Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes
Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E1: General Aggregative Models
/ / / E17: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
2026
- Pablo Aguilar & Corinna Ghirelli & Samuel Hurtado, 2026, "MTBE v2025: new version of the Quarterly Model of the Banco de España," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 2602, Jan, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/42265.
- Tom Doan, 2026, "GLOBALVAR: RATS program to demonstrate estimation of a global VAR," Statistical Software Components, Boston College Department of Economics, number RTJ00036, revised .
- Taiwo, Shakirudeen & Uwillingiye, Josine & Osei-Assibey, Kwame, 2026, "Macroeconomic fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa: Role of external shocks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, volume 113, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2026.105846.
- Wing-Keung Wong & Riffat Mughal & Mustafa Afeef & Naveed Khan & Hassan Zada, 2026, "Human Capital Based Six-Factor Asset Pricing Model in the Era of Covid-19," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, volume 33, issue 1, pages 25-63, March, DOI: 10.1007/s10690-025-09579-7.
- Michał Gradzewicz & Michał Sasiela & Zbigniew Żółkiewski, 2026, "The effect of energy prices on the competitiveness of the Polish and European economies," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, volume 57, issue 1, pages 1-38.
- Son T. Pham & Paul Levine, 2026, "The Macroeconomic Consequences of Government Investment Revisited," School of Economics Discussion Papers, School of Economics, University of Surrey, number 0226, Jan.
2025
- Faroque Ahmed & Kazi Sohag & Oleg Mariev, 2025, "Response of financial stress in Russia, China, and USA: the role of global geopolitical and economic uncertainty," R-Economy, Ural Federal University, Graduate School of Economics and Management, volume 11, issue 1, pages 110-137, DOI: https://doi.org/10.15826/recon.2025.
- Арнабекова Э. // Arnabekova E. & Бриншинов А. // Brinshinov A., 2025, "Влияние нефтяных шоков на макроэкономические показатели Казахстана // The Impact of Oil Shocks on Macroeconomic Indicators of Kazakhstan," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 1, pages 23-30.
- Stanislav A. Rogachev & Yuri R. Ichkitidze, 2025, "Detecting technological progress in Russia: Intersectoral approach or the aggregate economy," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, volume 11, issue 3, pages 306-330, September, DOI: 10.32609/j.ruje.11.85599.
- Tatjana Dahlhaus & Thibaut Duprey & Craig Johnston, 2025, "Estimating the impacts on GDP of natural disasters in Canada," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2025-5, Feb, DOI: 10.34989/san-2025-5.
- Pietro Cova & Davide Fantino & Lisa Rodano, 2025, "Energy prices in the Bank of Italy macroeconometric model," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 942, Jun.
- Wilmer Martínez-Rivera & Edgar Caicedo-García & Juan Bonilla-Pérez, 2025, "Instantaneous Inflation as a Predictor of Inflation," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1296, Jan, DOI: 10.32468/be.1296.
- Felipe Roldán-Ferrín & Julián A. Parra-Polania, 2025, "Enhancing inflation nowcasting with online search data: a random forest application for Colombia," Borradores de Economia, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 1318, Jul, DOI: 10.32468/be.1318.
- Matthias Burgert & Benoit Mojon & Daniel Rees & Matthias Rottner & Hongyan Zhao, 2025, "A multi-sector assessment of the macroeconomic effects of tariffs," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
- Oleg Kryzhanovskiy & Anastasia Mogilat & Zhanna Shuvalova & Dmitry Gvozdev, 2025, "Using LSTM Neural Networks for Nowcasting and Forecasting GVA of Industrial Sectors," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 84, issue 1, pages 93-104, March.
- Ko Adachi & Naoya Kato, 2025, "Second-Round Wage-Price Effects of Raw Material Costs: An Empirical Analysis Using a DSGE Model," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 25-E-10, Sep.
- Jaeger Nelson & Matthew Wilson, 2025, "Understanding the Relationship Between Changes to Federal Fiscal Policy and Near-Term Real GDP Growth: Working Paper 2025-01," Working Papers, Congressional Budget Office, number 61171, Feb.
- Bryan T. Kelly & Semyon Malamud & Emil Siriwardane & Hongyu Wu, 2025, "Behavioral Impulse Responses," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute, number 25-04, Jan.
- Sona Benecka, 2025, "Forecasting Disaggregated Producer Prices: A Fusion of Machine Learning and Econometric Techniques," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2025/2, Mar.
