Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2020

• Vera Eichenauer & Ronald Indergand & Isabel Z. Martínez & Christoph Sax, 2020, "Constructing Daily Economic Sentiment Indices Based on Google Trends," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 20-484, Jun, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000423548.
• Florian Eckert & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth, 2020, "Tracking Economic Activity With Alternative High-Frequency Data," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 20-488, Dec, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000458723.

2019

• Francesco D'Acunto & Daniel Hoang & Maritta Paloviita & Michael Weber, 2019, "Cognitive Abilities and Inflation Expectations," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, volume 109, pages 562-566, May.
• Mastromarco, Camilla & Simar, Leopold & Wilson, Paul, 2019, "Predicting Recessions: A New Measure of Output Gap as Predictor," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA), number 2019023, Jan.
• Park, Byeong U. & Simar, Leopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2019, "Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," LIDAM Reprints ISBA, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA), number 2019014, Jan.
• Ержан Ислам // Yerzhan Islam & Байкулаков Шалкар // Baikulakov Shalkar, 2019, "Оценка воздействия кредитования экономики на инфляционные процессы в Казахстане // Assessment of credit impact on inflation processes in Kazakhstan," Working Papers, National Bank of Kazakhstan, number #2019-5.
• Adolfo Rodríguez-Vargas, 2019, "Univariate Forecasts for Costa Rican Inflation With Stochastic Volatility and GARCH Effects," Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 1604, Jul.
• Carlos Brenes-Soto & Manfred Esquivel Monge, 2019, "Asymmetries in the Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices During the Period of Exchange Rate Flexibility in Costa Rica," Documentos de Trabajo, Banco Central de Costa Rica, number 1706, Jul.
• Erik Vardanyan, 2019, "Do Remittances Worsen Export Diversification?," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 10, Aug.
• Stella Mnoyan, 2019, "Exchange Rate Pass-through in Armenia," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 13, Oct, revised Dec 2019.
• Douglas Laxton & Asya Kostanyan & Akaki Liqokeli & Gevorg Minasyan & Tamta Sopromadze & Armen Nurbekyan, 2019, "Mind the Gaps! Financial-Cycle Output Gaps and Monetary-Policy-Relevant Output Gaps," Working Papers, Central Bank of Armenia, number 19, Dec.
• Matteo Mogliani & Anna Simoni, 2019, "Bayesian MIDAS Penalized Regressions: Estimation, Selection, and Prediction," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1903.08025, Mar, revised Jun 2020.
• Jaqueson K. Galimberti, 2020, "Forecasting GDP growth from outer space," Working Papers, Auckland University of Technology, Department of Economics, number 2020-02, Feb.
• Inna Sysoieva & Oksana Balaziuk & Liubomyr Pylypenko, 2019, "Modelling Of Enterprise'S Accounting Policy: Theoretical Aspect," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", volume 5, issue 1, DOI: 10.30525/2256-0742/2019-5-1-188-193.
• Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019, "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations,and Fiscal Policy," BCAM Working Papers, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics, number 1905, Sep.
• Olivier Gervais, 2019, "How Oil Supply Shocks Affect the Global Economy: Evidence from Local Projections," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 2019-6, Jul, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2019-6.
• Dany Brouillette & Julien Champagne & Carol Khoury & Natalia Kyui & Jeffrey Mollins & Youngmin Park, 2019, "Potential Output in Canada: 2019 Reassessment," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2019-10, DOI: 10.34989/san-2019-10.
• Dany Brouillette & Julien Champagne & Carol Khoury & Natalia Kyui & Jeffrey Mollins & Youngmin Park, 2019, "Production potentielle au Canada : réévaluation de 2019," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2019-10fr, DOI: 10.34989/san-2019-10.
• Charles Gaa & Xuezhi Liu & Cameron MacDonald & Xiangjin Shen, 2019, "Assessing the Resilience of the Canadian Banking System," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2019-16, May, DOI: 10.34989/san-2019-16.
