Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E1: General Aggregative Models
/ / / E17: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

2019

• Rosa Ferrentino & Luca Vota, 2019, "A structural vector autoregression model for the study of the Japanese GDP and of the Japanese inflation," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, volume 9, issue 2, pages 1-6.
• Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019, "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 51, issue 54, pages 5802-5816, November, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1624915.
• Soojin Jo & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2019, "Macroeconomic Uncertainty Through the Lens of Professional Forecasters," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 37, issue 3, pages 436-446, July, DOI: 10.1080/07350015.2017.1356729.
• Abdullah Kazdal & Halil Ibrahim Korkmaz & Muhammed Hasan Yilmaz, 2019, "Composing High-Frequency Financial Conditions Index and Implications for Economic Activity," Working Papers, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, number 1926.
• Lance Taylor, 2019, "Synthetic MMT: Old Line Keynesianism with an Expansionary Twist," Working Papers Series, Institute for New Economic Thinking, number 103, Oct, DOI: 10.36687/inetwp103.
• Do Van Thanh, 2019, "Macro-Econometric Model For Medium-Term Socio-Economic Development Planning In Vietnam. Part 1: Structure Of The Model," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, volume 1, issue 1, pages 121-136.
• Mikhail K. Chernyakov & Maria M. Chernyakova, 2019, "Forecasting trends in e-government development in the post-Soviet countries," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, volume 20, issue 4, pages 5-21, September, DOI: 10.29141/2073-1019-2019-20-4-1.
• Wolfgang Britz & Roberto Roson & Martina Sartori, 2019, "SSP Long Run Scenarios for European NUTS2 Regions," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2019: 22.
• Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2019, "Short‐term forecasts of economic activity: Are fortnightly factors useful?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., volume 38, issue 3, pages 207-221, April, DOI: 10.1002/for.2565.
• Laura Coroneo & Fabrizio Iacone & Fabio Profumo, 2019, "A Real-time Density Forecast Evaluation of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters," Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of York, number 19/14, Sep.
• Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2019, "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 51, issue 54, pages 5802-5816, DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1624915.
• Prante, Franz J. & Barmucci, Alessandro & Hein, Eckhard & Truger, Achim, 2019, "Interactive macroeconomics: A pluralist simulator," IPE Working Papers, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE), number 117/2019.
• Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Schult, Christoph, 2020, "Power generation and structural change: Quantifying economic effects of the coal phase-out in Germany," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 16/2019, revised 2020.
• Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Claudio, João Carlos & Drygalla, Andrej & Exß, Franziska & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Lindner, Axel & Müller, Isabella & Schultz, Birgit & Staff, 2019, "Konjunktur aktuell: Schwache Auslandsnachfrage - Abschwung in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 7, issue 2, pages 21-42.
• Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Schult, Christoph & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2019, "Sinkendes Potenzialwachstum in Deutschland, beschleunigter Braunkohleausstieg und Klimapaket: Finanzpolitische Konsequenzen für die Jahre bis 2024," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 7, issue 4, pages 109-120.
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Schult, Christoph, 2019, "Zu den Effekten eines beschleunigten Braunkohleausstiegs auf Beschäftigung und regionale Arbeitnehmerentgelte," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 25, issue 1, pages 5-9.
• Hüther, Michael & Kolev, Galina V., 2019, "Investitionsfonds für Deutschland: Gesamtwirtschaftliche Effekte," IW policy papers, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 11/2019.
• Kolev, Galina V., 2019, "Potenzielle Auswirkungen einer Zuspitzung des Handelsstreits: Simulations- und umfragebasierte Ergebnisse," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 1/2019.
• Jovicic, Sonja, 2019, "Chinas Wirtschaft: Steigende Risiken. Analyse und Simulationsrechnungen," IW-Reports, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 24/2019.

2018

• Valentina GANCIUCOV & Tatiana GUTIUM & Alexandru CEBAN, 2018, "Forecasting Production Of Domestic Goods And Main Macroeconomic Indicators," Economy and Sociology, The Journal Economy and Sociology, issue 1, pages 69-83.
• Patrick J. Kehoe & Virgiliu Midrigan & Elena Pastorino, 2018, "Evolution of Modern Business Cycle Models: Accounting for the Great Recession," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, volume 32, issue 3, pages 141-166, Summer.
• Nihal Bayraktar & Hippolyte Fofack, 2018, "A Model for Gender Analysis with Informal Production and Financial Sectors," Journal of African Development, African Finance and Economic Association (AFEA), volume 20, issue 2, pages 1-20.
• Britz, Wolfgang & Roson, Roberto, 2018, "G-RDEM: A GTAP-based recursive dynamic CGE model for long-term baseline generation and analysis," Conference papers, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project, number 332927.
• Nurdaulet Abilov & Alisher Tolepbergen & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2018, "A Macroeconometric Model for Kazakhstan," NAC Analytica Working Paper, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, number 1, Dec, revised Jul 2019.
