Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2020

• McKnight, Stephen & Mihailov, Alexander & Rumler, Fabio, 2020, "Inflation forecasting using the New Keynesian Phillips Curve with a time-varying trend," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 87, issue C, pages 383-393, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2019.08.011.
• Gómez-Pineda, Javier G., 2020, "Volatility spillovers and the global financial cycle across economies: Evidence from a global semi-structural model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 90, issue C, pages 331-373, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.02.023.
• Zhao, Ningru & Shi, Yukun & Sun, Yang & Miao, Jiaming, 2020, "Aggregate labor market fluctuations under news shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 90, issue C, pages 397-405, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2019.12.018.
• Benchimol, Jonathan & El-Shagi, Makram, 2020, "Forecast performance in times of terrorism," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 91, issue C, pages 386-402, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.05.018.
• Albonico, Alice & Tirelli, Patrizio, 2020, "Financial crises and sudden stops: Was the European monetary union crisis different?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 93, issue C, pages 13-26, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.06.021.
• Yan, Chuanpeng & Huang, Kevin X.D., 2020, "Financial cycle and business cycle: An empirical analysis based on the data from the U.S," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 93, issue C, pages 693-701, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.01.018.
• Dunbar, Kwamie & Jiang, Jing, 2020, "What do movements in financial traders’ net long positions reveal about aggregate stock returns?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 51, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2019.01.005.
• Murgia, Lucia M., 2020, "The effect of monetary policy shocks on macroeconomic variables: Evidence from the Eurozone," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 186, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2019.108803.
• Figueres, Juan Manuel & Jarociński, Marek, 2020, "Vulnerable growth in the euro area: Measuring the financial conditions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 191, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109126.
• Ercolani, Valerio & Natoli, Filippo, 2020, "Forecasting US recessions: The role of economic uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 193, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109302.
• Dave, Chetan & Sorge, Marco M., 2020, "Sunspot-driven fat tails: A note," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 193, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109304.
• Lahiri, Kajal & Zhao, Yongchen, 2020, "The Nordhaus test with many zeros," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 193, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109308.
• Álvarez, Luis J. & Correa-López, Mónica, 2020, "Inflation expectations in euro area Phillips curves," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 195, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109449.
• Huh, Sungjun & Kim, Insu, 2020, "Growth forecast revisions over business cycles: Evidence from the Survey of Professional Forecasters," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 196, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109541.
• Chen, Jinyu & Zhu, Xuehong & Li, Hailing, 2020, "The pass-through effects of oil price shocks on China's inflation: A time-varying analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 86, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104695.
• Ma, Xiaohan & Samaniego, Roberto, 2020, "The macroeconomic impact of oil earnings uncertainty: New evidence from analyst forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 90, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104832.
• Daniel, Volker & Steege, Lucas ter, 2020, "Inflation expectations and the recovery from the Great Depression in Germany," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, volume 75, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2019.101305.
• Roy, Saktinil & Kemme, David M., 2020, "The run-up to the global financial crisis: A longer historical view of financial liberalization, capital inflows, and asset bubbles," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 69, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2019.101377.
• Samitas, Aristeidis & Kampouris, Elias & Kenourgios, Dimitris, 2020, "Machine learning as an early warning system to predict financial crisis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 71, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2020.101507.
• Li, Xing & Hou, Keqiang & Zhang, Chao, 2020, "Intangible factor and idiosyncratic volatility puzzles," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.101403.
• Pincheira-Brown, Pablo & Neumann, Federico, 2020, "Can we beat the Random Walk? The case of survey-based exchange rate forecasts in Chile," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 37, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.101380.
• Poza, Carlos & Monge, Manuel, 2020, "A real time leading economic indicator based on text mining for the Spanish economy. Fractional cointegration VAR and Continuous Wavelet Transform analysis," International Economics, Elsevier, volume 163, issue C, pages 163-175, DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2020.02.002.
• Monokroussos, George & Zhao, Yongchen, 2020, "Nowcasting in real time using popularity priors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 3, pages 1173-1180, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.03.004.
• Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020, "Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 3, pages 829-850, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.09.005.
• Chernis, Tony & Cheung, Calista & Velasco, Gabriella, 2020, "A three-frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting Canadian provincial GDP growth," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 3, pages 851-872, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.09.006.
