Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2009

• KevinX.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2009, "Learning, Adaptive Expectations and Technology Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 119, issue 536, pages 377-405, March.
• Koop, Gary & Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009, "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," SIRE Discussion Papers, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE), number 2009-40.
• Smith, Gregor W., 2009, "Pooling forecasts in linear rational expectations models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 33, issue 11, pages 1858-1866, November.
• Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick & Nowell, Eric & Sofat, Prakriti & Srinivasan, Naveen, 2009, "Can the facts of UK inflation persistence be explained by nominal rigidity?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 26, issue 5, pages 978-992, September.
• Jiménez, Gabriel & Mencía, Javier, 2009, "Modelling the distribution of credit losses with observable and latent factors," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, volume 16, issue 2, pages 235-253, March.
• Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza & Markwardt, Gunther, 2009, "The effects of oil price shocks on the Iranian economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 1, pages 134-151, January.
• Akram, Q. Farooq, 2009, "Commodity prices, interest rates and the dollar," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 6, pages 838-851, November.
• Ager, P. & Kappler, M. & Osterloh, S., 2009, "The accuracy and efficiency of the Consensus Forecasts: A further application and extension of the pooled approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 25, issue 1, pages 167-181.
• Lux, Thomas, 2009, "Rational forecasts or social opinion dynamics? Identification of interaction effects in a business climate survey," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 72, issue 2, pages 638-655, November.
• Croce, Roberto M. & Haurin, Donald R., 2009, "Predicting turning points in the housing market," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, volume 18, issue 4, pages 281-293, December.
• Gamber, Edward N. & Smith, Julie K., 2009, "Are the Fed's inflation forecasts still superior to the private sector's?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 31, issue 2, pages 240-251, June.
• Ho, Kin-Yip & Tsui, Albert K. & Zhang, Zhaoyong, 2009, "Volatility dynamics of the US business cycle: A multivariate asymmetric GARCH approach," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, volume 79, issue 9, pages 2856-2868, DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2008.08.015.
• Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009, "An econometric analysis of some models for constructed binary time series," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2009-08, Jan.
• Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009, "Depression econometrics: a FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History, number 51582.
• Cassou, Steven P. & Vázquez Pérez, Jesús, 2009, "Employment comovements at the sectoral level over the business cycle," DFAEII Working Papers, University of the Basque Country - Department of Foundations of Economic Analysis II, number 1988-088X, Dec.
• W. David McCausland & Ian D. McAvinchey, 2009, "Macroeconomic Stability, Equities and Real Estate: A Dynamic Model for the U.K," Ekonomia, Cyprus Economic Society and University of Cyprus, volume 12, issue 2, pages 127-159, Winter.
• Arturo Antón-Sarabia, 2009, "Efectos del ciclo económico en EE. UU. sobre la producción y el empleo en México," Working Papers, CIDE, División de Economía, number DTE 456, Sep.
• Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009, "Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2009/13.
• Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2009, "Survey Data as Coicident or Leading Indicators," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2009/19.
• Vladimir Kuzin & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher, 2009, "MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2009/32.
• Paul Hubert, 2009, "An Empirical Review of Federal Reserve’s Informational Advantage," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE), number 2009-03.
• FAN Gang & HE Liping & HU Jiani, 2009, "CPI vs. PPI: Which drives which£¿," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, volume 4, issue 3, pages 317-334, September.
• Samu Kurri, 2009, "Price Changes in Finland: Some Evidence from the Micro CPI data," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, volume 22, issue 2, pages 47-62, Autumn.
• Lutz Kilian & Robert J. Vigfusson, 2009, "Pitfalls in estimating asymmetric effects of energy price shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 970.
• Pinelopi K. Goldberg & Rebecca Hellerstein, 2009, "How rigid are producer prices?," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 407.
• Tara M. Sinclair & Fred Joutz & Herman O. Stekler, 2009, "Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?," Working Papers, The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research, number 2009-001, Jun, revised Mar 2010.
• Tara Sinclair & H.O. Stekler & Elizabeth Reid & Edward N. Gamber, 2009, "Jointly Evaluating GDP and Inflation Forcasts in the Context of the Taylor Rule," Working Papers, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy, number 2008-05, Jun.
