Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:

1. Forecasting Economic Activity Using Financial Variables
2. Nowcasting

2006

• Pelinescu Elena, 2006, "Modelarea inflaţiei în România," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 01, March.
• Madhavi Bokil & Axel Schimmelpfennig, 2006, "Three Attempts at Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, volume 45, issue 3, pages 341-368.
• Everts, Martin, 2006, "Sectoral and Industrial Business Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 1176, Jun.
• Everts, Martin, 2006, "Duration of Business Cycles," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 1219, Apr.
• Mendoza Lugo, Omar & Pedauga, Luis Enrique, 2006, "Efecto transferencia (pass-through) del tipo de cambio en los precios de bienes y servicios en Venezuela
  [Exchange rate pass-through on prices of goods and services in Venezuela]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 14874, Dec.
• Ghent, Andra, 2006, "Comparing Models of Macroeconomic Fluctuations: How Big Are the Differences?," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 180, Aug.
• dong, congcong, 2006, "世界经济长波导论:对危机与萧条的研究及预测
  [An Introduction to World Economic Long Wave-Crises and Depressions: From Study to Anticipation]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 2106, Feb, revised 01 Mar 2006.
• Isiklar, Gultekin & Lahiri, Kajal & Loungani, Prakash, 2006, "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 22065.
• Kitov, Ivan, 2006, "The Japanese economy," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 2737.
• Foresti, Pasquale, 2006, "Testing for Granger causality between stock prices and economic growth," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 2962, revised 2007.
• Barnett, William A. & Duzhak, Evgeniya, 2006, "Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 402, Oct.
• Odia Ndongo, Yves Francis, 2006, "Datation du Cycle du PIB Camerounais entre 1960 et 2003," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 552, Oct.
• He, Yijun & Barnett, William A., 2006, "Existence of bifurcation in macroeconomic dynamics: Grandmont was right," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 756, Nov.
• Vitek, Francis, 2006, "Monetary Policy Analysis in a Closed Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 797, Mar.
• Vitek, Francis, 2006, "Measuring the Stance of Monetary Policy in a Closed Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 801, Jun.
• Ahec Šonje, Amina & Katarina, Bacic, 2006, "A composite leading indicator for a small transition economy: the case of Croatia," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 83135, Feb, revised Apr 2006.
• Mulraine, Millan L. B., 2006, "Real Exchange Rate Dynamics With Endogenous Distribution Costs," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 9, Sep.
• Rangan Gupta & Moses M. Sichei, 2006, "A BVAR Model for the South African Economy," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200612, Jun.
• Rangan Gupta, 2006, "Forecasting the South African Economy with VARs and VECMs," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200618, Aug.
• Guangling (Dave) Liu & Rangan Gupta, 2006, "A Small-Scale DSGE Model for Forecasting the South African Economy," Working Papers, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, number 200621, Oct.
• Mejra Festić, 2006, "Procyclicality of Financial and Real Sector in Transition Economies," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2006, issue 4, pages 315-349, DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.291.
• Carlo Altavilla & Matteo Ciccarelli, 2006, "Inflation Forecasts, Monetary Policy and Unemployment Dynamics: Evidence from the US and the Euro Area," Discussion Papers, D.E.S. (Department of Economic Studies), University of Naples "Parthenope", Italy, number 7_2006, Apr.
• Wilfredo Toledo, 2006, "Avances tecnologicos y las fluctuaciones economicas: evidencia del sector de la manufactura de Puerto Rico," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., volume 3, issue 1, pages 35-61, Julio-Dic.
• Mario Mesía & Eduardo Costa & Oscar Graham & Robert Soto & Alejandro Rabanal, 2006, "El costo del crédito en el Perú, revisión de la evolución reciente," Working Papers, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, number 2006-004, Jun.
• Keiichiro Kobayashi & Masaru Inaba, 2006, "Business cycle accounting for the Japanese economy," 2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 313.
• Kevin J. Lansing, 2006, "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," 2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 758.
• Mario Gómez & Ivonne Dalila Gómez, 2006, "Correlación de la producción cíclica manufacturera de México y EUA comprobada con el análisis espectral," Revista Nicolaita de Estudios Económicos, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo, Instituto de Investigaciones Económicas y Empresariales, volume 0, issue 1, pages 51-75.
