Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2011

• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-03.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee:, 2011, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-11.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-15.
• Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-16.
• Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-24.
• Luis Gil-Alana & Antonio Moreno & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2011, "Exploring Survey-Based Inflation Forecasts," Faculty Working Papers, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra, number 05/11, Jan.
• Pankaj SINHA & Sushant GUPTA & Nakul RANDEV, 2011, "Modeling & Forecasting Of Macro-Economic Variables Of India: Before, During & After Recession," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, volume 6, issue 1(15)/ Sp, pages 43-60.
• Jan-Christoph Rülke, 2011, "Do private sector forecasters desire to deviate from the German council of economic experts?," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management, number 11-04, Jun.
• Jan-Christoph Rülke, 2011, "Are central bank projections rational?," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management, number 11-05, Aug.
• Josip Tica, 2011, "Kriza 2008-20XY: Populizam i puna zaposlenost kao sukobljeni ciljevi," EFZG Occasional Publications (Department of Macroeconomics), Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, chapter 11, "Zbornik radova: Kriza: Preobrazba ili propast? (ur. Obadić, Alka; Šimurina, Jurica; Tica, Josip, izdavač: Ekonomski fakultet Zagreb)".
• Josip Tica, 2011, "Kriza 2008-20XY: Populizam i puna zaposlenost kao sukobljeni ciljevi," EFZG Working Papers Series, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, number 1105, Nov.
• Funke, Michael & Mehrotra, Aaron & Yu, Hao, 2011, "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 35/2011.
• Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011, "How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,13.
• Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011, "Evaluating macroeconomic risk forecasts," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,14.
• Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011, "U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,35.
• Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2011, "Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in the new-Keynesian three-equations model," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2011-10.
• Hess, Dieter & Orbe, Sebastian, 2011, "Irrationality or efficiency of macroeconomic survey forecasts? Implications from the anchoring bias test," CFR Working Papers, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR), number 11-13.
• Ludwig, Björn, 2011, "Warum der Baseler Ausschluss für Bankenaufsicht mit seinem antizyklischen Kapitalpuffer falsch liegt," CIW Discussion Papers, University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW), number 7/2011.
• Catik, A. Nazif & Karaçuka, Mehmet, 2011, "A comparative analysis of alternative univariate time series models in forecasting Turkish inflation," DICE Discussion Papers, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE), number 20.
• Chang, Chia-ling & Chen, Shu-heng, 2011, "Interactions in DSGE models: The Boltzmann-Gibbs machine and social networks approach," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2011-25.
• Falch, Nina Skrove & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2011, "The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2011-6.
• Skrove Falch, Nina & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2011, "The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 5, pages 1-36, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2011-.
• Roos, Michael W.M. & Schmidt, Ulrich, 2011, "The importance of time series extrapolation for macroeconomic expectations," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1723.
• Keesookpuna, Chutipong & Mitomob, Hitoshi, 2011, "Cloud computing and prospective business and economic impacts in developing country: A case study of Thailand," 22nd European Regional ITS Conference, Budapest 2011: Innovative ICT Applications - Emerging Regulatory, Economic and Policy Issues, International Telecommunications Society (ITS), number 52181.
• Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2011, "The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 5/2011.
• van Deuverden, Kristina & Scheufele, Rolf, 2011, "Mittelfristprojektion des IWH: Wirtschaftsentwicklung und Staatsfinanzen – Eine Vorausschau der Jahre 2011 bis 2015," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 17, issue 1, pages 33-49.
• Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics, 2011, "Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland setzt sich kraftvoll fort," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 17, issue 3, pages 96-120.
• Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics, 2011, "Konjunktur aktuell: Schulden- und Vertrauenskrise bringt Rezessionsgefahr nach Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 17, issue 9, pages 298-328.
• Bredemeier, Christian & Goecke, Henry, 2011, "Sticky Prices vs. Sticky Information – A Cross-Country Study of Inflation Dynamics," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 255.
• Kitlinski, Tobias & Schmidt, Torsten, 2011, "The Forecasting Performance of an Estimated Medium Run Model," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 301.
• Wolters, Maik H., 2011, "Forecasting under Model Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 48723.

2010

• Syed Kumail Abbas Naqvi & Bushra Naqvi, 2010, "Asymmetric Behavior of Inflation Uncertainty and Friedman-Ball Hypothesis: Evidence from Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, volume 15, issue 2, pages 1-33, Jul-Dec.
• Don Harding, 2010, "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers, School of Economics, La Trobe University, number 2010.05, Jul.