• Zhang, Bo & Chan, Joshua C.C. & Cross, Jamie L., 2020, "Stochastic volatility models with ARMA innovations: An application to G7 inflation forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 4, pages 1318-1328, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.01.004.
• Jones, Jacob T. & Sinclair, Tara M. & Stekler, Herman O., 2020, "A textual analysis of Bank of England growth forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 4, pages 1478-1487, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.05.015.
• Bongers, Anelí & Gómez, Trinidad & Torres, José L., 2020, "Teaching dynamic General equilibrium macroeconomics to undergraduates using a spreadsheet," International Review of Economics Education, Elsevier, volume 35, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.iree.2020.100197.
• Gibson, Heather D. & Hall, Stephen G. & Tavlas, George S., 2020, "Nonlinear forecast combinations: An example using euro-area real GDP growth," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 180, issue C, pages 579-589, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2018.09.021.
• Fackler, James S. & McMillin, W. Douglas, 2020, "Nominal GDP versus price level targeting: An empirical evaluation," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, volume 109, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2019.105890.
• Burlon, Lorenzo & D’Imperio, Paolo, 2020, "Reliable real-time estimates of the euro-area output gap," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 64, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2020.103191.
• Emerson, Patrick & Knabb, Shawn, 2020, "A demographic headwind: Will an aging society reduce the real interest rate and potential growth?," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, volume 17, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2019.01.004.
• Vásquez Cordano, Arturo L. & Zellou, Abdel M., 2020, "Super cycles in natural gas prices and their impact on Latin American energy and environmental policies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 65, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.101513.
• Khan, Hashmat & Phaneuf, Louis & Victor, Jean Gardy, 2020, "Rules-based monetary policy and the threat of indeterminacy when trend inflation is low," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 114, issue C, pages 317-333, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.03.001.
• Sheremirov, Viacheslav, 2020, "Price dispersion and inflation: New facts and theoretical implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 114, issue C, pages 59-70, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.03.007.
• Hahn, Volker & Marenčák, Michal, 2020, "Price points and price dynamics," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 115, issue C, pages 127-144, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2019.05.007.
• Levenko, Natalia, 2020, "Rounding bias in forecast uncertainty," Research in Economics, Elsevier, volume 74, issue 4, pages 277-291, DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2020.08.001.
• Lee, Kiryoung & Jeon, Yoontae, 2020, "Measuring Chinese consumers’ perceived uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, volume 66, issue C, pages 51-70, DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2019.10.012.
• Aleksandar Vasilev, 2020, "Indeterminacy and Multiplicity of Equilibria in a Two-sector Economy with a Public-sector Production," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, volume 63, issue 1, pages 18-43.
• Sam Ouliaris & Adrian Pagan, 2020, "Three Questions Regarding Impulse Responses and Their Interpretation Found from Sign Restrictions," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2020-101, Nov.
• Adrian Pagan & Tim Robinson, 2020, "Too many shocks spoil the interpretation," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2020-28, Mar.
• Patrick J. Coe & Shaun P. Vahey, 2020, "Financial conditions and the risks to economic growth in the United States since 1875," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2020-36, Apr.
• Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020, "Information Weighting Under Least Squares Learning," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2020-46, May.
• Viv B Hall & Peter Thomson, 2020, "Does Hamilton's OLS Regression Provide a Better "Alternative" to the Hodrick-Prescott Filter? A New Zealand Business Cycle Perspective," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2020-71, Jul.
• Christiane Baumeister & Pierre Guerin, 2020, "A Comparison of Monthly Global Indicators for Forecasting Growth," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2020-93, Oct.
• Laurent Ferrara & Matteo Mogliani & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2020, "High-Frequency Monitoring of Growth-at-Risk," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2020-97, Nov.
• Na Guo & Bo Zhang & Jamie Cross, 2020, "Time-Varying Trend Models for Forecasting Inflation in Australia," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2020-99, Nov.
• Jose Luís da Costa Oreiro & Guilherme Jonas Costa da Silva & Júlio Fernando Costa Santos, 2020, "The debate about Sraffian Supermultiplier Model and the future of heterodox growth models," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, volume 40, issue 3, pages 510-531.
• Pierre Rostan & Alexandra Rostan, 2020, "Where is Saudi Arabia's economy heading?," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 16, issue 8, pages 2009-2033, July, DOI: 10.1108/IJOEM-08-2018-0447.
