Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:
2011
- Ildeberta Abreu, 2011, "International organisations’ vs. private analysts’ forecasts: an evaluation," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w201120.
- Adrian Pagan & Don Harding, 2011, "Econometric Analysis and Prediction of Recurrent Events," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research, number 75, Oct.
- Lahura, Erick & Vega, Marco, 2011, "Wavelet-based Core Inflation Measures: Evidence from Peru," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2011-019, Dec.
- Maria Bejan, 2011, "Code and data files for "Trade Agreements and International Comovements: the Case of NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement)"," Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics, number 07-86, revised .
- Maria Bejan, 2011, "Trade Agreements and International Comovements: the Case of NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement)," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 14, issue 4, pages 667-685, October, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2011.06.003.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2011, "Hierarchical Shrinkage Priors for Dynamic Regressions with Many Predictors," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 21_11, Apr.
- Miguel A. G. Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011, "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 35_11, Jul.
- Fei Han & Thiam Hee Ng, 2011, "ASEAN-5 Macroeconomic Forecasting Using a GVAR Model," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration, Asian Development Bank, number 76, Mar.
- Sebastian Fossati, 2011, "Dating U.S. Business Cycles with Macro Factors," Working Papers, University of Alberta, Department of Economics, number 2011-05, May.
- K. Batu Tunay, 2011, "Forecasting Recessions in Turkey with Qual-VAR Models," Business and Economics Research Journal, Bursa Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, volume 2, issue 4, pages 1-51.
- Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2011, "Analyzing the Dynamics of Relative Prices on a Market with Speculative and Non-Speculative Agents Based on the Evolutionary Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 1, pages 72-87, March.
- Jagric, Timotej & Beko, Jani, 2011, "How Good are the Growth and Inflation Forecasts for Slovenia?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 4, pages 47-67, December.
- Dirk Besteri & Franz Ruch, 2011, "Towards a Measure of Core Inflation using Singular Spectrum Analysis," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, number 256, Nov.
- Ajit R. Joshi & Debashis Acharya, 2011, "Inflation Model for India in the Context of Open Economy," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, volume 12, issue 1, pages 39-59, March, DOI: 10.1177/139156141001200103.
- Octav Negurita, 2011, "Factors That Contribute To The Formation Of Inflation," Journal of Academic Research in Economics, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Accounting and Financial Management Constanta, volume 3, issue 3 (Novemb, pages 629-635.
- Alessandro Flamini, 2011, "Price Stickiness Asymmetry, Persistence and Volatility in a New Keynesian Model," Working Papers, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, number 2011013, May, revised May 2011.
- Badi Baltagi & Jörg Breitung, 2011, "Introduction to the special issue," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 40, issue 1, pages 1-4, February, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-010-0425-0.
- Hilde Bjørnland & Kai Leitemo & Junior Maih, 2011, "Estimating the natural rates in a simple New Keynesian framework," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 40, issue 3, pages 755-777, May, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-010-0366-7.
- Badi Baltagi & Panicos Demetriades, 2011, "Introduction to the special issue," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 41, issue 1, pages 1-5, August, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-011-0466-z.
- Ulrich Fritsche & Vladimir Kuzin, 2011, "Analysing convergence in Europe using the non-linear single factor model," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 41, issue 2, pages 343-369, October, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-010-0385-4.
- Stephane Dees & Arthur Saint-Guilhem, 2011, "The role of the United States in the global economy and its evolution over time," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 41, issue 3, pages 573-591, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-010-0407-2.
- Volker Wieland & Maik Wolters, 2011, "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 47, issue 2, pages 247-292, June, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-010-0549-7.
- António Afonso & Ricardo Sousa, 2011, "The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR analysis," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, volume 10, issue 1, pages 61-82, April, DOI: 10.1007/s10258-011-0071-2.
- Gonzalo Fernández-de-Córdoba & José Torres, 2011, "Forecasting the Spanish economy with an augmented VAR–DSGE model," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, volume 2, issue 3, pages 379-399, September, DOI: 10.1007/s13209-010-0036-1.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011, "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 1118, Apr.
- Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011, "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 1119, Apr.
