Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2007

• Ferran Sancho, 2007, "The Total Fiscal Cost of Indirect Taxation: an Approximation Using Catalonia's Recent Input-output Table," UFAE and IAE Working Papers, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC), number 716.07, Oct.
• Brad Baxter & Liam Graham & Stephen Wright, 2007, "The Endogenous Kalman Filter," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 0719, Nov.
• Valentin Toader & Rozalia Veronica Rus, 2007, "The Impact Of Inflation Expectations On Transylvanian Smes’ Activity," JOURNAL STUDIA UNIVERSITATIS BABES-BOLYAI NEGOTIA, Babes-Bolyai University, Faculty of Business.
• René Lalonde & Dirk Muir, 2007, "The Bank of Canada's Version of the Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM)," Technical Reports, Bank of Canada, number 98, DOI: 10.34989/tr-98.
• Maral Kichian & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2007, "Does Indexation Bias the Estimated Frequency of Price Adjustment?," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 07-15, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2007-15.
• Frédérick Demers & Ryan Macdonald, 2007, "The Canadian Business Cycle: A Comparison of Models," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 07-38, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2007-38.
• Michael Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence L. Schembri, 2007, "Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s: (Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 07-45, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2007-45.
• Calista Cheung & Frédérick Demers, 2007, "Evaluating Forecasts from Factor Models for Canadian GDP Growth and Core Inflation," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 07-8, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2007-8.
• Verónica Balzarotti, 2007, "Real Interest Rate Risk in the Argentine Banking System. A Measuring Model," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, volume 1, issue 46, pages 7-61, January -.
• Pedro Elosegui & Guillermo Escudé & Lorena Garegnani & Juan Martín Sotes Paladino (ed.), 2007, "A Small Economic Model for Argentina," BCRA Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 03, ISBN: ARRAY(0x9ffa5038), November.
• Pedro Elosegui & Guillermo Escudé & Lorena Garegnani & Juan Martín Sotes Paladino, 2007, "The BCRA’s Small Economic Model," BCRA Working Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 200718, Jan.
• Gabriel Jiménez & Javier Mencía, 2007, "Modeling the distribution of credit losses with observable and latent factors," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0709, Apr.
• Javier Andrés & Fernando Restoy, 2007, "Macroeconomic modelling in EMU: how relevant is the change in regime?," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0718, Jun.
• Boivin, J. & Giannoni, M., 2007, "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," Working papers, Banque de France, number 162.
• Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier & Jean-Paul Renne, 2007, "Does uncertainty make a time-varying natural rate of interest irrelevant for the conduct of monetary policy?," Working papers, Banque de France, number 175.
• Chauvin, V. & Devulder, A., 2007, "Maquette d’inflation zone euro," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 167, pages 77-94.
• Guangling (dave Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2007, "A Small‐Scale Dsge Model For Forecasting The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 75, issue 2, pages 179-193, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.2007.00118.x.
• Rangan Gupta, 2007, "FORECASTING THE SOUTH AFRICAN ECONOMY WITH GIBBS SAMPLED BVECMs," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 75, issue 4, pages 631-643, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.2007.00141.x.
• Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2007, "Input and Output Inventories in General Equilibrium," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 658, Mar, revised 23 Oct 2009.
• Maria K. Albani & Nicholas G. Zonzilos & Zacharias G. Bragoudakis, 2007, "An operational framework for the short-term forecasting of inflation," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 29, pages 89-106, October.
• Piero Ferri & Anna Maria Variato, 2007, "Endogenous Cycles, Debt and Monetary Policy," Working Papers (-2012), University of Bergamo, Department of Economics, number 0703, Jul.
• Piero Ferri & Anna Maria Variato, 2007, "Macro Dynamics in a Model with Uncertainty," Working Papers (-2012), University of Bergamo, Department of Economics, number 0704, Jul.
• David R.F. Love, 2007, "Aggregate Comovements, Anticipation, and Business Cycles," Working Papers, Brock University, Department of Economics, number 0704, Jun, revised Jun 2007.
