Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

---

Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

---

This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2013

• Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello & Gambetti, Luca, 2010, "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1167, Apr.
• Gelain, Paolo, 2010, "The external finance premium in the euro area A useful indicator for monetary policy?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1171, Apr.
• Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2010, "Forecasting with DSGE models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1185, May.
• Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2010, "Maximum likelihood estimation of factor models on data sets with arbitrary pattern of missing data," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1189, May.
• Fornari, Fabio & Lemke, Wolfgang, 2010, "Predicting recession probabilities with financial variables over multiple horizons," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1255, Oct.
• Gross, Marco, 2011, "Corporate bond spreads and real activity in the euro area - Least Angle Regression forecasting and the probability of the recession," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1286, Jan.
• Modugno, Michele, 2011, "Nowcasting inflation using high frequency data," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1324, Apr.
• Andersson, Magnus & D'Agostino, Antonello & de Bondt, Gabe & Roma, Moreno, 2011, "The predictive content of sectoral stock prices: a US-euro area comparison," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1343, May.
• Vetlov, Igor & Pisani, Massimiliano & Hlédik, Tibor & Jonsson, Magnus & Kucsera, Henrik, 2011, "Potential output in DSGE models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1351, Jun.
• Dieppe, Alistair & Ortega, Eva & D'Agostino, Antonello & Karlsson, Tohmas & Benkovskis, Konstantins & Caivano, Michele & Hurtado, Samuel & Várnai, Tímea, 2011, "Assessing the sensitivity of inflation to economic activity," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1357, Jun.
• Lombardi, Marco J. & Maier, Philipp, 2011, "Forecasting economic growth in the euro area during the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1379, Sep.
• Mohr, Matthias & Maurin, Laurent & Guérin, Pierre, 2011, "Trend-cycle decomposition of output and euro area inflation forecasts: a real-time approach based on model combination," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1384, Oct.
• McAdam, Peter & Lombardo, Giovanni, 2012, "Financial market frictions in a model of the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1423, Feb.
• Lombardi, Marco J. & Godbout, Claudia, 2012, "Short-term forecasting of the Japanese economy using factor models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1428, Mar.
• Nicoletti, Giulio & Passaro, Raffaele, 2012, "Sometimes it helps: the evolving predictive power of spreads on GDP dynamics," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1447, Jul.
• Schnatz, Bernd & D'Agostino, Antonello, 2012, "Survey-based nowcasting of US growth: a real-time forecast comparison over more than 40 years," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1455, Aug.
• Badarinza, Cristian & Gross, Marco, 2012, "Information flows and disagreement," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1475, Sep.
• Gerdesmeier, Dieter & Roffia, Barbara & Lenarčič, Andreja, 2012, "An alternative method for identifying booms and busts in the euro area housing market," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1493, Nov.
• Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Primiceri, Giorgio E., 2012, "Prior selection for vector autoregressions," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1494, Nov.
• Angelini, Elena & Dieppe, Alistair & Pierluigi, Beatrice, 2013, "Learning about wage and price mark-ups in euro area countries," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1512, Feb.
• Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2013, "Predictive likelihood comparisons with DSGE and DSGE-VAR models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1536, Apr.
• Giannone, Domenico & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Bańbura, Marta & Modugno, Michele, 2013, "Now-casting and the real-time data flow," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1564, Jul.
• Coenen, Günter & Warne, Anders, 2013, "Risks to price stability, the zero lower bound and forward guidance: a real-time assessment," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 1582, Aug.
• Aydan Kansu & Nurtac Yildirim & Oguzhan Ozcelebi, 2013, "Is There a Link Between Monetary Policy and Risk Perception in Eastern European Countries Implementing Inflation Targeting Regime?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, volume 3, issue 2, pages 476-485.
• Miguel, Belmonte & Gary, Koop, 2013, "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time- Varying Parameter Regression Models," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2013-34.
• Gary, Koop, 2013, "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2013-35.
• Narayan, Seema, 2013, "Foreign exchange markets and oil prices in Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, volume 28, issue C, pages 41-50, DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2013.06.003.
