Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2001

• Gangadhar Darbha, 2001, "Identification of Cyclical Phases: A Dynamic Factor- Markov Switching Model for India," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 36, issue 1, pages 215-229, January.
• Micheal P. Niemira, 2001, "An AHP-Based Composite Cyclical-Performance Index," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 36, issue 1, pages 241-250, January.
• Robert S. Goldfarb & H. O. Stekler, 2001, "Combining the Results of rationality Studies: What Did We know and When Did We know It?," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 36, issue 1, pages 269-300, January.
• Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2001, "An Indicator Approach to Business and Growth Rate Cycles: The Case of India," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, volume 36, issue 1, pages 55-78, January.
• Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo & Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego, 2001, "Assessment criteria for output gap estimates," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 54, Apr.
• Henry, Jérôme & Mestre, Ricardo & Backé, Peter, 2001, "Diffusion index-based inflation forecasts for the euro area," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 61, Apr.
• Wallis, Kenneth F., 2001, "Chi-squared tests of interval and density forecasts and the Bank of England's fan charts," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 83, Nov.
• Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2001, "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 25, issue 6-7, pages 891-910, June.
• Dopke, Jorg, 2001, "Macroeconomic forecasts and the nature of economic shocks in Germany," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 17, issue 2, pages 181-201.
• Martin Melecký, 2001, "Comparison of Selected Simple Models of Inflation in the Czech Economy," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 51, issue 5, pages 279-297, May.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001, "Forecasting output and inflation: the role of asset prices," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
• Olsson, Ola, 2001, "Why Does Technology Advance in Cycles?," Working Papers in Economics, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics, number 38, Mar.
• Koskinen, Lasse & Öller, Lars-Erik, 2001, "A Classifying Procedure for Signaling Turning Points," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 427, Feb.
• Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2001, "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information," Seminar Papers, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies, number 689, Feb.
• Jansson, Per & Vredin, Anders, 2001, "Forecast-based Monetary Policy in Sweden 1992-1998: A View from Within," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 120, Feb.
• Olekalns, N., 2001, "An Empirical Investigation of Structural Breaks in the Ex Ante Fisher Effect," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 786.
• Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2001, "Market Architecture and Nonlinear Dynamics of Australian Stock and Future Indices," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 3/01, May.
• Athanasopoulos, G. & Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2001, "Capturing the Shape of Business Cycles with Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading Indicator Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 7/01, Jun.
• Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001, "Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors," NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 0269, Mar.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2001, "Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 8180, Mar.
• Wouter J. Den Haan & Steven Sumner, 2001, "The Comovements between Real Activity and Prices in the G7," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 8195, Mar.
• Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2001, "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy under Asymmetric Information," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 8255, Apr.
• Hans-Martin Krolzig & Juan Toro & European University Institute & Florence, 2001, "A New Approach to the Analysis of Business Cycle Transitions in a Model of Output and Employment," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 59, Jan.
• Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J., 2001, "A New Approach To The Analysis Of Business Cycle Transitions In A Model Of Output And Employment," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 9959.
• Harding, Don & Kam, Timothy, 2001, "Perspectives on Unemployment from a General Equilibrium Search Model," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 3696, Aug.
• Harding, Don & Song, Lei Lei & Tran, Duy, 2001, "Evaluation of the Australian Industry Group / PricewaterhouseCoopers - Performance of Manufacturing Index (Ai-PMI)," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 3697, Apr.
• Acuña, Andrés & Oyarzún, Carlos, 2001, "Money and Real Fluctuations: Calibrating a Cash in Advance Model for the Chilean Economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 8274, Oct, revised Oct 2005.
• Khazri, Afifa, 2001, "Impact des chocs monétaires sur les variations du salaire réel
  [Monetary Shocks and Impact on Changes in Real Wages]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86772, May.
• Gabriel Desgranges & Giorgio Negroni, 2001, "Apprentissage et équilibres à taches solaires. Un point de vue divinatoire," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, volume 52, issue 3, pages 583-593, DOI: 10.3406/reco.2001.410339.
• Ivan Roberts & John Simon, 2001, "What do Sentiment Surveys Measure?," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2001-09, Nov.
• Scutaru, Cornelia & Pelinescu, Elena, 2001, "A Dynamic Model Of The Money Demand In Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 1, pages 32-47, June.
• Desmireanu, Ionel, 2001, "Evolution Of The Main Factors Of Production And Of Their Efficiency Of Use; Retrospective Analyses; Reference Points For Macroeconomic Forecasts," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 1, pages 48-55, June.
• Francesc Obiols-Homs, 2001, "Incomplete unemployment insurance and aggregate fluctuations," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics, number 192, Apr.
• Toshiya Ishikawa, 2001, "Technology Diffusion, Intertemporal Substitution, and Business Cycles," Computing in Economics and Finance 2001, Society for Computational Economics, number 269, Apr.
• Gottschalk, Jan, 2001, "Monetary Conditions in the Euro Area: Useful Indicators of Aggregate Demand Conditions?," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1037.
• Strauß, Hubert, 2001, "Assessing the Effects of the Terrorist Attacks on the U.S. Economy," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1077.
• Berlemann, Michael, 2001, "Forecasting inflation via electronic markets: Results from a prototype market," Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics, number 06/01.
• Hüfner, Felix P. & Schröder, Michael, 2001, "Unternehmens- versus Analystenbefragungen: Zum Prognosegehalt von ifo-Geschäftserwartungen und ZEW-Konjunkturerwartungen," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 01-04.

