Research classified by Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes

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Top JEL
/ E: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
/ / E1: General Aggregative Models
/ / / E17: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

2005

• Cédric Audenis & Julien Deroyon & Nathalie Fourcade, 2005, "L'impact des Nouvelles Technologies de l'Information et de la Communication sur l'économie française. Un bouclage macroéconomique," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, volume 56, issue 1, pages 99-125.
• Dees, S. & di Mauro, F. & Pesaran, M.H. & Smith, L.V., 2005, "Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: a Global VAR Analysis," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0518, May.
• Pesaran, M.H. & Smith, L.V. & Smith, R.P, 2005, "What if the UK has Joined the Euro in 1999? An Empirical Evaluation using a Global VAR," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0528, May.
• Pesaran, M.H. & Schuermann, T. & Treutler, B-J., 2005, "The Role of Industry, Geography and Firm Heterogeneity in Credit Risk Diversification," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0529, May.
• Evans, G.W. & Honkapohja ,S. & Williams, N., 2005, "Generalized Stochastic Gradient Learning," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0545, Oct.
• Javier J. Pérez & A. Jesús Sánchez, 2005, "Parameterized Expectations Algorithm and the Moving Bounds: a comment on convergence properties," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces, Centro de Estudios Andaluces, number E2005/12.
• Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Jacob Engwerda & Joseph Plasmans & Bas van Aarle & Tomasz Michalak & Bas Van Aarle, 2005, "Macroeconomic Stabilization Policies in the EMU: Spillovers, Asymmetries, and Institutions," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1376.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Til Schuermann & Björn-Jakob Treutler, 2005, "Global Business Cycles and Credit Risk," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1548.
• George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Noah Williams, 2005, "Generalized Stochastic Gradient Learning," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 1576.
• Serletis, Apostolos & Shahmoradi, Asghar, 2005, "Semi-Nonparametric Estimates Of The Demand For Money In The United States," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, volume 9, issue 4, pages 542-559, September.
• Enrico Tanuwidjaja & Choy Keen Meng, 2005, "Central Bank Credibility and Monetary Policy : Evidence from Small Scale Macroeconomic Model of Indonesia," Macroeconomics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research, number 22576, Jan.
• Marcet, Albert & Nicolini, Juan Pablo, 2005, "Money and prices in models of bounded rationality in high inflation economies," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 469, Apr.
• Dées, Stéphane & di Mauro, Filippo & Pesaran, Hashem & Smith, Vanessa, 2005, "Exploring the international linkages of the euro area: a global VAR analysis," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 568, Dec.
• Rasmus Kattai, 2005, "EMMA - A Quarterly Model of the Estonian Economy," Bank of Estonia Working Papers, Bank of Estonia, number 2005-12, Dec, revised 12 Dec 2005.
• Chen, Hung-ju, 2005, "Educational systems, growth and income distribution: a quantitative study," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, volume 76, issue 2, pages 325-353, April.
• Viv B. Hall, 2005, "An Australasian Currency, New Zealand Adopting the US Dollar, or an Independent Monetary Policy?," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2005-21, Oct.
• Emma Xiaoqin Fan & Jesus Felipe, 2005, "The Diverging Patterns of Profitability, Investment and Growth of China and India, 1980-2003," CAMA Working Papers, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University, number 2005-22, Oct.
• Christopher A. Sims, 2005, "Improving monetary policy models," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Todd E. Clark & Kenneth D. West, 2005, "Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models," Research Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, number RWP 05-05.
• Eric Meyermans & Patrick Van Brusselen, 2005, "Working Paper 02-05 - The NIME Economic Outlook for the World Economy 2005 - 2011 (Also in this issue: the Lisbon Strategy)," Working Papers, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium, number 200502, Feb.
• Eric Meyermans & Patrick Van Brusselen, 2005, "Working Paper 17-05 - Monetary Policy, Asset Prices and Economic Growth in the World Economy over the 1995-2004 Period : A counterfactual simulation with the NIME Model," Working Papers, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium, number 200517, Dec.
• Alain Sand, 2005, "Structural reforms, macroeconomic policies and the future of Kazakhstan," Working Papers, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Etienne (GATE Lyon St-Etienne), Université de Lyon, number 0411, Nov.
• Hofer, Helmut & Url, Thomas, 2005, "Growth Effects of Age-related Productivity Differentials in an Ageing Society. A Simulation Study for Austria," Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies, number 179, Nov.