- Bušs, Ginters & Traficante, Guido, 2025, "The Return of Inflation: Look-Through Policy Under Incomplete Information," Dynare Working Papers, CEPREMAP, number 85, Jul.
- Robert-Paul Berben & Rajni Rasiawan & Jasper de Winter, 2025, "Forecasting Dutch inflation using machine learning methods," Working Papers, DNB, number 828, Feb.
- Zanetti Chini, Emilio, 2025, "Judgment can spur long memory," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 170, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2024.105005.
- Clements, Michael P. & Rich, Robert W. & Tracy, Joseph, 2025, "An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 173, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105060.
- Kamber, Güneş & Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2025, "Trend-cycle decomposition in the presence of large shocks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 173, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105066.
- del Río, Fernando & Lores, Francisco-Xavier, 2025, "TFP and global growth: Shaping cross-country income inequality, 1960–2019," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, volume 88, issue C, pages 191-213, DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.08.039.
- Wang, Chuan & Zhang, Mingjin, 2025, "Market-oriented reforms and wealth inequality in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 143, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106959.
- Gobbi, Lucio & Mazzocchi, Ronny & Tamborini, Roberto, 2025, "Inflation shocks and the New Keynesian model: When should central banks fear inflation expectations?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, volume 80, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2025.102508.
- Colesanti Senni, Chiara & Goel, Skand, 2025, "Nature scenario plausibility: A dynamic Bayesian network approach," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, volume 236, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108647.
- Fevereiro, José Bruno R.T. & Genovese, Andrea & Purvis, Ben & Codina, Oriol Vallès & Passarella, Marco Veronese, 2025, "Macroeconomic models for assessing the transition towards a circular economy: A systematic review," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, volume 236, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108669.
- Thomsen, Simon Fløj & Raza, Hamid & Byrialsen, Mikael Randrup, 2025, "An assessment of carbon taxation policies: The case of Denmark," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, volume 238, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108741.
- Huber, Johannes & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2025, "Iterative refinement of the QZ decomposition for solving linear DSGE models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 253, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112411.
- Rosas, Francisco, 2025, "The assessment of climate change policies through a general equilibrium model: An application to Uruguay," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 142, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108142.
- Le, Anh H., 2025, "Climate change and Carbon policy: A story of optimal green macroprudential and capital flow management," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 146, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108501.
- Zhou, Yuwen & Tian, Lixin & Yang, Xiaoguang, 2025, "Green innovation drives the realization of carbon neutrality and the weak Porter effect," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 151, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108967.
- Kremer, Elise & Reissl, Severin & Fierro, Luca E. & Emmerling, Johannes & Lamperti, Francesco & Roventini, Andrea, 2025, "Energy price shocks in the European Union: Macroeconomic impacts, distributional effects and policy responses," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 152, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108979.
- Hanus, Luboš & Baruník, Jozef, 2025, "Learning the probability distributions of day-ahead electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 152, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108988.
- Liu, Zhenya & You, Rongyu & Zhan, Yaosong, 2025, "Modeling GDP with a continuous-time finance approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 76, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.106971.
- Freire, Clovis, 2025, "Is this time different? Impact of AI in output, employment and inequality across low, middle and high-income countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, volume 73, issue C, pages 136-157, DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2024.12.016.
- Jason Allen, 2025, "Trump's Trade War: Short- and Long-run Macroeconomic Impacts," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, volume 68, issue 3, pages 45-70.
- Ginters Buss & Guido Traficante, 2025, "The Return of Inflation: Look-Through Policy Under Incomplete Information," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2025-40, Jul.
- Cornfeld, Ofer & Niu, Kaicheng & Neeman, Oded & Roswell, Michael & Steinbach, Gabi & Beckett, Stephen J. & Wardi, Yorai & Weitz, Joshua S. & Yashiv, Eran, 2025, "Integrating macroeconomic and public health impacts in social planning policies for pandemic response," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 130372, Dec.
- Christos Pierros, 2025, "Empirical stock–flow consistent models: evolution, current state and prospects," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 22, issue 3, pages 301-316, October.
- Francesco Zezza, 2025, "Fiscal and monetary policy in an SFC model of the Italian economy," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 22, issue 3, pages 392-419, October.
- Bergin, Adele & Low, Hailey & Millard, Stephen & Verma, Akhilesh Kumar, 2025, "A macro-model of the Northern Ireland Economy," Papers, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number WP796.
