Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

---

Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

---

This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2013

• Ponomarenko, Alexey, 2013, "Early warning indicators of asset price boom/bust cycles in emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, volume 15, issue C, pages 92-106, DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2013.02.006.
• Lu, Yingying & Stegman, Alison & Cai, Yiyong, 2013, "Emissions intensity targeting: From China's 12th Five Year Plan to its Copenhagen commitment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, pages 1164-1177, DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.06.075.
• Ho, Tai-kuang & Lai, Cheng-chung, 2013, "Silver fetters? The rise and fall of the Chinese price level 1928–34," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, volume 50, issue 3, pages 446-462, DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2013.03.001.
• Mallick, Sushanta K. & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2013, "The real effects of financial stress in the Eurozone," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, volume 30, issue C, pages 1-17, DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2013.05.003.
• Korobilis, Dimitris, 2013, "Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 1, pages 43-59, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.05.006.
• Chang, Chia-Lin & de Bruijn, Bert & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013, "Analyzing fixed-event forecast revisions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 4, pages 622-627, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.04.002.
• Modugno, Michele, 2013, "Now-casting inflation using high frequency data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 29, issue 4, pages 664-675, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2012.12.003.
• Keen, Steve, 2013, "A monetary Minsky model of the Great Moderation and the Great Recession," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 86, issue C, pages 221-235, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2011.01.010.
• Deschamps, Bruno & Ioannidis, Christos, 2013, "Can rational stubbornness explain forecast biases?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 92, issue C, pages 141-151, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2013.05.011.
• Neveu, Andre R., 2013, "Fiscal policy and business cycle characteristics in a heterogeneous agent macro model," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 92, issue C, pages 224-240, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2013.06.006.
• Henzel, Steffen R., 2013, "Fitting survey expectations and uncertainty about trend inflation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 35, issue C, pages 172-185, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2012.10.007.
• Cuddington, John T. & Zellou, Abdel M., 2013, "A simple mineral market model: Can it produce super cycles in prices?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 38, issue 1, pages 75-87, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2012.09.003.
• Pustov, Alexander & Malanichev, Alexander & Khobotilov, Ilya, 2013, "Long-term iron ore price modeling: Marginal costs vs. incentive price," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 38, issue 4, pages 558-567, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2013.09.003.
• Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013, "Are forecast updates progressive?," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, volume 93, issue C, pages 9-18, DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2013.03.007.
• Andrade, Philippe & Le Bihan, Hervé, 2013, "Inattentive professional forecasters," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 60, issue 8, pages 967-982, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2013.08.005.
• Maertens Odria, Luís Ricardo & Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2013, "Inflation expectations formation in the presence of policy shifts and structural breaks: An experimental analysis," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, volume 44, issue C, pages 59-67, DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2013.02.001.
• Fusari, Angelo & Reati, Angelo, 2013, "Endogenizing technical change: Uncertainty, profits, entrepreneurship. A long-term view of sectoral dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, volume 24, issue C, pages 76-100, DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2012.06.004.
• Fakhri Issaoui & Talel Boufateh & Ghassen El Montasser, 2013, "The Dynamic Effect of Oil Rent on Industrial Value Added: a SVAR Approach," EERI Research Paper Series, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels, number EERI RP 2013/04, Mar.
• Robert Kollmann, 2013, "Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2013-29, May.
• Takashi Kano, 2013, "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Closing a Two-Country Model," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2013-62, Sep.
• Jacek Kotłowski & Aleksandra Halka, 2013, "Does domestic output gap matter for inflation in a small open economy?," EcoMod2013, EcoMod, number 5615, Jun.
• Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2013, "Housing market cycles – a disequilibrium model and its application to the primary housing market in Warsaw," Ekonomia journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, volume 35.
• Alejandro Iván Aguirre Salado & Humberto Vaquera Huerta & Martha Elva Ramírez Guzmán & José René Valdez Lazalde & Carlos Arturo Aguirre Salado, 2013, "Value-at-Risk-Estimation in the Mexican Stock Exchange Using Conditional Heteroscedasticity Models and Theory of Extreme Values," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, volume 0, issue 1, pages 177-205., January-J.
• Víctor M. Guerrero, 2013, "Predictive Ability of the Composed Cyclical Indices for the Turning Points of the Mexican Economy," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, volume 0, issue 1, pages 47-99, January-J.