2000

• Anderson, H.M. & Vahid, F., 2000, "Predicting the Probability of a Recession with Nonlinear Autoregressive Leading Indicator Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, number 3/00, Mar.
• Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 2000, "Nominal Income Targeting in an Open-Economy Optimizing Model," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6675, Jun.
• Mark Gertler & Cara S. Lown, 2000, "The Information in the High Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 7549, Feb.
• Lars E.O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000, "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 7953, Oct.
• James D. Hamilton & Dong Heon Kim, 2000, "A Re-examination of the Predictability of Economic Activity Using the Yield Spread," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 7954, Oct.
• Vassiliki Koutsogeorgopoulou, 2000, "A Post-Mortem on Economic Outlook Projections," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 274, Dec, DOI: 10.1787/351822846618.
• Henry, Brian & Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J, 2000, "Adjustment Dynamics and the Natural Rate: An Account of UK Unemployment," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 52, issue 1, pages 178-203, January.
• Bilgili, Faik, 2000, "Forecasting the Macro Targets of Turkish Economy for the Year 2000: An Application of Box-Jenkins and Exponential Smoothing Methods," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 75532.
• Françoise Charpin & Hervé Péléraux, 2000, "L'indicateur avancé de l'OFCE," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, volume 72, issue 1, pages 133-155, DOI: 10.3406/ofce.2000.1572.
• Andrea Brischetto & Graham Voss, 2000, "Forecasting Australian Economic Activity Using Leading Indicators," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2000-02, Apr.
• Meredith Beechey & Nargis Bharucha & Adam Cagliarini & David Gruen & Christopher Thompson, 2000, "A Small Model of the Australian Macroeconomy," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2000-05, Jun.
• Klaus Göggelmann & Peter Winker & Martin Schellhorn & Wolfgang Franz, 2000, "Quasi-Monte Carlo methods in stochastic simulations: An application to policy simulations using a disequilibrium model of the West German economy 1960-1994," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 25, issue 2, pages 247-259.
• Vincent (Vincent Peter) Hogan, 2000, "The behaviour of inflation and unemployment in the United States," Working Papers, School of Economics, University College Dublin, number 200016, Jun.
• Michael Berlemann & Kalina Dimitrova & Nikolay Nenovsky, 2000, "Assessing Market Expectations on Exchange Rates and Inflation: A Pilot Forecasting System for Bulgaria," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan, number wp759, Mar.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 2000, "Unsolved Econometric Problems in Nonlinearity, Chaos, and Bifurcation," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0004021, Sep.
• Döpke, Jörg, 2000, "Macroeconomic Forecasts and the Nature of Economic Shocks in Germany," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 972.
• van Zandweghe, Willem & Martinez Rico, Felipe & Gottschalk, Jan, 2000, "Money as an Indicator in the Euro Zone," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 984.
• Munir A. Jalil & Luis Fernando Melo, 2000, "Una Relación no Líneal entre Inflación y los Medios de Pago," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 145, Apr, DOI: 10.32468/be.145.
• Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 2000, "Optimal horizons for inflation targeting," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series, Bank of England, number 119, Jul.
• Potter Simon M., 2000, "A Nonlinear Model of the Business Cycle," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, volume 4, issue 2, pages 1-11, July, DOI: 10.2202/1558-3708.1058.
• Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji, 2000, "An Index of Coincident Economic Indicators for the Indian Economy," Working papers, Centre for Development Economics, Delhi School of Economics, number 73, Jan.
• Hans-Dieter Karl, 2000, "AIECE-Prognose: Weltrohstoffpreise 2001," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 53, issue 14, pages 14-22, May.
• Söderlind, Paul, 2000, "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 2499, Jul.
• Ritschl, Albrecht & Woitek, Ulrich, 2000, "Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 2547, Sep.
• Moen, Jon R. & Tallman, Ellis W., 2000, "Clearinghouse Membership and Deposit Contraction during the Panic of 1907," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, volume 60, issue 1, pages 145-163, March.
• Svensson, Lars E. O. & Woodford, Michael, 2000, "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 12, Feb.
• Thomas Knox & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2000, "Empirical Bayes Forecasts of One Time Series Using Many Predictors," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society, number 1421, Aug.
• Barnett, William A. & Serletis, Apostolos, 2000, "Martingales, nonlinearity, and chaos," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 24, issue 5-7, pages 703-724, June.
• Mohamad Shaaf, 2000, "Predicting Recession Using the Yield Curve: An Artificial Intelligence and Econometric Comparison," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, volume 26, issue 2, pages 171-190, Spring.
• D'Amuri, Francesco & Marcucci, Juri, 2009, "‘Google it!’ Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index," ISER Working Paper Series, Institute for Social and Economic Research, number 2009-32, Nov.
• Barrell, R. & Pina, A.M., 2000, "How Important are Automatic Stabilizers in Europe? A Stochastic Simulation Assessment," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number eco2000/2.
• Adam, K., 2000, "Adaptive Learning and the Cyclical Behavior of Output and Inflation," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number eco2000/25.
• Lars E. O. Svensson & Michael Woodford, 2000, "Indicator variables for optimal policy," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
• Hogan, V., 2000, "The Behaviour of Inflation and Unemployment the United States," Papers, College Dublin, Department of Political Economy-, number 00/16.
• Packalen, M., 2000, "On the Learnability of Rational Expectations Equilibria in Three Business Cycle Models," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics, number 87.
• Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T., 2000, "Outlook for the Canadian Economy: National Projection Through 2020," Papers, Institute for Policy Analysis, number 2000-2.
• Albrecht Ritschl & Ulrich Woitek, 2000, "Did Monetary Forces Cause the Great Depression? A Bayesian VAR Analysis for the U.S. Economy," Working Papers, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, number 2000_07, Jun.
• Giordani, Paolo & Soderlind, Paul, 2000, "Inflation Forecast Uncertainty," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 384, May, revised 06 Nov 2001.
• Svensson, Lars & Woodford, Michael, 2000, "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy," Seminar Papers, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies, number 688, Sep.
• Batini, Nicoletta & Nelson, Edward, 2000, "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 103, Feb.
• SaangJoon Baak, 2000, "Heterogeneous Expectations, Volatility and Welfare," Working Papers, Research Institute, International University of Japan, number EMS_2000_01, Jun.
• Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2000, "Forecasting And Turning Point Predictions In A Bayesian Panel Var Model," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 2000-05, Mar.
• Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 2000, "Characteristics of Unemployment Dynamics: The Chain Reaction Approach," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 127, Mar.