- Deborah Gefang & Gary Koop & Simon Potter, 2011, "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 1120, Apr.
- Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2011, "Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 1137, Jun.
- Cristiano Cantore & Paul Levine, 2011, "Getting Normalization Right: Dealing with 'Dimensional Constants' in Macroeconomics," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0511, Jun.
- Grassi, Stefano & Proietti, Tommaso, 2011, "Stochastic trends and seasonality in economic time series: new evidence from Bayesian stochastic model specification search," Working Papers, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics, number 07/2011, Sep.
- Martin Schneider & Gerhard Fenz, 2011, "Transmission of business cycle shocks between the US and the euro area," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 43, issue 21, pages 2777-2793, DOI: 10.1080/00036840903373311.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2011, "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 30, issue 6, pages 583-619, DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2011.586614.
- A. Nazif Çatik & Mehmet Karaçuka, 2011, "A comparative analysis of alternative univariate time series models in forecasting Turkish inflation," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 13, issue 2, pages 275-293, April, DOI: 10.3846/16111699.2011.620135.
- Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2011, "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 29, issue 1, pages 86-95, January, DOI: 10.1198/jbes.2009.08005.
- Nikolay Gospodinov & Alex Maynard & Elena Pesavento, 2011, "Sensitivity of Impulse Responses to Small Low-Frequency Comovements: Reconciling the Evidence on the Effects of Technology Shocks," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 29, issue 4, pages 455-467, October, DOI: 10.1198/jbes.2011.10042.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011, "Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 11-003/4, Jan.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011, "Bayesian Combinations of Stock Price Predictions with an Application to the Amsterdam Exchange Index," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 11-082/4, May.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011, "Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 11-123/4, Aug.
- Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2011, "Combining Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 11-172/4, Dec.
- Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B., 2011, "Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy Design : Evidence from the Laboratory (Replaces CentER DP 2009-007)," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2011-091.
- Pfajfar, D. & Zakelj, B., 2011, "Uncertainty and Disagreement in Forecasting Inflation : Evidence from the Laboratory (Replaced by CentER DP 2012-072)," Discussion Paper, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research, number 2011-053.
- Lutz Kilian & Clara Vega, 2011, "Do Energy Prices Respond to U.S. Macroeconomic News? A Test of the Hypothesis of Predetermined Energy Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 93, issue 2, pages 660-671, May.
- K. Vela Velupillai, 2011, "The Phillips Machine, The Analogue Computing Traditoin in Economics and Computability," ASSRU Discussion Papers, ASSRU - Algorithmic Social Science Research Unit, number 1112.
- Saed Khalil & Stephen Kinsella, 2011, "Bad banks choking good banks: simulating balance sheet contagion," Working Papers, Geary Institute, University College Dublin, number 201126, Oct.
- Stephen Kinsella, 2011, "Words to the Wise: Stock Flow Consistent Modeling of Financial Instability," Working Papers, Geary Institute, University College Dublin, number 201130, Nov.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-03.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee:, 2011, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-11.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-15.
- Cathy W. S. Chen & Richard Gerlach & Bruce B. K. Hwang & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Forecasting Value-at-Risk Using Nonlinear Regression Quantiles and the Intra-day Range," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-16.
- Philip Hans Franses & Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer, 2011, "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2011-24.
- Luis Gil-Alana & Antonio Moreno & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2011, "Exploring Survey-Based Inflation Forecasts," Faculty Working Papers, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra, number 05/11, Jan.
- Pankaj SINHA & Sushant GUPTA & Nakul RANDEV, 2011, "Modeling & Forecasting Of Macro-Economic Variables Of India: Before, During & After Recession," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, volume 6, issue 1(15)/ Sp, pages 43-60.
- Jan-Christoph Rülke, 2011, "Do private sector forecasters desire to deviate from the German council of economic experts?," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management, number 11-04, Jun.
- Jan-Christoph Rülke, 2011, "Are central bank projections rational?," WHU Working Paper Series - Economics Group, WHU - Otto Beisheim School of Management, number 11-05, Aug.