• Fujiwara, Ippei & Hara, Naoko & Hirose, Yasuo & Teranishi, Yuki, 2005, "The Japanese Economic Model (JEM)," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, volume 23, issue 2, pages 61-142, May.
• Ivan O. Kitov, 2005, "Evolution of the personal income distribution in the USA: High incomes," Working Papers, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, number 02, Nov.
• Ivan O. Kitov, 2005, "A model for microeconomic and macroeconomic development," Working Papers, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, number 05, Nov.
• Ivan O. Kitov, 2005, "Modelling the overall personal income distribution in the USA from 1994 to 2002," Working Papers, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, number 07, Nov.
• Ivan O. Kitov, 2005, "Modelling the average income dependence on work experience in the USA from 1967 to 2002," Working Papers, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, number 11, Dec.
• Langmantel Erich, 2005, "Identifying the German Inventory Cycle: A Multivariate Structural Time Series Approach Using Survey Data," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 225, issue 6, pages 675-687, December, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2005-0607.
• Werner Roeger, 2005, "International oil price changes: impact of oil prices on growth and inflation in the EU/OECD," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, volume 2, issue 1, pages 15-32, June, DOI: 10.1007/s10368-005-0027-z.
• Claudio H. Dos Santos & Gennaro Zezza, 2005, "A Simplified Stock-Flow Consistent Post-Keynesian Growth Model," Economics Working Paper Archive, Levy Economics Institute, number wp_421, Apr.
• Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 2005, "Population Aging and the Macroeconomy: Explorations in the Use of Immigration as an Instrument of Control," Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports, McMaster University, number 398, Oct.
• Frank T. Denton & Christine H. Feaver & Byron G. Spencer, 2005, "MEDS-E Users' Manual," Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports, McMaster University, number 401, Oct.
• Frank T. Denton & Christine H. Feaver & Byron G. Spencer, 2005, "Population Aging in Canada: Software for Exploring the Implications for the Labour Force and the Productive Capacity of the Economy," Quantitative Studies in Economics and Population Research Reports, McMaster University, number 403, Dec.
• Frank T. Denton & Byron G. Spencer, 2005, "Population Aging and the Macroeconomy: Explorations in the Use of Immigration as an Instrument of Control," Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population Research Papers, McMaster University, number 135, Oct.
• Frank T. Denton & Christine H. Feaver & Byron G. Spencer, 2005, "MEDS-E Users' Manual," Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population Research Papers, McMaster University, number 138, Oct.
• Frank T Denton & Christine H Feaver & Byron G Spencer, 2005, "Population Aging in Canada: Software for Exploring the Implications for the Labour Force and the Productive Capacity of the Economy," Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population Research Papers, McMaster University, number 146, Dec.
• Nicolas Hérault, 2005, "Building and Linking a Microsimulation Model to a CGE Model : the South African Microsimulation Model," Documents de travail, Groupe d'Economie du Développement de l'Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV, number 114, Sep.
• Nicolas Ponty, 2005, "Un modèle MAcroDYNamique des économies des pays membres de l’UEMOA : MADYN," Documents de travail, Groupe d'Economie du Développement de l'Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV, number 118, Oct.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2005, "Economic projections for Belgium - Autumn 2005," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iv, pages 7-15, December.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2005, "Economic projections for Belgium – spring 2005," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 7-31, June.
• George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Noah Williams, 2005, "Generalized Stochastic Gradient Learning," NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 0317, Oct.
• James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2005, "Implications of Dynamic Factor Models for VAR Analysis," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 11467, Jul.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Til Schuermann & Bjorn-Jakob Treutler, 2005, "Global Business Cycles and Credit Risk," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 11493, Jul.
• George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Noah Williams, 2005, "Generalized Stochastic Gradient Learning," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers, University of Oregon Economics Department, number 2005-17, Sep, revised 18 May 2008.
• John Creedy & Alan Duncan, 2005, "Aggregating Labour Supply and Feedback Effects in Microsimulation," Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE), Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School, volume 8, issue 3, pages 277-290, September.
• Madden, Gary G & Coble-Neal, Grant, 2005, "Forecasting international bandwidth capability," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 10822.
• Fu, Dongfeng & Pammolli, Fabio & Buldyrev, Sergey V. & Riccaboni, Massimo & Matia, Kaushik & Yamasaki, Kazuko & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2005, "The Growth of Business Firms: Theoretical Framework and Empirical Evidence," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15905.
