Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2007

• Lees, Kirdan & Matheson, Troy, 2007, "Mind your ps and qs! Improving ARMA forecasts with RBC priors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 96, issue 2, pages 275-281, August.
• Huisman, Ronald & Huurman, Christian & Mahieu, Ronald, 2007, "Hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 2, pages 240-248, March.
• Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2007, "A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 23, issue 2, pages 219-236.
• Ang, Andrew & Bekaert, Geert & Wei, Min, 2007, "Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 4, pages 1163-1212, May.
• Barnichon, Regis, 2007, "The Shimer puzzle and the correct identification of productivity shocks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 19691, Aug.
• Barnichon, Regis, 2007, "Productivity, aggregate demand and unemployment fluctuations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 19694, Aug.
• William A. Barnett & Ikuyasu Usui, 2007, "The Theoretical Regularity Properties of the Normalized Quadratic Consumer Demand Model," International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Functional Structure Inference", DOI: 10.1016/S1571-0386(07)18006-6.
• Quante, R. & Meyr, H. & Fleischmann, M., 2007, "Revenue Management and Demand Fulfillment: Matching Applications, Models, and Software," ERIM Report Series Research in Management, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam, number ERS-2007-050-LIS, Aug.
• Huisman, R. & Huurman, C. & Mahieu, R.J., 2007, "Hourly Electricity Prices in Day-Ahead Markets," ERIM Report Series Research in Management, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam, number ERS-2007-002-F&A, Jan.
• Alastair R. Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2007, "Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, number 2007-10.
• Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2007, "Input and output inventories in general equilibrium," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 07-16.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007, "Real-time measurement of business conditions," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 901.
• V. V. Chari & Patrick J. Kehoe & Ellen R. McGrattan, 2007, "Are structural VARs with long-run restrictions useful in developing business cycle theory?," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 364.
• Bart De Ketelbutter & Ludovic Dobbelaere & Filip Vanhorebeek, 2007, "Working Paper 10-07 - Foreign trade in Modtrim," Working Papers, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium, number 200710, Sep.
• Marcelo de Oliveira Passos & José Luís Oreiro, 2007, "Um modelo macrodinâmico pós-keynesiano de simulação para uma economia aberta," Working Papers, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Department of Economics, number 0069.
• Edward N. Gamber & Julie K. Smith, 2007, "Are the Fed’s Inflation Forecasts Still Superior to the Private Sector’s?," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2007-002, Nov, revised Jul 2008.
• Hansson, Jesper & Jansson, Per & Löf, Mårten, 2003, "Business Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting the Macro Economy?," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 84, May.
• Andersson, Michael K. & Karlsson, Gustav & Svensson, Josef, 2007, "The Riksbank’s Forecasting Performance," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 218, Dec.
• Hans Genberg & Jian Chang, 2007, "A VAR Framework for Forecasting Hong Kong'S Output and Inflation," Working Papers, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, number 0702, Mar.
• J.E. Boscá & A. Bustos & A. Díaz & R. Doménech & J. Ferri & E. Pérez & L. Puch, 2007, "The REMSDB Macroeconomic Database of The Spanish Economy," Working Papers, International Economics Institute, University of Valencia, number 0704, Oct.
• Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2007, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University, number 0715.
• Maruška Vizek & Tanja Broz, 2007, "Modelling Inflation in Croatia," Working Papers, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, number 0703, Jun.
• Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 2007, "Characteristics of Unemployment Dynamics. The Chain Reaction Approach," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 205, Apr.
• Hofer, Helmut & Kunst, Robert M. & Schwarzbauer, Wolfgang & Schuh, Ulrich & Snower, Dennis J., 2007, "Some Evidence on the Relevance of the Chain-reaction Theory in Selected Countries," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 207, May.
• Paul Levine & Peter McAdam & Joseph Pearlman, 2007, "Inflation-Forecast-Based Rules and Indeterminacy: A Puzzle and a Resolution," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 3, issue 4, pages 77-110, December.
• Malin Adolfson & Michael K. Andersson & Jesper Lindé & Mattias Villani & Anders Vredin, 2007, "Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 3, issue 4, pages 111-144, December.
• Bianca Maria Martelli & Gaia Rocchetti, 2007, "Cyclical features of the ISAE business services series," ISAE Working Papers, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY), number 89, Dec.
• Bastian M. Zams & Nawalage S. Cooray, 2007, "Econometric Analysis of the Exchange Rate Channel and Monetary Policy Rule: The Case of Indonesia," Working Papers, Research Institute, International University of Japan, number EMS_2007_04, Oct.
