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Productivity Growth in Germany: No Sustainable Economic Recovery in Sight

Author

Listed:
  • Georg Erber
  • Ulrich Fritsche

Abstract

By international comparison the productivity development of the overall economy in Germany has taken a serious hit after the reunification boom. Since then Germany has fallen behind not only in comparison to the USA and emerging-market nations like South Korea, but also in comparison to other EU countries. However, the economic upswing in 2006 led to a temporary increase in hourly productivity of labor per employed person. Can this increase be interpreted as a return to a higher trend growth? Econometric tests indicate that it probably primarily concerns a cyclically induced increase. Thus the decline of the medium-term growth rate came at best to a standstill. If the productivity growth should improve on a sustained basis, then a growth-orientated economic policy is required.

Suggested Citation

  • Georg Erber & Ulrich Fritsche, 2009. "Productivity Growth in Germany: No Sustainable Economic Recovery in Sight," Weekly Report, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 5(3), pages 19-25.
    • Handle: RePEc:diw:diwwrp:wr5-3
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    File URL: https://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.96059.de/diw_wr_2009-3.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kallweit, Manuel & Fehr, Hans & Kindermann, Fabian, 2011. "Should pensions be progressive? Yes, at least in Germany!," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48708, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    2. Hans FEHR, 2010. "Pension Reform with Variable Retirment Age," EcoMod2010 259600055, EcoMod.
    3. Alberto Bagnai, 2014. "Un external compact per rilanciare l'Europa," a/ Working Papers Series 1401, Italian Association for the Study of Economic Asymmetries, Rome (Italy).
    4. Fehr, Hans & Jokisch, Sabine & Kallweit, Manuel & Kindermann, Fabian & Kotlikoff, Laurence J., 2013. "Generational Policy and Aging in Closed and Open Dynamic General Equilibrium Models," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson (ed.), Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 1719-1800, Elsevier.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Productivity growth; Time series; decomposition; Business cycle; Long-term trend;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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