Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E3: Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
/ / / E37: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
This JEL code is mentioned in the following RePEc Biblio entries:
2022
- Romani, Ilenia & Galeotti, Marzio & Lanza, Alessandro, , "Besides promising economic growth, will the Italian NRRP also produce fewer emissions?," FEEM Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM), number 319781, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.319781.
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022, "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," LIDAM Reprints LFIN, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN), number 2022004, May.
- J. Daniel Aromí & Martín Llada, 2022, "Forecasting inflation with Twitter," Documentos de trabajo del Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET), Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política IIEP (UBA-CONICET), number 2022-76, Oct.
- Nuno Goncalves, 2022, "Most probable or more prudent? Analysing CFP's macroeconomic projections, 2015-2019," CFP Occasional Papers, Portuguese Public Finance Council, number 02/2022, Apr.
- Ержан Ислам // Yerzhan Islam & Сейдахметов Ансар // Seidakhmetov Ansar, 2022, "Динамическая факторная модель инфляции для Казахстана // Dynamic Factor Model of Inflation for Kazakhstan," Working Papers, National Bank of Kazakhstan, number #2022-4.
- Emilie Jasova & Bozena Kaderabkova, 2022, "The effectiveness of government measures in the first wave of Covid-19 pandemic," International Journal of Economic Sciences, European Research Center, volume 11, issue 1, pages 19-36, April.
- Joshua C. C. Chan, 2022, "Large Hybrid Time-Varying Parameter VARs," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2201.07303, Jan, revised Jun 2022.
- Victor Olkhov, 2022, "Market-Based Price Autocorrelation," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2202.09323, Feb, revised Feb 2024.
- Victor Olkhov, 2022, "Market-Based Asset Price Probability," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2205.07256, May, revised Jan 2026.
- Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2022, "What does machine learning say about the drivers of inflation?," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2208.14653, Aug, revised Jan 2023.
- James T. E. Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2022, "Macroeconomic Predictions using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2209.00948, Sep.
- Dimitris Korobilis & Maximilian Schroder, 2022, "Probabilistic Quantile Factor Analysis," Papers, arXiv.org, number 2212.10301, Dec, revised Aug 2024.
- Hematy, Maryam, 2022, "Comparative Study of Phillips Curve under Dual-stickiness Model Considering Heterogeneity in Iran\'s Economy (in Persian)," The Journal of Planning and Budgeting (٠صلنامه برنامه ریزی و بودجه), Institute for Management and Planning studies, volume 27, issue 3, pages 27-74, December.
- Alok Kumar Mishra & Aruna Kumar Dash, 2022, "Connecting the Carbon Ecological Footprint, Economic Globalization, Population Density, Financial Sector Development, and Economic Growth of Five South Asian Countries," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, volume 3, issue 2, pages 1-6, DOI: 2022/06/17.
- Lachezar Borisov, 2022, "Consumer Confidence And Real Economic Growth In The Eurozone," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", volume 8, issue 3, DOI: 10.30525/2256-0742/2022-8-3-7-13.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022, "The demand and supply of information about inflation," Working Papers, Chair in macroeconomics and forecasting, University of Quebec in Montreal's School of Management, number 22-06, Aug, revised Nov 2022.
- James Chapman & Ajit Desai, 2022, "Macroeconomic Predictions Using Payments Data and Machine Learning," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 22-10, Mar, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2022-10.
- Martin Harding & Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt, 2022, "Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 22-50, Dec, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2022-50.
- Vivian Chu & Yang Zhang, 2022, "Harnessing the benefit of state-contingent forward guidance," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2022-13, Sep, DOI: 10.34989/san-2022-13.
- Andisheh (Andy) Danaee & Harsimran Grewal & Brad Howell & Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc & Xuezhi Liu & Xiangjin Shen & Mayur Patel, 2022, "How well can large banks in Canada withstand a severe economic downturn?," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2022-6, May, DOI: 10.34989/san-2022-6.