• Muellbauer, John, 2018, "The Future of Macroeconomics," INET Oxford Working Papers, Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, number 2018-10, Nov.
• Оразалин Рустем // Orazalin Rustem, 2018, "Трансмиссионный механизм денежно-кредитной политики в Республике Казахстан // Monetary policy transmission mechanism in Kazakhstan," Working Papers, National Bank of Kazakhstan, number #2018-3.
• Ray Fair, 2018, "Information Content of DSGE Forecasts," Papers, arXiv.org, number 1808.02910, Aug.
• Alexandr Trifonov & Zhechko Yordanov, 2018, "Integrated Decentralized Practices for Introducing Regional “Circular Economies”," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 178-186.
• Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018, "Evaluating the Bank of Canada Staff Economic Projections Using a New Database of Real-Time Data and Forecasts," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 18-52, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2018-52.
• Thibaut Duprey, 2018, "Asymmetric Risks to the Economic Outlook Arising from Financial System Vulnerabilities," Staff Analytical Notes, Bank of Canada, number 2018-6, DOI: 10.34989/san-2018-6.
• Alban Moura & Kyriacos Lambrias, 2018, "LU-EAGLE: A DSGE model for Luxembourg within the euro area and global economy," BCL working papers, Central Bank of Luxembourg, number 122, Jul.
• Wolfgang Britz & Roberto Roson, 2018, "G-Rdem: A Gtap-Based Recursive Dynamic Cge Model For Long-Term Baseline Generation And Analysis," IEFE Working Papers, IEFE, Center for Research on Energy and Environmental Economics and Policy, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy, number 105.
• Libero Monteforte & Valentina Raponi, 2018, "Short term forecasts of economic activity: are fortnightly factors useful?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1177, Jun.
• Juan Esteban Carranza & Jesús Antonio Bejarano Rojas & Camila Casas & Alejandra Ximena Gonzalez-Ramirez & Stefany Moreno-Burbano & Fernando Arias-Rodríguez & Juan Sebastián Vélez-Velásquez, 2018, "La industria colombiana en el siglo XXI," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, issue 87, pages 1-69, November.
• Mikhail Mamonov & Renat Akhmetov & Vera Pankova & Oleg Solntsev & Anna Pestova & Artem Deshko, 2018, "Identification of Financial Sector Optimal Depth and Structure from the Perspective of Economic Growth, Macroeconomic and Financial Stability," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, volume 77, issue 3, pages 89-123, September, DOI: 10.31477/rjmf.201803.89.
• Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Andrei Shleifer, 2018, "Diagnostic Expectations and Credit Cycles," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, volume 73, issue 1, pages 199-227, February, DOI: 10.1111/jofi.12586.
• Ludovic Gauvin & Cyril C. Rebillard, 2018, "Towards recoupling? Assessing the global impact of a Chinese hard landing through trade and commodity price channels," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, volume 41, issue 12, pages 3379-3415, December, DOI: 10.1111/twec.12631.
• EMERSON Abraham Jackson, 2018, "Comparison Between Static And Dynamic Forecast In Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average For Seasonally Adjusted Headline Consumer Price Index," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, volume 70, issue 1, pages 53-65, August.
• Jooyung Lee, 2018, "Estimation of Long-term Housing Demand and Related Housing Construction Investment in North Korea (in Korean)," Working Papers, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, number 2018-32, Oct.
• Bielecki Marcin & Tyrowicz Joanna & Makarski Krzysztof, 2018, "Illusory Gains from Privatizing Social Security when Reform is Politically Unstable," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 2, pages 1-12, May, DOI: 10.1515/peps-2018-0008.
• Bielecki Marcin & Makarski Krzysztof & Tyrowicz Joanna, 2018, "Illusory Gains from Privatizing Social Security when Reform is Politically Unstable," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, volume 24, issue 2, pages 1-12, May, DOI: 10.1515/peps-2018-0008.
• André Babeau, 2018, "Les relations entre épargne et crédit : causes et conséquences d’un oubli bicentenaire," Revue d'économie financière, Association d'économie financière, volume 0, issue 2, pages 337-350.
• Tamara Bašić Vasiljev, 2018, "Estimated DSGE Model for Monetary and Fiscal Polic Coordination Analysis – The Case of Serbia," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 7, issue 1, pages 145-173.
• Mustafa Özer & Jovana Žugić & Sonja Tomaš-Miskin, 2018, "The Relationship between Current Account Deficits and Growth in Montenegro: ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, volume 7, issue 3, pages 5-24.
• Robert W. Arnold, 2018, "How CBO Produces Its 10-Year Economic Forecast: Working Paper 2018-02," Working Papers, Congressional Budget Office, number 53537, Feb.
• Robert Shackleton, 2018, "Estimating and Projecting Potential Output Using CBO’s Forecasting Growth Model: Working Paper 2018-03," Working Papers, Congressional Budget Office, number 53558, Feb.