• Tara Sinclair & Frederick L. Joutz, 2009, "Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?," Working Papers, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy, number 2008-06, Jun.
• Thomas Lux, 2009, "Rational Forecasts or Social Opinion Dynamics? Identification of Interaction Effects in a Business Climate Survey," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-00720175, Jul, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2009.07.003.
• Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton, 2009, "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect," Harvard Business School Working Papers, Harvard Business School, number 10-023, Sep, revised Jul 2010.
• Jonas Dovern & Ulrich Fritsche & Jiri Slacalek, 2009, "Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 200906, Sep.
• Loening, Josef L. & Durevall, Dick & Ayalew Birru, Yohannes, 2009, "Inflation Dynamics and Food Prices in an Agricultural Economy: The Case of Ethiopia," Working Papers in Economics, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics, number 347, Feb.
• Ljungwall, Christer & Gao, Xu, 2009, "Sources Of Business Cycle Fluctuations: Comparing China And India," Working Paper Series, Stockholm School of Economics, China Economic Research Center, number 2009-7, May.
• Österholm, Pär, 2009, "The Effect on the Swedish Real Economy of the Financial Crisis," Working Papers, National Institute of Economic Research, number 110, Feb.
• Frank Leung & Kevin Chow & Simon Chan, 2009, "Measures of Trend Inflation in Hong Kong," Working Papers, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, number 0907, Apr.
• Kayhan Koleyni, 2009, "Using Artificial Neural Networks For Income Convergence," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, volume 3, issue 2, pages 141-152.
• Mohamed A. Osman & Rosmy Jean Louis & Faruk Balli, 2009, "Output gap and inflation nexus: the case of United Arab Emirates," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, volume 1, issue 1, pages 118-135.
• Antonella Foglia, 2009, "Stress Testing Credit Risk: A Survey of Authorities' Aproaches," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 5, issue 3, pages 9-45, September.
• Naohisa Hirakata & Nao Sudo, 2009, "Accounting for Oil Price Variation and Weakening Impact of the Oil Crisis," IMES Discussion Paper Series, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, number 09-E-01, Jan.
• Mr. Paul L Levine & Joseph G Pearlman & Nicoletta Batini, 2009, "“Monetary and Fiscal Rules in an Emerging Small Open Economy”," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2009/022, Jan.
• António Afonso & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009, "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR Analysis," Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa, number 2009/09, Mar.
• Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009, "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 4201, Jun.
• Dufourt, Frédéric & Lloyd-Braga, Teresa & Modesto, Leonor, 2009, "Expected Inflation, Sunspots Equilibria and Persistent Unemployment Fluctuations," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 4302, Jul.
• Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009, "Prognosen aus dem Internet: Weitere Erholung am Arbeitsmarkt erwartet," IZA Standpunkte, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 13, Jun.
• Askitas, Nikos & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 2009, "Googlemetrie und Arbeitsmarkt in der Wirtschaftskrise," IZA Standpunkte, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), number 17, Aug.
• Mu-Chun Wang, 2009, "Comparing the DSGE model with the factor model: an out-of-sample forecasting experiment," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 28, issue 2, pages 167-182, DOI: 10.1002/for.1081.
• Guangling 'Dave' Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2009, "A New-Keynesian DSGE model for forecasting the South African economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 28, issue 5, pages 387-404, DOI: 10.1002/for.1103.
• Jonas Dovern & Johannes Weisser, 2009, "Accuracy, Unbiasedness and Efficiency of Professional Macroeconomic Forecasts: An empirical Comparison for the G7," Jena Economics Research Papers, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena, number 2009-091, Nov.
• Andreas Billmeier, 2009, "Ghostbusting: which output gap really matters?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, volume 6, issue 4, pages 391-419, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10368-009-0144-1.
• Matthias Burgert & Stephane Dees, 2009, "Forecasting World Trade: Direct Versus “Bottom-Up” Approaches," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 20, issue 3, pages 385-402, July, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-007-9068-y.
• Thomas Maag & Michael J. Lamla, 2009, "The role of media for inflation forecast disagreement of households and professional forecasters," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 09-223, Jan, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005788384.