• Liam Graham & Stephen Wright, 2006, "Inspecting the noisy mechanism: the stochastic growth model with partial information," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 207, Jul.
• Viktor Dorofeenko & Gabriel S. Lee & Kevin D. Salyer, 2006, "Recovering from Crash States: A ''New'' Algorithm for Solving Dynamic Stochastic Macroeconomic Models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 215, Jul.
• Oscar Mauricio Valencia, 2006, "Fiscal Policy and Microstructure of Treasury Bonds," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 328, Jul.
• M. Ratto & R. Girardi & R. Liska & W. Roeger & J. In't Veld, 2006, "Impact of oil prices in an estimated EU12 open economy model," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 386, Jul.
• Paul Levine & Peter McAdam & Joseph Pearlman, 2006, "Welfare Gains from Monetary Commitment in a Model of the Euro-Area," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 403, Jul.
• Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Richard Pierse, 2006, "Linear-Quadratic Approximation, Efficiency and Target-Implementability," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 441, Jul.
• Jim Granato & Eran Guse & Sunny Wong, 2006, "Learning From the Expectations of Others," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 449, Jul.
• Kevin J. Lansing, 2006, "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 488, Jul.
• William A. Barnett & Evgeniya A. Duzhak, 2006, "Bifurcation analysis of New Keynesian models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics, number 55, Jul.
• Caesar Lack, 2006, "Forecasting Swiss inflation using VAR models," Economic Studies, Swiss National Bank, number 2006-02.
• Subal Khumbhakar, 2006, "Specification and estimation of nonstandard profit functions," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 31, issue 1, pages 243-260, March, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-005-0043-4.
• Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche, 2006, "Growth and inflation forecasts for Germany a panel-based assessment of accuracy and efficiency," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 31, issue 3, pages 777-798, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-005-0050-5.
• Subal Kumbhakar, 2006, "Specification and estimation of nonstandard profit functions," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 31, issue 3, pages 799-799, September, DOI: 10.1007/s00181-006-0054-9.
• Siem Jan Koopman & Marius Ooms & Irma Hindrayanto, 2006, "Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute, number 06-101/4, Nov.
• Matti Viren, 2006, "Inflation Expectations and Regime Shifts," Discussion Papers, Aboa Centre for Economics, number 5, Apr.
• Babutsidze, Zakaria, 2006, "(S,s) Pricing: Does the Heterogeneity Wipe Out the Asymmetry on Micro Level?," MERIT Working Papers, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT), number 2006-033.
• Anthony Garratt & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2006, "Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 21, issue 4, pages 521-542, May, DOI: 10.1002/jae.850.
• Gultekin Isiklar & Kajal Lahiri & Prakash Loungani, 2006, "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross‐country surveys," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 21, issue 6, pages 703-725, September, DOI: 10.1002/jae.886.
• Clements, Michael P, 2006, "Internal consistency of survey respondents.forecasts : Evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics, number 772.
• John Aldrich & Anna Staszewska, 2006, "The experiment in macroeconometrics," Working Papers, Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics, number 12, May.
• Curran, Declan & Funke, Michael, 2006, "Taking the temperature: forecasting GDP growth for mainland in China," BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT), number 6/2006.
• Knetsch, Thomas A., 2006, "Forecasting the price of crude oil via convenience yield predictions," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2006,12.
• Schumacher, Christian & Breitung, Jörg, 2006, "Real-time forecasting of GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2006,33.
• Ziegler, Christina & Eickmeier, Sandra, 2006, "How good are dynamic factor models at forecasting output and inflation? A meta-analytic approach," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 2006,42.
• Ciccarelli, Matteo & Mojon, Benoît, 2006, "Global Inflation," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1337.
• Döhrn, Roland, 2006, "Improving Business Cycle Forecasts' Accuracy - What Can We Learn from Past Errors?," RWI Discussion Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, number 51.
• Osterloh, Steffen, 2006, "Accuracy and properties of German business cycle forecasts," ZEW Discussion Papers, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, number 06-087.
• Clements, Michael P., , "Internal consistency of survey respondentsíforecasts: Evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters," Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics, number 269742, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.269742.
• Diks, C.G.H. & Hommes, C.H. & Panchenko, V. & Weide, R. van der, 2006, "E&F Chaos: a user friendly software package for nonlinear economic dynamics," CeNDEF Working Papers, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance, number 06-15.