• Congressional Budget Office, 2018, "CBO’s Projection of Labor Force Participation Rates: Working Paper 2018-04," Working Papers, Congressional Budget Office, number 53616, Mar.
• Balazs Egert, 2018, "The Quantification of Structural Reforms: Extending the Framework to Emerging Market Economies," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 6921.
• Sami Alpanda & Gino Cateau & Césaire Meh, 2018, "A policy model to analyze macroprudential regulations and monetary policy," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, volume 51, issue 3, pages 828-863, August, DOI: 10.1111/caje.12339.
• Tibor Hledik & Karel Musil & Jakub Rysanek & Jaromir Tonner, 2018, "A Macroeconomic Forecasting Model of the Fixed Exchange Rate Regime for the Oil-Rich Kazakh Economy," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2018/11, Oct.
• Kamil Galuscak & Jan Solc & Pawel Strzelecki, 2018, "Labour Market Flows over the Business Cycle: The Role of the Participation Margin," Working Papers, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department, number 2018/17, Dec.
• Juan Esteban Carranza & Jes�s Antonio Bejarano Rojas & Camila Casas & Alejandra Ximena Gonzalez-Ramirez & Stefany Moreno-Burbano & Fernando Arias-Rodr�guez & Juan Sebasti�n V�lez-Vel�squez, 2018, "La industria colombiana en el siglo XXI," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, issue 87, pages 1-69.
• Carlos Esteban Posada & Santiago S�nchez, 2018, "Dynamic Macroeconomics: A Didactic Numeric Model," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público, Universidad EAFIT, number 16237, Apr.
• Carlos Esteban Posada, 2018, "Efectos de reducir el impuesto a la ganancia (equilibrio parcial versus equilibrio general)," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público, Universidad EAFIT, number 16594, Sep.
• Jesús Botero G & �lvaro Hurtado Rend�n & Humberto Franco G. & Jos� Garc�a Guzm�n, 2018, "Monetary Policy and Accumulation of Reserves in an Emerging Economy: A dsge Model for the Colombian Case," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, volume 21, issue 2, pages 309-339.
• Hernán Alejandro Roitbarg, 2018, "La rigidez del gasto público brasileno a largo plazo," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, volume 37, issue 66, pages 77-98.
• Juan Manuel Candelo Viafara, 2018, "Impactos indirectos de la tasa de cambio y los precios del petróleo en una economía no petrolera: aproximaciones VECM y VAR para el Valle del Cauca, Colombia," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, volume 10, issue 2, pages 403-436.
• Ray C. Fair, 2018, "Information Content of DSGE Forecasts," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, number 2140, Aug.
• Anda David & Mohamed Ali Marouani & Charbel Nahas & Björn Nilsson, 2018, "The economics of the Syrian refugee crisis in neighboring countries. The case of Lebanon," Working Papers, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation), number DT/2018/14, Oct.
• Balázs Egert, 2018, "The quantification of structural reforms: extending the framework to emerging market economies," EconomiX Working Papers, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX, number 2018-19.
• Adalid, Ramón & Falagiarda, Matteo, 2018, "Developments in mortgage loan origination in the euro area," Economic Bulletin Boxes, European Central Bank, volume 5.
• Adalid, Ramón & Falagiarda, Matteo, 2018, "How repayments manipulate our perceptions about loan dynamics after a boom," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2211, Dec.
• Badreldin Mohamed Ahmed Abdulrahman & Abuzar Yousef Ali Ahmed & Abderhim Elshazali Yahia Abdellah, 2018, "Forecasting of Sudan Inflation Rates using ARIMA Model," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, volume 8, issue 3, pages 17-22.
• Boneva, Lena & Harrison, Richard & Waldron, Matt, 2018, "Threshold-based forward guidance," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 90, issue C, pages 138-155, DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2018.02.003.
• Burney, Nadeem A. & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Alawadhi, Ahmad & Al-Musallam, Marwa, 2018, "The dynamics and determinants of Kuwait's long-run economic growth," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 71, issue C, pages 289-304, DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.12.018.
• Börsch-Supan, Axel & Härtl, Klaus & Leite, Duarte N., 2018, "Earnings test, non-actuarial adjustments and flexible retirement," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 173, issue C, pages 78-83, DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.09.020.
• Hosszú, Zsuzsanna, 2018, "The impact of credit supply shocks and a new Financial Conditions Index based on a FAVAR approach," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 42, issue 1, pages 32-44, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2017.05.007.
• Junttila, Juha & Vataja, Juuso, 2018, "Economic policy uncertainty effects for forecasting future real economic activity," Economic Systems, Elsevier, volume 42, issue 4, pages 569-583, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2018.03.002.
• Özmen, Ayşe & Yılmaz, Yavuz & Weber, Gerhard-Wilhelm, 2018, "Natural gas consumption forecast with MARS and CMARS models for residential users," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 70, issue C, pages 357-381, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.022.