• Branimir Jovanovic & Magdalena Petrovska, 2010, "Forecasting Macedonian GDP: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting," Working Papers, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia, number 2010-02, Aug, revised Aug 2010.
• Balázs Krusper & Gábor Pellényi, 2010, "Impacts of fiscal adjustments in Western European countries on the Hungarian economy," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), volume 5, issue 4, pages 17-23, December.
• Heather M Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2010, "VARs, Cointegration and Common Cycle Restrictions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 14/10, May.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2010, "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2010," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-20, December.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2010, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2010," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-25, June.
• V. Baugnet & D. Dury, 2010, "Energy markets and the macroeconomy," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 61-82, September.
• Kishor N. Kundan, 2010, "The Superiority of Greenbook Forecasts and the Role of Recessions," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 74.
• Alejandro Gaviria & Carlos Medina & Leonardo Morales & Jairo Núñez, 2010, "The Cost of Avoiding Crime: The Case of Bogotá," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "The Economics of Crime: Lessons For and From Latin America".
• Masaya Sakuragawa & Kaoru Hosono, 2010, "Fiscal Sustainability in Japan," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Fiscal Policy and Crisis".
• Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2010, "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16143, Jun.
• Jordi Galí, 2010, "Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16384, Sep.
• Menzie D. Chinn & Kavan J. Kucko, 2010, "The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16398, Sep.
• Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010, "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16424, Sep.
• Vítor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2010, "How Do Central Banks React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho, number 26/2010.
• Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2010, "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho, number 29/2010.
• Nicoletta Batini & Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010, "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho, number 31/2010.
• Batini, Nicoletta & Gabriel, Vasco & Levine, Paul, 2010, "A Floating versus managed exchange rate regime in a DSGE model of India," Working Papers, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, number 10/70, Apr.
• Levine, Paul, 2010, "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: Probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Working Papers, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, number 10/72, Jul.
• C. Minodier, 2010, "First results series or last available series: which series to use? A real-time illustration for the forecasting of French quarterly GDP growth," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number g2010-01.
• Yvan Guillemette, 2010, "A Simulation Model of Federal, Provincial and Territorial Government Accounts for the Analysis of Fiscal-Consolidation Strategies in Canada," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 800, Aug, DOI: 10.1787/5km7pf8xkvxs-en.
• Elena Angelini & Marta Banbura & Gerhard Rünstler, 2010, "Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2010, issue 1, pages 1-22, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2010-5kmmsxgf2qbs.
• Nikolay Robinzonov & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2010, "Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting ," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, volume 56, issue 2, pages 192-220, June.
• Patrick Minford, 2010, "The Banking Crisis as Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, volume 56, issue 4, pages 554-574, December.
• Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg & Amit Kumar Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2010, "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 125, issue 4, pages 1727-1767.
• Tom Holden, 2010, "Products, patents and productivity persistence: A DSGE model of endogenous growth," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 512, Nov.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010, "Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 10-002, Jan.
• Mamatzakis, E & Remoundos, P, 2010, "Threshold Cointegration in BRENT crude futures market," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19978, Jan.
• Phillips, Kerk L. & Spencer, David E., 2010, "Bootstrapping Structural VARs: Avoiding a Potential Bias in Confidence Intervals for Impulse Response Functions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23503, Feb.
• Harin, Alexander, 2010, "Теорема О Существовании Разрывов В Шкале Вероятностей. Дискретный Случай
  [Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale. Discrete case]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23902, Jul.
• Eyler, Robert & Sonora, Robert, 2010, "Is a National Monetary Policy Optimal?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 24745.
• Fry, J. M., 2010, "Bubbles and crashes in finance: A phase transition from random to deterministic behaviour in prices," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 24778, Sep.
• Alfaro, Rodrigo & Sagner, Andres, 2010, "Financial Forecast for the Relative Strength Index," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 25913, Apr, revised Apr 2010.
• Sinha, Pankaj & Gupta, Sushant & Randev, Nakul, 2010, "Modeling & Forecasting of Macro-Economic Variables of India: Before, During & After Recession," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 26539, Oct.
• Bell, Peter N, 2010, "Introduction of the Profit Surface," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 26812, Nov.
• Sokolov, Yuri, 2010, "Business cycle effects on portfolio credit risk: A simple FX Adjustment for a factor model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 27222, Dec.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2010, "Investments model development with the system dynamic method," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 27235.