• Márcio Holland, 2006, "Exchange Rate Volatility and the Fear of Floating in Brazil," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], volume 7, issue 2, pages 279-292.
• Lukas Vogel & Werner Roeger & Bernhard Herz, 2006, "Optimal Simple Rules for Fiscal Policy in a Monetary Union," Working Papers, Bavarian Graduate Program in Economics (BGPE), number 021, Dec.
• Jean-Thomas Bernard & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian & Sebastien McMahon, 2006, "Forecasting Commodity Prices: GARCH, Jumps, and Mean Reversion," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 06-14, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2006-14.
• Anna Piretti & Charles St-Arnaud, 2006, "Launching the NEUQ: The New European Union Quarterly Model, A Small Model of the Euro Area and U.K. Economies," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 06-22, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2006-22.
• Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2006, "Forecasting Canadian Time Series with the New Keynesian Model," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 06-4, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2006-4.
• Ian Christensen & Ali Dib, 2006, "Monetary Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model with a Financial Accelerator," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 06-9, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2006-9.
• Laura D´Amato & Lidia Sanz & Juan M. Sotes Paladino (ed.), 2006, "Evaluating Alternative Core Inflation Measures for Argentina," BCRA Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 01, ISBN: ARRAY(0x9fa1c740), November.
• Verónica Balzarotti, 2006, "Real Interest Rate Risk in the Argentine Banking System. A Measuring Model," BCRA Working Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 200606, Dec.
• Anton Nakov, 2006, "Optimal and Simple Monetary Policy Rules with Zero Floor on the Nominal Interest Rate," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0637, Dec.
• Patrizio Pagano & Massimiliano Pisani, 2006, "Risk-Adjusted Forecasts of Oil Prices," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 585, Mar.
• Timmermann Allan & Capistrán Carlos, 2006, "Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2006-07, Jun.
• Timmermann Allan & Capistrán Carlos, 2006, "Forecast Combination with Entry and Exit of Experts," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2006-08, Sep.
• José Luis Torres, 2006, "Modelos Para La Inflación Básica de Bienes Transables y No Transables en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 365, Feb, DOI: 10.32468/be.365.
• Norberto Rodríguez N. & José Luis Torres T. & Andrés Velasco M., 2006, "La estimación de un indicador de brecha del producto a partir de encuestas y datos reales," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 392, Apr, DOI: 10.32468/be.392.
• Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier, 2006, "The Reliability of Macroeconomic Forecasts based on Real Interest Rate Gap Estimates in Real Time: an Assessment for the Euro Area," Working papers, Banque de France, number 157.
• Rangan Gupta & Moses M. Sichei, 2006, "A Bvar Model For The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 74, issue 3, pages 391-409, September, DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.2006.00077.x.
• Rangan Gupta, 2006, "FORECASTING THE SOUTH AFRICAN ECONOMY WITH VARs AND VECMs," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 74, issue 4, pages 611-628, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.2006.00090.x.
• Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Brubakk & Anne Sofie Jore, 2006, "Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap," Working Paper, Norges Bank, number 2006/02, Mar.
• Alex Brazier & Richard Harrison & Mervyn King & Tony Yates, 2006, "The danger of inflating expectations of macroeconomic stability: heuristic switching in an overlapping generations monetary model," Bank of England working papers, Bank of England, number 303, Aug.
• Sophocles N. Brissimis & Nicholas S. Magginas, 2006, "Inflation Forecasts and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 38, May.
• Alan Cosme Rodrigues da Silva & Claudio Henrique da Silveira Barbedo & Gustavo Silva Araújo & Myrian Beatriz Eiras das Neves, 2006, "Internal Model Validation in Brazil: Analysis of VaR Backtesting Methodologies," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, volume 4, issue 1, pages 97-118.
• Granato, J. & Guse, E. & Sunny Wong, M.C., 2006, "Learning from the Expectations of Others," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0605, Feb.
• Bermingham, Colin, 2006, "How Useful is Core Inflation for Forecasting Headline Inflation?," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 11/RT/06, Sep.
• D'Agostino, Antonello & Domenico, Giannone & Surico, Paolo, 2006, "(Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 5/RT/06, Jun.
