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Produktivitätswachstum in Deutschland: kein nachhaltiger Aufschwung in Sicht

Author

Listed:
  • Georg Erber
  • Ulrich Fritsche

Abstract

Die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktivitätsentwicklung in Deutschland ist nach dem Wiedervereinigungsboom im internationalen Vergleich deutlich eingebrochen. Nicht nur gegenüber den USA und Schwellenländern wie Südkorea, sondern auch im Vergleich zu anderen EU-Staaten fiel Deutschland seitdem zurück. Jedoch hat der wirtschaftliche Aufschwung im Jahr 2006 vorübergehend zu einem Anstieg der Stundenproduktivität je Erwerbstätigen geführt. Kann dieser Anstieg als eine Rückkehr zu einem höheren Trendwachstum gedeutet werden? Ökonometrische Tests zeigen, dass es sich wohl vor allem um einen konjunkturell bedingten Anstieg handeln dürfte. Der Rückgang der trendmäßigen Wachstumsrate ist demnach bestenfalls zum Stillstand gekommen. Soll sich das Produktivitätswachstum dauerhaft verbessern, ist eine wachstumsorientierte Wirtschaftspolitik erforderlich.

Suggested Citation

  • Georg Erber & Ulrich Fritsche, 2008. "Produktivitätswachstum in Deutschland: kein nachhaltiger Aufschwung in Sicht," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 75(36), pages 512-519.
  • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwob:75-36-1
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    Cited by:

    1. Kallweit Manuel & Kohlmeier Anabell, 2014. "Zusatzbeiträge in der Gesetzlichen Krankenversicherung / Income-independent Surcharges in German Statutory Health Insurance: Weiterentwicklungsoptionen und ihre finanziellen sowie allokativen Effekte ," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 234(4), pages 490-517, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Productivity growth; Time series decomposition; Business cycle; Long-term trend;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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