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Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Energiekrise, Inflation, Rezession und Wohlstandsverlust
[Energy Crisis: Inflation, Recession, Welfare Loss]

Author

Listed:
  • Oliver Holtemöller

    (Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle)

  • Stefan Kooths

    (Institut für Weltwirtschaft)

  • Torsten Schmidt

    (RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung)

  • Timo Wollmershäuser

    (ifo Zentrum für Konjunkturforschung)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Die deutsche Wirtschaft wird von der krisenhaften Zuspitzung auf den Gasmärkten schwer belastet. Die hochgeschnellten Gaspreise erhöhen die Energiekosten drastisch und gehen mit einem massiven gesamtwirtschaftlichen Kaufkraftentzug einher. Dies dämpft nicht nur die noch unvollständige Erholung von der Coronakrise, sondern drückt die deutsche Wirtschaft in die Rezession. Dabei kommen die Institute für den kommenden Winter zu dem Ergebnis, dass bei normalen Witterungsbedingungen keine Gasmangellage eintritt. Dennoch bleibt die Versorgungslage äußerst angespannt. Vor diesem Hintergrund dürfte die Wirtschaftsleistung im dritten Quartal bereits leicht gesunken sein. Im Winterhalbjahr ist aufgrund der steigenden Kosten für Energie, der nachlassenden Konsumnachfrage und der schwächelnden Weltwirtschaft mit einem deutlichen Rückgang zu rechnen.

Suggested Citation

  • Oliver Holtemöller & Stefan Kooths & Torsten Schmidt & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2022. "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Energiekrise, Inflation, Rezession und Wohlstandsverlust [Energy Crisis: Inflation, Recession, Welfare Loss]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 102(10), pages 761-765, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:102:y:2022:i:10:d:10.1007_s10273-022-3291-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-022-3291-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Verónica Hidalgo-Sánchez & Josef Hofmann & María Emma Borges & Uwe Behmel & Diana Hehenberger-Risse & Tobias Finsterwalder & Christina Pritscher & Johannes Blattenberger & Tanja Wainz & Maximilian Dil, 2024. "Operation of a Pilot-Scale Biogas Plant Made of Textile Materials and Application of Its Results to a Full-Sized Demonstration Plant," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-17, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    E27; E32; E37;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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