• Aminu, Nasir & Meenagh, David & Minford, Patrick, 2018, "The role of energy prices in the Great Recession — A two-sector model with unfiltered data," Energy Economics, Elsevier, volume 71, issue C, pages 14-34, DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.030.
• Zhang, Jin & Li, Pujiang & Zhao, Guochang, 2018, "Is power generation really the gold measure of the Chinese economy? A conceptual and empirical assessment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, volume 121, issue C, pages 211-216, DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.06.030.
• Smeekes, Stephan & Wijler, Etienne, 2018, "Macroeconomic forecasting using penalized regression methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 3, pages 408-430, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.01.001.
• Kolasa, Marcin & Rubaszek, Michał, 2018, "Does the foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 34, issue 4, pages 809-821, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.05.008.
• Bidder, R.M. & Smith, M.E., 2018, "Doubts and variability: A robust perspective on exotic consumption series," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, volume 175, issue C, pages 689-712, DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2018.02.007.
• Nguyen, Quoc Hung, 2018, "Revisiting housing and the business cycle," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, volume 41, issue C, pages 85-92, DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2018.05.004.
• Dua, Pami & Kapur, Hema, 2018, "Macro stress testing and resilience assessment of Indian banking," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, volume 40, issue 2, pages 452-475, DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2018.01.005.
• Fang, Libing & Xiao, Binqing & Yu, Honghai & You, Qixing, 2018, "A stable systemic risk ranking in China’s banking sector: Based on principal component analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, volume 492, issue C, pages 1997-2009, DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.115.
• Bulavskaya, Tatyana & Reynès, Frédéric, 2018, "Job creation and economic impact of renewable energy in the Netherlands," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, volume 119, issue C, pages 528-538, DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2017.09.039.
• Perricone, Chiara, 2018, "Clustering macroeconomic variables," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, volume 44, issue C, pages 23-33, DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2018.02.001.
• Warwick J. McKibbin & Adam Triggs, 2018, "Modelling the G20," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2018-17, Apr.
• John C. V. Pezzey, 2018, "High unknowability of climate damage valuation means the social cost of carbon will always be disputed," CCEP Working Papers, Centre for Climate & Energy Policy, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 1802, Jan.
• Anda David & Mohamed Ali Marouani & Charbel Nahas & Björn Nilsson, 2018, "The Economics of the Syrian Refugee Crisis in Neighboring Countries. The Case of Lebanon," Working Papers, Economic Research Forum, number 1249, Nov, revised 07 Nov 2018.
• Hany Abdel-Latif & Mahmoud El-Gamal, 2018, "Financial Liquidity, Geopolitics, and Oil Prices," Working Papers, Economic Research Forum, number 1255, Nov, revised 15 Nov 2018.
• R.G. Akhmadeev & O.A. Bykanova & N.V. Philippova & I.V. Vashchekina & T.B. Turishcheva, 2018, "Macroeconomic Indicators and their Impact on the Foreign Debt Burden: The Case of BRICS Countries," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), volume 0, issue 2, pages 68-82.
• D.T. Akhmetova & G.B. Utibayeva & B.S. Utibayev & R.M. Zhunusova & A. Baidakov & B.I. Tukenova, 2018, "6Forecasting Production Performance," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, volume 0, issue 2, pages 134-146.
• Han Chirok & Kwanho Shin, 2018, "What Explains Current Account Surplus in Korea?," Working Papers, eSocialSciences, number id:12466, Feb.
• Kevin X. D. Huang & Lei Ning & Guoqiang Tian, 2018, "Conquering China¡¯s Unbalanced and Inadequate Development: Macroeconomic Outlook, Policy Simulations, and Reform Implementation¡ªA Summary of Annual SUFE Macroeconomic Report (2017¨C2018)," Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities, Higher Education Press, volume 13, issue 2, pages 147-170, June.
• Ellis W. Tallman & Saeed Zaman, 2018, "Combining Survey Long-Run Forecasts and Nowcasts with BVAR Forecasts Using Relative Entropy," Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, number 1809, Jun, DOI: 10.26509/frbc-wp-201809.
• Andrew C. Chang, 2018, "The Fed's Asymmetric Forecast Errors," Finance and Economics Discussion Series, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), number 2018-026, Apr, DOI: 10.17016/FEDS.2018.026.
• Domenico Giannone & Michele Lenza & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2018, "Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity," Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 20180521, May.
• Krzysztof Makarski & Joanna Tyrowicz & Magda Malec, 2018, "Evaluating welfare and economic effects of raised fertility," GRAPE Working Papers, GRAPE Group for Research in Applied Economics, number 25.
• Chantal Kegels & Dirk Verwerft, 2018, "Working Paper 09-18 - Economic impact of professional services reform in Belgium - A DSGE simulation," Working Papers, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium, number 201809, Jun.
