Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:
2017
- Jalles, João Tovar, 2017, "On the rationality and efficiency of inflation forecasts: Evidence from advanced and emerging market economies," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 40, issue C, pages 175-189, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.01.007.
- Focacci, Antonio, 2017, "Controversial curves of the economy: An up-to-date investigation of long waves," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, volume 116, issue C, pages 271-285, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.10.008.
- Hingley, Peter & Park, Walter G., 2017, "Do business cycles affect patenting? Evidence from European Patent Office filings," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, volume 116, issue C, pages 76-86, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.11.003.
- Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2017, "Near-Rational Expectations: How Far are Surveys from Rationality?," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, volume 60, issue 1, pages 1-27.
- Sergey Ivashchenko & Rangan Gupta, 2017, "Near-Rational Expectations: How Far are Surveys from Rationality?," EERI Research Paper Series, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels, number EERI RP 2017/04, Jan.
- Atsushi Sekine & Takayuki Tsuruga, 2017, "Effects of Commodity Price Shocks on Inflation: A Cross-Country Analysis," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2017-45, Jul.
- Robert Kollmann, 2017, "Tractable Likelihood-Based Estimation of Non- Linear DSGE Models," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2017-55, Sep.
- Irma Hindrayanto & Jan P.A.M. Jacobs & Denise R. Osborn & Jing Tian, 2017, "Trend-Cycle-Seasonal Interactions: Identification and Estimation," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2017-57, Sep.
- Gómez-Zamudio, Luis M. & Ibarra, Raúl, 2017, "Are daily financial data useful for forecasting GDP? Evidence from Mexico," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 123310, Apr.
- Ben Zion Zilberfarb & Nathan Goldstein, 2017, "The closer we get the better we are?," EcoMod2017, EcoMod, number 10355, Jul.
- Zivile Zekaite & Gabe de Bondt & Elke Hahn, 2017, "Alice: A New Inflation Monitoring Tool," EcoMod2017, EcoMod, number 10414, Jul.
- Klaus Weyerstrass & Reinhard Neck, Alpen-Adria-Universitaet Klagenfurt & Dmitri Blueschke, Alpen-Adria-Universitaet Klagenfurt & Boris Majcen, Institute of Economic Reearch, Ljubljana & Andrej Srakar,, 2017, "Demand Side or Supply Side Stabilization Policies in a Small Euro Area Economy: A Case Study for Slovenia," EcoMod2017, EcoMod, number 10553, Jul.
- Klaus Weyerstrass & Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke & Boris Majcen & Andrej Srakar & Miroslav Verbic, 2017, "Demand Side or Supply Side Stabilization Policies in a Small Euro Area Economy: A Case Study for Slovenia," EcoMod2017, EcoMod, number 10608, Jul.
- Korobilis, D, 2017, "Forecasting with many predictors using message passing algorithms," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers, University of Essex, Essex Business School, number 19565, May.
- Nicolas Philiponnet & Alessandro Turrini, 2017, "Assessing House Price Developments in the EU," European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 048, May.
- Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi, 2017, "Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism," CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China, number 2017/1, Dec.
- Makram El-Shagi & Yizhuang Zheng, 2017, "Money Demand in China: A Meta-Study," CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China, number 2017/3, Dec.
- Kevin X. D. Huang & Guoqiang Tian & Yibo Yang, 2017, "China under Uncertainty: Outlook, Counterfactual and Policy Simulations, and Reform Implementation¡ªA Summary of Annual Report (2016¨C2017)," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, volume 12, issue 2, pages 167-187, June.
- Michelle L. Barnes & Giovanni P. Olivei, 2017, "Financial variables and macroeconomic forecast errors," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 17-17, Oct.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2017, "Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 1715, Sep, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-201715.
- Todd E. Clark & Michael W. McCracken & Elmar Mertens, 2017, "Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 17-15R, Sep, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-201715r.
- Adam Hale Shapiro & Moritz Sudhof & Daniel J. Wilson, 2020, "Measuring News Sentiment," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2017-1, Mar, DOI: 10.24148/wp2017-01.