• Claudia Foroni & Eric Ghysels & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013, "Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregressive Models☆This views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Norges Bank. The usual disclaimers apply," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "VAR Models in Macroeconomics – New Developments and Applications: Essays in Honor of Christopher A. Sims", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-9053(2013)0000031007.
• Ivan Jeliazkov, 2013, "Nonparametric Vector Autoregressions: Specification, Estimation, and Inference," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "VAR Models in Macroeconomics – New Developments and Applications: Essays in Honor of Christopher A. Sims", DOI: 10.1108/S0731-9053(2013)0000031009.
• Leonardo Morales‐Arias & Guilherme V. Moura, 2013, "A conditionally heteroskedastic global inflation model," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 40, issue 4, pages 572-596, August, DOI: 10.1108/JES-10-2011-0127.
• Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013, "A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2013/02.
• Paul Hubert, 2013, "FOMC forecasts as a focal point for private expectations," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE), number 2013-12, Jul.
• Andrew Foerster & Juan Rubio-Ramirez & Dan Waggoner & Ta Zha, 2013, "Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models," Working Papers, FEDEA, number 2013-22, Dec.
• Fabia Gumbau-Brisa & Giovanni P. Olivei, 2013, "An evaluation of the Federal Reserve estimates of the natural rate of unemployment in real time," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 13-24, Dec.
• Robert Kollmann, 2013, "Tractable latent state filtering for non-linear DSGE models using a second-order approximation," Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, number 147.
• Christine Garnier & Elmar Mertens & Edward Nelson, 2013, "Trend inflation in advanced economies," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2013-74.
• Andrew T. Foerster & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2013, "Perturbation methods for Markov-switching DSGE model," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 13-01.
• Marco Del Negro & Marc Giannoni & Frank Schorfheide, 2013, "Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian models," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 618.
• Philippe Andrade & Richard K. Crump & Stefano Eusepi & Emanuel Moench, 2013, "Fundamental disagreement," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 655, Dec.
• Sergey Tsukhlo, 2013, "Russian Industrial Enterprises (on the Basis of the Surveys) in 2012," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number 157, revised 2013.
• Pedro Brinca, 2013, "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross-Country Analysis," GEMF Working Papers, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, number 2013-24, Nov.
• Peter Fuleky & Carl, 2013, "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa, number 2013-5, Apr.
• Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013, "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 201305, Apr.
• Inna Cintina, 2013, "Behind-the-counter, but Over-the-border? The Assessment of the Spillover Effect of Increased Availability of Emergency Contraception in Washington on Neighboring States," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 201308, May.
• Peter Fuleky & Carl S. Bonham, 2013, "Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Samples: The Case of Common Trends," Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics, number 201316, Aug.
• Luca Agnello & Gilles Dufrénot & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2013, "Using time-varying transition probabilities in Markov switching processes to adjust US fiscal policy for asset prices," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01498264, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.11.054.
• Marie Bessec, 2013, "Short-term forecasts of French GDP: A dynamic factor model with targeted predictors," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01515605, DOI: 10.1002/for.2262.
• Y. Fondeur & F. Karamé, 2013, "Can Google data help predict French youth unemployment?," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-02297071, Jan, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.07.017.
• Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli & Juan-Pablo Ortega, 2013, "Forecasting US growth during the Great Recession: Is the financial volatility the missing ingredient?," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-04141198.
• De Graeve, Ferre & Westermark, Andreas, 2013, "Un-truncating VARs," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 271, Jun.
• Brinca, Pedro, 2013, "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross-Country Analysis," Research Papers in Economics, Stockholm University, Department of Economics, number 2013:13, Sep.
• Vladimir Kossov & Elena Kossova, 2013, "International dispersion of retail diesel fuel prices and the estimation of normal price values," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 27/EC/2013.
• Bulat Gafarov, 2013, "Do unobserved components models forecast inflation in Russia?," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 35/EC/2013.
• Oxana A. Malakhovskaya & Alexey R. Minabutdinov, 2013, "Are commodity price shocks important? A Bayesian estimation of a DSGE model for Russia," HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics, number WP BRP 48/EC/2013.