- Andrew T. Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2025, "The Past and Future of U.S. Structural Change: Compositional Accounting and Forecasting," Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, number 2025-23, Oct, DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-23.
- Stefania Albanesi, 2025, "Changing Business Cycles: The Role of Women’s Employment," Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, number 109, Jan, DOI: 10.21034/iwp.109.
- Andrew Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel G. Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2025, "The Past and Future of U.S. Structural Change: Compositional Accounting and Forecasting," Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, number 25-08, Oct, DOI: 10.21144/wp25-08.
- Roubyou Said & Ouakil Hicham, 2025, "House Prices and the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model of Morocco," Economies, MDPI, volume 13, issue 4, pages 1-23, March.
- Patrick Mellacher & Simon Plakolb, 2025, "Global Inequality in Vaccine Access, Mortality and Economy: An Agent-based Exploration," Graz Economics Papers, University of Graz, Department of Economics, number 2025-12, Aug.
- Pablo Hernandez de Cos, 2025, "Lessons for the European Central Bank from the 2021-23 inflationary episode," Working Paper Series, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number WP25-10, May.
- Todd E. Clark & Matthew V. Gordon & Saeed Zaman, 2025, "Forecasting Core Inflation and Its Goods, Housing, and Supercore Components," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, volume 21, issue 4, pages 351-403, October.
- Simon Fløj Thomsen & Hamid Raza & Mikael Randrup Byrialsen, 2025, "A benchmark Ecological Stock-Flow-Consistent Input-Output model for Denmark," FMM Working Paper, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute, number 114-2025.
- Josué Alan Cantú Esquivel & Salvador Cruz Aké & Ana Lorena Jiménez Preciado, 2025, "Evaluación de la consistencia de las betas en el modelo de CAPM mediante un análisis de bootstraps con memoria," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, volume 20, issue 2, pages 1-21, Abril - J.
- Alexander Meyer-Gohde, 2025, "Solving Linear DSGE Models with Bernoulli Iterations," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 66, issue 1, pages 593-643, July, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-024-10708-z.
- Annarita Colasante & Sara Gil-Gallen & Andrea Morone, 2025, "Delineating the Interplay of Social Preferences and Explicit Incentives: An Agent-Based Simulation in a Public Goods Paradigm," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 66, issue 3, pages 2077-2108, September, DOI: 10.1007/s10614-024-10751-w.
- Francesco Zezza & Gennaro Zezza, 2025, "Growth vs. Discipline: Italy's Fiscal Dilemmas in a Stock-Flow Consistent Model," Economics Working Paper Archive, Levy Economics Institute, number wp_1082, May.
- Pierre Rostan, Alexandra Rostan, 2025, "How the post-COVID-19 US economy lost and then regained momentum against the Eurozone economy," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), volume 22, issue 1, pages 129-174, June.
- Ginters Buss & Guido Traficante, 2025, "The Return of Inflation: Look-Through Policy Under Incomplete Information," Working Papers, Latvijas Banka, number 2025/02, Mar.
- Andrew Foerster & Andreas Hornstein & Pierre-Daniel Sarte & Mark W. Watson, 2025, "The Past and Future of U.S. Structural Change: Compositional Accounting and Forecasting," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 34338, Oct.
- Kaloyan Ganev & Ralitsa Simeonova-Ganeva & Andrey Vassilev, 2025, "Impact Assessment of EU Funds in Bulgaria: Characteristics and Evolution of the SIBILA Model," Economic Alternatives, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 4, pages 1219-1230, Desember.
- Claude Nenert & Diego González González & Céline Giner & Stephan Hubertus Gay & Armelle Elasri, 2025, "The potential effects of reducing food loss and waste: Impacts on the triple challenge and cost-benefits analysis," OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, OECD Publishing, number 222, May.
- Thomas Chalaux & Dave Turner & Steven Cassimon, 2025, "Harnessing the wisdom of crowds to assess recession risks in OECD countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1849, Dec.
- Francesca Loria & Christian Matthes & Donghai Zhang, 2025, "Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 135, issue 665, pages 264-284.
- Oktay Özden & Alp Erinç Yeldan, 2025, "Two-Household Stock-Flow Consistent Model of the UK Economy: Post-COVID Inflation and Incomes Policy," Working Papers, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES), number PKWP2519, Aug.
- Sikiru, Adeyemi Abidemi & Salisu, Afees A., 2025, "Transition to inflation targeting monetary policy framework in Nigeria," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 123528, Jan.