- Emilio Blanco & Fiorella Dogliolo & Lorena Garegnani, 2022, "Nowcasting during the Pandemic: Lessons from Argentina," BCRA Working Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 202299, Mar.
- Pasimeni, Paolo, 2022, "Supply, or Demand, that is the Question: Decomposing Euro Area Inflation," Single Market Economics Papers, Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs (European Commission), Chief Economist Team, number WP2022/2, Sep, DOI: 10.2873/301426.
- Marina Diakonova & Luis Molina & Hannes Mueller & Javier J. Pérez & Cristopher Rauh, 2022, "The information content of conflict, social unrest and policy uncertainty measures for macroeconomic forecasting," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2232, Sep.
- Luis J. Álvarez & Florens Odendahl, 2022, "Data outliers and Bayesian VARs in the Euro Area," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2239, Nov, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/23552.
- Marina Diakonova & Corinna Ghirelli & Javier J. Pérez & Luis Molina, 2022, "The economic impact of conflict-related and policy uncertainty shocks: the case of Russia," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2242, Nov, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/23707.
- Gergely Ganics & María Rodríguez-Moreno, 2022, "A house price-at-risk model to monitor the downside risk for the spanish housing market," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 2244, Dec, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/29472.
- María Alejandra Hernández-Montes & Ramón Hernández-Ortega & Jonathan Alexander Muñoz-Martínez, 2022, "Aporte de las expectativas de empresarios al pronóstico de las variables macroeconómicas," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1202, Jun, DOI: 10.32468/be.1202.
- Youssef Ulgazi & Paul Vertier, 2022, "Forecasting Inflation in France: an Update of MAPI," Working papers, Banque de France, number 869.
- Aldama Pierre & Gaulier Guillaume & Lemoine Matthieu & Robert Pierre-Antoine & Turunen Harri & Zhutova Anastasia, 2022, "The EA-BDF Model and Government Spending Multipliers in a Monetary Union," Working papers, Banque de France, number 883.
- Virginia Sánchez-Marcos & Francesc Obiols-Homs, 2022, "Labor Force Participation, Wages and Turbulence," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 1347, May.
- Christopher S Sutherland, 2022, "Forward guidance and expectation formation: A narrative approach," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1024, Jun.
- David Aikman & Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius & Xiaochuan Xing, 2022, "The scarring effects of deep contractions," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 1043, Oct.
- Londhe Sanket Tanaji & Palwe Sushila, 2022, "Customer-Centric Sales Forecasting Model: RFM-ARIMA Approach," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, volume 13, issue 1, pages 35-45, June, DOI: 10.2478/bsrj-2022-0003.
- Sergey Ivashchenko, 2022, "Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model with Multiple Trends and Structural Breaks," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 81, issue 1, pages 46-72, March, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.202201.46.
- Urmat Dzhunkeev, 2022, "Forecasting Unemployment in Russia Using Machine Learning Methods," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 81, issue 1, pages 73-87, March, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.202201.73.
- Patricia Carballo, 2022, "Política monetaria y formación de expectativas en un modelo neokeynesiano," Documentos de trabajo, Banco Central del Uruguay, number 2022001.
- Santiago Etchegaray Alvarez, 2022, "Proyecciones macroeconómicas con datos en frecuencias mixtas. Modelos ADL-MIDAS, U-MIDAS y TF-MIDAS con aplicaciones para Uruguay," Documentos de trabajo, Banco Central del Uruguay, number 2022004.
- Andrea Barón & José Mourelle & Gabriela Romaniello & Esteban Tisnés, 2022, "Modelo macroeconométrico de estimación trimestral para la economía uruguaya. Desarrollos recientes," Documentos de trabajo, Banco Central del Uruguay, number 2022006.
- Kazeem O. Isah & Abdulkader C. Mahomedy & Elias A. Udeaja & Ojo J. Adelakun & Yusuf Yakubu & Danmecca Musa, 2022, "Revisiting the accuracy of inflation forecasts in Nigeria: The oil price–exchange rate–asymmetry perspectives," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, volume 90, issue 3, pages 329-348, September, DOI: 10.1111/saje.12313.