• Durevall, Dick & Loening, Josef L. & Ayalew Birru, Yohannes, 2013, "Inflation dynamics and food prices in Ethiopia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, volume 104, issue C, pages 89-106, DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2013.05.002.
• Benigno, Gianluca & Benigno, Pierpaolo & Nisticò, Salvatore, 2013, "Second-order approximation of dynamic models with time-varying risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 7, pages 1231-1247, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2013.03.007.
• Pakoš, Michal, 2013, "Long-run risk and hidden growth persistence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 37, issue 9, pages 1911-1928, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2013.04.005.
• Fondeur, Y. & Karamé, F., 2013, "Can Google data help predict French youth unemployment?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 117-125, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.07.017.
• Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2013, "Do corporate executives have accurate predictions for the economy? A directional analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 167-174, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.09.029.
• Di Giorgio, Giorgio & Traficante, Guido, 2013, "The loss from uncertainty on policy targets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 175-182, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.08.006.
• Barnett, William A. & Eryilmaz, Unal, 2013, "Hopf bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 31, issue C, pages 401-404, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.11.051.
• Gupta, Rangan & Steinbach, Rudi, 2013, "A DSGE-VAR model for forecasting key South African macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 19-33, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.03.012.
• Öğünç, Fethi & Akdoğan, Kurmaş & Başer, Selen & Chadwick, Meltem Gülenay & Ertuğ, Dilara & Hülagü, Timur & Kösem, Sevim & Özmen, Mustafa Utku & Tekatlı, Necati, 2013, "Short-term inflation forecasting models for Turkey and a forecast combination analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 33, issue C, pages 312-325, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.04.001.
• Agnello, Luca & Dufrénot, Gilles & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2013, "Using time-varying transition probabilities in Markov switching processes to adjust US fiscal policy for asset prices," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 34, issue C, pages 25-36, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.11.054.
• Rossi, Barbara, 2013, "Advances in Forecasting under Instability," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier, chapter 0, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann, "Handbook of Economic Forecasting", DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-444-62731-5.00021-X.
• BaÅ„bura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013, "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier, chapter 0, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann, "Handbook of Economic Forecasting", DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-444-53683-9.00004-9.
• Wieland, Volker & Wolters, Maik, 2013, "Forecasting and Policy Making," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Elsevier, chapter 0, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann, "Handbook of Economic Forecasting", DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-444-53683-9.00005-0.
• Kollmann, Robert, 2013, "Estimating the state vector of linearized DSGE models without the Kalman filter," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 120, issue 1, pages 65-66, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.03.041.
• Matheson, Troy & Stavrev, Emil, 2013, "The Great Recession and the inflation puzzle," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 120, issue 3, pages 468-472, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.06.001.
• Dovern, Jonas, 2013, "When are GDP forecasts updated? Evidence from a large international panel," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 120, issue 3, pages 521-524, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.06.007.
• Inoue, Atsushi & Kilian, Lutz, 2013, "Inference on impulse response functions in structural VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 177, issue 1, pages 1-13, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.02.009.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013, "Large time-varying parameter VARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 177, issue 2, pages 185-198, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.04.007.
• Billio, Monica & Casarin, Roberto & Ravazzolo, Francesco & van Dijk, Herman K., 2013, "Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 177, issue 2, pages 213-232, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2013.04.009.
• Ponomarenko, Alexey, 2013, "Early warning indicators of asset price boom/bust cycles in emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 15, issue C, pages 92-106, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2013.02.006.
• Lu, Yingying & Stegman, Alison & Cai, Yiyong, 2013, "Emissions intensity targeting: From China's 12th Five Year Plan to its Copenhagen commitment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, pages 1164-1177, DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.06.075.
• Ho, Tai-kuang & Lai, Cheng-chung, 2013, "Silver fetters? The rise and fall of the Chinese price level 1928–34," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, volume 50, issue 3, pages 446-462, DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2013.03.001.
• Mallick, Sushanta K. & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2013, "The real effects of financial stress in the Eurozone," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 1-17, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2013.05.003.
• Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013, "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 1, pages 43-59, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.05.006.