• Seyyed Reza Nakhli & Monireh Rafat & Rasul Bakhshi Dastjerdi & Meysam Rafei, 2020, "How do the financial and oil sanctions affect the Iran's economy: a DSGE framework," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 48, issue 4, pages 761-785, July, DOI: 10.1108/JES-01-2020-0031.
• Hardik Marfatia, 2020, "Evaluating the forecasting power of foreign Country's income growth: a global analysis," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 47, issue 5, pages 1071-1092, April, DOI: 10.1108/JES-06-2019-0261.
• Aída B. Armenta R. & Diane Flaherty & Bill Gibson & Jorge Salazar-Carrillo, 2020, "Efecto regional de la reforma energética en México: un modelo de equilibrio general computable regional/Regional effect of energy reform in Mexico: A model of regional computable general equilibrium," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, volume 35, issue 1, pages 71-123.
• My-Linh Thi Nguyen, 2020, "The Hedonic Pricing Model Applied to the Housing Market," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), volume 0, issue 3, pages 416-428.
• Bartosz Kozicki & Marcin Gornikiewicz, 2020, "Unemployment Rate in Poland and USA during COVID-19 Pandemic: A Case Study," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special 3, pages 187-200.
• Bartosz Kozicki & Patrycja Bryczek-Wrobel, 2020, "The Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Energy Security by Demand Analysis for Oil and Air Passengers in European Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special 3, pages 201-212.
• Bartosz Kozicki & Szymon Mitkow, 2020, "Analysis of Human Deaths in Regard to Covid-19 Pandemic in European Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special 3, pages 213-227.
• Bartosz Kozicki & Marcin Gornikiewicz & Marzena Walkowiak, 2020, "Correlation between the Dynamics of Changes in the Population of Selected European Societies and the Level of European Regional Security in the Day of Covid-19," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special 3, pages 311-323.
• Bartosz Kozicki & Marcin Gornikiewicz & Marzena Walkowiak, 2020, "The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Economic Security of Russia and European Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special 3, pages 324-338.
• Marcin Jurgilewicz & Krzysztof Michalski & Andrzej Misiuk & Jozefína Drotarova, 2020, "Internal Whistleblowing Systems – New Standards for Active Security Management and Protection Against Systemic Risks," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special 3, pages 339-359.
• Matthias Burgert & Werner Roeger & Janos Varga & Jan in 't Veld & Lukas Vogel, 2020, "A Global Economy Version of QUEST: Simulation Properties," European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 126, Jun.
• Violaine Faubert, 2020, "Is the Irish Phillips Curve broken?," European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 133, Oct.
• Aymeric Ortmans, 2020, "Evolving Monetary Policy in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Documents de recherche, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne, number 20-01.
• Evzen Kocenda & Karen Poghosyan, 2020, "Nowcasting Real GDP Growth: Comparison between Old and New EU Countries," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2020/5, Feb, revised Feb 2020.
• Sophio Togonidze & Evzen Kocenda, 2020, "Macroeconomic Responses of Emerging Market Economies to Oil Price Shocks: Analysis by Region and Resource Profile," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2020/35, Sep, revised Sep 2020.
• Kevin X.D. Huang & Zixi Liu & Guoqiang Tian, 2020, "Promote Competitive Neutrality to Facilitate China’s Economic Development: Outlook, Policy Simulations, and Reform Implementation—A Summary of the Annual SUFE Macroeconomic Report (2019?020)," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, volume 15, issue 1, pages 1-24, March.
• Harri Pönkä & Markku Stenborg, 2020, "Forecasting the state of the Finnish business cycle," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, volume 29, issue 1, pages 81-99, Spring.
• Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2020, "Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 20-02R, Jan, revised 22 Sep 2020, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202002r.
• Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Marcellino Massimiliano, 2020, "Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 20-13R2, May, revised 22 Sep 2020, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202013r2.
• Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2020, "Real-Time Density Nowcasts of US Inflation: A Model-Combination Approach," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 20-31, Oct, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202031.
• Enrique Martínez García, 2020, "A Matter of Perspective: Mapping Linear Rational Expectations Models into Finite-Order VAR Form," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 389, May, DOI: 10.24149/gwp389.
• Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi, 2020, "Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 390, Jun, DOI: 10.24149/gwp390.
• Tyler Atkinson & Michael D. Plante & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2020, "Complementarity and Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2009, Mar, DOI: 10.24149/wp2009.