• Oana Camelia Iacob & Ana-Maria VOlintiru & Andrei Mihai Cristea, 2013, "Efficiency of economic development models," Hyperion Economic Journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Hyperion University of Bucharest, Romania, volume 1, issue 1, pages 32-41, March.
• Ocampo Díaz, Sergio, 2013, "Rule-of-Thumb Consumers, Nominal Rigidities and the Design of Interest Rate Rules," IDB Publications (Working Papers), Inter-American Development Bank, number 4627, May, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011500.
• Oviedo, Marcelo P. & Andrian, Leandro Gaston, 2013, "Terms of Trade and Fiscal Sustainability when the Sovereign Exploits a Natural Resource," IDB Publications (Working Papers), Inter-American Development Bank, number 4656, Dec, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0011511.
• Sergio Ocampo Diaz, 2013, "Rule-of-Thumb Consumers, Nominal Rigidities and the Design of Interest Rate Rules," Research Department Publications, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department, number IDB-WP-400, May.
• Pablo Pincheira, 2013, "Conditional Predictive Ability of Exchange Rates in Long Run Regressions," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, volume 28, issue 2, pages 3-35, October.
• Renato Agurto & Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Esteban Skoknic, 2013, "Impacto Macroeconómico del Retraso en las Inversiones de Generación Eléctrica en Chile," ILADES-UAH Working Papers, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, number inv288, May.
• Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Felipe Pinto, 2013, "Impacto Macroeconómico del Retraso en las Inversiones de Generación Eléctrica en Chile," ILADES-UAH Working Papers, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, number inv289, Jul.
• Renato Agurto & Fernando Fuentes & Carlos Garcia & Esteban Skoknic, 2013, "Power Generation and the Business Cycle: The Impact of Delaying Investment," ILADES-UAH Working Papers, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, number inv290, Jul.
• Jonas Dovern & Mr. Ulrich Fritsche & Mr. Prakash Loungani & Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa, 2013, "Information Rigidities in Economic Growth Forecasts: Evidence from a Large International Panel," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2013/056, Feb.
• Mr. Troy D Matheson & Mr. Emil Stavrev, 2013, "The Great Recession and the Inflation Puzzle," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2013/124, May.
• Alexander Herzog-Stein & Fabian Lindner & Simon Sturn, 2013, "Explaining the German Employment Miracle in the Great Recession – The Crucial Role of Temporary Working Time Reductions," IMK Working Paper, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute, number 114-2013.
• Antonio Bassanetti & Michele Caivano & Alberto Locarno, 2013, "Modelling italian potential output and the output gap," Working Papers, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance, number 7, Aug.
• Marco Cacciotti & Cecilia Frale & Serena Teobaldo, 2013, "A new methodology for a quarterly measure of the output gap," Working Papers, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance, number 6, Aug.
• Kin-Yip Ho & Albert K. Tsui & Zhaoyong Zhang, 2013, "Conditional Volatility Asymmetry Of Business Cycles: Evidence From Four Oecd Countries," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, volume 38, issue 3, pages 33-56, September.
• Pedro Miguel Soares Brinca, 2013, "Distortions in the Neoclassical Growth Model: A Cross Country Analysis," 2013 Papers, Job Market Papers, number pbr150, Nov.
• Klaus Weyerstrass & Reinhard Neck, 2013, "A young EU member’s ageing: budgetary and macroeconomic consequences of Slovenia’s demographic prospects," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 40, issue 3, pages 427-456, August, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-013-9217-z.
• Reinhard Neck & Dmitri Blueschke & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2013, "Trade-Off of Fiscal Austerity in the European Debt Crisis in Slovenia," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, volume 19, issue 4, pages 367-380, November, DOI: 10.1007/s11294-013-9438-8.
• Eduardo Giménez & José Martín-Moreno, 2013, "Transmission mechanisms of real stochastic shocks in a small open economy," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, volume 10, issue 2, pages 217-245, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10368-012-0206-7.
• Jan Veld & Martin Larch & Marieke Vandeweyer, 2013, "Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What They Are and What They Do," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 24, issue 1, pages 147-163, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-012-9260-6.
• Lukas Vogel & Werner Roeger & Bernhard Herz, 2013, "The Performance of Simple Fiscal Policy Rules in Monetary Union," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 24, issue 1, pages 165-196, February, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-012-9258-0.
