Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2010

• Patrick Minford, 2010, "The Banking Crisis as Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, volume 56, issue 4, pages 554-574, December.
• Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg & Amit Kumar Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2010, "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 125, issue 4, pages 1727-1767.
• Tom Holden, 2010, "Products, patents and productivity persistence: A DSGE model of endogenous growth," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 512, Nov.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010, "Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 10-002, Jan.
• Mamatzakis, E & Remoundos, P, 2010, "Threshold Cointegration in BRENT crude futures market," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19978, Jan.
• Phillips, Kerk L. & Spencer, David E., 2010, "Bootstrapping Structural VARs: Avoiding a Potential Bias in Confidence Intervals for Impulse Response Functions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23503, Feb.
• Harin, Alexander, 2010, "Теорема О Существовании Разрывов В Шкале Вероятностей. Дискретный Случай
  [Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale. Discrete case]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23902, Jul.
• Eyler, Robert & Sonora, Robert, 2010, "Is a National Monetary Policy Optimal?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 24745.
• Fry, J. M., 2010, "Bubbles and crashes in finance: A phase transition from random to deterministic behaviour in prices," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 24778, Sep.
• Alfaro, Rodrigo & Sagner, Andres, 2010, "Financial Forecast for the Relative Strength Index," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 25913, Apr, revised Apr 2010.
• Sinha, Pankaj & Gupta, Sushant & Randev, Nakul, 2010, "Modeling & Forecasting of Macro-Economic Variables of India: Before, During & After Recession," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 26539, Oct.
• Bell, Peter N, 2010, "Introduction of the Profit Surface," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 26812, Nov.
• Sokolov, Yuri, 2010, "Business cycle effects on portfolio credit risk: A simple FX Adjustment for a factor model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 27222, Dec.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2010, "Investments model development with the system dynamic method," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 27235.
• Brissimis, Sophocles & Migiakis, Petros, 2010, "Inflation persistence and the rationality of inflation expectations," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 29052, Dec.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2010, "Latvijas iestāšanās Eiropas Savienībā ekonomiskā efekta novērtēšana
  [Estimation of Economic Benefit of the Introduction of Latvia in the European Union]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 29313.
• Skribans, Valerijs, 2010, "Latvia’s incoming in European Union economic effect estimation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 32522.
• Guzman, Giselle C., 2010, "An inflation expectations horserace," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 36511, Jan.
• Branimir, Jovanovic & Magdalena, Petrovska, 2010, "Forecasting Macedonian GDP: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 43162, Aug.
• Kreiter, Zebulun & Paul, Tapas Kumar, 2010, "Deficit Financing and Inflation in Bangladesh: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 45981.
• Esquivel Monge, Manfred & Gomez Rodriguez, Jose Fabio, 2010, "Asymmetries of the Exchange Rate Pass Through to Domestic Prices: The Case of Costa Rica," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 60251, Mar, revised Jul 2010.
• Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwe & Ramos Mabugu & Helene Maisonnave & Veronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van der Berg & Dieter von Fintel, 2010, "The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201015, Jun.
• Rangan Gupta & Rudi Steinbach, 2010, "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201019, Sep.
• Matthew Kofi Ocran, 2010, "Exchange Rate Pass-Through To Domestic Prices: The Case of South Africa," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2010, issue 4, pages 291-306, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.378.
• Marie Bessec, 2010, "Étalonnages du taux de croissance du PIB français sur la base des enquêtes de conjoncture," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, volume 193, issue 2, pages 77-99, DOI: 10.3406/ecop.2010.8036.
• André Babeau, 2010, "L’absence de prévisions macrofinancières : une situation calamiteuse heureusement en cours d’évolution," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, volume 98, issue 3, pages 39-53, DOI: 10.3406/ecofi.2010.5778.
• Don Harding, 2010, "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research, number 58, Jul.
• Adam Cagliarini & Warwick McKibbin, 2010, "Global Relative Price Shocks: The Role of Macroeconomic Policies," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, in: Renée Fry & Callum Jones & Christopher Kent, "Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks".
• Hervé Le Bihan & Philippe Andrade, 2010, "Inattentive Professional Forecasters," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1144.