• D'Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007, "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 10/RT/07, Dec.
• Régis Barnichon, 2007, "Productivity, Aggregate Demand and Unemployment Fluctuations," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0819, Aug.
• Régis Barnichon, 2007, "The Shimer Puzzle and the Correct Identification of Productivity Shocks," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0823, Aug.
• Roy Batchelor, 2007, "Forecaster Behaviour and Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 39.
• Johannes Mayr & Dirk Ulbricht, 2007, "VAR Model Averaging for Multi-Step Forecasting," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 48.
• Vojtech Benda & Lubos Ruzicka, 2007, "Short-term Forecasting Methods Based on the LEI Approach: The Case of the Czech Republic," Research and Policy Notes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2007/01, Dec.
• Eliana Gonz�lez Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velnadia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007, "Pron�sticos directos de la inflaci�n colombiana," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4246, Sep.
• Eliana Gonz�lez Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velnadia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007, "Pron�sticos directos de la inflaci�n colombiana," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4247, Sep.
• Andr�s Langebaek & Eliana Gonz�lez M., 2007, "Inflaci�N Y Precios Relativos En Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4248, Oct.
• Andr�s Langebaek & Eliana Gonz�lez M., 2007, "Inflaci�N Y Precios Relativos En Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4249, Oct.
• Jos� Luis Torres, 2007, "La estimaci�n de la brecha del producto en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4288, Oct.
• Juan Manuel Julio, 2007, "The Fan Chart: The Technical Details Of The New Implementation," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4294, Nov.
• Ignacio Lozano & Carolina Ramírez & Alexander Guarín, 2007, "Sostenibilidad fiscal en Colombia: una mirada hacia el mediano plazo," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE.
• Timmermann, Allan & Patton, Andrew, 2007, "Learning in Real Time: Theory and Empirical Evidence from the Term Structure of Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 6526, Oct.
• Giannone, Domenico & D’Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007, "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 6594, Dec.
• Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2007, "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 6600, Dec.
• Richardson, James W. & Herbst, Brian & Duncan, Anthony & den Besten, Mark & van Hoven, Peter, 2007, "Location Preference for Risk-Averse Dutch Dairy Farmers Immigrating to the United States," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, volume 39, issue 3, pages 735-748, December.
• Olivier Coibion, 2007, "Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," Working Papers, Economics Department, William & Mary, number 61, Oct.
• Corporate author, 2007, "Tendenzen der Wirtschaftsentwicklung 2007/2008," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 74, issue 30, pages 453-477.
• Pham The Anh, 2007, "Growth, Volatility And Stabilisation Policy In A DSGE Model With Nominal Rigidities And Learning-By-Doing," Working Papers, Development and Policies Research Center (DEPOCEN), Vietnam, number 04, Jun.
• Kenny, Geoff & Genre, Véronique & Bowles, Carlos & Friz, Roberta & Meyler, Aidan & Rautanen, Tuomas, 2007, "The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) - A review after eight years' experience," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 59, Apr.
• McAdam, Peter & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2007, "Quantifying and sustaining welfare gains from monetary commitment," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 709, Jan.
• Mestre, Ricardo, 2007, "Are survey-based inflation expections in the euro area informative?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 721, Feb.
• Ciccarelli, Matteo & Altavilla, Carlo, 2007, "Inflation Forecasts, monetary policy and unemployment dynamics: evidence from the US and the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 725, Feb.
• Rünstler, Gerhard & Bańbura, Marta, 2007, "A look into the factor model black box: publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 751, May.
• Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G. & Pierse, Richard, 2007, "Linear-quadratic approximation, external habit and targeting rules," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 759, Jun.
• Vansteenkiste, Isabel & Dées, Stéphane, 2007, "The transmission of US cyclical developments to the rest of the world," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 798, Aug.
• Surico, Paolo & Benati, Luca, 2007, "Evolving U.S. monetary policy and the decline of inflation predictability," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 824, Oct.
• Klaus Adam, 2007, "Experimental Evidence on the Persistence of Output and Inflation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 117, issue 520, pages 603-636, April.