- Brian Adams & Lara Loewenstein & Hugh Montag & Randal Verbrugge, 2022, "Disentangling Rent Index Differences: Data, Methods, and Scope," Economic Working Papers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, number 555.
- George Filis & Stavros Degiannakis & Zacharias Bragoudakis, 2022, "Forecasting macroeconomic indicators for Eurozone and Greece: How useful are the oil price assumptions?," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 296, Apr, DOI: 10.52903/wp2022296.
- Michael Gurkov & Osnat Zohar, 2022, "Inflation Risks in Israel," Bank of Israel Working Papers, Bank of Israel, number 2022.19, Dec.
- Takuro Ashizawa & Kakuho Furukawa & Ryuichiro Hashimoto & Yoshiyasu Koide & Tomomi Naka & Kenji Nishizaki & Nao Sudo & Genichiro Suzuki, 2022, "Physical risks from climate change faced by Japan's financial institutions: Impact of floods on real economy, land prices, and FIs' financial conditions," Bank of Japan Review Series, Bank of Japan, number 22-E-2, Mar.
- Ryuichiro Hashimoto & Nao Sudo, 2022, "Transmission of Flood Damage to the Real Economy and Financial Intermediation: Simulation Analysis using a DSGE Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 22-E-5, Jun.
- Glocker Christian & Hölzl Werner, 2022, "A direct measure of subjective business uncertainty," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, volume 23, issue 1, pages 121-155, February, DOI: 10.1515/ger-2021-0025.
- Morell, Joe & Rice, Jonathan & Shaw, Frances, 2022, "A Framework for Macroprudential Stress Testing," Research Technical Papers, Central Bank of Ireland, number 7/RT/22, Nov.
- Jeffrey Schafer, 2022, "Inflation Expectations and Their Formation: Working Paper 2022-03," Working Papers, Congressional Budget Office, number 57398, Mar.
- Constantin Bürgi & Julio L. Ortiz, 2022, "Overreaction through Anchoring," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10193.
- Christina Anderl & Guglielmo Maria Caporale, 2022, "Forecasting Inflation with a Zero Lower Bound or Negative Interest Rates: Evidence from Point and Density Forecasts," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 9687.
- Manuel Monge & Carlos Poza & Sofía Borgia, 2022, "A proposal of a suspicion of tax fraud indicator based on Google trends to foresee Spanish tax revenues," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 169, pages 1-12.
- Massimiliano Marcellino & Dalibor Stevanovic, 2022, "The demand and supply of information about inflation," CIRANO Working Papers, CIRANO, number 2022s-27, Dec.
- Vojtech Molnar, 2022, "Price Level Targeting with Imperfect Rationality: A Heuristic Approach," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2022/1, Apr.
- Robert Ambrisko, 2022, "Nowcasting Macroeconomic Variables Using High-Frequency Fiscal Data," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2022/5, Jun.
- Masaru Inaba & Kengo Nutahara & Daichi Shirai, 2022, "What drives fluctuations of labor wedge and business cycles? Evidence from Japan," CIGS Working Paper Series, The Canon Institute for Global Studies, number 22-001E, Feb.
- Juan Carlos Castro Fernández & Juan Carlos Castro Fern�ndez, 2022, "Big Recessions and Slow Recoveries," Documentos de Trabajo UEC, Universidad Externado de Colombia, number 20128, May.
- Juan Camilo Anzoátegui Zapata & Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro, 2022, "Efectos de la comunicación del banco central sobre el desacuerdo en las expectativas de la tasa de política monetaria: evidencias para Colombia," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, volume 14, issue 2, pages 375-409.
- Carriere-Swallow, Yan & Deb, Pragyan & Furceri, Davide & Jiménez, Daniel & Ostry, Jonathan D., 2022, "Shipping Costs and Inflation," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 17259, Apr.
- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2022, "Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 17512, Jul.