• Tao Zha & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Andrew T. Foerster, 2010, "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching Models," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 239.
• Steffen Elstner & Eric Sims & Ruediger Bachmann, 2010, "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 614.
• Xavier Gabaix & Vasco M. Carvalho, 2010, "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 880.
• George A. Christodoulakis & Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis, 2010, "Labour Market Dynamics in Greek Regions: a Bayesian Markov Chain Approach Using Proportions Data," Review of Economic Analysis, Digital Initiatives at the University of Waterloo Library, volume 2, issue 1, pages 32-45, January.
• Dimitris Korobilis, 2010, "VAR Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 51_10, Jan, revised Apr 2011.
• Magdalena Zachłod-Jelec & Piotr Karp, 2010, "Responses of the Polish economy to demand and supply shocks under alternative fiscal policy rules," MF Working Papers, Ministry of Finance in Poland, number 5, Jul.
• José D. Liquitaya Briceño, 2010, "La curva de Phillips en la nueva economía keynesiana: una revisión crítica," Revista Nicolaita de Estudios Económicos, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Empresariales, volume 0, issue 2, pages 59-83.
• Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2010, "Measuring Core Inflation in Romania Using the Dobrescu Method – A Comparative Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 2, pages 308-319, July.
• Albu, Lucian Liviu & Gorun, Adrian, 2010, "Examples of New Macroeconomic Modelling and Simulation Techniques: How They Could Improve Decisions and Public Perception," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 5, pages 7-16.
• Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua, 2010, "Synchronisation of Recessions in Major Developed and Emerging Economies," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, volume 4, issue 2, pages 197-223, May, DOI: 10.1177/097380101000400204.
• Jens Boysen-Hogrefe & Dominik Groll, 2010, "The German Labour Market Miracle," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 214, issue 1, pages 38-50, October.
• Barbara Rudolf & Mathias Zurlinden, 2010, "Productivity and Economic Growth in Switzerland 1991-2006," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), volume 146, issue III, pages 577-600, September.
• Lucian-Liviu Albu & John M. Polimeni & Raluca I. Iorgulescu, 2010, "Spatial Distribution of Key Macroeconomic Growth Indicators in the EU-27: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," AIEL Series in Labour Economics, Springer, in: Floro Ernesto Caroleo & Francesco Pastore, "The Labour Market Impact of the EU Enlargement", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-7908-2164-2_7.
• Guido Bulligan & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2010, "Forecasting monthly industrial production in real-time: from single equations to factor-based models," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 39, issue 2, pages 303-336, October, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-009-0305-7.
• Xuanhua Xu & Bin Pan, 2010, "Capital liquidity and residents’ consumption decision: An asymmetry analysis of economic prosperity," Frontiers of Economics in China, Springer;Higher Education Press, volume 5, issue 4, pages 622-639, December, DOI: 10.1007/s11459-010-0116-y.
• William Barnett & Evgeniya Duzhak, 2010, "Empirical assessment of bifurcation regions within New Keynesian models," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 45, issue 1, pages 99-128, October, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-008-0430-0.
• Joanne Lindley & Steven McIntosh, 2010, "Is the Over-Education Wage Penalty Permanent?," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0110, Feb.
• Paul Levine, 2010, "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0210, Apr.
• Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & George Perendia & Bo Yang, 2010, "Endogenous Persistence in an Estimated DSGE Model under Imperfect Information," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0310, Apr.
• Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010, "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0410, Apr.
• Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2010, "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 1210, Sep.
• Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwé & Ramos Mabugu & Hélène Maisonnave & Véronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van der Berg & Dieter von Fintel, 2010, "The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 13/2010.
• H. O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto, 2010, "Evaluating current-year forecasts made during the year: a Japanese example," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 17, issue 7, pages 673-676, DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297848.
• Par Osterholm, 2010, "The effect on the Swedish real economy of the financial crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 20, issue 4, pages 265-274, DOI: 10.1080/09603100903357408.
• Chengsi Zhang & Joel Clovis, 2010, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve of Rational Expectations: A Serial Correlation Extension," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 13, issue 1, pages 159-179, May, DOI: 10.1016/S1514-0326(10)60008-6.