• Arend, Mario & Norambuena, Vivian, 2005, "Análisis para Chile del efecto de un shock adverso de términos de intercambio sobre el tipo de cambio y la cuenta corriente
  [Analysis of the Effects of a Negative Terms-of-Trade Shock over the Real Exchange Rate and Current Account in Chile]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 27175, Jun.
• Arslan, Mesut Murat, 2005, "Derivation and Estimation of a Phillips Curve with Sticky Prices and Sticky Information," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 5162, May, revised Sep 2007.
• Lee, Chin & M., Azali, 2005, "Exchange rate misalignments in ASEAN-5 countries," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 59169.
• Michal Slavík, 2005, "Úvod do moderních přístupů analýzy časových řad: Stavově prostorové modely a Kalmanův filtr
  [Introduction to time series modeling: State space models and Kalman filter]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, volume 2005, issue 1, DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.499.
• James H. James & Mark W. Watson, 2005, "Implications of Dynamic Factor Models for VAR Analysis," Working Papers, Princeton University. Economics Department., number 2005-2, Jun.
• Andrew Stone & Troy Wheatley & Louise Wilkinson, 2005, "A Small Model of the Australian Macroeconomy: An Update," RBA Research Discussion Papers, Reserve Bank of Australia, number rdp2005-11, Dec.
• Albert Marcet & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2005, "Money and Prices in Models of Bounded Rationality in High Inflation Economies," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 8, issue 2, pages 452-479, April, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2005.01.006.
• Geoffrey Ducanes & Marie Anne Cagas & Duo Qin & Pilipinas Quising & Nedelyn Magtibay-Ramos, 2005, "A Small Macroeconometric Model of the Philippine Economy," ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank, number 62, Jan.
• Kevin Lee & Anthony Garratt, 2005, "Investment Decisions Under Model Uncertainty: An Application Using Exchanger Rate and Interest Rate Forecasts," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics, number 259, Nov.
• Marco Ratto & Werner Roeger, 2005, "An estimated open-economy model for the EURO area," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005, Society for Computational Economics, number 84, Nov.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith & Ron P. Smith, 2005, "What if the UK had Joined the Euro in 1999? An Empirical Evaluation using a Global VAR," IEPR Working Papers, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR), number 05.24, May.
• M. Hashem Pesaran & Til Schuermann & Björn-Jakob Treutler, 2005, "The Role of Industry, Geography and Firm Heterogeneity in Credit Risk Diversification," IEPR Working Papers, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR), number 05.25, May.
• María Inés Terra & Alvaro Forteza & Gabriel Katz & Andrés Pereyra, 2005, "Macroeconomic impacts of the reform of public services in Uruguay - A CGE analysis," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers), Department of Economics - dECON, number 2105, Dec.
• Albert Marcet & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2005, "Money and prices in models of bounded rationality in high inflation economies," Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, number 875, Jan.
• Vasily Astrov, 2005, "Unterschiedliche Einflüsse beschleunigen Wachstum in den MOEL," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, volume 78, issue 5, pages 353-371, May.
• Vasily Astrov, 2005, "Unterschiedliche Einflüsse beschleunigen Wachstum in den MOEL," wiiw Research Reports in German language, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, number 2005-05, May.
• Marco Raberto & Andrea Teglio & Silvano Cincotti, 2005, "Multi-agent modeling and simulation of a sequential monetary production economy," Computational Economics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0503002, Mar.
• rea cipollini & giuseppe missaglia, 2005, "Business cycle effects on Portfolio Credit Risk: scenario generation through Dynamic Factor analysis," Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0502010, Feb.
• Yan Olszewski, 2005, "Building a Better Fund of Hedge Funds: A Fractal and Alpha - Stable Distribution Approach," Finance, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0507018, Jul, revised 13 Dec 2005.
• Pawel Kowal, 2005, "An Algorithm for Solving Arbitrary Linear Rational Expectations Model," GE, Growth, Math methods, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0501001, Jan, revised 12 Jun 2005.
• Ghazouani KAMEL, 2005, "Growth, private investment and reforms : A comparative perspective," GE, Growth, Math methods, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0507012, Jul.
• jerome henry & sandro momigliano & pablo hernandez de cos, 2005, "The short-term impact of government budgets on prices Evidence from macroeconometric models," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0501020, Jan.
• Claudio Dos Santos & Gennaro Zezza, 2005, "A Simplified Stock-Flow Consistent Post-Keynesian Growth Model," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0504019, Apr.