- Guénette, Justin Damien & Kose, M. Ayhan & Sugawara, Naotaka, 2022, "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 17566, Oct.
- Tino Berger & Tore Dubbert, 2022, "Government spending effects on the business cycle in times of crisis," CQE Working Papers, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster, number 10022, Dec.
- Lachezar Borisov, 2022, "The Relationship Between Food Production Prices And Inflation In Bulgaria," Economic Archive, D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 1 Year 20, pages 34-43.
- Лъчезар Борисов, 2022, "Зависимост Между Цените На Производство И Инфлацията При Хранителните Продукти В България," Economic Archive, D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 1 Year 20, pages 36-47.
- Dennis Kant & Andreas Pick & Jasper de Winter, 2022, "Nowcasting GDP using machine learning methods," Working Papers, DNB, number 754, Nov.
- Chahad, Mohammed & Hofmann-Drahonsky, Anna-Camilla & Page, Adrian & Tirpák, Marcel & Meunier, Baptiste, 2022, "What explains recent errors in the inflation projections of Eurosystem and ECB staff?," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 3.
- Battistini, Niccolò & Grapow, Helen & Hahn, Elke & Soudan, Michel, 2022, "Wage share dynamics and second-round effects on inflation after energy price surges in the 1970s and today," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 5.
- Coenen, Günter & Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Saint Guilhem, Arthur & Hutchinson, John & Motto, Roberto, 2022, "Rate forward guidance in an environment of large central bank balance sheets: a Eurosystem stock-taking assessment," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 290, Mar.
- Budnik, Katarzyna & Dimitrov, Ivan & Groß, Johannes & Kusmierczyk, Piotr & Lampe, Max & Vagliano, Gianluca & Volk, Matjaz, 2022, "The economic impact of the NPLcoverage expectations in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 297, Jul.
- Boucherie, Louis & Budnik, Katarzyna & Panos, Jiri, 2022, "Looking at the evolution of macroprudential policy stance: A growth-at-risk experiment with a semi-structural model," Occasional Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 301, Sep.
- Bandera, Nicolò & Bodnár, Katalin & Le Roux, Julien & Szörfi, Béla, 2022, "The impact of the COVID-19 shock on euro area potential output: a sectoral approach," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2717, Sep.
- Montes-Galdón, Carlos & Paredes, Joan & Wolf, Elias, 2022, "Conditional density forecasting: a tempered importance sampling approach," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2754, Dec.
- Nairobi Nairobi & Ambya Ambya & Edwin Russel & Sipa Paujiah & D. N. Pratama & Wamiliana Wamiliana & Mustofa Usman, 2022, "Analysis of Data Inflation Energy and Gasoline Price by Vector Autoregressive Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 12, issue 2, pages 120-126, March.
- Doan Van Dinh, 2022, "Crude Oil Price Fluctuation and Economic Growth: ARDL Model Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 12, issue 4, pages 240-248, July.
- Sharma, Saurabh & Behera, Harendra, 2022, "A dissection of Indian growth using a DSGE filter," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, volume 80, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2022.101480.
- Molnárová, Zuzana & Reiter, Michael, 2022, "Technology, demand, and productivity: What an industry model tells us about business cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 134, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104272.
- Longo, Luigi & Riccaboni, Massimo & Rungi, Armando, 2022, "A neural network ensemble approach for GDP forecasting," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 134, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104278.
- Catullo, Ermanno & Gallegati, Mauro & Russo, Alberto, 2022, "Forecasting in a complex environment: Machine learning sales expectations in a stock flow consistent agent-based simulation model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 139, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2022.104405.
- Audzei, Volha & Slobodyan, Sergey, 2022, "Sparse restricted perceptions equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 139, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2022.104415.
- Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2022, "Evaluating the European Central Bank’s uncertainty forecasts," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, volume 73, issue C, pages 321-330, DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2021.12.005.
- Audzei, Volha & Brůha, Jan, 2022, "A model of the Euro area, China, and the United States: Trade links and trade wars," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 111, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2022.105831.
