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Google Econometrics and Unemployment Forecasting

  • Askitas, Nikos

    ()

    (IZA)

  • Zimmermann, Klaus F.

    ()

    (IZA and University of Bonn)

The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword searches and unemployment rates using monthly German data and exhibits a strong potential for the method used.

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File URL: http://ftp.iza.org/dp4201.pdf
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Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 4201.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2009
Date of revision:
Publication status: published in: Applied Economics Quarterly, 2009, 55 (2), 107-120. [Open Access]
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp4201
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