• Pawel Kowal, 2005, "Solving Models with Imperfect and Asymmetric Information," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0505025, May.
• Efrem Castelnuovo, 2005, "Regime Shifts and the Stability of Backward Looking Phillips Curves in Open Economies," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0506017, Jun.
• Männistö, Hanna-Leena, 2005, "Forecasting with a forward-looking DGE model: combining long-run views of financial markes with macro forecasting," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, number 21/2005.
• Andras Margitay-Becht, 2005, "Agent Based Modelling of Aid," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, volume 3, issue 2, pages 84-93.

2004

• Mariana Lopes & Erica Domingos, 2004, "Composição Ótima Para A Dívida Pública: Uma Análise Macro-Estrutural," Anais do XXXII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 32nd Brazilian Economics Meeting], ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], number 036.
• Ángel Estrada & José Luis Fernández & Esther Moral & Ana V. Regil, 2004, "A quarterly macroeconometric model of the Spanish Economy," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0413, Jul.
• Jérôme Henry & Pablo Hernández de Cos & Sandro Momigliano, 2004, "The short-term impact of government budgets on prices: evidence from macroeconometrics models," Working Papers, Banco de España, number 0418, Oct.
• Jerome Henry & Pablo Hernandez de Cos & Sandro Momigliano, 2004, "The short-term impact of government budgets on prices; evidence from macroeconometric models," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area, number 523, Oct.
• Pesaran M.H. & Schuermann T. & Weiner S.M., 2004, "Modeling Regional Interdependencies Using a Global Error-Correcting Macroeconometric Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 22, pages 129-162, April.
• Mustapha Baghli & Véronique Brunhes-Lesage & Olivier de Bandt & Henry Fraisse & Jean-Pierre Villetelle, 2004, "MASCOTTE: Model for AnalySing and foreCasting shOrT TErm developments," Working papers, Banque de France, number 106.
• Juan Pablo Nicolini & Albert Marcet, 2015, "Money and Prices in Models of Bounded Rationality in High Inflation Economies," Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics, number 172, Sep.
• Carlos Coimbra & Paulo Soares Esteves, 2004, "Oil price assumptions in macroeconomic forecasts: should we follow futures market expectations?," OPEC Energy Review, Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, volume 28, issue 2, pages 87-106, June, DOI: 10.1111/j.0277-0180.2004.00129.x.
• Nicholas G. Zonzilos, 2004, "Econometric Modelling at the Bank of Greece," Working Papers, Bank of Greece, number 14, Jun.
• Ippei Fujiwara & Naoko Hara & Yasuo Hirose & Yuki Teranishi, 2004, "The Japanese Economic Model: JEM," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 04-E-3, Mar.
• Bharat Barot, 2004, "How accurate are the Swedish forecasters on GDB-Growth, CPI-inflation and unemployment? (1993 - 2001)," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, volume 47, issue 2, pages 249-278.
• Ahmed, S., 2004, "Modelling corporate tax liabilities using company accounts: a new framework," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0412, Jan.
• Rolf Strauch & Mark Hallerberg & Jürgen von Hagen, 2004, "Budgetary Forecasts in Europe – The Track Record of Stability and Convergence Programmes," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces, Centro de Estudios Andaluces, number E2004/42.
• M. Hashem Pesaran, 2000, "Forecast Uncertainties in Macroeconometric Modelling: An Application to the UK Economy," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 345.
• M. Hashem Pesaran, 2000, "The Cost Efficiency of UK Debt Management: A Recursive Modelling Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 346.
• Bas Van Aarle & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Jacob Engwerda & Joseph Plasmans, 2002, "Staying Together or Breaking Apart: Policy-makers’ Endogenous Coalitions Formation in the European Economic and Monetary Union," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 748.
• Til Schuermann & Björn-Jakob Treutler & Scott M. Weiner & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2003, "Macroeconomic Dynamics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 995.
• Héctor Manuel Zarate, 2004, "Modeling the distribution of exchange rate time series and measuring the tail area: an empirical application of the colombian flexible exchange rate," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario.
• Joseph Tham & Ignacio V√©lez-Pareja, 2004, "For finite cash flows, what is the correct formula for the return to levered equity?," Proyecciones Financieras y Valoración, Master Consultores, number 2734, May.
• Strauch, Rolf & Hallerberg, Mark & von Hagen, Jürgen, 2004, "Budgetary forecasts in Europe - the track record of stability and convergence programmes," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 307, Feb.