- Wang, Xi & Liu, Ying & Chen, Zhongfei, 2022, "Monetary policy dysregulation with data distortion," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 116, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2022.106012.
- Chen, Ji & Yang, Xinglin & Liu, Xiliang, 2022, "Learning, disagreement and inflation forecasting," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 63, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2022.101834.
- Shapiro, Adam Hale & Sudhof, Moritz & Wilson, Daniel J., 2022, "Measuring news sentiment," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 228, issue 2, pages 221-243, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.053.
- Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza & Giacomini, Raffaella & Issler, João Victor & Skreta, Vasiliki, 2022, "Incentive-driven inattention," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 231, issue 1, pages 188-212, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.06.010.
- Gardner, Ben & Scotti, Chiara & Vega, Clara, 2022, "Words speak as loudly as actions: Central bank communication and the response of equity prices to macroeconomic announcements," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 231, issue 2, pages 387-409, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.07.014.
- Cimadomo, Jacopo & Giannone, Domenico & Lenza, Michele & Monti, Francesca & Sokol, Andrej, 2022, "Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, volume 231, issue 2, pages 500-519, DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.04.012.
- du Plessis, Emile, 2022, "Multinomial modeling methods: Predicting four decades of international banking crises," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 46, issue 2, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2022.100979.
- Togonidze, Sophio & Kočenda, Evžen, 2022, "Macroeconomic responses of emerging market economies to oil price shocks: An analysis by region and resource profile," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 46, issue 3, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2022.100988.
- Pagan, Adrian & Robinson, Tim, 2022, "Excess shocks can limit the economic interpretation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, volume 145, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104120.
- Pincheira-Brown, Pablo & Bentancor, Andrea & Hardy, Nicolás & Jarsun, Nabil, 2022, "Forecasting fuel prices with the Chilean exchange rate: Going beyond the commodity currency hypothesis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 106, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105802.
- Silva, Rodolfo Rodrigues Barrionuevo & Martins, André Christóvão Pio & Soler, Edilaine Martins & Baptista, Edméa Cássia & Balbo, Antonio Roberto & Nepomuceno, Leonardo, 2022, "Two-stage stochastic energy procurement model for a large consumer in hydrothermal systems," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 107, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.105841.
- Okorie, David Iheke & Lin, Boqiang, 2022, "Givers never lack: Nigerian oil & gas asymmetric network analyses," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 108, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.105910.
- Xing, Li-Min & Zhang, Yue-Jun, 2022, "Forecasting crude oil prices with shrinkage methods: Can nonconvex penalty and Huber loss help?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 110, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106014.
- Lei, Heng & Xue, Minggao & Liu, Huiling, 2022, "Probability distribution forecasting of carbon allowance prices: A hybrid model considering multiple influencing factors," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 113, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106189.
- Kutuk, Yasin & Barokas, Lina, 2022, "Multivariate CDS risk premium prediction with SOTA RNNs on MI[N]T countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 45, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102198.
- Duan, Yuejiao & Goodell, John W. & Li, Haoran & Li, Xinming, 2022, "Assessing machine learning for forecasting economic risk: Evidence from an expanded Chinese financial information set," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 46, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102273.
- He, Yiyao, 2022, "Heterogeneous stock traders, endogenous bubbles, and economic fluctuations," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 47, issue PA, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102607.
- Long, Huaigang & Zaremba, Adam & Zhou, Wenyu & Bouri, Elie, 2022, "Macroeconomics matter: Leading economic indicators and the cross-section of global stock returns," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.finmar.2022.100736.
- Lucidi, Francesco Simone & Semmler, Willi, 2022, "Supervisory shocks to banks' credit standards and their macroeconomic impact," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, volume 58, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2021.100966.
- Rojas, Eugenio & Saffie, Felipe, 2022, "Non-homothetic sudden stops," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, volume 139, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2022.103680.