• Sushanta Mallick & Ricardo Sousa, 2013, "Commodity Prices, Inflationary Pressures, and Monetary Policy: Evidence from BRICS Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 24, issue 4, pages 677-694, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-012-9261-5.
• Janet Koech & Mark Wynne, 2013, "Core Import Price Inflation in the United States," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 24, issue 4, pages 717-730, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-012-9264-2.
• Fady Barsoum & Sandra Stankiewicz, 2013, "Forecasting GDP Growth Using Mixed-Frequency Models With Switching Regimes," Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics, University of Konstanz, number 2013-10, May.
• Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013, "Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Extended Phillips Curve Models with non-filtered Data," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 1321, Nov.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Roland Aeppli & Erdal Atukeren & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Günther Greulich & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lam, 2013, "Schweiz profitiert von Belebung der Weltwirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 7, issue 1, pages 1-74, March, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Roland Aeppli & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosch &, 2013, "Schweizer Wirtschaft wächst trotz Rezession in Europa," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 7, issue 2, pages 1-29, June, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Günther Greulich & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosc, 2013, "Schweizer Wirtschaft auf Expansionskurs," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 7, issue 3, pages 1-102, September, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth, 2013, "Gute Konjunkturaussichten für die Schweizer Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 7, issue 4, pages 1-29, December, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569.
• Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013, "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 865, May.
• Yue ZHAO, 2013, "Role of Financial and Productivity Shocks in the US and Japan: A Two-Country Economy," KIER Working Papers, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, number 881, Dec.
• Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013, "Inflation fan charts, monetary policy and skew normal distribution," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 13/06, May.
• Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013, "Too many skew normal distributions? The practitioner’s perspective," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 13/07, May.
• Saira Tufail & Sadia Batool, 2013, "An Analysis of the Relationship between Inflation and Gold Prices: Evidence from Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, volume 18, issue 2, pages 1-35, July-Dec.
• Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013, "Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors," Discussion Papers in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 17104, Sep.
• Rachidi Kotchoni & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2013, "Probability and Severity of Recessions," Cahiers de recherche, CIRPEE, number 1341.
• Christian Pierdzioch & Jan-Christoph Rülke & Peter Tillmann, 2013, "Using forecasts to uncover the loss function of FOMC members," MAGKS Papers on Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung), number 201302.
• Shakeri, Abbas & Ahmadian, Azam, 2013, "A Model of Financial Shocks at Bank and Interbank of Iran (DSGE)," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, volume 8, issue 4, pages 19-58, October.
• Francesco Ravazzolo & Philip Rothman, 2013, "Oil and U.S. GDP: A Real-Time Out-of-Sample Examination," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 45, issue 2-3, pages 449-463, March, DOI: jmcb.12009.
• Costas Karfakis & Konstantinos Katrakilidis & Eftychia Tsanana, 2013, "Does Output Predict Unemployment? A Look at Okun’s Law in Greece," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, number 2013_01, Dec, revised Dec 2013.
• Orsolya Csortos & Zoltán Szalai, 2013, "Assessment of macroeconomic imbalance indicators," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), volume 8, issue 3, pages 14-24, October.
• Ádám Reiff & Judit Várhegyi, 2013, "Sticky Price Inflation Index: An Alternative Core Inflation Measure," MNB Working Papers, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), number 2013/2.
• Andreas Karpf, 2013, "Herd behavior in consumer inflation expectations - Evidence from the French household survey," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 13054, Jul.
• Andreas Karpf, 2013, "Herd behavior in consumer inflation expectations - Evidence from the French household survey," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, number 13054r, Jul, revised Dec 2013.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2013, "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2013," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 07-26, December.
• A. Stevens, 2013, "What inflation developments reveal about the Phillips curve: implications for monetary policy," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iii, pages 67-76, December.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2013, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2013," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue i, pages 07-26, June.
• Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2013, "Housing market cycles – a disequilibrium model and its application to the primary housing market in Warsaw," Chapters from NBP Conference Publications, Narodowy Bank Polski, chapter 11, in: Hanna Augustyniak & Jacek Łaszek & Krzysztof Olszewski, "Papers presented during the Narodowy Bank Polski Workshop: Recent trends in the real estate market and its analysis, 2013".
• Maritta Paloviita & Matti Viren, 2013, "Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 140.