• Vidal, Jean-Pierre & Fernández-Huertas Moraga, Jesús, 2004, "Fiscal sustainability and public debt in an endogenous growth model," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 395, Oct.
• Henry, Jérôme & Hernández de Cos, Pablo & Momigliano, Sandro, 2004, "The short-term impact of government budgets on prices: evidence from macroeconomic models," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 396, Oct.
• Junsoo Lee & Walter Enders, 2004, "Testing for a unit-root with a nonlinear Fourier function," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings, Econometric Society, number 457, Aug.
• Yuki Teranishi & Ippei Fujiwara & Naoko Hara, 2004, "The Japanese Economic Model: JEM," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings, Econometric Society, number 723, Aug.
• Brandt, M.W.Michael W. & Zeng, Qi & Zhang, Lu, 2004, "Equilibrium stock return dynamics under alternative rules of learning about hidden states," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 28, issue 10, pages 1925-1954, September.
• Drew, Aaron & Hall, Viv B. & McDermott, C. John & Clair, Robert St., 2004, "Would adopting the Australian dollar provide superior monetary policy in New Zealand?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, volume 21, issue 6, pages 949-964, December.
• Boero, Gianna & Marrocu, Emanuela, 2004, "The performance of SETAR models: a regime conditional evaluation of point, interval and density forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 20, issue 2, pages 305-320.
• Demberel, S. & Olenev, Nicholas N. & Pospelov, Igor G., 2004, "An interaction model for livestock farming and steppe ecosystem," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, volume 67, issue 4, pages 335-342, DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2004.06.002.
• Jochen Hartwig, 2004, "Nichts als Strohfeuer? Eine kritische Analyse des wirtschaftspolitischen Assignments im "Neuen Konsens" mit Hilfe eines makrooekonometrischen Politiksimulationsmodells der Schweizer Volkswirtschaft," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, volume 1, issue 2, pages 107-134.
• HASEGAWA Koichi & HORI Masahiro & SUZUKI Tomoyuki, 2004, "Impact of Aging and Social Security Changes on Macro-Economy - Simulation Analysis by the Model for Medium- to Long- Term Perspectives of Japanese Economy (Mark I) - (in Japanese)," ESRI Discussion paper series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number 121, Oct.
• Gary Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2004, "Forecasting and estimating multiple change-point models with an unknown number of change points," Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, number 196.
• Ludovic Dobbelaere & Bart Hertveldt, 2004, "Working Paper 13-04 - 10 jaar Economische Begroting : Een terugblik op de kwaliteit van de vooruitzichten," Working Papers, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium, number 200413, Jun.
• Eric Meyermans & Patrick Van Brusselen, 2004, "Working Paper 16-04 - The NIME Economic Outlook for the World Economy 2004 - 2010 (Also in this issue: oil price shocks)," Working Papers, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium, number 200416, Oct.
• Frédéric Gonand, 2004, "Fonds de pension américains : une évaluation du risque macroéconomique," Post-Print, HAL, number hal-01294346.
• Heilemann Ullrich, 2004, "Besser geht’s nicht – Genauigkeitsgrenzen von Konjunkturprognosen / As Good as it Gets – Limits of Accuracy of Macroeconomic Short Term Forecasts," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 224, issue 1-2, pages 51-64, February, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2004-1-205.
• Alfonso Novales & Javier J. PÈrez, 2004, "Is It Worth Refining Linear Approximations to Non-Linear Rational Expectations Models?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 23, issue 4, pages 343-377, June.
• Javier J. Pérez, 2004, "A Log-Linear Homotopy Approach to Initialize the Parameterized Expectations Algorithm," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, volume 24, issue 1, pages 59-75, August.
• Jochen Hartwig, 2004, "Quantitative Analyse der Auswirkungen wirtschaftspolitischer Massnahmen auf die Einkommensverteilung und das "neue magische Viereck" in der Schweiz," KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, number 04-90, Jan, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-004871546.
• Gary M. Koop & Simon M. Potter, 2004, "Forecasting and Estimating Multiple Change-point Models with an Unknown Number of Change-points," Discussion Papers in Economics, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester, number 04/31, Nov.
• Peter J. Stemp, 2004, "A Review of 'Jumps' in Macroeconomic Models: With Special Reference to the Case when Eigenvalues are Complex-Valued," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series, The University of Melbourne, number 920.