1999

• Richard Dion, 1999, "Indicator Models of Core Inflation for Canada," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 99-13, DOI: 10.34989/swp-1999-13.
• René Lalonde, 1999, "The U.S. Capacity Utilization Rate: A New Estimation Approach," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 99-14, DOI: 10.34989/swp-1999-14.
• Greg Tkacz & Sarah Hu, 1999, "Forecasting GDP Growth Using Artificial Neural Networks," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 99-3, DOI: 10.34989/swp-1999-3.
• Camilo Zea, 1999, "Financial Inefficiency and Real Business Cycle in Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 127, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.127.
• Peter N. Ireland, 1999, "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics, number 421, Apr.
• Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999, "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 1/RT/99, Mar.
• Wolfgang Nierhaus, 1999, "Aus dem Instrumentenkasten der Konjunkturanalyse : Veränderungen im Vergleich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 52, issue 27, pages 11-19, October.
• Luis Eduardo Arango, 1999, "Componentes no observados de la inflación en Colombia," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario.
• Martin Boileau & Michel Normandin, 1999, "Capacity Utilization and the Dynamics of Business Cycle Fluctuations," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal, number 92, Sep.
• Peter Ireland, 1999, "Matlab code for A Method for Taking Models to the Data," QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles, number 46, revised .
• Malliaris, A. G. & Stein, Jerome L., 1999, "Methodological issues in asset pricing: Random walk or chaotic dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, volume 23, issue 11, pages 1605-1635, November.
• McCallum, Bennett T. & Nelson, Edward, 1999, "Nominal income targeting in an open-economy optimizing model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 43, issue 3, pages 553-578, June.
• Krolzig, H.-M. & Toro, J., 1999, "A New Approach to the Analysis of Shocks and the Cycle in a Model of Output and Employment," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number eco99/30.
• Peter N. Ireland, 1999, "A method for taking models to the data," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 9903, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-199903.
• Atta, J.K. & Jefferis, K.R. & Mannathoko, I. & Siwawa-Ndai, P., 1999, "Exchange Rate Policy and Prices Determination in Botswana," Papers, African Economic Research Consortium, number 93.
• Mitra, K., 1999, "Is More Data Better?," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics, number 452.
• Honkapohja, S. & Mitra, K., 1999, "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics, number 456.
• Robin L. Lumsdaine & Mr. Eswar S Prasad, 1999, "Identifying the Common Component in International Economic Fluctuations: A New Approach," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 1999/154, Nov.
• Snower, Dennis J. & Karanassou, Marika & Henry, Brian, 1999, "Adjustment Dynamics and the Natural Rate: An Account of UK Unemployment," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 75, Dec.
• Grupp Hariolf, 1999, "Umweltfreundliche Innovation durch Preissignale oder Regulation? / Environment-friendly Innovation by Price Signals or Regulation?: Eine empirische Untersuchung für Deutschland / An Empirical Investigation for Germany," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 219, issue 5-6, pages 611-631, October, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-1999-5-622.
• Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1999, "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semiclassical Structural Model," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "Monetary Policy Rules".
• Victor Zarnowitz, 1999, "Has the Business Cycle Been Abolished?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6367, Apr.
• Gertler, Mark & Lown, Cara S, 1999, "The Information in the High-Yield Bond Spread for the Business Cycle: Evidence and Some Implications," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, volume 15, issue 3, pages 132-150, Autumn.
• Quinn, Terry & Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan, 1999, "Inflation Analysis: An Overview," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 11361, Mar.
• Khazri, Afifa, 1999, "Contrats salariaux, rétention de main-d’œuvre et cycle économique
  [Wage Contracts, Labor Retention and Economic Cycle]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86755, Dec.
• Khazri, Afifa, 1999, "Contrats salariaux, rétention de main-d’œuvre et cycle économique
  [Wage Contracts, Labor Retention and Economic Cycle]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86947, Dec.
• Andrea Brischetto & Graham Voss, 1999, "A Structural Vector Autoregression Model of Monetary Policy in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp1999-11, Dec.
• Nicoletta Batini & Edward Nelson, 1999, "Optimal Horizons for Inflation Targeting," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics, number 1052, Mar.
• Peter Ireland, 1999, "A Method for Taking Models to the Data," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics, number 1233, Mar.
• Kaushik Mitra & Seppo Honkapohja, 1999, "Learning with Bounded Memory in Stochastic Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999, Society for Computational Economics, number 221, Mar.
• Nicolas A. Cuche & Martin K. Hess, 1999, "Estimating Monthly GDP In A General Kalman Filter Framework: Evidence From Switzerland," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee, number 99.02, Mar.
• Wilfredo Leiva, 1999, "Adaptive learning in models with lagged variables," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 413, Oct.
• Fabio Canova & Matteo Ciccarelli, 1999, "Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 443, Oct.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 1999, "Center Manifold, Stability, and Bifurcations in Continuous Time Macroeconometric Systems," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9901002, Jan.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He & ., 1999, "Stabilization Policy as Bifurcation Selection: Would Keynesian Policy Work if the World Really were Keynesian?," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9906008, Jun.
• Schumacher, Christian & Loose, Brigitte & Langmantel, Erich & Gottschalk, Jan & Fritsche, Ulrich & Döpke, Jörg, 1999, "Indikatoren zur Prognose der Investitionen in Deutschland," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 906.