• Hanna Augustyniak & Laszek Jacek & Krzysztof Olszewski & Joanna Waszczuk, 2013, "Modelling of cycles in the residential real estate market – interactions between the primary and the secondary market and multiplier effects," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 143.
• Grzegorz Grabek & Bohdan Klos, 2013, "Unemployment in the Estimated New Keynesian SoePL-2012 DSGE Model," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 144.
• Aleksandra Hałka & Jacek Kotłowski, 2013, "Does domestic output gap matter for inflation in a small open economy?," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 152.
• Kathryn M.E. Dominguez & Matthew D. Shapiro, 2013, "Forecasting the Recovery from the Great Recession: Is This Time Different?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 18751, Feb.
• Serena Ng & Jonathan H. Wright, 2013, "Facts and Challenges from the Great Recession for Forecasting and Macroeconomic Modeling," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 19469, Sep.
• Alessandro Beber & Michael W. Brandt & Maurizio Luisi, 2013, "Distilling the Macroeconomic News Flow," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 19650, Nov.
• Larisa Nicoleta POP & Flavius ROVINARU & Mihaela ROVINARU, 2013, "Assessing The Price Risk On The Romanian Agricultural Market: Analyses And Implications," Interdisciplinary Management Research, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Economics, Croatia, volume 9, pages 469-479.
• Radulescu Magdalena & Stanciu Radu, 2013, "The Euro Changeover Monetary Strategies of the European States that Joined the European Union: Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary, Czech Republic and PolandAbstract:One of the most ambitious projects undertaken by the European Union focuses on its own expans," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 0, issue 2, pages 686-692, May.
• Núñez Tabales, Julia M. & Caridad y Ocerin, José María & Rey Carmona, Francisco J., 2013, "Artificial Neural Networks for Predicting Real Estate Prices || Redes neuronales artificiales para la predicción de precios inmobiliarios," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, volume 15, issue 1, pages 29-44, June.
• Bratu, Mihaela, 2013, "The Accuracy of Forecasts Made for the Structure of Consumer Basket: A Comparative Analysis between Euro Area and Romania || La exactitud de las predicciones para la estructura de cesta del consumo: un análisis comparativo entre la zona euro y Rumaní," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, volume 15, issue 1, pages 87-100, June.
• Firouzi Naeim, Peyman & Rahimzadeh, golnoush, 2013, "Inflation Skewness and Price Indexation," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 45968, Apr.
• Delavari, Majid & Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya & Naderi, Esmaeil, 2013, "Does long memory matter in forecasting oil price volatility?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46356, Apr.
• Chang, Chia-Lin & Franses, Philip Hans & McAleer, Michael, 2013, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46387, Mar.
• Yashkir, Olga & Yashkir, Yuriy, 2013, "Monitoring of Credit Risk through the Cycle: Risk Indicators," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46402, Mar.
• Ermişoğlu, Ergun & Akcelik, Yasin & Oduncu, Arif, 2013, "GDP Growth and Credit Data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46613, Mar.
• Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2013, "Sectoral gross value-added forecasts at the regional level: Is there any information gain?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 46765, May.
• Pakos, Michal, 2013, "Long-Run Risk and Hidden Growth Persistence," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 47217, Apr.
• Palma, Nuno, 2013, "Did Greenspan Open Pandora's Box? Testing the Taylor Hypothesis and Beyond," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 48197, Jan.
• Tausch, Arno, 2013, "The hallmarks of crisis. A new center-periphery perspective on long cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 48356, Jul.
• Kossov, Vladimir & Kossova, Elena, 2013, "The normal price. The case of the retail price of diesel fuel," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 48667, Mar, revised 12 Oct 2013.
• Tabata, Katsushi & Kawaguchi, Yuichiro, 2013, "Real estate prices in Japan and Lewis turning point," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49090, Aug.
• Kitov, Ivan & KItov, Oleg, 2013, "Inflation, unemployment, and labor force. Phillips curves and long-term projections for Japan," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49388, Aug.
• Petreski, Marjan, 2013, "Assessing the forecasting power of the leading composite index in Macedonia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49433, Sep.
• Doshchyn, Artur & Giommetti, Nicola, 2013, "Learning, Expectations, and Endogenous Business Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 49617, Aug.