• Lees, Kirdan & Matheson, Troy, 2007, "Mind your ps and qs! Improving ARMA forecasts with RBC priors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 96, issue 2, pages 275-281, August.
• Huisman, Ronald & Huurman, Christian & Mahieu, Ronald, 2007, "Hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 2, pages 240-248, March.
• Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2007, "A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 23, issue 2, pages 219-236.
• Ang, Andrew & Bekaert, Geert & Wei, Min, 2007, "Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 54, issue 4, pages 1163-1212, May.
• Barnichon, Regis, 2007, "The Shimer puzzle and the correct identification of productivity shocks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 19691, Aug.
• Barnichon, Regis, 2007, "Productivity, aggregate demand and unemployment fluctuations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 19694, Aug.
• William A. Barnett & Ikuyasu Usui, 2007, "The Theoretical Regularity Properties of the Normalized Quadratic Consumer Demand Model," International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Functional Structure Inference", DOI: 10.1016/S1571-0386(07)18006-6.
• Quante, R. & Meyr, H. & Fleischmann, M., 2007, "Revenue Management and Demand Fulfillment: Matching Applications, Models, and Software," ERIM Report Series Research in Management, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam, number ERS-2007-050-LIS, Aug.
• Huisman, R. & Huurman, C. & Mahieu, R.J., 2007, "Hourly Electricity Prices in Day-Ahead Markets," ERIM Report Series Research in Management, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam, number ERS-2007-002-F&A, Jan.
• Alastair R. Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M. Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2007, "Information criteria for impulse response function matching estimation of DSGE models," FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, number 2007-10.
• Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2007, "Input and output inventories in general equilibrium," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 07-16.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007, "Real-time measurement of business conditions," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 901.
• V. V. Chari & Patrick J. Kehoe & Ellen R. McGrattan, 2007, "Are structural VARs with long-run restrictions useful in developing business cycle theory?," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 364.
• Bart De Ketelbutter & Ludovic Dobbelaere & Filip Vanhorebeek, 2007, "Working Paper 10-07 - Foreign trade in Modtrim," Working Papers, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium, number 200710, Sep.
• Marcelo de Oliveira Passos & José Luís Oreiro, 2007, "Um modelo macrodinâmico pós-keynesiano de simulação para uma economia aberta," Working Papers, Universidade Federal do Paraná, Department of Economics, number 0069.
• Edward N. Gamber & Julie K. Smith, 2007, "Are the Fed’s Inflation Forecasts Still Superior to the Private Sector’s?," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2007-002, Nov, revised Jul 2008.
• Hansson, Jesper & Jansson, Per & Löf, Mårten, 2003, "Business Survey Data: Do They Help in Forecasting the Macro Economy?," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 84, May.
• Andersson, Michael K. & Karlsson, Gustav & Svensson, Josef, 2007, "The Riksbank’s Forecasting Performance," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 218, Dec.
• Hans Genberg & Jian Chang, 2007, "A VAR Framework for Forecasting Hong Kong'S Output and Inflation," Working Papers, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, number 0702, Mar.
• J.E. Boscá & A. Bustos & A. Díaz & R. Doménech & J. Ferri & E. Pérez & L. Puch, 2007, "The REMSDB Macroeconomic Database of The Spanish Economy," Working Papers, International Economics Institute, University of Valencia, number 0704, Oct.
• Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2007, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Discussion Paper Series, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University, number 0715.
• Maruška Vizek & Tanja Broz, 2007, "Modelling Inflation in Croatia," Working Papers, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb, number 0703, Jun.
• Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 2007, "Characteristics of Unemployment Dynamics. The Chain Reaction Approach," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 205, Apr.
• Hofer, Helmut & Kunst, Robert M. & Schwarzbauer, Wolfgang & Schuh, Ulrich & Snower, Dennis J., 2007, "Some Evidence on the Relevance of the Chain-reaction Theory in Selected Countries," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 207, May.
• Paul Levine & Peter McAdam & Joseph Pearlman, 2007, "Inflation-Forecast-Based Rules and Indeterminacy: A Puzzle and a Resolution," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 3, issue 4, pages 77-110, December.