1998

• Julio J. Rotemberg & Michael Woodford, 1998, "An Optimization-Based Econometric Framework for the Evaluation of Monetary Policy: Expanded Version," NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 0233, May.
• Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998, "Performance of Operational Policy Rules in an Estimated Semi-Classical Structural Model," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6599, Jun.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1998, "Diffusion Indexes," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6702, Aug.
• Paul Conway & Aaron Drew & Ben Hunt & Alasdair Scott, 1998, "Exchange rate effects and inflation targeting in a small open economy: a stochastic analysis using FPS," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number G99/4, May.
• Meyler, Aidan & Kenny, Geoff & Quinn, Terry, 1998, "Forecasting irish inflation using ARIMA models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 11359, Dec.
• Andreou, A. S. & Zombanakis, George A. & Likothanassis, S. D. & Georgakopoulos, E., 1998, "Modeling And Forecasting Exchange-Rate Shocks," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 51539, Mar, revised 06 Jun 1998.
• Goyal, Ashima, 1998, "Labour Market Institutions, Real Wages and Macroeconomic Outcomes," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 67130.
• Martin Chalkley & In Ho Lee, 1998, "Learning and Asymmetric Business Cycles," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 1, issue 3, pages 623-645, July, DOI: 10.1006/redy.1998.0024.
• Torbjørn Eika & Knut A. Magnussen, 1998, "Did Norway Gain from the 1979-85 Oil Price Shock?," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 210, Feb.
• William A. Barnett & Apostolos Serletis, 1998, "Martingales, Nonlinearity, and Chaos," Econometrics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9805003, Jun.
• William A. Barnett & Yijun He, 1998, "Bifurcations in Continuous-Time Macroeconomic Systems," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9805018, Jun.
• Randal J. Verbrugge, 1998, "A cross-country investigation of macroeconomic asymmetries," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9809017, Sep, revised 30 Sep 1998.
• Kaiser, Ulrich & Buscher, Herbert S., 1998, "Der Service Sentiment Indicator: Ein Konjunkturklimaindikator für den Wirtschaftszweig unternehmensnahe Dienstleistungen," ZEW Dokumentationen, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 98-04.
• Kenny, Geoff & Meyler, Aidan & Quinn, Terry, 1998, "Forecasting Irish inflation using ARIMA models," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 3/RT/98, Dec.
• Luis Fernando Melo & Martha Misas, 1998, "Análisis del comportamiento de la inflación trimestral en Colombia bajo cambios de régimen: Una evidencia a través del modelo "Switching" de Hamilton," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario.
• ROCHON, Céline, 1998, "Liquidity constraints and cycles," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), number 1998007, Jan.
• Jean-Christophe PEREAU, 1998, "Négociation salariale en terme réel et en terme nominal : Une analyse des propriétés dynamiques d’un modèle avec contrats échelonnés," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES), number 1998033, Sep.
• Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 1998, "Performance of operational policy rules in an estimated semi-classical structural model," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar.
• Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T., 1998, "National Projection Throughgh 2020," Papers, California Davis - Institute of Governmental Affairs, number 98-1.
• Dungan, P. & Murphy, S. & Wilson, T., 1998, "Outlook for the Canadian Economy: National Projection Through 2020," Papers, California Davis - Institute of Governmental Affairs, number 98-3.
• Mitra, K., 1998, "On the Relationship of Optimal Memory to Steady States, Cycles, Chaos," University of Helsinki, Department of Economics, Department of Economics, number 433.
• Gardes, F. & Ghabri, S. & Pichery, M.-C., 1998, "A Comparison of France and the United States. Rationality of Price and Unemployment Expectations: Tests on French Quality Micro-Data," Papiers du Laboratoire de Microéconomie Appliquée, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), number 1998-11.
• Sbordone, A.M., 1998, "Prices and Unit Labor Costs: a New Test of Price Stickiness," Papers, Stockholm - International Economic Studies, number 653.
• Ana E. Lamo, 1998, "- Unemployment In Europe And Regional Labor Fluctuations," Working Papers. Serie AD, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie), number 1998-19, Sep.

