Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:
2025
- Emmanouil Sofianos & Christos Alexakis & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou, 2025, "Machine learning forecasting in the macroeconomic environment: the case of the US output gap," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, volume 58, issue 1, pages 1-19, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10644-024-09849-w.
- Luccas Assis Attílio, 2025, "When global tensions hit the table: geopolitical risk and Brazil’s food prices," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, volume 58, issue 6, pages 1-30, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10644-025-09938-4.
- Jan Radovan & Igor Masten, 2025, "Nowcasting economic activity in a small open CESEE economy using mixed frequency data," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 52, issue 4, pages 721-776, November, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-025-09656-0.
- Luccas Assis Attílio, 2025, "Effects of Redistribution on Growth in Brazil: A GVAR Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 36, issue 2, pages 577-605, April, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-024-09770-9.
- Laurynas NaruÅ¡eviÄ ius & Ieva MikaliÅ«naitÄ—-Jouvanceau, 2025, "Systemic Risk Modelling System (SRMS): a macroprudential stress testing model," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series, Bank of Lithuania, number 41, Jan.
- Federica Brenna & Žymantas Budrys, 2025, "Forecasting with the help of survey information," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series, Bank of Lithuania, number 130, Jan.
- Pierre Rostan, Alexandra Rostan, 2025, "How the post-COVID-19 US economy lost and then regained momentum against the Eurozone economy," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), volume 22, issue 1, pages 129-174, June.
- Kiril Simeonovski & Gani Ramadani & Danica Unevska Andonova, 2025, "Assessment of the fundamental value of residential properties in the Macedonian real estate market with a macroprudential approach," Working Papers, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia, number 2025-02.
- Dzung Bui & Bernd Hayo, 2025, "Drawbacks of Household Panel Data on Inflation Perceptions and Expectations: Non-Representativeness and Selectivity," MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung), number 202514, May.
- Ansgar Rannenberg, 2025, "Forward guidance and fiscal rules in HANK," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 478, Jul.
- Paul Beaudry & Chenyu Hou & Franck Portier, 2025, "On the Fragility of the Nonlinear Phillips Curve View of Recent Inflation," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33522, Feb.
- Kenneth D. West & Kurt G. Lunsford, 2025, "Random Walk Forecasts of Stationary Processes Have Low Bias," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34112, Aug.
- Ana Vujovic, 2025, "News article analysis using Naive Bayes classifier," Working Papers Bulletin, National Bank of Serbia, number 27, Mar.
- Christian Beer & Robert Ferstl & Bernhard Graf, 2025, "Improving disaggregated short-term food inflation forecasts with webscraped data (Christian Beer, Robert Ferstl, Bernhard Graf)," Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), number 262, Jan.
- Francesca Loria & Christian Matthes & Donghai Zhang, 2025, "Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 135, issue 665, pages 264-284.
- Hayk Kamalyan, 2025, "Firm-specific factors and the state-dependent effects of monetary policy," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 77, issue 3, pages 867-884.
- Philip Schnattinger, 2025, "Beliefs- and fundamentals-driven job creation," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 77, issue 4, pages 1037-1061.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2025, "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, volume 92, issue 4, pages 2502-2536.
- Zo Andriantomanga, 2025, "The role of survey-based expectations in real-time forecasting of US inflation," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, volume 60, issue 2, pages 77-98, April, DOI: 10.1057/s11369-025-00398-2.
- Shekhar Aiyar & Simon Voigts, 2025, "The Negative Mean Output Gap and the Symmetry Bias of Statistical Filters," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, volume 73, issue 4, pages 1365-1397, December, DOI: 10.1057/s41308-024-00257-8.
- Fourie, Jurgens & Steenkamp, Daan, 2025, "Forecasting economic downturns in South Africa using leading indicators and machine learning," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 124709, May.
- Boughabi, Houssam, 2025, "Inflation Persistence and Involuntary Unemployment in Pakistan: A Keynesian Econometric Study," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126294, Aug.
- Cleaver, Cynan & Guest, Oliver & Steenkamp, Daan, 2025, "Introducing a new measure of inflation pressure for South Africa," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126439, Oct.