- Josip Tica, 2011, "Kriza 2008-20XY: Populizam i puna zaposlenost kao sukobljeni ciljevi," EFZG Occasional Publications (Department of Macroeconomics), Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, chapter 11, "Zbornik radova: Kriza: Preobrazba ili propast? (ur. Obadić, Alka; Šimurina, Jurica; Tica, Josip, izdavač: Ekonomski fakultet Zagreb)".
- Josip Tica, 2011, "Kriza 2008-20XY: Populizam i puna zaposlenost kao sukobljeni ciljevi," EFZG Working Papers Series, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb, number 1105, Nov.
- Funke, Michael & Mehrotra, Aaron & Yu, Hao, 2011, "Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 35/2011.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011, "How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,13.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2011, "Evaluating macroeconomic risk forecasts," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,14.
- Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2011, "U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2011,35.
- Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2011, "Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in the new-Keynesian three-equations model," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2011-10.
- Hess, Dieter & Orbe, Sebastian, 2011, "Irrationality or efficiency of macroeconomic survey forecasts? Implications from the anchoring bias test," CFR Working Papers, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR), number 11-13.
- Ludwig, Björn, 2011, "Warum der Baseler Ausschluss für Bankenaufsicht mit seinem antizyklischen Kapitalpuffer falsch liegt," CIW Discussion Papers, University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW), number 7/2011.
- Catik, A. Nazif & Karaçuka, Mehmet, 2011, "A comparative analysis of alternative univariate time series models in forecasting Turkish inflation," DICE Discussion Papers, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE), number 20.
- Chang, Chia-ling & Chen, Shu-heng, 2011, "Interactions in DSGE models: The Boltzmann-Gibbs machine and social networks approach," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2011-25.
- Falch, Nina Skrove & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2011, "The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2011-6.
- Skrove Falch, Nina & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2011, "The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 5, pages 1-36, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2011-.
- Roos, Michael W.M. & Schmidt, Ulrich, 2011, "The importance of time series extrapolation for macroeconomic expectations," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1723.
- Keesookpuna, Chutipong & Mitomob, Hitoshi, 2011, "Cloud computing and prospective business and economic impacts in developing country: A case study of Thailand," 22nd European Regional ITS Conference, Budapest 2011: Innovative ICT Applications - Emerging Regulatory, Economic and Policy Issues, International Telecommunications Society (ITS), number 52181.
- Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2011, "The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 5/2011.
- van Deuverden, Kristina & Scheufele, Rolf, 2011, "Mittelfristprojektion des IWH: Wirtschaftsentwicklung und Staatsfinanzen – Eine Vorausschau der Jahre 2011 bis 2015," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 17, issue 1, pages 33-49.
- Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics, 2011, "Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland setzt sich kraftvoll fort," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 17, issue 3, pages 96-120.
- Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH & Kiel Economics, 2011, "Konjunktur aktuell: Schulden- und Vertrauenskrise bringt Rezessionsgefahr nach Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 17, issue 9, pages 298-328.
- Bredemeier, Christian & Goecke, Henry, 2011, "Sticky Prices vs. Sticky Information – A Cross-Country Study of Inflation Dynamics," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 255.
- Kitlinski, Tobias & Schmidt, Torsten, 2011, "The Forecasting Performance of an Estimated Medium Run Model," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 301.
- Wolters, Maik H., 2011, "Forecasting under Model Uncertainty," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 48723.
2010
- Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Les Oxley, 2010, "Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 714, Aug.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 720, Aug.
- Ping-Yu Chen & Chia-Lin Chang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Modeling the Effect of Oil Price on Global Fertilizer Prices," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 722, Sep.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 744, Dec.
- Igor Vetlov & Ricardo Mourinho Félix & Laure Frey & Tibor Hlédik & Zoltán Jakab & Niki Papadopoulou & Lukas Reiss & Martin Schneider, 2010, "The Implementation of Scenarios Using DSGE Models," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series, Bank of Lithuania, number 8, Aug.
- Syed Kumail Abbas Naqvi & Bushra Naqvi, 2010, "Asymmetric Behavior of Inflation Uncertainty and Friedman-Ball Hypothesis: Evidence from Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, volume 15, issue 2, pages 1-33, Jul-Dec.