- Christopher A. Hollrah & Steven A. Sharpe & Nitish R. Sinha, 2017, "What's the Story? A New Perspective on the Value of Economic Forecasts," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2017-107, Nov, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2017.107r1.
- David L. Reifschneider & Peter Tulip, 2017, "Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors : The Federal Reserve's Approach," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2017-020, Feb, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2017.020.
- Travis J. Berge, 2017, "Understanding Survey Based Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2017-046, Apr, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2017.046.
- Marlene Amstad & Simon M. Potter & Robert W. Rich, 2017, "The New York Fed Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge (UIG)," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, issue 23-2, pages 1-32.
- Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2017, "Priors for the long run," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 832, Nov.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, 2017, "Political Distribution Risk and Aggregate Fluctuations," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 17-25, Aug.
- Michael Dotsey & Shigeru Fujita & Tom Stark, 2017, "Do Phillips Curves Conditionally Help to Forecast Inflation?," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 17-26, Aug.
- Bobylev Yuri & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Tsukhlo Sergey & Florinskaya Yulia & Mkrtchian Nikita, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 12, pages 1-27, June.
- Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Grishina Elena & Knobel Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Gorshkova Taisiya, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 14, pages 1-24, July.
- Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Deryugin Alexander & Kaukin Andrey & Miller Evgenia & Tishchenko Tatiana, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 15, pages 1-24, September.
- Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Shagaida Natalia & Kaukin Andrey & Zubarevich Natalia & Miller Evgenia & Sokolov Ilya & Malinina Tatiana, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 16, pages 1-24, September.
- Avraamova Elena & Loginov Dmitry & Bobylev Yuri & Rasenko Oleg & Knobel Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Zaitsev Yuri, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 17, pages 1-23, October.
- Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Kaukin Andrey & Miller Evgenia & Nazarov Vladimir, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-24, November.
- Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Lyashok V. & Gurevich Vladimir, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 2, pages 1-23, February.
- Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Uzun Vasily & Lyashok Viktor, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 21, pages 1-27, December.
- Bobylev Yuri & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey, 2017, "This publication deals with the issues related to direct foreign investments, living standards, wages in educational institutions, short-term forecasting of GDP," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 23, pages 1-17, December.
- Avraamova Elena & Loginov Dmitry & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Mamedov Arseny & Fomina Elena & Gurevich Vladimir, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 4, pages 1-28, March.
- Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Gurevich Vladimir & Zolotareva Anna, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 6, pages 1-21, April.
- Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Kaukin Andrey & Gurevich Vladimir & Miller Evgenia, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 8, pages 1-26, April.
- Bobylev Yuri & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Tsukhlo Sergey & Florinskaya Yulia & Mkrtchian Nikita, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 12, pages 1-27, June.
- Drobyshevsky Sergey & Turuntseva Marina & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Grishina Elena & Knobel Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Gorshkova Taisiya, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 14, pages 1-24, July.
- Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Deryugin Alexander & Kaukin Andrey & Miller Evgenia & Tishchenko Tatiana, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 15, pages 1-24, September.
- Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Shagaida Natalia & Kaukin Andrey & Zubarevich Natalia & Miller Evgenia & Sokolov Ilya & Malinina Tatiana, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 16, pages 1-24, September.
- Avraamova Elena & Loginov Dmitry & Bobylev Yuri & Rasenko Oleg & Knobel Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Zaitsev Yuri, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 17, pages 1-23, October.
- Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Kaukin Andrey & Miller Evgenia & Nazarov Vladimir, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 19, pages 1-24, November.
- Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Lyashok V., 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 2, pages 1-23, February.
- Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Uzun Vasily & Lyashok Viktor, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 21, pages 1-27, December.
- Bobylev Yuri & Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 23, pages 1-17, December.
- Avraamova Elena & Loginov Dmitry & Knobel Alexander & Firanchuk Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Mamedov Arseny & Fomina Elena & Gurevich Vladimir, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 4, pages 1-28, March.
- Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Gurevich Vladimir & Zolotareva Anna, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 6, pages 1-21, April.
- Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Kaukin Andrey & Gurevich Vladimir & Miller Evgenia, 2017, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 8, pages 1-26, April.
- Tsukhlo Sergey, 2017, "Russian industrial enterprises in 2016 (on business surveys’ findings)," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number ppaper-2017-278, revised 2017.
- Alain Hecq & Sean Telg & Lenard Lieb, 2017, "Do Seasonal Adjustments Induce Noncausal Dynamics in Inflation Rates?," Econometrics, MDPI, volume 5, issue 4, pages 1-22, October.
- Tran Thanh Hoa, 2017, "Forecasting Inflation in Vietnam with Univariate and Vector Autoregressive Models," IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, number 05-2017, Feb.
- Francisco José Veiga, 2017, "Forecast errors in prices and wages: the experience with three programme countries," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 44, pages 3-19, July, DOI: 10.14195/2183-203X_44_1.
- Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2017, "PIIGS in the Euro area: An empirical DSGE model," Discussion Papers in Economics, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics, number economics:201710, Oct.
- Maximilian Goedl, 2017, "The Sovereign-Bank Interaction in the Eurozone Crisis," Graz Economics Papers, University of Graz, Department of Economics, number 2017-10, Oct.
- Florian Brugger & Joern Kleinert, 2017, "The strong increase of Austrian government debt in the Kreisky era: Austro-Keynesianism or just stubborn forecast errors?," Graz Economics Papers, University of Graz, Department of Economics, number 2017-15, Dec.
- Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Gabi Waldhof, 2017, "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2017-002, Aug.
- Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2019, "Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor-augmented mixed-frequency approach," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01636761, DOI: 10.1111/twec.12708.
- Stéphane Auray & Aurélien Eyquem & Paul Gomme, 2017, "Debt Hangover in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-01520860, Mar.
- Zsolt Darvas, 2017, "Why is it so hard to reach the EU’s ‘poverty’ target?," KRTK-KTI WORKING PAPERS, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies, number 1714, Jun.
- Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Gabi Waldhof, 2017, "Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 201701, Jul.
- Andrew Hughes Hallett & Ansgar Rannenberg & Sven Schreiber, 2017, "Reassessing the Impact of the US Fiscal Stimulus: The Role of the Monetary Policy Stance," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, volume 10, issue 4, pages 12-31, April.
- Diego Winkelried, 2017, "Inferring Inflation Expectations from Fixed-Event Forecasts," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 13, issue 2, pages 1-31, June.
- María José Bosch & Carlos J. García & Marta Manriquez & Gabriel A. Valenzuela, 2017, "Macroeconomía Y Conciliación Familiar: El Impacto Económico De Los Jardines Infantiles," ILADES-UAH Working Papers, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, number inv318, Apr.
- Sangyup Choi & Davide Furceri & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Mr. Saurabh Mishra & Mr. Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro, 2017, "Oil Prices and Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from Advanced and Developing Economies," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2017/196, Sep.
- Thomas Theobald & Peter Hohlfeld, 2017, "Why have the recent oil price declines not stimulated global economic growth?," IMK Working Paper, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute, number 185-2017.
- Junjie Guo & Juan Carlos Escanciano & Jinho Choi, 2017, "Identification and Generalized Band Spectrum Estimation of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," CAEPR Working Papers, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington, number 2017-014, Nov.
- Jeetendra Khadan, 2017, "An Econometric Analysis Of Energy Revenue And Government Expenditure Shocks On Economic Growth In Trinidad And Tobago," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, volume 51, issue 2, pages 183-203, April-Jun.
- Tafirenyika Sunde & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2017, "Determinants of house prices and new construction activity: An empirical investigation of the Namibian housing market," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, volume 51, issue 3, pages 389-407, July-Sept.
- Heilemann Ullrich & Schnorr-Bäcker Susanne, 2017, "Could the start of the German recession 2008–2009 have been foreseen? Evidence from Real-Time Data," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 237, issue 1, pages 29-62, February, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2016-1002.