• M. Hakan Berument & Afsin Sahin, 2010, "Seasonality in Inflation Volatility: Evidence from Turkey," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 13, issue 1, pages 39-65, May, DOI: 10.1016/S1514-0326(10)60003-7.
• Ehrmann, M. & Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Fratzcher, M., 2010, "The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 25125044-98fc-44b3-8698-3.
• Heikki Kauppi, 2010, "Yield-Curve Based Probability Forecasts of U.S. Recessions: Stability and Dynamics," Discussion Papers, Aboa Centre for Economics, number 57, Jun.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, number CIRJE-F-729, Mar.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, number CIRJE-F-736, Apr.
• Olivier Coibion, 2010, "Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 92, issue 1, pages 87-101, February.
• Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2010, "Global Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 92, issue 3, pages 524-535, August.
• Don Harding, 2010, "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers, School of Economics, La Trobe University, number 2010.05, Jul.
• Mark Setterfield & Andrew Budd, 2010, "A Keynes-Kalecki Model of Cyclical Growth with Agent-Based Features," Working Papers, Trinity College, Department of Economics, number 1008, Sep.
• Orla Doyle, 2010, "Unravelling Voters’ Perceptions of the Economy," Working Papers, Geary Institute, University College Dublin, number 201012, Jan.
• Antonello D'Agostino & Kieran McQuinn & Karl Whelan, 2010, "Are some forecasters really better than others?," Working Papers, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 201012, Apr.
• Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010, "The great diversification and its undoing," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1208, Jan, revised Oct 2010.
• Mohamed Daly Sfia, 2010, "A Composite Leading Indicator of Tunisian Inflation," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan, number wp980, Mar.
• Gerhard Rünstler, 2010, "On the Design of Data Sets for Forecasting with Dynamic Factor Models," WIFO Working Papers, WIFO, number 376, Jul.
• Sumru Altuğ & Melike Bildirici, 2010, "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Working Papers, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Economics, number 0031, Mar, revised Mar 2010.
• Sumru Altuğ & Melike Bildirici, 2010, "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Working Papers, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Economics, number 0032, Mar, revised Mar 2010.
• Tödter, Karl-Heinz, 2010, "How useful is the carry-over effect for short-term economic forecasting?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2010,21.
• Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H., 2010, "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the U.S. economy," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 2010/08.
• Harin, Alexander, 2010, "The ruptures in the probability scale and some problems of modelling," EconStor Conference Papers, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 57846, Jun.
• Babutsidze, Zakaria, 2010, "(S,s) pricing: Does the heterogeneity wipe out the asymmetry on micro level?," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), number 2010-19.
• Morales-Arias, Leonardo & Moura, Guilherme V., 2010, "A conditionally heteroskedastic global inflation model," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), number 1666.
• Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2010, "Should We Trust in Leading Indicators? Evidence from the Recent Recession," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 10/2010.
• Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Scharff, Juliane & Scheufele, Rolf, 2010, "A First Look on the New Halle Economic Projection Model," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 6/2010.
• Hofer, Helmut & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstrass, Klaus, 2010, "Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 177.
• Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2010, "Crisis? What crisis? Currency vs. banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2010-014.
• Clostermann, Jörg & Keis, Nikolaus & Seitz, Franz, 2010, "Short-term oil models before and during the financial market crisis," Arbeitsberichte – Working Papers, Technische Hochschule Ingolstadt (THI), number 18.
• Finardi, Corrado & Arfini, Filippo & Turrini, Aida, 2010, "Dietary Evolution Over Time In Europe, Between Cyclops And Phaecians . An Outlook On The Role Of Supply-Side Factors In Driving Changes In The Food Patterns," 115th Joint EAAE/AAEA Seminar, September 15-17, 2010, Freising-Weihenstephan, Germany, European Association of Agricultural Economists, number 116443, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.116443.
• M.D Mtembu & G.R. Motlaleng, 2010, "The Effects Of Exchange Rate Volatility On Swaziland’S Exports," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 6, pages 167-186, December.
