Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2008

• Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2008, "Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit of Experts," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2008-55, Sep.
• Carlos Capistrán & Allan Timmermann, 2008, "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," CREATES Research Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University, number 2008-56, Sep.
• Steffen Osterloh, 2008, "Accuracy and Properties of German Business Cycle Forecasts," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, volume 54, issue 1, pages 27-57.
• Jonas Dovern & Christina Ziegler, 2008, "Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators under Real-Time Condition," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, volume 54, issue 4, pages 293-318.
• Smith, Gregor W., 2008, "US Inflation Dynamics 1981-2007: 13,193 Quarterly Observations," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers, Queen's University - Department of Economics, number 273631, Feb, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.273631.
• Clements, Michael P., , "Rounding of probability forecasts: The SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth," Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics, number 269880, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.269880.
• Clements, Michael P., , "Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents' forecasts," Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics, number 269881, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.269881.
• Pedro Elosegui & Lorena Garegnani & Luis Lanteri & Emilio Blanco, 2008, "Aggregate Indicators of Economic Activity for the Argentine Case: The Principal Components Methodology," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, volume 1, issue 51, pages 7-41, April - S.
• Pedro Elosegui & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco, 2008, "Aggregate Indicators of Economic Activity for Argentina: The Principal Components Method," BCRA Working Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 200832, Feb.
• Laura D´Amato & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco, 2008, "Forecasting Inflation in Argentina: Individual Models or Forecast Pooling?," BCRA Working Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 200835, Jul.
• Antonella Foglia, 2008, "Stress testing credit risk: a survey of authorities' approaches," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 37, Dec.
• Riccardo Cristadoro & Fabrizio Venditti & Giuseppe Saporito, 2008, "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 677, Jun.
• Capistrán Carlos & López Moctezuma Gabriel, 2008, "Experts' Macroeconomics Expectations: An Evaluation of Mexican Short-Run Forecasts," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2008-11, Aug.
• Valérie Chauvin & Antoine Devulder, 2008, "An Inflation Forecasting Model for the Euro Area," Working papers, Banque de France, number 192.
• Karim Barhoumi & Gerhard R nstler & riccardo Cristadoro & Ard Den Reijer & Audrone Jakaitiene & Piotr Jelonek & Antonio Rua & Ruth Karsten & Szilard Benk & Christophe Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2008, "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working papers, Banque de France, number 215.
• Lance Bachmeier & Qi Li & Dandan Liu, 2008, "Should Oil Prices Receive So Much Attention? An Evaluation Of The Predictive Power Of Oil Prices For The U.S. Economy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 46, issue 4, pages 528-539, October, DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2007.00095.x.
• Daniel Buncic & Martin Melecky, 2008, "An Estimated New Keynesian Policy Model for Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 84, issue 264, pages 1-16, March, DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-4932.2008.00443.x.
• David Shepherd & Robert Dixon, 2008, "The Cyclical Dynamics and Volatility of Australian Output and Employment," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, volume 84, issue 264, pages 34-49, March, DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-4932.2008.00445.x.
• Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Bo Yang, 2008, "The Credibility Problem Revisited: Thirty Years on from Kydland and Prescott," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 16, issue 4, pages 728-746, September, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2008.00772.x.
• Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008, "Spatial Bayesian Methods Of Forecasting House Prices In Six Metropolitan Areas Of South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 76, issue 2, pages 298-313, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.2008.00191.x.
• Knut Are Aastveit & Tørres G. Trovik, 2008, "Nowcasting Norwegian GDP: The role of asset prices in a small open economy," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2007/09, Jan.
• Hilde C. Bjørnland & Kai Leitemo & Junior Maih, 2008, "Estimating the natural rates in a simple New Keynesian framework," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2007/10, Jan.
• Anne-Sofie Jore & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2008, "Combining forecast densities from VARs with uncertain instabilities," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2008/01, Jan.
• Q. Farooq Akram, 2008, "Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2008/12, Aug.
• Christian Kascha & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2008, "Combining inflation density forecasts," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2008/22, Dec.
• Hibiki Ichiue & Takushi Kurozumi & Takeki Sunakawa, 2008, "Inflation Dynamics and Labor Adjustments in Japan: A Bayesian DSGE Approach," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 08-E-9, Sep.
• Joonhyuk Song & Youngsoo Choi, 2008, "Bond Risk Premia and Business Cycle (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, volume 14, issue 4, pages 1-46, December.