• Gonzalo Fernandez-de-Córdoba & José L. Torres, 2009, "Forecasting the Spanish economy with an Augmented VAR-DSGE model," Working Papers, Universidad de Málaga, Department of Economic Theory, Málaga Economic Theory Research Center, number 2009-1, May.
• Michael Artis & Christian Dreger & Konstantin Kholodilin, 2009, "Common and spatial drivers in regional business cycles," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 118.
• Alastair R. Hall & Atsushi Inoue & James M Nason & Barbara Rossi, 2009, "Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 127.
• Carlos Capistr¡N & Allan Timmermann, 2009, "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 41, issue 2-3, pages 365-396, March.
• Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009, "Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 41, issue 2-3, pages 479-489, March.
• George A. Christodoulakis & Emmanuel C. Mamatzakis, 2009, "Labour Market Dynamics in EU: a Bayesian Markov Chain Approach," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, number 2009_07, Apr, revised Apr 2009.
• MaruÅ¡ka Vizek & Tanja Broz, 2009, "Modeling Inflation in Croatia," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 45, issue 6, pages 87-98, November.
• Michael Meow-Chung Yap, 2009, "Assessing Malaysia’s Business Cycle indicators," Monash Economics Working Papers, Monash University, Department of Economics, number 04-09, Aug.
• GOSPODINOV, Nikolay & MAYNARD, Alex & PESAVENTO, Elena, 2009, "Sensitivity of Impulse Responses to Small Low Frequency Co-Movements : Reconciling the Evidence on the Effects of Technology Shocks," Cahiers de recherche, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ, number 03-2009.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2009, "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2009," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iv, pages 7-20, December.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2009, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2009," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 7-29, June.
• Vivien Lewis & Agnieszka Markiewicz, 2009, "Model misspecification, learning and the exchange rate disconnect puzzle," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 168, Jul.
• Dario Caldara & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez & Wen Yao, 2009, "Computing DSGE Models with Recursive Preferences," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 15026, Jun.
• Bennett T. McCallum, 2009, "Causality, Structure, and the Uniqueness of Rational Expectations Equilibria," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 15234, Aug.
• Amir E. Khandani & Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton, 2009, "Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 15362, Sep.
• Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009, "What Are The Wealth E¤ects Of Monetary Policy?," NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho, number 26/2009.
• Sushanta K. Mallick & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2009, "Monetary Policy and Economic Activity in the BRICS," NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho, number 27/2009.
• Ricardo M. Sousa & António Afonso, 2009, "The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Portugal: a Bayesian SVAR Analysis," NIPE Working Papers, NIPE - Universidade do Minho, number 3/2009.
• H. Erkel-Rousse & C. Minodier, 2009, "Do Business Tendency Surveys in Industry and Services Help in Forecasting GDP Growth? A Real-Time Analysis on French Data," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number g2009-03.
• J. Bardaji & F. Tallet, 2009, "Detecting Economic Regimes in France : a Qualitative Markov-Switching Indicator Using Mixed Frequency Data," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number g2009-12.
• Dr. James Mitchell, 2009, "Macro Modelling with Many Models," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, number 337, Aug.
• Dr. James Mitchell, 2009, "Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, number 342, Oct.
• Dr Silvia Lui & Dr Martin Weale & Dr. James Mitchell, 2009, "The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, number 343, Oct.
• Kajal Lahiri & Xuguang Sheng, 2009, "Measuring Forecast Uncertainty by Disagreement: The Missing Link," Discussion Papers, University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics, number 09-06.
• Anthony Garratt & James Mitchell & Shaun P. Vahey, 2009, "Measuring output gap uncertainty," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number DP2009/15, Dec.
• Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009, "Analyzing and forecasting business cycles in a small open economy: A dynamic factor model for Singapore," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, volume 2009, issue 1, pages 19-41, DOI: 10.1787/jbcma-v2009-art3-en.
• Gerhard Fenz & Martin Schneider, 2009, "A Leading Indicator of Austrian Exports Based on Truck Mileage," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 44-52.
• Efrem Castelnuovo, 2009, "Estimating a NKBC Model for the U.S. Economy with Multiple Filters," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno", number 0102, Nov.
• Dario Caldara & Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez & Wen Yao, 2009, "Computing DSGE Models with Recursive Preferences," PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, number 09-018, May.