• Chang, Chia-Lin & de Bruijn, Bert & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013, "Analyzing fixed-event forecast revisions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 4, pages 622-627, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.04.002.
• Modugno, Michele, 2013, "Now-casting inflation using high frequency data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 4, pages 664-675, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.12.003.
• Keen, Steve, 2013, "A monetary Minsky model of the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 86, issue C, pages 221-235, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2011.01.010.
• Deschamps, Bruno & Ioannidis, Christos, 2013, "Can rational stubbornness explain forecast biases?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 92, issue C, pages 141-151, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2013.05.011.
• Neveu, Andre R., 2013, "Fiscal policy and business cycle characteristics in a heterogeneous agent macro model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 92, issue C, pages 224-240, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2013.06.006.
• Henzel, Steffen R., 2013, "Fitting survey expectations and uncertainty about trend inflation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 35, issue C, pages 172-185, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2012.10.007.
• Cuddington, John T. & Zellou, Abdel M., 2013, "A simple mineral market model: Can it produce super cycles in prices?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 38, issue 1, pages 75-87, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2012.09.003.
• Pustov, Alexander & Malanichev, Alexander & Khobotilov, Ilya, 2013, "Long-term iron ore price modeling: Marginal costs vs. incentive price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 38, issue 4, pages 558-567, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2013.09.003.
• Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013, "Are forecast updates progressive?," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, volume 93, issue C, pages 9-18, DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2013.03.007.
• Andrade, Philippe & Le Bihan, Hervé, 2013, "Inattentive professional forecasters," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 60, issue 8, pages 967-982, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2013.08.005.
• Maertens Odria, Luís Ricardo & Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2013, "Inflation expectations formation in the presence of policy shifts and structural breaks: An experimental analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, volume 44, issue C, pages 59-67, DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2013.02.001.
• Fusari, Angelo & Reati, Angelo, 2013, "Endogenizing technical change: Uncertainty, profits, entrepreneurship. A long-term view of sectoral dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, volume 24, issue C, pages 76-100, DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2012.06.004.
• Fakhri Issaoui & Talel Boufateh & Ghassen El Montasser, 2013, "The Dynamic Effect of Oil Rent on Industrial Value Added: a SVAR Approach," EERI Research Paper Series, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels, number EERI RP 2013/04, Mar.
• Robert Kollmann, 2013, "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2013-29, May.
• Takashi Kano, 2013, "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Closing a Two-Country Model," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2013-62, Sep.
• Jacek Kotłowski & Aleksandra Halka, 2013, "Does domestic output gap matter for inflation in a small open economy?," EcoMod2013, EcoMod, number 5615, Jun.
• Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2013, "Housing market cycles – a disequilibrium model and its application to the primary housing market in Warsaw," Ekonomia journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, volume 35.
• Alejandro Iván Aguirre Salado & Humberto Vaquera Huerta & Martha Elva Ramírez Guzmán & José René Valdez Lazalde & Carlos Arturo Aguirre Salado, 2013, "Value-at-Risk-Estimation in the Mexican Stock Exchange Using Conditional Heteroscedasticity Models and Theory of Extreme Values," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, volume 0, issue 1, pages 177-205., January-J.
• Víctor M. Guerrero, 2013, "Predictive Ability of the Composed Cyclical Indices for the Turning Points of the Mexican Economy," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, volume 0, issue 1, pages 47-99, January-J.
• Claudia Foroni & Eric Ghysels & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013, "Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregressive Models☆This views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Norges Bank. The usual disclaimers apply," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "VAR Models in Macroeconomics – New Developments and Applications: Essays in Honor of Christopher A. Sims", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-9053(2013)0000031007.
• Ivan Jeliazkov, 2013, "Nonparametric Vector Autoregressions: Specification, Estimation, and Inference," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "VAR Models in Macroeconomics – New Developments and Applications: Essays in Honor of Christopher A. Sims", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-9053(2013)0000031009.
• Leonardo Morales‐Arias & Guilherme V. Moura, 2013, "A conditionally heteroskedastic global inflation model," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 40, issue 4, pages 572-596, August, DOI: 10.1108/JES-10-2011-0127.
• Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013, "A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2013/02.