• David R.F. Love, 2008, "A Note on the Accuracy of Extended-Path Solution Methods for Dynamic General Equilibrium Economies," Working Papers, Brock University, Department of Economics, number 0801, Apr, revised Apr 2008.
• Jef Vuchelen & Jesse De Wit, 2008, "An Evaluation of the OECD Cyclically-Adjusted Primary Government Balance Forecasts," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, volume 51, issue 4, pages 459-479.
• Bermingham, Colin, 2008, "Quantifying the Impact of Oil Prices on Inflation," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 8/RT/08, Nov.
• Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Sofat, Prakriti & Srinivasan, Naveen, 2008, "Can the Facts of UK Inflation Persistence be Explained by Nominal Rigidity?," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2008/7, Apr, revised Apr 2010.
• Pelinescu, Elena & Dospinescu, Andrei Silviu, 2008, "Choosing between alternative measures of core inflation using bounded rationality and cognitive biases," Revista de Economie Industriala (Journal of Industrial Eonomics), Centre for Industrial Economics and Services, volume 6, issue 1, pages 42-52, March.
• Marika Karanassou & Hector Sala & Dennis Snower, 2004, "Unemployment in the European Union: Institutions, Prices, and Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1247.
• Oliver Hülsewig & Johannes Mayr & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2008, "Forecasting Euro Area Real GDP: Optimal Pooling of Information," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2371.
• Klaus Abberger & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2008, "Die ifo Kapazitätsauslastung - ein gleichlaufender Indikator der deutschen Industriekonjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 61, issue 16, pages 15-23, August.
• Steffen Henzel, 2008, "Learning Trend Inflation – Can Signal Extraction Explain Survey Forecasts?," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 55.
• Nikolay Robinzonov & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2008, "Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting: An Illustration with German Industrial Production and Linear Models," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 57.
• Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2008, "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 60.
• Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2008, "Forecasting Canadian time series with the New Keynesian model," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, volume 41, issue 1, pages 138-165, February.
• José Luis Torres T., 2008, "La Estimación de la brecha del producto en Colombia," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, chapter 4, in: Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos (CEMLA), "Estimación y Uso de Variables no Observables en la Región".
• Katerina Smidkova, 2008, "Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, chapter 1, in: Katerina Smidkova, "Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007".
• Juraj Antal & Michal Hlavacek & Tomas Holub, 2008, "Basic Characteristics of Inflation Targeting in the Czech Republic," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, chapter 2, in: Katerina Smidkova, "Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007".
• Juraj Antal & Michal Hlavacek & Roman Horvath, 2008, "Prediction Bias and Undershooting of the Inflation Target," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, chapter 5, in: Katerina Smidkova, "Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007".
• Jan Babecky & Jiri Podpiera, 2008, "Inflation Forecasts Errors in the Czech Republic: Evidence from a Panel of Institutions," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, chapter 6, in: Katerina Smidkova, "Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007".
• Zuzana Antonicova & Karel Musil & Lubos Ruzicka & Jan Vlcek, 2008, "Evaluation of the Quality and Success Rate of Forecasts: A Historic Overview," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, chapter 7, in: Katerina Smidkova, "Evaluation of the Fulfilment of the CNB's Inflation Targets 1998-2007".
• Eliana Roc�o Gonz�lez Molano, 2008, "Pron�sticos de agregados a partir de desagregados Caso emp�rico: Inflaci�n de alimentos en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4596, Apr.
• Ignacio Lozano & Hern�n Rinc�n & Miguel Sarmiento & Jorge Ramos, 2008, "Regla fiscal cuantitativa para consolidar y blindar las finanzas p�blicas de Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4597, Apr.
• Alejandro Reveiz & Carlos Le�n, 2008, "Administraci�n de fondos de pensiones y multifondos en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4598, Apr.
• Alejandro Reveiz & Carlos Le�n & Juan Mario Laserna & Ivonne Mart�nez, 2008, "Recomendaciones para la modificaci�n del r�gimen de pensiones obligatorias de Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4599, Apr.
• Alejandro Gaviria & Carlos Medina & Leonardo Morales & Jairo Nu�ez, 2008, "The Cost of Avoiding Crime: The Case of Bogot�," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4600, Apr.
• Adam Elbourne & Debby Lanser & Bert Smid & Martin Vromans, 2008, "Macroeconomic resilience in a DSGE model," CPB Discussion Paper, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 96, Jan.