• Joshua Bernstein & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2020, "Entry and Exit, Unemployment, and the Business Cycle," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2018, Jun, revised 12 Jan 2021, DOI: 10.24149/wp2018r1.
• Joshua Bernstein & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2020, "The Business Cycle Mechanics of Search and Matching Models," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 2026, Aug, DOI: 10.24149/wp2026.
• Sylvain Leduc & Kevin Moran & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2020, "Learning in the Oil Futures Markets: Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2020-33, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2020-33.
• Christopher A. Hollrah & Steven A. Sharpe & Nitish R. Sinha, 2020, "The Power of Narratives in Economic Forecasts," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2020-001, Jan, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2020.001.
• Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2020, "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2020-023, Feb, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2020.023.
• Hie Joo Ahn & Matteo Luciani, 2020, "Common and Idiosyncratic Inflation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2020-024r1, Mar, revised 01 Aug 2024, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2020.024r1.
• Michael Puglia & Adam Tucker, 2020, "Machine Learning, the Treasury Yield Curve and Recession Forecasting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2020-038, May, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2020.038.
• Anthony M. Diercks & Alex Hsu & Andrea Tamoni, 2020, "When it Rains it Pours: Cascading Uncertainty Shocks," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2020-064, Aug, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2020.064.
• Michael T. Kiley, 2020, "Pandemic Recession Dynamics: The Role of Monetary Policy in Shifting a U-Shaped Recession to a V-Shaped Rebound," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2020-083, Oct, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2020.083.
• Andrew C. Chang & Trace J. Levinson, 2020, "Raiders of the Lost High-Frequency Forecasts: New Data and Evidence on the Efficiency of the Fed's Forecasting," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2020-090, Oct, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2020.090.
• Matteo Luciani, 2020, "Common and Idiosyncratic Inflation," FEDS Notes, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2020-03-05, Mar, DOI: 10.17016/2380-7172.2508.
• Seunghoon Na & Hyunseung Oh, 2020, "Computerizing Households and the Role of Investment-Specific Productivity in Business Cycles," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 1292, Jul, DOI: 10.17016/IFDP.2020.1292.
• Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2020, "Bad Jobs and Low Inflation," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number WP-2020-09, Mar, revised 09 Feb 2021, DOI: 10.21033/wp-2020-09.
• Yifei Lyu & Jun Nie & Shu-Kuei X. Yang, 2020, "Forecasting U.S. Economic Growth in Downturns Using Cross-Country Data," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 20-09, Aug, DOI: 10.18651/RWP2020-09.
• Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, 2020, "Bargaining Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 20-11, Mar, DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2020.11.
• Ryan Cumings-Menon & Minchul Shin, 2020, "Probability Forecast Combination via Entropy Regularized Wasserstein Distance," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 20-31/R, Aug, DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2020.31.
• Siddhartha Chib & Minchul Shin & Fei Tan, 2020, "High-Dimensional DSGE Models: Pointers on Prior, Estimation, Comparison, and Prediction∗," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 20-35, Sep, DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2020.35.
• Ponomarev Yuri & Makarov A. & Radchenko D. & Borzhyh K. & Zubov Sergey & Burdyak Alexandra & Tsukhlo Sergey, 2020, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 25, pages 1-23, October.
• Ponomarev Yuri & Radchenko D. & Makarov Andrey & Borzhyh K. & Zubov Sergey & Burdyak Alexandra & Tsukhlo Sergey, 2020, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic Development," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 16, pages 1-22, October.
• Tsukhlo Sergey, 2020, "Russian industrial sector in 2019: (based on surveys’ findings)," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number ppaper-2020-1047, revised 2020.
• Barinova Vera & Zemtsov Tsepan & Tsareva Yulia, 2020, "Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship in Russia and regions in 2019–2020," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number ppaper-2020-1052, revised 2020.
• Constantin Bürgi & Tara M. Sinclair, 2020, "What Does Forecaster Disagreement Tell Us about the State of the Economy?," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2020-001, Feb.
• Constantin Bürgi, 2020, "Expectation Formation and the Persistence of Shocks," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2020-005, Aug, revised Sep 2020.
• Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2020, "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-03089878, Aug, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.022.
• Paul Malliet & Frédéric Reynés & Gissela Landa & Meriem Hamdi-Cherif & Aurélien Saussay, 2020, "Assessing Short‑Term and Long‑Term Economic and Environmental Effects of the COVID‑19 Crisis in France," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-03403038, DOI: 10.1007/s10640-020-00488-z.
• Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi, 2020, "Forecast performance in times of terrorism," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-03248938, Sep, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2020.05.018.
• Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2025, "Switching Macroeconomic Growth and Volatility: Evidence from a Mean-Variance Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," PSE Working Papers, HAL, number halshs-02443364, Nov.
• Paul Malliet & Frédéric Reynés & Gissela Landa & Meriem Hamdi-Cherif & Aurélien Saussay, 2020, "Assessing Short‑Term and Long‑Term Economic and Environmental Effects of the COVID‑19 Crisis in France," Sciences Po Economics Publications (main), HAL, number hal-03403038, DOI: 10.1007/s10640-020-00488-z.
• Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2020, "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-04159714.
• Catherine Doz & Laurent Ferrara & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2025, "Switching Macroeconomic Growth and Volatility: Evidence from a Mean-Variance Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model," Working Papers, HAL, number halshs-02443364, Nov.
• Claire Alestra & Gilbert Cette & Valérie Chouard & Rémy Lecat, 2020, "Long-term growth impact of climate change and policies: the Advanced Climate Change Long-term (ACCL) scenario building model," Working Papers, HAL, number halshs-02505088, Mar.
• Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020, "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers, HAL, number halshs-02549044, Apr.
• Bui, Dzung & Dräger, Lena & Hayo, Bernd & Nghiem, Giang, 2020, "Consumer Sentiment During the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Role of Others‘ Beliefs," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP), Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät, number dp-680, Dec, revised Apr 2021.
• Andersson, Fredrik N. G., 2020, "Macroeconomic Equilibriums, Crises and Fiscal Policy," Working Papers, Lund University, Department of Economics, number 2020:21, Oct.
• Kiss, Tamás & Österholm, Pär, 2020, "Corona, Crisis and Conditional Heteroscedasticity," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2020:2, Mar.
• Kladivko, Kamil & Österholm, Pär, 2020, "Can Households Predict where the Macroeconomy is Headed?," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2020:11, Oct.
• Corbo, Vesna & Strid, Ingvar, 2020, "MAJA: A two-region DSGE model for Sweden and its main trading partners," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 391, Jul.
• Inna S. Lola & Anton Manukov & Murat Bakeev, 2020, "Stress Testing As A Tool For Monitoring And Modelling The Dynamics Of Business Activity Of Manufacturing Enterprises In Russia In The Face Of Market Shocks: Short-Term Scenarios Of Industry Tendencies," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 108/STI/2020.
• Shuaizhang Feng & Jiandong Sun, 2020, "Misclassification-Errors-Adjusted Sahm Rule for Early Identification of Economic Recession," Working Papers, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group, number 2020-029, May.
• Adrian Pagan & Tim Robinson, 2020, "Too Many Shocks Spoil the Interpretation," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne, number wp2020n02, Feb.
• Kristin J. Forbes & Joseph E. Gagnon & Christopher G. Collins, 2020, "Low Inflation Bends the Phillips Curve around the World," Working Paper Series, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number WP20-6, Mar.
• Thomas Lustenberger & Enzo Rossi, 2020, "Does Central Bank Transparency and Communication Affect Financial and Macroeconomic Forecasts?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 16, issue 2, pages 153-201, March.
• Monica Jain & Christopher S. Sutherland, 2020, "How Do Central Bank Projections and Forward Guidance Influence Private-Sector Forecasts?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 16, issue 5, pages 179-218, October.
• Emanuel Kohlscheen & Aaron Mehrotra & Dubravko Mihaljek, 2020, "Residential Investment and Economic Activity: Evidence from the Past Five Decades," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 16, issue 6, pages 287-329, December.
• Mr. Mario Catalan & Alexander W. Hoffmaister, 2020, "When Banks Punch Back: Macrofinancial Feedback Loops in Stress Tests," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2020/072, May.
• Carlos Guerrero de Lizardi, 2020, "PIB potencial y ciclo económico en México 1921-2019: una perspectiva desde la "medición en economía"," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, volume 15, issue 2, pages 185-204, Abril - J.
• Marc Burri & Daniel Kaufmann, 2020, "A daily fever curve for the Swiss economy," IRENE Working Papers, IRENE Institute of Economic Research, number 20-05, May.
