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The Welfare Costs of Inflation in a Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Model

Author

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  • Pablo A. Guerron

    () (Department of Economics, North Carolina State University)

Abstract

This paper computes the welfare costs of inflation in an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the U.S. economy. Both steady state and transitional welfare results are reported. I find that a 10 percent inflation entails a steady state welfare cost of 1.9 % of annual consumption. Taking into account trasitional effects, the cost drops to 1.2%. Under some circumstances, the transitional effects can erase most of the steady state welfare losses. The role of nominal frictions such as price/wage sluggishness as well as that of uncertainty are also addressed.

Suggested Citation

  • Pablo A. Guerron, 2007. "The Welfare Costs of Inflation in a Micro-Founded Macroeconometric Model," Working Paper Series 013, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ncs:wpaper:013
    Note: First draft 2007-06
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    Keywords

    Bayesian Estimation; DSGE; Inflation; Welfare; Transtional Dynamics;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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