• Brissimis, Sophocles & Migiakis, Petros, 2010, "Inflation persistence and the rationality of inflation expectations," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 29052, Dec.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2010, "Latvijas iestāšanās Eiropas Savienībā ekonomiskā efekta novērtēšana
  [Estimation of Economic Benefit of the Introduction of Latvia in the European Union]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 29313.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2010, "Latvia’s incoming in European Union economic effect estimation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 32522.
• Guzman, Giselle C., 2010, "An inflation expectations horserace," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 36511, Jan.
• Branimir, Jovanovic & Magdalena, Petrovska, 2010, "Forecasting Macedonian GDP: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 43162, Aug.
• Kreiter, Zebulun & Paul, Tapas Kumar, 2010, "Deficit Financing and Inflation in Bangladesh: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 45981.
• Esquivel Monge, Manfred & Gomez Rodriguez, Jose Fabio, 2010, "Asymmetries of the Exchange Rate Pass Through to Domestic Prices: The Case of Costa Rica," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 60251, Mar, revised Jul 2010.
• Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwe & Ramos Mabugu & Helene Maisonnave & Veronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van der Berg & Dieter von Fintel, 2010, "The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201015, Jun.
• Rangan Gupta & Rudi Steinbach, 2010, "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201019, Sep.
• Matthew Kofi Ocran, 2010, "Exchange Rate Pass-Through To Domestic Prices: The Case of South Africa," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2010, issue 4, pages 291-306, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.378.
• Marie Bessec, 2010, "Étalonnages du taux de croissance du PIB français sur la base des enquêtes de conjoncture," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, volume 193, issue 2, pages 77-99, DOI: 10.3406/ecop.2010.8036.
• André Babeau, 2010, "L’absence de prévisions macrofinancières : une situation calamiteuse heureusement en cours d’évolution," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, volume 98, issue 3, pages 39-53, DOI: 10.3406/ecofi.2010.5778.
• Don Harding, 2010, "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research, number 58, Jul.
• Adam Cagliarini & Warwick McKibbin, 2010, "Global Relative Price Shocks: The Role of Macroeconomic Policies," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, in: Renée Fry & Callum Jones & Christopher Kent, "Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks".
• Hervé Le Bihan & Philippe Andrade, 2010, "Inattentive Professional Forecasters," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1144.
• Tao Zha & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Andrew T. Foerster, 2010, "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching Models," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 239.
• Steffen Elstner & Eric Sims & Ruediger Bachmann, 2010, "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 614.
• Xavier Gabaix & Vasco M. Carvalho, 2010, "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 880.
• George A. Christodoulakis & Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis, 2010, "Labour Market Dynamics in Greek Regions: a Bayesian Markov Chain Approach Using Proportions Data," Review of Economic Analysis, Digital Initiatives at the University of Waterloo Library, volume 2, issue 1, pages 32-45, January.
• Dimitris Korobilis, 2010, "VAR Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 51_10, Jan, revised Apr 2011.
• Magdalena Zachłod-Jelec & Piotr Karp, 2010, "Responses of the Polish economy to demand and supply shocks under alternative fiscal policy rules," MF Working Papers, Ministry of Finance in Poland, number 5, Jul.
• José D. Liquitaya Briceño, 2010, "La curva de Phillips en la nueva economía keynesiana: una revisión crítica," Revista Nicolaita de Estudios Económicos, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Empresariales, volume 0, issue 2, pages 59-83.
• Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2010, "Measuring Core Inflation in Romania Using the Dobrescu Method – A Comparative Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 2, pages 308-319, July.
• Albu, Lucian Liviu & Gorun, Adrian, 2010, "Examples of New Macroeconomic Modelling and Simulation Techniques: How They Could Improve Decisions and Public Perception," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 5, pages 7-16.
• Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua, 2010, "Synchronisation of Recessions in Major Developed and Emerging Economies," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, volume 4, issue 2, pages 197-223, May, DOI: 10.1177/097380101000400204.
• Jens Boysen-Hogrefe & Dominik Groll, 2010, "The German Labour Market Miracle," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 214, issue 1, pages 38-50, October.
• Barbara Rudolf & Mathias Zurlinden, 2010, "Productivity and Economic Growth in Switzerland 1991-2006," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), volume 146, issue III, pages 577-600, September.
• Lucian-Liviu Albu & John M. Polimeni & Raluca I. Iorgulescu, 2010, "Spatial Distribution of Key Macroeconomic Growth Indicators in the EU-27: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," AIEL Series in Labour Economics, Springer, in: Floro Ernesto Caroleo & Francesco Pastore, "The Labour Market Impact of the EU Enlargement", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-7908-2164-2_7.