• Adam Elbourne & Henk Kranendonk & Rob Luginbuhl & Bert Smid & Martin Vromans, 2008, "Evaluating CPB's published GDP growth forecasts; a comparison with individual and pooled VAR based forecasts," CPB Document, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 172, Oct.
• Banerjee, Anindya & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Masten, Igor, 2008, "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 6706, Feb.
• Schumacher, Christian & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2008, "Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 6708, Feb.
• Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Srinivasan, Naveen & Meenagh, David & Sofat, Prakriti, 2008, "Can the Facts of UK Inflation Persistence be Explained by Nominal Rigidity?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 6834, May.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Mazzi, Gian Luigi, 2008, "A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7007, Oct.
• Kilian, Lutz & Vega, Clara, 2008, "Do Energy Prices Respond to U.S. Macroeconomic News? A Test of the Hypothesis of Predetermined Energy Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 7015, Oct.
• Dikaios Tserkezos & George Xanthos & Eva Pitikaki, 2008, "A Note on the Diachronic Behaviour of the OECD Forecasts for Greece," Working Papers, University of Crete, Department of Economics, number 0814, Jan.
• Granato, Jim & Guse, Eran A. & Wong, M. C. Sunny, 2008, "Learning From The Expectations Of Others," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 12, issue 3, pages 345-377, June.
• Eklund, Jana & Kapetanios, George, 2008, "A review of forecasting techniques for large datasets," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, volume 203, issue , pages 109-115, January.
• Georg Erber & Ulrich Fritsche, 2008, "Produktivitätswachstum in Deutschland: kein nachhaltiger Aufschwung in Sicht," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 75, issue 36, pages 512-519.
• Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche, 2008, "Estimating Fundamental Cross-Section Dispersion from Fixed Event Forecasts," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 787.
• LOENING, Josef & TAKADA, Hideki, 2008, "Inflationary Expectations In Ethiopia: Some Preliminary Results," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 8, issue 2, pages 159-176.
• Cecilia Frale & David Veredas, 2008, "A Monthly Volatility Index for the US Economy," Working Papers ECARES, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, number 2008-008, Mar.
• Van Nieuwenhuyze, Christophe & Benk, Szilard & Rünstler, Gerhard & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Den Reijer, Ard & Jakaitiene, Audrone & Jelonek, Piotr & Rua, António & Ruth, Karsten & Barhoumi, Karim, 2008, "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 84, May.
• Sánchez, Marcelo, 2008, "Oil shocks and endogenous markups: results from an estimated euro area DSGE model," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 860, Jan.
• Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2008, "Explaining the Great Moderation: it is not the shocks," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 865, Feb.
• Levine, Paul & McAdam, Peter & Pierse, Richard & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2008, "Risk Management in Action. Robust monetary policy rules under structured uncertainty," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 870, Feb.
• Dées, Stéphane & Burgert, Matthias, 2008, "Forecasting world trade: direct versus "bottom-up" approaches," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 882, Mar.
• Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Maurin, Laurent, 2008, "The role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro area manufacturing production: perspective from large panel factor models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 894, May.
• Levine, Paul, 2008, "Robust monetary rules under unstructured and structured model uncertainty," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 899, May.
• Venditti, Fabrizio & Cristadoro, Riccardo & Saporito, Giuseppe, 2008, "Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 900, Jun.
• Warne, Anders & Coenen, Günter & Christoffel, Kai, 2008, "The new area-wide model of the euro area: a micro-founded open-economy model for forecasting and policy analysis," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 944, Oct.
• McAdam, Peter & Mestre, Ricardo, 2008, "Is forecasting with large models informative? Assessing the role of judgement in macroeconomic forecasts," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 950, Oct.
• Angelini, Elena & Rünstler, Gerhard & Bańbura, Marta, 2008, "Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 953, Oct.
• Gefang, Deborah & Koop, Gary & Potter, Simon M., 2008, "The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2008-59.
• Christian Schulz, 2008, "Forecasting economic activity for Estonia : The application of dynamic principal component analyses," Bank of Estonia Working Papers, Bank of Estonia, number 2008-02, Oct, revised 30 Oct 2008.
• Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph & Pierse, Richard, 2008, "Linear-quadratic approximation, external habit and targeting rules," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 10, pages 3315-3349, October.