• George Athanasopoulos & Heather M. Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2007, "Nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of output in G-7 countries," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 22, issue 1, pages 63-87, DOI: 10.1002/jae.935.
• Kin-Yip Ho & Albert K Tsui & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2007, "An Analysis Of The Conditional Volatility Dynamics Of The Australian Business Cycle," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, volume 32, issue 2, pages 157-182, December.
• O. De Bandt & E. Michaux & C. Bruneau & A. Flageollet, 2007, "Forecasting inflation using economic indicators: the case of France," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 26, issue 1, pages 1-22, DOI: 10.1002/for.1001.
• Thomas A. Knetsch, 2007, "Forecasting the price of crude oil via convenience yield predictions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 26, issue 7, pages 527-549, DOI: 10.1002/for.1040.
• George Hondroyiannis & Sophia Lazaretou, 2007, "Inflation persistence during periods of structural change: an assessment using Greek data," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 34, issue 5, pages 453-475, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-007-9043-2.
• Szabó-Bakos, Eszter, 2007, "Az új keynesi elvek alkalmazása a Fed, az IMF és az Európai Központi Bank modellezési gyakorlatában
  [Application of new Keynesian principles in the modelling practice of the Fed, the IMF and the Eu," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 5, pages 415-434.
• Viktors Ajevskis, 2007, "Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in Latvia," Working Papers, Latvijas Banka, number 2007/04, Nov.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2007, "Erratum to "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?"," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 39, issue 7, pages 1849-1849, October.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2007, "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 39, issue s1, pages 3-33, February.
• Jean-Stéphane MESONNIER, 2007, "The predictive content of the real interest rate gap for macroeconomic variables in the euro area," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 102, Feb.
• ÿlvaro Aguiar & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2007, "Monetary Policy and the Political Support for a Labor Market Reform," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 112, Feb.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2007, "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2007," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-16, December.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2007, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2007," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-28, June.
• Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007, "Monetary Rules in Emerging Economies with Financial Market Imperfections," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "International Dimensions of Monetary Policy".
• Jon Faust & Jonathan H. Wright, 2007, "Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts using a Large Realtime Dataset," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 13397, Sep.
• Michael D. Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence Schembri, 2007, "Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s:(Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 13605, Nov.
• Pablo A. Guerron, 2007, "What You Match Does Matter: The Effects of Data on DSGE Estimation," Working Paper Series, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics, number 012, Jul.
• Pablo A. Guerron, 2007, "The Welfare Costs of Inflation in a Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Model," Working Paper Series, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics, number 013, Jul.
• Ivan Kitov & Oleg Kitov & Svetlana Dolinskaya, 2007, "Modeling Real GDP Per Capita in the USA: Cointegration Test," Mechonomics, Socionet, number mechanomics1, Apr.
• Ivan Kitov, 2007, "The Japanese Economy," Mechonomics, Socionet, number mechonomics6, Apr.
• Ivan Kitov, 2007, "Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Counties," Mechonomics, Socionet, number mechonomics7, Apr.
• Lukas Vogel, 2007, "How do the OECD Growth Projections for the G7 Economies Perform?: A Post-Mortem," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 573, Sep, DOI: 10.1787/111804483765.
• Minford Patrick, 2007, "Care sunt modelele şi politicile potrivite într-un context global cu inflaţie scăzută?," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 01, March.
• Sylvia Kaufmann, 2007, "Capturing the Link between M3 Growth and Inflation in the Euro Area – An Econometric Model to Produce Conditional Inflation Forecasts," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 93-108.
• Nooraddin Sharify & M. Alejandro Cardenete, 2007, "Cost-push impact of motor spirit price on price indices and inflation," Working Papers, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics, number 07.11, May.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007, "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 07-028, Jul.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007, "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions, Second Version," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 08-011, Mar, revised 04 Apr 2008.
• Álvaro Aguiar & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2007, "Monetary Policy and the Political Support for a Labor Market Reform," FEP Working Papers, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto, number 237, Feb.
• Falnita, Eugen & Sipos, Ciprian, 2007, "A multiple regression model for inflation rate in Romania in the enlarged EU," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 11473, Jan.
• ODIA NDONGO, Yves Francis, 2007, "Les sources des fluctuations marcoéconomiques au Cameroun," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 1308, Jan.
