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The impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation

Author

Listed:
  • Luis J. Álvarez

    () (Banco de España)

  • Samuel Hurtado

    () (Banco de España)

  • Isabel Sánchez

    () (Banco de España)

  • Carlos Thomas

    () (Banco de España)

Abstract

This paper assesses the impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation. We find, consistently with recent international evidence, that the inflationary effect of oil price changes is limited, even though crude oil price fluctuations are a major driver of inflation variability. The impact on Spanish inflation is found to be somewhat higher than in the euro area. Direct effects are increasing over time, reflecting the higher spending of households on refined oil products, whereas indirect ones, defined in broad terms, are losing importance.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis J. Álvarez & Samuel Hurtado & Isabel Sánchez & Carlos Thomas, 2009. "The impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation," Occasional Papers 0904, Banco de España;Occasional Papers Homepage.
  • Handle: RePEc:bde:opaper:0904
    as

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    File URL: http://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/PublicacionesSeriadas/DocumentosOcasionales/09/Fic/do0904e.pdf
    File Function: First version, October 2009
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    oil prices; consumer price infl ation; Spanish and Euro area inflation; DSGE models;

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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