• Lungu, Laurian & Matthews, Kent & Minford, Patrick, 2006, "Partial Current Information and Signal Extraction in a Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model: A Computational Solution," Cardiff Economics Working Papers, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section, number E2006/1, Jan.
• Ali Dib & Mohamed Gammoudi & Kevin Moran, 2006, "Forecasting Canadian Time Series With the New-Keynesian Model," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 382, Dec.
• Andr�s Gonz�lez & Luis Fernando Melo & Carlos Esteban Posada, 2006, "Inflaci�n y dinero en Colombia: otro modelo P-estrella," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 2851, Nov.
• Norberto Rodr�guez N & Jos� Luis Torres & Andr�s Velasco M., 2006, "La estimaci�n de un indicador de brecha del producto a partir de encuestas y datos reales," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 3000, Feb.
• Jos� Luis Torres, 2006, "Modelos para la Inflaci�n B�sica de Bienes Transables y No Transables en Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica, number 3246, Jan.
• Fabia A de Carvalho & Mauricio S. Bugarin, 2006, "Inflation Expectations in Latin America," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, volume 0, issue Spring 20, pages 101-145.
• Rotemberg, Julio J., 2006, "Cyclical Wages in a Search-and-Bargaining Model with Large Firms," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 5791, Aug.
• Kolver Hernandez, 2006, "State-Dependent Nominal Rigidities & Disinflation Programs in Small Open Economies," Working Papers, University of Delaware, Department of Economics, number 06-13.
• Tsoulfidis, L. & Dergiades, Th., 2006, "The Inflation-Capacity Utilization Conundrum: Evidence from the Canadian Economy," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, volume 6, issue 2.
• Anthony S. Tay, 2006, "Mixing Frequencies : Stock Returns as a Predictor of Real Output Growth," Macroeconomics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research, number 22480, Jan.
• Libor Krkoska & Utku Teksoz, 2006, "Forecasting inflation for transition countries: How accurate are the EBRD forecasts?," Working Papers, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Office of the Chief Economist, number 98, Sep.
• Surico, Paolo & Giannone, Domenico & D'Agostino, Antonello, 2006, "(Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 605, Apr.
• Tetlow, Robert J. & Ironside, Brian, 2006, "Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 610, Apr.
• Diron, Marie, 2006, "Short-term forecasts of euro area real GDP growth: an assessment of real-time performance based on vintage data," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 622, May.
• McAdam, Peter & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph G., 2006, "Inflation forecast-based-rules and indeterminacy: a puzzle and a resolution," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 643, Jun.
• Bruce McGough, 2006, "Shocking Escapes," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 116, issue 511, pages 507-528, April.
• Vladislav Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2006, "Aggregation and Optimization with State-Dependent Pricing: A Comment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, volume 74, issue 2, pages 565-573, March.
• Aruoba, S. Boragan & Fernandez-Villaverde, Jesus & Rubio-Ramirez, Juan F., 2006, "Comparing solution methods for dynamic equilibrium economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 12, pages 2477-2508, December.
• Batini, Nicoletta & Justiniano, Alejandro & Levine, Paul & Pearlman, Joseph, 2006, "Robust inflation-forecast-based rules to shield against indeterminacy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 30, issue 9-10, pages 1491-1526.
• Branch, William A. & Evans, George W., 2006, "A simple recursive forecasting model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 91, issue 2, pages 158-166, May.
• Boivin, Jean & Ng, Serena, 2006, "Are more data always better for factor analysis?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 132, issue 1, pages 169-194, May.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 2006, "A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 135, issue 1-2, pages 499-526.
• Kobayashi, Keiichiro & Inaba, Masaru, 2006, "Business cycle accounting for the Japanese economy," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, volume 18, issue 4, pages 418-440, December.
• Barnett, William A., 2006, "Comments on "Chaotic monetary dynamics with confidence"," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 1, pages 253-255, March.
• He, Yijun & Barnett, William A., 2006, "Singularity bifurcations," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 1, pages 5-22, March.
• Bruck, Tilman & Zwiener, Rudolf, 2006, "Fiscal policy rules for stabilisation and growth: A simulation analysis of deficit and expenditure targets in a monetary union," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 4, pages 357-369, May.
• Heather M. Anderson & George Athanasopoulos & Farshid Vahid, 2006, "Nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of output in G-7 countries," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2006-14, Apr.