• Nicolas Hérault, 2004, "Un modèle d'équilibre général calculable (MEGC) pour évaluer les effets de l'ouverture au commerce international : le cas de l'Afrique du Sud," Documents de travail, Groupe d'Economie du Développement de l'Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV, number 102, Sep.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2004, "Economic projections for Belgium – autumn 2004," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue iv, pages 7-16, December.
• National Bank of Belgium, 2004, "Economic projections for Belgium, 2004-2005," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 7-35, June.
• Simon Wren-Lewis, 2004, "A model of Equilibrium Exchange Rates for the New Zealand and Australian dollar," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number DP 2004/07, Aug.
• Cruz A. Echevarría, 2004, "Life Expectancy, Schooling Time, Retirement, and Growth," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, volume 42, issue 4, pages 602-617, October.
• Yamasaki, Kazuko & Matia, Kaushik & Buldyrev, Sergey V. & Fu, Dongfeng & Pammolli, Fabio & Riccaboni, Massimo & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2004, "Preferential attachment and growth dynamics in complex systems," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 15908, Jun, revised 06 Feb 2006.
• Knoben, J. & Kerkhofs, M. & Graafland, J.J., 2004, "Evaluation of Dutch election programs: The impact of parameter uncertainty," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 20773.
• Janßen-Timmen, Ronald & Moos, Waike, 2004, "The economic importance of cross-sectional technologies: An input-output approach," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 323, Oct.
• Ruiz, Juan, 2004, "Causas y consecuencias de la evolución reciente del precio del petróleo," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 431, Dec.
• Frédéric Gonand, 2004, "Fonds de pension américains : une évaluation du risque macroéconomique," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, volume 75, issue 2, pages 291-311, DOI: 10.3406/ecofi.2004.4907.
• Paulo Esteves & Carlos Coimbra, 2004, "Oil prices assumptions in macroeconomic forecasts: should we follow futures market expectations?," Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department, number w200404.
• Andrew Young, 2004, "Labor's Share Fluctuations, Biased Technical Change, and the Business Cycle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, volume 7, issue 4, pages 916-931, October, DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2004.07.001.
• Abdulnasser Hatemi-J, 2004, "Is the Equity Market Informationally Efficient in Japan? Evidence from Leveraged Bootstrap Analysis," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, volume 57, issue 4, pages 461-473.
• Michel Juillard, 2004, "Strucural change and DSGE models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 191, Aug.
• Marten Hillebrand, 2004, "The Impact of Multiperiod Planning Horizons on Portfolios and Asset Prices," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 259, Aug.
• Marco Raberto & Silvano Cincotti, 2004, "Multi-agent modeling and simulation of a sequential monetary production economy," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 260, Aug.
• Efrem Castelnuovo, 2004, "Regime Shifts and the Stability of Backward Looking Phillips Curves in Open Economies," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004, Society for Computational Economics, number 49, Aug.
• Stephane Dees & Filippo di Mauro & M. Hashem Pesaran & L. Vanessa Smith, 2004, "Exploring the International Linkages of the Euro Area: A Global VAR Analysis," IEPR Working Papers, Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR), number 04.6, Dec.
• Viv Hall & Angela Huang, 2004, "Would adopting the us dollar have led to improved inflation, output and trade balances, for New Zealand in the 1990s?," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 38, issue 1, pages 49-63, DOI: 10.1080/00779950409544393.
• Michael Grimm, 2004, "The Medium- and Long-term Effects of an Expansion of Education on Poverty in Côte d'Ivoire: A Dynamic Microsimulation Study," WIDER Working Paper Series, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER), number RP2004-32.
• Bruno Merlevede & Koen Schoors & Bas van Aarle, 2004, "Russia from Bust to Boom: Oil, Politics or the Ruble?," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan, number 2004-722, Oct.
• Vasily Astrov, 2004, "Wirtschaftsentwicklung in den MOEL durch deutliche Konvergenz geprägt," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, volume 77, issue 5, pages 383-401, May.
• Vasily Astrov, 2004, "Wirtschaftsentwicklung in den MOEL durch deutliche Konvergenz geprägt," wiiw Research Reports in German language, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, number 2004-05, May.
• Viv Hall & Angela Huang, 2004, "WOULD ADOPTING THE US DOLLAR HAVE LED TO IMPROVED INFLATION, OUTPUT AND TRADE BALANCES FOR NEW ZEALAND IN THE 1990s?," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0401001, Jan.