• Michal Burzynski & Joël Machado & Atte Aalto & Michel Beine & Tom Haas & Françoise Kemp & Stefano Magni & Laurent Mombaerts & Pierre Picard & Daniele Proverbio & Alexander Skupin & Frédéric Docquier, 2020, "COVID-19 Crisis Management in Luxembourg: Insights from an Epidemionomic Approach," LISER Working Paper Series, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER), number 2020-08, Jun.
• Ermanno Catullo & Mauro Gallegati & Alberto Russo, 2020, "Forecasting in a complex environment: Machine learning sales expectations in a Stock Flow Consistent Agent-Based simulation model," Working Papers, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain), number 2020/17.
• Breuer Sebastian & Elstner Steffen, 2020, "Germany’s Growth Prospects against the Backdrop of Demographic Change," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 240, issue 5, pages 565-605, October, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2018-0094.
• Ryadh M. Alkhareif & William A. Barnett, 2020, "Nowcasting Real Gdp For Saudi Arabia," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 202018, Nov, revised Nov 2020.
• Sergey Ivashchenko & Semih Emre Çekin & Kevin Kotzé & Rangan Gupta, 2020, "Forecasting with Second-Order Approximations and Markov-Switching DSGE Models," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 56, issue 4, pages 747-771, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-019-09941-8.
• Paul Malliet & Frédéric Reynès & Gissela Landa & Meriem Hamdi-Cherif & Aurélien Saussay, 2020, "Assessing Short-Term and Long-Term Economic and Environmental Effects of the COVID-19 Crisis in France," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, volume 76, issue 4, pages 867-883, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10640-020-00488-z.
• Paul Malliet & Frédéric Reynès & Gissela Landa & Meriem Hamdi‑Cherif & Aurélien Saussay, 2020, "Correction to: Assessing Short-Term and Long-Term Economic and Environmental Effects of the COVID-19 Crisis in France," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, volume 77, issue 3, pages 669-669, November, DOI: 10.1007/s10640-020-00510-4.
• Pilar Poncela & Eva Senra & Lya Paola Sierra, 2020, "Global vs Sectoral Factors and the Impact of the Financialization in Commodity Price Changes," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 31, issue 4, pages 859-879, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-019-09564-4.
• Shigeto Kitano, 2020, "How Do World Commodity Prices Affect Asian Commodity Exporting Economies?: The Role of Financial Frictions," Discussion Paper Series, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University, number DP2020-24, Aug, revised Feb 2021.
• Cem Cakmakli & Hamza Demircan, 2020, "Using Survey Information for Improving the Density Nowcasting of US GDP with a Focus on Predictive Performance during Covid-19 Pandemic," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 2016, Oct.
• Eda Gulsen & Hakan Kara, 2020, "Formation of inflation expectations: Does macroeconomic and policy environment matter?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 2017, Oct.
• Yngve Abrahamsen & Klaus Abberger & Marc Anderes & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Sebastian Garmann & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Nina , 2020, "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2020 / 2021. Im Bann des Coronavirus Rezession in Europa und der Schweiz wahrscheinlich," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 14, issue 1, pages 1-62, March, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000406992.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Florian Eckert & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Franziska Kohler & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Müh, 2020, "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2020 / 2021. Wirtschaft hat Talsohle durchschritten - Nachwirkungen der Corona-Krise bleiben noch länger zu spüren," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 14, issue 2, pages 1-34, June, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000420538.
• Klaus Abberger & Michael Graff & Oliver Müller & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2020, "Die Globalen Konjunkturbarometer," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 14, issue 2, pages 45-61, June, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000420552.
• Jan-Egbert Sturm & Yngve Abrahamsen & Klaus Abberger & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Müh, 2020, "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021 / 2022. Fragile Konjunkturerholung," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 14, issue 3, pages 1-78, October, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000447330.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexande, 2020, "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2021 / 2022. Zweite Welle lastet auf dem Arbeitsmarkt," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 14, issue 4, pages 1-32, December, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000458776.
• Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth, 2020, "KOFCASTs: Ein Projektbericht," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 14, issue 4, pages 56-63, December, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000458778.
• Klaus Abberger & Michael Graff & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Oliver Müller & Aloisio Campelo Jr & Anna Carolina Lemos Gouveia, 2020, "The Global Economic Barometers: Composite indicators for the world economy," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 20-471, Feb, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000401651.