1997

• Muellbauer, John, 1997, "Income Persistence and Macro-Policy Feedbacks in the United States," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 1557, Feb.
• Karanassou, Marika & Snower, Dennis J., 1997, "Is the natural rate a reference point?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 41, issue 3-5, pages 559-569, April.
• Lopez, H & Ortega, E & Ubide, A, 1997, "Dating and Forecasting the Spanish Business Cycle," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number eco97/05.
• Schmitter, P.C. & Grote, J.R., 1997, "The Corporatist Sisyphus: Past, Present and Future," Papers, European Institute - Political and Social Sciences, number 97/4.
• Russell W. Cooper, 1997, "Business Cycles: Theory, Evidence and Implications," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 5994, Apr.
• Victor Zarnowitz, 1997, "Business Cycles Observed and Assessed: Why and How They Matter," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 6230, Oct.
• W A Razzak, 1997, "Testing the rationality of the National Bank of New Zealand's survey data," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number G97/5, Jul.
• Freeman, Alan, 1997, "An endogenous profit rate cycle," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 1138.
• Norbert Funke, 1997, "Predicting recessions: Some evidence for Germany," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), volume 133, issue 1, pages 90-102, March, DOI: 10.1007/BF02707678.
• Döpke, Jörg & Langfeldt, Enno, 1997, "Abnehmende Bedeutung der Lagerinvestitionen für den Konjunkturverlauf?," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 815.