• Kajal Lahiri & Fushang Liu, 2006, "ARCH Models for Multi-period Forecast Uncertainty: A Reality Check Using a Panel of Density Forecasts," Advances in Econometrics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, "Econometric Analysis of Financial and Economic Time Series", DOI: 10.1016/S0731-9053(05)20012-9.
• Karsten Neuhoff & Federico Ferrario & Michael Grubb & Etienne Gabel & Kim Keats, 2006, "Emission projections 2008-2012 versus NAPs II," Working Papers, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge, number EPRG 0631, Nov.
• Victor Bystrov, 2006, "Forecasting Emerging Market Indicators: Brazil and Russia," Economics Working Papers, European University Institute, number ECO2006/12.
• Andreas Billmeier, 2006, "Measuring a Roller Coaster: Evidence on the Finnish Output Gap," Finnish Economic Papers, Finnish Economic Association, volume 19, issue 2, pages 69-83, Autumn.
• Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006, "Cyclical wages in a search and bargaining model with large firms," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 06-5.
• Julio J. Rotemberg, 2006, "Cyclical wages in a search-and-bargaining model with large firms," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
• Gary S. Anderson & Andrew T. Levin & Eric T. Swanson, 2006, "Higher-Order Perturbation Solutions to Dynamic, Discrete-Time Rational Expectations Models," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2006-01, Jan, DOI: 10.24148/wp2006-01.
• Kevin J. Lansing, 2008, "Time-Varying U.S. Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2006-15, Aug, DOI: 10.24148/wp2006-15.
• Eric T. Swanson, 2006, "The relative price and relative productivity channels for aggregate fluctuations," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2006-20.
• Brian Ironside & Robert J. Tetlow, 2006, "Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2006-08.
• Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert & Min Wei, 2006, "Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2006-15.
• Patrick J. Kehoe, 2006, "How to advance theory with structural VARs: use the Sims-Cogley-Nason approach," Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 379.
• Robert W. Rich & Joseph Tracy, 2006, "The relationship between expected inflation, disagreement, and uncertainty: evidence from matched point and density forecasts," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 253, Jul.
• Dean Croushore, 2006, "An evaluation of inflation forecasts from surveys using real-time data," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, number 06-19.
• Tommaso Mancini Griffoli, 2006, "Monetary Policy with Endogenous Firm Entry and Sticky Entry Costs," IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, number 09-2006, Apr.
• Declan Curran & Michael Funke, 2006, "Taking the Temperature - Forecasting GDP Growth for Mainland China," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers, Hamburg University, Department of Economics, number 20606, Jun.
• Ulrich Fritsche & Joerg Doepke, 2006, "Forecast errors and the macroeconomy — a non-linear relationship?," Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics, number 200602, Feb.
• Bjørnland, Hilde C. & Brubakk, Leif & Jore, Anne Sofie, 2006, "Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap," Memorandum, Oslo University, Department of Economics, number 11/2006, May.
• Bårdsen, Gunnar & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2006, "U.S. natural rate dynamics reconsidered," Memorandum, Oslo University, Department of Economics, number 13/2006, May.
• Ansgar Belke & Thorsten Polleit & Wim Kösters & Martin Leschke, 2006, "Money matters for inflation in the euro area," Diskussionspapiere aus dem Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre der Universität Hohenheim, Department of Economics, University of Hohenheim, Germany, number 279/2006.
• Meyer, Bernd & Lutz, Christian & Schnur, Peter & Zika, Gerd, 2006, "National economic policy simulations with global interdependencies : a sensitivity analysis for Germany," IAB-Discussion Paper, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], number 200612.
• Lei Lei Song, 2006, "The Comovement between Fuel Prices and the General Price level in Australia," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne, number wp2006n17, Aug.
• Peter Flaschel & Christian Proano & Willi Semmler, 2006, "Currency Crises and Monetary Policy in Economies with Partial Dollarisation of Liabilities," IMK Working Paper, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute, number 05-2006, Jun.
• Ivan O. Kitov, 2006, "GDP growth rate and population," Working Papers, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, number 42.
• Katarina Bacic & Maruska Vizek, 2006, "A Brand New CROLEI: Do We Need a New Forecasting Index?," Financial Theory and Practice, Institute of Public Finance, volume 30, issue 4, pages 311-346.