• Lucian-Liviu Albu & John M. Polimeni & Raluca I. Iorgulescu, 2010, "Spatial Distribution of Key Macroeconomic Growth Indicators in the EU-27: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," AIEL Series in Labour Economics, AIEL - Associazione Italiana Economisti del Lavoro, chapter 7, in: Floro Ernesto Caroleo & Francesco Pastore, "The Labour Market Impact of the EU Enlargement. A New Regional Geography of Europe?".
• Bao, T. & Hommes, C.H. & Sonnemans, J. & Tuinstra, J., 2010, "Individual Expectations, Limited Rationality and Aggregate Outcomes," CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance, number 10-07.
• Ellen E. Meade & Daniel L. Thornton, 2010, "The Phillips Curve and US Monetary Policy: What the FOMC Transcripts Tell Us," Working Papers, American University, Department of Economics, number 2010-18, Dec, DOI: 10.17606/p7em-2241.
• Stefan Kerbl, 2010, "Regulatory Medicine Against Financial Market Instability: What Helps And What Hurts?," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1011.6284, Nov, revised Nov 2010.
• Alfred Maussner, 2010, "The Analytics of New Keynesian Phillips Curves," Discussion Paper Series, Universitaet Augsburg, Institute for Economics, number 313, Nov.
• Marin Marinov, 2010, "Possibilities to Study the Market Trend Fluctuations by Means of Indicators for Technical Analysis," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 68-85.
• Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009, "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 0909, Oct.
• Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2009, "Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 0910, Oct.
• James Rossiter, 2010, "Nowcasting the Global Economy," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-12, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2010-12.
• Claudia Godbout & Jocelyn Jacob, 2010, "Le pouvoir de prévision des indices PMI," Discussion Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-3, DOI: 10.34989/sdp-2010-3.
• Jeannine Bailliu & Patrick Blagrave & James Rossiter, 2010, "Introducing the Bank of Canada's Projection Model for the Global Economy," Technical Reports, Bank of Canada, number 99, DOI: 10.34989/tr-99.
• Nikita Perevalov & Philipp Maier, 2010, "On the Advantages of Disaggregated Data: Insights from Forecasting the U.S. Economy in a Data-Rich Environment," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-10, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2010-10.
• Marco J. Lombardi & Philipp Maier, 2010, "‘Lean’ versus ‘Rich’ Data Sets: Forecasting during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 10-37, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2010-37.
• David de Antonio Liedo, 2010, "General Equilibrium Restrictions for Dynamic Factor Models," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1012, Apr.
• David de Antonio Liedo & Elena Fernández Muñoz, 2010, "Nowcasting Spanish GDP growth in real time: "One and a half months earlier"," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 1037, Dec.
• Michele Caivano & Lisa Rodano & Stefano Siviero, 2010, "The transmission of the global financial crisis to the Italian economy. A counterfactual analysis, 2008-2010," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 64, Apr.
• Gianluca Moretti & Giulio Nicoletti, 2010, "Estimating DSGE models with unknown data persistence," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 750, Mar.
• Claudia Miani & Stefano Siviero, 2010, "A non-parametric model-based approach to uncertainty and risk analysis of macroeconomic forecast," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 758, Apr.
• Libero Monteforte & Gianluca Moretti, 2010, "Real time forecasts of inflation: the role of financial variables," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 767, Jul.
• Antonio Bassanetti & Michele Caivano & Alberto Locarno, 2010, "Modelling Italian potential output and the output gap," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 771, Sep.
• Ibarra-Ramírez Raúl, 2010, "Forecasting Inflation in Mexico Using Factor Models: Do Disaggregated CPI Data Improve Forecast Accuracy?," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-01, Mar.
• López Moctezuma Gabriel & Capistrán Carlos, 2010, "Forecast Revisions of Mexican Inflation and GDP Growth," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-11, Oct.
• Benavides Guillermo, 2010, "Forecasting Short-Run Inflation Volatility using Futures Prices: An Empirical Analysis from a Value at Risk Perspective," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2010-12, Oct.
• Philippe Andrade & Hervé Le Bihan, 2010, "Inattentive professional forecasters," Working papers, Banque de France, number 307.
• Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2015, "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 422, Sep.
• Frank Leung & Kevin Chow & Simon Chan, 2010, "Measures of trend inflation in Hong Kong," BIS Papers chapters, Bank for International Settlements, in: Bank for International Settlements, "Monetary policy and the measurement of inflation: prices, wages and expectations".