• Lungu, L. & Matthews, K.G.P. & Minford, A.P.L., 2008, "Partial current information and signal extraction in a rational expectations macroeconomic model: A computational solution," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 25, issue 2, pages 255-273, March.
• Nolan, Charles & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2008, "Labour markets and firm-specific capital in New Keynesian general equilibrium models," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 3, pages 817-843, September.
• Levine, Paul & McAdam, Peter & Pearlman, Joseph, 2008, "Quantifying and sustaining welfare gains from monetary commitment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 55, issue 7, pages 1253-1276, October.
• Chari, V.V. & Kehoe, Patrick J. & McGrattan, Ellen R., 2008, "Are structural VARs with long-run restrictions useful in developing business cycle theory?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 55, issue 8, pages 1337-1352, November.
• Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya Aleksandrovna, 2008, "Non-robust dynamic inferences from macroeconometric models: Bifurcation stratification of confidence regions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, volume 387, issue 15, pages 3817-3825, DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2008.01.045.
• Warwick McKibbin & Adele Morris & Peter Wilcoxen, 2008, "Expecting The Unexpected: Macroeconomic Volatility And Climate Policy," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2008-35, Oct.
• Reiner Franke, 2008, "A Microfounded Herding Model and Its Estimation On German Survey Expectations," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 5, issue 2, pages 301-328.
• Dean Baker & John Schmitt, 2008, "What We’re In For: Projected Economic Impact of the Next Recession," CEPR Reports and Issue Briefs, Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR), number 2008-03, Jan.
• Carlo Favero & Francesco Giavazzi, 2008, "The ECB and the bond market," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 314, Mar.
• Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2008, "Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2008/16.
• Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2008, "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2008/17.
• Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2008, "A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2008/32.
• Juraj Antal & Michal Hlaváèek & Tomáš Holub, 2008, "Inflation Target Fulfillment in the Czech Republic in 1998–2007: Some Stylized Facts," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 58, issue 09-10, pages 406-424, December.
• Juraj Antal & Michal Hlaváèek & Roman Horváth, 2008, "Do Central Bank Forecast Errors Contribute to the Missing of Inflation Targets? The Case of the Czech Republic," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 58, issue 09-10, pages 434-453, December.
• Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008, "Learning, adaptive expectations, and technology shocks," FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, number 2008-20.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2008, "Phillips curve inflation forecasts," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
• Kevin X. D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2008, "Learning, adaptive expectations, and technology shocks," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2008-18.
• Meredith J. Beechey & Benjamin K. Johannsen & Andrew T. Levin, 2008, "Are long-run inflation expectations anchored more firmly in the Euro area than in the United States?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2008-23.
• Régis Barnichon, 2008, "Productivity, aggregate demand and unemployment fluctuations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2008-47.
• Lutz Kilian & Clara Vega, 2008, "Do energy prices respond to U.S. macroeconomic news? a test of the hypothesis of predetermined energy prices," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 957.
• Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoit Mojon, 2008, "Global inflation," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number WP-08-05.
• William Poole & Robert H. Rasche & David C. Wheelock, 2008, "The great inflation: did the shadow know better?," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, number 2008-032, DOI: 10.20955/wp.2008.032.
• Jan J. J. Groen & George Kapetanios, 2008, "Revisiting useful approaches to data-rich macroeconomic forecasting," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 327.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008, "Real-time measurement of business conditions," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 08-19.
• Dean Croushore, 2008, "Revisions to PCE inflation measures: implications for monetary policy," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 08-8.
• Vladimir Nazarov & Pavel Kadochnikov & Sergey Sinelnikov-Murylev, 2008, "The Long-Term Sustainability of Russia’s Budgetary Policy," Published Papers, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, number 40, revised 2012.
• Edward N. Gamber & Julie K. Smith & Matthew Weiss, 2008, "Forecast Errors Before and After the Great Moderation," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2008-001, revised Mar 2009.
• Tara M. Sinclair & Edward N. Gamber & H.O. Stekler & Elizabeth Reid, 2008, "Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2008-002, Apr, revised Mar 2011.
• H.O. Stekler & Kazuta Sakamoto, 2008, "Evaluating Current Year Forecasts Made During the Year: A Japanese Example," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2008-005, Jul.
• Herman O. Stekler, 2008, "What Do We Know About G-7 Macro Forecasts?," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2008-009, Aug.
• Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler, 2008, "Are 'unbiased' forecasts really unbiased? Another look at the Fed forecasts," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2008-010, Aug.