- boughabi, houssam, 2025, "Ghanaian Inflation and Income Dynamics: Evidence on Volatility and Neutrality," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126757, Oct.
- Degiannakis, Stavros & Delis, Panagiotis & Filis, George, 2025, "Forecasting household-level inflation in Greece," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127228, Oct.
- Kishor, N. Kundan, 2025, "Measuring Housing Market Slack," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 127473, Oct.
- Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna & Rangan Gupta & Yunhan Zhang, 2025, "Climate Policy Uncertainty and the Forecastability of Inflation," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202525, Aug.
- Ana Paola Gutierrez & Luis-Gonzalo Llosa & Juan José Tang, 2025, "Economic Uncertainty from Business Tendency Surveys: The Peruvian case," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2025-024, Dec.
- Irfan Qureshi & Arief Ramayandi & Ghufran Ahmad, 2025, "An Economic Framework to Nowcast Low-Frequency Data," ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank, number 800, Sep.
- Madhavi Pundit & Arief Ramayandi & Patrick Jaime Simba & Dennis Sorino & Sharyl Rose Tan, 2025, "Monitoring Business Cycle Fluctuations in Asia," ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank, number 766, Jan.
- Natalia Makeeva, 2025, "The impact of the official statistics revision on the accuracy of the Russian macroeconomic indicators nowcasting models," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 79, pages 27-49.
- Hatice Bozkurt, 2025, "Küresel Gıda ve Petrol Fiyatlarının Enflasyon Üzerindeki Etkisi: Türkiye’den Ampirik Kanıtlar (The Effect of Global Food and Oil Prices on Inflation: Empirical Evidence from Türkiye)," Business and Economics Research Journal, Bursa Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, volume 16, issue 1, pages 21-41.
- Jung Min Han, 2025, "KIET Manufacturing Business Survey Index (BSI) for the 1st Quarter of 2025," Industrial Economic Review, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade, number 25-11, Apr.
- Mauricio Mora Barrenechea, 2025, "Forecasting Inflation in Times of Stability and Crisis: A Machine Learning Approach," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB), volume 23, issue 44, pages 65-107, DOI: 10.35319/lajed.202544578.
- Magdalena Petrovska & Artan Sulejmani & Elena Mucheva Mihajlovska, 2025, "Credit-To-Gdp Gap Computation Under Multivariate Hp Filter Methodology: The Case Of North Macedonia," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, volume 16, issue 2, pages 142-162, December.
- Benjamin Kay & Aeimit Lakdawala & Jane Ryngaert, 2025, "Partisan Bias in Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts," Working Papers, Wake Forest University, Economics Department, number 127, Jun.
- Francesco Morelli, 2025, "New Keynesian Models, Puzzles and Omitted Effects," CEIS Research Paper, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, number 604, Jun, revised 20 Jun 2025.
- Muhammad Rehman & Kalim Hyder & Fayyaz Hussain, 2025, "Output gap measurement: A Production function approach," SBP Working Paper Series, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, number 116, Jul.
- Dennis Kant & Andreas Pick & Jasper de Winter, 2025, "Nowcasting GDP using machine learning methods," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, volume 109, issue 1, pages 1-24, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10182-024-00515-0.
- Rodney Edvinsson & Sune Karlsson & Pär Österholm, 2025, "Does money growth predict inflation in Sweden? Evidence from vector autoregressions using four centuries of data," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 68, issue 4, pages 1613-1635, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-024-02684-y.
- Saban Nazlioglu & Sinem Pinar Gurel & Sevcan Gunes & Tugba Akin & Cagin Karul & Muhsin Kar, 2025, "Inflation co-movement: new insights from quantile factor model," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 69, issue 1, pages 431-464, July, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02733-0.
- Kristian Jönsson, 2025, "Comparing real-time uncertainty of the Hodrick-Prescott and Hamilton trend/cycle decompositions," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 69, issue 3, pages 1335-1361, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02765-6.
- Ivan Stankevich, 2025, "Nowcasting and short-term forecasting of G-20 countries GDP with endogenous regime-switching MIDAS models," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 69, issue 3, pages 1383-1410, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-025-02771-8.