• Claudio Dos Santos & Gennaro Zezza, 2004, "A Post-Keynesian Stock-Flow Consistent Macroeconomic Growth," Macroeconomics, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0402027, Feb.
• Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2004, "Investigating the impact of an appreciation of the euro in a small macroeconometric model of Germany and the euro area," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1204.

2003

• Albert Marcet & Juan P. Nicolini, 2003, "Recurrent Hyperinflations and Learning," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, volume 93, issue 5, pages 1476-1498, December.
• Boero, Gianna & Marrocu, Emanuela, , "The Performance Of Setar Models: A Regime Conditional Evaluation Of Point, Interval And Density Forecasts," Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics, number 269476, DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.269476.
• DI BARTOLOMEO, Giovanni & ENGWERDA, Jacob & PLASMANS, Joseph & VAN AARLE, Bas, 2003, "Macroeconomic stabilisation policies in the EMU: Spillovers, asymmetries and institutions," Working Papers, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics, number 2003019, Jun.
• René Lalonde & Patrick Sabourin, 2003, "Modélisation et prévision du taux de change réel effectif américain," Staff Working Papers, Bank of Canada, number 03-3, DOI: 10.34989/swp-2003-3.
• Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2003, "Wage Indexation, Inflation Inertia, and the Cost of Disinflation," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, volume 21, issue 43, pages 66-85, June, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.4303.
• Garratt A. & Lee K. & Pesaran M.H. & Shin Y., 2003, "Forecast Uncertainties in Macroeconomic Modeling: An Application to the U.K. Economy," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, volume 98, pages 829-838, January.
• Takashi Kozu & Yoshiko Sato & Masakazu Inada, 2003, "Demographic Changes in Japan and their Macroeconomic Effects," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series, Bank of Japan, number 04-E-6, Sep.
• Jozef Vuchelen & Maria Gutierrez, 2003, "Do the OECD forecasts for the belgian economy contain information?," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, volume 46, issue 2, pages 31-64.
• Pesaran, M.H. & Schuermann, T. & Treutler, B-J. & Weiner, S.M., 2003, "Macroeconomic Dynamics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0330, Jun.
• Coe, P.J. & Pesaran, M.H. & Vahey, S.P., 2003, "Scope for Cost Minimization in Public Debt Management: the Case of the UK," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, number 0338, Aug.
• Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2003, "Wage Indexation, Inflation Inertia, and the Cost of Disinflation," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República.
• Javier Gómez., 2003, "Wage Indexation, Inflation Inertia, and the Cost of Disinflation," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 21, issue 43, pages 66-85, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.4303.
• Hernán Rincón & Jenny Berthel & Miguel G�mez, 2003, "Balance fiscal estructural y cíclico del gobierno nacional central de Colombia, 1980-200," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 21, issue 44, pages 12-62, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.4401.
• Armando Baqueiro & Alejandro D�az de Le�n & Alberto Torres, 2003, "¿Temor a la flotación o a la inflación? La importancia del “traspaso” del tipo de cambio a los precios," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 21, issue 44, pages 64-94, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.4402.
• Carlos A. Arango & �ngela Milena Rojas, 2003, "Demanda laboral y reforma comercial en el sector manufacturero colombiano: 1977-1999," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, volume 21, issue 44, pages 96-154, DOI: 10.32468/Espe.4403.
• Ignacio V√©lez-Pareja, 2003, "El Metodo Delphi," Proyecciones Financieras y Valoración, Master Consultores, number 2524, Jun.
• Henk Don, 2003, "SAFE: a quarterly model of the Dutch economy for short-term analyses," CPB Document, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, number 42, Dec.
• Anthonie Knoester & Nico van der Windt, 2003, "The Need for Economic Models in Economic Policy Making," Working paper series, Agency for Economic Analysis and Forecasting, number 32003en, Jun.
• Anthonie Knoester & Nico van der Windt, 2003, "Simulations with the AEAF Мodel," Working paper series, Agency for Economic Analysis and Forecasting, number 42003en, Jun.
• Marrocu, Emanuela & Gianna Boero, 2003, "The Performance of SETAR models by Regime: A Conditional Evaluation of Interval and Density Forecasts," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003, Royal Economic Society, number 147, Jun.
• Ehrmann, Michael & Smets, Frank, 2003, "Uncertain potential output: implications for monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, volume 27, issue 9, pages 1611-1638, July.
• Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2003, "Robust European Monetary Policy Rules," Documents de recherche, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne, number 03-06.