• Malin Adolfson & Michael K. Andersson & Jesper Lindé & Mattias Villani & Anders Vredin, 2007, "Modern Forecasting Models in Action: Improving Macroeconomic Analyses at Central Banks," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 3, issue 4, pages 111-144, December.
• Bianca Maria Martelli & Gaia Rocchetti, 2007, "Cyclical features of the ISAE business services series," ISAE Working Papers, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY), number 89, Dec.
• Bastian M. Zams & Nawalage S. Cooray, 2007, "Econometric Analysis of the Exchange Rate Channel and Monetary Policy Rule: The Case of Indonesia," Working Papers, Research Institute, International University of Japan, number EMS_2007_04, Oct.
• George Athanasopoulos & Heather M. Anderson & Farshid Vahid, 2007, "Nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of output in G-7 countries," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 22, issue 1, pages 63-87, DOI: 10.1002/jae.935.
• Kin-Yip Ho & Albert K Tsui & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2007, "An Analysis Of The Conditional Volatility Dynamics Of The Australian Business Cycle," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, volume 32, issue 2, pages 157-182, December.
• O. De Bandt & E. Michaux & C. Bruneau & A. Flageollet, 2007, "Forecasting inflation using economic indicators: the case of France," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 26, issue 1, pages 1-22, DOI: 10.1002/for.1001.
• Thomas A. Knetsch, 2007, "Forecasting the price of crude oil via convenience yield predictions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 26, issue 7, pages 527-549, DOI: 10.1002/for.1040.
• George Hondroyiannis & Sophia Lazaretou, 2007, "Inflation persistence during periods of structural change: an assessment using Greek data," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 34, issue 5, pages 453-475, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-007-9043-2.
• Szabó-Bakos, Eszter, 2007, "Az új keynesi elvek alkalmazása a Fed, az IMF és az Európai Központi Bank modellezési gyakorlatában
  [Application of new Keynesian principles in the modelling practice of the Fed, the IMF and the European Central Bank]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 5, pages 415-434.
• Viktors Ajevskis, 2007, "Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in Latvia," Working Papers, Latvijas Banka, number 2007/04, Nov.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2007, "Erratum to "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?"," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 39, issue 7, pages 1849-1849, October.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2007, "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 39, issue s1, pages 3-33, February.
• Jean-Stéphane MESONNIER, 2007, "The predictive content of the real interest rate gap for macroeconomic variables in the euro area," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 102, Feb.
• ÿlvaro Aguiar & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2007, "Monetary Policy and the Political Support for a Labor Market Reform," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006, Money Macro and Finance Research Group, number 112, Feb.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2007, "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2007," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-16, December.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2007, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2007," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-28, June.
• Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007, "Monetary Rules in Emerging Economies with Financial Market Imperfections," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "International Dimensions of Monetary Policy".
• Jon Faust & Jonathan H. Wright, 2007, "Comparing Greenbook and Reduced Form Forecasts using a Large Realtime Dataset," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 13397, Sep.
• Michael D. Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence Schembri, 2007, "Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s:(Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 13605, Nov.
• Pablo A. Guerron, 2007, "What You Match Does Matter: The Effects of Data on DSGE Estimation," Working Paper Series, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics, number 012, Jul.
• Pablo A. Guerron, 2007, "The Welfare Costs of Inflation in a Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Model," Working Paper Series, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics, number 013, Jul.
• Ivan Kitov & Oleg Kitov & Svetlana Dolinskaya, 2007, "Modeling Real GDP Per Capita in the USA: Cointegration Test," Mechonomics, Socionet, number mechanomics1, Apr.
• Ivan Kitov, 2007, "The Japanese Economy," Mechonomics, Socionet, number mechonomics6, Apr.
• Ivan Kitov, 2007, "Inflation, Unemployment, Labor Force Change in European Counties," Mechonomics, Socionet, number mechonomics7, Apr.