• Vera Eichenauer & Ronald Indergand & Isabel Z. Martínez & Christoph Sax, 2020, "Constructing Daily Economic Sentiment Indices Based on Google Trends," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 20-484, Jun, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000423548.
• Florian Eckert & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth, 2020, "Tracking Economic Activity With Alternative High-Frequency Data," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 20-488, Dec, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000458723.
• Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020, "Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model An application to the German business cycle," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 84736.
• Maghyereh Aktham & Sweidan Osama & Awartani Basel, 2020, "Asymmetric Responses of Economic Growth to Daily Oil Price Changes: New Global Evidence from Mixed-data Sampling Approach," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, volume 71, issue 2, pages 81-99, August, DOI: 10.1515/roe-2019-0024.

2019

• Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019, "Cognitive Abilities and Inflation Expectations," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 109, pages 562-566, May.
• Mastromarco, Camilla & Simar, Leopold & Wilson, Paul, 2019, "Predicting Recessions: A New Measure of Output Gap as Predictor," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA), number 2019023, Jan.
• Park, Byeong U. & Simar, Leopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2019, "Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," LIDAM Reprints ISBA, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA), number 2019014, Jan.
• Ержан Ислам // Yerzhan Islam & Байкулаков Шалкар // Baikulakov Shalkar, 2019, "Оценка воздействия кредитования экономики на инфляционные процессы в Казахстане // Assessment of credit impact on inflation processes in Kazakhstan," Working Papers, National Bank of Kazakhstan, number #2019-5.
• Adolfo Rodríguez-Vargas, 2019, "Univariate Forecasts for Costa Rican Inflation With Stochastic Volatility and GARCH Effects," Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 1604, Jul.
• Carlos Brenes-Soto & Manfred Esquivel Monge, 2019, "Asymmetries in the Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices During the Period of Exchange Rate Flexibility in Costa Rica," Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 1706, Jul.
• Erik Vardanyan, 2019, "Do Remittances Worsen Export Diversification?," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 10, Aug.
• Stella Mnoyan, 2019, "Exchange Rate Pass-through in Armenia," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 13, Oct, revised Dec 2019.
• Douglas Laxton & Asya Kostanyan & Akaki Liqokeli & Gevorg Minasyan & Tamta Sopromadze & Armen Nurbekyan, 2019, "Mind the Gaps! Financial-Cycle Output Gaps and Monetary-Policy-Relevant Output Gaps," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 19, Dec.
• Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2019, "Bayesian MIDAS Penalized Regressions: Estimation, Selection, and Prediction," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1903.08025, Mar, revised Jun 2020.
• Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020, "Forecasting GDP growth from outer space," Working Papers, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics, number 2020-02, Feb.
• Inna Sysoieva & Oksana Balaziuk & Liubomyr Pylypenko, 2019, "Modelling Of Enterprise'S Accounting Policy: Theoretical Aspect," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", volume 5, issue 1, DOI: 10.30525/2256-0742/2019-5-1-188-193.
• Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019, "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," BCAM Working Papers, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics, number 1905, Sep.
• Olivier Gervais, 2019, "How Oil Supply Shocks Affect the Global Economy: Evidence from Local Projections," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 2019-6, Jul, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2019-6.
• Dany Brouillette & Julien Champagne & Carol Khoury & Natalia Kyui & Jeffrey Mollins & Youngmin Park, 2019, "Potential Output in Canada: 2019 Reassessment," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2019-10, DOI: 10.34989/san-2019-10.
• Dany Brouillette & Julien Champagne & Carol Khoury & Natalia Kyui & Jeffrey Mollins & Youngmin Park, 2019, "Production potentielle au Canada : réévaluation de 2019," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2019-10fr, DOI: 10.34989/san-2019-10.
• Charles Gaa & Xuezhi Liu & Cameron MacDonald & Xiangjin Shen, 2019, "Assessing the Resilience of the Canadian Banking System," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2019-16, May, DOI: 10.34989/san-2019-16.
• Charles Gaa & Xuezhi Liu & Cameron MacDonald & Xiangjin Shen, 2019, "Évaluer la résilience du système bancaire canadien," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2019-16fr, May, DOI: 10.34989/san-2019-16.
• Pablo Garcia Sanchez & Alban Moura, 2019, "The LU-EAGLE model with disaggregated public expenditure," BCL working papers, Central Bank of Luxembourg, number 135, Nov.