• Delphine Bassilière & Ludovic Dobbelaere & Filip Vanhorebeek, 2018, "Working Paper 10-18 - Le fonctionnement du modèle HERMES - Description à l’aide de variantes
  [Working Paper 10-18 - De werking van het HERMES-model - Een beschrijving aan de hand van varianten]," Working Papers, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium, number 201810, Sep.
• Yannick Le Pen & Benoît Sévi, 2018, "Futures Trading and the Excess Co-movement of Commodity Prices," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01731459, DOI: 10.1093/rof/rfx039.
• Balázs Egert, 2018, "The quantification of structural reforms: extending the framework to emerging market economies," Working Papers, HAL, number hal-04141783.
• Troelsen, Peter Agger, 2018, "Fiscal Expenditure Shocks in a Structural VAR and ADAM," Nationaløkonomisk tidsskrift, Nationaløkonomisk Forening, volume 2018, issue 1, pages 1-25.
• Byrialsen, Mikael Randrup, 2018, "Post-Keynesianske Stock-flowkonsistente makroøkonomiske modeller – en introduktion," Nationaløkonomisk tidsskrift, Nationaløkonomisk Forening, volume 2018, issue 1, pages 1-22.
• Joanna Tyrowicz & Krzysztof Makarsk & Marcin Bielecki, 2018, "Inequality in an OLG economy with heterogeneous cohorts and pension systems," IAAEU Discussion Papers, Institute of Labour Law and Industrial Relations in the European Union (IAAEU), number 201808, Aug.
• Paul Beaudry & Tim Willems, 2018, "On the Macroeconomic Consequences of Over-Optimism," IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund, number 2018/122, May.
• Tyrowicz, Joanna & Makarski, Krzysztof & Bielecki, Marcin, 2018, "Inequality in an OLG Economy with Heterogeneous Cohorts and Pension Systems," IZA Discussion Papers, IZA Network @ LISER, number 11621, Jun.
• Shibata, Tsubasa & Kosaka, Hiroyuki, 2018, "An econometric analysis of unconventional monetary policy : the cases of Japan and United States," IDE Discussion Papers, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO), number 704, Mar.
• Laura Barbieri & Chiara Mussida, 2018, "Structural differences across macroregions: an empirical investigation," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, volume 45, issue 2, pages 215-246, May, DOI: 10.1007/s10663-016-9356-0.
• Reinhard Neck & Klaus Weyerstrass & Dmitri Blueschke & Boris Majcen & Andrej Srakar & Miroslav Verbič, 2018, "How to Achieve the Take-off into Sustained Growth: A Case Study for Slovenia," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, volume 24, issue 2, pages 109-121, May, DOI: 10.1007/s11294-018-9678-8.
• Joanna Tyrowicz & Krzysztof Makarski & Marcin Bielecki, 2018, "Inequality in an OLG economy with heterogeneous cohorts and pension systems," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, volume 16, issue 4, pages 583-606, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10888-018-9391-0.
• Holtemöller Oliver & Schult Christoph & Zeddies Götz, 2018, "Zu den rentenpolitischen Plänen im Koalitionsvertrag 2018 von CDU, CSU und SPD: Konsequenzen, Finanzierungsoptionen und Reformbedarf," Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, volume 67, issue 3, pages 247-265, November, DOI: 10.1515/zfwp-2018-0016.
• Zachary L. Mahone & Joaquin Naval & Pau S. Pujolas, 2018, "The Neoclassical Growth Model and the Labor Share Decline," Department of Economics Working Papers, McMaster University, number 2018-07, Mar.
• Börsch-Supan, Axel & Härtl, Klaus & Leite, Duarte Nuno & Ludwig, Alexander, 2018, "Endogenous Retirement Behavior of Heterogeneous Households Under Pension Reforms," MEA discussion paper series, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy, number 201804, Apr.
• Ian Borg & Germano Ruisi, 2018, "Forecasting using Bayesian VARs: A Benchmark for STREAM," CBM Working Papers, Central Bank of Malta, number WP/04/2018.
• Takahide Koike & Katsuyuki Hasegawa & Takeshi Kogawa & Daisuke Ishikawa & Daizo Kojima, 2018, "Macro-model analysis of Japan’s economic and fiscal conditions: Analysis by the Office of Econometric Analysis for Fiscal and Economic Policy, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, volume 14, issue 4, pages 527-540, July.
• Marcin Kolasa & Michał Rubaszek, 2018, "Does the foreign sector help forecast domestic variables in DSGE models?," NBP Working Papers, Narodowy Bank Polski, number 282.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2018, "Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects in Macroeconomics Using External Instruments," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 24216, Jan.
• Axel H. Börsch-Supan & Klaus Härtl & Duarte N. Leite, 2018, "Earnings Test, Non-actuarial Adjustments and Flexible Retirement," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 24294, Feb.
• Kimberly Bayard & Emin Dinlersoz & Timothy Dunne & John Haltiwanger & Javier Miranda & John Stevens, 2018, "Early-Stage Business Formation: An Analysis of Applications for Employer Identification Numbers," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 24364, Mar.
• Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius & Anton Korinek, 2018, "Going With the Flows: New Borrowing, Debt Service and the Transmission of Credit Booms," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 24549, Apr.
• Paul Beaudry & Tim Willems, 2018, "On the Macroeconomic Consequences of Over-Optimism," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 24685, Jun.
• Pedro Bordalo & Nicola Gennaioli & Yueran Ma & Andrei Shleifer, 2018, "Over-reaction in Macroeconomic Expectations," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 24932, Aug.
• Valentina GANCIUCOV & Tatiana GUTIUM & Alexandru CEBAN, 2018, "Forecasting Production Of Domestic Goods And Main Macroeconomic Indicators," ECONOMY AND SOCIOLOGY: Theoretical and Scientifical Journal, Socionet;Complexul Editorial "INCE", issue 1, pages 69-83.
• François Robin, 2018, "Use of Google Trends Data in Banque de France Monthly Retail Trade Surveys," Economie et Statistique / Economics and Statistics, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (INSEE), issue 505-506, pages 35-63, DOI: https://doi.org/10.24187/ecostat.20.
• Balázs Égert, 2018, "The quantification of structural reforms," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1482, Jul, DOI: 10.1787/6d883be1-en.
• Balázs Égert & Peter Gal, 2018, "The quantification of structural reforms: Introducing country-specific policy effects," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1487, Jul, DOI: 10.1787/885727c3-en.
• David Turner & Thomas Chalaux & Hermes Morgavi, 2018, "Fan charts around GDP projections based on probit models of downturn risk," OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing, number 1521, Dec, DOI: 10.1787/d7c20354-en.
• Dinga Emil, 2018, "Genes, Memes, Semes in the Human Behaviour," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 01-2.
• Dinga Emil, 2018, "Genes, Memes, Semes in the Human Behaviour," Revista OEconomica, Romanian Society for Economic Science, Revista OEconomica, issue 01, March.
• A G Haldane & A E Turrell, 2018, "An interdisciplinary model for macroeconomics," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, volume 34, issue 1-2, pages 219-251.
• David F Hendry & John N J Muellbauer, 2018, "The future of macroeconomics: macro theory and models at the Bank of England," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, volume 34, issue 1-2, pages 287-328.
• Warwick J McKibbin & Andrew Stoeckel, 2018, "Modelling a complex world: improving macro-models," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, volume 34, issue 1-2, pages 329-347.
• Bespalova, Olga, 2018, "Forecast Evaluation in Macroeconomics and International Finance. Ph.D. thesis, George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 117706, Mar.
• Dobrescu, Emilian, 2018, "A New Version (2018) of the Romanian Macromodel - Aggregate System," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 119105, revised 2018.
• Olkhov, Victor, 2018, "The Business Cycle Model Beyond General Equilibrium," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 87204.
• Pincheira, Pablo & Neumann, Federico, 2018, "Can we beat the Random Walk? The case of survey-based exchange rate forecasts in Chile," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 90432, Dec.
• Elmrabet, Maissa & Boulila, Ghazi, 2018, "Causality deficit-inflation: Wavelet Transform," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 90505, Dec.
• Carbajal-De-Nova, Carolina, 2018, "Money Neutrality: An Empirical Assessment for Mexico," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 91615, Sep, revised 10 Oct 2018.
• Simona Malovaná & Michal Hlaváček & Kamil Galuščák, 2018, "Citlivost českých domácností na úrokový a příjmový šok. Aplikace na mikroúdajích
  [Sensitivity of Czech Households to Interest Rate and Income Shock. Applications on Microdata]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2018, issue 5, pages 531-549, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.1204.
• Kotilainen, Markku, 2018, "Forecasting Activity at Etla in 1971–2018," ETLA Brief, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy, number 69, Jul.
• Lassila, Jukka, 2018, "Aggregate Risks, Intergenerational Risk-Sharing and Fiscal Sustainability in the Finnish Earnings-Related Pension System," ETLA Working Papers, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy, number 57, Feb.
• Jawad EL OTHMANI, 2018, "Estimation bayésienne d’un modèle néo-keynésien pour l’économie marocaine," Document de travail, Bank Al-Maghrib, Département de la Recherche, number 2018-5, Dec.
• Yaroslav Lissovolik & Aleksei Kuznetsov & Aigul Berdigulova, 2018, "Edb Economies: Positive Trends In Mutual Trade," Working Papers, Eurasian Development Bank, number 2018-1, Feb.
• Yaroslav Lissovolik & Aleksei Kuznetsov & Aigul Berdigulova, 2018, "Edb Economies: In Search Of New Growth Drivers," Working Papers, Eurasian Development Bank, number 2018-2, Jun.
• Yaroslav Lissovolik & Aleksei Kuznetsov & Aigul Berdigulova, 2018, "Еабр Макрообзор, Август 2018. Страны Еабр: Курс На Устойчивое Развитие," Working Papers, Eurasian Development Bank, number 2018-3, Aug.