• Paul Hubert, 2013, "FOMC forecasts as a focal point for private expectations," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE), number 2013-12, Jul.
• Andrew Foerster & Juan Rubio-Ramirez & Dan Waggoner & Ta Zha, 2013, "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," Working Papers, FEDEA, number 2013-22, Dec.
• Fabia Gumbau-Brisa & Giovanni P. Olivei, 2013, "An evaluation of the Federal Reserve estimates of the natural rate of unemployment in real time," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 13-24, Dec.
• Robert Kollmann, 2013, "Tractable latent state filtering for non-linear DSGE models using a second-order approximation," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 147.
• Christine Garnier & Elmar Mertens & Edward Nelson, 2013, "Trend inflation in advanced economies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2013-74.
• Andrew T. Foerster & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2013, "Perturbation methods for Markov-switching DSGE model," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 13-01.
• Marco Del Negro & Marc Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2013, "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian models," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 618.
• Philippe Andrade & Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2013, "Fundamental disagreement," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 655, Dec.
• Sergey Tsukhlo, 2013, "Russian Industrial Enterprises (on the Basis of the Surveys) in 2012," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number 157, revised 2013.
• Pedro Brinca, 2013, "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross-Country Analysis," GEMF Working Papers, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, number 2013-24, Nov.
• Peter Fuleky & Carl, 2013, "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, number 2013-5, Apr.
• Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013, "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 201305, Apr.
• Inna Cintina, 2013, "Behind-the-counter, but Over-the-border? The Assessment of the Spillover Effect of Increased Availability of Emergency Contraception in Washington on Neighboring States," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 201308, May.
• Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013, "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 201316, Aug.
• Luca Agnello & Gilles Dufrénot & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2013, "Using time-varying transition probabilities in Markov switching processes to adjust US fiscal policy for asset prices," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01498264, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.11.054.
• Marie Bessec, 2013, "Short-term forecasts of French GDP: A dynamic factor model with targeted predictors," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01515605, DOI: 10.1002/for.2262.
• Y. Fondeur & F. Karamé, 2013, "Can Google data help predict French youth unemployment?," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-02297071, Jan, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.07.017.
• Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli & Juan-Pablo Ortega, 2013, "Forecasting US growth during the Great Recession: Is the financial volatility the missing ingredient?," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-04141198.
• De Graeve, Ferre & Westermark, Andreas, 2013, "Un-truncating VARs," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 271, Jun.
• Brinca, Pedro, 2013, "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross-Country Analysis," Research Papers in Economics, Stockholm University, Department of Economics, number 2013:13, Sep.
• Vladimir Kossov & Elena Kossova, 2013, "International dispersion of retail diesel fuel prices and the estimation of normal price values," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 27/EC/2013.
• Bulat Gafarov, 2013, "Do unobserved components models forecast inflation in Russia?," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 35/EC/2013.
• Oxana A. Malakhovskaya & Alexey R. Minabutdinov, 2013, "Are commodity price shocks important? A Bayesian estimation of a DSGE model for Russia," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 48/EC/2013.
• Oana Camelia Iacob & Ana-Maria VOlintiru & Andrei Mihai Cristea, 2013, "Efficiency of economic development models," Hyperion Economic Journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Hyperion University of Bucharest, Romania, volume 1, issue 1, pages 32-41, March.
• Ocampo Díaz, Sergio, 2013, "Rule-of-Thumb Consumers, Nominal Rigidities and the Design of Interest Rate Rules," IDB Publications (Working Papers), Inter-American Development Bank, number 4627, May, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011500.
• Oviedo, Marcelo P. & Andrian, Leandro Gaston, 2013, "Terms of Trade and Fiscal Sustainability when the Sovereign Exploits a Natural Resource," IDB Publications (Working Papers), Inter-American Development Bank, number 4656, Dec, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011511.
• Sergio Ocampo Diaz, 2013, "Rule-of-Thumb Consumers, Nominal Rigidities and the Design of Interest Rate Rules," Research Department Publications, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department, number IDB-WP-400, May.