- Don Harding, 2010, "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers, School of Economics, La Trobe University, number 2010.05, Jul.
- Branimir Jovanovic & Magdalena Petrovska, 2010, "Forecasting Macedonian GDP: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting," Working Papers, National Bank of the Republic of North Macedonia, number 2010-02, Aug, revised Aug 2010.
- Balázs Krusper & Gábor Pellényi, 2010, "Impacts of fiscal adjustments in Western European countries on the Hungarian economy," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), volume 5, issue 4, pages 17-23, December.
- Heather M Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2010, "VARs, Cointegration and Common Cycle Restrictions," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 14/10, May.
- National Bank of Belgium, 2010, "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2010," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-20, December.
- National Bank of Belgium, 2010, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2010," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-25, June.
- V. Baugnet & D. Dury, 2010, "Energy markets and the macroeconomy," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 61-82, September.
- Kishor N. Kundan, 2010, "The Superiority of Greenbook Forecasts and the Role of Recessions," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 74.
- Alejandro Gaviria & Carlos Medina & Leonardo Morales & Jairo Núñez, 2010, "The Cost of Avoiding Crime: The Case of Bogotá," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "The Economics of Crime: Lessons For and From Latin America".
- Masaya Sakuragawa & Kaoru Hosono, 2010, "Fiscal Sustainability in Japan," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Fiscal Policy and Crisis".
- Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner & Eric R. Sims, 2010, "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16143, Jun.
- Jordi Galí, 2010, "Are Central Banks' Projections Meaningful?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16384, Sep.
- Menzie D. Chinn & Kavan J. Kucko, 2010, "The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16398, Sep.
- Vasco M. Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010, "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 16424, Sep.
- Vítor Castro & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2010, "How Do Central Banks React to Wealth Composition and Asset Prices?," NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho, number 26/2010.
- Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2010, "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho, number 29/2010.
- Nicoletta Batini & Vasco J. Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010, "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho, number 31/2010.
- Batini, Nicoletta & Gabriel, Vasco & Levine, Paul, 2010, "A Floating versus managed exchange rate regime in a DSGE model of India," Working Papers, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, number 10/70, Apr.
- Levine, Paul, 2010, "Monetary policy in an uncertain world: Probability models and the design of robust monetary rules," Working Papers, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, number 10/72, Jul.
- C. Minodier, 2010, "First results series or last available series: which series to use? A real-time illustration for the forecasting of French quarterly GDP growth," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number g2010-01.
- Yvan Guillemette, 2010, "A Simulation Model of Federal, Provincial and Territorial Government Accounts for the Analysis of Fiscal-Consolidation Strategies in Canada," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 800, Aug, DOI: 10.1787/5km7pf8xkvxs-en.
- Elena Angelini & Marta Banbura & Gerhard Rünstler, 2010, "Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2010, issue 1, pages 1-22, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-2010-5kmmsxgf2qbs.
- Nikolay Robinzonov & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2010, "Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting ," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, volume 56, issue 2, pages 192-220, June.
- Patrick Minford, 2010, "The Banking Crisis as Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, volume 56, issue 4, pages 554-574, December.
- Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg & Amit Kumar Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2010, "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 125, issue 4, pages 1727-1767.
- Tom Holden, 2010, "Products, patents and productivity persistence: A DSGE model of endogenous growth," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 512, Nov.
- S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold, 2010, "Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 10-002, Jan.
- Mamatzakis, E & Remoundos, P, 2010, "Threshold Cointegration in BRENT crude futures market," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19978, Jan.
- Phillips, Kerk L. & Spencer, David E., 2010, "Bootstrapping Structural VARs: Avoiding a Potential Bias in Confidence Intervals for Impulse Response Functions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23503, Feb.
- Harin, Alexander, 2010, "Теорема О Существовании Разрывов В Шкале Вероятностей. Дискретный Случай
[Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale. Discrete case]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 23902, Jul. - Eyler, Robert & Sonora, Robert, 2010, "Is a National Monetary Policy Optimal?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 24745.
- Fry, J. M., 2010, "Bubbles and crashes in finance: A phase transition from random to deterministic behaviour in prices," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 24778, Sep.