• Fernanda Cuitiño & Elena Ganón & Ina Tiscordio & Leonardo Vicente, 2010, "Modelos univariados de series de tiempo para predecir la inflación de corto plazo," Documentos de trabajo, Banco Central del Uruguay, number 2010008, Aug.
• Dieter Gerdesmeier & Hans‐Eggert Reimers & Barbara Roffia, 2010, "Asset Price Misalignments and the Role of Money and Credit," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, volume 13, issue 3, pages 377-407, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2362.2010.01272.x.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010, "Forecast densities for economic aggregates from disaggregate ensembles," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/02, Mar.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2010, "Oil and US GDP: A real-time out-of-sample examination," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/18, Sep.
• Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2010, "Combining predictive densities using Bayesian filtering with applications to US economics data," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2010/29, Dec.
• Hilde C. Bjørnland & Karsten R. Gerdrup & Anne Sofie Jore & Leif Anders Thorsrud & Christie Smith, 2010, "Does forecast combination improve Norges Bank inflation forecasts?," Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, number No 2/2010, Dec.
• Tanya Suhoy, 2010, "Monthly Assessments of Private Consumption," Bank of Israel Working Papers, Bank of Israel, number 2010.09, Aug.
• Takuji Fueki & Ichiro Fukunaga & Hibiki Ichiue & Toyoichiro Shirota, 2010, "Measuring Potential Growth with an Estimated DSGE Model of Japan's Economy," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 10-E-13, Dec.
• Woong Kim, 2010, "Assessment of Deflation Risk in Korea (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, volume 16, issue 2, pages 117-142, June.
• Daniel Tortorice, 2010, "Unemployment Expectations and the Business Cycle," Working Papers, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School, number 05, Apr, revised Mar 2011.
• José Luis Oreiro & Celso Vila Nova de Souza & Kelly Pereira Guedes & Sergio Rubens Stancato de Souza, 2010, "Um Modelo Keynes-Minsky Generalizado de Flutuações Cíclicas," Working papers - Textos para Discussao do Departamento de Economia da Universidade de Brasilia, Departamento de Economia da Universidade de Brasilia, number 337, Nov.
• Laurent Ferrara, 2010, "Les variables financières sont-elles utiles pour anticiper la croissance économique ?. Quelques évidences économétriques," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, volume 61, issue 3, pages 645-655.
• D'Agostino, Antonello & McQuinn, Kieran & Whelan, Karl, 2010, "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 5/RT/10, Apr.
• Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/09, Mar.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/12, Apr.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/16, Apr.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/35, May.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010, "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/36, May.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Globalization and Knowledge Spillover: International Direct Investment, Exports and Patents," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/54, Aug.
• Ping-Yu Chen & Chia-Lin Chang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/55, Sep.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts," Working Papers in Economics, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance, number 10/74, Dec.
• Chengsi Zhang & Joel Clovis, 2010, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve of rational expectations: A serial correlation extension," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, volume 13, pages 159-179, May.
• M. Hakan Berument & Afsin Sahin, 2010, "Seasonality in inflation volatility: Evidence from Turkey," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, volume 13, pages 39-65, May.
• Pooyan Amir Ahmadi & Albrecht Ritschl, 2010, "Depression Econometrics: A FAVAR Model of Monetary Policy During the Great Depression," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0967, Jan.
• Albrecht Ritschl & Samad Salferaz, 2010, "Crisis? What Crisis? Currency vs. Banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0977, May.
• Michael Graff & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2010, "The Information Content of Capacity Utilisation Rates for Output Gap Estimates," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3276.
• Joachim Ragnitz & Stefan Arent & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Beate Schirwitz & Johannes Steinbrecher & Gerit Vogt & Björn Ziegenbalg, 2010, "Methodenexpertise zur Analyse der Auswirkungen der internationalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise auf die Wirtschaft im Land Brandenburg : Gutachten im Auftrag des Ministeriums für Wirtschaft des Landes," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 53, February.
• François Lescaroux, 2010, "The petroleum market: The ongoing oil price “shock” and the next “counter-shock”," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 121, pages 99-130.