• Charles Gaa & Xuezhi Liu & Cameron MacDonald & Xiangjin Shen, 2019, "Évaluer la résilience du système bancaire canadien," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2019-16fr, May, DOI: 10.34989/san-2019-16.
• Pablo Garcia Sanchez & Alban Moura, 2019, "The LU-EAGLE model with disaggregated public expenditure," BCL working papers, Central Bank of Luxembourg, number 135, Nov.
• Matías Pacce & Gabriel Pérez-Quirós, 2019, "Predicción en tiempo real del PIB en el área del euro: recientes mejoras en el modelo Euro-STING," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue MAR.
• Concha Artola & María Gil & Danilo Leiva & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019, "Predicción en tiempo real del PIB regional: aspectos estadísticos y un modelo de previsión," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue JUN.
• Concha Artola & María Gil & Danilo Leiva & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019, "Real-time regional GDP forecasting: statistical aspects and a forecasting model," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue JUN.
• María Gil & Danilo Leiva-Leon & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019, "An application of dynamic factor models to nowcast regional economic activity in Spain," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 1904, Mar.
• Luis Julián Álvarez, 2019, "El índice de precios de consumo: usos y posibles vías de mejora," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 1910, May.
• Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019, "Bayesian VAR forecasts, survey information and structural change in the euro area," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1948, Dec.
• Lorenzo Burlon & Paolo D'Imperio, 2019, "The euro-area output gap through the lens of a DSGE model," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 477, Jan.
• Massimo Gallo & Sonia Soncin & Andrea Venturini, 2019, "Ven-ICE: a new indicator for the economy of the Veneto region," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 498, Jun.
• Angela Capolongo & Claudia Pacella, 2019, "Forecasting inflation in the euro area: countries matter!," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1224, Jun.
• Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2019, "Forecasting with instabilities: an application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1234, Oct.
• Piergiorgio Alessandri & Leonardo Del Vecchio & Arianna Miglietta, 2019, "Financial Conditions and 'Growth at Risk' in Italy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1242, Oct.
• Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2019, "The natural interest rate in Latin America," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1067, Mar, DOI: 10.32468/be.1067.
• Matteo Mogliani, 2019, "Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: estimation, selection, and prediction," Working papers, Banque de France, number 713.
• Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019, "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working papers, Banque de France, number 717.
• Gergely Ganics & Florens Odendahl, 2019, "Bayesian VAR Forecasts, Survey Information and Structural Change in the Euro Area," Working papers, Banque de France, number 733.
• Matthieu Lemoine & Harri Turunen & Mohammed Chahad & Antoine Lepetit & Anastasia Zhutova & Pierre Aldama & Pierrick Clerc & Jean-Pierre Laffargue, 2019, "The FR-BDF Model and an Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission in France," Working papers, Banque de France, number 736.
• Andrea Caggese, 2020, "Comments on: 'What Drives Aggregate Investment? Evidence from German Survey Data'," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1175, Apr.
• Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019, "Inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 789, Jun.
• Kristin Forbes, 2019, "Has globalization changed the inflation process?," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 791, Jul.
• Claudio Borio & Mathias Drehmann & Dora Xia Author-X-Name_First: Dora, 2019, "Predicting recessions: financial cycle versus term spread," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 818, Oct.
• Konstantin Styrin, 2019, "Forecasting Inflation in Russia Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 78, issue 1, pages 3-18, March, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201901.03.
• Elena Deryugina & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2019, "Determination of the Current Phase of the Credit Cycle in Emerging Markets," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 78, issue 2, pages 28-42, June, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201902.28.
• Sergei Seleznev, 2019, "Truncated priors for tempered hierarchical Dirichlet process vector autoregression," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps47, Oct.
• Ramis Khabibullin, 2019, "What measures of real economic activity slack are helpful for forecasting Russian inflation?," Bank of Russia Working Paper Series, Bank of Russia, number wps50, Oct.
• María Victoria Landaberry, 2019, "Boom de crédito en Uruguay: Identificación y Anticipación," Documentos de trabajo, Banco Central del Uruguay, number 2019001.