- Anita Behme, 2025, "Volatility modelling in a Markov-switching environment: two Ornstein–Uhlenbeck-related approaches," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, volume 29, issue 4, pages 1109-1138, October, DOI: 10.1007/s00780-025-00567-3.
- Ernanto & Sudarso Kaderi Wiryono & Taufik Faturohman, 2025, "Macro and micro factors on global copper pricing: a historical data analysis," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, volume 38, issue 4, pages 845-867, December, DOI: 10.1007/s13563-025-00505-x.
- Rosa Ferrentino & Luca Vota, 2025, "A statistical-mathematical analysis of the macroeconomic effects of long-memory total factor productivity," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, volume 59, issue 6, pages 5795-5835, December, DOI: 10.1007/s11135-025-02284-7.
- Badrinath Kottimukkalur & Suresh Nallareddy & Mohan Venkatachalam, 2025, "The changing macroeconomic information content of aggregate earnings," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, volume 30, issue 4, pages 3387-3420, December, DOI: 10.1007/s11142-025-09920-5.
- Marie-Catherine Bieri, 2025, "Assessing economic sentiment with newspaper text indices: evidence from Switzerland," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, volume 161, issue 1, pages 1-60, December, DOI: 10.1186/s41937-025-00139-4.
- Jamil Sayeed & Md. Deen Islam, 2025, "How important are commodity terms of trade news shocks for aggregate fluctuations in Canada?," SN Business & Economics, Springer, volume 5, issue 11, pages 1-25, November, DOI: 10.1007/s43546-025-00959-9.
- Håvard Hungnes, 2025, "Decomposing the Output Gap. Robust Univariate and Multivariate Hodrick–Prescott Filtering with Extreme Observations," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 1031, Dec.
- Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & M. Carmen Lima & Ferran Sancho, 2025, "A methodology to study price-quantity interactions in input–output modeling: an application to NextGenerationEU funds," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 37, issue 2, pages 244-262, April, DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2024.2337375.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schröder, 2025, "Probabilistic Quantile Factor Analysis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 43, issue 3, pages 530-543, July, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2024.2396956.
- Fethi Ogunc & Orhun Ozel, 2025, "Buyuk Kur Soklari ve Kur Geciskenliginde Dogrusal Olmayan Etkiler," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 2505.
- Petre Caraiani & Nazli Karamollaoglu & Cihan Yalcin, 2025, "Financial Conditions, Uncertainty and Expectations Errors of Firms," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 2515.
- Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2025, "Job-to-Job Mobility and Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 107, issue 4, pages 1027-1041, July, DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_01312.
- Petrella Ivan & Santoro Emiliano & Winkelmann Yannik, 2025, "Inflation and Price Flexibility," Working papers, Department of Economics, Social Studies, Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e Matematico-Statistiche), University of Torino, number 099, May.
- Paul Beaudry & Chenyu Hou & Franck Portier, 2025, "The Dominant Role of Expectations and Broad-Based Supply Shocks in Driving Inflation," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, volume 39, issue 1, pages 235-276, DOI: 10.1086/735268.
- Vitalii Kramar & Bohdan Chepyha, 2025, "Anchoring Firms' Inflation Expectations in Ukraine: Assessing Shock and Level Anchoring with a VAR Approach," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 06, pages 1-18, DOI: 10.26531/vnbu2025.op06.
- Emmanouil SOFIANOS & Thierry BETTI & Emmanouil Theophilos PAPADIMITRIOU & Amélie BARBIER-GAUCHARD & Periklis GOGAS, 2025, "Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France," Working Papers of BETA, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg, number 2025-18.
- Dany-Knedlik Geraldine & Holtemöller Oliver & Kooths Stefan & Schmidt Torsten & Wollmershäuser Timo, 2025, "Zwölf-Punkte-Kompass zur Überwindung der deutschen Wachstumsschwäche," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, volume 105, issue 10, pages 745-752, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2025-0189.
- Czerniak Frederik & Hennig Aaron, 2025, "Bauaktivität in Deutschland: Ist kurzfristig eine Erholung zu erwarten?," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, volume 105, issue 12, pages 918-922, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2025-0232.