• Carlos C. Bautista & Roberto S. Mariano & Bayani Victor Bawagan, 2009, "The NEDA quarterly macroeconomic model: theoretical structure and some empirical results," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, volume 46, issue 2, pages 240-260, December.
• Adnan Haider & Drissi Ramzi, 2009, "Nominal Frictions and Optimal Monetary Policy," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, volume 48, issue 4, pages 525-551.
• Ana Paula Ribeiro, 2009, "Interactions between Labor Market Reforms and Monetary Policy under Slowly Changing Habits," FEP Working Papers, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto, number 309, Jan.
• Kimolo, Deogratius, 2009, "Modelling and Forecasting Inflation in Tanzania: A Univariate Time Series Analysis," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 114782, Nov.
• Barnett, William A. & He, Susan, 2009, "Existence of Singularity Bifurcation in an Euler-Equations Model of the United States Economy: Grandmont was Right," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 12803, Jan.
• Kitov, Ivan, 2009, "Apples and oranges: relative growth rate of consumer price indices," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 13587, Feb.
• Gogas, Periklis & Chionis, Dionisios & Pragkidis, Ioannis, 2009, "Predicting European Union recessions in the euro era: The yield curve as a forecasting tool of economic activity," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 13911, Mar.
• Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano & Englama, Abwaku, 2009, "Is Nigeria Ready for Inflation Targeting?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 14870, Jan, revised 26 Apr 2009.
• Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg, 2009, "A fair price for motor fuel in the United States," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15039, May.
• Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg, 2009, "Sustainable trends in producer price indices," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15194, May.
• Bezemer, Dirk J, 2009, "“No One Saw This Coming”: Understanding Financial Crisis Through Accounting Models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15892, Jun.
• Kim, Insu & Kim, Minsoo, 2009, "Irrational Bias in Inflation Forecasts," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 16447, Jul.
• Sokolov, Yuri, 2009, "Interaction between market and credit risk: Focus on the endogeneity of aggregate risk," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 18245, Nov.
• D'Amuri, Francesco/FD & Marcucci, Juri/JM, 2009, ""Google it!" Forecasting the US unemployment rate with a Google job search index," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 18248, Oct.
• Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano, 2009, "Oil Price Shocks and the Macroeconomy of Nigeria: A Non-linear Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 18726, Nov, revised 16 Nov 2009.
• Razzak, Weshah & Bentour, E M, 2009, "Real Interest Rates, Bubbles and Monetary Policy in the GCC countries," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19384, Dec.
• Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra, 2009, "Inflation Volatility: An Asian Perspective," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19489, Aug.
• Meyler, Aidan & Rubene, Ieva, 2009, "Results of a special questionnaire for participants in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF)," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 20751, Apr.
• Korobilis, Dimitris, 2009, "VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 21124, Dec.
• Durevall, Dick & Loening, Josef, 2009, "Ethiopia: Updated Inflation Forecasts," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 25899, Jun.
• Julio, Juan Manuel, 2009, "The HPD Fan ChartT With Data Revision," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 29141, Mar.
• Belhadj, ARAM & Bouguezzi, WAJDI & Jedlane, NABIL, 2009, "A Common Monetary Policy For The Maghreb: The Winners and The Losers?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 29701, Mar.
• Coenen, Gunter & Vetlov, Igor, 2009, "Extending the NAWM for the import content of exports," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 76490, Sep.
• Coenen, Gunter, 2009, "Extending the NAWM with a partial indexation mechanism linking wages and trend productivitiy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 86153, Oct.
• Rangan Gupta & Emmanuel Ziramba, 2009, "Is the Permanent Income Hypothesis Really Well-Suited for Forecasting?," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200909, Mar.
• Luboš Komárek & Filip Rozsypal, 2009, "Vymezení a vyhodnocení agresivity centrálních bank
  [Definition and Evaluation of the Central Bank agresivity]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2009, issue 3, pages 383-404, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.690.
• Burton G. Malkiel & Atanu Saha & Alex Grecu, 2009, "The Clustering of Extreme Movements: Stock Prices and the Weather," Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies., number 1162, Feb.
• Pinelopi Goldberg & Amit Khandelwal & Nina Pavcnik & Petia Topalova, 2009, "Imported Intermediate Inputs and Domestic Product Growth: Evidence from India," Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies., number 1179, Sep.