• Donald Robertson & Anthony Garratt & Stephen Wright, 2006, "Permanent vs transitory components and economic fundamentals," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 21, issue 4, pages 521-542, DOI: 10.1002/jae.850.
• Kajal Lahiri & Gultekin Isiklar & Prakash Loungani, 2006, "How quickly do forecasters incorporate news? Evidence from cross-country surveys," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 21, issue 6, pages 703-725, DOI: 10.1002/jae.886.
• Pami Dua & Anirvan Banerji & Stephen M. Miller, 2006, "Performance evaluation of the New Connecticut Leading Employment Index using lead profiles and BVAR models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 25, issue 6, pages 415-437, DOI: 10.1002/for.996.
• William Barnett, 2006, "Comment on 'Chaotic Monetary Dynamics with Confidence'," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 200602, Jan.
• William Barnett & Evgeniya Aleksandrovna Duzhak, 2006, "Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 200608, Oct.
• William Barnett & Ikuyasu Usui, 2006, "The Theoretical Regularity Properties of the Normalized Quadratic Consumer Demand Model," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 200609, Oct.
• William Barnett & Yijun He, 2006, "Existence of Bifurcation in Macroeconomic Dynamics: Grandmont was Right," WORKING PAPERS SERIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMICS, University of Kansas, Department of Economics, number 200610, Nov.
• Jakab M., Zoltán & Kovács, Mihály András & Kiss, Gergely, 2006, "Mit tanultunk?. A jegybanki előrejelzések szerepe az inflációs cél követésének első öt évében Magyarországon
  [What are we studying?. The role of central-bank forecasts in Hungarian inflation targeting]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 12, pages 1101-1134.
• Várpalotai, Viktor, 2006, "Az inflációs cél követésének optimális horizontja Magyarországon
  [The optimal horizon for inflation targeting in Hungary]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), volume 0, issue 12, pages 1135-1154.

2005

• Roberto Tatiwa Ferreira & Herman Bierens & Ivan Castelar, 2005, "Forecasting Quarterly Brazilian GDP Growth Rate With Linear and NonLinear Diffusion Index Models," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], volume 6, issue 3, pages 261-292.
• Roberto Tatiwa Ferreira & Luiz Ivan de Melo Castelar, 2005, "Forecasting Quarterly Brazilian Gdp Growth Rate With Linear And Nonlinear Diffusion Index Models," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting], ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], number 029.
• Márcio Holland, 2005, "Monetary And Exchange Rate Policy In Brazil After Inflation Targeting," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting], ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], number 032.
• Anthony Garratt & Donald Robertson & Stephen Wright, 2005, "Permanent vs Transitory Components and Economic Fundamentals," Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Birkbeck, Department of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics, number 0501, Jan.
• Marc-André Gosselin & René Lalonde, 2005, "MUSE: The Bank of Canada's New Projection Model of the U.S. Economy," Technical Reports, Bank of Canada, number 96, DOI: 10.34989/tr-96.
• Frédérick Demers & Annie De Champlain, 2005, "Forecasting Core Inflation in Canada: Should We Forecast the Aggregate or the Components?," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 05-44, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2005-44.
• Sylvain Martel, 2005, "Y a-t-il eu surinvestissement au Canada durant la seconde moitié des années 1990?," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 05-5, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2005-5.
• Laura D´Amato & PLidia Sanz & Juan Sotes Paladino, 2005, "Evaluating Alternative Core Inflation Measures for Argentina," BCRA Working Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 200501, May.
• Robert-Paul Berben & Alberto Locarno & Julian Morgan & Javier Vallés, 2005, "Cross-country differences in monetary policy transmission," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0502, Jan.
• Adolfo L.Cobo, 2005, "Output Gap in Colombia: An Eclectic Approach," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 327, Feb, DOI: 10.32468/be.327.
• Anindya Banerjee & Massimiliano Marcellino & Igor Masten, 2005, "Leading Indicators for Euro‐area Inflation and GDP Growth," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 67, issue s1, pages 785-813, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0084.2005.00141.x.
• Wh Boshoff, 2005, "The Properties Of Cycles In South African Financial Variables And Their Relation To The Business Cycle," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 73, issue 4, pages 694-709, December, DOI: 10.1111/j.1813-6982.2005.00047.x.