• Alice Albonico & Alessia Paccagnini & Patrizio Tirelli, 2019, "Limited Asset Market Participation And The Euro Area Crisis: An Empirical Dsge Model," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 57, issue 3, pages 1302-1323, July, DOI: 10.1111/ecin.12791.
• Julian A. Parra‐Polania, 2019, "State‐Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, volume 20, issue 4, pages 1019-1027, November, DOI: 10.1111/geer.12201.
• Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2019, "Should Forecasters Use Real‐Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, volume 20, issue 4, pages 170-200, November, DOI: 10.1111/geer.12163.
• Markus Hertrich, 2019, "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, volume 20, issue 4, pages 759-794, November, DOI: 10.1111/geer.12185.
• Øivind A. Nilsen & Magne Vange, 2019, "Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence Using Monthly Data," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 81, issue 1, pages 98-122, February, DOI: 10.1111/obes.12255.
• Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2019, "Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor‐augmented mixed‐frequency approach," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, volume 42, issue 3, pages 846-875, March, DOI: 10.1111/twec.12708.
• Kenichiro McAlinn & Knut Are Aastveit & Jouchi Nakajima & Mike West, 2019, "Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2019/2, Jan.
• Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Julia Zhulanova, 2019, "News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2019/5, Feb.
• Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019, "Optimal Monetary Policy under Bounded Rationality," Bank of Israel Working Papers, Bank of Israel, number 2019.07, Jul.
• Jonathan Benchimol & Makram El-Shagi, 2019, "Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism," Bank of Israel Working Papers, Bank of Israel, number 2019.08, Jul.
• Kim Jin Yeub & Shim Myungkyu, 2019, "Forecast Dispersion in Finite-Player Forecasting Games," The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics, De Gruyter, volume 19, issue 1, pages 1-6, January, DOI: 10.1515/bejte-2017-0023.
• Parra-Polania Julian A., 2019, "State-Dependent Forward Guidance and the Problem of Inconsistent Announcements," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, volume 20, issue 4, pages 1019-1027, December, DOI: 10.1111/geer.12201.
• Heinisch Katja & Scheufele Rolf, 2019, "Should Forecasters Use Real-Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, volume 20, issue 4, pages 170-200, December, DOI: 10.1111/geer.12163.
• Hertrich Markus, 2019, "A Novel Housing Price Misalignment Indicator for Germany," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, volume 20, issue 4, pages 759-794, December, DOI: 10.1111/geer.12185.
• Miroslav Klucik, 2019, "Tracking the Course of the Economy (Nowcasting of basic macroeconomic indicators of Slovakia)," Working Papers, Council for Budget Responsibility, number Working Paper No. 1/2019, Jan.
• Yiqun Gloria Chen, 2019, "Inflation, Inflation Expectations, and the Phillips Curve: Working Paper 2019-07," Working Papers, Congressional Budget Office, number 55501, Aug.
• Paul Jenkins, 2019, "Into the Unknown: Reflections on Risk, Uncertainty and Monetary Policy Decision-making," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 549, July.
• William B.P. Robson, 2019, "Thin Capitalization: Weak Business Investment Undermines Canadian Workers," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 550, August.
• Robert Lehmann & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2019, "The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7460.
• Kajal Lahiri & Wuwei Wang, 2019, "Estimating macroeconomic uncertainty and discord using info-metrics," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7674.
• Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019, "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7691.
• Scott M. R. Mahadeo & Reinhold Heinlein & Gabriella Deborah Legrenzi, 2019, "Tracing the Genesis of Contagion in the Oil-Finance Nexus," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 7925.
• Julián Caballero & Andrés Fernández & Jongho Park, 2019, "On Corporate Borrowing, Credit Spreads and Economic Activity in Emerging Economies: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 839, Sep.
• Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2019, "How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2019s-22, Oct.
• Jan Filacek & Ivan Sutoris, 2019, "Inflation Targeting Flexibility: The CNB's Reaction Function under Scrutiny," Research and Policy Notes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2019/02, Nov.