• Matías Pacce & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2019, "Predicción en tiempo real del PIB en el área del euro: recientes mejoras en el modelo Euro-STING," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue MAR.
• Concha Artola & María Gil & Danilo Leiva & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019, "Predicción en tiempo real del PIB regional: aspectos estadísticos y un modelo de previsión," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue JUN.
• Concha Artola & María Gil & Danilo Leiva & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019, "Real-time regional GDP forecasting: statistical aspects and a forecasting model," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue JUN.
• María Gil & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019, "An application of dynamic factor models to nowcast regional economic activity in Spain," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 1904, Mar.
• Luis Julián Álvarez, 2019, "El índice de precios de consumo: usos y posibles vías de mejora," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 1910, May.
• Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019, "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information and structural change in the euro area," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1948, Dec.
• Lorenzo Burlon & Paolo D'Imperio, 2019, "The euro-area output gap through the lens of a DSGE model," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 477, Jan.
• Massimo Gallo & Sonia Soncin & Andrea Venturini, 2019, "Ven-ICE: a new indicator for the economy of the Veneto region," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 498, Jun.
• Angela Capolongo & Claudia Pacella, 2019, "Forecasting inflation in the euro area: countries matter!," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1224, Jun.
• Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2019, "Forecasting with instabilities: an application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1234, Oct.
• Piergiorgio Alessandri & Leonardo Del Vecchio & Arianna Miglietta, 2019, "Financial Conditions and 'Growth at Risk' in Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1242, Oct.
• Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2019, "The natural interest rate in Latin America," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1067, Mar, DOI: 10.32468/be.1067.
• Matteo Mogliani, 2019, "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: estimation, selection, and prediction," Working papers, Banque de France, number 713.
• Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019, "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working papers, Banque de France, number 717.
• Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019, "Bayesian VAR Forecasts, Survey Information and Structural Change in the Euro Area," Working papers, Banque de France, number 733.
• Matthieu Lemoine & Harri Turunen & Mohammed Chahad & Antoine Lepetit & Anastasia Zhutova & Pierre Aldama & Pierrick Clerc & Jean-Pierre Laffargue, 2019, "The FR-BDF Model and an Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission in France," Working papers, Banque de France, number 736.
• Andrea Caggese, 2020, "Comments on: 'What Drives Aggregate Investment? Evidence from German Survey Data'," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1175, Apr.
• Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019, "Inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 789, Jun.
• Kristin Forbes, 2019, "Has globalization changed the inflation process?," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 791, Jul.
• Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann & Dora Xia Author-X-Name_First: Dora, 2019, "Predicting recessions: financial cycle versus term spread," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 818, Oct.
• Konstantin Styrin, 2019, "Forecasting Inflation in Russia Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 78, issue 1, pages 3-18, March, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201901.03.
• Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2019, "Determination of the Current Phase of the Credit Cycle in Emerging Markets," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 78, issue 2, pages 28-42, June, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201902.28.
• Sergei Seleznev, 2019, "Truncated priors for tempered hierarchical Dirichlet process vector autoregression," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps47, Oct.
• Ramis Khabibullin, 2019, "What measures of real economic activity slack are helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps50, Oct.
• María Victoria Landaberry, 2019, "Boom de crédito en Uruguay: Identificación y Anticipación," Documentos de trabajo, Banco Central del Uruguay, number 2019001.
• Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2019, "Limited Asset Market Participation And The Euro Area Crisis: An Empirical Dsge Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 57, issue 3, pages 1302-1323, July, DOI: 10.1111/ecin.12791.
• Julian A. Parra‐Polania, 2019, "State‐Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, volume 20, issue 4, pages 1019-1027, November, DOI: 10.1111/geer.12201.
• Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2019, "Should Forecasters Use Real‐Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, volume 20, issue 4, pages 170-200, November, DOI: 10.1111/geer.12163.
• Markus Hertrich, 2019, "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, volume 20, issue 4, pages 759-794, November, DOI: 10.1111/geer.12185.
• Øivind A. Nilsen & Magne Vange, 2019, "Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence Using Monthly Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 81, issue 1, pages 98-122, February, DOI: 10.1111/obes.12255.
• Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2019, "Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor‐augmented mixed‐frequency approach," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, volume 42, issue 3, pages 846-875, March, DOI: 10.1111/twec.12708.
• Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019, "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2019/2, Jan.