• Kitov, Ivan, 2007, "Inflation, unemployment, labor force change in European countries," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 14557, Jan.
• Haider, Adnan & Hanif, Muhammad Nadeem, 2007, "Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan using Artificial Neural Networks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 14645, Jul.
• Marcelle, Chauvet & Simon, Potter, 2007, "Monitoring Business Cycles with Structural Breaks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15097, Dec, revised 31 Apr 2009.
• Olafsdottir, Katrin & Sigurdsson, Kari, 2007, "Hversu vel tekst til með verðbólguspár greiningardeilda?
  [How accurate are the inflation forecasts published by the commercial banks?]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 18288.
• Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg & Dolinskaya, Svetlana, 2007, "Relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate in France: cointegration test," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 2736, Feb.
• Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg & Dolinskaya, Svetlana, 2007, "Modelling real GDP per capita in the USA: cointegration test," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 2739.
• Buncic, Daniel & Melecky, Martin, 2007, "An estimated New Keynesian policy model for Australia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 4138, Jul.
• Kitov, Ivan, 2007, "Exact prediction of inflation and unemployment in Canada," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 5015, Sep.
• Fabbri, Giorgio & Iacopetta, Maurizio, 2007, "Dynamic Programming, Maximum Principle and Vintage Capital," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 5115, Sep.
• D'Agostino, A & Surico, P, 2007, "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 6283, Nov.
• Gao, Xu, 2007, "Business Cycle Accounting for the Chinese Economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 7050, Nov, revised Dec 2007.
• Christoffel, Kai & Coenen, Gunter & Warne, Anders, 2007, "Conditional versus unconditional forecasting with the New Area-Wide Model of the euro area," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 76759, Jul.
• Rangan Gupta, 2007, "Forecasting the South African Economy with Gibbs Sampled BVECMs," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200701, Jan.
• Samuel Zita & Rangan Gupta, 2007, "Modelling and Forecasting the Metical-Rand Exchange Rate," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200702, Feb.
• Rangan Gupta, 2007, "Bayesian Methods of Forecasting Inventory Investment in South Africa," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200704, Feb.
• Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2007, "Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200724, Jul.
• Alan S Blinder & John Morgan, 2007, "Leadership in Groups: A Monetary Policy Experiment," Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies., number 151, Jul.
• Alan S. Blinder & John Morgan, 2007, "Leadership in Groups: A Monetary Policy Experiment," Working Papers, Princeton University. Economics Department., number 2007-3, Jul.
• Gregor W. Smith, 2007, "Pooling Forecasts In Linear Rational Expectations Models," Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University, number 1129, Jun.
• Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007, "A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 590, Mar.
• Christian Gillitzer & Jonathan Kearns, 2007, "Forecasting with Factors: The Accuracy of Timeliness," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2007-03, Apr.
• Jarkko Jääskelä, 2007, "More Potent Monetary Policy? Insights from a Threshold Model," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2007-07, Jul.
• Barrera Carlos, 2007, "Proyecciones desagregadas de inflación con modelos Sparse VAR robustos," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2007-015, Sep.
• Matteo Ciccarelli & Carlo Altavilla, 2007, "Inflation Forecasts, Monetary Policy and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the US and the Euro area," 2007 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 315.
• Pedro José Pérez & Luisa Escriche & Jose Ramón García, 2007, "Las perturbaciones externas en la economía española tras la integración: ¿tamaño del shock o grado de respuesta?," Revista de Economia Aplicada, Universidad de Zaragoza, Departamento de Estructura Economica y Economia Publica, volume 15, issue 3, pages 5-39, Winter.
• John M. Maheu & Yong Song, 2012, "A New Structural Break Model with Application to Canadian Inflation Forecasting," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 27_12, Jun.
• Ramaprasad Bhar & Biljana Nikolova, 2007, "Analysis of Mean and Volatility Spillovers Using BRIC Countries, Regional and World Equity Index Returns," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, volume 22, pages 369-381.
• Caraiani, Petre, 2007, "An Analysis of the Fluctuations in the Romanian Economy using the Real Business Cycles Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 4, issue 2, pages 76-86, June.
• Raffaele Passaro, 2007, "The Predictive Power of Interest Rates Spread for Economic Activity," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, volume 97, issue 6, pages 81-112, November-.
• Fiorella Triscritti, 2007, "Free Trade and New Economic Powers: The Worldview of Peter Mandelson," RSCAS Working Papers, European University Institute, number 2007/11, Mar.
• Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2007, "Predicting Indian Business Cycles," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, volume 1, issue 3, pages 249-265, July, DOI: 10.1177/097380100700100301.
• Peter J. Klenow & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2007, "State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing: Does It Matter for Recent U.S. Inflation?," Discussion Papers, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, number 07-007, Jul.
• Rolando Pelàez, 2007, "Ex ante forecasts of business-cycle turning points," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 32, issue 1, pages 239-246, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-006-0083-4.
• Roberto Dell’Anno & Miguel Gómez-Antonio & Angel Alañon-Pardo, 2007, "The shadow economy in three Mediterranean countries: France, Spain and Greece. A MIMIC approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 33, issue 1, pages 197-197, July, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-007-0138-1.
• Roberto Dell’Anno & Miguel Gómez-Antonio & Angel Pardo, 2007, "The shadow economy in three Mediterranean countries: France, Spain and Greece. A MIMIC approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 33, issue 1, pages 51-84, July, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-006-0084-3.
• Hiroyuki Nakata, 2007, "A Model of Financial Markets with Endogenously Correlated Rational Beliefs," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 30, issue 3, pages 431-452, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-005-0068-0.
• Erling Røed Larsen & Steffen Weum, 2007, "Home, Sweet Home or Is It - Always? Testing the Efficiency of the Norwegian Housing Market," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 506, Jun.
• Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007, "Robust Monetary Rules under Unstructured and Structured Model Uncertainty," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0707, Oct.
• Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007, "Monetary Rules in Emerging Economies with Financial Market Imperfections," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0807, Oct.
• Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Richard Pierse, 2007, "Monetary Policy Coordination Revisited in a Two-Bloc DSGE Model," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0907, Oct.
• Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2007, "The Credibility Problem Revisited: Thirty Years on from Kydland and Prescott," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 1807, Nov.
• Melisso Boschi & Alessandro Girardi, 2007, "Euro area inflation: long-run determinants and short-run dynamics," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 17, issue 1, pages 9-24, DOI: 10.1080/09603100600592828.
• Bernd Meyer & Christian Lutz & Peter Schnur & Gerd Zika, 2007, "National Economic Policy Simulations with Global Interdependencies: A Sensitivity Analysis for Germany," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 19, issue 1, pages 37-55, DOI: 10.1080/09535310601164765.
• John Aldrich & Anna Staszewska, 2007, "The experiment in macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 14, issue 2, pages 143-166, DOI: 10.1080/13501780701394060.
• Jordi Galí, 2007, "Constant interest rate projections without the curse of indeterminacy," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1057, Aug, revised Feb 2008.
• Hiroyuki NAKATA, 2007, "Communication, correlation of beliefs and asset price fluctuations," Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali, Vita e Pensiero, Pubblicazioni dell'Universita' Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, volume 115, issue 3, pages 443-469.
• Mehrotra, Aaron & Rautava, Jouko, 2007, "Do sentiment indicators help to assess and predict actual developments of the Chinese economy?," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 11/2007.
• Jokivuolle, Esa & Kilponen, Juha & Kuusi, Tero, 2007, "GDP at risk in a DSGE model: an application to banking sector stress testing," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 26/2007.
• Scharnagl, Michael & Schumacher, Christian, 2007, "Reconsidering the role of monetary indicators for euro area inflation from a Bayesian perspective using group inclusion probabilities," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2007,09.
• Weber, Anke, 2007, "Heterogeneous expectations, learning and European inflation dynamics," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2007,16.
• Knüppel, Malte & Tödter, Karl-Heinz, 2007, "Quantifying risk and uncertainty in macroeconomic forecasts," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2007,25.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2007, "Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2007,34.
• Hogrefe, Jens, 2007, "The yield spread and GDP growth - Time Varying Leading Properties and the Role of Monetary Policy," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2007-12.
• Ager, Philipp & Kappler, Marcus & Osterloh, Steffen, 2007, "The Accuracy and Efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A Further Application and Extension of the Pooled Approach," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 07-058.

2006

• Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2006, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: from Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Economics Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 0631.
• Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2006, "The Predictive Content of the Output Gap for Inflation: Resolving In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 38, issue 5, pages 1127-1148, August, DOI: 10.1353/mcb.2006.0068.
• Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2006, "The Econometric Analysis of Constructed Binary Time Series," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 963.
• Robert Dixon & David Shepherd, 2006, "The Cyclical Dynamics and Volatility of Australian Output and Employment," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 968.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2006, "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2006," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-15, December.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2006, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2006," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-26, June.
• Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2006, "A generalised dynamic factor model for the Belgian economy - Useful business cycle indicators and GDP growth forecasts," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 80, Mar.
• Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2006, "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 0332, Dec.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2006, "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 12324, Jun.
• Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006, "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 12415, Aug.
• Patrick J. Kehoe, 2006, "How to Advance Theory with Structural VARs: Use the Sims-Cogley-Nason Approach," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 12575, Oct.
• Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2006, "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 12772, Dec.
• G. Biau & O. Biau & L. Rouviere, 2006, "Nonparametric Forecasting of the Manufacturing Output Growth with Firm-level Survey Data," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number g2006-06.
• Roland Meeks, 2006, "Credit Shocks and Cycles: a Bayesian Calibration Approach," Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, number 2006-W11, Aug.
• Khoon Lek Goh & Daniel Lawrence, 2006, "Treasury’s Forecasting Performance: A Head-to-Head Comparison," Treasury Working Paper Series, New Zealand Treasury, number 06/10, Jul.
• Peter Hoeller & Claude Giorno, 2006, "Nothing Ventured, Nothing Gained: The Long-Run Fiscal Reward of Structural Reforms," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 493, Jun, DOI: 10.1787/658801348663.
• Annabelle Mourougane, 2006, "Forecasting Monthly GDP for Canada," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 515, Sep, DOI: 10.1787/421416670553.
• Nigel Pain & Isabell Koske & Marte Sollie, 2006, "Globalisation and Inflation in the OECD Economies," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 524, Nov, DOI: 10.1787/377011785643.
• Pelinescu Elena, 2006, "Modelarea inflaţiei în România," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 01, March.
• Madhavi Bokil & Axel Schimmelpfennig, 2006, "Three Attempts at Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, volume 45, issue 3, pages 341-368.
• Everts, Martin, 2006, "Sectoral and Industrial Business Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 1176, Jun.
• Everts, Martin, 2006, "Duration of Business Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 1219, Apr.
• Mendoza Lugo, Omar & Pedauga, Luis Enrique, 2006, "Efecto transferencia (pass-through) del tipo de cambio en los precios de bienes y servicios en Venezuela
  [Exchange rate pass-through on prices of goods and services in Venezuela]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 14874, Dec.
• Ghent, Andra, 2006, "Comparing Models of Macroeconomic Fluctuations: How Big Are the Differences?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 180, Aug.
• dong, congcong, 2006, "世界经济长波导论:对危机与萧条的研究及预测
  [An Introduction to World Economic Long Wave-Crises and Depressions: From Study to Anticipation]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 2106, Feb, revised 01 Mar 2006.
• Isiklar, Gultekin & Lahiri, Kajal & Loungani, Prakash, 2006, "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22065.
• Kitov, Ivan, 2006, "The Japanese economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 2737.
• Foresti, Pasquale, 2006, "Testing for Granger causality between stock prices and economic growth," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 2962, revised 2007.
• Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya, 2006, "Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 402, Oct.
• Odia Ndongo, Yves Francis, 2006, "Datation du Cycle du PIB Camerounais entre 1960 et 2003," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 552, Oct.
• He, Yijun & Barnett, William A., 2006, "Existence of bifurcation in macroeconomic dynamics: Grandmont was right," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 756, Nov.
• Vitek, Francis, 2006, "Monetary Policy Analysis in a Closed Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 797, Mar.
• Vitek, Francis, 2006, "Measuring the Stance of Monetary Policy in a Closed Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 801, Jun.
• Ahec Šonje, Amina & Katarina, Bacic, 2006, "A composite leading indicator for a small transition economy: the case of Croatia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 83135, Feb, revised Apr 2006.
• Mulraine, Millan L. B., 2006, "Real Exchange Rate Dynamics With Endogenous Distribution Costs," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9, Sep.
• Rangan Gupta & Moses M. Sichei, 2006, "A BVAR Model for the South African Economy," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200612, Jun.
• Rangan Gupta, 2006, "Forecasting the South African Economy with VARs and VECMs," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200618, Aug.
• Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2006, "A Small-Scale DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200621, Oct.
• Mejra Festić, 2006, "Procyclicality of Financial and Real Sector in Transition Economies," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2006, issue 4, pages 315-349, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.291.
• Carlo Altavilla & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2006, "Inflation Forecasts, Monetary Policy and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the US and the Euro Area," Discussion Papers, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy, number 7_2006, Apr.