• Aleksei Kuznetsov & Aigul Berdigulova, 2018, "EDB Macroreview, December 2018. Macroeconomic Stability Tested," Working Papers, Eurasian Development Bank, number 2018-4, Dec.
• Mahboobeh Eskandari & Mehdi Pedram & Reza Boostani, 2018, "Evaluating the Financial Frictions Effects on Macroeconomic Variables of Iran: A DSGE Approach," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, volume 5, issue 1, pages 25-52.
• Emilian DOBRESCU, 2018, "A New Version (2018) of the Romanian Macromodel - Aggregate System," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, volume 0, issue 4, pages 5-20, December.
• Randall W. Jackson & Péter Járosi, 2018, "ECIO Model Operators Guide," Working Papers, Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University, number Resource Document 2018-01, Mar.
• Shahzad Ahmad & Waqas Ahmed & Ehsan Choudhri & Farooq Pasha & Abdullah Tahir, 2018, "A Model for Forecasting and Policy Analysis in Pakistan: The Role of Government and External Sectors," SBP Working Paper Series, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, number 95, Feb.
• Reinhard Neck & Klaus Weyerstrass, 2018, "Macroeconomic Effects of the Adoption of the Euro in Serbia," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, number 8110367, Nov.
• Tomá? Karel & Petr Hebák, 2018, "Forecasting Czech GDP using Bayesian dynamic model averaging," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, volume 7, issue 1, pages 65-81, May.
• Gregor Semieniuk, 2018, "Energy in Economic Growth: Is Faster Growth Greener?," Working Papers, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK, number 208, Apr.
• Gregor Semieniuk & Mariana Mazzucato, 2018, "Financing Green Growth," Working Papers, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK, number 210, Apr.
• Eduardo A. Haddad & Natalia Q. Cotarelli, Vinicius A. Vale, 2018, "On the Numerical Structure of Local and Nationwide Government Spending Multipliers: What Can We Learn from the Greek Crisis?," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP), number 2018_05, Apr.
• Irfan Ahmed & Claudio Socci & Francesca Severini & Qaiser Rafique Yasser & Rosita Pretaroli, 2018, "The structures of production, final demand and agricultural output: a Macro Multipliers analysis of the Nigerian economy," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, volume 35, issue 3, pages 691-739, December, DOI: 10.1007/s40888-018-0115-5.
• Irfan Ahmed & Claudio Socci & Francesca Severini & Qaiser Rafique Yasser & Rosita Pretaroli, 2018, "Forecasting investment and consumption behavior of economic agents through dynamic computable general equilibrium model," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, volume 4, issue 1, pages 1-21, December, DOI: 10.1186/s40854-018-0091-3.
• Christian Mühlroth & Michael Grottke, 2018, "A systematic literature review of mining weak signals and trends for corporate foresight," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, volume 88, issue 5, pages 643-687, July, DOI: 10.1007/s11573-018-0898-4.
• Joanna Tyrowicz & Krzysztof Makarski & Marcin Bielecki, 2018, "Inequality in an OLG economy with heterogeneous cohorts and pension systems," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, volume 16, issue 4, pages 583-606, December, DOI: 10.1007/s10888-018-9391-0.
• N. R. Bhanumurthy & Sukanya Bose & Parma Chakravartti, 2018, "Targeting Debt and Deficits in India: A Structural Macroeconometric Approach," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), volume 16, issue 1, pages 87-119, December, DOI: 10.1007/s40953-017-0115-2.
• Fanchao Zhou & Yanyun Li & Jun Zhao & Peibiao Zhao, 2018, "The Equity Premium Puzzle Based on a Jump-Diffusion Model," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, volume 8, issue 3, pages 1-7.
• Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2018, "Estimating and Accounting for the Output Gap with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions," Working Papers, University of Sydney, School of Economics, number 2018-04, Sep, revised Feb 2019.
• Chirok Han & Kwanho Shin, 2018, "What Explains Current Account Surplus in Korea?," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, volume 17, issue 2, pages 70-93, Summer.
• Günes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2018, "Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, volume 100, issue 3, pages 550-566, July.
• Pervin Dadashova & Magnus Jonsson & Hanna Onyshchenko, 2018, "Macroeconomic Effects of Introducing a Capital Conservation Buffer in the Ukrainian Banking Sector," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 243, pages 33-42, DOI: 10.26531/vnbu2018.243.031.
• Leonid A. Serkov, 2018, "The External and Internal Shocks' Impact on Macroeconomic Indicators of a Region," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, volume 19, issue 4, pages 45-63, August, DOI: 10.29141/2073-1019-2018-19-4-4.
• Wolfgang Britz & Roberto Roson, 2018, "G-RDEM: A GTAP-based recursive dynamic CGE model for long-term baseline generation and analysis," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2018: 11.
• Wolfgang Britz & Roberto Roson, 2018, "Exploring Long Run Structural Change with a Dynamic General Equilibrium Model," Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari", number 2018: 12.