• Françoise Charpin & Catherine Mathieu & Gian Luigi Mazzi, 2008, "Construction of coincident indicators for the euro area. 5th EUROSTAT Colloquium on Modern Tools For Business Cycle Analysis, Luxembourg, 29th September - 1st October 2008," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01053253, Sep.
• François Dossou & Sandrine Lardic & Karine Michalon, 2008, "Can earnings forecasts be improved by taking into account the forecast bias?," Post-Print, HAL, number halshs-00365972, Nov.
• Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche, 2008, "Estimating fundamental cross-section dispersion from fixed event forecasts," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 200801, May.
• Ulrich Fritsche & Vladimir Kuzin, 2008, "Analysing Convergence in Europe Using a Non-linear Single Factor Model," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 200802, Jun.
• Tom Pak-wing Fong & Chun-shan Wong, 2008, "Stress Testing Banks' Credit Risk Using Mixture Vector Autoregressive Models," Working Papers, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, number 0813, Oct.
• Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2008, "Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change," Working Papers, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University, number 334.
• Sophocles N. Brissimis & Nicholas S. Magginas, 2008, "Inflation Forecasts and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 4, issue 2, pages 1-22, June.
• Anton Nakov, 2008, "Optimal and Simple Monetary Policy Rules with Zero Floor on the Nominal Interest Rate," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 4, issue 2, pages 73-127, June.
• Alex Brazier & Richard Harrison & Mervyn King & Tony Yates, 2008, "The Danger of Inflating Expectations of Macroeconomic Stability: Heuristic Switching in an Overlapping-Generations Monetary Model," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 4, issue 2, pages 219-254, June.
• Jean-Thomas Bernard & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian & Sebastien Mcmahon, 2008, "Forecasting commodity prices: GARCH, jumps, and mean reversion," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 27, issue 4, pages 279-291, DOI: 10.1002/for.1061.
• Marie Diron, 2008, "Short-term forecasts of euro area real GDP growth: an assessment of real-time performance based on vintage data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 27, issue 5, pages 371-390, DOI: 10.1002/for.1067.
• William Barnett & Evgeniya Aleksandrovna Duzhak, 2008, "Empirical Assessment of Bifurcation Regions within New Keynesian Models," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 200811, Oct, revised Oct 2008.
• William Trainor & Carolyn Rochelle, 2008, "Funding Status Projections for Southern Public Teaching Pension Plans," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, volume 36, issue 1, pages 77-87, March, DOI: 10.1007/s11293-007-9092-8.
• Cees Diks & Cars Hommes & Valentyn Panchenko & Roy Weide, 2008, "E&F Chaos: A User Friendly Software Package for Nonlinear Economic Dynamics," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 32, issue 1, pages 221-244, September, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-008-9130-x.
• David Hudgins & C. Chan, 2008, "Optimal Exchange Rate Policy Under Unknown Pass-through and Learning With Applications to Korea," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 32, issue 3, pages 279-293, October, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-008-9139-1.
• Khurshid Kiani & Terry Kastens, 2008, "Testing Forecast Accuracy of Foreign Exchange Rates: Predictions from Feed Forward and Various Recurrent Neural Network Architectures," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 32, issue 4, pages 383-406, November, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-008-9144-4.
• Glen Larsen & Bruce Resnick, 2008, "Return enhancement trading strategies for size based portfolios," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, volume 22, issue 1, pages 21-45, March, DOI: 10.1007/s11408-007-0069-z.
• G. Rünstler & K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze, 2008, "Short-Term Forecasting of GDP Using Large Monthly Datasets: A Pseudo Real-Time Forecast Evaluation Exercise," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series, Bank of Lithuania, number 1, Sep.
• Konstantins Benkovskis, 2008, "Short-Term Forecasts of Latvia's Real Gross Domestic Product Growth Using Monthly Indicators," Working Papers, Latvijas Banka, number 2008/05, Sep.
• Michele Berardi, 2008, "Fundamentalists vs. chartists: learning and predictor choice dynamics," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 104.

2007

• Richardson, James W. & Herbst, Brian K. & Duncan, Anthony & den Besten, Mark & van Hoven, Peter, 2007, "Location Preference for Risk-Averse Dutch Dairy Farmers Immigrating to the United States," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, volume 39, issue 3, pages 1-14, December, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.37061.