• Guido Bulligan & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2010, "Forecasting monthly industrial production in real-time: from single equations to factor-based models," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 39, issue 2, pages 303-336, October, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-009-0305-7.
• Xuanhua Xu & Bin Pan, 2010, "Capital liquidity and residents’ consumption decision: An asymmetry analysis of economic prosperity," Frontiers of Economics in China, Springer;Higher Education Press, volume 5, issue 4, pages 622-639, December, DOI: 10.1007/s11459-010-0116-y.
• William Barnett & Evgeniya Duzhak, 2010, "Empirical assessment of bifurcation regions within New Keynesian models," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 45, issue 1, pages 99-128, October, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-008-0430-0.
• Joanne Lindley & Steven McIntosh, 2010, "Is the Over-Education Wage Penalty Permanent?," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0110, Feb.
• Paul Levine, 2010, "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0210, Apr.
• Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & George Perendia & Bo Yang, 2010, "Endogenous Persistence in an Estimated DSGE Model under Imperfect Information," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0310, Apr.
• Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010, "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0410, Apr.
• Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2010, "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 1210, Sep.
• Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwé & Ramos Mabugu & Hélène Maisonnave & Véronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van der Berg & Dieter von Fintel, 2010, "The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 13/2010.
• H. O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto, 2010, "Evaluating current-year forecasts made during the year: a Japanese example," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 17, issue 7, pages 673-676, DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297848.
• Par Osterholm, 2010, "The effect on the Swedish real economy of the financial crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 20, issue 4, pages 265-274, DOI: 10.1080/09603100903357408.
• Chengsi Zhang & Joel Clovis, 2010, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve of Rational Expectations: A Serial Correlation Extension," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 13, issue 1, pages 159-179, May, DOI: 10.1016/S1514-0326(10)60008-6.
• M. Hakan Berument & Afsin Sahin, 2010, "Seasonality in Inflation Volatility: Evidence from Turkey," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 13, issue 1, pages 39-65, May, DOI: 10.1016/S1514-0326(10)60003-7.
• Ehrmann, M. & Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Fratzcher, M., 2010, "The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 25125044-98fc-44b3-8698-3.
• Heikki Kauppi, 2010, "Yield-Curve Based Probability Forecasts of U.S. Recessions: Stability and Dynamics," Discussion Papers, Aboa Centre for Economics, number 57, Jun.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, number CIRJE-F-729, Mar.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, number CIRJE-F-736, Apr.
• Olivier Coibion, 2010, "Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 92, issue 1, pages 87-101, February.
• Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2010, "Global Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 92, issue 3, pages 524-535, August.
• Don Harding, 2010, "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers, School of Economics, La Trobe University, number 2010.05, Jul.
• Mark Setterfield & Andrew Budd, 2010, "A Keynes-Kalecki Model of Cyclical Growth with Agent-Based Features," Working Papers, Trinity College, Department of Economics, number 1008, Sep.
• Orla Doyle, 2010, "Unravelling Voters’ Perceptions of the Economy," Working Papers, Geary Institute, University College Dublin, number 201012, Jan.
• Antonello D'Agostino & Kieran McQuinn & Karl Whelan, 2010, "Are some forecasters really better than others?," Working Papers, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 201012, Apr.
• Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010, "The great diversification and its undoing," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1208, Jan, revised Oct 2010.
• Mohamed Daly Sfia, 2010, "A Composite Leading Indicator of Tunisian Inflation," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan, number wp980, Mar.
• Gerhard Rünstler, 2010, "On the Design of Data Sets for Forecasting with Dynamic Factor Models," WIFO Working Papers, WIFO, number 376, Jul.
• Sumru Altuğ & Melike Bildirici, 2010, "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Working Papers, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Economics, number 0031, Mar, revised Mar 2010.
• Sumru Altuğ & Melike Bildirici, 2010, "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Working Papers, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Economics, number 0032, Mar, revised Mar 2010.
• Tödter, Karl-Heinz, 2010, "How useful is the carry-over effect for short-term economic forecasting?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2010,21.
• Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H., 2010, "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the U.S. economy," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 2010/08.
• Harin, Alexander, 2010, "The ruptures in the probability scale and some problems of modelling," EconStor Conference Papers, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 57846, Jun.
• Babutsidze, Zakaria, 2010, "(S,s) pricing: Does the heterogeneity wipe out the asymmetry on micro level?," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2010-19.