• Jan Filacek & Branislav Saxa, 2010, "Central Bank Forecasts as a Coordination Device," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2010/13, Dec.
• Filip Novotny & Marie Rakova, 2010, "Assessment of Consensus Forecasts Accuracy: The Czech National Bank Perspective," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2010/14, Dec.
• Herman Kamil & Jos� David Pulido & Jos� Luis Torres, 2010, "El IMACO": un �ndice mensual l�der de la actividad econ�mica en Colombia"," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 7129, Jun.
• Eliana Gonz�lez & Munir Jalil & Jose Vicente Romero Chamorro, 2010, "Inflaci�n y expectativas de inflaci�n en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 7307, Aug.
• Andrés Vélez, 2010, "valoracion de las quality options en los futuros de TES," Análisis - Revista del Mercado de Valores, Autorregulador del Mercado de Valores de Colombia.
• Carlos Aldana & Felipe Aristizabal & Claudia Echavarría, 2010, "Instrumentos regulatorios para fomentar la profundizacion del mercado de deuda privada en Colombia," Análisis - Revista del Mercado de Valores, Autorregulador del Mercado de Valores de Colombia.
• María Rosa Álvarez Castrillón & Andr�s Ram�rez Hassan & Alejandro Rend�n Barrera, 2010, "La curva de rendimientos como un indicador adelantado de la actividad económica, el caso colombiano: Período 2001-2009," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT.
• George Verikios & James McCaw & Jodie McVernon & Anthony Harris, 2010, "H1N1 influenza in Australia and its macroeconomic effects," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre, number g-212, Dec.
• Peter Broer & Jürgen Antony, 2010, "Linkages between the Financial and the Real Sector of the Economy: A Literature Survey," CPB Document, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 216, Dec.
• Minford, Patrick & Fan, Jingwen, 2010, "Can the Fiscal Theory of the price level explain UK inflation in the 1970s?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7630, Jan.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Musso, Alberto, 2010, "The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7716, Feb.
• Garratt, Anthony & Vahey, Shaun & Mitchell, James, 2010, "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7742, Mar.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Musso, Alberto, 2010, "The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7763, Mar.
• Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2010, "The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7870, Jun.
• Muellbauer, John & Aron, Janine, 2010, "New methods for forecasting inflation, applied to the US," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7877, Jun.
• Altug, Sumru & Bildirici, Melike, 2010, "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime-switching Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7968, Aug.
• Galí, Jordi, 2010, "Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 8027, Sep.
• Gabaix, Xavier & Carvalho, Vasco, 2010, "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 8044, Oct.
• Mario Coccia, 2010, "Positive and negative stress in business cycle behaviour," CERIS Working Paper, CNR-IRCrES Research Institute on Sustainable Economic Growth - Torino (TO) ITALY - former Institute for Economic Research on Firms and Growth - Moncalieri (TO) ITALY, number 201001, Jun.
• Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2010, "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1745, Jan.
• Stefan Thurner & J. Doyne Farmer & John Geanakoplos, 2010, "Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 1745R, Jan, revised Nov 2011.
• Igor Vetlov & Ricardo Mourinho Felix & Laure Frey & Tibor Hledik & Zoltan Jakab & Niki Papadopoulou & Lukas Reiss & Martin Schneider, 2010, "The Implementation of Scenarios using DSGE Models," Working Papers, Central Bank of Cyprus, number 2010-10, Dec.
• Dorothea Lucke, 2010, "Deutsche Industrie kommt mit Schwung aus der Krise," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 77, issue 47, pages 13-20.
• Boriss Siliverstovs & Konstantin A. Kholodilin, 2010, "Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 970.
• Sylvain Prado, 2010, "A Family Hitch : Econometrics of the New and the Used Car Markets," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2010-4.
• Paul Levine, 2010, "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World : Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," Macroeconomics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research, number 21853, Jan.
• Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010, "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," Macroeconomics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research, number 21992, Jan.
• Teresa Garcia-Milà & Albert Marcet & Eva Ventura, 2010, "Supply Side Interventions and Redistribution," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 120, issue 543, pages 105-130, March.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2010, "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2010-113.