• Smith, Gregor W., 2007, "Pooling Forecasts in Linear Rational Expectations Models," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers, Queen's University - Department of Economics, number 273605, Jun, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.273605.
• Ferran Sancho, 2007, "The Total Fiscal Cost of Indirect Taxation: an Approximation Using Catalonia's Recent Input-output Table," UFAE and IAE Working Papers, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC), number 716.07, Oct.
• Brad Baxter & Liam Graham & Stephen Wright, 2007, "The Endogenous Kalman Filter," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 0719, Nov.
• Valentin Toader & Rozalia Veronica Rus, 2007, "The Impact Of Inflation Expectations On Transylvanian Smes’ Activity," JOURNAL STUDIA UNIVERSITATIS BABES-BOLYAI NEGOTIA, Babes-Bolyai University, Faculty of Business.
• René Lalonde & Dirk Muir, 2007, "The Bank of Canada's Version of the Global Economy Model (BoC-GEM)," Technical Reports, Bank of Canada, number 98, DOI: 10.34989/tr-98.
• Maral Kichian & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2007, "Does Indexation Bias the Estimated Frequency of Price Adjustment?," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 07-15, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2007-15.
• Frédérick Demers & Ryan Macdonald, 2007, "The Canadian Business Cycle: A Comparison of Models," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 07-38, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2007-38.
• Michael Bordo & Ali Dib & Lawrence L. Schembri, 2007, "Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s: (Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 07-45, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2007-45.
• Calista Cheung & Frédérick Demers, 2007, "Evaluating Forecasts from Factor Models for Canadian GDP Growth and Core Inflation," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 07-8, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2007-8.
• Verónica Balzarotti, 2007, "Real Interest Rate Risk in the Argentine Banking System. A Measuring Model," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, volume 1, issue 46, pages 7-61, January -.
• Pedro Elosegui & Guillermo Escudé & Lorena Garegnani & Juan Martín Sotes Paladino (ed.), 2007, "A Small Economic Model for Argentina," BCRA Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 03, ISBN: ARRAY(0x7dabb860), November.
• Pedro Elosegui & Guillermo Escudé & Lorena Garegnani & Juan Martín Sotes Paladino, 2007, "The BCRA’s Small Economic Model," BCRA Working Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 200718, Jan.
• Gabriel Jiménez & Javier Mencía, 2007, "Modeling the distribution of credit losses with observable and latent factors," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0709, Apr.
• Javier Andrés & Fernando Restoy, 2007, "Macroeconomic modelling in EMU: how relevant is the change in regime?," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0718, Jun.
• Boivin, J. & Giannoni, M., 2007, "DSGE Models in a Data-Rich Environment," Working papers, Banque de France, number 162.
• Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier & Jean-Paul Renne, 2007, "Does uncertainty make a time-varying natural rate of interest irrelevant for the conduct of monetary policy?," Working papers, Banque de France, number 175.
• Chauvin, V. & Devulder, A., 2007, "Maquette d’inflation zone euro," Bulletin de la Banque de France, Banque de France, issue 167, pages 77-94.
• Guangling (dave Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2007, "A Small‐Scale Dsge Model For Forecasting The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 75, issue 2, pages 179-193, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.2007.00118.x.
• Rangan Gupta, 2007, "FORECASTING THE SOUTH AFRICAN ECONOMY WITH GIBBS SAMPLED BVECMs," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 75, issue 4, pages 631-643, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.2007.00141.x.
• Matteo Iacoviello & Fabio Schiantarelli & Scott Schuh, 2007, "Input and Output Inventories in General Equilibrium," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 658, Mar, revised 23 Oct 2009.
• Maria K. Albani & Nicholas G. Zonzilos & Zacharias G. Bragoudakis, 2007, "An operational framework for the short-term forecasting of inflation," Economic Bulletin, Bank of Greece, issue 29, pages 89-106, October.
• Piero Ferri & Anna Maria Variato, 2007, "Endogenous Cycles, Debt and Monetary Policy," Working Papers (-2012), University of Bergamo, Department of Economics, number 0703, Jul.
• Piero Ferri & Anna Maria Variato, 2007, "Macro Dynamics in a Model with Uncertainty," Working Papers (-2012), University of Bergamo, Department of Economics, number 0704, Jul.
• David R.F. Love, 2007, "Aggregate Comovements, Anticipation, and Business Cycles," Working Papers, Brock University, Department of Economics, number 0704, Jun, revised Jun 2007.