- Monge, Manuel & Poza, Carlos & Borgia, Sofía, 2022, "A proposal of a suspicion of tax fraud indicator based on Google trends to foresee Spanish tax revenues," International Economics, Elsevier, volume 169, issue C, pages 1-12, DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2021.11.002.
- Ferrara, Laurent & Mogliani, Matteo & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2022, "High-frequency monitoring of growth at risk," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 38, issue 2, pages 582-595, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.06.010.
- Foroni, Claudia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Stevanovic, Dalibor, 2022, "Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 38, issue 2, pages 596-612, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.12.005.
- Huang, Rong & Pilbeam, Keith & Pouliot, William, 2022, "Are macroeconomic forecasters optimists or pessimists? A reassessment of survey based forecasts," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 197, issue C, pages 706-724, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2022.03.012.
- Benchimol, Jonathan & El-Shagi, Makram & Saadon, Yossi, 2022, "Do expert experience and characteristics affect inflation forecasts?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 201, issue C, pages 205-226, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2022.06.025.
- Cipullo, Davide & Reslow, André, 2022, "Electoral cycles in macroeconomic forecasts," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 202, issue C, pages 307-340, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2022.08.016.
- Cortes, Gustavo S. & Taylor, Bryan & Weidenmier, Marc D., 2022, "Financial factors and the propagation of the Great Depression," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, volume 145, issue 2, pages 577-594, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.08.018.
- Catalán, Mario & Hoffmaister, Alexander W., 2022, "When banks punch back: Macrofinancial feedback loops in stress tests," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 124, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2021.102572.
- Inaba, Masaru & Nutahara, Kengo & Shirai, Daichi, 2022, "What drives fluctuations of labor wedge and business cycles? Evidence from Japan," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 72, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2022.103402.
- Özmen, M. Utku & Tuğan, Mustafa, 2022, "Heterogeneity in sectoral price and quantity responses to shocks to monetary policy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, volume 73, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2022.103439.
- Alestra, C. & Cette, G. & Chouard, V. & Lecat, R., 2022, "Growth impact of climate change and response policies: The advanced climate change long-term (ACCL) model1," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 44, issue 1, pages 96-112, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2021.10.001.
- Lin, Yu & Liao, Qidong & Lin, Zixiao & Tan, Bin & Yu, Yuanyuan, 2022, "A novel hybrid model integrating modified ensemble empirical mode decomposition and LSTM neural network for multi-step precious metal prices prediction," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 78, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102884.
- Harding, Martín & Lindé, Jesper & Trabandt, Mathias, 2022, "Resolving the missing deflation puzzle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 126, issue C, pages 15-34, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2021.09.003.
- Yang, Choongryul, 2022, "Rational inattention, menu costs, and multi-product firms: Micro evidence and aggregate implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, volume 128, issue C, pages 105-123, DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2022.04.004.
- Lyu, Yongjian & Yi, Heling & Cao, Jin & Yang, Mo, 2022, "Time-varying monetary policy shocks and the dynamics of Chinese commodity prices," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 75, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2022.101836.
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022, "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 84, issue C, pages 9-22, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2022.01.001.
- Morikawa, Masayuki, 2022, "Uncertainty in long-term macroeconomic forecasts: Ex post evaluation of forecasts by economics researchers," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 85, issue C, pages 8-15, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2020.10.017.
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- Maciej Stajniak & Bartosz Kozicki & Beata Wenerska, 2022, "The Number of Passengers Transported by Air in the World and the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Air Passenger Transport in the USA in Terms of Economic Security," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special A, pages 173-183.
- Maciej Stajniak & Bartosz Kozicki & Pawel Jaskiewicz & Leszek Szczupak, 2022, "The Forecasting of Dangerous Goods Transport by Railin Poland in Terms of Environmental Security," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue Special A, pages 359-368.
- Vojtech Misak, 2022, "Crime and weather. Evidence from the Czech Republic," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2022/09, May, revised May 2022.