• Sergio Iván Prada & Julio C. Alonso & Juli�n Fern�ndez, 2019, "Exchange rate pass-through into consumer healthcare prices in Colombia," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, volume 38, issue 77, pages 523-550.
• Juan Pablo Alfonso Zorro, 2019, "Efectos de las variaciones del IPC en las decisiones financieras," Econógrafos, Escuela de Economía, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, number 17329, Jul.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Carriero, Andrea & Corsello, Francesco, 2019, "The Global Component of Inflation Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13470, Jan.
• Albanesi, Stefania, 2019, "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13578, Mar.
• Kose, M. Ayhan & Matsuoka, Hideaki & Panizza, Ugo & Vorisek, Dana, 2019, "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13601, Mar.
• Skreta, Vasiliki & Giacomini, Raffaella & Gaglianone, Wagner & Issler, Joao, 2019, "Incentive-driven Inattention," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13619, Mar.
• Melosi, Leonardo & Faccini, Renato, 2019, "Bad Jobs and Low Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13628, Mar.
• Linde, Jesper & Trabandt, Mathias, 2019, "Resolving the Missing Deflation Puzzle," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13690, Apr.
• Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús & Mandelman, Federico & Yu, Yang & Zanetti, Francesco, 2019, "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 13950, Aug.
• Forbes, Kristin, 2019, "Inflation Dynamics: Dead, Dormant, or Determined Abroad?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 14195, Dec.
• Laurent Ferrara & Anna Simoni, 2019, "When are Google data useful to nowcast GDP? An approach via pre-selection and shrinkage," Working Papers, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics, number 2019-04, Feb.
• Elias A. Udeaja & Kazeem Isah, 2019, "Revisiting the accuracy of inflation forecasts in Nigeria: the oil price –exchange rate perspectives," Working Papers, Centre for Econometric and Allied Research, University of Ibadan, number 065, Apr.
• Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya A., 2019, "Structural Stability Of The Generalized Taylor Rule," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 23, issue 4, pages 1664-1678, June.
• Hindrayanto, Irma & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M. & Osborn, Denise R. & Tian, Jing, 2019, "Trend–Cycle–Seasonal Interactions: Identification And Estimation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 23, issue 8, pages 3163-3188, December.
• Quaghebeur, Ewoud, 2019, "Learning And The Size Of The Government Spending Multiplier," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 23, issue 8, pages 3189-3224, December.
• de Vincent-Humphreys, Rupert & Dimitrova, Ivelina & Falck, Elisabeth & Henkel, Lukas & Meyler, Aidan, 2019, "Twenty years of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 1.
• Page, Adrian & Lambrias, Kyriacos, 2019, "The performance of the Eurosystem/ECB staff macroeconomic projections since the financial crisis," Economic Bulletin Articles, European Central Bank, volume 8.
• Fidora, Michael & Schmitz, Martin, 2019, "The decrease in euro area net financial outflows in 2018: foreign direct investment retrenchment and portfolio investment slowdown," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 4.
• Andersson, Malin & Mosk, Benjamin, 2019, "Confidence and business investment," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 4.
• Budnik, Katarzyna, 2019, "A bird’s-eye view of the resilience of the European banking system: results from the new macroprudential stress test framework," Macroprudential Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 7.
• Budnik, Katarzyna & Balatti, Mirco & Dimitrov, Ivan & Groß, Johannes & Hansen, Ib & Kleemann, Michael & Sanna, Francesco & Sarychev, Andrei & Siņenko, Nadežda & Volk, Matjaz & Covi, Giovanni & di Iasi, 2019, "Macroprudential stress test of the euro area banking system," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 226, Jul.
• Cabral, Inês & Detken, Carsten & Fell, John & Henry, Jérôme & Hiebert, Paul & Kapadia, Sujit & Pires, Fatima & Salleo, Carmelo & Constâncio, Vítor & Nicoletti Altimari, Sergio, 2019, "Macroprudential policy at the ECB: Institutional framework, strategy, analytical tools and policies," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 227, Jul.