- Harashima, Taiji, 2025, "Numerical Simulation of Economic Inequality Widened by the Persistent Effects of Temporary Rent Income," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 123557, Feb.
- Polbin, Andrey & Shumilov, Andrei, 2025, "Наукастинг И Прогнозирование Ввп России И Его Компонентов С Помощью Квантильных Моделей
[Nowcasting and forecasting Russian GDP and its components using quantile models]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 125440. - Harashima, Taiji, 2025, "Numerical Simulation of Reaching a Steady State: Effects of Using Progressive Income Tax and Public Assistance," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126188, Nov.
- Ramaharo, Franck M., 2025, "Nowcasting Malagasy real GDP using energy data: a MIDAS approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 126629, Oct.
- Lubomír Lízal & Jan Horáèek & Václav Sedmidubský, 2025, "Macroeconomic Costs of the Energy Transition in the Czech Republic," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, volume 19, issue 2, pages 155-176.
- Pavel Bykov, 2025, "Modeling of Monetary Financial Flows in System Dynamics," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, volume 19, issue 2, pages 177-203.
- Arnis Vilks, 2025, "On the Role of Luck for the Concentration of Capital and Piketty's 'Fundamental Force of Divergence'," Review of Economic Analysis, Digital Initiatives at the University of Waterloo Library, volume 17, issue 1, pages 37-67, March, DOI: https://doi.org/10.15353/rea.v17i1..
- James Giesecke & Robert Waschik & Milan Thomas, 2025, "Cambodia and the United States Tariff: Modeling the Economic Impacts with GTAP-FIN," ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank, number 810, Oct.
- Andrey Polbin & Andrei Shumilov, 2025, "Nowcasting and forecasting Russian GDP and its components using quantile models," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), volume 79, pages 5-26.
- Rifqi Muhammad Aufa & Akhmad Syakir Kurnia, 2025, "The Effect of Hosting Mega-Sporting Events on Asian Countries’ Economic Growth," Diponegoro Journal of Economics (DJOE), Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Diponegoro, volume 14, issue 1, pages 29-39.
- Hao XIAO & Xiaofen LI & Junyi YANG & Xinjian YE, 2025, "Can AI-Driven National ESG in Big Data Help Improve Macroeconomic Forecasting?," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 2, pages 84-103, July.
- Olufemi Gbenga Onatunji & Anthony Enisan Akinlo, 2025, "Unveiling the Asymmetric Nexus: Monetary Policy and Income Inequality in Nigeria," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, volume 17, issue 3, pages 413-430, September, DOI: 10.1177/09749101251316738.
- Pijush Kanti Das & Prabir Kumar Das, 2025, "Artificial Intelligence and Inflation Forecasting: A Contemporary Perspective," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , volume 14, issue 1, pages 133-164, June, DOI: 10.1177/22779787251318831.
- Lucca Gustafson Rodrigues & Gilberto Tadeu Lima & Pedro Romero Marques, 2025, "Tax-financed green policies and income inequality in an agent-based model," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), number 2025_13, Oct, revised 13 Oct 2025.
- Muneer M. Alshater & Ilias Kampouris & Hazem Marashdeh & Osama F. Atayah & Hasanul Banna, 2025, "Early warning system to predict energy prices: the role of artificial intelligence and machine learning," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, volume 345, issue 2, pages 1297-1333, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10479-022-04908-9.
- Xingzuo Zhou & Jolene Skordis & Junjian Yi & Yiang Li & Jonathan Clarke & Hongkun Zhang, 2025, "Can wage changes solve the labour crisis in the National Health Service?," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), volume 26, issue 5, pages 839-853, July, DOI: 10.1007/s10198-024-01737-4.
- Faroque Ahmed & Kazi Sohag, 2025, "Spillover effects of separated oil price shocks on regional financial stress amidst Russia–Ukraine and global geopolitical tensions: a novel GVAR approach," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, volume 15, issue 3, pages 593-639, September, DOI: 10.1007/s40822-025-00329-8.
- Momo Komatsu & David Murakami & Ivan Shchapov, 2025, "Productivity over the life-cycle and its effect on the interest rate," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, volume 76, issue 2, pages 429-461, April, DOI: 10.1007/s42973-025-00192-x.
- Hsiaoyin Chang & Hato Schmeiser, 2025, "Should I stay or go? Valuation of multiple premium payment options for participating life insurance contracts," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, volume 19, issue 10, pages 3039-3072, October, DOI: 10.1007/s11846-025-00841-w.