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- Alena Pavlova, 2022, "Non-Linearity between Price Inflation and Labor Costs: The Case of Central European Countries," Working Papers IES, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, number 2022/25, Oct, revised Oct 2022.
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- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022, "Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 22-12R, May, revised 11 Apr 2023, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202212r.
- Randal J. Verbrugge & Saeed Zaman, 2022, "Improving Inflation Forecasts Using Robust Measures," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 22-23R, Aug, revised 30 May 2023, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202223r.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2022, "Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 22-25, Aug, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202225.
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- Todd E. Clark & Gergely Ganics & Elmar Mertens, 2022, "Constructing Fan Charts from the Ragged Edge of SPF Forecasts," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 22-36, Nov, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-202236.
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- Julie Bennett & Michael T. Owyang, 2022, "On the Relative Performance of Inflation Forecasts," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, volume 104, issue 2, pages 131-148.
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- Ekaterina A. Ponomareva, 2022, "Primary Housing Market: Scenarios for the Development
[Рынок Первичного Жилья: Сценарии Развития Ситуации]," Russian Economic Development, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 5, pages 34-38, May. - Ekaterina A. Ponomareva, 2022, "Рынок Первичного Жилья: Сценарии Развития Ситуации," Russian Economic Development (in Russian), Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 5, pages 34-38, May.
- Hagher Ben Rhomdhane & Brahim Mehdi Benlallouna, 2022, "Nowcasting real GDP in Tunisia using large datasets and mixed-frequency models," IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, number 02-2022, Mar.
- Marcela De Castro-Valderrama & Santiago Forero-Alvarado & Nicolas Moreno-Arias & Sara Naranjo-Saldarriaga, 2022, "Unravelling the Narratives Behind Macroeconomic Forecasts," IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, number 18-2022, Aug.
- Dr Jan Roan Neethling, 2022, "Analysing the rising oil price shock driven by Russia-Ukrainian tensions - effect on inflationary pressure in South Africa," GATR Journals, Global Academy of Training and Research (GATR) Enterprise, number jber231, Dec, DOI: https://doi.org/10.35609/jber.2022..
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[Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-03661598, May, DOI: 10.3917/reco.742.0005. - Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2022, "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-03740235, May, DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2022.01.001.
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- Poon, Aubrey & Zhu, Dan, 2022, "Do Recessions Occur Concurrently Across Countries? A Multinomial Logistic Approach," Working Papers, Örebro University, School of Business, number 2022:11, Sep.
- Cipullo, Davide & Reslow, André, 2022, "Electoral Cycles in Macroeconomic Forecasts," Working Paper Series, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden), number 415, Aug.
- Natalya Makeeva & Ivan Stankevich, 2022, "Nowcasting of the Components of Russian GDP," HSE Economic Journal, National Research University Higher School of Economics, volume 26, issue 4, pages 598-622.
- Morita, Hiroshi, 2022, "Forecasting GDP growth using stock returns in Japan: A factor-augmented MIDAS approach," Discussion paper series, Hitotsubashi Institute for Advanced Study, Hitotsubashi University, number HIAS-E-118, Mar.
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- Iman Gunadi & Aryo Sasongko & Dian Fitriarni Sari, 2022, "Analyzing Collateral Repo Haircuts In Asian Countries," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, volume 25, issue 4, pages 495-530, January, DOI: https://doi.org/10.21098/bemp.v25i4.
- Damjan Pfajfar & Damjan Pfajfar, 2022, "The Role of Expectations in Changed Inflation Dynamics," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 18, issue 1, pages 199-238, March.
- N. Kundan Kishor & Evan F. Koenig, 2022, "Finding a Role for Slack in Real-Time Inflation Forecasting," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 18, issue 2, pages 245-282, June.
- Mr. Yan Carriere-Swallow & Mr. Pragyan Deb & Davide Furceri & Daniel Jimenez & Mr. Jonathan David Ostry, 2022, "Shipping Costs and Inflation," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2022/061, Mar.
