology
[Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL, number hal-03661598, May, DOI: 10.3917/reco.742.0005. - Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023, "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology
[Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main), HAL, number hal-03661598, May, DOI: 10.3917/reco.742.0005. - Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2023, "How can technology significantly contribute to climate change mitigation?," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-03924629, Jan.
- Suveg, Melinda, 2023, "The Working Capital Channel," Working Paper Series, Research Institute of Industrial Economics, number 1482, Dec, revised 18 Oct 2025.
- Edvinsson, Rodney & Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2023, "Does Money Growth Predict Inflation? Evidence from Vector Autoregressions Using Four Centuries of Data," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2023:3, Feb.
- Berger, Helge & Karlsson, Sune & Österholm, Pär, 2023, "A Note of Caution on the Relation between Money Growth and Inflation," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2023:9, Apr.
- KANO, Takashi, 2023, "Posterior Inferences on Incomplete Structural Models : The Minimal Econometric Interpretation," Discussion paper series, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University, number HIAS-E-128, Mar.
- NAKAJIMA, Jouchi & 中島, 上智, 2023, "Estimation of firms' inflation expectations using the survey DI," Discussion paper series, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University, number HIAS-E-131, Jul.
- 中島, 上智 & ナカジマ, ジョウチ, 2023, "短観diを用いた企業のインフレ予想の推計," Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, number 744, Jul.
- NAKAJIMA, Jouchi, 2023, "Estimation of firms' inflation expectations using the survey DI," Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, number 749, Dec.
- Ben Bernanke & Olivier J Blanchard, 2023, "What caused the US pandemic-era inflation?," Working Paper Series, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number WP23-4, Jun.
- Lutz Kilian & Nikos Nomikos & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2023, "Container Trade and the U.S. Recovery," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 19, issue 1, pages 417-450, March.
- Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2023, "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, number 23-E-07, Nov.
- Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2023, "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2023/010, Jan.
- Mr. Helge Berger & Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2023, "A Note of Caution on the Relation Between Money Growth and Inflation," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2023/137, Jun.
- Josué Alan Cantú Esquivel & Humberto Rios Bolivar & Ana Lorena Jiménez Preciado, 2023, "Causalidad y acoplamiento cíclico entre variables macroeconómicas en la conformación de crisis financieras," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, volume 18, issue 1, pages 1-28, Enero - M.
- Marc Burri, 2023, "Do daily lead texts help nowcasting GDP growth?," IRENE Working Papers, IRENE Institute of Economic Research, number 23-02, Jul.
- Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2023, "DSGE-SVt: An Econometric Toolkit for High-Dimensional DSGE Models with SV and t Errors," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 61, issue 1, pages 69-111, January, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-021-10200-y.
- Klaus Weyerstrass & Rijad Kovac, 2023, "Fiscal policies in the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina: are spending or revenue measures more effective?," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 50, issue 1, pages 173-206, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-022-09562-9.
- Klaus Weyerstrass & Dmitri Blueschke & Reinhard Neck & Miroslav Verbič, 2023, "Dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic in Slovenia: simulations with a macroeconometric model," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 50, issue 4, pages 853-881, November, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-023-09591-y.
- Dongchul Cho & Wankeun Oh, 2023, "Predictive Abilities of Inflation Expectations and Implications on Monetary Policy in Korea," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, volume 39, pages 257-276.
- Ko Munakata & Takeshi Shinohara & Shigenori Shiratsuka & Nao Sudo & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2023, "On the Source of Seasonality in Price Changes: The Role of Seasonality in Menu Costs," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University, number 2023-016, Nov.
- Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & F. Ulrich Ruch, 2023, "Potential Growth: A Global Database," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 2302, Apr.
- Sinem Kilic Celik & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023, "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 2303, Apr.
- M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023, "Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 2304, May.
- Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Maurizio Daniele & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Isabel Martinez & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Tim Reinicke & Samad Sarferaz & Pascal Se, 2023, "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2023 / 2024. Milder Winter dämpft Rezessionsängste," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 17, issue 1, pages 1-60, March, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000604318.
- Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Maurizio Daniele & Thomas Domjahn & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Isabel Martinez & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Alexis Perakis & Tim Rei, 2023, "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2023 / 2024. Starke Beschäftigung trifft auf stockende Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 17, issue 2, pages 1-26, June, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000620384.
- Jan-Egbert Sturm & Alexander Rathke & Klaus Abberger & Maurizio Daniele & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Isabel Martinez & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Alexis Perakis & Tim Reinicke & Samad, 2023, "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2024 / 2025. Schweizer Konjunktur: Binnenwirtschaft stützt – Aussenhandel schwächelt," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 17, issue 3, pages 1-70, September, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000633927.
- Moira Ohaco, 2023, "Registración del servicio doméstico: Evaluación de impacto de una política de difusión dirigida a empleadores," Económica, Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, volume 69, pages 86-121, January-D, DOI: 10.24215/18521649e032.
- Idoia Aguirre & Miguel Casares, 2023, "The post-covid inflation episode," Documentos de Trabajo - Lan Gaiak Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra, Departamento de Economía - Universidad Pública de Navarra, number 2301.
- Gregory de Walque & Thomas Lejeune & Ansgar Rannenberg, 2023, "Empirical DSGE model evaluation with interest rate expectations measures and preferences over safe assets," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 433, Feb.
- Jakub Rybacki & Michał Gniazdowski, 2023, "Macroeconomic forecasting in Poland: lessons from the external shocks," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, volume 54, issue 1, pages 45-64.
- Jacek Kotłowski, 2023, "The role of central bank forecasts in uncertain times," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 363.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Isaiah J. Hull, 2023, "Dynamic Programming in Economics on a Quantum Annealer," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 31326, Jun.
- Menzie D. Chinn & Baptiste Meunier & Sebastian Stumpner, 2023, "Nowcasting World Trade with Machine Learning: a Three-Step Approach," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 31419, Jun.
- Zigang Li & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh & Wang Renxuan, 2023, "Understanding Rationality and Disagreement in House Price Expectations," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 31516, Jul.
- Luca Gemmi & Rosen Valchev, 2023, "Biased Surveys," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 31607, Aug.
- Hengjie Ai & Ravi Bansal & Hongye Guo, 2023, "Macroeconomic Announcement Premium," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 31923, Nov.
- Irina-Stefana Cibotariu, 2023, "Methods of Measuring and Analyzing Inflation and Its Effect on Economic Growth," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 2, pages 36-45, December.
- John O’Trakoun, 2023, "An alternative measure of core inflation: the Trimmed Persistence PCE price index," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, volume 58, issue 4, pages 205-223, October, DOI: 10.1057/s11369-023-00339-x.
- Massimo Ferrari Minesso & Laura Lebastard & Helena Mezo, 2023, "Text-Based Recession Probabilities," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 71, issue 2, pages 415-438, June, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-022-00177-5.
- Kumar, Anshul, 2023, "A basic two-sector new Keynesian DSGE model of the Indian economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 115863, Jan.
- Kilic Celik, Sinem & Kose, Ayhan M. & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Ruch, Franz, 2023, "Potential Growth: A Global Database," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 116902, Apr.
- Kilic Celic, Sinem & Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023, "Potential Growth Prospects: Risks, Rewards, and Policies," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 116905, Mar.
- Medina, Juan Pablo & Toni, Emiliano & Valdes, Rodrigo, 2023, "The Art and Science of Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Chile," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 117198, Apr, revised 28 Apr 2023.
- Kose, M. Ayhan & Ohnsorge, Franziska, 2023, "Slowing Growth: More than a rough Patch," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 117327, May.
- Saccal, Alessandro, 2023, "A role for confidence: volition regimes and news," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 117484, May.