- Dany-Knedlik Geraldine & Holtemöller Oliver & Kooths Stefan & Schmidt Torsten & Wollmershäuser Timo, 2025, "Geopolitischer Umbruch verschärft Krise – Strukturreformen noch dringlicher," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, volume 105, issue 4, pages 305-310, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2025-0077.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2025, "Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 40, issue 1, pages 57-73, January, DOI: 10.1002/jae.3099.
- Florian Eckert & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth, 2025, "Tracking Economic Activity With Alternative High‐Frequency Data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 40, issue 3, pages 270-290, April, DOI: 10.1002/jae.3104.
- Malte Knüppel & Andreea L. Vladu, 2025, "Approximating Fixed‐Horizon Forecasts Using Fixed‐Event Forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 40, issue 4, pages 359-379, June, DOI: 10.1002/jae.3114.
- Daan Opschoor & Dick van Dijk, 2025, "Slow Expectation–Maximization Convergence in Low‐Noise Dynamic Factor Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 40, issue 7, pages 829-845, November, DOI: 10.1002/jae.70007.
- Emile du Plessis & Ulrich Fritsche, 2025, "New forecasting methods for an old problem: Predicting 147 years of systemic financial crises," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 44, issue 1, pages 3-40, January, DOI: 10.1002/for.3184.
- Joshua Bernstein & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2025, "The Matching Function and Nonlinear Business Cycles," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 57, issue 2-3, pages 349-376, March, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.13115.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2025, "Forecasting with shadow rate VARs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 16, issue 3, pages 795-822, July, DOI: 10.3982/QE2547.
- Jonas D. M. Fisher, Jonas D. & Melosi, Leonardo & Sebastian Rast, Sebastian, 2025, "Long-Run Inflation Expectations," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics, number 1551.
- Saira Yamin & Saqib Gulzar, 2025, "Multiples And Stock Price, New Approach For Relative Valuation Through Neural Network," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 70, issue 04, pages 953-971, June, DOI: 10.1142/S0217590820480045.
- Juvonen, Petteri & Nelimarkka, Jaakko & Obstbaum, Meri & Vilmi, Lauri, 2025, "Drivers of post-pandemic price dynamics and labour market tightness in the euro area," BoF Economics Review, Bank of Finland, number 1/2025.
- Yusifzada, Tural & Cömert, Hasan & Ahmadov, Vugar, 2025, "A composite approach to nonlinear inflation dynamics in BRICS countries and Türkiye," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 5/2025.
- Verona, Fabio, 2025, "From waves to rates: Enhancing inflation forecasts through combinations of frequency-domain models," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 1/2025.
- Dück, Alexander & Verona, Fabio, 2025, "Beyond one-size-fits-all: Designing monetary policy for diverse models and frequencies," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 2/2025.
- Juvonen, Petteri & Lindblad, Annika, 2025, "Nowcasting in real time: Large Bayesian vector autoregression in a test," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 6/2025.
- Heikkinen, Joni & Heimonen, Kari, 2025, "Online search behavior and consumer intent: Implications for nowcasting," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 10/2025.
- Juvonen, Petteri & Sariola, Mikko, 2025, "DSGE model meets data gently: The importance of trend modelling," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 9/2025.
- Goldfayn-Frank, Olga & Kieren, Pascal & Trautmann, Stefan T., 2025, "A choice-based approach to the measurement of inflation expectations," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 25/2025.
- Ciftci, Muhsin & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2025, "Underlying inflation measures for Germany," Technical Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 04/2025.
- Benchimol, Jonathan & Bounader, Lahcen & Dotta, Mario, 2025, "Estimating Behavioral Inattention," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 236, pages 1-34.
- Li, Mengheng & Mendieta-Munoz, Ivan, 2025, "Unpacking trend inflation: Evidence from a factor correlated unobserved components model of sticky and flexible prices," EconStor Preprints, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 320299.
- Heinisch, Katja & Scaramella, Fabio & Schult, Christoph, 2025, "Assumption errors and forecast accuracy: A partial linear instrumental variable and double machine learning approach," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 6/2025, DOI: 10.18717/dprpy3-ff77.