• Angelini, Elena & Lalik, Magdalena & Lenza, Michele & Paredes, Joan, 2019, "Mind the gap: a multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2227, Jan.
• Kontogeorgos, Georgios & Lambrias, Kyriacos, 2019, "An analysis of the Eurosystem/ECB projections," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2291, Jun.
• Ojea Ferreiro, Javier, 2019, "Disentangling the role of the exchange rate in oil-related scenarios for the European stock market," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2296, Jul.
• Sondermann, David & Zorell, Nico, 2019, "A macroeconomic vulnerability model for the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2306, Aug.
• Martínez-Martin, Jaime & Morris, Richard & Onorante, Luca & Piersanti, Fabio M., 2019, "Merging structural and reduced-form models for forecasting: opening the DSGE-VAR box," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2335, Dec.
• Alexey Mikhaylov, 2019, "Oil and Gas Budget Revenues in Russia after Crisis in 2015," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 9, issue 2, pages 375-380.
• Yasir Alsaedi & Gurudeo Anand Tularam & Victor Wong, 2019, "Application of ARIMA Modelling for the Forecasting of Solar, Wind, Spot and Options Electricity Prices: The Australian National Electricity Market," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 9, issue 4, pages 263-272.
• Hasumi, Ryo & Iiboshi, Hirokuni & Matsumae, Tatsuyoshi & Nakamura, Daisuke, 2019, "Does a financial accelerator improve forecasts during financial crises? Evidence from Japan with prediction-pooling methods," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, volume 60, issue C, pages 45-68, DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2018.10.005.
• Galimberti, Jaqueson K., 2019, "An approximation of the distribution of learning estimates in macroeconomic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 102, issue C, pages 29-43, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2019.03.003.
• González-Astudillo, Manuel & Baquero, Daniel, 2019, "A nowcasting model for Ecuador: Implementing a time-varying mean output growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 82, issue C, pages 250-263, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2019.01.010.
• de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira & de Deus, Joseph David Barroso Vasconcelos, 2019, "Central bank forecasts and private expectations: An empirical assessment from three emerging economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 83, issue C, pages 234-244, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2019.02.013.
• Kuosmanen, Petri & Rahko, Jaana & Vataja, Juuso, 2019, "Predictive ability of financial variables in changing economic circumstances," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 47, issue C, pages 37-47, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2018.11.012.
• Neri, Stefano & Notarpietro, Alessandro, 2019, "Collateral constraints, the zero lower bound, and the debt–deflation mechanism," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 174, issue C, pages 144-148, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.11.012.
• Zhang, Wen, 2019, "Deciphering the causes for the post-1990 slow output recoveries," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 176, issue C, pages 28-34, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.12.003.
• McAlinn, Kenichiro & West, Mike, 2019, "Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis in time series forecasting," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 210, issue 1, pages 155-169, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2018.11.010.
• Ma, Xiaohan & Samaniego, Roberto, 2019, "Deconstructing uncertainty," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 119, issue C, pages 22-41, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.06.004.
• Rios, Daniel & Blanco, Gerardo & Olsina, Fernando, 2019, "Integrating Real Options Analysis with long-term electricity market models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 80, issue C, pages 188-205, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2018.12.023.
• Keating, John W. & Smith, A. Lee, 2019, "The optimal monetary instrument and the (mis)use of causality tests," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 42, issue C, pages 90-99, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2019.05.011.
• Caballero, Julián & Fernández, Andrés & Park, Jongho, 2019, "On corporate borrowing, credit spreads and economic activity in emerging economies: An empirical investigation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 118, issue C, pages 160-178, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2018.11.010.
• McAdam, Peter & Warne, Anders, 2019, "Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 35, issue 2, pages 580-600, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.10.013.
• Pincheira-Brown, Pablo & Selaive, Jorge & Nolazco, Jose Luis, 2019, "Forecasting inflation in Latin America with core measures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 35, issue 3, pages 1060-1071, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.04.011.