• Pinelopi Goldberg & Rebecca Hellerstein, 2009, "How Rigid Are Producer Prices?," Working Papers, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies., number 1184, Nov.
• Don Harding & Adrian Pagan, 2009, "An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series," NCER Working Paper Series, National Centre for Econometric Research, number 39, Jan, revised 02 Jul 2009.
• Jamie Hall & Jarkko Jääskelä, 2009, "Inflation Volatility and Forecast Accuracy," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2009-06, Oct.
• Adam Cagliarini & Warwick McKibbin, 2009, "Global Relative Price Shocks: The Role of Macroeconomic Policies," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2009-10, Dec.
• Batini, Nicoletta & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph, 2009, "Estabilización óptima del tipo de cambio en una economía dolarizada con meta inflacionaria," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 16, pages 37-82.
• Vega, Marco & Bigio, Saki & Florian, David & Llosa, Gonzalo & Miller, Shirley & Ramirez-Rondan, Nelson & Rodriguez, Donita & Salas, Jorge & Winkelried, Diego, 2009, "Un modelo semiestructural de proyección para la economía peruana," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 17, pages 51-83.
• BCRP, Departamento de Modelos Macroeconómicos, 2009, "Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2009-006, Apr.
• Barrera, Carlos, 2009, "Ciclos sectoriales de los negocios en el Perú e indicadores anticipados para el crecimiento del PBI no primario," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2009-013, Jun.
• Kevin Lansing, 2009, "Time Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 12, issue 2, pages 304-326, April, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2008.07.002.
• Lutz Kilian, 2009, "Pitfalls in Estimating Asymmetric Effects of Energy Price Shocks," 2009 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 473.
• Gary Koop & Dimitris Korobilis, 2009, "Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging," Working Paper series, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis, number 34_09, Jan.
• Purica, Ionut & Caraiani, Petre, 2009, "Second Order Dynamics Of Economic Cycles," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 6, issue 1, pages 36-47, March.
• Ozun, Alper & Turk, Mehmet, 2009, "A Duration-Dependent Regime Switching Model for an Open Emerging Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 4, pages 66-81, December.
• LUBAN Florica, 2009, "Using simulation to evaluate investment projects," Economia. Seria Management, Faculty of Management, Academy of Economic Studies, Bucharest, Romania, volume 12, issue 1 Special, pages 139-144, July.
• Nikos Askitas & Klaus F. Zimmermann, 2009, "Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting," RatSWD Research Notes, German Data Forum (RatSWD), number 41.
• V. Lewis & A. Markiewicz, 2009, "Model Misspecification, Learning and the Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, number 09/563, Mar.
• Vladimir Dubrovskiy & Inna Golodniuk & Janusz Szyrmer, 2009, "Composite Leading Indicators for Ukraine: An Early Warning Model," CASE Network Reports, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research, number 0085.
• Christian Müller-Kademann, 2009, "Biased Estimation in a Simple Extension of a Standard Error Correction Model," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), volume 145, issue I, pages 37-60, March.
• Hwee Kwan Chow & Keen Meng Choy, 2009, "Analyzing and Forecasting Business Cycles in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Factor Model for Singapore," Working Papers, Singapore Management University, School of Economics, number 05-2009, Feb.
• Barbara Rudolf & Mathias Zurlinden, 2009, "Productivity and economic growth in Switzerland 1991-2005," Working Papers, Swiss National Bank, number 2009-13.
• Kosei Fukuda, 2009, "Forecasting growth cycle turning points using US and Japanese professional forecasters," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 36, issue 2, pages 243-267, May, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-008-0194-1.
• Gang Fan & Liping He & Jiani Hu, 2009, "CPI vs. PPI: Which drives which?," Frontiers of Economics in China, Springer;Higher Education Press, volume 4, issue 3, pages 317-334, September, DOI: 10.1007/s11459-009-0018-z.
• Khurshid Kiani, 2009, "Inflation in Transition Economies: An Empirical Analysis," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), volume 16, issue 1, pages 34-46, May, DOI: 10.1007/s11300-009-0057-2.
• Gary Koop & Dimitris Korompilis, 2009, "UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?," Working Papers, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics, number 0917, Aug.