- Bui, Dzung & Hayo, Bernd, 2025, "Drawbacks of Household Panel Data on Inflation Perceptions and Expectations: Representativeness and Selectivity Issues," VfS Annual Conference 2025 (Cologne): Revival of Industrial Policy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 325379.
2024
- Chin Kuo-Hsuan & Lau Chi Ho, 2024, "Inflation Forecast Combination: Evidence from Taiwan," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, volume 75, issue 3, pages 215-231, DOI: 10.1515/roe-2024-0054.
- Gregory de Walque & Thomas Lejeune, 2024, "What caused the post-pandemic era inflation in Belgium? Replication of the Bernanke-Blanchard model for Belgium," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 447, Mar.
- Paul Beaudry & Chenyu Hou & Franck Portier, 2024, "The Dominant Role of Expectations and Broad-Based Supply Shocks in Driving Inflation," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2024, volume 39".
- Menzie D. Chinn & Laurent Ferrara, 2024, "The Predictive Power of the Term Spread and Financial Variables for Economic Activity across Countries," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32084, Jan.
- Paul Beaudry & Chenyu Hou & Franck Portier, 2024, "The Dominant Role of Expectations and Broad-Based Supply Shocks in Driving Inflation," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32322, Apr.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana & Dick Oosthuizen, 2024, "Filtering with Limited Information," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32754, Jul.
- Domenico Giannone & Giorgio Primiceri, 2024, "The Drivers of Post-Pandemic Inflation," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32859, Aug.
- Shigeru Fujita & Valerie A. Ramey & Tal Roded, 2024, "Why Didn't the U.S. Unemployment Rate Rise at the End of WWII?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 33041, Oct.
- Mark Setterfield & George Wheaton, 2024, "Animal spirits and the Goodwin pattern," Working Papers, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics, number 2407, May.
- Mirko Djukic, 2024, "Topic classification of economic newspaper articles in a highly inflectional language – the case of Serbia," Working Papers Bulletin, National Bank of Serbia, number 21, Mar.
- M. Lenza & I. Moutachaker & I. Moutachaker, 2024, "Density forecasts of inflation : a quantile regression forest approach," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number 2024-12.
- A. Quartier-La-Tente, 2024, "Estimation en temps reel de la tendance-cycle : apport de l’utilisation des filtres asymetriques dans la detection des points de retournement," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number m2024-01.
- Ed Cornforth & Patricia Sánchez Juanino, 2024, "Expansion of Country Models," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, number 558, Sep.
- Andrew Binning, 2024, "Quantifying the Role Automatic Stabilisers Play in New Zealand Using a Macro-Simulation Approach," Treasury Working Paper Series, New Zealand Treasury, number 24/02, Apr.
- Petra Greso & Karin Klieber, 2024, "The role of inflation subcomponents: applying maximally forward-looking core inflation to euro area countries," OeNB Bulletin, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q3/2024-1, pages 1-22.
- Friedrich Fritzer, 2024, "The instability of leading indicators in forecasting Austrian inflation: lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic and the energy crisis," OeNB Bulletin, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q4/24-1, pages 1-18.
- Karim M Abadir & Gabriel Talmain, 2024, "Beyond Co-integration: New Tools for Inference on Co-movements," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 22, issue 4, pages 839-867.
- Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2024, "Do Recessions and Bear Markets Occur Concurrently across Countries? A Multinomial Logistic Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 22, issue 5, pages 1482-1502.
- Roxana Ispas, 2024, "The Role of Financial Management in Optimizing the Economic Performance of Companies: Challenges and Perspectives," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 2, pages 536-542, December.
- Roxana Ispas, 2024, "Pricing Policy as a Strategic Tool in the Context of Global Competition," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 2, pages 543-548, December.
- Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2024, "Technological synergies, heterogeneous firms, and idiosyncratic volatility," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 1037, Mar.
- N. Kundan Kishor, 2024, "Does the Zillow rent measure help predict CPI rent inflation?," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, volume 59, issue 4, pages 220-226, October, DOI: 10.1057/s11369-024-00376-0.
- Chris Murphy, 2024, "An Evaluation of the Macro Policy Response to COVID," Departmental Working Papers, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics, number 2024-9.
- Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2024, "Technological Synergies, Heterogeneous Firms, and Idiosyncratic Volatility," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 24-008, Aug.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerron-Quintana & Dick Oosthuizen, 2024, "Filtering with Limited Information," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 24-016, Jul.
- Harashima, Taiji, 2024, "Numerical Simulation of Economic Depression," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 120508, Mar.
- Kishor, N. Kundan, 2024, "Does Zillow Rent Measure Help Predict CPI Rent Inflation?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 120818, Apr.
- Alnaa, Samuel Erasmus & Matey, Juabin, 2024, "Financial Deepening in Ghana; Does Macroeconomics Matter," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 120974, Feb, revised 02 Apr 2024.
- Olkhov, Victor, 2024, "Lower bounds of uncertainty and upper limits on the accuracy of forecasts of macroeconomic variables," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 121628, Jul.
- Vîntu, Denis, 2024, "Twin Deficits and Fiscal Spillovers in the European Periphery (Candidate Countries to EU Accession): A Keynesian Perspective," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 123504, Sep, revised Aug 2024.
- Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Onur Polat, 2024, "Forecasting U.S. Recessions Using Over 150 Years of Data: Stock-Market Moments versus Oil-Market Moments," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 202435, Aug.
- Mihail Petkovski & Jordan Kjosevski & Aleksandar Stojkov & Katerina Bartasek Petkovska, 2024, "Examining Country-specific and Global Factors of Inflation Dynamics: The Curious Case of Baltic States," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2024, issue 6, pages 896-922, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1444.
- Nuno Vilarinho Goncalves, 2024, "Post-pandemic inflation dynamics in Portugal: an application of the Bernanke-Blanchard model," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w202418.
- Luke Hartigan & Tom Rosewall, 2024, "Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth during the COVID-19 Crisis Using a Monthly Activity Indicator," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2024-04, Jul, DOI: 10.47688/rdp2024-04.
- Tenorio, Juan & Perez, Wilder, 2024, "GDP nowcasting with Machine Learning and Unstructured Data," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2024-003, Apr.
- Monique Reid & Pierre Siklos, 2024, "Firm level expectations and macroeconomic conditions underpinnings and disagreement," Working Papers, South African Reserve Bank, number 11058, Mar.
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- Selim Tüzüntürk, 2024, "Forecasting Drinking Water Sales Values with Artificial Neural Networks: A Comparative Analysis with ARIMA and Winters’ Methods," Business and Economics Research Journal, Bursa Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, volume 15, issue 4, pages 371-388.
- Hongjai Rhee, 2024, "Assessing the Economic Impact of Covid-19 through a Counterfactual Analysis," East Asian Economic Review, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy, volume 28, issue 1, pages 69-94, DOI: 10.11644/KIEP.EAER.2024.28.1.431.
- Jung Min Han, 2024, "KIET Manufacturing Business Survey Index (BSI) for the 1st Quarter 2024," Industrial Economic Review, Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade, number 24-10, Apr.
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- Pablo PINCHEIRA-BROWN & Nicolás HARDY, 2024, "More predictable than ever, with the worst MSPE ever," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 4, pages 5-30, December.
- Hossa Almutairi & Marzio Galeotti & Baltasar Manzano & Axel Pierru, 2024, "Resilience of Saudi Arabia’s Economy to Oil Shocks: Effects of Economic Reforms," The Energy Journal, , volume 45, issue 5, pages 125-148, September, DOI: 10.1177/01956574241240279.
- Ganapati Mendali & Sanjukta Das, 2024, "Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-through in India: A Non-linear ARDL Approach," Foreign Trade Review, , volume 59, issue 3, pages 429-447, August, DOI: 10.1177/00157325231190474.
- Dila Asfuroglu, 2024, "Surprise by Anticipated Inflation," SAGE Open, , volume 14, issue 2, pages 21582440241, May, DOI: 10.1177/21582440241245102.
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- Hedi Ben Haddad & Imed Mezghani & Imed Medhioub & Sohale Altamimi, 2024, "Spillover effects of disaggregated macroeconomic uncertainties on U.S. real activity: evidence from the quantile vector autoregressive connectedness approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 66, issue 2, pages 829-858, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-023-02474-y.