- Kamel GARFA & Mayssa CHAIBI, 2025, "Modeling MENA economies using a GVAR approach: Domestic, regional and international factors," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, volume 61, pages 5-27.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Tao Wang, 2025, "Estimation and Testing of Forecast Rationality with Many Moments," Working Papers, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, number 202508, Jul.
- Jean Arrous, 2025, "The ‘Toolbox’ of Leontief’s Input-Output Analysis," Working Papers of BETA, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg, number 2025-34.
- Maurizio Bussolo, 2025, "Bridging Macro and Micro: A Tribute to Graham Pyatt’s Contributions to Distributional Analysis," Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali, Vita e Pensiero, Pubblicazioni dell'Universita' Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, volume 133, issue 1, pages 33-57.
- Obst Thomas & Matthes Jürgen & Sultan Samina, 2025, "Handelspolitische Konsequenzen von Donald Trump 2.0," Wirtschaftspolitische Blätter, Sciendo, volume 2025, issue 1, pages 26-31, DOI: 10.2478/wpbl-2025-0006.
- Reinstaller Andreas & Sellner Richard, 2025, "Die Verschlechterung der Wettbewerbsfähigkeit der österreichischen Industrie in der Energiekrise," Wirtschaftspolitische Blätter, Sciendo, volume 2025, issue 1, pages 46-55, DOI: 10.2478/wpbl-2025-0004.
- Fichtner Ferdinand & Junker Simon & Michelsen Claus, 2025, "Zur Bundestagswahl: Wie die Parteien die Investitionstätigkeit ankurbeln wollen," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, volume 105, issue 2, pages 104-111, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2025-0030.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2025, "Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 40, issue 1, pages 57-73, January, DOI: 10.1002/jae.3099.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2025, "Forecasting with shadow rate VARs," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, volume 16, issue 3, pages 795-822, July, DOI: 10.3982/QE2547.
- Juvonen, Petteri & Sariola, Mikko, 2025, "DSGE model meets data gently: The importance of trend modelling," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 9/2025.
- Mokinski, Frieder & Roth, Markus, 2025, "Forecasting with log-linear (S)VAR models: Incorporating annual growth rate conditions," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 35/2025, DOI: 10.71734/DP-2025-35.
- Huber, Johannes & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2025, "Iterative refinement of the QZ decomposition for solving linear DSGE models," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 217.
- Kolev-Schaefer, Galina & Matthes, Jürgen & Sultan, Samina, 2025, "Trumps Liberation Day: Ein Epochenbruch. Eine kurze ökonomische und handelspolitische Bewertung," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 17/2025.
2024
- Valeriu Ioan-Franc & Ioan I. Gaf-Deac, 2024, "Participation of Artificial Intelligence in Economic Growth in Romania," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, volume 26, issue 67, pages 944-944, August.
- Douglas Laxton & Haykaz Igityan & Shalva Mkhatrishvili, 2024, "Endogenous Credibility and Economic Modeling: Adapting the Forecasting and Policy Analysis System to Modern Challenges," NBG Working Papers, National Bank of Georgia, number 04/2024, Sep.
- Cars Hommes & Stefanie J. Huber & Daria Minina & Isabelle Salle, 2024, "Learning in a Complex World Insights from an OLG Lab Experiment," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany, number 283, Mar.
- Muhammet Mesut Ertilav & Muhammet Burak Kılıç, 2024, "Forecasting the Population of Türkiye Using Grey Models," Alphanumeric Journal, Bahadir Fatih Yildirim, volume 12, issue 3, pages 227-248, December, DOI: https://doi.org/10.17093/alphanumer.
- Алдашев А. // Aldashev А. & Баткеев Б. // Batkeyev В., 2024, "Задолженность домохозяйств, гетерогенность и финансовая стабильность на примере Казахстана // Household debt, heterogeneity and financial stability: Evidence from Kazakhstan," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 2 Special, pages 90-91.
- Konrad Raczkowski & Jarosław Klepacki, 2024, "Typologia metod prognozowania kursu walutowego," Ekonomista, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, issue 3, pages 350-366.
- Faroque Ahmed, 2024, "Dynamic spillovers of various uncertainties to Russian financial stress: Evidence from quantile dependency and frequency connectedness approaches," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, volume 10, issue 3, pages 246-273, October, DOI: 10.32609/j.ruje.10.126926.