- Frank, Luis, 2023, "Revisión del traslado a precios de la devaluación del tipo de cambio oficial durante el per\'iodo 2017-2023 en Argentina
[Review of the devaluation of the official exchange rate pass-through to prices during the period 2017-2023 in Argentine]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 117904, Jul. - Olkhov, Victor, 2023, "Economic complexity limits accuracy of price probability predictions by gaussian distributions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 118373, Aug.
- Lee, David, 2023, "Default Forecasting and Credit Valuation Adjustment," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 118578, Sep.
- Polbin, Andrey & Shumilov, Andrei, 2023, "Прогнозирование Инфляции В России С Помощью Tvp-Модели С Байесовским Сжатием Параметров
[Forecasting inflation in Russia using a TVP model with Bayesian shrinkage]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 118650. - Olkhov, Victor, 2023, "Economic Theory as Successive Approximations of Statistical Moments," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 118722, Sep.
- Andriantomanga, Zo, 2023, "The role of survey-based expectations in real-time forecasting of US inflation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 119904, Nov.
- Ahmed, Muhammad Ashfaq & Nawaz, Nasreen, 2023, "How Shocks Affect Markets: A Novel Dynamical Macroeconomic Model to Explain Adjustment of Markets and Equilibria," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126297, Sep, revised 01 Jan 2024.
- Afees A. Salisu & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta, 2023, "Technological Shocks and Stock Market Volatility Over a Century: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202308, Apr.
- Jiří Pour, 2023, "Ceny nemovitostí a dlouhodobé úrokové sazby
[House prices and long-term interest rates]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2023, issue 6, pages 668-708, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1408. - António Rua & Nuno Lourenço & João Quelhas, 2023, "Navigating with a compass: Charting the course of underlying inflation," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w202317.
- Nuwat Nookhwun & Pym Manopimoke, 2023, "Disaggregated Inflation Dynamics in Thailand: Which Shocks Matter?," PIER Discussion Papers, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research, number 211, Dec.
- Aguirre, John & Arrieta, Johar & Castillo, Luis E. & Florián, David & Ledesma, Alan & Martinez, Jefferson & Morales, Valeria & Vélez, Amilcar, 2023, "Modelo de Proyección Trimestral: Una Actualización Hasta 2019," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 42, pages 9-58.
- Michael P. Clements & Shixuan Wang, 2023, "Do Professional Forecasters' Phillips Curves Incorporate the Beliefs of Others?," Economics Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Reading, number em-dp2023-05, Feb.
- Ivan Stankevich, 2023, "Application of Markov-Switching MIDAS models to nowcasting of GDP and its components," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 70, pages 122-143.
- Parisa Aghania & Hassan Heydari & Shahab Jahangiri, 2023, "Investigating the Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on Economic Growth and Inflation in the Iranian Economy: Empirical Evidence Based on the TVP-TVP-SFAVAR-SV Model," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, volume 9, issue 4, pages 61-96.
- Hasan Yosefizadeh & Farzaneh Khalili & Kamran Nadri, 2023, "Investigating the Effects of Taxation on the Profit of Bank Deposits on Inflation and GDP of Iran's Economy in the Form of a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model (DSGE)," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, volume 10, issue 1, pages 59-88.
- Tadzhibaeva, Liana (Таджибаева, Лиана), 2023, "Autoregression model for the GDP of the Russian Federation, supplemented by the indicator of business activity of trading partner countries
[Модель Авторегрессии Для Ввп Рф, Дополненная Показателем Деловой Активности Стран Торговых Партнеров]," Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, number w20220233, Mar. - Mikhaylov, Dmitry, 2023, "Macroeconomic Forecasting with the Use of News Data," Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, number w20220250, Apr.
- Perevyshin, Yuriy (Перевышин, Юрий) & Trunin, Pavel (Трунин, Павел), 2023, "Inflation expectations accuracy in russian economy
[Точность Инфляционных Ожиданий В Российской Экономике]," Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, number w202332. - Perevyshin, Yuriy (Перевышин, Юрий) & Kolyadenko, Pavel (Коляденко, Павел), 2023, "Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts in russian economy?