• Lukas Vogel, 2007, "How do the OECD Growth Projections for the G7 Economies Perform?: A Post-Mortem," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 573, Sep, DOI: 10.1787/111804483765.
• Minford Patrick, 2007, "Care sunt modelele şi politicile potrivite într-un context global cu inflaţie scăzută?," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 01, March.
• Sylvia Kaufmann, 2007, "Capturing the Link between M3 Growth and Inflation in the Euro Area – An Econometric Model to Produce Conditional Inflation Forecasts," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 93-108.
• Nooraddin Sharify & M. Alejandro Cardenete, 2007, "Cost-push impact of motor spirit price on price indices and inflation," Working Papers, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Economics, number 07.11, May.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007, "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 07-028, Jul.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2007, "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions, Second Version," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 08-011, Mar, revised 04 Apr 2008.
• Álvaro Aguiar & Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2007, "Monetary Policy and the Political Support for a Labor Market Reform," FEP Working Papers, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto, number 237, Feb.
• Falnita, Eugen & Sipos, Ciprian, 2007, "A multiple regression model for inflation rate in Romania in the enlarged EU," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 11473, Jan.
• ODIA NDONGO, Yves Francis, 2007, "Les sources des fluctuations marcoéconomiques au Cameroun," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 1308, Jan.
• Kitov, Ivan, 2007, "Inflation, unemployment, labor force change in European countries," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 14557, Jan.
• Haider, Adnan & Hanif, Muhammad Nadeem, 2007, "Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan using Artificial Neural Networks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 14645, Jul.
• Marcelle, Chauvet & Simon, Potter, 2007, "Monitoring Business Cycles with Structural Breaks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15097, Dec, revised 31 Apr 2009.
• Olafsdottir, Katrin & Sigurdsson, Kari, 2007, "Hversu vel tekst til með verðbólguspár greiningardeilda?
  [How accurate are the inflation forecasts published by the commercial banks?]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 18288.
• Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg & Dolinskaya, Svetlana, 2007, "Relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate in France: cointegration test," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 2736, Feb.
• Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg & Dolinskaya, Svetlana, 2007, "Modelling real GDP per capita in the USA: cointegration test," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 2739.
• Buncic, Daniel & Melecky, Martin, 2007, "An estimated New Keynesian policy model for Australia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 4138, Jul.
• Kitov, Ivan, 2007, "Exact prediction of inflation and unemployment in Canada," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 5015, Sep.
• Fabbri, Giorgio & Iacopetta, Maurizio, 2007, "Dynamic Programming, Maximum Principle and Vintage Capital," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 5115, Sep.
• D'Agostino, A & Surico, P, 2007, "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 6283, Nov.
• Gao, Xu, 2007, "Business Cycle Accounting for the Chinese Economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 7050, Nov, revised Dec 2007.
• Christoffel, Kai & Coenen, Gunter & Warne, Anders, 2007, "Conditional versus unconditional forecasting with the New Area-Wide Model of the euro area," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 76759, Jul.
• Rangan Gupta, 2007, "Forecasting the South African Economy with Gibbs Sampled BVECMs," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200701, Jan.
• Samuel Zita & Rangan Gupta, 2007, "Modelling and Forecasting the Metical-Rand Exchange Rate," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200702, Feb.
• Rangan Gupta, 2007, "Bayesian Methods of Forecasting Inventory Investment in South Africa," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200704, Feb.
• Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2007, "Forecasting the South African Economy: A DSGE-VAR Approach," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200724, Jul.
• Alan S Blinder & John Morgan, 2007, "Leadership in Groups: A Monetary Policy Experiment," Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies., number 151, Jul.
• Alan S. Blinder & John Morgan, 2007, "Leadership in Groups: A Monetary Policy Experiment," Working Papers, Princeton University. Economics Department., number 2007-3, Jul.
• Gregor W. Smith, 2007, "Pooling Forecasts In Linear Rational Expectations Models," Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University, number 1129, Jun.
• Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007, "A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK," Working Papers, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance, number 590, Mar.