- Alfaro, Rodrigo & Sagner, Andres, 2010, "Financial Forecast for the Relative Strength Index," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 25913, Apr, revised Apr 2010.
- Sinha, Pankaj & Gupta, Sushant & Randev, Nakul, 2010, "Modeling & Forecasting of Macro-Economic Variables of India: Before, During & After Recession," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 26539, Oct.
- Bell, Peter N, 2010, "Introduction of the Profit Surface," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 26812, Nov.
- Sokolov, Yuri, 2010, "Business cycle effects on portfolio credit risk: A simple FX Adjustment for a factor model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 27222, Dec.
- Skribans, Valerijs, 2010, "Investments model development with the system dynamic method," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 27235.
- Brissimis, Sophocles & Migiakis, Petros, 2010, "Inflation persistence and the rationality of inflation expectations," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 29052, Dec.
- Skribans, Valerijs, 2010, "Latvijas iestāšanās Eiropas Savienībā ekonomiskā efekta novērtēšana
[Estimation of Economic Benefit of the Introduction of Latvia in the European Union]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 29313. - Skribans, Valerijs, 2010, "Latvia’s incoming in European Union economic effect estimation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 32522.
- Guzman, Giselle C., 2010, "An inflation expectations horserace," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 36511, Jan.
- Branimir, Jovanovic & Magdalena, Petrovska, 2010, "Forecasting Macedonian GDP: Evaluation of different models for short-term forecasting," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 43162, Aug.
- Kreiter, Zebulun & Paul, Tapas Kumar, 2010, "Deficit Financing and Inflation in Bangladesh: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 45981.
- Esquivel Monge, Manfred & Gomez Rodriguez, Jose Fabio, 2010, "Asymmetries of the Exchange Rate Pass Through to Domestic Prices: The Case of Costa Rica," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 60251, Mar, revised Jul 2010.
- Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwe & Ramos Mabugu & Helene Maisonnave & Veronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van der Berg & Dieter von Fintel, 2010, "The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201015, Jun.
- Rangan Gupta & Rudi Steinbach, 2010, "Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 201019, Sep.
- Matthew Kofi Ocran, 2010, "Exchange Rate Pass-Through To Domestic Prices: The Case of South Africa," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2010, issue 4, pages 291-306, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.378.
- Marie Bessec, 2010, "Étalonnages du taux de croissance du PIB français sur la base des enquêtes de conjoncture," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, volume 193, issue 2, pages 77-99, DOI: 10.3406/ecop.2010.8036.
- André Babeau, 2010, "L’absence de prévisions macrofinancières : une situation calamiteuse heureusement en cours d’évolution," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, volume 98, issue 3, pages 39-53, DOI: 10.3406/ecofi.2010.5778.
- Don Harding, 2010, "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research, number 58, Jul.
- Adam Cagliarini & Warwick McKibbin, 2010, "Global Relative Price Shocks: The Role of Macroeconomic Policies," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, in: Renée Fry & Callum Jones & Christopher Kent, "Inflation in an Era of Relative Price Shocks".
- Hervé Le Bihan & Philippe Andrade, 2010, "Inattentive Professional Forecasters," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 1144.
- Tao Zha & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Andrew T. Foerster, 2010, "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching Models," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 239.
- Steffen Elstner & Eric Sims & Ruediger Bachmann, 2010, "Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 614.
- Xavier Gabaix & Vasco M. Carvalho, 2010, "The Great Diversification and its Undoing," 2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 880.
- George A. Christodoulakis & Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis, 2010, "Labour Market Dynamics in Greek Regions: a Bayesian Markov Chain Approach Using Proportions Data," Review of Economic Analysis, Digital Initiatives at the University of Waterloo Library, volume 2, issue 1, pages 32-45, January.
- Dimitris Korobilis, 2010, "VAR Forecasting Using Bayesian Variable Selection," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 51_10, Jan, revised Apr 2011.
- Magdalena Zachłod-Jelec & Piotr Karp, 2010, "Responses of the Polish economy to demand and supply shocks under alternative fiscal policy rules," MF Working Papers, Ministry of Finance in Poland, number 5, Jul.