• Nicoletta Batini & Young-Bae Kim & Paul Levine & Emanuela Lotti, 2009, "Informal Labour and Credit Markets: A Survey," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0609, Dec.
• Tim Willems, 2009, "Visualizing the Invisible: Estimating the New Keynesian Output Gap via a Bayesian Approach," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 09-074/2, Aug, revised 26 Mar 2010.
• Chia-Lin Chang & Philip Hans Franses & Michael McAleer, 2009, "How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan," CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, number CIRJE-F-637, Aug.
• Armida Alisjahbana, 2009, "Revisiting Indonesia’s Sources of Economic Growth and Its Projection Towards 2030," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS), Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, number 200905, Jul, revised Jul 2009.
• Ivan O. KITOV & Oleg I. KITOV & Svetlana A. DOLINSKAYA, 2009, "Modelling Real Gdp Per Capita In The Usa:Cointegration Tests," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, volume 4, issue 1(7)_ Spr.
• Loening, Josef L. & Durevall, Dick & Birru, Yohannes A., 2009, "Inflation dynamics and food prices in an agricultural economy : the case of Ethiopia," Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank, number 4969, Jun.
• Kevin X.D. Huang & Zheng Liu & Tao Zha, 2009, "Learning, Adaptive Expectations and Technology Shocks," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 119, issue 536, pages 377-405, March, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2008.02238.x.
• Antonello D'Agostino & Paolo Surico, 2009, "Does Global Liquidity Help to Forecast U.S. Inflation?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 41, issue 2‐3, pages 479-489, March, DOI: 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2009.00216.x.
• Kuzin, Vladimir N. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009, "Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2009,03.
• Kuzin, Vladimir N. & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Schumacher, Christian, 2009, "MIDAS versus mixed-frequency VAR: nowcasting GDP in the euro area," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2009,07.
• Clostermann, Jörg & Koch, Alexander & Rees, Andreas & Seitz, Franz, 2009, "Ein Factor Augmented Stepwise Probit Prognosemodell für den ifo-Geschäftserwartungsindex," Weidener Diskussionspapiere, University of Applied Sciences Amberg-Weiden (OTH), number 21.
• Tovar, Camilo Ernesto, 2009, "DSGE Models and Central Banks," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, volume 3, pages 1-31, DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2009-.
• El-Shagi, Makram, 2009, "Inflation Expectations: Does the Market Beat Professional Forecasts?," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 16/2009.
• Blaskowitz, Oliver J. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2009, "On economic evaluation of directional forecasts," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2009-052.
• Ahmadi, Pooyan Amir & Ritschl, Albrecht, 2009, "Depression econometrics: A FAVAR model of monetary policy during the Great Depression," SFB 649 Discussion Papers, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk, number 2009-054.
• Clostermann, Jörg & Koch, Alexander & Rees, Andreas & Seitz, Franz, 2009, "Ein Factor Augmented Stepwise Probit Prognosemodell für den ifo-Geschäftserwartungsindex," Arbeitsberichte – Working Papers, Technische Hochschule Ingolstadt (THI), number 17.

2008

• Konstantins Benkovskis, 2008, "Short-Term Forecasts of Latvia's Real Gross Domestic Product Growth Using Monthly Indicators," Working Papers, Latvijas Banka, number 2008/05, Sep.
• Michele Berardi, 2008, "Fundamentalists vs. chartists: learning and predictor choice dynamics," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The University of Manchester, number 104.
• Chengsi Zhang & Denise R. Osborn & Dong Heon Kim, 2008, "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve: From Sticky Inflation to Sticky Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 40, issue 4, pages 667-699, June.
• George Christodoulakis & Emmanuel Mamatzakis, 2008, "Asymmetries in the sport-forward G10 exchange rates: an answer to an old puzzle?," Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, number 2008_12, Sep, revised Sep 2008.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2008, "Economic projections for Belgium – Autumn 2008," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iv, pages 7-19, December.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2008, "Economic projections for Belgium – Spring 2008," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 7-28, June.
• K. Barhoumi & S. Benk & R. Cristadoro & A. Den Reijer & A. Jakaitiene & P. Jelonek & A. Rua & K. Ruth & C. Van Nieuwenhuyze & G. Rünstler, 2008, "Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets – A pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise," Working Paper Research, National Bank of Belgium, number 133, Jun.