- Kovacs Kevin & Boulier Bryan & Stekler Herman, 2017, "Nowcasting: Identifying German Cyclical Turning Points," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 237, issue 4, pages 329-341, August, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2017-0115.
- Aykut Ekinci & Halil İbrahim Erdal, 2017, "Forecasting Bank Failure: Base Learners, Ensembles and Hybrid Ensembles," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 49, issue 4, pages 677-686, April, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-016-9623-y.
- Petri Kuosmanen & Juuso Vataja, 2017, "The return of financial variables in forecasting GDP growth in the G-7," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, volume 50, issue 3, pages 259-277, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10644-017-9212-7.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2017, "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: simulations after piketty," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, volume 15, issue 2, pages 121-141, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10888-016-9346-2.
- Yngve Abrahamsen & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Livia Eichenberger & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Hein, 2017, "Weitere Erholung der Schweizer Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 11, issue 1, pages 1-74, March, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
- Yngve Abrahamsen & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Livia Eichenberger & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Hein, 2017, "Konjunkturbild verbessert sich weiter," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 11, issue 2, pages 1-24, June, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
- Yngve Abrahamsen & Klaus Abberger & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Alexander, 2017, "Internationale Impulse beflügeln die Schweizer Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 11, issue 3, pages 1-102, October, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
- Yngve Abrahamsen & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Klaus Abberger & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Florian Eckert & Anne Kathrin Funk & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & David Iselin & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan N, 2017, "Der Aufschwung ist da," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 11, issue 4, pages 1-30, December, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
- Jaqueson K Galimberti, 2017, "Forecasting GDP growth from the outer space," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 17-427, Feb, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-010852413.
- Aleksandar Vasilev, 2017, "Business Cycle Accounting: Bulgaria after the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2014)," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), volume 14, issue 2, pages 197-219, December.
- Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2017, "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 49919.
- Magdalena Petrovska & Gani Ramadani & Nikola Naumovski & Biljana Jovanovic, 2017, "Forecasting Macedonian Inflation: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting," Working Papers, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia, number 2017-06.
- Aleksandra Hałka & Jacek Kotłowski, 2017, "Global or Domestic? Which Shocks Drive Inflation in European Small Open Economies?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 53, issue 8, pages 1812-1835, August, DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2016.1193001.
- Alice, Albonico & Roberta, Cardani & Patrizio, Tirelli, 2017, "Debunking the Myth of Southern Profligacy. A DSGE Analysis of Business Cycles in the EMU’s Big Four," Working Papers, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, number 373, Nov, revised Jan 2018.
- Kristin Forbes & Ida Hjortsoe & Tsvetelina Nenova, 2017, "Shocks versus structure: explaining differences in exchange rate pass-through across countries and time," Discussion Papers, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England, number 50, Jul.
- National Bank of Belgium, 2017, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2017," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-29, June.
- Gregory De Walque & Thomas Lejeune & Yuliya Rychalovska & Rafael Wouters, 2017, "An estimated two-country EA-US model with limited exchange rate pass-through," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 317, Mar.
- Michael T. Belongia & Peter N. Ireland, 2017, "Circumventing the Zero Lower Bound with Monetary Policy Rules Based on Money," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 23157, Feb.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, 2017, "Bargaining Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 23647, Aug.
- Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Byoungchan Lee, 2017, "A Note on Variance Decomposition with Local Projections," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 23998, Nov.
- Igor Živko & Mile Bošnjak, 2017, "Time Series Modeling of Inflation and its Volatility in Croatia," Notitia - journal for economic, business and social issues, Notitia Ltd., volume 1, issue 3, pages 1-10, December.
- Doriana Andreea Ramescu & Nicoleta Sirghi, 2017, "The Price Evolution In The Context Of Economic Crisis," Oradea Journal of Business and Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, volume 2, issue 1, pages 72-80, March.
- Francesca Rondina, 2017, "Model Uncertainty and the Direction of Fit of the Postwar U.S. Phillips Curve(s)," Working Papers, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics, number 1702E.