[Помогают Ли Инфляционные Ожидания Прогнозировать Инфляцию В Российской Экономике?]," Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, number w202333. - Vedev, Aleksei (Ведев, Алексей) & Silchuk, Aleksandra (Сильчук, Александра) & Eremkin, Vladimir (Еремкин, Владимир) & Tuzov, Konstantin (Тузов, Константин) & Kovaleva, Maria (Ковалева, Мария), 2023, "Forecast of medium-term dynamics of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation under sanctions pressure, assessment of the effectiveness of implemented economic support measures and risk management opportunities
[Прогноз Среднесрочной Ди," Working Papers, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, number w202374. - Laura Felber & Simon Beyeler, 2023, "Nowcasting economic activity using transaction payments data," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2023-01.
- Marie-Catherine Bieri, 2023, "Assessing economic sentiment with newspaper text indices: evidence from Switzerland," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2023-07.
- Kenshiro Ninomiya, 2023, "Debt burden, investment, and profit-sharing," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, volume 20, issue 2, pages 287-306, September, DOI: 10.1007/s40844-023-00267-7.
- Fumio Hayashi & Yuta Tachi, 2023, "Nowcasting Japan’s GDP," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 64, issue 4, pages 1699-1735, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-022-02301-w.
- Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2023, "Economic forecasting in a pandemic: some evidence from Singapore," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 64, issue 5, pages 2105-2124, May, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-022-02311-8.
- Ayman Mnasri & Zouhair Mrabet & Mouyad Alsamara, 2023, "A new quadratic asymmetric error correction model: does size matter?," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 65, issue 1, pages 33-64, July, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-022-02323-4.
- Yue-Jun Zhang & Han Zhang & Rangan Gupta, 2023, "A new hybrid method with data-characteristic-driven analysis for artificial intelligence and robotics index return forecasting," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, volume 9, issue 1, pages 1-23, December, DOI: 10.1186/s40854-023-00483-5.
- Robert Lehmann, 2023, "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 19, issue 1, pages 43-94, March, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-022-00079-5.
- Satoshi Urasawa, 2023, "The Usefulness of High-Frequency Alternative Data to Obtain Nowcasts for Japan’s GDP: Evidence from Credit Card Data," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 19, issue 2, pages 191-211, September, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00085-1.
- Bibiana Lanzilotta & Gabriel Merlo & Gabriela Mordecki & Viviana Umpierrez, 2023, "Understanding Uncertainty Shocks in Uruguay Through VAR Modeling," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 19, issue 3, pages 399-419, November, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-023-00081-5.
- Ujjal Chatterjee, 2023, "Forecasting Economic Growth: Evidence from housing, banking, and credit conditions," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, volume 47, issue 4, pages 936-958, December, DOI: 10.1007/s12197-023-09637-8.
- Richard Kwabi Ayisi & Gloria Afful-Mensah, 2023, "A Model of New Keynesian Philip Curve and Inflation Dynamics in Ghana," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), volume 21, issue 3, pages 703-719, September, DOI: 10.1007/s40953-023-00351-0.
- Giuseppe Orlando & Mario Sportelli, 2023, "A Survey on Business Cycles: History, Theory and Empirical Findings," Springer Proceedings in Business and Economics, Springer, in: Vikas Kumar & Evgeny Kuzmin & Wei-Bin Zhang & Yuliya Lavrikova, "Consequences of Social Transformation for Economic Theory", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-27785-6_2.
- Peter Kugler & George Sheldon, 2023, "A monthly leading indicator of Swiss GDP growth based on Okun’s law," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, volume 159, issue 1, pages 1-14, December, DOI: 10.1186/s41937-023-00115-w.
- Ujjal Chatterjee, 2023, "Predicting economic growth: evidence from real-estate loans securitization," SN Business & Economics, Springer, volume 3, issue 3, pages 1-20, March, DOI: 10.1007/s43546-023-00456-x.