• Pablo Pincheira, 2013, "Conditional Predictive Ability of Exchange Rates in Long Run Regressions," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, volume 28, issue 2, pages 3-35, October.
• Renato Agurto & Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Esteban Skoknic, 2013, "Impacto Macroeconómico del Retraso en las Inversiones de Generación Eléctrica en Chile," ILADES-UAH Working Papers, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, number inv288, May.
• Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Felipe Pinto, 2013, "Impacto Macroeconómico del Retraso en las Inversiones de Generación Eléctrica en Chile," ILADES-UAH Working Papers, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, number inv289, Jul.
• Renato Agurto & Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Esteban Skoknic, 2013, "Power Generation and the Business Cycle: The Impact of Delaying Investment," ILADES-UAH Working Papers, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, number inv290, Jul.
• Jonas Dovern & Mr. Ulrich Fritsche & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa, 2013, "Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2013/056, Feb.
• Mr. Troy D Matheson & Mr. Emil Stavrev, 2013, "The Great Recession and the Inflation Puzzle," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2013/124, May.
• Alexander Herzog-Stein & Fabian Lindner & Simon Sturn, 2013, "Explaining the German Employment Miracle in the Great Recession – The Crucial Role of Temporary Working Time Reductions," IMK Working Paper, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute, number 114-2013.
• Antonio Bassanetti & Michele Caivano & Alberto Locarno, 2013, "Modelling italian potential output and the output gap," Working Papers, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance, number 7, Aug.
• Marco Cacciotti & Cecilia Frale & Serena Teobaldo, 2013, "A new methodology for a quarterly measure of the output gap," Working Papers, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance, number 6, Aug.
• Kin-Yip Ho & Albert K. Tsui & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2013, "Conditional Volatility Asymmetry Of Business Cycles: Evidence From Four Oecd Countries," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, volume 38, issue 3, pages 33-56, September.
• Pedro Miguel Soares Brinca, 2013, "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross Country Analysis," 2013 Papers, Job Market Papers, number pbr150, Nov.
• Klaus Weyerstrass & Reinhard Neck, 2013, "A young EU member’s ageing: budgetary and macroeconomic consequences of Slovenia’s demographic prospects," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 40, issue 3, pages 427-456, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-013-9217-z.
• Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2013, "Trade-Off of Fiscal Austerity in the European Debt Crisis in Slovenia," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, volume 19, issue 4, pages 367-380, November, DOI: 10.1007/s11294-013-9438-8.
• Eduardo Giménez & José Martín-Moreno, 2013, "Transmission mechanisms of real stochastic shocks in a small open economy," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, volume 10, issue 2, pages 217-245, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10368-012-0206-7.
• Jan Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2013, "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What They Are and What They Do," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 24, issue 1, pages 147-163, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-012-9260-6.
• Lukas Vogel & Werner Roeger & Bernhard Herz, 2013, "The Performance of Simple Fiscal Policy Rules in Monetary Union," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 24, issue 1, pages 165-196, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-012-9258-0.
• Sushanta Mallick & Ricardo Sousa, 2013, "Commodity Prices, Inflationary Pressures, and Monetary Policy: Evidence from BRICS Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 24, issue 4, pages 677-694, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-012-9261-5.
• Janet Koech & Mark Wynne, 2013, "Core Import Price Inflation in the United States," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 24, issue 4, pages 717-730, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-012-9264-2.
• Fady Barsoum & Sandra Stankiewicz, 2013, "Forecasting GDP Growth Using Mixed-Frequency Models With Switching Regimes," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, number 2013-10, May.
• Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013, "Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Extended Phillips Curve Models with non-filtered Data," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 1321, Nov.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Roland Aeppli & Erdal Atukeren & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lam, 2013, "Schweiz profitiert von Belebung der Weltwirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 7, issue 1, pages 1-74, March, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Roland Aeppli & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosch &, 2013, "Schweizer Wirtschaft wächst trotz Rezession in Europa," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 7, issue 2, pages 1-29, June, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Günther Greulich & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosc, 2013, "Schweizer Wirtschaft auf Expansionskurs," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 7, issue 3, pages 1-102, September, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth, 2013, "Gute Konjunkturaussichten für die Schweizer Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 7, issue 4, pages 1-29, December, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013, "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 865, May.