- Conrad, Christian & Lahiri, Kajal, 2024, "Heterogeneous Expectations among Professional Forecasters," Working Papers, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, number 0754, Oct.
- Olesea Speian, 2024, "Debt Dynamics under Uncertainty: Evidence from the Republic of Moldova," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 50-63.
- Rodrigo Sekkel & Tamon Takamura & Yaz Terajima, 2024, "Monetary Policy Transmission to Small Business Loan Performance: Evidence from Loan-Level Data," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 24-41, Oct, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2024-41.
- Ángel Estrada & Carlos Pérez Montes & Jorge Abad & Carmen Broto & Esther Cáceres & Alejandro Ferrer & Jorge Galán & Gergely Ganics & Javier García Villasur & Samuel Hurtado & Nadia Lavín & Joël Marbet, 2024, "Análisis de los riesgos sistémicos cíclicos en España y de su mitigación mediante requerimientos de capital bancario contracíclicos," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 2414, May, DOI: https://doi.org/10.53479/36573.
- Anastasia Mogilat & Oleg Kryzhanovskiy & Zhanna Shuvalova & Yaroslav Murashov, 2024, "DYFARUS: Dynamic Factor Model to Forecast GDP by Output Using Input-Output Tables," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 83, issue 2, pages 3-25, June.
- Roberto Tamborini, 2024, "Inflation surprises in a New Keynesian economy with a “true” consumption function," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 62, issue 3, pages 1192-1215, July, DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13207.
- Evangelia Kasimati & Nikolaos Veraros, 2024, "The dry-bulk shipping market: a small econometric model," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 331, Sep, DOI: 10.52903/wp2024331.
- Kularatne Chandana & Miyajima Ken & Muir Dirk, 2024, "Estimating the Growth Impact of Economic Transformation in Qatar," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, volume 20, issue 3, pages 239-266, DOI: 10.1515/rmeef-2024-0011.
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- Rodrigo Adao & Arnaud Costinot & Dave Donaldson, 2024, "Putting quantitative models to the test: An application to Trump's trade war," CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, number dp2002, Jun.
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- Carriero, Andrea & Clark, Todd & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2024, "Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 18901, Mar.
- Inoue, Atsushi & Jordà , Òscar & Kuersteiner, Guido, 2024, "Inference for Local Projections," CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers, number 19379, Aug.
- Girstmair, Stefan, 2024, "The effect of new housing supply in structural models: a forecasting performance evaluation," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2895, Jan.
- Ergun Yukseltan & Esra Agca Aktunc & Ayse H. Bilge & Ahmet Yucekaya, 2024, "An Overview of Electricity Consumption in Europe: Models for Prediction of the Electricity Usage for Heating and Cooling," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, volume 14, issue 2, pages 96-111, March.
- Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Saecker, Johanna, 2024, "Solving linear DSGE models with Newton methods," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 133, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106670.
- Feng, Shenghao & Peng, Xiujian & Adams, Philip & Jiang, Dalin & Waschik, Robert, 2024, "Economic implications of carbon neutrality in China: A dynamic general equilibrium analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 135, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106727.
- Le, Anh H. & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Lucey, Brian, 2024, "Green targeted lending operations in the Euro Area," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 243, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111893.
- Zabavnik, Darja & Verbič, Miroslav, 2024, "Financial frictions in a macroeconometric model: A counterfactual analysis for the case of Slovenia," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 48, issue 4, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2024.101224.
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- Gradzewicz, Michał & Jabłonowski, Janusz & Sasiela, Michał & Żółkiewski, Zbigniew, 2024, "The impact of energy price increases on the Polish economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 140, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107944.
- Baruník, Jozef & Hanus, Luboš, 2024, "Fan charts in era of big data and learning," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, volume 61, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.105003.
- Hommes, Cars & Huber, Stefanie J. & Minina, Daria & Salle, Isabelle, 2024, "Learning in a complex world: Insights from an OLG lab experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, volume 220, issue C, pages 813-837, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.03.004.
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- Bolivar, Osmar, 2024, "GDP nowcasting: A machine learning and remote sensing data-based approach for Bolivia," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, volume 5, issue 3, DOI: 10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100126.
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- Lu, Yao & Zhao, Zhihui & Tian, Yuan & Zhan, Minghua, 2024, "How does the economic structure break change the forecast effect of money and credit on output? Evidence based on machine learning algorithms," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, volume 84, issue C, DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102325.