• štìpán Jurajda & Daniel Münich, 2003, "Understanding Long-Term Unemployment in the Czech Republic," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, volume 53, issue 1-2, pages 11-30, January.
• Péter Benczúr & András Simon & Viktor Várpalotai, 2003, "Analyzing Fiscal Policy and Growth with a Calibrated Macro Model," MNB Working Papers, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), number 2003/13.
• Zoltán M. Jakab & Mihály András Kovács, 2003, "Explaining the Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Hungary: Simulations with the NIGEM Model," MNB Working Papers, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), number 2003/5.
• Viv Hall & Angela Huang, 2003, "Would Adopting the US Dollar Have Led to Improved Inflation, Output and Trade Balances for New Zealand in the 1990s?," Motu Working Papers, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research, number 03_14, Sep.
• P.-O. Beffy & J. Deroyon & N. Fourcade & S. Gregoir & N. Laïb & B. Monfort, 2003, "Demographic changes and economic growth: a macroeconomic projection for 2020," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number g2003-04.
• P.-O. Beffy & X. Bonnet & M. Darracq-Paries & B. Monfort, 2003, "MZE: a small macro-model for the euro area," Documents de Travail de l'Insee - INSEE Working Papers, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, number g2003-11.
• Olivier Basdevant, 2003, "On applications of state-space modelling in macroeconomics," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, number DP2003/02, Apr.
• John Bryant, 2003, "Can population projections be used for sensitivity tests on policy models?," Treasury Working Paper Series, New Zealand Treasury, number 03/07, Mar.
• Kam Leong Szeto & Paul Gardiner & Richard Gray & David Hargreaves, 2003, "A Comparison of the NZTM and FPS Models of the New Zealand Economy," Treasury Working Paper Series, New Zealand Treasury, number 03/25, Sep.
• Ishikawa Daisuke, 2003, "Tax-Financed Public Funds Injection into Banks and its Welfare Implications," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics, number 03-02, Jan.
• Peter Stemp & Ric D. Herbert & The University of Newcastle Callaghan & Australia., 2003, "Solving a Saddlepath Unstable Model with Complex-Valued Eigenvalues," Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics, number 178, Nov.
• Arce, Rafael de & Mahia, Ramón, 2003, "Un Modèle d’Equilibre pour la Determination des Effets Nationaux de la Creation d’une Zone de Libre Echange Agricole Euro-Mediterraneenne
  [An equilibrium model for Free Trade Area creation economic impacts estimation]," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 10455, Dec.
• Yu, Ge, 2003, "Comparing Expectations and Outcomes: Application to UK Data," MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 502, revised 2005.
• Hung-ju Chen, 2003, "Educational Systems, Growth and Income Distribution: A Quantitative Study," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 13, Aug.
• Ric D. Herbert & Peter J. Stemp, 2003, "Solving a Saddlepath Unstable Model with Complex-Valued Eigenvalues," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 19, Aug.
• Monika Friedrich-Nishio & Burkhard Schade, 2003, "Innovation and market structure in the dynamics of the Japanese IT-sector: an empirical analysis from 1978 to 2000," Computing in Economics and Finance 2003, Society for Computational Economics, number 210, Aug.
• Thomas A. Wilson, 2003, "A Perspective on Future Productivity Growth in Canada," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, volume 7, pages 46-49, Fall.
• Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2003, "Robust European monetary policy rules," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 10, issue 14, pages 889-894, DOI: 10.1080/13504850310001635212.
• Peter van Els & Alberto Locarno & Benoît Mojon & Julian Morgan, 2003, "New Macroeconomic Evidence on Monetary Policy Transmission in the Euro Area," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, volume 1, issue 2-3, pages 720-730, 04/05.
• Hall, Viv & Huang, Angela, 2003, "Would adopting the US dollar have led to improved inflation, output and trade balances, for New Zealand in the 1990s?," Working Paper Series, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance, number 33492.
• Josef Pöschl, 2003, "Internationale Konjunkturflaute stellt Wirtschaft der MOEL auf die Probe (Reprint from: WIFO-Monatsberichte, Vol. 76, No. 5, May 2003)," wiiw Research Reports in German language, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, number 2003-06, Jun.
• Demberel S. & Nicholas Olenev & Igor Pospelov, 2003, "To a Mathematical Model of Economy and Environment Interaction //Mathematical modelling. 2003. V.15. No.4. P.107-121," GE, Growth, Math methods, University Library of Munich, Germany, number 0309006, Sep.