• Mario Mesía & Eduardo Costa & Oscar Graham & Robert Soto & Alejandro Rabanal, 2006, "El costo del crédito en el Perú, revisión de la evolución reciente," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2006-004, Jun.
• Keiichiro Kobayashi & Masaru Inaba, 2006, "Business cycle accounting for the Japanese economy," 2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 313.
• Kevin J. Lansing, 2006, "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," 2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 758.
• Mario Gómez & Ivonne Dalila Gómez, 2006, "Correlación de la producción cíclica manufacturera de México y EUA comprobada con el análisis espectral," Revista Nicolaita de Estudios Económicos, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Empresariales, volume 0, issue 1, pages 51-75.
• Liam Graham & Stephen Wright, 2006, "Inspecting the noisy mechanism: the stochastic growth model with partial information," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 207, Jul.
• Viktor Dorofeenko & Gabriel S. Lee & Kevin D. Salyer, 2006, "Recovering from Crash States: A ''New'' Algorithm for Solving Dynamic Stochastic Macroeconomic Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 215, Jul.
• Oscar Mauricio Valencia, 2006, "Fiscal Policy and Microstructure of Treasury Bonds," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 328, Jul.
• M. Ratto & R. Girardi & R. Liska & W. Roeger & J. In't Veld, 2006, "Impact of oil prices in an estimated EU12 open economy model," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 386, Jul.
• Paul Levine & Peter McAdam & Joseph Pearlman, 2006, "Welfare Gains from Monetary Commitment in a Model of the Euro-Area," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 403, Jul.
• Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Richard Pierse, 2006, "Linear-Quadratic Approximation, Efficiency and Target-Implementability," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 441, Jul.
• Jim Granato & Eran Guse & Sunny Wong, 2006, "Learning From the Expectations of Others," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 449, Jul.
• Kevin J. Lansing, 2006, "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 488, Jul.
• William A. Barnett & Evgeniya A. Duzhak, 2006, "Bifurcation analysis of New Keynesian models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 55, Jul.
• Caesar Lack, 2006, "Forecasting Swiss inflation using VAR models," Economic Studies, Swiss National Bank, number 2006-02.
• Subal Khumbhakar, 2006, "Specification and estimation of nonstandard profit functions," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 31, issue 1, pages 243-260, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-005-0043-4.
• Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche, 2006, "Growth and inflation forecasts for Germany a panel-based assessment of accuracy and efficiency," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 31, issue 3, pages 777-798, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-005-0050-5.
• Subal Kumbhakar, 2006, "Specification and estimation of nonstandard profit functions," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 31, issue 3, pages 799-799, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-006-0054-9.
• Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2006, "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 06-101/4, Nov.
• Matti Viren, 2006, "Inflation Expectations and Regime Shifts," Discussion Papers, Aboa Centre for Economics, number 5, Apr.
• Babutsidze, Zakaria, 2006, "(S,s) Pricing: Does the Heterogeneity Wipe Out the Asymmetry on Micro Level?," MERIT Working Papers, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT), number 2006-033.
• Anthony Garratt & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2006, "Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 21, issue 4, pages 521-542, May, DOI: 10.1002/jae.850.
• Gultekin Isiklar & Kajal Lahiri & Prakash Loungani, 2006, "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross‐country surveys," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 21, issue 6, pages 703-725, September, DOI: 10.1002/jae.886.
• Clements, Michael P, 2006, "Internal consistency of survey respondents.forecasts : Evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics, number 772.
• John Aldrich & Anna Staszewska, 2006, "The experiment in macroeconometrics," Working Papers, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics, number 12, May.
• Curran, Declan & Funke, Michael, 2006, "Taking the temperature: forecasting GDP growth for mainland in China," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 6/2006.
• Knetsch, Thomas A., 2006, "Forecasting the price of crude oil via convenience yield predictions," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2006,12.
• Schumacher, Christian & Breitung, Jörg, 2006, "Real-time forecasting of GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2006,33.
• Ziegler, Christina & Eickmeier, Sandra, 2006, "How good are dynamic factor models at forecasting output and inflation? A meta-analytic approach," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2006,42.
• Ciccarelli, Matteo & Mojon, Benoît, 2006, "Global Inflation," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), number 1337.
• Döhrn, Roland, 2006, "Improving Business Cycle Forecasts' Accuracy - What Can We Learn from Past Errors?," RWI Discussion Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, number 51.