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Estimated DSGE Model for Monetary and Fiscal Polic Coordination Analysis – The Case of Serbia

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  • Tamara Bašić Vasiljev

    (Economist, Roubini Global Economics, London, UK)

Abstract

We present a new-Keynesian model for small open economy, with price rigidities stemming from a Calvo pricing scheme (1983), monopolistic banking system, financial dollarization of the economy and monetary and fiscal policy governed by rules. We estimate the model on Serbian data and propose various model extensions that could be used for monetary and fiscal policy analysis. We consider 6 combinations of monetary and fiscal policy regimes, inflation targeting and currency peg on one hand, and discretionary cyclically neutral fiscal policy and fiscal rules, on the other. The model with inflation targeting and discretionary fiscal policy fits the data best.

Suggested Citation

  • Tamara Bašić Vasiljev, 2018. "Estimated DSGE Model for Monetary and Fiscal Polic Coordination Analysis – The Case of Serbia," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 7(1), pages 145-173.
  • Handle: RePEc:cbk:journl:v:7:y:2018:i:1:p:145-173
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; fiscal policy; DSGE model; coordination; Bayesian estimation.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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