- Stefan Hohberger & Adrian Ifrim & Beatrice Pataracchia & Marco Ratto, 2024, "Myopic Behaviour in Macroeconomic Models: Empirical Evidence from the US," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2024-11, Feb.
- Gunes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2024, "Trend-Cycle Decomposition in the Presence of Large Shocks," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2024-24, Mar, revised Aug 2024.
- Adao, Rodrigo & Costinot, Arnaud & Donaldson, Dave, 2024, "Putting quantitative models to the test: an application to Trump's trade war," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library, number 126756, Jun.
- Marco Veronese Passarella, 2024, "It is not la vie en rose: new insights from Graziani’s theory of the monetary circuit," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 21, issue 3, pages 461-485, October.
- Edouard Cottin-Euziol & Hassan Bougrine & Louis-Philippe Rochon, 2024, "The reflux phase in monetary circuit theory and stock–flow consistent models," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 21, issue 3, pages 486-501, October.
- Knibbe, Merijn, 2024, "¿Más o menos precios? Ampliar el concepto de inflación más allá de los precios al consumidor," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, volume 91, issue 362, pages 415-434, abril-jun, DOI: https://doi.org/10.20430/ete.v91i36.
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- Quoc Dung Ngo & Thi Van Hoa Tran & Vu Hiep Hoang, 2024, "Anticipating prosperity: a systemic analysis of long-term economic trajectories," Journal of Economics and Development, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 27, issue 1, pages 4-21, October, DOI: 10.1108/JED-08-2024-0299.
- Trung Duc Nguyen & Lanh Kim Trieu & Anh Hoang Le, 2024, "The monetary policy of the State Bank of Vietnam, households and income distribution: the evidence from DSGE model," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, volume 16, issue 4, pages 463-482, May, DOI: 10.1108/JFEP-01-2023-0022.
- Hiroaki Ishiwata & Masashi Sakamoto & Makoto Ikeda & Venkatachalam Anbumozhi, 2024, "Quantitative Analysis of Optimal Investment Scale and Timing for Flood Control Measures by Multi-Regional Economic Growth Model: Case Studies in Viet Nam," Working Papers, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), number DP-2023-24, Feb.
- Luis García & Julien Guigue & Lukas Vogel, 2024, "How to Assess the Growth Effect of Structural Reforms?," European Economy - Discussion Papers, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission, number 215, Dec.
- Simone D?Alessandro & Marta Bonetti & David Cano-Ortiz & Michele Ceraolo, 2024, "Un piano per il lavoro verde e la mobilit? sostenibile. Analisi di scenario," ECONOMIA E SOCIET? REGIONALE, FrancoAngeli Editore, volume 2024, issue 2, pages 25-40.
- Christopher D. Cotton, 2024, "A Faster Convergence of Shelter Prices and Market Rent: Implications for Inflation," Current Policy Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 2024-4, Jun.
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- Christopher D. Cotton, 2024, "The Pass‐through of Gaps between Market Rent and the Price of Shelter," Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, number 24-6, Jun, DOI: 10.29412/res.wp.2024.06.
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- Bårdsen, Gunnar & Nymoen, Ragnar, 2024, "U.S. wage-price dynamics, before, during and after COVID-19, through the lens of an empirical econometric model," Memorandum, Oslo University, Department of Economics, number 1/2024, Jun.
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- Emerta A. Aragie & Jean Balié, 2024, "The effect of price support policies under productivity shocks: evidence from an economywide model," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, volume 21, issue 1, pages 1-26, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10368-023-00576-7.
- Vo Phuong Mai Le & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford, 2024, "The Role of Fiscal Policy — A Survey of Recent Empirical Findings," Open Economies Review, Springer, volume 35, issue 5, pages 985-998, November, DOI: 10.1007/s11079-024-09759-4.
- Francesco Zezza, 2024, "Fiscal and Monetary Policy in an SFC Model of the Italian Economy," Economics Working Paper Archive, Levy Economics Institute, number wp_1063, Dec.
- K.R. Shanmugam & Mathew Koshy Odasseril, 2024, "India @ 100 and the Significance of Top Six States," Working Papers, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India, number 2024-259, Jul.
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- Luiz Brotherhood & Philipp Kircher & Cezar Santos & Michèle Tertilt, 2024, "Optimal Age-based Policies for Pandemics: An Economic Analysis of Covid-19 and Beyond," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 32558, Jun.