- Christian Matthes & Francesca Rondina, 2017, "Two-sided Learning and Short-Run Dynamics in a New Keynesian Model of the Economy," Working Papers, University of Ottawa, Department of Economics, number 1705E.
- P. Gagliardini & E. Ghysels & M. Rubin, 2017, "Indirect Inference Estimation of Mixed Frequency Stochastic Volatility State Space Models using MIDAS Regressions and ARCH Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, volume 15, issue 4, pages 509-560.
- Fedrico Torrachi, 2017, "How Do Credit Supply Conditions Affect the Labor Market? Estimating a New-Keynesian DSGE Model with Labor and Credit Market Frictions," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 817, Jan.
- Alonso, Julio César & Rivera, Andrés Felipe, 2017, "Pronosticando la inflación mensual en Colombia un paso hacia delante: una aproximación "de abajo hacia arriba" || Forecasting the Colombian Monthly Inflation One Step Ahead: A "Bottom to Top" Approach," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, volume 23, issue 1, pages 98-118, Junio.
- Josiah Ringelberg & Andrew Johnson & Michael Boehlje & Michael Gunderson & Nathan Daninger, 2017, "Modeling With @Risk:A Tutorial Guide," Working Papers, Purdue University, College of Agriculture, Department of Agricultural Economics, number 16-3.
- Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, 2017, "Political Distribution Risk and Aggregate Fluctuations," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 17-016, Jul, revised 25 Jul 2017.
- Blazej Mazur, 2017, "Probabilistic predictive analysis of business cycle fluctuations in Polish economy," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, volume 12, issue 3, pages 435-452, September, DOI: 10.24136/eq.v12i3.23.
- Blazej Mazur, 2017, "Density Forecasts of Polish Industrial Production: a Probabilistic Perspective on Business Cycle Fluctuations," Working Papers, Institute of Economic Research, number 75/2017, May, revised May 2017.
- Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Luvsannyam, Davaajargal, 2017, "Forecasting inflation in Mongolia: A dynamic model averaging approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 102602.
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- Cobb, Marcus P A, 2017, "Aggregate Density Forecasting from Disaggregate Components Using Large VARs," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 76849, Feb.
- Pincheira, Pablo, 2017, "A Power Booster Factor for Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 77027, Feb.
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- BLINOV, Sergey, 2017, "Использование Взаимосвязи Между Ввп И Денежной Массой Для Экономического Прогнозирования
[Economic Forecasting Based on the Relationship between GDP and Real Money Supply]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 77475, Mar. - Medel, Carlos A., 2017, "Forecasting Chilean Inflation with the Hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Globalisation, Combination, and Accuracy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 78439, Apr.
- BLINOV, Sergey, 2017, "Economic Forecasting Based on the Relationship between GDP and Real Money Supply," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 78717, Apr.
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[A macroprudential perspective of financial stability]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 79189, May, revised 16 May 2017. - Pincheira, Pablo & Selaive, Jorge & Nolazco, Jose Luis, 2017, "Forecasting Inflation in Latin America with Core Measures," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 80496, Jul.
- Pinshi Paula, Christian, 2017, "Une perspective macroprudentielle pour la stabilité financière
[A macroprudential perspective on financial stability]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 80505, Jun, revised Jun 2017. - Kuusela, Annika & Hännikäinen, Jari, 2017, "What do the shadow rates tell us about future inflation?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 80542, Aug.
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- Giannoulakis, Stylianos, 2017, "Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model with Tobin’s Q Investment Theory Features," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 80892, May.
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- Topan, Ligia & Castro, César & Jerez, Miguel & Barge-Gil, Andrés, 2017, "Oil price pass-through into inflation in Spain at national and regional level," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 87821, Jan.
- Bhattacharya, Rudrani & Sen Gupta, Abhijit, 2017, "Drivers and Impact of Food Inflation in India," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 88721, revised 2017.