- Barend Abeln & Jan P. A. M. Jacobs, 2023, "CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions," SpringerBriefs in Economics, Springer, chapter 0, "Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-22845-2_2.
- Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua, 2023, "The Increasing Synchronization of International Recessions," Springer Books, Springer, chapter 0, in: Pami Dua, "Macroeconometric Methods", DOI: 10.1007/978-981-19-7592-9_13.
- Pami Dua & Deepika Goel, 2023, "Forecasting India’s Inflation in a Data-Rich Environment: A FAVAR Study," Springer Books, Springer, chapter 0, in: Pami Dua, "Macroeconometric Methods", DOI: 10.1007/978-981-19-7592-9_9.
- Adler Haymans Manurung & Derwin Suhartono & Benny Hutahayan & Noptovius Halimawan, 2023, "Probability Bankruptcy Using Support Vector Regression Machines," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, volume 13, issue 1, pages 1-3.
- Giovanni Dosi & Davide Usula & Maria Enrica Virgillito, 2023, "Increasing returns and labour markets in a predator-prey model," LEM Papers Series, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy, number 2023/21, May.
- Ye Lu & Adrian Pagan, 2023, "To Boost or Not to Boost? That is the Question," Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics, number 2023-05, Feb.
- Kajal Lahiri & Junyan Zhang & Yongchen Zhao, 2023, "Inefficiency in social security trust funds forecasts," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 30, issue 10, pages 1353-1357, June, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2022.2053649.
- Jin Yeub Kim & Yongjun Kim & Myungkyu Shim, 2023, "Do Financial Analysts Herd?," Global Economic Review, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 52, issue 3, pages 202-219, July, DOI: 10.1080/1226508X.2023.2230984.
- Erlan Konebayev, 2023, "Forecasting a Commodity-Exporting Small Open Developing Economy Using DSGE and DSGE-BVAR," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 37, issue 1, pages 39-70, January, DOI: 10.1080/10168737.2023.2170443.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2023, "Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 41, issue 3, pages 890-905, July, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2022.2080683.
- Dongho Song & Jenny Tang, 2023, "News-Driven Uncertainty Fluctuations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 41, issue 3, pages 968-982, July, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2022.2097912.
- Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2023, "When are Google Data Useful to Nowcast GDP? An Approach via Preselection and Shrinkage," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 41, issue 4, pages 1188-1202, October, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2022.2116025.
- Erlan Konebayev, 2023, "Estimation of a small open economy DSGE model for Kazakhstan," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 35, issue 7, pages 670-707, October, DOI: 10.1080/14631377.2023.2214753.
- Anna Gloria Billé & Alessio Tomelleri & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2023, "Forecasting regional GDPs: a comparison with spatial dynamic panel data models," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 18, issue 4, pages 530-551, October, DOI: 10.1080/17421772.2023.2199034.
- Elif Feyza Özcan Kodaz & Serdar Yürek, 2023, "State-Dependency in Price Adjustments: Evidence from Large Shocks," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 2304.
- Cars Hommes & Sebastian Poledna, 2023, "Analyzing and forecasting economic crises with an agent-based model of the euro area," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 23-013/II, Mar.
- Daan Opschoor & Dick van Dijk, 2023, "Slow Expectation-Maximization Convergence in Low-Noise Dynamic Factor Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 23-018/III, Apr.
- Gabriel Mathy & Yongchen Zhao, 2023, "Could Diffusion Indexes Have Forecasted the Great Depression?," Working Papers, Towson University, Department of Economics, number 2023-05, Sep, revised Sep 2023.
- Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2023, "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 105, issue 2, pages 392-407, March, DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_01065.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Ekaterina Seregina & Yaojue Xu, 2023, "Elicitability and Encompassing for Volatility Forecasts by Bregman Functions," Working Papers, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, number 202311, Sep.