• Morales-Arias, Leonardo & Moura, Guilherme V., 2010, "A conditionally heteroskedastic global inflation model," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1666.
• Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2010, "Should We Trust in Leading Indicators? Evidence from the Recent Recession," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 10/2010.
• Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Scharff, Juliane & Scheufele, Rolf, 2010, "A First Look on the New Halle Economic Projection Model," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 6/2010.
• Hofer, Helmut & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstrass, Klaus, 2010, "Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 177.
• Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2010, "Crisis? What crisis? Currency vs. banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2010-014.
• Clostermann, Jörg & Keis, Nikolaus & Seitz, Franz, 2010, "Short-term oil models before and during the financial market crisis," Arbeitsberichte – Working Papers, Technische Hochschule Ingolstadt (THI), number 18.
• Finardi, Corrado & Arfini, Filippo & Turrini, Aida, 2010, "Dietary Evolution Over Time In Europe, Between Cyclops And Phaecians . An Outlook On The Role Of Supply-Side Factors In Driving Changes In The Food Patterns," 115th Joint EAAE/AAEA Seminar, September 15-17, 2010, Freising-Weihenstephan, Germany, European Association of Agricultural Economists, number 116443, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.116443.
• M.D Mtembu & G.R. Motlaleng, 2010, "The Effects Of Exchange Rate Volatility On Swaziland’S Exports," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 6, pages 167-186, December.
• Lucian-Liviu Albu & John M. Polimeni & Raluca I. Iorgulescu, 2010, "Spatial Distribution of Key Macroeconomic Growth Indicators in the EU-27: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," AIEL Series in Labour Economics, AIEL - Associazione Italiana Economisti del Lavoro, chapter 7, in: Floro Ernesto Caroleo & Francesco Pastore, "The Labour Market Impact of the EU Enlargement. A New Regional Geography of Europe?".
• Bao, T. & Hommes, C.H. & Sonnemans, J. & Tuinstra, J., 2010, "Individual Expectations, Limited Rationality and Aggregate Outcomes," CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance, number 10-07.
• Ellen E. Meade & Daniel L. Thornton, 2010, "The Phillips Curve and US Monetary Policy: What the FOMC Transcripts Tell Us," Working Papers, American University, Department of Economics, number 2010-18, Dec, DOI: 10.17606/p7em-2241.
• Stefan Kerbl, 2010, "Regulatory Medicine Against Financial Market Instability: What Helps And What Hurts?," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1011.6284, Nov, revised Nov 2010.
• Alfred Maussner, 2010, "The Analytics of New Keynesian Phillips Curves," Discussion Paper Series, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics, number 313, Nov.
• Marin Marinov, 2010, "Possibilities to Study the Market Trend Fluctuations by Means of Indicators for Technical Analysis," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 68-85.
• Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009, "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 0909, Oct.
• Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2009, "Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 0910, Oct.
• James Rossiter, 2010, "Nowcasting the Global Economy," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-12, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2010-12.
• Claudia Godbout & Jocelyn Jacob, 2010, "Le pouvoir de prévision des indices PMI," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-3, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2010-3.
• Jeannine Bailliu & Patrick Blagrave & James Rossiter, 2010, "Introducing the Bank of Canada's Projection Model for the Global Economy," Technical Reports, Bank of Canada, number 99, DOI: 10.34989/tr-99.
• Nikita Perevalov & Philipp Maier, 2010, "On the Advantages of Disaggregated Data: Insights from Forecasting the U.S. Economy in a Data-Rich Environment," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-10, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2010-10.
• Marco J. Lombardi & Philipp Maier, 2010, "‘Lean’ versus ‘Rich’ Data Sets: Forecasting during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-37, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2010-37.
• David de Antonio Liedo, 2010, "General Equilibrium Restrictions for Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1012, Apr.
• David de Antonio Liedo & Elena Fernández Muñoz, 2010, "Nowcasting Spanish GDP growth in real time: "One and a half months earlier"," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1037, Dec.
• Michele Caivano & Lisa Rodano & Stefano Siviero, 2010, "The transmission of the global financial crisis to the Italian economy. A counterfactual analysis, 2008-2010," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 64, Apr.
• Gianluca Moretti & Giulio Nicoletti, 2010, "Estimating DSGE models with unknown data persistence," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 750, Mar.
• Claudia Miani & Stefano Siviero, 2010, "A non-parametric model-based approach to uncertainty and risk analysis of macroeconomic forecast," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 758, Apr.