- José D. Liquitaya Briceño, 2010, "La curva de Phillips en la nueva economía keynesiana: una revisión crítica," Revista Nicolaita de Estudios Económicos, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Empresariales, volume 0, issue 2, pages 59-83.
- Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2010, "Measuring Core Inflation in Romania Using the Dobrescu Method – A Comparative Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 2, pages 308-319, July.
- Albu, Lucian Liviu & Gorun, Adrian, 2010, "Examples of New Macroeconomic Modelling and Simulation Techniques: How They Could Improve Decisions and Public Perception," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 5, pages 7-16.
- Anirvan Banerji & Pami Dua, 2010, "Synchronisation of Recessions in Major Developed and Emerging Economies," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, volume 4, issue 2, pages 197-223, May, DOI: 10.1177/097380101000400204.
- Jens Boysen-Hogrefe & Dominik Groll, 2010, "The German Labour Market Miracle," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 214, issue 1, pages 38-50, October.
- Barbara Rudolf & Mathias Zurlinden, 2010, "Productivity and Economic Growth in Switzerland 1991-2006," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), volume 146, issue III, pages 577-600, September.
- Lucian-Liviu Albu & John M. Polimeni & Raluca I. Iorgulescu, 2010, "Spatial Distribution of Key Macroeconomic Growth Indicators in the EU-27: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," AIEL Series in Labour Economics, Springer, in: Floro Ernesto Caroleo & Francesco Pastore, "The Labour Market Impact of the EU Enlargement", DOI: 10.1007/978-3-7908-2164-2_7.
- Guido Bulligan & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2010, "Forecasting monthly industrial production in real-time: from single equations to factor-based models," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 39, issue 2, pages 303-336, October, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-009-0305-7.
- Xuanhua Xu & Bin Pan, 2010, "Capital liquidity and residents’ consumption decision: An asymmetry analysis of economic prosperity," Frontiers of Economics in China, Springer;Higher Education Press, volume 5, issue 4, pages 622-639, December, DOI: 10.1007/s11459-010-0116-y.
- William Barnett & Evgeniya Duzhak, 2010, "Empirical assessment of bifurcation regions within New Keynesian models," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 45, issue 1, pages 99-128, October, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-008-0430-0.
- Joanne Lindley & Steven McIntosh, 2010, "Is the Over-Education Wage Penalty Permanent?," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0110, Feb.
- Paul Levine, 2010, "Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World: Probability Models and the Design of Robust Monetary Rules," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0210, Apr.
- Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & George Perendia & Bo Yang, 2010, "Endogenous Persistence in an Estimated DSGE Model under Imperfect Information," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0310, Apr.
- Nicoletta Batini & Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2010, "A Floating versus Managed Exchange Rate Regime in a DSGE Model of India," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0410, Apr.
- Vasco Gabriel & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2010, "An Estimated DSGE Model of the Indian Economy," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 1210, Sep.
- Margaret Chitiga & Bernard Decaluwé & Ramos Mabugu & Hélène Maisonnave & Véronique Robichaud & Debra Shepherd & Servaas van der Berg & Dieter von Fintel, 2010, "The impact of the international economic crisis on child poverty in South Africa," Working Papers, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics, number 13/2010.
- H. O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto, 2010, "Evaluating current-year forecasts made during the year: a Japanese example," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 17, issue 7, pages 673-676, DOI: 10.1080/13504850802297848.
- Par Osterholm, 2010, "The effect on the Swedish real economy of the financial crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 20, issue 4, pages 265-274, DOI: 10.1080/09603100903357408.
- Chengsi Zhang & Joel Clovis, 2010, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve of Rational Expectations: A Serial Correlation Extension," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 13, issue 1, pages 159-179, May, DOI: 10.1016/S1514-0326(10)60008-6.
- M. Hakan Berument & Afsin Sahin, 2010, "Seasonality in Inflation Volatility: Evidence from Turkey," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 13, issue 1, pages 39-65, May, DOI: 10.1016/S1514-0326(10)60003-7.