• Sami Alpanda & Gino Cateau & Césaire Meh, 2018, "A policy model to analyze macroprudential regulations and monetary policy," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, volume 51, issue 3, pages 828-863, August, DOI: 10.1111/caje.12339.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2018, "Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects in Macroeconomics Using External Instruments," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, volume 128, issue 610, pages 917-948, May, DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12593.
• Julien Champagne & Guillaume Poulin‐Bellisle & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2018, "The Real‐Time Properties of the Bank of Canada's Staff Output Gap Estimates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 50, issue 6, pages 1167-1188, September, DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12493.
• Drehmann, Mathias & Juselius, Mikael & Korinek, Anton, 2018, "Going with the flows: New borrowing, debt service and the transmission of credit booms," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 10/2018.
• Holtemöller, Oliver & Schult, Christoph & Zeddies, Götz, 2018, "Zu den rentenpolitischen Plänen im Koalitionsvertrag 2018 von CDU, CSU und SPD: Konsequenzen, Finanzierungsoptionen und Reformbedarf," IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), number 5/2018.
• Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2018, "Mittelfristprojektion des IWH: Wirtschaftsentwicklung und Öffentliche Finanzen 2018 bis 2025," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), volume 6, issue 4, pages 105-114.
• Hentze, Tobias & Kolev, Galina V., 2018, "Gesamtwirtschaftliche Effekte einer Ausdehnung der öffentlichen Investitionen: Simulationsrechnungen für Deutschland," IW policy papers, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, number 2/2018.
• Demary, Markus & Grömling, Michael & Kolev, Galina V., 2018, "Ist die deutsche Wirtschaft am Limit? Ansätze zur Bestimmung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Kapazitätsbeanspruchung
  [Has the German economy reached its limit? Approaches for determining aggregate capacity utilisation]," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, volume 45, issue 1, pages 67-87, DOI: 10.2373/1864-810X.18-01-04.
• Börsch-Supan, Axel & Härtl, Klaus & Leite, Duarte & Ludwig, Alexander, 2018, "Endogenous retirement behavior of heterogeneous households under pension reforms," SAFE Working Paper Series, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, number 221, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3235142.

2017

• Sheng, Yu & Song, Ligang, 2017, "Agricultural Production and Food Consumption in China: A Long-term Projection," 2017 ASAE 9th International Conference, January 11-13, Bangkok, Thailand, Asian Society of Agricultural Economists (ASAE), number 284803, Jan, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.284803.
• Hong Puah, Chin & Kuek, Tai Hock & Arip, M. Affendy, 2017, "Assessing Thailand’s financial vulnerability: An early warning approach," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center (PRADEC), volume 13, issue 4, October, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.285104.
• Gabriel Mathy & Daniel Kirwin, 2017, "How did forecasters respond to the American growth slowdown since the mid-2000s?," Working Papers, American University, Department of Economics, number 2017-02, DOI: 10.17606/e84t-0213.
• Ana Arencibia Pareja & Samuel Hurtado & Mercedes de Luis López & Eva Ortega, 2017, "New version of the quarterly model of Banco de España (MTBE)," Occasional Papers, Banco de España, number 1709, Dec.
• Valentina Aprigliano & Guerino Ardizzi & Libero Monteforte, 2017, "Using the payment system data to forecast the Italian GDP," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1098, Feb.
• Guido Bulligan & Fabio Busetti & Michele Caivano & Pietro Cova & Davide Fantino & Alberto Locarno & Lisa Rodano, 2017, "The Bank of Italy econometric model: an update of the main equations and model elasticities," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1130, Jul.
• Simone Auer, 2017, "A Financial Conditions Index for the CEE economies," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 1145, Oct.
• Capistrán Carlos & Chiquiar Daniel & Hernández Juan R., 2017, "Identifying Dornbusch's Exchange Rate Overshooting with Structural VECs: Evidence from Mexico," Working Papers, Banco de México, number 2017-11, Jun.
• Rajendra N. Paramanik & Bandi Kamaiah, 2017, "An Empirical Analysis Of Indian Business Cycle Dynamics," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, volume 62, issue 213, pages 7-26, April - J.
• Mathias Drehmann & Mikael Juselius & Anton Korinek, 2017, "Accounting for debt service: the painful legacy of credit booms," BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 645, Jun.
• Florian Huber & Tamás Krisztin & Philipp Piribauer, 2017, "Forecasting Global Equity Indices Using Large Bayesian Vars," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, volume 69, issue 3, pages 288-308, July.
• Roberto Veneziani & Luca Zamparelli & Michalis Nikiforos & Gennaro Zezza, 2017, "Stock-Flow Consistent Macroeconomic Models: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, volume 31, issue 5, pages 1204-1239, December, DOI: 10.1111/joes.12221.
• Fabio Busetti, 2017, "Quantile Aggregation of Density Forecasts," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, volume 79, issue 4, pages 495-512, August.