- Andrzej Cieślik & Mehmet Burak Turgut, 2024, "Uncertainty and long-run economy: the role of R &D and business dynamism," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 66, issue 4, pages 1403-1441, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-023-02501-y.
- Tural Yusifzada, 2024, "Evaluating the global impact of climate change on agricultural inflation: an innovative climate condition index approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, volume 26, issue 7, pages 18411-18438, July, DOI: 10.1007/s10668-023-03394-8.
- Sharon Pun-wai Ng & Eddie Ming-lok Kwok & Brian Chi-yan Cheng & Alfred Yiu-po Yuen, 2024, "Business Cycle and Early Warning Indicators for the Economy of Hong Kong– Challenges of Forecasting Work amid the COVID-19 Pandemic," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 20, issue 1, pages 123-135, August, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-024-00098-4.
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- Kristian Jönsson, 2024, "Simulation-Based Analysis of Real-Time Reliability for Trend/Cycle Decompositions," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 20, issue 2, pages 219-242, July, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-024-00096-6.
- Sarah Fischer & Christian Glocker & Serguei Kaniovski & Philipp Wegmüller, 2024, "Assessing the Potential Output for Switzerland: Determinants, Trends and Drivers," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 20, issue 2, pages 297-338, July, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-024-00100-z.
- Giovanni Dosi & Davide Usula & Maria Enrica Virgillito, 2024, "Increasing returns and labor markets in a predator–prey model," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 34, issue 2, pages 375-402, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-024-00861-x.
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- Yongguang Zhu & Ya Li & Yuna Gong & Deyi Xu, 2024, "Examining the metal futures price discovery in China from multi-scale time," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, volume 37, issue 1, pages 173-188, March, DOI: 10.1007/s13563-024-00430-5.
- Diego Fresoli, 2024, "Spanish GDP short-term point and density forecasting using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, volume 15, issue 2, pages 145-177, June, DOI: 10.1007/s13209-024-00297-3.
- Vatis Christian Kemezang & André Ilaire Djou & Ivette Gnitedem Keubeng, 2024, "Measuring market risk with GARCH models under Basel III: selection and application to German firms," SN Business & Economics, Springer, volume 4, issue 10, pages 1-30, October, DOI: 10.1007/s43546-024-00699-2.
- Svitlana Drin & Nataliya Shchestyuk, 2024, "Forecast Model of the Price of a Product with a Cold Start," Springer Books, Springer, in: Marco Corazza & Frédéric Gannon & Florence Legros & Claudio Pizzi & Vincent Touzé, "Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-64273-9_26.
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- Davide Delle Monache & Andrea De Polis & Ivan Petrella, 2024, "Modeling and Forecasting Macroeconomic Downside Risk," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 42, issue 3, pages 1010-1025, July, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2023.2277171.
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- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2024, "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 106, issue 5, pages 1403-1417, September, DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_01213.
- Leland E. Farmer & Emi Nakamura & Jón Steinsson, 2024, "Learning about the Long Run," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, volume 132, issue 10, pages 3334-3377, DOI: 10.1086/730207.
- LOMADZE, Davit & BERISHVILI, Vakhtang, 2024, "The Impact Of Sovereign Credit Ratings On Interest Rates In Emerging Economies – Case From Georgia," Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", volume 12, issue 1, pages 115-125, October.
- Petar Ivanov, 2024, "Detecting Housing Bubbles Through the Assessment of House Price Deviations in Bulgaria," Stroitelno predpriemachestvo i nedvizhima sobstvenost = Construction Entrepreneurship and Real Property, University of Economics Varna, issue 2, pages 40-53.
- Boysen-Hogrefe Jens & Groll Dominik, 2024, "Konjunkturschlaglicht: Auswirkungen des Haushaltsurteils," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, volume 104, issue 1, pages 67-68, January, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2024-0020.
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- Peter McAdam & Anders Warne, 2024, "Density forecast combinations: The real‐time dimension," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 43, issue 5, pages 1153-1172, August, DOI: 10.1002/for.3068.