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- Morteza Beiranvand & Seyed Saeed Malek Sadati & Seyed Mohammad Javad Razmi, 2024, "Nowcasting Iran's GDP Using Sentiment Analysis of Economic News," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, volume 11, issue 3, pages 135-164.
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- Lingcai Liu & Taqadus Bashir & Alaa Amin Abdalla & Asma Salman & Carlos Samuel Ramos-meza & Vipin Jain & Malik Shahzad Shabbir, 2024, "Can money supply endogeneity influence bank stock returns? A case study of South Asian economies," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, volume 26, issue 2, pages 2775-2787, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10668-022-02867-6.
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- Dervis Kirikkaleli & Fusun Celebi Boz & Melike Torun, 2024, "Do Economic and Financial Stabilities Matter for Political Stability in Estonia?," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), volume 15, issue 3, pages 15202-15217, September, DOI: 10.1007/s13132-023-01662-6.
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- Filip Lubinski, 2024, "Book review. J. Doyne Farmer, Making Sense of Chaos. A Better Economics for a Better World, Penguin (2024), pp. 364," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, volume 34, issue 4, pages 1013-1017, December, DOI: 10.1007/s00191-024-00876-4.
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- Edmundo Inacio & Cassio Garcia Ribeiro & Carolina Troncoso Baltar & Rosangela Ballini & Yanchao Li, 2024, "The impact of Petrobras spending on economic cycles," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, volume 23, issue 3, pages 459-485, September, DOI: 10.1007/s10258-023-00241-6.
- Irfan Ahmed & Mohammad Arif Riaz & Ibrahim Abdou Alamir & Abdulwahab Mujalli & Alhussein Nasser Alayadh & Mohammad Jibran Gul Wani, 2024, "Income circular flow and its impact on sustainable agricultural productivity," SN Business & Economics, Springer, volume 4, issue 8, pages 1-20, August, DOI: 10.1007/s43546-024-00695-6.
- Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Natalia Q. Cotarelli & Vinicius A. Vale, 2024, "On the numerical structure of local and nationwide government spending multipliers: what can we learn from the Greek crisis?," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 19, issue 3, pages 462-477, July, DOI: 10.1080/17421772.2023.2288602.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino & Elmar Mertens, 2024, "Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 106, issue 5, pages 1403-1417, September, DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_01213.
- Tae-Hwy Lee & Tao Wang, 2024, "Estimation and Testing of Forecast Rationality with Many Moments," Working Papers, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, number 202412, Dec.
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- Sachs Andreas & Weiß Johann & Böhmer Michael, 2024, "Die österreichische Wettbewerbsfähigkeit im Check," Wirtschaftspolitische Blätter, Sciendo, volume 2024, issue 1, pages 33-39, DOI: 10.2478/wpbl-2024-0005.
- Hölzl Werner & Streicher Gerhard, 2024, "Wettbewerbsfähigkeit der Industrie und Energiepreise," Wirtschaftspolitische Blätter, Sciendo, volume 2024, issue 1, pages 40-47, DOI: 10.2478/wpbl-2024-0009.
- Hentze Tobias & Kauder Björn & Obst Thomas, 2024, "Steuersenkung als Investitionstreiber," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, volume 104, issue 8, pages 543-548, DOI: 10.2478/wd-2024-0142.
- Sulkhan Chavleishvili & Simone Manganelli, 2024, "Forecasting and stress testing with quantile vector autoregression," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 39, issue 1, pages 66-85, January, DOI: 10.1002/jae.3009.
- Robert Lehmann & Sascha Möhrle, 2024, "Forecasting regional industrial production with novel high‐frequency electricity consumption data," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 43, issue 6, pages 1918-1935, September, DOI: 10.1002/for.3116.
- Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2024, "Capturing Macro‐Economic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 56, issue 5, pages 1099-1127, August, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.13121.
- Samuel O. Olofin & Adebayo M. Adebiyi & Afees A. Salisu & Olusanya E. Olubusoye & Adeniyi O. Adenuga, 2024, "The Covid-19 Pandemic And Implications For Monetary Policy In Nigeria: A Simulation Study," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., volume 69, issue 02, pages 591-618, March, DOI: 10.1142/S0217590821410046.
- Falck, Elisabeth & Röhe, Oke & Strobel, Johannes, 2024, "Digital transformation and its impact on labour productivity: A multi-sector perspective," Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 28/2024.
- Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2024, "Solving and analyzing DSGE models in the frequency domain," IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS), number 207.
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