• Julio J. Rotemberg, 2008, "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, "NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2006".
• Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 2008, "The FOMC versus the Staff: Where Can Monetary Policymakers Add Value?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 13751, Jan.
• Willem H. Buiter, 2008, "Housing Wealth Isn't Wealth," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14204, Jul.
• Edward E. Leamer, 2008, "What's a Recession, Anyway?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14221, Aug.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2008, "Phillips Curve Inflation Forecasts," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14322, Sep.
• S. Boragan Aruoba & Francis X. Diebold & Chiara Scotti, 2008, "Real-Time Measurement of Business Conditions," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14349, Sep.
• V. V. Chari & Patrick J. Kehoe & Ellen R. McGrattan, 2008, "Are Structural VARs with Long-Run Restrictions Useful in Developing Business Cycle Theory?," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14430, Oct.
• Kirstin Hubrich & Kenneth D. West, 2008, "Forecast Evaluation of Small Nested Model Sets," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 14601, Dec.
• Dr. James Mitchell, 2008, "Combining Forecast Densities from VARs with Uncertain Instabilities," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, number 303, Jan.
• Gerhard Fenz & Martin Schneider, 2008, "Transmission of business cycle shocks between the US and the euro area," Working Papers, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), number 145, Jul.
• Peter J. Klenow & Oleksiy Kryvtsov, 2008, "State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing: Does it Matter for Recent U.S. Inflation?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, volume 123, issue 3, pages 863-904.
• Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2008, "New methods for forecasting inflation and its sub-components: application to the USA," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 406, Oct.
• Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya A., 2008, "Empirical assessment of bifurcation regions within new Keynesian models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 11249, Oct.
• Shamiri, Ahmed & Shaari, Abu Hassan & Isa, Zaidi, 2008, "Comparing the accuracy of density forecasts from competing GARCH models," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 13662.
• Mukherjee, Deepraj & Kemme, David, 2008, "Evaluating inflation forecast models for Poland: Openness matters, money does not (but its cost does)," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 14952, Jul.
• Gutierrez Girault, Matias Alfredo, 2008, "Modeling extreme but plausible losses for credit risk: a stress testing framework for the Argentine Financial System," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 16378, Jun.
• Shin, Inyong & Kim, Hyunho & Yamamura, Eiji, 2008, "Technological Progress and the Future of Kuznets Curve's," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 18866, Sep.
• Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Naqvi, Bushra, 2008, "Asymmetric Behavior of Inflation Uncertainty and Friedman-Ball Hypothesis: Evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 19488, Jan.
• Omay, Tolga, 2008, "The Term Structure of Interest Rate as a Predictor of Inflation and Real Economic Activity: Nonlinear Evidence from Turkey," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 28572.
• Osman, Mohammad & Jean Louis, Rosmy & Balli, Faruk, 2008, "Output gap and inflation nexus: the case of United Arab Emirates," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 34006, revised 2009.
• Guzman, Giselle C., 2008, "Using sentiment surveys to predict GDP growth and stock returns," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 36653, Oct.
• Bell, William Paul, 2008, "Adaptive interactive profit expectations using small world networks and runtime weighted model averaging," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 38027, Dec.
• Damdinsuren, Batnyam & Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Łyziak, Tomasz, 2008, "Small Inflation Model of Mongolia (SIMOM)," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 72139, Apr, revised Apr 2008.
• Jurdziak, Leszek, 2008, "Metoda Szacowania Kosztów Inwestycyjnych Oraz Eksploatacyjnych Przenośników
  [Method Of Capital And Operational Cost Estimation Of Belt Coneyors]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 75183.
• S. Adnan H. A. S., Bukhari & Safdar Ullah, Khan, 2008, "Estimating Output Gap for Pakistan Economy:Structural and Statistical Approaches," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9736, Apr, revised 20 Jun 2008.
• Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta & Eric Schaling, 2008, "A New-Keynesian DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200805, Apr.
• Rangan Gupta & Sonali Das, 2008, "Spatial Bayesian Methods of Forecasting House Prices in Six Metropolitan Areas of South Africa," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200813, Jun.