- Ehrmann, M. & Eijffinger, S.C.W. & Fratzcher, M., 2010, "The Role of Central Bank Transparency for Guiding Private Sector Forecasts," Other publications TiSEM, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management, number 25125044-98fc-44b3-8698-3.
- Heikki Kauppi, 2010, "Yield-Curve Based Probability Forecasts of U.S. Recessions: Stability and Dynamics," Discussion Papers, Aboa Centre for Economics, number 57, Jun.
- Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer & Rianne Legerstee, 2010, "Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments," CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, number CIRJE-F-729, Mar.
- Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2010, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, number CIRJE-F-736, Apr.
- Olivier Coibion, 2010, "Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 92, issue 1, pages 87-101, February.
- Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2010, "Global Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 92, issue 3, pages 524-535, August.
- Don Harding, 2010, "Applying shape and phase restrictions in generalized dynamic categorical models of the business cycle," Working Papers, School of Economics, La Trobe University, number 2010.05, Jul.
- Mark Setterfield & Andrew Budd, 2010, "A Keynes-Kalecki Model of Cyclical Growth with Agent-Based Features," Working Papers, Trinity College, Department of Economics, number 1008, Sep.
- Orla Doyle, 2010, "Unravelling Voters’ Perceptions of the Economy," Working Papers, Geary Institute, University College Dublin, number 201012, Jan.
- Antonello D'Agostino & Kieran McQuinn & Karl Whelan, 2010, "Are some forecasters really better than others?," Working Papers, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 201012, Apr.
- Vasco Carvalho & Xavier Gabaix, 2010, "The great diversification and its undoing," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1208, Jan, revised Oct 2010.
- Mohamed Daly Sfia, 2010, "A Composite Leading Indicator of Tunisian Inflation," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan, number wp980, Mar.
- Gerhard Rünstler, 2010, "On the Design of Data Sets for Forecasting with Dynamic Factor Models," WIFO Working Papers, WIFO, number 376, Jul.
- Sumru Altuğ & Melike Bildirici, 2010, "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Working Papers, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Economics, number 0031, Mar, revised Mar 2010.
- Sumru Altuğ & Melike Bildirici, 2010, "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime Switching Approach," Working Papers, Yildiz Technical University, Department of Economics, number 0032, Mar, revised Mar 2010.
- Tödter, Karl-Heinz, 2010, "How useful is the carry-over effect for short-term economic forecasting?," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2010,21.
- Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik H., 2010, "The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the U.S. economy," CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS), number 2010/08.
- Harin, Alexander, 2010, "The ruptures in the probability scale and some problems of modelling," EconStor Conference Papers, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 57846, Jun.
- Babutsidze, Zakaria, 2010, "(S,s) pricing: Does the heterogeneity wipe out the asymmetry on micro level?," Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2010-19.
- Morales-Arias, Leonardo & Moura, Guilherme V., 2010, "A conditionally heteroskedastic global inflation model," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1666.
- Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2010, "Should We Trust in Leading Indicators? Evidence from the Recent Recession," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 10/2010.
- Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Scharff, Juliane & Scheufele, Rolf, 2010, "A First Look on the New Halle Economic Projection Model," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 6/2010.
- Hofer, Helmut & Schmidt, Torsten & Weyerstrass, Klaus, 2010, "Practice and Prospects of Medium-term Economic Forecasting," Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen, number 177.
- Ritschl, Albrecht & Sarferaz, Samad, 2010, "Crisis? What crisis? Currency vs. banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2010-014.
- Clostermann, Jörg & Keis, Nikolaus & Seitz, Franz, 2010, "Short-term oil models before and during the financial market crisis," Arbeitsberichte – Working Papers, Technische Hochschule Ingolstadt (THI), number 18.
- Finardi, Corrado & Arfini, Filippo & Turrini, Aida, 2010, "Dietary Evolution Over Time In Europe, Between Cyclops And Phaecians . An Outlook On The Role Of Supply-Side Factors In Driving Changes In The Food Patterns," 115th Joint EAAE/AAEA Seminar, September 15-17, 2010, Freising-Weihenstephan, Germany, European Association of Agricultural Economists, number 116443, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.116443.
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