1996

• Ana R. LAMO, 1996, "Unemployment in Europe and Regional Labour Fluctuations," Cahiers de Recherches Economiques du Département d'économie, Université de Lausanne, Faculté des HEC, Département d’économie, number 9620, Sep.
• Bertrand Candelon & Jean-François Jacques, 1996, "La modélisation multivariée des contributions : Une tentative d'explication des derniers retournements de la conjoncture," Cahiers de la Maison des Sciences Economiques, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), number 96003, Jan.
• Kenneth Y. Chay & David S. Lee, 1996, "Changes in Relative Wages in the 1980s: Returns to Observed and Unobserved Skills and Black-White Wage Differentials," Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section., number 751, Dec.
• Ray Barrell & Knut A. Magnussen, 1996, "Counterfactual Analyses of Oil Price Shocks using a World Model," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 177, Jul.
• Einar Bowitz & Stein Inge Hove, 1996, "Business cycles and fiscal policy: Norway 1973-93," Discussion Papers, Statistics Norway, Research Department, number 178, Aug.
• Harrison, Steve, 1996, "Cost-Benefit Analysis with Applications to Animal Health Programmes: Spreadsheet Implementation of Discounted Cash Flow and Risk Analysis," Animal Health Economics, University of Queensland, School of Economics, number 164571, Sep, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.164571.
• Marika Karanassou & Dennis Snower, 1996, "Is the Natural Rate a Reference Point?," Archive Discussion Papers, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 9623.
• Jamie Armour & Joseph Atta-Mensah & Walter Engert & Scott Hendry, 1996, "A Distant-Early-Warning Model of Inflation Based on M1 Disequilibria," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 96-5, DOI: 10.34989/swp-1996-5.
• María de los Llanos Matea & Ana Valentina Regil, 1996, "Short-term inflation indicators," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 9621.
• Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1996, "Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 14, issue 1, pages 11-30, January.
• Snower, Dennis & Karanassou, Marika, 1996, "Is the Natural Rate a Reference Point?," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 1507, Nov.
• Candelon, B., 1996, "La modelisation multivariee des contributions: une tentative d'explication des derniers retournements de la conjoncture," Papiers d'Economie Mathématique et Applications, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), number 96.03.

1995

• McKibbin, W.J. & Siegloff, E., 1995, "International Macroeconomic Policy Coordination : Implications for Australia," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University, number 334.
• Mika Linden, 1995, "Interest rate and inflation expectations in Finland 1987-1994 : a case for the inverted fisher hypothesis," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, volume 8, issue 2, pages 108-115, Autumn.
• Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 1995, "Tobin's Q and asset returns: implications for business cycle analysis," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, number 95-14.
• Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 1995, "Tobin's Q and asset returns: implications for business cycle analysis," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 200, DOI: 10.21034/sr.200.
• Brännström, Tomas, 1995, "Money Growth and Inflation: Implications of Reducing the Bias of VAR Estimates," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics, number 82, Nov.
• Malliaris, A G & Malliaris, Mary E, 1995, "Decomposition of Inflation and Its Volatility: A Stochastic Approach," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, volume 5, issue 1, pages 93-103, March.
• Stephen G. Cecchetti, 1995, "Inflation Indicators and Inflation Policy," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1995, Volume 10".
• Stephen G. Cecchetti, 1995, "Inflation Indicators and Inflation Policy," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 5161, Jun.
• Lawrence J. Christiano & Jonas Fisher, 1995, "Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cycle Analysis," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 5292, Oct.
• Artis, Michael J, et al, 1995, "Turning Point Prediction for the UK Using CSO Leading Indicators," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, volume 47, issue 3, pages 397-417, July.
• Gary G. Moser, 1995, "The Main Determinants of Inflation in Nigeria," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, volume 42, issue 2, pages 270-289, June.
• Jordan, Thomas J & Lenz, Carlos, 1995, "Monetary and Real Shocks in a Monetary Union: The Swiss Case," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 20, issue 4, pages 635-649.
• Teresa Garcia-Milà & Albert Marcet & Eva Ventura, 1995, "Supply side interventions and redistribution," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 115, Jun.
• Fisher, J.D.M. & Christiano, L.J., 1995, "Tobin's q and Asset Returns: Implications for Business Cyle Analysis," University of Western Ontario, Departmental Research Report Series, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics, number 9515.
• Michelis, L., 1995, "Non-Nested Pretest Tests," University of Western Ontario, Departmental Research Report Series, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics, number 9520.
• Clements, Michael P., 2010, "Why are survey forecasts superior to model forecasts?," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics, number 954.

1994

• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1994, "Evidence on Structural Instability in Macroeconomic Time Series Relations," NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 0164, Sep.