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- Pablo Pincheira Brown & Nicolás Hardy, 2024, "Correlation‐based tests of predictability," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 43, issue 6, pages 1835-1858, September, DOI: 10.1002/for.3081.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2024, "Capturing Macro‐Economic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 56, issue 5, pages 1099-1127, August, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.13121.
- Nguyen Anh Phong & Phan Huy Tam & Nguyen Thanh Tung, 2024, "Identifying Fraud Financial Reports Based on Signs of Income Management Using Machine Learning Technology: The Case of Listed Companies in Vietnam," Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 15, issue 02, pages 1-16, June, DOI: 10.1142/S1793993324500133.
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- Tiziano Ropele & Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2024, "Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, volume 6, issue 2, pages 246-261, June, DOI: 10.1257/aeri.20230201.
- Marco Del Negro & Keshav Dogra & Aidan Gleich & Pranay Gundam & Donggyu Lee & Ramya Nallamotu & Brian Pacula, 2024, "The NY Fed DSGE Model: A Post-COVID Assessment," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 114, pages 95-100, May, DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20241053.
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- Algieri, Bernardina & Iania, Leonardo & Leccadito, Arturo & Meloni, Giulia, 2024, "Message in a bottle: Forecasting wine prices," LIDAM Reprints LFIN, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN), number 2024006, May, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/jwe.2024.3.
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- Gabriel P. Mathy & Yongchen Zhao, 2024, "Could Diffusion Indexes Have Forecasted the Great Recession?," Working Papers, American University, Department of Economics, number 2024-03.
- Татибеков Б. // Tatibekov B. & Абдразакова А. // Abdrazakova А., 2024, "Особенности взаимосвязи рынка труда и инфляционных процессов в экономике Казахстана в период 2001-2021 гг.: теория и практика реализации // Specifics of Relationship between the Labor Market and Inflationary Processes in the Kazakh Economy in 2001-20," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 60-61.
- Кулкаева Алтын // Altyn Kulkayeva & Тайбекова Аида // Taibekova Aida & Орлов Константин // Orlov Konstantin, 2024, "Прогнозирование цен на нефть // Predicting Oil Prices," Working Papers, National Bank of Kazakhstan, number #2024-6.
- Адилханова Зарина // Adilkhanova Zarina & Ержан Ислам // Yerzhan Islam, 2024, "Система селективно - комбинированного прогноза инфляции (SSCIF)// Selective-Combined Inflation Forecasting System," Working Papers, National Bank of Kazakhstan, number #2024-13.
- Jakub Rybacki & Marcin Klucznik & Dawid Sułkowski, 2024, "The false start of disinflation – evidence from the major European economies," Ekonomista, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, issue 1, pages 7-23.
- Federico Forte, 2024, "Pronóstico de Infl ación de Corto Plazo en Argentina con Modelos Random Forest," Working Papers, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE), number 340, Oct.
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- Victor Olkhov, 2024, "Lower Bounds of Uncertainty of Observations of Macroeconomic Variables and Upper Limits on the Accuracy of Their Forecasts," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2408.04644, Aug, revised Oct 2024.
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- Etienne Briand & Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2024, "Inflation, Attention and Expectations," Working Papers, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, number 24-05, Dec, revised Dec 2024.
- Federico Daniel Forte, 2024, "Argentina | Pronóstico de inflación de corto plazo con modelos Random Forest
[Argentina | Forecasting short-term inflation with Random Forest Models]," Working Papers, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department, number 24/10, Sep. - Thibaut Duprey & Yaz Terajima & Jing Yang, 2024, "Interaction of Macroprudential and Monetary Policies: Practice Ahead of Theory," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 2024-18, Dec, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2024-18.
- Rodrigo Sekkel & Tamon Takamura & Yaz Terajima, 2024, "Monetary Policy Transmission to Small Business Loan Performance: Evidence from Loan-Level Data," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 24-41, Oct, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2024-41.
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- Fares Bounajm & Jean Garry Junior Roc & Yang Zhang, 2024, "Sources d’inflation durant la pandémie au Canada : une application du modèle de Bernanke et Blanchard," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2024-13fr, Jun, DOI: 10.34989/san-2024-13.
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