• Cruz, Christopher John & Mapa, Dennis, 2013, "An Early Warning System for Inflation in the Philippines Using Markov-Switching and Logistic Regression Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 50078.
• Akande, Emmanuel, 2013, "Investment Shocks: Sources of Fluctuations in Small Open Economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 52159, Apr.
• Everett, Craig R. & K., John, 2013, "Private Businesses Predict Limited Growth for 2013," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 55528, Jan.
• Marto, Ricardo, 2013, "Assessing the Impacts of Non-Ricardian Households in an Estimated New Keynesian DSGE Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 55647, Dec.
• Gatt, William, 2013, "Forecasting inflation at the Central Bank of Malta�," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 56876, Mar.
• Jan Kodera & Quang Van Tran & Miloslav Vošvrda, 2013, "Complex Price Dynamics in the Modified Kaldorian Model," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2013, issue 3, pages 358-384, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.457.
• Dana Kloudová, 2013, "Produkční mezera jako indikátor inflace - případ pro českou ekonomiku
  [Output Gap as Indicator of Inflation - Case for Czech Economy]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2013, issue 5, pages 639-652, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.921.
• Gregor W. Smith, 2013, "Interwar Inflation, Unexpected Inflation, And Output Growth," Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University, number 1310, Oct.
• James M. Nason & Gregor W. Smith, 2013, "Measuring The Slowly Evolving Trend In Us Inflation With Professional Forecasts," Working Paper, Economics Department, Queen's University, number 1316, Oct.
• Winkelried, Diego, 2013, "Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP: Actualización y novedades," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 26, pages 9-60.
• Arenas, Paúl & Morales, Daniel, 2013, "Are business tendency surveys useful to forecast private investment in Peru? A non-linear approach," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2013-003, Apr.
• Jayant Menon & Thiam Hee Ng, 2013, "Impact of Eurozone Financial Shocks on Southeast Asian Economies," Working Papers on Regional Economic Integration, Asian Development Bank, number 116, Aug.
• Agnieszka Pierzak, 2013, "Forecasting inflation in Poland using dynamic factor model," MF Working Papers, Ministry of Finance in Poland, number 17, Aug.
• Guohua He & Xinxin Chang, 2013, "The Dollar Standard and Stability of China’s Macroeconomy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 4, pages 186-204, December.
• Cecilia Frale & Stefano Grassi & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gianluigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2013, "EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro Area and member countries," CEIS Research Paper, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, number 287, Oct, revised 01 Oct 2013.
• E. Quaghebeur, 2013, "Learning and the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, number 13/851, Oct.
• Adnan Haider & Musleh-ud Din & Ejaz Ghani, 2013, "Monetary Policy, Informality and Business Cycle Fluctuations in a Developing Economy Vulnerable to External Shocks," SBP Working Paper Series, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, number 65, Sep.
• Marco Huwiler & Daniel Kaufmann, 2013, "Combining disaggregate forecasts for inflation: The SNB's ARIMA model," Economic Studies, Swiss National Bank, number 2013-07.
• Francis Bismans & Reynald Majetti, 2013, "Forecasting recessions using financial variables: the French case," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 44, issue 2, pages 419-433, April, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-012-0550-z.
• Riccardo Cristadoro & Giuseppe Saporito & Fabrizio Venditti, 2013, "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 44, issue 3, pages 1065-1086, June, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-012-0572-6.
• Piero Ferri, 2013, "Income distribution and debts in a fragile economy: market processes and macro constraints," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, volume 8, issue 2, pages 219-230, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11403-012-0091-8.
• Mark T. Bradshaw & Lawrence D. Brown & Kelly Huang, 2013, "Do sell-side analysts exhibit differential target price forecasting ability?," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, volume 18, issue 4, pages 930-955, December, DOI: 10.1007/s11142-012-9216-5.
• Roland Döhrn, 2013, "Deutsche Konjunktur erholt sich — Ergebnisse der Gemeinschaftsdiagnose vom Frühjahr 2013," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 93, issue 5, pages 323-327, May, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-013-1528-y.
• Oliver Bruttel, 2013, "Bevölkerungsstimmung als Indikator für das Wirtschaftswachstum," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 93, issue 6, pages 390-395, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-013-1539-8.
