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Working Paper 10-07 - Foreign trade in Modtrim

Author

Listed:
  • Bart De Ketelbutter
  • Ludovic Dobbelaere
  • Filip Vanhorebeek

Abstract

This working paper gives an overview of the Modtrim team's recent research in the field of Belgian exports and export markets. In the first chapter a new leading indicator is introduced as a supplementary tool to determine a growth profile for Belgium's potential export markets in the first quarters of the forecasting period. In the second chapter, an attempt is made to improve forecasts of Belgium's exports by breaking down the model equation into a goods and a services component. Finally, the third chapter reveals that (a lack of) competitiveness is probably not the only reason for the losses of export market share in Belgium and in some of its main trading partners in the past 25 years.

Suggested Citation

  • Bart De Ketelbutter & Ludovic Dobbelaere & Filip Vanhorebeek, 2007. "Working Paper 10-07 - Foreign trade in Modtrim," Working Papers 200710, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium.
    • Handle: RePEc:fpb:wpaper:200710
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F20 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - General
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General

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