• Christian Gillitzer & Jonathan Kearns, 2007, "Forecasting with Factors: The Accuracy of Timeliness," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2007-03, Apr.
• Jarkko Jääskelä, 2007, "More Potent Monetary Policy? Insights from a Threshold Model," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2007-07, Jul.
• Barrera Carlos, 2007, "Proyecciones desagregadas de inflación con modelos Sparse VAR robustos," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2007-015, Sep.
• Matteo Ciccarelli & Carlo Altavilla, 2007, "Inflation Forecasts, Monetary Policy and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the US and the Euro area," 2007 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 315.
• Pedro José Pérez & Luisa Escriche & Jose Ramón García, 2007, "Las perturbaciones externas en la economía española tras la integración: ¿tamaño del shock o grado de respuesta?," Revista de Economia Aplicada, Universidad de Zaragoza, Departamento de Estructura Economica y Economia Publica, volume 15, issue 3, pages 5-39, Winter.
• John M. Maheu & Yong Song, 2012, "A New Structural Break Model with Application to Canadian Inflation Forecasting," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 27_12, Jun.
• Ramaprasad Bhar & Biljana Nikolova, 2007, "Analysis of Mean and Volatility Spillovers Using BRIC Countries, Regional and World Equity Index Returns," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, volume 22, pages 369-381.
• Caraiani, Petre, 2007, "An Analysis of the Fluctuations in the Romanian Economy using the Real Business Cycles Approach," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 4, issue 2, pages 76-86, June.
• Raffaele Passaro, 2007, "The Predictive Power of Interest Rates Spread for Economic Activity," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, volume 97, issue 6, pages 81-112, November-.
• Fiorella Triscritti, 2007, "Free Trade and New Economic Powers: The Worldview of Peter Mandelson," RSCAS Working Papers, European University Institute, number 2007/11, Mar.
• Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2007, "Predicting Indian Business Cycles," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, volume 1, issue 3, pages 249-265, July, DOI: 10.1177/097380100700100301.
• Peter J. Klenow & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2007, "State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing: Does It Matter for Recent U.S. Inflation?," Discussion Papers, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, number 07-007, Jul.
• Rolando Pelàez, 2007, "Ex ante forecasts of business-cycle turning points," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 32, issue 1, pages 239-246, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-006-0083-4.
• Roberto Dell’Anno & Miguel Gómez-Antonio & Angel Alañon-Pardo, 2007, "The shadow economy in three Mediterranean countries: France, Spain and Greece. A MIMIC approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 33, issue 1, pages 197-197, July, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-007-0138-1.
• Roberto Dell’Anno & Miguel Gómez-Antonio & Angel Pardo, 2007, "The shadow economy in three Mediterranean countries: France, Spain and Greece. A MIMIC approach," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 33, issue 1, pages 51-84, July, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-006-0084-3.
• Hiroyuki Nakata, 2007, "A Model of Financial Markets with Endogenously Correlated Rational Beliefs," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), volume 30, issue 3, pages 431-452, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00199-005-0068-0.
• Erling Røed Larsen & Steffen Weum, 2007, "Home, Sweet Home or Is It - Always? Testing the Efficiency of the Norwegian Housing Market," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 506, Jun.
• Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007, "Robust Monetary Rules under Unstructured and Structured Model Uncertainty," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0707, Oct.
• Nicoletta Batini & Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman, 2007, "Monetary Rules in Emerging Economies with Financial Market Imperfections," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0807, Oct.
• Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Richard Pierse, 2007, "Monetary Policy Coordination Revisited in a Two-Bloc DSGE Model," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0907, Oct.
• Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2007, "The Credibility Problem Revisited: Thirty Years on from Kydland and Prescott," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 1807, Nov.
• Melisso Boschi & Alessandro Girardi, 2007, "Euro area inflation: long-run determinants and short-run dynamics," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 17, issue 1, pages 9-24, DOI: 10.1080/09603100600592828.
• Bernd Meyer & Christian Lutz & Peter Schnur & Gerd Zika, 2007, "National Economic Policy Simulations with Global Interdependencies: A Sensitivity Analysis for Germany," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 19, issue 1, pages 37-55, DOI: 10.1080/09535310601164765.