- Mihnea Constantinescu, 2023, "Sparse Warcasting," Working Papers, National Bank of Ukraine, number 01/2023, Jun.
- Anton Grui & Nicolas Aragon & Oleksandr Faryna & Dmytro Krukovets & Kateryna Savolchuk & Oleksii Sulimenko & Artem Vdovychenko & Oleksandr Zholud, 2023, "Between russian Invasions: The Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Ukraine in 2015-2021," Working Papers, National Bank of Ukraine, number 02/2023, Jul.
- Alejo Estavillo & Gabriela Mordecki, 2023, "Nowcasting del PIB para Uruguay en base a un modelo de ecuaciones puente," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers), Instituto de EconomÃa - IECON, number 23-26, Dec.
- Bowen Fu, Ivan Mendieta-Muñoz, 2023, "Structural shocks and trend inflation," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah, University of Utah, Department of Economics, number 2023_04.
- Biškupec Petra Popek & Ružić Ivan, 2023, "Confronting the Inflationary Pressures of Introducing the Euro with the Effects of Negative External Shocks," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, volume 23, issue 1, pages 194-207, June, DOI: 10.2478/foli-2023-0010.
- Boysen-Hogrefe Jens, 2023, "Symmetrie in Gefahr?," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, volume 103, issue 1, pages 7-7, January, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2023-0005.
- Jannsen Nils & Sonnenberg Nils, 2023, "Inflation: neues Basisjahr und Preisbremsen," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, volume 103, issue 3, pages 223-224, March, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2023-0058.
- Kilic Celik,Sinem & Kose,Ayhan & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte, 2023, "Potential Growth Prospects : Risks, Rewards, and Policies," Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank, number 10355, Mar.
- Mohammad Reza Yeganegi & Hossein Hassani & Rangan Gupta, 2023, "The ENSO cycle and forecastability of global inflation and output growth: Evidence from standard and mixed‐frequency multivariate singular spectrum analyses," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 42, issue 7, pages 1690-1707, November, DOI: 10.1002/for.2982.
- Günter Coenen & Carlos Montes‐Galdón & Frank Smets, 2023, "Effects of State‐Dependent Forward Guidance, Large‐Scale Asset Purchases, and Fiscal Stimulus in a Low‐Interest‐Rate Environment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 55, issue 4, pages 825-858, June, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12978.
- Fazlul Miah, 2023, "News And Information Rigidity: Further Evidence From Gdp Growth Forecasts," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 23, issue 01n04, pages 1-21, December, DOI: 10.1142/S2194565924500039.
- Amritkant Mishra & Ajit Kumar Dash & Shri Narayan Pandey & Amba Agarwal, 2023, "Dynamic spillover among the sectoral indices: Evidence from first and second waves of COVID-19," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 10, issue 03, pages 1-22, September, DOI: 10.1142/S2424786323500202.
- Young Bin Ahn & Yoichi Tsuchiya, 2023, "Directional Accuracy Of Singapore’S Macroeconomic Forecasts," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 68, issue 05, pages 1569-1583, September, DOI: 10.1142/S0217590819500541.
- Obstbaum, Meri & Oinonen, Sami & Pönkä, Harri & Vanhala, Juuso & Vilmi, Lauri, 2023, "Transmission of recent shocks in a labour-DSGE model with wage rigidity," BoF Economics Review, Bank of Finland, number 1/2023.
- Dück, Alexander & Verona, Fabio, 2023, "Monetary policy rules: model uncertainty meets design limits," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 12/2023.
- Finck, David & Hoffmann, Mathias & Hürtgen, Patrick, 2023, "On the empirical relevance of the exchange rate as a shock absorber at the zero lower bound," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 10/2023.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd E. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mertens, Elmar, 2023, "Shadow-rate VARs," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 14/2023.
- Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2023, "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 34/2023.
- Hafemann, Lucas, 2023, "A house prices at risk approach for the German residential real estate market," Technical Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 07/2023.
