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Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP

Author

Listed:
  • Departamento de Modelos Macroeconómicos

    () (Central Bank of Peru)

Abstract

El documento describe el Modelo de Proyección Trimestral (MPT) utilizado por el Banco Central de Reserva del Perú (BCRP) para fines de simulación de política monetaria y de proyección de las principales variables macroeconómicas. La estructura básica del modelo es una aproximación a la representación lineal de un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico para una economía pequeña y abierta con dolarización parcial. El modelo incorpora expectativas racionales y posee un fundamento neo-keynesiano (rigidez de precios) que permite un rol de la política monetaria sobre las variables reales en el corto plazo. El documento presenta también ejercicios de simulación de momentos y de funciones impulsorespuesta generados con el MPT, así como algunas consideraciones adicionales sobre el sistema de proyecciones macroeconómicas del BCRP.

Suggested Citation

  • Departamento de Modelos Macroeconómicos, 2009. "Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP," Working Papers 2009-006, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
  • Handle: RePEc:rbp:wpaper:2009-006
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    File URL: http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Documentos-de-Trabajo/2009/Documento-de-Trabajo-06-2009.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Modelo semiestructural; Proyecciones macroeconómicas; Perú;

    JEL classification:

    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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