• Libero Monteforte & Gianluca Moretti, 2010, "Real time forecasts of inflation: the role of financial variables," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 767, Jul.
• Antonio Bassanetti & Michele Caivano & Alberto Locarno, 2010, "Modelling Italian potential output and the output gap," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 771, Sep.
• Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl, 2010, "Forecasting Inflation in Mexico Using Factor Models: Do Disaggregated CPI Data Improve Forecast Accuracy?," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-01, Mar.
• López Moctezuma Gabriel & Capistrán Carlos, 2010, "Forecast Revisions of Mexican Inflation and GDP Growth," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-11, Oct.
• Benavides Guillermo, 2010, "Forecasting Short-Run Inflation Volatility using Futures Prices: An Empirical Analysis from a Value at Risk Perspective," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-12, Oct.
• Philippe Andrade & Hervé Le Bihan, 2010, "Inattentive professional forecasters," Working papers, Banque de France, number 307.
• Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2015, "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 422, Sep.
• Frank Leung & Kevin Chow & Simon Chan, 2010, "Measures of trend inflation in Hong Kong," BIS Papers chapters, Bank for International Settlements, in: Bank for International Settlements, "Monetary policy and the measurement of inflation: prices, wages and expectations".
• Fernanda Cuitiño & Elena Ganón & Ina Tiscordio & Leonardo Vicente, 2010, "Modelos univariados de series de tiempo para predecir la inflación de corto plazo," Documentos de trabajo, Banco Central del Uruguay, number 2010008, Aug.
• Dieter Gerdesmeier & Hans‐Eggert Reimers & Barbara Roffia, 2010, "Asset Price Misalignments and the Role of Money and Credit," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, volume 13, issue 3, pages 377-407, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2362.2010.01272.x.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010, "Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/02, Mar.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2010, "Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/18, Sep.
• Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2010, "Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/29, Dec.
• Tanya Suhoy, 2010, "Monthly Assessments of Private Consumption," Bank of Israel Working Papers, Bank of Israel, number 2010.09, Aug.
• Takuji Fueki & Ichiro Fukunaga & Hibiki Ichiue & Toyoichiro Shirota, 2010, "Measuring Potential Growth with an Estimated DSGE Model of Japan's Economy," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 10-E-13, Dec.
• Woong Kim, 2010, "Assessment of Deflation Risk in Korea (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, volume 16, issue 2, pages 117-142, June.
• Daniel Tortorice, 2010, "Unemployment Expectations and the Business Cycle," Working Papers, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, number 05, Apr, revised Mar 2011.
• José Luis Oreiro & Celso Vila Nova de Souza & Kelly Pereira Guedes & Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza, 2010, "Um Modelo Keynes-Minsky Generalizado de Flutuações Cíclicas," Working papers - Textos para Discussao do Departamento de Economia da Universidade de Brasilia, Departamento de Economia da Universidade de Brasilia, number 337, Nov.
• Laurent Ferrara, 2010, "Les variables financières sont-elles utiles pour anticiper la croissance économique ?. Quelques évidences économétriques," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, volume 61, issue 3, pages 645-655.
• D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2010, "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 5/RT/10, Apr.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/09, Mar.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/12, Apr.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/16, Apr.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/35, May.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010, "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/36, May.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Globalization and Knowledge Spillover: International Direct Investment, Exports and Patents," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/54, Aug.
• Ping-Yu Chen & Chia-Lin Chang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/55, Sep.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/74, Dec.
• Chengsi Zhang & Joel Clovis, 2010, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve of rational expectations: A serial correlation extension," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, volume 13, pages 159-179, May.
• M. Hakan Berument & Afsin Sahin, 2010, "Seasonality in inflation volatility: Evidence from Turkey," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, volume 13, pages 39-65, May.
• Pooyan Amir Ahmadi & Albrecht Ritschl, 2010, "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0967, Jan.
• Albrecht Ritschl & Samad Salferaz, 2010, "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0977, May.
• Michael Graff & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2010, "The Information Content of Capacity Utilisation Rates for Output Gap Estimates," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3276.
• Joachim Ragnitz & Stefan Arent & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Beate Schirwitz & Johannes Steinbrecher & Gerit Vogt & Björn Ziegenbalg, 2010, "Methodenexpertise zur Analyse der Auswirkungen der internationalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise auf die Wirtschaft im Land Brandenburg : Gutachten im Auftrag des Ministeriums für Wirtschaft des Landes Brandenburg," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 53, February.