• Rasmus Kattai, 2010, "Credit risk model for the Estonian banking sector," Bank of Estonia Working Papers, Bank of Estonia, number wp2010-01, Feb, revised 04 Feb 2010.
• Dorofeenko, Victor & Lee, Gabriel S. & Salyer, Kevin D., 2010, "A new algorithm for solving dynamic stochastic macroeconomic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 3, pages 388-403, March.
• Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2010, "An Empirical Analysis of Real Activity and Stock Returns in an Emerging Market," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 2, pages 263-271, September.
• Barnett, William A. & He, Susan, 2010, "Existence of singularity bifurcation in an Euler-equations model of the United States economy: Grandmont was right," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 6, pages 1345-1354, November.
• Sinclair, Tara M. & Joutz, Fred & Stekler, H.O., 2010, "Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 108, issue 1, pages 28-32, July.
• Clements, Michael P., 2010, "Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 4, pages 536-549, May.
• Guse, Eran A., 2010, "Heterogeneous expectations, adaptive learning, and evolutionary dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 74, issue 1-2, pages 42-57, May.
• Blair, Andrew R. & Mandelker, Gershon N. & Saaty, Thomas L. & Whitaker, Rozann, 2010, "Forecasting the resurgence of the U.S. economy in 2010: An expert judgment approach," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, volume 44, issue 3, pages 114-121, September.
• E. M. Bentour & W. A. Razzak, 2010, "Real Interest Rates, Bubbles and Monetary Policy in the GCC countries," EERI Research Paper Series, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels, number EERI_RP_2010_03, Jan.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Shaun P. Vahey, 2010, "Forecast Densities for Economic Aggregates from Disaggregate Ensembles," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2010-10, Apr.
• Don Harding, 2010, "Applying Shape and Phase Restrictions in Generalized Dynamic Categorical Models of the Business Cycle," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2010-25, Sep.
• Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey & Elizabeth C. Wakerly, 2010, "Real-time Inflation Forecast Densities from Ensemble Phillips Curves," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2010-34, Dec.
• Guillermo Benavides, 2010, "Forecasting Short-Run Inflation Volatility using Futures Prices: An Empirical Analysis from a Value at Risk Perspective," Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics), Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México, volume 4, issue 2, pages 1-27.
• Oguz Kaynar & Serkan Tastan & Ferhan Demirkoparan, 2010, "Ham Petrol Fiyatlarinin Yapay Sinir Aglari ile Tahmini," Ege Academic Review, Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, volume 10, issue 2, pages 559-573.
• Ritschl, Albrecht & Salferaz, Samad, 2010, "Crisis?: What crisis?: currency vs. banking in the financial crisis of 1931," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 28726.
• Gianluca Benigno & Pierpaolo Benigno & Salvatore Nisticò, 2010, "Second-Order Approximation of Dynamic Models with Time-Varying Risk," EIEF Working Papers Series, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), number 1021, revised Dec 2010.
• Bentancor, Andrea & Pincheira, Pablo, 2010, "Predicción de errores de proyección de inflación en Chile," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 77, issue 305, pages 129-154, enero-mar, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v77i.
• Capistrán, Carlos & López-Moctezuma, Gabriel, 2010, "Las expectativas macroeconómicas de los especialistas. Una evaluación de pronósticos de corto plazo en México," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 77, issue 306, pages 275-312, abril-jun, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20430/ete.v77i.
• Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J. & Legerstee, R., 2010, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecast: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2010-19, Mar.
• Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2010-24, Apr.
• Chang, C-L. & McAleer, M.J. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2010, "Combining Non-Replicable Forecasts," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2010-44, Jul.
• Chen, P-Y. & Chang, C-L. & Chen, C-C. & McAleer, M.J., 2010, "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2010-56, Sep.
• Chang, C-L. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & McAleer, M.J., 2010, "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecast," Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute, number EI 2010-74, Dec.
• Tausch, Arno, 2010, "Paul Boccara's analysis of global capitalism. the return of the Bourbons, and the breakdown of the Brussels / Paris neo-liberal consensus," Entelequia. Revista Interdisciplinar, Entelequia y Servicios Académicos Intercontinentales SL, issue 12, pages 105-147, Fall.