• Yue ZHAO, 2013, "Role of Financial and Productivity Shocks in the US and Japan: A Two-Country Economy," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 881, Dec.
• Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013, "Inflation fan charts, monetary policy and skew normal distribution," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 13/06, May.
• Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013, "Too many skew normal distributions? The practitioner’s perspective," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 13/07, May.
• Saira Tufail & Sadia Batool, 2013, "An Analysis of the Relationship between Inflation and Gold Prices: Evidence from Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, volume 18, issue 2, pages 1-35, July-Dec.
• Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013, "Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors," Discussion Papers in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 17104, Sep.
• Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013, "Probability and Severity of Recessions," Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE, number 1341.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Peter Tillmann, 2013, "Using forecasts to uncover the loss function of FOMC members," MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung), number 201302.
• Shakeri, Abbas & Ahmadian, Azam, 2013, "A Model of Financial Shocks at Bank and Interbank of Iran (DSGE)," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, volume 8, issue 4, pages 19-58, October.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013, "Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 45, issue 2-3, pages 449-463, March, DOI: jmcb.12009.
• Costas Karfakis & Konstantinos Katrakilidis & Eftychia Tsanana, 2013, "Does Output Predict Unemployment? A Look at Okun’s Law in Greece," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, number 2013_01, Dec, revised Dec 2013.
• Orsolya Csortos & Zoltán Szalai, 2013, "Assessment of macroeconomic imbalance indicators," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), volume 8, issue 3, pages 14-24, October.
• Ádám Reiff & Judit Várhegyi, 2013, "Sticky Price Inflation Index: An Alternative Core Inflation Measure," MNB Working Papers, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), number 2013/2.
• Andreas Karpf, 2013, "Herd behavior in consumer inflation expectations - Evidence from the French household survey," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 13054, Jul.
• Andreas Karpf, 2013, "Herd behavior in consumer inflation expectations - Evidence from the French household survey," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 13054r, Jul, revised Dec 2013.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2013, "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2013," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 07-26, December.
• A. Stevens, 2013, "What inflation developments reveal about the Phillips curve: implications for monetary policy," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 67-76, December.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2013, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2013," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 07-26, June.
• Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2013, "Housing market cycles – a disequilibrium model and its application to the primary housing market in Warsaw," Chapters from NBP Conference Publications, Narodowy Bank Polski, chapter 11, in: Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski, "Papers presented during the Narodowy Bank Polski Workshop: Recent trends in the real estate market and its analysis, 2013".
• Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2013, "Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 140.
• Hanna Augustyniak & Laszek Jacek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2013, "Modelling of cycles in the residential real estate market – interactions between the primary and the secondary market and multiplier effects," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 143.
• Grzegorz Grabek & Bohdan Klos, 2013, "Unemployment in the Estimated New Keynesian SoePL-2012 DSGE Model," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 144.
• Aleksandra Hałka & Jacek Kotłowski, 2013, "Does domestic output gap matter for inflation in a small open economy?," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 152.
• Kathryn M.E. Dominguez & Matthew D. Shapiro, 2013, "Forecasting the Recovery from the Great Recession: Is This Time Different?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 18751, Feb.
• Serena Ng & Jonathan H. Wright, 2013, "Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 19469, Sep.
• Alessandro Beber & Michael W. Brandt & Maurizio Luisi, 2013, "Distilling the Macroeconomic News Flow," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 19650, Nov.
• Larisa Nicoleta POP & Flavius ROVINARU & Mihaela ROVINARU, 2013, "Assessing The Price Risk On The Romanian Agricultural Market: Analyses And Implications," Interdisciplinary Management Research, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics, Croatia, volume 9, pages 469-479.
• Radulescu Magdalena & Stanciu Radu, 2013, "The Euro Changeover Monetary Strategies of the European States that Joined the European Union: Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary, Czech Republic and PolandAbstract:One of the most ambitious projects undertaken by the European Union focuses on its own expans," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 2, pages 686-692, May.