• John Aldrich & Anna Staszewska, 2007, "The experiment in macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 14, issue 2, pages 143-166, DOI: 10.1080/13501780701394060.
• Jordi Galí, 2007, "Constant interest rate projections without the curse of indeterminacy," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 1057, Aug, revised Feb 2008.
• Hiroyuki NAKATA, 2007, "Communication, correlation of beliefs and asset price fluctuations," Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali, Vita e Pensiero, Pubblicazioni dell'Universita' Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, volume 115, issue 3, pages 443-469.
• Mehrotra, Aaron & Rautava, Jouko, 2007, "Do sentiment indicators help to assess and predict actual developments of the Chinese economy?," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 11/2007.
• Jokivuolle, Esa & Kilponen, Juha & Kuusi, Tero, 2007, "GDP at risk in a DSGE model: an application to banking sector stress testing," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 26/2007.
• Scharnagl, Michael & Schumacher, Christian, 2007, "Reconsidering the role of monetary indicators for euro area inflation from a Bayesian perspective using group inclusion probabilities," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2007,09.
• Weber, Anke, 2007, "Heterogeneous expectations, learning and European inflation dynamics," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2007,16.
• Knüppel, Malte & Tödter, Karl-Heinz, 2007, "Quantifying risk and uncertainty in macroeconomic forecasts," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2007,25.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2007, "Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2007,34.
• Hogrefe, Jens, 2007, "The yield spread and GDP growth - Time Varying Leading Properties and the Role of Monetary Policy," Economics Working Papers, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics, number 2007-12.
• Ager, Philipp & Kappler, Marcus & Osterloh, Steffen, 2007, "The Accuracy and Efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A Further Application and Extension of the Pooled Approach," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 07-058.

2006

• Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2006, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: from Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 78.
• Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2006, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: from Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Economics Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 0631.
• Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2006, "The Predictive Content of the Output Gap for Inflation: Resolving In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 38, issue 5, pages 1127-1148, August, DOI: 10.1353/mcb.2006.0068.
• Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2006, "The Econometric Analysis of Constructed Binary Time Series," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 963.
• Robert Dixon & David Shepherd, 2006, "The Cyclical Dynamics and Volatility of Australian Output and Employment," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 968.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2006, "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2006," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 7-15, December.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2006, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2006," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 7-26, June.
• Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2006, "A generalised dynamic factor model for the Belgian economy - Useful business cycle indicators and GDP growth forecasts," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 80, Mar.
• Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2006, "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 0332, Dec.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2006, "Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 12324, Jun.
• Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006, "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 12415, Aug.
• Patrick J. Kehoe, 2006, "How to Advance Theory with Structural VARs: Use the Sims-Cogley-Nason Approach," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 12575, Oct.
• Jean Boivin & Marc Giannoni, 2006, "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 12772, Dec.
• G. Biau & O. Biau & L. Rouviere, 2006, "Nonparametric Forecasting of the Manufacturing Output Growth with Firm-level Survey Data," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number g2006-06.
• Roland Meeks, 2006, "Credit Shocks and Cycles: a Bayesian Calibration Approach," Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, number 2006-W11, Aug.
• Khoon Lek Goh & Daniel Lawrence, 2006, "Treasury’s Forecasting Performance: A Head-to-Head Comparison," Treasury Working Paper Series, New Zealand Treasury, number 06/10, Jul.
• Peter Hoeller & Claude Giorno, 2006, "Nothing Ventured, Nothing Gained: The Long-Run Fiscal Reward of Structural Reforms," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 493, Jun, DOI: 10.1787/658801348663.
• Annabelle Mourougane, 2006, "Forecasting Monthly GDP for Canada," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 515, Sep, DOI: 10.1787/421416670553.
• Nigel Pain & Isabell Koske & Marte Sollie, 2006, "Globalisation and Inflation in the OECD Economies," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 524, Nov, DOI: 10.1787/377011785643.