• Junjian Miao & Manuel Santos, 2005, "Numerical Solution of Dynamic Non-Optimal Economies," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, Boston University - Department of Economics, number WP2005-003, Jan.
• Wagner Piazza Gaglianone & Ana Luiza Louzada Pereira, 2005, "An Essay on the Foreign Exchange Rate Expectations in Brazil," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, volume 3, issue 1, pages 55-100.
• Guse, E., 2005, "Learning with Heterogeneous Expectations in an Evolutionary World," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0547, Oct.
• Kevin Salyer & Victor Dorofeenko & Gabriel Lee, 2005, "A New Algorithm for Solving Dynamic Stochastic Macroeconomic Models," Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics, number 211, Nov.
• Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoît Mojon, 2005, "Global Inflation," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile, number 357, Dec.
• S. B. Aruoba & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramirez, 2005, "Comparing Solution Methods for Dynamic Equilibrium Economies," Levine's Bibliography, UCLA Department of Economics, number 122247000000000855, Jan.
• Katerina Arnostova & Jaromir Hurnik, 2005, "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the Czech Republic (evidence from VAR analysis)," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2005/04, Dec.
• Octavio José Salcedo Parra & Marco Aguilera Prado, 2005, "Órdenes de flujo, tasa de interés y tasa de cambio nominal: un ejemplo de redes neuronales para Colombia 2005," Revista de Economía y Administración, Universidad Autónoma de Occidente.
• Henk Kranendonk & Johan Verbruggen, 2005, "How to determine the contributions of domestic demand and exports to economic growth?," CPB Memorandum, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 129, Nov.
• Orphanides, Athanasios & van Norden, Simon, 2005, "The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 4830, Jan.
• Adam, Klaus, 2005, "Experimental Evidence on the Persistence of Output and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 4885, Jan.
• Favero, Carlo A. & Söderström, Ulf & Kaminska, Iryna, 2005, "The Predictive Power of the Yield Spread: Further Evidence and A Structural Interpretation," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 4910, Feb.
• Stock, James & Watson, Mark & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2005, "A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 4976, Mar.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2005, "Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 4977, Mar.
• Evans, Martin D.D., 2005, "Where Are We Now? Real-Time Estimates of the Macro Economy," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 5270, Oct.
• Tetlow, Robert J. & Ironside, Brian, 2005, "Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 5305, Oct.
• Vincent, BODART & Konstantin, KHOLODILIN & Fati, SHADMAN-MEHTA, 2005, "Identifying and Forecasting the Turning Points of the Belgian Business Cycle with Regime-Switching and Logit Models," Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques), Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques, number 2005006, Mar.
• Adam, Klaus, 2005, "Learning To Forecast And Cyclical Behavior Of Output And Inflation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 9, issue 1, pages 1-27, February.
• Ulrich Fritsche & Jörg Döpke, 2005, "Forecast Errors and the Macroeconomy: A Non-Linear Relationship?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, number 498.
• Libor Krkoska & Utku Teksoz, 2005, "Accuracy of growth forecasts for transition countries: Assessing ten years of EBRD forecasting," Working Papers, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Office of the Chief Economist, number 94, Dec.
• Matteo Ciccarelli & Benoit Mojon, 2005, "Is inflation a global phenomenon?," Research Bulletin, European Central Bank, volume 3, pages 6-7.
• Marcellino, Massimiliano & Banerjee, Anindya & Masten, Igor, 2005, "Forecasting macroeconomic variables for the new member states of the European Union," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 482, May.
• Adam, Klaus, 2005, "Experimental evidence on the persistence of output and inflation," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 492, Jun.
• Abadir, Karim & Talmain, Gabriel, 2005, "Distilling co-movements from persistent macro and financial series," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 525, Sep.
• Ciccarelli, Matteo & Mojon, Benoît, 2005, "Global inflation," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 537, Oct.
• Aguiar-Conraria, Luis & Wen, Yi, 2005, "Understanding the Impact of Oil Shocks," Working Papers, Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics, number 05-01, Jan.
• Bernhardsen, Tom & Eitrheim, Oyvind & Jore, Anne Sofie & Roisland, Oistein, 2005, "Real-time data for Norway: Challenges for monetary policy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 16, issue 3, pages 333-349, December.