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- Gulsah Senturk, 2022, "Can Google Search Data Improve the Unemployment Rate Forecasting Model? An Empirical Analysis for Turkey," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, volume 9, issue 2, pages 229-244, July, DOI: 10.26650/JEPR963438.
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- Barbaglia, Luca & Frattarolo, Lorenzo & Onorante, Luca & Pericoli, Filippo Maria & Ratto, Marco & Tiozzo Pezzoli, Luca, 2022, "Testing big data in a big crisis: Nowcasting under COVID-19," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Joint Research Centre, European Commission, number 2022-06, Aug.
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- Jinan Liu & Apostolos Serletis, 2022, "World Commodity Prices and Economic Activity in Advanced and Emerging Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 33, issue 2, pages 347-374, April, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-021-09632-8.
- Maksim Isakin & Phuong V. Ngo, 2022, "Multiplicity in New Keynesian Models," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 33, issue 3, pages 505-521, July, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-021-09643-5.
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- Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2022, "From Low to High Inflation: Implications for Emerging Market and Developing Economies," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 2202, Mar.
- Justin Damien Guenette & M. Ayhan Kose & Naotaka Sugawara, 2022, "Is a Global Recession Imminent?," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum, number 2206, Sep.
- Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Maurizio Daniele & Florian Eckert & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Alexander Rathke & Tim Rei, 2022, "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2022 / 2023. Schweizer Wirtschaft behauptet sich trotz Ukraine-Krieg," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 16, issue 1, pages 1-72, March, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000538808.
- Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Justus Bamert & Maurizio Daniele & Florian Eckert & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Alexander Rathke & Tim Rei, 2022, "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2022 / 2023. Robuste Konjunktur trotz internationaler Preisanstiege," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 16, issue 2, pages 1-27, June, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000554301.
- Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Maurizio Daniele & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Alexander Rathke & Tim Reinicke & Samad Sarferaz & Pascal S, 2022, "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2023 / 2024. Energiekriese belastet die Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 16, issue 3, pages 1-69, September, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000574710.
- Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Marc Anderes & Maurizio Daniele & Thomas Domjahn & Michael Graff & Philipp Kronenberg & Isabel Martinez & Heiner Mikosch & Nina Mühlebach & Alexander Rathke & Tim R, 2022, "Konjunkturanalyse: Prognose 2023 / 2024. Energiekrise belastet die Schweizer Wirtschaft weiterhin," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, volume 16, issue 4, pages 1-26, December, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000587478.
- Sina Streicher, 2022, "RGAP: Output Gap Estimation in R," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 22-503, Jun, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000552089.
2021
- George-Marios Angeletos & Zhen Huo, 2021, "Myopia and Anchoring," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 111, issue 4, pages 1166-1200, April, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20191436.
- Barbara Rossi, 2021, "Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, volume 59, issue 4, pages 1135-1190, December, DOI: 10.1257/jel.20201479.
- María Paula Bonel & Daniel J. Aromí, 2021, "Assessing GDP forecasts from autoregressive models: the impact of model complexity and training dataset," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política, number 4440, Nov.
- Vesna Karadzic & Bojan Pejovic, 2021, "Inflation Forecasting in the Western Balkans and EU: A Comparison of Holt-Winters, ARIMA and NNAR Models," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, volume 23, issue 57, pages 517-517.
- Tamta Sopromadze & Giorgi Barbakadze & Shalva Mkhatrishvili, 2021, "Dominant Currency Paradigm: Financial Dollarization View," NBG Working Papers, National Bank of Georgia, number 01/2021, Apr.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021, "Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence," Working Papers, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), number 07-21.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021, "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), number 08-21.
- Sara Rosa dos Santos & Aniela Fagundes Carrara, 2021, "The Interaction Between Food Prices And The Future Expectation Of Inflation: A Dynamic Analysis," Revista de Economia Mackenzie (REM), Mackenzie Presbyterian University, Social and Applied Sciences Center, volume 18, issue 2, pages 135-158, July-Dece, DOI: -.
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