• Angelini, Elena & Lalik, Magdalena & Lenza, Michele & Paredes, Joan, 2019, "Mind the gap: A multi-country BVAR benchmark for the Eurosystem projections," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 35, issue 4, pages 1658-1668, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.12.004.
• Aastveit, Knut Are & Anundsen, André K. & Herstad, Eyo I., 2019, "Residential investment and recession predictability," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 35, issue 4, pages 1790-1799, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.09.008.
• Fukuda, Shin-ichi & Soma, Naoto, 2019, "Inflation target and anchor of inflation forecasts in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, volume 52, issue C, pages 154-170, DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2019.01.002.
• Chin, Kuo-Hsuan & Li, Xue, 2019, "Bayesian forecast combination in VAR-DSGE models," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 59, issue C, pages 278-298, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2018.12.004.
• Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019, "Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, pages 1-1, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2019.103133.
• Liu, Xiaochun, 2019, "On tail fatness of macroeconomic dynamics," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2019.103154.
• Döpke, Jörg & Fritsche, Ulrich & Müller, Karsten, 2019, "Has macroeconomic forecasting changed after the Great Recession? Panel-based evidence on forecast accuracy and forecaster behavior from Germany," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2019.103135.
• Hwang, Youngjin, 2019, "Forecasting recessions with time-varying models," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2019.103153.
• Li, Yingxing & Huang, Chen & Härdle, Wolfgang K., 2019, "Spatial functional principal component analysis with applications to brain image data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, volume 170, issue C, pages 263-274, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmva.2018.11.004.
• Scarcioffolo, Alexandre Ribeiro & Etienne, Xiaoli L., 2019, "How connected are the U.S. regional natural gas markets in the post-deregulation era? Evidence from time-varying connectedness analysis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, volume 15, issue C, pages 1-1, DOI: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2018.09.004.
• Polat, Onur & Ozkan, Ibrahim, 2019, "Transmission mechanisms of financial stress into economic activity in Turkey," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 41, issue 2, pages 395-415, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2019.02.010.
• Álvarez, Luis J. & Sánchez, Isabel, 2019, "Inflation projections for monetary policy decision making," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 41, issue 4, pages 568-585, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2018.09.005.
• Pincheira Brown, Pablo & Hardy, Nicolás, 2019, "Forecasting base metal prices with the Chilean exchange rate," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 62, issue C, pages 256-281, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.02.019.
• Kuosmanen, Petri & Vataja, Juuso, 2019, "Time-varying predictive content of financial variables in forecasting GDP growth in the G-7 countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 71, issue C, pages 211-222, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2018.08.002.
• Pönkä, Harri & Zheng, Yi, 2019, "The role of oil prices on the Russian business cycle," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, volume 50, issue C, pages 70-78, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.04.011.
• Aleksandar Vasilev, 2019, "Indeterminacy with preferences featuring multiplicative habits in consumption," EERI Research Paper Series, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels, number EERI RP 2019/08, Oct.
• M. Ayhan Kose & Hideaki Matsuoka & Ugo Panizza & Dana Vorisek, 2019, "Inflation Expectations: Review and Evidence," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2019-29, Mar.
• Adrian Pagan & Tim Robinson, 2019, "Implications of Partial Information for Econometric Modeling of Macroeconomic Systems," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2019-41, Jun.
• Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019, "An Automated Prior Robustness Analysis in Bayesian Model Comparison," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2019-45, Jun.
• Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019, "Efficient Selection of Hyperparameters in Large Bayesian VARs Using Automatic Differentiation," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2019-46, Jun.
• Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019, "Asymmetric Conjugate Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2019-51, Jul.
• Joshua C. C. Chan, 2019, "Minnesota-Type Adaptive Hierarchical Priors for Large Bayesian VARs," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2019-61, Aug.
• Pierre L Siklos, 2019, "US Monetary Policy Since the 1950s and the Changing Content of FOMC Minutes," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2019-69, Sep.
• Joshua C.C. Chan, 2019, "Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2019-77, Oct.
• Marco Veronese Passarella, 2019, "From abstract to concrete: some tips for developing an empirical stock–flow consistent model," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 16, issue 1, pages 55-93, April.