• Núñez Tabales, Julia M. & Caridad y Ocerin, José María & Rey Carmona, Francisco J., 2013, "Artificial Neural Networks for Predicting Real Estate Prices || Redes neuronales artificiales para la predicción de precios inmobiliarios," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, volume 15, issue 1, pages 29-44, June.
• Bratu, Mihaela, 2013, "The Accuracy of Forecasts Made for the Structure of Consumer Basket: A Comparative Analysis between Euro Area and Romania || La exactitud de las predicciones para la estructura de cesta del consumo: un análisis comparativo entre la zona euro y Rumaní," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, volume 15, issue 1, pages 87-100, June.
• Firouzi Naeim, Peyman & Rahimzadeh, golnoush, 2013, "Inflation Skewness and Price Indexation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 45968, Apr.
• Delavari, Majid & Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya & Naderi, Esmaeil, 2013, "Does long memory matter in forecasting oil price volatility?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46356, Apr.
• Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46387, Mar.
• Yashkir, Olga & Yashkir, Yuriy, 2013, "Monitoring of Credit Risk through the Cycle: Risk Indicators," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46402, Mar.
• Ermişoğlu, Ergun & Akcelik, Yasin & Oduncu, Arif, 2013, "GDP Growth and Credit Data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46613, Mar.
• Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013, "Sectoral gross value-added forecasts at the regional level: Is there any information gain?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46765, May.
• Pakos, Michal, 2013, "Long-Run Risk and Hidden Growth Persistence," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 47217, Apr.
• Palma, Nuno, 2013, "Did Greenspan Open Pandora's Box? Testing the Taylor Hypothesis and Beyond," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 48197, Jan.
• Tausch, Arno, 2013, "The hallmarks of crisis. A new center-periphery perspective on long cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 48356, Jul.
• Kossov, Vladimir & Kossova, Elena, 2013, "The normal price. The case of the retail price of diesel fuel," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 48667, Mar, revised 12 Oct 2013.
• Tabata, Katsushi & Kawaguchi, Yuichiro, 2013, "Real estate prices in Japan and Lewis turning point," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49090, Aug.
• Kitov, Ivan & KItov, Oleg, 2013, "Inflation, unemployment, and labor force. Phillips curves and long-term projections for Japan," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49388, Aug.
• Petreski, Marjan, 2013, "Assessing the forecasting power of the leading composite index in Macedonia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49433, Sep.
• Doshchyn, Artur & Giommetti, Nicola, 2013, "Learning, Expectations, and Endogenous Business Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49617, Aug.
• Cruz, Christopher John & Mapa, Dennis, 2013, "An Early Warning System for Inflation in the Philippines Using Markov-Switching and Logistic Regression Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 50078.
• Akande, Emmanuel, 2013, "Investment Shocks: Sources of Fluctuations in Small Open Economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 52159, Apr.
• Everett, Craig R. & K., John, 2013, "Private Businesses Predict Limited Growth for 2013," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 55528, Jan.
• Marto, Ricardo, 2013, "Assessing the Impacts of Non-Ricardian Households in an Estimated New Keynesian DSGE Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 55647, Dec.
• Gatt, William, 2013, "Forecasting inflation at the Central Bank of Malta�," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 56876, Mar.
• Jan Kodera & Quang Van Tran & Miloslav Vošvrda, 2013, "Complex Price Dynamics in the Modified Kaldorian Model," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2013, issue 3, pages 358-384, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.457.
• Dana Kloudová, 2013, "Produkční mezera jako indikátor inflace - případ pro českou ekonomiku
  [Output Gap as Indicator of Inflation - Case for Czech Economy]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2013, issue 5, pages 639-652, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.921.
• Gregor W. Smith, 2013, "Interwar Inflation, Unexpected Inflation, And Output Growth," Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University, number 1310, Oct.
• James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2013, "Measuring The Slowly Evolving Trend In Us Inflation With Professional Forecasts," Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University, number 1316, Oct.
• Winkelried, Diego, 2013, "Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP: Actualización y novedades," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 26, pages 9-60.
• Arenas, Paúl & Morales, Daniel, 2013, "Are business tendency surveys useful to forecast private investment in Peru? A non-linear approach," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2013-003, Apr.