• Christopher CRUZ & Claire MAPA, 2013, "An Early Warning System For Inflation In The Philippines Using Markov-Switching And Logistic Regression Models," Theoretical and Practical Research in the Economic Fields, ASERS Publishing, volume 4, issue 2, pages 136-150.
• Miguel Belmonte & Gary Koop, 2013, "Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 1302, Jan.
• Gary Koop, 2013, "Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 1303, Jan.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Sung-Po Chen & Michael McAleer, 2013, "Globalization and knowledge spillover: international direct investment, exports and patents," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 22, issue 4, pages 329-352, June, DOI: 10.1080/10438599.2012.707412.
• Pierre Guérin & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2013, "Markov-Switching MIDAS Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 31, issue 1, pages 45-56, January, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2012.727721.
• Joshua C. C. Chan & Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2013, "A New Model of Trend Inflation," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 31, issue 1, pages 94-106, January, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2012.741549.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Cagri Sarikaya, 2013, "A Real Economic Activity Indicator for Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, volume 13, issue 1, pages 15-29.
• Mehmet Fatih Ekinci & Gazi Kabas & Enes Sunel, 2013, "End-Point Bias in Trend-Cycle Decompositions : An Application to the Real Exchange Rates of Turkey," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, volume 13, issue 3, pages 61-71.
• Selen Baser & Hande Kucuk & Fethi Ogunc, 2013, "Inflation Dynamics in Turkey : In Pursuit of a Domestic Cost Measure," CBT Research Notes in Economics, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1311.
• M. Fatih Ekinci & Gazi Kabas & Enes Sunel, 2013, "End-Point Bias in Trend-Cycle Decompositions : An Application to the Real Exchange Rates of Turkey," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1316.
• Ergun Ermisoglu & Yasin Akcelik & Arif Oduncu, 2013, "GDP Growth and Credit Data," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1327.
• Kurmas Akdogan, 2013, "Asymmetric Behaviour of Inflation around the Target in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Markets," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1342.
• Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013, "Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Phillips Curve Models with Non-Filtered Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-011/III, Jan.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013, "Are Forecast Updates Progressive?," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-049/III, Mar.
• Roberto Casarin & Stefano Grassi & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013, "Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-055/III, Apr, revised 16 Jan 2015.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013, "Analyzing Fixed-Event Forecast Revisions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-057/III, Apr.
• Francisco Blasques, 2013, "Solution-Driven Specification of DSGE Models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-062/III, Apr.
• Michael McAleer & Felix Chan & Les Oxley, 2013, "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-069/III, May.
• Nalan Basturk & Cem Cakmakli & Pinar Ceyhan & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013, "Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Extended New Keynesian Phillips Curve Models with Non-filtered Data," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-090/III, Jul.
• Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo & Herman K. van Dijk, 2013, "Interactions between Eurozone and US Booms and Busts: A Bayesian Panel Markov-switching VAR Model," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 13-142/III, Sep, revised 01 Nov 2014.
• Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2013, "Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models," DSSR Discussion Papers, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University, number 11, Jul.
• Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2013, "Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models," TERG Discussion Papers, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University, number 307, Jul.
• Nikolay Gospodinov & Serena Ng, 2013, "Commodity Prices, Convenience Yields, and Inflation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 95, issue 1, pages 206-219, March.
• Mark Setterfield & Shyam Gouri Suresh, 2013, "Did CNBC contribute to the Great Moderation or the Great Recession?," Working Papers, Trinity College, Department of Economics, number 1307, Mar.
• Mark Setterfield & Bill Gibson, 2013, "Real and financial crises: A multi-agent approach," Working Papers, Trinity College, Department of Economics, number 1309, Jul, revised Jul 2014.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Bert de Bruijn & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2013, "Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2013-14, revised Apr 2013.
• Michael McAleer & Les Oxley & Felix Chan, 2013, "Modelling and Simulation: An Overview," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, number 2013-16.
• Francis W. Ahking, 2013, "Measuring U.S. Business Cycles: A Comparison of Two Methods and Two Indicators of Economic Activities," Working papers, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, number 2013-10, May.
• Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013, "Forecasting GDP at the regional level with many predictors," ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association, number ersa13p15, Nov.
• Antonello D'Agostino & Luca Gambetti & Domenico Giannone, 2013, "Macroeconomic forecasting and structural change," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 28, issue 1, pages 82-101, January.