• Ramírez Cedillo, Eduardo & López-Herrera, Francisco, 2019, "El gasto público en México y su postura fiscal procíclica (1980-2016)," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 86, issue 342, pages 405-435, abril-jun, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v86i.
• Jérôme TRINH, 2019, "Disaggregating the Chinese annual national accounts to quarterly series," Thema Working Papers, THEMA (Théorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), CY Cergy-Paris University, ESSEC and CNRS, number 2019-08.
• Joshua C. C. Chan & Liana Jacobi & Dan Zhu, 2019, "How Sensitive Are VAR Forecasts to Prior Hyperparameters? An Automated Sensitivity Analysis," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Topics in Identification, Limited Dependent Variables, Partial Observability, Experimentation, and Flexible Modeling: Part A", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-90532019000040A010.
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• Pierre Rostan & Alexandra Rostan, 2019, "When will European Muslim population be majority and in which country?," PSU Research Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 3, issue 2, pages 123-144, August, DOI: 10.1108/PRR-12-2018-0034.
• Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2019, "Professional Forecasters and January," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI2019-25, Jul.
• Lamla, Michael & PJaifar, Damian & Rendell, Lea, 2019, "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers, University of Essex, Essex Business School, number 24771, Jun.
• Masayuki MORIKAWA, 2019, "Uncertainty in Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts: Ex post Evaluation of Forecasts by Economics Researchers," Discussion papers, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI), number 19084, Oct.
• Kevin X.D. Huang, 2019, "Growth and Cycles in China's Unbalanced Development: Resource Misallocation, Debt Overhang, Economic Inequality, and the Importance of Structural Reforms," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, volume 14, issue 1, pages 53-71, March.
• Kevin X.D. Huang & Guoqiang Tian & Yuqin Wang, 2019, "Tackle China's Economic Complexities by Deepening Reform and Opening Up: Macroeconomic Outlook, Policy Simulations, and Reform Implementation¡ªA Summary of the Annual SUFE Macroeconomic Report (2018¨C2019)," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, volume 14, issue 1, pages 80-109, March.
• Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, João Victor & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2019, "Incentive-driven Inattention," FGV EPGE Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE), EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), number 811, Feb.
• Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico S. Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019, "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, number 2019-9, May, DOI: 10.29338/wp2019-09.
• Carola Binder & Wesley Janson & Randal J. Verbrugge, 2019, "Thinking Outside the Box: Do SPF Respondents Have Anchored Inflation Expectations?," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 19-15, Aug, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-201915.
• Jim Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig, 2019, "Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 1903, Feb, DOI: 10.24149/wp1903.
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• Neil Bhutta & Jesse Bricker & Lisa J. Dettling & Jimmy Kelliher & Steven Laufer, 2019, "Stress Testing Household Debt," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2019-008, Feb, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2019.008.
• Francesca Loria & Christian Matthes & Donghai Zhang, 2019, "Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2019-026, Apr, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2019.026.
• Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2019, "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2019-042, Jun, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2019.042.
• Thomas R. Cook & Taeyoung Doh, 2019, "Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risks in a Data-Rich Environment," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 19-12, Nov, DOI: 10.18651/RWP2019-12.
• Kristin J. Forbes, 2019, "How Have Shanghai, Saudi Arabia, and Supply Chains Affected U.S. Inflation Dynamics?," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 101, issue 1, pages 27-44, DOI: doi.org/10.20955/r.101.27-43.
• Jim Dolmas & Evan F. Koenig, 2019, "Two Measures of Core Inflation: A Comparison," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 101, issue 4, DOI: 10.20955/r.101.245-58.
• Michael Cai & Marco Del Negro & Edward P. Herbst & Ethan Matlin & Reca Sarfati & Frank Schorfheide, 2019, "Online Estimation of DSGE Models," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 893, Aug.
• Tobias Adrian & Nina Boyarchenko & Domenico Giannone, 2019, "Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 903, Nov.
• Francesca Loria & Christian Matthes & Donghai Zhang, 2019, "Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk," Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, number 19-10, Apr.
• Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Kaukin Andrey & Abramov Alexander & Miller Evgenia & Lavrischeva A. & Zhemkova A., 2019, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic Development," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 2, pages 1-26, January.
• Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Knobel Alexander & Khromov Mikhail & Tsukhlo Sergey & Kaukin Andrey & Abramov Alexander & Miller Evgenia & Lavrischeva A. & Zhemkova A., 2019, "Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-economic Development," Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 2, pages 1-25, February.
• Tsukhlo Sergey, 2019, "Russian industrial sector in 2018: slowdown of exiting from stagnation of 2012–2016 (on business surveys’ findings)," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number ppaper-2019-969, revised 2019.
• Barinova Vera & Zemtsov Tsepan & Tsareva Yulia, 2019, "Government support of small and medium sized entrepreneurship in Russia," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number ppaper-2019-977, revised 2019.
• Tara M. Sinclair, 2019, "Continuities and Discontinuities in Economic Forecasting," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2019-003, Aug.
• Reslow, André, 2019, "Inefficient Use of Competitors'Forecasts?," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 380, Oct.
• Reslow, André, 2019, "Inefficient Use of Competitors’ Forecasts?," Working Paper Series, Uppsala University, Department of Economics, number 2019:9, Oct.
• Stefania Albanesi, 2019, "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women's Employment," Working Papers, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group, number 2019-021, Mar.
• Adrian Pagan & Tim Robinson, 2019, "Implications of Partial Information for Applied Macroeconomic Modelling," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne, number wp2019n12, Oct.
• Thórarinn G. Pétursson, 2019, "Long-term inflation expectations and inflation dynamics," Economics, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland, number wp81, Aug.
• Shahid Anjum & Naveeda Qaseem, 2019, "Big Data Algorithms And Prediction: Bingos And Risky Zones In Sharia Stock Market Index," Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance, Bank Indonesia, volume 5, issue 3, pages 475-490, November, DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/jimf.v5i3..
• Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2019, "Understanding Indonesia’S City-Level Consumer Price Formation: Implications For Price Stability," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, volume 22, issue 4, pages 405-422, December, DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v22i4.
• Alex Haberis & Riccardo M. Masolo & Kate Reinold, 2019, "Deflation Probability and the Scope for Monetary Loosening in the United Kingdom," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 15, issue 1, pages 233-277, March.
• Alain Galli & Christian Hepenstrick & Rolf Scheufele, 2019, "Mixed-Frequency Models for Tracking Short-Term Economic Developments in Switzerland," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 15, issue 2, pages 151-178, June.
• Valentina Aprigliano & Guerino Ardizzi & Libero Monteforte, 2019, "Using Payment System Data to Forecast Economic Activity," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 15, issue 4, pages 55-80, October.
• Dean Croushore, 2019, "Revisions to PCE Inflation Measures: Implications for Monetary Policy," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 15, issue 4, pages 241-265, October.
• Tiare Rivera, 2019, "Efectos de la automatización en el empleo en Chile," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, volume 34, issue 1, pages 3-49, April.
• Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Federico Mandelman & Yang Yu & Francesco Zanetti, 2019, "Search Complementarities, Aggregate Fluctuations, and Fiscal Policy," IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, number 19-E-18, Nov.
• Jonathan Benchimol & Lahcen Bounader, 2019, "Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2019/166, Aug.
• Emerson, Patrick M. & Knabb, Shawn D. & Sirbu, Anca-Ioana, 2019, "Institutional Responses to Aging Populations and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Approach," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 12561, Aug.
• Md Rafayet Alam & Scott D. Gilbert, 2019, "Importance Of Real And Nominal Shocks In Us Macroeconomic And Exchange Rate Fluctuations," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, volume 53, issue 4, pages 129-138, Fall.
• Döpke Jörg & Fritsche Ulrich & Waldhof Gabi, 2019, "Theories, Techniques and the Formation of German Business Cycle Forecasts : Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 239, issue 2, pages 203-241, April, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2018-0018.