- Barkan, Oren & Benchimol, Jonathan & Caspi, Itamar & Cohen, Eliya & Hammer, Allon & Koenigstein, Noam, 2023, "Forecasting CPI inflation components with Hierarchical Recurrent Neural Networks," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 39, issue 3, pages 1145-1162, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.04.009.
- Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen, 2023, "Optimal monetary policy under bounded rationality," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 67, pages 1-25.
- Reiss, Michael, 2023, "On the marginal utility of fiat money: insurmountable circularity or not?," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 268397.
- Sitarz, Joanna & Pahle, Michael & Osorio, Sebastian & Luderer, Gunnar & Pietzcker, Robert, 2023, "EU carbon prices signal high policy credibility and farsighted actors," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 280455.
- Dück, Alexander & Verona, Fabio, 2023, "Robust frequency-based monetary policy rules," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 180.
- Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Sardone, Alessandro & Schult, Christoph & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2023, "Grüne Transformation und Schuldenbremse: Implikationen zusätzlicher Investitionen für öffentliche Finanzen und privaten Konsum," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 11, issue 4, pages 141-159.
- Heinisch, Katja & Behrens, Christoph & Döpke, Jörg & Foltas, Alexander & Fritsche, Ulrich & Köhler, Tim & Müller, Karsten & Puckelwald, Johannes & Reichmayr, Hannes, 2023, "The IWH Forecasting Dashboard: From forecasts to evaluation and comparison," IWH Technical Reports, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 1/2023.
- Kolev, Galina V. & Obst, Thomas & Puls, Thomas, 2024, "Auswirkungen des Nahostkonflikts auf die deutsche Wirtschaft," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 1/2024.
- Urban, Jörg, 2023, "Credit cycles revisited," Working Paper Series in Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management, number 162, DOI: 10.5445/IR/1000170724.
- Born, Benjamin & Enders, Zeno & Müller, Gernot J., 2023, "On FIRE, news, and expectations," Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin, number 42, DOI: 10.18452/26728.
- Foltas, Alexander, 2023, "Quantifying priorities in business cycle reports: Analysis of recurring textual patterns around peaks and troughs," Working Papers, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin, number 44, DOI: 10.18452/27015.
- Ganics, Gergely & Mertens, Elmar & Clark, Todd E., 2023, "What Is the Predictive Value of SPF Point and Density Forecasts?," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage", Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 277622.
- Strunz, Franziska & Gödl, Maximilian, 2023, "An Evaluation of Professional Forecasts for the German Economy," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage", Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 277707.
- Conrad, Christian & Lahiri, Kajal, 2023, "Heterogeneous expectations among professional forecasters," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 23-062.
2022
- Sina Streicher, 2022, "RGAP: Output Gap Estimation in R," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 22-503, Jun, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000552089.
- Tino Berger & Christian Ochsner, 2022, "Tracking the German Business Cycle," MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung), number 202212.
- David Finck & Mathias Hoffmann & Patrick Huertgen, 2022, "On the Empirical Relevance of the Exchange Rate as a Shock Absorber at the Zero Lower Bound," MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung), number 202234.
- Makram El-Shagi & Yizhuang Zheng, 2022, "Money Demand in China: A Meta Study," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 58, issue 1, pages 145-163, January, DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2019.1643317.
- Mehmet Balcilar & George Ike & Rangan Gupta, 2022, "The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty in Predicting Output Growth in Emerging Markets: A Mixed-Frequency Granger Causality Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 58, issue 4, pages 1008-1026, March, DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2020.1860747.
- Rueben Ellul & Germano Ruisi, 2022, "Nowcasting the Maltese economy with a dynamic factor model," CBM Working Papers, Central Bank of Malta, number WP/02/2022.
- Ilenia Romani & Marzio Galeotti & Alessandro Lanza, 2022, "Besides promising economic growth, will the Italian NRRP also produce fewer emissions," Politica economica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 41-66.
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