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- Ondřej Čížek, 2017, "Reakční funkce Evropské centrální banky
[The Reaction Function of the European Central Bank]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2017, issue 4, pages 424-439, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1153. - Andrea Tkáčová & Veronika Kišová, 2017, "Zmeny zloženia kompozitného predstihového indikátora Slovenska v čase
[Changes of Composite Leading Indicator Composition over Time]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2017, issue 5, pages 583-600, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1163. - David Reifschneider & Peter Tulip, 2017, "Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors: The Federal Reserve's Approach," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2017-01, Feb.
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- Andrey Kudryavtsev & Shosh Shahrabani & Yaniv Azoulay, 2017, "Frequency of Adjusting Asset Allocations in the Life-Cycle Pension Model: When Doing More Is Not Necessarily Better," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, volume 4, issue 1, pages 13-33.
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[К Прогнозированию Глобальной Экономической Динамики Ближайших Лет]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, volume 1, pages 8-39, February. - Madalina-Gabriela ANGHEL & Constantin ANGHELACHE & Georgiana NITA & Gyorgy BODO, 2017, "The Main Concepts Of The Eqcm Model And Data-Based Dvar Systems," Romanian Statistical Review Supplement, Romanian Statistical Review, volume 65, issue 7, pages 132-140, July.
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- Miroslava Zavadska & Lucía Morales & Joseph Coughlan, 2017, "The Efficiency Analysis of Crude Oil Spot and Futures Prices: A Moving Window Approach," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 5908091, Oct.
- Thierno Thioune, 2017, "Financial Instability and Inequality Dynamics in the WAEMU," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, volume 2, issue 1, pages 43-62, June, DOI: 10.33119/ERFIN.2017.2.1.3.
- Mihaela Simionescu, 2017, "Bayesian Forecast Intervals for Inflation and Unemployment Rate in Romania," Bulgarian Economic Papers, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski - Bulgaria // Center for Economic Theories and Policies at Sofia University St Kliment Ohridski, number bep-2017-06, May, revised May 2017.
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- Roberto Meurer & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2017, "Heterogeneity in Monthly Inflation Expectations in Brazil: Evidence with Aggregate Data from the Focus Survey," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), number 2017_08, Jun.
- Martyna Marczak & Víctor Gómez, 2017, "Monthly US business cycle indicators: a new multivariate approach based on a band-pass filter," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 52, issue 4, pages 1379-1408, June, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-016-1108-2.
- Jonas Dovern & Matthias Hartmann, 2017, "Forecast performance, disagreement, and heterogeneous signal-to-noise ratios," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 53, issue 1, pages 63-77, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-016-1137-x.
- Alessandro Girardi & Roberto Golinelli & Carmine Pappalardo, 2017, "The role of indicator selection in nowcasting euro-area GDP in pseudo-real time," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 53, issue 1, pages 79-99, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-016-1151-z.
- Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & João Victor Issler & Silvia Maria Matos, 2017, "Applying a microfounded-forecasting approach to predict Brazilian inflation," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 53, issue 1, pages 137-163, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-016-1163-8.
- Herman O. Stekler & Tianyu Ye, 2017, "Evaluating a leading indicator: an application—the term spread," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 53, issue 1, pages 183-194, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-016-1200-7.
- Graham Elliott, 2017, "Forecast combination when outcomes are difficult to predict," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 53, issue 1, pages 7-20, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-017-1253-2.
- Tony Chernis & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2017, "A dynamic factor model for nowcasting Canadian GDP growth," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 53, issue 1, pages 217-234, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-017-1254-1.
- Sebastian Ankargren & Mårten Bjellerup & Hovick Shahnazarian, 2017, "The importance of the financial system for the real economy," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 53, issue 4, pages 1553-1586, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-016-1175-4.
- Sami Oinonen & Maritta Paloviita, 2017, "How Informative are Aggregated Inflation Expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), volume 13, issue 2, pages 139-163, November, DOI: 10.1007/s41549-017-0017-6.
- Philippe De Donder & John E. Roemer, 2017, "The dynamics of capital accumulation in the US: simulations after piketty," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, volume 15, issue 2, pages 121-141, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10888-016-9346-2.
- Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017, "Boosting and regional economic forecasting: the case of Germany," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, volume 10, issue 2, pages 161-175, July, DOI: 10.1007/s12076-016-0179-1.
- James Morley & Irina B Panovska, 2017, "Is Business Cycle Asymmetry Intrinsic in Industrialized Economies?," Discussion Papers, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales, number 2016-12A, Jan.
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- Jari Hännikäinen, 2017, "The shadow rate as a predictor of real activity and inflation: evidence from a data-rich environment," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 24, issue 8, pages 527-535, May, DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2016.1208347.
- Baris Soybilgen & Ege Yazgan, 2017, "An evaluation of inflation expectations in Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, volume 17, issue 1, pages 31-38.
- H. Murat Ozbilgin, 2017, "Forecasting the Growth Cycles of the Turkish Economy," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1715.
- Zhang Chengsi & Xingchen Ji & Wensheng Dai, 2017, "Global Output Gap and Domestic Inflation in China," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, volume 64, issue 1, pages 17-30.
- Marcin Bielecki, 2017, "Business cycles, innovation and growth: welfare analysis," Working Papers, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, number 2017-19.
- Christian Glocker & Philipp Wegmüller, 2017, "Business Cycle Dating and Forecasting with Real-time Swiss GDP Data," WIFO Working Papers, WIFO, number 542, Oct.
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- Tommaso Proietti & Martyna Marczak & Gianluigi Mazzi, 2017, "Euromind‐ D : A Density Estimate of Monthly Gross Domestic Product for the Euro Area," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 32, issue 3, pages 683-703, April.
- Knut Are Aastveit & Claudia Foroni & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2017, "Density Forecasts With Midas Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 32, issue 4, pages 783-801, June.
- Vasilios Plakandaras & Periklis Gogas & Theophilos Papadimitriou & Rangan Gupta, 2017, "The Informational Content of the Term Spread in Forecasting the US Inflation Rate: A Nonlinear Approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 36, issue 2, pages 109-121, March.
- Harri Ponka, 2017, "The Role of Credit in Predicting US Recessions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 36, issue 5, pages 469-482, August.
- Kirstin Hubrich & Frauke Skudelny, 2017, "Forecast Combination for Euro Area Inflation: A Cure in Times of Crisis?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 36, issue 5, pages 515-540, August.
- Rangan Gupta & Eric Olson & Mark E. Wohar, 2017, "Forecasting key US macroeconomic variables with a factor‐augmented Qual VAR," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 36, issue 6, pages 640-650, September.
- Michael K Andersson & Ted Aranki & André Reslow, 2017, "Adjusting for information content when comparing forecast performance," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 36, issue 7, pages 784-794, November.
- Edward S. Knotek & Saeed Zaman, 2017, "Nowcasting U.S. Headline and Core Inflation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 49, issue 5, pages 931-968, August, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12401.
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- Caballero, Julián & Fernández, Andrés, 2017, "On corporate borrowing, credit spreads and economic activity in emerging economies: An empirical investigation," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 31/2017.
- Ambrocio, Gene, 2017, "The real effects of overconfidence and fundamental uncertainty shocks," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 37/2017.
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- Simionescu, Mihaela & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2017, "Big Data and Unemployment Analysis," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 81.
- Simionescu, Mihaela, 2017, "Prediction intervals for inflation and unemployment rate in Romania. A Bayesian approach," GLO Discussion Paper Series, Global Labor Organization (GLO), number 82.
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- Heinisch, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2017, "Should forecasters use real-time data to evaluate leading indicator models for GDP prediction? German evidence," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 5/2017.
- Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Wieschemeyer, Matthi, 2017, "Konjunktur aktuell: Beschäftigungsboom in Deutschland - aber gesamtwirtschaftlich keine Überhitzung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 5, issue 1, pages 4-29.
- Bershadskyy, Dmitri & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2017, "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2017 bis 2022 und finanzpolitische Optionen einer neuen Bundesregierung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 5, issue 5, pages 138-145.
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