• D'Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007, "Does global liquidity help to forecast US inflation?," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 10/RT/07, Dec.
• Régis Barnichon, 2007, "Productivity, Aggregate Demand and Unemployment Fluctuations," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0819, Aug.
• Régis Barnichon, 2007, "The Shimer Puzzle and the Correct Identification of Productivity Shocks," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp0823, Aug.
• Roy Batchelor, 2007, "Forecaster Behaviour and Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 39.
• Johannes Mayr & Dirk Ulbricht, 2007, "VAR Model Averaging for Multi-Step Forecasting," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 48.
• Vojtech Benda & Lubos Ruzicka, 2007, "Short-term Forecasting Methods Based on the LEI Approach: The Case of the Czech Republic," Research and Policy Notes, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2007/01, Dec.
• Eliana Gonz�lez Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velnadia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007, "Pron�sticos directos de la inflaci�n colombiana," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4246, Sep.
• Eliana Gonz�lez Molano & Luis Fernando Melo Velnadia & Anderson Grajales Olarte, 2007, "Pron�sticos directos de la inflaci�n colombiana," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4247, Sep.
• Andr�s Langebaek & Eliana Gonz�lez M., 2007, "Inflaci�N Y Precios Relativos En Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4248, Oct.
• Andr�s Langebaek & Eliana Gonz�lez M., 2007, "Inflaci�N Y Precios Relativos En Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4249, Oct.
• Jos� Luis Torres, 2007, "La estimaci�n de la brecha del producto en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4288, Oct.
• Juan Manuel Julio, 2007, "The Fan Chart: The Technical Details Of The New Implementation," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 4294, Nov.
• Ignacio Lozano & Carolina Ramírez & Alexander Guarín, 2007, "Sostenibilidad fiscal en Colombia: una mirada hacia el mediano plazo," Perfil de Coyuntura Económica, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE.
• Timmermann, Allan & Patton, Andrew, 2007, "Learning in Real Time: Theory and Empirical Evidence from the Term Structure of Survey Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 6526, Oct.
• Giannone, Domenico & D’Agostino, Antonello & Surico, Paolo, 2007, "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 6594, Dec.
• Reichlin, Lucrezia & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele, 2007, "Explaining The Great Moderation: It Is Not The Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 6600, Dec.
• Richardson, James W. & Herbst, Brian & Duncan, Anthony & den Besten, Mark & van Hoven, Peter, 2007, "Location Preference for Risk-Averse Dutch Dairy Farmers Immigrating to the United States," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, volume 39, issue 3, pages 735-748, December.
• Olivier Coibion, 2007, "Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve," Working Papers, Economics Department, William & Mary, number 61, Oct.
• Corporate author, 2007, "Tendenzen der Wirtschaftsentwicklung 2007/2008," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, volume 74, issue 30, pages 453-477.
• Pham The Anh, 2007, "Growth, Volatility And Stabilisation Policy In A DSGE Model With Nominal Rigidities And Learning-By-Doing," Working Papers, Development and Policies Research Center (DEPOCEN), Vietnam, number 04, Jun.
• Kenny, Geoff & Genre, Véronique & Bowles, Carlos & Friz, Roberta & Meyler, Aidan & Rautanen, Tuomas, 2007, "The ECB survey of professional forecasters (SPF) - A review after eight years' experience," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 59, Apr.
• McAdam, Peter & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2007, "Quantifying and sustaining welfare gains from monetary commitment," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 709, Jan.
• Mestre, Ricardo, 2007, "Are survey-based inflation expections in the euro area informative?," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 721, Feb.
• Ciccarelli, Matteo & Altavilla, Carlo, 2007, "Inflation Forecasts, monetary policy and unemployment dynamics: evidence from the US and the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 725, Feb.
• Rünstler, Gerhard & Bańbura, Marta, 2007, "A look into the factor model black box: publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 751, May.
• Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G. & Pierse, Richard, 2007, "Linear-quadratic approximation, external habit and targeting rules," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 759, Jun.
• Vansteenkiste, Isabel & Dées, Stéphane, 2007, "The transmission of US cyclical developments to the rest of the world," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 798, Aug.
• Surico, Paolo & Benati, Luca, 2007, "Evolving U.S. monetary policy and the decline of inflation predictability," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 824, Oct.
• Klaus Adam, 2007, "Experimental Evidence on the Persistence of Output and Inflation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 117, issue 520, pages 603-636, April.